investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--The U.S. Presidential Election is NOT Over. Here’s Where Things Stand Right Now…

Disclaimer : none of the following is meant to be political analysis .
I am not endorsing nor disparaging any candidate .
I ’ m simply outlining the facts pertaining to the U.S. Presidential election .
I want to warn you that the next few months in the U.S. will be extremely ugly .
The country was already deeply divided before this election .
And unfortunately , it ’ s only going to get worse .
The fact is that Joe Biden HASN ’ T actually won this election yet .
That is not a typo .
The media has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ claiming that Biden is the winner this early in the game .
Everyone needs to take a step back and understand how the actual election process occurs based on federal law , not media reporting .
2 ) Votes are tallied while officials from both parties ( Democrat and GOP ) are present .
3 ) Provided officials from both parties are present during the vote tallies and there are : Then the vote tallies are ratified .
4 ) If the vote margin between winner and loser is 0.5 % or smaller @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 5 ) If the margin between the winner and loser is larger than 0.5 % , but either candidate ( or a 3rd candidate for that matter ) wants to dispute the results , he or she can pay to have a recount performed .
The cost if roughly $ 3 million per state .
6 ) Once the recount is completed , or if a recount is not necessary , the individual states formally declare the winner on December 14th when they officially cast their electoral college votes for him or her @ @ @ @ @ @ @ January of the next year , the new congress meets to count the electoral college votes and formally declare the winner .
8 ) The new President is sworn into office on January 20th .
This is how Presidential elections work in the U.S. under normal circumstances .
The media can not decide who wins .
The media can simply project who they think will win based on vote totals at a given time .
And unless the loser formally concedes prior to December 14th , the election remains in play .
So @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2020 Presidential election ?
For starters , the races in multiple states ( Georgia , Pennsylvania , Nevada , Wisconsin , Michigan , and Arizona ) are close enough to require mandatory recounts ( within a margin of 0.5 % ) .
On top of this , the Trump administration will be filing lawsuits in Georgia , Pennsylvania , Nevada , Wisconsin , Michigan , and Arizona alleging fraud , illegitimate votes being counted , and GOP officials being barred from witnessing the ballots being tallied .
Whether or not the Trump administration @ @ @ @ @ @ @ seen .
However , the fact lawsuits are being filed means the election will move into the courts .
If the courts decide that the evidence the Trump administration presents is compelling , they can require a formal vote audit .
If , during the vote audit , actual fraud is discovered , the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid , the formal vote counts can change , and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner .
Even if fraud is not discovered @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a particular problem with vote cards ( the wrong type of ink was used , the hole punch didn ’ t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000 , etc . )
, the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate .
This again can mean the formal vote counts can change , and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner .
Mind you , that ’ s if the courts resolve the issue to everyone ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court ’ s ruling , they can appeal the ruling , which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court , eventually reaching the Supreme Court , which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S .
This was the case with the 2000 election , when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn ’ t have clean hole punches were NOT valid , which gave the state to George W. Bush and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on December 13th .
None of the above items are conspiracy theory or wishful thinking .
These are the actual facts of how Presidential elections are decided in the U.S .
The media doesn ’ t decide elections .
And technically , Joe Biden is NOT the President elect , no matter how much certain people might want him to be .
Remember , he wouldn ’ t be formally declared the President Elect until December 14th 2020 , and that ’ s under normal circumstances .
And as I mentioned already , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I mention all of this to help you keep a clear head during what is going to be an extremely stressful and psychologically draining four-week period between now and that date .
Again , this election WILL not be decided before December 14th .
And it ’ s possible things run even longer than that .

Disclaimer: none of the following is meant to be political analysis. I am not endorsing nor disparaging any candidate. I’m simply outlining the facts pertaining to the U.S. Presidential election.
I want to warn you that the next few months in the U.S. will be extremely ugly.
The country was already deeply divided before this election. And unfortunately, it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that Joe Biden HASN’T actually won this election yet.
That is not a typo. The media has done the U.S. a great disservice by claiming that Biden is the winner this early in the game.
Everyone needs to take a step back and understand how the actual election process occurs based on federal law, not media reporting.
1) The election occurs in early November.
2) Votes are tallied while officials from both parties (Democrat and GOP) are present.
3) Provided officials from both parties are present during the vote tallies and there are:
No credible accusations of fraud. No software glitches.
Then the vote tallies are ratified.
4) If the vote margin between winner and loser is 0.5% or smaller, an automatic recount is required.
5) If the margin between the winner and loser is larger than 0.5%, but either candidate (or a 3rd candidate for that matter) wants to dispute the results, he or she can pay to have a recount performed. The cost if roughly $3 million per state.
6) Once the recount is completed, or if a recount is not necessary, the individual states formally declare the winner on December 14th when they officially cast their electoral college votes for him or her.
7) Then, in early January of the next year, the new congress meets to count the electoral college votes and formally declare the winner.
8) The new President is sworn into office on January 20th.
This is how Presidential elections work in the U.S. under normal circumstances.
The media cannot decide who wins. The media can simply project who they think will win based on vote totals at a given time. And unless the loser formally concedes prior to December 14th, the election remains in play.
So where are we in terms of the 2020 Presidential election?
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For starters, the races in multiple states (Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona) are close enough to require mandatory recounts (within a margin of 0.5%).
On top of this, the Trump administration will be filing lawsuits in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona alleging fraud, illegitimate votes being counted, and GOP officials being barred from witnessing the ballots being tallied.
Whether or not the Trump administration is right about this remains to be seen.
However, the fact lawsuits are being filed means the election will move into the courts. If the courts decide that the evidence the Trump administration presents is compelling, they can require a formal vote audit.
If, during the vote audit, actual fraud is discovered, the court can rule that those votes are no longer valid, the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.
Even if fraud is not discovered by the audits, but there is a particular problem with vote cards (the wrong type of ink was used, the hole punch didn’t go all the way through the ballot as was the case in Florida in 2000, etc.), the courts can deem those problematic votes as illegitimate.
This again can mean the formal vote counts can change, and it is possible that a given state ends up declaring a different winner.
Mind you, that’s if the courts resolve the issue to everyone’s liking on the first go round.
If either party or candidate is dissatisfied with a lower court’s ruling, they can appeal the ruling, which can result in the lawsuit moving up to a higher court, eventually reaching the Supreme Court, which serves as the ultimate arbiter of election law in the U.S.
This was the case with the 2000 election, when the Supreme Court ruled that vote cards from Florida that didn’t have clean hole punches were NOT valid, which gave the state to George W. Bush and resulted in Al Gore conceding the election on December 13th.
None of the above items are conspiracy theory or wishful thinking. These are the actual facts of how Presidential elections are decided in the U.S.
The media doesn’t decide elections. And technically, Joe Biden is NOT the President elect, no matter how much certain people might want him to be.
Remember, he wouldn’t be formally declared the President Elect until December 14th 2020, and that’s under normal circumstances.
And as I mentioned already, this election is anything but normal.
I mention all of this to help you keep a clear head during what is going to be an extremely stressful and psychologically draining four-week period between now and that date.
Again, this election WILL not be decided before December 14th. And it’s possible things run even longer than that.
Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--NOT OVER: ELECTION UPDATE: Trump vs. Biden — Election vote counting battles-Courts, State Legislatur

NOT OVER: ELECTION UPDATE: Trump vs. Biden — Election vote counting battles-Courts, State Legislatures, and Congress may all have to step up to vindicate the rule of law.

Key update on what you can do to save the election :

by TFittonJW
PLUS Judicial Watch study finds 1.8 million “extra” names on voter rolls!
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Key update on what you can do to save the election:


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--It is party time at The Tokyo Whale as the Japanese stock market surges

Sometimes you have to wait for things and be patient and this morning has seen an example of that .
If we look east to the and of the rising sun we see that it has been a while since it was at the level below .
That is from the Financial Times over the weekend and its Japanese owners will no doubt be pointing out that it should be covering this morning ’ s further rally .
Curiously Investing.com does not seem to have spotted that we have not been here for much longer than 5 years .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ quite make it .
There was something familiar about this but also something new as the FT explained .
The Japanese are savers and investors hence the Mrs. Watanabe stereotype but the gearing here reminds us of the Robinhood style investors in the US as well .
As ever if we look below the surface there has been much more going on and we can start at the Bank of Japan which regular readers will be aware has been buying equities for a while now.Also it increased its purchases in response to the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ did not just buy on down days and it also increased its clip size .
In October it bought 70 billion Yen ’ s worth on six occasions and on three days in a row from the 28th .
If we recall that world stock markets were falling back then we find ourselves noting the most extreme version of a central bank put option for equity markets we have seen so far .
Indeed this is confirmed in the Minutes .
What is appropriate and how do they decide ?
This morning ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ some at the Bank of Japan are troubled by all of this .
The emphasis is mine .
As “ monetary easing ” has been going on for around 3 decades now it has already been very prolonged .
I wonder on what grounds they would regard it as “ absolutely necessary ” to reduce the value of its large equity holdings .
As of the end of October it had bought some 34,771,759,339,000 Yen of it .
Rather curiously the Bank of Japan share price has not responded to the rise in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it was up 1.9 % today to 26,780 but that is a long way short of the 220,000 or so of November 1991 .
There is something of an irony in this landmark being reached after Prime Minister Abe has left office .
Because as well as the explicit equity buying effort above there were a lot of implicit boosts for the equity market from what became called Abenomics .
Back in November 2012 I put it like this .
As you can see the market has been singing along to Chic in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ interest-rates reduced into negative territory and the Bank of Japan gorge itself on Japanese Government Bonds both of which make any equity dividends more attractive .
Also there was the Abenomics “ arrow ” designed to reduce the value of the Japanese Yen and make Japan ’ s exporters more competitive .
Often the Japanese stock market is the reverse of that day ’ s move in the Yen but in reverse so Yen down means stick market up .
The latter gave things quite a push at first as the exchange-rate to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the mid 120s for a while .
However in more recent times the Yen has been mimicking The Terminator by saying “ I ’ ll be back ” and is at 103.60 as I type this .
There is a lot of food for thought here on the impact of QE on a currency but for our purposes today we see that the currency is weaker but by much less than one might have thought .
The Japanese stock market has recently received boost from other influences .
For example what is becoming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ seen the Nikkei 225 rally by around 8 % in a week .
Also this morning ’ s data with the leading indicator for September rising to 92.9 will have helped .
But also we have seen an extraordinary effort by the Japanese state to get the market up over the past 8 years .
In itself it has been a success but it does raise problems .
The first is that Japan ’ s economic problems have not gone away as a result of this .
Even if we out the Covid @ @ @ @ @ @ @ struggling in response to the Consumption Tax rise of last autumn .
The official objective of raising the inflation rate has got no nearer and the “ lost decade ” rumbles on .
The 0.1 % have got a lot wealthier though .
Then there is the issue of an exit strategy , because if The Tokyo Whale stops buying and the market drops there are two problems .
First for the value of the Bank of Japan ’ s holdings and next for the economy itself .
So as so often we @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Meanwhile on a personal level I recall these days as I worked for Barings pre collapse .
Indeed I had an indirect role as there were 4 of us on the futures and options desk and we feared trouble and left .
So they promoted Nick Leeson from the back office and what happened next became famous even leading to a film .

by Shaun Richards
Sometimes you have to wait for things and be patient and this morning has seen an example of that. If we look east to the and of the rising sun we see that it has been a while since it was at the level below.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock index closed on Friday at its highest level since November 1991 as individual investors bought up the shares of blue-chip companies at the expense of smaller, more speculative groups. The benchmark, which has been described by some analysts as a “barbarous relic” but remains the favourite yardstick of Japanese retail investors, was propelled to its 29-year high by resurgent stocks like Sony, SoftBank and Uniqlo parent Fast Retailing.
That is from the Financial Times over the weekend and its Japanese owners will no doubt be pointing out that it should be covering this morning’s further rally.
Investing.com – Japan stocks were higher after the close on Monday, as gains in the , and sectors led shares higher. At the close in Tokyo, the rose 2.12% to hit a new 5-year high.
Curiously Investing.com does not seem to have spotted that we have not been here for much longer than 5 years. The market even challenged 25,000 but did not quite make it.
There was something familiar about this but also something new as the FT explained.
Mizuho Securities chief equity strategist Masatoshi Kikuchi said that the Nikkei’s move was driven by individual investors using leverage to magnify their potential returns and losses — a much larger and more active group since the Covid-19 pandemic restricted millions to their homes and prompted many to open online trading accounts.
The Japanese are savers and investors hence the Mrs. Watanabe stereotype but the gearing here reminds us of the Robinhood style investors in the US as well.
The Tokyo Whale
As ever if we look below the surface there has been much more going on and we can start at the Bank of Japan which regular readers will be aware has been buying equities for a while now.Also it increased its purchases in response to the Covid-19 pandemic in two ways. It did not just buy on down days and it also increased its clip size.
For the time being, it would actively purchase ETFs and J-REITs so that their amounts outstanding would increase
at annual paces with the upper limit of about 12 trillion yen and about 180 billion yen, respectively. ( Bank of Japan Minutes)
In October it bought 70 billion Yen’s worth on six occasions and on three days in a row from the 28th. If we recall that world stock markets were falling back then we find ourselves noting the most extreme version of a central bank put option for equity markets we have seen so far. Indeed this is confirmed in the Minutes.
With a view to lowering risk premia of asset prices in an appropriate manner, the Bank might increase or
decrease the amount of purchases, depending on market conditions.
What is appropriate and how do they decide? This morning’s summary of opinions release suggests that some at the Bank of Japan are troubled by all of this. The emphasis is mine.
It is necessary to continue with active purchases of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and Japan real estate investment trusts (J-REITs) for the time being. However, given that monetary easing is expected to be prolonged, the Bank should further look for ways to enhance sustainability of the policy measure so that it will not face difficulty in conducting such purchases when a lowering of risk premia of asset prices is absolutely necessary.
As “monetary easing” has been going on for around 3 decades now it has already been very prolonged. I wonder on what grounds they would regard it as “absolutely necessary” to reduce the value of its large equity holdings. As of the end of October it had bought some 34,771,759,339,000 Yen of it.
Rather curiously the Bank of Japan share price has not responded to the rise in value of its equity holdings. Yes it was up 1.9% today to 26,780 but that is a long way short of the 220,000 or so of November 1991.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The Bank is a juridical person established based on the Bank of Japan Act. Its stated capital is 100 million yen. The issued share capital is owned by the government (55 percent) and the private sector (45 percent).
Abenomics
There is something of an irony in this landmark being reached after Prime Minister Abe has left office. Because as well as the explicit equity buying effort above there were a lot of implicit boosts for the equity market from what became called Abenomics. Back in November 2012 I put it like this.
Also the Japanese stock market has had a good couple of days in response to this and has got back above the 9000 level on the Nikkei 225 at a time when other stock markets have fallen.
As you can see the market has been singing along to Chic in the Abenomics era.
Good times, these are the good times
Leave your cares behind, these are the good times
Good times, these are the good times
Our new state of mind, these are the good times
Happy days are here again
The time is right for makin’ friends.
We have seen interest-rates reduced into negative territory and the Bank of Japan gorge itself on Japanese Government Bonds both of which make any equity dividends more attractive. Also there was the Abenomics “arrow” designed to reduce the value of the Japanese Yen and make Japan’s exporters more competitive. Often the Japanese stock market is the reverse of that day’s move in the Yen but in reverse so Yen down means stick market up.
The latter gave things quite a push at first as the exchange-rate to the US Dollar went from 78 into the mid 120s for a while. However in more recent times the Yen has been mimicking The Terminator by saying “I’ll be back” and is at 103.60 as I type this. There is a lot of food for thought here on the impact of QE on a currency but for our purposes today we see that the currency is weaker but by much less than one might have thought.
Comment
The Japanese stock market has recently received boost from other influences. For example what is becoming called the “Biden Bounce” has seen the Nikkei 225 rally by around 8% in a week. Also this morning’s data with the leading indicator for September rising to 92.9 will have helped. But also we have seen an extraordinary effort by the Japanese state to get the market up over the past 8 years. In itself it has been a success but it does raise problems.
The first is that Japan’s economic problems have not gone away as a result of this. Even if we out the Covid pandemic to one side the economy was struggling in response to the Consumption Tax rise of last autumn. The official objective of raising the inflation rate has got no nearer and the “lost decade” rumbles on. The 0.1% have got a lot wealthier though.
Then there is the issue of an exit strategy, because if The Tokyo Whale stops buying and the market drops there are two problems. First for the value of the Bank of Japan’s holdings and next for the economy itself. So as so often we find ourselves singing along with Elvis Presley.
We’re caught in a trap
I can’t walk out
Because I love you too much, baby
Meanwhile on a personal level I recall these days as I worked for Barings pre collapse.
Baring Nikkei options in the money now! ( @WildboyMarkets)
Indeed I had an indirect role as there were 4 of us on the futures and options desk and we feared trouble and left. So they promoted Nick Leeson from the back office and what happened next became famous even leading to a film.
Podcast


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--MSM — Less than 1-day after the media declares Biden the winner The Daily Mail claims COVID numbers

MSM — Less than 1-day after the media declares Biden the winner The Daily Mail claims COVID numbers are EXAGGERATED

Official data is 'exaggerating ' the risk of Covid and talk of a second wave is 'misleading ' , 500 @ @ @

Official data is 'exaggerating' the risk of Covid and talk of a second wave is 'misleading', 500 academics say t.co/1TTI4LF9r5
— Daily Mail U.K. (@DailyMailUK) November 8, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--A Trucker Strike in November Could Be Another Nail in the Supply Chain Coffin

by Daisy Luther of The Organic Prepper Rumor has it that a large number of independent truckers are planning multiple strikes in November during which they ’ ll stop transporting…well , everything .
Considering that our supply chain is already in precariously bad shape , imagine the impact if transport also came to a halt .
There ’ s a group on Facebook ( for now – we all know how it goes on Facebook ) called Stop the Tires Truckers that is organizing the strike .
As of the writing of this article , more than 15,000 people had @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s their message ( and I ’ m also posting a screenshot in case it gets removed . )
Note that they are specifically asking truckers who transport medical supplies not to participate .
Our message is simple and hopefully effective .
We fully intend to exercise our rights , and will not have politicians making crippling decisions , that will negatively affect our future and the future of our children .
President Trump has worked diligently for four long years to protect the rights and freedoms of all Americans , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ country .
The blue-collar workers are literally the ones that make the wheels turn !
Without truck drivers this country could not survive for long .
Our intention is not to harm anyone .
We would like to make a point that we do NOT wish for any companies or private truck drivers , supplying any kind of medical supplies and/or services , to participate in our movement .
We will not participate in the leftist , Biden/Harris Green New Deal .
We do not support the banning of fracking .
The United @ @ @ @ @ @ @ economy and OIL is the fuel she survives on .
With this being said , we will STOP ALL TIRES for 24 hours on Veterans Day 11/11/20 .
If this is not effective and our leaders do not respect that blue-collar truck drivers are having to face domestic terrorism , primarily in democrat run cities all over the United States , and that we do not support the banning of fracking in any way , then we will have our second STOP OF TIRES for FOUR full days 11/26/20-11/29/20 .
We are calling @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over the country .
We may not last long on Facebook , but please do not be deterred , and continue to share this on any social media or other outlets , that you have available to you .
One website reported on a trucker strike specific to New York State due to working conditions during the pandemic .
Truckers are talking about it on Twitter .
While there are few official reports , the buzz on Twitter is that truckers are angry about the outcome of the election and that they intend @ @ @ @ @ @ @ wield over our well-being .
some of the videos mention November 29th as the day it all happens .
Here are a few examples .
( There ’ s some profanity .
And a lot of Purge sirens .
You may want to skip the videos if you ’ re upset by that . )
To see more , search the hashtag # truckerstrike on Twitter .
This is not unprecedented .
In 2018 , truckers in Brazil went on strike for 10 days and virtually shut down the entire country .
Here @ @ @ @ @ @ @ article about the event : The category stopped on May 21 to demand a reduction in diesel oil prices – which have risen more than 50 % in the last 12 months .
The main claim was that taxes are levied on fuel , such as PIS-Cofins .
They also required fixing a minimum table for freight charges .
During the strike , anti-corruption speeches also joined the banners defended by the movement , which in a few days became expressive and caused impacts to the population , in several segments .
Some @ @ @ @ @ @ @ support for a military coup .
Check out the entire article for the timeline of the 10-day strike .
The strike is credited with having exposed extensive political corruption shortly before that country ’ s elections .
As well , in 1973 , there was an Independent Trucker Shutdown during the oil crisis .
On December 3 , 1973 , JW Edwards ran out of gas at 10:00 pm after struggling to make his run amid fuel rationing .
This blocked Interstate 80 .
JW got on his CB radio and eventually , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Within an hour the protest had grown to hundreds of semi-trucks .
In just a few hours truckers across the country were blocking the nation ’ s roadways , essentially shutting them down and causing traffic jams 12 miles long .
The strike lasted three days but remember that this was in a day and age when 70 % of the countries ’ goods were hauled by independent truckers .
Now there are more companies that own fleets and just hire drivers .
That they had the numbers to get the government @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what is going on now .
The protests were largely peaceful except in Ohio when some truckers decided not to comply .
The Governor deployed the National Guard and used tear gas .
For a while , the peace would last .
The dealbreaker came when it was clear that now that government officials had calmed everyone down , they were in no rush to fulfill any of the promises they made .
The brief strike did not cause a big enough supply disruption .
( source ) Protests started again and this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ On December 13th and 14th another shutdown occurred but this time a lot of truckers started to harass and even turn to sabotage when other truckers refused to shut down .
Tires were slashed , vehicles were shot , and one driver was even stabbed !
This was not the end either .
As the protests entered 1974 some independent truckers not only shut down , they blocked roads and even started throwing bricks off of overpasses .
A resolution came in February 1974 when truckers were granted the right to add 6 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ they were guaranteed that truck stops would be given fuel priority so that they did not have to compete for rationed fuel supplies .
While it is good that truckers gained a voice , it was not without damage .
As a result of the shutdown and strikes , 100,000 truckers were laid off , several people died , and the public experienced supply disruptions .
( source ) Whether this looming strike is likely to turn ugly or not is anybody ’ s guess , but the United States hasn ’ t @ @ @ @ @ @ @ remaining peaceful this year , even if they start out that way .
How will a trucker strike affect us ?
In just five days without trucks running in the United States , chaos could erupt due to our “ just in time ” merchandising .
Most retail stores no longer stock up on food but have a “ just in time ” ordering system that relies on regular shipments .
Just-In-Time ( JIT ) inventory refers to an inventory management method whereby the goal is to have inventory readily available to meet @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on hand .
With this approach , merchants can hold minimal stock supplies while ensuring stock-outs don ’ t happen during peak selling periods .
Balancing the goals of avoiding stock-outs while minimizing inventory costs is at the heart of JIT .
( source ) If those shipments aren ’ t coming in , then the shelves will be bare in very short order .
People will see the store getting more empty , and this will compel them to buy everything they can get their hands on until there is truly nothing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ goes into more detail .
What do you think ?
Our supply chain is already broken and likely to get much worse as we get closer to the holidays .
If goods are no longer being transported , it would be another nail in the coffin of that supply chain .
I strongly suggest you prepare now for the holidays and continue stocking up as much as possible while you can .
Do you think the trucker strikes will occur in large enough numbers to cause disruptions ?
Do you support the strike @ @ @ @ @ @ @ accomplished if the strike does occur ?
Let ’ s talk about it in the comments .
Daisy Luther is a coffee-swigging , gun-toting blogger who writes about current events , preparedness , frugality , voluntaryism , and the pursuit of liberty on her website , The Organic Prepper .
She is widely republished across alternative media and she curates all the most important news links on her aggregate site , PreppersDailyNews.com .
Daisy is the best-selling author of 4 books and lives in the mountains of Virginia with her two daughters and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ her on Facebook , Pinterest , and Twitter .

by Daisy Luther of The Organic Prepper
Rumor has it that a large number of independent truckers are planning multiple strikes in November during which they’ll stop transporting…well, everything. Considering that our supply chain is already in precariously bad shape, imagine the impact if transport also came to a halt.
Here’s how it’s being organized.
There’s a group on Facebook (for now – we all know how it goes on Facebook) called Stop the Tires Truckers that is organizing the strike. As of the writing of this article, more than 15,000 people had joined the newly formed group.
Here’s their message (and I’m also posting a screenshot in case it gets removed.) Note that they are specifically asking truckers who transport medical supplies not to participate.
Our message is simple and hopefully effective. We fully intend to exercise our rights, and will not have politicians making crippling decisions, that will negatively affect our future and the future of our children.
President Trump has worked diligently for four long years to protect the rights and freedoms of all Americans, and very importantly the blue-collar workers of this country. The blue-collar workers are literally the ones that make the wheels turn! Without truck drivers this country could not survive for long. Our intention is not to harm anyone. We would like to make a point that we do NOT wish for any companies or private truck drivers, supplying any kind of medical supplies and/or services, to participate in our movement.
We will not participate in the leftist, Biden/Harris Green New Deal. We do not support the banning of fracking. The United States of America operates as a capitalistic economy and OIL is the fuel she survives on.
With this being said, we will STOP ALL TIRES for 24 hours on Veterans Day 11/11/20. If this is not effective and our leaders do not respect that blue-collar truck drivers are having to face domestic terrorism, primarily in democrat run cities all over the United States, and that we do not support the banning of fracking in any way, then we will have our second STOP OF TIRES for FOUR full days 11/26/20-11/29/20.
We are calling for all patriots to share this all over the country. We may not last long on Facebook, but please do not be deterred, and continue to share this on any social media or other outlets, that you have available to you.
Thank you & God Bless America (source)
Here’s a Tweet endorsing it.
One website reported on a trucker strike specific to New York State due to working conditions during the pandemic.
They can make all the toilet paper in the world—but what if there’s no one to deliver those rolls to stores? That’s a looming possibility in New York, where more than 100 truck drivers are threatening to strike and shut down supply chains to Whole Foods and Stop & Shop supermarkets in the tri-state area. The drivers say that their employer, the grocery distributor United Natural Foods, better known as UNFI, hasn’t been giving them basic PPE nor have they disinfected their trucks in months. The New York Post says it’s not just TP at stake, but rigs full of organic freezer meals, seltzers, and pasta boxes, among other shelf-stable items. (source)
Truckers are talking about it on Twitter.
While there are few official reports, the buzz on Twitter is that truckers are angry about the outcome of the election and that they intend to show the country the power they wield over our well-being. some of the videos mention November 29th as the day it all happens.
Here are a few examples. (There’s some profanity. And a lot of Purge sirens. You may want to skip the videos if you’re upset by that.)
Listen to this trucker. They are not happy with Biden. There is going to be a trucker strike happening soon, the likes of which we've never seen before. pic.twitter.com/IRHHktyllo — We The People (@UnitedStates) November 8, 2020
Check out Kamron D Anderson's video! #TikTok TRUCKERS GOING ON STRIKE… STOCK IMMEDIATELY .. NO FOOD t.co/QJgJUx76Mc — LINDA A PEREZ (@LINDAAPEREZ4) November 9, 2020
Wow, apparently Truckers are going on strike across the nation in response to the mass voter fraud that occurred in the presidential election. Get Ready! pic.twitter.com/ova28ovJ8g — GULAG INMATE 4886 (@TheMikelCrump) November 7, 2020
To see more, search the hashtag #truckerstrike on Twitter.
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This is not unprecedented.
In 2018, truckers in Brazil went on strike for 10 days and virtually shut down the entire country. Here’s an excerpt from a translated article about the event:
Little by little, Brazil began on Wednesday to recover from the effects caused by the truckers’ strike, which lasted ten days and paralyzed services such as fuel supply and distribution of food and medical supplies, bringing the country to the brink of collapse.
The category stopped on May 21 to demand a reduction in diesel oil prices – which have risen more than 50% in the last 12 months. The main claim was that taxes are levied on fuel, such as PIS-Cofins. They also required fixing a minimum table for freight charges.
During the strike, anti-corruption speeches also joined the banners defended by the movement, which in a few days became expressive and caused impacts to the population, in several segments. Some groups of protesters have come to express support for a military coup.
With trucks stopped, partially blocking the highways, fuels stopped being delivered to various stations and other activities that awaited raw materials and essential products, such as food, also ended up short of supplies. The movement began to lose strength over the weekend, after an agreement between some representatives of the category and the government, and the entry of the Army on the scene to unblock roads and guarantee the supply to the various sectors affected. (source)
Check out the entire article for the timeline of the 10-day strike. The strike is credited with having exposed extensive political corruption shortly before that country’s elections.
As well, in 1973, there was an Independent Trucker Shutdown during the oil crisis.
On December 3, 1973, JW Edwards ran out of gas at 10:00 pm after struggling to make his run amid fuel rationing. This blocked Interstate 80. JW got on his CB radio and eventually, other truckers stopped to help him out. Within an hour the protest had grown to hundreds of semi-trucks. In just a few hours truckers across the country were blocking the nation’s roadways, essentially shutting them down and causing traffic jams 12 miles long. The strike lasted three days but remember that this was in a day and age when 70% of the countries’ goods were hauled by independent truckers. Now there are more companies that own fleets and just hire drivers. That they had the numbers to get the government to listen was a major difference than what is going on now. The protests were largely peaceful except in Ohio when some truckers decided not to comply. The Governor deployed the National Guard and used tear gas. For a while, the peace would last. The dealbreaker came when it was clear that now that government officials had calmed everyone down, they were in no rush to fulfill any of the promises they made. The brief strike did not cause a big enough supply disruption. (source)
Subsequent protests were less peaceful.
Protests started again and this time they took a darker turn. On December 13th and 14th another shutdown occurred but this time a lot of truckers started to harass and even turn to sabotage when other truckers refused to shut down. Tires were slashed, vehicles were shot, and one driver was even stabbed! This was not the end either. As the protests entered 1974 some independent truckers not only shut down, they blocked roads and even started throwing bricks off of overpasses. A resolution came in February 1974 when truckers were granted the right to add 6% fuel surcharges to their bill and they were guaranteed that truck stops would be given fuel priority so that they did not have to compete for rationed fuel supplies. While it is good that truckers gained a voice, it was not without damage. As a result of the shutdown and strikes, 100,000 truckers were laid off, several people died, and the public experienced supply disruptions. (source)
Whether this looming strike is likely to turn ugly or not is anybody’s guess, but the United States hasn’t had a great track record with protests remaining peaceful this year, even if they start out that way.
How will a trucker strike affect us?
In just five days without trucks running in the United States, chaos could erupt due to our “just in time” merchandising.
Most retail stores no longer stock up on food but have a “just in time” ordering system that relies on regular shipments.
Just-In-Time (JIT) inventory refers to an inventory management method whereby the goal is to have inventory readily available to meet demand, without having any excess quantities on hand. With this approach, merchants can hold minimal stock supplies while ensuring stock-outs don’t happen during peak selling periods. Balancing the goals of avoiding stock-outs while minimizing inventory costs is at the heart of JIT. (source)
If those shipments aren’t coming in, then the shelves will be bare in very short order. People will see the store getting more empty, and this will compel them to buy everything they can get their hands on until there is truly nothing left. (source)
This video goes into more detail.
What do you think?
Our supply chain is already broken and likely to get much worse as we get closer to the holidays . If goods are no longer being transported, it would be another nail in the coffin of that supply chain. I strongly suggest you prepare now for the holidays and continue stocking up as much as possible while you can.
Do you think the trucker strikes will occur in large enough numbers to cause disruptions? Do you support the strike? What do you think will be accomplished if the strike does occur?
Let’s talk about it in the comments.
Daisy Luther is a coffee-swigging, gun-toting blogger who writes about current events, preparedness, frugality, voluntaryism, and the pursuit of liberty on her website, The Organic Prepper. She is widely republished across alternative media and she curates all the most important news links on her aggregate site, PreppersDailyNews.com. Daisy is the best-selling author of 4 books and lives in the mountains of Virginia with her two daughters and an ever-growing menagerie. You can find her on Facebook, Pinterest, and Twitter.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--AOC pushes bill to introduce government banks across the US

Are you ready for this week ’ s absurdity ?
Here ’ s our roll-up of the most ridiculous stories from around the world that are threats to your liberty , risks to your prosperity… and on occasion , inspiring poetic justice .
Woman in labor wouldn ’ t go to hospital until she voted Last week when a woman went into labor , she had just one thing on her mind .
It wasn ’ t the safety of her child , or even herself .
Instead , her top priority was , “ I need to vote !
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ be able to vote after giving birth , she had her husband stop off at an early voting center on the way to the hospital .
She cast her ballot amid controlled intentional breathing to ease the pain of contractions .
The media acted like this was a cute , feel good story about the importance of voting .
In reality , it shows what you might call election derangement syndrome .
In what world is voting more important than receiving the most prompt medical attention to ensure you and your unborn baby @ @ @ @ @ @ @ here to read the full story .
After a Kentucky State Police officer shot and killed a suspect , a lawyer filed an open records request .
Amid the documents was included a training presentation for new cadets of the Kentucky State Police .
The slideshow entitled “ The Warrior ’ s Mindset ” encouraged trainees to maintain “ a mindset void of emotion ” and become a “ ruthless killer.
” The slideshow also quoted Adolf Hitler… three times .
That made Hitler the most quoted man in the presentation .
One @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ the very first essential for success is a perpetually constant and regular employment of violence.
” And one of the closing slides of the presentation states without explanation , “ Über Alles.
” “ Deutschland , Deutschland über alles , ” means “ Germany , Germany above everything , ” and is part of a verse of the national anthem closely associated with the Nazis .
Click here to read the full story .
Because of COVID lockdowns in Scotland , a man named Brian Smith was not allowed to attend his @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , he sent a series of angry emails to the leader of the Scottish National Party , Nicola Sturgeon , who was responsible for the strict rules .
One of the profanity laced emails included images of Sturgeon depicted as a Nazi .
For that , Smith was charged with “ telecommunications offences ” which typically involve threats and abuse… even though there were no threats made .
Click here to read the full story .
Hate crimes and public order bill would ban free speech in scots ’ own homes Clearly it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ already dead , but the government is just getting started .
In August we talked about a Scottish Hate Crime Bill that would outlaw “ stirring up hatred.
” The bill includes language that wouldn ’ t just make it illegal to use hate speech ( in whatever way the government chooses to define this in its sole discretion ) .
It would also make it illegal to use hate speech in a theatrical performance , or to possess “ inflammatory material ” which could “ stir up hatred ” .
So basically @ @ @ @ @ @ @ wants , from “ To Kill a Mockingbird ” to the Bible .
But just a few days ago , Scottish Justice Secretary Humza Yousaf whined that the legislation doesn ’ t go far enough .
He testified that it should extend into the home and regulate what people say in private .
This could make it illegal to make crude jokes , teach your children about biological gender , or even indicate your personal preference for one religion over another .
Click here to read the full story .
AOC pushes bill @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Everyone ’ s favorite Bolshevik member of Congress , Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez , has co-sponsored a bill called the Public Banking Act .
It would create federally-funded , government-owned banks across the nation , to hand out loans at low interest rates to the “ unbanked and underbanked.
” But cities and states on the verge of insolvency could also take advantage of the easy taxpayer-funded loans provided by these banks .
Since many of these governments shot themselves in the foot with COVID-19 lockdowns , tax revenue is down .
This would allow @ @ @ @ @ @ @ go further into debt to run basic operations , with little hope of ever paying the loans back .
Sounds like another enormous debt bubble of bad loans to people and businesses unable to pay them back , with no collateral .
What could possibly go wrong ?
Click here to read the full story .
On another note… We think gold could DOUBLE and silver could increase by up to 5 TIMES in the next few years .
That ’ s why we published a new , 50-page long Ultimate Guide on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ here .

by Simon Black of Sovereign Man
Are you ready for this week’s absurdity? Here’s our roll-up of the most ridiculous stories from around the world that are threats to your liberty, risks to your prosperity… and on occasion, inspiring poetic justice.
Woman in labor wouldn’t go to hospital until she voted
Last week when a woman went into labor, she had just one thing on her mind. It wasn’t the safety of her child, or even herself. Instead, her top priority was, “I need to vote!”
Concerned that she wouldn’t be able to vote after giving birth, she had her husband stop off at an early voting center on the way to the hospital.
She cast her ballot amid controlled intentional breathing to ease the pain of contractions.
The media acted like this was a cute, feel good story about the importance of voting.
In reality, it shows what you might call election derangement syndrome.
In what world is voting more important than receiving the most prompt medical attention to ensure you and your unborn baby are as healthy as possible?
Click here to read the full story.
Kentucky state police train to be “ruthless killers”
After a Kentucky State Police officer shot and killed a suspect, a lawyer filed an open records request.
Amid the documents was included a training presentation for new cadets of the Kentucky State Police.
The slideshow entitled “The Warrior’s Mindset” encouraged trainees to maintain “a mindset void of emotion” and become a “ruthless killer.”
The slideshow also quoted Adolf Hitler… three times. That made Hitler the most quoted man in the presentation.
One quote taken from Mein Kampf stated, “the very first essential for success is a perpetually constant and regular employment of violence.”
And one of the closing slides of the presentation states without explanation, “Über Alles.”
“Deutschland, Deutschland über alles,” means “Germany, Germany above everything,” and is part of a verse of the national anthem closely associated with the Nazis.
Click here to read the full story.
Scottish man arrested for calling politician a nazi
Because of COVID lockdowns in Scotland, a man named Brian Smith was not allowed to attend his uncle’s funeral.
In reaction, he sent a series of angry emails to the leader of the Scottish National Party, Nicola Sturgeon, who was responsible for the strict rules.
One of the profanity laced emails included images of Sturgeon depicted as a Nazi.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
For that, Smith was charged with “telecommunications offences” which typically involve threats and abuse… even though there were no threats made.
Click here to read the full story.
Hate crimes and public order bill would ban free speech in scots’ own homes
Clearly it appears that free speech in Scotland is already dead, but the government is just getting started.
In August we talked about a Scottish Hate Crime Bill that would outlaw “stirring up hatred.”
The bill includes language that wouldn’t just make it illegal to use hate speech (in whatever way the government chooses to define this in its sole discretion).
It would also make it illegal to use hate speech in a theatrical performance, or to possess “inflammatory material” which could “stir up hatred”.
So basically the government could ban any book it wants, from “To Kill a Mockingbird” to the Bible.
But just a few days ago, Scottish Justice Secretary Humza Yousaf whined that the legislation doesn’t go far enough.
He testified that it should extend into the home and regulate what people say in private.
This could make it illegal to make crude jokes, teach your children about biological gender, or even indicate your personal preference for one religion over another.
Click here to read the full story.
AOC pushes bill to introduce government banks across the US
Everyone’s favorite Bolshevik member of Congress, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, has co-sponsored a bill called the Public Banking Act.
It would create federally-funded, government-owned banks across the nation, to hand out loans at low interest rates to the “unbanked and underbanked.”
But cities and states on the verge of insolvency could also take advantage of the easy taxpayer-funded loans provided by these banks.
Since many of these governments shot themselves in the foot with COVID-19 lockdowns, tax revenue is down.
This would allow them to continue irresponsible spending, and go further into debt to run basic operations, with little hope of ever paying the loans back.
Sounds like another enormous debt bubble of bad loans to people and businesses unable to pay them back, with no collateral.
What could possibly go wrong?
Click here to read the full story.
On another note… We think gold could DOUBLE and silver could increase by up to 5 TIMES in the next few years.
That’s why we published a new, 50-page long Ultimate Guide on Gold & Silver that you can download here.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--Investors Ignore Evidence At Their Financial Peril

Some of my favorite movies are when a group of investigators tracks down “ wrong-doers.
” At first , they have only a few clues that are disparate and have little context .
However , as the movie progresses , the clues coalesce into a meaningful outcome of catching the villain .
In the financial markets , our job as investors is much the same .
However , at the peak of bull market cycles , investors begin to ignore evidence at their financial peril .
Let ’ s take a look at the clues which may be more meaningful @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have touched on the impact of valuations and forward returns .
Currently , these fundamental concerns remain devoid of attention by investors chasing short-term performance .
Despite the March selloff , record numbers of unemployed , and a deep recession , the markets remain near all-time highs .
As shown in the chart below , the S & P 500 is trading in the upper 90 % of its historical valuation levels .
However , it is not just the basic fundamental measures of the market .
As noted by the WSJ , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
To wit : There are two crucial points to take away from the data .
• There are several periods throughout history , where market returns were not only low but negative .
( Given that most people only have 20-30 functional years to save for retirement , 20 years of low returns can devastate plans . )
• Periods of low returns follow periods of excessive market valuations and encompass the majority of negative return years .
( Read more about this chart here ) While valuations are often dismissed in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ immediate impact on price returns .
By their very nature , valuations are HORRIBLE predictors of 12-month returns .
As such , one should never focus solely on valuations in an investment strategy .
However , over the long term , valuations are strong predictors of expected returns .
The conclusion from the WSJ is the critical “ clue ” we “ investigative investors ” should consider : What we know is that stock returns in a decade will most likely be lower than the last .
We don ’ t know if @ @ @ @ @ @ @ these indicators tell us the market ’ s path along the way .
As the WSJ concludes : Clue 2 : Detachment Of Market From The Economy As noted above , the detachment of the current economy from the stock market is not sustainable .
Such has led to a steady chant by the “ bullish ” crowd that “ the stock market is not the economy.
” While such is indeed a true statement , what it obfuscates is that the revenue , and earnings , of the corporations which comprise the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The economy , earnings , and asset prices over time are highly correlated , as shown by the chart below .
Since 1947 , earnings per share have grown at 6.21 % annually , while the economy expanded by 6.47 % annually .
That close relationship in growth rates should be logical , particularly given the significant role consumer spending has in the GDP equation .
The chart below shows the correlation between the two .
The current “ negative correlation ” is quite an anomaly given that corporate earnings come from economic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ due to the massive amount of Federal Reserve interventions in the financial markets .
Currently , the Fed owns the most considerable amount of the Treasury Bond market in history .
Speaking of earnings .
One of the primary themes used by the “ Permabulls ” is that “ valuations are cheap due to low-interest rates.
” That argument has been the clarion call of a generation of investors who have ignored fundamentals and valuations to chase market returns .
Since 2019 , when earnings growth began to deteriorate in earnest , investors @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the primary driver of returns , as shown below , has come from “ multiple expansion.
” The “ hope ” remains that earnings growth will eventually catch up with valuations .
However , despite being 3/4ths of the way through 2020 , the outlook for earnings continues to deteriorate .
In just the last 15-days , the estimates for 2021 have declined by almost $ 7 per share despite a recovering economy ’ s repeated statements .
There are two problems with the thesis that “ low rates justify high valuations.
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been the case ; and , • When rates rise , valuations quickly become an issue .
However , since stock prices reflect economic growth , the impact of rising rates on the economy is a far more significant issue .
Here is an interesting point .
In other words , bubbles can exist even at times when valuations and fundamentals might argue otherwise .
Let me show you an elementary example of what I mean .
The chart below is the long-term valuation of the S & P 500 going back to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 1929 , 2000 , and 2007 , every other major market crash occurred with valuations at levels LOWER than they are currently .
Currently , investors believe that asset prices will not be allowed to meaningfully correct due to the “ Fed put , ” which has provided investors with “ insurance ” against taking “ risk.
” The assumption of “ insurance , ” which is effectively a “ moral hazard ” created by the Federal Reserve , leads to many behavioral consequences for investors .
The biggest of these problems for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and “ loss aversion.
” These two behaviors tend to function together , compounding the issues of investor mistakes over time .
As markets are rising , individuals believe that the current price trend will continue to last for an indefinite period .
The longer the rising trend lasts , the more ingrained the belief becomes until the last of “ holdouts ” finally “ buys in ” as the financial markets evolve into a “ euphoric state.
” As the markets decline , there is a slow realization that “ this decline @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the dip ” opportunity .
As losses mount , the anxiety of loss begins to mount until individuals seek to “ avert further loss ” by selling .
Such is the basis on which the “ Buy High / Sell Low ” syndrome forms plaguing investors over the long-term .
However , by understanding what drives market returns over the long term , you can understand the impact the market has on psychology and investor behavior .
It is likely that in a world where there is virtually “ no fear ” of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of “ urgency ” to be invested , and a continual drone of “ bullish chatter , ” the markets are poised for the unexpected , unanticipated , and inevitable event .
The disconnect between the stock market and real economic growth can undoubtedly continue for now .
Exuberance and confidence are at the highest levels on record .
Still , the underlying stories are beginning to weave a tale of an economy that is very late in the current cycle .
Importantly , these are not short-term stories either .
The long-term @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the three most significant factors ( Debt , Deflation , and Demographics ) continues to build .
These factors will continue to weigh on economic growth and market returns during the next generation .
Furthermore , the baby boomers generation will shift from supporters to dependents of the financial and welfare system .
Let me conclude with this quote from Vitaliy Katsenelson , which sums up our investing view : “ Our goal is to win a war , and to do that we may need to lose a few battles in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to make money , but it is even more important not to lose it .
If the market continues to mount even higher , we will likely lag behind .
The stocks we own will become fully valued , and we ’ ll sell them .
If our cash balances continue to rise , then they will .
We will not sacrifice our standards and thus let our portfolio be a byproduct of forced or irrational decisions .
We are willing to lose a few battles , but those losses will be necessary @ @ @ @ @ @ @ market is an impossible endeavor .
We don ’ t know anyone who has done it successfully on a consistent and repeated basis .
In the short run , stock market movements are completely random – as random as you ’ re trying to guess the next card at the blackjack table.
” As an investor , it is essential to pay attention to the clues and the evidence ’ s weight .
The success , or failure , of catching the end of the current bull market and the economic cycle will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ goals .

by Lance Roberts
Some of my favorite movies are when a group of investigators tracks down “wrong-doers.” At first, they have only a few clues that are disparate and have little context. However, as the movie progresses, the clues coalesce into a meaningful outcome of catching the villain. In the financial markets, our job as investors is much the same. However, at the peak of bull market cycles, investors begin to ignore evidence at their financial peril.
Note: This report is a primer for next week’s article on “The Importance Of Market Cap To GDP.”
Let’s take a look at the clues which may be more meaningful than individuals are currently assuming.
Clue 1: Valuations Expensive On Every Level
“Market bubbles have NOTHING to do with valuations or fundamentals.”
I have touched on the impact of valuations and forward returns. Currently, these fundamental concerns remain devoid of attention by investors chasing short-term performance. Despite the March selloff, record numbers of unemployed, and a deep recession, the markets remain near all-time highs.
“We are in a crisis, the worst crisis in my lifetime since the Second World War. I would describe it as a revolutionary moment when the range of possibilities is much greater than in normal times. What is inconceivable in normal times becomes not only possible but actually happens. People are disoriented and scared. They do things that are bad for them and for the world.”- George Soros
As shown in the chart below, the S&P 500 is trading in the upper 90% of its historical valuation levels.
However, it is not just the basic fundamental measures of the market. As noted by the WSJ, valuations are expensive by almost every measure. To wit:
“To illustrate the bearish story told, consider the projected 10-year returns to which these indicators’ current levels translate. The most bearish projection was the S&P 500 would produce a 10-year total return of 3.9 percentage points annualized below inflation. The most bullish was 3.6 points above inflation. Even the bullish end of that range is more than 3 annualized percentage points below the stock market’s inflation-adjusted return over the past 200 years.”
Low Returns Or Worse
There are two crucial points to take away from the data.
There are several periods throughout history, where market returns were not only low but negative. (Given that most people only have 20-30 functional years to save for retirement, 20 years of low returns can devastate plans.) Periods of low returns follow periods of excessive market valuations and encompass the majority of negative return years. (Read more about this chart here)
While valuations are often dismissed in the short-term because there is not an immediate impact on price returns. By their very nature, valuations are HORRIBLE predictors of 12-month returns. As such, one should never focus solely on valuations in an investment strategy. However, over the long term, valuations are strong predictors of expected returns.
The conclusion from the WSJ is the critical “clue” we “investigative investors” should consider:
“Ben Inker, head of the asset-allocation team at GMO, draws an analogy to a leaf in a hurricane: ‘You have no idea where the leaf will be a minute or an hour from now. But eventually gravity will win out, and it will land on the ground.’”
What we know is that stock returns in a decade will most likely be lower than the last. We don’t know if stocks will be lower; none of these indicators tell us the market’s path along the way. As the WSJ concludes:
“It might immediately head south from here, or it could enter a blowoff phase of sharply higher prices before succumbing to a severe bear market.”
Clue 2: Detachment Of Market From The Economy
As noted above, the detachment of the current economy from the stock market is not sustainable. Such has led to a steady chant by the “bullish” crowd that “the stock market is not the economy.” While such is indeed a true statement, what it obfuscates is that the revenue, and earnings, of the corporations which comprise the market, come from economic activity.
The economy, earnings, and asset prices over time are highly correlated, as shown by the chart below.
Since 1947, earnings per share have grown at 6.21% annually, while the economy expanded by 6.47% annually. That close relationship in growth rates should be logical, particularly given the significant role consumer spending has in the GDP equation.
The chart below shows the correlation between the two.
The current “negative correlation” is quite an anomaly given that corporate earnings come from economic activity. However, that relationship broke due to the massive amount of Federal Reserve interventions in the financial markets. Currently, the Fed owns the most considerable amount of the Treasury Bond market in history.
Clue 3: Earnings Decline
Speaking of earnings. One of the primary themes used by the “Permabulls” is that “valuations are cheap due to low-interest rates.” That argument has been the clarion call of a generation of investors who have ignored fundamentals and valuations to chase market returns.
Since 2019, when earnings growth began to deteriorate in earnest, investors bid up shares. As such, the primary driver of returns, as shown below, has come from “multiple expansion.”
Earnings Getting Weaker
The “hope” remains that earnings growth will eventually catch up with valuations. However, despite being 3/4ths of the way through 2020, the outlook for earnings continues to deteriorate. In just the last 15-days, the estimates for 2021 have declined by almost $7 per share despite a recovering economy’s repeated statements.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
There are two problems with the thesis that “low rates justify high valuations.”
Historically, such has not ever been the case; and, When rates rise, valuations quickly become an issue.
However, since stock prices reflect economic growth, the impact of rising rates on the economy is a far more significant issue.
Clue 4: The “Fed Put”
“Actually, one of the dangers is that people could be throwing risk to the wind and this [market] could be a runaway. We sometimes call that a melt-up and produces prices too high and then if there’s a shock, you come down to Earth and that could impact sentiment. I think this market is fully valued and not undervalued, but I don’t think it’s overvalued,” – Jeremy Siegel
Here is an interesting point.
“Market bubbles have NOTHING to do with valuations or fundamentals.”
In other words, bubbles can exist even at times when valuations and fundamentals might argue otherwise. Let me show you an elementary example of what I mean. The chart below is the long-term valuation of the S&P 500 going back to 1871.
Notice that except for only 1929, 2000, and 2007, every other major market crash occurred with valuations at levels LOWER than they are currently.
Currently, investors believe that asset prices will not be allowed to meaningfully correct due to the “Fed put,” which has provided investors with “insurance” against taking “risk.”
The assumption of “insurance,” which is effectively a “moral hazard” created by the Federal Reserve, leads to many behavioral consequences for investors.
Psychological Problem
The biggest of these problems for individuals is the “herding effect” and “loss aversion.”
These two behaviors tend to function together, compounding the issues of investor mistakes over time. As markets are rising, individuals believe that the current price trend will continue to last for an indefinite period. The longer the rising trend lasts, the more ingrained the belief becomes until the last of “holdouts” finally “buys in” as the financial markets evolve into a “euphoric state.”
As the markets decline, there is a slow realization that “this decline” is more than a “buy the dip” opportunity. As losses mount, the anxiety of loss begins to mount until individuals seek to “avert further loss” by selling.
Such is the basis on which the “Buy High / Sell Low” syndrome forms plaguing investors over the long-term.
However, by understanding what drives market returns over the long term, you can understand the impact the market has on psychology and investor behavior.
It is likely that in a world where there is virtually “no fear” of a market correction, an overwhelming sense of “urgency” to be invested, and a continual drone of “bullish chatter,” the markets are poised for the unexpected, unanticipated, and inevitable event.
Caught In “No Man’s Land”
The disconnect between the stock market and real economic growth can undoubtedly continue for now. Exuberance and confidence are at the highest levels on record. Still, the underlying stories are beginning to weave a tale of an economy that is very late in the current cycle.
Importantly, these are not short-term stories either. The long-term picture for the economy and the markets from the three most significant factors (Debt, Deflation, and Demographics) continues to build. These factors will continue to weigh on economic growth and market returns during the next generation. Furthermore, the baby boomers generation will shift from supporters to dependents of the financial and welfare system.
Winning The War
Let me conclude with this quote from Vitaliy Katsenelson, which sums up our investing view:
“Our goal is to win a war, and to do that we may need to lose a few battles in the interim. Yes, we want to make money, but it is even more important not to lose it. If the market continues to mount even higher, we will likely lag behind. The stocks we own will become fully valued, and we’ll sell them. If our cash balances continue to rise, then they will. We will not sacrifice our standards and thus let our portfolio be a byproduct of forced or irrational decisions. We are willing to lose a few battles, but those losses will be necessary to win the war. Timing the market is an impossible endeavor. We don’t know anyone who has done it successfully on a consistent and repeated basis. In the short run, stock market movements are completely random – as random as you’re trying to guess the next card at the blackjack table.”
As an investor, it is essential to pay attention to the clues and the evidence’s weight. The success, or failure, of catching the end of the current bull market and the economic cycle will have important implications for your long-term financial goals.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--Biden crowned by media acclaim

Biden crowned by media acclaim

Official : the Media College has replaced the Electoral College According to the world ’ s mainstream media , Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America .
I ’ ll just run that past you again : According to the world ’ s mainstream media , Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America .
It took one States attorney general of proven anti-Trump bias and left wing nutjob ideology , plus two lower Court judges in Michigan and Pennsylvania , to start the ball rolling….at which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and Wapo declared Mr Biden officially elected…after which , a media landslide in his favour ensured the White House was his at last .
The reality of Trump being unfit for office was finally proven as the MSM reported that he was on the golf course when they declared him not the President any more .
We should hardly be surprised by this .
The same media set declared Covid19 to be a deadly global plague , the Skripals to have been poisoned by a deadly Russian germ , the Brexit decision to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the 2008 crisis to be the end of the World unless the banks were bailed out , and Europe to be at the mercy of Saddam ’ s WOMD unless Iraq was subjected to Shokanorr .
Now either the media are the real , secret brotherhood sovereignty Elders of Mammon in every nation State , or there ’ s a spooky connection here that ’ s sort of parallel to Einstein ’ s spinning electrons at a distance .
While Albrecht ’ s electrons were technically billions of light years apart , he @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the other responded at the same time in the same way .
Thus , if you prod Hillary Clinton , the political editor of the New York Times goes “ Ouch how dare you and maybe we ’ ll take you out with a drone ” .
The twist is , Einstein was showing that space is an illusion : the two electrons are really one .
When Guy Verhofstadt calls Viktor Orban a Nazi , The Guardian runs a feature article at that moment in not realtime declaring Viktor Orban to be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about having irrefutable proof that Novichok is only available in Russia , the Daily Express runs with ‘ Johnson confirms Moscow reponsibility for Novichok attack ’ .
The mass media are now inseparable from the loose alliance that runs from Texas oil and the Pentagon all the way through to ID politics and Antifa via the Democratic Party – and on into the CIA , the FBI and the Judiciary before finally liaising with the neocon State Department and Davos-sur-Soros .
They are all the same thing .
Since the dark days of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ undeniable fact – made all the more vivid by the rise and rise of “ social ” media .
The only difference between social and “ news ” media is that in the former case , only the formation of on-message opinions is allowed ; whereas in the latter case , only the expression of contrary opinions is banned .
They ’ re a perfect interlocking T-joint of wooden-minded censorship .
The beneficiaries of this ethics-laundering Establishment protection racket are the politicians who claim to be guardians of The People , but who @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I may employ the latest goose-step media wording here ) “ without any evidence to back it up ” .
Biden ’ s opening statements as “ President ” so far suggest he might be a new species , the Duckbilled Platitudinous .
“ I come to heal , not to condemn….it is time to unify , not divide….it is time to lower the temperature…I am humbled by the trust and confidence you have placed in me….I don ’ t see Red and Blue states , but a United States….It ’ s time @ @ @ @ @ @ @ stop treating our opponents as our enemy.
” Tell that to Antifa and BLM , Joe .
Tell that to the hegemonist neocon military .
Tell that to the monopoly financialisers and ideologues driving the USA into a country of lost jobs , artificial intelligence and divisive gay , straight , transgender , white , latino , Asian or Afro-American politics .
Tell it to your Vice-President .
It is at times like this when we so badly need somebody with the profile and comedic emotional intelligence of George Carlin .
But the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Sleepy Joe ’ s banal vapours don ’ t stand a chance of healing an affliction that exists far beyond the borders of his country .
It is the curse of our age : the ideology that denies the empirical – and the appeasement of the mediaeval catechismic Inquisitors who would transmute reality into superstition as a means of turning common good governance into naked privileged power .
Someone somewhere in the US ruling class needs to stand up and be counted .
To say – for example – “ Did Barack Obama @ @ @ @ @ @ @ just for show ?
” Or even more directly , “ What ’ s the point of having apolitical protection of democracy if just one cultural Marxist can dismiss suspicion as “ frivolous ” ?
We must see what tomorrow brings .
One source close to the Supreme Court averrs tonight that it “ will not want to touch this with a ten-foot pole ” .
Nevetheless , that is their job .

by John Ward
Official: the Media College has replaced the Electoral College
According to the world’s mainstream media, Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America.
I’ll just run that past you again:
According to the world’s mainstream media, Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America.
It took one States attorney general of proven anti-Trump bias and left wing nutjob ideology, plus two lower Court judges in Michigan and Pennsylvania, to start the ball rolling….at which point CNN, CNBC, the NYT and Wapo declared Mr Biden officially elected…after which, a media landslide in his favour ensured the White House was his at last.
The reality of Trump being unfit for office was finally proven as the MSM reported that he was on the golf course when they declared him not the President any more.
We should hardly be surprised by this. The same media set declared Covid19 to be a deadly global plague, the Skripals to have been poisoned by a deadly Russian germ, the Brexit decision to be a disaster waiting to happen, the 2008 crisis to be the end of the World unless the banks were bailed out, and Europe to be at the mercy of Saddam’s WOMD unless Iraq was subjected to Shokanorr.
Now either the media are the real, secret brotherhood sovereignty Elders of Mammon in every nation State, or there’s a spooky connection here that’s sort of parallel to Einstein’s spinning electrons at a distance. While Albrecht’s electrons were technically billions of light years apart, he showed that if you prodded one, the other responded at the same time in the same way.
Thus, if you prod Hillary Clinton, the political editor of the New York Times goes “Ouch how dare you and maybe we’ll take you out with a drone”.
The twist is, Einstein was showing that space is an illusion: the two electrons are really one. When Guy Verhofstadt calls Viktor Orban a Nazi, The Guardian runs a feature article at that moment in not realtime declaring Viktor Orban to be a Nazi. When Boris Johnson lies about having irrefutable proof that Novichok is only available in Russia, the Daily Express runs with ‘Johnson confirms Moscow reponsibility for Novichok attack’.
The mass media are now inseparable from the loose alliance that runs from Texas oil and the Pentagon all the way through to ID politics and Antifa via the Democratic Party – and on into the CIA, the FBI and the Judiciary before finally liaising with the neocon State Department and Davos-sur-Soros.
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They are all the same thing. Since the dark days of Dubya, it’s been an undeniable fact – made all the more vivid by the rise and rise of “social” media. The only difference between social and “news” media is that in the former case, only the formation of on-message opinions is allowed; whereas in the latter case, only the expression of contrary opinions is banned. They’re a perfect interlocking T-joint of wooden-minded censorship.
The beneficiaries of this ethics-laundering Establishment protection racket are the politicians who claim to be guardians of The People, but who insist that is their metier (if I may employ the latest goose-step media wording here) “without any evidence to back it up”.
Biden’s opening statements as “President” so far suggest he might be a new species, the Duckbilled Platitudinous. “I come to heal, not to condemn….it is time to unify, not divide….it is time to lower the temperature…I am humbled by the trust and confidence you have placed in me….I don’t see Red and Blue states, but a United States….It’s time to put away the harsh rhetoric….we must stop treating our opponents as our enemy.”
Tell that to Antifa and BLM, Joe. Tell that to the hegemonist neocon military. Tell that to the monopoly financialisers and ideologues driving the USA into a country of lost jobs, artificial intelligence and divisive gay, straight, transgender, white, latino, Asian or Afro-American politics.
Tell it to your Vice-President.
It is at times like this when we so badly need somebody with the profile and comedic emotional intelligence of George Carlin. But the Last Great American is no more.
Sleepy Joe’s banal vapours don’t stand a chance of healing an affliction that exists far beyond the borders of his country. It is the curse of our age: the ideology that denies the empirical – and the appeasement of the mediaeval catechismic Inquisitors who would transmute reality into superstition as a means of turning common good governance into naked privileged power.
Someone somewhere in the US ruling class needs to stand up and be counted. To say – for example – “Did Barack Obama introduce hitech ways of spotting election fraud just for show?” Or even more directly, “What’s the point of having apolitical protection of democracy if just one cultural Marxist can dismiss suspicion as “frivolous”?
We must see what tomorrow brings. One source close to the Supreme Court averrs tonight that it “will not want to touch this with a ten-foot pole”.
Nevetheless, that is their job.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--How China Is Racing To Expand Its Global Energy Influence

The global geopolitical power map is changing .
While oil has been king of the world for centuries , it ’ s becoming irrefutably clear that the once invincible resource and bestower of geopolitical might will soon be singing its swan song .
As the world continues a trajectory toward clean energy transition on the eve of catastrophic climate change , the concept of peak oil has become an increasingly common refrain in headlines .
Of course , the world didn ’ t always run on oil , and the geopolitical power map has been in near-constant flux since the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ once held enormous power in international relations thanks to the region ’ s massive oil deposits , in recent years the United States upset political power structures around the world with a flood of cheap shale oil and gas flowing out of the West Texas Permian Basin .
The United States ’ shale revolution “ redrew the global political map ” by unseating OPEC at the helm of the world energy market and handing that power over to the “ Big Three ” : the United States , Russia , and Saudi Arabia @ @ @ @ @ @ @ any attention at all to the headlines coming out of the Permian Basin in recent years , and especially in recent months , you ’ ll know that it ’ s grim business .
The once-mighty U.S. shale revolution has been pronounced dead countless times now by a huge variety of news outlets as domestic production has waned over the last few years and received what seems to be its coup de grace from the COVID-19 pandemic , which caused the West Texas Intermediate crude benchmark to plummet to nearly $ 40 below @ @ @ @ @ @ @ losing its foothold in global oil and energy markets , the geopolitical maps will once again have to be redrawn , and this time it looks like China could come out on top .
Under Xi Jinping , China has made huge inroads into global power markets , in large part thanks to Beijing ’ s assertive Belt and Road Initiative announced in 2013 .
This global infrastructure development program involves Chinese investment in around 70 countries and international organizations .
Energy has played a huge part in China ’ s ambitious entry @ @ @ @ @ @ @ very vocal about the country ’ s lofty ambition to become carbon-neutral by 2060 , and has invested heavily into growing its nuclear and renewable energy sectors as part of that plan .
While Beijing ’ s rhetoric has been largely framed around environmental consciousness , decarbonization , and clean energy , however , it ’ s been speculated that this initiative has much more to do with Chinese energy security than anything else .
Indeed , as China ’ s homegrown energy sector is working to become less carbon-intensive , China ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ BRI ) poses a direct threat to meeting global climate change and greenhouse gas emissions goals .
According to Yale Environment 360 , “ BRI has the potential to transform economies in China ’ s partner countries .
Yet it could also tip the world into catastrophic climate change.
” the RBI initiative can be seen as a workaround for China to continue to talk the talk about cleaning up its emissions act while getting rich off of dirtying the air in other countries .
“ While China has imposed a cap on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and energy companies are on a building spree overseas , ” Yale Environment went on to report .
According to some , BRI also means that we could be headed into an “ energy export battle with China ” as the United States struggles to retain its market sector for shale exports and China ramps up its own infrastructure both at home and overseas .
While China ’ s massive appetite for energy has made the country largely reliant on imports , Xi Jinping ’ s ambitious plans clearly intend to change that @

By Haley Zaremba
The global geopolitical power map is changing. While oil has been king of the world for centuries, it’s becoming irrefutably clear that the once invincible resource and bestower of geopolitical might will soon be singing its swan song. As the world continues a trajectory toward clean energy transition on the eve of catastrophic climate change, the concept of peak oil has become an increasingly common refrain in headlines.
Of course, the world didn’t always run on oil, and the geopolitical power map has been in near-constant flux since the Industrial Revolution. While the Middle East once held enormous power in international relations thanks to the region’s massive oil deposits, in recent years the United States upset political power structures around the world with a flood of cheap shale oil and gas flowing out of the West Texas Permian Basin. The United States’ shale revolution “redrew the global political map” by unseating OPEC at the helm of the world energy market and handing that power over to the “Big Three”: the United States, Russia, and Saudi Arabia. If you’ve been paying any attention at all to the headlines coming out of the Permian Basin in recent years, and especially in recent months, you’ll know that it’s grim business. The once-mighty U.S. shale revolution has been pronounced dead countless times now by a huge variety of news outlets as domestic production has waned over the last few years and received what seems to be its coup de grace from the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused the West Texas Intermediate crude benchmark to plummet to nearly $40 below zero in April.
With the U.S. losing its foothold in global oil and energy markets, the geopolitical maps will once again have to be redrawn, and this time it looks like China could come out on top. Under Xi Jinping, China has made huge inroads into global power markets, in large part thanks to Beijing’s assertive Belt and Road Initiative announced in 2013. This global infrastructure development program involves Chinese investment in around 70 countries and international organizations.
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Energy has played a huge part in China’s ambitious entry into global markets. Beijing has been very vocal about the country’s lofty ambition to become carbon-neutral by 2060, and has invested heavily into growing its nuclear and renewable energy sectors as part of that plan. While Beijing’s rhetoric has been largely framed around environmental consciousness, decarbonization, and clean energy, however, it’s been speculated that this initiative has much more to do with Chinese energy security than anything else.
Indeed, as China’s homegrown energy sector is working to become less carbon-intensive, China’s overseas Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) poses a direct threat to meeting global climate change and greenhouse gas emissions goals. According to Yale Environment 360, “BRI has the potential to transform economies in China’s partner countries. Yet it could also tip the world into catastrophic climate change.” the RBI initiative can be seen as a workaround for China to continue to talk the talk about cleaning up its emissions act while getting rich off of dirtying the air in other countries. “While China has imposed a cap on coal consumption at home, its coal and energy companies are on a building spree overseas,” Yale Environment went on to report.
According to some, BRI also means that we could be headed into an “energy export battle with China” as the United States struggles to retain its market sector for shale exports and China ramps up its own infrastructure both at home and overseas. While China’s massive appetite for energy has made the country largely reliant on imports, Xi Jinping’s ambitious plans clearly intend to change that.
By Haley Zaremba for Oilprice.com


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--Guess who were the lawyers for Bush team in Bush VS Gore ?? (2 of them are now on SCOTUS)

In December 2000 , Kavanaugh joined the legal team of George W. Bush , which was trying to stop the ballot recount in Florida .
[ 58 ] After Bush became president in January 2001 , Kavanaugh was hired as an associate by the White House Counsel , Alberto Gonzales .
[ 41 ] There , Kavanaugh worked on the Enron scandal , the successful nomination of Chief Justice John Roberts , and the unsuccessful nomination of Miguel Estrada .
[ 41 ] Starting in July 2003 , he served as Assistant to the President and White House staff secretary @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
[ 59 ] In that position he was responsible for coordinating all documents going to and from the president .
From 1999 to 2002 , Barrett practiced law at Miller , Cassidy , Larroca & Lewin , a boutique law firm for litigation in Washington , D.C. , that merged with the Houston , Texas-based law firm Baker Botts in 2001 .
[ 27 ] [ 29 ] While at Baker Botts , she worked on Bush v. Gore , the lawsuit that grew out of the 2000 United States presidential election @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the firm ’ s representation of George W .
Bush .
[ 30 ] [ 31 ]

Bush’s defense team was:
– Neil Gorsuch
– Brett Kavanaugh
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brett_Kavanaugh
In December 2000, Kavanaugh joined the legal team of George W. Bush, which was trying to stop the ballot recount in Florida.[58] After Bush became president in January 2001, Kavanaugh was hired as an associate by the White House Counsel, Alberto Gonzales.[41] There, Kavanaugh worked on the Enron scandal, the successful nomination of Chief Justice John Roberts, and the unsuccessful nomination of Miguel Estrada.[41] Starting in July 2003, he served as Assistant to the President and White House staff secretary,[44] succeeding Harriet Miers.[59] In that position he was responsible for coordinating all documents going to and from the president.
– Amy Coney Barrett
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amy_Coney_Barrett
From 1999 to 2002, Barrett practiced law at Miller, Cassidy, Larroca & Lewin, a boutique law firm for litigation in Washington, D.C., that merged with the Houston, Texas-based law firm Baker Botts in 2001.[27][29] While at Baker Botts, she worked on Bush v. Gore, the lawsuit that grew out of the 2000 United States presidential election, providing research and briefing assistance for the firm’s representation of George W. Bush.[30][31]
h/t JADR


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem on serious election integrity concerns

So many serious election integrity concerns : -Signed affidavits attesting to illegal activity in Pennsylvania and Nevada ; -Computer glitches @ @ @ @ @ in Michigan ; -Dead people voting in Pennsylvania ; -And more .
Let the legal @ @ @ @ @

So many serious election integrity concerns:
-Signed affidavits attesting to illegal activity in Pennsylvania and Nevada;
-Computer glitches flipping Republican votes to Democrats in Michigan;
-Dead people voting in Pennsylvania;
-And more.
Let the legal process play out. pic.twitter.com/a8BAma7HYu
— Governor Kristi Noem (@govkristinoem) November 8, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--CNN & other networks trying to boost Biden’s legitimacy by claiming fireworks in London and church b

CNN & other networks trying to boost Biden’s legitimacy by claiming fireworks in London and church bells in Paris were celebrating a Biden win.  Truth;  It’s Bonfire Night weekend in the UK & the church in Paris released a statement saying the bells had nothing to do with Biden.

CNN & other networks trying to boost Biden 's legitimacy by claiming fireworks in London and church bells in Paris @ @ @ @ @ .
It 's Bonfire Night weekend in the UK & the church in Paris released @ @ @ @ @ had nothing to do with Biden .
pic.twitter.com/Sg4PfSjV1e

CNN & other networks trying to boost Biden's legitimacy by claiming fireworks in London and church bells in Paris were celebrating a Biden win.
Truth;
It's Bonfire Night weekend in the UK & the church in Paris released a statement saying the bells had nothing to do with Biden. pic.twitter.com/Sg4PfSjV1e
— Paul Joseph Watson (@PrisonPlanet) November 8, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--They don’t wasnt to look stupid if it flips.

Strongmen presidents — from Putin to Xi — are silent over the Biden-Harris election victory , as other world leaders @ @ @ @ @ The world ’ s strongman presidents are yet to acknowledge President-elect Joe Biden and Vice @ @ @ @ @ election victory , while other world leaders have sent their regards .
• Leaders including @ @ @ @ @ , Emmanuel Macron , Jacinda Ardern , and Justin Trudeau sent their congratulations over the @ @ @ @ @ as of Monday morning , felicitations from China ’ s Xi Jinping , Russia ’ @ @ @ @ @ North Korea ’ s Kim Jong Un were notably missing .
• A Kremlin spokesman @ @ @ @ @ for Biden , and would wait for the official result , Reuters said .
• @ @ @ @ @ like North Korea and Russia would likely see renewed criticism , and an end to @ @ @ @ @ Donald Trump .
• Trump has still refused to acknowledge his election loss , and @ @ @ @ @ claims of voter fraud .

Strongmen presidents — from Putin to Xi — are silent over the Biden-Harris election victory, as other world leaders rushed to congratulate them
The world’s strongman presidents are yet to acknowledge President-elect Joe Biden and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris’s election victory, while other world leaders have sent their regards.
Leaders including Angela Merkel, Boris Johnson, Emmanuel Macron, Jacinda Ardern, and Justin Trudeau sent their congratulations over the weekend.
However, as of Monday morning, felicitations from China’s Xi Jinping, Russia’s Vladimir Putin, and North Korea’s Kim Jong Un were notably missing.
A Kremlin spokesman said Russia had no congratulations for Biden, and would wait for the official result, Reuters said.
Under a Biden-Harris administration states like North Korea and Russia would likely see renewed criticism, and an end to special treatment dispensed by President Donald Trump.
Trump has still refused to acknowledge his election loss, and has continued to push unsubstantiated claims of voter fraud.
www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/strongmen-presidents-from-putin-to-xi-are-silent-over-the-biden-harris-election-victory-as-other-world-leaders-rushed-to-congratulate-them/ar-BB1aPEJG
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www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/putin-election-result-trump-b1718968.html


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--Joe Biden Gave Bizarre Speech To Several Rows of Empty Jeeps with No Supporters

The Biden crew got their hands on Jeep Gladiators , Jeep Wranglers , Ford Rangers , and Chevy Silverados in @ @ @ @ @ and blue colors before decking them out with Biden-Harris décor .
A spokesperson for FCA @ @ @ @ @ role in the event and added the automaker does not endorse political candidates .

The Biden crew got their hands on Jeep Gladiators, Jeep Wranglers, Ford Rangers, and Chevy Silverados in alternating red, white, and blue colors before decking them out with Biden-Harris décor.
Umm…wtf is going on here?? You can see he’s not live and that he’s clearly at a different podium! pic.twitter.com/56MOohM9Jj — nobody (@nopenope_jpg) November 7, 2020
More shiny new Jeep’s have arrived in anticipation of a @JoeBiden speech tonight at Wilmington’s Chase Center. CNN reports Biden will address the nation. Security very tight here today. pic.twitter.com/eXxY8b62Ql — Jonathan Hall (@JHall7news) November 6, 2020
Toledo built Jeeps surround the stage where Joe Biden delivered his Unity Speech to the nation. He never forgets America’s working men and women. pic.twitter.com/K7O06FvR7d — Marcy Kaptur (@RepMarcyKaptur) November 8, 2020
A spokesperson for FCA said the company played no role in the event and added the automaker does not endorse political candidates.
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h/t Iceman2


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--Van Jones video: Seems like Trump doesn’t have to leave the White House….ever.

The snake knows how to hustle .
We ’ re begging for bondage on both sides .

The snake knows how to hustle. We’re begging for bondage on both sides.
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h/t Louie Cipher