investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--The Second Wave: Regardless of What You Think About the Virus, Things Are About to Change

It ’ s important to not work on “ assumptions.
” It ’ s very easy for us to think about points but then conclude , “ Everybody knows that , everybody sees that , everybody ’ s already understood that .
Working from that position undermines that it is possible people haven ’ t seen or acknowledged or observed certain things .
So this is just a “ basic outlook.
” Let ’ s take stock of where are we now .
The larger focus is still on the pandemic but also making sure we look into some aspects @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Regardless of your personal opinion about the virus , things will change for everyone with the second wave .
First , there ’ s GOING to be a second wave .
Firstly , we need to accept there is going to be a second viral wave .
That is inevitable .
That is absolutely inevitable .
Now , regardless of your feelings on how bad the pandemic is , how lethal the virus is , what you think of the statistics , or the reporting , etc .
I am not going to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I am going to say that it doesn ’ t undermine is the fact there ’ s going to be a second wave .
Secondly , for any virus that spreads in the general population spread , there is always a risk of mutations , so just because we could say it hasn ’ t potentially been “ that bad ” until now , doesn ’ t mean that ’ s the status quo , and it ’ s going to stay the same .
So let ’ s first acknowledge those two @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what ’ s important about that .
Looking at historical trend analysis , which is fairly substantive , the second wave is always going to be worse than the first , not only in infection and fatality numbers but also in overall impact .
And why is that ?
The fact is , the number spike will largely be due to people ’ s actions as they come out of the lockdown of wave one .
We ’ re already seeing that : • people are ( understandably ) demonstrating their frustration and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ advice to minimize the potential infection spread That ’ s happening and it ’ s happening worldwide .
It is not exclusive to any country .
Many , many countries are suffering from this same problem .
This isn ’ t speculative .
You can all see this occurring with your own eyes .
So these actions are going to be reflected in wave two infection numbers .
For those countries already into the second wave , you can see that wave one is being dwarfed .
For those that are not into @ @ @ @ @ @ @ t worry , unfortunately , you ’ ll catch up in time .
Now , the control measures that the government will try to utilize for wave two will initially be the same actions as wave one , but they just won ’ t be as readily accepted by the vast majority of the population that came through wave one .
People are tired , they are frustrated and angry , and they are scared , largely due to exceptionally irresponsible media action .
So now it gets a bit more ‘ wild @ @ @ @ @ @ @ two tries to replicate the policy for wave one , but the general populace is not as inclined to comply as it previously was .
That will vary from region to region and country to country as to how vehemently these measures will be pushed back against .
The other thing to consider is that people have now had far longer and got far more information to make up their mind on how they feel about certain things .
People went into wave one really in the dark .
They were able to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ but not much more .
Now , people have read up and formed their own opinion , and begun to crystallize their own thought processes AND will act ( or refuse to act ) accordingly .
All the problems that occurred in wave one will reoccur in wave two , possibly with more consequences and/or potentially with a deeper meaning .
Let ’ s start with the supply line .
The weakening of the supply lines that has occurred , the lack of certain products , the panic buying , the herd mentality @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and large parts still ‘ unsolved ’ and it ’ s going to happen again , it ’ s inevitable .
Things are not “ going back to normal.
” I hate to say it , but people in packs , follow very set scripts .
They are very predictable in their behavior .
That is why we can make statements such as these with good authority .
And as much as the suppliers are trying to assure us wave one was ‘ well managed ’ and ‘ not that bad ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the contradiction that there was , is , and WILL BE impact on the supply line .
Now , there ’ s a twofold solution to these problems we are highlighting .
One is just to keep preparing to always be prepared , keep chipping away , bit by bit , keep making your purchases , keep your stocks up .
But unfortunately , a lot of people got massive economic hits in wave one .
So many are likely limited in their financial ability prepare via purchase .
That we fully understand @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to be different for most of us .
That brings us to the next point , and I would apply this across the board , regardless of your current situation , is you need to start managing your own and your immediate family ’ s expectations .
You need to start thinking in terms of this : Now this is very challenging because you will still naturally want to push back to get that “ normalcy.
” You ’ ll think , “ Why should I have to *insert selected discomfort here* ?
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the preppersphere were preparing on the basis of : When we ’ re into a long-term scenario , such as this pandemic , there are going to be uncomfortable impacts for everybody .
There will be a point when you will start to feel the impact after you ’ ve gone as far as you can in your familiar lifestyle and kept to your original standards for as long as possible .
If we are being honest , many of you are already at this point .
As much as you can @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and start to accept that the impact is happening , or coming , and will worsen , it positions you to be far more resilient further into this pandemic .
Because that , folks , is where we are .
We are a LONG way from the end of this .
I ’ ve been having a number of very interesting online conversations lately , and the phrase that keeps re-occurring is that we ’ ve been given a “ slow-burning virus.
” In this modern , insanely paced world , it seems @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , quick ‘ zombie apocalypse ’ , and in two weeks , it ’ s all over .
Then we kind that we go from there , rebuild , and move on… Sorry , but there is nothing fast about true pandemics in overall terms .
This is going to be around for some time , and everybody is going to have to adapt , overcome , improvise , and all that good stuff .
And the sooner we start wrapping our heads around that , the better .
To add to this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we can ’ t forget the relevant regional and or seasonal issues we would normally prepare for .
For example , we ’ re now entering into a very high risk for wildfires here , where I live in Sweden .
Other folks will be bracing for tornado seasons , hurricane or flooding seasons , or different natural occurrences .
So we can ’ t just get fixated on just one thing .
That ’ s never what preparedness has been about .
We have to deal with a pandemic , yes , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ other issues as well being aware and maintaining our preparations accordingly , rounding off , topping up , adjusting like we normally try to do for every season of every year , and ideally , a little bit beyond… What to do right now Now is not the time to get caught up in the immediacy of whatever the media wants you to focus on first .
It ’ s time to stop and take a concerted long view of where you perceive you will be in six to twelve months from now @ @ @ @ @ @ @ would advise everybody to take a pause and definitely turn off the television .
I would advise you to give yourself 24 hours totally off social media and media of any sort at some point this week .
Give yourself the time , space , and place to think , sit down , and acknowledge the situation you ’ re at personally .
Think about your long term plans in earnest .
Selco and I have been doing this for the last few weeks .
We ’ ve had very intense discussions with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and extended family .
We ’ ve been coming up with contingencies A , B , and C , thinking about what our long-term plans are , and where we are at in all of this .
If you haven ’ t already done so , now is the time to be doing this .
You need to be having these conversations with loved ones as well .
Please don ’ t make those conversations too oppressive .
Remember , everybody ’ s having a hard time right now .
Have big conversations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as you approach these subjects .
Don ’ t ignore them , don ’ t put them off , but don ’ t rip into them with such tenacity that it ’ ll shut down the other party ’ s interest in the discussion .
• Accept the longevity of our current situation .
• Adopt a new level of a resilient mindset that will embrace discomfort • Take a concerted pause to assess your long term goals .
• Ensure you communicate with those around you in a clear , concise , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an extensive background in the military , emergency services , risk management , and business continuity , combined with applied wilderness and urban survival skills .
He discusses personal safety , security , and the crossover of military skills to the average civilian .

by Toby Cowern
It’s important to not work on “assumptions.” It’s very easy for us to think about points but then conclude, “Everybody knows that, everybody sees that, everybody’s already understood that. Working from that position undermines that it is possible people haven’t seen or acknowledged or observed certain things.
So this is just a “basic outlook.” Let’s take stock of where are we now.
The larger focus is still on the pandemic but also making sure we look into some aspects on either side of that fact. Regardless of your personal opinion about the virus, things will change for everyone with the second wave.
First, there’s GOING to be a second wave.
Firstly, we need to accept there is going to be a second viral wave. That is inevitable. That is absolutely inevitable. Now, regardless of your feelings on how bad the pandemic is, how lethal the virus is, what you think of the statistics, or the reporting, etc. I am not going to say that’s irrelevant, but I am going to say that it doesn’t undermine is the fact there’s going to be a second wave. Secondly, for any virus that spreads in the general population spread, there is always a risk of mutations, so just because we could say it hasn’t potentially been “that bad” until now, doesn’t mean that’s the status quo, and it’s going to stay the same.
So let’s first acknowledge those two things.
Now, here’s what’s important about that. Looking at historical trend analysis, which is fairly substantive, the second wave is always going to be worse than the first, not only in infection and fatality numbers but also in overall impact. And why is that? The fact is, the number spike will largely be due to people’s actions as they come out of the lockdown of wave one.
We’re already seeing that:
people are (understandably) demonstrating their frustration and venting their concerns
gathering in large groups
not following certain advice to minimize the potential infection spread
That’s happening and it’s happening worldwide. It is not exclusive to any country. Many, many countries are suffering from this same problem. This isn’t speculative. You can all see this occurring with your own eyes. So these actions are going to be reflected in wave two infection numbers.
For those countries already into the second wave, you can see that wave one is being dwarfed. For those that are not into the wave two yet, don’t worry, unfortunately, you’ll catch up in time.
Government measures
Now, the control measures that the government will try to utilize for wave two will initially be the same actions as wave one, but they just won’t be as readily accepted by the vast majority of the population that came through wave one. People are tired, they are frustrated and angry, and they are scared, largely due to exceptionally irresponsible media action.
So now it gets a bit more ‘wild west’ as the policy for wave two tries to replicate the policy for wave one, but the general populace is not as inclined to comply as it previously was.
That will vary from region to region and country to country as to how vehemently these measures will be pushed back against. The other thing to consider is that people have now had far longer and got far more information to make up their mind on how they feel about certain things. People went into wave one really in the dark. They were able to look at the historical pandemic examples, but not much more. Now, people have read up and formed their own opinion, and begun to crystallize their own thought processes AND will act (or refuse to act) accordingly.
The supply chain
All the problems that occurred in wave one will reoccur in wave two, possibly with more consequences and/or potentially with a deeper meaning. Let’s start with the supply line.
The weakening of the supply lines that has occurred, the lack of certain products, the panic buying, the herd mentality – that’s all still there, and large parts still ‘unsolved’ and it’s going to happen again, it’s inevitable. Things are not “going back to normal.”
I hate to say it, but people in packs, follow very set scripts. They are very predictable in their behavior. That is why we can make statements such as these with good authority. And as much as the suppliers are trying to assure us wave one was ‘well managed’ and ‘not that bad’, reports from various places are showing the contradiction that there was, is, and WILL BE impact on the supply line.
Financial problems
Now, there’s a twofold solution to these problems we are highlighting. One is just to keep preparing to always be prepared, keep chipping away, bit by bit, keep making your purchases, keep your stocks up.
But unfortunately, a lot of people got massive economic hits in wave one. So many are likely limited in their financial ability prepare via purchase. That we fully understand and sympathize with.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Things are going to be different for most of us.
Managing expectations
That brings us to the next point, and I would apply this across the board, regardless of your current situation, is you need to start managing your own and your immediate family’s expectations. You need to start thinking in terms of this:
“As supplies dwindle and prices increase, we need to eat more simply, to accept things as they are. We might have to eat less meat, or in fact, we might just have to eat less food.”
Period.
Now this is very challenging because you will still naturally want to push back to get that “normalcy.” You’ll think, “Why should I have to *insert selected discomfort here*?”
Unfortunately, far too many people in the preppersphere were preparing on the basis of:
“My lifestyle is never going to be interrupted no matter what.”
When we’re into a long-term scenario, such as this pandemic, there are going to be uncomfortable impacts for everybody.
There will be a point when you will start to feel the impact after you’ve gone as far as you can in your familiar lifestyle and kept to your original standards for as long as possible. If we are being honest, many of you are already at this point.
As much as you can adjust your mental attitude early and acknowledge and start to accept that the impact is happening, or coming, and will worsen, it positions you to be far more resilient further into this pandemic. Because that, folks, is where we are.
We are a LONG way from the end of this.
We can’t relax our preparations.
I’ve been having a number of very interesting online conversations lately, and the phrase that keeps re-occurring is that we’ve been given a “slow-burning virus.” In this modern, insanely paced world, it seems that everybody wanted to have a simple, quick ‘zombie apocalypse’, and in two weeks, it’s all over. Then we kind that we go from there, rebuild, and move on…
Sorry, but there is nothing fast about true pandemics in overall terms. This is going to be around for some time, and everybody is going to have to adapt, overcome, improvise, and all that good stuff. And the sooner we start wrapping our heads around that, the better.
To add to this, while focusing on the pandemic, we can’t forget the relevant regional and or seasonal issues we would normally prepare for. For example, we’re now entering into a very high risk for wildfires here, where I live in Sweden. Other folks will be bracing for tornado seasons, hurricane or flooding seasons, or different natural occurrences. So we can’t just get fixated on just one thing. That’s never what preparedness has been about.
We have to deal with a pandemic, yes, but we must be looking at these other issues as well being aware and maintaining our preparations accordingly, rounding off, topping up, adjusting like we normally try to do for every season of every year, and ideally, a little bit beyond…
What to do right now
Now is not the time to get caught up in the immediacy of whatever the media wants you to focus on first. It’s time to stop and take a concerted long view of where you perceive you will be in six to twelve months from now.
As an actionable activity, I would advise everybody to take a pause and definitely turn off the television. I would advise you to give yourself 24 hours totally off social media and media of any sort at some point this week. Give yourself the time, space, and place to think, sit down, and acknowledge the situation you’re at personally. Think about your long term plans in earnest.
Selco and I have been doing this for the last few weeks. We’ve had very intense discussions with our spouses, near relatives, friends and extended family. We’ve been coming up with contingencies A, B, and C, thinking about what our long-term plans are, and where we are at in all of this. If you haven’t already done so, now is the time to be doing this.
You need to be having these conversations with loved ones as well. Please don’t make those conversations too oppressive. Remember, everybody’s having a hard time right now. Have big conversations, but please, just go easy as you approach these subjects. Don’t ignore them, don’t put them off, but don’t rip into them with such tenacity that it’ll shut down the other party’s interest in the discussion.
TL;DR:
Accept the longevity of our current situation.
Keep preparing.
Adopt a new level of a resilient mindset that will embrace discomfort
Take a concerted pause to assess your long term goals.
Ensure you communicate with those around you in a clear, concise, but empathetic manner.
About Toby
Toby Cowern has an extensive background in the military, emergency services, risk management, and business continuity, combined with applied wilderness and urban survival skills. He discusses personal safety, security, and the crossover of military skills to the average civilian.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--DO BLACK LIVES MATTER TO BLACK LIVES MATTER?

If Black Lives Matter was true to its name , there would be as much global outrage over the death of eight year old Secoriea Turner , gunned down by anti-police protesters in Atlanta Sunday night , as there was for George Floyd .
According to local authorities , Turner was out with her mother and a friend when they tried to park near a burnt out fast food restaurant where Rayshard Brooks was killed in a scuffle with police last month – and which has been occupied by demonstrators ever since .
Police say a group of demonstrators who @ @ @ @ @ @ @ family .
“ At some point , someone in that group opened fire on the vehicle , striking it multiple times and striking the child who was inside .
The driver then drove to Atlanta Medical Center for help ” , but it was too late for little Secoriea , officials said .
It ’ s only the latest outrage to occur in the past several weeks of civil unrest that have seen legitimate grievances over police brutality and the killing of George Floyd be hijacked by Black Lives Matter , a group @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reforming law enforcement and fighting police brutality .
.
.
.
After New York City disbanded an elite NYPD anti-crime unit , shootings rose in the last two weeks of June by 205 per cent – and gunshot injuries likewise increased by 238 per cent over the same period the previous year .
And many if not most of the victims have been African-American .
As Hazel Thomas , whose 35 year old son Jomo Glasgow was murdered outside a party in Brooklyn told the New York Post , “ I feel like @ @ @ @ @ @ @ criminals ” .
Or as Secoriea Turner ’ s tearful father , Secoriya Williamson , told local media in Atlanta , “ They say black lives matter … but you killed your own this time .
You killed a child .
She didn ’ t do nothing to nobody.
” Of course , there won ’ t be any BLM protest marches held in honour of Jomo , little Secoriea , or any of the other innocents of any race slain in the ensuing crime wave .

Murder of Secoriea Turner raises questions about Black Lives Matter
If Black Lives Matter was true to its name, there would be as much global outrage over the death of eight year old Secoriea Turner, gunned down by anti-police protesters in Atlanta Sunday night, as there was for George Floyd.
According to local authorities, Turner was out with her mother and a friend when they tried to park near a burnt out fast food restaurant where Rayshard Brooks was killed in a scuffle with police last month – and which has been occupied by demonstrators ever since.
Police say a group of demonstrators who had been blocking the site confronted the family.
“At some point, someone in that group opened fire on the vehicle, striking it multiple times and striking the child who was inside. The driver then drove to Atlanta Medical Center for help”, but it was too late for little Secoriea, officials said.
It’s only the latest outrage to occur in the past several weeks of civil unrest that have seen legitimate grievances over police brutality and the killing of George Floyd be hijacked by Black Lives Matter, a group with a more radical agendas than simply reforming law enforcement and fighting police brutality. . . .
After New York City disbanded an elite NYPD anti-crime unit, shootings rose in the last two weeks of June by 205 per cent – and gunshot injuries likewise increased by 238 per cent over the same period the previous year.
And many if not most of the victims have been African-American.
As Hazel Thomas, whose 35 year old son Jomo Glasgow was murdered outside a party in Brooklyn told the New York Post, “I feel like we are giving the streets back to criminals”.
Or as Secoriea Turner’s tearful father, Secoriya Williamson, told local media in Atlanta, “They say black lives matter … but you killed your own this time. You killed a child. She didn’t do nothing to nobody.”
Of course, there won’t be any BLM protest marches held in honour of Jomo, little Secoriea, or any of the other innocents of any race slain in the ensuing crime wave.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--When everything is racist, nothing is racist.

YAWN .
Going to National Parks Is Racist , Declares ABC News .
In the six weeks since a multiracial group of Minnesota cops killed George Floyd , America has learned all sorts of things about what caused the crime .
It wasn ’ t just those cops ’ fault , you see .
It wasn ’ t just the responsibility of the city of Minneapolis or even the state of Minnesota .
As it turns out , every white person in the world is responsible for Floyd ’ s death .
That ’ s why we now need to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ figure who was Caucasian , even the guy who signed the Emancipation Proclamation .
That ’ s why any white person who voices a black character on a cartoon show needs to step aside now .
That ’ s why we need to expunge that episode of The Golden Girls where they wore mud masks and the dumb one said , “ We ’ re not really black.
” All of those things are racist .
All of those things made those cops kill that guy .
And we ’ re just getting @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is racist , because they ’ re white people .
Even going to national parks is racist now , because most of the people who go to national parks are white .
# RESISTANCE : My professors tried to convince me that America is racist .
I refused to buy into it .

YAWN. Going to National Parks Is Racist, Declares ABC News.
In the six weeks since a multiracial group of Minnesota cops killed George Floyd, America has learned all sorts of things about what caused the crime. It wasn’t just those cops’ fault, you see. It wasn’t just the responsibility of the city of Minneapolis or even the state of Minnesota. As it turns out, every white person in the world is responsible for Floyd’s death. That’s why we now need to tear down any statue of any historical figure who was Caucasian, even the guy who signed the Emancipation Proclamation. That’s why any white person who voices a black character on a cartoon show needs to step aside now. That’s why we need to expunge that episode of The Golden Girls where they wore mud masks and the dumb one said, “We’re not really black.” All of those things are racist. All of those things made those cops kill that guy.
And we’re just getting started. Everything that white people enjoy is racist, because they’re white people. Even going to national parks is racist now, because most of the people who go to national parks are white.
Seriously.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
As millions of Americans escape home quarantine to the great outdoors this summer, they'll venture into parks, campgrounds and forest lands that remain stubborn bastions of self-segregation.@devindwyer reports. t.co/Xzmouf4bwM pic.twitter.com/e8PckJcVqn — ABC News Live (@ABCNewsLive) July 1, 2020
…
#RESISTANCE: My professors tried to convince me that America is racist. I refused to buy into it.
h/t GR


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--In another message to Beijing, U.S. B-52 bomber from Louisiana trains with jets from aircraft carrie

In another message to Beijing , U.S. B-52 bomber from Louisiana trains with jets from aircraft carriers Reagan and Nimitz @ @ @ @ @ The idea that the US and China would n't risk a conflict because of nuclear @ @ @ @ @ what 's happening : Both sides are doubling down on anti-ship missiles and ISR .
@ @ @ @ @ a willingness to trade ships and missiles for some time .

In another message to Beijing, U.S. B-52 bomber from Louisiana trains with jets from aircraft carriers Reagan and Nimitz in South China Sea pic.twitter.com/k88MV5Rw7v — Lucas Tomlinson (@LucasFoxNews) July 5, 2020
USAF
Boeing KC-135R Stratotanker
Spotted over the South China Sea #PEARL65 58-0055 pic.twitter.com/Q5tFAL6hhr — Callsign: CANUK78 (@is_keelu) July 5, 2020
The idea that the US and China wouldn't risk a conflict because of nuclear weapons doesn't square with what's happening: Both sides are doubling down on anti-ship missiles and ISR. That speaks to at least a willingness to trade ships and missiles for some time. — David B. Larter (@DavidLarter) July 5, 2020
A #B52 bomber from Louisiana took off from home station on July 4th and participated in a maritime integration exercise with two aircraft carrier strike groups in the South China Sea before landing at Andersen Air Force Base, Guam. pic.twitter.com/GjxAJTx0bf — AFGSC (@AFGlobalStrike) July 5, 2020
h/t Builder
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investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Edward Snowden: “This is the SCAM of the century”

Fair to say that his insights are timely to say the least
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AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--239 Experts With 1 Big Claim: The Coronavirus Is Airborne – The W.H.O. has resisted mounting evidenc

239 Experts With 1 Big Claim: The Coronavirus Is Airborne – The W.H.O. has resisted mounting evidence that viral particles floating indoors are infectious, some scientists say. The agency maintains the research is still inconclusive.

The coronavirus is finding new victims worldwide , in bars and restaurants , offices , markets and casinos , giving @ @ @ @ @ infection that increasingly confirm what many scientists have been saying for months : The virus @ @ @ @ @ , infecting those nearby .
If airborne transmission is a significant factor in the pandemic @ @ @ @ @ with poor ventilation , the consequences for containment will be significant .
Masks may be @ @ @ @ @ socially-distant settings .
Health care workers may need N95 masks that filter out even the @ @ @ @ @ care for coronavirus patients .
Ventilation systems in schools , nursing homes , residences and @ @ @ @ @ recirculating air and add powerful new filters .
Ultraviolet lights may be needed to kill @ @ @ @ @ droplets indoors .
The World Health Organization has long held that the coronavirus is spread @ @ @ @ @ that , once expelled by infected people in coughs and sneezes , fall quickly to @ @ @

The coronavirus is finding new victims worldwide, in bars and restaurants, offices, markets and casinos, giving rise to frightening clusters of infection that increasingly confirm what many scientists have been saying for months: The virus lingers in the air indoors, infecting those nearby.
If airborne transmission is a significant factor in the pandemic, especially in crowded spaces with poor ventilation, the consequences for containment will be significant. Masks may be needed indoors, even in socially-distant settings. Health care workers may need N95 masks that filter out even the smallest respiratory droplets as they care for coronavirus patients.
Ventilation systems in schools, nursing homes, residences and businesses may need to minimize recirculating air and add powerful new filters. Ultraviolet lights may be needed to kill viral particles floating in tiny droplets indoors.
The World Health Organization has long held that the coronavirus is spread primarily by large respiratory droplets that, once expelled by infected people in coughs and sneezes, fall quickly to the floor.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Kanye, please don’t steal the Black Vote

West , who famously in 2009 snatched a microphone from Taylor Swift ’ s hands at an MTV awards show @ @ @ @ @ later to deliver a long diatribe in the Oval Office in front of Donald Trump @ @ @ @ @ as , “ Trump is on his hero ’ s journey right now .
He @ @ @ @ @ ’ d have a crazy m*therf**ker like ( me ) .
” West is a @ @ @ @ @ have to get through numerous procedural hurdles to get listed on the November ballot .
@ @ @ @ @ the first time he ’ s said he wants to make the White House home @ @ @ @ @ have already endorsed him .
I don ’ t drink alcohol , but I ’ @ @ @ @ @ .

West, who famously in 2009 snatched a microphone from Taylor Swift’s hands at an MTV awards show, went on nine years later to deliver a long diatribe in the Oval Office in front of Donald Trump that included such memorable lines as, “Trump is on his hero’s journey right now. He might not have thought he’d have a crazy m*therf**ker like (me).” West is a Trump supporter who’d have to get through numerous procedural hurdles to get listed on the November ballot. But this isn’t the first time he’s said he wants to make the White House home. His wife and Musk have already endorsed him. I don’t drink alcohol, but I’m rethinking that right now.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Florida & Texas Attracting Even More Migrants from High-Taxed States

The flight from the high-tax states continues to create a diversified real estate market throughout the United States .
The Florida market is resilient .
Despite the problems associated with COVID-19 , the average price of sold listings through June 2020 is 6.3 % higher year over year .
The average price in 2019 was $ 390,447 while the average price in 2020 was $ 415,190 with respect to a select group of condos on the west coast .
People are once again out viewing properties and some friends from New York have commented they can not stay in New @ @ @ @ @ @ @ become draconian and dangerous .
One fried from LA who just flew out here said the police did not even try to stop looting , for the politicians told them to stand down for fear they might shoot some minority so they just let stores be looted .
Another friend from Pennsylvania also called and wanted to move .
He said a major shopping mall , King of Prussia Mall , was looted and prompted a State of Emergency declaration in Upper Merion Township .
In just the past few weeks , the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ flown here looking for a property is stunning .
One said I should have followed you four years ago — “ I ’ m not sure I can even sell my house now !
”

by Martin Armstrong
The flight from the high-tax states continues to create a diversified real estate market throughout the United States. The Florida market is resilient. Despite the problems associated with COVID-19, the average price of sold listings through June 2020 is 6.3% higher year over year. The average price in 2019 was $390,447 while the average price in 2020 was $415,190 with respect to a select group of condos on the west coast. People are once again out viewing properties and some friends from New York have commented they cannot stay in New York even another month as it has become draconian and dangerous.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
One fried from LA who just flew out here said the police did not even try to stop looting, for the politicians told them to stand down for fear they might shoot some minority so they just let stores be looted. Another friend from Pennsylvania also called and wanted to move. He said a major shopping mall, King of Prussia Mall, was looted and prompted a State of Emergency declaration in Upper Merion Township. In just the past few weeks, the number of friends who have called or flown here looking for a property is stunning. One said I should have followed you four years ago — “I’m not sure I can even sell my house now!”


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--This entire on-going lockdown of America, and the fear-mongering about HCQ as a treatment, is the BI

This entire on-going lockdown of America, and the fear-mongering about HCQ as a treatment, is the BIGGEST NOTHING BURGER served to America, courtesy of the Democrats.

WHO reverses itself .
( No surprise there . )
CoVid patients don ’ t need to be isolated , @ @ @ @ @ distancing .
Fauci & Birx ran a huge scam on us .

WHO reverses itself. (No surprise there.) CoVid patients don’t need to be isolated, quarantined, need no social distancing. Fauci & Birx ran a huge scam on us.
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AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Prepare for the 2nd Lockdown

Prepare for the 2nd Lockdown

Switzerland has started 2nd wave on soft side = wearing masks in public transportation + quarantine when traveling back from @ @ @ @ @ US , RU , Sweden , Israel.. ) .
Governments are using this virus which @ @ @ @ @ the flu to impose restraints on commerce in preparation for what is in truth the @ @ @ @ @ realize that they have reached the point of no return when it comes to debt @ @ @ @ @ to negative in 2014 and after 6 years of total failure of Keynesian Economics , @ @ @ @ @ realization that the global debt system and socialism are collapsing .
They are hoping to @ @ @ @ @ jobs that are related to fossil fuels , and compensate people with guaranteed basic income @ @ @ @ @ to the new real NORM !
List of countries and areas with an increased risk @ @

by Martin Armstrong
Switzerland has started 2nd wave on soft side = wearing masks in public transportation + quarantine when traveling back from 29 countries (incl. US, RU, Sweden, Israel..). Governments are using this virus which is no more deadly than the flu to impose restraints on commerce in preparation for what is in truth the Monetary Crisis Cycle. Governments realize that they have reached the point of no return when it comes to debt. The ECB moved rates to negative in 2014 and after 6 years of total failure of Keynesian Economics, they are confronted with the realization that the global debt system and socialism are collapsing. They are hoping to use the virus, destroy jobs that are related to fossil fuels, and compensate people with guaranteed basic income which is minimal. Welcome to the new real NORM!
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
List of countries and areas with an increased risk of infection
Argentinien
Armenien
Aserbaidschan
Bahrain
Belarus
Bolivien
Brasilien
Cabo Verde
Chile
Dominikanische Republik
Honduras
Irak
Israel
Katar
Kolumbien
Kosovo
Kuwait
Moldova
Nordmazedonien
Oman
Panama
Peru
Russland
Saudi-Arabien
Schweden
Serbien
Südafrika
Turks- und Caicos-Inseln
Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Fans accuse ‘Call of Duty’ of removing ‘OKAY’ hand gesture deemed racist by woke mobs…

A midseason update for ‘ Call of Duty : Modern Warfare ’ and ‘ Warzone ’ has one difference fans @ @ @ @ @ removal of the ‘ kay ’ hand gesture , which has been deemed racist by @ @ @ @ @ media .
Producers behind the games have released no official word on the removal of @ @ @ @ @ , leaving fans only to speculate as to the reason .
Changes have been made @ @ @ @ @ in ‘ Modern Warfare ’ in light of Black Lives Matter protests across the globe @ @ @ @ @ crackdown on the use of racist language and usernames , according to Game Rant .
@ @ @ @ @ the protests was also added to the start screen of the game for a time @ @ @

A midseason update for ‘Call of Duty: Modern Warfare’ and ‘Warzone’ has one difference fans are pointing out: the removal of the ‘kay’ hand gesture, which has been deemed racist by politically correct activists on social media.
When I tweeted about this, it was a joke, but you actually removed the "OK" hand gesture from the game? lol pic.twitter.com/Zc9rR8RvOu — 🇨🇺GG RELOADED🇨🇺 (@GOHGAMER) July 1, 2020
Producers behind the games have released no official word on the removal of the symbol from the game, leaving fans only to speculate as to the reason.
Changes have been made to gameplay in the past in ‘Modern Warfare’ in light of Black Lives Matter protests across the globe, including going through a crackdown on the use of racist language and usernames, according to Game Rant.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
A message showing solidarity with the protests was also added to the start screen of the game for a time last month.
www.rt.com/usa/493879-call-of-duty-okay-hand-gesture/


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--DD: Hedging TSLA Tail Risk

DD: Hedging TSLA Tail Risk

Recently with the arrest of G. Maxwell , I ’ m sure we ’ re all sure many wealthy people are terrified .
Elon Musk could be one of these people .
I write this as it should be a consideration for the Longs , given how high the stock price has run up recently .
It may be prudent to hedge some of this tail risk .
If this gains traction , TSLA will likely crash with a long recovery time needed to come back .
Elon ’ s health has also been deteriorating for some time .
Studies @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Practices , Lawsuits , Epstein ) tend to gain weight .
With Elon , it ’ s lie after stretched truth after missed deadline We ’ ve all seen the “ Photobomb ” of E. Musk and G. Maxwell : Link This led to many on the internet doing there own research .
Some highlights below .
Kimball Musk set up w/ someone via Epstein Ex-wife denying in a public statement ( seems produced professionally ) having ties to G Maxwell Elon starting a self-defensive Twitter War w/ this Journalist .
Strange , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ why is Elon going all out ?
?
?
?
?
?
Elon , other powerful ppl , sharing a meal with Epstein ( Documented and confirmed ) Epstein possibly advised Tesla at one point .
Elon denies , but adviser during this time is still not revealed , leading to possibly Epstein .
Do we still take Elon at his word after all these years ?
?
?
If you ’ d like another take on the situation , follow this link .
I agree , this has a low chance of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ traction it ’ s gaining online , it ’ s worth paying attention to .
If Elon is innocent , he isn ’ t doing himself justice here .
We all know he ’ s a bit autistic w/ this stuff , but my B.S .
sensors are going off here , compelling me to create this account and fill out this post .
Something doesn ’ t feel right .
Additionally , there are rumors of poor accounting practices .
Edit : Someone on Twitter concisely summed a lot of this up @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by WanderThoughtReddit
Recently with the arrest of G. Maxwell, I’m sure we’re all sure many wealthy people are terrified. Elon Musk could be one of these people. I write this as it should be a consideration for the Longs, given how high the stock price has run up recently. It may be prudent to hedge some of this tail risk. If this gains traction, TSLA will likely crash with a long recovery time needed to come back.
Elon’s health has also been deteriorating for some time. Studies show people suffering high stress (Accounting Practices, Lawsuits, Epstein) tend to gain weight. With Elon, it’s lie after stretched truth after missed deadline
We’ve all seen the “Photobomb” of E. Musk and G. Maxwell: Link
This led to many on the internet doing there own research. Some highlights below.
Data:
Kimball Musk set up w/ someone via Epstein
Elon’s Ex-Wife possibly intro’d to Elon via G. Maxwell
Ex-wife denying in a public statement (seems produced professionally) having ties to G Maxwell
Elon starting a self-defensive Twitter War w/ this Journalist . Strange, as if this was a nothingburger, why is Elon going all out ??????
Elon, other powerful ppl, sharing a meal with Epstein (Documented and confirmed)
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Epstein possibly advised Tesla at one point. Elon denies, but adviser during this time is still not revealed, leading to possibly Epstein. Do we still take Elon at his word after all these years ???
If you’d like another take on the situation, follow this link. I agree, this has a low chance of blowing up the stock. Given the traction it’s gaining online, it’s worth paying attention to.
If Elon is innocent, he isn’t doing himself justice here. We all know he’s a bit autistic w/ this stuff, but my B.S. sensors are going off here, compelling me to create this account and fill out this post. Something doesn’t feel right. Additionally, there are rumors of poor accounting practices.
Disclosure: I’m short TSLA via Jan 15 2021 Put Options, Strike $200.

Edit, More stories:
Elon’s Dad had a kid w/ Stepdaughter
Tesla can’t procure D&O for Elon
Edit: Someone on Twitter concisely summed a lot of this up:
Also, in 2018, a NYT reporter interviewed Epstein under the condition he would be an anonymous source. When he died, the NYT published the details of the interview, including Epstein’s discussion about advising Musk on the SEC crisis.t.co/k98a2X6Ewb — Respectable Lawyer (@RespectableLaw) July 4, 2020
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--A checklist to give you some guidance on BIG market movements (up or down, I DGAF)

Right now , ALGOs rule the fucking world , right ?
So I spent months learning a thing or two to try to figure out how I can get better informed on understanding where markets would go Since April we have been going through volatility boxes where SPX pings from one point to the next .
Markets are experiencing sector rotations where one day Financials go up and tech goes down , next day vice versa .
• Linear regression lines : 3 main “ channel ” lines that have shown support/resistance over the last 2 years : ~3200 , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the SPX chart and draw a horizontal line at the multi-week clusters and bisect them .
This means : Below 3200 and above 2990 , 3200 is resistance and 2990 is support .
Should we break above 3200 , 3400 is very likely .
Should we break below 2990 , 2700 is the next support floor .
Should we break 2700 , we will probably stop at 2500 • Bear Case : You need a LARGE red candle ( like 100+ point movement ) that is supported by a subsequent red candle on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you need a LARGE green candle supported by another green candle • Market Breadth : this is obtained by the Advance – Decline line for SP100 in ToS .
Stocks have shown great correlation , meaning usually there are 80-90 stocks up or down out of sp100 .
If we are to break up .
Bear Case : violate 2990 and 80-90 stocks going down .
Bull Case : violate 3220 and 80-90 stocks going up • VIX must have VERY VERY large movement .
Bear Case : VIX gains 30-40 % in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and stays there for more than 3 days .
Bull Case : VIX drops under 20 • High volume .
Using relativevolumeSD study in ToS , it looks at the last 60 days of volume and makes a dashed line at 2 standard deviations above this average .
You MUST have large enough volume to penetrate the dashed line for both bull/bear cases • Moving Averages : This is the most important factor for understanding algos .
Some MMs use 50 day , others 100 , and others 200 .
Algos are computers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ based on certain metrics .
Best case is to use the 100 MA as that will include the algos that use 50 MA .
Disparity Index indicator ( study in ToS ) gives you the % above or below the MA .
Bear Case : SPX breaks below the 100 day MA .
Bull Case : any negative day does not violate the 100 day MA .
100 day MA is currently 2960 • RSI : This shows relative strength .
It is currently showing a bearish divergence ( SPX is trending higher @ @ @ @ @ @ @ RSI should be verified with the WillamsPercentR study to see if the market is truly overbought or oversold .
WilliamsPercentR closer to 0 shows overbought ( currently -21 ) and -75 is oversold territory .
These are 2 bearish divergences • Formulaic trendline : 2956- 2898 .
This forms one of the 3 ‘ safety zones ’ for algos to prevent a sell off , the other 2 being the linear trendline and 100 day MA .
If we cross below 2960 , we have lost 2 of the safety lines … if @ @ @ @ @ @ @ start to sell like crazy and GAME ON !
• MACD : must show divergence , it must be large , and the histogram must support sell side activity for a true second leg down .
Anything outside of that is Bullish .
Set up zone for a second leg down : SPX is consolidating + MACD histogram is showing strength + divergence is high + it crosses below zero • Money Flow indicator : AccDist study shows institutional money and is showing that smart money is not selling off .
Why would @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is coming up this month and we are above the 3 safety zones .
Smart money still believes we are in a V shape recovery until companies give them a reason not to .
This can be verified with OnBalanceVolume study .
This indicator is showing a bearish divergence because , although we are near Feb ATHs , there is about 40 % less money in the market .
TL : DR a big bullish move will happen if VIX drops under 20 and we break the 3220 resistance on HIGH volume a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ jumps 30-40 % intraday ( or above 40 ) on HIGH volume with multiple daily red candles , where we violate the 2960 and 2898 support levels that can be verified with drop in money flow and RSI/MACD Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by Rick_Perrys_
Right now, ALGOs rule the fucking world, right? So I spent months learning a thing or two to try to figure out how I can get better informed on understanding where markets would go
Since April we have been going through volatility boxes where SPX pings from one point to the next. Markets are experiencing sector rotations where one day Financials go up and tech goes down, next day vice versa.
This is a list I compiled:
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Linear regression lines: 3 main “channel” lines that have shown support/resistance over the last 2 years: ~3200, ~2990, ~2700. Just look at the SPX chart and draw a horizontal line at the multi-week clusters and bisect them.
This means: Below 3200 and above 2990, 3200 is resistance and 2990 is support. Should we break above 3200, 3400 is very likely. Should we break below 2990, 2700 is the next support floor. Should we break 2700, we will probably stop at 2500
Bear Case: You need a LARGE red candle (like 100+ point movement) that is supported by a subsequent red candle on the daily chart. Bull Case: you need a LARGE green candle supported by another green candle
Market Breadth: this is obtained by the Advance – Decline line for SP100 in ToS. Stocks have shown great correlation, meaning usually there are 80-90 stocks up or down out of sp100. If we are to break up. Bear Case: violate 2990 and 80-90 stocks going down. Bull Case: violate 3220 and 80-90 stocks going up
VIX must have VERY VERY large movement. Bear Case: VIX gains 30-40% in a day and/or VIX 42 and above and stays there for more than 3 days. Bull Case: VIX drops under 20
High volume. Using relativevolumeSD study in ToS, it looks at the last 60 days of volume and makes a dashed line at 2 standard deviations above this average. You MUST have large enough volume to penetrate the dashed line for both bull/bear cases
Moving Averages: This is the most important factor for understanding algos. Some MMs use 50 day, others 100, and others 200. Algos are computers that are set to buy / sell based on certain metrics. Best case is to use the 100 MA as that will include the algos that use 50 MA. Disparity Index indicator (study in ToS) gives you the % above or below the MA. Bear Case: SPX breaks below the 100 day MA. Bull Case: any negative day does not violate the 100 day MA. 100 day MA is currently 2960
RSI: This shows relative strength. It is currently showing a bearish divergence (SPX is trending higher but RSI is trending lower). RSI should be verified with the WillamsPercentR study to see if the market is truly overbought or oversold. WilliamsPercentR closer to 0 shows overbought (currently -21) and -75 is oversold territory. These are 2 bearish divergences
Formulaic trendline: 2956- 2898. This forms one of the 3 ‘safety zones’ for algos to prevent a sell off, the other 2 being the linear trendline and 100 day MA. If we cross below 2960, we have lost 2 of the safety lines … if we break below 2898, algos will start to sell like crazy and GAME ON!
MACD: must show divergence, it must be large, and the histogram must support sell side activity for a true second leg down. Anything outside of that is Bullish. Set up zone for a second leg down: SPX is consolidating + MACD histogram is showing strength + divergence is high + it crosses below zero
Money Flow indicator: AccDist study shows institutional money and is showing that smart money is not selling off. Why would they? Earnings for q2 and guidance is coming up this month and we are above the 3 safety zones. Smart money still believes we are in a V shape recovery until companies give them a reason not to. This can be verified with OnBalanceVolume study. This indicator is showing a bearish divergence because, although we are near Feb ATHs, there is about 40% less money in the market.
TL:DR a big bullish move will happen if VIX drops under 20 and we break the 3220 resistance on HIGH volume
a big bearish move will happen if VIX jumps 30-40% intraday (or above 40) on HIGH volume with multiple daily red candles, where we violate the 2960 and 2898 support levels that can be verified with drop in money flow and RSI/MACD
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Chicken Little: “the sky is falling”

Chicken Little: “the sky is falling”

JPMorgan forecasts that global debt will increase by $ 16 trillion this year , pushing private and public sector borrowing @ @ @ @ @ 200 trillion by year-end .
The bank expects a lot of this money to go @ @ @ @ @ t.co/XcDh97No3w

JPMorgan forecasts that global debt will increase by $16 trillion this year, pushing private and public sector borrowing to a record high $200 trillion by year-end. The bank expects a lot of this money to go toward boosting stock prices. t.co/XcDh97No3w
— Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) July 6, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Lessons you learn as you gain experience in trading forex markets

Forex is one of the most accessible trading markets and is a perfect entry point for new investors .
Still , there are specific lessons that you only begin to learn and appreciate after spending time making trades .
The right broker is important New traders may not realize that selecting the right broker is crucial to forex success .
Traders who ensure they get good reviews beforehand will be able to call on a broker who offers high levels of security , reliability , easy deposit and withdrawal methods , and a feature-rich trading platform .
All of these @ @ @ @ @ @ @ profitable trading experience .
Knowing when to use leverage to your advantage Access to higher leverage is one of the things that makes forex trading unique .
You will be able to use some form of borrowed capital after opening an account with a forex broker , but using it judiciously is a lesson that first-time traders have to learn quickly .
Getting carried away with excessive leverage early on can lead to traders going “ all-in ” on certain currency pairs , and just a couple of unlucky breaks can result in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ accounts .
A good rule of thumb to follow is to use no more than ten times the effective leverage during formative trades and then to optimize it moving forward .
More experienced traders learn how to use leverage to support a profitable strategy .
Savvy traders can make money consistently from trading currency pairs , but the practice is rarely a shortcut to instant wealth .
The adage about trading requiring money to make money rings true here .
You can start with a relatively small outlay , but you need to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to deliver a sustainable and regular outcome .
Merely opening an account and placing $ 10,000 on forex randomly without any forethought or research will not make for a successful venture .
You can bounce back from losing streaks The prospect of a losing streak can be daunting when you first start trading forex , especially if you have turned a small initial investment into a thriving portfolio in a short time .
However , as time goes on , you realize that losing streaks are part and parcel of trading currency pairs @ @ @ @ @ @ @ % “ win rate ” in forex , during 100 trades it is statistically normal to run up five consecutive losing trades .
You are likely to go through these downturns regardless of how effective your strategies are and , more importantly , you will be able to bounce back , go on a winning streak , and continue on the path to profitability .
You don ’ t need to trade 24/7 Different international time zones mean forex is an always-on market .
It is open 24 hours a day , starting @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Europe and into North America .
Newbies often think they need to be entering trades from dawn to dusk , five days a week , but those with experience understand that is not viable .
Rather than actively making moves all day , successful traders know when and how to dip in and out of the market to enter trades .
They do so by using online tools and resources to identify favorable trading opportunities .
The reverse is also true .
If there is a certain period when volatility has surged after @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a labor report , experienced traders also know when to sit out and wait .
With time , you begin to understand that you don ’ t need to force the issue and that trades don ’ t have to be taken round the clock .
Bad setups can lead to losses .
Remember , the aim most of the time is not to lose money and then to take advantage of opportunities where you can maximize gains .
The smartest move may be waiting for another day .
You might need short @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as and when you need to rather than out of necessity is best , feeds into the notion that short breaks can supercharge your strategies in the long term .
When trading forex , “ chart burnout ” can lead to poor decision making and substantial losses .
You may have some form of burnout if you are convincing yourself that certain trade setups are worthwhile even if the evidence shows they are not wise plays .
Taking a break can help to recharge your batteries and to get back to making trades @ @ @ @ @ @ @ your net results .
Scheduling a three or four day weekend every month is a great way to reset and then to stay sharp and focused after the break .
Disclaimer : This content does not necessarily represent the views of IWB .

Forex is one of the most accessible trading markets and is a perfect entry point for new investors. Still, there are specific lessons that you only begin to learn and appreciate after spending time making trades.
The right broker is important
New traders may not realize that selecting the right broker is crucial to forex success. Traders who ensure they get good reviews beforehand will be able to call on a broker who offers high levels of security, reliability, easy deposit and withdrawal methods, and a feature-rich trading platform. All of these factors can support a better and more profitable trading experience.
Knowing when to use leverage to your advantage
Access to higher leverage is one of the things that makes forex trading unique. You will be able to use some form of borrowed capital after opening an account with a forex broker, but using it judiciously is a lesson that first-time traders have to learn quickly. Getting carried away with excessive leverage early on can lead to traders going “all-in” on certain currency pairs, and just a couple of unlucky breaks can result in them losing all of their money and accounts.
A good rule of thumb to follow is to use no more than ten times the effective leverage during formative trades and then to optimize it moving forward. More experienced traders learn how to use leverage to support a profitable strategy.
Forex takes time and money
Savvy traders can make money consistently from trading currency pairs, but the practice is rarely a shortcut to instant wealth. The adage about trading requiring money to make money rings true here. You can start with a relatively small outlay, but you need to slowly develop your account level over time to deliver a sustainable and regular outcome. Merely opening an account and placing $10,000 on forex randomly without any forethought or research will not make for a successful venture.
You can bounce back from losing streaks
The prospect of a losing streak can be daunting when you first start trading forex, especially if you have turned a small initial investment into a thriving portfolio in a short time. However, as time goes on, you realize that losing streaks are part and parcel of trading currency pairs.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
For traders with a healthy 60% “win rate” in forex, during 100 trades it is statistically normal to run up five consecutive losing trades. You are likely to go through these downturns regardless of how effective your strategies are and, more importantly, you will be able to bounce back, go on a winning streak, and continue on the path to profitability.
You don’t need to trade 24/7
Different international time zones mean forex is an always-on market. It is open 24 hours a day, starting with the Australasian region and continuing across Europe and into North America. Newbies often think they need to be entering trades from dawn to dusk, five days a week, but those with experience understand that is not viable.
Rather than actively making moves all day, successful traders know when and how to dip in and out of the market to enter trades. They do so by using online tools and resources to identify favorable trading opportunities. The reverse is also true. If there is a certain period when volatility has surged after “high impact” news such as a labor report, experienced traders also know when to sit out and wait.
With time, you begin to understand that you don’t need to force the issue and that trades don’t have to be taken round the clock. Bad setups can lead to losses. Remember, the aim most of the time is not to lose money and then to take advantage of opportunities where you can maximize gains. The smartest move may be waiting for another day.
You might need short breaks
The realization that making moves, as and when you need to rather than out of necessity is best, feeds into the notion that short breaks can supercharge your strategies in the long term. When trading forex, “chart burnout” can lead to poor decision making and substantial losses.
You may have some form of burnout if you are convincing yourself that certain trade setups are worthwhile even if the evidence shows they are not wise plays. Taking a break can help to recharge your batteries and to get back to making trades that will have a positive impact on your net results. Scheduling a three or four day weekend every month is a great way to reset and then to stay sharp and focused after the break.
Disclaimer: This content does not necessarily represent the views of IWB.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Market makers covet retail trades because they’re relatively harmless…

Retail trades are , for the most part , neither smart nor large .
Because they ’ re less likely @ @ @ @ @ market , HFTs can , the thinking goes , offer them better prices .
Virtu @ @ @ @ @ an earnings call that the company provided more than $ 300 million of “ price @ @ @ @ @ during the first four months of 2020 .
“ Come gather around people , wherever @ @ @ @ @ the waters around you have grown And accept it that soon you ’ ll be @ @ @ @ @ your time to you is worth savin ’ Then you better start swimmin ’ or @ @ @ @ @ a stone For the times they are a-changin… ”

by Robalyst
Retail trades are, for the most part, neither smart nor large. Because they’re less likely to send shockwaves through the market, HFTs can, the thinking goes, offer them better prices. Virtu CEO Douglas Cifu said in an earnings call that the company provided more than $300 million of “price improvement” to retail traders during the first four months of 2020.
qz.com/1871213/retail-trading-is-shaking-up-the-us-stock-market/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=daily-brief&utm_content=9139348
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“Come gather around people, wherever you roam
And admit that the waters around you have grown
And accept it that soon you’ll be drenched to the bone
If your time to you is worth savin’
Then you better start swimmin’ or you’ll sink like a stone
For the times they are a-changin…”
(Bob Dylan)


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--2nd Half Of June Showed Weakness

2nd Half Of June Showed Weakness

The June labor report was very strong .
We will review it in this article .
However , we can ’ t ignore the recent weakening in the data in the 2nd half of June which the labor report doesn ’ t capture .
The ADP private sector payrolls report showed there were 2.369 million jobs added of which 937,000 were created by small firms .
The chart below shows the small business pulse survey saw a change in the trend in the last 2 weeks of the month .
July monthly data could be worse than June .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increased fell from 13.1 % to 11 % in the final 2 weeks of June .
The percentage reporting an increase in paid employment fell from 10.2 % to 8.9 % .
This along with the weak jobless claims reports signal a potential trend change .
That could be why stocks didn ’ t rally much following the great June BLS report on Thursday .
The counter argument is that was the 4th day in a row stocks were up , so they may have already priced in strength .
However , that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more in the pre-markets before the labor report came out than where they closed the day at .
The June labor report was a continuation of the theme of reopenings allowing people to get their jobs back .
There were 4.8 million jobs created .
In our Twitter poll , only 26.7 % of 75 followers said there would be over 4 million jobs created .
This was clearly an upside surprise as the consensus among economists was 3 million .
Furthermore , the May report was revised to show 2.699 million jobs @ @ @ @ @ @ @ chart above shows the job losses in the downturn far outweigh the number added back in the past 2 months .
The net difference is still -14.7 million jobs .
On the positive side , the unemployment rate fell from 12.4 % to 11.1 % ; that ’ s even with the misclassification gap falling .
As we mentioned , with the added protocols , we expected the number of people misclassified as employed to fall sharply .
The adjusted for misclassification unemployment rate fell from 16.4 % to 12.3 % .
In @ @ @ @ @ @ @ even better than the headline rate indicates .
In next month ’ s report , misclassification will probably shrink to such a small level it ’ s not worth mentioning .
The U6 underemployment rate fell from 21.2 % to 18 % which is bay far the biggest decline in history ( going back to 1994 ) .
‘ Permanent ’ job loss is when the relationship between the employee and worker is severed .
The employer likely eliminated the position causing the ex-employee to need to find a new place to work @ @ @ @ @ @ @ chart below , usually the percentage of unemployed workers not on temporary layoff increases in recessions .
It fell sharply in this recession because this was an unusual one where most job losses were only temporary .
People couldn ’ t go to work because of the virus .
The worry during the worst of the recession was that many of these jobs wouldn ’ t come back .
Eventually , there will be new jobs created in the next few years , but obviously that ’ s not as simple as just @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on temporary layoff is 20.88 % ( about double from the recessionary bottom ) which looks low on a historical basis .
However , the unemployment rate is still higher than the peak of the last recession , so on an absolute basis it ’ s high .
Specifically , there were 588,000 more ‘ permanent ’ job losses which brought the total to 2.9 million .
The theory with ending the $ 600 federal unemployment benefit program is people need to be incentivized to work .
However , at least 2.9 million @ @ @ @ @ @ @ easily find a job once their benefits run out on July 25th .
Leisure and hospitality gained the most jobs as it added 2.1 million .
Next were retail with 740,000 ; healthcare with 475,000 ; and manufacturing with 360,000 .
Remember , Texas recently started delaying elective procedures which hurts the healthcare industry .
The June ISM manufacturing PMI bounced back considerably which is a good sign .
Even though leisure and hospitality added the most jobs , its employment is still down the most since before the recession as there are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Information services , which pays the most , has 10.9 % fewer jobs .
Retail only has 8.1 % fewer jobs .
That ’ s because supermarkets and other necessary stores are included .
Employment at clothing stores increased 202,000 in June , but it ’ s still down 40 % from last year .
The CNBC chart below breaks down each industry in terms of short and long term job losses/gains .
As you can see , clothing stores are in the long term job losses and short term gains category @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the short term loss and long term gain category .
Only 4 are in long term gains at all with couriers and messengers experiencing the most long term gains .
36 industries have long term losses .
The labor force participation rate rose from 60.8 % to 61.5 % which beat estimates for 61.1 % .
It ’ s still way below where it was before this recession ( 63.4 % ) .
The prime age labor force participation rate rose from 80.7 % to 81.5 % .
That ’ s the exact @ @ @ @ @ @ @ their being over 2 million more jobs created .
It ’ s still below the pre-recessionary level which was 83 % .
The average work week fell from 34.7 hours to 34.5 hours .
The May reading was actually the highest ever probably because essential workers were working longer hours .
Hourly wage growth fell from 6.7 % to 5 % as many of the workers that came back to their jobs were in low paid industries .
This missed estimates for 5.3 % growth .
Because of the decline in hourly wages @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fell sharply from 7.6 % to 5.3 % .
Obviously , the goal is to get people working again before we worry about the size of paychecks .
There are a few early warning signs which suggest the economy fell backwards in the 2nd half of June despite the great June jobs report .
There were 4.8 million jobs added which is a fantastic reading .
It pushed the adjusted for misclassification unemployment rate down 3.9 % .
The increase in ‘ permanent ’ job losses was concerning .
When the federal unemployment @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t immediately be able to go back to work .
Only 4 industries are experiencing long term job gains .
That ’ s compared to 36 experiencing long term losses .

by UPFINA
The June labor report was very strong. We will review it in this article. However, we can’t ignore the recent weakening in the data in the 2nd half of June which the labor report doesn’t capture. The ADP private sector payrolls report showed there were 2.369 million jobs added of which 937,000 were created by small firms. The chart below shows the small business pulse survey saw a change in the trend in the last 2 weeks of the month. July monthly data could be worse than June. The percentage of small firms saying hours worked increased fell from 13.1% to 11% in the final 2 weeks of June. The percentage reporting an increase in paid employment fell from 10.2% to 8.9%.
Not good. The latest Small Business Pulse Survey from the Census show fewer small firms reporting weekly gains in hours worked and paid employment through the week ending June 27. Jobs report was great, but also somewhat stale given recent high-frequency data. pic.twitter.com/dVvdG4H8qU — RenMac: Renaissance Macro Research (@RenMacLLC) July 2, 2020
This along with the weak jobless claims reports signal a potential trend change. That could be why stocks didn’t rally much following the great June BLS report on Thursday. The counter argument is that was the 4th day in a row stocks were up, so they may have already priced in strength. However, that might be incorrect because stocks were up more in the pre-markets before the labor report came out than where they closed the day at.
Fantastic June Labor Report
The June labor report was a continuation of the theme of reopenings allowing people to get their jobs back. There were 4.8 million jobs created. In our Twitter poll, only 26.7% of 75 followers said there would be over 4 million jobs created. This was clearly an upside surprise as the consensus among economists was 3 million. Furthermore, the May report was revised to show 2.699 million jobs added instead of 2.509 million.
The chart above shows the job losses in the downturn far outweigh the number added back in the past 2 months. The net difference is still -14.7 million jobs. On the positive side, the unemployment rate fell from 12.4% to 11.1%; that’s even with the misclassification gap falling. As we mentioned, with the added protocols, we expected the number of people misclassified as employed to fall sharply. The adjusted for misclassification unemployment rate fell from 16.4% to 12.3%. In other words, the actual improvement was even better than the headline rate indicates. In next month’s report, misclassification will probably shrink to such a small level it’s not worth mentioning. The U6 underemployment rate fell from 21.2% to 18% which is bay far the biggest decline in history (going back to 1994).
‘Permanent’ Job Loss Increases
‘Permanent’ job loss is when the relationship between the employee and worker is severed. The employer likely eliminated the position causing the ex-employee to need to find a new place to work. As you can see from the chart below, usually the percentage of unemployed workers not on temporary layoff increases in recessions. It fell sharply in this recession because this was an unusual one where most job losses were only temporary. People couldn’t go to work because of the virus. The worry during the worst of the recession was that many of these jobs wouldn’t come back.
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Eventually, there will be new jobs created in the next few years, but obviously that’s not as simple as just bringing people back. The percentage not on temporary layoff is 20.88% (about double from the recessionary bottom) which looks low on a historical basis. However, the unemployment rate is still higher than the peak of the last recession, so on an absolute basis it’s high. Specifically, there were 588,000 more ‘permanent’ job losses which brought the total to 2.9 million. The theory with ending the $600 federal unemployment benefit program is people need to be incentivized to work. However, at least 2.9 million people won’t be able to easily find a job once their benefits run out on July 25th.
Jobs By Industry
Leisure and hospitality gained the most jobs as it added 2.1 million. Next were retail with 740,000; healthcare with 475,000; and manufacturing with 360,000. Remember, Texas recently started delaying elective procedures which hurts the healthcare industry. The June ISM manufacturing PMI bounced back considerably which is a good sign. Even though leisure and hospitality added the most jobs, its employment is still down the most since before the recession as there are 28.6% fewer jobs in the industry. Information services, which pays the most, has 10.9% fewer jobs. Retail only has 8.1% fewer jobs. That’s because supermarkets and other necessary stores are included. Employment at clothing stores increased 202,000 in June, but it’s still down 40% from last year.
The CNBC chart below breaks down each industry in terms of short and long term job losses/gains. As you can see, clothing stores are in the long term job losses and short term gains category. Unfortunately, zero industries are in the short term loss and long term gain category. Only 4 are in long term gains at all with couriers and messengers experiencing the most long term gains. 36 industries have long term losses.
The labor force participation rate rose from 60.8% to 61.5% which beat estimates for 61.1%. It’s still way below where it was before this recession (63.4%). The prime age labor force participation rate rose from 80.7% to 81.5%. That’s the exact same percentage increase as last month despite their being over 2 million more jobs created. It’s still below the pre-recessionary level which was 83%.
The average work week fell from 34.7 hours to 34.5 hours. The May reading was actually the highest ever probably because essential workers were working longer hours. Hourly wage growth fell from 6.7% to 5% as many of the workers that came back to their jobs were in low paid industries. This missed estimates for 5.3% growth. Because of the decline in hourly wages and hours worked, weekly earnings growth fell sharply from 7.6% to 5.3%. Obviously, the goal is to get people working again before we worry about the size of paychecks.
Conclusion
There are a few early warning signs which suggest the economy fell backwards in the 2nd half of June despite the great June jobs report. There were 4.8 million jobs added which is a fantastic reading. It pushed the adjusted for misclassification unemployment rate down 3.9%. The increase in ‘permanent’ job losses was concerning. When the federal unemployment benefits expire, 2.9 million people won’t immediately be able to go back to work. Only 4 industries are experiencing long term job gains. That’s compared to 36 experiencing long term losses.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--If the outlook is so rosy, why are banks de-risking?

If the outlook is so rosy , why are banks de-risking ?
Shedding assets in the past 8 weeks ; more cash on their balance sheets ( over $ 3 TN ) than either consumer credit or res mtgs .
The fastest segment of bank balance sheets are T-notes and bonds — +68 % SAAR in the past 13 weeks !
while the banking index is down 34 % on the year .
It helps to look underneath the hood .
pic.twitter.com/lTQb5uSD2F 9,274 Stores Are Closing In 2020 – It ’ s The Pandemic And High Debt – More Will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2Q20 , totaling $ 23B , the most since 2009 .
Default rate now stands at 3.23 % .
That 's a five-year high , and up from 1.84 % at end of 1Q @ Kakourisr pic.twitter.com/jCu8zOGzfU 1 .
1200 checks been spent 2 .
Service industry accounted for much of June jobs data ; they are looking at layoffs again 3 .
Bills piling up , taxes due 15 June along w/ extra unemployment and mortgage deferments ending US govt needs get on it now ; not later We at 3T zone @ @

If the outlook is so rosy, why are banks de-risking? Shedding assets in the past 8 weeks; more cash on their balance sheets (over $3 TN) than either consumer credit or res mtgs. The fastest segment of bank balance sheets are T-notes and bonds — +68% SAAR in the past 13 weeks!
while the banking index is down 34% on the year. It helps to look underneath the hood. pic.twitter.com/lTQb5uSD2F
9,274 Stores Are Closing In 2020 – It’s The Pandemic And High Debt – More Will Close
27 US #leveragedloan defaults in 2Q20, totaling $23B, the most since 2009. Default rate now stands at 3.23%. That's a five-year high, and up from 1.84% at end of 1Q @Kakourisr pic.twitter.com/jCu8zOGzfU
1. 1200 checks been spent
2. Service industry accounted for much of June jobs data; they are looking at layoffs again
3. Bills piling up, taxes due 15 June along w/ extra unemployment and mortgage deferments ending
US govt needs get on it now; not later We at 3T zone this time
— 𝕮𝖍𝖎 🛢 (@chigrl) July 5, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-06--Significant Break lower in the US Dollar, colossal impact on risk assets

Significant Break lower in the US Dollar , colossal impact on risk assets ; 3 Things You Need to Know @ @ @

Significant Break lower in the US Dollar, colossal impact on risk assets; 3 Things You Need to Know, must-read…t.co/eBi0WP1lh7 pic.twitter.com/aHVsePqHYe
— Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) July 6, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--More data regarding ciclesonide as an anti-viral

Korean researchers have screened 48 FDA-approved drugs against SARS-CoV-2 , and found that 2 , which are already FDA-approved for other illnesses , seem promising .
The FDA approval for other uses would greatly reduce the time needed to gain FDA approval of use in COVID-19 .
The research is published in Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy , a journal of the American Society for Microbiology .
The investigators tested the drugs in Vero cells , a cell line developed from kidney cells of the African Green Monkey , which are commonly used to grow viruses for vaccine production .
An @ @ @ @ @ @ @ potent ” antiviral activity against SARS-CoV-2 , according to coauthors Sangeun Jeon , Meehyun Ko , and their collaborators , of the Zoonotic Virus Laboratory , Institut Pasteur Korea , Seongnam , Korea .
“ Not surprisingly , its broad-spectrum antiviral effect has been well documented in the literature , including antiviral properties against SARS- and MERS-CoV , ” they write .
A downside of niclosamide is low absorption , which undercuts the drug ’ s power by reducing the dose that reaches the target tissue .
However , “ Further development or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this drug to the target tissue , ” according to the report .
Despite substantially lower antiviral potency , ciclesonide , an inhaled corticosteroid used to treat asthma and allergic rhinitis , also showed promise against SARS-CoV-2 .
Intriguingly , the investigators note that a study published earlier this year ( by Matsuyama et al . )
a treatment report of 3 patients infected by SARS-CoV-2 , demonstrated antiviral activity and revealed the drug ’ s molecular target to be a viral protein called Nsp15 .
“ With its proven anti-inflammatory activity , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ which can manifest [ the ] dual roles [ of antiviral and anti-inflammatory ] for the control of SARS-CoV-2 infection , ” the investigators conclude .
The anti-inflammatory activity might play a critical role in dampening or preventing the cytokine storms , an immune inflammatory overreaction that can kill COVID-19 patients .
Reference : Jeon , et al .
( 2020 ) Identification of antiviral drug candidates against SARS-CoV-2 from FDA-approved drugs .
Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy , DOI : 10.1128/AAC.00819-20

by Jim
www.technologynetworks.com/drug-discovery/news/drug-screen-identifies-niclosamide-and-ciclesonide-as-antiviral-candidates-against-sars-cov-2-334337
Korean researchers have screened 48 FDA-approved drugs against SARS-CoV-2, and found that 2, which are already FDA-approved for other illnesses, seem promising. The FDA approval for other uses would greatly reduce the time needed to gain FDA approval of use in COVID-19. The research is published in Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, a journal of the American Society for Microbiology.
The investigators tested the drugs in Vero cells, a cell line developed from kidney cells of the African Green Monkey, which are commonly used to grow viruses for vaccine production.
An anti-helminthic drug called niclosamide demonstrated “very potent” antiviral activity against SARS-CoV-2, according to coauthors Sangeun Jeon, Meehyun Ko, and their collaborators, of the Zoonotic Virus Laboratory, Institut Pasteur Korea, Seongnam, Korea. “Not surprisingly, its broad-spectrum antiviral effect has been well documented in the literature, including antiviral properties against SARS- and MERS-CoV,” they write.
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A downside of niclosamide is low absorption, which undercuts the drug’s power by reducing the dose that reaches the target tissue. However, “Further development or drug formulation could enable effective delivery of this drug to the target tissue,” according to the report.
Despite substantially lower antiviral potency, ciclesonide, an inhaled corticosteroid used to treat asthma and allergic rhinitis, also showed promise against SARS-CoV-2. Intriguingly, the investigators note that a study published earlier this year ( by Matsuyama et al.) a treatment report of 3 patients infected by SARS-CoV-2, demonstrated antiviral activity and revealed the drug’s molecular target to be a viral protein called Nsp15.
“With its proven anti-inflammatory activity, ciclesonide may represent as a potent drug which can manifest [the] dual roles [of antiviral and anti-inflammatory] for the control of SARS-CoV-2 infection,” the investigators conclude. The anti-inflammatory activity might play a critical role in dampening or preventing the cytokine storms, an immune inflammatory overreaction that can kill COVID-19 patients.
Reference: Jeon, et al. (2020) Identification of antiviral drug candidates against SARS-CoV-2 from FDA-approved drugs. Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, DOI: 10.1128/AAC.00819-20


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--Ron Paul: Definition of a counted “case” is changed to cause a spike

Ron Paul , a well know libertarian , is opposed to government edicts and is especially allergic when fudged numbers are used to justify those edicts .
In Texas , the rising numbers of “ cases ” is being cited to justify governmental restrictions .
Texas State Department of Health Services changing the definition of what constitutes a “ Covid case ” … .
[ causing ] the mainstream media [ to declare ] that a “ second wave ” was on the way … and that cases were “ spiking.
” …on May 18th , it was revealed that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ case ” was a confirmed test result , the definition was suddenly changed to count “ probable ” cases as “ cases.
” At the same time , the threshold for determining “ probable ” was lowered to a ridiculous level .
As Judge Hill said at that May 18th meeting , “ If you have a subjective fever [ `` I feel hot ” ] and you have a headache and you live in Collin County , you now meet the qualifications to be a probable COVID patient .
Even worse @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was determined based on possibly unrelated subjective criteria , up to 15 people in possible contact with that “ probable ” case were also listed as “ probable cases.
” And “ probable cases ” were considered cases .
…Is it any wonder there was a “ spike ” in “ cases ” ?

by SP
Ron Paul, a well know libertarian, is opposed to government edicts and is especially allergic when fudged numbers are used to justify those edicts. In Texas, the rising numbers of “cases” is being cited to justify governmental restrictions.
.
Shifting the definition of a “case”
Texas State Department of Health Services changing the definition of what constitutes a “Covid case” …. [causing] the mainstream media [to declare] that a “second wave” was on the way … and that cases were “spiking.”
…on May 18th, it was revealed that while previously the determination of a Covid “case” was a confirmed test result, the definition was suddenly changed to count “probable” cases as “cases.” At the same time, the threshold for determining “probable” was lowered to a ridiculous level.
As Judge Hill said at that May 18th meeting, “If you have a subjective fever [“I feel hot”] and you have a headache and you live in Collin County, you now meet the qualifications to be a probable COVID patient.
And “probable cases” were considered cases.
Even worse, once a “probable” case was determined based on possibly unrelated subjective criteria, up to 15 people in possible contact with that “probable” case were also listed as “probable cases.” And “probable cases” were considered cases.
…Is it any wonder there was a “spike” in “cases”?


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--Thymosin Alpha 1 (Tα1) Reduces Mortality of Severe COVID-19 patients; also used as a prophylactic

A Belgian doctor sent an email advocating the use of Thymosin Alpha 1 in the treatment of SC2 , and indicating it ‘ decreases mortality by 66 % in severely affected COVID patients ’ .
Here is a small retrospective study from Wuhan of the use of Thymosin Alpha 1 in Sars-Cov2 treatment : Thymosin Alpha 1 ( Tα1 ) Reduces the Mortality of Severe COVID-19 by Restoration of Lymphocytopenia and Reversion of Exhausted T Cells I also came across this short article , which indicates the peptide was also used as a prophylactic with classic SARS in China : @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a naturally occurring 28-amino-acid peptide originally isolated from thymus .
It acts both as an immune modulator and direct-acting effect.1 Tα1 has been widely used and tested in a broad range of clinical applications including viral , fungal and bacterial infectious diseases , cancer and as a vaccine enhancer .
Due to its biological properties and safety profile Tα1 could be used as a protective agent in the elderly subjects with a higher susceptibility to infectious diseases .
Many people in China used Tα1 as a prophylactic agent against SARS-COV during the 2003 @

by JWhite
A Belgian doctor sent an email advocating the use of Thymosin Alpha 1 in the treatment of SC2, and indicating it ‘decreases mortality by 66% in severely affected COVID patients’.
Here is a small retrospective study from Wuhan of the use of Thymosin Alpha 1 in Sars-Cov2 treatment:
Thymosin Alpha 1 (Tα1) Reduces the Mortality of Severe COVID-19 by Restoration of Lymphocytopenia and Reversion of Exhausted T Cells
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32442287/
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I also came across this short article, which indicates the peptide was also used as a prophylactic with classic SARS in China:
covid19immune.com/articles/peptides/thymosin-alpha-1
Some highlights:
Thymosin α 1 (Tα1) is a naturally occurring 28-amino-acid peptide originally isolated from thymus. It acts both as an immune modulator and direct-acting effect.1
Tα1 has been widely used and tested in a broad range of clinical applications including viral, fungal and bacterial infectious diseases, cancer and as a vaccine enhancer.
Due to its biological properties and safety profile Tα1 could be used as a protective agent in the elderly subjects with a higher susceptibility to infectious diseases. Many people in China used Tα1 as a prophylactic agent against SARS-COV during the 2003 pandemic.2


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--What Will Be the Most Desirable Status Symbols in the Greater Depression?

Virtue-signaling texts from your $ 100 million yacht no longer impress , they enrage .
For the past five decades , celebrities and other wealthy folks have sought conventional status signifiers / symbols : a couple hundred thousand acres of ranchland , a luxe bug-out bunker in New Zealand , a private islet in the Caribbean , a winery , a mega-million dollar yacht , a hip bistro in Manhattan or Santa Monica , a sprawling mansion , and so on .
The more civic-minded mega-millionaires donated enough dough to a university to get a building named after them ( @ @ @ @ @ @ @ . )
, funded a children ’ s hospital or donated some of their couple hundred thousand acres of land to the Nature Conservancy or equivalent mainstream environmental group .
Now that the bogus “ prosperity ” of past 20 years has imploded , the nation is slip-sliding into the Greater Depression , and one consequence is that all these signifiers of obscene narcissism and ahem , privilege , will increasingly be viewed with extreme prejudice .
( Look it up , along with the film Apocalypse Now . )
Put another way @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will be , at a minimum , dÃ©classÃ© , veering perilously close to gauche embarrassment .
Those $ 100 plates at the celeb ’ s bistro and $ 90 bottles of wine at the celeb ’ s winery may be chump-change to the top-5-percenter customers anxious to be seen in your establishment , but they ’ re a whole day ’ s pay or more to those with real jobs in the real American economy .
In the Great Depression , fantasy films about debonair , witty millionaires were viewed as escapist fare @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Man who-dunnits ) .
In the far more brittle and polarized Greater Depression we ’ re entering , extremes of wealth and privilege will be more likely to spark outrage .
Once the tone-deaf celebs and super-wealthy awaken to this change in the zeitgeist , they will stage a land-rush into socially approved signifiers that will be designed to win the praise of social-media influencers while subtly distancing the celebs and super-wealthy from merely wealthy wannabe ’ s .
( Creating that class distinction is of course the entire point of status symbols @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it .
Merely donating cash or land and showing up once a year to fake participation will no longer cut it .
Celebs and the wealthy who want to score status points are going to have to actually get involved , not to run the world or generate philanthro-capitalist propaganda , but actually do something real that locals appreciate as genuine .
In other words , ditch the winery , private island and the named campus building and start running a homeless hotel , upscale soup kitchen , etc.
, where regular people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not once a year but regularly and with sincerity .
The ante will go up to set oneself apart from the run-of-the-mill narcissistic wealthy .
Virtue-signaling texts from your $ 100 million yacht no longer impress , they enrage .

by Charles Hugh-Smith
Virtue-signaling texts from your $100 million yacht no longer impress, they enrage.
For the past five decades, celebrities and other wealthy folks have sought conventional status signifiers / symbols: a couple hundred thousand acres of ranchland, a luxe bug-out bunker in New Zealand, a private islet in the Caribbean, a winery, a mega-million dollar yacht, a hip bistro in Manhattan or Santa Monica, a sprawling mansion, and so on.
The more civic-minded mega-millionaires donated enough dough to a university to get a building named after them (modesty is my middle name, etc.), funded a children’s hospital or donated some of their couple hundred thousand acres of land to the Nature Conservancy or equivalent mainstream environmental group.
Now that the bogus “prosperity” of past 20 years has imploded, the nation is slip-sliding into the Greater Depression, and one consequence is that all these signifiers of obscene narcissism and ahem, privilege, will increasingly be viewed with extreme prejudice. (Look it up, along with the film Apocalypse Now.)
Put another way, all these signifiers of obscene narcissism will be, at a minimum, dÃ©classÃ©, veering perilously close to gauche embarrassment.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Those $100 plates at the celeb’s bistro and $90 bottles of wine at the celeb’s winery may be chump-change to the top-5-percenter customers anxious to be seen in your establishment, but they’re a whole day’s pay or more to those with real jobs in the real American economy.
In the Great Depression, fantasy films about debonair, witty millionaires were viewed as escapist fare. (For example, The Thin Man who-dunnits). In the far more brittle and polarized Greater Depression we’re entering, extremes of wealth and privilege will be more likely to spark outrage.
Once the tone-deaf celebs and super-wealthy awaken to this change in the zeitgeist, they will stage a land-rush into socially approved signifiers that will be designed to win the praise of social-media influencers while subtly distancing the celebs and super-wealthy from merely wealthy wannabe’s. (Creating that class distinction is of course the entire point of status symbols: only the truly wealthy can afford it.
Merely donating cash or land and showing up once a year to fake participation will no longer cut it. Celebs and the wealthy who want to score status points are going to have to actually get involved, not to run the world or generate philanthro-capitalist propaganda, but actually do something real that locals appreciate as genuine.
In other words, ditch the winery, private island and the named campus building and start running a homeless hotel, upscale soup kitchen, etc., where regular people will see you doing something useful, not once a year but regularly and with sincerity.
The ante will go up to set oneself apart from the run-of-the-mill narcissistic wealthy. Virtue-signaling texts from your $100 million yacht no longer impress, they enrage.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--All Earning Releases for next week (Week of July 13th).

And so it begins

by AveenoFresh
Edit: MSFT Thursday 7/16 after close
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And so it begins


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--“The ECB is the most unaccountable central bank in the world. It was not modeled on the Bundesbank.

“The ECB is the most unaccountable central bank in the world. It was not modeled on the Bundesbank. It’s the revived Reichsbank.”, says  Richard Werner

`` The ECB is the most unaccountable central bank in the world .
It was not modeled on the Bundesbank @ @ @ @ @ Reichsbank .
`` , says @ scientificecon .
My whole interview with Richard Werner here @ @ @

"The ECB is the most unaccountable central bank in the world. It was not modeled on the Bundesbank. It's the revived Reichsbank.", says @scientificecon.
My whole interview with Richard Werner here:t.co/jpebs1bzg8 pic.twitter.com/du2UK566oT
— Paul Buitink (@paulbuitink) July 5, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--People with a bearish sentiment will be right in the end. This bubble is going pop soon and it will

Delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities jumped by 213 basis points in June to 3.59 % from 1.46 % .
It @ @ @ @ @ since Fitch Ratings began tracking the metric nearly 16 years ago .
The hotel and @ @ @ @ @ worst delinquencies , as the coronavirus has been especially hard on those industries .

People with a bearish sentiment will be right in the end. This bubble is going pop soon and it will wipe out many cocky permabulls. I say come in the arena like men, let a free market play out and lets see how tough you betas are. Most of you can't make profits without the FED. — Hoz (@Hoz94s) July 6, 2020
The percentage of CSI 300 members in overbought territory literally went from zero to sixty in less than two months. pic.twitter.com/PDOl5cRybY — David Ingles (@DavidInglesTV) July 6, 2020
$AMZN trading at 138X earnings, seems like slacker — 𝕮𝖍𝖎 🛢 (@chigrl) July 6, 2020
"Risk managers" can predict everything except an event that can put them out of business pic.twitter.com/vm4DaLzA7h — zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 6, 2020
RESTAURANTS: 33% of local restaurants are closed as of July 1, up from 20% on June 28 pic.twitter.com/idCBxmlDs5 — Keith McCullough (@KeithMcCullough) July 6, 2020
“More than 3,600 Chapter 11 cases were filed during the period, about 750 more than a year ago, data from bankruptcy software developer Epiq Systems Inc. show.” t.co/Bu5IVnwAzB — Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) July 6, 2020
Commercial mortgage delinquencies surged at record monthly rate in June Delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities jumped by 213 basis points in June to 3.59% from 1.46%. It was the largest one-month spike since Fitch Ratings began tracking the metric nearly 16 years ago. The hotel and retail sectors are seeing the worst delinquencies, as the coronavirus has been especially hard on those industries. www.cnbc.com/2020/07/06/commercial-mortgage-delinquencies-surged-at-record-monthly-rate-in-june.html?__source=androidappshare


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-07--CNBC: China told citizens to buy stocks, boosting market — ‘We have the Fed…China has its state medi

CNBC: China told citizens to buy stocks, boosting market — ‘We have the Fed…China has its state media’

– China ’ s state media fed an already exuberant Chinese stock market some extra fuel Monday with a report @ @ @ @ @ healthy bull market ” is important .
– The Shanghai stock market , up nearly @ @ @ @ @ added another 5.7 % after the report , along with gains in other Chinese markets @ @ @ @ @ on the prospect of an improving China , but they were also supported by stimulus @ @ @ @ @ central banks .

Key Points
– China’s state media fed an already exuberant Chinese stock market some extra fuel Monday with a report that said fostering a “healthy bull market” is important.
– The Shanghai stock market, up nearly 6% last week, added another 5.7% after the report, along with gains in other Chinese markets.
– Stocks globally surged on the prospect of an improving China, but they were also supported by stimulus from the world’s central banks.