investmentwatchblog--2020-09-23--The Likely Action To Follow Will Serve As FINAL PROOF

Gold , silver , and mining stocks plunged yesterday as a response to USD ’ s breakout .
For several times , we wrote that PMs tend to react to breakouts and breakdowns in the USDX more than they do compared to other moves in the index , and yesterday ’ s action served as the perfect confirmation for it .
The USD Index moved clearly and significantly above the declining resistance line .
The three consecutive daily closes did not confirm the breakout , but traders still seem to think that a daily close above the resistance happens to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that we were wrong to expect higher USDX values for weeks now and that our mid-year USDX broad bottoms theory is flawed .
Last Friday , we even told you that the early breakout invalidation could not be taken at its face ( bearish ) value .
This breakout proves that we were not that crazy after all .
Thereby , the action that will likely follow will serve as the final proof .
The long-term USD Index chart above points out to the critical situation and how tiny the rally was so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over $ 2 yesterday .
We ’ ve previously commented on the USDX chart above as follows : The USD Index is at a powerful combination of support levels .
One of them is the rising , long-term , black support line that ’ s based on the 2011 and 2014 bottoms .
The other major , long-term factor is the proximity to the 92 level – that ’ s when gold topped in 2004 , 2005 , and where it – approximately – bottomed in 2015 , and 2016 .
The USDX @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and it ’ s very oversold on a short-term basis .
It all happened in the middle of the year , which is when the USDX formed major bottoms on many occasions .
This makes a short-term rally here very likely .
While it might not be visible at the first sight ( you can click on the chart to enlarge it ) , the USD Index moved briefly below the long-term , black support line and then it invalidated this breakdown before the end of the week .
This is a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ weeks .
Based on the most recent price moves , the USDX is once again below the above-mentioned strong rising support line , but we doubt that this breakdown would hold .
We expect to see an invalidation thereof that is followed by a rally .
The above is still valid , especially if we keep USD ’ s yesterday ’ s breakout into consideration .
The implications for the precious metals market are very bearish .

by Przemyslaw Radomski via Sunshine Profits
Gold, silver, and mining stocks plunged yesterday as a response to USD’s breakout. For several times, we wrote that PMs tend to react to breakouts and breakdowns in the USDX more than they do compared to other moves in the index, and yesterday’s action served as the perfect confirmation for it.
The USD Index moved clearly and significantly above the declining resistance line. The three consecutive daily closes did not confirm the breakout, but traders still seem to think that a daily close above the resistance happens to be significant.
People might have thought that we were wrong to expect higher USDX values for weeks now and that our mid-year USDX broad bottoms theory is flawed. Last Friday, we even told you that the early breakout invalidation could not be taken at its face (bearish) value. This breakout proves that we were not that crazy after all. Thereby, the action that will likely follow will serve as the final proof.
The long-term USD Index chart above points out to the critical situation and how tiny the rally was so far. And yet, silver declined over $2 yesterday.
We’ve previously commented on the USDX chart above as follows:
The USD Index is at a powerful combination of support levels. One of them is the rising, long-term, black support line that’s based on the 2011 and 2014 bottoms.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The other major, long-term factor is the proximity to the 92 level – that’s when gold topped in 2004, 2005, and where it – approximately – bottomed in 2015, and 2016.
The USDX just moved to these profound support levels, and it’s very oversold on a short-term basis. It all happened in the middle of the year, which is when the USDX formed major bottoms on many occasions. This makes a short-term rally here very likely.
While it might not be visible at the first sight (you can click on the chart to enlarge it), the USD Index moved briefly below the long-term, black support line and then it invalidated this breakdown before the end of the week. This is a very bullish indication for the next few weeks.
Based on the most recent price moves, the USDX is once again below the above-mentioned strong rising support line, but we doubt that this breakdown would hold. We expect to see an invalidation thereof that is followed by a rally.
The above is still valid, especially if we keep USD’s yesterday’s breakout into consideration.
The implications for the precious metals market are very bearish.
Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA
Editor-in-chief, Gold & Silver Fund Manager
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--The First Casualty of the Fed’s New, Radical Inflation Policy

We have reported on the major troubles facing public pensions before , and how that could impact all retirement savers in the U.S. We also know that the Fed just committed to let inflation run hot , which is likely to take a big bite out of retirement savings in the form of higher costs for consumers .
But a newer set of problems is also beginning to take shape , and they don ’ t leave many options for savers .
According to a report from the website Governing : As shown in the chart below from NASRA ( @ @ @ @ @ @ @ public pension liabilities are continuing to grow in proportion to assets , while funding levels continue shrinking : So , the negative bond yields , combined with lower funding and higher liability to asset ratio , seem to point to one outcome for pension managers : a move towards higher-risk assets to get necessary returns .
But that could also prove to be problematic for both the retirement saver and the public pensions themselves , as identified in the Governing report : You can see from the chart below that the public pension @ @ @ @ @ @ @ already going down ( shown by the blue and green lines ) .
When you factor in the Fed ’ s recent turn toward a more inflationary policy , which could send inflation running as high as 13 % in the coming months , the declining returns will likely be eaten up even further by the dollar ’ s loss in value .
That would spell disaster for retirement savers with a public pension .
That ’ s the story as it relates to the “ official ” rate of inflation .
If @ @ @ @ @ @ @ real ” rate of inflation , those with public pensions might start to panic .
The official inflation rate , as we covered in a previous article , sits at 1.3 % .
( That low number is thanks in large part to an expected energy inflation offset . )
An astute commenter from that article recommended looking into real inflation at ShadowStats , as figured with methodology from 1980 ( something we ’ ve also reported on before ) : As you can see from the ShadowStats chart below , real inflation @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The “ monkeying ” our commenter was referring to has been explained in basic terms by the website ’ s owner , John Williams : So , as always , it seems like “ government reporting ” doesn ’ t want to tell the whole story .
And the real inflation rate of approximately 8 % will surely take a much bigger bite out of retirement savings across the board , including already-starving public pensions .
No matter the vehicle for your savings – whether it be a public pension , a 401 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ or anything else – it ’ s always good to have an exit plan .
If you haven ’ t already considered your exit plan , it might be time to take a hard look .
Look into diversification .
Shift assets as you deem necessary into different risk categories .
And , most importantly , be ready to shift more assets if things start to go south .
Consider precious metals like gold and silver , which have both been proven as a hedge against out of control inflation .

From Birch Gold Group
We have reported on the major troubles facing public pensions before, and how that could impact all retirement savers in the U.S.
We also know that the Fed just committed to let inflation run hot, which is likely to take a big bite out of retirement savings in the form of higher costs for consumers.
But a newer set of problems is also beginning to take shape, and they don’t leave many options for savers. According to a report from the website Governing:
The problem begins with bonds. One important consequence of these Fed actions is that the “real” yields (net of inflation) on Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are now negative, ranging from minus 0.3 percent to minus 1.3 percent depending on when they mature.
As shown in the chart below from NASRA (an association of retirement administrators), public pension liabilities are continuing to grow in proportion to assets, while funding levels continue shrinking:
So, the negative bond yields, combined with lower funding and higher liability to asset ratio, seem to point to one outcome for pension managers: a move towards higher-risk assets to get necessary returns.
But that could also prove to be problematic for both the retirement saver and the public pensions themselves, as identified in the Governing report:
Riskier assets like stocks and real estate may no longer provide a “free lunch” to protect retirees from future inflation while also reliably providing sufficient investment returns to fund the pensions.
You can see from the chart below that the public pension assumed “rate of return” is already going down (shown by the blue and green lines).
When you factor in the Fed’s recent turn toward a more inflationary policy, which could send inflation running as high as 13% in the coming months, the declining returns will likely be eaten up even further by the dollar’s loss in value. That would spell disaster for retirement savers with a public pension.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
That’s the story as it relates to the “official” rate of inflation. If the Fed would talk about the “real” rate of inflation, those with public pensions might start to panic.
“Real” Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head Again
The official inflation rate, as we covered in a previous article, sits at 1.3%. (That low number is thanks in large part to an expected energy inflation offset.)
An astute commenter from that article recommended looking into real inflation at ShadowStats, as figured with methodology from 1980 (something we’ve also reported on before):
As you can see from the ShadowStats chart below, real inflation currently sits north of 8%:
The “monkeying” our commenter was referring to has been explained in basic terms by the website’s owner, John Williams:
In general terms, methodological shifts in government reporting have depressed reported inflation, moving the concept of the CPI away from being a measure of the cost of living needed to maintain a constant standard of living.
So, as always, it seems like “government reporting” doesn’t want to tell the whole story.
And the real inflation rate of approximately 8% will surely take a much bigger bite out of retirement savings across the board, including already-starving public pensions.
Develop Your Own “Exit” Plan
No matter the vehicle for your savings – whether it be a public pension, a 401(k), an IRA, or anything else – it’s always good to have an exit plan.
If you haven’t already considered your exit plan, it might be time to take a hard look. Look into diversification. Shift assets as you deem necessary into different risk categories. And, most importantly, be ready to shift more assets if things start to go south. Consider precious metals like gold and silver, which have both been proven as a hedge against out of control inflation.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--3 Events That Have Greatly Shaken America During The Month Of September

We were warned to “ brace ourselves ” as we entered the month of September , and this month has definitely turned out to be a critical turning point .
As I write this article , some of the biggest wildfires in history continue to rage on the west coast , political activists are preparing for weeks of chaos in Washington D.C. as they attempt to derail Republican attempts to fill Ruth Bader Ginsburg ’ s vacant seat on the Supreme Court , and protesters all over the country are pouring into the streets filled with fury because of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Breonna Taylor case .
This entire year has been a nightmare , and it certainly appears that events are only going to escalate even more during the months ahead .
Let ’ s start by talking about the unprecedented wildfires on the west coast .
Right now , vast stretches of California , Oregon and Washington look like something out of a post-apocalyptic horror novel .
Entire communities have been completely wiped off the map and millions of acres have been burned .
Yes , there are wildfires every year , but we @ @ @ @ @ @ @ In fact , over the past two months we have seen five of the six biggest wildfires in the recorded history of the state of California… It had been hoped that cooler weather would mean that the worst was behind us , but instead authorities are warning that another “ heat dome ” will soon cover much of the west coast until early October… Thousands of firefighters struggling to contain dozens of blazes from California to Washington need a break in the weather to help them get the upper hand .
But while @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a blistering heat wave in mid-August and another record-shattering heat episode this month , the weather is poised to tip decidedly in the fires ’ favor .
A large area of high pressure , or a heat dome , is projected to build across the West at the same time as a large dip , or trough , in the jet stream delivers cold air to the Midwest and East beginning this weekend and continuing into early October .
So what this means is that the worst wildfire season in California history could @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a fire of a different sort has erupted on the east coast .
The sudden passing of Ruth Bader Ginsburg has set the stage for a battle for the ages in Washington .
No member of the Supreme Court has ever been more popular with the left than Ruth Bader Ginsburg , and liberal activists are absolutely mortified that President Trump has an opportunity to fill her seat .
It is expected that Trump will announce his nominee on Saturday , and he has said that it will be a woman .
At @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will come down to a choice between Amy Coney Barrett and Barbara Lagoa .
Mitch McConnell and other Republican leaders are telling Trump that picking Barrett would be the right choice for the nation , but many on his campaign team are telling Trump that picking Lagoa would be the smartest choice politically .
In the end , it will be very interesting to watch what Trump decides to do .
And in either case , we should expect Democrats to pull out all the stops in order to try to keep the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In the middle of the country , a stunning legal decision threatens to plunge major cities all over the nation into another round of civil unrest .
BLM activists were desperately hoping that the three police officers involved in the shootout that resulted in the death of Breonna Taylor would all be charged with murder .
Instead , only one officer was charged , and the only thing he was charged with doing wrong was “ shooting a gun into a neighboring apartment ” … This decision surprised a lot of people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ down to a fairly straightforward application of the law .
It was decided that the police officers were justified in shooting into Taylor ’ s apartment because they had been fired upon first… And that just makes sense .
If I was serving as a police officer and someone shot at me , I would definitely be shooting back .
But at this point no explanation of the legal issues is going to mitigate the pain and fury that we are seeing all over the nation .
Immediately after the decision was announced @ @ @ @ @ @ @ streets , and things soon became violent .
Two police officers have already been shot , and video footage of gunshots being fired that has been posted online is absolutely chilling .
What we are witnessing should greatly sadden all of us , because our society is literally being torn apart right in front of our eyes , and it should break our hearts to see Americans fighting Americans .
And it turns out that somebody anticipated that things would get crazy and had parked a U-Haul full of supplies right where the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ month this has already been , and I expect it to get even wilder .
The fight to stop Trump ’ s nominee for the Supreme Court will kick into high gear this weekend , and bitter disappointment over the Breonna Taylor decision is likely to spark protests in cities all over the nation for quite some time .
I believe that we have entered an era of permanent civil unrest in this country , and that is going to be true no matter who wins the election in November .
But of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the upcoming presidential election drags out for weeks or even months after November 3rd , that will just make things a whole lot worse .
I have such a bad feeling about what is coming , and so many others that I am hearing from feel the exact same way .
So we should continue to “ brace ourselves ” , because what we have been through already is just the tip of the iceberg .

by Michael Snyder
We were warned to “brace ourselves” as we entered the month of September, and this month has definitely turned out to be a critical turning point. As I write this article, some of the biggest wildfires in history continue to rage on the west coast, political activists are preparing for weeks of chaos in Washington D.C. as they attempt to derail Republican attempts to fill Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s vacant seat on the Supreme Court, and protesters all over the country are pouring into the streets filled with fury because of the decision that was just announced in the Breonna Taylor case. This entire year has been a nightmare, and it certainly appears that events are only going to escalate even more during the months ahead.
Let’s start by talking about the unprecedented wildfires on the west coast. Right now, vast stretches of California, Oregon and Washington look like something out of a post-apocalyptic horror novel. Entire communities have been completely wiped off the map and millions of acres have been burned.
Yes, there are wildfires every year, but we have never seen anything like this. In fact, over the past two months we have seen five of the six biggest wildfires in the recorded history of the state of California…
The staggering statistics keep piling up for California’s wildfire season: August and September account for five of the six biggest fires in nearly 90 years of recorded history for the state. The destructive Creek Fire that continues to burn in Fresno County grew about 3,000 acres between Monday and Tuesday for a new total of 283,724 acres, leapfrogging the 2017 Thomas Fire for the No. 6 spot, according to Cal Fire records. It is 30% contained.
It had been hoped that cooler weather would mean that the worst was behind us, but instead authorities are warning that another “heat dome” will soon cover much of the west coast until early October…
Thousands of firefighters struggling to contain dozens of blazes from California to Washington need a break in the weather to help them get the upper hand. But while temperatures have returned to near average after a blistering heat wave in mid-August and another record-shattering heat episode this month, the weather is poised to tip decidedly in the fires’ favor. A large area of high pressure, or a heat dome, is projected to build across the West at the same time as a large dip, or trough, in the jet stream delivers cold air to the Midwest and East beginning this weekend and continuing into early October.
So what this means is that the worst wildfire season in California history could soon get even worse.
Meanwhile, a fire of a different sort has erupted on the east coast.
The sudden passing of Ruth Bader Ginsburg has set the stage for a battle for the ages in Washington. No member of the Supreme Court has ever been more popular with the left than Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and liberal activists are absolutely mortified that President Trump has an opportunity to fill her seat.
It is expected that Trump will announce his nominee on Saturday, and he has said that it will be a woman.
At this point, it looks like it will come down to a choice between Amy Coney Barrett and Barbara Lagoa.
Mitch McConnell and other Republican leaders are telling Trump that picking Barrett would be the right choice for the nation, but many on his campaign team are telling Trump that picking Lagoa would be the smartest choice politically.
In the end, it will be very interesting to watch what Trump decides to do.
And in either case, we should expect Democrats to pull out all the stops in order to try to keep the seat from being filled before the election.
In the middle of the country, a stunning legal decision threatens to plunge major cities all over the nation into another round of civil unrest.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
BLM activists were desperately hoping that the three police officers involved in the shootout that resulted in the death of Breonna Taylor would all be charged with murder. Instead, only one officer was charged, and the only thing he was charged with doing wrong was “shooting a gun into a neighboring apartment”…
On Wednesday, a Kentucky grand jury indicted one of three police officers involved in the incident on charges of wanton endangerment for shooting a gun into a neighboring apartment. Former Louisville police officer Brett Hankison is facing three felony charges. Jonathan Mattingly and Myles Cosgrove, two other officers involved, were not charged.
This decision surprised a lot of people, but in the end it came down to a fairly straightforward application of the law. It was decided that the police officers were justified in shooting into Taylor’s apartment because they had been fired upon first…
But it likely hinged on what Attorney General Daniel Cameron told reporters Wednesday: Kentucky’s “vigorous laws on self-defense.” Cameron said there were no homicide charges again Sgt. Jonathan Mattingly and Officer Myles Cosgrove — who together fired 18 shots, six of which hit Taylor — “because they were justified in firing after being fired upon.”
And that just makes sense. If I was serving as a police officer and someone shot at me, I would definitely be shooting back.
But at this point no explanation of the legal issues is going to mitigate the pain and fury that we are seeing all over the nation.
Immediately after the decision was announced, protesters began to pour into the streets, and things soon became violent. Two police officers have already been shot, and video footage of gunshots being fired that has been posted online is absolutely chilling.
What we are witnessing should greatly sadden all of us, because our society is literally being torn apart right in front of our eyes, and it should break our hearts to see Americans fighting Americans.
And it turns out that somebody anticipated that things would get crazy and had parked a U-Haul full of supplies right where the protesters could find it…
A parked U-Haul was waiting for the crowd up the street. It contains supplies such as signs, shields, water etc. I’m not sure how people knew what it contained.
What a wild month this has already been, and I expect it to get even wilder.
The fight to stop Trump’s nominee for the Supreme Court will kick into high gear this weekend, and bitter disappointment over the Breonna Taylor decision is likely to spark protests in cities all over the nation for quite some time.
I believe that we have entered an era of permanent civil unrest in this country, and that is going to be true no matter who wins the election in November.
But of course if the fight over the result of the upcoming presidential election drags out for weeks or even months after November 3rd, that will just make things a whole lot worse.
I have such a bad feeling about what is coming, and so many others that I am hearing from feel the exact same way.
So we should continue to “brace ourselves”, because what we have been through already is just the tip of the iceberg.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--James Corbett: THIS Is The Battle For Humanity! – The Technocratic Enslavement END GAME!

Josh Sigurdson talks with James Corbett of The Corbett Report about the heightened level of tyranny throughout the world creating @ @ @ @ @ over the course of 2020 .
With the excuse of an illness , the governments @ @ @ @ @ to use a crisis to their extreme benefit and to the absolute servitude of the @ @ @ @ @ created in a lab ?
Regardless of whether it was or wasn ’ t , @ @ @ @ @ used against the public ?
What is the ultimate end game ?
James digs deep @ @ @ @ @ being created , influenced heavily by China and utilizing the crisis to install social credit @ @ @ @ @ This is THE battle for humanity as James points out .
This is extraordinarily important @ @ @ @ @ .
With social credit scores tied to medical tyranny , if we don ’ t @ @ @ @ @ be done forever .
Time is running out .

Josh Sigurdson talks with James Corbett of The Corbett Report about the heightened level of tyranny throughout the world creating a sort of prison planet over the course of 2020.
With the excuse of an illness, the governments of the world have managed to use a crisis to their extreme benefit and to the absolute servitude of the public.
Was this thing created in a lab? Regardless of whether it was or wasn’t, how’s it being used against the public?
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
What is the ultimate end game? James digs deep into the technocratic global government being created, influenced heavily by China and utilizing the crisis to install social credit tied to bank accounts.
This is THE battle for humanity as James points out. This is extraordinarily important and cannot be disregarded.
With social credit scores tied to medical tyranny, if we don’t act now, we may be done forever. Time is running out.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--Why Are So Many Asteroids Having Close Calls With Earth In 2020?

Have you noticed that it seems like stories about asteroids that are approaching the Earth are constantly in the news this year ?
It wasn ’ t always this way .
In the old days , maybe there would be a story about an asteroid every once in a while , and those stories were never a big deal .
But now asteroids are zipping by our planet with frightening regularity , and several more very notable passes will happen over the next few weeks .
For example , an asteroid that was just discovered on September 18th will come @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on Thursday .
According to NASA , it will actually come closer to our planet than many of our weather satellites… An asteroid about the size of an RV or small school bus will zoom past the Earth on Thursday , NASA announced , passing within 13,000 miles of the Earth ’ s surface .
That ’ s much closer than the moon and is actually closer than some of our weather satellites .
This asteroid will speed by at more than 17,000 mph , but the good news is that it is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a serious threat even if it hit us .
But two other very large asteroids are also going to pass the Earth by the end of this month , and both of them are large enough to do an enormous amount of damage… Two large asteroids will pass Earth in the next two weeks , with one measuring up to 426 feet in diameter and the other 656 feet—comparable in size to ancient Egypt ’ s Great Pyramid of Giza , which is 455 feet tall .
The first , smaller asteroid will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a distance of 3.6 million miles , according to NASA ’ s Center for Near Earth Object Studies , which tracks and predicts asteroids and comets that will come close to Earth .
The second larger asteroid will fly by on September 29 at a closer distance of 1.78 million miles .
The good news is that neither of them have a chance of hitting us this time around , but the fact that the Earth ’ s neighborhood has so much “ traffic ” these days is a major concern .
Any @ @ @ @ @ @ @ bullets get fired at you there is a very good chance that eventually you will get hit .
Let me give you a couple more examples of “ near Earth objects ” that are headed our way in the near future… In October , an “ unknown object ” is expected to enter our gravitational field and become a temporary “ mini-moon ” … And in November , we are being told that a small asteroid will come very close to our planet on the day before the election… Scientists say that it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ hit us , but they admit that they can not claim this with 100 percent certainty… And that ’ s why the future of 2018 VP₁ is uncertain .
It was observed 21 times over 13 days , which allows its orbit to be calculated fairly precisely .
We know it takes 2 years ( plus or minus 0.001314 years ) to go around the Sun .
In other words , our uncertainty in the asteroid ’ s orbital period is about 12 hours either way .
That ’ s actually pretty good @ @ @ @ @ @ @ – but it means we can ’ t be certain exactly where the asteroid will be on November 2 this year .
Fortunately , this particular asteroid is also too small to seriously hurt us , and we should be thankful for that .
But the fact that so many space rocks have been headed our way is definitely alarming .
Back in August , an asteroid the size of an SUV came extremely close to hitting our planet .
The following comes from NASA… What made that incident so unsettling was the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ see it until it had passed us… Unfortunately , the truth is that our scientists simply can not see everything that is up there .
They are doing their best , but everyone agrees that our technology is limited .
But over the last 20 years our technology has definitely improved , and at this point the number of asteroids that our scientists have identified is far greater than it was a couple of decades ago… Of course more giant space rocks are being discovered all the time , and unfortunately many of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have had a close encounter with our planet .
If NASA couldn ’ t see the asteroid that almost hit us in August in advance , what else can ’ t they see ?
And is it just our imagination that the number of close calls seems to be increasing , or are scientists just getting a whole lot better at detecting them ?
At this moment we don ’ t have all the answers , but we should be thankful that our experts are trying to keep a close watch on the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is just a matter of time before we are hit by a giant asteroid .
In the movie Deep Impact , such a scenario was called an “ extinction level event ” .
As I write this article , there are thousands of giant space rocks floating around up there that could cause such a disaster , and NASA is working to catalog them all as rapidly as they can .

by Michael Snyder
Have you noticed that it seems like stories about asteroids that are approaching the Earth are constantly in the news this year? It wasn’t always this way. In the old days, maybe there would be a story about an asteroid every once in a while, and those stories were never a big deal. But now asteroids are zipping by our planet with frightening regularity, and several more very notable passes will happen over the next few weeks. For example, an asteroid that was just discovered on September 18th will come very, very close to the Earth on Thursday. According to NASA, it will actually come closer to our planet than many of our weather satellites…
An asteroid about the size of an RV or small school bus will zoom past the Earth on Thursday, NASA announced, passing within 13,000 miles of the Earth’s surface. That’s much closer than the moon and is actually closer than some of our weather satellites.
This asteroid will speed by at more than 17,000 mph, but the good news is that it is so small that it would not be a serious threat even if it hit us.
But two other very large asteroids are also going to pass the Earth by the end of this month, and both of them are large enough to do an enormous amount of damage…
Two large asteroids will pass Earth in the next two weeks, with one measuring up to 426 feet in diameter and the other 656 feet—comparable in size to ancient Egypt’s Great Pyramid of Giza, which is 455 feet tall. The first, smaller asteroid will pass by Earth on September 25 at a distance of 3.6 million miles, according to NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies, which tracks and predicts asteroids and comets that will come close to Earth. The second larger asteroid will fly by on September 29 at a closer distance of 1.78 million miles.
The good news is that neither of them have a chance of hitting us this time around, but the fact that the Earth’s neighborhood has so much “traffic” these days is a major concern.
Any soldier will tell you that if enough bullets get fired at you there is a very good chance that eventually you will get hit.
Let me give you a couple more examples of “near Earth objects” that are headed our way in the near future…
In October, an “unknown object” is expected to enter our gravitational field and become a temporary “mini-moon”…
An object known as 2020 SO is heading towards Earth, and from October, it will be a ‘mini-moon’, which could stay in orbit of our planet until May next year. While we have The Moon, Earth regularly gets many small asteroids and meteors which caught in its orbit, which astronomers call ‘mini-moons’.
And in November, we are being told that a small asteroid will come very close to our planet on the day before the election…
An asteroid is projected to come close to the Earth on November 2, a day before the 2020 U.S. presidential election, the Center for Near Earth Objects Studies (CNEOS) at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory confirmed. The asteroid known as 2018VP1, first identified at Palomar Observatory in San Diego County, California, has a diameter of 0.002 kilometers (over 6.5 feet), according to the data.
Scientists say that it is not likely that this asteroid will hit us, but they admit that they cannot claim this with 100 percent certainty…
And that’s why the future of 2018 VP₁ is uncertain. It was observed 21 times over 13 days, which allows its orbit to be calculated fairly precisely. We know it takes 2 years (plus or minus 0.001314 years) to go around the Sun. In other words, our uncertainty in the asteroid’s orbital period is about 12 hours either way. That’s actually pretty good, given how few observations were made – but it means we can’t be certain exactly where the asteroid will be on November 2 this year.
Fortunately, this particular asteroid is also too small to seriously hurt us, and we should be thankful for that.
But the fact that so many space rocks have been headed our way is definitely alarming.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Back in August, an asteroid the size of an SUV came extremely close to hitting our planet. The following comes from NASA…
Near Earth Asteroids, or NEAs, pass by our home planet all the time. But an SUV-size asteroid set the record this past weekend for coming closer to Earth than any other known NEA: It passed 1,830 miles (2,950 kilometers) above the southern Indian Ocean on Sunday, Aug. 16 at 12:08 a.m. EDT (Saturday, Aug. 15 at 9:08 p.m. PDT).
What made that incident so unsettling was the fact that NASA didn’t even see it until it had passed us…
The flyby wasn’t expected and took many by surprise. In fact, the Palomar Observatory didn’t detect the zooming asteroid until about six hours after the object’s closest approach. “The asteroid approached undetected from the direction of the sun,” Paul Chodas, the director of NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies, told Business Insider. “We didn’t see it coming.”
Unfortunately, the truth is that our scientists simply cannot see everything that is up there.
They are doing their best, but everyone agrees that our technology is limited.
But over the last 20 years our technology has definitely improved, and at this point the number of asteroids that our scientists have identified is far greater than it was a couple of decades ago…
The animation maps out all known near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) — space rocks that get within about 30 million miles (50 million kilometers) of our planet’s orbit — from 1999 through January 2018, in roughly 10-year time steps. The differences are stark. In 1999, identified NEAs speckled the inner solar system thinly, in a light dusting. Many more were discovered by 2009, and Earth’s neighborhood looks absolutely swamped in the present-day portion of the video.
Of course more giant space rocks are being discovered all the time, and unfortunately many of them are not identified until after they have had a close encounter with our planet.
If NASA couldn’t see the asteroid that almost hit us in August in advance, what else can’t they see?
And is it just our imagination that the number of close calls seems to be increasing, or are scientists just getting a whole lot better at detecting them?
At this moment we don’t have all the answers, but we should be thankful that our experts are trying to keep a close watch on the skies because scientists tell us that it is just a matter of time before we are hit by a giant asteroid.
In the movie Deep Impact, such a scenario was called an “extinction level event”.
As I write this article, there are thousands of giant space rocks floating around up there that could cause such a disaster, and NASA is working to catalog them all as rapidly as they can.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--If this thing goes up.. you have to buy a bunker

If this thing goes up.. you have to buy a bunker pic.twitter.com/ogCXhcQmgh POWELL : HAVE DONE ‘ BASICALLY ALL OF @ @ @ @ @ THINK OF ’ If $ SPX drops below 3220 , the ongoing correction *might* extend @ @ @ @ @ territory .
Should this happen , the 2020 would be known for : – The @ @ @ @ @ The quickest bull market recovery ever – Another bear market

If this thing goes up.. you have to buy a bunker pic.twitter.com/ogCXhcQmgh — Alessio Urban (@AlessioUrban) September 23, 2020
POWELL: HAVE DONE ‘BASICALLY ALL OF THE THINGS THAT WE CAN THINK OF’ — FXHedge (@Fxhedgers) September 23, 2020
2/ Bigger picture possibility – Lucy in the sky with diamonds pic.twitter.com/f9xG0kBtno — Puff Dragon (@PuffDragon11) September 24, 2020
If $SPX drops below 3220, the ongoing correction *might* extend into a new bear market territory. Should this happen, the 2020 would be known for:
– The shortest bear market ever
– The quickest bull market recovery ever
– Another bear market [Red ares – short signal on my model] pic.twitter.com/tEbVhvlyq4 — Yuriy Matso (@yuriymatso) September 23, 2020
Silver is crashing -8% pic.twitter.com/7fE6Rl8N3M — Russian Market (@russian_market) September 23, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--US Mortgage Purchase Applications Surge 13.41% (Refi Apps Surge 20.92%)

It is difficult to keep an economy down with Covid-related shutdowns .
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association applications index @ @ @ @ @ 13.41 % for the week ending 09/18 .
Unadjusted refinancing applications rose 20.92 % .
@ @ @ @ @ in late April or early May , but due to Covid , they peaked this @ @ @ @ @ had another boost in the latest week .
Mortgage rates , according to Freddie Mac @ @ @ @ @ data , is at 2.87 % .
You can see the impact of easy credit @ @ @ @ @ , …

by confoundedinterest17
It is difficult to keep an economy down with Covid-related shutdowns.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association applications index, unadjusted purchase applications rose 13.41% for the week ending 09/18. Unadjusted refinancing applications rose 20.92%.
Mortgage purchase applications usually peak in late April or early May, but due to Covid, they peaked this year in late June and had another boost in the latest week.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Mortgage rates, according to Freddie Mac’s latest loan committement data, is at 2.87%.
You can see the impact of easy credit standards on mortgage purchase applications, …
Elliott wave for mortgage refinancing?


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--The ECB must be noting the Euro area slow down with dismay

Yesterday we noted the communications problems of the Bank of England as it performs the dance known as the Hokey Cokey on the subject of negative interest-rates .
Today we have the opportunity to note what the European Central Bank which applies what is negative interest-rate policy or NIRP 2.0 .
What do I mean by that ?
Well it has had negative interest-rates since the 11th June 2014 and the Deposit rate is now -0.5 % .
But due to the negative impact of this in the banks they have introduced a -1 % interest-rate for them as the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Precious .
This is the 2.0 part .
The next issue is how is this going ?
So let me hand you over to Yves Mersch who has been interviewed by Bloomberg today .
I must say that since the last time we took action , the least one could say is that things in the economy have not gone for the worse .
And even with sometimes conflicting incoming information , most of it has led us to say that the risk balance may still be somewhat to the downside but less @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that led us to no change because we said we are broadly in line with our baseline .
Looking also at new incoming information I think nothing is pointing to a further deterioration at least not on the front of prices and production .
Of course he quickly moved onto the subject of the banks .
This reminds me of Monday ’ s press release on the banks .
I do not know about you but in a situation where Deutsche Bank has been alleged to be the largest player ( US $ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ scandal this is not the best time for such an announcement .
The Markit PMI for the Euro area posed a question about the Mersch view above .
We see that according to Markit manufacturing in Germany is growing ( 56.6 ) but France is finding things tougher .
The reading of 48.5 was driven by the services sector ( 47.5 ) .
It contrasted quite a bit with the 53.7 recorded by Germany .
These numbers and readings need a fair bit of qualification these days , as they too have had @ @ @ @ @ @ @ simply tell us the difference between last month and this means that rather than continuing to recover the economy has stalled .
We may learn a little from the employment view because the official data is frankly useless right now due to the definitions not allowing for things like furlough schemes .
So we see a slowing economy with falling employment which I think is the most we can take from a PMI release .
Meanwhile the ECB is about to get active in other areas .
which relates this this announcement .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ in his interview .
I have two main views on this .
The first is that such matters are decisions for elected politicians and governments not technocrats looking for good PR .
So it is a type of mission creep .
Next comes the issue that we need large improvements in our ability to store energy for this to work .
As we stand that relies on battery technology and as yesterday was Tesla Battery Day let me hand you over to Wired .
To be fair to Yves Mersch he has his @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for the outer limits of monetary policy we are being taught a different type of limit .
Let me give you an example which would have been regarded as a triumph in its early days and indeed some are promoting it as one this morning .
So relative to Germany which is the benchmark bond yields have tightened which ceteris paribus is a success for the Euro ( more consistency of interest-rates ) .
In a market sense it is indeed very welcome for those punting , or excuse me , investing in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to type this very often it is some good news for Italian banks who hold lots of Italian government bonds .
It is also good news for the Italian government which can borrow more cheaply .
The catch is that it is being driven by the purchases of the ECB .
It has two programmes buying government bonds .
But the crucial point is more than this because if we move to expectations markets expect the ECB to be not only a buyer of last resort but currently a buyer of first resort @ @ @ @ @ @ @ times will expect the purchases to be permanent .
But if we switch to the real economy we see another type of limit which is that economic growth was poor pre pandemic and now the recovery from the drop is fading .
So markets can be manipulated but economies are still in trouble .
However maybe in the morass there are some seeds of hope as I note this from Yves which would be quite an improvement .

by Shaun Richards
Yesterday we noted the communications problems of the Bank of England as it performs the dance known as the Hokey Cokey on the subject of negative interest-rates. Today we have the opportunity to note what the European Central Bank which applies what is negative interest-rate policy or NIRP 2.0. What do I mean by that? Well it has had negative interest-rates since the 11th June 2014 and the Deposit rate is now -0.5%. But due to the negative impact of this in the banks they have introduced a -1% interest-rate for them as the ECB attempts to shovel cash to The Precious. This is the 2.0 part.
The next issue is how is this going? So let me hand you over to Yves Mersch who has been interviewed by Bloomberg today.
I must say that since the last time we took action, the least one could say is that things in the economy have not gone for the worse. And even with sometimes conflicting incoming information, most of it has led us to say that the risk balance may still be somewhat to the downside but less so than it has been, and that led us to no change because we said we are broadly in line with our baseline. Looking also at new incoming information I think nothing is pointing to a further deterioration at least not on the front of prices and production.
Of course he quickly moved onto the subject of the banks.
The second element of uncertainty is the feedback from the banking sector, let’s call it the financial amplification. Measures have been taken and this is not only measures from the monetary policy side: collateral, ample liquidity, the TLTROs, tiering PEPP. It is also the supervisory actions, the regulatory adjustment
This reminds me of Monday’s press release on the banks.
The ESCB report proposes to reduce the reporting burden for banks in the fields of statistical, resolution and prudential reporting without losing the information content that is indispensable to monetary policy, resolution and supervisory tasks.
I do not know about you but in a situation where Deutsche Bank has been alleged to be the largest player ( US $1.3 trillion) in a money laundering scandal this is not the best time for such an announcement.
Today’s Evidence
The Markit PMI for the Euro area posed a question about the Mersch view above.
Business activity stalled across the eurozone in
September, albeit with increasingly divergent trends
by sector and country. Faster growth of
manufacturing, led by Germany, was offset by a
renewed downturn in the service sector, which was
often linked to resurgent coronavirus disease 2019
(COVID-19) infection rates.
We see that according to Markit manufacturing in Germany is growing ( 56.6) but France is finding things tougher.
France meanwhile saw business activity
deteriorate for the first time in four months as falling
service sector output more than offset a modest
rise in factory production.
The reading of 48.5 was driven by the services sector (47.5). It contrasted quite a bit with the 53.7 recorded by Germany.
These numbers and readings need a fair bit of qualification these days, as they too have had problems. The first is that they simply tell us the difference between last month and this means that rather than continuing to recover the economy has stalled.
We may learn a little from the employment view because the official data is frankly useless right now due to the definitions not allowing for things like furlough schemes.
Employment was meanwhile cut for a seventh
successive month. Although the rate of job losses
moderated further from April’s record peak, the
pace remained higher than at any time since June 2013 prior to the pandemic. An easing in
manufacturing job cutting to the lowest since
February contrasted with a slight increase in the
rate of job losses in services, reflecting the
divergent business activity trends between the two
sectors. Reduced staff cuts in Germany and France
were partly countered by greater job losses in the
rest of the region.
So we see a slowing economy with falling employment which I think is the most we can take from a PMI release.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The Green Green Grass of Home
Meanwhile the ECB is about to get active in other areas.
A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step. ( Isabel Schnabel )
which relates this this announcement.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has decided that bonds with coupon structures linked to certain sustainability performance targets will become eligible as collateral for Eurosystem credit operations and also for Eurosystem outright purchases for monetary policy purposes, provided they comply with all other eligibility criteria.
However I think Yves Mersch covered it in his interview.
Of course the markets like if we buy up everything that they have.
I have two main views on this. The first is that such matters are decisions for elected politicians and governments not technocrats looking for good PR. So it is a type of mission creep. Next comes the issue that we need large improvements in our ability to store energy for this to work. As we stand that relies on battery technology and as yesterday was Tesla Battery Day let me hand you over to Wired.
To be sure, Tesla’s new battery appears to offer large performance gains in a few key areas, but it was unclear whether Tesla has actually achieved these upgrades or whether this is the projected performance for the finalized battery.
To be fair to Yves Mersch he has his own concerns.
The difficult part is the circumscription, definition, there’s a lot of greenwashing going around as well
Comment
As the ECB stretches for the outer limits of monetary policy we are being taught a different type of limit. Let me give you an example which would have been regarded as a triumph in its early days and indeed some are promoting it as one this morning.
AMSTERDAM, Sept 23 (Reuters) – Italy’s 30-year bond yield fell to a record low on Wednesday…….Italian bond yields tumbled on Tuesday and on Wednesday the 30-year yield dropped to as little as 1.76% in early trade .
So relative to Germany which is the benchmark bond yields have tightened which ceteris paribus is a success for the Euro ( more consistency of interest-rates). In a market sense it is indeed very welcome for those punting, or excuse me, investing in it.As I do not get the opportunity to type this very often it is some good news for Italian banks who hold lots of Italian government bonds. It is also good news for the Italian government which can borrow more cheaply.
The catch is that it is being driven by the purchases of the ECB. It has two programmes buying government bonds. But the crucial point is more than this because if we move to expectations markets expect the ECB to be not only a buyer of last resort but currently a buyer of first resort. Also my financial lexicon for these times will expect the purchases to be permanent.
It is subject to constraints vetted by the ECJ, and it is temporary as we have already once suspended it. The PEPP is exceptional and therefore temporary. ( Yves Mersch )
But if we switch to the real economy we see another type of limit which is that economic growth was poor pre pandemic and now the recovery from the drop is fading. So markets can be manipulated but economies are still in trouble.
However maybe in the morass there are some seeds of hope as I note this from Yves which would be quite an improvement.
Another question is whether we collect only prices of goods and services, or should look into experiences with a cost of living index rather than a CPI.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--Forest Fires Aren’t at Historic Highs in the United States. Not Even Close

The world is boiling hot and that causes forest fires .
We aren ’ t going to let actual facts come in the way !
California ’ s wildfires are a serious matter , but the official record of the United States shows forest fires in the US today are far below the annual average in the 1930s and 1940s .
California wildfires have been in the news in recent weeks .
As I noted Thursday , the Golden State is experiencing one of the worst fire seasons in recent memory .
Newly updated figures from the California Department of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been nearly 8,000 wildfires that have burned more than 3.4 million acres in California .
Since August 15 , when the state ’ s fire activity elevated sharply , there have been 25 fatalities and some 5,400 structures destroyed .
Despite widespread news coverage , some have argued many do not appreciate the historic severity of the blazes .
“ There are two dozen fires burning right now that singularly would have been the top story on the national news 10 or 20 years ago , ” Daniel Swain , a climate scientist @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Atmospheric Research , told Robinson Meyer .
Meyer , a staff writer at The Atlantic who covers climate change and technology , says California has already experienced its worst fire season in state history .
In the past few months , one in every 33 acres of California has burned .
This year is already the most destructive wildfire season , in terms of acreage affected , in state history .
In 2018 , during California ’ s last annus horribilis , I noted that six of the 10 largest wildfires in state @ @ @ @ @ @ @ list has since been completely rewritten .
Today , six of California ’ s 10 largest wildfires have happened since 2018—and five of them have happened this year .
Writing at The Week , Damon Linker proclaimed that the fires represent the dawn of an apocalypse .
Linker cites Meyers and an unnamed friend in Oregon who said he ’ s never seen anything like the recent blazes .

Facts don’t matter
The world is boiling hot and that causes forest fires. We aren’t going to let actual facts come in the way!
California’s wildfires are a serious matter, but the official record of the United States shows forest fires in the US today are far below the annual average in the 1930s and 1940s.
California wildfires have been in the news in recent weeks. As I noted Thursday, the Golden State is experiencing one of the worst fire seasons in recent memory.
Newly updated figures from the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection show there have been nearly 8,000 wildfires that have burned more than 3.4 million acres in California. Since August 15, when the state’s fire activity elevated sharply, there have been 25 fatalities and some 5,400 structures destroyed.
Despite widespread news coverage, some have argued many do not appreciate the historic severity of the blazes.
“There are two dozen fires burning right now that singularly would have been the top story on the national news 10 or 20 years ago,” Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA and the National Center for Atmospheric Research, told Robinson Meyer.
Meyer, a staff writer at The Atlantic who covers climate change and technology, says California has already experienced its worst fire season in state history.
In the past few months, one in every 33 acres of California has burned. This year is already the most destructive wildfire season, in terms of acreage affected, in state history. In 2018, during California’s last annus horribilis, I noted that six of the 10 largest wildfires in state history had happened since 2008. That list has since been completely rewritten. Today, six of California’s 10 largest wildfires have happened since 2018—and five of them have happened this year.
Writing at The Week, Damon Linker proclaimed that the fires represent the dawn of an apocalypse. Linker cites Meyers and an unnamed friend in Oregon who said he’s never seen anything like the recent blazes.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--What happened to Jerry Nadler?

What happened to Jerry Nadler?

I dare someone to believe that @ JerryNadler did not just shit his pants .
pic.twitter.com/1rMtUqelUN

I dare someone to believe that @JerryNadler did not just shit his pants. pic.twitter.com/1rMtUqelUN
— men_of_arms (@moa_wearemoa) September 23, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--Fed President Hints At Another Credit Crunch Within Weeks (Will Silver Drop Further???)

The U.S. economy will face more foreclosures and business bankruptcies in the fall and winter as in infections rise and @ @ @ @ @ .
These conditions will make it harder for consumers and businesses to access credit .
@ @ @ @ @ !
!
!

The U.S. economy will face more foreclosures and business bankruptcies in the fall and winter as in infections rise and no additional fiscal aid provided. These conditions will make it harder for consumers and businesses to access credit. Brace for another market correction!!!
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--2 men shot in ambush at NE Houston gas station

Two men were shot Thursday in an ambush at a gas station in Kashmere Gardens in northeast Houston , according @ @ @

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ti_T76V4a7k&feature=emb_title
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Two men were shot Thursday in an ambush at a gas station in Kashmere Gardens in northeast Houston, according to police.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--Business closure is not looking good.

Business closure is not looking good.

Business closure is not looking good .
pic.twitter.com/dKcqz5XpPN

Business closure is not looking good. pic.twitter.com/dKcqz5XpPN
— Gianluca De Stefano (@Theimmigrant84) September 24, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--Even the media is not ‘woke’ enough for the Democrats!

Even the media is not ‘ woke ’ enough for the Democrats !
pic.twitter.com/mgozmEEysk

Even the media is not ‘woke’ enough for the Democrats! pic.twitter.com/mgozmEEysk
— Rep. Jim Jordan (@Jim_Jordan) September 24, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--How to CONSISTENTLY Outperform the S&P500 using Theta Gang Strategy. A Comprehensive Guide to Wheeli

How to CONSISTENTLY Outperform the S&P500 using Theta Gang Strategy. A Comprehensive Guide to Wheeling ETFs.

This will be long , but it will also be concise , and is filled with information .
Do yourself a favor and read it thoroughly .
Don ’ t complain that I got something wrong if you only skimmed the post .
I ’ ve been studying options for years , and have read great books such as OAASI cover to cover .
In other words , I know some shit .
My goal here is to impart a simple strategy that can significantly outperform a “ buy and hold ” strategy on any major index , both so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also to rub it in the faces of those no-nothing /r/investing types who shun options .
One final note before we begin .
I realize you can potentially increase returns on this strategy by utilizing margin to sell naked options and such… but I don ’ t want to advocate a strategy that could blow up retards accounts .
What I will advocate here is a 100 % cash strategy and has no risk of a margin call .
This strategy is necessarily no riskier than buying and holding an index fund .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ increase your returns , I would suggest simply using margin to own double the amount of assigned and held stock , in order to sell double the number of covered calls .
This is a relatively safe way to increase returns .
The Wheel : An IMPROVED “ Buy and Hold ” Strategy Forget credit spreads , diagonal spreads , iron condors , and all that often complicated jazz .
The absolute best and simplest theta gang strategy , in my humble opinion , is The Wheel .
But I ’ m going @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of The Wheel here , and that makes all the difference .
While spreads can be effective , we want to maximize returns by collecting FULL PREMIUM for options , and not hedging like a pussy .
When you think about The Wheel , I want you to picture an IMPROVED “ buy and hold ” strategy .
The tried and true advice of most financial advisors out there is to drop cash in something like an index fund and forget about it .
While this is good and all , we can @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
What we are attempting here is to mimic a “ buy and hold ” strategy , while consistently augmenting returns by collecting option premium on top .
The Wheel is a simple concept .
You sell cash-secured puts and collect premium .
If you ever get assigned , you hold and sell covered calls on the assigned stock .
If your stock ever gets called away , you go back to selling puts .
Rinse and repeat , ad infinitum .
The question of which options to sell and why gets complicated @ @ @ @ @ @ @ below , but for simplicity I am advocating simply sticking to 30-45 DTE ~0.30 delta options on major ETFs .
You want to get PAID to buy stock at a CHEAP price .
You can do that by selling OTM cash-secured puts .
And you want to get PAID to sell stock at a HIGH price .
You can do that by selling OTM covered calls .
When you understand this basic concept , you understand 90 % of this strategy .
This will outperform “ buy and hold ” for two reasons @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on top of stock appreciation , 2 ) It reduces the cost basis for potential stock purchases .
These factors also ensure reduced volatility compared with “ buy and hold , ” as both premium and reduced entry points offer downside protection from falling assets .
This is inherently a long-term strategy ; if you are unwilling to hold an ETF long-term through a drop or even a recession , don ’ t waste your time… you WILL lose money .
When I ’ ve looked for counter-arguments to The Wheel strategy , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it works until it doesn ’ t. ” In other words , these people argue that if you run The Wheel on a stock that drops hard and doesn ’ t recover , you will lose money .
This argument completely falls apart if you run The Wheel on INDEX ETFs .
SPY and other major indices have recovered from every crash they have ever experienced .
Individual stocks like Enron have not .
If we want to mimic a conservative “ buy and hold ” strategy WITH diversification , we will only @ @ @ @ @ @ @ major argument against The Wheel entirely , since it achieves instant diversification and will mimic the broader market .
If you think the US economy will crash and never recover , you should be buying guns and ammo and not options .
The only REAL argument against The Wheel is that you could potentially lose out on stock appreciation during heavy bull runs .
While this is true , we will show below that this argument doesn ’ t hold much weight .
It is relatively simple to calculate potential returns for this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ now using option prices on SPY as of 9/24/2020 .
Keep in mind IV is currently high , and so these returns will be inflated relative to a calmer market .
Also keep in mind that annualizing returns based on one-month results can get wonky .
This is just an example to get a picture of how things work .
There are two phases to this strategy : Selling CSP ’ s and selling CC ’ s .
We will calculate each separately , using 30 DTE options and ignoring compounding for simplicity @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for the above calculations .
The first is that if the S & P500 rallies well past our CC strike price , we will lose out on those potential gains .
This means the CC-side return for the S & P is capped , which can be calculated as follows : By reversing this we can calculate how much SPY would have to rise to outperform us .
In other words , if SPY rises more than $ 13 in one month it will outperform us , but only for THAT MONTH .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ t achieve 48 % returns annually and so bull months will be offset by flat and bear months .
We will outperform the S & P in both those categories as shown above , which will more than make up the difference in lost potential gains .
One final note : These calculations assume that all options are held until expiration .
In practice , returns can be increased by closing winning positions early .
If you achieve 70 % gain in 10 days , it makes little sense to wait another 20 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ premium .
Simply close and roll as necessary .
To run the strategy I am advocating on SPY , you would need a minimum account size of ~ $ 35,000 .
I know a lot of you don ’ t have that much money , so I ’ ve done a little experiment for smaller accounts .
I set aside a fund to run The Wheel on smaller ETFs , such as XLE , XLF , and GDX .
To run the wheel on these individually you would need an account size no @ @ @ @ @ @ @ smaller ETFs such as SILJ could be run for as little as $ 1500 , though they are more risky and less liquid .
To prove the concept for smaller accounts , I set aside $ 10,000 and ran smaller ETFs such as these for 4 months .
After 4 months , I achieved a 41 % annualized return .
This outperformed the SPY ETF during the same period by around 5 % , despite the fact the ETFs utilized underperformed relative to SPY .
This , in my view , provides some @ @ @ @ @ @ @ would have dropped significantly during this recent market drop , which is why I stopped running the strategy on the 18th , to avoid losing my own money just for proof of concept .
The best strategy will always be adaptive to market conditions , but if you want a one-size-fits-all approach , The Wheel is probably the best you can get .
In one instance I used margin to purchase an additional 100 shares of SILJ to sell a second CC for “ free ” ( minus margin costs ) , just @ @ @ @ @ @ @ can be safely used to increase returns .
I also sold ATM options on SILJ shares because I wanted to dump it quickly before the crash , and to collect higher premiums .
Got very lucky and sold right before the drop on Monday .
This is an example of how to adapt the strategy based on your market predictions .
Here is a complete breakdown of my trades during this 4 month period .
Notice that I usually closed positions early in order to increase my $ /day return .
A prominent @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that you should always avoid assignment .
However , they never made a compelling case for WHY you should avoid assignment .
There is an argument to be made for such a position , which I will provide soon .
However , there are also a number of arguments to be made in favor of accepting or even seeking assignment .
They run as follows : • Time Premium is maximized when the strike price is ATM .
If we are selling time premium ( Theta ) , selling ATM will tend to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ picture didn ’ t exist on the internet until now… 2 ) If we are bullish on an Index long-term , we shouldn ’ t have any problem accepting stock ownership .
In fact , it will likely increase our returns due to stock appreciation on top of option premium .
3 ) Stock can be more easily owned on margin than options .
Holding double the stock on margin and selling twice as many covered-calls will outperform selling cash-secured puts long-term .
These past guides also focused on running The Wheel on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not yet seen a guide advocating The Wheel purely on Index ETFs to mimic and outperform a “ buy and hold ” diversified strategy .
This is perhaps the most important takeaway from this guide .
This strategy is simple enough… Where it gets complicated is in the details .
And the most difficult question of all is whether to sell ATM , or OTM , and if so how deep ?
In a bull market : You want to sell ATM puts and OTM calls .
In a bear market : You @ @ @ @ @ @ @ calls .
In a completely flat market : You want to sell ATM puts and ATM calls .
The reasoning is simple .
If the market is rising , you want to maximize premium on your puts by selling ATM .
You also want OTM calls so you don ’ t lose out on gains in stock appreciation when the price rises .
The ideal depth for OTM calls would be just above the total underlying appreciation ( which obviously is difficult to predict in advance ) .
By the same token , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ want to sell OTM puts for downside protection against assignment , and you want to sell ATM calls to maximize premium .
In a flat market you simply want to maximize premium and have no need for upside or downside protection , and so ATM will perform best .
If you are brilliant and prescient like me , you can navigate these complicated waters and adapt to the market accordingly .
If you are a retard , on the other hand , you can ’ t easily predict where the market is headed… @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the following : ALWAYS SELL OTM ON BOTH ENDS .
This will give you downside protection from drops , and also give you upside protection from rallies .
The consequence of this is your premium returns will be reduced relative to someone who strategically sells ATM options , but that is an acceptable loss for a safer and more conservative strategy if you don ’ t know wtf you are doing .
You will still outperform “ buy and hold ” using this strategy , while also achieving reduced volatility .
Aiming for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Prob ITM options , seems conservative enough for me .
You can adjust accordingly based on your personal risk tolerance .
If you want a more conservative strategy , aim further OTM .
If you want more aggressive strategy , aim closer ATM .
Keep in mind you MUST be willing to hold stock long-term through a drop to make this strategy viable !
If you aren ’ t willing to actually “ buy and hold ” while selling covered calls , look to gamble elsewhere .
The reasoning for selling 30-45 DTE @ @ @ @ @ @ @ among others , is because theta decay for ATM options accelerates around this range .
However , this is only true for ATM options , and OTM options theta decay can actually decelerate closer to expiration .
It is likely better to go for longer dated OTM options for this reason , though it won ’ t make a huge difference imo .
I would suggest keeping things simple and maintaining a habit around this range .
Some people attempt to run The Wheel by selling short-term weeklies/FDs .
These individuals are not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are attempting to scalp gamma .
While this can work , it is not really the consistent , safe , long-term strategy we are looking for here .
It also suffers from the reduced theta decay for OTM options which I stated above .
If you want to gamble , you might as well be BUYING the FD ’ s , not SELLING them !
I would usually close my options at 50 % + return and roll forward/up when necessary .
This will tend to yield greater $ /day returns if the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ For example : If you make 80 % return in 10 days , it makes little sense to hold another 20+ days for another 20 % premium gain .
Simply close the position and collect the secured premium to release collateral for another sell .
If the underlying is moving against your direction , you generally want to hold until expiration and collect 100 % of the premium , even if that means assignment .
Closing a sold option for a loss will DESTROY the returns of The Wheel !
Do not do @ @ @ @ @ @ @ long , so I will stop here .
I apologize if I ’ ve made any mistakes while writing this .
Feel free to ask any questions and I will do my best to answer them !
Edit : Going to edit in important points others bring up .
• This is obviously less tax friendly than buy and hold .
Running the strategy within a Roth IRA will eliminate this drawback .
• This strategy is very different from others such as the buy-write strategy .
For one thing , the buy-write @ @ @ @ @ @ @ something we will never do .
• I should have made it more clear that we want to avoid selling covered calls below our initial cost-basis in the event of a drop .
Ideally we will NEVER sell our shares at a loss , we will simply continue to hold and continue selling CC ’ s until we recover in price ( same as a buy and hold strategy ) .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision .

by ContentViolation1488
Introduction
This will be long, but it will also be concise, and is filled with information. Do yourself a favor and read it thoroughly. Don’t complain that I got something wrong if you only skimmed the post.
I’ve been studying options for years, and have read great books such as OAASI cover to cover. In other words, I know some shit. My goal here is to impart a simple strategy that can significantly outperform a “buy and hold” strategy on any major index, both so you can make tendies SAFELY, but also to rub it in the faces of those no-nothing /r/investing types who shun options.
One final note before we begin. I realize you can potentially increase returns on this strategy by utilizing margin to sell naked options and such… but I don’t want to advocate a strategy that could blow up retards accounts. What I will advocate here is a 100% cash strategy and has no risk of a margin call.
This strategy is necessarily no riskier than buying and holding an index fund.
If you insist on using margin to increase your returns, I would suggest simply using margin to own double the amount of assigned and held stock, in order to sell double the number of covered calls. This is a relatively safe way to increase returns.
The Wheel: An IMPROVED “Buy and Hold” Strategy
Forget credit spreads, diagonal spreads, iron condors, and all that often complicated jazz. The absolute best and simplest theta gang strategy, in my humble opinion, is The Wheel. But I’m going to argue for a very specific version of The Wheel here, and that makes all the difference.
While spreads can be effective, we want to maximize returns by collecting FULL PREMIUM for options, and not hedging like a pussy.
When you think about The Wheel, I want you to picture an IMPROVED “buy and hold” strategy.
The tried and true advice of most financial advisors out there is to drop cash in something like an index fund and forget about it. While this is good and all, we can clearly do better, by utilizing options. What we are attempting here is to mimic a “buy and hold” strategy, while consistently augmenting returns by collecting option premium on top.
The Wheel is a simple concept. You sell cash-secured puts and collect premium. If you ever get assigned, you hold and sell covered calls on the assigned stock. If your stock ever gets called away, you go back to selling puts. Rinse and repeat, ad infinitum.
The question of which options to sell and why gets complicated, and I will go into details below, but for simplicity I am advocating simply sticking to 30-45 DTE ~0.30 delta options on major ETFs.
preview.redd.it/vntvxqycv5p51.png?width=1286&format=png&auto=webp&s=c0b92bc6d4ecc345f07f4bf09ca2fd4f3f954f85
The Basic Concept
You want to get PAID to buy stock at a CHEAP price. You can do that by selling OTM cash-secured puts. And you want to get PAID to sell stock at a HIGH price. You can do that by selling OTM covered calls. When you understand this basic concept, you understand 90% of this strategy.
This will outperform “buy and hold” for two reasons: 1) It collects option premium on top of stock appreciation, 2) It reduces the cost basis for potential stock purchases. These factors also ensure reduced volatility compared with “buy and hold,” as both premium and reduced entry points offer downside protection from falling assets. This is inherently a long-term strategy; if you are unwilling to hold an ETF long-term through a drop or even a recession, don’t waste your time… you WILL lose money.
When I’ve looked for counter-arguments to The Wheel strategy, the common argument I hear is “it works until it doesn’t.” In other words, these people argue that if you run The Wheel on a stock that drops hard and doesn’t recover, you will lose money.
This argument completely falls apart if you run The Wheel on INDEX ETFs.
SPY and other major indices have recovered from every crash they have ever experienced. Individual stocks like Enron have not. If we want to mimic a conservative “buy and hold” strategy WITH diversification, we will only play major ETFs. This eliminates the major argument against The Wheel entirely, since it achieves instant diversification and will mimic the broader market. If you think the US economy will crash and never recover, you should be buying guns and ammo and not options.
The only REAL argument against The Wheel is that you could potentially lose out on stock appreciation during heavy bull runs. While this is true, we will show below that this argument doesn’t hold much weight.
Calculating Returns
It is relatively simple to calculate potential returns for this strategy, so I will do that now using option prices on SPY as of 9/24/2020. Keep in mind IV is currently high, and so these returns will be inflated relative to a calmer market. Also keep in mind that annualizing returns based on one-month results can get wonky. This is just an example to get a picture of how things work.
There are two phases to this strategy: Selling CSP’s and selling CC’s. We will calculate each separately, using 30 DTE options and ignoring compounding for simplicity.
CSP Return (Conservative 0.30 delta):
[(CSP premium * 100 shares) / collateral] * 12 months = Return
[($5.30 * 100) / $31,000] * 12 = 20.5% return
CSP Return (Aggressive ATM/0.50 delta):
[(9.00 * 100) / $32,000] * 12 = 33.7% return
CC Return (Conservative 0.30 delta):
S&P500 return + [(CC premium * 100 shares) / collateral] * 12 months = Return
S&P500 return + [($4.12 * 100) / $32,500] * 12 = S&P return + 15.5%
Now there are a few caveats for the above calculations. The first is that if the S&P500 rallies well past our CC strike price, we will lose out on those potential gains. This means the CC-side return for the S&P is capped, which can be calculated as follows:
Maximum CC Return:
[(Strike price – stock price) * 100 shares + (CC premium * 100 shares)] / collateral = Return (one month)
[($334 – $325) * 100 + ($4.12 * 100)] / $32,500 = 4.0% (48% annualized)
By reversing this we can calculate how much SPY would have to rise to outperform us.
$325 * 1.04 = $338
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
In other words, if SPY rises more than $13 in one month it will outperform us, but only for THAT MONTH. Obviously the S&P doesn’t achieve 48% returns annually and so bull months will be offset by flat and bear months. We will outperform the S&P in both those categories as shown above, which will more than make up the difference in lost potential gains.
One final note: These calculations assume that all options are held until expiration. In practice, returns can be increased by closing winning positions early. If you achieve 70% gain in 10 days, it makes little sense to wait another 20 days to collect the remaining 30% premium. Simply close and roll as necessary.
A Guide for Smaller Accounts + Proof of Concept
To run the strategy I am advocating on SPY, you would need a minimum account size of ~$35,000. I know a lot of you don’t have that much money, so I’ve done a little experiment for smaller accounts.
I set aside a fund to run The Wheel on smaller ETFs, such as XLE, XLF, and GDX. To run the wheel on these individually you would need an account size no bigger than ~$4000. Even smaller ETFs such as SILJ could be run for as little as $1500, though they are more risky and less liquid. To prove the concept for smaller accounts, I set aside $10,000 and ran smaller ETFs such as these for 4 months.
After 4 months, I achieved a 41% annualized return. This outperformed the SPY ETF during the same period by around 5%, despite the fact the ETFs utilized underperformed relative to SPY. This, in my view, provides some proof of concept.
Obviously this return would have dropped significantly during this recent market drop, which is why I stopped running the strategy on the 18th, to avoid losing my own money just for proof of concept. The best strategy will always be adaptive to market conditions, but if you want a one-size-fits-all approach, The Wheel is probably the best you can get.
In one instance I used margin to purchase an additional 100 shares of SILJ to sell a second CC for “free” (minus margin costs), just to offer an example of how margin can be safely used to increase returns. I also sold ATM options on SILJ shares because I wanted to dump it quickly before the crash, and to collect higher premiums. Got very lucky and sold right before the drop on Monday. This is an example of how to adapt the strategy based on your market predictions.
Here is a complete breakdown of my trades during this 4 month period. Notice that I usually closed positions early in order to increase my $/day return.
preview.redd.it/v80b50jfv5p51.png?width=1433&format=png&auto=webp&s=469d57e6bcce2c51641a211801d5997f05675e4b
A Note on Past Wheel Guides
A prominent past guide on running The Wheel argued that you should always avoid assignment. However, they never made a compelling case for WHY you should avoid assignment. There is an argument to be made for such a position, which I will provide soon. However, there are also a number of arguments to be made in favor of accepting or even seeking assignment. They run as follows:
Time Premium is maximized when the strike price is ATM. If we are selling time premium (Theta), selling ATM will tend to maximize premium returns long-term.
Apparently this picture didn’t exist on the internet until now…
2) If we are bullish on an Index long-term, we shouldn’t have any problem accepting stock ownership. In fact, it will likely increase our returns due to stock appreciation on top of option premium.
3) Stock can be more easily owned on margin than options. Holding double the stock on margin and selling twice as many covered-calls will outperform selling cash-secured puts long-term.
These past guides also focused on running The Wheel on individual stocks. I have so far not yet seen a guide advocating The Wheel purely on Index ETFs to mimic and outperform a “buy and hold” diversified strategy. This is perhaps the most important takeaway from this guide.
Maximizing Returns: ATM vs. OTM?
This strategy is simple enough… Where it gets complicated is in the details. And the most difficult question of all is whether to sell ATM, or OTM, and if so how deep?
Let’s start with the absolute ideal scenarios…
In a bull market: You want to sell ATM puts and OTM calls.
In a bear market: You want to sell OTM puts and ATM calls.
In a completely flat market: You want to sell ATM puts and ATM calls.
The reasoning is simple. If the market is rising, you want to maximize premium on your puts by selling ATM. You also want OTM calls so you don’t lose out on gains in stock appreciation when the price rises. The ideal depth for OTM calls would be just above the total underlying appreciation (which obviously is difficult to predict in advance).
By the same token, if the market is falling, you want to sell OTM puts for downside protection against assignment, and you want to sell ATM calls to maximize premium.
In a flat market you simply want to maximize premium and have no need for upside or downside protection, and so ATM will perform best.
If you are brilliant and prescient like me, you can navigate these complicated waters and adapt to the market accordingly. If you are a retard, on the other hand, you can’t easily predict where the market is headed…
In that case, my advice is the following:
ALWAYS SELL OTM ON BOTH ENDS. This will give you downside protection from drops, and also give you upside protection from rallies. The consequence of this is your premium returns will be reduced relative to someone who strategically sells ATM options, but that is an acceptable loss for a safer and more conservative strategy if you don’t know wtf you are doing. You will still outperform “buy and hold” using this strategy, while also achieving reduced volatility.
Aiming for selling .30 delta, or 30% Prob ITM options, seems conservative enough for me. You can adjust accordingly based on your personal risk tolerance. If you want a more conservative strategy, aim further OTM. If you want more aggressive strategy, aim closer ATM. Keep in mind you MUST be willing to hold stock long-term through a drop to make this strategy viable! If you aren’t willing to actually “buy and hold” while selling covered calls, look to gamble elsewhere.
Other Details
The reasoning for selling 30-45 DTE options, which is advocated by TastyTrade among others, is because theta decay for ATM options accelerates around this range. However, this is only true for ATM options, and OTM options theta decay can actually decelerate closer to expiration. It is likely better to go for longer dated OTM options for this reason, though it won’t make a huge difference imo. I would suggest keeping things simple and maintaining a habit around this range.
preview.redd.it/s3hl0wekv5p51.png?width=586&format=png&auto=webp&s=68e42cee750063a6932f96c151a8fb779f292467
Some people attempt to run The Wheel by selling short-term weeklies/FDs. These individuals are not really selling theta so much as they are attempting to scalp gamma. While this can work, it is not really the consistent, safe, long-term strategy we are looking for here. It also suffers from the reduced theta decay for OTM options which I stated above. If you want to gamble, you might as well be BUYING the FD’s, not SELLING them!
I would usually close my options at 50%+ return and roll forward/up when necessary. This will tend to yield greater $/day returns if the underlying is moving in your direction. For example: If you make 80% return in 10 days, it makes little sense to hold another 20+ days for another 20% premium gain. Simply close the position and collect the secured premium to release collateral for another sell. If the underlying is moving against your direction, you generally want to hold until expiration and collect 100% of the premium, even if that means assignment. Closing a sold option for a loss will DESTROY the returns of The Wheel! Do not do this!

This is probably already too long, so I will stop here. I apologize if I’ve made any mistakes while writing this. Feel free to ask any questions and I will do my best to answer them!

Edit: Going to edit in important points others bring up.
This is obviously less tax friendly than buy and hold. Running the strategy within a Roth IRA will eliminate this drawback. This strategy is very different from others such as the buy-write strategy. For one thing, the buy-write strategy rolls down for a loss, something we will never do. I should have made it more clear that we want to avoid selling covered calls below our initial cost-basis in the event of a drop. Ideally we will NEVER sell our shares at a loss, we will simply continue to hold and continue selling CC’s until we recover in price (same as a buy and hold strategy).
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--Limit Stop vs Market Stop:

Limit Stop vs Market Stop:

Price is guaranteed but the order executing at said price is not guaranteed if the stock is moving fast enough @ @ @ @ @ but the order will execute regardless of how fast the stock is moving .
If @ @ @ @ @ fast the price can be way off .
Disclaimer : This information is only for @ @ @ @ @ make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own @ @ @ @ @ financial professional before making any investment decision .

Limit Stop:
Price is guaranteed but the order executing at said price is not guaranteed if the stock is moving fast enough.
Market Stop:
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Price is not guaranteed but the order will execute regardless of how fast the stock is moving. If the stock is moving super fast the price can be way off.
h/t UnpolishedPleb
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--When the music stops…

When the music stops…

S & P500 : Sitting dead on the 10 month support zone .
Lets call the 3221 level the most @ @ @ @ @ its breached ITS all OVER .
pic.twitter.com/UPWdKYBTdl

S&P500: Sitting dead on the 10 month support zone.
Lets call the 3221 level the most important number of 2020
Once its breached ITS all OVER. pic.twitter.com/UPWdKYBTdl
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) September 24, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--FT: The Next Financial Crisis May Be Coming Soon… Top Forecaster: The Second Wave of a Rolling Bear

FT: The Next Financial Crisis May Be Coming Soon… Top Forecaster: The Second Wave of a Rolling Bear Market Is About to Begin

The Next Financial Crisis May Be Coming Soon : FT These fears already have tangible consequences : they pushed down @ @ @ @ @ month ’ s Oxford survey than hard data justified .
“ Our analysis suggests that @ @ @ @ @ much of the gloom , ” said Jamie Thompson , the poll ’ s lead @ @ @ @ @ of a Rolling Bear Market Is About to Begin , Says Top Forecaster “ So @ @ @ @ @ coming , we have very wealthy people taking profits [ on stocks ] and we @ @ @ @ @ in the market .
I think the market is going to start to go down @ @ @ @ @ MarketWatch recently .

These fears already have tangible consequences: they pushed down business sentiment more in this month’s Oxford survey than hard data justified. “Our analysis suggests that financial crisis fears account for much of the gloom,” said Jamie Thompson, the poll’s lead economist.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“So we have a second wave coming, we have very wealthy people taking profits [on stocks] and we see a lot of speculation in the market. I think the market is going to start to go down again,” Lamoureux told MarketWatch recently.
Dumping the junk HYG flows pic.twitter.com/njzX6J9YcH — Alessio Urban (@AlessioUrban) September 24, 2020
I don't think people realize how significant the latest Powell pivot is here. The Fed is taking their foot off the stimulus accelerator, right when Trump needs them the most. He's then using the "we need more fiscal stimulus" as cover when he knows it's not coming. /1 — Brad Huston (@BradHuston) September 24, 2020
Suppressed $VIX/vols during this move down in markets is due to the false notion that "stocks only go up" creating a lack of fear that leads to a continuous cycle of BTD call buying, only to have those calls puked out as markets move lower while puts continue to be ignored — Stretching Spreads (@FadingRallies) September 24, 2020
Half of adults who lost their jobs during the pandemic are still unemployed t.co/DUXnA1zaIh — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) September 24, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--NO MORE ZOOM! FED UP California Parents FLOOD the Streets – PROTEST Against eLearning!

100 % Fed Up reports , Americans are pushing back on the overreaching regulation and shutdowns related to the coronavirus @ @ @ @ @ are rising up to say they are fed up with the shutdown of schools .
@ @ @ @ @ to normal , and that means in-person learning .

100% Fed Up reports, Americans are pushing back on the overreaching regulation and shutdowns related to the coronavirus pandemic. Parents of children are rising up to say they are fed up with the shutdown of schools. Americans want to get back to normal, and that means in-person learning.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse:
100percentfedup.com/no-more-z…


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-25--WHOA! Former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel Drops the HAMMER on Nancy Pelosi

100 % Fed Up reports , Former Chicago Mayor and Obama administration ’ s Rahm Emanuel stepped out of line @ @ @ @ @ march in lockstep with Nancy Pelosi to call out the Speaker for her “ corrosive @ @ @

100% Fed Up reports, Former Chicago Mayor and Obama administration’s Rahm Emanuel stepped out of line with the Democrats who usually march in lockstep with Nancy Pelosi to call out the Speaker for her “corrosive” politics.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse:
100percentfedup.com/rahm-eman…


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--Boston Fed is, ‘Very worried,’ about the labor market

Chief Marketing Strategist at Truist/Sun Trust Advisory Keith Lerner weighs in on the stock market lows and Boston Federal Reserve @ @ @ @ @ comments on the labor market .

Chief Marketing Strategist at Truist/Sun Trust Advisory Keith Lerner weighs in on the stock market lows and Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren’s comments on the labor market.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--Singapore rolls out voluntary Wuhan virus contact-tracing devices

Singapore has a population of 5.7 million .
They have had 57,627 cases of Wuhan virus with 27 deaths .
@ @ @ @ @ Yet apparently these numbers are so frightening that the government feels the need to disperse @ @ @ @ @ .
All in the name of helping to “ curb the spread ” of Wuhan @ @ @ @ @ “ flatten the curve , ” no ?
But rest assured , this device doesn @ @ @ @ @ “ exact ” location .
Also , data on the device is “ deleted ” @ @ @ @ @ , riiiiiiiiight .
Read the Bloomberg article on this tracing device here .
That would @ @ @ @ @ me on volunteering for a tracing device .

by DCG
Singapore has a population of 5.7 million. They have had 57,627 cases of Wuhan virus with 27 deaths.
You do the math.
Yet apparently these numbers are so frightening that the government feels the need to disperse devices to track your movement. All in the name of helping to “curb the spread” of Wuhan virus. Kinda sounds like “flatten the curve,” no?
But rest assured, this device doesn’t actually track your “exact” location.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Also, data on the device is “deleted” after 25 days. Yeah, riiiiiiiiight.
Check out this video:
"It kind of looks like the Apple AirPods case." Singapore is rolling out Bluetooth #Covid19 contact-tracing tokens to its residents. @mkcheok went and got hers. More @business: t.co/fJbDqiyb5j pic.twitter.com/U9Az1hUCXP — Bloomberg QuickTake (@QuickTake) September 22, 2020
Read the Bloomberg article on this tracing device here.
That would be a hard pass for me on volunteering for a tracing device.
DCG


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--W.H.O document admits C19 PCR test detects Human Genetic Material found in the ‘Chromosome 8’, thus

W.H.O document admits C19 PCR test detects Human Genetic Material found in the ‘Chromosome 8’, thus providing false positives.

C19 wouldn ’ t exist if people stopped testing and turned off their tell a vision .
Current mortality rate @ @ @ @ @ positive is less than 0.1 % , and even that is a colossal overstatement to @ @ @ @ @ you take into consideration the fact they ’ ve been pushing the entire world to @ @ @ @ @ end , ontop of being outright deceitful about what a “ covid death ” actually @ @

by CanMurky49
C19 wouldn’t exist if people stopped testing and turned off their tell a vision.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Current mortality rate for those whom have tested positive is less than 0.1%, and even that is a colossal overstatement to say the least, if you take into consideration the fact they’ve been pushing the entire world to get tested for months on end, ontop of being outright deceitful about what a “covid death” actually means.
Source: www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/whoinhouseassays.pdf?sfvrsn=de3a76aa_2


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-24--Matt Gaetz: “Chapter 104 Florida statutes says that it is a felony for someone to either directly or

Matt Gaetz: “Chapter 104 Florida statutes says that it is a felony for someone to either directly or indirectly offer something of value to impact whether or not someone votes.”

“ Chapter 104 Florida statutes says that it is a felony for someone to either directly or indirectly offer something @ @ @ @ @ or not someone votes . ''
@ RepMattGaetz @ MariaBartiromo t.co/Ecga1HqPgZ

“Chapter 104 Florida statutes says that it is a felony for someone to either directly or indirectly offer something of value to impact whether or not someone votes." @RepMattGaetz @MariaBartiromo t.co/Ecga1HqPgZ
— CNSNews (@cnsnews) September 23, 2020