investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--Dividend Growth Investing – An Updated In-Depth Guide + Breakdown (November 2020)

Hello everyone !
This will be an updated post and in-depth breakdown for the Dividend Growth strategy .
It is important to understand how companies need to be evaluated differently based on the investment philosophy you are pursuing .
Now , investing in a dividend growth strategy takes time and patience , depending on your income goal , it can take awhile before a dividend portfolio can fully support enough cash flow to sustain your lifestyle without you needing to rely on a full-time or part-time job .
But that is the exciting part , once you have enough income @ @ @ @ @ @ @ work a job that you perhaps find more exciting ?
The dividend growth strategy is focused on building up a portfolio of high quality companies that not only pay out a dividend , but have regularly been increasing the dividend payout .
The end goal is to create passive income to live off the increasing dividend payouts .
So the focus is placed more on the cash flow for wealth rather than the stock appreciation ( appreciation is just an added bonus ) .
NOTE : Dividend yield is not main focus .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ high dividend yield is the most important measure , however , a yield that is considerably higher similar stocks in the same industry may indicate not a good dividend but rather a depressed price due to company issues .
This price may signal an eventual dividend cut or elimination if the situation continues .
Most dividend ETFs will filter out the top percentage of dividends yields for this reason .
The strategy here is on the dividend growth .
If a company increases their payout overtime it is going to have an insane @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( kinda like the snowball effect for paying off debt ) .
Dividend growth investing uses the compounding effect of reinvesting dividends into the same investment to increase your future dividend payments .
With each reinvestment , your shares grow slightly larger .
With slightly more shares , your next dividend payment is slightly larger .
With enough time invested in solid companies , the growth effect is amazing .
This is why dividend growers are so important , they add more fuel to this compounding effect !
If you really want to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the charts for Warren Buffets wealth .
In 2018 alone , Berkshire raked in $ 3.8 billion in dividends – “ a sum that will increase in 2019 , ” Buffett said in the annual letter .
The great majority of the stocks in Berkshire ’ s portfolio are dividend stocks .
And many of those stock are growing their dividend .
Since the focus of this investing is less on capital appreciation and more on the dividend growth we need to evaluate the following factors : • Dividend payout ratio : • @ @ @ @ @ @ @ % of its earnings in the form of dividends is generally considered stable .
• Does the company has the potential to raise its earnings over the long term ?
• Dividend Yield : • Ensure the company is paying a dividend and that the dividend yield isn ’ t too low to start .
• Watch out for dividend traps !
Extremely high dividend yield for non-REITs can often signal an unsustainable payout !
Look for companies in the healthier 3-6 % range .
( Do research after this ofcourse , this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ healthy ) • Dividend Growth Rate • Look for companies that increase their dividend payout year after year .
• Free Cash Flow to Equity : • This is simply what is paid out after expenses and debts have been paid .
If a company has too much debt it can affect their ability to continue paying out and increasing their dividends .
• Debt to EBITDA ratio ( Earnings before interest depreciation and amortization ) • A company with a lower ratio , when compared to similar companies , is more attractive @ @ @ @ @ @ @ !
NOTE : The companies are often broken into these categories based on how long they have increased their dividend : There are ofcourse many other factors .
Consider the business , does it have a sustainable model ( Coca-Cola & Pepsi ) ?
Is its market shrinking ( See oil companies ) ?
Do you like the company and management ?
?
For this type of investing ( any type really ) , you need to know what you are investing into !
WHERE TO START AND KEY THINGS : Many of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are ones we all recognize because they are so well established and have very wide market exposure .
They have incredible staying power for these reasons , and very often have enough money to expand into new markets to remain relevant .
This is their significant advantage over startups ( many of which they just buy up anyways ) Let ’ s take PEPSI for example .
Pepsico ( NYSE : PEP ) is a company in the Consumer Defensive Sector , its wide variety of iconic brands and products give it a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this we can see that PEPSI is not only paying a very nice dividend , but it is increasing it at an average of 8 % !
So even if you don ’ t buy more shares of the stock it will start to pay you more each year just for holding it .
The next step from here would be to look into the financials .
Essenitally we are just checking to ensure they are not burdened with too much debt , have sharply decreasing revenue , or payouts that exceed their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be good examples ( just a few ) ETFs are an excellent option , however due the large difference in strategies amoung them they will have to be discussed in a separate post .
However some notable ones include : NOBL , SCHD , VYM , VIG , DGRO , and DRGW .
( Amoung many many others ) ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF THIS STRATEGY : • Dividends are not always guaranteed .
In 2020 , there we dozens of companies that cut their dividends due to financial pressure .
At any moment @ @ @ @ @ @ @ or completely get rid of it .
However , many of the companies on the Dividends list maintained and increased their dividends during this time , this highlights the importance of investing in quality companies .
• Unless you are holding these stocks in an IRA you will pay taxes on them .
• When compared to index investing it decreases diversification since you ’ re really only invested into more “ large cap ” stocks .
You ’ ll be missing out on the mid-cap and small-cap stocks • Some say dividend @ @ @ @ @ @ @ company .
For some perhaps this is true , however a strong counter argument is this .
If a company is well established and the payout for moving into a new market sector , or a new acquisition wouldn ’ t be favorable , a company can instead payout dividends to entice investors rather than potentially sacrifice company value just in the name of potential growth .
• You have to pay more attention to the companies you are investing into to ensure they remain healthy and can continue to grow and increase @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sideways moving markets , bear markets , and corrections , purchase more shares with the dividend while the prices are lower .
Later , when prices recover , the return is actually enhanced by the temporary fall in the stock price .
Reinvesting dividends and accumulating more shares during corrections and bear markets greatly boosts dividend growth investing returns in the long run .
This is a significant advantage of dividend stocks over growth stocks in less than ideal market conditions .
• Historically dividends have provided 43 % of the S & @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2017 ( according to Blackrock ) .
Dividends provide an ongoing return while waiting for capital appreciation .
• The snowball effect of dividend growth compounding can provide competitive returns regardless of whether the price of the stock increases in value or not .
• Creating passive income and preserving capital .
Like all stocks they are an excellent hedge against inflation .
It depends on what timeframe you are looking at , if say we take from December 1999 – 2017 the S & P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index outperformed the S @ @ @ @ @ @ @ year .
But if we take other timeframes then the S & P500 is dominant .
Beating the S & P500 over the long term is near impossible , but beating the S & P isn ’ t the goal of this strategy .
This strategy is focused on passive income generation .
Imagine if checks were rolling in every week during the COVID lockdowns even if you weren ’ t working ?
Please supplement this post with your own research .
Compare this strategy to general index investing and growth investing .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ The hope is this post provided insight into this strategy and evaluating dividend paying companies .
Thankyou for taking the time to read !
There are many other sources to learn more about dividend focused strategies , in the brand new Moderator ’ s Collection for the sub there is a post titled ” My Complete Guide to Dividend Investing ” written by u/Interriuso , it holds an incredible amount of useful links and information .
Please check it out .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ information in this article .
Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision .

by 036Gooddaysir036
INTRODUCTION
Hello everyone! This will be an updated post and in-depth breakdown for the Dividend Growth strategy. It is important to understand how companies need to be evaluated differently based on the investment philosophy you are pursuing. Now, investing in a dividend growth strategy takes time and patience, depending on your income goal, it can take awhile before a dividend portfolio can fully support enough cash flow to sustain your lifestyle without you needing to rely on a full-time or part-time job. But that is the exciting part, once you have enough income from the dividends you can retire or work a job that you perhaps find more exciting?
THE STRATEGY:
The dividend growth strategy is focused on building up a portfolio of high quality companies that not only pay out a dividend, but have regularly been increasing the dividend payout. The end goal is to create passive income to live off the increasing dividend payouts. So the focus is placed more on the cash flow for wealth rather than the stock appreciation (appreciation is just an added bonus).
NOTE: Dividend yield is not main focus. A common misconception is that a very high dividend yield is the most important measure, however, a yield that is considerably higher similar stocks in the same industry may indicate not a good dividend but rather a depressed price due to company issues. This price may signal an eventual dividend cut or elimination if the situation continues. Most dividend ETFs will filter out the top percentage of dividends yields for this reason.
The strategy here is on the dividend growth. If a company increases their payout overtime it is going to have an insane snowball effect when the dividends are reinvested (kinda like the snowball effect for paying off debt). Dividend growth investing uses the compounding effect of reinvesting dividends into the same investment to increase your future dividend payments. With each reinvestment, your shares grow slightly larger. With slightly more shares, your next dividend payment is slightly larger. With enough time invested in solid companies, the growth effect is amazing. This is why dividend growers are so important, they add more fuel to this compounding effect!
If you really want to see this effect visualized, check out the charts for Warren Buffets wealth. In 2018 alone, Berkshire raked in $3.8 billion in dividends – “a sum that will increase in 2019,” Buffett said in the annual letter. The great majority of the stocks in Berkshire’s portfolio are dividend stocks. And many of those stock are growing their dividend.
EVALUATING COMPANIES FOR THIS STRATEGY:
Since the focus of this investing is less on capital appreciation and more on the dividend growth we need to evaluate the following factors:
Dividend payout ratio: Dividend payouts less than 50%-75% of its earnings in the form of dividends is generally considered stable. Does the company has the potential to raise its earnings over the long term?
Dividend Yield: Ensure the company is paying a dividend and that the dividend yield isn’t too low to start. Watch out for dividend traps! Extremely high dividend yield for non-REITs can often signal an unsustainable payout! Look for companies in the healthier 3-6% range. (Do research after this ofcourse, this doesn’t immediately mean it is healthy)
Dividend Growth Rate Look for companies that increase their dividend payout year after year.
Free Cash Flow to Equity: This is simply what is paid out after expenses and debts have been paid. If a company has too much debt it can affect their ability to continue paying out and increasing their dividends.
Debt to EBITDA ratio (Earnings before interest depreciation and amortization) A company with a lower ratio, when compared to similar companies, is more attractive. See AT&T vs Verizon!
NOTE: The companies are often broken into these categories based on how long they have increased their dividend:
Challenger: 5+ years
Contender: 10-24 years
Champion/Aristocrat: 25+ years
King: 50+ years
There are ofcourse many other factors. Consider the business, does it have a sustainable model (Coca-Cola & Pepsi)? Is its market shrinking (See oil companies)? Do you like the company and management?? For this type of investing (any type really), you need to know what you are investing into!
WHERE TO START AND KEY THINGS:
Many of the companies that should be looked for are ones we all recognize because they are so well established and have very wide market exposure. They have incredible staying power for these reasons, and very often have enough money to expand into new markets to remain relevant. This is their significant advantage over startups (many of which they just buy up anyways)
Let’s take PEPSI for example. Pepsico (NYSE: PEP) is a company in the Consumer Defensive Sector, its wide variety of iconic brands and products give it a very large global moat.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Current Dividend Ratio: 2.89% (November 2020 based on share price of $141.75)
Current Annual Dividend Payout: $4.09
Average 3 Year Dividend Growth Rate – 8.60%
Looking at this we can see that PEPSI is not only paying a very nice dividend, but it is increasing it at an average of 8%! So even if you don’t buy more shares of the stock it will start to pay you more each year just for holding it. The next step from here would be to look into the financials. Essenitally we are just checking to ensure they are not burdened with too much debt, have sharply decreasing revenue, or payouts that exceed their current cashflow.
Other companies that would be good examples (just a few)
AAPL – Apple – Challenger – IT
MSFT – Microsoft – Contender – IT
JPM – JPMorgan Chase – Challenger – Financial
VZ – Verizon – Contender – Telecommunications
JNJ – Johnson and Johnson – King – Healthcare
MMM – 3M – King – Industrials
IBM – International Business Machines – Aristocrat – IT
KO – Coca-Cola – King – Consumer Defensive
ETFs are an excellent option, however due the large difference in strategies amoung them they will have to be discussed in a separate post. However some notable ones include: NOBL, SCHD, VYM, VIG, DGRO, and DRGW. (Amoung many many others)
ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF THIS STRATEGY:
Disadvantages:
Dividends are not always guaranteed. In 2020, there we dozens of companies that cut their dividends due to financial pressure. At any moment, companies can decrease their dividend payout or completely get rid of it. However, many of the companies on the Dividends list maintained and increased their dividends during this time, this highlights the importance of investing in quality companies.
Unless you are holding these stocks in an IRA you will pay taxes on them.
When compared to index investing it decreases diversification since you’re really only invested into more “large cap” stocks. You’ll be missing out on the mid-cap and small-cap stocks
Some say dividend payouts of the sign of a dying company. For some perhaps this is true, however a strong counter argument is this. If a company is well established and the payout for moving into a new market sector, or a new acquisition wouldn’t be favorable, a company can instead payout dividends to entice investors rather than potentially sacrifice company value just in the name of potential growth.
You have to pay more attention to the companies you are investing into to ensure they remain healthy and can continue to grow and increase their dividend.
Advantages:
Reinvesting dividends during sideways moving markets, bear markets, and corrections, purchase more shares with the dividend while the prices are lower. Later, when prices recover, the return is actually enhanced by the temporary fall in the stock price. Reinvesting dividends and accumulating more shares during corrections and bear markets greatly boosts dividend growth investing returns in the long run. This is a significant advantage of dividend stocks over growth stocks in less than ideal market conditions.
Historically dividends have provided 43% of the S&P 500 total return from 1930 – 2017 (according to Blackrock). Dividends provide an ongoing return while waiting for capital appreciation.
The snowball effect of dividend growth compounding can provide competitive returns regardless of whether the price of the stock increases in value or not.
Creating passive income and preserving capital. Like all stocks they are an excellent hedge against inflation.
PERFORMANCE & FINAL THOUGHTS:
It depends on what timeframe you are looking at, if say we take from December 1999 – 2017 the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index outperformed the S&P 500 by 3.37% per year. But if we take other timeframes then the S&P500 is dominant. Beating the S&P500 over the long term is near impossible, but beating the S&P isn’t the goal of this strategy. This strategy is focused on passive income generation. Imagine if checks were rolling in every week during the COVID lockdowns even if you weren’t working?
Please supplement this post with your own research. Compare this strategy to general index investing and growth investing. Find what is right for you.
The hope is this post provided insight into this strategy and evaluating dividend paying companies.
Thankyou for taking the time to read!
There are many other sources to learn more about dividend focused strategies, in the brand new Moderator’s Collection for the sub there is a post titled ” My Complete Guide to Dividend Investing” written by u/Interriuso, it holds an incredible amount of useful links and information. Please check it out.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--China’s tech giants have lost more than $280 billion in market value as regulatory concerns mount

Hong Kong-listed shares of Alibaba plunged 9.8 % on Wednesday , while Tencent dropped 7.39 % .
Smartphone maker Xiaomi @ @ @ @ @ Meituan fell 9.67 % .
JD.com also saw its stock plummet 9.2 % .
The @ @ @ @ @ tech heavyweights since their Monday close has contributed to more than $ 280 billion being @ @ @ @ @ market cap at the close of the trading day in Hong Kong , according to @ @ @ @ @ s State Administration for Market Regulation on Tuesday announced a set of draft guidelines aimed @ @ @ @ @ internet platforms .

www.cnbc.com/2020/11/11/china-tech-giants-lost-250-billion-in-market-value-amid-potential-regulations.html
Hong Kong-listed shares of Alibaba plunged 9.8% on Wednesday, while Tencent dropped 7.39%. Smartphone maker Xiaomi also declined 8.18% and Meituan fell 9.67%. JD.com also saw its stock plummet 9.2%.
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The combined losses of the five tech heavyweights since their Monday close has contributed to more than $280 billion being wiped off in terms of market cap at the close of the trading day in Hong Kong, according to CNBC calculations.
China’s State Administration for Market Regulation on Tuesday announced a set of draft guidelines aimed at curbing monopolistic behavior on internet platforms.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--Gutfeld: “I get the feeling that ‘MOSTLY LEGAL’ is now the ‘mostly peaceful’. Remember they said tha

Gutfeld: “I get the feeling that ‘MOSTLY LEGAL’ is now the ‘mostly peaceful’. Remember they said that 93% of the protests were mostly peaceful? That left 7%. Well I hate to tell you that you don’t need 7% to throw a national election, not even 2%.”

Fox ’ s @ greggutfeld : “ I get the feeling that ‘ mostly legal ’ is now the ‘ @ @ @ @ @ they said that 93 % of the protests were mostly peaceful ?
That left 7 @ @ @ @ @ to tell you that you don ’ t need 7 % to throw a national @ @ @ @ @ % .
” pic.twitter.com/a6lK45YzNo

Fox’s @greggutfeld: “I get the feeling that ‘mostly legal’ is now the ‘mostly peaceful’. Remember they said that 93% of the protests were mostly peaceful? That left 7%. Well I hate to tell you that you don’t need 7% to throw a national election, not even 2%.” pic.twitter.com/a6lK45YzNo
— TV News HQ (@TVNewsHQ) November 10, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--Kayleigh doesn’t just talk…she brings the evidence. She is the best press secretary any President co

Kayleigh doesn’t just talk…she brings the evidence. She is the best press secretary any President could have.

Appearing on Fox News with Sean Hannity , White House spokesperson Kayleigh McEnany shares information from within 234 pages of @ @ @ @ @ in Wayne County , Michigan .
Amid the allegations are : a single person signing @ @ @ @ @ multiple ballots being run through the counting machines more than once , and deceased voters @

Appearing on Fox News with Sean Hannity, White House spokesperson Kayleigh McEnany shares information from within 234 pages of sworn affidavits outlining ballot fraud in Wayne County, Michigan.
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Amid the allegations are: a single person signing sixty percent of ballots, multiple ballots being run through the counting machines more than once, and deceased voters.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--The Imaginary Software Glitch – Computers do not “glitch” on something as simple as counting a vote.

The Imaginary Software Glitch – Computers do not “glitch” on something as simple as counting a vote. They do as they have been told.

Computers don ’ t make mistakes .
Attempts to blame election fraud on “ computer glitches ” are not credible @

Computers don’t make mistakes. Attempts to blame election fraud on “computer glitches” are not credible.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--‘Let Me Finish!’ Johnny Rotten Makes His Views on Donald Trump Heard

Johnny Rotten star John Lydon , who now lives in California , gives a blistering account of why President Trump @ @ @ @ @ surprising number of votes .
The race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is on @ @ @ @ @ clear winner as vote-counting continues .
The US election result may not be known for @ @ @

Johnny Rotten star John Lydon, who now lives in California, gives a blistering account of why President Trump has pulled off such a surprising number of votes. The race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is on a knife-edge, with no clear winner as vote-counting continues. The US election result may not be known for days still.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--MIT PhD Analysis of Michigan Votes Reveals Unfortunate Truth of U.S. Voting Systems.

Very interesting .
Some important questions being asked .

Very interesting. Some important questions being asked.
Will it matter?
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h/t StokieJ


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--Fox News Ratings IMPLODE… Conservative Network Newsmax Surges In Ratings – Already Beating The FOX B

Fox News Ratings IMPLODE… Conservative Network Newsmax Surges In Ratings – Already Beating The FOX Business Network

FOX News may have made a colossal mistake .
They had one of the most loyal audiences in cable television @ @ @ @ @ of the 2020 election , and particularly election night , the landscape is changing fast @ @ @ @ @ is already driving down FOX ’ s ratings .
Now , another right leaning network @ @ @ @ @ major boost from former FOX News fans .
In fact , Newsmax is already eclipsing @ @ @ @ @ ratings .

FOX News may have made a colossal mistake. They had one of the most loyal audiences in cable television. But after their reportage of the 2020 election, and particularly election night, the landscape is changing fast.
Anger from their audience is already driving down FOX’s ratings.
Now, another right leaning network called Newsmax is getting a major boost from former FOX News fans.
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In fact, Newsmax is already eclipsing the FOX Business Network in ratings.
www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/11/conservative-network-newsmax-surges-ratings-already-beating-fox-business-network/


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--Does Anybody Remember A LITTLE Film Called “HACKING DEMOCRACY?”

And this was in ’ 04 – approaching 2 WHOLE DECADES AGO !
The most famous scene , in a @ @ @ @ @ Beverly Harris , the near-GENIUS grandmother who is the protaganist in the film and the @ @ @ @ @ being , is a former “ leftist ” who found no answers to her questions @ @ @ @ @ took it upon herself to learn computer CODE !
As the ( again ) BRILLIANT @ @ @ @ @ new technology would affect future elections on BOTH sides of the political landscape , not @ @ @ @ @ or the other .
IN OTHER WORDS , THE D. $ .
WAS BEHIND THE @ @ @ @

It explained EVERYTHING.
And this was in ’04 – approaching 2 WHOLE DECADES AGO!
The most famous scene, in a phenomenally WELL MADE documentary.
(The brunette woman is a Republican candidate in the film. The d.s. would control the lives of anyone, regardless of political affiliation)
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The entire film on ewe.toob
Beverly Harris, the near-GENIUS grandmother who is the protaganist in the film and the REASON for it’s being, is a former “leftist” who found no answers to her questions about digital voting machines and took it upon herself to learn computer CODE! As the (again) BRILLIANT documentary shows, this then new technology would affect future elections on BOTH sides of the political landscape, not just one particular political persuasion or the other. IN OTHER WORDS, THE D.$. WAS BEHIND THE DIGITAL VOTING MACHINES!
h/t TRUTH.99


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--Mish Shedlock: Expect the Junk Bond Bubble to Burst First

When will the stock market bubble burst ?
I don ’ t know , nor does anyone else .
But @ @ @ @ @ market is likely to go first .
The average yield for the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. @ @ @ @ @ to 4.56 % , sinking below the previous record of 4.83 % set in June @ @ @ @ @ point decline from Friday ’ s close was the steepest fall since April 9 , @ @ @ @ @ its corporate bond purchases to include some junk debt .
Investors are still pouring money @ @ @ @ @ buy junk-rated debt with an estimated inflow of $ 3.23 billion by Friday ’ s @ @ @ @ @ Co. analysts wrote in a note , citing Refinitiv Lipper .
The cash influx was @ @ @ @ @ biggest high yield exchange-traded fund , with net incoming cash of almost $ 1.9 billion @ @ @ @ @ biggest ETF , raked in $ 511 million .

by Mish Talk
Bubble Bursting Order
When will the stock market bubble burst?
I don’t know, nor does anyone else. But I suspect the junk bond market is likely to go first.
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Bloomberg reports U.S. Junk Bond Yields Hit Record Low as Vaccine Hope Fuels Rally
The average yield for the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. corporate high yield index plummeted to 4.56%, sinking below the previous record of 4.83% set in June 2014. The 45 basis point decline from Friday’s close was the steepest fall since April 9, when the Federal Reserve expanded its corporate bond purchases to include some junk debt. Investors are still pouring money back into retail funds that buy junk-rated debt with an estimated inflow of $3.23 billion by Friday’s close, JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts wrote in a note, citing Refinitiv Lipper. The cash influx was led by HYG, the biggest high yield exchange-traded fund, with net incoming cash of almost $1.9 billion. JNK, the second biggest ETF, raked in $511 million.
Observation
Russell 2000 +5.5%. NDX -0.4%. Weird short-squeezy day through upper bands at record valuations. Vaccine news is hopeful, but long-term cash flows haven't suddenly jumped beyond where they were pre-SARS-CoV-2. This is easily the worst passive investment menu in U.S. history. pic.twitter.com/keP7ZpKBZE — John P. Hussman (@hussmanjp) November 9, 2020
Vaccine news is hopeful, but long-term cash flows haven’t suddenly jumped beyond where they were pre-SARS-CoV-2. This is easily the worst passive investment menu in U.S. history.
Reminder
To all those celebrating, just a reminder that confidence and mask use are inversely correlated. Until the vaccine arrives, please fight those festive feelings. Wear your mask. — Peter Atwater (@Peter_Atwater) November 9, 2020
Mish


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-11--POTUS: Ballot Corruption will be exposed tonight at 9:00pmE on Sean Hannity

Ballot Corruption will be exposed tonight at 9:00pmE on @ SeanHannity on @ FoxNews !

Ballot Corruption will be exposed tonight at 9:00pmE on @SeanHannity on @FoxNews!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 10, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Even stricter COVID lockdowns are coming, and they are going to be extremely devastating for the U.S

Even stricter COVID lockdowns are coming, and they are going to be extremely devastating for the U.S. economy

Are you ready for another nightmare ?
Earlier this year , the COVID lockdowns that were instituted all over the nation resulted in the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s and forced more than 60 million Americans to file claims for unemployment benefits .
After seeing how well that first round of lockdowns worked , one of the “ scientists ” that will be telling Joe Biden what to do about this pandemic wants to do it again .
Yes , you read that correctly .
During an interview with Yahoo Finance , Dr. Michael Osterholm @ @ @ @ @ @ @ do to get this pandemic under control is to lock the entire country down for four to six weeks… And Osterholm isn ’ t talking about doing “ soft lockdowns ” like we saw in many states earlier this year .
In an article that he co-authored in the New York Times , he argued that lockdowns need to be “ as comprehensive and strict as possible ” … Basically , Osterholm wants Australia-style lockdowns all over the United States for at least a month and probably longer .
On Election Day , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a pro-lockdown presidential candidate and an anti-lockdown presidential candidate , and approximately 80 million of us voted for the pro-lockdown guy .
So it looks like that is precisely what we are going to get .
During the campaign , Joe Biden pledged to “ follow the science ” , and Osterholm is going to be one of the “ scientists ” that will be on his COVID-19 advisory board… The good news is that these psychos will not be running things until early January at the earliest .
The bad news is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ instituting a new round of lockdowns .
For example , New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced new restrictions for New York on Wednesday… And Ohio Governor Mike DeWine is saying that his state may soon impose new restrictions on “ bars , restaurants and fitness centers ” … Of course this is just the beginning .
If the number of daily cases continues to soar , we could start seeing draconian lockdowns all over America even before we get to Inauguration Day .
In other words , get ready to spend a lot @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , because you might not have any other choice .
To me , it is unthinkable that anyone would even want to consider locking down the country again .
The first wave of lockdowns absolutely crippled our economy and caused a record-setting tsunami of job losses that we still have not recovered from .
In fact , John Williams of shadowstats.com says that if honest numbers were being used the current rate of unemployment in the United States would be 26.3 percent .
Apparently that is not enough .
So what are we @ @ @ @ @ @ @ And what happens if we lock down the entire country for six weeks and then another massive wave of the pandemic comes along just six months later ?
Are we going to keep locking down the U.S. over and over again ?
At this moment , our economy is on exceedingly shaky ground and more layoffs are being announced on a daily basis .
For instance , Exxon has announced that they will be laying off 14,000 workers and Disney has announced that they will be laying off “ thousands ” more workers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ layoffs that they announced earlier this year .
Overall , more than 60 million Americans have already been forced to file for unemployment during this pandemic , and every single one of those individuals has a story to tell .
One of those displaced workers is a woman named Michelle Kulaski , and prior to the pandemic she was already living paycheck to paycheck .
Now that she has lost her job , she finds herself on the verge of having to “ live in her car with her two cats ” … @ @ @ @ @ @ @ even more lives , and if Joe Biden ends up in the White House they will almost certainly get their way .
We are already in the midst of a horrifying economic depression , and a new wave of lockdowns would make things far worse .
These are such troubled times , and many believe that the difficulties that we have experienced in 2020 are just a warm up act for what is coming in 2021 .

by Michael Snyder
Are you ready for another nightmare? Earlier this year, the COVID lockdowns that were instituted all over the nation resulted in the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s and forced more than 60 million Americans to file claims for unemployment benefits. After seeing how well that first round of lockdowns worked, one of the “scientists” that will be telling Joe Biden what to do about this pandemic wants to do it again. Yes, you read that correctly. During an interview with Yahoo Finance, Dr. Michael Osterholm said that what we really need to do to get this pandemic under control is to lock the entire country down for four to six weeks…
Shutting down businesses and paying people for lost wages for four to six weeks could help keep the coronavirus pandemic in check and get the economy on track until a vaccine is approved and distributed, said Dr. Michael Osterholm, a coronavirus advisor to President-elect Joe Biden.
And Osterholm isn’t talking about doing “soft lockdowns” like we saw in many states earlier this year.
In an article that he co-authored in the New York Times, he argued that lockdowns need to be “as comprehensive and strict as possible”…
“The problem with the March-to-May lockdown was that it was not uniformly stringent across the country. For example, Minnesota deemed 78 percent of its workers essential,” they wrote in the New York Times. “To be effective, the lockdown has to be as comprehensive and strict as possible.”
Basically, Osterholm wants Australia-style lockdowns all over the United States for at least a month and probably longer.
Doesn’t that sound fun?
On Election Day, the American people had a choice between a pro-lockdown presidential candidate and an anti-lockdown presidential candidate, and approximately 80 million of us voted for the pro-lockdown guy.
So it looks like that is precisely what we are going to get.
During the campaign, Joe Biden pledged to “follow the science”, and Osterholm is going to be one of the “scientists” that will be on his COVID-19 advisory board…
Osterholm was appointed to Biden’s 12-member Covid “advisory board” on Monday. The panel of advisors is co-chaired by former Surgeon General Vivek Murthy, former Food and Drug Administration Commissioner David Kessler and Dr. Marcella Nunez-Smith of Yale University. Other task force members include Dr. Atul Gawande, a professor of surgery and health policy at Harvard, and Dr. Rick Bright, the vaccine expert and whistleblower who resigned his post with the Trump administration last month.
The good news is that these psychos will not be running things until early January at the earliest.
The bad news is that governors around the country are already instituting a new round of lockdowns. For example, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced new restrictions for New York on Wednesday…
Governor Andrew Cuomo announced new lockdown and social distancing restrictions for New York on Wednesday as coronavirus numbers in the state continue to trend upward. Under the new statewide restrictions, all bars and restaurants with state liquor licenses as well as gyms must close at 10p.m., starting on Friday. Cuomo called such locations “main spreaders” of the coronavirus. Indoor gatherings at private residences across the state must also be capped at ten people.
And Ohio Governor Mike DeWine is saying that his state may soon impose new restrictions on “bars, restaurants and fitness centers”…
As coronavirus cases continue to skyrocket in Ohio, Gov. Mike DeWine threatened to order bars, restaurants and fitness centers closed in one week if newly confirmed cases continue to increase.
Of course this is just the beginning.
If the number of daily cases continues to soar, we could start seeing draconian lockdowns all over America even before we get to Inauguration Day.
In other words, get ready to spend a lot of time at home this holiday season, because you might not have any other choice.
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To me, it is unthinkable that anyone would even want to consider locking down the country again. The first wave of lockdowns absolutely crippled our economy and caused a record-setting tsunami of job losses that we still have not recovered from. In fact, John Williams of shadowstats.com says that if honest numbers were being used the current rate of unemployment in the United States would be 26.3 percent.
Apparently that is not enough.
So what are we going to shoot for this time?
30 percent?
40 percent?
And what happens if we lock down the entire country for six weeks and then another massive wave of the pandemic comes along just six months later?
Are we going to keep locking down the U.S. over and over again?
At this moment, our economy is on exceedingly shaky ground and more layoffs are being announced on a daily basis.
For instance, Exxon has announced that they will be laying off 14,000 workers and Disney has announced that they will be laying off “thousands” more workers in addition to the huge wave of layoffs that they announced earlier this year.
Overall, more than 60 million Americans have already been forced to file for unemployment during this pandemic, and every single one of those individuals has a story to tell.
One of those displaced workers is a woman named Michelle Kulaski, and prior to the pandemic she was already living paycheck to paycheck. Now that she has lost her job, she finds herself on the verge of having to “live in her car with her two cats”…
Desperate for cash, Kulaski sold much of her furniture, including the bed her children sleep in when they visit and her grandparents’ desk. In all, she made around $300. Still, Kulaski has fallen behind on her $755 rent and her landlord has moved to evict her. If she has to leave her apartment, she said she’d probably live in her car with her two cats.
Now sickos like Osterholm want to destroy even more lives, and if Joe Biden ends up in the White House they will almost certainly get their way.
We are already in the midst of a horrifying economic depression, and a new wave of lockdowns would make things far worse.
These are such troubled times, and many believe that the difficulties that we have experienced in 2020 are just a warm up act for what is coming in 2021.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Everything You Don’t Want to Know About Covid Vaccines (Because You Can’t Be Bullish Anymore)

In such a highly polarized , politicized environment , is such a scrupulously objective study even possible ?
Now that we ’ ve had the happy-talk about Pfizer ’ s messenger-RNA ( mRNA ) vaccine ( and noted that Pfizer ’ s CEO sold the majority of his shares in the company immediately after the happy-talk ) , let ’ s dig into messenger-RNA ( mRNA ) vaccines which are fast approaching regulatory approval .
Some people have concluded vaccines are not safe , regardless of their source or mechanisms .
These people will never take any Covid vaccine .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ they ’ ve concluded Covid is overblown .
Fair enough .
But many other people conclude Covid is dangerous , partly because so little is known about its long-term effects ( Long-Covid , Long-Haulers ) .
Covid ’ s low mortality rate may be distracting us from its other more insidious consequences .
Authorities desperate to restart the economy and reassure the populace are poised to approve novel vaccines using a new mechanism to generate an immune response : messenger RNA ( mRNA ) vaccines .
I am not a scientist or clinician @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for the past 40 years and so I have a basic understanding of this new pathway .
I ’ m posting links below to articles that describe the mRNA vaccines in greater detail .
All these sources are respected journals or media outlets .
Vaccines against viruses work by introducing an inactive virus or viral particle into the bloodstream where this new foreign particle activates our immune system to create antibodies against this specific virus .
If the live virus infects us at some later date , our immune systems are already primed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Messenger RNA was only discovered in 1961 .
DNA is the set of instructions , the “ blueprint ” , and mRNA is a key part of the cellular machinery that copies a strand of the DNA “ blueprint ” and builds a protein based on the DNA instructions .
Messenger RNA vaccines don ’ t introduce a viral particle to our immune systems–they deliver cellular instructions ( i.e .
a “ blueprint ” ) for a viral particle which our cells reproduce once the mRNA enters our cells and delivers the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ particle .
Here ’ s a recent description of this mechanism from The Atlantic magazine : “ Moderna works on RNA vaccines–injecting not proteins but the molecules of nucleic acid that encode the instructions for building the proteins .
Your cells use RNA to instruct their builders to make proteins all the time ; the RNA is like the blueprints or schematics that tell the workers on the factory floor what to build.
” COVID-19 Vaccines Are Coming , but They ’ re Not What You Think .
( March 2020 ) And @ @ @ @ @ @ @ doctor writing in the independent.co.uk : This is the hard-to-swallow truth about a future coronavirus vaccine ( and yes , I ’ m a doctor ) “ Moderna ’ s messenger RNA vaccine , on the other hand , is completely new and revolutionary to say the least .
It uses a sequence of genetic RNA material produced in a lab that , when injected into your body , must invade your cells and hijack your cells ’ protein-making machinery called ribosomes to produce the viral components that subsequently train your immune system @ @ @ @ @ @ @ case , Moderna ’ s mRNA-1273 is programmed to make your cells produce the coronavirus ’ infamous spike protein that gives the virus its crown-like appearance ( ‘ corona ’ is crown in Latin ) for which it is named.
” Many in the field see the potential for mRNA to deliver superior vaccines because they can generate T-Cell responses as well as the conventional immune responses to viral particles .
They are also easier and cheaper to manufacture , and may be stable at room temperature for a week , unlike the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ extremely cold temperatures .
But these are the first mRNA vaccines ever seeking approval for human use , and so there are no long-term studies of what might go wrong down the road .
One concern is the possibility that mRNA vaccines could trigger a generalized immune response ( interferon , etc . )
rather than just a specific immune response to a specific virus ( antibodies , etc. )
.
Our immune system is extremely complex and I make no claim to have a complete understanding of it .
That said , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ response .
A conventional vaccine triggers the production of a specific antibody that “ recognizes ” a specific invader .
In other cases , the immune system can activate an “ all hands on deck ” generalized response .
The danger is that the mRNA could trigger an “ all hands on deck ” response that could then cascade into autoimmune disorders in which the immune system goes haywire and starts attacking the body ’ s own cells rather than limiting its destructive capabilities to foreign viruses , bacteria , etc .
One @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an email which encapsulates these concerns .
“ I ’ ve been reading about the Pfizer vaccine .
I ’ ve known for a while that it is an mRNA vaccine but it just hit me that it will be the first mRNA vaccine ever approved for human use .
If COVID was a ‘ Steven King ’ ( kills-everyone ) virus , sure , go for it–prevent the deaths and take what comes .
But mortality is low , acute treatments are improving , transmission is preventable , and the greatest risk @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
mRNA vaccines by the very nature of their components elicit an interferon response that triggers generalized autoimmunity .
This may , in fact , be part of the mechanism of longer term morbidity associated with COVID infection .
Mass introduction of mRNA strands into the populations may indeed reduce acute COVID morbidity and mortality , but how many autoimmune complications will result ?
No one knows .
It ’ s never been done before–ever .
It would take years of carefully controlled and limited trials across all ethnic groups to find out @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vaccine that fewer people die up front but a whole lot more folks suffer long term problems on the back end–especially ( as seems likely ) boosters will be required .
Shouldn ’ t there be a discussion before ‘ immunity passports ’ are mandated ?
For that matter , shouldn ’ t we discover how long natural immunity lasts before trying to provoke induced immunity ?
I ’ m dumbstruck that , with the proposed approval timetable , this path is even being considered at a population level , let alone considered @ @ @ @ @ @ @ no harm.
” Indeed .
And then there ’ s the self-interest of those seeking rapid approval of the vaccines .
As noted in the independent.co.uk article referenced above : “ But perhaps the most important question to ask about Moderna ’ s new messenger RNA vaccine is not scientific nor technical but one of ethics and morality .
When it comes to the United States and its private healthcare system , pharmaceutical companies have a long and sordid history of putting profits over people and human lives.
” Why would anyone trust @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the public good rather than in pursuit of maximizing profits ?
The mad rush of profiteering Big Pharma corporations to own the first vaccine approved will create needless and potentially dangerous confusion about which vaccine actually works best over the longer term .
First , A Vaccine Approval .
Then “ Chaos and Confusion.
” ( NY Times ) “ It has not yet dawned on hardly anybody the amount of complexity and chaos and confusion that will happen in a few short months , ” said Dr. Gregory Poland , the director @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Mayo Clinic .
“ I can see people reading a lot into even minor differences that could just be statistical chance , ” said Natalie Dean , a biostatistician at the University of Florida.
” The FDA has set the bar very low for Covid vaccines : the vaccine only has to be effective for 50 % of those taking it to be approved .
But as noted above , Big Pharma companies have mastered the art of statistical legerdemain that skew results so they look far more conclusive than they actually are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over Phase III drug trial results ( I have ) , you find uncertainties have been papered over with statistical analysis techniques .
Many medications are approved that only work less than half of the time in the real world .
Another healthcare professional correspondent recommended the book Tainted Truth : The Manipulation of Fact In America as a source for understanding how study data are manipulated to get the desired results .
The danger here in my view is the poorly-informed , politically polarized general public will assume a Covid vaccine is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vaccine , when the real-world efficacy might be considerably less certain .
Maybe the vaccines will only work for 75 % of the recipients .
How will anyone be able to tell if they ’ re one of the 25 % for whom the vaccine offers only false confidence ?
No one knows how long the immunity generated by these vaccines will last .
These two uncertainties generate insurmountable doubts , very likely muddying the waters and making it more difficult to ascertain which vaccines actually work and for how long they offer @ @ @ @ @ @ @ optimize healthcare profiteering ( a.k.a .
“ shareholder value ” ) over the public good is about to reap a whirlwind .
Our educational deficiencies won ’ t help , as a populace which has a limited grasp of statistics and basic biology has few means to sort the wheat of real-world results from the chaff of self-interested PR .
Maybe the mRNA vaccines will fulfill their promise the first time out of the gate , with near-perfect efficacy and long-lasting immunity .
The problem is it will take a long time and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to reach any trustworthy conclusions .
In such a highly polarized , politicized environment , is such a scrupulously objective study even possible ?
In a system that rewards self-serving statistical analysis and “ first to market , ” a system where Big Pharma insiders reap millions of dollars selling their stock on the PR of happy-talk , is it even possible to have truly objective studies of a vaccine ’ s efficacy and long-term effects ?
It seems doubtful .
And that ’ s a problem that extends far beyond the unknowns @ @ @ @ @ @ @ links on mRNA vaccines : The Trump Administration Shut a Vaccine Safety Office Last Year .
What ’ s the Plan Now ?
Five things you need to know about : mRNA vaccines ( EU Research , April 2020 ) COVID-19 and mRNA Vaccines–First Large Test for a New Approach

by Charles Hugh-Smith
In such a highly polarized, politicized environment, is such a scrupulously objective study even possible?
Now that we’ve had the happy-talk about Pfizer’s messenger-RNA (mRNA) vaccine (and noted that Pfizer’s CEO sold the majority of his shares in the company immediately after the happy-talk), let’s dig into messenger-RNA (mRNA) vaccines which are fast approaching regulatory approval.
Some people have concluded vaccines are not safe, regardless of their source or mechanisms. These people will never take any Covid vaccine.
Others will also decline a vaccine because they’ve concluded Covid is overblown.
Fair enough. But many other people conclude Covid is dangerous, partly because so little is known about its long-term effects (Long-Covid, Long-Haulers). Covid’s low mortality rate may be distracting us from its other more insidious consequences.
Authorities desperate to restart the economy and reassure the populace are poised to approve novel vaccines using a new mechanism to generate an immune response: messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines.
I am not a scientist or clinician but I have followed scientific developments closely for the past 40 years and so I have a basic understanding of this new pathway.
I’m posting links below to articles that describe the mRNA vaccines in greater detail. All these sources are respected journals or media outlets.
Vaccines against viruses work by introducing an inactive virus or viral particle into the bloodstream where this new foreign particle activates our immune system to create antibodies against this specific virus. If the live virus infects us at some later date, our immune systems are already primed to identify and destroy the dangerous virus.
Messenger RNA was only discovered in 1961. DNA is the set of instructions, the “blueprint”, and mRNA is a key part of the cellular machinery that copies a strand of the DNA “blueprint” and builds a protein based on the DNA instructions.
Messenger RNA vaccines don’t introduce a viral particle to our immune systems–they deliver cellular instructions (i.e. a “blueprint”) for a viral particle which our cells reproduce once the mRNA enters our cells and delivers the “blueprint” for assembling the viral particle.
Here’s a recent description of this mechanism from The Atlantic magazine:
“Moderna works on RNA vaccines–injecting not proteins but the molecules of nucleic acid that encode the instructions for building the proteins. Your cells use RNA to instruct their builders to make proteins all the time; the RNA is like the blueprints or schematics that tell the workers on the factory floor what to build.”
COVID-19 Vaccines Are Coming, but They’re Not What You Think. (March 2020)
And here’s another description by a doctor writing in the independent.co.uk:
This is the hard-to-swallow truth about a future coronavirus vaccine (and yes, I’m a doctor)
“Moderna’s messenger RNA vaccine, on the other hand, is completely new and revolutionary to say the least. It uses a sequence of genetic RNA material produced in a lab that, when injected into your body, must invade your cells and hijack your cells’ protein-making machinery called ribosomes to produce the viral components that subsequently train your immune system to fight the virus. In this case, Moderna’s mRNA-1273 is programmed to make your cells produce the coronavirus’ infamous spike protein that gives the virus its crown-like appearance (‘corona’ is crown in Latin) for which it is named.”
Many in the field see the potential for mRNA to deliver superior vaccines because they can generate T-Cell responses as well as the conventional immune responses to viral particles. They are also easier and cheaper to manufacture, and may be stable at room temperature for a week, unlike the Pfizer vaccine which must be refrigerated at extremely cold temperatures.
The Super Cold Covid Vaccine Distribution Problem
But these are the first mRNA vaccines ever seeking approval for human use, and so there are no long-term studies of what might go wrong down the road.
One concern is the possibility that mRNA vaccines could trigger a generalized immune response (interferon, etc.) rather than just a specific immune response to a specific virus (antibodies, etc.).
Our immune system is extremely complex and I make no claim to have a complete understanding of it. That said, the immune system has several levels of response. A conventional vaccine triggers the production of a specific antibody that “recognizes” a specific invader. In other cases, the immune system can activate an “all hands on deck” generalized response.
The danger is that the mRNA could trigger an “all hands on deck” response that could then cascade into autoimmune disorders in which the immune system goes haywire and starts attacking the body’s own cells rather than limiting its destructive capabilities to foreign viruses, bacteria, etc.
One of my MD correspondents recently sent me an email which encapsulates these concerns.
“I’ve been reading about the Pfizer vaccine.
I’ve known for a while that it is an mRNA vaccine but it just hit me that it will be the first mRNA vaccine ever approved for human use.
If COVID was a ‘Steven King’ (kills-everyone) virus, sure, go for it–prevent the deaths and take what comes.
But mortality is low, acute treatments are improving, transmission is preventable, and the greatest risk now appears to be longer term morbidity.
mRNA vaccines by the very nature of their components elicit an interferon response that triggers generalized autoimmunity. This may, in fact, be part of the mechanism of longer term morbidity associated with COVID infection.
Mass introduction of mRNA strands into the populations may indeed reduce acute COVID morbidity and mortality, but how many autoimmune complications will result?
No one knows.
It’s never been done before–ever.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
It would take years of carefully controlled and limited trials across all ethnic groups to find out.
Is the net good from a vaccine that fewer people die up front but a whole lot more folks suffer long term problems on the back end–especially (as seems likely) boosters will be required.
Shouldn’t there be a discussion before ‘immunity passports’ are mandated?
For that matter, shouldn’t we discover how long natural immunity lasts before trying to provoke induced immunity?
I’m dumbstruck that, with the proposed approval timetable, this path is even being considered at a population level, let alone considered without an extensive discussion.
First do no harm.”
Indeed. And then there’s the self-interest of those seeking rapid approval of the vaccines. As noted in the independent.co.uk article referenced above:
“But perhaps the most important question to ask about Moderna’s new messenger RNA vaccine is not scientific nor technical but one of ethics and morality. When it comes to the United States and its private healthcare system, pharmaceutical companies have a long and sordid history of putting profits over people and human lives.”
Why would anyone trust that Big Pharma corporations will act in the public good rather than in pursuit of maximizing profits?
The mad rush of profiteering Big Pharma corporations to own the first vaccine approved will create needless and potentially dangerous confusion about which vaccine actually works best over the longer term.
First, A Vaccine Approval. Then “Chaos and Confusion.” (NY Times)
“It has not yet dawned on hardly anybody the amount of complexity and chaos and confusion that will happen in a few short months,” said Dr. Gregory Poland, the director of the Vaccine Research Group at the Mayo Clinic.
“I can see people reading a lot into even minor differences that could just be statistical chance,” said Natalie Dean, a biostatistician at the University of Florida.”
The FDA has set the bar very low for Covid vaccines: the vaccine only has to be effective for 50% of those taking it to be approved. But as noted above, Big Pharma companies have mastered the art of statistical legerdemain that skew results so they look far more conclusive than they actually are.
If you’ve actually pored over Phase III drug trial results (I have), you find uncertainties have been papered over with statistical analysis techniques. Many medications are approved that only work less than half of the time in the real world.
Another healthcare professional correspondent recommended the book Tainted Truth: The Manipulation of Fact In America as a source for understanding how study data are manipulated to get the desired results.
The danger here in my view is the poorly-informed, politically polarized general public will assume a Covid vaccine is essentially 100% effective like a measles vaccine, when the real-world efficacy might be considerably less certain. Maybe the vaccines will only work for 75% of the recipients. How will anyone be able to tell if they’re one of the 25% for whom the vaccine offers only false confidence?
No one knows how long the immunity generated by these vaccines will last. These two uncertainties generate insurmountable doubts, very likely muddying the waters and making it more difficult to ascertain which vaccines actually work and for how long they offer immunity.
America’s choice to optimize healthcare profiteering (a.k.a. “shareholder value”) over the public good is about to reap a whirlwind. Our educational deficiencies won’t help, as a populace which has a limited grasp of statistics and basic biology has few means to sort the wheat of real-world results from the chaff of self-interested PR.
Maybe the mRNA vaccines will fulfill their promise the first time out of the gate, with near-perfect efficacy and long-lasting immunity. The problem is it will take a long time and careful, de-politicized, independently confirmed studies to reach any trustworthy conclusions.
In such a highly polarized, politicized environment, is such a scrupulously objective study even possible? In a system that rewards self-serving statistical analysis and “first to market,” a system where Big Pharma insiders reap millions of dollars selling their stock on the PR of happy-talk, is it even possible to have truly objective studies of a vaccine’s efficacy and long-term effects?
It seems doubtful. And that’s a problem that extends far beyond the unknowns of mRNA vaccines.
Here are some links on mRNA vaccines:
The Trump Administration Shut a Vaccine Safety Office Last Year. What’s the Plan Now?
mRNA vaccines — a new era in vaccinology (Nature, January 2018)
Five things you need to know about: mRNA vaccines (EU Research, April 2020)
COVID-19 and mRNA Vaccines–First Large Test for a New Approach
RNA vaccines: an introduction
An mRNA Vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 — Preliminary Report
Immunological considerations for COVID-19 vaccine strategies (Nature)
The Vaccine Tightrope


INTERNET DEFCON Time

Its a LOT more than youtube .

BREAKING: YouTube is down. check. interesting… pic.twitter.com/C4XWezLQiD
Its a LOT more than youtube.
Lots of places having on/off issues. pic.twitter.com/ia4OuthGmY
— PM.GalacticLeader-Elect.Jammer (@PaulJammer) November 12, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--The Bulls Are Too Confident

The Bulls Are Too Confident

As of Wednesday , the stock market is in a state of euphoria similar to other major tops .
The S & P 500 rose 9.26 % in the past 8 days .
That ’ s about a year ’ s worth of returns in less than 2 weeks .
Election related hedges unwound and we got good news on the Pfizer vaccine as it is 90 % effective .
The problem is the market had its dessert without eating its vegetables .
If the work from home and online retail plays fell as much as the cyclical value stocks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ because FAANMG is much bigger than the banks and energy combined .
The software stocks fell , but not close to the amount they rose since March .
This week has been a blip on the charts if you zoom out a year .
This rally has had broad participation .
As you can see from the chart below , 76.5 % of Russell 3000 stocks are above their 200 day moving average which is the highest since 2013 .
Most of the market is overbought .
Cyclical stocks are overbought on a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
That ’ s a terrible combination .
The AAII investor sentiment survey had a massive swing in the week of November 11th .
The percentage of bulls rose a massive 17.9 % to 55.8 % which is way above the historical average of 38 % .
In fact , that ’ s the highest percentage of bulls since the peak before the short VIX trade exploded in January 2018 .
That January reading had the highest percentage of bulls since December 2010 .
We went from the longest string of readings with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ high in optimism within a few weeks .
The vaccine catalyzed intense optimism .
Furthermore , the tech stocks fell which was a bullish catalyst for this survey because many respondents have stated in the past few months that there was a tech bubble .
Most of the bulls came from being neutral .
Neutral fell 11.3 points to 19.3 % which is way below the average of 31.5 % .
The percentage of bears isn ’ t extremely low as it fell 6.6 points to 24.9 % which is slightly below the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you can see from the chart below , since March 26th , the S & P 500 is only up 6 % in the regular trading session , while it is up 50 % in the after hours session .
Some investors assume funny business , but there isn ’ t any .
Investors holding stocks overnight are taking extra risks .
They were rewarded for that risk in a very unstable time .
Holding stocks over the weekend in April was a risk that was rewarded handsomely .
We have had many @ @ @ @ @ @ @ run .
It ’ s amazing that there is such euphoria in markets amidst the heartbreak that is COVID-19 .
The 7 day average of deaths from COVID-19 is 1,080 which is only 101 below the peak on August 4th .
With hospitalizations higher than the summer peak , it ’ s highly likely deaths will rise further .
The economic restrictions are coming even if there aren ’ t outright shutdowns .
People are fatigued by COVID-19 , but the headlines probably will scare policymakers into action .
In New York , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ close at 10PM starting on Friday .
The restrictions will increase as the positive test rate increases .
Pfizer is only able to produce 25 million vaccines globally by the end of the year .
The good news is Moderna ’ s vaccine is very similar which means we are likely to have two companies focused on distributing them .
Moderna will be providing preliminary results soon .
The fact that the results have been delayed could suggest that the effectiveness of the vaccine is high because it is taking longer for people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vaccine ( not the placebo ) .
We have acknowledged for a few months that the NFIB survey has been too optimistic .
Small businesses are in deep trouble even though that survey shows high optimism .
The chart below shows the increased level of uncertainty small businesses are facing .
From July to September , the percentage of small businesses who think they will survive fell 13 points to 60 % .
Now 34 % don ’ t know if they will and 6 % think they won ’ t .
It @ @ @ @ @ @ @ businesses who said they wouldn ’ t survive from April to September already folded .
This month ’ s survey likely took place before the vaccine results came out which means small firms might be more confident now .
However , if they barely have enough funding , they might actually be more negative because the near term looks worse than before .
The next two months will be so bad for many firms that they won ’ t make it to the likely reopening of the economy in the spring/summer .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ business applications with a high prosperity to have a payroll has increased dramatically in the past few months .
Disruption creates opportunity .
Plus , there were millions of people who lost their job who needed a new source of income .
It is easier than ever to create a business online .
This is likely where a majority of businesses were created since social distancing rules are still in effect .
The million-dollar question is how many of these firms survive once the economy normalizes .
Part of that answer depends on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ We could see online shopping as a percentage of consumer spending fall and more people go back to the office .
However , some online shopping will stick and we should see a movement towards flexible work schedules ( at home & in the office ) .
The vaccine and election have catalyzed euphoric speculation in the stock market as it has had a year ’ s worth of gains in eight days .
The investor sentiment survey is the most bullish since January 2018 .
Investors have gotten paid handsomely to own @ @ @ @ @ @ @ risk .
Small businesses are less confident about their survival as they face a dreadful December because of COVID-19 .
The good news is this disruption catalyzed a record-breaking number of new businesses that have a high likelihood of hiring workers .

by UPFINA
As of Wednesday, the stock market is in a state of euphoria similar to other major tops. The S&P 500 rose 9.26% in the past 8 days. That’s about a year’s worth of returns in less than 2 weeks. Election related hedges unwound and we got good news on the Pfizer vaccine as it is 90% effective. The problem is the market had its dessert without eating its vegetables. If the work from home and online retail plays fell as much as the cyclical value stocks rose, the market would have fallen because FAANMG is much bigger than the banks and energy combined. The software stocks fell, but not close to the amount they rose since March. This week has been a blip on the charts if you zoom out a year. This rally has had broad participation. As you can see from the chart below, 76.5% of Russell 3000 stocks are above their 200 day moving average which is the highest since 2013. Most of the market is overbought. Cyclical stocks are overbought on a short-term basis and growth stocks are expensive. That’s a terrible combination.
76.5% of stocks in the Russell 3000 trade above their 200-day; the highest since 2013.
Read more in tonight's Closer: t.co/40hVOmfn1q pic.twitter.com/eSZNSjFlo6 — Bespoke (@bespokeinvest) November 11, 2020
The AAII investor sentiment survey had a massive swing in the week of November 11th. The percentage of bulls rose a massive 17.9% to 55.8% which is way above the historical average of 38%. In fact, that’s the highest percentage of bulls since the peak before the short VIX trade exploded in January 2018. That January reading had the highest percentage of bulls since December 2010. We went from the longest string of readings with more bears than bulls to a multi-year high in optimism within a few weeks.
How the mood has changed with the individual investor after the vaccine and election. According to AAII, Bulls above bears at highest level since January 2018 right after the corporate tax cut passage. pic.twitter.com/EZDQ8k5FHD — Peter Boockvar (@pboockvar) November 12, 2020
The vaccine catalyzed intense optimism. Furthermore, the tech stocks fell which was a bullish catalyst for this survey because many respondents have stated in the past few months that there was a tech bubble. Most of the bulls came from being neutral. Neutral fell 11.3 points to 19.3% which is way below the average of 31.5%. The percentage of bears isn’t extremely low as it fell 6.6 points to 24.9% which is slightly below the historical average of 30.5%.
Overnight Rules
As you can see from the chart below, since March 26th, the S&P 500 is only up 6% in the regular trading session, while it is up 50% in the after hours session. Some investors assume funny business, but there isn’t any. Investors holding stocks overnight are taking extra risks. They were rewarded for that risk in a very unstable time. Holding stocks over the weekend in April was a risk that was rewarded handsomely. We have had many extremely strong Monday rallies in this bull run.
COVID-19 To Be A Fall Disaster
It’s amazing that there is such euphoria in markets amidst the heartbreak that is COVID-19. The 7 day average of deaths from COVID-19 is 1,080 which is only 101 below the peak on August 4th. With hospitalizations higher than the summer peak, it’s highly likely deaths will rise further. The economic restrictions are coming even if there aren’t outright shutdowns.
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People are fatigued by COVID-19, but the headlines probably will scare policymakers into action. In New York, gyms, restaurants, and bars must close at 10PM starting on Friday. The restrictions will increase as the positive test rate increases. Pfizer is only able to produce 25 million vaccines globally by the end of the year. The good news is Moderna’s vaccine is very similar which means we are likely to have two companies focused on distributing them. Moderna will be providing preliminary results soon. The fact that the results have been delayed could suggest that the effectiveness of the vaccine is high because it is taking longer for people to get the virus that got the vaccine (not the placebo).
Small Businesses Failing
We have acknowledged for a few months that the NFIB survey has been too optimistic. Small businesses are in deep trouble even though that survey shows high optimism. The chart below shows the increased level of uncertainty small businesses are facing. From July to September, the percentage of small businesses who think they will survive fell 13 points to 60%. Now 34% don’t know if they will and 6% think they won’t.
It’s possible that many of the businesses who said they wouldn’t survive from April to September already folded. This month’s survey likely took place before the vaccine results came out which means small firms might be more confident now. However, if they barely have enough funding, they might actually be more negative because the near term looks worse than before. The next two months will be so bad for many firms that they won’t make it to the likely reopening of the economy in the spring/summer.
Huge Increase In New Business Applications
The chart below shows the number of new business applications with a high prosperity to have a payroll has increased dramatically in the past few months. Disruption creates opportunity. Plus, there were millions of people who lost their job who needed a new source of income. It is easier than ever to create a business online. This is likely where a majority of businesses were created since social distancing rules are still in effect.
Glass half full chart! The number of new business application has surged to record highs! @bcaresearch pic.twitter.com/FnBoiNYbqe — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) November 8, 2020
The million-dollar question is how many of these firms survive once the economy normalizes. Part of that answer depends on what the new normal looks like. We could see online shopping as a percentage of consumer spending fall and more people go back to the office. However, some online shopping will stick and we should see a movement towards flexible work schedules (at home & in the office).
Conclusion
The vaccine and election have catalyzed euphoric speculation in the stock market as it has had a year’s worth of gains in eight days. The investor sentiment survey is the most bullish since January 2018. Investors have gotten paid handsomely to own stocks after hours because of the added risk. Small businesses are less confident about their survival as they face a dreadful December because of COVID-19. The good news is this disruption catalyzed a record-breaking number of new businesses that have a high likelihood of hiring workers.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Concerned About Massive Corporate Debt / Equity Bubble

I won ’ t pretend to know a lot about finance or economics , but I sold all my positions in June on the belief that there is a massive bubble in asset prices – which I feel must pop sooner rather than later .
I ’ ll give my thoughts here , and then hopefully some people can come back with some refutations and differences of opinion – as I ’ d like to get a better understanding of the counterarguments .
As far as I can understand it , the traditional method of dealing with recessions in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ This allows for cheaper borrowing by companies , who can then invest the money they borrow into the production of future growth .
This should then increase the size of the economy overall , resulting in a net creation of wealth .
The negative effect of low interest rates is that it makes capital allocation less efficient .
This is because companies need to produce a smaller amount of growth from the borrowed money in order to pay it back – encouraging less efficient companies to take out loans .
This has resulted @ @ @ @ @ @ @ profits can barely cover the tiny amount of interest required to service their debt .
If interest rates were to rise even a small amount , these companies would quickly be unable to service their debt obligations and would face defaulting and bankruptcy .
I believe the ideal approach is to lower interest rates when times are hard – to encourage borrowing , but then to gradually raise them as the economy improves , in order to improve the efficiency of capital allocation , and to provide a buffer for reducing interest rates @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has not been the strategy used in the past , and central banks have struggled to raise interest rates to previous levels after each successive crash without causing disruption to the markets and economy .
In 2008 , during the global financial crisis , the rates were already relatively low before the crisis began .
This meant that lowering the rates to zero was not enough to provide the required liquidity to the market , so an alternative approach had to be undertaken .
This is known as Quantitative Easing ( QE ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is the purchase of government and corporate bonds by the central bank .
The purpose of QE is to inject liquidity into the market while locking up assets in a way that the created money does not flow into the economy and cause high inflation – as would be the case if money was simply printed .
Again , I believe that the goal with QE is to provide short-term liquidity to the economy when times are bad , which is gradually rolled back as the economy improves , resulting in the selling @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Again , to my knowledge , this has not been accomplished effectively since 2008 , resulting in a climate of low interest rates , and high levels of risky corporate debt held by central banks .
Now , we get to the COVID crisis , whereby the economy shrinks rapidly in response to lockdowns , lack of travel etc .
The market takes a deep nosedive off this news , as companies begin to draw on credit lines to carry them through the downturn – resulting in a loss of liquidity .
Central @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to zero .
As the interest rates were still extremely low before the crash , this did not provide the required liquidity – so a huge amount of quantitative easing was required – over double that which was introduced during the 2008 crisis .
The rates being so low encourages spending rather than saving .
However , in the COVID economy , there is nothing to really spend money on – there is no point in investing in productivity or future growth as sales and revenue are expected to be lower , not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also low , due to the huge amount of quantitative easing .
This means that there is no place left for this additional liquidity to go – other than the stock market , further inflating a huge asset bubble .
This is caused by the influx of retail investors into the market , stock buybacks by corporations , and financial firms having no other place to invest their money for a decent return .
I believe there are several key risks for the near future .
• The extremely high level of bad @ @ @ @ @ @ @ zombie corporations means that a tiny hike in interest rates would cause a huge downturn in the stock market and would mean many companies face bankruptcy .
• Any reduction in the stimulus provided by central banks would cause a credit crunch as companies try to draw on huge amounts of cheap credit .
• A reduction in QE would mean there are no buyers for junk corporate bonds , meaning that companies can not refinance their debt and will face default and bankruptcy .
Does anyone see a way this can all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ huge bubble popping ?
And is there anywhere in my post where I ’ m way off the mark ?
As I say , I ’ m not an expert on this at all .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision .

by allabright92
I won’t pretend to know a lot about finance or economics, but I sold all my positions in June on the belief that there is a massive bubble in asset prices – which I feel must pop sooner rather than later. I’ll give my thoughts here, and then hopefully some people can come back with some refutations and differences of opinion – as I’d like to get a better understanding of the counterarguments.
As far as I can understand it, the traditional method of dealing with recessions in the past was to decrease interest rates. This allows for cheaper borrowing by companies, who can then invest the money they borrow into the production of future growth. This should then increase the size of the economy overall, resulting in a net creation of wealth. The negative effect of low interest rates is that it makes capital allocation less efficient. This is because companies need to produce a smaller amount of growth from the borrowed money in order to pay it back – encouraging less efficient companies to take out loans. This has resulted in ‘zombie companies’, whose profits can barely cover the tiny amount of interest required to service their debt. If interest rates were to rise even a small amount, these companies would quickly be unable to service their debt obligations and would face defaulting and bankruptcy.
I believe the ideal approach is to lower interest rates when times are hard – to encourage borrowing, but then to gradually raise them as the economy improves, in order to improve the efficiency of capital allocation, and to provide a buffer for reducing interest rates in the future. However, this has not been the strategy used in the past, and central banks have struggled to raise interest rates to previous levels after each successive crash without causing disruption to the markets and economy.
In 2008, during the global financial crisis, the rates were already relatively low before the crisis began. This meant that lowering the rates to zero was not enough to provide the required liquidity to the market, so an alternative approach had to be undertaken. This is known as Quantitative Easing (QE), and – to my understanding – is the purchase of government and corporate bonds by the central bank. The purpose of QE is to inject liquidity into the market while locking up assets in a way that the created money does not flow into the economy and cause high inflation – as would be the case if money was simply printed.
Again, I believe that the goal with QE is to provide short-term liquidity to the economy when times are bad, which is gradually rolled back as the economy improves, resulting in the selling of these assets into the market. Again, to my knowledge, this has not been accomplished effectively since 2008, resulting in a climate of low interest rates, and high levels of risky corporate debt held by central banks.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Now, we get to the COVID crisis, whereby the economy shrinks rapidly in response to lockdowns, lack of travel etc. The market takes a deep nosedive off this news, as companies begin to draw on credit lines to carry them through the downturn – resulting in a loss of liquidity. Central banks respond to this by cutting rates to zero. As the interest rates were still extremely low before the crash, this did not provide the required liquidity – so a huge amount of quantitative easing was required – over double that which was introduced during the 2008 crisis.
The rates being so low encourages spending rather than saving. However, in the COVID economy, there is nothing to really spend money on – there is no point in investing in productivity or future growth as sales and revenue are expected to be lower, not higher. The supply of bonds is also low, due to the huge amount of quantitative easing. This means that there is no place left for this additional liquidity to go – other than the stock market, further inflating a huge asset bubble. This is caused by the influx of retail investors into the market, stock buybacks by corporations, and financial firms having no other place to invest their money for a decent return.
I believe there are several key risks for the near future.
The extremely high level of bad corporate debt and the high number of zombie corporations means that a tiny hike in interest rates would cause a huge downturn in the stock market and would mean many companies face bankruptcy. Any reduction in the stimulus provided by central banks would cause a credit crunch as companies try to draw on huge amounts of cheap credit. A reduction in QE would mean there are no buyers for junk corporate bonds, meaning that companies cannot refinance their debt and will face default and bankruptcy.
Does anyone see a way this can all return to more sensible levels without a huge bubble popping? And is there anywhere in my post where I’m way off the mark? As I say, I’m not an expert on this at all.
Thanks.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Kodak Says Ex-Executives Sold Stock Options They Didn’t Own

Kodak Says Ex-Executives Sold Stock Options They Didn ’ t Own Eastman Kodak Co. said five former executives were able @ @ @ @ @ by selling stock options they didn ’ t own , an admission that is set @ @ @ @ @ the company faces over the circum-stances surrounding a halted U.S. loan .
About 300,000 previously @ @ @ @ @ by the former executives in July , according to a securities filing .
Kodak said @ @ @ @ @ million in compensa-tion expenses related to the options in the third quarter .
Kodak Finance @ @ @ @ @ an earnings call Tuesday that the company had discovered deficiencies in its controls that had @ @ @ @ @ unauthorized issuance ” of the company ’ s stock .

Kodak Says Ex-Executives Sold Stock Options They Didn’t Own
Eastman Kodak Co. said five former executives were able to collect millions of dollars by selling stock options they didn’t own, an admission that is set to add to the scrutiny the company faces over the circum-stances surrounding a halted U.S. loan.
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About 300,000 previously forfeited stock options were exercised by the former executives in July, according to a securities filing. Kodak said it incurred about $5.1 million in compensa-tion expenses related to the options in the third quarter.
Kodak Finance Chief David Bullwinkle said on an earnings call Tuesday that the company had discovered deficiencies in its controls that had failed to prevent the “unauthorized issuance” of the company’s stock.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Fed & ECB Pushing on a String

Fed & ECB Pushing on a String

Powell Says Coming Months to Be Challenging as Virus Spreads “ My sense is that we will need to do @ @ @ @ @ need to do more as well on fiscal policy , ” Powell said .

US corporate loan demand is now at its weakest since the financial crisis. Small business demand is particularly soft.t.co/XeymCmeqqW Source: Federal Reserve Board (@federalreserve) pic.twitter.com/beLHZQg7cf — (((The Daily Shot))) (@SoberLook) November 12, 2020
VIX will hit 50 in a few weeks but VIX is suppressed this time, in other words, SPX point loss will be larger relative to VIX of March. When VIX goes to 50, it will be like VIX = 100 of March period. pic.twitter.com/o8DCMjrGvX — xTrends (@xtrends) November 12, 2020
“My sense is that we will need to do more, and Congress may need to do more as well on fiscal policy,” Powell said.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Huge disaster is happening as we speak in Philippines! Houses flooded till rooftops due the typhoon!

Another city , San Mateo , Rizal where the flood has reached the roofs .
pic.twitter.com/jNqvN5Hwqe

Another city, San Mateo, Rizal where the flood has reached the roofs. pic.twitter.com/jNqvN5Hwqe
— Sisig (@SisigKid) November 12, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--PA: Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted.

Dam breaking ?
Pennsylvania court : Secretary of state lacked authority to change deadline 2 days before Election Day “ @ @ @ @ @ favor of the Trump campaign Thursday , ordering that the state may not count ballots @ @ @ @ @ provide proof of identification and failed to do so by Nov. 9 .
State law @ @ @ @ @ six days after the election — this year that was Nov. 9 — to cure @ @ @ @ @ proof of identification .
After the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that mail-in ballots could be @ @ @ @ @ Day , Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar submitted guidance that said proof of identification @ @ @ @ @ Nov. 12 , which is six days from the ballot acceptance deadline .
That guidance @ @ @ @ @ Election Day … more at link

BREAKING: Pennsylvania.🗳 Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted. It rules the PA Secretary of State "lacked statutory authority" to override election law. Critically, the state has a Republican state legislature.#SCOTUS may ultimately decide the case now. pic.twitter.com/2VO6mkl66M — Kyle Becker (@kylenabecker) November 12, 2020
Dam breaking? Pennsylvania court: Secretary of state lacked authority to change deadline 2 days before Election Day
“A Pennsylvania judge ruled in favor of the Trump campaign Thursday, ordering that the state may not count ballots where the voters needed to provide proof of identification and failed to do so by Nov. 9.
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State law said that voters have until six days after the election — this year that was Nov. 9 — to cure problems regarding a lack of proof of identification. After the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that mail-in ballots could be accepted three days after Election Day, Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar submitted guidance that said proof of identification could be provided up until Nov. 12, which is six days from the ballot acceptance deadline. That guidance was issued two days before Election Day … more at link
INBOX: Michigan GOP state senators are requesting a full audit of the 2020 General Election. pic.twitter.com/yd9GcDg5QU — Chris Pandolfo (@ChrisCPandolfo) November 12, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--A Computer Script That Combs Thru All The Election Data & Identifies Votes That: “SWITCHED” FROM #TR

A Computer Script That Combs Thru All The Election Data & Identifies Votes That: “SWITCHED” FROM #TRUMP TO #BIDEN & Votes “LOST” That Disappeared!

BREAKING : # TrumanBlack Has Created A Computer Script That Combs Thru All The Election Data & Identifies Votes That @ @ @ @ @ # TRUMP TO # BIDEN & Votes `` LOST '' That Disappeared !
Data Shows @ @ @ @ @ FROM TRUMP & GIVEN TO BIDEN !
Site : t.co/kZBtfnHajR pic.twitter.com/4GFFWV6x1F CONTD : By No @ @ @ @ @ List Shows All Of The Nefarious Actions Taken Using This Software .
I Believe It @ @ @ @ @ Review The Ballots By Hand As Well As The System Software , Logs , & @ @ @ @ @ n't Trust Our Elections , There Is No America !

BREAKING: #TrumanBlack Has Created A Computer Script That Combs Thru All The Election Data & Identifies Votes That: "SWITCHED" FROM #TRUMP TO #BIDEN & Votes "LOST" That Disappeared! Data Shows ALL SWITCHED Votes WERE TAKEN FROM TRUMP & GIVEN TO BIDEN! Site: t.co/kZBtfnHajR pic.twitter.com/4GFFWV6x1F
CONTD: By No Means Do I Believe This List Shows All Of The Nefarious Actions Taken Using This Software. I Believe It Shows Places Where We MUST Review The Ballots By Hand As Well As The System Software, Logs, & Firmware.
If We Don't Trust Our Elections, There Is No America!
— John Basham 🇺🇲 (@JohnBasham) November 11, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Ticketmaster will require people to be vaccinated to buy tickets for events

Ticketmaster could allow venues to ask people to prove they ’ ve had the coronavirus vaccine to get into sports @ @ @ @ @ company Pfizer announced earlier this week that early data shows their vaccine is 90 per @ @ @ @ @ venues will be able to start hosting events again in 2021 .
Ticketmaster says it @ @ @ @ @ post-pandemic plan that could use fans ’ phones to verify their vaccination status or confirm @ @ @ @ @ an event .
The company says the plan would be based on their own ticket @ @ @ @ @ information firms and vaccine distribution providers .
This plan is still in development and will @ @ @ @ @ , not required by Ticketmaster , the company stated .

Ticketmaster could allow venues to ask people to prove they’ve had the coronavirus vaccine to get into sports events and concerts.
Drug company Pfizer announced earlier this week that early data shows their vaccine is 90 per cent effective raising hopes that venues will be able to start hosting events again in 2021.
Ticketmaster says it has been working on a post-pandemic plan that could use fans’ phones to verify their vaccination status or confirm they have tested negative before an event.
The company says the plan would be based on their own ticket app, third party health information firms and vaccine distribution providers. We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--For anyone who needed a good laugh today

The hypocrisy is real .
China is ramping up their anti-American propaganda .
How they are even allowed to sit @ @ @ @ @ amazes me here are the rest of CCP ’ s ‘ recommendations ’ … talk @ @ @ @ @ China ‘ banned from McDonalds and evicted from their homes ’ over coronavirus fears – @ @ @ @ @

by Watermelon_Soldier
The hypocrisy is real. China is ramping up their anti-American propaganda. How they are even allowed to sit on the Human Rights Council amazes me
here are the rest of CCP’s ‘recommendations’… talk about projecting
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🇨🇳 China, newly elected to the U.N. Human Rights Council, just reviewed the U.S. human rights record. "China wishes to recommend to the U.S.:
1. Root out systematic racism, address widespread police brutality and combat discrimination against African- and Asian-Americans….“ pic.twitter.com/q2AUSKPTWZ — UN Watch (@UNWatch) November 11, 2020
Hey China, remember 7 months ago?
Black people in China ‘banned from McDonalds and evicted from their homes’ over coronavirus fears – Independent.co.uk – April, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-12--Living In An Inflation-less World … Core CPI Declines To 1.61% YoY, RENT CPI At 2.5% YoY

Core inflation YoY checked in at 1.61 % , well below the 2 % target rate of The Fed But @ @ @ @ @ at 2.5 % YoY .
And I am an inflation-less economist .

by confoundedinterest17
Living in an inflation-less world …
Core inflation YoY checked in at 1.61%, well below the 2% target rate of The Fed
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But housing rent inflation checked in at 2.5% YoY.
And I am an inflation-less economist.