investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--The “New Confederacy”? Yes, It’s Time For Conservatives To Unite Against The Globalist Reset

The narrative could not be more transparent or obvious , but then again , the elites are becoming lazy in their propaganda and the leftists are not all that bright .
Essentially , every time conservatives ( or moderates ) organize to defend themselves against communist or globalist attack we are called “ Nazis ” , brownshirts , populists , bullies , etc .
Now , I would remind these people that if we were really going the path of the Sturmabteilung then there would be rampant intimidation and assault on leftists to the point that they would be afraid @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as leftists .
Conservatives believe in self defense , not coercion and terror tactics .
Such actions are the wheelhouse of the political left these days .
They are far better than we are at imitating Brownshirt behavior .
The reality is that across the board the only people engaging in widespread censorship and violence are on the political left , yet we are supposed to be the “ Nazis ” ?
Historically , there does seem to be a pattern here , though .
In Germany in the 1920s-1930s communist groups were @ @ @ @ @ @ @ riots and even assassinations .
This lured many Germans in fear of being overtaken by a communist regime to support national socialism , the other side of the coin when it comes to tyranny .
In other words , to defeat the communists the public supported the fascists , and the fascists ended up being just as bad as the communists .
If you study the investigations of historians like Antony Sutton in books like ‘ Wall Street And The Bolshevik Revolution ’ or ‘ Wall Street And The Rise Of Hitler ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ evidence proving that BOTH the communists and the fascists were funded and managed by the same global elites .
In other words , the bankers win either way because they control both sides of the game .
I do suspect that a similar strategy is being implemented within the US today , and that part of the agenda of globalists hellbent on getting their “ great reset ” is to foment civil war in America while controlling or manipulating both sides of the fight .
It is indeed a Catch-22 for conservatives : @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , then the extreme left and their corporate and political partners take control of the country and we will never see freedom again as they assert their “ social justice ” mandates along with their lockdown mandates .
If we fight back using the same tactics as the leftists or support martial law , then we ultimately erase the civil liberties protected within the Bill of Rights .
Those rights will NEVER return ( don ’ t believe the promises for a second ) and we become history ’ s biggest hypocrites and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of nationalism ” told to children generations from now , much like the Nazis .
There is , however , another option , and it ’ s not diplomacy .
The establishment likes to make people think there are only ever two choices during any crisis , and both choices involve giving up more freedom or giving government more power .
What they don ’ t want you to consider is the third option – The people taking power for themselves and removing power from those that would abuse it .
Why should @ @ @ @ @ @ @ such measures ?
Why are we always being told that we need to wait for a president or a government to do the job we can do ourselves ?
The liberty movement doesn ’ t revolve around Trump or the election , and it should NEVER rely on martial law as a means to secure our safety .
We can do this on our own without asking permission or waiting to be led by a mascot .
It is true that the political left and conservatives are no longer capable of finding common @ @ @ @ @ @ @ some moderate liberals that also stand against forced vaccinations and medical mandates ) .
In terms of the hard left , their cult is so far beyond reality now that it would be impossible to reconcile .
They live on another planet and their frothing zealotry is too entrenched for them to ever see reason .
In their delusional fantasies we are the ultimate villains , and they are the “ noble freedom fighters ” .
Of course , every single establishment power platform in the corporate world , in Big Tech and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ disposal , not to mention millions in funding from globalist organizations like the Open Society Foundation and the Ford Foundation , so this tale of the leftist “ underdog ” makes us double over with laughter at times .
The majority of conservatives just want to be left alone to live our lives the way we see fit .
You know , like real Americans are supposed to do .
But this notion is not acceptable to collectivists .
They argue that we are “ all part of a society ” …THEIR society @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ideologies and rules “ for the greater good ” or suffer the consequences .
In other words , you can check out anytime you like , but you can never leave .
The fact is , groups in general are abstractions of the mind .
Just because someone declares that you are a part of their society does not make it so .
Walking away is every individual ’ s right as a human being .
Groups that survive and thrive tend to be built on shared values and principles .
They don @ @ @ @ @ @ @ every detail , but they can ’ t be diametrically opposed in every way either .
Usually those with principles that match with an inherent sense of conscience are the groups that most appeal to people .
That said , there are people in this world ( around 1 % to 5 % of any given population ) that do NOT have inherent conscience , or they suffer from an ingrained affliction called narcissism .
These people are attracted to movements that seek to dominate others , and they maintain membership through force @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is no possible way that this group can ever coexist with people that value freedom and empathy .
At least , not without incredible conflict… There is a large and growing opposition to pandemic lockdown measures , social justice policies that amount to cultural Marxism , as well as the prospect of a Biden presidency which would encourage both of these travesties exponentially .
It ’ s not all about Biden or the leftists , obviously .
The Reset goes far beyond them , but many conservatives are looking at the problem more @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of them and less according to the people behind the curtain .
In light of this the mainstream media is doing exactly what is it designed to do – Create propaganda to “ shame ” anyone that dares to oppose the prevailing establishment narrative .
Their most recent strategy is to label the conservative rebellion against the Reset as “ the new Confederacy ” , and to bring up the specter of the Civil War .
This narrative is riding on the back of discussion among conservatives and state politicians that the possibility @ @ @ @ @ @ @ wake of the growing impasse between leftists , the globalist agenda , and freedom loving Americans .
The establishment and the useful idiots on the left will have none of it .
Despite the fact that all they talked about during the first two years of Trump ’ s presidency was secession , now that the shoe is on the other foot ( if Biden enters the White House and maybe even if he doesn ’ t ) the SJWs and their media counterparts are FURIOUS at the idea that conservatives might actually @ @ @ @ @ @ @ good at destroying things , not creating things .
Their calls for secession were a joke because we all know they are incapable of self sufficiency , and also they have no means of defense .
One look at short lived autonomous zones like “ The CHAZ ” will give you insight to what would happen if leftists tried to separate within a states .
It would be a disaster for them .
When conservatives talk about separation , though , the leftists and globalists listen .
They might not ever admit it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ capable of it .
To be clear , what I believe is happening is that conservatives are being prodded and provoked , not to separate and organize but to centralize .
I think they want us to support actions like martial law which would be considered totalitarian .
Conservatives , the only stalwart defenders of civil liberties , using military suppression and abandoning the Bill of Rights to maintain political power ?
That is a dream come true for the globalists in the long term .
And despite people ’ s faith in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ banking elites and globalists within his cabinet to ensure that such power will not be abused or used against us later .
I think the concept of the “ new confederacy ” label being used by leftists and the media reveals what they truly fear , though : If they can get us to roll over for the lockdowns and medical tyranny and a Biden dictatorship , they ’ re happy .
If they can get us to support martial law under a Trump “ coup ” , they ’ re happy .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ is for conservatives and moderates to form their own organizational resistance not beholden to any singular political figure or top down pyramid structure .
Such organization is happening right now .
Millions of liberty minded Americans are leaving leftist counties and states , taking their wealth and businesses with them , and going to more conservative regions where they feel they will be safer .
There has not been an ideological immigration like this in the US for well over a century .
The reality is that conservatives are congregating ( FINALLY ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for their own security .
In my own area in Montana I have been running local open meetings on preparedness and current events in the hopes of getting people on the same page and networked in the event that the current crisis spills over and rule of law breaks down .
Or , in the event that there is an attempt by the state or federal government to enforce medical lockdown mandates where we live .
These meetings have been expanding in the past couple of months and needless to say , people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ submit to restrictions and do not plan to hide quietly in their homes while their community and businesses are destroyed .
These groups are forming across the country , and thank God , because without community organization there is ZERO chance of survival or freedom for liberty minded Americans .
As I ’ ve noted in some of my latest articles , the rebellion against lockdowns and vaccination mandates is visible even in hard-left states like California and New York .
There is much to be optimistic about .
However , the fight @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will be ample vitriol leveled against us as we successfully unify .
Organization requires a tit-for-tat philosophy to do well .
Meaning , everyone must take some risk in order to encourage others to join the fight .
For example , conservatives want business owners to refuse to enforce lockdown rules .
But , if a business owner makes this courageous choice and faces off with government health officials , then patriots need to be there to back them up .
This might even mean standing in the way of law enforcement that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ business .
I call this “ creating a wall of worry ” ; many police and sheriffs are not onboard with the enforcement of illegal mandates , but those that are need to understand that there are potential consequences for doing so .
The wall of worry is a deterrent , and the larger the group of people involved the better .
Police are not going to risk escalation of a fight over lockdown mandates if they realize that fight could go badly for them .
And , if people in their own @ @ @ @ @ @ @ consequences double if they seek to enforce them .
They should be the ones worried , not us .
Health Department officials are even less likely to push the issue in the face of opposition .
By extension , if your local sheriff ’ s department or police department is standing against the unconstitutional mandates and the state or federal government threatens them with repercussions , YOU must be there to offer help and support .
They are taking a risk for you , so you must be willing to take a risk @ @ @ @ @ @ @ considerable chatter that many medical professionals including doctors and nurses are going to REFUSE to take the poorly tested and questionable Covid vaccine for fear of damaging side effects .
And why should they ?
Why take a vaccine for a virus that only threatens less than 0.3 % of the public outside of nursing homes ?
Medical professionals are under immense pressure to take the vaccine or lose their license to practice .
Conservatives MUST defend them if they rebel against mandatory vaccination .
This means helping them to set up their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ where they can continue to aid people and still make a living .
This means networking liberty minded patients that need treatments for various ailments to doctors and nurses that will not demand they show a medical passport and will not report them to the government .
This means protecting doctors and nurses from retribution should government officials try to punish or arrest them .
Communities will need to build their own localized economies , using barter and trade and maybe even creating a local currency scrip ( hopefully backed by some kind @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to have to insulate themselves from the lockdowns economically in order to defy the lockdowns in a practical way .
Otherwise , anyone that does not conform to medical passports and contact tracing will be denied access to the establishment controlled economy and die of poverty .
We have to create alternatives .
We have to offer people a choice outside of tyranny , otherwise many will go along with the tyranny .
Finally , conservative communities are going to have to provide for their own security .
Regardless of how the election @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Trump stays in the White House and refuses to concede , martial law is an unacceptable scenario .
Conservatives don ’ t need it anyway .
We should be establishing localized security ( otherwise known as militias ) composed of any able bodied person in the community that wants to join .
These militias would have to form as unofficial organizations , as it is unlikely that state politicians will sanction them .
That ’ s okay .
We don ’ t need them to sanction our own security and defense .
Like @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ourselves .
In the meantime , the leftists will label us “ brownshirts ” , but as mentioned they are the people that have proven over and over again to be violent and totalitarian , so their accusations ring hollow .
The media will call us the “ new confederacy ” , which is funny because the majority of the original confederates and slave owners during the Civil War were Democrats .
We ’ ll set aside that irony and point out that people have an inherent right to self defense and to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ us are slave owners .
Anyone that calls for the globalist Reset is an enemy of individual rights , and anyone that tries to enforce medical tyranny is on the wrong side of history and of morality .
They can call us whatever they want and make erroneous historical comparisons until they are blue in the face ; it won ’ t change the fact that we are seeking to be free and they are seeking to take that freedom away .
This is all that matters .

By Brandon Smith
The narrative could not be more transparent or obvious, but then again, the elites are becoming lazy in their propaganda and the leftists are not all that bright. Essentially, every time conservatives (or moderates) organize to defend themselves against communist or globalist attack we are called “Nazis”, brownshirts, populists, bullies, etc. Now, I would remind these people that if we were really going the path of the Sturmabteilung then there would be rampant intimidation and assault on leftists to the point that they would be afraid to leave their homes or even identify as leftists. Conservatives believe in self defense, not coercion and terror tactics.
Such actions are the wheelhouse of the political left these days. They are far better than we are at imitating Brownshirt behavior. The reality is that across the board the only people engaging in widespread censorship and violence are on the political left, yet we are supposed to be the “Nazis”?
Historically, there does seem to be a pattern here, though. In Germany in the 1920s-1930s communist groups were highly active and initiated street violence, riots and even assassinations. This lured many Germans in fear of being overtaken by a communist regime to support national socialism, the other side of the coin when it comes to tyranny. In other words, to defeat the communists the public supported the fascists, and the fascists ended up being just as bad as the communists.
If you study the investigations of historians like Antony Sutton in books like ‘Wall Street And The Bolshevik Revolution’ or ‘Wall Street And The Rise Of Hitler’, you will discover there is incredible evidence proving that BOTH the communists and the fascists were funded and managed by the same global elites. In other words, the bankers win either way because they control both sides of the game.
I do suspect that a similar strategy is being implemented within the US today, and that part of the agenda of globalists hellbent on getting their “great reset” is to foment civil war in America while controlling or manipulating both sides of the fight.
It is indeed a Catch-22 for conservatives:
If we roll over and do nothing, then the extreme left and their corporate and political partners take control of the country and we will never see freedom again as they assert their “social justice” mandates along with their lockdown mandates.
If we fight back using the same tactics as the leftists or support martial law, then we ultimately erase the civil liberties protected within the Bill of Rights. Those rights will NEVER return (don’t believe the promises for a second) and we become history’s biggest hypocrites and a cautionary tale of the “dangers of nationalism” told to children generations from now, much like the Nazis.
There is, however, another option, and it’s not diplomacy.
The establishment likes to make people think there are only ever two choices during any crisis, and both choices involve giving up more freedom or giving government more power. What they don’t want you to consider is the third option – The people taking power for themselves and removing power from those that would abuse it.
Why should we rely on a middleman to enact such measures? Why are we always being told that we need to wait for a president or a government to do the job we can do ourselves? The liberty movement doesn’t revolve around Trump or the election, and it should NEVER rely on martial law as a means to secure our safety. We can do this on our own without asking permission or waiting to be led by a mascot.
It is true that the political left and conservatives are no longer capable of finding common ground (except, interestingly, among some moderate liberals that also stand against forced vaccinations and medical mandates). In terms of the hard left, their cult is so far beyond reality now that it would be impossible to reconcile. They live on another planet and their frothing zealotry is too entrenched for them to ever see reason.
In their delusional fantasies we are the ultimate villains, and they are the “noble freedom fighters”. Of course, every single establishment power platform in the corporate world, in Big Tech and in the mainstream media is at their disposal, not to mention millions in funding from globalist organizations like the Open Society Foundation and the Ford Foundation, so this tale of the leftist “underdog” makes us double over with laughter at times.
The majority of conservatives just want to be left alone to live our lives the way we see fit. You know, like real Americans are supposed to do. But this notion is not acceptable to collectivists. They argue that we are “all part of a society”…THEIR society, and we must abide by their ideologies and rules “for the greater good” or suffer the consequences. In other words, you can check out anytime you like, but you can never leave.
The fact is, groups in general are abstractions of the mind. Just because someone declares that you are a part of their society does not make it so. Walking away is every individual’s right as a human being. Groups that survive and thrive tend to be built on shared values and principles. They don’t all need to agree on every detail, but they can’t be diametrically opposed in every way either.
Usually those with principles that match with an inherent sense of conscience are the groups that most appeal to people.
That said, there are people in this world (around 1% to 5% of any given population) that do NOT have inherent conscience, or they suffer from an ingrained affliction called narcissism. These people are attracted to movements that seek to dominate others, and they maintain membership through force rather than appealing to principle. There is no possible way that this group can ever coexist with people that value freedom and empathy. At least, not without incredible conflict…
There is a large and growing opposition to pandemic lockdown measures, social justice policies that amount to cultural Marxism, as well as the prospect of a Biden presidency which would encourage both of these travesties exponentially. It’s not all about Biden or the leftists, obviously. The Reset goes far beyond them, but many conservatives are looking at the problem more according to what is directly in front of them and less according to the people behind the curtain.
In light of this the mainstream media is doing exactly what is it designed to do – Create propaganda to “shame” anyone that dares to oppose the prevailing establishment narrative. Their most recent strategy is to label the conservative rebellion against the Reset as “the new Confederacy”, and to bring up the specter of the Civil War.
This narrative is riding on the back of discussion among conservatives and state politicians that the possibility of secession should be explored in the wake of the growing impasse between leftists, the globalist agenda, and freedom loving Americans.
The establishment and the useful idiots on the left will have none of it. Despite the fact that all they talked about during the first two years of Trump’s presidency was secession, now that the shoe is on the other foot (if Biden enters the White House and maybe even if he doesn’t) the SJWs and their media counterparts are FURIOUS at the idea that conservatives might actually succeed where they failed.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Collectivists are good at destroying things, not creating things. Their calls for secession were a joke because we all know they are incapable of self sufficiency, and also they have no means of defense. One look at short lived autonomous zones like “The CHAZ” will give you insight to what would happen if leftists tried to separate within a states. It would be a disaster for them.
When conservatives talk about separation, though, the leftists and globalists listen. They might not ever admit it, but they know we are actually capable of it.
To be clear, what I believe is happening is that conservatives are being prodded and provoked, not to separate and organize but to centralize. I think they want us to support actions like martial law which would be considered totalitarian. Conservatives, the only stalwart defenders of civil liberties, using military suppression and abandoning the Bill of Rights to maintain political power? That is a dream come true for the globalists in the long term. And despite people’s faith in Trump, there are far too many banking elites and globalists within his cabinet to ensure that such power will not be abused or used against us later.
I think the concept of the “new confederacy” label being used by leftists and the media reveals what they truly fear, though:
If they can get us to roll over for the lockdowns and medical tyranny and a Biden dictatorship, they’re happy. If they can get us to support martial law under a Trump “coup”, they’re happy. But what they don’t want is for conservatives and moderates to form their own organizational resistance not beholden to any singular political figure or top down pyramid structure.
Such organization is happening right now. Millions of liberty minded Americans are leaving leftist counties and states, taking their wealth and businesses with them, and going to more conservative regions where they feel they will be safer. There has not been an ideological immigration like this in the US for well over a century. The reality is that conservatives are congregating (FINALLY) and they are starting to work together for their own security.
In my own area in Montana I have been running local open meetings on preparedness and current events in the hopes of getting people on the same page and networked in the event that the current crisis spills over and rule of law breaks down. Or, in the event that there is an attempt by the state or federal government to enforce medical lockdown mandates where we live. These meetings have been expanding in the past couple of months and needless to say, people in my town are not going to submit to restrictions and do not plan to hide quietly in their homes while their community and businesses are destroyed.
These groups are forming across the country, and thank God, because without community organization there is ZERO chance of survival or freedom for liberty minded Americans. As I’ve noted in some of my latest articles, the rebellion against lockdowns and vaccination mandates is visible even in hard-left states like California and New York. There is much to be optimistic about. However, the fight is going to be difficult and there will be ample vitriol leveled against us as we successfully unify.
Organization requires a tit-for-tat philosophy to do well. Meaning, everyone must take some risk in order to encourage others to join the fight.
For example, conservatives want business owners to refuse to enforce lockdown rules. But, if a business owner makes this courageous choice and faces off with government health officials, then patriots need to be there to back them up. This might even mean standing in the way of law enforcement that is violating the constitutional rights of that business.
I call this “creating a wall of worry”; many police and sheriffs are not onboard with the enforcement of illegal mandates, but those that are need to understand that there are potential consequences for doing so. The wall of worry is a deterrent, and the larger the group of people involved the better. Police are not going to risk escalation of a fight over lockdown mandates if they realize that fight could go badly for them. And, if people in their own departments are against the lockdowns, the consequences double if they seek to enforce them. They should be the ones worried, not us.
Health Department officials are even less likely to push the issue in the face of opposition.
By extension, if your local sheriff’s department or police department is standing against the unconstitutional mandates and the state or federal government threatens them with repercussions, YOU must be there to offer help and support. They are taking a risk for you, so you must be willing to take a risk for them.
I am also hearing considerable chatter that many medical professionals including doctors and nurses are going to REFUSE to take the poorly tested and questionable Covid vaccine for fear of damaging side effects. And why should they? Why take a vaccine for a virus that only threatens less than 0.3% of the public outside of nursing homes?
Medical professionals are under immense pressure to take the vaccine or lose their license to practice. Conservatives MUST defend them if they rebel against mandatory vaccination.
This means helping them to set up their own clinics outside of the controlled system where they can continue to aid people and still make a living. This means networking liberty minded patients that need treatments for various ailments to doctors and nurses that will not demand they show a medical passport and will not report them to the government. This means protecting doctors and nurses from retribution should government officials try to punish or arrest them.
Communities will need to build their own localized economies, using barter and trade and maybe even creating a local currency scrip (hopefully backed by some kind of commodity). They are going to have to insulate themselves from the lockdowns economically in order to defy the lockdowns in a practical way. Otherwise, anyone that does not conform to medical passports and contact tracing will be denied access to the establishment controlled economy and die of poverty. We have to create alternatives. We have to offer people a choice outside of tyranny, otherwise many will go along with the tyranny.
Finally, conservative communities are going to have to provide for their own security. Regardless of how the election situation actually ends, and even if Trump stays in the White House and refuses to concede, martial law is an unacceptable scenario. Conservatives don’t need it anyway. We should be establishing localized security (otherwise known as militias) composed of any able bodied person in the community that wants to join. These militias would have to form as unofficial organizations, as it is unlikely that state politicians will sanction them.
That’s okay. We don’t need them to sanction our own security and defense. Like I said, we can handle it ourselves.
In the meantime, the leftists will label us “brownshirts”, but as mentioned they are the people that have proven over and over again to be violent and totalitarian, so their accusations ring hollow. The media will call us the “new confederacy”, which is funny because the majority of the original confederates and slave owners during the Civil War were Democrats.
We’ll set aside that irony and point out that people have an inherent right to self defense and to freedom from oppression, and none of us are slave owners. Anyone that calls for the globalist Reset is an enemy of individual rights, and anyone that tries to enforce medical tyranny is on the wrong side of history and of morality.
They can call us whatever they want and make erroneous historical comparisons until they are blue in the face; it won’t change the fact that we are seeking to be free and they are seeking to take that freedom away. This is all that matters.


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--MASKS & THE MANUFACTURING OF CONFORMITY: WE ARE NOW THE SUBJECTS OF A GIANT ASCH EXPERIMENT!

This is good , it takes great courage to go against the grain !
!

This is good, it takes great courage to go against the grain!!
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h/t Kate


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--CNN Finally Gets Around To Covering Hunter Biden Corruption…5 Weeks After The Election – YouTube

Clayton Kierns from Trending Politics reports , It took CNN long enough , but they finally found time in their @ @ @ @ @ story involving the corrupt business dealings of Hunter Biden .
They had no desire to @ @ @ @ @ election , but since they ’ re just weeks away from having their guy take @ @ @ @ @ ( assuming the courts don ’ t side with Trump ) , they suddenly feel @ @ @ @ @ this without hurting sleepy Joe politically .

Clayton Kierns from Trending Politics reports, It took CNN long enough, but they finally found time in their busy schedule to cover a story involving the corrupt business dealings of Hunter Biden. They had no desire to cover these matters before the election, but since they’re just weeks away from having their guy take control of the White House (assuming the courts don’t side with Trump), they suddenly feel the freedom to report on this without hurting sleepy Joe politically.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse:
trendingpolitics.com/watch-cn…


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Georgia signature match review announced, will complete by 12/31

Great , but why did n't they do this weeks ago ?
The study , which will be conducted in @ @ @ @ @ of Georgia , will analyze a random sample of mail-in ballots .
It will review @ @ @ @ @ used across the state and check the signatures on random samples of ballots from each @ @ @ @ @ confident that elections in Georgia are secure , reliable and effective , ” Mr. Raffensperger @ @ @ @ @ week said they would audit signatures for mail-in ballots in Cobb County , a suburb @ @ @

They cracked.
Great, but why didn't they do this weeks ago?
The study, which will be conducted in a partnership with the University of Georgia, will analyze a random sample of mail-in ballots. It will review the Election Day signature-matching process used across the state and check the signatures on random samples of ballots from each county.
“We are confident that elections in Georgia are secure, reliable and effective,” Mr. Raffensperger said.
State officials this week said they would audit signatures for mail-in ballots in Cobb County, a suburb of Atlanta.


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Freedom of Speech lives in UK

Freedom of Speech lives in UK

• Two judges have ruled that free speech encompasses offensive language • Lord Justice Bean and Mr Justice Warby presiding over case in Court of Appeal • Ruling came in successful appeal decided last week in favour of Kate Scottow • Feminist prosecuted for calling a transgender woman a man and ‘ pig in a wig ’ • She had been found guilty under the 2003 Communications Act this year Judges have insisted that freedom of speech includes the ‘ right to offend ’ in a landmark ruling which could help to turn the tide on ‘ woke ’ intolerance @ @ @ @ @ @ @ woman a ‘ pig in a wig ’ and a ‘ man ’ was cleared .
Presiding over a case in the Court of Appeal , Lord Justice Bean and Mr Justice Warby said : ‘ Freedom only to speak inoffensively is not worth having.
’ They added that ‘ free speech encompasses the right to offend , and indeed to abuse another ’ .
The judgment from two senior members of the judiciary will set a precedent for future cases involving freedom of speech .
The ruling has emerged only now , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ last week in favour of mother-of-two Kate Scottow , from Hitchin in Hertfordshire , after she had been found guilty under the 2003 Communications Act earlier in the year .
Miss Scottow told The Daily Telegraph : ‘ It was necessary to enshrine one of the most fundamental rights of every living being in a democratic society – the right to freedom of speech that is now routinely attacked… ’ But Miss Hayden said : ‘ This is… a kick in the teeth to the entire LGBT community .
’

Two judges have ruled that free speech encompasses offensive language
Lord Justice Bean and Mr Justice Warby presiding over case in Court of Appeal
Ruling came in successful appeal decided last week in favour of Kate Scottow
Feminist prosecuted for calling a transgender woman a man and ‘pig in a wig’
She had been found guilty under the 2003 Communications Act this year
Judges have insisted that freedom of speech includes the ‘right to offend’ in a landmark ruling which could help to turn the tide on ‘woke’ intolerance after a feminist who called a transgender woman a ‘pig in a wig’ and a ‘man’ was cleared.
Presiding over a case in the Court of Appeal, Lord Justice Bean and Mr Justice Warby said: ‘Freedom only to speak inoffensively is not worth having.’
They added that ‘free speech encompasses the right to offend, and indeed to abuse another’. The judgment from two senior members of the judiciary will set a precedent for future cases involving freedom of speech.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The ruling has emerged only now, but came in the successful appeal decided last week in favour of mother-of-two Kate Scottow, from Hitchin in Hertfordshire, after she had been found guilty under the 2003 Communications Act earlier in the year.
Miss Scottow told The Daily Telegraph: ‘It was necessary to enshrine one of the most fundamental rights of every living being in a democratic society – the right to freedom of speech that is now routinely attacked…’ But Miss Hayden said: ‘This is… a kick in the teeth to the entire LGBT community.’
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9066069/Woke-folk-beware-Freedom-speech-includes-right-offend-say-judges-landmark-ruling.html?__twitter_impression=true


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--George Soros: “Chief Justice Roberts is providing a surprise!”

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— Deep State Exposed® (@DeepStateExpose) December 18, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Liberal logic: “Underlying life circumstances” can be an excuse for crime

So glad I moved far , far away from the Seattle area .

by DCG
So glad I moved far, far away from the Seattle area.
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Seattle is on life support. A new poverty defense bill will flatline this city. I make the case on #TuckerCarlsonTonight. pic.twitter.com/AG2qXR8Nid — (((Jason Rantz))) on KTTH Radio (@jasonrantz) December 17, 2020
DCG


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Tremble in fear America after the latest cyber-attack

Summary : Tremble in fear , America before yet another devastating cyberattack .
Perhaps as bad or even worse than the ones in the past that we ’ ve forgotten .
We can ’ t be strong if we don ’ t learn from experience .
America ’ s people are again experiencing a sustained bombardment of scary stories to create fear , or even mass panic .
Only obedience to our elites and massive funding to the Military-Industrial Complex ( aka the Deep State ) can save us .
A stream of ominous press releases and speeches describe our @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the past several days , the FBI , CISA , and ODNI have become aware of a significant and ongoing cybersecurity campaign .
Pursuant to Presidential Policy Directive ( PPD ) 41 , the FBI , CISA , and ODNI have formed a Cyber Unified Coordination Group ( UCG ) to coordinate a whole-of-government response to this significant cyber incident.
” — A Joint Statement by those agencies .
“ CISA has determined that this threat poses a grave risk to the Federal Government and state , local , tribal , and territorial @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and other private sector organizations.
” — CISA press release .
Our highly credentialed journalists let their imaginations loose , providing wild doomster guesses in pursuit of clicks .
Not a skeptical word to be seen .
“ Some of America ’ s most deeply held secrets may have been stolen in a disciplined , monthslong operation being blamed on elite Russian government hackers .
The possibilities of what might have been purloined are mind-boggling .
Could hackers have obtained nuclear secrets ?
COVID-19 vaccine data ?
Blueprints for next-generation weapons systems ?
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Frank Bajah .
Before another orgy of national pants-wetting , remember the many previous stories like this .
Such as the May 2014 hack of Federal personnel records at the Office of Personnel Management ( OPM ) { see Wikipedia } .
It was , like the others , “ far worse than you imagine ” ( Lawfare ) .
Best described by this from a June 2015 post at John Robb ’ s Global Guerillas .
“ Chinese hackers were able to steal records on 18 m current and former government employees @ @ @ @ @ @ @ applying for security clearances .
I believe this infobomb has done catastrophic damage to US security .
How ?
Big data + bots ( made smarter via AI ) will be able to turn this data into a decisive instrument of warfare .
For example : want that guy on the button to stand down ?
Call him up with a threat to his family .
Threaten to release information on him .
…Worse , through automation this can be done on a scale and with a speed far , far greater than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
“ Mark my words : This infobomb is a catastrophe.
” It was a horrific blow to Ameria ’ s national security , like the many others during the past 60 years .
So severe was this that six years later it has been mostly forgotten .
Follow-up reports about the damage give vague unprovable mentions of “ damage to the government ’ s reputation.
” For a sensible perspective from that time , see Fight the hysteria about the hack of OPM ’ s files .
It ’ s probably not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ incident as serious as described ?
Who knows ?
This is the “ boy who cried wolf ” problem .
They have like so often , why should we believe without evidence ?
We have believed their lies so often without evidence that they see no need to provide evidence .
The problem is much more serious than the consequences of this incident , no matter how severe .
We love to read the news !
This points to our greatest weakness : our inability to learn from experience .
Our government ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ exaggerating threats ( or just creating them from thin air ) , not bothering with evidence .
Like hicks visiting Time Square and playing Three-Card Monte , they often lie – but we always believe them .
See the Big ( but partial ) List of Lies .
Without skepticism we can become only pleasant peasants , justly despised as fools by our leaders .
We can whine about the ways our elites exploit us , but being sheep is a choice .
This is the essential harsh truth that we refuse to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will not tell us .
I will send a copy of Rome ’ s Last Citizen ( rich with insights to our time ) to those who post the best comments to this series of posts .
I have ten copies .
One book per winner .
Decisions are purely subjective by the judges , based on the originality and quality of insights , plus supporting facts and analysis , of the comment .
A copy also goes to whoever suggests a new mission for this website .
“ Helping to reignite the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ shows a hopeful spirit I no longer have .

By Larry Kummer, Editor
Summary: Tremble in fear, America before yet another devastating cyberattack. Perhaps as bad or even worse than the ones in the past that we’ve forgotten. We can’t be strong if we don’t learn from experience.
America’s people are again experiencing a sustained bombardment of scary stories to create fear, or even mass panic. Only obedience to our elites and massive funding to the Military-Industrial Complex (aka the Deep State) can save us. A stream of ominous press releases and speeches describe our peril.
“Over the course of the past several days, the FBI, CISA, and ODNI have become aware of a significant and ongoing cybersecurity campaign. Pursuant to Presidential Policy Directive (PPD) 41, the FBI, CISA, and ODNI have formed a Cyber Unified Coordination Group (UCG) to coordinate a whole-of-government response to this significant cyber incident.”
— A Joint Statement by those agencies.
“CISA has determined that this threat poses a grave risk to the Federal Government and state, local, tribal, and territorial governments as well as critical infrastructure entities and other private sector organizations.”
— CISA press release.
Our highly credentialed journalists let their imaginations loose, providing wild doomster guesses in pursuit of clicks. Not a skeptical word to be seen.
“Some of America’s most deeply held secrets may have been stolen in a disciplined, monthslong operation being blamed on elite Russian government hackers. The possibilities of what might have been purloined are mind-boggling. Could hackers have obtained nuclear secrets? COVID-19 vaccine data? Blueprints for next-generation weapons systems?”
— Opening of AP story by Frank Bajah.
Before another orgy of national pants-wetting, remember the many previous stories like this. Such as the May 2014 hack of Federal personnel records at the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) {see Wikipedia}. It was, like the others, “far worse than you imagine” (Lawfare). Best described by this from a June 2015 post at John Robb’s Global Guerillas.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“Chinese hackers were able to steal records on 18 m current and former government employees + sensitive background information submitted by people applying for security clearances. I believe this infobomb has done catastrophic damage to US security. How? Big data + bots (made smarter via AI) will be able to turn this data into a decisive instrument of warfare. For example: want that guy on the button to stand down? Call him up with a threat to his family. Threaten to release information on him. …Worse, through automation this can be done on a scale and with a speed far, far greater than what old school spooks are capable of. “Mark my words: This infobomb is a catastrophe.”
It was a horrific blow to Ameria’s national security, like the many others during the past 60 years. So severe was this that six years later it has been mostly forgotten. Follow-up reports about the damage give vague unprovable mentions of “damage to the government’s reputation.” For a sensible perspective from that time, see Fight the hysteria about the hack of OPM’s files. It’s probably not a big threat.
Is this latest incident as serious as described? Who knows? This is the “boy who cried wolf” problem. They have like so often, why should we believe without evidence? We have believed their lies so often without evidence that they see no need to provide evidence. The problem is much more serious than the consequences of this incident, no matter how severe.
We love to read the news!
America’s greatest weakness
This points to our greatest weakness: our inability to learn from experience. Our government’s leaders lie to us repeatedly, exaggerating threats (or just creating them from thin air), not bothering with evidence. Like hicks visiting Time Square and playing Three-Card Monte, they often lie – but we always believe them. See the Big (but partial) List of Lies. Without skepticism we can become only pleasant peasants, justly despised as fools by our leaders.
We can whine about the ways our elites exploit us, but being sheep is a choice. This is the essential harsh truth that we refuse to see, and click-hungry reporters and analysts will not tell us.
“Every nation has the government it deserves.”
— By Joseph de Maistre (lawyer, diplomat, philosopher). From Letter 76 dated 13 August 1811, published in Lettres et Opuscules.
A Contest
I will send a copy of Rome’s Last Citizen (rich with insights to our time) to those who post the best comments to this series of posts. I have ten copies. One book per winner. Decisions are purely subjective by the judges, based on the originality and quality of insights, plus supporting facts and analysis, of the comment.
A copy also goes to whoever suggests a new mission for this website. “Helping to reignite the spirit of a nation grown cold” shows a hopeful spirit I no longer have.


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Ben Swann: Mysterious Death of Vaccine Safety Advocate Brandy Vaughn, + Covid Censorship with Dr. Sc

Ben Swann: Mysterious Death of Vaccine Safety Advocate Brandy Vaughn, + Covid Censorship with Dr. Scott Jensen

Investigative journalist Ben Swann dares to answer the questions that other journalists refuse to even ask .

Truth in Media, Released on 12/17/20
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Investigative journalist Ben Swann dares to answer the questions that other journalists refuse to even ask.


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Bull Vix Performance since 2010 Flawless

New research findings have resulted in the development of a standalone algorithm which now powers the Bull Vix .
Prior to this new development the Bull Vix utilized the BBT Algorithm for its alerts .
The algorithm has also reduced the volatility of the Bull Vix ’ s signals which produced an aggregate gain of 448.3 % from January 14 , 2010 2010 to February 27 , 2020 .
A back test for all of the historical data available for the CBOE volatility index since 2010 was conducted .
The Bull Vix ’ s track record to trade the VIX @ @ @ @ @ @ @ days after the occurrence of a Bullish Sentiment Anomaly ( BSA ) was flawless .
The breakthrough was the consolidation of 25 of the Bull Vix ’ s post BSA occurrence 5-week trading periods into 16 trading periods from 2010 through 2020 .
It was discovered that 16 of the Bull Vix ’ s Bullish Sentiment Anomaly ( BSA ) 5-week trading periods were clustered into seven elongated trading periods .
This reduced the number of trading periods to 16 for the 10 years which began on January 14 , 2010 and ended @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also resulted in all 16 of the periods producing a gain .
The durations of the 16 trading periods ranged from 24 to 98 days .
The significance of the discovery was the elimination of the drawdowns for investors who have a minimum investment time horizon of 98 days .

New research findings have resulted in the development of a standalone algorithm which now powers the Bull Vix. Prior to this new development the Bull Vix utilized the BBT Algorithm for its alerts. The algorithm has also reduced the volatility of the Bull Vix’s signals which produced an aggregate gain of 448.3% from January 14, 2010 2010 to February 27, 2020.
A back test for all of the historical data available for the CBOE volatility index since 2010 was conducted. The Bull Vix’s track record to trade the VIX related instruments from 24 to 98 trading days after the occurrence of a Bullish Sentiment Anomaly (BSA) was flawless.
The breakthrough was the consolidation of 25 of the Bull Vix’s post BSA occurrence 5-week trading periods into 16 trading periods from 2010 through 2020. It was discovered that 16 of the Bull Vix’s Bullish Sentiment Anomaly (BSA) 5-week trading periods were clustered into seven elongated trading periods. This reduced the number of trading periods to 16 for the 10 years which began on January 14, 2010 and ended on February 27, 2020. It also resulted in all 16 of the periods producing a gain. The durations of the 16 trading periods ranged from 24 to 98 days. The significance of the discovery was the elimination of the drawdowns for investors who have a minimum investment time horizon of 98 days.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Fed Recommits to Misleading the Public About Inflation

Did the Federal Reserve just usher in the next phase of the U.S. dollar ’ s decline ?
On Wednesday , the central bank recommitted to leaving its benchmark interest rate near zero for the foreseeable future .
Fed officials also vowed to keep pumping cash into financial markets .
Following Fed chairman Jerome Powell ’ s remarks , the wavering U.S. Dollar Index turned down – hitting a fresh new low for the year .
Gold gained modestly on the day while silver got a bigger boost to close solidly above $ 25/oz , promptly heading to $ 26/oz @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have been basing out over the past several weeks .
They are struggling to attract safe-haven demand amid record runs in stocks and Bitcoin .
How sustainable the bull market in equities will be heading into 2021 remains to be seen .
Investors are pricing in a strong vaccine-driven economic recovery aided by monetary and fiscal stimulus – all with little to no inflation consequence .
The Fed vowed in its policy statement yesterday to continue with $ 120 billion in monthly purchases of U.S. Treasuries and government-backed securities “ until substantial further @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s maximum employment and price stability goals.
” Policymakers ’ reference to “ price stability goals ” is a farce .
Their actual goals entail pushing price levels up at a considerably higher pace than has been seen in recent years .
The average American knows intuitively from their own experiences that inflation is a bigger problem than officials acknowledge .
“ Price stability ” is Fedspeak for jacking up healthcare , housing , and other costs of living .
The recent NPR article “ Paycheck-To-Paycheck Nation : Why Even Americans With @ @ @ @ @ @ @ some of the financial struggles facing the middle class .
The accompanying graph shows just how much average wages have lagged behind major household expenses : Of course , households whose wealth is heavily invested in the stock market have been able to keep up with rising living costs .
Surging stock valuations are just another symptom of surging money supply figures ( inflation ) .
The Dow Jones Industrials trading at a lofty 30,000 also reflects extreme optimism among investors .
The Fed is helping to fuel hopes for a “ Goldilocks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The central bank now forecasts economic growth next year to come in at 4.2 % ( versus a previous forecast of 4 % ) .
It projects the unemployment rate will drop to 5 % in 2021 and inflation will remain officially below target at 1.8 % .
What could go wrong ?
Plenty .
The Fed ’ s inflation forecasts are based on a faulty gauge of “ core ” price levels to begin with – one that understates real-world costs for most households .
Even if the Fed continues to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ other indicators may tell a different story .
In the event the economy does recover strongly as the coronavirus fades away by the spring , a lot of pent up , stimulus-enhanced demand could trigger a surge in commodity prices .
That could hurt business profitability and ultimately translate into rising consumer costs .
What has kept inflation at bay relatively speaking this year is that millions of Americans are literally hunkering down , causing economic activity and money velocity to slow .
Meanwhile , the feedstock for future inflation – money supply @ @ @ @ @ @ @ frantic pace .
From stimulus checks to Wall Street bailouts made possible by a ballooning Fed balance sheet , never before have so many trillions of dollars been injected into the economy .
An estimated 20 % of all dollars that have ever been created in America ’ s history came into existence ( out of nothing ) this year .
What will happen when businesses and consumers see a green light to spend and invest after all the COVID restrictions are lifted nationwide ?
A huge supply of dollars currently sitting idle @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pool of raw materials and finished products .
A reigniting of inflation fears would be a huge catalyst for the next major upleg in precious metals markets .
That could be a few months away , however .
In the meantime , gold and silver are coiling up and presenting favorable buying opportunities that may not last for long .
Metals markets can move well in advance of any inflation problem becoming apparent to stock market investors or the financial media .
That ’ s why it ’ s prudent to be invested @ @ @ @ @ @ @ – and more expensive – to hold .

by: Stefan Gleason
Did the Federal Reserve just usher in the next phase of the U.S. dollar’s decline?
On Wednesday, the central bank recommitted to leaving its benchmark interest rate near zero for the foreseeable future.
Fed officials also vowed to keep pumping cash into financial markets.
Following Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks, the wavering U.S. Dollar Index turned down – hitting a fresh new low for the year. Gold gained modestly on the day while silver got a bigger boost to close solidly above $25/oz, promptly heading to $26/oz the day following.
Precious metals markets have been basing out over the past several weeks. They are struggling to attract safe-haven demand amid record runs in stocks and Bitcoin.
How sustainable the bull market in equities will be heading into 2021 remains to be seen. Investors are pricing in a strong vaccine-driven economic recovery aided by monetary and fiscal stimulus – all with little to no inflation consequence.
The Fed vowed in its policy statement yesterday to continue with $120 billion in monthly purchases of U.S. Treasuries and government-backed securities “until substantial further progress has been made toward the Committee’s maximum employment and price stability goals.”
Policymakers’ reference to “price stability goals” is a farce. Their actual goals entail pushing price levels up at a considerably higher pace than has been seen in recent years.
The average American knows intuitively from their own experiences that inflation is a bigger problem than officials acknowledge. “Price stability” is Fedspeak for jacking up healthcare, housing, and other costs of living.
The recent NPR article “Paycheck-To-Paycheck Nation: Why Even Americans With Higher Income Struggle With Bills” highlights some of the financial struggles facing the middle class.
The accompanying graph shows just how much average wages have lagged behind major household expenses:
Of course, households whose wealth is heavily invested in the stock market have been able to keep up with rising living costs. Surging stock valuations are just another symptom of surging money supply figures (inflation).
The Dow Jones Industrials trading at a lofty 30,000 also reflects extreme optimism among investors.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The Fed is helping to fuel hopes for a “Goldilocks” scenario to take shape next year. The central bank now forecasts economic growth next year to come in at 4.2% (versus a previous forecast of 4%). It projects the unemployment rate will drop to 5% in 2021 and inflation will remain officially below target at 1.8%.
What could go wrong? Plenty.
The Fed’s inflation forecasts are based on a faulty gauge of “core” price levels to begin with – one that understates real-world costs for most households. Even if the Fed continues to report inflation being below 2%, other indicators may tell a different story.
In the event the economy does recover strongly as the coronavirus fades away by the spring, a lot of pent up, stimulus-enhanced demand could trigger a surge in commodity prices. That could hurt business profitability and ultimately translate into rising consumer costs.
What has kept inflation at bay relatively speaking this year is that millions of Americans are literally hunkering down, causing economic activity and money velocity to slow.
Meanwhile, the feedstock for future inflation – money supply itself – is going up at a frantic pace.
From stimulus checks to Wall Street bailouts made possible by a ballooning Fed balance sheet, never before have so many trillions of dollars been injected into the economy.
An estimated 20% of all dollars that have ever been created in America’s history came into existence (out of nothing) this year.
What will happen when businesses and consumers see a green light to spend and invest after all the COVID restrictions are lifted nationwide? A huge supply of dollars currently sitting idle could suddenly start chasing a more limited pool of raw materials and finished products.
A reigniting of inflation fears would be a huge catalyst for the next major upleg in precious metals markets.
That could be a few months away, however.
In the meantime, gold and silver are coiling up and presenting favorable buying opportunities that may not last for long.
Metals markets can move well in advance of any inflation problem becoming apparent to stock market investors or the financial media. That’s why it’s prudent to be invested in hard money before it becomes trendier – and more expensive – to hold.


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Things Are Looking Up for Commercial Airlines

Airline stocks are on track to record their third straight month of gains on hopes that the coronavirus vaccine will help normalize commercial air travel sooner rather than later .
Investors are also betting that U.S. carriers may be in line to receive additional relief in the stimulus package currently being negotiated in Congress .
As of December 16 , the NYSE Arca Airline Index was up nearly 4.5 % for the month .
This follows a spectacular 41.9 % increase in November—airline stocks ’ biggest monthly jump on record—and 1.6 % increase in October .
A Congressional relief package @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a bill may be headed for President Donald Trump ’ s desk as soon as this week , according to reporting by Politico .
Such a bill would “ probably ” include between $ 17 billion and $ 25 billion for domestic airlines , write Bloomberg analysts Nathan Dean and Eric Kazatsky .
Even if the current spending package doesn ’ t include airline relief , Dean and Kazatsky say they expect aid to come as early as the first quarter of next year , after President-elect Joe Biden takes office .
Billionaire @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fiscal stimulus is crucial to help U.S. businesses get to the end of the pandemic .
“ We need another injection to complete the job , ” the Berkshire Hathaway chief told CNBC this week .
“ Congress is debating that right now , and I hope very much that they extend the PPP ( paycheck protection program ) .
” Buffett Still Wrong to Have Exited Airlines If you recall , Buffett announced in early May that he had dumped his entire position in the big four domestic airlines , following a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pandemic .
Within three weeks , the decision cost him a cool $ 2.7 billion , according to Investor ’ s Business Daily ( IBD ) .
That amount has only increased since then .
For the year , class A shares of Berkshire are down 1.6 % , significantly underperforming the S & P 500 , up 16.5 % .
After news came out of his airline departure , the Oracle of Omaha was roundly criticized , and not just by me .
Bill Miller , the former chief investment officer at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ don ’ t own airlines , “ you ’ re making a bet against the vaccine.
” Then , in June , day-trader Dave Portnoy posted a series of videos on Twitter wherein he took jabs at Buffett for missing a no-brainer opportunity .
“ Warren Buffett is past his prime , ” the Barstool Sports founder said in one of the videos .
“ He misread the market dramatically when he said get out of airlines.
” I think it ’ s safe to say that Miller , Portnoy and others have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Buffett made his exit , Pfizer announced that it had developed a safe , effective vaccine against COVID-19 .
A month after that , the vaccine was being administered to frontline medical workers .
Although it will likely be months before everyone in the U.S. has been inoculated—even longer for the rest of the world—I believe the airline industry may see immediate benefits .
Don ’ t believe me ?
Look at Australia .
Thanks to its aggressive measures against the pandemic , Australia has experienced lower infection and death rates than many @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , the country of 25 million reported only three new cases of COVID-19 .
As a result , its domestic airline industry is close to full recovery and , by March , demand is expected to exceed pre-COVID levels .
That ’ s according to Jetstar , the low-cost carrier owned by Australia ’ s flagship Qantas Airways .
In a press release dated December 15 , Jetstar says that it plans to operate more than 850 weekly flights across 55 routes by March 2021 , or 110 % of its schedule before @ @ @ @ @ @ @ U.S. is currently operating at about 42 % capacity compared to the same time a year ago , according to U.K.-based OAG Aviation Worldwide .
Australia ’ s international borders remain closed—one of a number of actions the country took to contain the spread of the virus—meaning many residents with wanderlust “ are set to explore places around the country they have never visited , which is great for local hospitality and tourism operators , ” commented Jetstar CEO Gareth Evans .
Can the same thing happen here ?
I ’ m optimistic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and potential relief from Congress , I believe the airline industry is in a good position to rebound much faster than many people initially thought .
Wondering how you can participate ?
Watch my video below .
Be sure to like and subscribe !

by Frank Holmes, CEO, U.S. Global Investors
Airline stocks are on track to record their third straight month of gains on hopes that the coronavirus vaccine will help normalize commercial air travel sooner rather than later. Investors are also betting that U.S. carriers may be in line to receive additional relief in the stimulus package currently being negotiated in Congress.
As of December 16, the NYSE Arca Airline Index was up nearly 4.5% for the month. This follows a spectacular 41.9% increase in November—airline stocks’ biggest monthly jump on record—and 1.6% increase in October.
A Congressional relief package has seen delay after delay, but a bill may be headed for President Donald Trump’s desk as soon as this week, according to reporting by Politico.
Such a bill would “probably” include between $17 billion and $25 billion for domestic airlines, write Bloomberg analysts Nathan Dean and Eric Kazatsky. Even if the current spending package doesn’t include airline relief, Dean and Kazatsky say they expect aid to come as early as the first quarter of next year, after President-elect Joe Biden takes office.
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett believes another round of fiscal stimulus is crucial to help U.S. businesses get to the end of the pandemic.
“We need another injection to complete the job,” the Berkshire Hathaway chief told CNBC this week. “Congress is debating that right now, and I hope very much that they extend the PPP (paycheck protection program).”
Buffett Still Wrong to Have Exited Airlines
If you recall, Buffett announced in early May that he had dumped his entire position in the big four domestic airlines, following a collapse in share prices due to the pandemic.
Within three weeks, the decision cost him a cool $2.7 billion, according to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD). That amount has only increased since then. For the year, class A shares of Berkshire are down 1.6%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, up 16.5%.
After news came out of his airline departure, the Oracle of Omaha was roundly criticized, and not just by me.
Bill Miller, the former chief investment officer at Legg Mason, said that if you don’t own airlines, “you’re making a bet against the vaccine.” Then, in June, day-trader Dave Portnoy posted a series of videos on Twitter wherein he took jabs at Buffett for missing a no-brainer opportunity.
“Warren Buffett is past his prime,” the Barstool Sports founder said in one of the videos. “He misread the market dramatically when he said get out of airlines.”
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
I think it’s safe to say that Miller, Portnoy and others have been vindicated. Only six months after Buffett made his exit, Pfizer announced that it had developed a safe, effective vaccine against COVID-19. A month after that, the vaccine was being administered to frontline medical workers.
click to enlarge
Although it will likely be months before everyone in the U.S. has been inoculated—even longer for the rest of the world—I believe the airline industry may see immediate benefits.
Don’t believe me? Look at Australia.
Domestic Air Travel Demand in Australia to Exceed Pre-COVID Levels
Thanks to its aggressive measures against the pandemic, Australia has experienced lower infection and death rates than many other high-income nations. On December 17, the country of 25 million reported only three new cases of COVID-19.
click to enlarge
As a result, its domestic airline industry is close to full recovery and, by March, demand is expected to exceed pre-COVID levels.
That’s according to Jetstar, the low-cost carrier owned by Australia’s flagship Qantas Airways.
In a press release dated December 15, Jetstar says that it plans to operate more than 850 weekly flights across 55 routes by March 2021, or 110% of its schedule before the pandemic. By comparison, the U.S. is currently operating at about 42% capacity compared to the same time a year ago, according to U.K.-based OAG Aviation Worldwide.
Australia’s international borders remain closed—one of a number of actions the country took to contain the spread of the virus—meaning many residents with wanderlust “are set to explore places around the country they have never visited, which is great for local hospitality and tourism operators,” commented Jetstar CEO Gareth Evans.
Can the same thing happen here? I’m optimistic. Between the rollout of the vaccine and potential relief from Congress, I believe the airline industry is in a good position to rebound much faster than many people initially thought.
Wondering how you can participate? Watch my video below. Be sure to like and subscribe!


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--SEN HAWLEY – “74,000,000 Americans Are Not Going To Shut Up”

.
@ HawleyMO `` 74 Million Americans are not going to shut up '' pic.twitter.com/JxTxcq2X2Z

.@HawleyMO "74 Million Americans are not going to shut up" pic.twitter.com/JxTxcq2X2Z
— TheSharpEdge (@TheSharpEdge1) December 16, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--How Janet Yellen Will Unleash an Inflationary Storm

As I keep stating , the big theme for 2021 will be inflation .
And a Biden administration will only accelerate this .
If you doubt me , consider that Biden has picked Janet Yellen as his Treasury Secretary .
Previously , Yellen ran the San Francisco Fed before eventually rising to be Fed Chair under the Obama administration .
Throughout her tenure in these positions , she proved to be someone who LOVED using political reasoning to justify printing more money or easing monetary conditions .
In 2014 , soon after taking the helm as Fed chair , Yellen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that the Fed would have done a better job predicting and then navigating the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 if it had maintained more “ diversity ” in its workforce .
She subsequently followed this up by creating the Fed ’ s first task force to improve the gender and ethnic diversity at the Fed .
Why does this matter ?
Because NOWHERE in the original Federal Reserve Act of 1913 , nor in its 1977 amendment , is there any mention of ANY of this stuff .
The Fed ’ s job @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to use interest rates to insure economic growth with minimal inflation .
In picking Janet Yellen as his Treasury Secretary Joe Biden is effectively giving the purse strings for the Republic to a social justice warrior : someone who believes that social justice issues should guide monetary policy .
In plain terms , all of this means MORE MONEY PRINTING .
Think about it… what precisely could the Treasury do about diversity ?
The Treasury is responsible for printing money and moving it around .
So , if the Treasury decides to take @ @ @ @ @ @ @ making the economy “ fair ” all it really means is that the Treasury will be funneling more money into the economy .
Remember , the Treasury created the credit facilities through which the Fed bailed out the entire financial system in March 2020 .
It was through these credit facilities that the Fed began buying : 4 ) Asset backed securities , including assets backed by money market funds , auto loans , student loans , and certificates of deposit .
As such , the Treasury represents the conduit through which the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ system .
As I ’ ve stated previously , the Fed spent $ 3 trillion between 2008 and 2016 fighting the Great Financial Crisis and its aftermath .
The Fed spent that same amount in seven months in 2020 .
It was only able to do this legally by using the Treasury as a conduit .
And we also need to remember , that the Treasury was responsible for the dispensation of the $ 2 trillion in stimulus for the CARES act in 2020 .
And Joe Biden has just picked Janet Yellen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ academic who has never worked in the private sector and who strongly believes that she should use her position to combat political issues such as diversity and climate change .
Again , all of this means MORE money printing is coming to the U.S .
This is the BIG theme for 2021 no matter what else may come : more money printing , more inflation , and more explosive moves in inflationary assets .
Those investors who are well positioned to profit from it could see literal fortunes .
On that note , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead .
The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm .
And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU .
We are making just 100 copies available to the public .
As I write this there are just 49 left .
To pick up yours , swing by :

As I keep stating, the big theme for 2021 will be inflation. And a Biden administration will only accelerate this.
If you doubt me, consider that Biden has picked Janet Yellen as his Treasury Secretary.
Previously, Yellen ran the San Francisco Fed before eventually rising to be Fed Chair under the Obama administration. Throughout her tenure in these positions, she proved to be someone who LOVED using political reasoning to justify printing more money or easing monetary conditions.
In 2014, soon after taking the helm as Fed chair, Yellen gave a speech in which she stated that the Fed would have done a better job predicting and then navigating the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 if it had maintained more “diversity” in its workforce. She subsequently followed this up by creating the Fed’s first task force to improve the gender and ethnic diversity at the Fed.
Why does this matter?
Because NOWHERE in the original Federal Reserve Act of 1913, nor in its 1977 amendment, is there any mention of ANY of this stuff. The Fed’s job as explicitly stated in the legislature is to use interest rates to insure economic growth with minimal inflation.
THAT’S IT.
In picking Janet Yellen as his Treasury Secretary Joe Biden is effectively giving the purse strings for the Republic to a social justice warrior: someone who believes that social justice issues should guide monetary policy.
In plain terms, all of this means MORE MONEY PRINTING.
Think about it… what precisely could the Treasury do about diversity? The Treasury is responsible for printing money and moving it around. So, if the Treasury decides to take on political projects with the intention of making the economy “fair” all it really means is that the Treasury will be funneling more money into the economy.
Remember, the Treasury created the credit facilities through which the Fed bailed out the entire financial system in March 2020. It was through these credit facilities that the Fed began buying:
1) Municipal bonds.
2) Corporate bonds.
3) Corporate bond ETFs.
4) Asset backed securities, including assets backed by money market funds, auto loans, student loans, and certificates of deposit.
As such, the Treasury represents the conduit through which the Fed funnels record stimulus into the financial system.
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As I’ve stated previously, the Fed spent $3 trillion between 2008 and 2016 fighting the Great Financial Crisis and its aftermath. The Fed spent that same amount in seven months in 2020.
It was only able to do this legally by using the Treasury as a conduit. And we also need to remember, that the Treasury was responsible for the dispensation of the $2 trillion in stimulus for the CARES act in 2020.
And Joe Biden has just picked Janet Yellen to run this organization: a career academic who has never worked in the private sector and who strongly believes that she should use her position to combat political issues such as diversity and climate change.
Again, all of this means MORE money printing is coming to the U.S.
This is the BIG theme for 2021 no matter what else may come: more money printing, more inflation, and more explosive moves in inflationary assets.
Those investors who are well positioned to profit from it could see literal fortunes.
On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.
The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.
We are making just 100 copies available to the public.
As I write this there are just 49 left.
To pick up yours, swing by:
www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html
Best Regards
Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--BOOM! Acting Defense Secretary Chris Miller has ordered a Pentagon-wide halt to cooperation with the

BOOM! Acting Defense Secretary Chris Miller has ordered a Pentagon-wide halt to cooperation with the transition of President-elect Biden. President Trump to meet Acting Defense Secretary Miller in the Oval Office at 3:30 pm today.

The writing is on the wall .
The tech companies like twitty sure want us to think the election was @ @ @ @ @ yet the recent hack is biggest in history ?
😏 The real chaos comes when @ @ @ @ @ the facts that seem to have eluded the `` fact-checkers '' .

The writing is on the wall.
The tech companies like twitty sure want us to think the election was "secure"… and yet the recent hack is biggest in history? 😏
The real chaos comes when denial mongers have to face the facts that seem to have eluded the "fact-checkers".
— 🌹RQBB 👑🐝☀ (@RQBeeBrightly) December 18, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Mask Mandates Are Futile and Part of the Covid-Psyop

I currently live in the European Union , in a country where mask wearing is compulsory even outdoors , at all times basically , and you will get fined for non-compliance , anything between $ 100 and $ 500 .
Also , it is forbidden to go outside between 23:00 and 5.00 ( night curfew ) , because we have retarded people in power .
“ Here ’ s the deal , man ” : N95 respirators are not designed for and can not filter virus .
Anyone saying so is lying .
Every real N95 mask manual even says @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to filter specific particles and will not protect from biological agents .
The manufacturers aren ’ t going to open themselves to billions in liability lawsuits for making a claim that can not be backed up with evidence and an actual standard .
No mask outside a full-on respirator with disposable filters will help you .
If you are infected , they are worthless because they only filter incoming air , not exhaled .
So , you will be contaminating anything you breath on .
Cloth masks ( what most people wear ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ infection , they will make it worse .
You will increase the load of any respiratory pathogen as you breath it into the cloth and breathe it back in .
Studies done on surgical masks found that they had no effect on preventing bacterial infections of surgical wounds .
The only purpose of a surgical mask is to prevent expelled fluids from open body cavities from entering a surgeon ’ s nose and mouth .
Sorry to break the bad news .
Also , as I told you in my previous article about @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the CCP Virus and a pandemic .
The current sickness doesn ’ t qualify as a pandemic , and it never did .
It also isn ’ t the CCP Virus .
It is the Bill Gates WEF Virus .
The virus psyop was created to crush the populist movements against global economic control .
It has done a wonderful job .
The absolute worst leaders in human history are all still in power .
Yes , worse than Hitler , Stalin , and Mao .
Nobody else in history put nearly the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ cold .
Welcome to the end of the world .
Sure seems like it .
On Monday we will have a Christmas Star unlike any seen since the 1200s .
Is it to signal a new dawn , or the rise of the antichrist ?
The Satan worshipers have all the wins this year .
Gates , Fauci , and the Satanic governor puppets .
The billionaire overlords just mocking the population .
Your mark of the beast is being finalized and will be installed on your phone next year .
Instead of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ simply be in your hand .

By Chris Black
I currently live in the European Union, in a country where mask wearing is compulsory even outdoors, at all times basically, and you will get fined for non-compliance, anything between $100 and $500. Also, it is forbidden to go outside between 23:00 and 5.00 (night curfew), because we have retarded people in power.
“Here’s the deal, man”: N95 respirators are not designed for and cannot filter virus. Anyone saying so is lying. Every real N95 mask manual even says in the warning that they are designed to filter specific particles and will not protect from biological agents.
The manufacturers aren’t going to open themselves to billions in liability lawsuits for making a claim that cannot be backed up with evidence and an actual standard.
No mask outside a full-on respirator with disposable filters will help you. If you are infected, they are worthless because they only filter incoming air, not exhaled. So, you will be contaminating anything you breath on.
Cloth masks (what most people wear) will not reduce the severity of an infection, they will make it worse. You will increase the load of any respiratory pathogen as you breath it into the cloth and breathe it back in.
Studies done on surgical masks found that they had no effect on preventing bacterial infections of surgical wounds. The only purpose of a surgical mask is to prevent expelled fluids from open body cavities from entering a surgeon’s nose and mouth.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Sorry to break the bad news.
Also, as I told you in my previous article about “covid-19”, stop calling it the CCP Virus and a pandemic. The current sickness doesn’t qualify as a pandemic, and it never did.
It also isn’t the CCP Virus. It is the Bill Gates WEF Virus.
The virus psyop was created to crush the populist movements against global economic control. It has done a wonderful job. The absolute worst leaders in human history are all still in power. Yes, worse than Hitler, Stalin, and Mao. Nobody else in history put nearly the entire world in a box for a cold.
Welcome to the end of the world. Sure seems like it.
On Monday we will have a Christmas Star unlike any seen since the 1200s. Is it to signal a new dawn, or the rise of the antichrist? The Satan worshipers have all the wins this year. Gates, Fauci, and the Satanic governor puppets. The billionaire overlords just mocking the population. Your mark of the beast is being finalized and will be installed on your phone next year. Instead of being on your hand, it will simply be in your hand.
Stay strong.


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--China’s Debt Problem; Keeping an Eye on it

China is the world ’ s second largest economy and often not seen anymore as an emerging market .
China @ @ @ @ @ s second deepest bond market – about $ 15 Trillion in size .
But what @ @ @ @ @ given how big that debt market is , its oversight , transparency and functioning , @ @ @ @ @ that of an emerging market economy than a mature one .

China is the world’s second largest economy and often not seen anymore as an emerging market. China also has the world’s second deepest bond market – about $15 Trillion in size. But what is quite concerning is that given how big that debt market is, its oversight, transparency and functioning, is much more aligned to that of an emerging market economy than a mature one.
read more: macrotomi.com/article/china-s-debt-problem-keeping-an-eye-on-it?ref=Recon
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
h/t MacroTOMI


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Bitcoin fund bubbles with 10x premium over actual asset value

Crypto mania now three times the size of Pfizer .
Bitcoin BTCUSD , -0.69 % in your IRA ?
Dude @ @ @ @ @ last month .
Sure , bitcoin is hitting new highs , and just broke through @ @ @ @ @ it ’ s up 200 % this year .
But bitcoin is old-school , man @ @ @ @ @ “ OK Boomer ” of crypto .
You should be in “ Aave.
” It @ @ @ @ @ % this year .
Or “ Kusama , ” which is up nearly 5,000 % @ @ @ @ @ , ” which is up nearly 3,000 % .
Or “ yearn.finance , ” about @ @ @

Crypto mania now three times the size of Pfizer.
Bitcoin BTCUSD, -0.69% in your IRA? Dude, that’s so last month.
Sure, bitcoin is hitting new highs, and just broke through $23,000. OK, it’s up 200% this year. But bitcoin is old-school, man. It’s the “OK Boomer” of crypto.
You should be in “Aave.” It’s up nearly 10,000% this year. Or “Kusama,” which is up nearly 5,000%. Or “Band Protocol,” which is up nearly 3,000%. Or “yearn.finance,” about 1700%.


investmentwatchblog--2020-12-18--Google – The Bear Case

Google – The Bear Case

Ad revenue growth is slowing down and I expect this trend to continue .
That ’ s Google ’ s core business , which means the company will be forced to explore other avenues to maintain growth .
Cloud , Youtube , and Waymo will provide some future growth .
But will it be enough ?
Alphabet , Inc. ( GOOGL ) has been an outstanding company and investment for the better part of 20 years .
Its search engine is unparalleled and there is little chance of it getting displaced any time soon .
Nonetheless , its main source @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is beginning to taper off .
With stiff competition , there is an inherent risk in Google which many investors may not be factoring into their analysis .
Below we develop the bear case for Google .
There ’ s probably not an adult human in the world that doesn ’ t know and understand how Google makes money .
It ’ s all about the ads .
When searching for anything on the internet , you are going to use google and in most cases , you will be looking at the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The importance of featuring high up on a google search has turned SEO and SEM into a billion-dollar business in and of itself .
But there ’ s a much easier way to guarantee a top spot and that is paying Google , and it doesn ’ t stop there .
Google also has ads all over the web in the form of “ banners ” and the like , and because it knows what you are searching , it knows which ads to show you .
There ’ s no doubt @ @ @ @ @ @ @ there a limit to how much Advertising we can tolerate ?
More importantly , is there a limit to how much businesses can spend on google ads ?
There is a defined trend that is also supported by intuition and real-life evidence .
First off , it is clear that the effectiveness of search ads and banner ads is decreasing .
People are becoming increasingly aware of them and avoiding them , either unconsciously or actively through adblockers .
On top of adblockers , businesses that use these forms of ads based on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of fraud through bots and other “ hacks ” .
Lastly , it is obvious that the most popular forms of advertising now is coming from influencers and other types of affiliate marketing .
Google Ads can only go so far , and nowadays consumers are demanding a more personalized and “ immersive ” advertising experience .
Google is actively pursuing other avenues to replace its falling ad revenue growth .
In this section , I ’ d like to cover some of the most significant growth initiatives that the company is pursuing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and Waymo .
It ’ s all about the cloud these days , and Google has undoubtedly taken a piece of the pie .
After Amazon.com ( AMZN ) and Microsoft , Corp. ( MSFT ) , Google is the largest cloud provider in the world .
We can not deny that Google Cloud has actually been outgrowing its competitors , managing to gain market share .
But with the segment still , as far as I see , there are no qualitative advantages to Google ’ s cloud offerings as of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ compete in size with AWS and Microsoft ’ s Azure has the dominant position in terms of quality and public cloud .
I am bullish on Microsoft ’ s Azure and believe that it may become the dominant Cloud provider in the next few years .
However , I can not see Google taking much market share from Amazon or Microsoft , which means cloud revenues will also taper off .
Even if cloud continued to grow at double digits it would still take a few years at the very least for it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ significant amount of Google ’ s revenues .
While Google is doing the right thing and will benefit from the cloud , they have too little market share and were too late in entering the market .
Another holy grail of growth is that of Youtube and Youtube TV .
Granted , once again , we have seen significant growth in revenues in the last year , but there are some inherent problems with Youtube as a whole .
Firstly , as is already stated in the Annual Report , cost-per-clicks remain low @ @ @ @ @ @ @ platform as a whole is facing an exodus of creators as percentages of revenue split for creators have been decreasing substantially .
Of course , the platform remains a great way to gain traction as a content creator , but anyone seriously contemplating it as a business or job will have strong incentives to move viewers to their site or platform .
For users as well , back in the day YouTube ’ s primary benefit was the fact that it was ad-free , and with ads now playing even during videos , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ than its scale .
Lastly , I ’ d like to mention Youtube TV , which is included under “ Other ” in Google ’ s reports together with revenues from Google Play .
Just recently , Youtube decided to raise the price of Youtube TV by 30 % .
What Google is doing with Youtube TV is symptomatic of what is arguably happening with the whole business .
Google used to offer superior and free products , and now that it has the size and trust of its clients , it is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Fair play to them , making money should be a priority , but there is only so much that people will allow or endure .
After all , what does Youtube offer that can ’ t already be found on cable or Netflix ?
Although autonomous driving still feels like it belongs in sci-fi movies , we know that behind the scenes , many companies are working tirelessly to deliver a technology that will save millions of dollars and lives .
And here Google has a chance to be perhaps the first company @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Waymo already offering this service to a select user base , we could see a larger scale launch take place as early as 2021 .
But even if Waymo succeeds , it might still fall short .
Michael McGrath estimates that Waymo could earn Google up to $ 40 billion by 2025 .
That ’ s about 25 % of Google ’ s revenues today .
Furthermore , he estimates that by 2030 the ARS market could grow to up to $ 700 billion , of which google could have anywhere from 20-30 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this is the case , investing in Google makes much more sense .
But we must bear in mind Google also faces very hard competition , especially in my opinion from Tesla Inc ( TSLA ) .
Elon Musk has recently claimed to be on the verge of achieving level 5 autonomous driving .
Of course , the CEO of Tesla is known for being overly optimistic about timelines , but there is a real chance here that Tesla could beat out Waymo .
Over the last decade , Google has consistently achieved @ @ @ @ @ @ @ after year , which is what investors have come to expect .
But with its main source of revenue being ads , what if Google only delivers good growth instead of amazing growth in the next 20 years ?
The point is that Google will have to reinvent itself to maintain growth rates high and investors happy .
Don ’ t get me wrong .
I am simply trying to point out that , given Google ’ s current business model , it will have to adapt to continue to be a top @ @ @ @ @ @ @ could be the thing that does this for Google , as an example along with its Other Bets , so this is where I will be looking .
But in the meantime , don ’ t be surprised if growth begins to dwindle .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision .

by current-asscoverer
Summary
Ad revenue growth is slowing down and I expect this trend to continue.
That’s Google’s core business, which means the company will be forced to explore other avenues to maintain growth.
Cloud, Youtube, and Waymo will provide some future growth. But will it be enough?
Thesis
Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL) has been an outstanding company and investment for the better part of 20 years. Its search engine is unparalleled and there is little chance of it getting displaced any time soon. Nonetheless, its main source of revenue; search engine ad spending is beginning to taper off. With stiff competition, there is an inherent risk in Google which many investors may not be factoring into their analysis. Below we develop the bear case for Google.
Google’s core Business
There’s probably not an adult human in the world that doesn’t know and understand how Google makes money. It’s all about the ads. When searching for anything on the internet, you are going to use google and in most cases, you will be looking at the first few results on the first page. The importance of featuring high up on a google search has turned SEO and SEM into a billion-dollar business in and of itself. But there’s a much easier way to guarantee a top spot and that is paying Google, and it doesn’t stop there. Google also has ads all over the web in the form of “banners” and the like, and because it knows what you are searching, it knows which ads to show you.
There’s no doubt that Google ads are effective but is there a limit to how much Advertising we can tolerate? More importantly, is there a limit to how much businesses can spend on google ads?
There is a defined trend that is also supported by intuition and real-life evidence. First off, it is clear that the effectiveness of search ads and banner ads is decreasing. People are becoming increasingly aware of them and avoiding them, either unconsciously or actively through adblockers. On top of adblockers, businesses that use these forms of ads based on clicks or impressions also face the risk of fraud through bots and other “hacks”. Lastly, it is obvious that the most popular forms of advertising now is coming from influencers and other types of affiliate marketing. Google Ads can only go so far, and nowadays consumers are demanding a more personalized and “immersive” advertising experience.
Where’s the growth?
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Google is actively pursuing other avenues to replace its falling ad revenue growth. In this section, I’d like to cover some of the most significant growth initiatives that the company is pursuing. These include Google Cloud, Youtube, and Waymo.
Google Cloud
It’s all about the cloud these days, and Google has undoubtedly taken a piece of the pie. After Amazon.com (AMZN) and Microsoft, Corp. (MSFT), Google is the largest cloud provider in the world. We cannot deny that Google Cloud has actually been outgrowing its competitors, managing to gain market share. But with the segment still, as far as I see, there are no qualitative advantages to Google’s cloud offerings as of right now. Google Cloud cannot compete in size with AWS and Microsoft’s Azure has the dominant position in terms of quality and public cloud. I am bullish on Microsoft’s Azure and believe that it may become the dominant Cloud provider in the next few years. However, I cannot see Google taking much market share from Amazon or Microsoft, which means cloud revenues will also taper off. Even if cloud continued to grow at double digits it would still take a few years at the very least for it to even come close to representing a significant amount of Google’s revenues. While Google is doing the right thing and will benefit from the cloud, they have too little market share and were too late in entering the market.
Youtube
Another holy grail of growth is that of Youtube and Youtube TV. Granted, once again, we have seen significant growth in revenues in the last year, but there are some inherent problems with Youtube as a whole. Firstly, as is already stated in the Annual Report, cost-per-clicks remain low. On top of that, the platform as a whole is facing an exodus of creators as percentages of revenue split for creators have been decreasing substantially. Of course, the platform remains a great way to gain traction as a content creator, but anyone seriously contemplating it as a business or job will have strong incentives to move viewers to their site or platform. For users as well, back in the day YouTube’s primary benefit was the fact that it was ad-free, and with ads now playing even during videos, the platform has no real edge other than its scale.
Lastly, I’d like to mention Youtube TV, which is included under “Other” in Google’s reports together with revenues from Google Play. Just recently, Youtube decided to raise the price of Youtube TV by 30%. What Google is doing with Youtube TV is symptomatic of what is arguably happening with the whole business. Google used to offer superior and free products, and now that it has the size and trust of its clients, it is squeezing them as much as possible. Fair play to them, making money should be a priority, but there is only so much that people will allow or endure. After all, what does Youtube offer that can’t already be found on cable or Netflix?
Waymo
Although autonomous driving still feels like it belongs in sci-fi movies, we know that behind the scenes, many companies are working tirelessly to deliver a technology that will save millions of dollars and lives. And here Google has a chance to be perhaps the first company to start commercializing autonomous vehicles. With Waymo already offering this service to a select user base, we could see a larger scale launch take place as early as 2021. But even if Waymo succeeds, it might still fall short. Michael McGrath estimates that Waymo could earn Google up to $40 billion by 2025. That’s about 25% of Google’s revenues today. Furthermore, he estimates that by 2030 the ARS market could grow to up to $700 billion, of which google could have anywhere from 20-30% market share. Indeed, if this is the case, investing in Google makes much more sense. But we must bear in mind Google also faces very hard competition, especially in my opinion from Tesla Inc (TSLA). Elon Musk has recently claimed to be on the verge of achieving level 5 autonomous driving. Of course, the CEO of Tesla is known for being overly optimistic about timelines, but there is a real chance here that Tesla could beat out Waymo.
Valuation
Over the last decade, Google has consistently achieved a >20% revenue CAGR year after year, which is what investors have come to expect. But with its main source of revenue being ads, what if Google only delivers good growth instead of amazing growth in the next 20 years? The point is that Google will have to reinvent itself to maintain growth rates high and investors happy. Don’t get me wrong. I am simply trying to point out that, given Google’s current business model, it will have to adapt to continue to be a top company as it is today. Waymo could be the thing that does this for Google, as an example along with its Other Bets, so this is where I will be looking. But in the meantime, don’t be surprised if growth begins to dwindle.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.