investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Volatility Is More Than A Number. It’s Everything.

Volatility Is More Than A Number .
It ’ s Everyting .
“ Volatility ” is a pedestrian word on Wall Street .
Traders , investors , and the media throw it around as if everyone understands its financial definition .
What matters , of course , is outcome .
Volatility is an important determinant of outcomes and therefore deserves close consideration .
The word “ volatility ” refers to rapid and unpredictable change , but how many investors truly understand financial volatility ?
How many investors grasp the influence volatility has on their investment results/outcomes ?
Even more critical @ @ @ @ @ @ @ inverse gauge of liquidity , the foundation on which smooth-functioning markets and asset prices rest .
Volatility is a measure of the historical dispersion of returns around a mean .
The greater the dispersion , the higher the volatility , and ultimately the range of potential outcomes .
Volatility is typically quoted as +/- 1 standard deviation .
For instance , 14 % annualized volatility means , with 68 % certainty , we should expect annualized returns to be +/- 14 % .
The volatility formula describes a normal bell-shaped curve in which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ implies there are equal odds the market falls 1 % or rises 1 % versus the average change .
The graph below depicts a bell-shaped curve .
The diagram also highlights standard deviations and the percentage of data that falls within each deviation .
The assumption of a normally distributed bell curve is at the heart of finance .
Embedded in that assumption is the idea that market participants are rational and markets efficient .
It drives risk management , option pricing , and many economic and market theories .
The problem with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ flat out wrong .
In a normal shaped curve , the S & P 500 should never move by more than five standard deviations up or down .
By “ never , ” we mean once every 3.5 million trading days ( approximately 14,000 years ) .
Since 1970 there have been 34 such days .
In March of 2020 alone , there were 7 !
Quite often , investors use volatility to define risk .
For instance , with S & P 500 data from 1970 , an investor can assume , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will not lose more than 2.16 % on any given day .
By annualizing volatility , we can create measures of longer-term risks .
Investors often take the relationship between volatility and risk as gospel .
That mistake often leads investors to underappreciate risk .
Astute investors must understand the flaws in volatility assumptions and prepare for the statistically impossible .
Now forget the bell curves and complicated statistics .
Let ’ s redefine volatility to something simpler and more practical .
“ Volatility is the opposite of liquidity , by definition.
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is what Todd means .
Market A has buyers and sellers willing to execute many shares in tight price increments around the current price .
Market B has few buyers and sellers willing to execute .
Their bids and offers are smaller in size and in a less uniform range of increments around the current price .
A will trade up and down , penny by penny , in a somewhat orderly fashion .
B will trade up and down in much larger increments as buyers and sellers must relent more on price @ @ @ @ @ @ @ moment .
A is more liquid than market B .
As a result , A will also be less volatile than B .
Liquidity dynamics are fluid .
If , for instance , confidence were to erode and uncertainty increases , liquidity conditions underlying Market A will deteriorate rapidly and look more like Market B .
Such a situation leads to an imbalance in bids and offers , and it becomes less clear where the market-clearing price is .
As a result , prices “ gap ” or lurch down as potential buyers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to find a price to transact .
In other words , volatility soars when markets are less liquid .
Conversely , volatility is low and stable when markets have an equilibrium of bids and offers concentrated around a common price .
This dynamic is shown in the graph below comparing volatility to average bid/offer sizes .
From March through May , daily price changes were enormous .
With no warning , major index prices would instantly gap higher or lower by a half a percent or more .
At its peak , implied @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 85 .
That compares to the range of 10-20 during most of 2019 .
The graph below , similar to the one above , shows that volatility tends to remain low or fall in bull markets and rise quickly during drawdowns .
Why is that ?
To answer the question , just consider the following quote from Larry McCarthy- “ Higher prices bring out buyers .
Lower prices bring out sellers.
” In behavioral terms , sellers tend to be more irrational than buyers .
In practical terms , liquidity runs away when @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a more powerful short-term influence on markets than greed .
Behavioral studies show investors make irrational decisions that favor protection over return .
For instance , when asked to choose between receiving $ 90 or taking a 90 % chance of winning $ 100 , most people will avoid risk and take the $ 90 .
Mathematically , the expected outcome in both cases is $ 90 , but most people choose to avoid the risk of getting nothing .
Fear , or risk of losing , is a greater impulsive driver of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to develop .
Fear develops suddenly and with little notice .
When investor confidence is high , liquidity is high , and volatility is typically low .
Plenty of buyers and sellers willing to trade help assure orderly markets .
However , when potential buyers become concerned about the risk of loss , liquidity fades .
Buyers step away , sellers will take almost any price to protect against even steeper declines , and prices become more volatile .
The suddenness of increased volatility and the false assumption of normally distributed prices leads @ @ @ @ @ @ @ volatility is two times pre-COVID levels .
While sharply lower from March and April , liquidity remains problematic .
Volatility reminds us that the market structure is not stable .
As a result , markets are more susceptible to sharp price changes .
While most markets have been rising in recent months , the liquidity situation argues that bad news or a change in sentiment could result in substantial and nearly instantaneous losses .
Liquidity is poor , complacency is high , trade with caution .

by Michael Lebowitz and Jack Scott
Volatility Is More Than A Number. It’s Everyting.
“Volatility” is a pedestrian word on Wall Street. Traders, investors, and the media throw it around as if everyone understands its financial definition. What matters, of course, is outcome. Volatility is an important determinant of outcomes and therefore deserves close consideration.
The word “volatility” refers to rapid and unpredictable change, but how many investors truly understand financial volatility? How many investors grasp the influence volatility has on their investment results/outcomes?
Even more critical, who understands that volatility is an inverse gauge of liquidity, the foundation on which smooth-functioning markets and asset prices rest.
Textbook Volatility Defined
Volatility is a measure of the historical dispersion of returns around a mean. The greater the dispersion, the higher the volatility, and ultimately the range of potential outcomes.
Volatility is typically quoted as +/- 1 standard deviation. For instance, 14% annualized volatility means, with 68% certainty, we should expect annualized returns to be +/- 14%. The volatility formula describes a normal bell-shaped curve in which price changes should be contained.
Normal implies there are equal odds the market falls 1% or rises 1% versus the average change. The graph below depicts a bell-shaped curve. The diagram also highlights standard deviations and the percentage of data that falls within each deviation.
Normal Is Not Reality
The assumption of a normally distributed bell curve is at the heart of finance. Embedded in that assumption is the idea that market participants are rational and markets efficient. It drives risk management, option pricing, and many economic and market theories. The problem with such analysis is that the assumption is flat out wrong.
In a normal shaped curve, the S&P 500 should never move by more than five standard deviations up or down. By “never,” we mean once every 3.5 million trading days (approximately 14,000 years). Since 1970 there have been 34 such days. In March of 2020 alone, there were 7!
Using Volatility to Define Risk
Quite often, investors use volatility to define risk. For instance, with S&P 500 data from 1970, an investor can assume, with 95% certainty, that they will not lose more than 2.16% on any given day. By annualizing volatility, we can create measures of longer-term risks.
Investors often take the relationship between volatility and risk as gospel. That mistake often leads investors to underappreciate risk. Astute investors must understand the flaws in volatility assumptions and prepare for the statistically impossible.
Liquidity and Volatility
Now forget the bell curves and complicated statistics. Let’s redefine volatility to something simpler and more practical.
“Volatility is the opposite of liquidity, by definition.” – Per Todd Harrison @toddharrison
Here is what Todd means.
Market A has buyers and sellers willing to execute many shares in tight price increments around the current price.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Market B has few buyers and sellers willing to execute. Their bids and offers are smaller in size and in a less uniform range of increments around the current price.
A will trade up and down, penny by penny, in a somewhat orderly fashion.
B will trade up and down in much larger increments as buyers and sellers must relent more on price if they want to execute at the moment.
A is more liquid than market B. As a result, A will also be less volatile than B.
Liquidity is Fluid
Liquidity dynamics are fluid. If, for instance, confidence were to erode and uncertainty increases, liquidity conditions underlying Market A will deteriorate rapidly and look more like Market B. Such a situation leads to an imbalance in bids and offers, and it becomes less clear where the market-clearing price is.
As a result, prices “gap” or lurch down as potential buyers step away. Desperate seller then panic to find a price to transact. In other words, volatility soars when markets are less liquid. Conversely, volatility is low and stable when markets have an equilibrium of bids and offers concentrated around a common price.
This dynamic is shown in the graph below comparing volatility to average bid/offer sizes.
From March through May, daily price changes were enormous. With no warning, major index prices would instantly gap higher or lower by a half a percent or more. At its peak, implied volatility, as shown above, reached 85. That compares to the range of 10-20 during most of 2019.
Volatility Tendencies – Fear of Loss
The graph below, similar to the one above, shows that volatility tends to remain low or fall in bull markets and rise quickly during drawdowns. Why is that?
To answer the question, just consider the following quote from Larry McCarthy- “Higher prices bring out buyers. Lower prices bring out sellers.” In behavioral terms, sellers tend to be more irrational than buyers. In practical terms, liquidity runs away when fear and uncertainty increase.
Fear has a more powerful short-term influence on markets than greed. Behavioral studies show investors make irrational decisions that favor protection over return. For instance, when asked to choose between receiving $90 or taking a 90% chance of winning $100, most people will avoid risk and take the $90. Mathematically, the expected outcome in both cases is $90, but most people choose to avoid the risk of getting nothing.
Fear, or risk of losing, is a greater impulsive driver of markets than greed. Greed takes time to develop. Fear develops suddenly and with little notice.
Summary
When investor confidence is high, liquidity is high, and volatility is typically low. Plenty of buyers and sellers willing to trade help assure orderly markets. However, when potential buyers become concerned about the risk of loss, liquidity fades. Buyers step away, sellers will take almost any price to protect against even steeper declines, and prices become more volatile. The suddenness of increased volatility and the false assumption of normally distributed prices leads to statistically impossible drawdowns.
Currently, volatility is two times pre-COVID levels. While sharply lower from March and April, liquidity remains problematic.
Volatility reminds us that the market structure is not stable. As a result, markets are more susceptible to sharp price changes. While most markets have been rising in recent months, the liquidity situation argues that bad news or a change in sentiment could result in substantial and nearly instantaneous losses.
Liquidity is poor, complacency is high, trade with caution.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Why Is Silver Exploding Higher? Money Supply (Austrian School TMS) Growing At ~30% YOY

Why is silver breaking out now and the Dollar as measured by the Dollar Index ( DXY ) is weak @

Why is silver breaking out now and the Dollar as measured by the Dollar Index (DXY) is weak?
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investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Sen. Rand Paul: We should all join President DonaldTrump in advocating to stop our endless wars. Liz

Sen. Rand Paul: We should all join President DonaldTrump in advocating to stop our endless wars. Liz Cheney not only wants to stay forever, she’s leading the fight to try to stop him from leaving. Unacceptable.

We should all join @ realDonaldTrump in advocating to stop our endless wars .
Liz Cheney not only wants to @ @ @ @ @ s leading the fight to try to stop him from leaving .
Unacceptable .
t.co/yCS93P3zos

We should all join @realDonaldTrump in advocating to stop our endless wars. Liz Cheney not only wants to stay forever, she’s leading the fight to try to stop him from leaving. Unacceptable. t.co/yCS93P3zos
— Senator Rand Paul (@RandPaul) July 21, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Ted Cruz: Why are Dems actively defending communist China for COVERING UP the Wuhan coronavirus, whi

Ted Cruz: Why are Dems actively defending communist China for COVERING UP the Wuhan coronavirus, which has killed over 500k people worldwide?

Why are Dem actively defending communist China for COVERING UP the Wuhan coronavirus , which has killed over 500k people @ @ @

Why are Dem actively defending communist China for COVERING UP the Wuhan coronavirus, which has killed over 500k people worldwide? t.co/K9VkOBbOPX
— Ted Cruz (@tedcruz) July 22, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--China’s Hidden Cold War with the West

China’s Hidden Cold War with the West

The US is in another Cold War with the Chinese Communist Party .
But it was late to the game @ @ @ @ @ Hidden Hand : Exposing How The Chinese Communist Party Is Reshaping The World by Clive @ @ @ @ @ details how China has slowly subverted the West using espionage , the national security risks @ @ @ @ @ and TikTok , and much more .

The US is in another Cold War with the Chinese Communist Party. But it was late to the game. A new book, Hidden Hand: Exposing How The Chinese Communist Party Is Reshaping The World by Clive Hamilton and Mareike Ohlberg, details how China has slowly subverted the West using espionage, the national security risks of Chinese companies like Huawei and TikTok, and much more.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--NYPD Officer LEAKS de Blasio’s BIGGEST Secret about BLM Street Mural in front of Trump Tower

100 % Fed Up reports , Independent journalist Drew Hernandez captured an exchange between NYPD officers and pro-cop supporters who @ @ @ @ @ Black Lives Matter ” message painted in front of Trump Tower on the street in @ @ @ @ @ the police officers asked why they were stopping them from defacing the graffiti , the @ @ @ @ @ were only following orders from higher up .

100% Fed Up reports, Independent journalist Drew Hernandez captured an exchange between NYPD officers and pro-cop supporters who wanted to deface the “Black Lives Matter” message painted in front of Trump Tower on the street in New York City. When the police officers asked why they were stopping them from defacing the graffiti, the police officer told him they were only following orders from higher up.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse:
100percentfedup.com/nypd-offi…


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--BOOM! WH Press Sec. McEnany DESTROYS CNN’s Jim Acosta for Asking Ridiculous Russia Question

C. Douglas Golden from The Western Journal reports , During a press briefing , CNN ’ s chief White House @ @ @ @ @ alleged Russian bounties on U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan with a ton of loaded assumptions baked @ @ @ @ @ ’ t have full knowledge of what happened here , don ’ t worry .
@ @ @ @ @ ’ t ?
Jim Acosta .

C. Douglas Golden from The Western Journal reports, During a press briefing, CNN’s chief White House correspondent was asking about the alleged Russian bounties on U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan with a ton of loaded assumptions baked in. If you don’t have full knowledge of what happened here, don’t worry. You know who else doesn’t? Jim Acosta.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse:
www.westernjournal.com/mcenan…


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Options Risk in the Stock Market

Options Risk in the Stock Market

Options risk in the stock market ?
Over the past two years there has been a growing interest in “ options gamma ” in the markets .
As shown below , Google trends show a surge in interest , spiking around the March 2020 sell-off .
Option gamma is a concept that many find difficult to understand .
For the purposes of this article , let ’ s put it in simple terms .
“ Gamma ” means “ options market risk.
” There is ample evidence that high gamma and high volatility go together .
One example is the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an article entitled Two Words That Sent The Oil Market Plunging : Negative Gamma , Alex Longley writes : As oil suffered its biggest one-day slump in three years , it wasn ’ t OPEC or President Donald Trump that was shaking the market .
Instead , trading desks were abuzz with chatter of “ negative gamma.
” Late 2018 also saw large moves in the natural gas markets .
Again , gamma played a significant role .
The demise of optionsellers.com added fuel to the natural gas volatility fire as natural gas @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fell right back when the gamma quake ended .
There is consensus that options risk can move markets in big and small ways .
Gamma can create a tidal wave , or it can also create smaller waves and strong temporary currents .
An increase in options activity leads to increased risk in the market , and options activity has increased significantly in 2020 , as shown below .
Earlier this year , we embarked on a comprehensive study of options trading in the SPX since 1992 .
We have discovered patterns that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and stock prices .
There is solid rationale behind these patterns due to systematic delta hedging by market makers and other participants ( which we won ’ t cover in detail here ) .
Our goal was to find actionable back-tested signals which would reduce equity draw downs .
The three charts below show the performance of our options signal in reducing drawdowns in SPY during sell-offs in 2020 , 2018 and 2008 .
In the recent March 2020 sell-off , our model limited the draw-down in SPY significantly , as shown below @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s Shield because we are seeking to shield our retirement accounts from aggressive equity drawdowns .
In the late 2018 sell-off , our model also limited losses while maintaining upside potential when options data suggested it was safe to re-allocate to SPY .
Having avoided the heaviest draw-downs in 2008 , our model was able to significantly out-perform SPY through the end of 2009 .
We could continue to show historical examples that demonstrate how our model limits drawdowns by exiting SPY at the appropriate times .
The point we want to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ repeatable connection between options order flow and price pressure on the underlying market .
Gamma means “ risk , ” and price and risk often go hand-in-hand .
There has been a lot of interest in gamma lately , and also a lot of discussion about it .
Even though we study options and gamma on a daily basis , sometimes we read articles on it and wonder , “ what ’ s the action step ?
” We are working to bridge the gap between analysis and investor decisions relating to gamma @ @ @ @ @ @ @ first product that translates our research into a decision tool .
If you would like to learn more , please visit our website , or download a complimentary report .
From a longer-term perspective , we have a metric called “ Gamma Neutral , ” which has shown to act as support and resistance .
We would generally maintain a long bias as long as SPX is above Gamma Neutral , which is currently near 3,200 .
Erik Lytikainen , the founder of Viking Analytics , has over 25+ of experience as a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and commodity trader .
Erik holds an MBA from the University of Maryland and a BS in Mechanical Engineering from Virginia Tech .
Rob McBride has 15+ years of experience in the systematic investment space and is a former Managing Director at a multi-billion dollar hedge fund .
He has deep experience with market data , software and model building in financial markets .
Rob has a M.S .
in Computer Science from the South Dakota School of Mines and Technology .

by Erik Lytikainen
Options risk in the stock market? Over the past two years there has been a growing interest in “options gamma” in the markets. As shown below, Google trends show a surge in interest, spiking around the March 2020 sell-off. Source: Google Trends Option gamma is a concept that many find difficult to understand. For the purposes of this article, let’s put it in simple terms. “Gamma” means “options market risk.” Gamma is risk, and risk moves markets. There is ample evidence that high gamma and high volatility go together. One example is the crude oil market in 2018. In an article entitled Two Words That Sent The Oil Market Plunging: Negative Gamma, Alex Longley writes: As oil suffered its biggest one-day slump in three years, it wasn’t OPEC or President Donald Trump that was shaking the market. Instead, trading desks were abuzz with chatter of “negative gamma.” Late 2018 also saw large moves in the natural gas markets. Again, gamma played a significant role. The demise of optionsellers.com added fuel to the natural gas volatility fire as natural gas rose spectacularly on short-covering orders. It fell right back when the gamma quake ended. There is consensus that options risk can move markets in big and small ways. Gamma can create a tidal wave, or it can also create smaller waves and strong temporary currents.
Options Risk in Equity Markets
An increase in options activity leads to increased risk in the market, and options activity has increased significantly in 2020, as shown below.
Earlier this year, we embarked on a comprehensive study of options trading in the SPX since 1992. We have discovered patterns that show a connection between options trading volume and stock prices. There is solid rationale behind these patterns due to systematic delta hedging by market makers and other participants (which we won’t cover in detail here).
Our goal was to find actionable back-tested signals which would reduce equity draw downs. The three charts below show the performance of our options signal in reducing drawdowns in SPY during sell-offs in 2020, 2018 and 2008.
In the recent March 2020 sell-off, our model limited the draw-down in SPY significantly, as shown below. We call our first model Thor’s Shield because we are seeking to shield our retirement accounts from aggressive equity drawdowns.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
In the late 2018 sell-off, our model also limited losses while maintaining upside potential when options data suggested it was safe to re-allocate to SPY.
Having avoided the heaviest draw-downs in 2008, our model was able to significantly out-perform SPY through the end of 2009.
The Bottom Line
We could continue to show historical examples that demonstrate how our model limits drawdowns by exiting SPY at the appropriate times.
The point we want to make is that we can see a repeatable connection between options order flow and price pressure on the underlying market. Gamma means “risk,” and price and risk often go hand-in-hand.
There has been a lot of interest in gamma lately, and also a lot of discussion about it. Even though we study options and gamma on a daily basis, sometimes we read articles on it and wonder, “what’s the action step?”
We are working to bridge the gap between analysis and investor decisions relating to gamma.
Thor’s Shield is the first product that translates our research into a decision tool. If you would like to learn more, please visit our website, or download a complimentary report.
Gamma Neutral
From a longer-term perspective, we have a metric called “Gamma Neutral,” which has shown to act as support and resistance. We would generally maintain a long bias as long as SPX is above Gamma Neutral, which is currently near 3,200.
Authors
Erik Lytikainen, the founder of Viking Analytics, has over 25+ of experience as a financial analyst, entrepreneur, business developer, and commodity trader. Erik holds an MBA from the University of Maryland and a BS in Mechanical Engineering from Virginia Tech.
Rob McBride has 15+ years of experience in the systematic investment space and is a former Managing Director at a multi-billion dollar hedge fund. He has deep experience with market data, software and model building in financial markets. Rob has a M.S. in Computer Science from the South Dakota School of Mines and Technology.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--THE BIGGING-UP OF COVID19

THE BIGGING-UP OF COVID19

Public Health England has long been on my list of Common Purpose nests in dire need of cuckoo ejection .
Now it seems Health Secretary Matt Hancock has ordered an urgent review into how they compile their Covid19 records .
Last weekend , I posted ‘ Ten Questions ’ the media should ask about virus anomolies.The basis for them I defined as follows : ‘ exemplification by the use of unanswered questions about the mismatch between official narratives and the objective data ’ .
One of the questions was put as follows : ‘ Would you like to explain to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ testified to the falsification of death certificates – and casual assumptions that Covid19 was the cause of death among other pathogens – and yet the UK ’ s biggest funereal provider ( the Cooperative Movement ) reports “ no significant rise in demand ” ?
The Coop ’ s records have since found support at the Office of National Statistics , whose data show that deaths in England and Wales are below the five-year average .
Fewer than a few thousand people are in hospital with the virus , and roughly 150 cases @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In London , new cases have been under 50 new cases , in Manchester the figure is 11 – and in the entire South West ( heavily biased towards older people ) case numbers have been in the single figures for over a wee .
Now Professors Yoon K Loke and Carl Heneghan have discovered a Page 1 flaw in PHE ’ s statistical system .
It involves a ludicrous assumption that 100 % of those who tested positive would die eventually .
The Daily Telegraph – which has been burrowing into @ @ @ @ @ @ @ It has played havoc with analysis about who is most at risk from the virus , be it by age or pre-existing condition .
It also undermines our understanding of the extent of spread , hotspots and the steps required to combat the virus ’ .
All of that , I would contend , is true .
But the MSM as always stops short of the more obvious conclusion , viz , the error is such a howler , is it really conceivable that it was entirely down to an ‘ understandable error @ @ @ @ @ @ @ year , I have posted about more than a dozen instances of doctors , nursing staff , care home workers and NHS administrators writing to me about a general ‘ policy ’ of maximising Covid19 “ scores ” .
The Express last Friday has critics of the PHE stats observing how the PHE numbers “ vary substantially from day to day .
This variation is most likely due to the appearance of ‘ historic ’ deaths that have occurred weeks before , but for some reason unknown to us , get reported in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this variation , a moving average smooths the trend , but even this is at odds with the ONS data… ” I day ’ s “ surge ” of 110 deaths , for example , is now thought to have been only 40 .
In Haut Agenais where I reside , during June there were 11 cases – 8 were aged over 80 .
Two people died .
On the day that the French Government brought forward the obligatory mask wearing in shops decree , there were 14 deaths in the entire country @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Pandemic status , there has been an unmistakeable pattern among the media , political and pharmaceutical classes to exaggerate , alarm – and accept every worst-case model in relation to Coronavirus .
Lockdown was used , despite the inability of any stats anywhere to suggest it might have been a succesful weapon .
This was preferred to the far more sensible and low risk policy of lockdown for silvers and let the virus take its course among other age groups where the chances of death were homoaeopathic .
Now Macron – who led @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a war for survival ’ brigade – bangs the table at the EU recovery summit demanding more money be found to bale him out of the idiotic economic decision he took .
Imagine submitting this narrative as a novel to publishers .
I wouldn ’ t fancy your chances…..but the odds would be greatly improved if you asked “ Cui bono ?
” – and then resolved the plot with reference to Big Pharma and billionaire vaccinators .

by John Ward
Public Health England has long been on my list of Common Purpose nests in dire need of cuckoo ejection. Now it seems Health Secretary Matt Hancock has ordered an urgent review into how they compile their Covid19 records.
Last weekend, I posted ‘Ten Questions’ the media should ask about virus anomolies.The basis for them I defined as follows:
‘exemplification by the use of unanswered questions about the mismatch between official narratives and the objective data’.
One of the questions was put as follows: ‘Would you like to explain to us please why numerous medical professionals have testified to the falsification of death certificates – and casual assumptions that Covid19 was the cause of death among other pathogens – and yet the UK’s biggest funereal provider (the Cooperative Movement) reports “no significant rise in demand”?
The Coop’s records have since found support at the Office of National Statistics, whose data show that deaths in England and Wales are below the five-year average. Fewer than a few thousand people are in hospital with the virus, and roughly 150 cases are deemed to be “serious” . In London, new cases have been under 50 new cases, in Manchester the figure is 11 – and in the entire South West (heavily biased towards older people) case numbers have been in the single figures for over a wee.
Now Professors Yoon K Loke and Carl Heneghan have discovered a Page 1 flaw in PHE’s statistical system. It involves a ludicrous assumption that 100% of those who tested positive would die eventually.
The Daily Telegraph – which has been burrowing into the scandal – notes that:
‘It has played havoc with analysis about who is most at risk from the virus, be it by age or pre-existing condition. It also undermines our understanding of the extent of spread, hotspots and the steps required to combat the virus’.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
All of that, I would contend, is true. But the MSM as always stops short of the more obvious conclusion, viz, the error is such a howler, is it really conceivable that it was entirely down to an ‘understandable error’?
All up since March this year, I have posted about more than a dozen instances of doctors, nursing staff, care home workers and NHS administrators writing to me about a general ‘policy’ of maximising Covid19 “scores”.
The Express last Friday has critics of the PHE stats observing how the PHE numbers “vary substantially from day to day. This variation is most likely due to the appearance of ‘historic’ deaths that have occurred weeks before, but for some reason unknown to us, get reported in batches on particular days. To counter this variation, a moving average smooths the trend, but even this is at odds with the ONS data…”
I day’s “surge” of 110 deaths, for example, is now thought to have been only 40.
In Haut Agenais where I reside, during June there were 11 cases – 8 were aged over 80. Two people died. On the day that the French Government brought forward the obligatory mask wearing in shops decree, there were 14 deaths in the entire country.
From the start of Covid19 achieving Pandemic status, there has been an unmistakeable pattern among the media, political and pharmaceutical classes to exaggerate, alarm – and accept every worst-case model in relation to Coronavirus.
Lockdown was used, despite the inability of any stats anywhere to suggest it might have been a succesful weapon. This was preferred to the far more sensible and low risk policy of lockdown for silvers and let the virus take its course among other age groups where the chances of death were homoaeopathic.
Now Macron – who led the charge of the ‘This is a war for survival’ brigade – bangs the table at the EU recovery summit demanding more money be found to bale him out of the idiotic economic decision he took.
Imagine submitting this narrative as a novel to publishers. I wouldn’t fancy your chances…..but the odds would be greatly improved if you asked “Cui bono?” – and then resolved the plot with reference to Big Pharma and billionaire vaccinators.
Stay tuned: Contrick19 is unravelling week by week.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--This Unpopular Investment is Exploding Higher… Here’s How to Profit From It

The market finally poked its head above major resistance ( red line in the chart below ) yesterday .
We now need to wait to see if there is follow through today .
For certain stocks remain in an uptrend ( blue line in the chart above ) .
But without follow through on this breakout , we could easily see a retest of the blue trendline .
Silver in particular has begun to go vertical , erupting above resistance ( red line in the chart below ) .
THIS is where you need to be looking if you ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
On that note , we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE contrarian investments you can use to make precious metals pay you as inflation rips through the financial system in the months ahead .
The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm .
And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU through care investing in the precious metals sector and precious metals mining .
We are making just 100 copies available to the public .
There are just 29 left .
To pick up yours @ @ @ @

by The Phoenix
The market finally poked its head above major resistance (red line in the chart below) yesterday. We now need to wait to see if there is follow through today.
For certain stocks remain in an uptrend (blue line in the chart above). But without follow through on this breakout, we could easily see a retest of the blue trendline.
The more dramatic development concerns precious metals.
Silver in particular has begun to go vertical, erupting above resistance (red line in the chart below). THIS is where you need to be looking if you’re trying to see major gains fast.
On that note, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE contrarian investments you can use to make precious metals pay you as inflation rips through the financial system in the months ahead.
The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU through care investing in the precious metals sector and precious metals mining.
We are making just 100 copies available to the public.
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There are just 29 left.
To pick up yours, swing by:
www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/inflationstorm.html
Best Regards
Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Michael Pento – Get Ready for Stagflation & Greater Depression. Stocks Most Expensive Ever.

What does the “ Greater Depression ” look like ?
Pento says , “ Get ready for stagflation , and that ’ s what I call the ‘ Greater Depression.
’ That ’ s when the real chaos begins .
.
.
.
You can make an argument that the Fed can fight deflation because it can continue to prop up asset prices .
That ’ s true , and it ’ s a proven fact , but what does the Fed do when inflation starts to run intractable ?
When inflation becomes the problem , what can the Fed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ print more money ?
What can the Fed do ?
Print money to buy down interest rates when the economy is in full revolt ?
When money managers are shorting bonds and driving yields to the moon .
No , the only thing they can do is stop printing money and promise to fight inflation .
That ’ s when you are going to get 6,000 on the Dow Jones Industrial average because there ’ s nothing they can do .
The Fed will be rendered impotent.
” Pento suggests that people “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an adjustable interest rate ” and lock in at historically low fixed rates .
In closing , Pento says , “ This is the best environment for gold I have ever seen in my career .
This is in an environment where debt and deficits are surging .
.
.
.
So , debt is exploding , and what does gold like ?
It likes falling real interest rates .
It likes exploding debt , and a little ticker on that is a dollar that ’ s weakening .
That ’ s why @ @ @ @ @ @

What does the “Greater Depression” look like? Pento says, “Get ready for stagflation, and that’s what I call the ‘Greater Depression.’ That’s when the real chaos begins. . . . You can make an argument that the Fed can fight deflation because it can continue to prop up asset prices. That’s true, and it’s a proven fact, but what does the Fed do when inflation starts to run intractable? When inflation becomes the problem, what can the Fed do? Promise to buy stocks and print more money? What can the Fed do? Print money to buy down interest rates when the economy is in full revolt? When money managers are shorting bonds and driving yields to the moon. No, the only thing they can do is stop printing money and promise to fight inflation. That’s when you are going to get 6,000 on the Dow Jones Industrial average because there’s nothing they can do. The Fed will be rendered impotent.”
Pento suggests that people “get out of all financial products with an adjustable interest rate” and lock in at historically low fixed rates.
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In closing, Pento says, “This is the best environment for gold I have ever seen in my career. This is in an environment where debt and deficits are surging. . . . So, debt is exploding, and what does gold like? It likes falling real interest rates. It likes exploding debt, and a little ticker on that is a dollar that’s weakening. That’s why I really like gold.”


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--T CELLS SEEM TO MATTER: The people with hidden immunity against Covid-19.

The clues have been mounting for a while .
First , scientists discovered patients who had recovered from infection with Covid-19 , but mysteriously didn ’ t have any antibodies against it .
Next it emerged that this might be the case for a significant number of people .
Then came the finding that many of those who do develop antibodies seem to lose them again after just a few months .
In short , though antibodies have proved invaluable for tracking the spread of the pandemic , they might not have the leading role in immunity that we once @ @ @ @ @ @ @ acquire long-term protection , it looks increasingly like it might have to come from somewhere else .
But while the world has been preoccupied with antibodies , researchers have started to realise that there might be another form of immunity – one which , in some cases , has been lurking undetected in the body for years .
An enigmatic type of white blood cell is gaining prominence .
And though it hasn ’ t previously featured heavily in the public consciousness , it may well prove to be crucial in our fight @ @ @ @ @ @ @ T cell ’ s big moment .

The clues have been mounting for a while. First, scientists discovered patients who had recovered from infection with Covid-19, but mysteriously didn’t have any antibodies against it. Next it emerged that this might be the case for a significant number of people. Then came the finding that many of those who do develop antibodies seem to lose them again after just a few months.
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In short, though antibodies have proved invaluable for tracking the spread of the pandemic, they might not have the leading role in immunity that we once thought. If we are going to acquire long-term protection, it looks increasingly like it might have to come from somewhere else.
But while the world has been preoccupied with antibodies, researchers have started to realise that there might be another form of immunity – one which, in some cases, has been lurking undetected in the body for years. An enigmatic type of white blood cell is gaining prominence. And though it hasn’t previously featured heavily in the public consciousness, it may well prove to be crucial in our fight against Covid-19. This could be the T cell’s big moment.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--WALL STREET JOURNAL: Arizona and the Media Panic: When will reporters acknowledge lower coronavirus

WALL STREET JOURNAL: Arizona and the Media Panic: When will reporters acknowledge lower coronavirus mortality in the Sun Belt?

It ’ s not easy to gain necessary perspective from the article , but the story does link to a page featuring various statistics related to the virus .
According to the Post ’ s data , per capita Covid-19 deaths in Florida , Texas and Arizona remain far below the levels in New York and New Jersey .
In fact the Post website shows that per capita deaths in both New York and New Jersey are more than 10 times the number in Texas .
These encouraging data out of the Sun Belt suggest at least a few possibilities @ @ @ @ @ @ @ possibility is that many more people in the Northeast had the virus in the spring than we realized , so the mortality rate is lower than many feared .
Another is that doctors have learned to offer better treatment .
Another is that Sun Belt governors have learned to prioritize the protection of the vulnerable elderly , rather than forcing them to live in nursing homes with Covid patients , as in the New York example .
Or maybe there are characteristics of the New York City area that made it uniquely vulnerable @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that , despite the absence of a vaccine , the virus is lately killing fewer people .
Speaking of good news , the Post story does actually contain some .
“ The rate of new , positive coronavirus cases has slightly declined in Arizona in recent days , ” begins paragraph 41 .
Much like democracy , sometimes the news can seem to die and be buried in the final throes of an extensive commentary .

via WSJ:
It’s not easy to gain necessary perspective from the article, but the story does link to a page featuring various statistics related to the virus. According to the Post’s data, per capita Covid-19 deaths in Florida, Texas and Arizona remain far below the levels in New York and New Jersey. In fact the Post website shows that per capita deaths in both New York and New Jersey are more than 10 times the number in Texas.
These encouraging data out of the Sun Belt suggest at least a few possibilities, along with many others. One possibility is that many more people in the Northeast had the virus in the spring than we realized, so the mortality rate is lower than many feared. Another is that doctors have learned to offer better treatment. Another is that Sun Belt governors have learned to prioritize the protection of the vulnerable elderly, rather than forcing them to live in nursing homes with Covid patients, as in the New York example.
Or maybe there are characteristics of the New York City area that made it uniquely vulnerable. Regardless, the good news is that, despite the absence of a vaccine, the virus is lately killing fewer people.
Speaking of good news, the Post story does actually contain some. “The rate of new, positive coronavirus cases has slightly declined in Arizona in recent days,” begins paragraph 41.
Much like democracy, sometimes the news can seem to die and be buried in the final throes of an extensive commentary.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Another One – Breitbart No Longer Searchable On Google

The search engine powerhouse , which lamented President Trump ’ s election in 2016 and published a document entitled “ The Good Censor ” , was – for a period of time – not showing results for sites like The National Pulse , Breitbart , Citizen Free Press , the Daily Caller , Red State , The Bongino Report and more .
The search engine reached out to the National Pulse following publication of this story and insisted that the affects of this “ technical issue ” were also affecting left wing websites such as DailyKos and OccupyDemocrats .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as of 1:30pm EST .
When a Google user tried to find Breitbart.com for example , the site delivered stories about Breitbart , but not a link to the Breitbart homepage .
Conversely , when searching for the racist New York Times , Google returned a whole suite of options for the user to find the Times homepage , and also browse their sections , and search for keywords .
Google issued an update via its Twitter account which read : “ We are aware of an issue with the site : command @ @ @ @ @ @ @ any indexed pages from a website .
We are investigating this and any potentially related issues .
”

Google Appears To Blacklist Non-Mainstream News Sites, Calls It ‘Technical Issue’
The search engine powerhouse, which lamented President Trump’s election in 2016 and published a document entitled “The Good Censor”, was – for a period of time – not showing results for sites like The National Pulse, Breitbart, Citizen Free Press, the Daily Caller, Red State, The Bongino Report and more.
The search engine reached out to the National Pulse following publication of this story and insisted that the affects of this “technical issue” were also affecting left wing websites such as DailyKos and OccupyDemocrats.
The issue appears to have been resolved, as of 1:30pm EST.
When a Google user tried to find Breitbart.com for example, the site delivered stories about Breitbart, but not a link to the Breitbart homepage.
Conversely, when searching for the racist New York Times, Google returned a whole suite of options for the user to find the Times homepage, and also browse their sections, and search for keywords.
Google issued an update via its Twitter account which read: “We are aware of an issue with the site: command that may fail to show some or any indexed pages from a website. We are investigating this and any potentially related issues.”


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--FITTON:RELENTLESS Judicial Watch Sues DOJ/FBI/ODNI for Records about Obama Oval Office Meeting about

FITTON:RELENTLESS Judicial Watch Sues DOJ/FBI/ODNI for Records about Obama Oval Office Meeting about Dossier and Targeting of General Flynn

“ Obama ’ s infamous January 5 , 2017 , Oval Office meeting is a key moment in the corrupt @ @ @ @ @ on President Trump and target General Flynn with a malicious prosecution , ” said Judicial @ @ @ @ @ .
“ Rather than delay and stonewall , it is urgent the FBI , DOJ @ @ @ @ @ about this malicious , seditious conspiracy .
”

by TFittonJW
Not waiting on Durham.
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“Obama’s infamous January 5, 2017, Oval Office meeting is a key moment in the corrupt effort to smear and spy on President Trump and target General Flynn with a malicious prosecution,” said Judicial Watch President Tom Fitton said. “Rather than delay and stonewall, it is urgent the FBI, DOJ, ODNI release all records about this malicious, seditious conspiracy.”
www.judicialwatch.org/press-releases/obama-flynn/


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--What do the Portland protesters want?

What do the Portland protesters want?

They ’ re out there again .

They’re out there again.
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AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--A California apartment building initiates lockdown, mandatory COVID testing and quarantine.

Citizens Journal reports , On July 17 , Ventura County in California forcibly locked down a seven story public housing @ @ @ @ @ apartment building at 137 S. Palm St in Ventura .

A California apartment building initiates lockdown, mandatory COVID testing and quarantine. pic.twitter.com/pwt2bqzdrd — sally (@sallyKP) July 22, 2020
Citizens Journal reports, On July 17, Ventura County in California forcibly locked down a seven story public housing (Ventura Housing Authority) apartment building at 137 S. Palm St in Ventura.
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Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse:
www.citizensjournal.us/forced…


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Media Hides This: Look at Riot Aftermath in Chicago, NYC, MN and St. Louis – SHOCKING VIDEO

Mark McCloskey : Democrats Are Trying to Create a Kent State Situation – Then Blame it on President Far Left @ @ @ @ @ Attack Feds , Portland IS In Civil War Watch : Rioters Use ‘ Peaceful ’ @ @ @ @ @ on Chicago Police Chicago Police Department officers showed footage Tuesday of last weekend ’ s @ @ @ @ @ Christopher Columbus in the city , in which rioters armed with projectiles used “ peaceful @ @ @ @ @ for attacks on police .
The footage of the attack , revealed to the media @ @ @ @ @ showed a peaceful procession marching behind banners suspended from PVC pipe , emblazoned with “ @ @ @ @ @ “ Defund the Police , ” and other slogans .

Mark McCloskey: Democrats Are Trying to Create a Kent State Situation – Then Blame it on President
Far Left Insurgents BREACH Federal Courthouse And Attack Feds, Portland IS In Civil War
Tucker: Democrats consider eliminating the filibuster
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Watch: Rioters Use ‘Peaceful’ Protests as Cover for Attacks on Chicago Police
Chicago Police Department officers showed footage Tuesday of last weekend’s attack on a statue of Christopher Columbus in the city, in which rioters armed with projectiles used “peaceful” protests as a cover for attacks on police.
The footage of the attack, revealed to the media by Superintendent David Brown, showed a peaceful procession marching behind banners suspended from PVC pipe, emblazoned with “Black Lives Matter,” “Defund the Police,” and other slogans.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--EXTREME DYSFUNCTION’ IS WHAT DE BLASIO’S NEW YORK IS ALL ABOUT:

‘ Extreme dysfunction : ’ New York City dropped $ 52M on a coronavirus hospital that served fewer than 80 patients .
New York City spent $ 52 million building a hospital in a tennis facility that only ended up serving 79 coronavirus patients as other hospitals in the city were flooded .
The remained mostly empty for the roughly one month it was open during the height of the coronavirus pandemic , according to a report from the New York Times .
Documents from the hospital , which opened on April 10 , revealed that doctors at the facility @ @ @ @ @ @ @ per hour but hardly had any patients to treat .
Katie Capano , a nurse practitioner from Baltimore who worked in the facility , said she was embarrassed to have done so little while the pandemic raged through the city .
“ I basically got paid $ 2,000 a day to sit on my phone and look at Facebook , ” Capano said .
“ We all felt guilty .
I felt really ashamed , to be honest.
” Bureaucracy and miscommunication have been blamed for the debacle .
Doctors who worked at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and the facility was barred from accepting patients who had a fever , which is a standard symptom of COVID-19 .
The facility also only had two ventilators , preventing the hospital from assisting severely ill patients .

‘Extreme dysfunction:’ New York City dropped $52M on a coronavirus hospital that served fewer than 80 patients.
New York City spent $52 million building a hospital in a tennis facility that only ended up serving 79 coronavirus patients as other hospitals in the city were flooded.
The temporary hospital established in the Billie Jean King National Tennis Center remained mostly empty for the roughly one month it was open during the height of the coronavirus pandemic, according to a report from the New York Times. Documents from the hospital, which opened on April 10, revealed that doctors at the facility were paid as much as $732 per hour but hardly had any patients to treat.
Katie Capano, a nurse practitioner from Baltimore who worked in the facility, said she was embarrassed to have done so little while the pandemic raged through the city.
“I basically got paid $2,000 a day to sit on my phone and look at Facebook,” Capano said. “We all felt guilty. I felt really ashamed, to be honest.”
Bureaucracy and miscommunication have been blamed for the debacle.
Doctors who worked at the facility were saddled with additional paperwork, and the facility was barred from accepting patients who had a fever, which is a standard symptom of COVID-19. The facility also only had two ventilators, preventing the hospital from assisting severely ill patients.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Chinese officials at Consulate General of China in Houston Texas burning classified documents after

Chinese officials at Consulate General of China in Houston Texas burning classified documents after facing eviction from President Trump and State Department

Chinese Embassy burning documents !
RedAlert !
Japanese did same immediate before WWII !
Chinese Consulate on Video Burning Documents after US Gov Accuses China of Hacking State Secrets HOUSTON – The U.S. has ordered China to close its consulate in Houston in what a Chinese official called an outrageous and unjustified move that will sabotage relations between the two countries .
Foreign ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin condemned the action , which comes at a time of rising tensions between the world ’ s two largest economies .
He warned of firm countermeasures if the U.S. does not reverse its @ @ @ @ @ @ @ China ’ s consulate general in Houston within a short period of time is an unprecedented escalation of its recent actions against China , ” Wang said at a daily news briefing .
Besides its embassy in Beijing , the U.S. has five consulates in mainland China , according to its website .
They are in Shanghai , Guangzhou , Chengdu , Wuhan and Shenyang .
The U.S. said in a brief statement that the consulate was ordered closed “ to protect American intellectual property and American ’ s private information.
” It @ @ @ @ @ @

Chinese Embassy burning documents! RedAlert! Japanese did same immediate before WWII!
Chinese Consulate on Video Burning Documents after US Gov Accuses China of Hacking State Secrets
HOUSTON – The U.S. has ordered China to close its consulate in Houston in what a Chinese official called an outrageous and unjustified move that will sabotage relations between the two countries.
Foreign ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin condemned the action, which comes at a time of rising tensions between the world’s two largest economies. He warned of firm countermeasures if the U.S. does not reverse its decision.
“The unilateral closure of China’s consulate general in Houston within a short period of time is an unprecedented escalation of its recent actions against China,” Wang said at a daily news briefing.
Besides its embassy in Beijing, the U.S. has five consulates in mainland China, according to its website. They are in Shanghai, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Wuhan and Shenyang.
The U.S. said in a brief statement that the consulate was ordered closed “to protect American intellectual property and American’s private information.” It did not provide any details.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-22--Three Gorges Dam deformed but safe, say operators: Peripheral structures buckle when record flooding

Three Gorges Dam deformed but safe, say operators: Peripheral structures buckle when record flooding from western provinces puts feat of engineering to the test.

In a rare revelation , Beijing has admitted that its 2.4-kilometer Three Gorges Dam spanning the Yangtze River in Hubei province “ deformed slightly ” after record flooding .
The official Xinhua News Agency quoted the operator of the the world ’ s largest hydroelectric gravity dam as saying that some nonstructural , peripheral parts of the dam had buckled .
The dam was a pet project of the late Premier Li Peng and a monumental pride of the nation when it blocked and diverted Asia ’ s largest river in 1997 .
The deformation occurred last Saturday when the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Chongqing along the upper reaches of the Yangtze River peaked at a record-setting 61,000 cubic meters per second , according to China Three Gorges Corporation , a state-owned enterprise that manages the dam and the sprawling power plant underneath it .
The company noted that parts of the dam had “ deformed slightly , ” displacing some external structures , and seepage into the main outlet walls had also been reported throughout the 18 hours on Saturday and Sunday when water was discharged though its outlets .
But the problem of water seeping @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the dam reportedly deployed floodgates to hold as much water as possible in its 39.3 billion-cubic-meter reservoir to shield the cities downstream from the biggest Yangtze deluge so far this year .
It is believed that the dam ’ s operator must protect the central megacity of Wuhan , whose 10 million residents are still reeling from the coronavirus pandemic that erupted there in December .

via asiatimes:
In a rare revelation, Beijing has admitted that its 2.4-kilometer Three Gorges Dam spanning the Yangtze River in Hubei province “deformed slightly” after record flooding.
The official Xinhua News Agency quoted the operator of the the world’s largest hydroelectric gravity dam as saying that some nonstructural, peripheral parts of the dam had buckled.
The dam was a pet project of the late Premier Li Peng and a monumental pride of the nation when it blocked and diverted Asia’s largest river in 1997.
The deformation occurred last Saturday when the flood from western provinces including Sichuan and Chongqing along the upper reaches of the Yangtze River peaked at a record-setting 61,000 cubic meters per second, according to China Three Gorges Corporation, a state-owned enterprise that manages the dam and the sprawling power plant underneath it.
The company noted that parts of the dam had “deformed slightly,” displacing some external structures, and seepage into the main outlet walls had also been reported throughout the 18 hours on Saturday and Sunday when water was discharged though its outlets.
But the problem of water seeping out did not last long, as the dam reportedly deployed floodgates to hold as much water as possible in its 39.3 billion-cubic-meter reservoir to shield the cities downstream from the biggest Yangtze deluge so far this year.
It is believed that the dam’s operator must protect the central megacity of Wuhan, whose 10 million residents are still reeling from the coronavirus pandemic that erupted there in December.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-23--Janice Dean: Cuomo’s Nursing Home Policy Killed My In-Laws

Janice Dean : COVID-19 killed my in-laws after Cuomo ’ s reckless New York nursing home policy At first we didn ’ t blame anyone for my in-laws ’ deaths .
This is a pandemic , after all .
Then we learned about a policy that put them in danger .
By Janice Dean , Opinion contributor | July 22 , 2020 ( usatoday.com ) – Gov .
Andrew Cuomo ’ s motto during the coronavirus pandemic has always been “ New York Tough.
” It ’ s the title of the new poster he commissioned and is selling to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ personal journey during the COVID-19 pandemic .
But when it comes to tough questions about his leadership during this time , Cuomo has shown he isn ’ t so tough after all .
In fact , he prefers to place blame on anyone but himself for the disastrous decisions he ’ s made .
Last week , the governor held a press conference to reveal his poster .
It ’ s a picture of a mountain that represents the deadly “ curve ” found on a graph depicting more than 32,000 deaths in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of inside jokes on his mountain of death including a cartoon drawing of presumably his daughter ’ s boyfriend hanging off a cliff , the governor ’ s fancy sports car that he likes to pose with on Instagram and a giant nose with a cotton swab inside of it .
That is , apparently , a nod to an insensitive , giggling interview involving a giant cotton swab he did with his brother on CNN around the height of the pandemic in May .
My family didn ’ t have to die @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
My husband ’ s parents died of coronavirus in their elder care facilities .
We lost his dad in late March and his mom two weeks later .
My family wasn ’ t able to see them before they died , they weren ’ t given last rites , wakes , or funerals .
They died alone .
Mickey and Dee Newman spent their entire lives in Brooklyn .
They were true New Yorkers .
Mickey was a retired New York City Fire Department firefighter who served in the U.S. Air Force @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was a devoted grandmother .
They lived in a four story walk up in Brooklyn for 50 years , until their health deteriorated and they required constant care .
They died only a few months after being placed in their elderly care homes .
Not a day goes by where we don ’ t think of them .
Fox News ’ Janice Dean Calls Gov Cuomo ‘ As Weak As They Come ’ on Coronavirus Response By Lindsey Ellefson | July 22 , 2020 ( thewrap.com ) – Fox News senior meteorologist Janice @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Wednesday , calling for an investigation into his handling of nursing homes amid the coronavirus pandemic crisis .
Dean , whose mother-in-law and father-in-law died of coronavirus in one of the state ’ s elder care facilities , penned an op-ed for USA Today , ripping the governor for his bantering appearances on brother Chris Cuomo ’ s CNN program and “ New York tough ” messaging .
“ At first , we didn ’ t blame anyone for their deaths , ” she wrote of her in-laws .
“ This is a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ dangerous for the elderly .
Then we learned about the Cuomo administration ’ s March 25 order that recovering coronavirus patients be placed into nursing homes .
The mandate also barred nursing homes from requiring incoming patients ‘ to be tested for COVID-19 prior to admission or readmission.
’ ” Dean slammed Cuomo for the order , which lasted 46 days , and called attention to the fact that over 6,500 New York seniors have died of the virus in elder care facilities .
She also faulted the media — not just CNN @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and People Magazine , among others — for doing “ puff pieces ” on Cuomo that didn ’ t touch on the nursing home subject .

Janice Dean: COVID-19 killed my in-laws after Cuomo’s reckless New York nursing home policy
At first we didn’t blame anyone for my in-laws’ deaths. This is a pandemic, after all. Then we learned about a policy that put them in danger.
By Janice Dean, Opinion contributor | July 22, 2020
(usatoday.com) – Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s motto during the coronavirus pandemic has always been “New York Tough.”
It’s the title of the new poster he commissioned and is selling to commemorate what appears to be his own personal journey during the COVID-19 pandemic.
But when it comes to tough questions about his leadership during this time, Cuomo has shown he isn’t so tough after all. In fact, he prefers to place blame on anyone but himself for the disastrous decisions he’s made.
Last week, the governor held a press conference to reveal his poster. It’s a picture of a mountain that represents the deadly “curve” found on a graph depicting more than 32,000 deaths in New York state. There are plenty of inside jokes on his mountain of death including a cartoon drawing of presumably his daughter’s boyfriend hanging off a cliff, the governor’s fancy sports car that he likes to pose with on Instagram and a giant nose with a cotton swab inside of it. That is, apparently, a nod to an insensitive, giggling interview involving a giant cotton swab he did with his brother on CNN around the height of the pandemic in May.
My family didn’t have to die
Many of us aren’t laughing. My husband’s parents died of coronavirus in their elder care facilities. We lost his dad in late March and his mom two weeks later. My family wasn’t able to see them before they died, they weren’t given last rites, wakes, or funerals. They died alone.
Mickey and Dee Newman spent their entire lives in Brooklyn. They were true New Yorkers. Mickey was a retired New York City Fire Department firefighter who served in the U.S. Air Force. Dee helped raised three kids and was a devoted grandmother. They lived in a four story walk up in Brooklyn for 50 years, until their health deteriorated and they required constant care. They died only a few months after being placed in their elderly care homes. Not a day goes by where we don’t think of them.
www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/voices/2020/07/22/andrew-cuomo-nursing-homes-coronavirus-janice-dean-new-york-column/5472713002/
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Second news source.
_____
Fox News’ Janice Dean Calls Gov Cuomo ‘As Weak As They Come’ on Coronavirus Response
By Lindsey Ellefson | July 22, 2020
(thewrap.com) – Fox News senior meteorologist Janice Dean attacked New York governor Andrew Cuomo Wednesday, calling for an investigation into his handling of nursing homes amid the coronavirus pandemic crisis.
Dean, whose mother-in-law and father-in-law died of coronavirus in one of the state’s elder care facilities, penned an op-ed for USA Today, ripping the governor for his bantering appearances on brother Chris Cuomo’s CNN program and “New York tough” messaging.
“At first, we didn’t blame anyone for their deaths,” she wrote of her in-laws. “This is a pandemic, and the virus is particularly dangerous for the elderly. Then we learned about the Cuomo administration’s March 25 order that recovering coronavirus patients be placed into nursing homes. The mandate also barred nursing homes from requiring incoming patients ‘to be tested for COVID-19 prior to admission or readmission.’”
Dean slammed Cuomo for the order, which lasted 46 days, and called attention to the fact that over 6,500 New York seniors have died of the virus in elder care facilities. She also faulted the media — not just CNN, but “Good Morning America” and People Magazine, among others — for doing “puff pieces” on Cuomo that didn’t touch on the nursing home subject.
www.thewrap.com/janice-dean-andrew-cuomo/
h/t Fist


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-23--Fukushima: New video of California tide pools

Synopsis : Kevin Blanche says there ’ s more life than there ’ s been in the California tide pools @ @ @ @ @ ’ s still basically dead .
Blanche deserves a medal for traveling to California during @ @ @ @ @ .

Synopsis: Kevin Blanche says there’s more life than there’s been in the California tide pools in years, but it’s still basically dead.
Blanche deserves a medal for traveling to California during this pandemic to do this.
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AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-23--Mortgage rates are effectively negative in the Land of the Free

By the late 200s AD , the economy of ancient Rome was in serious distress .
There was hardly a single year during that entire century without some major crisis– civil war , barbarian invasion , plague , imperial assassination , political scandal , or economic depression .
It was so bad , in fact , that historians refer to this period as the Crisis of the Third Century .
And the Roman economy suffered immeasurably as a result of all the turmoil .
In a desperate effort to make ends meet , Rome ’ s emperors routinely resorted to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an example , the antoninianus silver coin had around 50 % silver content when it was first circulated in 215 AD .
Within a few decades , the antoninianus had been debased so much that newly minted coins contained less than 3 % silver .
Naturally this created rampant inflation ; as Rome ’ s currency rapidly lost value , merchants had to continually raise their prices in order to keep up with the currency debasement .
So in 301 AD , Emperor Diocletian tried to combat inflation by imposing strict price controls @ @ @ @ @ @ @ infamous Edictum de Pretiis Rerum Venalium , known as the Edict on Maximum Prices .
The edict went on to regulate every single wage and price in the empire… from a bushel of wheat to a day ’ s labor on a farm .
And anyone who didn ’ t abide by the law was threatened with the death penalty .
The effect of the law was devastating .
Not only did Diocletian ’ s edict NOT fix the inflation problem , it caused countless Romans to flee , many of whom went @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
That proved even more disastrous , because Diocletian was rapidly losing taxpayers .
So shortly after , the imperial government passed another law , forbidding anyone from leaving .
Every Roman was tied to their job , or to their farms .
And the restrictions were generational : a son was legally bound to follow the trade and guild of his father .
This is actually a fairly common theme throughout history .
Russian Czar Ivan the Terrible , for example , decreed in 1581 that peasants were not allowed to leave @ @ @ @ @ @ @ consent .
And this was the norm in Europe for centuries while the feudal system was in place .
Freedom of movement is a relatively new phenomenon… something that became commonplace only in our modern time .
It is one of the most important freedoms we have , and one that I believe many people will avail themselves of now .
These pandemic lockdowns have been absolutely devastating .
The worldwide economic cost alone is tens of trillions of dollars .
Hundreds of millions of people have lost their jobs ( according to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have gone bust .
But even beyond the economic costs , the pandemic has caused a lot of people to reexamine their lifestyles .
People who live in cramped , super-expensive , highly-taxed urban areas were cooped up like hamsters for weeks , even months , barely able to even go outside .
And any rational person who understands there may be new waves of the pandemic… or entirely new pandemics that come in the future… is looking around for better options .
After all , politicians , intoxicated with their own power @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ re going to react– with hysteria , stupidity , and violence .
In southern California , beach goers were told to stay off the dry sand , but wet sand was OK. Officials in Nassau County , New York made it illegal to touch other people ’ s tennis balls .
Comrade Mayor Bill de Blasio of New York City locked everyone up in their homes and threatened to throw people in jail who ‘ illegally ’ attended religious services… but was totally fine when rioters , looters , and protesters took @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Colorado ordered all non-residents , including those who own homes in the area , to leave at once , and “ not return until further notice.
” Fortunately nobody has to flee into the welcoming arms of barbarian tribes anymore… nor are we tied to the land like medieval serfs .
A lot of people are now realizing for the first time that they do have the freedom to move .
The lockdowns forced nearly every business into remote work arrangements , and many of those will end up being permanent .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ remote work is a double-edged sword .
Productivity is definitely higher when people are together in an office .
But remote work is far more efficient ; no more wasting time in traffic .
It ’ s less expensive because it eliminates the need for office space .
And employees tend to be happier .
So undoubtedly a lot of remote work arrangements are here to stay .
And people are starting to see now that they can live anywhere ; there ’ s no need to stay in the city , or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the office , when you don ’ t have to go to the office anymore .
I ’ ve written about this a lot : I ’ m anticipating a great migration , from high-tax , high-cost , high-stupidity places , to low tax , low cost , more sensible places .
In the Land of the Free , this means Texas , Florida , Tennessee , and even states like Idaho and Wyoming .
Here ’ s the kicker : mortgage rates are now below 3 % … which is nuts .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ is essentially free .
If you imagine that inflation alone is 2 % per year , then you ’ re effectively paying just 1 % interest .
And that 1 % will be mostly credited back to you through various tax benefits , like a home office deduction , interest expense deduction ( on a loan up to $ 750,000 ) , and property tax deduction ( up to $ 10,000 ) .
This means that your tax-adjusted , inflation adjusted interest rate is probably ZERO , and potentially even NEGATIVE… so you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ now .
So it ’ s worth strongly considering this opportunity while it ’ s on the table .

by Simon Black
By the late 200s AD, the economy of ancient Rome was in serious distress.
There was hardly a single year during that entire century without some major crisis– civil war, barbarian invasion, plague, imperial assassination, political scandal, or economic depression.
It was so bad, in fact, that historians refer to this period as the Crisis of the Third Century. And the Roman economy suffered immeasurably as a result of all the turmoil.
In a desperate effort to make ends meet, Rome’s emperors routinely resorted to debasing the currency.
To give you an example, the antoninianus silver coin had around 50% silver content when it was first circulated in 215 AD. Within a few decades, the antoninianus had been debased so much that newly minted coins contained less than 3% silver.
Naturally this created rampant inflation; as Rome’s currency rapidly lost value, merchants had to continually raise their prices in order to keep up with the currency debasement.
So in 301 AD, Emperor Diocletian tried to combat inflation by imposing strict price controls across the empire… and he issued his infamous Edictum de Pretiis Rerum Venalium, known as the Edict on Maximum Prices.
(Unsurprisingly, Diocletian’s edict pointed the finger at evil capitalists, blaming the inflation on “men whose aim it is to restrain the general prosperity. . .”)
The edict went on to regulate every single wage and price in the empire… from a bushel of wheat to a day’s labor on a farm. And anyone who didn’t abide by the law was threatened with the death penalty.
The effect of the law was devastating. Not only did Diocletian’s edict NOT fix the inflation problem, it caused countless Romans to flee, many of whom went north to live among the barbarian tribes.
That proved even more disastrous, because Diocletian was rapidly losing taxpayers. So shortly after, the imperial government passed another law, forbidding anyone from leaving.
Every Roman was tied to their job, or to their farms. And the restrictions were generational: a son was legally bound to follow the trade and guild of his father.
This is actually a fairly common theme throughout history.
Russian Czar Ivan the Terrible, for example, decreed in 1581 that peasants were not allowed to leave their farms without the owner’s consent. And this was the norm in Europe for centuries while the feudal system was in place.
Freedom of movement is a relatively new phenomenon… something that became commonplace only in our modern time. It is one of the most important freedoms we have, and one that I believe many people will avail themselves of now.
These pandemic lockdowns have been absolutely devastating. The worldwide economic cost alone is tens of trillions of dollars. Hundreds of millions of people have lost their jobs (according to UN estimates). Millions of businesses have gone bust.
But even beyond the economic costs, the pandemic has caused a lot of people to reexamine their lifestyles.
People who live in cramped, super-expensive, highly-taxed urban areas were cooped up like hamsters for weeks, even months, barely able to even go outside.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
And any rational person who understands there may be new waves of the pandemic… or entirely new pandemics that come in the future… is looking around for better options.
After all, politicians, intoxicated with their own power, have already shown us how they’re going to react– with hysteria, stupidity, and violence.
In southern California, beach goers were told to stay off the dry sand, but wet sand was OK. Officials in Nassau County, New York made it illegal to touch other people’s tennis balls.
Comrade Mayor Bill de Blasio of New York City locked everyone up in their homes and threatened to throw people in jail who ‘illegally’ attended religious services… but was totally fine when rioters, looters, and protesters took to the streets.
And Gunnison County, Colorado ordered all non-residents, including those who own homes in the area, to leave at once, and “not return until further notice.”
Fortunately nobody has to flee into the welcoming arms of barbarian tribes anymore… nor are we tied to the land like medieval serfs.
A lot of people are now realizing for the first time that they do have the freedom to move. The lockdowns forced nearly every business into remote work arrangements, and many of those will end up being permanent.
As a business owner, I think remote work is a double-edged sword. Productivity is definitely higher when people are together in an office.
But remote work is far more efficient; no more wasting time in traffic. It’s less expensive because it eliminates the need for office space. And employees tend to be happier.
So undoubtedly a lot of remote work arrangements are here to stay.
And people are starting to see now that they can live anywhere; there’s no need to stay in the city, or even suburb, just to be near the office, when you don’t have to go to the office anymore.
I’ve written about this a lot: I’m anticipating a great migration, from high-tax, high-cost, high-stupidity places, to low tax, low cost, more sensible places.
In the Land of the Free, this means Texas, Florida, Tennessee, and even states like Idaho and Wyoming.
Here’s the kicker: mortgage rates are now below 3%… which is nuts. At 3%, the real estate is essentially free.
If you imagine that inflation alone is 2% per year, then you’re effectively paying just 1% interest. And that 1% will be mostly credited back to you through various tax benefits, like a home office deduction, interest expense deduction (on a loan up to $750,000), and property tax deduction (up to $10,000).
This means that your tax-adjusted, inflation adjusted interest rate is probably ZERO, and potentially even NEGATIVE… so you can technically be paid for borrowing money now.
So it’s worth strongly considering this opportunity while it’s on the table.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-23--Silver Begins Big Upside Rally Attempt

Silver Begins Big Upside Rally Attempt

by Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders The move we saw in Silver early this week to new 6-year high price levels , above $ 22.60 , is quite likely the biggest upside move in Silver since the bottom in March 2020 – after the US stock market collapsed because of the COVID-19 virus event .
This new rally in Silver is likely the move we ’ ve been suggesting to our followers relating to a series of measured upside price moves totaling approximately $ 5.30 in each advance .
As traders , watching bonds accelerate moderately higher as the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ attempts new lofty levels , we are intrigued by the move in metals because it suggests a large segment of investors believe a bubble is nearing very peak valuation levels .
The only reason metals , particularly Silver , would be accelerating as it has recently is that traders have suddenly adopted a stronger demand for second-stage hedging of risk .
Gold is the traditional hedge for many traders in times of risk .
Silver , being the second-tier hedge , typically start to rally 4 to 6+ months after Gold begins to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ trading near all-time highs – near $ 1820 .
Silver just recently bottomed in March 2020 near $ 11.65 and has rallied more than 70 % to current levels – above $ 20.35 .
If our research is correct , Silver will rally to levels above $ 26 within this current upside rally .
The multiple measured moves in Gold and Silver suggest waves of price advances happen in a series of structured upside price moves .
We believe this current upside move in Silver will push price levels above $ 26 per @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as Silver rallies , then future measured moves should target $ 31.50 and $ 36.75 in Silver – possibly higher .
I recently talked about silver specifically in both of these videos .
The detail of what to expect and timing of the breakout is explained in layman terms and both short term traders and long term investors will benefit .
No matter if you like miner stocks or if you buy physical metals , there are two videos you should watch/listen to .
Recently , Gold has move moderately higher while Silver @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The move in Gold , compared to Silver , is like to push to levels above $ 1950 fairly quickly as the risks to the credit/debt and stock markets become more evident over time .
The Gold to Silver ratio is currently at 89.1 .
It peaked in March 2020 at 126.6 .
Historically , after a peak in this ratio is established at a time when the global stock market enters a period of contraction or extreme risk .
From the peak in the Gold to Silver ration in late 2008 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to bottom in mid-2011 .
That bottom in the ratio was very close to the peak in Gold and Silver price levels .
Before you continue , be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals before closing this page , so you don ’ t miss our next special report !
If a similar type of price decline happens in the Gold to Silver ratio , it should fall to levels near 47.5 from the current level near 90 .
This represents a substantial drop in the ratio level – which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Gold and Silver until a peak syncing of price between Gold and Silver is reached .
Once the Gold to Silver ratio contracts below 60 , it is likely that both Gold and Silver will begin to rally in similar price ranges .
That will be a very exciting time to watch for gold and silver bugs because both Gold and Silver could rally 8 % to 15 % each week ( or more ) .
Once Gold reached the $ 1950 level , the next measured move target , subsequent target levels @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Remember , traders , move into metals to hedge against risks they perceive in the stock , credit markets , and global economy .
At this point , we have to believe traders are pumping capital in Silver as Gold nears recent all-time highs .
We can ’ t ignore the fact that traders are actively hedging unknown risks in the markets aggressively in metals .
In fact , if you consider what the US Fed , global central banks and governments have attempted to accomplish over the past 6+ months and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over the past 3+ years , it suggests traders have been actively hedging against market risks for over 2+ years .
They are more aggressively hedging right now – which suggests there is a very strong fear that the markets are trading on borrowed-time near these current high price levels .
Our passive investor signal newsletter which tells you when to own stocks , bonds , and metals has been long gold since it started a new bull market of July 2019 .
We have since added large-cap gold miners which have also @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Silver , well it ’ s just getting started , better late , than never !
We ’ ve continued to urge traders to stay cautious over the past 12+ months because of the risks identified by our proprietary modeling systems and our super-cycle research .
Right now , we believe the risks of a major contraction in the US and global markets are still rather high .
The new highs in the NASDAQ are evidence of a DOT COM-like disconnect in the markets .
The US stock market is not rallying in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ rallying because they are still generating profits while the COVID-19 virus blows holes throughout the global economy .
Pay attention to what is happening in Gold and Silver because they are screaming “ risk is excessive throughout the world ” , and traders that are chasing the rally in the US stock market could wake up to a very sudden surprise soon .
Get our Active ETF Swing Trade Signals or if you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities , bonds , or cash @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of my Passive Long-Term ETF Investing Signals which we are about to issue a new signal for subscribers .
NOTICE : Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research .
It is provided for educational purposes only .
Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed .

by Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders
The move we saw in Silver early this week to new 6-year high price levels, above $22.60, is quite likely the biggest upside move in Silver since the bottom in March 2020 – after the US stock market collapsed because of the COVID-19 virus event. This new rally in Silver is likely the move we’ve been suggesting to our followers relating to a series of measured upside price moves totaling approximately $5.30 in each advance.
As traders, watching bonds accelerate moderately higher as the US Dollar falls and the stock market attempts new lofty levels, we are intrigued by the move in metals because it suggests a large segment of investors believe a bubble is nearing very peak valuation levels. The only reason metals, particularly Silver, would be accelerating as it has recently is that traders have suddenly adopted a stronger demand for second-stage hedging of risk.
Gold is the traditional hedge for many traders in times of risk. Silver, being the second-tier hedge, typically start to rally 4 to 6+ months after Gold begins to move substantially higher. Gold is currently trading near all-time highs – near $1820. Silver just recently bottomed in March 2020 near $11.65 and has rallied more than 70% to current levels – above $20.35. If our research is correct, Silver will rally to levels above $26 within this current upside rally.
The multiple measured moves in Gold and Silver suggest waves of price advances happen in a series of structured upside price moves. We believe this current upside move in Silver will push price levels above $26 per ounce. If Gold continues to rally as Silver rallies, then future measured moves should target $31.50 and $36.75 in Silver – possibly higher.
I recently talked about silver specifically in both of these videos. The detail of what to expect and timing of the breakout is explained in layman terms and both short term traders and long term investors will benefit. No matter if you like miner stocks or if you buy physical metals, there are two videos you should watch/listen to.
Recently, Gold has move moderately higher while Silver has really started to accelerated more dramatically. The move in Gold, compared to Silver, is like to push to levels above $1950 fairly quickly as the risks to the credit/debt and stock markets become more evident over time.
The Gold to Silver ratio is currently at 89.1. It peaked in March 2020 at 126.6. Historically, after a peak in this ratio is established at a time when the global stock market enters a period of contraction or extreme risk. From the peak in the Gold to Silver ration in late 2008, the ratio contracted over 63% to bottom in mid-2011. That bottom in the ratio was very close to the peak in Gold and Silver price levels.
Before you continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals
before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!
If a similar type of price decline happens in the Gold to Silver ratio, it should fall to levels near 47.5 from the current level near 90. This represents a substantial drop in the ratio level – which translates into a continued rally in both Gold and Silver until a peak syncing of price between Gold and Silver is reached. Once the Gold to Silver ratio contracts below 60, it is likely that both Gold and Silver will begin to rally in similar price ranges. That will be a very exciting time to watch for gold and silver bugs because both Gold and Silver could rally 8% to 15% each week (or more).
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Once Gold reached the $1950 level, the next measured move target, subsequent target levels are $2200, then $2450. Remember, traders, move into metals to hedge against risks they perceive in the stock, credit markets, and global economy. At this point, we have to believe traders are pumping capital in Silver as Gold nears recent all-time highs. We can’t ignore the fact that traders are actively hedging unknown risks in the markets aggressively in metals.
In fact, if you consider what the US Fed, global central banks and governments have attempted to accomplish over the past 6+ months and what has happened in Gold and Silver over the past 3+ years, it suggests traders have been actively hedging against market risks for over 2+ years. They are more aggressively hedging right now – which suggests there is a very strong fear that the markets are trading on borrowed-time near these current high price levels.
Our passive investor signal newsletter which tells you when to own stocks, bonds, and metals has been long gold since it started a new bull market of July 2019. We have since added large-cap gold miners which have also started a bull market this year. Silver, well it’s just getting started, better late, than never!
We’ve continued to urge traders to stay cautious over the past 12+ months because of the risks identified by our proprietary modeling systems and our super-cycle research. Right now, we believe the risks of a major contraction in the US and global markets are still rather high. The new highs in the NASDAQ are evidence of a DOT COM-like disconnect in the markets. The US stock market is not rallying in a healthy manner – certain segments are rallying because they are still generating profits while the COVID-19 virus blows holes throughout the global economy.
Pay attention to what is happening in Gold and Silver because they are screaming “risk is excessive throughout the world”, and traders that are chasing the rally in the US stock market could wake up to a very sudden surprise soon.
Get our Active ETF Swing Trade Signals or if you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my Passive Long-Term ETF Investing Signals which we are about to issue a new signal for subscribers.
Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategies
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.
NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research. It is provided for educational purposes only. Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.


investmentwatchblog--2020-07-23--GOVERNMENT PUSHES FORWARD THE FED’S PLAN: STIMULUS PACKAGE TO FOCUS ON “KIDS, JOBS, & VACCINES”

President Donald Trump ’ s administration is helping the Federal Reserve push through their plans for the New World Order : a one-world government and tyrannical authoritarian regime that oversees a one-world digital currency .
The focus of additional stimulus legislation should be on “ kids and jobs and vaccines , ” Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin told reporters in the Oval Office where the meeting occurred .
The criminals in government called congress will returns to Washington this week to begin negotiations on another round of coronavirus aid , which is expected to top $ 1 trillion , according to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ stimulus money plans right into the hands of the central bank and their plans for world domination , so as long as Trump keeps adding debt , the Federal Reserve will ensure he ’ s elected in November .
Greg Mannarino : “ The Fed Is About To Sell You ANOTHER MASSIVE LIE !
” Mannarino warns that he ’ s going to touch on politics , and tells people to “ sit down.
” People hate having their false illusions and the masters they ’ ve developed Stockholm Syndrome because of shattered @ @ @ @ @ @ @ triggered by facts , this is your warning .
“ No two presidents have been a better friend to the Federal Reserve than Barack Obama and President Trump .
Both of these men have the Federal Reserve , not just LET , but have CALLED ON the Federal Reserve to run amok .
No restraint whatsoever .
Print , print , print , create cash out of thin air , buy the debt , buy assets , ” Mannarino says .
–SHTFPlan Additionally , the White House ( Trump for those who think @ @ @ @ @ @ @ says that a vaccine needs to be part of the plan to “ reopen ” and get kids back to school .
The White House is focused on expediting vaccines and treatments for the coronavirus , keeping people employed and bringing back manufacturing from overseas , Mark Meadows , the White House chief of staff said in an interview on Fox News on Sunday .
The Trump administration has been coordinating with McConnell and other Republicans on the new aid measure , but those talks hit a snag over the weekend over funding @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Prevention as well as testing and tracing .
Brace yourselves for what ’ s coming .
We ’ ve been trying to warn you .
No politician or government official is coming to save you .
The Federal Reserve is taking over the world and will choose the president to be their puppet .
If you haven ’ t prepared for an economic collapse and the possibility of having to struggle should you deny the vaccine , you should begin now .
It may be too late , but don ’ t say @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The information is there , and you can react to it in anger and be as mad as you ’ d like about it .
But that doesn ’ t change the fact that this is what the Federal Reserve was designed to do , and they will choose the puppets needed to push their agenda forward .

by Mac Slavo of SHTFplan
President Donald Trump’s administration is helping the Federal Reserve push through their plans for the New World Order: a one-world government and tyrannical authoritarian regime that oversees a one-world digital currency. The focus of additional stimulus legislation should be on “kids and jobs and vaccines,” Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin told reporters in the Oval Office where the meeting occurred.
The criminals in government called congress will returns to Washington this week to begin negotiations on another round of coronavirus aid, which is expected to top $1 trillion, according to a report by NBC News. More stimulus money plans right into the hands of the central bank and their plans for world domination, so as long as Trump keeps adding debt, the Federal Reserve will ensure he’s elected in November.
Greg Mannarino: “The Fed Is About To Sell You ANOTHER MASSIVE LIE!”
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Mannarino warns that he’s going to touch on politics, and tells people to “sit down.” People hate having their false illusions and the masters they’ve developed Stockholm Syndrome because of shattered. So if you’re easily triggered by facts, this is your warning. “No two presidents have been a better friend to the Federal Reserve than Barack Obama and President Trump. Both of these men have the Federal Reserve, not just LET, but have CALLED ON the Federal Reserve to run amok. No restraint whatsoever. Print, print, print, create cash out of thin air, buy the debt, buy assets,” Mannarino says. –SHTFPlan
Additionally, the White House (Trump for those who think there’s a difference), says that a vaccine needs to be part of the plan to “reopen” and get kids back to school.
The White House is focused on expediting vaccines and treatments for the coronavirus, keeping people employed and bringing back manufacturing from overseas, Mark Meadows, the White House chief of staff said in an interview on Fox News on Sunday. The Trump administration has been coordinating with McConnell and other Republicans on the new aid measure, but those talks hit a snag over the weekend over funding for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention as well as testing and tracing.
Brace yourselves for what’s coming. We’ve been trying to warn you. No politician or government official is coming to save you. The Federal Reserve is taking over the world and will choose the president to be their puppet. If you haven’t prepared for an economic collapse and the possibility of having to struggle should you deny the vaccine, you should begin now. It may be too late, but don’t say we didn’t warn you. The information is there, and you can react to it in anger and be as mad as you’d like about it. But that doesn’t change the fact that this is what the Federal Reserve was designed to do, and they will choose the puppets needed to push their agenda forward.