investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Rick Rule: Here’s What’s Next with GOLD Shortages

Rick Rule , founder and chairman of Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd. , began his career in the securities business @ @ @ @ @ a leading American retail broker specializing in mining , energy , water utilities , forest @ @ @ @ @ company has built a national reputation on taking advantage of global opportunities in the oil @ @ @ @ @ alternative energy , agriculture , forestry and water industries .

Future Money Trends, Released on 3/31/20
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Rick Rule, founder and chairman of Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd., began his career in the securities business in 1974. He is a leading American retail broker specializing in mining, energy, water utilities, forest products and agriculture. His company has built a national reputation on taking advantage of global opportunities in the oil and gas, mining, alternative energy, agriculture, forestry and water industries.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Gerald Celente On Coronavirus: ‘Fear And Terror’ Is What They’re Selling…

Gerald Celente is a pioneer trend strategist and founder of The Trends Research Institute .
He is the author of @ @ @ @ @ : How to Prepare for and Profit from the Changes of the 21st Century and @ @ @ @ @ Trends Journal newsletter .
Gerald Celente is a political atheist .
Unencumbered by political dogma @ @ @ @ @ wisdom , Celente , whose motto is “ think for yourself , ” observes and @ @ @ @ @ future trends for what they are – not for the way he wants them to @ @ @ @ @ earned his reputation as “ The most trusted name in trends ” by accurately forecasting @ @ @ @ @ , consumer , environmental , economic , political , entertainment , and technology trends .

Trends Journal, Released on 3/31/20
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Gerald Celente is a pioneer trend strategist and founder of The Trends Research Institute. He is the author of the national bestseller Trends 2000: How to Prepare for and Profit from the Changes of the 21st Century and publisher of the internationally circulated Trends Journal newsletter. Gerald Celente is a political atheist. Unencumbered by political dogma, rigid ideology or conventional wisdom, Celente, whose motto is “think for yourself,” observes and analyzes the current events forming future trends for what they are – not for the way he wants them to be. Gerald Celente has earned his reputation as “The most trusted name in trends” by accurately forecasting hundreds of social, business, consumer, environmental, economic, political, entertainment, and technology trends.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Russia sending masks to U.S.

Russia sending masks to U.S.

Reporters hounded President Trump during yesterday ’ s White House press conference about a Monday phone conversation between Trump and @ @ @ @ @ where the two leaders agreed to hold talks about the chaos in the oil market @ @ @ @ @ of goodwill , Russia – which has only recently started to report large numbers of @ @ @ @ @ a military transport plane full of “ medical equipment and masks ” to aid American @ @ @ @ @ their time of need .
Putin offered to send the aid during Monday ’ s @ @ @ @ @ leaders discussed how best to respond to the virus , according to Reuters .
Trump @ @ @ @ @ the aid , which was organized by the Russian defense ministry , is likely to @ @ @ @ @ ’ s critics who seemingly jump on any sign of warming relations between Trump and @ @ @ @ @ Moscow uses these shipments as a “ propaganda tool ” .
Some critics even went @ @ @ @ @ that it might be a “ spy operation .
”

I guess libs will call this collusion
www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/01/coronavirus-russia-sends-plane-full-of-medical-supplies-to-us
Reporters hounded President Trump during yesterday’s White House press conference about a Monday phone conversation between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, where the two leaders agreed to hold talks about the chaos in the oil market. And in a gesture of goodwill, Russia – which has only recently started to report large numbers of COVID-19 cases – is sending a military transport plane full of “medical equipment and masks” to aid American governors like Andrew Cuomo in their time of need.
Putin offered to send the aid during Monday’s call, while the two leaders discussed how best to respond to the virus, according to Reuters.
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Trump’s decision top accept the aid, which was organized by the Russian defense ministry, is likely to be unpopular with the president’s critics who seemingly jump on any sign of warming relations between Trump and Putin, and argue that Moscow uses these shipments as a “propaganda tool”. Some critics even went so far as to speculate that it might be a “spy operation.”
www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-sends-very-very-large-planeload-masks-medical-equipment-us
AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--It’s Not a Recession—It’s a Government-Imposed Shutdown of the Private Sector

Economists and Wall Street analysts are using the word recession to describe the looming plunge in output in the US economy .
We ’ ll just make the point early that economists , exhibiting the typical emptiness of their failed science , can ’ t even agree on the definition of recession .
Undeterred by lacking a definition , the geniuses at Goldman Sachs and elsewhere on Wall Street are unrestrained in predicting the imminent arrival of the condition they can ’ t describe .
As is always the case , people understand the condition that economists can ’ t @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the lost jobs and wages , the reduction in activity at the businesses where they work .
They understand fewer shifts , fewer hours , a smaller paycheck , or layoffs or furloughs , unemployment , and the need to ask the government for handouts to get by and to feed their families , when they ’ d rather be helping themselves .
They understand uncertainty and disruption .
They feel the fear of not knowing their own economic future .
Recessions , like all economics , are subjectively experienced in the human @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , in communities .
We have an understanding of why recessions occur cyclically ( although economists can ’ t agree , of course ) .
Business growth , the opposite of recession , is driven by savings and investment in new capacity , new and more productive machines , new software , new roads , bigger ships , and all the capital that people put to work to produce more goods and services .
Investment is a calculated bet on time : if a business spends this money now on new production that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ calculate a positive return on that investment .
Recessions occur when governments get in the way and distort the calculation .
They issue too much credit at too low a price , and the business calculus misfires .
The low cost of credit entered into the investment calculation gives a false positive .
When the investment is actually undertaken , it fails to deliver the expected profit .
Projects are shut down .
Jobs are lost .
We have seen this cycle many times .
The failed investment calculus may apply to dot-com @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( 2008 ) , or one or more of many other sectors .
Typically , the malinvestment is quickly shaken out and economic growth resumes .
But wait .
The coming recession in 2020 , so coldly and unfeelingly computed in the cloud by Goldman Sachs , is not like this .
We are about to enter a production slowdown—a collapse , really—not because some businesses miscalculated their investments , but because government intervened drastically and without warning to shut down all businesses .
How did they do that ?
By taking away @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and application drive economic growth .
Government told them to stay home .
Don ’ t go to work .
Don ’ t go to bars and restaurants and cinemas .
Don ’ t take your kids to school .
Don ’ t build cars or airplanes or computers or houses .
Don ’ t provide hospitality at hotels .
Don ’ t perform the tasks that constitute a growing economy , where everyone who works serves everyone who consumes and everybody thrives .
Let ’ s leave aside for the moment the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to do this—to withdraw our economic freedoms with such damaging consequences .
Let us try to understand the thinking and the motivations behind this tsunami of government hubris .
First , it is based on the worst error of government : central planning .
Despite all repeated evidence to the contrary , and despite their endless failures , governments believe they can predict and change the direction of the future based on mathematical modeling of the human condition .
The models are computed using the government experts ’ own assumptions , thereby achieving @ @ @ @ @ @ @ right , because they ’ re right .
In the current case , the government experts input a wide range of unproven assumptions about coronavirus incidence and infection rates and the exchange of infection between individuals .
They arrive at predictions of infection for the population .
There are wildly fluctuating model outcomes and predictions , so they pick the worst case .
The second step is the giant leap from the theoretical output of the models to the fantasy that government action can be taken against real people in order to change @ @ @ @ @ @ @ rates too high ?
Order people to change their behavior to get no closer to each other than six feet ( another assumption from some model somewhere ) .
Tell them to stay home and abandon all economic activity .
Lock down the state .
Lock down the country .
Why are they doing this ?
Because they can .
They have not actually given a reason .
To save lives ?
Whose ?
Why now and not in previous flu seasons , which are much more deadly ?
To reduce pressure on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to do it .
Which one of us has been asked whether he wants to sacrifice his livelihood in return for a theoretically reduced probability of a COVID-19 infection ?
They have the models , and they have the political power to order us around .
Control and power over individuals is the only justification .
Worse , this escalation in the power of government , which has reached the point where they can order us not to leave our homes and enforce the order at the point of a gun , will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be able to unremember what they did to us .
It will be indelibly recorded in history .
Governments will point to this instance to justify future , worse instances .
We must start to resist .

by Hunter Hastings via Mises Wire
Economists and Wall Street analysts are using the word recession to describe the looming plunge in output in the US economy. We’ll just make the point early that economists, exhibiting the typical emptiness of their failed science, can’t even agree on the definition of recession.
Undeterred by lacking a definition, the geniuses at Goldman Sachs and elsewhere on Wall Street are unrestrained in predicting the imminent arrival of the condition they can’t describe.
As is always the case, people understand the condition that economists can’t even describe in theory. They understand the lost jobs and wages, the reduction in activity at the businesses where they work. They understand fewer shifts, fewer hours, a smaller paycheck, or layoffs or furloughs, unemployment, and the need to ask the government for handouts to get by and to feed their families, when they’d rather be helping themselves. They understand uncertainty and disruption. They feel the fear of not knowing their own economic future. Recessions, like all economics, are subjectively experienced in the human mind, in individuals, in families, in communities.
We have an understanding of why recessions occur cyclically (although economists can’t agree, of course). Business growth, the opposite of recession, is driven by savings and investment in new capacity, new and more productive machines, new software, new roads, bigger ships, and all the capital that people put to work to produce more goods and services. Investment is a calculated bet on time: if a business spends this money now on new production that will occur in the future, they calculate a positive return on that investment. Recessions occur when governments get in the way and distort the calculation. They issue too much credit at too low a price, and the business calculus misfires. The low cost of credit entered into the investment calculation gives a false positive. When the investment is actually undertaken, it fails to deliver the expected profit. Projects are shut down. Jobs are lost.
We have seen this cycle many times. The failed investment calculus may apply to dot-com companies (2000), home mortgages (2008), or one or more of many other sectors. Typically, the malinvestment is quickly shaken out and economic growth resumes.
But wait. The coming recession in 2020, so coldly and unfeelingly computed in the cloud by Goldman Sachs, is not like this. We are about to enter a production slowdown—a collapse, really—not because some businesses miscalculated their investments, but because government intervened drastically and without warning to shut down all businesses. How did they do that? By taking away the freedoms of the people whose energy and application drive economic growth. Government told them to stay home. Don’t go to work. Don’t go to bars and restaurants and cinemas. Don’t take your kids to school. Don’t build cars or airplanes or computers or houses. Don’t provide hospitality at hotels. Don’t perform the tasks that constitute a growing economy, where everyone who works serves everyone who consumes and everybody thrives.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Let’s leave aside for the moment the monumental error we made in allowing government to do this—to withdraw our economic freedoms with such damaging consequences. Let us try to understand the thinking and the motivations behind this tsunami of government hubris.
First, it is based on the worst error of government: central planning. Despite all repeated evidence to the contrary, and despite their endless failures, governments believe they can predict and change the direction of the future based on mathematical modeling of the human condition. The models are computed using the government experts’ own assumptions, thereby achieving a self-referential circularity. They’re right, because they’re right.
In the current case, the government experts input a wide range of unproven assumptions about coronavirus incidence and infection rates and the exchange of infection between individuals. They arrive at predictions of infection for the population. There are wildly fluctuating model outcomes and predictions, so they pick the worst case.
The second step is the giant leap from the theoretical output of the models to the fantasy that government action can be taken against real people in order to change the inputs to the model. Reinfection rates too high? Order people to change their behavior to get no closer to each other than six feet (another assumption from some model somewhere). Tell them to stay home and abandon all economic activity. Lock down the state. Lock down the country.
Why are they doing this? Because they can. They have not actually given a reason. To save lives? Whose? Why now and not in previous flu seasons, which are much more deadly? To reduce pressure on the healthcare sector? Find other ways to do it. Which one of us has been asked whether he wants to sacrifice his livelihood in return for a theoretically reduced probability of a COVID-19 infection? They have the models, and they have the political power to order us around. Control and power over individuals is the only justification.
Worse, this escalation in the power of government, which has reached the point where they can order us not to leave our homes and enforce the order at the point of a gun, will prove irreversible. We won’t be able to unremember what they did to us. It will be indelibly recorded in history. Governments will point to this instance to justify future, worse instances.
We must start to resist.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Sheer Madness – Front line Nurse in Chicago tried to wear her own N95 to work while caring for COVID

Sheer Madness – Front line Nurse in Chicago tried to wear her own N95 to work while caring for COVID pts & she was told by management she would not be allowed to. She quit her job.

I ’ m a nurse .
I also recently quit my job because we had no N95 masks .
It @ @ @ @ @ .
The CDC even changed the guidelines and said medical personnel should wear bandanas if @ @ @ @ @ can ’ t even file for unemployment because I quit .
I want more than @ @ @ @ @ helping and taking care of people right now .
But I am a single parent @ @ @ @ @ able to protect myself .
I can ’ t work without PPE .

This is chilling. A nurse on the front lines in Chicago tried to wear her own N95 to work while caring for COVID pts (when it wasn’t supplied for her) & she was told by management she would not be allowed to. She quit her job. @DrMarthaGulati @CMichaelGibson @boback @netta_doc pic.twitter.com/eEVF8JNwGm — Danielle Belardo, MD (@DBelardoMD) March 31, 2020
I’m a nurse. I also recently quit my job because we had no N95 masks. It feels like a hopeless situation. The CDC even changed the guidelines and said medical personnel should wear bandanas if they have to. I can’t even file for unemployment because I quit.
I want more than anything to be out there helping and taking care of people right now. But I am a single parent. I have to be able to protect myself. I can’t work without PPE.
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AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--People are hopeless: New Yorkers gathered to watch the USNS Comfort Medical ship arrive.

Reminds me of the people watching on the bridge in Chernobyl .
Only difference is “ no idea what ’ @ @ @ @ @ “ plain stupid ” .

by burnzwhenipeeee
Reminds me of the people watching on the bridge in Chernobyl. Only difference is “no idea what’s going on” vs “plain stupid”.
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AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Trip to the grocery store today not good

I went to my local Niagara Falls NY wegmans today to grab a few things .
While walking in I @ @ @ @ @ carts with caution tape around them Just outside the entrance with signs saying please keep @ @ @ @ @ your fellow shoppers .
I walked in and grabbed and sanitized a cart and asked @ @ @ @ @ what are the outside carts and signs where about He said starting on April 7 @ @ @ @ @ many people will be allowed in the store at one time .
WTF .
anyone @ @ @ @ @ local grocery store ?
Disclaimer : This is a guest post and it doesn ’ @ @ @ @ @ IWB .

I went to my local Niagara Falls NY wegmans today to grab a few things.
While walking in I saw a group of shopping carts with caution tape around them
Just outside the entrance with signs saying please keep 6’ from each of your fellow shoppers.
I walked in and grabbed and sanitized a cart and asked one of the cart crew what are the outside carts and signs where about
He said starting on April 7 they will be limiting how many people will be allowed in the store at one time. WTF. anyone else seeing this at their local grocery store?
h/t Deplorablemeeeeeeeee!
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Disclaimer: This is a guest post and it doesn’t represent the views of IWB.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--A century-old TB vaccine steel the immune system against the new coronavirus

Good news especially for countries like Poland Researchers in four countries will soon start a clinical trial of an unorthodox @ @ @ @ @ .
They will test whether a century-old vaccine against tuberculosis ( TB ) , a @ @ @ @ @ up the human immune system in a broad way , allowing it to better fight @ @ @ @ @ disease 2019 and , perhaps , prevent infection with it altogether .
Disclaimer : This @ @ @ @ @ it doesn ’ t represent the views of IWB .

Good news especially for countries like Poland
Researchers in four countries will soon start a clinical trial of an unorthodox approach to the new coronavirus. They will test whether a century-old vaccine against tuberculosis (TB), a bacterial disease, can rev up the human immune system in a broad way, allowing it to better fight the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 and, perhaps, prevent infection with it altogether.
www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/can-century-old-tb-vaccine-steel-immune-system-against-new-coronavirus
More pro sources
www.researchgate.net/publication/340263333_Correlation_between_universal_BCG_vaccination_policy_and_reduced_morbidity_and_mortality_for_COVID-19_an_epidemiological_study?fbclid=IwAR3YHyyOspn-NR_JEj3osuefPziXHb8pmP5653L9fOcJ0x-TwA3ko5DXQqw
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and
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042937v1?fbclid=IwAR1F-ECDWjhYiEOH3YyNNBvQdZsxQhLQnbQEG_pO9LYFK6AciMd19dE-3is
h/t outofspace
Disclaimer: This is a guest post and it doesn’t represent the views of IWB.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--China continues to hurt the World

China continues to hurt the World

1st they hid how bad it was & lied about it continuously , now they ’ re playing games forcing @ @ @ @ @ acknowledge & share Taiwan ’ s amazing success in controlling this pandemic Taiwan ’ s @ @ @ @ @ they got hit before the USA In Taiwan they give every citizen 2 masks a @ @ @ @ @ by law masks are required to be worn in public

1st they hid how bad it was & lied about it continuously, now they’re playing games forcing the WHO not to even acknowledge & share Taiwan’s amazing success in controlling this pandemic
With MASKS
Taiwan’s numbers: Keep in mind they got hit before the USA
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Taiwan:329 total cases…deaths 5
In Taiwan they give every citizen 2 masks a week for 99 cents, by law masks are required to be worn in public
h/t Mathetes 2.0


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Democrats cry that new Google policy won’t let them lie about Trump

“ To not allow political candidates to mention or discuss COVID-19 is something that has the potential to dramatically bolster @ @ @ @ @ ’ chances of reelection.
” As coronavirus spread around the world in February , Google @ @ @ @ @ advertising about the outbreak in an effort to defeat misinformation , fraud and scams .
@ @ @ @ @ ban does something else : It allows the Trump administration to run ads promoting its @ @ @ @ @ denying Democrats the chance to run ads criticizing it .

“To not allow political candidates to mention or discuss COVID-19 is something that has the potential to dramatically bolster Trump’s and Republicans’ chances of reelection.”
As coronavirus spread around the world in February, Google decided to ban most nongovernmental advertising about the outbreak in an effort to defeat misinformation, fraud and scams. But Democrats say the Google ban does something else: It allows the Trump administration to run ads promoting its response to the crisis while denying Democrats the chance to run ads criticizing it.
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www.protocol.com/google-coronavirus-ad-ban-democrats


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--A Wuhan doctor who was among the first to alert other medics to the spread of coronavirus has disapp

• Dr Ai Fen was the first doctor to alert other colleagues about a SARS-like disease • Her text led her co-worker Dr Li Wenliang to raise the concerns on social media • Dr Ai said she faced ‘ unprecedented , extremely harsh reprimand ’ after sharing • She gave interview criticising hospital and then went missing , reports suggest • Coronavirus symptoms : what are they and should you see a doctor ?
A Wuhan doctor who was among the first to alert other medics to the spread of coronavirus has disappeared sparking concerns that she has been detained @ @ @ @ @ @ @ said she faced ‘ unprecedented , extremely harsh reprimanded ’ by officials at Wuhan Central Hospital after she shared a picture of a patient report labelled ‘ SARS coronavirus ’ .
The image was widely circulated and made its way to whistle-blower Li Wenliang who raised the alarm about the bug , which has killed more than 41,000 people worldwide .
Dr Li was reprimanded by authorities for ‘ illegally spreading untruthful information online ’ .
Dr Ai gave an interview to a Chinese magazine criticising the hospital ’ s management for dismissing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has not been seen since , 60 Minutes Australia reported .

Dr Ai Fen was the first doctor to alert other colleagues about a SARS-like disease
Her text led her co-worker Dr Li Wenliang to raise the concerns on social media
Dr Ai said she faced ‘unprecedented, extremely harsh reprimand’ after sharing
She gave interview criticising hospital and then went missing, reports suggest
Coronavirus symptoms: what are they and should you see a doctor?
A Wuhan doctor who was among the first to alert other medics to the spread of coronavirus has disappeared sparking concerns that she has been detained, reports suggest.
Dr Ai Fen said she faced ‘unprecedented, extremely harsh reprimanded’ by officials at Wuhan Central Hospital after she shared a picture of a patient report labelled ‘SARS coronavirus’.
The image was widely circulated and made its way to whistle-blower Li Wenliang who raised the alarm about the bug, which has killed more than 41,000 people worldwide.
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Dr Li was reprimanded by authorities for ‘illegally spreading untruthful information online’.
Dr Ai gave an interview to a Chinese magazine criticising the hospital’s management for dismissing the early warnings of the coronavirus but has not been seen since, 60 Minutes Australia reported.
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8173363/Wuhan-doctor-went-public-spread-coronavirus-goes-missing.html


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--THERE IT IS: Gordon Brown calls for global government to tackle coronavirus

Gordon Brown has urged world leaders to create a temporary form of global government to tackle the twin medical and @ @ @ @ @ Covid-19 pandemic .
A virtual meeting of the G20 group of developed and developing countries @ @ @ @ @ , will be held on Thursday , but Brown said it would have been preferable @ @ @ @ @ UN security council .
“ This is not something that can be dealt with in @ @ @ @ @ said .
“ There has to be a coordinated global response .
”

Gordon Brown has urged world leaders to create a temporary form of global government to tackle the twin medical and economic crises caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.
A virtual meeting of the G20 group of developed and developing countries, chaired by Saudi Arabia, will be held on Thursday, but Brown said it would have been preferable to have also included the UN security council.
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“This is not something that can be dealt with in one country,” he said. “There has to be a coordinated global response.”
www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/mar/26/gordon-brown-calls-for-global-government-to-tackle-coronavirus


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Tucker Carlson: The WHO Helped China Cover-Up COVID-19

Tucker Carlson exposed during a powerful monologue last night how the World Health Organization helped China cover-up the severity of @ @ @ @ @ media turned a blind eye .
The Fox News host noted how World Health Organization @ @ @ @ @ his job with Chinese support after he covered up cholera outbreaks in his home country @ @ @ @ @ has denied the allegation , which centered around claims he had downplayed cholera epidemics in @ @ @ @ @ and 2011 by passing them off as “ acute watery diarrhea , ” a symptom @ @ @ @ @ Nations later said that more lives could have been saved if the epidemic had been @ @ @ @ @ Carlson then accused Adhanom of setting the standard for corruption within the WHO by congratulating @ @ @ @ @ ” response to coronavirus in late January despite widespread evidence that China covered up the @ @ @ @ @ , lied about its severity and then silenced whistleblowers who tried to warn the world @

Tucker Carlson exposed during a powerful monologue last night how the World Health Organization helped China cover-up the severity of coronavirus and how the U.S. media turned a blind eye.
The Fox News host noted how World Health Organization Director-General Tedros Adhanom “got his job with Chinese support after he covered up cholera outbreaks in his home country” of Egypt.
Tedros has denied the allegation, which centered around claims he had downplayed cholera epidemics in Ethiopia in 2006, 2009 and 2011 by passing them off as “acute watery diarrhea,” a symptom of cholera.
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The United Nations later said that more lives could have been saved if the epidemic had been accurately labeled as cholera.
Carlson then accused Adhanom of setting the standard for corruption within the WHO by congratulating China for its “speedy” response to coronavirus in late January despite widespread evidence that China covered up the outbreak for over a month, lied about its severity and then silenced whistleblowers who tried to warn the world.
www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/tucker-carlson-who-helped-china-cover-covid-19


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--The Administration is doing a lot of work behind the scenes to take care of small business. US Dolla

The Administration is doing a lot of work behind the scenes to take care of small business. US Dollar will come out stronger than pre virus

Yahoo Finance ’ s Sibile Marcellus spoke with Ivanka Trump on how the coronavirus stimulus bill is aimed at helping @ @ @ @ @ stimulus package .

Yahoo Finance’s Sibile Marcellus spoke with Ivanka Trump on how the coronavirus stimulus bill is aimed at helping small businesses through the COVID-19 stimulus package.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--World Health Organization ready to escalate. Wants to physically remove you from your home in a “dig

World Health Organization ready to escalate. Wants to physically remove you from your home in a “dignified” manner.

Originally broadcast live on 30 March 2020 , the daily press briefing on coronavirus COVID-19 , direct from WHO Headquarters @ @ @ @ @ Tedros WHO Director-General , Dr Micheal Ryan , Executive Director of the Health Emergencies Programme @ @ @ @ @ Kerkhove , Technical lead , WHO Health Emergencies Programme .

Originally broadcast live on 30 March 2020, the daily press briefing on coronavirus COVID-19, direct from WHO Headquarters, Geneva Switzerland with Dr Tedros WHO Director-General, Dr Micheal Ryan, Executive Director of the Health Emergencies Programme, and Dr Maria Van Kerkhove, Technical lead, WHO Health Emergencies Programme.
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AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--STIMULUS CHECK: Everything you need to know

Check IRS.gov for the latest information : No action needed by most people at this time IR-2020-61 , March 30 , 2020 WASHINGTON — The Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service today announced that distribution of economic impact payments will begin in the next three weeks and will be distributed automatically , with no action required for most people .
However , some seniors and others who typically do not file returns will need to submit a simple tax return to receive the stimulus payment .
Who is eligible for the economic impact payment ?
Tax filers with adjusted @ @ @ @ @ @ @ individuals and up to $ 150,000 for married couples filing joint returns will receive the full payment .
For filers with income above those amounts , the payment amount is reduced by $ 5 for each $ 100 above the $ 75,000/ $ 150,000 thresholds .
Single filers with income exceeding $ 99,000 and $ 198,000 for joint filers with no children are not eligible .
Eligible taxpayers who filed tax returns for either 2019 or 2018 will automatically receive an economic impact payment of up to $ 1,200 for individuals or $ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ receive $ 500 for each qualifying child .
How will the IRS know where to send my payment ?
The vast majority of people do not need to take any action .
The IRS will calculate and automatically send the economic impact payment to those eligible .
For people who have already filed their 2019 tax returns , the IRS will use this information to calculate the payment amount .
For those who have not yet filed their return for 2019 , the IRS will use information from their 2018 tax filing to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ payment will be deposited directly into the same banking account reflected on the return filed .
The IRS does not have my direct deposit information .
What can I do ?
In the coming weeks , Treasury plans to develop a web-based portal for individuals to provide their banking information to the IRS online , so that individuals can receive payments immediately as opposed to checks in the mail .
I am not typically required to file a tax return .
Can I still receive my payment ?
Yes .
People who typically @ @ @ @ @ @ @ need to file a simple tax return to receive an economic impact payment .
Low-income taxpayers , senior citizens , Social Security recipients , some veterans and individuals with disabilities who are otherwise not required to file a tax return will not owe tax .
How can I file the tax return needed to receive my economic impact payment ?
IRS.gov/coronavirus will soon provide information instructing people in these groups on how to file a 2019 tax return with simple , but necessary , information including their filing status , number of dependents @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I have not filed my tax return for 2018 or 2019 .
Can I still receive an economic impact payment ?
Yes .
The IRS urges anyone with a tax filing obligation who has not yet filed a tax return for 2018 or 2019 to file as soon as they can to receive an economic impact payment .
Taxpayers should include direct deposit banking information on the return .
I need to file a tax return .
How long are the economic impact payments available ?
For those concerned about visiting a tax @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to get help with a tax return , these economic impact payments will be available throughout the rest of 2020 .
Where can I get more information ?
The IRS will post all key information on IRS.gov/coronavirus as soon as it becomes available .
The IRS has a reduced staff in many of its offices but remains committed to helping eligible individuals receive their payments expeditiously .
Check for updated information on IRS.gov/coronavirus rather than calling IRS assistors who are helping process 2019 returns .
Coronavirus stimulus cash : Don ’ t wait @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Friday that people can expect to receive their checks in three weeks – April 17 is when the direct deposits will go into people ’ s accounts .
It is believed that a check in the mail could take longer .

Check IRS.gov for the latest information: No action needed by most people at this time
IR-2020-61, March 30, 2020
WASHINGTON — The Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service today announced that distribution of economic impact payments will begin in the next three weeks and will be distributed automatically, with no action required for most people. However, some seniors and others who typically do not file returns will need to submit a simple tax return to receive the stimulus payment.
Who is eligible for the economic impact payment?
Tax filers with adjusted gross income up to $75,000 for individuals and up to $150,000 for married couples filing joint returns will receive the full payment. For filers with income above those amounts, the payment amount is reduced by $5 for each $100 above the $75,000/$150,000 thresholds. Single filers with income exceeding $99,000 and $198,000 for joint filers with no children are not eligible.
Eligible taxpayers who filed tax returns for either 2019 or 2018 will automatically receive an economic impact payment of up to $1,200 for individuals or $2,400 for married couples. Parents also receive $500 for each qualifying child.
How will the IRS know where to send my payment?
The vast majority of people do not need to take any action. The IRS will calculate and automatically send the economic impact payment to those eligible.
For people who have already filed their 2019 tax returns, the IRS will use this information to calculate the payment amount. For those who have not yet filed their return for 2019, the IRS will use information from their 2018 tax filing to calculate the payment. The economic impact payment will be deposited directly into the same banking account reflected on the return filed.
The IRS does not have my direct deposit information. What can I do?
In the coming weeks, Treasury plans to develop a web-based portal for individuals to provide their banking information to the IRS online, so that individuals can receive payments immediately as opposed to checks in the mail.
I am not typically required to file a tax return. Can I still receive my payment?
Yes. People who typically do not file a tax return will need to file a simple tax return to receive an economic impact payment. Low-income taxpayers, senior citizens, Social Security recipients, some veterans and individuals with disabilities who are otherwise not required to file a tax return will not owe tax.
How can I file the tax return needed to receive my economic impact payment?
IRS.gov/coronavirus will soon provide information instructing people in these groups on how to file a 2019 tax return with simple, but necessary, information including their filing status, number of dependents and direct deposit bank account information.
I have not filed my tax return for 2018 or 2019. Can I still receive an economic impact payment?
Yes. The IRS urges anyone with a tax filing obligation who has not yet filed a tax return for 2018 or 2019 to file as soon as they can to receive an economic impact payment. Taxpayers should include direct deposit banking information on the return.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
I need to file a tax return. How long are the economic impact payments available?
For those concerned about visiting a tax professional or local community organization in person to get help with a tax return, these economic impact payments will be available throughout the rest of 2020.
Where can I get more information?
The IRS will post all key information on IRS.gov/coronavirus as soon as it becomes available.
The IRS has a reduced staff in many of its offices but remains committed to helping eligible individuals receive their payments expeditiously. Check for updated information on IRS.gov/coronavirus rather than calling IRS assistors who are helping process 2019 returns.
www.irs.gov/newsroom/economic-impact-payments-what-you-need-to-know
Coronavirus stimulus cash: Don’t wait for your check in the mail
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Friday that people can expect to receive their checks in three weeks – April 17 is when the direct deposits will go into people’s accounts . It is believed that a check in the mail could take longer.
www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/coronavirus-stimulus-checks-direct-deposit
h/t CrsCrpr


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Spain, Czechia among other nations bought faulty test kits. All test results are wrong and all numbe

Spain, Czechia among other nations bought faulty test kits. All test results are wrong and all numbers and statistics reported on MSM are wrong.

All numbers from China were wrong due to faulty test kits .
MSM reported wrong Chinese numbers in late February and created panic with wrong numbers and wrong statistics .
This was scaremongering with fake news .
Now the Spanish numbers turn out to be all wrong .
Italian numbers aren ’ t to trust .
The Sacra Corona Unita has infiltrated hospitals , labs and institutions .
The mafia is the main profiteer of the economic crisis in Italy .
The mafia offers small businesses with financial difficulties to help them .
This help comes with the mafia conditions @ @ @ @ @ @ @ trust .
Macron is a Rothschild puppet , nough said .
German numbers aren ’ t to trust .
They let ‘ Corona patients ’ from France and Italy fly in to take care of them in their hospitals .
The deal is , these patients aren ’ t tested in Germany .
They were tested in France and Italy .
Faulty Virus Tests Cloud China ’ s European Outreach Over Covid-19 By Andrea Dudik and Radoslav Tomek 1 .
April 2020 , 05:00 MESZ Updated on 1 .
April 2020 , 09:04 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ continent prove unreliable The issues may harm China ’ s bid to lead global virus efforts As the coronavirus landed in Italy and began to sweep across the continent , European leaders turned to China for testing kits to quickly identify infection hot spots .
Some are already regretting it .
The 1.2 million Chinese antibody tests that the Slovak government bought from local middlemen for 15 million euros ( $ 16 million ) are inaccurate and unable to detect Covid-19 in its early stages , according to Prime Minister Igor Matovic , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ We have a ton and no use for them , ” he said .
They should “ just be thrown straight into the Danube.
” Matovic may have an ax to grind as the testing kits were purchased by the previous government , of which he has been a fierce critic for many things , including its record on fighting corruption .
Still , similar difficulties have cropped up from Madrid to Istanbul — complicating countries ’ efforts to get a handle on the virus and re-open their economies , which are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fallout from the 2008 financial meltdown .
The issues aren ’ t just a problem for Europe .
They risk derailing China ’ s own efforts to fill the void left as President Donald Trump steers the U.S. away from its traditional leadership role in times of global crisis .
Beijing hopes to win favor through mass deliveries of medical aid to European nations — part of wider geopolitical ambitions in the region that go back years .
Regarding the virus-testing kits , China said Slovakia used them incorrectly , and cautioned against @ @ @ @ @ @ @ up to scratch — issues it said it experienced when receiving help from abroad during the initial emergence of the virus months ago in Wuhan .
“ Problems should be properly solved based on facts , not political interpretations , ” Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said .
“ In fact , when we first began fighting Covid-19 at home , some of the assistance China received was defective , but we chose to believe and respect the kind intentions of these countries.
” Whatever the intention , complaints in Spanish media increased @ @ @ @ @ @ @ quick-testing kits from China were faulty and had to be returned .
Deaths in Spain have begun to match those in nearby Italy — currently the virus ’ s epicenter in Europe .
Temporary Morgue And Hospital As Spanish Virus Crisis Deepens In fact , the sort of rapid coronavirus tests the countries bought are still unproven .
If they can be shown to work , they offer the potential to vastly accelerate testing and get a better picture of how widely the disease has spread in society .
But companies have only @ @ @ @ @ @ @ governments to hold off on buying big supplies until it ’ s clearer which , if any , of the diagnostic tools work best .
Criticism of China from other countries has been muted , likely reflecting its growing economic and strategic heft .
Under the banner of a trade and infrastructure initiative known as Belt and Road , Beijing has moved to increasingly knit the fortunes of other countries to itself .
Indeed President Xi Jinping has described China ’ s mass deployment of medical assistance to countries including Italy , Greece @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a “ Health Silk Road.
” In the Czech Republic , health-care authorities and some government members said the 300,000 quick tests purchased by the state only worked if patients had been infected for at least five days , while about a third were defective .
President Milos Zeman , however , avoided mentioning the problems .
“ I ’ d like to thank the Chinese People ’ s Republic for being the only country that helped us in supplying the material , ” he said March 19 .
In doing so , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ provided by the European Union .
In Turkey , which imported its first batch of “ several thousand ” kits in early March , officials determined an accuracy rate of less than 35 % , according to a senior official with direct knowledge of the matter .
Their use was immediately suspended and new tests sourced from a different Chinese supplier .
They arrived last week and had an accuracy rate of about 90 % , according to the Turkish official .

by WildEber
archive.is/zW7Sx
Spain and Czechia (Czech Republic) have encountered the same problem. … For its part, Czechia paid US$ 546,000 for 150,000 Chinese quick coronavirus test kits, 80 per cent of which were faulty.
All numbers from China were wrong due to faulty test kits. MSM reported wrong Chinese numbers in late February and created panic with wrong numbers and wrong statistics. This was scaremongering with fake news. Now the Spanish numbers turn out to be all wrong. Italian numbers aren’t to trust. The Sacra Corona Unita has infiltrated hospitals, labs and institutions. The mafia is the main profiteer of the economic crisis in Italy. The mafia offers small businesses with financial difficulties to help them. This help comes with the mafia conditions. French numbers aren’t to trust. Macron is a Rothschild puppet, nough said. German numbers aren’t to trust. They let ‘Corona patients’ from France and Italy fly in to take care of them in their hospitals. The deal is, these patients aren’t tested in Germany. They were tested in France and Italy.
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-01/faulty-virus-tests-cloud-china-s-european-outreach-over-covid-19
Faulty Virus Tests Cloud China’s European Outreach Over Covid-19 By Andrea Dudik and Radoslav Tomek 1. April 2020, 05:00 MESZ Updated on 1. April 2020, 09:04 MESZ Kits bought by countries across the continent prove unreliable The issues may harm China’s bid to lead global virus efforts
As the coronavirus landed in Italy and began to sweep across the continent, European leaders turned to China for testing kits to quickly identify infection hot spots.
Some are already regretting it.
The 1.2 million Chinese antibody tests that the Slovak government bought from local middlemen for 15 million euros ($16 million) are inaccurate and unable to detect Covid-19 in its early stages, according to Prime Minister Igor Matovic, who only took office last month. “We have a ton and no use for them,” he said. They should “just be thrown straight into the Danube.”
Matovic may have an ax to grind as the testing kits were purchased by the previous government, of which he has been a fierce critic for many things, including its record on fighting corruption. Still, similar difficulties have cropped up from Madrid to Istanbul — complicating countries’ efforts to get a handle on the virus and re-open their economies, which are headed for recessions that could eclipse the fallout from the 2008 financial meltdown.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The issues aren’t just a problem for Europe. They risk derailing China’s own efforts to fill the void left as President Donald Trump steers the U.S. away from its traditional leadership role in times of global crisis. Beijing hopes to win favor through mass deliveries of medical aid to European nations — part of wider geopolitical ambitions in the region that go back years.
Regarding the virus-testing kits, China said Slovakia used them incorrectly, and cautioned against politicizing instances where equipment isn’t up to scratch — issues it said it experienced when receiving help from abroad during the initial emergence of the virus months ago in Wuhan.
“Problems should be properly solved based on facts, not political interpretations,” Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said. “In fact, when we first began fighting Covid-19 at home, some of the assistance China received was defective, but we chose to believe and respect the kind intentions of these countries.”
Whatever the intention, complaints in Spanish media increased as it transpired last week that 50,000 quick-testing kits from China were faulty and had to be returned. Deaths in Spain have begun to match those in nearby Italy — currently the virus’s epicenter in Europe. Temporary Morgue And Hospital As Spanish Virus Crisis Deepens
In fact, the sort of rapid coronavirus tests the countries bought are still unproven. If they can be shown to work, they offer the potential to vastly accelerate testing and get a better picture of how widely the disease has spread in society. But companies have only recently developed them and some experts warn governments to hold off on buying big supplies until it’s clearer which, if any, of the diagnostic tools work best.
Criticism of China from other countries has been muted, likely reflecting its growing economic and strategic heft. Under the banner of a trade and infrastructure initiative known as Belt and Road, Beijing has moved to increasingly knit the fortunes of other countries to itself. Indeed President Xi Jinping has described China’s mass deployment of medical assistance to countries including Italy, Greece and France as an effort to further a “Health Silk Road.”
In the Czech Republic, health-care authorities and some government members said the 300,000 quick tests purchased by the state only worked if patients had been infected for at least five days, while about a third were defective. President Milos Zeman, however, avoided mentioning the problems.
“I’d like to thank the Chinese People’s Republic for being the only country that helped us in supplying the material,” he said March 19. In doing so, he failed to acknowledge aid also being provided by the European Union.
In Turkey, which imported its first batch of “several thousand” kits in early March, officials determined an accuracy rate of less than 35%, according to a senior official with direct knowledge of the matter. Their use was immediately suspended and new tests sourced from a different Chinese supplier. They arrived last week and had an accuracy rate of about 90%, according to the Turkish official.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--AT&T new Facebook scam

AT&T new Facebook scam

I got a call from “ att ” , they left a message saying someone had committed fraud on my account and to call them back .
I called the number ( already suspicious ) and it said welcome to att and had the proper hold music .
I got in touch with a guy that gave me a name and employee number .
I knew it was wrong when he “ confirmed ” the name on the account , he used my name on Facebook ( that I have set to completely private , well as private as it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Facebook name is a nickname I ’ ve never used for business before .
I confirmed the information because I wanted to see where the call went .
He instantly threw out there was a fraud against my account for two iPhones for $ 2400 and that he needed my passcode to verify my account .
When I said I was told to never say my passcode to someone , he said because of the virus they have restructured their rules .
He pressured me for about 10 minutes while I wasted his @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I ’ d give him the info if he answered one question and I asked him how he could live with himself knowing he ’ s hurting people .
He hung up on me .
And I called the number back and it switched to voicemail haha .
I left him a scathing voicemail and am now waiting on the real att fraud dept to get back to me .
TLDR : DO NOT accept calls from people claiming to be att , It is not att .

by HistrionicSlut
I got a call from “att”, they left a message saying someone had committed fraud on my account and to call them back. I called the number (already suspicious) and it said welcome to att and had the proper hold music. I got in touch with a guy that gave me a name and employee number. I knew it was wrong when he “confirmed” the name on the account, he used my name on Facebook (that I have set to completely private, well as private as it goes it seems), and my Facebook name is a nickname I’ve never used for business before. I confirmed the information because I wanted to see where the call went.
He instantly threw out there was a fraud against my account for two iPhones for $2400 and that he needed my passcode to verify my account. When I said I was told to never say my passcode to someone, he said because of the virus they have restructured their rules. He pressured me for about 10 minutes while I wasted his time acting dumb. Finally I said I’d give him the info if he answered one question and I asked him how he could live with himself knowing he’s hurting people.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
He hung up on me. And I called the number back and it switched to voicemail haha. I left him a scathing voicemail and am now waiting on the real att fraud dept to get back to me.
TLDR: DO NOT accept calls from people claiming to be att, It is not att.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--When Will Stocks & The Economy Recover?

When Will Stocks & The Economy Recover?

It ’ s very common when stocks are falling to hear the advice , “ don ’ t try to catch a falling knife.
” However , at the beginning of each bull market , gains are realized the quickest .
It ’ s very difficult to buy when stocks are rallying because you don ’ t know if it ’ s a bear market rally or a bull market rally .
If you invested $ 10,000 in the S & P 500 on March 9th , 2009 and sold on February 19th , 2020 , you would have $ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you bought 3 months after the March 2009 low , you would only have $ 45,000 .
This current bear market speeds things up dramatically because it was the quickest ever .
If it takes half the length of the bear market for stocks to recover half their losses as it typically does , the S & P 500 could be at 2,800 in 3 weeks ( not a prediction ) .
It ’ s very difficult to time bottoms , which is why valuations come in handy .
If you buy where @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t panic at the first sign of weakness .
We think there ’ s a difference between buying a stock that ’ s cratering on its own versus buying an index that ’ s cratering or buying a stock that ’ s down because of the index ’ s crash .
That ’ s because when the whole market panics , there are stocks that fall even though they will only experience temporary weakness in their businesses .
However , when a specific stock falls because of an impact to its sector @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s pricing in something that will directly hurt it .
Not catching a falling knife makes sense if a negative factor hurts a company ’ s long term prospects because it doesn ’ t become cheaper in that scenario .
It ’ s just pricing in the news .
On the other hand , if a stock craters with the market , catching a falling knife makes sense if you ’ re buying undamaged goods and your time horizon is appropriate .
Even Netflix , which appears to be helped by this shutdown @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the beginning of this bear market .
The chart below is an opinion of where the market and economy are headed .
We aren ’ t endorsing it .
We think it ’ s valuable to put forth research to start discussions .
It ’ s quite easy to see that if U.S. cases peak within the next few weeks , that ’ s bullish , but clearly that ’ s a big “ if.
” The cases could come back after the economy reopens .
That ’ s why everyone is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to wait a bit longer because there are reports that Italy ’ s shutdown will last until May 4th .
If Italy reopens on May 4th , that would be about 6 weeks since its peak in the number of daily new cases on March 21st .
America hasn ’ t even hit its peak which means it could take over 6 weeks for it to reopen .
We disagree with the timeline showing the stimulus will kick in starting in May .
People will be getting unemployment benefits with an extra $ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Remember , this isn ’ t a stimulus ; it ’ s a lifeline .
The chart above shows earnings season is the next test markets face .
We disagree with that because investors already know Q1 wasn ’ t great and that Q2 will be worse .
Any numbers and comments that can help investors model this year will lower the uncertainty .
Obviously , not all stocks will rally after they report .
The key is when everyone expects bad news , that leaves few sellers when the bad news @ @ @ @ @ @ @ didn ’ t decline after the spike in jobless claims .
Stocks have so far not reacted to the extending of social distancing recommendations until April 30th .
The economy can ’ t resume with a pandemic in place .
Even in recessions , more firms beat EPS estimates than miss them because the bar is lowered .
The table below shows Q1 growth estimates have fallen to -6.38 % .
Q2 estimates have fallen to -9.05 % .
They probably have not fallen far enough .
We will see a big decline @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
It will be interesting to see how far Q4 estimates fall because some are predicting an economic recovery in the 2nd half .
The chart below shows Goldman ’ s forecast for S & P 500 EPS each quarter .
The firm expects losses in Q2 which is way below estimates .
If its Q1 prediction is right , then we will see the rare time when estimates are missed because they won ’ t be cut that much by the time earnings season starts in 2 weeks .
Stock buybacks are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we see the flexibility buybacks provide .
Firms shouldn ’ t risk liquidity to buyback stock .
Goldman estimates firms have removed $ 190 billion in buybacks in the past 2 weeks which is 25 % of the 2019 total .
Let ’ s see how well stocks can do without their biggest source of demand .
It clearly was a mistake to take out leverage to buyback shares .
As you can see from the chart below , firms that have taken out leverage to fund buybacks have seen their stocks dramatically @ @ @ @ @ @ @ A fallen angel is a company that is downgraded from investment grade to junk .
Interestingly , potential fallen angels have seen their spreads nearly mimic high yield bonds .
Investors know their time is up ( spreads 930 basis points for potential fallen angels & 1,025 for high yield ) .
There are expectations for upwards of $ 250 to $ 300 billion in fallen angels this year .
The top chart below shows JP Morgan sees $ 215 billion which is a record high in nominal terms .
It is 3.7 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is the same percentage as 2009 .
Moody ’ s expects global speculative grade default rates to increase to 6.8 % in a sharp short recession .
It expects them to increase to 16.1 % in a 2008-like scenario and 20.8 % in a severe recession .
We showed a potential pathway stocks and the economy could follow while disagreeing with the most dubious projections .
The big uncertainties are when the economy will reopen and if COVID-19 will return after it does so .
Q1 earnings season will be weak and Q2 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are quite low even though the bottom ’ s up estimates are still way too high .
Notice how estimates fell in the past week while stocks rose .
Usually , estimates are in sync with stocks , but this time stocks saw the decline in earnings coming before analysts could even think to update their models .
Firms that took on leverage to buyback stock saw their stocks crash .
Fallen angels are the most prominent since 2009 .
The market already priced this in by giving these potential firms a steep @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was ahead of the ratings agencies even though they moved quicker than they ever have .

by UPFINA
It’s very common when stocks are falling to hear the advice, “don’t try to catch a falling knife.” However, at the beginning of each bull market, gains are realized the quickest. It’s very difficult to buy when stocks are rallying because you don’t know if it’s a bear market rally or a bull market rally. If you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500 on March 9th, 2009 and sold on February 19th, 2020, you would have $63,000 (including dividends). If you bought 3 months after the March 2009 low, you would only have $45,000. This current bear market speeds things up dramatically because it was the quickest ever. If it takes half the length of the bear market for stocks to recover half their losses as it typically does, the S&P 500 could be at 2,800 in 3 weeks (not a prediction). It’s very difficult to time bottoms, which is why valuations come in handy. If you buy where you’re comfortable, you won’t panic at the first sign of weakness.
We think there’s a difference between buying a stock that’s cratering on its own versus buying an index that’s cratering or buying a stock that’s down because of the index’s crash. That’s because when the whole market panics, there are stocks that fall even though they will only experience temporary weakness in their businesses. However, when a specific stock falls because of an impact to its sector or its individual fundamentals, it’s pricing in something that will directly hurt it. Not catching a falling knife makes sense if a negative factor hurts a company’s long term prospects because it doesn’t become cheaper in that scenario. It’s just pricing in the news. On the other hand, if a stock craters with the market, catching a falling knife makes sense if you’re buying undamaged goods and your time horizon is appropriate. Even Netflix, which appears to be helped by this shutdown, saw its stock crater 22.6% in the beginning of this bear market.
Potential Timeline
The chart below is an opinion of where the market and economy are headed. We aren’t endorsing it. We think it’s valuable to put forth research to start discussions.
Markets bottom on "bad news"
– Freakishly bad jobless claims 3.2mm
– @stlouisfed says unemployment rate might be 32% now
– Daily US #coronavirus cases spiking But:
– Tom DeMark @DeMarkAnalytics said worst likely behind
– Lowry's '90% up' day Tuesday 'bad EPS' last of bad news pic.twitter.com/RHLb3G6HIV — Thomas Lee (@fundstrat) March 26, 2020
It’s quite easy to see that if U.S. cases peak within the next few weeks, that’s bullish, but clearly that’s a big “if.” The cases could come back after the economy reopens. That’s why everyone is watching Italy closely. We will need to wait a bit longer because there are reports that Italy’s shutdown will last until May 4th. If Italy reopens on May 4th, that would be about 6 weeks since its peak in the number of daily new cases on March 21st. America hasn’t even hit its peak which means it could take over 6 weeks for it to reopen. We disagree with the timeline showing the stimulus will kick in starting in May. People will be getting unemployment benefits with an extra $600 per week starting in early April. Remember, this isn’t a stimulus; it’s a lifeline.
Earnings Season Awaits
The chart above shows earnings season is the next test markets face. We disagree with that because investors already know Q1 wasn’t great and that Q2 will be worse. Any numbers and comments that can help investors model this year will lower the uncertainty. Obviously, not all stocks will rally after they report. The key is when everyone expects bad news, that leaves few sellers when the bad news happens. That’s why stocks didn’t decline after the spike in jobless claims. Stocks have so far not reacted to the extending of social distancing recommendations until April 30th. The economy can’t resume with a pandemic in place.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Even in recessions, more firms beat EPS estimates than miss them because the bar is lowered. The table below shows Q1 growth estimates have fallen to -6.38%. Q2 estimates have fallen to -9.05%. They probably have not fallen far enough. We will see a big decline in Q2 estimates during Q1 earnings season. It will be interesting to see how far Q4 estimates fall because some are predicting an economic recovery in the 2nd half.
The current sell-side consensus 2020 $SPY EPS est is $163 down from $190. Our base case is it drops to $124. That means much more significant cuts ahead. The buy-side has discounted most, but not all, of the cuts into stock prices. pic.twitter.com/7ku9nTr5h1 — The Earnings Scout (@EarningsScout) March 31, 2020
The chart below shows Goldman’s forecast for S&P 500 EPS each quarter. The firm expects losses in Q2 which is way below estimates. If its Q1 prediction is right, then we will see the rare time when estimates are missed because they won’t be cut that much by the time earnings season starts in 2 weeks.
It seems brokers are having their own race to the bottom. Goldman Sachs now sees as decline in EPS of 123% YoY in Q2. pic.twitter.com/24TIkNLB1i — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) March 23, 2020
Stock Buybacks Are Being Cut
Stock buybacks are being cut quickly. Once again, we see the flexibility buybacks provide. Firms shouldn’t risk liquidity to buyback stock. Goldman estimates firms have removed $190 billion in buybacks in the past 2 weeks which is 25% of the 2019 total. Let’s see how well stocks can do without their biggest source of demand. It clearly was a mistake to take out leverage to buyback shares. As you can see from the chart below, firms that have taken out leverage to fund buybacks have seen their stocks dramatically underperforme the S&P 500.
Market picking winners/losers. pic.twitter.com/NT5s5w9SVH — FLATTEN THE CURVE (@TenYearNote) March 30, 2020
Fallen Angels
A fallen angel is a company that is downgraded from investment grade to junk. Interestingly, potential fallen angels have seen their spreads nearly mimic high yield bonds. Investors know their time is up (spreads 930 basis points for potential fallen angels & 1,025 for high yield). There are expectations for upwards of $250 to $300 billion in fallen angels this year. The top chart below shows JP Morgan sees $215 billion which is a record high in nominal terms. It is 3.7% of the investment grade market which is the same percentage as 2009. Moody’s expects global speculative grade default rates to increase to 6.8% in a sharp short recession. It expects them to increase to 16.1% in a 2008-like scenario and 20.8% in a severe recession.
Conclusion
We showed a potential pathway stocks and the economy could follow while disagreeing with the most dubious projections. The big uncertainties are when the economy will reopen and if COVID-19 will return after it does so. Q1 earnings season will be weak and Q2 earnings will potentially be nonexistent. Expectations are quite low even though the bottom’s up estimates are still way too high. Notice how estimates fell in the past week while stocks rose. Usually, estimates are in sync with stocks, but this time stocks saw the decline in earnings coming before analysts could even think to update their models. Firms that took on leverage to buyback stock saw their stocks crash. Fallen angels are the most prominent since 2009. The market already priced this in by giving these potential firms a steep increase in borrowing costs. The market was ahead of the ratings agencies even though they moved quicker than they ever have.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Can’t Make Your Car Payment?

Can’t Make Your Car Payment?

It ’ s going to be a financial nightmare for many people soon or maybe is already .
I just wanted to share some tips as a former collections person ( who once repo ’ d cars 😳 ) if you might soon be or already are unable to make your car payment .
• DO NOT IGNORE CALLS OR HANG UP ON THE LENDER IF THEY ’ RE CALLING FOR PAYMENT .
Most lenders now have software programs that document every individual account interaction or attempts of contact .
If you ’ re hanging up on them- you ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ If you have ZERO communication with your lender – the lender will likely result to repo ’ ing the vehicle sooner .
If you are hanging up on the person assigned to collect payment- they will more than likely repo the vehicle sooner than they normally would .
• TALK TO THE LENDER DAYS BEFORE YOU KNOW WILL BE PAST DUE .
Why ?
Some lenders might have a ‘ DUE DATE CHANGE ’ option .
Many of them do not offer this option if the account is already past due .
Ask @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you can push your payment to .
( Please be advised that if you have a simple interest contract – you will be paying those additional days of interest because you extended your contract mature date .
That is unless you payoff early or refinance your loan . )
• MAKE PAYMENT ARRANGEMENTS .
If you ’ re actively trying to make payments – it shows cooperation .
Collectors are more likely to work with you if you ’ re trying .
Especially if you ’ re making payments little by little .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ late charge if the payment is not paid in full if stipulated on your purchase contract .
Also , if the full payment amount is not paid and received by the lender within the 30 days of your due date – it might also ding your credit .
( Be mindful of the payment method you use .
Some payment methods take days to post or be received .
So if you mail a check on day 27 – it might take over a week to be received and cleared .
By the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ re over 30 days past due . )
• ASK FOR AN EXTENSION .
Some lenders will allow you another month to make your payment by extending your contract .
Why use that as a last resort ?
Some only allow 1 EXTENSION for the life of the loan .
So if you really need it – you might not have this option again .
You also extend another month of interest by doing this if you have a simple interest contract .
( Lenders may require proof of hardship to grant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ CREDIT ?
TRY REFINANCING .
If your credit has improved from your time of purchase – you might qualify to refinance at a lower rate and lower payment .
When you refinance – the new lender payoffs your old loan and contracts you with a payment due date 30 days from your new refinance contract date .
UNABLE TO GET IN CONTACT WITH A CUSTOMER SERVICE REP OVER THE PHONE ?
Check the lender ‘ s website .
Some now offer the Due Date Change option online or email them .
I hope @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Please contact your lender to verify which options you have available .

by stacyyines
It’s going to be a financial nightmare for many people soon or maybe is already.
I just wanted to share some tips as a former collections person (who once repo’d cars 😳) if you might soon be or already are unable to make your car payment.
DO NOT IGNORE CALLS OR HANG UP ON THE LENDER IF THEY’RE CALLING FOR PAYMENT. Most lenders now have software programs that document every individual account interaction or attempts of contact. If you’re hanging up on them- you’re showing you’re uncooperative. If you have ZERO communication with your lender – the lender will likely result to repo’ing the vehicle sooner. If you are hanging up on the person assigned to collect payment- they will more than likely repo the vehicle sooner than they normally would. TALK TO THE LENDER DAYS BEFORE YOU KNOW WILL BE PAST DUE. Why? Some lenders might have a ‘DUE DATE CHANGE’ option. Many of them do not offer this option if the account is already past due. Ask the customer service representative the furthest date you can push your payment to. (Please be advised that if you have a simple interest contract – you will be paying those additional days of interest because you extended your contract mature date. That is unless you payoff early or refinance your loan.) MAKE PAYMENT ARRANGEMENTS. If you’re actively trying to make payments – it shows cooperation. Collectors are more likely to work with you if you’re trying. Especially if you’re making payments little by little. You may still be subject to a late charge if the payment is not paid in full if stipulated on your purchase contract. Also, if the full payment amount is not paid and received by the lender within the 30 days of your due date – it might also ding your credit. (Be mindful of the payment method you use. Some payment methods take days to post or be received. So if you mail a check on day 27 – it might take over a week to be received and cleared. By the time it’s been processed- you’re over 30 days past due.) ASK FOR AN EXTENSION. Some lenders will allow you another month to make your payment by extending your contract. Why use that as a last resort? Some only allow 1 EXTENSION for the life of the loan. So if you really need it – you might not have this option again. You also extend another month of interest by doing this if you have a simple interest contract. (Lenders may require proof of hardship to grant an extension.) HAVE GOOD CREDIT? TRY REFINANCING. If your credit has improved from your time of purchase – you might qualify to refinance at a lower rate and lower payment. When you refinance – the new lender payoffs your old loan and contracts you with a payment due date 30 days from your new refinance contract date.
UNABLE TO GET IN CONTACT WITH A CUSTOMER SERVICE REP OVER THE PHONE? Check the lender‘s website. Some now offer the Due Date Change option online or email them.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
I hope these tips help during this difficult time.
Please contact your lender to verify which options you have available.
Stay Safe Everyone.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-01--Just to prove the Fed hasn’t got a clue what its doing. But at least it made a lot of pretty 000’s o

Just to prove the Fed hasn’t got a clue what its doing. But at least it made a lot of pretty 000’s on its balance sheet.

Did the Fed Just Accidentally Trigger a Housing Market Crash ?
By flooding the market with money , the Federal @ @ @ @ @ bankers to the brink of bankruptcy .
• The Federal Reserve just bought $ 250 @ @ @ @ @ a bid to strengthen the markets .
• But the move caused a tsunami of @ @ @ @ @ banker industry .
Some warned they could go bankrupt within days .
• Homebuyer demand @ @ @ @ @ of mortgage delinquencies loom .
The Federal Reserve unloaded its bazooka of stimulus all over @ @ @ @ @ two weeks .
But there ’ s some major collateral damage .
By flooding the @ @ @ @ @ may have accidentally trigged a housing market crash .
The Mortgage Bankers Association ( MBA @ @ @ @ @ scale disruption ’ to the housing market and accused the Fed of using a ‘ @ @ @

Did the Fed Just Accidentally Trigger a Housing Market Crash?
By flooding the market with money, the Federal Reserve just accidentally pushed mortgage bankers to the brink of bankruptcy.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The Federal Reserve just bought $250 billion of mortgage-backed securities in a bid to strengthen the markets.
But the move caused a tsunami of margin calls across the mortgage banker industry. Some warned they could go bankrupt within days.
Homebuyer demand has dried up and millions of mortgage delinquencies loom.
The Federal Reserve unloaded its bazooka of stimulus all over the markets in the last two weeks. But there’s some major collateral damage. By flooding the markets with money, they may have accidentally trigged a housing market crash.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) warned of ‘large scale disruption’ to the housing market and accused the Fed of using a ‘sledgehammer.’
This is a collapse of the system.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-02--How many Americans are infected?

How many Americans are infected?

How many Americans do you think are currently infected with SARS-CoV-2 ?
How many Americans do you think will die ?
Write your answers down , this isn ’ t China , no bullshitting .
Trump ’ s estimation of 200,000 deaths with a peak in mid-April is almost certainly an underestimate .
Information based on “ confirmed cases ” is a load of crap from both intentional and unintentional undertesting .
There is however data that is relatively immune to fake news : deaths .
The US is currently at 4,053 deaths .
From this simple , clear data @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the illness will progress .
In this model , I will use three primary data inputs with low uncertainty to show you just how bad things are about to get .
• The time series of US deaths .
NB : I used that data available yesterday and have not added yesterday ’ s 912 new deaths .
Source : www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ • A case fatality rate of 1 % .
This data comes from cruise ships where 100 % of passengers were tested .
This data is the best we have on case @ @ @ @ @ @ @ infected are low enough to make this the largest source of model uncertainty .
I also completely ignore the effect of overwhelmed hospitals in this analysis , if , as is likely , overwhelmed medical systems cause the case fatality rate to rise to WHO ’ s 3.4 % , things will be much worse .
Source : en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_on_cruise_ships • A time delay of three weeks between infection and death .
This delay is approximately consistent with a median 6 days to symptoms and 13 days from pneumonia confirmation to death .
Sources @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also consistent with many of the individual case reports that I have read , example , infected on 1/14 , dead on 2/07 www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/13/world/asia/coronavirus-death-life.html .
I also include a two week delay analysis to help understand model error .
With this simple data , we can easily reconstruct how many Americans had the coronavirus three weeks prior .
We take the daily new death data , multiply it by 100 ( since 1 % died ) and add it to the total infections of the day three weeks before .
From this computation @ @ @ @ @ @ @ US confirmed case number is of 177,000 is an underestimate by about one half of the total infections THREE WEEKS AGO .
This insight is the most important part of this post .
We have way more cases right now than the vast majority realize .
We ’ re not going to be able to Korea our way out of this any time soon .
Without massive intervention or a large proportion of the population infected we can use the growth in the number of deaths to estimate the growth rate of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ curve to the growth of deaths to extract a parameter ( lambda=3.54 ) for modeling future growth rate of the numbers of infected .
I also included a fit for the last several days that possibly indicates a slight slowing of the growth rate .
Note : All plots in this post are logarithmic .
Now , we can use the that growth to extrapolate how many more people have been infected since the ~314,000 on March 9th .
Of course , that growth parameter has probably not remained constant .
For that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of social distancing whereby the growth halved or quartered starting on Monday , March 16th , when many business started suspending operations .
I also assumed logistic growth so that the infection rate slows as more Americans are infected .
So , to answer one of the initial questions : There are between 1 million and 100 million US cases at present .
That ’ s a huge range , but I am 95 % sure that : there are between 4 and 20 million US infections at present .
It gets ugly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ all bears , but I hope you ’ re rooting for America and that we can pull a miracle .
Lots of people will die .
Using the model for the number of infections , we can simply reverse the first process to find past number of infections to instead estimate the number of future deaths .
Below , are estimates for total and daily deaths .
The daily deaths will give us the best indication of which track we ’ re on in the future .
There ’ s some discontinuity in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that social distancing turned on all at once on 03/16 , if we are on one of the lower tracks we will smooth into it in about a week ’ s time .
So yesterday ’ s 912 deaths don ’ t mean much yet as far as predicting the evolution of the disease .
US Deaths , April through May As is clearly evident , there is no way we ’ re only going to have 200,000 total deaths or a peak in two weeks unless social distancing is doing a much @ @ @ @ @ @ @ quartering it .
Remember , this is also for 1 % fatality rate , if deaths go up when hospitals are overwhelmed or because fat Americans die more , then there will be even more deaths .
I am 80 % sure that we will have 1 million deaths minimum over the next 3 months .
Hopefully , we sacrifice the economy a bit to save lives , but don ’ t count on it .
• Deaths peak between mid April and late May and that ’ s when you should sell @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fear .
• We do a good job of suppressing the spread , but we have to stay in quarantine for many months .
The economy will be slowly burned out and SPX goes ( well ) below 1800 in the late summer .
June and later dated puts are going to do best here .
Fun money : as many June puts as I can afford .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do @ @ @ @ @

by quantize_me
How many Americans do you think are currently infected with SARS-CoV-2? How many Americans do you think will die? Write your answers down, this isn’t China, no bullshitting.
Trump’s estimation of 200,000 deaths with a peak in mid-April is almost certainly an underestimate. Information based on “confirmed cases” is a load of crap from both intentional and unintentional undertesting. There is however data that is relatively immune to fake news: deaths. The US is currently at 4,053 deaths. From this simple, clear data we can construct several hypotheses about how the illness will progress.
In this model, I will use three primary data inputs with low uncertainty to show you just how bad things are about to get.
The time series of US deaths. NB: I used that data available yesterday and have not added yesterday’s 912 new deaths. Source: www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ A case fatality rate of 1%. This data comes from cruise ships where 100% of passengers were tested. This data is the best we have on case fatality, although the total numbers of infected are low enough to make this the largest source of model uncertainty. I also completely ignore the effect of overwhelmed hospitals in this analysis, if, as is likely, overwhelmed medical systems cause the case fatality rate to rise to WHO’s 3.4%, things will be much worse. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_on_cruise_ships A time delay of three weeks between infection and death. This delay is approximately consistent with a median 6 days to symptoms and 13 days from pneumonia confirmation to death. Sources: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus_disease_2019 and wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/6/20-0320_article . It is also consistent with many of the individual case reports that I have read, example, infected on 1/14, dead on 2/07 www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/13/world/asia/coronavirus-death-life.html . I also include a two week delay analysis to help understand model error.
With this simple data, we can easily reconstruct how many Americans had the coronavirus three weeks prior. We take the daily new death data, multiply it by 100 (since 1% died) and add it to the total infections of the day three weeks before.
Estimating prior infections
From this computation, we can see that the current US confirmed case number is of 177,000 is an underestimate by about one half of the total infections THREE WEEKS AGO. This insight is the most important part of this post. We have way more cases right now than the vast majority realize. We’re not going to be able to Korea our way out of this any time soon.

Estimating growth of infections and deaths
Without massive intervention or a large proportion of the population infected we can use the growth in the number of deaths to estimate the growth rate of the infection. Below I fit an exponential curve to the growth of deaths to extract a parameter (lambda=3.54) for modeling future growth rate of the numbers of infected. I also included a fit for the last several days that possibly indicates a slight slowing of the growth rate. Note: All plots in this post are logarithmic.
Growth in number of deaths
Now, we can use the that growth to extrapolate how many more people have been infected since the ~314,000 on March 9th. Of course, that growth parameter has probably not remained constant. For that reason, I included some possible effects of social distancing whereby the growth halved or quartered starting on Monday, March 16th, when many business started suspending operations. I also assumed logistic growth so that the infection rate slows as more Americans are infected.
US infections, mid March through April
So, to answer one of the initial questions: There are between 1 million and 100 million US cases at present. That’s a huge range, but I am 95% sure that: there are between 4 and 20 million US infections at present.

We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Estimating Deaths
It gets ugly here. I know you’re all bears, but I hope you’re rooting for America and that we can pull a miracle. Lots of people will die.
Using the model for the number of infections, we can simply reverse the first process to find past number of infections to instead estimate the number of future deaths. Below, are estimates for total and daily deaths. The daily deaths will give us the best indication of which track we’re on in the future. There’s some discontinuity in that graph because I used the assumption that social distancing turned on all at once on 03/16, if we are on one of the lower tracks we will smooth into it in about a week’s time. So yesterday’s 912 deaths don’t mean much yet as far as predicting the evolution of the disease.

US Deaths, April through May
As is clearly evident, there is no way we’re only going to have 200,000 total deaths or a peak in two weeks unless social distancing is doing a much better job of quashing the spread than quartering it. Remember, this is also for 1% fatality rate, if deaths go up when hospitals are overwhelmed or because fat Americans die more, then there will be even more deaths. I am 80% sure that we will have 1 million deaths minimum over the next 3 months. Hopefully, we sacrifice the economy a bit to save lives, but don’t count on it.

Markets
There’s two main possibilities.
Deaths peak between mid April and late May and that’s when you should sell your puts because we are at peak fear. We do a good job of suppressing the spread, but we have to stay in quarantine for many months. The economy will be slowly burned out and SPX goes (well) below 1800 in the late summer. June and later dated puts are going to do best here.
Positions:
Fun money: as many June puts as I can afford.
401(k): 100% cash
IRA: 70% cash, 30% $SH
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


Weekly unemployment numbers

Let ’ s rally together and estimate all unemployment numbers again : Also looks like last weeks number are going @ @ @ @ @ s headline number of 3.28 million claims — itself a more than 1,000 percent increase @ @ @ @ @ be revised upward , in part because of stark discrepancies between data that states reported @ @ @ @ @ what the Department of Labor recorded.
” No kidding , we counted 5million+ and the @ @ @ @ @ : www.politico.com/news/2020/04/01/unemployed-workers-benefits-coronavirus-159192 HI ~ 100k + ( all of march )

Let’s rally together and estimate all unemployment numbers again:
Also looks like last weeks number are going up
“Last week’s headline number of 3.28 million claims — itself a more than 1,000 percent increase — is also expected to be revised upward, in part because of stark discrepancies between data that states reported at the ground level and what the Department of Labor recorded.”
No kidding, we counted 5million+ and the fed hid that.
Source: www.politico.com/news/2020/04/01/unemployed-workers-benefits-coronavirus-159192
TOTAL: ~ ???
AL ~ 74k
AK ~ ??
AZ ~ 88k
AR ~ ??
CA – 740k
CO ~ 61k
CT ~ ??
DE ~ ??
FL ~ 222k
GA ~ ??
HI ~ 100k + (all of march)
IA ~ ??
ID ~ ??
IL ~ ??
IN ~ 120k
KS ~ 55k
KY ~ ??
LA ~ ??
ME ~ ??
MD ~ ??
MA ~ 148k
MI ~ 300k
MN ~ 156k
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MS ~ ??
MO ~ ??
MT ~ ??
NE ~ ??
NV ~ ??
NH ~ ??
NJ ~ ??
NM ~ ??
NY ~ ??
NC ~ 167k
ND ~ ??
OH ~ ??
OK ~ ??
OR ~ ??
PA ~ 400k
RI ~ 28k
SC ~ ??
SD ~ ??
TN ~ 39k
TX ~ 1400k
UT ~ ??
VT ~ 15k
VA ~ ??
WA ~ 130k
WV ~ 90k+ (all of march)
WI ~ 115k
WY ~ ??


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-02--While the coronavirus crisis may be temporary GFC 2 won’t be

The market should be more worried about a ‘ second wave ’ of coronavirus cases , JPMorgan says 185 stocks @ @ @ @ @ down more than 70 % .
Municipal bond mkt still frozen and pricing worse than @ @ @ @ @ flowing sufficiently .
Further dollar strength confirming Fed/Trump need to get more aggressive .
pic.twitter.com/nh9j13xXur

The market should be more worried about a ‘second wave’ of coronavirus cases, JPMorgan says
Stocks never bottomed near peak consumer confidence.
185 stocks in the Russell 1000 are down more than 70%.
Municipal bond mkt still frozen and pricing worse than 2008 situation.
Liquidity not flowing sufficiently. Further dollar strength confirming Fed/Trump need to get more aggressive. pic.twitter.com/nh9j13xXur
— Dan Tapiero (@DTAPCAP) April 1, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-02--ANDREW CUOMO: ‘If you go on a ventilator there is only a 20% chance you will come off it.’”

ANDREW CUOMO : ‘ Four fifths of coronavirus patients who need ventilators will end up dead.
’ “ Governor Cuomo @ @ @ @ @ York coronavirus death toll ) is people who have been on a ventilator for a @ @ @ @ @ If you go on a ventilator there is only a 20 % chance you will @ @ @ @ @ So why ’ s he making such a big deal about ventilators ?

ANDREW CUOMO: ‘Four fifths of coronavirus patients who need ventilators will end up dead.’ “Governor Cuomo said: (The New York coronavirus death toll) is people who have been on a ventilator for a period of time. ‘If you go on a ventilator there is only a 20% chance you will come off it.’”
So why’s he making such a big deal about ventilators?
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h/t GR


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-02--CNN is owned by Warner. CBS is owned by Viacom. NBC is owned by Comcast. ABC is owned by Disney. All

CNN is owned by Warner. CBS is owned by Viacom. NBC is owned by Comcast. ABC is owned by Disney. All the owners have film studios dependent on China’s box office.

Do you think the news subsidiaries are going to be really honest about China ?
They take off our glasses @ @ @ @ @ around .
Only with our support are they able to do this The Democrats and @ @ @ @ @ Lives to Own Trump

by WTCMolybdenum4753
Do you think the news subsidiaries are going to be really honest about China?
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They take off our glasses and laugh as we fumble around. Only with our support are they able to do this
The Democrats and the Media Gambled With American Lives to Own Trump


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-02--Good luck collecting Unemployment… States don’t have the money to pay the claims… Their revenue stre

But the crooks in Washington DC got paid off… The websites to apply for Unemployment aren ’ t “ crashed @ @ @ @ @ down .
Will we see the eventual break up of the US ?
US Government @ @ @ @ @ with intentionally not meeting the needs of it ’ s citizens forever .
Or attacking @ @ @ @ @ .
While many Democart governors played along at state and local levels with the ChicomVirus… @ @ @ @ @ them now that their cut of the money will never materialize .
This shows also @ @ @ @ @ the top brass of the military also .

by badpizzaisstillgood
$975 per week and 10 million people currently filed for unemployment = approx $42 billion per month
assuming nobody else files for unemployment that going to cost $168 billion over a 4 month period, the budget is $250 billion dollars
The current budget can afford approximately another 5 million more unemployment claims so if unemployment reaches 15million+ be prepared for some more BRRrRRbrrrrrrrrr
Good luck collecting Unemployment… States don’t have the money to pay the claims… Their revenue streams have collapsed as well!
But the crooks in Washington DC got paid off…
The websites to apply for Unemployment aren’t “crashed”… They shut them down.
Will we see the eventual break up of the US?
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
US Government can’t get away with intentionally not meeting the needs of it’s citizens forever. Or attacking the people using false pretenses.
While many Democart governors played along at state and local levels with the ChicomVirus… It should be obvious to them now that their cut of the money will never materialize.
This shows also the level of corruption in the top brass of the military also.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-04-02--It only takes .5 ppms of nitrogen dioxide in the air to increase viral uptake into cells……

take 10 minutes and watch this anyway , the point is that nitrogen dioxide directly weakens and kills the type II epithelial cells that line your alveoli These are the exact same cells SARS-Cov2 attacks because they express ACE2 on their surfaces So , the common pollutant we are all breathing weakens you to infection In China , tons of people die every year from lower respiratory infections This is directly facilitated by high levels of NO2 We don ’ t hear this being discussed in the media , but you can clearly see in the video , the air @ @ @ @ @ @ @ infection rates is absolutely horrible first , …nitrogen dioxide is actually produced naturally in amounts that exceed that which is produced by humans They estimate between 20 and 90 million tons of nitrogen oxides on Earth each year are produced by volcanoes , oceans , biological decay , and lightning strikes Human activities add another roughly 24 million tons of nitrogen oxides to our atmosphere every year So we ’ ve evolved to tolerate certain levels , but exceeding what our bodies are used to handling opens us up to infections I should @ @ @ @ @ @ @ system plays in mediating infections The cannabinoids our bodies naturally manufacture are neurotransmitters , and their role in mediating infection is that they suppress the creation of pro-inflammatory cytokines The cytokines are the molecules that are toxic to cells ( They kill them ) and their role is to kill the infected cells to prevent the virus from replicating What happens during infection is that you have a massive build up of toxic cytokine molecules that cause extensive damage in the area ( This is why severe SARS-Cov2 patients get permanent scars in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ weakens surrounding cells , and also interferes with the immune response , locally , so what ultimately happens is that the infection speeds up However , ….when you suppress the natural cytokine response , you actually interfere with the infection , indirectly

take 10 minutes and watch this
anyway, the point is that nitrogen dioxide directly weakens and kills the type II epithelial cells that line your alveoli
These are the exact same cells SARS-Cov2 attacks because they express ACE2 on their surfaces
So, the common pollutant we are all breathing weakens you to infection
In China, tons of people die every year from lower respiratory infections
This is directly facilitated by high levels of NO2
We don’t hear this being discussed in the media, but you can clearly see in the video, the air quality in those areas suffering from high infection rates is absolutely horrible
first,…nitrogen dioxide is actually produced naturally in amounts that exceed that which is produced by humans
They estimate between 20 and 90 million tons of nitrogen oxides on Earth each year are produced by volcanoes, oceans, biological decay, and lightning strikes
Human activities add another roughly 24 million tons of nitrogen oxides to our atmosphere every year
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So we’ve evolved to tolerate certain levels, but exceeding what our bodies are used to handling opens us up to infections
I should also point out the role our endocannabinoid system plays in mediating infections
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endocannabinoid_system
The cannabinoids our bodies naturally manufacture are neurotransmitters, and their role in mediating infection is that they suppress the creation of pro-inflammatory cytokines
The cytokines are the molecules that are toxic to cells ( They kill them ) and their role is to kill the infected cells to prevent the virus from replicating
What happens during infection is that you have a massive build up of toxic cytokine molecules that cause extensive damage in the area ( This is why severe SARS-Cov2 patients get permanent scars in the lung tissues )
This damage further weakens surrounding cells, and also interferes with the immune response, locally, so what ultimately happens is that the infection speeds up
However,….when you suppress the natural cytokine response, you actually interfere with the infection, indirectly
( There’s tons of published work online about this, just look up ” cannabinoids, immune system ” )
AC