investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--School Sends Letter That Threatens To Arrest 12 Year Old For Missing Three Zoom Classes

Are you ready for this week ’ s absurdity ?
Here ’ s our Friday roll-up of the most ridiculous stories from around the world that are threats to your liberty , risks to your prosperity… and on occasion , inspiring poetic justice .
School Threatens to Arrest 12 Year Old Over Three Missed Zoom Classes A California school sent a letter threatening to arrest and prosecute a 12 year old boy who missed 90 minutes of online virtual classes .
The letter says the middle-schooler is considered truant if he misses more than a half hour of any given @ @ @ @ @ @ @ father complained about the threat to his son ( who happens to be an excellent student and makes straight A ’ s ) , the school principal said his hands were tied .
California ’ s laws regarding truancy force schools to send the warning letter , and funnel kids into the state ’ s prison pipeline .
Click here to read the full story .
A mother of two in the UK has a great reason to keep her kids home from school .
She is especially at risk of complications if @ @ @ @ @ @ @ asthma , and an underactive thyroid .
According to these conditions , the UK ’ s socialized health system , the NHS , classifies her as clinically vulnerable .
But that doesn ’ t matter to the local education welfare officer , who sent a letter to the mom demanding her children return to school , or she will face up to three months in prison and a £2,500 fine .
So first the government forces everyone to close their businesses and stay home .
Now they want to force a vulnerable person @ @ @ @ @ @ @ t it fun having the government control your life ?
Click here to read the full story .
UK Allows Migrant Posing as Child into School When an asylum-seeker arrives in the United Kingdom without a passport or birth certificate , the policy is to give him the benefit of the doubt .
That ’ s how a balding man from Gambia who looks about 40 years old ended up in a UK high school .
The man claims to be 15 years old , which qualifies him for extra government support as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is not required to prove his claim of being 15 .
The government merely accepts his word , even though he clearly looks MUCH older .
When one schoolgirl shared pictures of the man on social media , questioning his age , the school called her a bully .
Click here to read the full story .
If you thought Tampax was a women ’ s hygiene product brand , you were wrong .
The company recently sent a Tweet that read : “ Fact : Not all women have periods .
Also @ @ @ @ @ @ @ periods are women .
Let ’ s celebrate the diversity of all people who bleed !
” Now it ’ s somehow controversial to say that one set of sexual organs requires Tampax ’ s products , and the other does not .
In order to be more inclusive , we have to deny basic scientific facts of life , like the biological differences between males and females .
Of course , like J.K. Rowling , you will get in trouble these days for thinking like that .
The Harry Potter author was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ ‘ People who menstruate.
’ I ’ m sure there used to be a word for those people .
Someone help me out .
Wumben ?
Wimpund ?
Woomud ?
” Click here to see the Twitter thread .
The Only Cop Arrested Was The Whistleblower Six months ago , a man died after two police officers arrested him in a drug sting .
The Police Department in the city of Joliet , Illinois ( about 30 miles from Chicago ) refused to release video footage from the patrol car that night @ @ @ @ @ @ @ another officer was so disgusted by his colleagues ’ misconduct that he leaked the video to the public .
The video shows the officers swearing at the detainee , slapping him , shoving a police baton down his throat , and holding his nose shut to try to make him spit something out , presumably drugs .
But the only arrest that resulted from this incident was the whistleblower– the third officer who leaked the video footage .
He ’ s now charged with official misconduct for unauthorized access to the video evidence @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Click here to read the full story .
On another note… We think gold could DOUBLE and silver could increase by up to 5 TIMES in the next few years .
That ’ s why we published a new , 50-page long Ultimate Guide on Gold & Silver that you can download here .

by Simon Black of Sovereign Man
Are you ready for this week’s absurdity? Here’s our Friday roll-up of the most ridiculous stories from around the world that are threats to your liberty, risks to your prosperity… and on occasion, inspiring poetic justice.
School Threatens to Arrest 12 Year Old Over Three Missed Zoom Classes
A California school sent a letter threatening to arrest and prosecute a 12 year old boy who missed 90 minutes of online virtual classes.
The letter says the middle-schooler is considered truant if he misses more than a half hour of any given class.
When the boy’s father complained about the threat to his son (who happens to be an excellent student and makes straight A’s), the school principal said his hands were tied.
California’s laws regarding truancy force schools to send the warning letter, and funnel kids into the state’s prison pipeline.
Click here to read the full story.
Mother Faces Prison for Keeping Kids Home From School
A mother of two in the UK has a great reason to keep her kids home from school.
She is especially at risk of complications if she contracts COVID-19 due to diabetes, asthma, and an underactive thyroid. According to these conditions, the UK’s socialized health system, the NHS, classifies her as clinically vulnerable.
But that doesn’t matter to the local education welfare officer, who sent a letter to the mom demanding her children return to school, or she will face up to three months in prison and a £2,500 fine.
So first the government forces everyone to close their businesses and stay home. Now they want to force a vulnerable person into contact with others.
Isn’t it fun having the government control your life?
Click here to read the full story.
UK Allows Migrant Posing as Child into School
When an asylum-seeker arrives in the United Kingdom without a passport or birth certificate, the policy is to give him the benefit of the doubt.
That’s how a balding man from Gambia who looks about 40 years old ended up in a UK high school.
The man claims to be 15 years old, which qualifies him for extra government support as an unaccompanied minor. Naturally, he is not required to prove his claim of being 15. The government merely accepts his word, even though he clearly looks MUCH older.
When one schoolgirl shared pictures of the man on social media, questioning his age, the school called her a bully.
Click here to read the full story.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Tampax Competes for Wokest Corporation
If you thought Tampax was a women’s hygiene product brand, you were wrong.
The company recently sent a Tweet that read:
“Fact: Not all women have periods. Also a fact: Not all people with periods are women. Let’s celebrate the diversity of all people who bleed!”
Now it’s somehow controversial to say that one set of sexual organs requires Tampax’s products, and the other does not.
In order to be more inclusive, we have to deny basic scientific facts of life, like the biological differences between males and females.
Of course, like J.K. Rowling, you will get in trouble these days for thinking like that.
The Harry Potter author was recently “canceled” for Tweeting, “‘People who menstruate.’ I’m sure there used to be a word for those people. Someone help me out. Wumben? Wimpund? Woomud?”
Click here to see the Twitter thread.
The Only Cop Arrested Was The Whistleblower
Six months ago, a man died after two police officers arrested him in a drug sting.
The Police Department in the city of Joliet, Illinois (about 30 miles from Chicago) refused to release video footage from the patrol car that night showing how the man died.
But another officer was so disgusted by his colleagues’ misconduct that he leaked the video to the public.
The video shows the officers swearing at the detainee, slapping him, shoving a police baton down his throat, and holding his nose shut to try to make him spit something out, presumably drugs.
The suspect died a short time later.
But the only arrest that resulted from this incident was the whistleblower– the third officer who leaked the video footage.
He’s now charged with official misconduct for unauthorized access to the video evidence and faces five years in prison.
Click here to read the full story.
On another note… We think gold could DOUBLE and silver could increase by up to 5 TIMES in the next few years.
That’s why we published a new, 50-page long Ultimate Guide on Gold & Silver that you can download here.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Economic Crisis And A Crisis Of Faith In Government: How To Protect Wealth

Claudio Grass ( CG ) : This crisis has shaken a lot of industries and core functions of the global economy and international trade .
How do you assess its impact on the most important part of the machine , the banking system ?
Do you see risks there that investors should be worrying about ?
Patrick Barron ( PB ) : Banks are financial intermediaries .
They take deposits and make loans .
That has been going on for millennia .
What we call banking today is really just an arm of government .
Government grants banks special privileges @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and taxes banks to provide deposit insurance .
The deposit insurance scam is supposed to reassure depositors that their money is secure .
But the deposit insurance fund in the US is a small fraction of the banks ’ deposits and is not adequate to a large scale banking crisis .
The banking crisis will occur when all the zombie companies who have received low interest loans start to implode .
They will not be able to roll over their debt due to unprofitability .
Anyone who thinks otherwise must accept the Keynesian @ @ @ @ @ @ @ thing as real capital .
Governments will demand that their central banks “ do whatever it takes ” to paper over the crisis , but we are approaching the end game where this is possible .
Even if the central bank prints enough money to cover all of the banking system ’ s insured deposits , the banks themselves will cease to exist .
Stockholders will be wiped out , as will large depositors whose deposits exceed the insured maximum .
We will witness a “ bail in ” where depositors will receive @ @ @ @ @ @ @ only after long delays and withdrawal rationing .
So , a long-winded answer to the question , but , yes , investors should be very worried .
CG : Looking at the political and social situation over in the US , it would appear this is an extremely tense time , full of bitter divisions , dangerous tribalism and blind hatred of whatever and whoever is on “ the other side ” .
With the election just around the corner , do you expect things to settle down once there ’ s winner @ @ @ @ @ @ @ see the opposite reaction , more riots and more violence ?
PB : Great question !
There certainly seems to be a political aspect to the rioting , where local governments that are controlled by Democrats side with the rioters .
The “ word on the street ” is that a Biden/Harris victory will end the riots because the nation will become socialist , which is really what the rioters want , and that a Trump/Pence victory will cause rioting to increase .
In my humble opinion , once the election is over @ @ @ @ @ @ @ rioters get what they wanted or a resurgent Republican Party , pledged to law and order and with the people ’ s support , will intervene to keep the peace .
It has happened before , and the nation welcomed it .
But , this is just my opinion .
We shall see .
CG : After watching all the campaign rhetoric of both candidates , as well as their first debate , one gets a strong sense that both the Republican and the Democratic Party have evolved , or perhaps devolved , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ different options and rational debate are conspicuously absent at the highest levels the political system .
Do you think this is merely reflective of real divisions and hostility within American society or could it be the average citizen is actually tired of the shouting and the name calling ?
PB : I have no doubt that the “ average citizen ” is tired of the shouting and name calling .
Unfortunately , I think it will continue , not because there is real division among average citizens , but because the radical left @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I have written several letters to the CEO ’ s of the major television outlets and the CEO ’ s of their major sponsors in which I expressed my perplexity with what is nothing more than propaganda in favor of the Black Lives Matter movement .
Of course , I have heard nothing back .
But I conclude that the BLM movement is somehow intimidating the major networks or at least the major networks are trying to allow the BLM movement to have its say and then move on .
All the vociferous @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , many of which are difficult to fathom ; i.e .
what do these causes really want ?
They demand “ change ” , but change to what ?
No one really knows .
So , I see the rioting stopping , but I do not see a return to civility .
CG : Many of these riots we ’ ve been seeing began as genuine protests against police brutality , but they soon morphed into something else , into a larger movement with a very different agenda and set of demands .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ destroyed and immeasurable damage was inflicted on private and public property .
We soon saw a significant “ Exodus ” from major cities , as many of those who could afford to , sold their house and left .
Do you think this might be the beginning of a wider trend that could eventually lead to more decentralization in business and in governance ?
PB : Absolutely !
The value of living in or commuting to a major city has been diminishing for a long time and the rioting merely accelerated this trend @ @ @ @ @ @ @ many businesses whose owners thought they had to be located in major cities really did not need to be there .
Their highly skilled workforce could produce from home or small satellite offices .
Such businesses have learned how to measure productivity remotely .
Again , in my humble opinion , we have just scratched the surface of the revolution in electronics .
If there is no real reason that people need to sit side by side in an office , those companies who abandon high rent , time wasting , and now @ @ @ @ @ @ @ undercut their competition in both price and service .
At that point the large cities will become anachronisms .
With their tax base gone , these large cities will shrink .
This is not a bad thing or a good thing .
It is reality to which we all must adjust .
CG : Apart from these dangerous political and social tensions , do you think there ’ s also a crisis of faith in the US government itself and its ability to provide effective support in economic terms ?
PB : Your @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in economic terms ” reveals the true state of affairs .
The unsustainable welfare state was made possible by fiat money .
When fiat money collapses , the state ’ s ability to provide economic guarantees will be gone .
Our mutual friend Alasdair Macleod has preached for some time now that the state must separate itself from this self-proclaimed economic duty .
The state will be forced to return to providing little more than protection for life , liberty , and property .
It always was a lie that it could do @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of Keynesian economics .
CG : In a similar vein , we saw a lot of people turn to precious metals , many of them first-time investors .
What do you think best explains this new gold rush ?
Is it merely inflation expectations , a negative outlook on the USD , an anticipation of another stock market nosedive or deeper fears of possible political destabilization ?
PB : It ’ s probably all of these , plus the fact that people are waking up to government propaganda .
It ’ s hard @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has done in the last fifty or sixty years that was truly beneficial to Americans .
We have fought what now appear to be one useless war after another .
We blew the chance to welcome Russia back into the Concert of Europe after the fall of the Soviet Union by expanding NATO into the former Warsaw Pact nations rather than phase out NATO as no longer necessary to protect Western Europe .
And now , rather than help build international amity , we choose to vilify China as a threat to the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are people opening their eyes to the real adverse consequences of abandoning what little remained of the gold standard in 1971 .
CG : What would be your advice for those investors and ordinary savers who seek to protect their wealth from the multifaceted risks that lie ahead ?
How do you evaluate the role of physical precious metals in uncertain times like these ?
PB : For decades we “ gold bugs ” were ridiculed , but that is changing .
I have been asked by many what I think of holding @ @ @ @ @ @ @ always to repeat what one well-respected investor recommended a long time ago .
Keep at least ten percent of your investable wealth in precious metals .
Precious metals should be an integral part of any well balanced , diversified portfolio .

by Claudio Grass via Claudiograss.ch
Claudio Grass (CG): This crisis has shaken a lot of industries and core functions of the global economy and international trade. How do you assess its impact on the most important part of the machine, the banking system? Do you see risks there that investors should be worrying about?
Patrick Barron (PB): Banks are financial intermediaries. They take deposits and make loans. That has been going on for millennia. What we call banking today is really just an arm of government. Government grants banks special privileges to print money via fractional reserve banking and taxes banks to provide deposit insurance. The deposit insurance scam is supposed to reassure depositors that their money is secure. But the deposit insurance fund in the US is a small fraction of the banks’ deposits and is not adequate to a large scale banking crisis. The banking crisis will occur when all the zombie companies who have received low interest loans start to implode. They will not be able to roll over their debt due to unprofitability. Anyone who thinks otherwise must accept the Keynesian view that fiat money is the same thing as real capital.
Governments will demand that their central banks “do whatever it takes” to paper over the crisis, but we are approaching the end game where this is possible. Even if the central bank prints enough money to cover all of the banking system’s insured deposits, the banks themselves will cease to exist. Stockholders will be wiped out, as will large depositors whose deposits exceed the insured maximum. We will witness a “bail in” where depositors will receive a fraction of their deposits and probably only after long delays and withdrawal rationing. So, a long-winded answer to the question, but, yes, investors should be very worried.
CG: Looking at the political and social situation over in the US, it would appear this is an extremely tense time, full of bitter divisions, dangerous tribalism and blind hatred of whatever and whoever is on “the other side”. With the election just around the corner, do you expect things to settle down once there’s winner, or are we more likely to see the opposite reaction, more riots and more violence?
PB: Great question! There certainly seems to be a political aspect to the rioting, where local governments that are controlled by Democrats side with the rioters. The “word on the street” is that a Biden/Harris victory will end the riots because the nation will become socialist, which is really what the rioters want, and that a Trump/Pence victory will cause rioting to increase. In my humble opinion, once the election is over the rioting will stop. Either the rioters get what they wanted or a resurgent Republican Party, pledged to law and order and with the people’s support, will intervene to keep the peace. It has happened before, and the nation welcomed it. But, this is just my opinion. We shall see.
CG: After watching all the campaign rhetoric of both candidates, as well as their first debate, one gets a strong sense that both the Republican and the Democratic Party have evolved, or perhaps devolved, beyond recognition. Civility, respect for different options and rational debate are conspicuously absent at the highest levels the political system. Do you think this is merely reflective of real divisions and hostility within American society or could it be the average citizen is actually tired of the shouting and the name calling?
PB: I have no doubt that the “average citizen” is tired of the shouting and name calling. Unfortunately, I think it will continue, not because there is real division among average citizens, but because the radical left uses these tactics to intimidate everyone. I have written several letters to the CEO’s of the major television outlets and the CEO’s of their major sponsors in which I expressed my perplexity with what is nothing more than propaganda in favor of the Black Lives Matter movement. Of course, I have heard nothing back. But I conclude that the BLM movement is somehow intimidating the major networks or at least the major networks are trying to allow the BLM movement to have its say and then move on. All the vociferous rhetoric is in favor of hard-left causes, many of which are difficult to fathom; i.e. what do these causes really want? They demand “change”, but change to what? No one really knows. So, I see the rioting stopping, but I do not see a return to civility.
CG: Many of these riots we’ve been seeing began as genuine protests against police brutality, but they soon morphed into something else, into a larger movement with a very different agenda and set of demands. People lost their lives, businesses were destroyed and immeasurable damage was inflicted on private and public property. We soon saw a significant “Exodus” from major cities, as many of those who could afford to, sold their house and left. Do you think this might be the beginning of a wider trend that could eventually lead to more decentralization in business and in governance?
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
PB: Absolutely! The value of living in or commuting to a major city has been diminishing for a long time and the rioting merely accelerated this trend. The Covid crisis has shown that many businesses whose owners thought they had to be located in major cities really did not need to be there. Their highly skilled workforce could produce from home or small satellite offices. Such businesses have learned how to measure productivity remotely.
Again, in my humble opinion, we have just scratched the surface of the revolution in electronics. If there is no real reason that people need to sit side by side in an office, those companies who abandon high rent, time wasting, and now dangerous downtown locations will be able to undercut their competition in both price and service. At that point the large cities will become anachronisms. With their tax base gone, these large cities will shrink. This is not a bad thing or a good thing. It is reality to which we all must adjust.
CG: Apart from these dangerous political and social tensions, do you think there’s also a crisis of faith in the US government itself and its ability to provide effective support in economic terms?
PB: Your phrase “ability to provide effective support in economic terms” reveals the true state of affairs. The unsustainable welfare state was made possible by fiat money. When fiat money collapses, the state’s ability to provide economic guarantees will be gone. Our mutual friend Alasdair Macleod has preached for some time now that the state must separate itself from this self-proclaimed economic duty. The state will be forced to return to providing little more than protection for life, liberty, and property. It always was a lie that it could do otherwise, a lie that grew out of Keynesian economics.
CG: In a similar vein, we saw a lot of people turn to precious metals, many of them first-time investors. What do you think best explains this new gold rush? Is it merely inflation expectations, a negative outlook on the USD, an anticipation of another stock market nosedive or deeper fears of possible political destabilization?
PB: It’s probably all of these, plus the fact that people are waking up to government propaganda. It’s hard to find much that the US government has done in the last fifty or sixty years that was truly beneficial to Americans. We have fought what now appear to be one useless war after another. We blew the chance to welcome Russia back into the Concert of Europe after the fall of the Soviet Union by expanding NATO into the former Warsaw Pact nations rather than phase out NATO as no longer necessary to protect Western Europe. And now, rather than help build international amity, we choose to vilify China as a threat to the world. I believe that only now are people opening their eyes to the real adverse consequences of abandoning what little remained of the gold standard in 1971.
CG: What would be your advice for those investors and ordinary savers who seek to protect their wealth from the multifaceted risks that lie ahead? How do you evaluate the role of physical precious metals in uncertain times like these?
PB: For decades we “gold bugs” were ridiculed, but that is changing. I have been asked by many what I think of holding gold and/or silver. My answer is always to repeat what one well-respected investor recommended a long time ago. Keep at least ten percent of your investable wealth in precious metals. Precious metals should be an integral part of any well balanced, diversified portfolio.
Claudio Grass, Hünenberg See, Switzerland


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--MSDNC & CNN Spent 94 Minutes on “Anonymous” Reveal, But ZERO Time on the Tony Bobulinski Revelations

MSDNC & CNN Spent 94 Minutes on “Anonymous” Reveal, But ZERO Time on the Tony Bobulinski Revelations About Hunter Biden

NEW study from me : I tallied the numbers and found CNN , MSNBC spent 94 mins on Miles Taylor @ @ @ @ @ , ’ but have yet to spend a single second on # Tucker 's Bobulinski @ @ @ @ @ will spin a disaster scenario over the coming days .
They want to crush your @ @ @ @ @ your rightful vote doesn ’ t count .
While we have wild enthusiasm on the @ @ @ @ @ hear crickets from the dark-side .
Your vote matters , so vote .

NEW study from me: I tallied the numbers and found CNN, MSNBC spent 94 mins on Miles Taylor coming out as ‘Anonymous,’ but have yet to spend a single second on #Tucker 's Bobulinski interview. t.co/gXTXJ5v9h7
Our media will spin a disaster scenario over the coming days. They want to crush your morale & make you believe your rightful vote doesn’t count. While we have wild enthusiasm on the side of light, we hear crickets from the dark-side. Your vote matters, so vote.
1 Timothy 6:12
— General Flynn (@GenFlynn) October 30, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--VIDEO: Young minorities share why they are voting for Trump.

• Chelsea Handler made headlines for slamming her ex-boyfriend 50 cent for his public support for the president , saying @ @ @ @ @ him that he was a Black person.
” • Campus Reform spoke to young minority @ @ @ @ @ to back the President , despite backlash , to hear why they choose to support @ @ @ @ @ made headlines after criticizing her ex-boyfriend 50 Cent for publicly supporting President Donald Trump , @ @ @ @ @ skin color .
“ I had to remind him that he was a Black person @ @ @ @ @ a Friday night appearance on The Tonight Show .
In a four-part series , Campus @ @ @ @ @ college students who have also chosen to back the president , despite the backlash that @ @ @ @ @ ’ re telling me because of my skin color I have to think a certain @ @ @ @ @ ” Part one discusses why they think Trump is deserving of their vote .

Chelsea Handler made headlines for slamming her ex-boyfriend 50 cent for his public support for the president, saying “I had to remind him that he was a Black person.”
Campus Reform spoke to young minority college students who have chosen to back the President, despite backlash, to hear why they choose to support him.
Comedian Chelsea Handler made headlines after criticizing her ex-boyfriend 50 Cent for publicly supporting President Donald Trump, citing the rapper’s skin color.
“I had to remind him that he was a Black person,” she said during a Friday night appearance on The Tonight Show. In a four-part series, Campus Reform spoke with young minority college students who have also chosen to back the president, despite the backlash that often brings.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“You’re telling me because of my skin color I have to think a certain way. That is racist.”
Part one discusses why they think Trump is deserving of their vote.
www.campusreform.org/?ID=16017


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Apple now has $191.83 billion in cash on hand — down nearly 7% from a year ago

Apple now has $ 191.83 billion cash on hand , according to the company ’ s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report @ @ @ @ @ Amazon had $ 121.08 billion and $ 71.77 billion , respectively , at the end @ @ @ @ @ according to FactSet .
Microsoft had $ 137.98 billion at the end of its fiscal @ @ @ @ @ FactSet .
Microsoft ’ s first-quarter 2021 results were released earlier this week .
Apple @ @ @ @ @ Apple TV+ original content and new upcoming services such as Fitness+ , which will offer @ @ @ @ @ iPads and the Apple TV to Apple Watch owners .
Fitness+ is set to launch @ @ @ @ @ year .
Thanks for the award .

www.cnbc.com/2020/10/29/apple-q4-cash-hoard-heres-how-much-apple-has-on-hand.html
Apple now has $191.83 billion cash on hand, according to the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report released Thursday.
Google and Amazon had $121.08 billion and $71.77 billion, respectively, at the end of the second quarter, according to FactSet. Microsoft had $137.98 billion at the end of its fiscal first quarter, according to FactSet. Microsoft’s first-quarter 2021 results were released earlier this week.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Apple has continued to invest in Apple TV+ original content and new upcoming services such as Fitness+, which will offer fitness classes on iPhones, iPads and the Apple TV to Apple Watch owners. Fitness+ is set to launch by the end of this year.
Thanks for the award.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Braving The Winter Knowing Spring Is Coming

There may be some repetition in what I am going to say today with regard to the medium and long term prospects for precious metals and miners , but given recent events in the very short term , it looks like we are close to turning the corner in metals and miners .
Simply put , the turn up is almost upon us—in the next few weeks or months at most .
Recently , both the IMF and Fed have either explicitly or implicitly alluded to the prospects of vastly more fiscal spending and therefore debt on governments ’ balance @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more money-printing on the part of the central banks to buy all of that new debt and then some .
What this means for the dollar relative to other currencies is anyone ’ s guess , as they are all being debased at the same time .
I still believe that the dollar has the greatest downside , as it has the most to lose being the global reserve currency , a status which is becoming increasingly fragile when confronted by the IMF ’ s call for a new Bretton Woods Global Monetary @ @ @ @ @ @ @ assets such as physical Gold and Silver , the prospects have never been better .
Like many reputable analysts , I see an explosion in prices ahead once we get the stimulus-on-steroids that I consider inevitable .
It ’ s only a matter of time .
Or rather than time , I should say the level of the S & P .
The Fed et al .
always need an excuse to print , and that typically is a sharp drop in stocks .
Although the S & P has dropped recently—and not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on new fiscal stimulus—there is still room for it to fall to at least the 3000-3100 level or below , imho , especially when confronted by rising volatility ahead of the elections next week and the possibility of legal battles delaying the result and the risk of widespread social unrest to follow .
Once we reach those levels and/or we get the final official results of the elections , I expect the Fed , U.S. Treasury , and Congress to act .
In fact , all global governments and central banks will unleash @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the IMF confirmed .
When that happens , Gold and Silver will soar .
But in the short-term , we are seeing downward pressure on stocks , the DXY rising , and as expected , precious metals and miners heading south .
How low could they go ?
No one knows for sure , but here is my view… The simplest answer is when we get the aforementioned inevitable stimulus .
From a market perspective , the 3000-3100 level in the S & P is the area to watch for intervention by the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lower , but that ’ s when I ’ ll have my finger hovering over the buy button .
I ’ ll wait for the turn up before jumping in , because the risk-reward is so skewed to the upside , I don ’ t care if I miss the first $ 50 in Gold or dollar or two in Silver .
That said , the levels I am watching on the downside in Gold remain 1800 , 1750 , and 1670 worst-case .
Silver and the miners will bottom more or less @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Again , I won ’ t be buying if and when these levels are hit , but when I see Gold and the rest turn up , increasing my probability of success and minimizing any potential unrealized losses , otherwise known as fear .
Emotion is your worst enemy when it comes to investing .
On another note , I did see the Bloomberg article citing the sale of Gold by some central banks recently , most notably Russia , its first such sale in thirteen years .
This could just be the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the marketplace given premiums still remain around ~20 % .
They could also be alleviating the need for dollars in the short-term .
Alternatively , they may be trying to help push prices lower in order to help some Commercial Banks still short ahead of the coming rally .
Global central banks actively coordinate with one another under the auspices of the Bank of International Settlements , or BIS , the mother of all central banks , as Nomi Prins covered extensively in her book ‘ Collusion ’ .
Regardless , I wouldn @ @ @ @ @ @ @ yet .
When we do get the expected stimulus , I ’ m not sure there is any amount of central bank selling that can suppress the coming rally in metals and miners .
In conclusion , downside risk remains for the next few weeks , perhaps into 2021 , but the biggest monetary institutions have already confirmed what ’ s coming , and that can only be good for precious metals and miners , imho .
As I said back in July…

by David Brady via Sprott Money
There may be some repetition in what I am going to say today with regard to the medium and long term prospects for precious metals and miners, but given recent events in the very short term, it looks like we are close to turning the corner in metals and miners. Simply put, the turn up is almost upon us—in the next few weeks or months at most.
Recently, both the IMF and Fed have either explicitly or implicitly alluded to the prospects of vastly more fiscal spending and therefore debt on governments’ balance sheets worldwide, and that means dramatically more money-printing on the part of the central banks to buy all of that new debt and then some. What this means for the dollar relative to other currencies is anyone’s guess, as they are all being debased at the same time. I still believe that the dollar has the greatest downside, as it has the most to lose being the global reserve currency, a status which is becoming increasingly fragile when confronted by the IMF’s call for a new Bretton Woods Global Monetary Renegotiation. But relative to real tangible assets such as physical Gold and Silver, the prospects have never been better. Like many reputable analysts, I see an explosion in prices ahead once we get the stimulus-on-steroids that I consider inevitable. It’s only a matter of time. Or rather than time, I should say the level of the S&P. The Fed et al. always need an excuse to print, and that typically is a sharp drop in stocks.
Although the S&P has dropped recently—and not surprisingly, on failure to reach agreement on new fiscal stimulus—there is still room for it to fall to at least the 3000-3100 level or below, imho, especially when confronted by rising volatility ahead of the elections next week and the possibility of legal battles delaying the result and the risk of widespread social unrest to follow. Once we reach those levels and/or we get the final official results of the elections, I expect the Fed, U.S. Treasury, and Congress to act. In fact, all global governments and central banks will unleash stimulus-on-steroids sooner rather than later, as the IMF confirmed. When that happens, Gold and Silver will soar.
But in the short-term, we are seeing downward pressure on stocks, the DXY rising, and as expected, precious metals and miners heading south. How low could they go? No one knows for sure, but here is my view…
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The simplest answer is when we get the aforementioned inevitable stimulus. From a market perspective, the 3000-3100 level in the S&P is the area to watch for intervention by the Fed at al. It could be lower, but that’s when I’ll have my finger hovering over the buy button. I’ll wait for the turn up before jumping in, because the risk-reward is so skewed to the upside, I don’t care if I miss the first $50 in Gold or dollar or two in Silver.
That said, the levels I am watching on the downside in Gold remain 1800, 1750, and 1670 worst-case. Silver and the miners will bottom more or less at the same time as Gold. Again, I won’t be buying if and when these levels are hit, but when I see Gold and the rest turn up, increasing my probability of success and minimizing any potential unrealized losses, otherwise known as fear. Emotion is your worst enemy when it comes to investing.
On another note, I did see the Bloomberg article citing the sale of Gold by some central banks recently, most notably Russia, its first such sale in thirteen years. This could just be the central banks easing physical supply constraints in the marketplace given premiums still remain around ~20%. They could also be alleviating the need for dollars in the short-term. Alternatively, they may be trying to help push prices lower in order to help some Commercial Banks still short ahead of the coming rally. Global central banks actively coordinate with one another under the auspices of the Bank of International Settlements, or BIS, the mother of all central banks, as Nomi Prins covered extensively in her book ‘Collusion’. Regardless, I wouldn’t read too much into it yet. When we do get the expected stimulus, I’m not sure there is any amount of central bank selling that can suppress the coming rally in metals and miners.
In conclusion, downside risk remains for the next few weeks, perhaps into 2021, but the biggest monetary institutions have already confirmed what’s coming, and that can only be good for precious metals and miners, imho. As I said back in July…


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Youth Vote Collapsing, Republicans STORMING Early Voting In Shocking Numbers That Have Pollsters’ He

Youth Vote Collapsing, Republicans STORMING Early Voting In Shocking Numbers That Have Pollsters’ Heads Exploding

( Natural News ) For months Americans have been told there ’ s no way that the presidential polls in 2020 will be wrong like they were in 2016 .
Adjustments were made .
Sampling is better .
Better techniques are being employed to ensure accuracy .
Blah , blah , blah .
In fact , polling now is no different than it was four years ago .
Pollsters still operate the same way .
There is no wheel to reinvent .
As such , it should come as no surprise , then , that polling over the summer and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and one of the least popular Democratic presidential contenders from last fall — Sen. Kamala Harris — has been just as wrong , wrong , wrong as it was in 2016 .
Because , as top conservative talker Rush Limbaugh pointed out on his program Wednesday , polls are meant to suppress the turnout for President Donald Trump and Republicans , period .
And we can demonstrate that .
According to Top Trade Gurus , a couple of other trends we were told about routinely over the past few months are also not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the GOP leads the early vote in Wisconsin .
42 % GOP to 36 % DEM .
About 46 % of the estimated total votes for 2020 have been cast .
In Wisconsin , you can register and vote the same day , so this is still a close race .
Over the past few days , Republicans have stormed the polls and are beginning to take the lead in early voting in several sates .
The following data is derived from actual ballots cast .
The sample size is larger than any @ @ @ @ @ @ @ accurate indicator of voting preference .
This data does not account for specific demographics or segments of the electorate that still have to vote .
In general , though , Republicans are more weary of casting mail-in votes , and are waiting for election day .
If that assumption is correct , President Trump has the advantage in Wisconsin .
The outlet pointed to other non-trends as well , including the youth vote .
Democrats have been flooding pop culture outlets on TV , social media and via entertainment sources practically pleading with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vote .
Why ?
Because historically the youngest demographic — ages 18-29 — don ’ t go to the polls .
Most young people appear to be self-disenfranchised ; they just don ’ t think their vote matters much so they don ’ t go .
That ’ s what ’ s happening again in 2020 , only worse .
“ Particularly worrisome for Democrats is the absence of the youth voters ( 18-29 ) as a percentage .
Because voting is up 309 % from this time in 2016 , raw numbers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Top Trade Gurus reported .
“ In 2020 , as a percentage of the electorate , 18-29 year olds cast only 5 % of the total vote .
In 2016 , they were 17 % of the electorate .
This data suggests that young people are not showing up at the same rate.
” What ’ s causing the reduction in youth participation ?
You might say Democrats have shot themselves in the foot this time .
Democrats have been champions of coronavirus lockdowns , we know that .
The U.S. economy is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ because red states in the South and upper West are opening back up while blue states remain shuttered in many places .
That includes colleges and universities , and because they are essentially off-limits to in-person instruction , that , too , is suppressing the youth vote .
You can ’ t make this up .
“ Also , a general complacency within college-age Democrats of an inevitable Biden win has gripped campuses , ” the outlet continued .
“ As it turns out , many college outreach initiatives have been cancelled .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ , voting caravans and door-to-door canvassing .
From our interview with a few organizers in the upper-Midwest , these cancellations are due to Biden ’ s ‘ huge lead ’ and concerns over social distancing .
The result ?
College students have not turned out to vote , yet .
It ’ s not clear if they will turn out.
” And , of course , the polling appears to be wrong — all over the place , in fact .
Are we about to see another ‘ come-from-behind ’ Trump victory ?
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ was behind in the first place , which we doubt .
Time will tell .
Election Day is just days away .
Make sure you vote .

by JD Heyes via Natural News
(Natural News) For months Americans have been told there’s no way that the presidential polls in 2020 will be wrong like they were in 2016.
Adjustments were made. Sampling is better. Better techniques are being employed to ensure accuracy. Blah, blah, blah.
In fact, polling now is no different than it was four years ago. Pollsters still operate the same way. There is no wheel to reinvent.
As such, it should come as no surprise, then, that polling over the summer and into the fall showing Democrat Joe Biden and one of the least popular Democratic presidential contenders from last fall — Sen. Kamala Harris — has been just as wrong, wrong, wrong as it was in 2016.
Because, as top conservative talker Rush Limbaugh pointed out on his program Wednesday, polls are meant to suppress the turnout for President Donald Trump and Republicans, period.
And we can demonstrate that.
According to Top Trade Gurus, a couple of other trends we were told about routinely over the past few months are also not trending:
With 1,294,660 ballots cast, the GOP leads the early vote in Wisconsin. 42% GOP to 36% DEM. About 46% of the estimated total votes for 2020 have been cast. In Wisconsin, you can register and vote the same day, so this is still a close race. Over the past few days, Republicans have stormed the polls and are beginning to take the lead in early voting in several sates. The following data is derived from actual ballots cast.
The sample size is larger than any poll, and makes this a more accurate indicator of voting preference. This data does not account for specific demographics or segments of the electorate that still have to vote. In general, though, Republicans are more weary of casting mail-in votes, and are waiting for election day. If that assumption is correct, President Trump has the advantage in Wisconsin.
The outlet pointed to other non-trends as well, including the youth vote.
Democrats have been flooding pop culture outlets on TV, social media and via entertainment sources practically pleading with young people who are of age to vote. Why? Because historically the youngest demographic — ages 18-29 — don’t go to the polls. Most young people appear to be self-disenfranchised; they just don’t think their vote matters much so they don’t go.
That’s what’s happening again in 2020, only worse.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“Particularly worrisome for Democrats is the absence of the youth voters (18-29) as a percentage. Because voting is up 309% from this time in 2016, raw numbers show the youth vote up,” Top Trade Gurus reported. “In 2020, as a percentage of the electorate, 18-29 year olds cast only 5% of the total vote. In 2016, they were 17% of the electorate. This data suggests that young people are not showing up at the same rate.”
What’s causing the reduction in youth participation? You might say Democrats have shot themselves in the foot this time.
Democrats have been champions of coronavirus lockdowns, we know that. The U.S. economy is growing again but that’s primarily because red states in the South and upper West are opening back up while blue states remain shuttered in many places. That includes colleges and universities, and because they are essentially off-limits to in-person instruction, that, too, is suppressing the youth vote.
You can’t make this up.
“Also, a general complacency within college-age Democrats of an inevitable Biden win has gripped campuses,” the outlet continued.
“As it turns out, many college outreach initiatives have been cancelled. Some of these events include virtual rallies, voting caravans and door-to-door canvassing. From our interview with a few organizers in the upper-Midwest, these cancellations are due to Biden’s ‘huge lead’ and concerns over social distancing. The result? College students have not turned out to vote, yet. It’s not clear if they will turn out.”
And, of course, the polling appears to be wrong — all over the place, in fact.
Are we about to see another ‘come-from-behind’ Trump victory? Maybe. But that would mean he was behind in the first place, which we doubt.
Time will tell. Election Day is just days away. Make sure you vote.
Sources include:
TopTradeGurus.com
NaturalNews.com


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Gold Will Go Higher Because Of These 3 Trends

Gold has begun a new bull market and is set to continue to trend higher over the coming years .
@ @ @ @ @ update we look at the 3 key trends which will ultimately drive gold higher .

via GoldCore
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Gold has begun a new bull market and is set to continue to trend higher over the coming years. In today’s video update we look at the 3 key trends which will ultimately drive gold higher.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--MAYBE LETTING THE ENEMIES OF OUR CIVILIZATION TEACH OUR CHILDREN WAS A MISTAKE:

For the first time , a majority of students ( 52 % ) “ now say they share the same @ @ @ @ @ or most of their friends.
” Only a third have friends who don ’ t @ @ @ @

For the first time, a majority of students (52%) “now say they share the same opinions and beliefs as all or most of their friends.” Only a third have friends who don’t think like them.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--How To Beat The Lockdowners

How To Beat The Lockdowners

by Daniel McAdams and Ron Paul of Ron Paul Liberty Report When city authorities in Waynesville , NC , announced @ @ @ @ @ city mask mandate they had not idea what was about to hit them .
At @ @ @ @ @ which the discussion was to take place , a massive show of citizen opposition and @ @ @ @ @ the mandate promoters .
Also today , why is flu disappearing in the US and @ @ @ @ @ ” continue to rise ?

by Daniel McAdams and Ron Paul of Ron Paul Liberty Report
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
When city authorities in Waynesville, NC, announced that they were considering a city mask mandate they had not idea what was about to hit them. At the city council meeting at which the discussion was to take place, a massive show of citizen opposition and participation stole the show from the mandate promoters. Also today, why is flu disappearing in the US and elsewhere as Covid “cases” continue to rise?


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--The Bull Market That Won’t Die And Too Much Debt For Stimulus To Work

Investors have been hearing for years that “ interest rates are near all-time lows , ” and “ rates have nowhere to go but up , ” and finally , that “ the bond bear market is right around the corner.
” These warnings have come from notable bond gurus including Bill Gross , Jeff Gundlach and PIMCO ’ s Chief Investment Officer Dan Ivascyn .
Investors are told that the time has come to dump bonds , short them if you can , and brace for much higher interest rates .
There ’ s only one problem with these @ @ @ @ @ @ @ dead wrong for years , and they ’ re wrong again now .
Rates are going lower , and the bond market rally that began in 1981 has further to run .
The bull market still has legs .
To paraphrase Mark Twain , reports of the death of the bond market rally have been “ greatly exaggerated.
” The key is to spot the inflection points in each bear move and buy the bonds in time to reap huge gains in the next rally .
That ’ s where the market is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Investors who ignore the bear market mantra and buy bonds at these levels stand to make enormous gains in the coming rally .
Let ’ s look at the record .
The 10-year U.S. Treasury Note had a yield-to-maturity of 3.64 % on February 11 , 2011 .
That soon fell to 1.83 % by September 23 , 2011 .
Then the yield spiked to 2.23 % on March 16 , 2012 .
It fell back again to 1.46 % on June 1 , 2012 .
Yields spiked again to 3.0 % on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fell back to 1.68 % by January 30 , 2015 .
And , so it continued through 2016 and 2017 .
Yields staged one last major back-up reaching 3.22 % on October 5 , 2018 , before crashing once again to 0.54 % on July 31 , 2020 .
Notice the pattern ?
Yes , yields are back up with some regularity .
But they have never broken through the 3.25 % level in nine years .
The much feared bond bear market never materializes .
When yields get above 3 % , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over , the Fed panics and either “ pauses ” rate hikes or cuts rates resulting in yields coming back down to earth .
Every time yields fall , bond investors make huge capital gains .
That ’ s exactly why the opportunity to go long Treasuries is so attractive .
With all of the big players ( hedge funds , banks , wealth managers ) leaning on one side of the boat , it only takes a small perturbation causing lower yields and higher prices to trigger a massive short-covering rally , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ their positions and buy bonds to cut their losses .
That ’ s not all .
This technical history exhibits a pattern called “ lower lows.
” The rate spikes run out of steam around 3 % , but each rate collapse goes lower than the one before .
The history of rate bottoms is 1.46 % on June 1 , 2012 , 1.36 % on July 8 , 2016 , and the recent low of 0.54 % on July 31 , 2020 .
Every time the bears say yields are going to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ new low .
That means bigger gains for investors .
A bit of bond math is always helpful in these discussions since it ’ s counterintuitive for many investors .
Yields and prices move in opposite directions .
When bond yields go up , bond prices go down .
When bond yields go down , bond prices go up .
Investors hoping for higher yields may not realize that the bond prices in their portfolio go down when that happens .
The best trading strategy is to buy a bond just when yields @ @ @ @ @ @ @ yields fall back down to earth .
That way , you keep the high yield on your bond and accrue huge capital gains as market yields decline .
You can hold the bond to maturity , of course , but you can also sell it for a gain , move to the sidelines with cash and buy a new bond when yields get toppy again .
Wash , rinse and repeat .
There ’ s another bit of bond math that is not intuitive to most investors .
It ’ s called convexity @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it means that as interest rates get lower , the capital gains get larger for each basis point decline in rates .
As an example , rates can decline from 3.50 % to 3.25 % .
They can also decline from 1.00 % to 0.75 % .
In each case , interest rates dropped by the same 0.25 % .
And , in each case , an outstanding bond would realize a capital gain .
But , the capital gain is larger in the second case than the first .
Not all interest @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are bigger when rates are lower .
Right now , rates are quite low , so the potential for capital gains is spectacular .
But , with rates so low already , what is the potential for rates to fall even more ?
Rates on 10-year Treasuries rose from 0.513 % on August 4 to 0.848 % on October 22 .
Rates are 0.768 % as of today .
Right now , my models are telling me that bond yields will continue to fall , which means that bond prices will continue to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this increase in rates ?
The answer is simple .
Markets expect a new deficit spending stimulus package from Congress .
The package is still under negotiation , but the expectation is that it will be around $ 2 trillion , comparable to the $ 3 trillion of spending packages passed between March and June , during the worst stages of the pandemic .
Markets expect that this much new debt will flood the markets with new Treasury borrowings , which will drive bond prices lower .
Markets also expect that this much @ @ @ @ @ @ @ may have to monetize the new debt .
The combination of more supply with a higher risk premium for inflation will result in much higher yields .
Both assumptions are probably wrong .
The spending package depends on the election .
Democrats are confident that Joe Biden will win , so they are holding out , both to avoid giving Republicans a pre-election win and to get a better deal under President Biden .
Republicans take the opposite view and are holding out for a more conservative package under a reelected President Trump @ @ @ @ @ @ @ My forecast is that Trump will win , and markets will be disappointed at the size ( and spending priorities ) of any package that results .
This will cause rates to crash again .
Too Much Debt for Stimulus to Work Even if a large spending package passes in the next few days or shortly after the election , it will not have the inflationary impact markets expect .
Congress knows how to spend , but they do not know how to provide stimulus .
In fact , stimulus in the Keynesian @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are 130 % of GDP .
Research shows that any stimulus effect goes into reverse when debt-to-GDP levels pass 90 % .
What you end up with is more spending , higher debt , but lower growth .
Everyday Americans respond not by spending more but by saving more in anticipation of higher taxes or inflation down the road .
The short-term impact of that is not inflation , but disinflation or outright deflation .
That means lower rates and bigger capital gains for Treasury bond investors .
As for rates being “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
It ’ s true that nominal interest rates ( the kind you see on screens and TV ) are near all-time lows .
But real interest rates ( nominal rates minus inflation ) are quite high by historical standards .
Real rates have to go much lower to help growth .
With inflation dropping , that means nominal rates have to go deeply negative in order to get real rates low enough to help .
My forecast is for 10-year Treasury note rates to go to negative 0.50 % or lower over @ @ @ @ @ @ @ capital gains for investors in Treasury bonds .
Don ’ t go along with the crowd on this one .
If you ’ re on the wrong side of this overcrowded trade , you could get trampled .

by Jim Rickards via Daily Reckoning
Investors have been hearing for years that “interest rates are near all-time lows,” and “rates have nowhere to go but up,” and finally, that “the bond bear market is right around the corner.”
These warnings have come from notable bond gurus including Bill Gross, Jeff Gundlach and PIMCO’s Chief Investment Officer Dan Ivascyn.
Investors are told that the time has come to dump bonds, short them if you can, and brace for much higher interest rates.
There’s only one problem with these warnings. The bond gurus have been dead wrong for years, and they’re wrong again now. Rates are going lower, and the bond market rally that began in 1981 has further to run. The bull market still has legs.
To paraphrase Mark Twain, reports of the death of the bond market rally have been “greatly exaggerated.”
The key is to spot the inflection points in each bear move and buy the bonds in time to reap huge gains in the next rally.
That’s where the market is now, at an inflection point. Investors who ignore the bear market mantra and buy bonds at these levels stand to make enormous gains in the coming rally.
“The Much Feared Bond Bear Market Never Materializes”
Let’s look at the record. The 10-year U.S. Treasury Note had a yield-to-maturity of 3.64% on February 11, 2011. That soon fell to 1.83% by September 23, 2011. Then the yield spiked to 2.23% on March 16, 2012. It fell back again to 1.46% on June 1, 2012.
Yields spiked again to 3.0% on December 27, 2013. Then yields fell back to 1.68% by January 30, 2015. And, so it continued through 2016 and 2017. Yields staged one last major back-up reaching 3.22% on October 5, 2018, before crashing once again to 0.54% on July 31, 2020.
Notice the pattern? Yes, yields are back up with some regularity. But they have never broken through the 3.25% level in nine years. The much feared bond bear market never materializes.
When yields get above 3%, the economy stalls out, disinflation takes over, the Fed panics and either “pauses” rate hikes or cuts rates resulting in yields coming back down to earth. Every time yields fall, bond investors make huge capital gains.
That’s exactly why the opportunity to go long Treasuries is so attractive. With all of the big players (hedge funds, banks, wealth managers) leaning on one side of the boat, it only takes a small perturbation causing lower yields and higher prices to trigger a massive short-covering rally, where these short investors scramble to exit their positions and buy bonds to cut their losses.
That’s not all. This technical history exhibits a pattern called “lower lows.” The rate spikes run out of steam around 3%, but each rate collapse goes lower than the one before. The history of rate bottoms is 1.46% on June 1, 2012, 1.36% on July 8, 2016, and the recent low of 0.54% on July 31, 2020.
Every time the bears say yields are going to the moon, they crash to a new low. That means bigger gains for investors.
Basic Bond Math
A bit of bond math is always helpful in these discussions since it’s counterintuitive for many investors. Yields and prices move in opposite directions. When bond yields go up, bond prices go down. When bond yields go down, bond prices go up.
Investors hoping for higher yields may not realize that the bond prices in their portfolio go down when that happens.
The best trading strategy is to buy a bond just when yields spike, and then hold it as yields fall back down to earth. That way, you keep the high yield on your bond and accrue huge capital gains as market yields decline. You can hold the bond to maturity, of course, but you can also sell it for a gain, move to the sidelines with cash and buy a new bond when yields get toppy again. Wash, rinse and repeat.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
There’s another bit of bond math that is not intuitive to most investors. It’s called convexity or duration. In plain English, it means that as interest rates get lower, the capital gains get larger for each basis point decline in rates.
As an example, rates can decline from 3.50% to 3.25%. They can also decline from 1.00% to 0.75%. In each case, interest rates dropped by the same 0.25%. And, in each case, an outstanding bond would realize a capital gain.
But, the capital gain is larger in the second case than the first. Not all interest rate declines are created equal. Gains are bigger when rates are lower. Right now, rates are quite low, so the potential for capital gains is spectacular.
But, with rates so low already, what is the potential for rates to fall even more?
Rates on 10-year Treasuries rose from 0.513% on August 4 to 0.848% on October 22. Rates are 0.768% as of today. Right now, my models are telling me that bond yields will continue to fall, which means that bond prices will continue to rise.
Don’t Buy Into the Consensus
What’s been driving this increase in rates? The answer is simple. Markets expect a new deficit spending stimulus package from Congress. The package is still under negotiation, but the expectation is that it will be around $2 trillion, comparable to the $3 trillion of spending packages passed between March and June, during the worst stages of the pandemic.
Markets expect that this much new debt will flood the markets with new Treasury borrowings, which will drive bond prices lower. Markets also expect that this much stimulus will be inflationary because the Fed may have to monetize the new debt. The combination of more supply with a higher risk premium for inflation will result in much higher yields.
Both assumptions are probably wrong. The spending package depends on the election.
Democrats are confident that Joe Biden will win, so they are holding out, both to avoid giving Republicans a pre-election win and to get a better deal under President Biden.
Republicans take the opposite view and are holding out for a more conservative package under a reelected President Trump. The result is a stalemate.
My forecast is that Trump will win, and markets will be disappointed at the size (and spending priorities) of any package that results. This will cause rates to crash again.
Too Much Debt for Stimulus to Work
Even if a large spending package passes in the next few days or shortly after the election, it will not have the inflationary impact markets expect. Congress knows how to spend, but they do not know how to provide stimulus.
In fact, stimulus in the Keynesian sense is impossible when government debt levels are 130% of GDP. Research shows that any stimulus effect goes into reverse when debt-to-GDP levels pass 90%.
What you end up with is more spending, higher debt, but lower growth. Everyday Americans respond not by spending more but by saving more in anticipation of higher taxes or inflation down the road.
The short-term impact of that is not inflation, but disinflation or outright deflation. That means lower rates and bigger capital gains for Treasury bond investors.
As for rates being “low,” they’re not. It’s true that nominal interest rates (the kind you see on screens and TV) are near all-time lows. But real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation) are quite high by historical standards. Real rates have to go much lower to help growth.
With inflation dropping, that means nominal rates have to go deeply negative in order to get real rates low enough to help. My forecast is for 10-year Treasury note rates to go to negative 0.50% or lower over the next year. That means large capital gains for investors in Treasury bonds.
Don’t go along with the crowd on this one. If you’re on the wrong side of this overcrowded trade, you could get trampled.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--CULTURAL CROSSROADS: media dumbdown & Left meltdown leave UK on cliff-edge

The truly astonishing opinion encapsulated below was expressed in an article at The Times website by James Forsyth this morning .
Before I get into the meat of its flawed asumptions ( and odd attempt to present democracy and liberty as interchangeable ) let me just say that , on paper , Forsyth represents the cream of the crop : schooled at Winchester and degreed at Jesus College Cambridge .
In a paper , however , the failure leaves me depressed and scared in equal measure : Starting at Page 1 , neither Taiwan nor South Korea are liberal democracies @ @ @ @ @ @ @ countries are riddled with corruption throughout the democratic process .
Countries that tap phones – and , you have to laugh , persuade people to spy on themselves using Apps – are not liberal democracies .
All democracies do this , all of them are wrong , and none of them are liberal .
Forsyth is wrong to even suggest that Europeans ‘ would never bear such infringements ’ : they already do , everywhere .
Our States all have intelligence services , they all have social media that censor anything “ off @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a mass media set that long ago stopped investigating what the Establishment thinks in any kind of critical manner .
James finds it hard to see the difference between a crime seen and fined , versus surveillance stealth monitoring behaviours that reresent unwillingness to comply with flagrantly illiberal and monied “ advice ” .
Then he elliptically praises the latter approach for being more effective .
All of which , my friends , is based on one simple and sloppy assumption – that we are in a health crisis .
There is no @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a critical problem with globalist commercial aims being pursued in concert with States that have dangerous citizen control habits .
Habits that are getting so bad now , those behind them might better be described as controlaholics .
But James Forsyth ( left ) political editor of the Spectator and a man privileged to have had a soi-disant élite education – not only can ’ t philosophically deconstruct what ’ s going on….he can ’ t even see it .
We have masks on our noses and mouths ; Mr Forsyth wears his @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a big enough disaster if this was all we face , as a sociopathic cynic inside Number Ten tramples thoughtlessly over the citizenry ’ s civil rights .
But feedback from the killing field laughingly referred to as the Opposition makes it clear as I write that the attempted purge of Jeremy Corbyn is about to finally split the British Left in two .
It should have happened a long time ago : Gaitskell and Clause IV in the 1950s blew over , the Gang of Four SDP fell on its razor-sharp egos @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Neil Kinnock kicked out Militant later in the decade , and now Flatscreen Starmer wants a clean break from Corbyn and his insidious Momentum Sturm Abteilung .
Since God was a girl , there has always been inflitration of the social democratic left in Britain by various forms of Communist totalitarian schism .
Equally , the ‘ pure ’ Socialist in the UK has always inflated the influence of the variously group-termed Hard Right tendencies that were never anything more than those who question the braindead assumptions of political correctness .
In the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the Eighties Rock against Racism , and during Brexit the smear of UKIPpers being racist Little Englanders who “ caused ” Jo Cox ’ s death .
Under Miliband there was the LGBTQ fiasco of tiny-minority sexualities driving Labour policy .
Now the situation is such that – just to be taken seriously as a Labour leader per se – Starmer had to Take the Knee to appease the violent narcissism of BLM .
Here ’ s my bleak conclusion : our elected Government is not safe in the hands of Boris @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is not safe in the hands of an ideological split between Green > pc > minority > BLM Labour , and soviet > Momentum > Trot Labour ; our administrative class is not safe in the hands of Fifth columnist admirers of EUNATO and biowarfare under the beady eye of Sir Mark Sedwill ; and our mainstream media are not safe in the hands of bright people who use them to write puberty-level analyses .
Maybe I have been wrong these last ten years .
I still think that the Movement we need @ @ @ @ @ @ @ likes of those behind Reclaim , for example , are really about restoring the balance back to being one of sovereign State versus responsible individual rather than Left versus Right , Brexit v EU , Multi-racial v Multicultural or – worst of all – Corporacrat Unelected Neotech Totalitarian States* v citizen resistance from an informed minority .
Perhaps the Euro/Brexit split in the Tory Party on the one hand and the pc/Soviet split in Labour ’ s ranks is offering us an opportunity to fill the gap with Reclaim….where ideology ( be it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ favour of an empirically judged common good .
Whatever : we are at a crossroads where the lights are stuck on Stop .
We need to create an amber light that can lead us to Go .
* Feel free to join up the capitalisations there John Ward gained a Joint Honours Degree in History & Politics at the University of Liverpool .
He began as an advertising copywriter in 1969 .
In 1971 he joined J Walter Thompson London as a communications researcher , later moving to Collett Dickenson Pearce as a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ roles in various international agencies , before retiring from full-time work in 2000 , and since 2005 has been a full time blogger on subjects involving the human species , social anthropology , constitutional injustice , totalitarian technocracy , free speech and the continuing survival of creative communitarian capitalism .
The author of two books on communications , he has been a French resident since 2012 , and remains a Europhile implacably opposed to Brussels Federalism .

by John Ward
The truly astonishing opinion encapsulated below was expressed in an article at The Times website by James Forsyth this morning. Before I get into the meat of its flawed asumptions (and odd attempt to present democracy and liberty as interchangeable) let me just say that, on paper, Forsyth represents the cream of the crop: schooled at Winchester and degreed at Jesus College Cambridge. In a paper, however, the failure leaves me depressed and scared in equal measure:
Starting at Page 1, neither Taiwan nor South Korea are liberal democracies in the classic meaning; and both countries are riddled with corruption throughout the democratic process. Countries that tap phones – and, you have to laugh, persuade people to spy on themselves using Apps – are not liberal democracies. All democracies do this, all of them are wrong, and none of them are liberal.
Forsyth is wrong to even suggest that Europeans ‘would never bear such infringements’: they already do, everywhere. Our States all have intelligence services, they all have social media that censor anything “off message”, and they all have a mass media set that long ago stopped investigating what the Establishment thinks in any kind of critical manner.
James finds it hard to see the difference between a crime seen and fined, versus surveillance stealth monitoring behaviours that reresent unwillingness to comply with flagrantly illiberal and monied “advice” .
Then he elliptically praises the latter approach for being more effective.
All of which, my friends, is based on one simple and sloppy assumption – that we are in a health crisis.
There is no health crisis here; there is only a critical problem with globalist commercial aims being pursued in concert with States that have dangerous citizen control habits. Habits that are getting so bad now, those behind them might better be described as controlaholics.
But James Forsyth (left) political editor of the Spectator and a man privileged to have had a soi-disant élite education – not only can’t philosophically deconstruct what’s going on….he can’t even see it. We have masks on our noses and mouths; Mr Forsyth wears his on his eyes.
It would be a big enough disaster if this was all we face, as a sociopathic cynic inside Number Ten tramples thoughtlessly over the citizenry’s civil rights. But feedback from the killing field laughingly referred to as the Opposition makes it clear as I write that the attempted purge of Jeremy Corbyn is about to finally split the British Left in two.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
It should have happened a long time ago: Gaitskell and Clause IV in the 1950s blew over, the Gang of Four SDP fell on its razor-sharp egos in the early eighties, former firebrand Neil Kinnock kicked out Militant later in the decade, and now Flatscreen Starmer wants a clean break from Corbyn and his insidious Momentum Sturm Abteilung.
Since God was a girl, there has always been inflitration of the social democratic left in Britain by various forms of Communist totalitarian schism. Equally, the ‘pure’ Socialist in the UK has always inflated the influence of the variously group-termed Hard Right tendencies that were never anything more than those who question the braindead assumptions of political correctness.
In the Seventies we had the Anti-Nazi League, in the Eighties Rock against Racism, and during Brexit the smear of UKIPpers being racist Little Englanders who “caused” Jo Cox’s death.
Under Miliband there was the LGBTQ fiasco of tiny-minority sexualities driving Labour policy. Now the situation is such that – just to be taken seriously as a Labour leader per se – Starmer had to Take the Knee to appease the violent narcissism of BLM.
Here’s my bleak conclusion: our elected Government is not safe in the hands of Boris Johnson and the hyper-hypochondriacs; our Opposition is not safe in the hands of an ideological split between Green>pc>minority>BLM Labour, and soviet>Momentum>Trot Labour; our administrative class is not safe in the hands of Fifth columnist admirers of EUNATO and biowarfare under the beady eye of Sir Mark Sedwill; and our mainstream media are not safe in the hands of bright people who use them to write puberty-level analyses.
Maybe I have been wrong these last ten years. I still think that the Movement we need is culturo-constitutional not political. But the likes of those behind Reclaim, for example, are really about restoring the balance back to being one of sovereign State versus responsible individual rather than Left versus Right, Brexit v EU, Multi-racial v Multicultural or – worst of all – Corporacrat Unelected Neotech Totalitarian States* v citizen resistance from an informed minority.
Perhaps the Euro/Brexit split in the Tory Party on the one hand and the pc/Soviet split in Labour’s ranks is offering us an opportunity to fill the gap with Reclaim….where ideology (be it socialist or neoliberal) is abandoned in favour of an empirically judged common good.
Whatever: we are at a crossroads where the lights are stuck on Stop. We need to create an amber light that can lead us to Go.
* Feel free to join up the capitalisations there
John Ward gained a Joint Honours Degree in History & Politics at the University of Liverpool. He began as an advertising copywriter in 1969. In 1971 he joined J Walter Thompson London as a communications researcher, later moving to Collett Dickenson Pearce as a communications Planner. He later held senior roles in various international agencies, before retiring from full-time work in 2000, and since 2005 has been a full time blogger on subjects involving the human species, social anthropology, constitutional injustice, totalitarian technocracy, free speech and the continuing survival of creative communitarian capitalism. The author of two books on communications, he has been a French resident since 2012, and remains a Europhile implacably opposed to Brussels Federalism.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--ROGER SIMON: Why Hunter Biden Really Does Matter … Big Time.

Okay , just more gossip about a , shall we say , “ prodigal son , ” maybe one who has ambivalent feelings about his father and is “ acting out.
” What does that have to do with the father ?
Besides telling us that the man who would be president is/was an atrocious parent , if the product of his parenting is even ten percent nurture on the nature versus nurture scale , the father is heavily enmeshed with the son in countries that wish to harm us .
This doesn ’ t just seemingly explain Joe Biden @ @ @ @ @ @ @ China— “ China is going to eat our lunch .
Come on , man .
They ’ re not bad folks , folks ” —it bespeaks a kind of clueless greed and primitive lust for power in his personality so strong it overwhelms the ability to see the most odious behaviors imaginable .
It ’ s no surprise Joe Biden has had little or nothing to say about the extraordinary depredations ( concentration camps , torture , organ transplants and so on ) of the CCP regarding Uyghurs , Falun Gong , or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Nor has he offered any significant condemnation , not that I have seen anyway , of the People ’ s Republic ’ s illegal takeover of Hong Kong .
Against all this , his son , as many have now watched on video , allowed himself to be in the most compromising positions in China .
What ’ s interesting about one of these videos—not going to link it here , but it ’ s easy to find—is that it appears to have been taken by a hidden , fixed camera , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ made clear by Hunter himself when , illuminated by what appears to be a crack pipe , he takes out a cellphone and begins to make his own video of his activities with the young lady .
Why would he need two such videos ?
… I have been in China , the Soviet Union ( twice ) , Russian Republic ( twice ) and Cuba .
In every one of those occasions , except my most recent very short visit to St. Petersburg , and even then I ’ m not certain @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of interpreters or guides who were obviously intelligence agents .
Or if not exactly in their company , not far from them .
They knew where I was .
This is true of everyone who visits those countries .
It ’ s the way they are .
Surely Hunter Biden knew this , but , from his actions , didn ’ t much care or thought he was under some kind of protection .
No one could touch him .
The mystery of the source of that possible protection is what fascinated me @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Bobulinski , about the identity of the “ Big Guy ” in the email almost all of us have now seen .
So Ted [ Cruz ] , no matter whether this moves a vote or not , if you care about the USA , Hunter really matters—to all of our futures .

via theepochtimes:
Okay, just more gossip about a, shall we say, “prodigal son,” maybe one who has ambivalent feelings about his father and is “acting out.” What does that have to do with the father?
A lot.
Besides telling us that the man who would be president is/was an atrocious parent, if the product of his parenting is even ten percent nurture on the nature versus nurture scale, the father is heavily enmeshed with the son in countries that wish to harm us.
This doesn’t just seemingly explain Joe Biden’s brain dead comment about Communist China—“China is going to eat our lunch. Come on, man. They’re not bad folks, folks”—it bespeaks a kind of clueless greed and primitive lust for power in his personality so strong it overwhelms the ability to see the most odious behaviors imaginable.
It’s no surprise Joe Biden has had little or nothing to say about the extraordinary depredations (concentration camps, torture, organ transplants and so on) of the CCP regarding Uyghurs, Falun Gong, or virtually anyone who questions their totalitarian regime.
Nor has he offered any significant condemnation, not that I have seen anyway, of the People’s Republic’s illegal takeover of Hong Kong.
Against all this, his son, as many have now watched on video, allowed himself to be in the most compromising positions in China. What’s interesting about one of these videos—not going to link it here, but it’s easy to find—is that it appears to have been taken by a hidden, fixed camera, of an unknown origin.
This is made clear by Hunter himself when, illuminated by what appears to be a crack pipe, he takes out a cellphone and begins to make his own video of his activities with the young lady. Why would he need two such videos? …
I have been in China, the Soviet Union (twice), Russian Republic (twice) and Cuba. In every one of those occasions, except my most recent very short visit to St. Petersburg, and even then I’m not certain, I was constantly in the company of interpreters or guides who were obviously intelligence agents. Or if not exactly in their company, not far from them. They knew where I was.
This is true of everyone who visits those countries. It’s the way they are. Surely Hunter Biden knew this, but, from his actions, didn’t much care or thought he was under some kind of protection. No one could touch him.
The mystery of the source of that possible protection is what fascinated me when thinking about the revelations of Mr. Bobulinski, about the identity of the “Big Guy” in the email almost all of us have now seen.
So Ted [Cruz], no matter whether this moves a vote or not, if you care about the USA, Hunter really matters—to all of our futures.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Tom Fitton: Supreme Court Justice Amy Barrett Declines to Participate in two major emergency electio

Tom Fitton: Supreme Court Justice Amy Barrett Declines to Participate in two major emergency election integrity cases (NC and PA)

Disappointing .
@ RealDonaldTrump , the Senate , and millions of Americans move heaven and earth to quickly get Justice @ @ @ @ @ and she declines to participate in two major emergency election integrity cases ( NC and @ @ @

Disappointing. @RealDonaldTrump, the Senate, and millions of Americans move heaven and earth to quickly get Justice Barrett onto the Supreme Court and she declines to participate in two major emergency election integrity cases (NC and Pennsylvania)?
— Tom Fitton (@TomFitton) October 29, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Harry Truman: “Show me a man that gets rich by being a politician, and I’ll show you a crook.” CNBC:

Harry Truman: “Show me a man that gets rich by being a politician, and I’ll show you a crook.” CNBC: HOW JOE BIDEN MADE HIS MILLIONS.

Harry Truman : “ Show me a man that gets rich by being a politician , and I ’ ll @ @ @ @ @ The FBI has on the books an open investigation since last year into Hunter and @ @ @ @ @ !
The HUNTER BIDEN REPORT – U.S. SENATE RELEASES SCATHING REPORT AGAINST BIDEN GRIFTER FAMILY @ @ @ @ @ and Corruption : The Impact on U.S.Government Policy and Related Concerns U.S. Senate Committee on @ @ @ @ @ Tom Fitton News – Bidens making millions from helping Communist China buy US tech & @ @ @ @ @ Judicial Watch announced today it filed Freedom of Information Act ( FOIA ) lawsuits against @ @ @ @ @ seeking documents related to consideration by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States @ @ @ @ @ in the U.S. by two companies tied to Joe Biden ’ s son , Hunter @ @ @ @ @ Burisma Holdings and China ’ s Bohai Harvest RST ( BHR ) .

Harry Truman: “Show me a man that gets rich by being a politician, and I’ll show you a crook.”
The FBI has on the books an open investigation since last year into Hunter and his associates for Money laundering!
EXCLUSIVE: A @TheJusticeDept official confirms that in 2019, the @FBI opened up a criminal investigation into "Hunter Biden and his associates," focused on allegations of money-laundering, and that it remains open and active today. More very soon on your @WeAreSinclair stations. — James Rosen (@JamesRosenTV) October 29, 2020
The HUNTER BIDEN REPORT – U.S. SENATE RELEASES SCATHING REPORT AGAINST BIDEN GRIFTER FAMILY CORRUPTION
HunterBiden, Burisma, and Corruption: The Impact on U.S.Government Policy and Related Concerns
U.S. Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
U.S. Senate Committee on Finance Majority Staff Report
Tom Fitton News – Bidens making millions from helping Communist China buy US tech & media companies through CFIUS fraud
Judicial Watch announced today it filed Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) lawsuits against the State and Treasury Departments seeking documents related to consideration by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) of investments in the U.S. by two companies tied to Joe Biden’s son, Hunter Biden – Ukraine’s Burisma Holdings and China’s Bohai Harvest RST (BHR).


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Venezuela discovery a molecule that “100% inhibits” covid-19

Venezuela formalizes before the WHO the DISCOVERY of the molecule that “ 100 % inhibits ” the covid-19 for its certification and registration Translate if you are interested… .
The Government of Venezuela has formalized before the World Health Organization ( WHO ) its finding on the DR-10 molecule to treat covid-19 , after the president , Nicolás Maduro , announced on Sunday that scientists from that country had achieved develop a drug that “ 100 % ” cancels the disease .
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez reported on Monday night that during a meeting with the representative of the Pan @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the WHO in Venezuela , Pier Paolo Balladelli , shared the results of the preclinical study of the Venezuelan Institute of Scientific Research ( Ivic ) on the molecule , belonging to a medicinal plant .
“ We have formalized this finding before the WHO to begin the corresponding international procedures , with a view to certification and registration , ” added the vice president .
This meeting was held a day after Maduro announced during a television broadcast that that country had managed to develop a drug , based on DR-10 , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ type of toxicity that affects to healthy molecules .
During the presidential announcement , the Minister of Science and Technology , Gabriela Jiménez , explained that a group of Venezuelan scientists began a chemical study in isolated cells infected with viruses from patients positive for coronavirus who were given various concentrations of the molecule , which It is a derivative of ursolic acid ( a triterpene compound found in various fruits and vegetables ) .
“ This molecule shows 100 % inhibition of virus replication ‘ in vitro ’ .
It was evaluated @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” said the minister .

Venezuela formalizes before the WHO the DISCOVERY of the molecule that “100% inhibits” the covid-19 for its certification and registration
actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/371…oronavirus
Translate if you are interested….
The Government of Venezuela has formalized before the World Health Organization (WHO) its finding on the DR-10 molecule to treat covid-19, after the president, Nicolás Maduro, announced on Sunday that scientists from that country had achieved develop a drug that “100%” cancels the disease.
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez reported on Monday night that during a meeting with the representative of the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) and the WHO in Venezuela, Pier Paolo Balladelli, shared the results of the preclinical study of the Venezuelan Institute of Scientific Research (Ivic ) on the molecule, belonging to a medicinal plant.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“We have formalized this finding before the WHO to begin the corresponding international procedures, with a view to certification and registration,” added the vice president.
No toxicity
This meeting was held a day after Maduro announced during a television broadcast that that country had managed to develop a drug, based on DR-10, that 100% inhibits covid-19 without any type of toxicity that affects to healthy molecules.
During the presidential announcement, the Minister of Science and Technology, Gabriela Jiménez, explained that a group of Venezuelan scientists began a chemical study in isolated cells infected with viruses from patients positive for coronavirus who were given various concentrations of the molecule, which It is a derivative of ursolic acid (a triterpene compound found in various fruits and vegetables).
“This molecule shows 100% inhibition of virus replication ‘in vitro’. It was evaluated in healthy cells without showing toxicity,” said the minister.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--China warns Taiwan “It means War..”

China warns Taiwan “It means War..”

A Chinese Community Party newspaper said Chinese warplanes “ must fly over the island of Taiwan ” and warned that Taiwanese government retaliation “ means war.
” An article by Hu Xijin , the combative editor-in-chief of Chinese state newspaper Global Times , came after yet another round of potential U.S. arms sales to Taiwan was announced by the Department of Defense .
Hu accused Taiwan ’ s ruling Democratic Progressive Party ( DPP ) of promoting anti-China sentiment through “ de-sinicization , ” working with Washington to “ jeopardize the rise of the mainland.
” Hu cited the Chinese @ @ @ @ @ @ @ American defense companies Lockheed Martin , Boeing Defense and Raytheon as proof of Beijing ’ s “ countermeasures ” as Taiwan ’ s weapons procurement escalates in quantity .
Under provisions of the Taiwan Relations Act , the U.S. government is to provide weapons of a defense nature to the island , which Beijing sees as a breakaway province .
The latest deal—worth an estimated $ 2.37 billion—means the Trump administration has approved a total of nine arms sales to Taiwan , including four in 2020 .
Global Times , which represents the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , said the People ’ s Liberation Army ( PLA ) must now respond by “ sending a clear signal to the DPP authorities.
” “ The fighter jets of the PLA must fly over the island of Taiwan to declare national sovereignty and show the determination to exercise the Anti-Secession Law , ” Hu wrote .
“ This is the firm step the Chinese mainland needs to walk in a bid to lock down ‘ Taiwan independence ’ tendencies.
” He added : “ The mainland should clearly warn the DPP authorities @ @ @ @ @ @ @ open fire at mainland warplanes flying over Taiwan , it means war and the PLA will deal a crushing blow to the Taiwan military.
” The tightly controlled government outlet claimed public opinion in China was “ widely expressing expectation for the PLA fighter jets to fly over Taiwan , ” and that it was “ obvious that the PLA is making full preparations to exercise sovereignty over Taiwan.
” Its chief editor called it “ the will of 1.4 billion Chinese people.
” Hu said : “ We should not indulge the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ They should pay the price for buying U.S. weapons , particularly offensive weapons .
The PLA should warn them that it will destroy those newly purchased weapons .
”

Epic escalation!
A Chinese Community Party newspaper said Chinese warplanes “must fly over the island of Taiwan” and warned that Taiwanese government retaliation “means war.”
An article by Hu Xijin, the combative editor-in-chief of Chinese state newspaper Global Times, came after yet another round of potential U.S. arms sales to Taiwan was announced by the Department of Defense.
Hu accused Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) of promoting anti-China sentiment through “de-sinicization,” working with Washington to “jeopardize the rise of the mainland.”
Hu cited the Chinese foreign ministry’s recent sanctions against American defense companies Lockheed Martin, Boeing Defense and Raytheon as proof of Beijing’s “countermeasures” as Taiwan’s weapons procurement escalates in quantity.
Under provisions of the Taiwan Relations Act, the U.S. government is to provide weapons of a defense nature to the island, which Beijing sees as a breakaway province.
The latest deal—worth an estimated $2.37 billion—means the Trump administration has approved a total of nine arms sales to Taiwan, including four in 2020.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Global Times, which represents the Chinese leadership’s most hawkish views, said the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) must now respond by “sending a clear signal to the DPP authorities.”
“The fighter jets of the PLA must fly over the island of Taiwan to declare national sovereignty and show the determination to exercise the Anti-Secession Law,” Hu wrote. “This is the firm step the Chinese mainland needs to walk in a bid to lock down ‘Taiwan independence’ tendencies.”
He added: “The mainland should clearly warn the DPP authorities that if the Taiwan military dares to open fire at mainland warplanes flying over Taiwan, it means war and the PLA will deal a crushing blow to the Taiwan military.”
The tightly controlled government outlet claimed public opinion in China was “widely expressing expectation for the PLA fighter jets to fly over Taiwan,” and that it was “obvious that the PLA is making full preparations to exercise sovereignty over Taiwan.”
Its chief editor called it “the will of 1.4 billion Chinese people.”
Hu said: “We should not indulge the U.S. in selling weapons to Taiwan. They should pay the price for buying U.S. weapons, particularly offensive weapons. The PLA should warn them that it will destroy those newly purchased weapons.”
www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/it-…d=msedgdhp


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-30--Apple is building its own version of Google Search, report says.

Google pays Apple something like $ 10 billion per year to be the default search engine on iPhones and iPads .
My guess is that cozy arrangement might not survive antitrust scrutiny .
Apple might be working on an alternative to Google Search .
This is according to a report by the Financial Times , which claims Apple has begun to show its own search results in iOS 14 .
This might mean that Apple is ramping up efforts to replace Google Search on its devices .
We ’ ve already seen signs of this .
The changes in iOS @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , as were Apple ’ s hirings of search experts .
And a few days ago , The New York Times reported that the Justice Department has filed an antitrust lawsuit against Google , with prosecutors saying that the search giant is using illegal tactics to protect its monopoly in search .
The report also unveiled that Google pays Apple an estimated $ 8 to $ 12 billion per year to get its search engine built into Apple products .
Now , the Financial Times claims that the antitrust lawsuit prompted Apple to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more urgently .
It also cites experts as saying that Apple ’ s web crawler Applebot is showing increased activity in recent weeks , which might mean it ’ s scouring the web to build a bigger pile of data , which would be useful in building a search engine .

Google pays Apple something like $10 billion per year to be the default search engine on iPhones and iPads. My guess is that cozy arrangement might not survive antitrust scrutiny.
Apple might be working on an alternative to Google Search.
This is according to a report by the Financial Times, which claims Apple has begun to show its own search results in iOS 14. This might mean that Apple is ramping up efforts to replace Google Search on its devices.
We’ve already seen signs of this. The changes in iOS 14 were noticed in August by Coywolf, as were Apple’s hirings of search experts. And a few days ago, The New York Times reported that the Justice Department has filed an antitrust lawsuit against Google, with prosecutors saying that the search giant is using illegal tactics to protect its monopoly in search. The report also unveiled that Google pays Apple an estimated $8 to $12 billion per year to get its search engine built into Apple products.
Now, the Financial Times claims that the antitrust lawsuit prompted Apple to start working on its own search product more urgently. It also cites experts as saying that Apple’s web crawler Applebot is showing increased activity in recent weeks, which might mean it’s scouring the web to build a bigger pile of data, which would be useful in building a search engine.