investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--AMD analysis and why you should sell big blue

Hello all , today we are going to be discussing everyone ’ s favorite meme stock , AMD !
Before we get into the meat of the arguments for AMD and Intel , this is intended to be a follow up of another pretty crappy post I made a few months back , as such we will go into much further depth than before .
Also I will not be providing price targets due to macro environmental circumstances .
In this post I will first have to cover some terms needed to talk about both companies ’ products , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about how both are positioned in the present and the near term ( next 6 months to a year ) , followed by long term speculation which I ’ ll release later ( next week maybe ) .
Please note that I will briefly touch on NVIDIA and their products in the future speculation , but I will not go into depth due to there being a lot of misinformation circulating .
I will most likely make another post doing a deep dive into the relation between NVIDIA , Intel , and AMD @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I do not hold any shares or derivatives in AMD , Intel or NVIDIA .
An introduction into the semiconductor industry The semiconductor industry is a massive industry currently valued at a massive 433b1 , it is what powers all electronics ranging from the weakest smartwatch all the way up to the largest supercomputers .
Semiconductors are made out of silicon oxide with transistors on them which perform logic functions and the likes .
The semiconductor market has two large segments , that being the CPU market and the GPU market , with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ranging set of data , whereas a GPU is used to perform lots of very repetitive tasks such as rendering .
There are four primary companies in this space , that being Intel , AMD , NVIDIA , and ARM ( note that Qualcomm and Samsung license their core architectures from ARM ) .
Some important terms that are needed to understand basic things that will affect performance/competitiveness .
• Architecture : Refers to the design of a product think about it like how a house is built from a frame .
• @ @ @ @ @ @ @ CPU/GPU can perform , each cycle is the effectuation of a certain number of calculations .
• IPC : Instructions per clock refers to how many calculations a CPU/GPU can perform per clock cycle .
• Core : The “ processor ” in a CPU/GPU that performs the calculation • Thread : present only in CPUs , allow multiple code paths to access a singular core at once thereby ensuring that the core is always fed with information .
• Monolithic design : A CPU/GPU using only 1 piece of silicon .
• @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that is composed of a multitude of pieces of silicon .
• Wafer : A disc of varying size in which the transistors are inlaid on , this will later be cut up into chips • Chips : Smaller pieces of silicon which are typically a final product • Node : Refers to how small a transistor is , measured in nano-meters ( NM ) .
Note however , it is more of a marketing term and the real size of the transistors are typically much larger , furthermore different nodes are intended @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as Intel ’ s 10nm node being intended to be on parity with TSMC ’ s 7nm node .
• Reticle limit : The maximum size a chip can be made on a certain node .
• EUV : Extreme ultraviolet , is the cutting edge of semiconductor manufacturing , uses high energy ultraviolet light to imprint the transistors on the wafer , allows for increased efficiency and better yields .
• Yields : Defect density of a wafer , if there is a defect on wafer the corresponding chip may be compromised @ @ @ @ @ @ @ binned lower .
• Binning : The practice of sorting chips by how many defects they have , a chip with a lot of defects will have lower performance then one that has none .
• Cache : Small , low latency storage that allows for cores to quickly access data .
Further divided into L1 , L2 , and L3 cache , with L1 cache having the lowest latency and lowest storage and L3 having the highest latency and the highest capacity .
• Memory/RAM : Fast storage that a CPU can @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not store as much data as traditional solutions , but latency and transfer speed are much higher .
There are currently four generations of it , that being DDR1 , DDR2 , DDR3 , and DDR4 , with DDR4 being the newest .
Memory also has clock speeds which indicates indirectly how fast the data transfer is .
• Fab/Foundry : Where wafers are made , the three largest ones are TSMC , Intel and Samsung .
A brief history of the relation between Intel and AMD Intel was founded in 1968 by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Gordon Moore , Robert Noyce , and Arthur Rock .
Gordon Moore and Robert Noyce had left Fairchild Semiconductors with Arthur Rock providing the initial capital .
Together the three made the first commercial CPU , the 4004 .
AMD was founded a year later in 1969 and initially produced memory , but in 1981 they entered in a 10 year partnership with Intel as a secondary supplier as requested by IBM .
At the time , most OEMs required a secondary supplier to ensure that they would not become too reliant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ they would have enough supply should one company have issues .
This meant that Intel licensed their technology to AMD so they could produce them at their own fabs .
This partnership did not last long when in 1984 Intel broke the partnership , and violated the terms which in and after numerous appeals and cases of discovery abuse on the side of Intel resulted in the court ’ s ruling in AMD ’ s favor in 19902 .
Because of this AMD was forced to set out and create their own chips @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , which would have been shared under the 10 year partnership .
This resulted in Intel suing AMD for patent infringement , however the courts ruled in AMD ’ s favour citing the previously mentioned case .
As the decade progressed , and the 2000s rolled around AMD came out with their own products , which handily beat Intel ’ s own offerings , but the damage was already done .
Intel was able to make so much money that they essentially had a monopoly on the CPU market .
But despite having @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , their market share never came close to that of Intel , and the reason behind this would be revealed in 2009 .
In 2009 , the European commission fined Intel $ USD 1.4b3 .
The reason behind this was Intel had bribed OEMs with cash incentives to not use AMD processors .
This was to the point that Intel paid Dell 1b per year to not use AMD4 .
These bribes were so significant that when in 2006 , in order not to be laughed out of business , they started to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ massive 50 % decrease in profit in 20065 .
That being said the damage was already done once again , and AMD was relegated to being a secondary competitor to Intel as they had simply run out of money .
AMD released the Phenom in 2008 , which was thoroughly crushed by the Intel competitors and after three years of refreshing the product with minor improvements , they released the horrible Bulldozer in 2011 which was legendary for its horrible performance , and insane power consumption .
In 2016 , they were near @ @ @ @ @ @ @ out at 2 $ per share .
All the while , Intel made small iterative performance upgrades while making all the money they could ever want .
This is why your computer from 2010 is still very serviceable in 2020 , 10 years later .
In 2017 , AMD released their new Zen architecture with a massive 40 % + leap in IPC bringing it back into competition with Intel .
Furthermore , Zen was an MCM design meaning that you could pair a few small chips to act as one large chip @ @ @ @ @ @ @ acted as the highways permitting multiple chips , or chiplets to communicate with each other .
Intel VS. AMD in the modern age A lot has happened in the last 5 years .
Currently , Intel ’ s technology portfolio is a complete and utter disaster , rife with stagnation .
For example , Intel ’ s primary product , Intel ’ s current offerings are a mere 7 % better in applications that only use 1-2 cores , than those of AMD ’ s while using 50 % more energy and having @ @ @ @ @ @ @ which leverage more than four cores .
Intel ’ s highest end desktop product , the w3175x , coming in at 3k only has 28 cores , whilst the highest end AMD cpu the 3990x , has over double at 64 cores .
The performance disparity is clear , AMD is the only viable option for productivity .
The story continues in servers where Intel is outclassed in a similar manner to that of the desktop with performance on the AMD side being well over 200 % higher .
The slaughter continues into @ @ @ @ @ @ @ completely embarrasses the highest end Intel competition while consuming ⅓ the power .
The only performance crown that Intel can claim is gaming , and even then it is a mere 7 % higher , due to extreme clock speeds with their newest architecture , when compared to AMD ’ s design , which is over a year old .
There are multiple reasons why Intel is so behind in performance , the primary being nodes .
Intel ’ s 10 nm node was slated to launch four years ago .
Four years @ @ @ @ @ @ @ company , especially for the semiconductor space , and the sole reason why Intel was not severely punished for these stagnations was that they were miles ahead of any competitor .
Earlier on I mentioned that AMD had fabs and was a secondary supplier , however as they were approaching insolvency , they sold off their fabs and partnered with Global Foundries , and later TSMC .
However TSMC ramped the 7 nm , which was designed to compete with 10nm , extremely fast , handedly taking Intel ’ s previous position as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at Intel ’ s road map , volume 10 nm will most likely hit the market by 2021 , if there are no further delays , but TSMC is not sitting still , they are also innovating with the 5 nm , which was designed to compete with Intel ’ s 7nm hitting markets in 2020 .
If Intel does not get 10 nm functioning by 2021 , it will spell the end of Intel ’ s fabs .
TSMC will be not one , but two nodes ahead of Intel .
This @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lesser extent by there being little to no IPC improvements in 5 years , meaning that AMD was free to catch up and in many cases surpass them .
The final nail in the coffin when it comes to Intel in the near term is their security vulnerabilities .
Before 2018 , all security vulnerabilities were mainly from software attacks , but that changed with the discovery of Meltdown and Specter .
To show how important these issues were , let me illustrate an example .
Say you are a CEO of a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and you are using Intel servers to do whatever you need to do , you go about your day , the server is 100 % secure from a software standpoint .
Night comes , and you decide to look at how profitable your company was this quarter ( again lol ) , but on the front page you see “ Major leak at X company all confidential data was leaked , ” you panic and call up your IT guy and he is in a panic , the head lines are correct all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you own has been leaked and there is nothing you can do about it .
That is the danger of these vulnerabilities .
There is absolutely nothing you or your staff could have done , and worse yet , there are over a dozen similarly dangerous vulnerabilities , and over 600 more minor ones .
The only way to try and prevent these leaks are to apply patches from Intel , but this results from anywhere between a 10 % to a 60 % loss in performance , which needs to be made @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are already at 90-100 % capacity .
Then you hear that a certain company , AMD , was immune to this attack and their products are vastly superior .
This is the major issue plaguing Intel at the moment .
For the time being you will see a major rise in server sales as people scramble to buy up servers to remain operational , but in time they will switch to AMD , with AMD forecast to take 10 % in Q2 20206 , up from near 0 % in 2016 .
Intel @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the moment AMD is uniquely positioned , their competition has yet to compete truely with their 1 year old tech , and they are on track to release brand new CPUs this year in late Q3/Q4 .
As a warning , we are entering grounds of speculation , but do note that this speculation is based on reliable leakers like AdoredTV7 ( correctly leaked entire AMD CPU product stack from last year with only minor errors ) , Moore ’ s Law is Dead8 ( correctly leaked entire CPU product stack form Intel @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 0 errors thus far ) .
AMD : Intel ( New product titled Zen 3 , releasing this year ) ( New product released this year ) – Zen 3 ~13-15 % IPC bump7 , with maybe 100ish MHz clock speed bump7 , which will allow AMD to claim the final performance crown of gaming from Intel , this coupled with Intel being nowhere in sight will allow AMD to reign supreme in all faculties for a while .
AMD is in an excellent position to capitalize on Intel ’ s stagnation .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ at a better time , accelerating the world ’ s adoption of AMD CPUs and their new products will beat Intel in gaming thanks to the IPC and clock speed increase improving their gaming performance by at least 15 % .
Overall , Intel is a precarious spot , that being said they have vast sums of cash and they had a few key developments in the past few years which could allow them to catch up in 2022 or 2023 .
I will discuss that possibility in a later post along with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the GPU market with consoles on their side .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by Fage138
Abstract
Hello all, today we are going to be discussing everyone’s favorite meme stock, Tesla
AMD! Before we get into the meat of the arguments for AMD and Intel, this is intended to be a follow up of another pretty crappy post I made a few months back, as such we will go into much further depth than before. Also I will not be providing price targets due to macro environmental circumstances.
In this post I will first have to cover some terms needed to talk about both companies’ products, and some history. Then I will talk about how both are positioned in the present and the near term (next 6 months to a year), followed by long term speculation which I’ll release later (next week maybe). Please note that I will briefly touch on NVIDIA and their products in the future speculation, but I will not go into depth due to there being a lot of misinformation circulating. I will most likely make another post doing a deep dive into the relation between NVIDIA, Intel, and AMD in late October/December.
Also note that I do not hold any shares or derivatives in AMD, Intel or NVIDIA.
An introduction into the semiconductor industry
The semiconductor industry is a massive industry currently valued at a massive 433b1, it is what powers all electronics ranging from the weakest smartwatch all the way up to the largest supercomputers. Semiconductors are made out of silicon oxide with transistors on them which perform logic functions and the likes. The semiconductor market has two large segments, that being the CPU market and the GPU market, with CPUs being used to compute a wide ranging set of data, whereas a GPU is used to perform lots of very repetitive tasks such as rendering. There are four primary companies in this space, that being Intel, AMD, NVIDIA, and ARM (note that Qualcomm and Samsung license their core architectures from ARM).
Some important terms that are needed to understand basic things that will affect performance/competitiveness.
Architecture: Refers to the design of a product think about it like how a house is built from a frame. Clock speed: How many cycles a CPU/GPU can perform, each cycle is the effectuation of a certain number of calculations. IPC: Instructions per clock refers to how many calculations a CPU/GPU can perform per clock cycle. Core: The “processor” in a CPU/GPU that performs the calculation Thread: present only in CPUs, allow multiple code paths to access a singular core at once thereby ensuring that the core is always fed with information. Monolithic design: A CPU/GPU using only 1 piece of silicon. MCM: Multi-chip module, a CPU/GPU that is composed of a multitude of pieces of silicon. Wafer: A disc of varying size in which the transistors are inlaid on, this will later be cut up into chips Chips: Smaller pieces of silicon which are typically a final product Node: Refers to how small a transistor is, measured in nano-meters (NM). Note however, it is more of a marketing term and the real size of the transistors are typically much larger, furthermore different nodes are intended to compete with each other, such as Intel’s 10nm node being intended to be on parity with TSMC’s 7nm node. Reticle limit: The maximum size a chip can be made on a certain node. EUV: Extreme ultraviolet, is the cutting edge of semiconductor manufacturing, uses high energy ultraviolet light to imprint the transistors on the wafer, allows for increased efficiency and better yields. Yields: Defect density of a wafer, if there is a defect on wafer the corresponding chip may be compromised and have to be thrown out or binned lower. Binning: The practice of sorting chips by how many defects they have, a chip with a lot of defects will have lower performance then one that has none. Cache: Small, low latency storage that allows for cores to quickly access data. Further divided into L1, L2, and L3 cache, with L1 cache having the lowest latency and lowest storage and L3 having the highest latency and the highest capacity. Memory/RAM: Fast storage that a CPU can directly access, note that it can not store as much data as traditional solutions, but latency and transfer speed are much higher. There are currently four generations of it, that being DDR1, DDR2, DDR3, and DDR4, with DDR4 being the newest. Memory also has clock speeds which indicates indirectly how fast the data transfer is. Fab/Foundry: Where wafers are made, the three largest ones are TSMC, Intel and Samsung.
A brief history of the relation between Intel and AMD
Intel was founded in 1968 by a few people you may know about, Gordon Moore, Robert Noyce, and Arthur Rock. Gordon Moore and Robert Noyce had left Fairchild Semiconductors with Arthur Rock providing the initial capital. Together the three made the first commercial CPU, the 4004.
Intel 4004

AMD was founded a year later in 1969 and initially produced memory, but in 1981 they entered in a 10 year partnership with Intel as a secondary supplier as requested by IBM. At the time, most OEMs required a secondary supplier to ensure that they would not become too reliant on one company and to ensure that they would have enough supply should one company have issues. This meant that Intel licensed their technology to AMD so they could produce them at their own fabs.
This partnership did not last long when in 1984 Intel broke the partnership, and violated the terms which in and after numerous appeals and cases of discovery abuse on the side of Intel resulted in the court’s ruling in AMD’s favor in 19902. Because of this AMD was forced to set out and create their own chips, initially copying Intel’s 80C287, which would have been shared under the 10 year partnership. This resulted in Intel suing AMD for patent infringement, however the courts ruled in AMD’s favour citing the previously mentioned case.
As the decade progressed, and the 2000s rolled around AMD came out with their own products, which handily beat Intel’s own offerings, but the damage was already done. Intel was able to make so much money that they essentially had a monopoly on the CPU market.

Old benchmark demonstrating AMD’s advantage over Intel
But despite having the performance crown for about 7 years, their market share never came close to that of Intel, and the reason behind this would be revealed in 2009.
In 2009, the European commission fined Intel $USD 1.4b3. The reason behind this was Intel had bribed OEMs with cash incentives to not use AMD processors. This was to the point that Intel paid Dell 1b per year to not use AMD4. These bribes were so significant that when in 2006, in order not to be laughed out of business, they started to use AMD products, resulting in a massive 50% decrease in profit in 20065. That being said the damage was already done once again, and AMD was relegated to being a secondary competitor to Intel as they had simply run out of money. AMD released the Phenom in 2008, which was thoroughly crushed by the Intel competitors and after three years of refreshing the product with minor improvements, they released the horrible Bulldozer in 2011 which was legendary for its horrible performance, and insane power consumption. In 2016, they were near insolvency, with a share price bottoming out at 2$ per share.
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All the while, Intel made small iterative performance upgrades while making all the money they could ever want. This is why your computer from 2010 is still very serviceable in 2020, 10 years later.
In 2017, AMD released their new Zen architecture with a massive 40%+ leap in IPC bringing it back into competition with Intel. Furthermore, Zen was an MCM design meaning that you could pair a few small chips to act as one large chip via Infinity Fabric, an interconnect that acted as the highways permitting multiple chips, or chiplets to communicate with each other.
Intel VS. AMD in the modern age
A lot has happened in the last 5 years. Currently, Intel’s technology portfolio is a complete and utter disaster, rife with stagnation. For example, Intel’s primary product, Intel’s current offerings are a mere 7% better in applications that only use 1-2 cores, than those of AMD’s while using 50% more energy and having vastly inferior in the increasingly important applications which leverage more than four cores. Intel’s highest end desktop product, the w3175x, coming in at 3k only has 28 cores, whilst the highest end AMD cpu the 3990x, has over double at 64 cores. The performance disparity is clear, AMD is the only viable option for productivity. The story continues in servers where Intel is outclassed in a similar manner to that of the desktop with performance on the AMD side being well over 200% higher. The slaughter continues into laptops where AMD’s 4900HS, completely embarrasses the highest end Intel competition while consuming ⅓ the power. The only performance crown that Intel can claim is gaming, and even then it is a mere 7% higher, due to extreme clock speeds with their newest architecture, when compared to AMD’s design, which is over a year old.
There are multiple reasons why Intel is so behind in performance, the primary being nodes. Intel’s 10 nm node was slated to launch four years ago. Four years is a very long time for any company, especially for the semiconductor space, and the sole reason why Intel was not severely punished for these stagnations was that they were miles ahead of any competitor. Earlier on I mentioned that AMD had fabs and was a secondary supplier, however as they were approaching insolvency, they sold off their fabs and partnered with Global Foundries, and later TSMC. However TSMC ramped the 7 nm, which was designed to compete with 10nm, extremely fast, handedly taking Intel’s previous position as owning the most advanced fabs. Looking at Intel’s road map, volume 10 nm will most likely hit the market by 2021, if there are no further delays, but TSMC is not sitting still, they are also innovating with the 5 nm, which was designed to compete with Intel’s 7nm hitting markets in 2020. If Intel does not get 10 nm functioning by 2021, it will spell the end of Intel’s fabs. TSMC will be not one, but two nodes ahead of Intel.
This is also compounded, though to a lesser extent by there being little to no IPC improvements in 5 years, meaning that AMD was free to catch up and in many cases surpass them.
The final nail in the coffin when it comes to Intel in the near term is their security vulnerabilities. Before 2018, all security vulnerabilities were mainly from software attacks, but that changed with the discovery of Meltdown and Specter. To show how important these issues were, let me illustrate an example. Say you are a CEO of a major investment firm (lol), and you are using Intel servers to do whatever you need to do, you go about your day, the server is 100% secure from a software standpoint. Night comes, and you decide to look at how profitable your company was this quarter (again lol), but on the front page you see “Major leak at X company all confidential data was leaked,” you panic and call up your IT guy and he is in a panic, the head lines are correct all company data stored on any server that you own has been leaked and there is nothing you can do about it. That is the danger of these vulnerabilities. There is absolutely nothing you or your staff could have done, and worse yet, there are over a dozen similarly dangerous vulnerabilities, and over 600 more minor ones. The only way to try and prevent these leaks are to apply patches from Intel, but this results from anywhere between a 10% to a 60% loss in performance, which needs to be made up by buying new servers as you are already at 90-100% capacity. Then you hear that a certain company, AMD, was immune to this attack and their products are vastly superior. This is the major issue plaguing Intel at the moment. For the time being you will see a major rise in server sales as people scramble to buy up servers to remain operational, but in time they will switch to AMD, with AMD forecast to take 10% in Q2 20206, up from near 0% in 2016.
Intel VS. AMD in the near future
At the moment AMD is uniquely positioned, their competition has yet to compete truely with their 1 year old tech, and they are on track to release brand new CPUs this year in late Q3/Q4. As a warning, we are entering grounds of speculation, but do note that this speculation is based on reliable leakers like AdoredTV7 (correctly leaked entire AMD CPU product stack from last year with only minor errors), Moore’s Law is Dead8 (correctly leaked entire CPU product stack form Intel that was released this year with near 0 errors thus far).
AMD: Intel(New product titled Zen 3, releasing this year) (New product released this year)
16 cores with 32 threads N/A
12 cores with 24 threads 10 cores with 20 threads
8 cores with 16 threads 8 cores with 16 threads
6 cores with 12 threads 6 cores with 12 threads
Things to remember
– Zen 3 ~13-15% IPC bump7, with maybe 100ish MHz clock speed bump7, which will allow AMD to claim the final performance crown of gaming from Intel, this coupled with Intel being nowhere in sight will allow AMD to reign supreme in all faculties for a while.
Final thoughts
AMD is in an excellent position to capitalize on Intel’s stagnation. The security flaws could have not come at a better time, accelerating the world’s adoption of AMD CPUs and their new products will beat Intel in gaming thanks to the IPC and clock speed increase improving their gaming performance by at least 15%. Overall, Intel is a precarious spot, that being said they have vast sums of cash and they had a few key developments in the past few years which could allow them to catch up in 2022 or 2023. I will discuss that possibility in a later post along with an analysis of how AMD will perform in the GPU market with consoles on their side.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--Jim Cramer is Telling CCL to Sell More Stock While the Price is ~$17

That seems very bearish on their business .
He seems to think their stock is only going to go down @ @ @ @ @ .
Of course , it ’ s Jim Cramer , so take that as a @ @ @ @ @ , I think that ’ s a good move .
The market is balls deep @ @ @ @ @ everything ignoring the risk because gainz when the virus is gone.
” The market is @ @ @ @ @ way forever .
The market will probably shrug off a new liquidity sale of a @ @ @ @ @ which would buy them another couple of months .
Disclaimer : This information is only @ @ @ @ @ not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you @ @ @ @

by BS_Is_Annoying
That seems very bearish on their business. He seems to think their stock is only going to go down unless they get more liquidity.
Of course, it’s Jim Cramer, so take that as a grain of salt.
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Personally, I think that’s a good move. The market is balls deep in “buying anything and everything ignoring the risk because gainz when the virus is gone.” The market is not going to be that way forever. The market will probably shrug off a new liquidity sale of a few billion from CCL, which would buy them another couple of months.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--Robinhood Founders Respond To Alex Kearns’ Death By Suicide With Major Trading Platform Changes

Following the tragic death by suicide of a 20-year-old Robinhood trader after he saw a $ 730,000 negative balance in his account , the company ’ s founders released a statement pledging to tighten eligibility criteria , educational resources , and upgrades to its user interface for customers trading options .
In a statement on Friday , Robinhood co-founders Vlad Tenev and Baiju Bhatt said that they were “ personally devastated by this tragedy , ” and pledged to “ improve Robinhood ’ s customer experience ” in the future .
The company is specifically looking at making adjustments to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ exercise and assignment .
Robinhood is also working on changes to its user interface , namely the way buying power is displayed : In Kearns ’ case , although his account showed a balance of $ 16,000 , he misinterpreted his negative $ 730,000 buying power and cash balance as debt that he owed .
It was likely that Kearns was similarly involved in what is likely a “ bull put spread , ” which involves selling put options at a higher strike price , and buying puts at a lower strike price @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Robinhood is now pledging to add new criteria and educational resources for customers seeking to buy and sell options , in order to ensure they more fully understand the speculative nature of the trades .

Article
Following the tragic death by suicide of a 20-year-old Robinhood trader after he saw a $730,000 negative balance in his account, the company’s founders released a statement pledging to tighten eligibility criteria, educational resources, and upgrades to its user interface for customers trading options.
In a statement on Friday, Robinhood co-founders Vlad Tenev and Baiju Bhatt said that they were “personally devastated by this tragedy,” and pledged to “improve Robinhood’s customer experience” in the future. The company is specifically looking at making adjustments to its platform around option flows involving multi-leg exercise and assignment.
Robinhood is also working on changes to its user interface, namely the way buying power is displayed: In Kearns’ case, although his account showed a balance of $16,000, he misinterpreted his negative $730,000 buying power and cash balance as debt that he owed.
It was likely that Kearns was similarly involved in what is likely a “bull put spread,” which involves selling put options at a higher strike price, and buying puts at a lower strike price, both with the same expiration. Robinhood is now pledging to add new criteria and educational resources for customers seeking to buy and sell options, in order to ensure they more fully understand the speculative nature of the trades.


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--[Corbett Report] Who Will Fact Check the Fact Checker?

Another awesome report from master truth researcher & teacher James Corbett .
This one primarily covers the media/Internet “ fact @ @ @ @ @ becoming one of the most prominent tools used by TPTB to keep truth from reaching @ @ @

Another awesome report from master truth researcher & teacher James Corbett.
This one primarily covers the media/Internet “fact checkers” who are quickly becoming one of the most prominent tools used by TPTB to keep truth from reaching the taxcattle.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--Dowjones:  Brace for a monster sell off.

Dowjones:  Brace for a monster sell off.

Dowjones: Brace for a monster sell off. pic.twitter.com/O6rgHOnvEW — The Great Martis (@great_martis) June 19, 2020
Looks like we are heading for a stock market correction next week and into July. Could be everything between 10-15%. C wave. — Hoz (@Hoz94s) June 19, 2020
I wish there were signs of the most completely broken market in history. t.co/6KiKZepbfU — Paranoid Bull (@paranoidbull) June 19, 2020
KASHKARI SAYS HIS BASE CASE SCENARIO IS THAT WE WILL SEE A SECOND WAVE OF THE VIRUS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES, PROBABLY THIS FALL — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaOne) June 19, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--Tom Fitton: ‘No surprise more evidence of corruption is coming out’

Judicial Watch president Tom Fitton talks to FOX Business ’ Lou Dobbs about the latest news on Ukrainian officials reportedly @ @ @ @ @ bribe to stop an investigation into the founder of Burisma , a natural gas company @ @ @

Judicial Watch president Tom Fitton talks to FOX Business’ Lou Dobbs about the latest news on Ukrainian officials reportedly intercepting a $6 million bribe to stop an investigation into the founder of Burisma, a natural gas company. #FoxBusiness
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investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--Chinese analyst warns that India should clear all Chinese territories otherwise war will break out

Chinese analyst warns that India should clear all Chinese territories otherwise war will break out.. and also says that China @ @ @ @ @ kashmir to liberate it to help Pakistan… Pakistan must link up with China here actively @ @ @ @ @ by Pak .

Chinese analyst warns that India should clear all Chinese territories otherwise war will break out.. and also says that China could send troops to Indian kashmir to liberate it to help Pakistan…
Pakistan must link up with China here actively. Kashmir must be liberated by Pak.
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Chinese analyst warns that India should clear all Chinese territories otherwise war will break out.. and also says that China could send troops to Indian kashmir to liberate it to help Pakistan…
Pakistan must link up with China here actively. Kashmir must be liberated by Pak. pic.twitter.com/bvewSXkktg — Zaid Hamid (@ZaidZamanHamid) June 19, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--Nigel Farage Exposes Cultural Marxism and Fake News in the UK!

Trust in UK mainstream media is among the lowest in the world .
This is why .

Trust in UK mainstream media is among the lowest in the world. This is why.
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COVID phone tracking

Am I late the show on this one ?
Just checked and it ’ s on my phone but I @ @ @ @ @ ” to access

by Biegzy4444
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Am I late the show on this one? Just checked and it’s on my phone but I need an “authorized app” to access


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--VIDEO: A Powerful Statement To BLM From A Black Man

To the Democrat leaders who pander to black people & continue trying to hide their history of racism , this @ @ @ @ @ .
For more content visit my YouTube channel : t.co/0ppMXFjCiL pic.twitter.com/mscvDFnG5o

To the Democrat leaders who pander to black people & continue trying to hide their history of racism, this one’s for you.
For more content visit my YouTube channel: t.co/0ppMXFjCiL pic.twitter.com/mscvDFnG5o
— Damani Felder (@TheDamaniFelder) June 16, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--Seattle Healthcare Worker Indicted for Stealing and Selling Ventilators, COVID Supplies on eBay (JUS

Seattle Healthcare Worker Indicted for Stealing and Selling Ventilators, COVID Supplies on eBay (JUSTICE.GOV)

Considering the fast-moving news cycles , this DOJ indictment has many elements of seemingly disconnected narratives .
Apparently healthcare workers were not just proficient parading around in their insufferable Tik-Tok videos .
A Seattle healthcare worker -a ‘ respiratory therapist ’ - has been busted stealing COVID-19 supplies , including ventilators , from the VA hospital and selling them on eBay .
WASHINGTON STATE Seattle – A 41- year-old Bonney Lake , Washington , man was charged today in U.S. District Court in Seattle with theft of government property for his scheme to profit by stealing and selling respiratory support @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( VAMC ) , announced U.S. Attorney Brian T. Moran .
GENE WAMSLEY was employed as a Respiratory Therapist at VAMC until he was placed on leave from VAMC on June 9 , 2020 .
WAMSLEY made his initial appearance on the criminal complaint today in Seattle .
“ Right now respiratory support equipment is critical in medical care for those suffering with COVID-19 infections .
To steal and sell equipment needed to care for our veterans is a shocking betrayal , ” said U.S. Attorney Brian T. Moran .
According to the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ January 2020 when VAMC reported two bronchoscopes missing from the hospital .
A third bronchoscope was reported missing in April 2020 .
Staff at the VAMC had noticed bronchoscopes listed for sale on eBay from a seller in Bonney Lake , Washington .
The investigation linked the sale of three bronchoscopes to WAMSLEY .
A further review of eBay records revealed WAMSLEY had sold five ventilators in March and April 2020 .
Three ventilators were found to be missing from VMAC during the same time period .
EBay records reveal a variety of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ account linked to WAMSLEY .
Administrators at VAMC confirmed the items were used in the respiratory therapy department .
Law enforcement executed a court authorized search warrant at WAMSLEY ’ s home on June 9 , 2020 .
Medical supplies and eBay sales records were seized in the search .
( read more ) Several months ago President Trump was criticized for stating their was something odd about the amount of COVID supplies that were seemingly missing from shipments made to numerous hospitals ; the corporate media went bananas at the implication healthcare @ @ @ @ @ @

Considering the fast-moving news cycles, this DOJ indictment has many elements of seemingly disconnected narratives. Apparently healthcare workers were not just proficient parading around in their insufferable Tik-Tok videos.
A Seattle healthcare worker -a ‘respiratory therapist’- has been busted stealing COVID-19 supplies, including ventilators, from the VA hospital and selling them on eBay.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
WASHINGTON STATE Seattle – A 41- year-old Bonney Lake, Washington, man was charged today in U.S. District Court in Seattle with theft of government property for his scheme to profit by stealing and selling respiratory support equipment from the Veterans Affairs Medical Center (VAMC), announced U.S. Attorney Brian T. Moran. GENE WAMSLEY was employed as a Respiratory Therapist at VAMC until he was placed on leave from VAMC on June 9, 2020. WAMSLEY made his initial appearance on the criminal complaint today in Seattle.
“Right now respiratory support equipment is critical in medical care for those suffering with COVID-19 infections. To steal and sell equipment needed to care for our veterans is a shocking betrayal,” said U.S. Attorney Brian T. Moran. According to the criminal complaint, the investigation began in January 2020 when VAMC reported two bronchoscopes missing from the hospital. A third bronchoscope was reported missing in April 2020. Staff at the VAMC had noticed bronchoscopes listed for sale on eBay from a seller in Bonney Lake, Washington. The investigation linked the sale of three bronchoscopes to WAMSLEY. A further review of eBay records revealed WAMSLEY had sold five ventilators in March and April 2020. Three ventilators were found to be missing from VMAC during the same time period. EBay records reveal a variety of other respiratory support equipment sold by the account linked to WAMSLEY. Administrators at VAMC confirmed the items were used in the respiratory therapy department. Law enforcement executed a court authorized search warrant at WAMSLEY’s home on June 9, 2020. Medical supplies and eBay sales records were seized in the search. (read more)
Several months ago President Trump was criticized for stating their was something odd about the amount of COVID supplies that were seemingly missing from shipments made to numerous hospitals; the corporate media went bananas at the implication healthcare workers might be stealing… Well?


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--China’s Hidden History: Playing out today in the US?

See if you can spot the similarities here and there Seeing Through the Veil of the Chinese Communist Party ’ s Deception ( Minghui.org ) Some people in Western society have a misunderstanding about communism ’ s ideology of abolishing private property and achieving egalitarianism .
After all , what ’ s wrong with having equal opportunities for everyone ?
Looking at the history of communism , however , one will find that violent revolution was often used to seize private property to benefit privileged high-ranking officials and their families .
The so-called “ egalitarianism ” is just an empty @ @ @ @ @ @ @ people have come to recognize the harm of the Chinese Communist Party ( CCP ) during the coronavirus pandemic , it would be helpful to review what the CCP has done since it came to power several decades ago , including seizing private property , destroying traditional Chinese culture , and killing innocent citizens .
Robbing and Stealing Property Seizing private property is an inherent nature of the CCP that started in its early days .
For example , the CCP issued orders in the 1930s to kill the landlords , burn their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ wrote Gong Chu , a senior CCP official at the time .
Unable to tolerate the brutality anymore , he defected in 1935 .
Killing the landlords in the countryside was very cruel .
“ Officials would first torture these landlords with all kinds of methods to extort money and then kill them—even young children would not be spared , ” Gong explained , “ The word ‘ humanity ’ does not exist in the dictionary of the CCP.
” “ Let Some People Get Rich First ” Following the Cultural Revolution , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ new initiative , “ Let some people get rich first , ” which turned out to benefit the most offspring of the high-ranking officials .
Chen Yun , then second most powerful CCP official , and others agreed on a deal : one of each top officials ’ children would inherit high power while the other children would be allowed to make money by using their political connections without worrying about corruption charges .
This deal , hardly known to ordinary citizens , quickly enabled high-ranking officials and their families to accumulate assets @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Political and Legal Affairs Committee ( 2007-2012 ) , was reported to own a fortune of 90 billion yuan ( or $ 14 billion ) in 2012 .
The family of Jiang Zemin , former Party secretary , was reported to have overseas assets of about 500 billion yuan ( or $ 70 billion ) .
According to an “ Annual Report on the People ’ s Livelihood Survey in China ( 2015 ) ” published by Beijing University , the wealthiest 1 % of Chinese families owned about one-third of the country @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 25 % only owned 1 % of the assets .
A large portion of such asset redistribution was driven by the kinship .
Deutsche Welle , a German public radio , reported in April 2012 that 2,900 Chinese princelings owned a fortune of about 2 trillion yuan ( or $ 320 billion at that time ) .
They dominated many industries , especially finance , foreign trade , and real estate .
“ Among 3,220 Chinese people with fortunes of over 100 million yuan , only 288 are not offspring of high officials @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Culture and Killing People The traditional Chinese culture focuses on the harmony between heaven , earth , and man .
The communism theory , on the other hand , promotes class struggle .
To further penetrate this ideology in China , the CCP launched numerous political campaigns to pit one group of people against another group .
Notice anything similar ?
Think about the power/ wealth families – the Bush family ( with long term ties to China ’ s power/wealth structure , Senator Feinstein , the McCain family and the Kerry family @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a good look .
China ’ s Richest 2019 first few entries are part of the let some get rich category .
They could be compared with the American nobodies who became mega rich by owning tech companies .
The Populares were a political faction in the late Roman Republic who favoured the cause of the plebeians ( the commoners ) .
The Populares emerged as a political group with the reforms of the Gracchi brothers , who were tribunes of the plebs between 133 and 121 BC .
Although the Gracchi belonged @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the grandsons of Scipio Africanus , they were concerned for the urban poor , whose dire condition increased the risk of a social crisis at Rome .
They tried to implement a vast social program comprising a grain dole , new colonies , and a redistribution of the Ager publicus in order to alleviate their situation .
They also drafted laws to grant Roman citizenship to Italian allies , and reform the judicial system to tackle corruption .
Both brothers were nevertheless murdered by their opponents , the Optimates—the conservative faction representing the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ dominated the Senate .
Several tribunes of the plebs later tried to pass the Gracchi ’ s program by using plebiscites ( in order to bypass senatorial opposition ) , but Saturninus and Clodius Pulcher suffered the same fate as the Gracchi .
Furthermore , many politicians of the late Republic postured as Populares to enhance their popularity among the plebs , notably Julius Caesar and Octavian ( later Augustus ) , who finally enacted most of the Populares ’ platform during their rule .
The Populares counted a number of patricians—the most @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Lucius Cornelius Cinna , and Julius Caesar among their number .
They were allied to politicians of lesser status , especially “ new men ” like Gaius Marius , or Gaius Norbanus ( who might have even been a new Roman citizen ) .
Julius Caesar rode it to becoming EMPEROR .

See if you can spot the similarities here and there
Seeing Through the Veil of the Chinese Communist Party’s Deception
(Minghui.org) Some people in Western society have a misunderstanding about communism’s ideology of abolishing private property and achieving egalitarianism. After all, what’s wrong with having equal opportunities for everyone?
Looking at the history of communism, however, one will find that violent revolution was often used to seize private property to benefit privileged high-ranking officials and their families. The so-called “egalitarianism” is just an empty promise made by communists.
As more people have come to recognize the harm of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) during the coronavirus pandemic, it would be helpful to review what the CCP has done since it came to power several decades ago, including seizing private property, destroying traditional Chinese culture, and killing innocent citizens.
Robbing and Stealing Property
Seizing private property is an inherent nature of the CCP that started in its early days. For example, the CCP issued orders in the 1930s to kill the landlords, burn their houses, and take their property, wrote Gong Chu, a senior CCP official at the time. Unable to tolerate the brutality anymore, he defected in 1935.
Killing the landlords in the countryside was very cruel. “Officials would first torture these landlords with all kinds of methods to extort money and then kill them—even young children would not be spared,” Gong explained, “The word ‘humanity’ does not exist in the dictionary of the CCP.”
“Let Some People Get Rich First”
Following the Cultural Revolution, then communist leader Deng Xiaoping launched a new initiative, “Let some people get rich first,” which turned out to benefit the most offspring of the high-ranking officials. Chen Yun, then second most powerful CCP official, and others agreed on a deal: one of each top officials’ children would inherit high power while the other children would be allowed to make money by using their political connections without worrying about corruption charges.
This deal, hardly known to ordinary citizens, quickly enabled high-ranking officials and their families to accumulate assets. Zhou Yongkang, secretary of the Political and Legal Affairs Committee (2007-2012), was reported to own a fortune of 90 billion yuan (or $14 billion) in 2012. The family of Jiang Zemin, former Party secretary, was reported to have overseas assets of about 500 billion yuan (or $70 billion).
According to an “Annual Report on the People’s Livelihood Survey in China (2015)” published by Beijing University, the wealthiest 1% of Chinese families owned about one-third of the country’s assets, while the bottom 25% only owned 1% of the assets.
A large portion of such asset redistribution was driven by the kinship. Deutsche Welle, a German public radio, reported in April 2012 that 2,900 Chinese princelings owned a fortune of about 2 trillion yuan (or $320 billion at that time). They dominated many industries, especially finance, foreign trade, and real estate. “Among 3,220 Chinese people with fortunes of over 100 million yuan, only 288 are not offspring of high officials,” wrote the report.
Destroying Culture and Killing People
The traditional Chinese culture focuses on the harmony between heaven, earth, and man. The communism theory, on the other hand, promotes class struggle. To further penetrate this ideology in China, the CCP launched numerous political campaigns to pit one group of people against another group.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
en.minghui.org/html/articles/2020/6/19/185574.html
Notice anything similar? Think about the power/ wealth families – the Bush family (with long term ties to China’s power/wealth structure, Senator Feinstein, the McCain family and the Kerry family, and on and on. Take a good look.
China’s Richest 2019
first few entries are part of the let some get rich category. They could be compared with the American nobodies who became mega rich by owning tech companies.
www.forbes.com/china-billionaires/#4adf184aae43
Populares
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Populares were a political faction in the late Roman Republic who favoured the cause of the plebeians (the commoners).
The Populares emerged as a political group with the reforms of the Gracchi brothers, who were tribunes of the plebs between 133 and 121 BC. Although the Gracchi belonged to the highest Roman aristocracy, being the grandsons of Scipio Africanus, they were concerned for the urban poor, whose dire condition increased the risk of a social crisis at Rome. They tried to implement a vast social program comprising a grain dole, new colonies, and a redistribution of the Ager publicus in order to alleviate their situation. They also drafted laws to grant Roman citizenship to Italian allies, and reform the judicial system to tackle corruption. Both brothers were nevertheless murdered by their opponents, the Optimates—the conservative faction representing the interests of the landed aristocracy, who dominated the Senate. Several tribunes of the plebs later tried to pass the Gracchi’s program by using plebiscites (in order to bypass senatorial opposition), but Saturninus and Clodius Pulcher suffered the same fate as the Gracchi. Furthermore, many politicians of the late Republic postured as Populares to enhance their popularity among the plebs, notably Julius Caesar and Octavian (later Augustus), who finally enacted most of the Populares’ platform during their rule.
The Populares counted a number of patricians—the most ancient Roman aristocrats—such as Appius Claudius Pulcher, Lucius Cornelius Cinna, and Julius Caesar among their number. They were allied to politicians of lesser status, especially “new men” like Gaius Marius, or Gaius Norbanus (who might have even been a new Roman citizen).
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Populares
It’s an old game.
Julius Caesar rode it to becoming EMPEROR.
h/t Lily


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--DOJ Shuts Down Sex Trafficking ‘CityXGuide’ site that ‘Picks up where Backpage left off’

GOOD !
Shut down all these sickos trafficking women and children !
Justice Department Retweeted US Attorney N. Texas @ @ @ @ @ @ CityXGuide ” website — a leading source of online advertisements for prostitution and sex trafficking @ @ @ @ @ taking over from where Backpage left off ” — has been seized and its owner @ @ @ @ @ indictment .
“ Like the owners of Backpage , this defendant made millions facilitating the @ @ @ @ @ children .
The Justice Department will not rest until these sites are eliminated and their @ @ @ @ @ crimes .
”

GOOD! Shut down all these sickos trafficking women and children!
Justice Department Retweeted
US Attorney N. Texas
@NDTXnews
·
18m
The “CityXGuide” website — a leading source of online advertisements for prostitution and sex trafficking that users described as “taking over from where Backpage left off” — has been seized and its owner charged in a 28-count federal indictment.
The "CityXGuide" website — a leading source of online advertisements for prostitution and sex trafficking that users described as “taking over from where Backpage left off” — has been seized and its owner charged in a 28-count federal indictment.t.co/MkbHqdwuZn pic.twitter.com/vO54f3kz62 — US Attorney N. Texas (@NDTXnews) June 19, 2020
“Like the owners of Backpage, this defendant made millions facilitating the online exploitation of women and children. The Justice Department will not rest until these sites are eliminated and their owners held accountable for their crimes.”
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
www.justice.gov/usao-ndtx/pr/us-attorney-s-office-shuts-down-website-promoting-prostitution-and-sex-trafficking
h/t Inquire Within


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--It’s not our movement. Connected to Soros. Pretty much sums up BLM in a minute.

A really quick summary of the BLM movement .
Basically it ’ s not an organic movement and was given @ @ @ @ @ or whoever else .
The money is not going to black people , black peoples @ @ @ @ @ addressed , and a lot of people are waking up to the circus going on @ @ @

by boomerpro
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
A really quick summary of the BLM movement. Basically it’s not an organic movement and was given to the people by Soros or whoever else. The money is not going to black people, black peoples concerns aren’t being addressed, and a lot of people are waking up to the circus going on around us.


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--To “V” or Not to “V”? That is the question.

Whether it is more likely for the economy to recover in a V-shaped pattern or not , the stock market did .
Now it is struggling everyday to hold the pattern as it keeps trying to refasten on news of a V-shaped recovery but gets beaten down by news of COVID-19 threatening the recovery : Stocks rose on Tuesday as a record jump in retail sales — coupled with positive trial results from a potential coronavirus treatment and hopes of more stimulus — sent market sentiment soaring… .
The U.S. government reported a record 17.7 % increase in retail sales @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Jones expected a gain of 7.7 % .
President Donald Trump touted the strong data , adding it “ looks like a BIG DAY FOR THE STOCK MARKET , AND JOBS… !
” “ A potential Covid steroid treatment in the UK combined with record retail sales and news of additional stimulus has been met with unbridled optimism , ” said Mike Loewengart , a managing director at E-Trade .
“ We ’ ve been used to seeing record lows in economic fundamentals over the past few months and to see the pendulum @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is nothing if not encouraging.
” “ Dow jumps more than 500 points as Wall Street cheers record retail sales comeback “ This is exactly what I have said we will see happening during the “ reopening ” of the forcibly closed economy .
So long as COVID-19 keeps its head down ( or news about it is postive ) , the market can focus on any positive news that reinforces the fantasy of the “ V. ” Bad news about COVID-19 , on the other hand , puts the fantasy of a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that is what slammed the economy and stock market down in late February and March .
In this article , I ’ m going to point out , first , the news that reinforces the fake narrative of a V-shaped recovery and how the market responds to it .
( Like the news item above . )
Then I ’ m going to lay out the deeper news the market is ignoring that shows there is no “ V ” forming in the economy , though one certainly formed for awhile in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ once the fantasy narrative bubble pops .
It is the fantasy , not the Fed , pushing the market up now ( as I ’ ve shown in recent articles and will be showing in a few other articles this week ) .
Though the Fed ’ s support and government support is the only foundation this rigged market has now that the economy has fallen far out from under it , the false recovery narrative is the thrust that drives it up ( particularly via new retail investors on Robinhood ) .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ supports the V-shaped recovery narrative Naturally when an artificially shutdown economy reopens , some economic indicators will rise quickly .
That creates a short-term illusion of a V-shaped recovery .
True recovery , however , means you get back to the health you once had .
If you bounce quickly back to halfway , that ’ s not recovery .
Partial recovery , no matter how quickly it comes , still leaves you in a bad way .
You only know how much of the economy is going to stop short of bouncing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and you see what didn ’ t return — what businesses remain close , what stead drone of businesses that tried to reopen give up and close again , etc .
Right now , the news is all about what is returning .
Here is that v-shaped news , which is the only news this irrational market can see through the v-shaped slots in its glasses : Reopening brought jobless claims down and total unemployment down That sent the market up last week in a flurry of hope as being the most @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lot more on that in the next section as to why it was far from matching the great expectations the market has . )
Housing looked good on the surface , too The market loved this early-morning report , so it started off with a rise on Wednesday … until it didn ’ t .
( You ’ ll see below what lay deeper ini the numbers . )
… and the stock market with it : The highly desired retail narrative did the trick to buffer the apparent COVID resurgence in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at first .
It gave the Trump something to blow his horn about : We ’ ll look at the second part of that headline below .
Empire State Manufacturing Survey slams it out of the park This one took a huge rise from a level of -48.5 last month to -0.2 .
That ’ s almost full recovery for that particular index .
We ’ ll look in the following section at why all of this is less impressive than it sounds .
Jobs have not been coming back Sure new jobless @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the headline in the first section , which got the stock market enflamed with ecstasy , and they have continued to drop .
However , as MarketWatch points out , they did not fall enough to lower the number of people continuing to collect unemployment , which came down with the first big headline number , but have flatlined ever since : And , today , the new jobless numbers came in almost as bad , instead of better as hoped .
Economists had anticipated new jobless claims would drop to 1.35 million @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , 1.5 million people applied for jobless benefits last week ( barely better than the 1.57 million the week before ) .
The relentless waves of people newly applying for unemployment benefits suggests new layoffs are continuing to crash over the economy , even as the economy reopens , rather than things improving as hoped .
The number of continuing jobless claims is riding around 20 million — if anything a little higher than the last three bars in the graph above .
Looking deeper , the numbers are worse than that because @ @ @ @ @ @ @ miscategorized themselves .
If those who are effectively unemployed but are receiving benefits through their employers due to the CARES PPP program had counted themselves as unemployed , the total would be about 28 million .
The deeper news , you see , is actually alarming , but the “ V ” narrative people are only looking at the superficial headline number : This is the downside I ’ ve been talking about , which I said would be buried beneath the headlines of jobs coming back .
Bloomberg opines , Whoa !
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ out so great with the headline in the first section .
Did someone open the hood and actually look inside to see what was beneath that lovely race-car body ?
Yes , they did .
The market was wonderfully rising in the shiny headline number … but only this much once compared to how it fell : ( The red line , not the blue . )
The blue line ( permits ) was up a bit more , but it ’ s got a long ways to go , too , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t stay down as the above information says they are so far .
It requires that COVID-19 doesn ’ t cause people to social distance and avoid open houses .
If its hard to make sales , builders won ’ t build spec .
houses .
The deeper look missed expectations by a mile .
Of course , June , when things reopened a lot more , could be a lot better .
We shall see .
As for those mortgage applications that are on the rise , that ’ s good @ @ @ @ @ @ @ applications that are on the rise .
Banks are getting much more concerned about making loans in this uncertain employment environment where the number of loans in forbearance is now over 8 ’ % .
That is causing them to tighten up terms and approve a smaller percentage of applicants .
Actual available mortgage credit fell 3 % in May on top of having fallen 12 % in April .
Small business optimism may have risen , but earnings declined Ask yourself what is more important in this report — the hopes for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ happen ?
We already know the hopes are on V-shaped recovery flight path .
So , that part of this report almost isn ’ t even news .
Owners can expect all they want , but how much business improvement did they actually see so far ?
Expectations were up , but actual results were down .
And notice that the amount optimism improved didn ’ t retrace very far up this chart from how far it initially fell .
So , even the expectations are weak : It sounded great in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a lot to be recovered .
( That ’ s what I called the backward checkmark .
I anticipate it will go up quite a bit more in June but will , then , trail off into oblivion for , at least , a couple of years .
How much rehiring did those small businesses do ?
Not through May 20th anyway .
And jobs are where everything rests for the present and future economy .
So , the important numbers that would actually show the green shoots of regrowth … were all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ — the same hope raising the stock market .
Under the hood of that New York Manufacturing Survey , not so great The top numbers sounded great as I noted above : It was the optimism ( the expectations of future improvement ) , again , that rose .
The next numbers — actual business statistics — not so good : In other words , the costs of manufacturing ( input prices ) rose , but the amount manufacturers could get when selling their poducts remains flat — simply stopped falling .
Nearly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ down .
The three-month average for those trends , looked like this : It speaks for itself .
Really , the six-month expectations that drove the headline number up are all just part of the reopening euphoria .
If you want a picture of actual business , here ’ s a better one , although it is global , not specifically US : Cargo/freight shows no signs of recovery at all This is what I ’ ve been saying .
It ’ s where the reopening recovery stops that matters , not how @ @ @ @ @ @ @ looks more like what I ’ m actually counting on where the initial recovery due to reopening looks like a backward check mark , but what plays out after that makes the whole thing look more like a lazy “ W ” that never does get us back to where we were .
The purple line is the OECD ’ s most optimistic projection .
( “ Single hit ” means COVID-19 has already made its one hit , and we ’ re on the mend for good .
“ Double hit ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ stages a resurgence . )
Right now the market sees the highly predictable initial bounce phase and is convinced that means the “ V ” is coming through !
The Cass Freight Index certainly didn ’ t make any turnaround so far : What brought this sudden massive drop back down after weeks of gradual improvement ?
News of a COVID-19 resurgence , of course !
If there is one place people don ’ t want to be in another COVID breakout , it ’ s in a restaurant surrounded by people where @ @ @ @ @ @ @ prepared , hoping nothing they touch while eating has been touched by anyone in the restaurant before them , hoping that the air they breath didn ’ t float across from that cougher sitting a little over six safety feet away .
But , hey , at least malls are closing for good Those Robinhood traders !
They love that sort of thing .
A good nearly bankrupt mall developer to bid up is almost as good as bankrupt Hertz stock .
America ’ s largest mall , Mall of America in Minneapolis @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , having missed two payments .
The loans delinquencies can be expected with so many mall shops not paying rent because they ’ ve had no customers for two months , but the number of mall shop vacancies is more concerning : Those are shops we know are not coming back because they ’ ve already cleared out all their stock , and there will be more to give up as customers are reluctant to return in force to spaces that used to be crowded and are , therefore , thought of as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ doesn ’ t stop investors from bidding up I could go on and on , but you get it .
So , I ’ m going to leave off the other things I was going to share and show just one last chart that brings all the forward-looking economic indicators together : If you look closely , you can actually see the reopening recovery blip … well the amount of improvement promising recovery down the road , since these are leading indicators .
I ’ m going to let someone else sum all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ don ’ t hear it only from me … That ’ s just one person ’ s opinion , just like mine ; but so far this is all panning out exactly as I said it would — a bounce in the surface headlines that is driving the market to keep trying to reach higher except when COVID-19 headlines try to stuff it down , all the time ignoring the deeper truths beneath the headlines that speak of a protracted economic depression ahead .

by David Haggith
Whether it is more likely for the economy to recover in a V-shaped pattern or not, the stock market did. Now it is struggling everyday to hold the pattern as it keeps trying to refasten on news of a V-shaped recovery but gets beaten down by news of COVID-19 threatening the recovery:
Stocks rose on Tuesday as a record jump in retail sales — coupled with positive trial results from a potential coronavirus treatment and hopes of more stimulus — sent market sentiment soaring…. The U.S. government reported a record 17.7% increase in retail sales for May…. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a gain of 7.7%. President Donald Trump touted the strong data, adding it “looks like a BIG DAY FOR THE STOCK MARKET, AND JOBS…!” “A potential Covid steroid treatment in the UK combined with record retail sales and news of additional stimulus has been met with unbridled optimism,” said Mike Loewengart, a managing director at E-Trade. “We’ve been used to seeing record lows in economic fundamentals over the past few months and to see the pendulum swing so far in the other direction is nothing if not encouraging.” “Dow jumps more than 500 points as Wall Street cheers record retail sales comeback“
This is exactly what I have said we will see happening during the “reopening” of the forcibly closed economy. So long as COVID-19 keeps its head down (or news about it is postive), the market can focus on any positive news that reinforces the fantasy of the “V.”
Bad news about COVID-19, on the other hand, puts the fantasy of a V-shaped recovery at obvious risk, since that is what slammed the economy and stock market down in late February and March.
Just keep the blinders on, and all will be fine | source: Hedgeye
In this article, I’m going to point out, first, the news that reinforces the fake narrative of a V-shaped recovery and how the market responds to it. (Like the news item above.) Then I’m going to lay out the deeper news the market is ignoring that shows there is no “V” forming in the economy, though one certainly formed for awhile in the stock market.
This market is doomed once the fantasy narrative bubble pops. It is the fantasy, not the Fed, pushing the market up now (as I’ve shown in recent articles and will be showing in a few other articles this week). Though the Fed’s support and government support is the only foundation this rigged market has now that the economy has fallen far out from under it, the false recovery narrative is the thrust that drives it up (particularly via new retail investors on Robinhood).
To “V” — news that supports the V-shaped recovery narrative
Naturally when an artificially shutdown economy reopens, some economic indicators will rise quickly. That creates a short-term illusion of a V-shaped recovery. True recovery, however, means you get back to the health you once had. If you bounce quickly back to halfway, that’s not recovery. Partial recovery, no matter how quickly it comes, still leaves you in a bad way.
You only know how much of the economy is going to stop short of bouncing back when the initial bounce slows down, and you see what didn’t return — what businesses remain close, what stead drone of businesses that tried to reopen give up and close again, etc. Right now, the news is all about what is returning.
Here is that v-shaped news, which is the only news this irrational market can see through the v-shaped slots in its glasses:
Reopening brought jobless claims down and total unemployment down
That sent the market up last week in a flurry of hope as being the most important news out there. (A lot more on that in the next section as to why it was far from matching the great expectations the market has.)
Blowout jobs report justifies stock surge, bond market sell off Stocks surged and bonds sold off after the surprise record gain of 2.5 million jobs in May, a sharp contrast to the loss of 8.3 million jobs expected by Wall Street economists. Industrials, financials and real estate led Friday’s rally, all sectors that benefit most from an economic rebound…. As economists scratch their heads, the surprise gain of 2.5 million jobs in May shows that markets were right to bet on an improving economy…. CNBC
Housing looked good on the surface, too
Housing starts climb 4.3% in May as buyers return and builders aim to speed up work. U.S. building permits jump 14.4% in May, signaling faster housing rebound…. Although the increase was less than expected, a sharp rise in builder permits indicates construction is on track to expand more rapidly soon…. What’s lighting a fire under builders is a surge in applications to buy a new home…. A strong housing market will help the economy recovery faster…. “The outlook is very positive, given the astonishing surge in mortgage demand….” MarketWatch
The market loved this early-morning report, so it started off with a rise on Wednesday … until it didn’t. (You’ll see below what lay deeper ini the numbers.)
Retail popped back up
… and the stock market with it:
Dow jumps more than 500 points as Wall Street cheers record retail sales comeback. Stocks rose on Tuesday as a record jump in retail sales — coupled with positive trial results from a potential coronavirus treatment and hopes of more stimulus — sent market sentiment soaring. CNBC
The highly desired retail narrative did the trick to buffer the apparent COVID resurgence in the news that threatened Tuesday’s numbers at first. It gave the Trump something to blow his horn about:
The U.S. government reported a record 17.7% increase in retail sales for May. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a gain of 7.7%. President Donald Trump touted the strong data, adding it “looks like a BIG DAY FOR THE STOCK MARKET, AND JOBS!”
Small business optimism rose
Small Business Optimism Index Rebounds from April, Earnings Trends Decline The Small Business Optimism Index increased 3.5 points in May to 94.4, a strong improvement from April’s 90.9 reading. Eight of the 10 Index components improved in May and two declined…. Reports of expected business conditions in the next six months increased 5 points … following a 24-point increase in April. Owners are optimistic about future business conditions and expect the recession to be short-lived. National Federation of Independent Business
We’ll look at the second part of that headline below.
Empire State Manufacturing Survey slams it out of the park
This one took a huge rise from a level of -48.5 last month to -0.2. That’s almost full recovery for that particular index. We’ll look in the following section at why all of this is less impressive than it sounds.
Not to “V”
Jobs have not been coming back
Jobless claims set to top 1 million again, but what’s worse is the agonizingly slow decline in people getting unemployment benefits Continuing claims still don’t show big improvement in labor market. MarketWatch
Sure new jobless claims took a drop as noted in the headline in the first section, which got the stock market enflamed with ecstasy, and they have continued to drop. However, as MarketWatch points out, they did not fall enough to lower the number of people continuing to collect unemployment, which came down with the first big headline number, but have flatlined ever since:
And, today, the new jobless numbers came in almost as bad, instead of better as hoped. Economists had anticipated new jobless claims would drop to 1.35 million if things are getting better. Instead, 1.5 million people applied for jobless benefits last week (barely better than the 1.57 million the week before).
The relentless waves of people newly applying for unemployment benefits suggests new layoffs are continuing to crash over the economy, even as the economy reopens, rather than things improving as hoped. The number of continuing jobless claims is riding around 20 million — if anything a little higher than the last three bars in the graph above.
Looking deeper, the numbers are worse than that because the BLS reports that many people have miscategorized themselves. If those who are effectively unemployed but are receiving benefits through their employers due to the CARES PPP program had counted themselves as unemployed, the total would be about 28 million.
The deeper news, you see, is actually alarming, but the “V” narrative people are only looking at the superficial headline number:
“We are becoming increasingly perplexed by relatively stable jobless claims that should be dropping rapidly if net rehiring is occurring,” economist Andrew Hollenhurst of Citibank wrote in a recent report. Which is why economists also worry about the still-elevated rate of new jobless claims…. The fear is that many layoffs that were as first seen as temporary are now becoming permanent as executives and small-business owners realize the scope of the decline in sales. MarketWatch
This is the downside I’ve been talking about, which I said would be buried beneath the headlines of jobs coming back. Bloomberg opines,
Millions of Job Losses Are at Risk of Becoming Permanent. How many of the millions of lost jobs are gone for good?… The hope is the waves of stimulus doled out by governments and central banks should eventually buoy economies and spark a revival in hiring…. The risk though is that the pandemic is inflicting a “reallocation shock” in which firms and even entire sectors suffer lasting damage. Lost jobs don’t come back and unemployment stays elevated. That would force workers to retrain or relocate, both of which are hard…. It was a theme hit upon last week by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell…. There will be “well into the millions of people who don’t get to go back to their old job,” said Powell…. Unfortunately, new research by Bloomberg Economics reckons 30% of U.S. job losses from February to May are the result of a reallocation shock. The analysis … suggests the labor market will initially recover swiftly, but then level off with millions still unemployed…. Bloomberg
Housing looked great … until it didn’t
No ‘V’ Here – US Housing Starts Hugely Disappoint Following April’s bloodbath to five year lows, housing starts and permits were expected to rebound V-like in May (despite lockdowns being in full swing that month). And as we suspected, the data disappointed with a massive miss in Housing Starts (+4.3% MoM vs +23.5% MoM expected). Zero Hedge
Whoa! What happened, the morning news started out so great with the headline in the first section. Did someone open the hood and actually look inside to see what was beneath that lovely race-car body?
Yes, they did. The market was wonderfully rising in the shiny headline number … but only this much once compared to how it fell: (The red line, not the blue.)
Heck, that’s barely even a sneeze.
The blue line (permits) was up a bit more, but it’s got a long ways to go, too, and going that distance requires that jobs don’t stay down as the above information says they are so far. It requires that COVID-19 doesn’t cause people to social distance and avoid open houses. If its hard to make sales, builders won’t build spec. houses.
The deeper look missed expectations by a mile.
Of course, June, when things reopened a lot more, could be a lot better. We shall see.
On an aggregate basis, it’s clear the “V” was disappointing…
As for those mortgage applications that are on the rise, that’s good news; but it’s only applications that are on the rise. Banks are getting much more concerned about making loans in this uncertain employment environment where the number of loans in forbearance is now over 8’%. That is causing them to tighten up terms and approve a smaller percentage of applicants.
Actual available mortgage credit fell 3% in May on top of having fallen 12% in April.
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Small business optimism may have risen, but earnings declined
Ask yourself what is more important in this report — the hopes for what might happen or what actually did happen? We already know the hopes are on V-shaped recovery flight path. So, that part of this report almost isn’t even news.
Eight of the 10 Index components improved in May and two declined…. Owners are optimistic about future business conditions and expect the recession to be short-lived. NFIB
Owners can expect all they want, but how much business improvement did they actually see so far?
Earnings trends declined six points to a net negative 26%. Among owners reporting weaker profits, 46% blamed weak sales
Expectations were up, but actual results were down. And notice that the amount optimism improved didn’t retrace very far up this chart from how far it initially fell. So, even the expectations are weak:
It sounded great in the headlines, but the good news left a lot to be recovered. (That’s what I called the backward checkmark. I anticipate it will go up quite a bit more in June but will, then, trail off into oblivion for, at least, a couple of years.
How much rehiring did those small businesses do?
Well, none …
NFIB
Not through May 20th anyway. And jobs are where everything rests for the present and future economy.
So, the important numbers that would actually show the green shoots of regrowth … were all absent. Nothing but the hope rose — the same hope raising the stock market.
Under the hood of that New York Manufacturing Survey, not so great
The top numbers sounded great as I noted above:
Business activity steadied in New York State, according to firms responding to the June 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. After breaching record lows in April and May, the headline general business conditions index climbed forty-eight points to -0.2….. Firms were notably more optimistic that conditions would be better in six months, with the index for future business conditions rising to its highest level in more than a decade. Advisor Perspectives
It was the optimism (the expectations of future improvement), again, that rose. The next numbers — actual business statistics — not so good:
New orders were unchanged from last month…. Delivery times and inventories were little changed. Employment levels edged slightly lower and the average workweek continued to decline. Input price increases picked up, and selling prices stabilized.
In other words, the costs of manufacturing (input prices) rose, but the amount manufacturers could get when selling their poducts remains flat — simply stopped falling. Nearly all actual business metrics were flat or down.
The three-month average for those trends, looked like this:
It speaks for itself.
Really, the six-month expectations that drove the headline number up are all just part of the reopening euphoria. If you want a picture of actual business, here’s a better one, although it is global, not specifically US:
Cargo/freight shows no signs of recovery at all
No V-Shaped Recovery? Cargo Vessel Calls Plunge At Singapore Port To Three Decade Low Singapore’s geographical location makes it … home to one of the largest ports in the world…. Port activity data … is suggesting world trade has yet to recover, which means a V-shaped recovery in the global economy is unlikely in the back half of the year…. The number of vessel callings … sank in May to 3,059, the lowest since 1993, or near a three-decade low…. Containerized activity remained sluggish last month, despite the hopes for a recovery in world trade — Reuters notes shipping activity and bunker demand is expected to slump through June…. Maersk dashed all hope that a V-shaped recovery would be seen in the back half of the year…. The World Trade Organization (WTO) published its Goods Trade Barometer in late May, which suggested a sharp contraction in world trade would extend through summer…. Zero Hedge
Last week, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) warned the COVID-19 pandemic triggered one of the most severe global recessions in nearly a century and will leave the world scarred for years. “Most people see a V-shaped recovery, but we think it’s going to stop halfway. By the end of 2021, the loss of income exceeds that of any previous recession over the last 100 years outside wartime, with dire and long-lasting consequences for people, firms, and governments.”
This is what I’ve been saying. It’s where the reopening recovery stops that matters, not how it start out.
The red line looks more like what I’m actually counting on where the initial recovery due to reopening looks like a backward check mark, but what plays out after that makes the whole thing look more like a lazy “W” that never does get us back to where we were. The purple line is the OECD’s most optimistic projection. (“Single hit” means COVID-19 has already made its one hit, and we’re on the mend for good. “Double hit” means, of course, that COVID-19 stages a resurgence.)
Right now the market sees the highly predictable initial bounce phase and is convinced that means the “V” is coming through!
The Cass Freight Index certainly didn’t make any turnaround so far:
Hopes for a US restaurant crowd suffer indigestion
The COVID-19 pandemic has forced restaurants to limit and change operations. Even as cities and states begin to reopen, our community of nearly 60,000 restaurants continues to face unprecedented challenges…. OpenTable
After three months of slow but consistent improvement in restaurant dining data … restaurant traffic suddenly tumbled, sliding from a -66.5% y/y decline as of June 13 to -78.8% globally…. The drop was uniform across most US states, which saw a traffic dip between 10% and 25% overnight. Zero Hedge
What brought this sudden massive drop back down after weeks of gradual improvement? News of a COVID-19 resurgence, of course!
If there is one place people don’t want to be in another COVID breakout, it’s in a restaurant surrounded by people where the food they are eating is being prepared, hoping nothing they touch while eating has been touched by anyone in the restaurant before them, hoping that the air they breath didn’t float across from that cougher sitting a little over six safety feet away.
But, hey, at least malls are closing for good
Default by mall-owner CBL sparks another manic-bid By Robinhood daytraders As we describe below, the first major US shopping mall operator could be on the brink of bankruptcy as it would suggest the commercial real estate bust is underway. Mall operator CBL & Associates fired a warning shot on June 5 that said tenants across 108 of its properties paid just 27% of April’s rent…, forcing CBL to default on a secured credit line, significantly raising bankruptcy risk…. Coresight Research warned that 25,000 retail stores could close in 2020, something that would undoubtedly lead to other mall operators coming under severe financial distress…. Zero Hedge
Those Robinhood traders! They love that sort of thing. A good nearly bankrupt mall developer to bid up is almost as good as bankrupt Hertz stock.
America’s largest mall, Mall of America in Minneapolis is also on the verge of default, having missed two payments.
The loans delinquencies can be expected with so many mall shops not paying rent because they’ve had no customers for two months, but the number of mall shop vacancies is more concerning:
Those are shops we know are not coming back because they’ve already cleared out all their stock, and there will be more to give up as customers are reluctant to return in force to spaces that used to be crowded and are, therefore, thought of as likely contagion hubs.
Bad overall picture doesn’t stop investors from bidding up
Stock markets bounce back despite poor economic prognosis Downbeat assessments of the economic impact of Covid-19 from America’s central bank and the International Monetary Fund failed to dampen spirits on the world’s stock markets as they bounced back strongly from recent heavy falls. The Guardian
I could go on and on, but you get it. So, I’m going to leave off the other things I was going to share and show just one last chart that brings all the forward-looking economic indicators together:
If you look closely, you can actually see the reopening recovery blip … well the amount of improvement promising recovery down the road, since these are leading indicators.
I’m going to let someone else sum all this up for me
Just so you don’t hear it only from me …
Following the bear-market decline in the stock market, I started to look for the inflection point in economic data, indicating the rate of change was starting to become less negative. Historically, that point has coincided with the bottoming process for stocks. Complicating this process was the fact that the stock market raced to a recovery well before the economic data materially improved. Additionally, several state economies reopened in advance of containing the spread of the coronavirus, which further fueled the enthusiasm for risk assets. Regardless, we did see some modest improvement in the economic data. The issue now is that both the stock market recovery and economic reopening of several states look like head fakes. Stock prices are well ahead of any sustainable improvement in economic fundamentals, and the states that reopened their economies did so without containing the spread of the virus. Don’t fall for the fake. We are likely to see a further deterioration in the economic data this summer, which coincides with a retest of the March lows in the stock market. The depth of the decline in both will be a function of the fiscal and monetary policy responses this summer. Seeking Alpha
That’s just one person’s opinion, just like mine; but so far this is all panning out exactly as I said it would — a bounce in the surface headlines that is driving the market to keep trying to reach higher except when COVID-19 headlines try to stuff it down, all the time ignoring the deeper truths beneath the headlines that speak of a protracted economic depression ahead.
I call it “The Epocalypse.”


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--$10 Trillion Federal Budget & Fed Buying Stocks & Bonds? This Fantasy Will End Soon!

The U.S. federal government and its monopolist financier , The Federal Reserve , have created an economic fantasy world .
@ @ @ @ @ trying to keep it going .
If there ’ s only one lesson of history @ @ @ @ @ , it ’ s that central planning and central bank counterfeiting always fails .
Land @ @ @ @ @ % Of Americans Very Stressed Over Nation ’ s Future : Study Finds You don @ @ @ @ @ scientist to guess that Americans are probably stressed out these days .
The results of @ @ @ @ @ shocking extent of that stress .

The U.S. federal government and its monopolist financier, The Federal Reserve, have created an economic fantasy world. They are now both feverishly trying to keep it going. If there’s only one lesson of history that a person should understand, it’s that central planning and central bank counterfeiting always fails.
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You don’t have to be scientist to guess that Americans are probably stressed out these days. The results of a new survey reveals the shocking extent of that stress.


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--This week the MSM is praising the protests as heroic and beautiful, ignoring the COVID threat they w

This week the MSM is praising the protests as heroic and beautiful, ignoring the COVID threat they were so concerned about just 3 weeks ago. A prediction….

This week the MSM is praising the protests , which is a political rally , as heroic and beautiful , @ @ @ @ @ were so concerned about just 3 weeks ago .
They ’ ve explained these conflicting @ @ @ @ @ ’ t an uptick in covid cases associated with protests .
Tomorrow Trump is holding @ @ @ @ @ Ok in which he will host a fraction of the crowd as these protests .
@ @ @ @ @ MSM headlines and talking heads will ramp up the covid hoax and blame Trump for @ @ @ @ @ covid cases .
MSM will have opinion writers question whether Trump is guilty of murder @ @ @ @ @ as a shield to deny association with ideas while propagating those ideas .

by Grandmaspelunking
This week the MSM is praising the protests, which is a political rally, as heroic and beautiful, ignoring the COVID threat they were so concerned about just 3 weeks ago. They’ve explained these conflicting thoughts by reporting there isn’t an uptick in covid cases associated with protests.
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Tomorrow Trump is holding a political rally in Tulsa Ok in which he will host a fraction of the crowd as these protests.
I predict on Monday the MSM headlines and talking heads will ramp up the covid hoax and blame Trump for an “spike” in covid cases. MSM will have opinion writers question whether Trump is guilty of murder. They use opinion pieces as a shield to deny association with ideas while propagating those ideas.


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--U.S. Debt Has No Meaning Anymore (Until It Eventually Does)

The national debt currently looks like a runaway freight train .
Not only is it clocking in at $ 26.1 trillion at the moment , but it has made the jump of the last few trillion dollars fast .
Wolf Richter summarizes the frenzied ascent in a recent article , appropriately calling it “ debt out the wazoo ” : The debt , which had been growing by as much as $ 1 trillion per year since 2012 , suddenly increased 2.5 times as much in a span of only 11 weeks .
( See graph below for the spike @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with a 5 % increase in business debt and a staggering 29 % increase in commercial loan debt – but we ’ ll set that aside for another article .
When you stop and think about how much of an anchor that $ 26 trillion in debt could represent for the U.S. economy if anything more goes sideways , it ’ s mind-boggling .
Byron King from Agora Financial sums up the state of the insanity… When the average person incurs debt , they pay the debt back plus a certain rate of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is at the point “ where even paying interest will be problematic.
” Assuming this is true , at minimum , the U.S. could get stuck in a perpetual state of paying just the interest on its mountain of debt .
That , or a major economic shift could occur , as King alluded to : “ We are on the verge of a dramatic reset of currencies across the globe , sooner or later ( and I think sooner ) .
Purchasing power will drop through the floor.
” In the meantime @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the debt by increasing its balance sheet by almost $ 3 trillion since late March ( see official graph below ) : However , you can only “ rob Peter to pay Paul ” for so long before fundamentals have to factor into the equation .
Until that happens , the nearly straight up trajectory of the debt could continue .
Wolf Richter predicts : Buckle up , because “ out the wazoo ” may only begin to describe what happens to the U.S. economy during the rest of 2020 .
Don ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Weigh Down Your Retirement Theoretically , the Fed could keep printing money .
The U.S. could go deeper and deeper into debt .
Countries around the world could , theoretically , keep buying U.S. debt .
In the real world , the market for “ buyers ” of U.S. debt will eventually dry up .
The dollar and your buying power could then crash as price inflation soars .
Who knows what else could happen , or exactly when it could happen .
That is always an unanswered question , until it all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ possibility that the market will react negatively , and soon .

Photo by Wikimedia.org | CC BY | Photoshopped
From Birch Gold Group
The national debt currently looks like a runaway freight train. Not only is it clocking in at $26.1 trillion at the moment, but it has made the jump of the last few trillion dollars fast.
Really fast.
Wolf Richter summarizes the frenzied ascent in a recent article, appropriately calling it “debt out the wazoo”:
Trillions are now whooshing by at a breath-taking pace. The US gross national debt – the total of all Treasury securities outstanding – jumped by $1 trillion over the past five weeks, from May 4 through June 8, and by $2.5 trillion for the 11 weeks since March 23.
The debt, which had been growing by as much as $1 trillion per year since 2012, suddenly increased 2.5 times as much in a span of only 11 weeks. (See graph below for the spike.)
This dramatic increase comes along with a 5% increase in business debt and a staggering 29% increase in commercial loan debt – but we’ll set that aside for another article.
When you stop and think about how much of an anchor that $26 trillion in debt could represent for the U.S. economy if anything more goes sideways, it’s mind-boggling.
Byron King from Agora Financial sums up the state of the insanity…
“That $26 Trillion of Debt is Utterly Unpayable”
When the average person incurs debt, they pay the debt back plus a certain rate of interest.
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Byron King thinks the U.S. is at the point “where even paying interest will be problematic.” Assuming this is true, at minimum, the U.S. could get stuck in a perpetual state of paying just the interest on its mountain of debt.
That, or a major economic shift could occur, as King alluded to: “We are on the verge of a dramatic reset of currencies across the globe, sooner or later (and I think sooner). Purchasing power will drop through the floor.”
In the meantime, the Fed has monetized some of the debt by increasing its balance sheet by almost $3 trillion since late March (see official graph below):
However, you can only “rob Peter to pay Paul” for so long before fundamentals have to factor into the equation.
Until that happens, the nearly straight up trajectory of the debt could continue. Wolf Richter predicts:
Q2 will likely add $3+ trillion in Treasury debt, plus the large amounts of business debts issued in April, May and June. All combined, total nonfinancial debts will approach $60 trillion by the end of June – having doubled in the 14 years since 2006. Debt out the wazoo.
Buckle up, because “out the wazoo” may only begin to describe what happens to the U.S. economy during the rest of 2020.
Don’t Let Their Debt “Games” Weigh Down Your Retirement
Theoretically, the Fed could keep printing money. The U.S. could go deeper and deeper into debt. Countries around the world could, theoretically, keep buying U.S. debt.
In the real world, the market for “buyers” of U.S. debt will eventually dry up. The dollar and your buying power could then crash as price inflation soars.
Who knows what else could happen, or exactly when it could happen. That is always an unanswered question, until it all happens.
But you should consider the possibility that the market will react negatively, and soon.


investmentwatchblog--2020-06-20--How does someone know they have been brainwashed?

There are things you can do to stop yourself from being brainwashed : Don ’ t believe all that you @ @ @ @ @ messages Do your own research Listen to your own intuition Don ’ t be afraid @ @ @ @ @ pasted from this article :

by IPreferDiamonds
There are things you can do to stop yourself from being brainwashed:
Don’t believe all that you read
Don’t believe the hype
Don’t buy into fear or scare tactics
Watch for someone’s agenda
Look out for subliminal messages
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Follow your own path
Do your own research
Listen to your own intuition
Don’t follow the crowd
Don’t be afraid to be different
Copies and pasted from this article:
www.learning-mind.com/brainwashing-signs/