investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--BOMBSHELL: Organization funding BLM, Antifa terrorism linked to Biden campaign

( Natural News ) George Soros often gets the blame for funding much of the agitation in our country that leads to chaos , looting and rioting for “ social justice.
” But two other individuals who also deserve blame are Joe Biden and Kamala Harris , both of whom are linked to an organization known as the Ford Foundation that is actively funding Black Lives Matter ( BLM ) and Antifa terrorism across America .
Claiming to be America ’ s second-largest private foundation , the Ford Foundation has thus far poured nearly $ 2 billion into groups that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ systems to advance social justice , ” as listed in its grant database .
Key members of the Ford Foundation include not only Biden and Kamala , but also Kamala ’ s sister Maya Harris , Kamala ’ s ex-campaign chairwoman and former vice president of the Ford Foundation .
Biden ’ s now senior advisor , Cristóbal Alex , also served as the program director of the Ford Foundation during the Obama years .
Several of Obama ’ s top staffers are now Ford Foundation upper crust , including Taara Rangarajan , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and Obama ’ s national security advisor from 2013-2016 .
Prior to this , Rangarajan served as special assistant to Susan Rice during the Benghazi incident .
Xavier de Souza Briggs , who served as Obama ’ s associate director of the Office of Management and Budget ( OMB ) , is also now top brass at the Ford Foundation .
A vote for Biden and Kamala is a vote for terrorism and the destruction of America During the final months of Obama ’ s reign of terror , the Ford Foundation gave @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ignite civil unrest .
Numerous leaders of the Workers World Party ( WWP ) were given funding to create the Southern Vision Alliance ( SVA ) , an activist movement that fueled riots outside the recent Republican National Convention in Charlotte .
Not long after this collective of activists was given $ 200,000 by Obama through the Ford Foundation back in 2016 , they almost immediately went to Durham , North Carolina , and tore down a historic monument .
Many were arrested as a result , only to be defending in court @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Southern Coalition for Social Justice , which is also a grantee of the Ford Foundation .
With seemingly endless cash coming from the Ford Foundation , in other words , these so-called activists continue to “ protest , ” aka destroy property , wreak havoc , and cause chaos throughout the streets of America .
“ The Ford Foundation likes what it sees in the alleged criminal gang , ” writes Sloan Rachmuth for The Federalist .
“ This year , the wealthy nonprofit gave the group $ 750,000 , more than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s total contributions to SVA so far $ 1.2 million , according to the foundation ’ s website.
” Various Marxist-Leninist groups are also on the dole from the Ford Foundation , including Dream Defenders , a group run by Bernie Sanders ’ senior advisor Phillip Agnew that seeks to release criminals from prison and put an “ end to the Capitalist system in the United States.
” The Ford Foundation has given upwards of $ 1.1 million to Dream Defenders , according to its grant database , and many of its @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for Democrat mayors , state attorneys and prosecutors specifically in Florida , where an effort is afoot to defund the police , end cash bail , and free hardened criminals from prison .
Dream Defenders has been caught shutting down bridges throughout Florida , holding thousands of commuters hostage during rush-hour traffic .
They have also blocked the entrances to neighborhoods and fomented as much “ civil unrest ” as they can get away with , all while promoting Democrat causes .
Be sure to check out Rachmuth ’ s full report on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and share it with all your friends .
For more related news about the left-wing terrorism being funded by Biden and Kamala , check out CivilWar.news .

by: Ethan Huff
(Natural News) George Soros often gets the blame for funding much of the agitation in our country that leads to chaos, looting and rioting for “social justice.” But two other individuals who also deserve blame are Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, both of whom are linked to an organization known as the Ford Foundation that is actively funding Black Lives Matter (BLM) and Antifa terrorism across America.
Claiming to be America’s second-largest private foundation, the Ford Foundation has thus far poured nearly $2 billion into groups that have the stated goal of “disrupting systems to advance social justice,” as listed in its grant database.
Key members of the Ford Foundation include not only Biden and Kamala, but also Kamala’s sister Maya Harris, Kamala’s ex-campaign chairwoman and former vice president of the Ford Foundation. Biden’s now senior advisor, Cristóbal Alex, also served as the program director of the Ford Foundation during the Obama years.
Several of Obama’s top staffers are now Ford Foundation upper crust, including Taara Rangarajan, Ford’s current chief of staff and Obama’s national security advisor from 2013-2016. Prior to this, Rangarajan served as special assistant to Susan Rice during the Benghazi incident.
Xavier de Souza Briggs, who served as Obama’s associate director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), is also now top brass at the Ford Foundation.
A vote for Biden and Kamala is a vote for terrorism and the destruction of America
During the final months of Obama’s reign of terror, the Ford Foundation gave numerous communist organizations massive cash infusions to ignite civil unrest. Numerous leaders of the Workers World Party (WWP) were given funding to create the Southern Vision Alliance (SVA), an activist movement that fueled riots outside the recent Republican National Convention in Charlotte.
Not long after this collective of activists was given $200,000 by Obama through the Ford Foundation back in 2016, they almost immediately went to Durham, North Carolina, and tore down a historic monument. Many were arrested as a result, only to be defending in court, for free, by lawyers from the Southern Coalition for Social Justice, which is also a grantee of the Ford Foundation.
With seemingly endless cash coming from the Ford Foundation, in other words, these so-called activists continue to “protest,” aka destroy property, wreak havoc, and cause chaos throughout the streets of America.
“The Ford Foundation likes what it sees in the alleged criminal gang,” writes Sloan Rachmuth for The Federalist.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“This year, the wealthy nonprofit gave the group $750,000, more than tripling its inaugural donation, bringing Ford’s total contributions to SVA so far $1.2 million, according to the foundation’s website.”
Various Marxist-Leninist groups are also on the dole from the Ford Foundation, including Dream Defenders, a group run by Bernie Sanders’ senior advisor Phillip Agnew that seeks to release criminals from prison and put an “end to the Capitalist system in the United States.”
The Ford Foundation has given upwards of $1.1 million to Dream Defenders, according to its grant database, and many of its activists are using this cash to campaign for Democrat mayors, state attorneys and prosecutors specifically in Florida, where an effort is afoot to defund the police, end cash bail, and free hardened criminals from prison.
Dream Defenders has been caught shutting down bridges throughout Florida, holding thousands of commuters hostage during rush-hour traffic. They have also blocked the entrances to neighborhoods and fomented as much “civil unrest” as they can get away with, all while promoting Democrat causes.
Be sure to check out Rachmuth’s full report on the Ford Foundation at this link, and share it with all your friends.
For more related news about the left-wing terrorism being funded by Biden and Kamala, check out CivilWar.news.
Sources for this article include:
TheFederalist.com
NaturalNews.com


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Is the TOP In? Here Are Four Charts to Help Us Find Out

The single most important thing to do today is “ watch and wait.
” Stocks got slammed yesterday .
For all of the carnage , the S & P 500 held its bull market trendline .
If the TOP is indeed in as many are claiming , we should take this line out shortly .
Something to watch before panicking .
The NASDAQ , despite an absolute bloodbath , didn ’ t even get to its trendline .
Again , for all the screaming that THE TOP is in and stocks are entering a bear market , we ’ ve @ @ @ @ @ @ @ obvious bull channel of the last four months .
Let ’ s take a deep breath and watch to see what happens before we panic and dump our holdings .
Outside of stocks , precious metals also held support .
Gold is forming a clear triangle consolidation pattern .
The fact the precious metal didn ’ t collapse more yesterday is a very positive sign .
Silver , which is a much more volatile metal also held support .
Here again we need to wait and watch .
If the markets are indeed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , silver should take out support with little difficulty .
These are four charts I ’ m watching today .
Rather than trying to predict the future , I ’ m letting the market tell me what ’ s what .
I suggest you do the same .

The single most important thing to do today is “watch and wait.”
Stocks got slammed yesterday. For all of the carnage, the S&P 500 held its bull market trendline. If the TOP is indeed in as many are claiming, we should take this line out shortly. Something to watch before panicking.
The NASDAQ, despite an absolute bloodbath, didn’t even get to its trendline. Again, for all the screaming that THE TOP is in and stocks are entering a bear market, we’ve not even taken out the clear and obvious bull channel of the last four months. Let’s take a deep breath and watch to see what happens before we panic and dump our holdings.
Outside of stocks, precious metals also held support.
Gold is forming a clear triangle consolidation pattern. The fact the precious metal didn’t collapse more yesterday is a very positive sign.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Silver, which is a much more volatile metal also held support. Here again we need to wait and watch. If the markets are indeed entering a “risk off” environment, silver should take out support with little difficulty.
These are four charts I’m watching today. Rather than trying to predict the future, I’m letting the market tell me what’s what. I suggest you do the same.
Graham Summers
Chief Market Stategist
Phoenix Capital Research


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--MEDICAL POLICE STATE TYRANNY: Australian police smash down the door of a man and violently arrest hi

MEDICAL POLICE STATE TYRANNY: Australian police smash down the door of a man and violently arrest him for mentioning anti-lockdown protest

( Natural News ) There ’ s more breaking news out of Australia , where a full-blown medical police state is now raging out of control , arresting and imprisoning people for merely linking to peaceful anti-lockdown protest events .
The latest police state tyranny event involves a man named James Bartolo , who was arrested after Victoria police smashed his front door and violently arrested him in the hallway of his home .
As LifeSiteNews reports , “ James Bartolo , formerly a soldier in the Australian Army , filmed police arriving at his home in Melbourne , breaking @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and arresting him on the morning of Sept. 3.
” Like Zoe Buhler , the pregnant mother arrested at home by Victoria Police officers earlier this week , Bartolo was arrested for ‘ incitement ’ after publicizing an anti-lockdown protest this coming weekend .
Here ’ s the scene that went down : “ A 27-year-old male who was arrested at the address has been charged with incitement , possession of prohibited weapons and two counts of resisting police , ” said a police spokeswoman .
The “ prohibited weapons ” were Samurai @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Victoria , Australia , which is rapidly descending into a COVID-19 slave camp run by out-of-control lunatic tyrants seething with a desire for power over others .
Bartolo hosts the Conscious Truth Network website which explains its mission , “ to expose the evil in the world and in Australia and to elevate your level of consciousness to new heights.
” He further explains on his site : I stand for choice , freedom and elevated consciousness .
Having served in the Australian army , I know first hand just how bad the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ whatever it takes to change that corrupt and failed system .
I have always known there was something terribly wrong with the world and from a very young age was certain I would have an impact in fixing this broken planet .
My personal mission is to help wake people up and the together we can serve justice to the corrupt , twisted and sick individuals , corporations and entities who have caused such massive harm to the people of this world .
After justice has been delivered , then we can focus @ @ @ @ @ @ @ happy to live in peacefuly together .
According to LSN , Bartolo is facing a $ 20,000 fine for his online post .
If you can reach Bartolo , we would like to invite him for an exclusive interview for “ Brighteon Conversations.
” He can contact us through Brighteon support .
Listen to my podcast on this topic , covering how Australia is being transformed into a medical police state in preparation for the pandemic death camps that are coming .

by: Mike Adams
(Natural News) There’s more breaking news out of Australia, where a full-blown medical police state is now raging out of control, arresting and imprisoning people for merely linking to peaceful anti-lockdown protest events.
The latest police state tyranny event involves a man named James Bartolo, who was arrested after Victoria police smashed his front door and violently arrested him in the hallway of his home.
As LifeSiteNews reports, “James Bartolo, formerly a soldier in the Australian Army, filmed police arriving at his home in Melbourne, breaking down his door with a battering ram and arresting him on the morning of Sept. 3.”
Like Zoe Buhler, the pregnant mother arrested at home by Victoria Police officers earlier this week, Bartolo was arrested for ‘incitement’ after publicizing an anti-lockdown protest this coming weekend.
Here’s the scene that went down:
Brighteon.com video link:
Brighteon.com/4635c8dd-fa49-4f5e-a516-bc588cc200cc
“A 27-year-old male who was arrested at the address has been charged with incitement, possession of prohibited weapons and two counts of resisting police,” said a police spokeswoman. The “prohibited weapons” were Samurai swords, which are apparently illegal in Victoria, Australia, which is rapidly descending into a COVID-19 slave camp run by out-of-control lunatic tyrants seething with a desire for power over others.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Bartolo hosts the Conscious Truth Network website which explains its mission, “to expose the evil in the world and in Australia and to elevate your level of consciousness to new heights.”
He further explains on his site:
I stand for choice, freedom and elevated consciousness. Having served in the Australian army, I know first hand just how bad the system is. I vowed to do whatever it takes to change that corrupt and failed system. I have always known there was something terribly wrong with the world and from a very young age was certain I would have an impact in fixing this broken planet. My personal mission is to help wake people up and the together we can serve justice to the corrupt, twisted and sick individuals, corporations and entities who have caused such massive harm to the people of this world. After justice has been delivered, then we can focus on creating the world we are all happy to live in peacefuly together.
According to LSN, Bartolo is facing a $20,000 fine for his online post.
If you can reach Bartolo, we would like to invite him for an exclusive interview for “Brighteon Conversations.” He can contact us through Brighteon support.
Listen to my podcast on this topic, covering how Australia is being transformed into a medical police state in preparation for the pandemic death camps that are coming.
Brighteon.com/2a5f55c2-6af1-4133-ad09-ca64fcacc092


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Market Update: Stocks Plunge!

Market Update: Stocks Plunge!

As of the time of this publication , over the past day and half , the S & P 500 has fallen by -5.5 % and the Nasdaq by -9 % .
As we have long been warning , tops are processes , which can take months to play out .
But corrections are events ; they happen quickly — oftentimes leaving you no time to react .
Case in point : just look at Tesla ( TSLA ) .
On Tuesday , the stock hit an all-time-high of $ 500/share .
Investor confidence was off the charts .
But @ @ @ @ @ @ @ $ 380 .
That ’ s a 24 % drop .
In just two and half days .
Given the ( over ) confidence the months-long rally had imbued them with , many recent investors in Tesla were buying call options vs the underlying stock .
Given the current plunge , those call options are now totally worthless .
A LOT of people , many of them neophytes who didn ’ t appreciate the risk involved and who can ’ t afford these losses , have just gotten badly burned .
Of course @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The current carnage in the markets is widespread , across all sectors — exactly as we ’ ve been warning for months was likely to happen .
And yet , there ’ s another factor that may add additional surprise for investors into the mix : the potential that the US dollar may strengthen substantially from here .
That is a move that today ’ s markets are definitely NOT expecting , with shorting the USD currently being one of the most popular trades .
This week ’ s guest expert , Brent @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Milkshake Theory and why he predicts the vast one-sided trade against the US dollar is dangerously wrong .
In the short term , if surprised by a sharply-rising dollar , markets will likely sell-off further .
Those watching these weekly Market Update videos know well that we ’ ve been warning for months that this is one of the most treacherous times ever for investors .
The “ unstoppable ” rally may very well have just ended and , given the massive over-valuations that still remain as well as the persisting damage to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be far lower than current market participants can imagine : Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here .
And if you ’ re one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months , we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations .
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that we discuss on this website .
If you ’ ve already got one , great .
But if not , consider talking to the team at New Harbor .
We ’ ve set up this ‘ free consultation ’ relationship with them to help folks exactly like you .

by Adam Taggart
What a difference a week makes…
As of the time of this publication, over the past day and half, the S&P 500 has fallen by -5.5% and the Nasdaq by -9%.
As we have long been warning, tops are processes, which can take months to play out. But corrections are events; they happen quickly — oftentimes leaving you no time to react.
Case in point: just look at Tesla (TSLA). On Tuesday, the stock hit an all-time-high of $500/share. Investor confidence was off the charts.
But now? It’s down to $380. That’s a 24% drop. In just two and half days.
Given the (over)confidence the months-long rally had imbued them with, many recent investors in Tesla were buying call options vs the underlying stock. Given the current plunge, those call options are now totally worthless. A LOT of people, many of them neophytes who didn’t appreciate the risk involved and who can’t afford these losses, have just gotten badly burned.
Of course, TSLA is just one example. The current carnage in the markets is widespread, across all sectors — exactly as we’ve been warning for months was likely to happen.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
And yet, there’s another factor that may add additional surprise for investors into the mix: the potential that the US dollar may strengthen substantially from here. That is a move that today’s markets are definitely NOT expecting, with shorting the USD currently being one of the most popular trades.
This week’s guest expert, Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital explains the Dollar Milkshake Theory and why he predicts the vast one-sided trade against the US dollar is dangerously wrong. In the short term, if surprised by a sharply-rising dollar, markets will likely sell-off further.
Those watching these weekly Market Update videos know well that we’ve been warning for months that this is one of the most treacherous times ever for investors. The “unstoppable” rally may very well have just ended and, given the massive over-valuations that still remain as well as the persisting damage to the real economy, the bottom may be far lower than current market participants can imagine:
<
Anyone interested in scheduling a free consultation and portfolio review with Mike Preston and John Llodra and their team at New Harbor Financial can do so by clicking here.
And if you’re one of the many readers brand new to Peak Prosperity over the past few months, we strongly urge you get your financial situation in order in parallel with your ongoing physical coronavirus preparations.
We recommend you do so in partnership with a professional financial advisor who understands the macro risks to the market that we discuss on this website. If you’ve already got one, great.
But if not, consider talking to the team at New Harbor. We’ve set up this ‘free consultation’ relationship with them to help folks exactly like you.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Arrests Happening: FBI showing up at homes of protestors let go by the city in Portland and arrestin

Arrests Happening: FBI showing up at homes of protestors let go by the city in Portland and arresting them on federal charges.

Looks like the feds are doing an end run around Portland city prosecutors .
They are picking up protestors let @ @ @ @ @ charging them with comparable Federal charges .

Looks like the feds are doing an end run around Portland city prosecutors. They are picking up protestors let go by the city and charging them with comparable Federal charges.
pdxgdc.com/recent-fbi-visits/
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
We have confirmed reports of the Federal Bureau of Investigation visiting people’s homes in the last week or so. The result of some of these visits is that people with state charges, whether they have been no-complained or not… [1/2] — Portland General Defense Committee (@pdxgdc) September 4, 2020
Related:
Two Portland-area residents have been charged with civil disorder for targeting @PortlandPolice officers with lasers during recent riots. Both defendants face up to 5 years in federal prison on the felony charge. Read more:t.co/qtvD2WElfkt.co/WaB7MoLfsq — U.S. Attorney Oregon (@USAO_OR) September 3, 2020
A Washington State man with multiple riot-related arrests has been charged with civil disorder, a federal felony, after assaulting a @PortlandPolice officer. Read more: t.co/aQcCTSzy6t — U.S. Attorney Oregon (@USAO_OR) September 3, 2020
JUST IN: Washington State Patrol arrests every single criminal BLM driver for illegally protesting on the NB- I5 freeway. Great work, @wastatepatrol! #seattleriots #seattleprotests pic.twitter.com/oxj18MW9MK — Katie Daviscourt🇺🇸 (@KatieDaviscourt) September 4, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Another twitter poll showing the inconvenient truth

Virtual election .
I 'm trying to see if all of you are on the same page .
After your @ @ @ @ @ and respond with one word .

Virtual election. I'm trying to see if all of you are on the same page. After your vote, please like it and respond with one word.
— Mohamad Safa (@mhdksafa) September 2, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--U.S. Marshals Find 39 Missing Children in Georgia During ‘Operation Not Forgotten’

I would have thought this would have been all over the news… U.S .
Marshals Find 39 Missing Children in @ @ @ @ @ ’ t.co/9lKv25uXin

I would have thought this would have been all over the news…
U.S. Marshals Find 39 Missing Children in Georgia During 'Operation Not Forgotten’ t.co/9lKv25uXin
— Lara Logan (@laralogan) September 3, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Danielle Park: More carnage is coming for the real economy

Portfolio Manager , attorney , finance author , a regular guest on North American media .
Danielle Park is the @ @ @ @ @ myth-busting book “ Juggling Dynamite : An insider ’ s wisdom on money management , @ @ @ @ @ , ” as well as a popular daily financial blog : www.jugglingdynamite.com .
Danielle worked @ @ @ @ @ when she was recruited to work for an international securities firm .
A Chartered Financial @ @ @ @ @ she now helps to manage millions for some of North America ’ s wealthiest families @ @ @ @ @ analyst at the independent investment counsel firm she co-founded Venable Park Investment Counsel Inc. www.venablepark.com @ @ @ @ @ , Danielle has been writing , speaking and educating industry professionals and investors on the @ @ @ @ @ behaviors .
A member of the internationally recognized CFA Institute , Toronto Society of Financial @ @ @ @ @ Society of Upper Canada .
Danielle is also an avid health and fitness buff .

Talk Digital Network, Released on 9/4/20
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Portfolio Manager, attorney, finance author, a regular guest on North American media. Danielle Park is the author of the best selling myth-busting book “Juggling Dynamite: An insider’s wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts,” as well as a popular daily financial blog: www.jugglingdynamite.com. Danielle worked as an attorney until 1997 when she was recruited to work for an international securities firm. A Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), she now helps to manage millions for some of North America’s wealthiest families as a Portfolio Manager and analyst at the independent investment counsel firm she co-founded Venable Park Investment Counsel Inc. www.venablepark.com. Over the last decade, Danielle has been writing, speaking and educating industry professionals and investors on the risks and realities of financial behaviors. A member of the internationally recognized CFA Institute, Toronto Society of Financial Analysts, and the Law Society of Upper Canada. Danielle is also an avid health and fitness buff.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--You Cannot Print Your Way To Prosperity

You Cannot Print Your Way To Prosperity

There might be a lot of conflicting opinions and disagreement these days about the right way to get out of this current crisis and to rebuild our economy and our society .
One the very few things we can all agree on , however , is that the challenges and the disruptions we ’ re faced with today are simply unprecedented .
There is no blueprint , no known formula for this kind of scenario .
And yet , while the triggers of this crisis might be very different from the ones we ’ ve seen before , the effects @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it exerts on the economy are not .
And while the state and its central bankers might not have the rights tools , or more likely , the will to use them , it doesn ’ t mean that we , as savers , as investors and as citizens , can do nothing to protect both our wealth and our individual freedoms .
The first step is to clearly understand the nature and magnitude of the risks that lie ahead , in their proper historical context .
To this end , I turned @ @ @ @ @ @ @ particular insights offer a very interesting perspective not just on the specific economic and financial challenges of this crisis , but also on the current state of the world , our strange “ new normal ” and this next chapter in monetary history .
Theodore Deden has worked in and around the financial industry since 2004 , most recently as an industry consultant focusing on change management projects , both regulatory-driven and strategic in nature .
His background includes degrees in electrical engineering and business administration ; credentials in financial analysis ( CFA @ @ @ @ @ @ @ risk management , project management , software test management , the Scrum agile framework , and requirements engineering ; and a mix of formal and informal studies in Austrian Economics and Theological and Biblical Studies .
He is the author of The Paradox of Capitalism ( 2011 ) and is currently writing a book on using Python in project environments .
Deden lives in Zurich with his wife , two sons , and a golden retriever .
Claudio Grass ( CG ) : The global scale of the economic damage of the lockdown @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pandemic is unprecedented .
How do you evaluate the response compared to the threat itself ?
Do you believe it was justified ?
Theodore Deden ( TD ) : I don ’ t agree that the economic damage was primarily caused by COVID lockdown measures .
The economic damage was done by decades of central banks ’ trying to play god and suspend the laws of nature .
This resulted in the build-up of massive imbalances in both commerce and finance that brought the world economy to the edge of stability .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that edge and began the rebalancing process .
I for one am happy for it , as I expect to have many opportunities during the rebuilding phase to come – I just hope that the rebalancing is not arrested too soon , as we need a full reset in order to bring the economy back to any semblance of health .
Like going to rehab , it will likely be slow and painful , but we will be much better off in the long run .
As for whether the lockdown measures were @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in how countries and states have dealt with the situation , and I think ultimately that question demands more local answers .
Having said that , as a rule I think that quite a bit of precaution is appropriate when faced with such an unknown and potentially volatile entity .
Let ’ s remember that when the measures were initially rolled out , our knowledge about this novel Coronavirus was next to non-existent .
Now we aren ’ t much better off frankly – most of the information we have is anecdotal and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t believe the people who claim to know everything – they are fooling themselves .
I don ’ t even trust my own understanding , because I don ’ t want to fall in the trap of thinking I know more than I really do .
And if some of people ’ s worst fears turn out to be correct , the long-term effects on survivors may be severe , even if their initial infection was relatively mild .
There is therefore a risk associated with complacency – the magnitude of its @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , is potentially quite large .
Should we not , both as individuals and as society , take some reasonable measures to mitigate that risk ?
Some argue that any coercive government action to protect against a pandemic is inappropriate , but this reasoning is inconsistent with our established legal system , as we routinely take action to enforce social mores , both for health and propriety .
We put speed limits on roads to mitigate the risk of traffic accidents and associated injuries .
We enact laws specifying acceptable operating hours and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ zoning which restricts what kind of activities may be done in specific parts of town .
We have laws banning nudity in public places .
Why should we not also accept a few masks and temporary business restrictions in light of the potentially large and still-quite-uncertain threat ?
CG : In Switzerland , the COVID measures were much lighter and less strictly enforced in comparison to what we ’ ve seen in many EU member states .
What do you make of the Swiss response and do you think it might provide a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : The Swiss response on the whole has been measured and proportionate to the threat , as well as I can tell .
I am generally happy to live here but especially happy to be here during all this Corona craziness .
As for a recovery , if you mean a bounce back to 2019 economic conditions , there is no way this will happen .
As I mentioned before , I am expecting a reset followed by a rebuild – in previous writings , I referred to this as an economic impasse @ @ @ @ @ @ @ wrong in my expectation of the severity of this event , some economic restructuring is inevitable , both in Switzerland and in the world as a whole , as was the case already before Corona .
In the world , I expect the United States to continue to decline in influence and power , which will have significant effects on value chains and investment flows over time .
Europe likewise will continue to be tested , and Switzerland will have to find its place in the new political and economic structure that arises @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have to continue to deal with its internal challenges , for example overcapacity in the banking industry and severe inefficiencies in the health care sector defended by entrenched interests .
And let ’ s remember that Switzerland is absolutely dependent on imports and exports to maintain its economic structure , so it will be critical that the nation maintain good relations with its trading partners .
There is a lot that threatens life as we know it here , and while I do assess the Swiss response to COVID positively , it is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sea of uncertainty .
CG : As we ’ re getting deeper into what appears to be a severe global recession , we ’ re seeing a completely paradoxical rally in the markets , especially in US equities .
This divide between the real economy and financial markets has been with us for some time , even before the COVID crisis , but now it ’ s looking increasingly absurd .
How do you explain it and for how long do you expect it to persist ?
TD : Bubbles in financial markets @ @ @ @ @ @ @ know , this one could be caused by the same irrational exuberance or general stupidity and greed that drives any other asset bubble .
We know of course that these things tend to happen with greater regularity and severity when central banks ease monetary policy , as they have done over the past few decades , so this shouldn ’ t be a big surprise .
Having said that , this time there is a palpable thickness to the air – it just feels as though a storm is coming even though it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ short term drops that all seem to bounce right back up again without materializing into a healthy and expected bear market decline .
There is even a trading strategy for this , known affectionately as BTFD – buy the dip !
What is that about ?
That can ’ t be normal , can it ?
The short answer is that I simply don ’ t know .
Maybe it is just how things are this time around , though you don ’ t have to be a conspiracy theorist to think that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : it is now common knowledge that manipulation has taken place in the past , for example in precious metals markets , or in LIBOR .
And what is the so-called Plunge Protection Team but a mechanism to manipulate markets ?
Central banks increasingly go to public equities exchanges to diversify their holdings – so much that the Swiss National Bank could accurately be renamed the Swiss National Hedge Fund .
What if those purchases were strategically timed to coincide with market drops ?
What if they , too , are BTFD ?
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ also point to the entry of a new pool of dumb money via Robinhood in the U.S. : a whole generation of naive new players have come to the equities casino for a chance to spin the wheel .
I hope it is just the usual exuberance and greed , but I don ’ t know .
I don ’ t have any crystal ball , any litmus test to see if it is legitimate vanity and greed or illegitimate manipulation .
Either way , as to timing it ’ s a fair @ @ @ @ @ @ @ usher in the next phase , whatever that may entail , even if the ultimate catharsis may still be years away .
CG : The monetary and fiscal inventions that we ’ ve witnessed so far are unlike anything we ’ ve ever seen before .
Do you think they ’ ll be enough to keep the economy afloat though , or is the shutdown damage past mending at this point ?
TD : The shutdown has merely exposed the existing damage under the surface which was ultimately caused by manipulative monetary policy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ long-term solution must come in the form of economic restructuring .
You can not print your way to prosperity .
You can not consume your way to prosperity .
You can only pretend for a while – live off the credit card until the bill comes due and you realize that you must produce something .
It is deeply ironic that the central banks are using the same method that got us into this mess to try to get us out of it .
As my father once advised me , “ If @ @ @ @ @ @ @ hole , the first thing to do is stop digging.
” This is why I really hope that the current measures fail at “ keeping the economy afloat.
” It seems to me that we must hit the wall .
Stop doing what we have been doing .
Change .
Shifting to real production and starting to pay down the debt is exactly the kind of restructuring that will eventually lead to prosperity .
In the upcoming second part , we shift our attention to the effects of the COVID crisis on operational @ @ @ @ @ @ @ closer look at other important factors that are often overlooked , such as the tectonic geopolitical shift that is underway and the role of technology and innovation going forward .

by Claudio Grass via Claudiograss.ch
Interview with Theodore Deden
There might be a lot of conflicting opinions and disagreement these days about the right way to get out of this current crisis and to rebuild our economy and our society. One the very few things we can all agree on, however, is that the challenges and the disruptions we’re faced with today are simply unprecedented. There is no blueprint, no known formula for this kind of scenario.
And yet, while the triggers of this crisis might be very different from the ones we’ve seen before, the effects of it and the precise pressures that it exerts on the economy are not. And while the state and its central bankers might not have the rights tools, or more likely, the will to use them, it doesn’t mean that we, as savers, as investors and as citizens, can do nothing to protect both our wealth and our individual freedoms.
The first step is to clearly understand the nature and magnitude of the risks that lie ahead, in their proper historical context. To this end, I turned to Theodore Deden, whose experience and particular insights offer a very interesting perspective not just on the specific economic and financial challenges of this crisis, but also on the current state of the world, our strange “new normal” and this next chapter in monetary history.
Theodore Deden has worked in and around the financial industry since 2004, most recently as an industry consultant focusing on change management projects, both regulatory-driven and strategic in nature. His background includes degrees in electrical engineering and business administration; credentials in financial analysis (CFA charter), investment performance measurement, risk management, project management, software test management, the Scrum agile framework, and requirements engineering; and a mix of formal and informal studies in Austrian Economics and Theological and Biblical Studies. He is the author of The Paradox of Capitalism (2011) and is currently writing a book on using Python in project environments. Deden lives in Zurich with his wife, two sons, and a golden retriever.
———-
Claudio Grass (CG): The global scale of the economic damage of the lockdown and shutdown measures in response to the pandemic is unprecedented. How do you evaluate the response compared to the threat itself? Do you believe it was justified?
Theodore Deden (TD): I don’t agree that the economic damage was primarily caused by COVID lockdown measures. The economic damage was done by decades of central banks’ trying to play god and suspend the laws of nature. This resulted in the build-up of massive imbalances in both commerce and finance that brought the world economy to the edge of stability. The response to Corona simply pushed us over that edge and began the rebalancing process. I for one am happy for it, as I expect to have many opportunities during the rebuilding phase to come – I just hope that the rebalancing is not arrested too soon, as we need a full reset in order to bring the economy back to any semblance of health. Like going to rehab, it will likely be slow and painful, but we will be much better off in the long run.
As for whether the lockdown measures were justified, there have been wide variations in how countries and states have dealt with the situation, and I think ultimately that question demands more local answers.
Having said that, as a rule I think that quite a bit of precaution is appropriate when faced with such an unknown and potentially volatile entity. Let’s remember that when the measures were initially rolled out, our knowledge about this novel Coronavirus was next to non-existent. Now we aren’t much better off frankly – most of the information we have is anecdotal and much of it is conflicting. Don’t believe the people who claim to know everything – they are fooling themselves. I don’t even trust my own understanding, because I don’t want to fall in the trap of thinking I know more than I really do. And if some of people’s worst fears turn out to be correct, the long-term effects on survivors may be severe, even if their initial infection was relatively mild. There is therefore a risk associated with complacency – the magnitude of its impact, should it come to pass, is potentially quite large. Should we not, both as individuals and as society, take some reasonable measures to mitigate that risk?
Some argue that any coercive government action to protect against a pandemic is inappropriate, but this reasoning is inconsistent with our established legal system, as we routinely take action to enforce social mores, both for health and propriety. We put speed limits on roads to mitigate the risk of traffic accidents and associated injuries. We enact laws specifying acceptable operating hours and working conditions for businesses. We establish zoning which restricts what kind of activities may be done in specific parts of town. We have laws banning nudity in public places. Why should we not also accept a few masks and temporary business restrictions in light of the potentially large and still-quite-uncertain threat?
CG: In Switzerland, the COVID measures were much lighter and less strictly enforced in comparison to what we’ve seen in many EU member states. What do you make of the Swiss response and do you think it might provide a head start to the recovery?
TD: The Swiss response on the whole has been measured and proportionate to the threat, as well as I can tell. I am generally happy to live here but especially happy to be here during all this Corona craziness.
As for a recovery, if you mean a bounce back to 2019 economic conditions, there is no way this will happen. As I mentioned before, I am expecting a reset followed by a rebuild – in previous writings, I referred to this as an economic impasse event. Even if I’m wrong in my expectation of the severity of this event, some economic restructuring is inevitable, both in Switzerland and in the world as a whole, as was the case already before Corona.
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In the world, I expect the United States to continue to decline in influence and power, which will have significant effects on value chains and investment flows over time. Europe likewise will continue to be tested, and Switzerland will have to find its place in the new political and economic structure that arises. Meanwhile, Switzerland is going to have to continue to deal with its internal challenges, for example overcapacity in the banking industry and severe inefficiencies in the health care sector defended by entrenched interests. And let’s remember that Switzerland is absolutely dependent on imports and exports to maintain its economic structure, so it will be critical that the nation maintain good relations with its trading partners.
There is a lot that threatens life as we know it here, and while I do assess the Swiss response to COVID positively, it is only a small element in a big sea of uncertainty.
CG: As we’re getting deeper into what appears to be a severe global recession, we’re seeing a completely paradoxical rally in the markets, especially in US equities. This divide between the real economy and financial markets has been with us for some time, even before the COVID crisis, but now it’s looking increasingly absurd. How do you explain it and for how long do you expect it to persist?
TD: Bubbles in financial markets are hardly new – for all I know, this one could be caused by the same irrational exuberance or general stupidity and greed that drives any other asset bubble. We know of course that these things tend to happen with greater regularity and severity when central banks ease monetary policy, as they have done over the past few decades, so this shouldn’t be a big surprise. Having said that, this time there is a palpable thickness to the air – it just feels as though a storm is coming even though it never seems to materialize. You have short term drops that all seem to bounce right back up again without materializing into a healthy and expected bear market decline. There is even a trading strategy for this, known affectionately as BTFD – buy the dip! What is that about? That can’t be normal, can it?
The short answer is that I simply don’t know. Maybe it is just how things are this time around, though you don’t have to be a conspiracy theorist to think that there could be some manipulation going on: it is now common knowledge that manipulation has taken place in the past, for example in precious metals markets, or in LIBOR. And what is the so-called Plunge Protection Team but a mechanism to manipulate markets? Central banks increasingly go to public equities exchanges to diversify their holdings – so much that the Swiss National Bank could accurately be renamed the Swiss National Hedge Fund. What if those purchases were strategically timed to coincide with market drops? What if they, too, are BTFD?
On the other hand, one could also point to the entry of a new pool of dumb money via Robinhood in the U.S.: a whole generation of naive new players have come to the equities casino for a chance to spin the wheel.
I hope it is just the usual exuberance and greed, but I don’t know. I don’t have any crystal ball, any litmus test to see if it is legitimate vanity and greed or illegitimate manipulation. Either way, as to timing it’s a fair guess that the upcoming U.S. election may usher in the next phase, whatever that may entail, even if the ultimate catharsis may still be years away.
CG: The monetary and fiscal inventions that we’ve witnessed so far are unlike anything we’ve ever seen before. Do you think they’ll be enough to keep the economy afloat though, or is the shutdown damage past mending at this point?
TD: The shutdown has merely exposed the existing damage under the surface which was ultimately caused by manipulative monetary policy over long periods of time. The long-term solution must come in the form of economic restructuring. You cannot print your way to prosperity. You cannot consume your way to prosperity. You can only pretend for a while – live off the credit card until the bill comes due and you realize that you must produce something.
It is deeply ironic that the central banks are using the same method that got us into this mess to try to get us out of it. As my father once advised me, “If you should ever find yourself in a hole, the first thing to do is stop digging.” This is why I really hope that the current measures fail at “keeping the economy afloat.” It seems to me that we must hit the wall. Stop doing what we have been doing. Change.
Shifting to real production and starting to pay down the debt is exactly the kind of restructuring that will eventually lead to prosperity.
—————–
In the upcoming second part, we shift our attention to the effects of the COVID crisis on operational risk, while we also take a closer look at other important factors that are often overlooked, such as the tectonic geopolitical shift that is underway and the role of technology and innovation going forward.
Claudio Grass, Hünenberg See, Switzerland


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--This New Smart Toilet Can Read Your Anus Like A Fingerprint, Say Scientists!

Some things do n't need to be `` smart '' t.co/H0n68E5qXX

I legit hate the "new normal" clown world future.
Some things don't need to be "smart" t.co/H0n68E5qXX
— Whitney Webb (@_whitneywebb) September 4, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--An Unlikely Sector Leads the Way in Surge of Corporate Leveraged Loan Defaults

The economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and recent Fed monetary policy continue to reveal themselves .
The latest “ reveal ” that ’ s taking center stage is risky corporate leveraged loans , with defaults soaring to their highest levels since 2010 by issuer count , and since 2015 by rate .
A report by S & P Global Intelligence breaks everything down , starting with a summary : You can see the billions in defaults by year in the chart below , and how the U.S. hasn ’ t seen an amount even close since 2009 ( with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : “ With economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic playing an increasing role , default volume over the last 12 months , at $ 46.35 billion , outpaces the same period of 2019 by 233 % , ” according to the same report .
Even more sobering than this astonishing surge , it looks like a critical sector of the economy that shouldn ’ t be defaulting on leveraged loans is the sector that ’ s contributing the most defaults… Oil and Gas Companies Reveal How Fragile the Situation Is It appears things @ @ @ @ @ @ @ bad if oil and gas companies weren ’ t defaulting by more than 30 % of their total loan amount .
You can see their “ contribution ” to this dire situation reflected in the chart below : You can also see how oil and gas leveraged loan defaults could also have played a role in the dramatic Dow crash at the end of 2018 in the same chart above .
The S & P Global report notes that some examples of the energy sector carnage include ( but are by no means @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , which in July filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy .
• Fieldwood Energy defaulted in May upon failing to make payments… just one year after emerging from bankruptcy .
• Ultra Petroleum Corp. in May filed for bankruptcy after completing a distressed exchange in 2018 , having emerged roughly one year earlier from bankruptcy The report adds , “ Many in the energy space have in the past attempted to right-size their capital structure in an effort to ride out what became a historic and sustained low oil price environment.
” Again , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that sell goods to the public , these are energy companies that are vital to the infrastructure of the nation .
And they are defaulting , filing bankruptcies , or both .
Does that appear to you to be a good sign for the health of the U.S. economy ?
Preparation Can Meet Opportunity If You Start Now If you wait until defaults overwhelm the system , by then it will be too late to think about making sure your savings will rise to the challenge .
So if you haven ’ t @ @ @ @ @ @ @ time to examine your risk levels and asset classes , and square them away .
It ’ s also a good time to take advantage of the opportunity to diversify some of your savings into precious metals like gold and silver .
They have been known to act as a hedge against economic uncertainty .

From Birch Gold Group
The economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and recent Fed monetary policy continue to reveal themselves.
The latest “reveal” that’s taking center stage is risky corporate leveraged loans, with defaults soaring to their highest levels since 2010 by issuer count, and since 2015 by rate.
A report by S&P Global Intelligence breaks everything down, starting with a summary:
U.S. loan defaults continued to rise in July, surpassing 4% by issuer count for the first time since 2010, after five constituents of the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index tripped defaults on $7.7 billion of term loans.
You can see the billions in defaults by year in the chart below, and how the U.S. hasn’t seen an amount even close since 2009 (with four months still remaining in 2020):
“With economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic playing an increasing role, default volume over the last 12 months, at $46.35 billion, outpaces the same period of 2019 by 233%,” according to the same report.
Even more sobering than this astonishing surge, it looks like a critical sector of the economy that shouldn’t be defaulting on leveraged loans is the sector that’s contributing the most defaults…
Oil and Gas Companies Reveal How Fragile the Situation Is
It appears things wouldn’t be “so” bad if oil and gas companies weren’t defaulting by more than 30% of their total loan amount. You can see their “contribution” to this dire situation reflected in the chart below:
You can also see how oil and gas leveraged loan defaults could also have played a role in the dramatic Dow crash at the end of 2018 in the same chart above.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The S&P Global report notes that some examples of the energy sector carnage include (but are by no means limited to):
California Resources, which in July filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
Fieldwood Energy defaulted in May upon failing to make payments… just one year after emerging from bankruptcy.
Ultra Petroleum Corp. in May filed for bankruptcy after completing a distressed exchange in 2018, having emerged roughly one year earlier from bankruptcy
The report adds, “Many in the energy space have in the past attempted to right-size their capital structure in an effort to ride out what became a historic and sustained low oil price environment.”
Again, these aren’t just large corporations that sell goods to the public, these are energy companies that are vital to the infrastructure of the nation.
And they are defaulting, filing bankruptcies, or both. Does that appear to you to be a good sign for the health of the U.S. economy?
Preparation Can Meet Opportunity If You Start Now
If you wait until defaults overwhelm the system, by then it will be too late to think about making sure your savings will rise to the challenge.
So if you haven’t done so already, now is the time to examine your risk levels and asset classes, and square them away.
It’s also a good time to take advantage of the opportunity to diversify some of your savings into precious metals like gold and silver. They have been known to act as a hedge against economic uncertainty.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Washington State Patrol arrests every single criminal BLM driver for illegally protesting on the NB-

JUST IN : Washington State Patrol arrests every single criminal BLM driver for illegally protesting on the NB- I5 freeway @

JUST IN: Washington State Patrol arrests every single criminal BLM driver for illegally protesting on the NB- I5 freeway.
Great work, @wastatepatrol! #seattleriots #seattleprotests pic.twitter.com/oxj18MW9MK
— Katie Daviscourt🇺🇸 (@KatieDaviscourt) September 4, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--CNBC: Robinhood traders need to get burned a bit.

You knew this was coming .
The market internals had been flashing warning signs for a couple weeks : very few new highs , very sloppy advance/decline line , low short interest , and a lot of talk about FOMO ( Fear of Missing Out ) and TINA ( There Is No Alternative ) .
So what is this ?
Is this a one-day event ?
Is it a 10 % correction that lasts a couple months , and then reverts to growth , which is what happened in January 2018 , when the market was similarly stretched ?
Or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ No surprise , the drop has been mostly a momentum-driven event .
The heaviest selling has been in the highest momentum names ( megacap ) and beneficiaries of work-from-home sectors ( robotics , cybersecurity , social media , gaming , etc . )
, with less volume in cyclical names like energy , utilities , telecom , and materials .
For the moment , the market is signaling the frothiness has gotten out of hand .
Apple goes from $ 120 to $ 137 back to $ 120 — in two weeks ?
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ 580 back to $ 505 — in five days ?
Zoom Video goes from $ 300 to $ 480 back to $ 380 — also in five days ?
“ I think we will see more downside because when tech stocks get this overbought they tend to overshoot on the downside , ” Matt Maley from Miller Tabak told me .
“ Tesla could go down 60 % and still be above its February highs .
Apple could drop 35 % and still be above its February highs , ” he said , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ they will drop that far .
What about the Robinhood crowd—the retail traders who have been so active ?
Maley has little sympathy .

You knew this was coming.
The market internals had been flashing warning signs for a couple weeks: very few new highs, very sloppy advance/decline line, low short interest, and a lot of talk about FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and TINA (There Is No Alternative).
All signs of frothiness.
So what is this? Is this a one-day event? Is it a 10% correction that lasts a couple months, and then reverts to growth, which is what happened in January 2018, when the market was similarly stretched? Or the start of a longer-term sell-off?
No surprise, the drop has been mostly a momentum-driven event. The heaviest selling has been in the highest momentum names (megacap) and beneficiaries of work-from-home sectors (robotics, cybersecurity, social media, gaming, etc.), with less volume in cyclical names like energy, utilities, telecom, and materials.
For the moment, the market is signaling the frothiness has gotten out of hand.
Apple goes from $120 to $137 back to $120 — in two weeks?
NVIDIA goes from $505 to $580 back to $505 — in five days?
Zoom Video goes from $300 to $480 back to $380 — also in five days?
“I think we will see more downside because when tech stocks get this overbought they tend to overshoot on the downside,” Matt Maley from Miller Tabak told me. “Tesla could go down 60% and still be above its February highs. Apple could drop 35% and still be above its February highs,” he said, noting that he doesn’t believe they will drop that far.
What about the Robinhood crowd—the retail traders who have been so active? Maley has little sympathy.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--How Close Are We To The Worst Of The Financial Crisis?

The August ADP report showed 428,000 private sector jobs added which missed estimates for 900,000 .
Some investors wondered why this didn ’ t cause stocks to fall .
Stocks probably ignored this report because it was wildly too pessimistic in July .
The initial report in July showed 167,000 jobs created .
That was revised up to 212,000 which is wildly below the BLS ’ s initial reading of 1.462 million .
The BLS consensus estimate for August is 1.358 million .
Keep in mind , there will be government jobs created because of the census .
Renaissance Macro @ @ @ @ @ @ @ jobs added in this report .
This is still a solid ADP report even though it came in less than half of the consensus .
Of the 19.7 million jobs lost in the recession , 8.5 million or 43 % have been recovered in the past few months .
Economists will point to how much further the economy has to go .
However , investors like to look towards the future .
It could be bright if Abbott ’ s testing lowers the spread of COVID-19 .
There might be another burst in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ especially .
Even without this new testing , the 7 day average of new deaths per day has fallen to 905 which is the lowest since July 22nd .
Finally , the decline in new cases is making its way to deaths .
As you can see from the chart above , ADP payrolls are 8.7 % off the pre-COVID-19 peak .
At the trough of the last recession , payrolls were down 7.4 % .
In other words , according to this metric , it might take a couple months to get @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The unemployment rate is expected to already fall below the previous peak as economists are projecting it to fall to 9.8 % .
Small firms did the worst in the ADP report as they added just 52,000 jobs .
Mid-sized firms added 79,000 jobs and large firms added 298,000 jobs .
If the BLS report comes in better than the ADP report , it will likely be because of small firms .
The goods producing sector added 40,000 jobs and the service providing sector added 389,000 jobs .
Leisure and hospitality added @ @ @ @ @ @ @ jobs in that industry .
Information lost 1,000 jobs even though we are in a tech bubble in the stock market .
We saw Salesforce.com announce layoffs with its last quarter .
Therefore , it wouldn ’ t be a dramatic negative for the labor market if the tech bubble bursts .
If another industry or sector gets investor capital to grow , it will be better for the overall economy .
It ’ s not healthy for the economy be to be dominated by a few companies that don ’ t employ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Less Than High School Not Doing Well Those with less education and lower wages were helped the most by the stimulus , but they haven ’ t gotten their jobs back .
The chart below shows new hires for those with less than a high school degree compared to those with a bachelor ’ s degree since 2018 .
The new hires volume index for those without a high school degree went from 65.2 in April to 67.2 in July .
On the other hand , those with a college degree have seen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from 124.9 to 136.1 in the same period .
Euphoria is an extreme form of optimism .
Mania is when investors are so desperate to buy stocks , they will pay any price and are obsessed about the market .
September 2020 is a mania just like January 2018 .
As you can see from the chart below , the S & P 500 ’ s 14 day RSI is the highest since January 2018 .
It is 82.9 as of Wednesday .
It peaked at 86.7 on January 26th .
That was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ up causing stocks to correct sharply .
AAII shows portfolio weighting is almost identical to February 2020 before the crash .
Investors have 64.8 % of their money in stocks which is slightly below February when they had 66.1 % .
Investors have 16.3 % of their money in cash which is slightly above February when they had 14.8 % in cash .
We all know corporate debt is exceedingly high .
The new stat many don ’ t know is the percentage of firms without any debt .
With interest rates so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to take out debt unless your business is highly unstable or has high operational leverage .
For example , an energy company shouldn ’ t carry much debt because it is subject to the risk of declining oil prices .
The fracking bubble of the 2010s was fueled by excessive debt taken out at the exact wrong time as oil prices were unsustainably high given the added supply from fracking .
As you can see from the chart above , at the end of 2018 , 15 % of small caps had no @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the low single digits .
There was a much more drastic decline for small caps than large caps .
One of the risks of being a small company is the lack of access to capital .
Raising debt is smart in the short term because the money is practically free .
It ’ s also imperative for firms that aren ’ t profitable and are on their last legs .
As you can see from the chart below , the share of zombie companies has exploded in the past 30 years since interest @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an interest coverage ratio below 1 and a Tobin ’ s Q below the median firm in the sector over 2 years .
These firms need to borrow more money to avoid bankruptcy .
The probability of these firms staying zombies has increased .
It ’ s a debt spiral .
The August ADP report missed estimates by a lot , but investors are excited for a great BLS report which is expected to show well over 1 million jobs created .
Those with less education have been less likely to be rehired @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a stock market mania like January 2018 .
Very few small firms have no debt which is much different from a few years ago .
The percentage of zombies keeps increasing .
These firms are increasingly likely to stay zombies .

by UPFINA
The August ADP report showed 428,000 private sector jobs added which missed estimates for 900,000. Some investors wondered why this didn’t cause stocks to fall. Stocks probably ignored this report because it was wildly too pessimistic in July. The initial report in July showed 167,000 jobs created. That was revised up to 212,000 which is wildly below the BLS’s initial reading of 1.462 million. The BLS consensus estimate for August is 1.358 million. Keep in mind, there will be government jobs created because of the census. Renaissance Macro estimates there will be 230,000 temporary census jobs added in this report.
This is still a solid ADP report even though it came in less than half of the consensus. Of the 19.7 million jobs lost in the recession, 8.5 million or 43% have been recovered in the past few months. Economists will point to how much further the economy has to go. However, investors like to look towards the future. It could be bright if Abbott’s testing lowers the spread of COVID-19. There might be another burst in hiring in the leisure and hospitality industry especially. Even without this new testing, the 7 day average of new deaths per day has fallen to 905 which is the lowest since July 22nd. Finally, the decline in new cases is making its way to deaths.
ADP reported a gain of 428k jobs in August vs. estimate of 900k. Total private sector jobs remain 8.7% below their February high. Peak % off high in last recession was -7.4%. Chart via @ycharts pic.twitter.com/PEdTStvwTf — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) September 2, 2020
As you can see from the chart above, ADP payrolls are 8.7% off the pre-COVID-19 peak. At the trough of the last recession, payrolls were down 7.4%. In other words, according to this metric, it might take a couple months to get to the worst of the last recession. The unemployment rate is expected to already fall below the previous peak as economists are projecting it to fall to 9.8%.
Small firms did the worst in the ADP report as they added just 52,000 jobs. Mid-sized firms added 79,000 jobs and large firms added 298,000 jobs. If the BLS report comes in better than the ADP report, it will likely be because of small firms. The goods producing sector added 40,000 jobs and the service providing sector added 389,000 jobs. Leisure and hospitality added the most as there were 129,000 new jobs in that industry.
Information lost 1,000 jobs even though we are in a tech bubble in the stock market. We saw Salesforce.com announce layoffs with its last quarter. Therefore, it wouldn’t be a dramatic negative for the labor market if the tech bubble bursts. If another industry or sector gets investor capital to grow, it will be better for the overall economy. It’s not healthy for the economy be to be dominated by a few companies that don’t employ many people relative to their size.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Less Than High School Not Doing Well
Those with less education and lower wages were helped the most by the stimulus, but they haven’t gotten their jobs back. The chart below shows new hires for those with less than a high school degree compared to those with a bachelor’s degree since 2018. The new hires volume index for those without a high school degree went from 65.2 in April to 67.2 in July. On the other hand, those with a college degree have seen much greater improvement. Their index went from 124.9 to 136.1 in the same period.
Investors Are Manic
Euphoria is an extreme form of optimism. Mania is when investors are so desperate to buy stocks, they will pay any price and are obsessed about the market. September 2020 is a mania just like January 2018. As you can see from the chart below, the S&P 500’s 14 day RSI is the highest since January 2018. It is 82.9 as of Wednesday. It peaked at 86.7 on January 26th. That was directly before the short VIX trade blew up causing stocks to correct sharply. AAII shows portfolio weighting is almost identical to February 2020 before the crash. Investors have 64.8% of their money in stocks which is slightly below February when they had 66.1%. Investors have 16.3% of their money in cash which is slightly above February when they had 14.8% in cash.
Corporate Debt Addiction
We all know corporate debt is exceedingly high. The new stat many don’t know is the percentage of firms without any debt. With interest rates so low, it’s stupid not to take out debt unless your business is highly unstable or has high operational leverage. For example, an energy company shouldn’t carry much debt because it is subject to the risk of declining oil prices. The fracking bubble of the 2010s was fueled by excessive debt taken out at the exact wrong time as oil prices were unsustainably high given the added supply from fracking.
As recently as the end of 2018, 15% of both the mid and small-cap groups were without debt; that has since plummeted to only 1.5% and 2.9%, respectively. pic.twitter.com/GrXR7uKYP1 — The Leuthold Group (@LeutholdGroup) September 1, 2020
As you can see from the chart above, at the end of 2018, 15% of small caps had no debt. Now it’s in the low single digits. There was a much more drastic decline for small caps than large caps. One of the risks of being a small company is the lack of access to capital.
Raising debt is smart in the short term because the money is practically free. It’s also imperative for firms that aren’t profitable and are on their last legs. As you can see from the chart below, the share of zombie companies has exploded in the past 30 years since interest rates have fallen. Zombie firms have an interest coverage ratio below 1 and a Tobin’s Q below the median firm in the sector over 2 years. These firms need to borrow more money to avoid bankruptcy. The probability of these firms staying zombies has increased. It’s a debt spiral.
NIGHT OF THE LIVING DEAD PRODUCTIVITY New BIS paper on zombie firms finds the share of zombies among listed companies has been rising since the 1980s — along with the chances of staying a zombie (and relapse).t.co/69eSk5cnma pic.twitter.com/m8vrhS6JUB — Tracy Alloway (@tracyalloway) September 3, 2020
Conclusion
The August ADP report missed estimates by a lot, but investors are excited for a great BLS report which is expected to show well over 1 million jobs created. Those with less education have been less likely to be rehired since the recovery started. This is a stock market mania like January 2018. Very few small firms have no debt which is much different from a few years ago. The percentage of zombies keeps increasing. These firms are increasingly likely to stay zombies.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Just to put things into perspective: After the fabulous gains on the stock market in the 1920s, the

U.S. Is Still in a ‘ Very Significant Recession ’ Despite Job Gains , Fed ’ s Rosengren We have @ @ @ @ @ before we are fully recovered , but I will say this employment report was a @ @ @ @ @ Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren told CNBC ’ s Steve Liesman during an interview on @ @ @ @ @ Grow Over a K-Shaped Economic Recovery That Favors the Wealthy Worries of a K-shaped recovery @ @ @ @ @ economics profession .
That would entail continued growth , but split sharply between industries and @ @ @ @ @ ’ s Latest Lie : It Can Make Everything Go Back to Normal The Fed @ @ @ @ @ Show is a continuous comedy without laughter .
The latest act , the virtual Jackson @ @ @ @ @ ) , was dreadful .
Is America Approaching the Tipping Point of Too Much Debt @ @ @ @ @ Budget Office released updated budget projections .
The most important numbers in that report show @ @ @ @ @ the overall fiscal burden of government…

Just to put things into perspective: After the fabulous gains on the stock market in the 1920s, the crash began just on Sep4th, 1929! pic.twitter.com/NYPrZ25vB5 — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) September 4, 2020
S&P 500: We have seen 2 days of deep red in $SPX leading to the FIRST break below upward trending channel stemming from March 2020, at 3430. The daily RSI fell below 53 support, middle Bollinger Band broken, at 3426, for first time since June 24. This is getting dangerous. $SPY pic.twitter.com/2e5teML0gI — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 4, 2020
A market rigged to "reward" the worst financial conditions since the Great Depression – not go down a little, not stay flat, but go Parabolic – is the definition of financial INSTABILITY because the risks (passive funds, margin, FOMO, TINA) just keep building up (Wall St vs Main) pic.twitter.com/1oZwg0Eehe — M/I_Investments (@MI_Investments) September 4, 2020
Powell better pump these numbers up… “Marginal” monetary expansion isn’t enough to keep this party going. pic.twitter.com/VKHYnjnID8 — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) September 4, 2020
Global equity valuations have gone through the roof! On a price to sales ex-financials basis, valuations are at their 2nd most expensive lvl in 40Y, surpassed only by the Mar ‘00 peak. pic.twitter.com/grYBMnqnhj — Julien Bittel, CFA (@BittelJulien) September 4, 2020
We have a long way to go before we are fully recovered, but I will say this employment report was a very positive one,” Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren told CNBC’s Steve Liesman during an interview on “The Exchange.”
Worries of a K-shaped recovery are growing in the alphabet-obsessed economics profession. That would entail continued growth, but split sharply between industries and economic groups.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The Fed Emperor’s New Clothes Show is a continuous comedy without laughter. The latest act, the virtual Jackson Hole conference (August 27), was dreadful.
Yesterday, the Congressional Budget Office released updated budget projections. The most important numbers in that report show what’s happening with the overall fiscal burden of government…


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Hundreds of N.Y.C. restaurants file a $2 billion lawsuit against Governor Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio-

Hundreds of N.Y.C. restaurants file a $2 billion lawsuit against Governor Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio-over indoor dining ban

BREAKING : Hundreds of N.Y.C .
restaurants file a $ 2 billion lawsuit against Governor Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio—over @ @ @

BREAKING: Hundreds of N.Y.C. restaurants file a $2 billion lawsuit against Governor Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio—over indoor dining ban
— SV News 🚨 (@SVNewsAlerts) September 3, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Jim Jordan says: The Obama/Biden Administration thought it was ok to spy on the Trump Campaign in 20

Jim Jordan says: The Obama/Biden Administration thought it was ok to spy on the Trump Campaign in 2016. But now? Democrats won’t even let you check on your kids during at-home Zoom school.

The Obama/Biden Administration thought it was ok to spy on the Trump Campaign in 2016 .
But now ?
Democrats @ @ @ @ @ you check on your kids during school .
More double standards from the Left .
@

The Obama/Biden Administration thought it was ok to spy on the Trump Campaign in 2016.
But now? Democrats won’t even let you check on your kids during school.
More double standards from the Left. t.co/MALiGfSZYT
— Rep. Jim Jordan (@Jim_Jordan) September 3, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--HCQ NEWS – Officials from China, Korea, India, Taiwan, Malaysia, Bahrain, Turkey, Jordan, UAE, Qatar

HCQ NEWS – Officials from China, Korea, India, Taiwan, Malaysia, Bahrain, Turkey, Jordan, UAE, Qatar, Morocco, Algeria, Nigeria, Senegal, Cuba, Italy, and 65 scientific studies show HCQ safe/effective

Tragic that a false sense of superiority in the “ western world ” is preventing its citizens early access to @ @ @ @ @ that created evidence-based govt treatment protocols w/early outpatient # HCQ for high-risk pts now have @ @ @ @ @ t.co/d4dZMiln2J

Tragic that a false sense of superiority in the “western world” is preventing its citizens early access to life-saving meds. Countries globally that created evidence-based govt treatment protocols w/early outpatient #HCQ for high-risk pts now have lowest #COVID19 fatality rates🧵 t.co/d4dZMiln2J
— Kulvinder Kaur MD (@dockaurG) September 3, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Minneapolis Police manual shows that officers are trained to kneel on the neck of those resisting ar

Minneapolis Police manual shows that officers are trained to kneel on the neck of those resisting arrest

Chauvin is going to walk , we all knew this .

Chauvin is going to walk, we all knew this.
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If the charges are dropped this country will burn. I only hope that true justice served regardless of external outcomes t.co/N6En1FgpbP pic.twitter.com/vMyu3Wv4P4 — Tim Pool (@Timcast) September 2, 2020
h/t BFD


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Sometimes Survival Is Not About WHAT You Know – It’s About WHO You Know

Like a lot of frequent travelers , I ’ d been itching to get back on the road after months of lockdown .
A couple of months ago , I drove from the east coast to the west coast and ended up in Mexico , where I rented a condo near some close friends to settle in for the expected second wave of Covid-19 .
I ’ m all about new cultures and new experiences when I travel .
As I ’ ve written before , traveling has made me a far more adaptable person and I believe has greatly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the previous article , this isn ’ t a newsy article filled with deep research or a how-to that will teach you ways to deal with specific threats .
It ’ s simply a blog post in which I ’ m sharing a personal story and philosophy that some folks will find thought-provoking and others will find outlandish .
But either way , do share your thoughts in the comments .
I learn a lot by observing others when traveling , and there is one theme that has been consistent throughout the current @ @ @ @ @ @ @ much about what you know , as it is about who you know .
So here ’ s something I ’ ve learned living in Mexico – it ’ s not so much about what you know , as it is about who you know .
And those who “ know ” the most people will have a far better handle on survival in difficult situations .
There are certain people I ’ ve met here who simply know everyone .
They know a guard at my condo complex , they know a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ they know a pharmacist , they know somebody who works at the border , they know someone in the police department .
These are the people you call when something goes wrong .
When my Jeep sprung a leak , I contacted a couple of in-the-know people and had someone over to repair it in short order .
The work was reasonably priced and when there was a small unforeseeable issue afterward , it was taken care of without further charge after I made a quick phone call .
Because my friend-who-knows-everyone knows @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I know the guards and they are very helpful .
For example , when there was an event in the nearby city that was likely to get rowdy , one of the guards pulled me aside and said , “ Daisy , you should stay in tonight .
Things might get carried away in town.
” I don ’ t go out a lot at night here , but it was still really nice to get the warning .
These are sources I nurture with cold drinks on a hot day , a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ – and sometimes a few pesos when they ’ re particularly helpful .
Getting my inhaler refilled is as simple as a buddy calling a buddy .
I watched a pal get pulled over by the police for a minor traffic infraction but he knows the police chief and after a quick call , was on his way .
Even though I live outside the regular delivery area , someone who knows someone got me pizza delivered with a text message .
What I ’ ve also discovered is that a “ friend @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more reliable service provider than a storefront you ’ d walk into in order to do business .
Nobody wants their friend to hear how they ripped off another friend , or how they did a shoddy repair .
There ’ s a lot of social clout gained from doing a great job .
As well , when you do a great job , your friend will recommend you to the next gringo who has car trouble/hot water heater issues/some other issue that needs to be resolved .
And keep in mind , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ by the person he or she recommended .
The friend who “ knows someone ” will be in a good position during difficult times .
As you can see , they take networking to the next level .
In the US , you see this kind of thing in small towns where everyone has known everyone else since they were kneehigh to a bullfrog , but it ’ s less common in suburbia and the city .
Being the person who knows everyone is a good position to be in .
One of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , The Dark Secrets of Survival , was about a man who “ knew someone.
” He was able to help people acquire needed items .
He was able to connect people with the folks who could offer the services they needed .
He didn ’ t have any particular talents or abilities that you ’ d normally find on a list of “ Skills You Need to Survive the Apocalypse , ” but he didn ’ t have to – because he knew someone who did .
The man became important not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ because of who he knew .
He survived the terrible situation not through his own skills , but the skills of others .
In Selco ’ s on-demand webinar about survival communities , he , Toby , and I discussed making oneself a valuable part of a survival community .
A lot of folks underestimate what they bring to the table – and being the person who always “ knows someone ” is something that is well within reach for many of us , whether we ’ re young or old , fit @ @ @ @ @ @ @ combat .
Being able to connect two people is a very valuable skill .
It ’ s something that comes more naturally to people with extroverted personalities , but even us introverts can get to know people wherever we go .
One thing I ’ ve done since becoming a full-time traveler is that I immediately put the contact information for people I meet in my phone .
I save the contacts in two ways – one is what they do – like “ Landlord – Montenegro ” or “ Doctor – Skopje @ @ @ @ @ @ @ name .
I ’ ve got contacts in all sorts of different places that could prove useful at some point in the future .
If I revisit any of the same countries , I ’ ll save a fortune by bypassing rental apps and going direct to the landlords .
But it isn ’ t just something that I do in faraway lands .
I ’ ll be in this area for several months , and I ’ ve already added at least a dozen “ someones ” of my own .
I @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to say to another American traveling here , “ Oh , I know someone who could help you with that.
” Let me be perfectly clear in that I am absolutely not suggesting that you throw all your preps out and forget about learning skills to live off being a social butterfly .
It ’ s better yet when you can do things yourself and you don ’ t need to “ know someone.
” You will never regret being able to cover all the pillars of preparedness on your own , at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ person is an island – that ’ s why community is so important .
People can be resources , even if they aren ’ t members of your immediate community .
Being the person who always knows someone is something you can begin working on immediately and absolutely anyone can do it .
Do you know any folks who always “ know someone ?
” Are you that person ?
What are the best ways to develop your network ?
Let ’ s talk about it in the comments .

by Daisy Luther
Like a lot of frequent travelers, I’d been itching to get back on the road after months of lockdown. A couple of months ago, I drove from the east coast to the west coast and ended up in Mexico, where I rented a condo near some close friends to settle in for the expected second wave of Covid-19.
I’m all about new cultures and new experiences when I travel. As I’ve written before, traveling has made me a far more adaptable person and I believe has greatly enhanced my resilient mindset. Just like the previous article, this isn’t a newsy article filled with deep research or a how-to that will teach you ways to deal with specific threats. It’s simply a blog post in which I’m sharing a personal story and philosophy that some folks will find thought-provoking and others will find outlandish. But either way, do share your thoughts in the comments.
I learn a lot by observing others when traveling, and there is one theme that has been consistent throughout the current adventure.
It’s not so much about what you know, as it is about who you know.
So here’s something I’ve learned living in Mexico – it’s not so much about what you know, as it is about who you know. And those who “know” the most people will have a far better handle on survival in difficult situations.
There are certain people I’ve met here who simply know everyone. They know a guard at my condo complex, they know a mechanic, they know a veterinarian, they know a pharmacist, they know somebody who works at the border, they know someone in the police department.
These are the people you call when something goes wrong. When my Jeep sprung a leak, I contacted a couple of in-the-know people and had someone over to repair it in short order. The work was reasonably priced and when there was a small unforeseeable issue afterward, it was taken care of without further charge after I made a quick phone call.
Because my friend-who-knows-everyone knows the guards and introduced me, now I know the guards and they are very helpful. For example, when there was an event in the nearby city that was likely to get rowdy, one of the guards pulled me aside and said, “Daisy, you should stay in tonight. Things might get carried away in town.” I don’t go out a lot at night here, but it was still really nice to get the warning. These are sources I nurture with cold drinks on a hot day, a friendly smile, and a warm greeting – and sometimes a few pesos when they’re particularly helpful.
Getting my inhaler refilled is as simple as a buddy calling a buddy. I watched a pal get pulled over by the police for a minor traffic infraction but he knows the police chief and after a quick call, was on his way. Even though I live outside the regular delivery area, someone who knows someone got me pizza delivered with a text message.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
What I’ve also discovered is that a “friend of a friend” is often a more reliable service provider than a storefront you’d walk into in order to do business. Nobody wants their friend to hear how they ripped off another friend, or how they did a shoddy repair. There’s a lot of social clout gained from doing a great job. As well, when you do a great job, your friend will recommend you to the next gringo who has car trouble/hot water heater issues/some other issue that needs to be resolved. And keep in mind, the recommender is then owed a favor by the person he or she recommended. The friend who “knows someone” will be in a good position during difficult times.
As you can see, they take networking to the next level. In the US, you see this kind of thing in small towns where everyone has known everyone else since they were kneehigh to a bullfrog, but it’s less common in suburbia and the city.
Being the person who knows everyone is a good position to be in.
One of the stories Selco shared in his book, The Dark Secrets of Survival, was about a man who “knew someone.” He was able to help people acquire needed items. He was able to connect people with the folks who could offer the services they needed. He didn’t have any particular talents or abilities that you’d normally find on a list of “Skills You Need to Survive the Apocalypse,” but he didn’t have to – because he knew someone who did.
The man became important not because of what he knew, but because of who he knew. He survived the terrible situation not through his own skills, but the skills of others.
In Selco’s on-demand webinar about survival communities, he, Toby, and I discussed making oneself a valuable part of a survival community. A lot of folks underestimate what they bring to the table – and being the person who always “knows someone” is something that is well within reach for many of us, whether we’re young or old, fit or fat, or are adept at combat. Being able to connect two people is a very valuable skill.
It’s something that comes more naturally to people with extroverted personalities, but even us introverts can get to know people wherever we go. One thing I’ve done since becoming a full-time traveler is that I immediately put the contact information for people I meet in my phone. I save the contacts in two ways – one is what they do – like “Landlord – Montenegro” or “Doctor – Skopje,” and the other is by name. I’ve got contacts in all sorts of different places that could prove useful at some point in the future. If I revisit any of the same countries, I’ll save a fortune by bypassing rental apps and going direct to the landlords. But it isn’t just something that I do in faraway lands. I’ll be in this area for several months, and I’ve already added at least a dozen “someones” of my own. I even had the fun of being able to say to another American traveling here, “Oh, I know someone who could help you with that.”
Add “knowing someone” to your arsenal.
Let me be perfectly clear in that I am absolutely not suggesting that you throw all your preps out and forget about learning skills to live off being a social butterfly. It’s better yet when you can do things yourself and you don’t need to “know someone.” You will never regret being able to cover all the pillars of preparedness on your own, at least to some degree.
But no person is an island – that’s why community is so important. People can be resources, even if they aren’t members of your immediate community. Being the person who always knows someone is something you can begin working on immediately and absolutely anyone can do it.
Do you know any folks who always “know someone?” Are you that person? What are the best ways to develop your network? Let’s talk about it in the comments.


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--FBI Portland and U.S. Attorney Oregon Provide Numerous Updates on Antifa Arrests

Two Portland-area residents have been charged with civil disorder for targeting @ PortlandPolice officers with lasers during recent riots .
@ @ @ @ @ 5 years in federal prison on the felony charge .

Two Portland-area residents have been charged with civil disorder for targeting @PortlandPolice officers with lasers during recent riots. Both defendants face up to 5 years in federal prison on the felony charge.
Read more:t.co/qtvD2WElfkt.co/WaB7MoLfsq
— U.S. Attorney Oregon (@USAO_OR) September 3, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-09-04--Less Than 15,000 People Have Died from COVID with Other Causes under 55

There has been a lot of turmoil about just how many people have died from COVID .
The problem stems from the fact that they have other diseases and perhaps COVID has pushed them over the edge .
Of those under 55 , only 14,047 people have died WITH COVID but with other complications according to the CDC Table # 3 .
Twitter and everyone else is removing comments quoting the CDC that only : “ For 6 % of the deaths , COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned.
” They are trying to keep the fear factor going .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ running Twitter to YouTube to suppress the truth and further the destruction of all our rights and freedoms .
This is about supporting an agenda to crash the economy for their precious Great Reset that they could not accomplish by a democratic process .
These people assume we are the great unwashed and incapable of appreciating the super intellectual capabilities of the people led by the Billionaire Dropouts .
It is very disheartening to have to do battle with such people intent upon subjugating the global population to further what they think is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is uncertainly in actually determining how much CO2 would change the climate .
He is for ending meat production because cows produce a lot of CO2 .
He wasn ’ t to reduce the population because humans produce CO2 .
However , when we go to NASA ’ s website , they show the breakdown of the atmosphere and CO2 represents only 0.0407 % .
So exactly why are these people trying to crash the global economy and risk World War III because of their fears that the planet will warm because of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ?
They are destroying everyone ’ s future for a concern they have which is by no means a conclusion in fact .
For someone who wants Africans to have only one child , Gates has three : Jennifer Katharine Gates , Phoebe Adele Gates , and Rory John Gates .
They have been using the COVID to scare people into submission .
We are being deliberately conditioned to accept this New Green Social Order where we surrender our individuality and freedoms to the directive of the organizers .
This is well understood @ @ @ @ @ @ @ subjected to mass violence .
Incidents of mass violence which create fear “ have an enormous behavioral health impact on most people , whether they are survivors , witnesses , or exposed through mass media .
Most individuals will experience some immediate reactions , including fear , anxiety , and helplessness.
” Many people feel helpless against this agenda that we are losing everything and nobody is there to stop this insanity .

by Martin Armstrong
There has been a lot of turmoil about just how many people have died from COVID. The problem stems from the fact that they have other diseases and perhaps COVID has pushed them over the edge. Of those under 55, only 14,047 people have died WITH COVID but with other complications according to the CDC Table #3. Twitter and everyone else is removing comments quoting the CDC that only: “For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned.” They are trying to keep the fear factor going.
COVID-19 Provisional Counts – 9-2-2020
This is indeed a conspiracy by those running Twitter to YouTube to suppress the truth and further the destruction of all our rights and freedoms. This is about supporting an agenda to crash the economy for their precious Great Reset that they could not accomplish by a democratic process. These people assume we are the great unwashed and incapable of appreciating the super intellectual capabilities of the people led by the Billionaire Dropouts.
It is very disheartening to have to do battle with such people intent upon subjugating the global population to further what they think is infallible. Yet Gates admits that there is uncertainly in actually determining how much CO2 would change the climate. He is for ending meat production because cows produce a lot of CO2. He wasn’t to reduce the population because humans produce CO2.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
However, when we go to NASA’s website, they show the breakdown of the atmosphere and CO2 represents only 0.0407%. So exactly why are these people trying to crash the global economy and risk World War III because of their fears that the planet will warm because of CO2 when it only represents 0.0407%?
They are destroying everyone’s future for a concern they have which is by no means a conclusion in fact. For someone who wants Africans to have only one child, Gates has three: Jennifer Katharine Gates, Phoebe Adele Gates, and Rory John Gates. They have been using the COVID to scare people into submission.
srb-mass-violence-behavioral-health
We are being deliberately conditioned to accept this New Green Social Order where we surrender our individuality and freedoms to the directive of the organizers. This is well understood with studies of the impact upon people subjected to mass violence. Incidents of mass violence which create fear “have an enormous behavioral health impact on most people, whether they are survivors, witnesses, or exposed through mass media. Most individuals will experience some immediate reactions, including fear, anxiety, and helplessness.” Many people feel helpless against this agenda that we are losing everything and nobody is there to stop this insanity.