investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Shutdown Or Not Leads To The Same Road

Shutdown Or Not Leads To The Same Road

We are constantly given case studies on how various regulations and restrictions impact the economy and the spread of COVID-19 .
At each facet of this pandemic , people claim winners and losers , but then those reverse soon after .
We aren ’ t here to state the best policy , because there is no silver bullet that gets rid of the virus and has no impact on the economy .
The silver bullets are better treatment and a vaccine .
The current case study is the difference between America and Europe .
Both had outbreaks in the fall @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Europe went with lockdowns and America didn ’ t .
Cases are peaking in most European countries , while cases are still rising quickly in America .
The positive rate and hospitalizations are also up .
Whatever stat you look at ; it ’ s getting worse in America in November .
On the other hand , Europe is set to have a contraction in GDP , while America will have growth .
As you can see from the chart above , European road usage has been cratering .
American movement has also @ @ @ @ @ @ @ It ’ s possible America is headed for a similar contraction later in the year if the outbreak spreads further even if lockdowns don ’ t occur .
Experts don ’ t recommend lockdowns , but no one said the economy wouldn ’ t be hurt without them .
Lockdowns cause a steep abrupt decline , but we will see more gradual decline in activity if COVID-19 gets worse .
This is yet another reminder that no policy is perfect .
The ADP report has been too negative in this recovery , but @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is currently our best guess on how the labor market did in October .
The ADP report showed private sector job creation of only 365,000 which missed estimates for 600,000 and fell from 753,000 .
As a reference point , the BLS report is expected to show 650,000 private sector jobs added .
The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 7.7 % .
Imagine if someone in April told you there would be 2 more waves of COVID-19 and the unemployment rate would fall to below 8 % .
You might not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ see from the chart below , ADP payrolls are 7.78 % off their record high .
The financial crisis recession troughed at -7.4 % .
Even after the fastest recovery ever , we ’ re not even at the start of the last recovery .
The difference here is when the economy reopens , we will get another strong jump in job creation from the most affected industries .
It won ’ t take as long to recover the losses as last expansion did if COVID-19 is resolved in 2021 .
If it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and hospitality jobs won ’ t come back .
Within the report , small business job creation was 114,000 , mid-sized job creation was 135,000 , and large job creation was 116,000 .
Goods producing firms only added 17,000 jobs .
Construction only added 7,000 jobs which seems too low based on the euphoria among home builders .
Manufacturing created 7,000 jobs in this report which is different from the ISM manufacturing employment index which rose 3.6 points to 53.2 .
Manufacturing added 66,000 jobs in the last report and is expected to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the ADP report , there were 348,000 jobs added in the service sector .
This was driven by leisure and hospitality which added 125,000 jobs .
The industry is still hurting , but since it lost the most jobs in the recession , it can keep adding the most back .
Education and healthcare added 79,000 jobs .
Remember , in September there were fewer education jobs added because kids went back to school later than usual .
There should be a big increase in hiring in this category in the BLS report @ @ @ @ @ @ @ adjustments gone wrong because COVID-19 transformed the normal seasonality of the economy .
The ISM services PMI fell from 57.8 to 56.6 which missed estimates for 57.6 .
It missed the lowest estimate which was 57 .
The Markit Services PMI was almost the same as the ISM PMI , but it did much better on a rate of change basis .
It increased from 54.6 to 56.9 .
Since the ISM PMI is more volatile than the Markit PMI , the same result is decent for ISM and amazing for Markit .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ reading fell 1.7 points to 50.1 .
That ’ s very low for the amount of job creation we will likely see .
As you can see from the chart below , this index was below 50 when the economy was creating millions of jobs .
There will probably be fewer jobs added in October than September , but job creation will be better than most months in the previous expansion despite what this index shows .
The business activity index fell from 63 to 61.2 .
The new orders index fell 2.7 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ spiked just like in the manufacturing report , giving the reflation trend more credibility .
It was up from 4.9 points to 63 .
The only commodities that dropped in price were dairy , personal protective equipment , and software .
This PMI is consistent with 2.7 % GDP growth which seems accurate .
According to the Atlanta Fed Nowcast , Q4 GDP growth will be 3.2 % .
Within this report , an accommodation and food services firm stated , “ Business has improved , but greatly reliant on COVID-19-related restrictions .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ are longer and spotty with outages due to keeping lead times lean as a cash flow measure , but putting consistent supply at risk.
” Restaurants will be in deep trouble in the next 3 months .
It ’ s too cold to eat outside in most of the country and indoor dining is restricted .
In the October Markit report , business expectations were the best since April 2018 .
Remember , despite the similar PMI , this one was much better than the ISM .
Confidence improved because of hopes for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and hopes for a stimulus .
Those hopes might be dashed now that we have more data on COVID-19 .
The chart below shows according to Markit , GDP growth was 1 % in September which means if GDP stays flat for the next 3 months , SAAR growth will be 3.3 % .
Since the October PMI was strong , it might be better than that .
According to the Chief Business Economist at Markit , “ Growth of business activity accelerated markedly in October , indicating that the underlying health of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the start of the fourth quarter.
” This report showed business activity increased at the fastest pace since April 2015 .
We wonder if the pace will stay this strong in November with the outbreak of COVID-19 even worse .
Europe and America have different COVID-19 strategies , but they both might lead them to weaker economies and a bad outbreak of the virus .
The ADP report wasn ’ t great , but at least job creation continued .
We are only almost in the first inning of this recovery in terms @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and Markit services PMIs were decent , but everyone wonders if the economy will fall off in November .

by UPFINA
We are constantly given case studies on how various regulations and restrictions impact the economy and the spread of COVID-19. At each facet of this pandemic, people claim winners and losers, but then those reverse soon after. We aren’t here to state the best policy, because there is no silver bullet that gets rid of the virus and has no impact on the economy. The silver bullets are better treatment and a vaccine.
The current case study is the difference between America and Europe. Both had outbreaks in the fall. Europe’s was worse. Europe went with lockdowns and America didn’t. Cases are peaking in most European countries, while cases are still rising quickly in America. The positive rate and hospitalizations are also up. Whatever stat you look at; it’s getting worse in America in November. On the other hand, Europe is set to have a contraction in GDP, while America will have growth.
OIL DEMAND: With new lockdowns (and more coming from tonight in England), road usage is suffering in France, Italy, Spain and UK. The below is an average of highway use in the first 3 countries, and total road usage in UK. Weakest since late June | #OOTT with @alexlongley1 pic.twitter.com/unUgUrkvea — Javier Blas (@JavierBlas) November 4, 2020
As you can see from the chart above, European road usage has been cratering. American movement has also slowed as the chart below shows. It’s possible America is headed for a similar contraction later in the year if the outbreak spreads further even if lockdowns don’t occur. Experts don’t recommend lockdowns, but no one said the economy wouldn’t be hurt without them. Lockdowns cause a steep abrupt decline, but we will see more gradual decline in activity if COVID-19 gets worse. This is yet another reminder that no policy is perfect.
Mobility has been stalled since the Labor Day weekend pop at the beginning of September. pic.twitter.com/iBf070mSxz — David Taggart-PDMacro.com (@DavidTaggart) November 5, 2020
Weaker ADP Report
The ADP report has been too negative in this recovery, but it has been more accurate recently and is currently our best guess on how the labor market did in October. The ADP report showed private sector job creation of only 365,000 which missed estimates for 600,000 and fell from 753,000. As a reference point, the BLS report is expected to show 650,000 private sector jobs added. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 7.7%. Imagine if someone in April told you there would be 2 more waves of COVID-19 and the unemployment rate would fall to below 8%. You might not have believed them!
As you can see from the chart below, ADP payrolls are 7.78% off their record high.
ADP reported a gain of 364k jobs in October vs. estimate of 643k. Total private sector jobs remain 7.8% below their February high. Max % off high in last recession was -7.4%. Chart via @ycharts pic.twitter.com/KleRnVnfnP — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) November 4, 2020
The financial crisis recession troughed at -7.4%. Even after the fastest recovery ever, we’re not even at the start of the last recovery. The difference here is when the economy reopens, we will get another strong jump in job creation from the most affected industries. It won’t take as long to recover the losses as last expansion did if COVID-19 is resolved in 2021. If it’s not, thousands of leisure and hospitality jobs won’t come back.
Within the report, small business job creation was 114,000, mid-sized job creation was 135,000, and large job creation was 116,000. Goods producing firms only added 17,000 jobs. Construction only added 7,000 jobs which seems too low based on the euphoria among home builders. Manufacturing created 7,000 jobs in this report which is different from the ISM manufacturing employment index which rose 3.6 points to 53.2. Manufacturing added 66,000 jobs in the last report and is expected to add 50,000 in this one.
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In the ADP report, there were 348,000 jobs added in the service sector. This was driven by leisure and hospitality which added 125,000 jobs. The industry is still hurting, but since it lost the most jobs in the recession, it can keep adding the most back. Education and healthcare added 79,000 jobs. Remember, in September there were fewer education jobs added because kids went back to school later than usual. There should be a big increase in hiring in this category in the BLS report. These results are manipulated by seasonal adjustments gone wrong because COVID-19 transformed the normal seasonality of the economy.
Tale Of 2 Services PMIs
The ISM services PMI fell from 57.8 to 56.6 which missed estimates for 57.6. It missed the lowest estimate which was 57. The Markit Services PMI was almost the same as the ISM PMI, but it did much better on a rate of change basis. It increased from 54.6 to 56.9. Since the ISM PMI is more volatile than the Markit PMI, the same result is decent for ISM and amazing for Markit.
Within the ISM report, the employment reading fell 1.7 points to 50.1. That’s very low for the amount of job creation we will likely see. As you can see from the chart below, this index was below 50 when the economy was creating millions of jobs. There will probably be fewer jobs added in October than September, but job creation will be better than most months in the previous expansion despite what this index shows.
October ISM Services a bit softer at 56.6 (weakest since May) vs. 57.5 est. & 57.8 in prior month; new orders & business activity fell but still expanding; new export orders, imports, inventories all up & expanding … employment fell, but still barely in expansionary territory pic.twitter.com/GRMgMyWdSs — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) November 4, 2020
The business activity index fell from 63 to 61.2. The new orders index fell 2.7 points to 58.8. The prices index spiked just like in the manufacturing report, giving the reflation trend more credibility. It was up from 4.9 points to 63. The only commodities that dropped in price were dairy, personal protective equipment, and software. This PMI is consistent with 2.7% GDP growth which seems accurate. According to the Atlanta Fed Nowcast, Q4 GDP growth will be 3.2%. Within this report, an accommodation and food services firm stated, “Business has improved, but greatly reliant on COVID-19-related restrictions. Supplier’s inventories and lead times are longer and spotty with outages due to keeping lead times lean as a cash flow measure, but putting consistent supply at risk.” Restaurants will be in deep trouble in the next 3 months. It’s too cold to eat outside in most of the country and indoor dining is restricted. Best Confidence Since April 2018 In the October Markit report, business expectations were the best since April 2018. Remember, despite the similar PMI, this one was much better than the ISM. Confidence improved because of hopes for looser virus restrictions within the next year and hopes for a stimulus. Those hopes might be dashed now that we have more data on COVID-19. The chart below shows according to Markit, GDP growth was 1% in September which means if GDP stays flat for the next 3 months, SAAR growth will be 3.3%. Since the October PMI was strong, it might be better than that.
According to IHS Markit, monthly GDP rose 1% in Sept following growth of 0.6% in Aug. This means that if the level of GDP is flat for the next three months, a relatively conservative assumption, Q4 GDP growth will rise 3.3% SAAR. The Bloomberg News consensus is just 3.8% SAAR. pic.twitter.com/9ceKL0I2aD — RenMac: Renaissance Macro Research (@RenMacLLC) November 5, 2020
According to the Chief Business Economist at Markit, “Growth of business activity accelerated markedly in October, indicating that the underlying health of the US economy continued to recover at the start of the fourth quarter.” This report showed business activity increased at the fastest pace since April 2015. We wonder if the pace will stay this strong in November with the outbreak of COVID-19 even worse.
Conclusion
Europe and America have different COVID-19 strategies, but they both might lead them to weaker economies and a bad outbreak of the virus. The ADP report wasn’t great, but at least job creation continued. We are only almost in the first inning of this recovery in terms of the 2010s cycle. The ISM and Markit services PMIs were decent, but everyone wonders if the economy will fall off in November.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Triple leveraged long Nasdaq 100 ETF just saw a record outflow, while triple leveraged short Nasdaq

The unemployment rate continues to fall , but the share of unemployed out of work for at least six months @ @ @ @

Triple leveraged long Nasdaq 100 ETF just saw a record outflow, while triple leveraged short Nasdaq 100 ETF saw a record inflow $TQQQ $SQQQ pic.twitter.com/CUYxjX8tAx — Sarah Ponczek (@SarahPonczek) November 6, 2020
With the IT sector trading at a record 43% of GDP, large cap tech is the most over-valued and extended ever. Narrow, crowded, tired. pic.twitter.com/HFRtBZ1L8B — Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) November 6, 2020
Smart Money 💰 Selling pic.twitter.com/W7XMreRJd6 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) November 6, 2020
Friendly Reminder of the Everything Bubble. ht @QianjunBefanis pic.twitter.com/jPLzrMASpd — Paranoid Bull (@paranoidbull) November 6, 2020
The unemployment rate continues to fall, but the share of unemployed out of work for at least six months is rapidly accelerating.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Trump vs Biden: Calling the Definitive Victory NOW

Trump vs Biden .
Biden vs Trump .
What will happen economically if either candidate wins ?
Who will suffer @ @ @ @ @ Mike Maloney in today ’ s must-watch update for the definitive answers to these questions @

Trump vs Biden. Biden vs Trump. What will happen economically if either candidate wins? Who will suffer the knockout blow? Join Mike Maloney in today’s must-watch update for the definitive answers to these questions.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--“We’re going into what could be a winter of discontent. It’s not going to matter what the data looks

“We’re going into what could be a winter of discontent. It’s not going to matter what the data looks like going into winter. It’s not going to matter how much more stimulus the Congress puts in. It’s all about Covid:” MS’s Ellen Zentner

"We're going into what could be a winter of discontent. It's not going to matter what the data looks like going into winter. It's not going to matter how much more stimulus the Congress puts in. It's all about Covid:" MS's Ellen Zentner t.co/JQ0kgg9nQz — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) November 6, 2020
"Employment benefits are being exhausted, and there is the specter of the December 31st expiration of many of the Fed's facilities…Mnuchin has to agree to extend those facilities beyond December 31…there's no saying whether or not that's going to happen"t.co/pZMz2wrEzb — Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) November 6, 2020
Total payrolls growth: May +2.09%
Jun +3.59%
Jul +1.28%
Aug +1.07%
Sep +0.48%
Oct +0.45% At 0.45%/mo, total payrolls will not exceed pre-COVID peak until February of 2022. — George "Grants To State & Local Gov NOW" Pearkes (@pearkes) November 6, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--The lockdowns are not going to end

The lockdowns are not going to end

So in the UK there is another lockdown which is supposed to be 1 month long .
However yesterday the @ @ @ @ @ extension to the furlough scheme .
Link here : There is no way in hell @ @ @ @ @ by an additional 4 months if lockdown was going to end in a month .
@ @ @ @ @ free money whilst the economy literally implodes .
Savers will feel the brunt of this @ @ @ @ @ for by literally printing up new money devaluing the currency .
In case you feel @ @ @ @ @ has this covered too and it is now illegal to protest if there are more @ @ @ @ @ I ’ m sure they will make an exception for BLM or some other insanity @ @ @ @ @ right here , this is like the final stages of some kind of complete fascist @ @ @ @

by dukey
So in the UK there is another lockdown which is supposed to be 1 month long. However yesterday the government announced a 5 month extension to the furlough scheme. Link here:
www.gov.uk/government/news/government-extends-furlough-to-march-and-increases-self-employed-support
There is no way in hell they would extend this scheme by an additional 4 months if lockdown was going to end in a month. They are bribing people with free money whilst the economy literally implodes. Savers will feel the brunt of this because this will be paid for by literally printing up new money devaluing the currency.
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In case you feel like protesting? The government has this covered too and it is now illegal to protest if there are more than 2 of you:
www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/peaceful-protests-banned-under-englands-22957468
I’m sure they will make an exception for BLM or some other insanity. These are end times right here, this is like the final stages of some kind of complete fascist government take over.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--SECESSION — Citizens Of Illinois Want To Kick Clark County And Chicago Out Of Their State

Counties in Illinois approve nonbinding resolution to create new state Several counties in Illinois on Tuesday passed nonbinding resolutions by wide margins to create a new state , separate from Chicago and Cook County .
Questions posed to voters in various counties asked if they should join with others outside of Cook County to create a new state .
In Clay County , nearly 80 percent of voters approved the question .
Nearly 73 percent of Shelby County voters approved , while 63 percent of Christian County voters did so and in Crawford County , nearly 76 percent of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the movement , called Red State Secession , counted 24 counties that approved it , with most votes being between 70 percent to 80 percent in favor .
Last month , the chairman of New Illinois , a nonprofit group organizing the efforts , said it ’ s about constitutional rights to representation .
“ The guarantees clause of the U.S. Constitution , it guarantees us a republican form of government , ” Merritt said .
“ What ’ s that ?
That ’ s where we have a voice , where we @ @ @ @ @ @ @ state government is very Chicago focused .
Laws get passed , policies get put in place that may be in the best interest of a large urban area but they ’ re not in the best interest of a rural state like Illinois .
”

Counties in Illinois approve nonbinding resolution to create new state
Several counties in Illinois on Tuesday passed nonbinding resolutions by wide margins to create a new state, separate from Chicago and Cook County.
Questions posed to voters in various counties asked if they should join with others outside of Cook County to create a new state.
In Clay County, nearly 80 percent of voters approved the question. Nearly 73 percent of Shelby County voters approved, while 63 percent of Christian County voters did so and in Crawford County, nearly 76 percent of the voters said yes.
A group tracking the movement, called Red State Secession, counted 24 counties that approved it, with most votes being between 70 percent to 80 percent in favor.
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Last month, the chairman of New Illinois, a nonprofit group organizing the efforts, said it’s about constitutional rights to representation.
“The guarantees clause of the U.S. Constitution, it guarantees us a republican form of government,” Merritt said. “What’s that? That’s where we have a voice, where we’re represented, but unfortunately our state government is very Chicago focused. Laws get passed, policies get put in place that may be in the best interest of a large urban area but they’re not in the best interest of a rural state like Illinois.”
www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/counties-in-illinois-approve-nonbinding-resolution-to-create-new-state
h/t CrsCrpr


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--Why the Market’s “Faith in the Fed” May Be Dwindling Fast | Elliott Wave International

Many investors have believed for quite a long time that the U.S. Federal Reserve has held a lot of power @ @ @ @ @ the stock market .
Yet , it appears that this “ faith in the Fed @ @ @ @ @ diminish .
Le

Many investors have believed for quite a long time that the U.S. Federal Reserve has held a lot of power over the economy and even the stock market. Yet, it appears that this “faith in the Fed” is set to rapidly diminish. Le
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investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Investing Mistakes – Confirmation & Recency Biases

This is going to be a short post regarding two common investing mistakes , specifically Confirmation bias and Recency bias .
Anyone is prone to falling victim to these , but by being more aware of them there is much less tendency to unknowingly let them guide our decisions .
Simply put this is just ignoring relevant information that goes against our views , and seeking out info that just confirms what we want to believe .
We ’ ve all seen the posts stating “ This is going to happen to stock XYZ ” , they ignore any facts @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and yet , when the stock moves in the opposite direction there is surprise ?
The best counter is to seek out information that challenges your conclusion , review the company ’ s financials/profiles , read opinions that are opposed to your own , and be honest about your motivations .
Are you just trying to make a quick trade ?
Or an investment ?
This is when emphasis is put onto recent events and giving less weight to those that have happened in the past .
Recency bias makes us think more @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , perhaps we come to the conclusion that the market will keep going up ?
Or down ?
Or say an investor buys a stock and it drops over 20 % in a month , they might be more likely to view all the related investments as bad due to the recent experience .
Perhaps a closer look at the balance sheet would have revealed it was the bad one from the bunch .
The point here isn ’ t to completely ignore recent data and trends .
This is often what swing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ point is to ensure that your decision making isn ’ t too heavily influenced by it , trends can often change dramatically .
For several months tech stocks are on fire , and then the next few they underperform the rest of the market .
The tendency to think that the most recent strong performers are going to be tomorrow ’ s strong performers , will often leave you disappointed .
Whenever you hear “ momentum ” and “ trend ” always be cautious , do your research .
Additionally think less in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ investment horizon with your specific investment goals in mind .
Everyone is unique in the way they think and go about their investment strategies , some may be more prone to some biases than others may be .
It is important to remember that no one person is an expert , seek out opinions , and if you need more discipline then make yourself a rules-based checklist for investments .
Prevent the FOMO .
There are a lot more biases that influence our thinking , reading up on them to be more aware @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will make you a better investor in the future .
As always thankyou for reading , hopefully this short post got some brain juices going .
If anyone has some strategies they use or another common bias they see people falling victim to then please comment .
Have a good night everyone .
EDIT : Keep an open mind , acknowledge your shortcomings , be open to CONSTRUCTIVE criticism , listen , and don ’ t sell out of the market before an election because someone “ predicted ” it was going to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ball .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision .

by 036Gooddaysir036
Introduction:
This is going to be a short post regarding two common investing mistakes, specifically Confirmation bias and Recency bias. Anyone is prone to falling victim to these, but by being more aware of them there is much less tendency to unknowingly let them guide our decisions.
Confirmation Bias:
Simply put this is just ignoring relevant information that goes against our views, and seeking out info that just confirms what we want to believe. We’ve all seen the posts stating “This is going to happen to stock XYZ”, they ignore any facts in the comments refuting their position, and yet, when the stock moves in the opposite direction there is surprise?
The best counter is to seek out information that challenges your conclusion, review the company’s financials/profiles, read opinions that are opposed to your own, and be honest about your motivations. Are you just trying to make a quick trade? Or an investment?
Recency Bais:
This is when emphasis is put onto recent events and giving less weight to those that have happened in the past. Recency bias makes us think more in the short term. For example, perhaps we come to the conclusion that the market will keep going up? Or down? Or say an investor buys a stock and it drops over 20% in a month, they might be more likely to view all the related investments as bad due to the recent experience. Perhaps a closer look at the balance sheet would have revealed it was the bad one from the bunch.
The point here isn’t to completely ignore recent data and trends. This is often what swing trading can be influenced by! The point is to ensure that your decision making isn’t too heavily influenced by it, trends can often change dramatically. For several months tech stocks are on fire, and then the next few they underperform the rest of the market.
The tendency to think that the most recent strong performers are going to be tomorrow’s strong performers, will often leave you disappointed.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Whenever you hear “momentum” and “trend” always be cautious, do your research. Additionally think less in the short term, craft a long-term investment horizon with your specific investment goals in mind.
Final Thoughts:
Everyone is unique in the way they think and go about their investment strategies, some may be more prone to some biases than others may be. It is important to remember that no one person is an expert, seek out opinions, and if you need more discipline then make yourself a rules-based checklist for investments. Prevent the FOMO.
There are a lot more biases that influence our thinking, reading up on them to be more aware how they can influence your decision making will make you a better investor in the future.
As always thankyou for reading, hopefully this short post got some brain juices going. If anyone has some strategies they use or another common bias they see people falling victim to then please comment. Have a good night everyone.
EDIT: Keep an open mind, acknowledge your shortcomings, be open to CONSTRUCTIVE criticism, listen, and don’t sell out of the market before an election because someone “predicted” it was going to drop. No one has a crystal ball.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Top 11 Bellwether Counties in USA per Wikipedia Results

Election bellwether counties in the United States are counties which vote in alignment with the country as a whole in @ @ @ @ @ so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election .
The @ @ @ @ @ which back the winning candidate in all , or almost all , elections .
Valencia @ @ @ @ @ matched the vote of the country as a whole in every election since 1952 .

What’s a bellwether?
Election bellwether counties in the United States are counties which vote in alignment with the country as a whole in United States presidential elections, so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election. The strongest bellwether counties are those which back the winning candidate in all, or almost all, elections. Valencia County, New Mexico has matched the vote of the country as a whole in every election since 1952.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--The exact moment they first used Hammer and Scorecard and CNN accidentally caught it live on air.

The annalist on the right is just in shock and is like Um , Chris look at the screen .
@ @ @ @ @ what to say and admits he ’ s getting yelled at in his ear by @ @ @ @ @ got to witness the fraud live and their reactions alone shows it was shady as @ @

The annalist on the right is just in shock and is like Um, Chris look at the screen.
Fredo doesn’t know what to say and admits he’s getting yelled at in his ear by the control room.
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We got to witness the fraud live and their reactions alone shows it was shady as hell.
h/t Shamrock00007


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--London Has Fallen: Lockdown Protests Larger than Media is showing

Anti-Lockdown Protests in London are growing larger and larger each day .
Media in the UK is keeping very tight-lipped @ @ @ @ @ in the streets of London .

Anti-Lockdown Protests in London are growing larger and larger each day.
Media in the UK is keeping very tight-lipped about what is really happening in the streets of London.
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h/t Gordy


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Biden’s Vote Tallies apparently Violate Benford’s Law

Benford ’ s law , also called the Newcomb–Benford law , the law of anomalous numbers , or the first-digit @ @ @ @ @ about the frequency distribution of leading digits in many real-life sets of numerical data .
@ @ @ @ @ many naturally occurring collections of numbers , the leading digit is likely to be small @ @ @ @ @ example , in sets that obey the law , the number 1 appears as the @ @ @ @ @ % of the time , while 9 appears as the leading significant digit less than @ @ @ @ @ .
If the digits were distributed uniformly , they would each occur about 11.1 % @ @ @ @ @ 2 ] Benford ’ s law also makes predictions about the distribution of second digits @ @ @ @ @ combinations , and so on .

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benford's_law#:~:text=Benford's%20law,%20also%20called%20the,life%20sets%20of%20numerical%20data.&text=If%20the%20digits%20were%20distributed,about%2011.1%%20of%20the%20time.
Benford’s law, also called the Newcomb–Benford law, the law of anomalous numbers, or the first-digit law, is an observation about the frequency distribution of leading digits in many real-life sets of numerical data. The law states that in many naturally occurring collections of numbers, the leading digit is likely to be small.[1] For example, in sets that obey the law, the number 1 appears as the leading significant digit about 30% of the time, while 9 appears as the leading significant digit less than 5% of the time. If the digits were distributed uniformly, they would each occur about 11.1% of the time.[2] Benford’s law also makes predictions about the distribution of second digits, third digits, digit combinations, and so on.
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Now Milwaukee and Allegheny pic.twitter.com/2c689esbyj — Elefant Respecter (@DatElefan) November 6, 2020
Mathematics & science says Biden cheated!!!
h/t JADR


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Avian Flu Outbreaks Leads To Culling Hundreds Of Thousands Of Birds

UK , Holland , Germany , Israel , Russia and South Korea rush to contain Avian Flu outbreaks culling hundreds @ @ @ @ @ seems we jump from one outbreak to another… Highly infectious bird flu virus are currently @ @ @ @ @ thousands of animals in Germany , the Netherlands , UK and further east in Russia @ @ @ @ @ .
Two poultry farms in Holland and Germany have been attacked by H5N8 , forcing @ @ @ @ @ 200,000 chickens in Puiflijk , the Netherlands .
These Dutch farms are just 30km ( @ @ @ @ @ German border .
The main risk is that the infection spread out-of-control on both sides @ @ @ @ @ flu strain isn ’ t too dangerous for humans , its economic cost can be @ @ @ @ @ touching sick or dead birds .
Chicken and eggs are safe to eat if cooked @ @

UK, Holland, Germany, Israel, Russia and South Korea rush to contain Avian Flu outbreaks culling hundreds of thousands of birds
It seems we jump from one outbreak to another… Highly infectious bird flu virus are currently sweeping across Europe, infecting thousands of animals in Germany, the Netherlands, UK and further east in Russia, Israel and South Korea.
Germany and The Netherlands
Two poultry farms in Holland and Germany have been attacked by H5N8, forcing the culling of more than 200,000 chickens in Puiflijk, the Netherlands.
These Dutch farms are just 30km (19 miles) from the German border. The main risk is that the infection spread out-of-control on both sides.
Although the H5N8 bird flu strain isn’t too dangerous for humans, its economic cost can be significant. People should avoid touching sick or dead birds. Chicken and eggs are safe to eat if cooked thoroughly.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--The Conspiracy Runs Deep

The Conspiracy Runs Deep

While these people did not pull off what they claimed , nonetheless , it shows the extreme hostility that lies @ @ @ @ @ show in 2021 even with a Biden victory by sheer force , the left will @ @ @ @ @ for more and more demands , not just the whole defunding the police movement .
@ @ @ @ @ be about is the fear that the police will rise up against the left and @ @ @ @ @ Ultimately , the power of the state depends on its police and military .
Defunding @ @ @ @ @ effort to prevent a revolution against their Marxist agenda .

by Martin Armstrong
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While these people did not pull off what they claimed, nonetheless, it shows the extreme hostility that lies behind the left. We show in 2021 even with a Biden victory by sheer force, the left will be protesting extensively to push for more and more demands, not just the whole defunding the police movement. What that seems to really be about is the fear that the police will rise up against the left and engage in a revolution. Ultimately, the power of the state depends on its police and military. Defunding the police is really an effort to prevent a revolution against their Marxist agenda.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--What does a Biden World Look Like?

What does a Biden World Look Like?

Our model has not changed – 2022 is going to be the year from political hell .
There is no question this election has been stolen .
Despite all the money these people have pouring to defeat Trump , they did not get the Blue Sweep that their press was predicting because all the polls were also bought and paid for or their methods of polling are simply incompetent .
The way all the mainstream press , even in London , are so anti-Trump , this is not because they do not like his tweets .
This is all about @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Great Reset as world leaders flock to Davos to kiss the ring of Klaus Schwab .
This is by NO MEANS a democratic election .
This is a bait-and-switch .
Never in the litany of promises was there ever a clear message that they were going to completely alter the United States and end the tripartite form of government .
A vote for Biden was not like a vote for Obama .
There was not an agenda being imported from overseas under Obama .
So he won , big deal , you went @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not be the case this time .
Biden admitted he was against fossil fuels and he will rejoin the United Nations .
This raises serious questions .
They dumped $ 104 million to defeat Lyndsey Grachm because he is on the Judiciary Committee and they want to pack the court so they really need to defeat Grahm and take the Senate .
They want to remove the Supreme Court so that it will always uphold whatever they impose because the # 1 agenda will be Communism 3.0 .
List of Dead Voters in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Biden If the Supreme Court does not intervene and prevent this fraud , then Biden will most likely last until 2022 .
If he serves 2 years , then he can be eliminated intentionally or by natural causes .
I don ’ t think the computer forecasts people ’ s death by natural causes .
Harris would then take over and that is important .
For if a president serves 2 years of his term , then she can run twice for president given her a term of 10 years .
That will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ decline and fall of the United States .
Listen very carefully to Schwab ’ s wish list that the United States will no longer be a super-power .
It will be shared by several countries via the United Nations completing George Soros ’ overthrow of the United States and create his one-world government ending all borders .
Those Republican senators in states with Democratic Governors better hire bodyguards .
If they suddenly die , then the governor gets to appoint the senator without any election .
That would be the means to take @ @ @ @ @ @ @ real live coup , but it goes far beyond merely domestic forces .
This time the USA is indeed being invaded by foreign powers who are seeking to take control of the US nuclear power to then threaten China and Russia into complying with their agenda .
Those who have voted for Biden never did their homework .
They have destroyed the future of their own families .

by Martin Armstrong
Our model has not changed – 2022 is going to be the year from political hell. There is no question this election has been stolen. Despite all the money these people have pouring to defeat Trump, they did not get the Blue Sweep that their press was predicting because all the polls were also bought and paid for or their methods of polling are simply incompetent. The way all the mainstream press, even in London, are so anti-Trump, this is not because they do not like his tweets. This is all about implementing the World Economic Forum’s Great Reset as world leaders flock to Davos to kiss the ring of Klaus Schwab.
This is by NO MEANS a democratic election. This is a bait-and-switch. Never in the litany of promises was there ever a clear message that they were going to completely alter the United States and end the tripartite form of government. A vote for Biden was not like a vote for Obama. There was not an agenda being imported from overseas under Obama. So he won, big deal, you went on about your life. That will not be the case this time. Biden admitted he was against fossil fuels and he will rejoin the United Nations.
This raises serious questions. They dumped $104 million to defeat Lyndsey Grachm because he is on the Judiciary Committee and they want to pack the court so they really need to defeat Grahm and take the Senate. They want to remove the Supreme Court so that it will always uphold whatever they impose because the #1 agenda will be Communism 3.0.
List of Dead Voters in Detroit Alone: Detroit Dead Voters for Biden
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If the Supreme Court does not intervene and prevent this fraud, then Biden will most likely last until 2022. If he serves 2 years, then he can be eliminated intentionally or by natural causes. I don’t think the computer forecasts people’s death by natural causes. Harris would then take over and that is important. For if a president serves 2 years of his term, then she can run twice for president given her a term of 10 years. That will take her into 2032 to complete the decline and fall of the United States.
Listen very carefully to Schwab’s wish list that the United States will no longer be a super-power. It will be shared by several countries via the United Nations completing George Soros’ overthrow of the United States and create his one-world government ending all borders.
Those Republican senators in states with Democratic Governors better hire bodyguards. If they suddenly die, then the governor gets to appoint the senator without any election. That would be the means to take over the Senate. This is a real live coup, but it goes far beyond merely domestic forces. This time the USA is indeed being invaded by foreign powers who are seeking to take control of the US nuclear power to then threaten China and Russia into complying with their agenda.
Those who have voted for Biden never did their homework. They have destroyed the future of their own families.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Why People Hate Trump

Why People Hate Trump

I hope that you are well and that you get the chance to read what I have written below .
Firstly , I ’ m a conservative at heart and agree with most of what you say and your work .
However , I felt compelled to give you a genuine opinion of what people really think about Trump and why so many people , even conservatives like me , dislike him .
In the beginning , i though that Trump would be good for the US , I ’ m aligned with most of his ideas , he is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a good leader who wants the best for his country .
However , you have got to see it from the other side .
He hasn ’ t drained the swamp , just filled it with people who also reside in the same swamp , from goldman Sachs advisors to his own family .
His main issue is that he likes the sound of his own voice too much , he voices his own opinions too much , he ’ s egotistical , too flippant and needs to get off twitter .
No @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have .
He has a distinct inability to convey ideas and information factually , he comes across as a liar , he hates losing and he lacks humility .
He reminds me of a school child that was bullied and then did good , and now he wants to tell every one about his great he is .
He is a show off and thinks he always knows best .
A president needs to show humility , and understand human nature and how to give the people the right information and show that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , he should be working in the background , without twitter to get his ideas through government .
He really does come across as a know it all , like he is the best and a bit of a joke .
Had he been more humble , kept of twitter and let his good work speak volumes , his image wouldn ’ t be so tarnished and people would warm to him more .
I was happy to see him become president but unfortunately , he continually makes stupid mistakes and really has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pure ego .
As I said , I like some of his policies and ideas , but like every politician , he doesnt relate to the people and he really doesnt do himself any favours by tweeting like an irate mad man .
His advisors should have helped him more in my opinion and realised this isnt a game show like the apprentice REPLY : I agree , I did not like that his son-in-law brought in Goldman Sachs when they even banned their own staff from donating to him .
He listened @ @ @ @ @ @ @ like Bolton who were the Deep State which to me showed he was naive .
The investigation into the Obama Administration interfering with his administration before and after becoming president was disgraceful and in 4 years they could not come up with a report before the election ?
To me , that was part of the swamp in control to protect themselves .
His tweeting and statements are sometimes off the wall .
I fully understand why people look at him and dislike him .
My concern is simply I know what is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , people have even tried to get me on their side .
I have no interest in that .
I am never going to assist those seeking to impose a one-world government .
Sorry – stop trying .
Some of the independent mainstream press in Europe are starting to report on what I know has been in play .
In June , there was a meeting at the World Economic Forum .
They are planning to now move full ahead to take over the world .
You will see a sharp rise in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to move the general public to the point that they see themselves as evil and must atone for their evil ways by surrendering all freedom as their just punishment .
There will be mass protests by left movements that are to be activated by members of the WEF .
All your freedom will vanish under Biden .
They will use protests and the virus .
They are already claiming a more lethal virus is developing in Europe in minks .
Our computer shows a real pandemic is likely in 2022 not now – @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been combining the normal flu deaths with COVID-19 to scare people and overthrow Trump .
Pelosi has said now they will “ crush the virus ” and to do that will be national lockdowns .
As I have stated , I bought a box of masks from Amazon and on the box , it says they will not prevent any disease .
So why are people imprisoned , beaten , or fined for not wearing a mask that does not work ?
This is all a scam to further this Great Reset where @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
They will take your pension and your 401K and hand you Guaranteed Basic Income and you will be happy and will kiss the ring of Klaus Schwab .
Europe is already planning to suspend elections .
You will see the same in Canada and the United States .
Welcome to Communism 3.0 – the age of tyranny because we as the great unwashed , are too stupid to understand what is best for us and the planet .
We lack the super-intelligence of Klaus Schwab .
I am giving it serious thought @ @ @ @ @ @ @ World Economic Conference I ever hold .
The forces behind the curtain are so intense , I can not possibly convey how serious this really is and the prospects of what lies ahead under Biden is not simply a Democrat defeating a Republican .
Even Republicans in the Senate are starting to say that Trump should just stand down .
They are oblivious to what is coming and they listen to nobody because it is a bubble in Washington and they think it will be business as usual .
Personally , I could @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as he stands up against this onslaught .
I fear he will not be able to do so and we will see the full force of what is in store .
The lockdowns are being used to destroy the economy and “ crush ” it into dust .
Then , as they said of Nero , he burned Rome so he could build his golden palace .
This is Klaus Schwab with the help of Gates and Soros .
There is no point in me objecting .
This is part of the way @ @ @ @ @ @ @ separatist movements rise , and the financial capital will move to China .
These people are insane thinking they can crush the economy and rebuilt it Green .
In January , they will announce at the World Economic Forum in 2021 the Great Reset agenda .
Take note of every world leader who attends .
They are there to kiss the ring of Klaus Schwab and you will then see the world leaders who have been bought and paid for to destroy our freedom .
As they say , sometimes you are better @ @ @ @ @ @ @

by Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Dear Marty,
I hope that you are well and that you get the chance to read what I have written below.
Firstly, I’m a conservative at heart and agree with most of what you say and your work. However, I felt compelled to give you a genuine opinion of what people really think about Trump and why so many people, even conservatives like me, dislike him. In the beginning, i though that Trump would be good for the US, I’m aligned with most of his ideas, he is positive, confident and appeared to be a good leader who wants the best for his country.
However, you have got to see it from the other side. He hasn’t drained the swamp, just filled it with people who also reside in the same swamp, from goldman Sachs advisors to his own family. His main issue is that he likes the sound of his own voice too much, he voices his own opinions too much, he’s egotistical, too flippant and needs to get off twitter. No president should be tweeting every opinion they have. He has a distinct inability to convey ideas and information factually, he comes across as a liar, he hates losing and he lacks humility. He reminds me of a school child that was bullied and then did good, and now he wants to tell every one about his great he is.
He is a show off and thinks he always knows best. A president needs to show humility, and understand human nature and how to give the people the right information and show that he cares. All the mean while, he should be working in the background, without twitter to get his ideas through government. He really does come across as a know it all, like he is the best and a bit of a joke. Had he been more humble, kept of twitter and let his good work speak volumes, his image wouldn’t be so tarnished and people would warm to him more.
I was happy to see him become president but unfortunately, he continually makes stupid mistakes and really has shot himself in the foot because of pure ego. As I said, I like some of his policies and ideas, but like every politician, he doesnt relate to the people and he really doesnt do himself any favours by tweeting like an irate mad man. His advisors should have helped him more in my opinion and realised this isnt a game show like the apprentice
TH
REPLY: I agree, I did not like that his son-in-law brought in Goldman Sachs when they even banned their own staff from donating to him. He listened to people and surrounded himself with people like Bolton who were the Deep State which to me showed he was naive. The investigation into the Obama Administration interfering with his administration before and after becoming president was disgraceful and in 4 years they could not come up with a report before the election? To me, that was part of the swamp in control to protect themselves.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
His tweeting and statements are sometimes off the wall. I fully understand why people look at him and dislike him.
My concern is simply I know what is happening behind the curtain. As always, people have even tried to get me on their side. I have no interest in that. I am never going to assist those seeking to impose a one-world government. Sorry – stop trying.
Some of the independent mainstream press in Europe are starting to report on what I know has been in play. In June, there was a meeting at the World Economic Forum. They are planning to now move full ahead to take over the world. You will see a sharp rise in leftist demonstrations and these will be used to move the general public to the point that they see themselves as evil and must atone for their evil ways by surrendering all freedom as their just punishment. There will be mass protests by left movements that are to be activated by members of the WEF. All your freedom will vanish under Biden. They will use protests and the virus. They are already claiming a more lethal virus is developing in Europe in minks.
Our computer shows a real pandemic is likely in 2022 not now – this is all fake and they have been combining the normal flu deaths with COVID-19 to scare people and overthrow Trump. Pelosi has said now they will “crush the virus” and to do that will be national lockdowns. As I have stated, I bought a box of masks from Amazon and on the box, it says they will not prevent any disease. So why are people imprisoned, beaten, or fined for not wearing a mask that does not work?
This is all a scam to further this Great Reset where you will own nothing and be happy. They will take your pension and your 401K and hand you Guaranteed Basic Income and you will be happy and will kiss the ring of Klaus Schwab. Europe is already planning to suspend elections. You will see the same in Canada and the United States. Welcome to Communism 3.0 – the age of tyranny because we as the great unwashed, are too stupid to understand what is best for us and the planet. We lack the super-intelligence of Klaus Schwab.
I am giving it serious thought. This will probably be the last World Economic Conference I ever hold. The forces behind the curtain are so intense, I cannot possibly convey how serious this really is and the prospects of what lies ahead under Biden is not simply a Democrat defeating a Republican. Even Republicans in the Senate are starting to say that Trump should just stand down. They are oblivious to what is coming and they listen to nobody because it is a bubble in Washington and they think it will be business as usual.
Personally, I could care less about his tweets as long as he stands up against this onslaught. I fear he will not be able to do so and we will see the full force of what is in store. The lockdowns are being used to destroy the economy and “crush” it into dust. Then, as they said of Nero, he burned Rome so he could build his golden palace. This is Klaus Schwab with the help of Gates and Soros.
There is no point in me objecting. This is part of the way Western Society will self-destruct, fragment and separatist movements rise, and the financial capital will move to China. These people are insane thinking they can crush the economy and rebuilt it Green. In January, they will announce at the World Economic Forum in 2021 the Great Reset agenda. Take note of every world leader who attends. They are there to kiss the ring of Klaus Schwab and you will then see the world leaders who have been bought and paid for to destroy our freedom.
As they say, sometimes you are better off with the devil you know.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Michigan County Flips to Trump with 12,000 Vote Swing

This story is still developing , and new facts are regularly coming in .
It was a computer program glitch that got discovered , so they counted Antrim County ballots by hand .
As it turns out the program switched 6,000 Trump voters to Biden .
So , subtract 6,000 from Biden and add 6,000 to Trump .
But , that ’ s not the really good part .
Forty-seven counties in Michigan used exactly the same program .
How did this happen ?
I hope it was accidental .
But either way , the software company has a lot @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t the only county affected .
In Oakland County , a Republican official who thought he lost , won his reelection when a glitch was discovered there as well .
All 47 other counties must do whatever necessary to recheck their counts .
“ If all this wasn ’ t enough , in Antrim County , ballots were counted for Democrats that were meant for Republicans , causing a 6,000-vote swing against our candidates.
” “ The county clerk came forward and said , ‘ tabulating software glitched and caused a miscalculation @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we have now discovered that 47 counties use this same software in the same capacity.
” “ Antrim County had to hand-count all of the ballots , and these counties that use this software need to closely examine their results for similar discrepancies .
”

This story is still developing, and new facts are regularly coming in.
It was a computer program glitch that got discovered, so they counted Antrim County ballots by hand. As it turns out the program switched 6,000 Trump voters to Biden. So, subtract 6,000 from Biden and add 6,000 to Trump. But, that’s not the really good part. Forty-seven counties in Michigan used exactly the same program.
How did this happen? I hope it was accidental. But either way, the software company has a lot to answer for. Antrim County isn’t the only county affected. In Oakland County, a Republican official who thought he lost, won his reelection when a glitch was discovered there as well. All 47 other counties must do whatever necessary to recheck their counts.
Michigan Republican Party chairwoman Laura Cox said:
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“If all this wasn’t enough, in Antrim County, ballots were counted for Democrats that were meant for Republicans, causing a 6,000-vote swing against our candidates.”
“The county clerk came forward and said, ‘tabulating software glitched and caused a miscalculation of the votes. Since then, we have now discovered that 47 counties use this same software in the same capacity.”
“Antrim County had to hand-count all of the ballots, and these counties that use this software need to closely examine their results for similar discrepancies.”
davidharrisjr.com/steven/michigan-county-flips-from-biden-to-trump-after-glitch-fixed-12000-vote-swing-in-county-with-only-17000-voters/


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--STOP THE STEAL! Updated list of demonstrations happening today

Get in the streets .
NOW

MI – 9:30am TCF Center (Detroit)
ATL – 12pm State Farm Arena
PA – 12pm PA Capitol Harrisburg
DC – 1pm RNC Office 320 1st St SE
Get in the streets. NOW
❌ NO Violence
✅ Loud and Peaceful
MI – 9:30am TCF Center (Detroit)
ATL – 12pm State Farm Arena
PA – 12pm PA Capitol Harrisburg
DC – 1pm RNC Office 320 1st St SE@BrandonStraka @thecjpearson @ali @debostic @Cernovich @ScottPresler @AmyKremer
— Kylie Jane Kremer (@KylieJaneKremer) November 6, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Serbian Warning: What Happened When Their Elections Were Stolen in 2000

A Serbian citizen discusses what they did when Milosavljevic attempted to fraudulently steal the election in 2000 .

A Serbian citizen discusses what they did when Milosavljevic attempted to fraudulently steal the election in 2000.
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www.bitchute.com/video/sCQL8CtoTcKC/


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--Colossal populist shift, do not ignore it.

*you have to go back to Bush ( 47 % ) in 1992 to get a Republican as high as @ @ @ @

New York State
2012
Obama: 64%
Romney: 35%
2008
Obama: 65%
McCain: 36%
2004
Kerry: 58%
Bush: 40%
2000
Gore: 60%
Bush: 35%
1996
Clinton: 60%
Dole: 30%
1992
Clinton: 49%
Bush: 33%
*you have to go back to Bush (47%) in 1992 to get a Republican as high as Trump in NY.
— Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) November 7, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--The focus now turns back to the #Fed. Given #stocks are near all-time highs and #earning #estimates

The focus now turns back to the #Fed. Given #stocks are near all-time highs and #earning #estimates continue to fall, #valuation expansion is the only driver of stocks currently.

In this 11-06-20 issue of “ Market Surges As Election Turns Into Optimal Outcome.
” • Gridlock Is Best For Markets • The Focus Turns Back To The Fed • MacroView : The Fed Will Monetize All Debt Issuance Catch Up On What You Missed Last Week After reducing equity risk in portfolios over the last few weeks , we suggested last week the “ selling ” was likely overdone .
Just for comparison purposes , here is the chart from last week .
And it is updated through Friday ’ s close .
It was quite the reversal .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ the 50-dma and lower highs ’ previous downtrend .
Such sets the market up for a retest of all-time highs next week .
Not Out Of The Woods However , before you get all excited and go throwing your money into the market , you may want to step back and re-evaluate your risk .
If you haven ’ t liked the ups and downs in the market over the last couple of months , you have too much “ risk ” in your portfolio .
The volatility isn ’ t over .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Furthermore , while we did expect this rally and added exposure in our portfolios , the previous “ oversold ” condition has now been largely reversed .
As shown below , the market is now back to more “ overbought ” conditions , which suggests limited upside from current levels .
Also , the deviation from the 200-dma is now back to levels that have previously led to mild , short-term corrections .
Keep a watch on the Advance-Decline line .
Over the last few trading days , the rapid surge in prices @ @ @ @ @ @ @ overbought conditions , typically denote short- to intermediate-term tops .
For all of these reasons , aggressively positioned investors can use any rally to adjust portfolio volatility and risk .
Remember , investing isn ’ t a competition for who can say they “ beat the market.
” There are no “ trophies.
” However , there is a heavy penalty to your retirement goals if you are wrong .
Gridlock Is Best For Markets On Thursday , in our daily “ 3-Minutes ” video , I discussed why the markets were rallying @ @ @ @ @ @ @ noted , it doesn ’ t matter who the President is .
With the GOP potentially maintaining control of the Senate and narrowing the majority in the House , such vastly reduces significant policy changes such as : • Extreme regulation on the oil and gas industry Such bodes well for the markets as noted by MarketWatch : As noted last week , such also aligns with historical Presidential election years .
The weakness in September and October turns to strength in November and December .
A Continuation Of The Rally Into Year-End @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of a rally into year-end .
Combine his thesis with a lack of significant policy changes from Washington , and it is likely money will continue to chase “ risk assets ” given no other alternative currently .
With yield spreads compressed , interest rates at zero , the “ T.I.N.A ” ( There Is No Alternative ) narrative continues to reign .
The Focus Turns Back To The Fed Once we start to analyze what “ Gridlock ” will mean for policy , it should become apparent what the “ risks ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , earnings growth rates continue to drop as we head into next year .
With stock prices back near all-time highs , this continues to be a market that is driven solely by valuation expansion .
The majority of that “ price chase ” has been based solely on the premise of more liquidity coming from the Federal Reserve .
The hope , of course , is that eventually , earnings will play “ catchup ” with valuations .
Historically , such has never been the case .
As we head into 2021 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ means less stimulus , less infrastructure spending , and more battles over the debt and deficit .
The regular “ debt ceiling ” fights will return , and smaller stimulus packages will compound time delays .
Such translates into three critical factors for the financial markets : • Less direct stimulus to households means reduced spending and lower rates of economic growth .
• Less stimulus means there is less debt issued , which keeps the Federal Reserve trapped with interest rates at zero .
• The combination of less stimulus and Fed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In 2021 , the odds of another recessionary bought will increase , putting downward pressure on stocks .
The only question will be if the Federal Reserve can bail it out again as the “ effective benefit ” continues to decline .
The Fed Remains Stuck At Zero This past week , the Federal Open Market Committee ( FOMC ) concluded their meeting .
Not surprisingly , given the embattled election and lack of stimulus , they provided “ happy talk ” to the markets .
In other words , they said @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in his post : However , it is more important to understand their dilemma .
Such is indeed the most significant risk to both the economy and the markets .
As we noted in yesterday ’ s “ Rescues Are Ruining Capitalism.
” Each successive round of stimulus pulls forward future consumption , which leaves a void .
That void then has to be filled with more stimulus , which leaves a larger void in the future .
Eventually , the void will become too large to fill .
Over the last few @ @ @ @ @ @ @ gradually raised cash and rebalanced portfolio risks ahead of the Presidential election .
After the election passed , and we could see where the markets were positioning themselves , we reallocated that cash and took our equity exposure back to target weightings .
There were two primary reasons for the reversal .
The first was that the sell-off had removed short-term risk over the last few weeks .
The second was the outcome of the election perceived as favorable to the markets , as discussed above .
There are still risks to that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Therefore , we will keep a close watch on holdings and tighten up our stops .
As we discussed recently in “ Policies Over Politics , ” what matters most long-term are taxes , debt , and deficits .
Unfortunately , we will probably head the wrong way on all three .
Last week , I stated that we would “ not buy the market ’ s low.
” We did wait for the market to “ tell us , ” what it was going to do , and then we acted @ @ @ @ @ @ @ We are currently near full exposure to equities , are slightly underweight in bonds with a shortened-duration , and have tightened current stop-losses .
While the next two months tend to be positively biased , there is still a considerable risk to the markets .
Markets remain deviated from long-term means , economic growth remains weak , and further stimulus will remain elusive .
As such , it is worth remaining vigilant over portfolios and using rallies to rebalance portfolio risks as needed .
To win the “ investing war , ” it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ battles ” wisely .
If you aren ’ t sure about the battleground , it is always better to retreat and “ live to fight another day.
” If you need help or have questions , we are always glad to help .
Just email me .
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by Lance Roberts
In this 11-06-20 issue of “Market Surges As Election Turns Into Optimal Outcome.”
Market Surges As Election Remains Unclear
Gridlock Is Best For Markets
The Focus Turns Back To The Fed
Portfolio Positioning Update
MacroView: The Fed Will Monetize All Debt Issuance
Sector & Market Analysis
401k Plan Manager
The Post-Election Webinar Event Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Richard Rosso, CFP, will join you for a “Candid Coffee” event to discuss what happens post-election as we head into 2021, what this means for the markets, taxes, retirement, planning, and much more. Join us live on November 14th from 8-9 am via webinar. Register Now to reserve your spot.
Catch Up On What You Missed Last Week
Market Surges As Election Remains Unclear
After reducing equity risk in portfolios over the last few weeks, we suggested last week the “selling” was likely overdone.
“All of our “sell signals” have been intact for the last few weeks suggesting more downside risk near term. Those signals have now reversed to the point where we are likely to see a decent reflex rally starting as early as Monday. As noted in the year-to-date performance chart below, the market is 2-standard deviations below its 50-dma and is close to the September low support.”
Just for comparison purposes, here is the chart from last week.
And it is updated through Friday’s close.
It was quite the reversal. The rally pushed the market back above the 50-dma and lower highs’ previous downtrend. Such sets the market up for a retest of all-time highs next week.
Not Out Of The Woods
However, before you get all excited and go throwing your money into the market, you may want to step back and re-evaluate your risk. If you haven’t liked the ups and downs in the market over the last couple of months, you have too much “risk” in your portfolio.
The volatility isn’t over. Particularly as we head into 2021.
Furthermore, while we did expect this rally and added exposure in our portfolios, the previous “oversold” condition has now been largely reversed. As shown below, the market is now back to more “overbought” conditions, which suggests limited upside from current levels. Also, the deviation from the 200-dma is now back to levels that have previously led to mild, short-term corrections.
Still A Sellable Rally
“Such a rally will provide an opportunity to rebalance portfolio risks accordingly. As we will discuss momentarily, the markets will begin to process the election’s impact on various sectors and the market itself. However, the economy’s disconnect remains longer-term, which can not last as earnings come from economic activity. While the very short-term trading environment is conducive for a rally, the longer-term ‘investing’ environment is still problematic with weakening relative strength, participation, and fundamental issues.
Keep a watch on the Advance-Decline line. Over the last few trading days, the rapid surge in prices pushed that indicator back to more extreme overbought conditions, typically denote short- to intermediate-term tops.
For all of these reasons, aggressively positioned investors can use any rally to adjust portfolio volatility and risk.
Remember, investing isn’t a competition for who can say they “beat the market.” There are no “trophies.” However, there is a heavy penalty to your retirement goals if you are wrong.
Gridlock Is Best For Markets
On Thursday, in our daily “3-Minutes” video, I discussed why the markets were rallying despite a hotly contested election.
As noted, it doesn’t matter who the President is. With the GOP potentially maintaining control of the Senate and narrowing the majority in the House, such vastly reduces significant policy changes such as:
Higher taxes
Massive stimulus packages
Extreme regulation on the oil and gas industry
Large spending packages on “green energy.”
Major reform or socialization of health care.
An inflationary spike.
Such bodes well for the markets as noted by MarketWatch:
“The likely reason that Wall Street likes gridlock is that it reduces the possibility that any major policy changes will take effect. Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA, noted in an email to clients that the increasingly likely gridlock ‘lessens the prospects for an increase in regulations and taxes.’ In addition, he added, the gridlock reduces the likelihood of ‘additional fiscal stimulus’ — and that reduced likelihood in turn eases potential inflationary pressures down the road.”
As noted last week, such also aligns with historical Presidential election years. The weakness in September and October turns to strength in November and December.
A Continuation Of The Rally Into Year-End
My colleague Doug Kass confirms our view of a rally into year-end.
“With the perception, in part, of election uncertainty and the quicker spread of Covid-19, market participants have been positioned defensively and cautiously. We have exited the weakest period of the calendar (August to October) and are entering a two-month period where stocks are seasonally strong. The evolving market structure change, in which the market is dominated by products and strategies chasing price and momentum, could catapult the markets higher rather swiftly. In ‘risk parity’ and other quant strategies, ‘buyers live higher and sellers live lower.’ They are and might continue to buy high.”
He is correct.
Combine his thesis with a lack of significant policy changes from Washington, and it is likely money will continue to chase “risk assets” given no other alternative currently. With yield spreads compressed, interest rates at zero, the “T.I.N.A” (There Is No Alternative) narrative continues to reign.
However, as noted, beware 2021.
The Focus Turns Back To The Fed
Once we start to analyze what “Gridlock” will mean for policy, it should become apparent what the “risks” are.
As we have noted previously, earnings growth rates continue to drop as we head into next year. With stock prices back near all-time highs, this continues to be a market that is driven solely by valuation expansion.
The majority of that “price chase” has been based solely on the premise of more liquidity coming from the Federal Reserve. The hope, of course, is that eventually, earnings will play “catchup” with valuations. Historically, such has never been the case.
As we head into 2021, a “gridlocked” Congress potentially means less stimulus, less infrastructure spending, and more battles over the debt and deficit. The regular “debt ceiling” fights will return, and smaller stimulus packages will compound time delays.
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Such translates into three critical factors for the financial markets:
Less direct stimulus to households means reduced spending and lower rates of economic growth. Less stimulus means there is less debt issued, which keeps the Federal Reserve trapped with interest rates at zero. The combination of less stimulus and Fed monetization will lead to increased deflationary pressures.
In 2021, the odds of another recessionary bought will increase, putting downward pressure on stocks. The only question will be if the Federal Reserve can bail it out again as the “effective benefit” continues to decline.
The Fed Remains Stuck At Zero
This past week, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concluded their meeting. Not surprisingly, given the embattled election and lack of stimulus, they provided “happy talk” to the markets.
In other words, they said “nothing.” As Mish Shedlock noted in his post:
“The Fed is stuck in glue. It did not change interest rates. Nor did it change much of its announcement.”
However, it is more important to understand their dilemma.
“The Fed is stuck and will not lower rates below zero nor can it raise them without killing housing. Meanwhile, the bubbles keep getting bigger increasing the odds of a deflationary collapse.”
Such is indeed the most significant risk to both the economy and the markets. As we noted in yesterday’s “Rescues Are Ruining Capitalism.”
“The rest of the world followed the Fed. As interest rates fell toward zero, the world’s debts—including households, governments and nonfinancial companies—more than tripled between 1980 and 2007 to more than three times the size of the global economy. It was taking more debt to fuel the same amount of growth, because more debt was going to unproductive borrowers. Capitalism was bogging down.” – Sharma
Each successive round of stimulus pulls forward future consumption, which leaves a void. That void then has to be filled with more stimulus, which leaves a larger void in the future.
Eventually, the void will become too large to fill.
“The continuous bailouts continue to distort the market’s price signals, which makes the markets less efficient in allocating capital. Such has led to the rising number of “zombies” and monopolies, the widening of wealth inequality, and lower productivity and growth. The deformation of capitalism will be an economic plague that continues to lead to further dysfunction alienating younger generations. Social unrest and revolt will be the eventual result.”
Portfolio Positioning Update
Over the last few weeks, we discussed that we had gradually raised cash and rebalanced portfolio risks ahead of the Presidential election. After the election passed, and we could see where the markets were positioning themselves, we reallocated that cash and took our equity exposure back to target weightings.
There were two primary reasons for the reversal. The first was that the sell-off had removed short-term risk over the last few weeks. The second was the outcome of the election perceived as favorable to the markets, as discussed above. There are still risks to that view until the election is officially over. Therefore, we will keep a close watch on holdings and tighten up our stops.
As we discussed recently in “Policies Over Politics,” what matters most long-term are taxes, debt, and deficits. Unfortunately, we will probably head the wrong way on all three.
Last week, I stated that we would “not buy the market’s low.” We did wait for the market to “tell us,” what it was going to do, and then we acted quickly to put capital to work. We are currently near full exposure to equities, are slightly underweight in bonds with a shortened-duration, and have tightened current stop-losses.
While the next two months tend to be positively biased, there is still a considerable risk to the markets. Markets remain deviated from long-term means, economic growth remains weak, and further stimulus will remain elusive.
As such, it is worth remaining vigilant over portfolios and using rallies to rebalance portfolio risks as needed.
To win the “investing war,” it is essential to pick and choose our “battles” wisely. If you aren’t sure about the battleground, it is always better to retreat and “live to fight another day.”
The MacroView
If you need help or have questions, we are always glad to help. Just email me.
See You Next Week
By Lance Roberts, CIO
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investmentwatchblog--2020-11-07--A roadmap of political configurations and investment positions.

A roadmap of political configurations and investment positions .
@ bcaresearch via @ SoberLook pic.twitter.com/qjp4p5rFdK

A roadmap of political configurations and investment positions. @bcaresearch via @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/qjp4p5rFdK
— Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) November 7, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--This will tell us when the party ends!

This will tell us when the party ends!

# WallStreet is still underpinned by # liquidity , but watch this chart carefully .
Shows all US equity holdings @ @ @ @ @ Current 1.05x , prospectively 0.88x , peak 1.31x and 'fair value ' 0.85x It will @ @ @ @ @ ends !
pic.twitter.com/7xV1jGfs4y

#WallStreet is still underpinned by #liquidity, but watch this chart carefully. Shows all US equity holdings divided by US liquidity. Current 1.05x, prospectively 0.88x, peak 1.31x and 'fair value' 0.85x It will tell us when the party ends! pic.twitter.com/7xV1jGfs4y
— CrossBorder Capital (@crossbordercap) November 6, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--ANALYSIS: “We’re going to have a record number of hospitalizations this week,”

ANALYSIS : “ We ’ re going to have a record number of hospitalizations this week , ” @ ScottGottlieb @ @ @ @ @ Covid19 continues to spread .
pic.twitter.com/jSUDVAamET The number of detected cases is rising in every @ @ @ @ @ is at the highest level in our dataset , the West is also now at @ @ @ @ @ yet .
pic.twitter.com/7OVCCDjlUJ

ANALYSIS: “We’re going to have a record number of hospitalizations this week,” @ScottGottlieb tells @margbrennan as #Covid19 continues to spread. pic.twitter.com/jSUDVAamET — Face The Nation (@FaceTheNation) November 8, 2020
The number of detected cases is rising in every region. While the Midwest is at the highest level in our dataset, the West is also now at the region's highest level yet. pic.twitter.com/7OVCCDjlUJ — The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) November 9, 2020
SOBERING: We hit 10 million total #COVID19 cases today in the US. Over the past week, there has been an average of 106,972 cases/day, an increase of 57% from the average two weeks earlier. Video shows how we got here. We’re headed towards 200,000 new cases/day by Thanksgiving. 🧵 pic.twitter.com/mPSC8btl4q — Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 8, 2020
UK faces pre-Christmas slump on back of new Covid restrictions t.co/0jXT3oONNm — Guardian Money (@guardianmoney) November 9, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--The Whole World Is On The Brink Of Global Recession

🇨🇦 Canadian households insolvencies rising “Consumer insolvency filings are expected to rise through end of year as household support measures… have started to expire, while employment remains below pre-pandemic level”#Canada #economy #recessiont.co/lqVaxNiv0P pic.twitter.com/t5eHBeyOYV — GnS Economics (@GnSEconomics) November 5, 2020
The @nytimes on Election Night four years ago: "So we are very probably looking at a global recession, with no end in sight. I suppose we could get lucky somehow. But on economics, as on everything else, a terrible thing has just happened."t.co/3qjTVxSLQb — James DePorre (@RevShark) November 7, 2020
Stimulus creating a false sense of security “There is real economic damage happening to several industries and the liquidity in the stock market and everything else is making it feel really safe"#economy #stimulus #recessiont.co/Xfng5UEJJb pic.twitter.com/ele5deCUvP — GnS Economics (@GnSEconomics) November 7, 2020
As the IMF urges an “agile policy response”, young people too must be agile as the future itself is shredded by uncertainty. If our research is anything to go by, young people are approaching the future with a dark optimism – with @DrRosBlack #recession t.co/h48DRH9Bip — Lucas Walsh (@ProfLucasWalsh) November 4, 2020
Commercial and industrial loans at all commercial banks decrease by $11.6 billion to $2.698 trillion in the week ended Oct. 28. See @federalreserve H.8 – Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States release tables in FRED: t.co/G25GBrXpY5 pic.twitter.com/DeZHEJWfla — St. Louis Fed (@stlouisfed) November 9, 2020
The second wave of Covid and the new lockdowns all but guarantee the onset of a European banking crisis, of which possibility the World Bank recently also warned. #economy #pandemic #LockDown #recession #crisist.co/9PQ7aI2tsX — GnS Economics (@GnSEconomics) November 6, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-09--This is too funny regardless of where your allegiance lies.

This is too funny regardless of where your allegiance lies .
t.co/2WsXFGiIYZ

This is too funny regardless of where your allegiance lies. t.co/2WsXFGiIYZ
— Gabe Jensen (@GabeJensen7) November 9, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--Huge Move! China Leapfrogs US With World’s First 6G Satellite Amid Raging Tech War

As the US ’ tech war with China continues to rage , China has leapfrogged the US in satellite telecommunication @ @ @ @ @ of the world ’ s first sixth-generation satellite into space .
The experimental satellite containing @ @ @ @ @ Friday into low Earth orbit from the Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center in China ’ s @ @ @ @ @ Asia Times .

As the US’ tech war with China continues to rage, China has leapfrogged the US in satellite telecommunication technology with the successful launch of the world’s first sixth-generation satellite into space.
The experimental satellite containing advanced telecommunications technology was launched Friday into low Earth orbit from the Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center in China’s northern Shanxi Province, reported Asia Times.
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–
Learn More: www.zerohedge.com/technology/…


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--Trump can’t ADMIT there was an OPERATION STING to trap the DNC, but to counter foreign interference

Not later than 45 days after the conclusion of a United States election , the Director of National Intelligence , @ @ @ @ @ of any other appropriate executive departments and agencies ( agencies ) , shall conduct an @ @ @ @ @ that a foreign government , or any person acting as an agent of or on @ @ @ @ @ , has acted with the intent or purpose of interfering in that election .
Means @ @ @ @ @ set up , but to trap foreign actors , not the DNC .
At least @ @ @ @ @ .
Otherwise it would be unlawful , if Trump knew the DNC would cheat , @ @ @ @ @ and not willingly stopping them .
If this is true , DNC is f*ucked .

This is interesting:
Exactly. These “it’s a big sting operation” people are delusional. t.co/FiYukW1w4Y — John Cardillo (@johncardillo) November 8, 2020
I agree. This is getting too crazy to keep up with. There are very incredible people talking about Hammer and Scorecard, but if they knew and expected it's use, why didn't they stop it? — pistachio chick (@pistachiochick) November 8, 2020
In the context of this executive order from 2018, this all makes PERFECT SENSE:t.co/6F5AGJ6lzo. Then also see the image in my comment to my reply. — PlusUltra (@ExpertVideoSEO) November 8, 2020
Not later than 45 days after the conclusion of a United States election, the Director of National Intelligence, in consultation with the heads of any other appropriate executive departments and agencies (agencies), shall conduct an assessment of any information indicating that a foreign government, or any person acting as an agent of or on behalf of a foreign government, has acted with the intent or purpose of interfering in that election.
Means, maybe there was something set up, but to trap foreign actors, not the DNC.
At least that is the official story.
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Otherwise it would be unlawful, if Trump knew the DNC would cheat, and set up a trap and not willingly stopping them.
If this is true, DNC is f*ucked.
h/t LostRabbit


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--Tucker Carlson lays it all out on his tonight show – best I have seen of him so far

He should really consider leaving Fox .

He is awesome!
Original YT video has been removed.
He should really consider leaving Fox.
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Fox is done.
h/t Tony


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--Media Deleting Their Election Night Coverage? NBC News, ABC News, and CBS News Election Night Videos

Media Deleting Their Election Night Coverage? NBC News, ABC News, and CBS News Election Night Videos Currently Down

ABC News : “ 2020 Election Results Live : Joe Biden Will Become 46th President of the United States l @ @ @ @ @ as more information becomes available .
Perhaps there ’ s some other reason why the @ @ @ @ @ Such as the length of the videos ?
Still processing ?
Are they being edited @ @ @

VIDEO: Media Deleting Their Election Night Coverage?
NBC News: “Watch: 2020 Election Coverage | NBC News NOW”
ABC News: “2020 Election Results Live: Joe Biden Will Become
46th President of the United States l ABC News”
CBS News: “Watch Election Day 2020 coverage and results live”
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Will update as more information becomes available.
Perhaps there’s some other reason why the videos are not
available? Such as the length of the videos?
Still processing?
Are they being edited before returning?
h/t dr0id


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--Mike Maloney and Ronnie Stoeferle: Silver is the ultimate winner in turbulent times … Dan Oliver: We

Mike Maloney and Ronnie Stoeferle: Silver is the ultimate winner in turbulent times … Dan Oliver: We’re headed for a real crisis and fourth revolution …

Mike Maloney and Ronnie Stoeferle : Silver is the ultimate winner in turbulent times … The Hill : Are we @ @ @ @ @ consensus ?
… Rick Rule : No sign of an end to the gold bull @ @ @ @ @ You need to move to Bitcoin Nation … Dan Oliver : We ’ re headed @ @ @ @ @ fourth revolution …

BY JOHN RUBINO
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Mike Maloney and Ronnie Stoeferle: Silver is the ultimate winner in turbulent times … The Hill: Are we in for a hellish bipartisan consensus? … Rick Rule: No sign of an end to the gold bull market … Max Keiser: You need to move to Bitcoin Nation … Dan Oliver: We’re headed for a real crisis and fourth revolution …


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--TRUMP said LAWSUITS start in 24 hs

TRUMP said LAWSUITS start in 24 hs

Beginning Monday , our campaign will start prosecuting our case in court to ensure election laws are fully upheld and @ @ @ @ @ .
The American People are entitled to an honest election : that means counting all @ @ @ @ @ counting any illegal ballots .
This is the only way to ensure the public has @ @ @ @ @ .
It remains shocking that the Biden campaign refuses to agree with this basic principle @ @ @ @ @ if they are fraudulent , manufactured , or cast by ineligible or deceased voters .
@ @ @ @ @ wrongdoing would unlawfully keep observers out of the count room – and then fight in @ @ @ @ @ .
“ So what is Biden hiding ?
I will not rest until the American @ @ @ @ @ count they deserve and that Democracy demands .
”

Beginning Monday, our campaign will start prosecuting our case in court to ensure election laws are fully upheld and the rightful winner is seated. The American People are entitled to an honest election: that means counting all legal ballots, and not counting any illegal ballots. This is the only way to ensure the public has full confidence in our election. It remains shocking that the Biden campaign refuses to agree with this basic principle and wants ballots counted even if they are fraudulent, manufactured, or cast by ineligible or deceased voters. Only a party engaged in wrongdoing would unlawfully keep observers out of the count room – and then fight in court to block their access.
“So what is Biden hiding? I will not rest until the American People have the honest vote count they deserve and that Democracy demands.”
– President Donald J. Trump
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www.donaldjtrump.com/media/statement-from-president-donald-j.-trump/
SS


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--ELECTORAL COLLEGE — Just A Thought

ELECTORAL COLLEGE — Just A Thought

So we all know that the presidential race isn ’ t actually called until December 14th in Washington D.C. when the electoral college cast their votes .
We also know that the MSM and the Biden camp conveniently claimed victory about five seconds before Giuliani announced a slew of major voter fraud lawsuits being filed Monday and two or three eyewitnesses to said voter fraud .
We ’ ve all seen the Project Veritas whistleblower videos as well .
We know Trump won and we know the democrats cheated .
What doesn ’ t make sense is why “ The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in Washington D.C. What I think is that they ’ ve known they had to push the envelope on voter fraud for sometime to steal this election .
They knew they had no chance of getting away with the massive amounts of voter fraud needed to steal this election so they planned accordingly .
What if they planned the “ Shutdown D.C. ” protest not to make Trump leave the White House as they have claimed but to stop the electoral college from casting their votes and verifying the legitimacy of Trump ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ insinuating she would be picking the next president if a president wasn ’ t determined by the end of this term ( Jan 21 , 2020 ) , I ’ ve been wondering how Pelosi and the rest of congress could have certified elections if the national vote hadn ’ t been settled .
It ’ s because the only election that needs the electoral college to certify the votes is the presidential election .
They really have started a civil war .
Their first attack started on Nov. 3rd , 2020 and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of basic warfare .
It ’ s a logistical strike .
All they have to do is make it impossible for the electoral college to certify the vote and they win .

So we all know that the presidential race isn’t actually called until December 14th in Washington D.C. when the electoral college cast their votes. We also know that the MSM and the Biden camp conveniently claimed victory about five seconds before Giuliani announced a slew of major voter fraud lawsuits being filed Monday and two or three eyewitnesses to said voter fraud. We’ve all seen the Project Veritas whistleblower videos as well. We know Trump won and we know the democrats cheated. What doesn’t make sense is why “The Winning Team” is mounting massive protest in Washington D.C.
What I think is that they’ve known they had to push the envelope on voter fraud for sometime to steal this election. They knew they had no chance of getting away with the massive amounts of voter fraud needed to steal this election so they planned accordingly. What if they planned the “Shutdown D.C.” protest not to make Trump leave the White House as they have claimed but to stop the electoral college from casting their votes and verifying the legitimacy of Trump’s second term?
Since Pelosi started insinuating she would be picking the next president if a president wasn’t determined by the end of this term (Jan 21, 2020), I’ve been wondering how Pelosi and the rest of congress could have certified elections if the national vote hadn’t been settled. It’s because the only election that needs the electoral college to certify the votes is the presidential election.
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They really have started a civil war. Their first attack started on Nov. 3rd, 2020 and they attacked Washington D.C. and is typical of basic warfare. It’s a logistical strike. All they have to do is make it impossible for the electoral college to certify the vote and they win.
h/t CrsCrpr


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-08--Biden is Pronounced President by Mainstream Media who Really Decides Elections

Mainstream media has called Biden the winner as they instruct their journalists not to report on any fraud .
As it stands now , Biden said : “ What ’ s becoming clear each hour is that a record number of Americans of all races faiths , religions , chose change over more of the same , ” the former vice president said .
“ They have given us a mandate for action on COVID , the economy , climate change , systematic racism.
” Mr. Biden had a 50.5 % to 47.7 % lead over Mr. Trump in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more than 4 million votes , with counts still being tabulated from coast to coast .
This is hardly a mandate to alter the entire economy .
This is what is seriously wrong with America .
The drastic changes Biden is calling for will simply join Europe .
So we should get ready for lockdowns and more economic destruction .
We are already witnessing police resigning .
That is what they want so there will be nobody to defend the people .
Winning 50.5 % is a joke .
Even Obama won 52.9 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2012 .
This is what is wrong .
It should take 2/3rds to make structural changes – not 50.5 % .
This is why there will be rising civil unrest and this will turn to blood in the streets .
Schwab , Gates , Soros , and Bloomberg all won .

by Martin Armstrong
Mainstream media has called Biden the winner as they instruct their journalists not to report on any fraud. As it stands now, Biden said: “What’s becoming clear each hour is that a record number of Americans of all races faiths, religions, chose change over more of the same,” the former vice president said. “They have given us a mandate for action on COVID, the economy, climate change, systematic racism.”
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Mr. Biden had a 50.5% to 47.7% lead over Mr. Trump in the national popular vote, a margin of more than 4 million votes, with counts still being tabulated from coast to coast. This is hardly a mandate to alter the entire economy. This is what is seriously wrong with America. The drastic changes Biden is calling for will simply join Europe. So we should get ready for lockdowns and more economic destruction. We are already witnessing police resigning. That is what they want so there will be nobody to defend the people.
Winning 50.5% is a joke. Even Obama won 52.9% in 2008 and 51.06% in 2012. This is what is wrong. It should take 2/3rds to make structural changes – not 50.5%. This is why there will be rising civil unrest and this will turn to blood in the streets. Schwab, Gates, Soros, and Bloomberg all won.