investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Revealed this week about RussiaGate: Everything the MSM told you was a lie. Everything Congressional

Revealed this week about RussiaGate: Everything the MSM told you was a lie. Everything Congressional Democrats told you was a lie. Everything the “Intelligence Community” told you was a lie.

OBAMA OFFICIALS HAD NO ‘ EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ’ OF TRUMP-RUSSIA COLLUSION , INTEL TRANSCRIPTS SHOW .
Transcripts of interviews from the House Intelligence Committee ’ s investigation of alleged collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia reveal that former Obama administration officials had no “ empirical evidence ” of collusion .
House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff released the documents under significant pressure from Republicans .
The transcripts show that Obama officials never saw evidence of collusion , coordination , or conspiracy , despite alleged concerns and suspicions about these things .
“ I never saw any direct empirical evidence @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it was plotting/conspiring with the Russians to meddle with the election , ” testified former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper in 2017 .
“ That ’ s not to say that there weren ’ t concerns about the evidence we were seeing , anecdotal evidence .
… But I do not recall any instance where I had direct evidence.
” “ I am not in possession of anything—I am not in possession and didn ’ t read or absorb information that came from out of the intelligence community , ” said former @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Samantha Power , in response to the same question .
“ To the best of my recollection , there wasn ’ t anything smoking , but there were some things that gave me pause , ” said Obama National Security Adviser Susan Rice with regard to conspiracy .
“ I don ’ t recall intelligence that I would consider evidence to that effect that I saw…conspiracy prior to my departure.
” When asked if she ever saw evidence of coordination , she answered , “ I don ’ t recall any intelligence or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the same answer when asked about collusion .
Obama ’ s former Deputy National Security Adviser Ben Rhodes also had nothing .
“ I wouldn ’ t have received any information on any criminal or counterintelligence investigations into what the Trump campaign was doing , so I would not have seen that information , ” he said .
“ I saw indications of potential coordination , but I did not see , you know , the specific evidence of the actions of the Trump campaign .
”

OBAMA OFFICIALS HAD NO ‘EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE’ OF TRUMP-RUSSIA COLLUSION, INTEL TRANSCRIPTS SHOW.
Transcripts of interviews from the House Intelligence Committee’s investigation of alleged collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia reveal that former Obama administration officials had no “empirical evidence” of collusion. House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff released the documents under significant pressure from Republicans. The transcripts show that Obama officials never saw evidence of collusion, coordination, or conspiracy, despite alleged concerns and suspicions about these things.
“I never saw any direct empirical evidence that the Trump campaign or someone in it was plotting/conspiring with the Russians to meddle with the election,” testified former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper in 2017. “That’s not to say that there weren’t concerns about the evidence we were seeing, anecdotal evidence. … But I do not recall any instance where I had direct evidence.”
“I am not in possession of anything—I am not in possession and didn’t read or absorb information that came from out of the intelligence community,” said former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Samantha Power, in response to the same question.
“To the best of my recollection, there wasn’t anything smoking, but there were some things that gave me pause,” said Obama National Security Adviser Susan Rice with regard to conspiracy. “I don’t recall intelligence that I would consider evidence to that effect that I saw…conspiracy prior to my departure.”
When asked if she ever saw evidence of coordination, she answered, “I don’t recall any intelligence or evidence to that effect.” She gave the same answer when asked about collusion.
Obama’s former Deputy National Security Adviser Ben Rhodes also had nothing. “I wouldn’t have received any information on any criminal or counterintelligence investigations into what the Trump campaign was doing, so I would not have seen that information,” he said. “I saw indications of potential coordination, but I did not see, you know, the specific evidence of the actions of the Trump campaign.”


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--The ECONOMIC COLLAPSE Is Based On A LIE! – Is This A MANUFACTURED CRISIS?

Josh Sigurdson talks with Former Congressman Dr. Ron Paul of The Liberty Report about the collapse of the global economy @ @ @ @ @ and lie .
As people are left without a job , will we see stagflation @ @ @ @ @ people react when they realize the lie they ’ ve been told ?
We ask @ @ @ @ @ this is a manufactured crisis and though he says he certainly knows the US among @ @ @ @ @ to create such a crisis before , he isn ’ t sure what caused it @ @ @ @ @ knows that the long term effects on the economy and of course basic freedoms are @ @ @ @ @ we listening to and why ?
How will this effect us long term ?
Dr. @ @ @ @ @ of the world and the state of freedom as well as gives his thoughts on @ @ @ @ @ possibly see in the future as Texas lifts some of the crazy consequences due to @ @ @ @ @ for more from WAM !

Ron Paul interviewed by Josh Sigurdson via WAM
Josh Sigurdson talks with Former Congressman Dr. Ron Paul of The Liberty Report about the collapse of the global economy due to a stunning exaggeration and lie. As people are left without a job, will we see stagflation? Hyperinflation? How will people react when they realize the lie they’ve been told?
We ask Dr. Paul if he believes this is a manufactured crisis and though he says he certainly knows the US among other countries have been known to create such a crisis before, he isn’t sure what caused it and how, but he knows that the long term effects on the economy and of course basic freedoms are extremely destructive.
Who are we listening to and why? How will this effect us long term?
Dr. Paul diagnoses the current state of the world and the state of freedom as well as gives his thoughts on some positive aspects we could possibly see in the future as Texas lifts some of the crazy consequences due to public demand.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Stay tuned for more from WAM!


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--JOE BIDEN: LET’S USE THE CORONAVIRUS TO “FUNDAMENTALLY TRANSFORM AMERICA”

The politicians are telling you what they expect from you if you dare to pay attention and wake up .
They have control over a lot of people , but what they desire is the ultimate enslavement of all of humanity .
It ’ s long past the time to wake up and stop living life afraid in the left/paradigm .
It ’ s all about control no matter who is elected .
The illusion of choice has changed nothing over the past century and it ’ s not going to in the future .
But Donald Trump , a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ doing just as much damage to liberty and freedom , especially because he ’ s got a base of people who will consent regardless of what he does .
Biden ’ s no different .
Some will vote for him in November as the “ lesser of two evils ” ( which is still evil , by the way ) and Biden will remain as a part of the ruling class elites whether he ’ s elected or not .
And so will Trump .
The goal is to change the U.S. into @ @ @ @ @ @ @ one-world government with top-down authoritarian controls to the point of slavery can be imposed on humanity by a tiny few elitists .
We have reached the point where this is the goal , and the politicians are all in on it .
Some are opening their eyes .
“ And I truly think , if we do this right , we have an incredible opportunity to not just dig out of this crisis , but to fundamentally transform the country , ” Biden told a group of Latino supporters during a live stream @ @ @ @ @ @ @ they require only your enslavement and the enslavement of your children and grandchildren .
It ’ s not the first time Biden has talked about leveraging the crisis to advance progressive policies .
I believe , because , sort of , the blinders have been taken off , because of this COVID crisis , I think people are realizing , “ My Lord .
Look at what is possible .
Look at the institutional changes we can make – without us becoming a ‘ socialist country , ’ or any of that malarkey @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the opportunities to change the institutional drawbacks … ” from education , all the way through to all the other things we talked about .
On April 17th , Biden said : “ We have an opportunity now to take , in a recovery act , a real recovery .
We can fundamentally change the science relating to global warming.
” And on April 16th , he said : “ I think we have an opportunity now to significantly change the mindset of the American people , things they weren ’ t ready @ @ @ @ @ @ @ years ago , ” all thanks to the fear they induced over the virus .
Remember , the virus didn ’ t lock people in their homes putting them on indefinite house arrest .
The virus didn ’ t command people to close their businesses and starve .
The virus didn ’ t tell farmers to kill animals and no longer sell meat to the public .
That was politicians and their order following police that did that , and we all need to remember this .
Obedience to tyranny caused this and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to realize what they are forcing upon humanity .

by Mac Slavo of SHTFplan
The politicians are telling you what they expect from you if you dare to pay attention and wake up. They have control over a lot of people, but what they desire is the ultimate enslavement of all of humanity.
It’s long past the time to wake up and stop living life afraid in the left/paradigm. It’s all about control no matter who is elected. The illusion of choice has changed nothing over the past century and it’s not going to in the future.
Joe Biden calls coronavirus an “incredible opportunity…to fundamentally transform the country” Make no mistake: Joe Biden is the bannerman for the radical socialist wing of the Democrat Party. Biden and Bernie are two sides of the same far left coin.pic.twitter.com/RKiLqdy3pm — Steve Guest (@SteveGuest) May 4, 2020
But Donald Trump, a guy “on the right” is doing just as much damage to liberty and freedom, especially because he’s got a base of people who will consent regardless of what he does. Biden’s no different. Some will vote for him in November as the “lesser of two evils” (which is still evil, by the way) and Biden will remain as a part of the ruling class elites whether he’s elected or not. And so will Trump.
The goal is to change the U.S. into China so a New World Order and one-world government with top-down authoritarian controls to the point of slavery can be imposed on humanity by a tiny few elitists. We have reached the point where this is the goal, and the politicians are all in on it. Some are opening their eyes.
“And I truly think, if we do this right, we have an incredible opportunity to not just dig out of this crisis, but to fundamentally transform the country,” Biden told a group of Latino supporters during a live stream. In order to do that, they require only your enslavement and the enslavement of your children and grandchildren.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
It’s not the first time Biden has talked about leveraging the crisis to advance progressive policies.
He said April 22nd:
I believe, because, sort of, the blinders have been taken off, because of this COVID crisis, I think people are realizing, “My Lord. Look at what is possible. Look at the institutional changes we can make – without us becoming a ‘socialist country,’ or any of that malarkey – that we can make to provide the opportunities to change the institutional drawbacks …” from education, all the way through to all the other things we talked about.
On April 17th, Biden said: “We have an opportunity now to take, in a recovery act, a real recovery. We can fundamentally change the science relating to global warming.”
And on April 16th, he said: “I think we have an opportunity now to significantly change the mindset of the American people, things they weren’t ready to do, even two, three years ago,” all thanks to the fear they induced over the virus.
Remember, the virus didn’t lock people in their homes putting them on indefinite house arrest. The virus didn’t command people to close their businesses and starve. The virus didn’t tell farmers to kill animals and no longer sell meat to the public. That was politicians and their order following police that did that, and we all need to remember this. Obedience to tyranny caused this and the only way out is for cops to realize what they are forcing upon humanity.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Elon Musk to relocate Tesla HQ California over coronavirus restrictions..updated lawsuit info

Now sues california…In the latest clash over coronavirus-related restrictions , Tesla chief executive Elon Musk said Saturday that the company would file a lawsuit and seek to move its headquarters out of California after local officials again prohibited the electric car company from restarting vehicle production .
The company alleged in its suit , filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California , that Alameda County had violated the due process and equal protection clauses of the Fourteenth Amendment and sought an injunction that would allow the company to operate .
The suit followed chief executive @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tweets earlier Saturday that the company would sue and move Tesla ’ s headquarters and future programs to Texas and Nevada .
He appeared to leave open the possibility of maintaining some operations in Fremont depending “ on how Tesla is treated in the future.
” Musk ’ s tweets got some sympathetic responses from officials .
The mayor of Fremont , where Tesla has a factory , said in a statement Saturday that she is “ growing concerned about the potential implications for our regional economy , ” mentioning “ major manufacturing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Elon Musk Says Tesla Suing California County , Moving Headquarters Out of State

Now sues california…In the latest clash over coronavirus-related restrictions, Tesla chief executive Elon Musk said Saturday that the company would file a lawsuit and seek to move its headquarters out of California after local officials again prohibited the electric car company from restarting vehicle production.
Tesla on Saturday filed a lawsuit against the California county that has prohibited the electric car company from producing vehicles during the outbreak.
The company alleged in its suit, filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, that Alameda County had violated the due process and equal protection clauses of the Fourteenth Amendment and sought an injunction that would allow the company to operate. The suit followed chief executive Elon Musk threatening in a series of tweets earlier Saturday that the company would sue and move Tesla’s headquarters and future programs to Texas and Nevada. He appeared to leave open the possibility of maintaining some operations in Fremont depending “on how Tesla is treated in the future.” Musk’s tweets got some sympathetic responses from officials. The mayor of Fremont, where Tesla has a factory, said in a statement Saturday that she is “growing concerned about the potential implications for our regional economy,” mentioning “major manufacturing activity” including Tesla’s. We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
And Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R) urged Musk in a Saturday evening tweet to “Come to Texas!”
www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/05/09/coronavirus-update-us/?outputType=amp
Elon Musk Says Tesla Suing California County, Moving Headquarters Out of State
Frankly, this is the final straw. Tesla will now move its HQ and future programs to Texas/Nevada immediately. If we even retain Fremont manufacturing activity at all, it will be dependen on how Tesla is treated in the future. Tesla is the last carmaker left in CA. — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 9, 2020
www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/09/853313775/elon-musk-says-tesla-suing-california-county-moving-headquarters-out-of-state
h/t Goneviral


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--J.C. Penney ‘will file for bankruptcy and plans to permanently close around 200 of its stores

• Sources have told Reuters that J.C. Penney is preparing to file for bankruptcy protection as early as next week • While the company is aiming to reorganize and reemerge , it reportedly plans to permanently shutter around 200 of its 859 stores • J.C. Penney was first established in 1902 , and currently employs nearly 85,000 people across 49 different states • Earlier this week , luxury department store Neiman Marcus and fashion brand J.Crew both filed for bankruptcy protection amid the coronavirus pandemic J.C. Penney Co is preparing to file for bankruptcy protection as soon as next week @ @ @ @ @ @ @ quarter of its roughly 850 stores , becoming the latest major U.S. retailer to succumb to fallout from the coronavirus outbreak , according to people familiar with the matter .
A bankruptcy filing would cap a long decline for the iconic 118-year-old department store chain , which struggled with a nearly $ 4-billion debt load and competition from e-commerce firms even before the pandemic ’ s onset .
The Plano , Texas-based company , which employs nearly 85,000 people , is in discussions with creditors for a so-called debtor-in-possession loan to bolster its @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the sources said .
The loan could total between $ 400 million and $ 500 million , some of the sources said .
J.C. Penney declined to comment when approached by Reuters .
Retailers are bearing a significant brunt of the economic fallout from the pandemic as sales all but evaporate .
Just this week , luxury department store chain Neiman Marcus Group and clothing retailer J .
Crew Group Inc filed for bankruptcy protection .
In April , the U.S. economy lost 20.5 million jobs , the steepest plunge since the Great @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Friday .

Sources have told Reuters that J.C. Penney is preparing to file for bankruptcy protection as early as next week
While the company is aiming to reorganize and reemerge, it reportedly plans to permanently shutter around 200 of its 859 stores
J.C. Penney was first established in 1902, and currently employs nearly 85,000 people across 49 different states
Earlier this week, luxury department store Neiman Marcus and fashion brand J.Crew both filed for bankruptcy protection amid the coronavirus pandemic
J.C. Penney Co is preparing to file for bankruptcy protection as soon as next week with plans to permanently close about a quarter of its roughly 850 stores, becoming the latest major U.S. retailer to succumb to fallout from the coronavirus outbreak, according to people familiar with the matter.
A bankruptcy filing would cap a long decline for the iconic 118-year-old department store chain, which struggled with a nearly $4-billion debt load and competition from e-commerce firms even before the pandemic’s onset.
The Plano, Texas-based company, which employs nearly 85,000 people, is in discussions with creditors for a so-called debtor-in-possession loan to bolster its finances while it navigates bankruptcy proceedings, the sources said. The loan could total between $400 million and $500 million, some of the sources said.
J.C. Penney declined to comment when approached by Reuters.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Retailers are bearing a significant brunt of the economic fallout from the pandemic as sales all but evaporate. Just this week, luxury department store chain Neiman Marcus Group and clothing retailer J. Crew Group Inc filed for bankruptcy protection.
In April, the U.S. economy lost 20.5 million jobs, the steepest plunge since the Great Depression, the Labor Department reported on Friday.
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8301203/J-C-Penney-file-bankruptcy-soon-week-sources.html


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Trump Meeting with Military Leaders

Trump Meeting with Military Leaders

Did not go to Camp David as planned .

Did not go to Camp David as planned.
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h/t Dronenerd


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--If you’re trying to remember how 2008-2009 played out

23 U.S. companies cut to junk so far this year , more than 3x number in first half of 2019 @ @ @ @ @ many firms still clinging to lowest rung of investment grade @ bloomberg pic.twitter.com/55PvCXxVgW

23 U.S. companies cut to junk so far this year, more than 3x number in first half of 2019 … more downgrades likely with many firms still clinging to lowest rung of investment grade @bloomberg pic.twitter.com/55PvCXxVgW
— Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) May 8, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Michelle Malkin: I will not take the Gates Vaccine. I will not bow down to jack-booted globalists. I

Michelle Malkin: I will not take the Gates Vaccine. I will not bow down to jack-booted globalists. I will question the corrupted public health industrial complex & its financial conflicts of interest….

I will not take the Gates Vaccine .
I will not bow down to jack-booted globalists .
I will question @ @ @ @ @ complex & its financial conflicts of interest .
I will use my platforms to share @ @ @ @ @ dissidents .
# FightTheCensors pic.twitter.com/K6l2QMIXP7

I will not take the Gates Vaccine. I will not bow down to jack-booted globalists. I will question the corrupted public health industrial complex & its financial conflicts of interest. I will use my platforms to share silenced views of whistleblowers & dissidents. #FightTheCensors pic.twitter.com/K6l2QMIXP7
— Michelle Malkin (@michellemalkin) May 9, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Looks like the SEC wants to limit autists from playing the market

Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information @ @ @ @ @ you own due diligence .

by BornAgain20Fifteen
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Smart money will exit before you expect it (before “second wave” news)

What people right now are expecting to happen , is that states will reopen , and people will wait and see if there are news of a “ second wave ” or new infections .
And then people will all panic and realize that we ’ re either back to lockdown or half a million people will die , or it magically “ disappear ” .
Only then , people are assuming that the market will react .
But the other investors on the other side are just as smart as you .
There are probably very few people who @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in infection .
The smart money is definitely not that dumb .
This is hot potato and the first to leave wins .
This has to happen before you ’ re expecting it , because the smart money has no reason to stay that long if they can leave before it .
Why would they ?
Would you do it ?
They won ’ t wait for the news they know will come .
Hell I bet some of them even control when the media calls it “ second wave ” .
It @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it waves gives the media the power over public opinion .
It ’ s open to interpretation .
But call it a second wave and there you go , you have the public primed for a sell sign .
That sell sign will come as a scare , to squeeze people to panic sell , not as the trigger to the initial selloff .
Prices will be already low when that happens and they will use that to maximize buying .
They would want those headlines to come when they can push stocks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reminder to correct their prices .
A “ second wave ” headline will happen because the media won ’ t be silent over fast increasing case counts .
Retail investors will sell on that news .
Smart money won ’ t let other investors pull out before the headline comes , if they can maximize their sell before .
So the question , what is the timeline you think this will happen .
And then the smartest reaction is to exit this earlier than all people here think .
So when do you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” ?
It ’ s also OK to post “ I don ’ t think there will be a second wave ” , or “ second wave won ’ t crash the market , it ’ s priced in ” , or “ The market will crash only after we know states reaction to the second wave ” .
Would you sell on “ second wave ” news ?
I ’ m guessing not more than 2-3 weeks until someone says Texas has a “ second wave ” ( A rise in infections @ @ @ @ @ @ @ anyway ) .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by agebronze
What people right now are expecting to happen, is that states will reopen, and people will wait and see if there are news of a “second wave” or new infections. And then people will all panic and realize that we’re either back to lockdown or half a million people will die, or it magically “disappear”. Only then, people are assuming that the market will react.
But the other investors on the other side are just as smart as you. There are probably very few people who think reopening will not cause a rise in infection. The smart money is definitely not that dumb. This is hot potato and the first to leave wins.
This has to happen before you’re expecting it, because the smart money has no reason to stay that long if they can leave before it. Why would they? Would you do it? They won’t wait for the news they know will come. Hell I bet some of them even control when the media calls it “second wave”. It’s all very arbitrary, calling it waves gives the media the power over public opinion. It’s open to interpretation. But call it a second wave and there you go, you have the public primed for a sell sign. That sell sign will come as a scare, to squeeze people to panic sell, not as the trigger to the initial selloff. Prices will be already low when that happens and they will use that to maximize buying. They would want those headlines to come when they can push stocks below their worth, not as a reminder to correct their prices.
A “second wave” headline will happen because the media won’t be silent over fast increasing case counts. Retail investors will sell on that news. Smart money won’t let other investors pull out before the headline comes, if they can maximize their sell before.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
So the question, what is the timeline you think this will happen. And then the smartest reaction is to exit this earlier than all people here think.
So when do you think news will announce “second wave” ?
It’s also OK to post “I don’t think there will be a second wave”, or “second wave won’t crash the market, it’s priced in”, or “The market will crash only after we know states reaction to the second wave”. Would you sell on “second wave” news?
I’m guessing not more than 2-3 weeks until someone says Texas has a “second wave” (A rise in infections, although they never really reduced them anyway).
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--How to estimate option leverage

How to estimate option leverage

I though I would share a quick tip .
Estimating option leverage is a helpful way to help understand the risk/reward of an option position .
The calculation is simple : current leverage = ( delta/option price ) *current stock price .
Recap : Delta is an estimate of how the value of an option changes for each $ 1 move in the underlying stock .
This option has over 51x leverage .
compare buying this option to buying SPY shares at with an account 51x times the option price .
Pretend your account is $ 11332 ( 51 times @ @ @ @ @ @ @ $ 222 per contract ) .
Assume you place 100 % of your account value in SPY shares .
you would have 11332/293.74 = 38.54 SPY shares .
If SPY increases $ 1 from 293.74 to 294.74 SPY will increase ( 294.74-293.74 ) /293.74 = +0.34 % increase .
your 38.54 shares has increased 0.34 % to $ 11360.54 .
if you close the position the profit is + $ 38.54 .
this is the same estimated gain as buying the 295c 5/15 ( 0.3858 delta*100=38.58 ) If you place 2 % of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is similar buy SPY shares with 100 % of your portfolio .
Now calculate the leverage as you go further OTM .
SPY 305 5/15 Delta:0.0558 , Price : 0.175 , SPY current price : 293.74 To summarize , Further OTM options provide greater leverage .
Shorter expiration options provide more leverage .
Remember leverage is constantly changing due to changes in IV , theta decay , and gamma changing delta as the price moves .
If you understand how fast a 3x levered ETF can go against you .
This will help @ @ @ @ @ @ @ leverage .
So before your next option buy convert the delta to a leverage ratio .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by rwhit9
I though I would share a quick tip. Estimating option leverage is a helpful way to help understand the risk/reward of an option position. The calculation is simple: current leverage = (delta/option price)*current stock price.
Recap: Delta is an estimate of how the value of an option changes for each $1 move in the underlying stock.
Example: SPY 295c 5/15 Delta: 0.3858, Price: 2.22, SPY current price: 293.74
Current Leverage: (0.3858/2.22)*293.74 = 51.04
This option has over 51x leverage. compare buying this option to buying SPY shares at with an account 51x times the option price. Pretend your account is $11332 (51 times as much as 1 option contract at $222 per contract). Assume you place 100% of your account value in SPY shares. you would have 11332/293.74 = 38.54 SPY shares.
If SPY increases $1 from 293.74 to 294.74 SPY will increase (294.74-293.74)/293.74 = +0.34% increase. your 38.54 shares has increased 0.34% to $11360.54. if you close the position the profit is +$38.54. this is the same estimated gain as buying the 295c 5/15 (0.3858 delta*100=38.58)
If you place 2% of your portfolio in this option, it is similar buy SPY shares with 100% of your portfolio.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Now calculate the leverage as you go further OTM. SPY 305 5/15 Delta:0.0558, Price: 0.175, SPY current price: 293.74
Leverage:=0.0558/0.175*293.74 = 93.6x
Now calculate for a longer expiration option SPY 295 7/17 Delta:0.4889, Price:11.09.
Leverage = 0.4889/11.09*293.74 = 12.9x
To summarize, Further OTM options provide greater leverage. Shorter expiration options provide more leverage.
Remember leverage is constantly changing due to changes in IV, theta decay, and gamma changing delta as the price moves.
If you understand how fast a 3x levered ETF can go against you. This will help frame up the risk at 10-93x option leverage. So before your next option buy convert the delta to a leverage ratio.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--The lockdown is demolishing small businesses, bars and restaurants all over the U.S.

The lockdown is demolishing small businesses , bars and restaurants all over the U.S. 🇺🇸 The government can address the @ @ @ @ @ business fabric .
pic.twitter.com/IruKAGRjkL

#OPENAMERICANOW
The lockdown is demolishing small businesses, bars and restaurants all over the U.S. 🇺🇸
The government can address the health problem and preserve the business fabric. pic.twitter.com/IruKAGRjkL
— Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) May 9, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Canada Mortgage: Defaults to Jump, Originations to Tumble, Sales to “Suffer”

# Canada Mortgage : Defaults to Jump , Originations to Tumble , Sales to “ Suffer ” -New mortgage originations @ @ @ @ @ Q2 & 3

#Canada Mortgage: Defaults to Jump, Originations to Tumble, Sales to “Suffer”
-New mortgage originations could fall by 35-40% Q2 & 3
-Moody’s forecasting a 10% decline in home prices
-Material increase in delinquency rates when mortgage deferrals expiret.co/BiJDuOthiZ pic.twitter.com/Js6dhDKOqV
— 𝕮𝖍𝖎 🛢 (@chigrl) May 9, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Something interesting is happening suggesting big movement in the coming weeks…

First off , I am in no positions as of right now and I am currently neither bullish or bearish so this post is not biased in anyway just informational .
As we all know this week was interesting , still climbing up to 300 as deaths top and unemployment goes to the sky .
Everyone here is either say V shaped recovery or another leg down .
Who knows ?
Not me .
Just thought that this information was interesting .
I checked ETF fund flows online and this is what I saw The total outflow/inflow for Spy past @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
I checked other etfs but spy was more active .
Now this information only isn ’ t all that great but lets check DIX .
Over ⅓ of stock volume trades in the dark .
Most of this volume trades at the midpoint of the NBBO , which obscures the direction of the trade , making dark pools ’ pre- and post-trade data notoriously tricky to interpret .
It ’ s all private and the graph is pretty interesting .
The green is SPY and the blue is the dark index buying @ @ @ @ @ @ @ spy crashed look at that buy volume insane right .
But look towards the end there ’ s a large sell off and everyday past few days its growing and growing .
Of course I want to believe spy to 300 but at the same time a strong correction again is not too far out .
Just be weary about buying shares and going all in calls like some of you idiots like to do .
My final prediction : I think we can hit spy 300 in the coming days with some @ @ @ @ @ @ @ get there ( give or take a few dollars ) I think we can drop to 260 again .
I think we can not hit all time highs again in this kind of environment .
Trump wants a strong market right ?
But I believe he wants a healthy market as well and if we can correct and climb back up , we can see our all time highs get crushed and climb higher .

by nalsur103076
First off, I am in no positions as of right now and I am currently neither bullish or bearish so this post is not biased in anyway just informational.
As we all know this week was interesting, still climbing up to 300 as deaths top and unemployment goes to the sky. Everyone here is either say V shaped recovery or another leg down. Who knows? Not me. Just thought that this information was interesting.
I checked ETF fund flows online and this is what I saw

The total outflow/inflow for Spy past two weeks was roughly -5.4 million dollars. I checked other etfs but spy was more active. Now this information only isn’t all that great but lets check DIX.
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Over ⅓ of stock volume trades in the dark. Most of this volume trades at the midpoint of the NBBO, which obscures the direction of the trade, making dark pools’ pre- and post-trade data notoriously tricky to interpret. It’s all private and the graph is pretty interesting.

The green is SPY and the blue is the dark index buying and selling. And of course when spy crashed look at that buy volume insane right. But look towards the end there’s a large sell off and everyday past few days its growing and growing.
Of course I want to believe spy to 300 but at the same time a strong correction again is not too far out. Just be weary about buying shares and going all in calls like some of you idiots like to do.
My final prediction: I think we can hit spy 300 in the coming days with some nice rallies but as soon as we get there (give or take a few dollars) I think we can drop to 260 again. I think we cannot hit all time highs again in this kind of environment. Trump wants a strong market right? But I believe he wants a healthy market as well and if we can correct and climb back up, we can see our all time highs get crushed and climb higher.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--EIDL Grant – Some interesting inside information for anyone curious on exactly how the process works

EIDL Grant – Some interesting inside information for anyone curious on exactly how the process works. It seems it was outsourced to a private company called RER Solutions, along with other interesting facts. If you didn’t get the grant this might be useful information as to why.

I see a lot of messages about confusion surrounding this process .
Recently , in a lawsuit the SBA was @ @ @ @ @ exactly how the process works including the fact they outsourced it to a private company @ @ @ @ @ why they don ’ t seem to have much control over it .
Some highlights @ @ @ @ @ Solutions contracted by SBA for decision logic and processing of EIDL Grant -Full capacity processing @ @ @ @ @ day , starting on 4/16 minus two days for technical issues .
-RER sends approval @ @ @ @ @ then transmits to treasury for disbursement 5 days a week .
Logic for approval is @ @ @

by cue378
I see a lot of messages about confusion surrounding this process. Recently, in a lawsuit the SBA was forced to disclose information about exactly how the process works including the fact they outsourced it to a private company. I suppose this explains why they don’t seem to have much control over it.
Some highlights from the documents:
-RER Solutions contracted by SBA for decision logic and processing of EIDL Grant
-Full capacity processing of grants is 109,789 per day, starting on 4/16 minus two days for technical issues.
-RER sends approval recommendations to SBA, which then transmits to treasury for disbursement 5 days a week.
Logic for approval is as follows:
Verification:

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Fraud Checks:

Payment Logic:

Source materials:
www.dropbox.com/sh/61ka9y8non468as/AADnqrqTG_f44k-28ZSGr017a/15-4%20-%204-29-20%20declaration.pdf?dl=0
www.dropbox.com/sh/61ka9y8non468as/AAC8ycMX0N9koofEK0daNrKEa?dl=0&preview=15-2+-+4-29-20+-+declaration.pdf
Disclaimer: This is a guest post.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--American Express, JPM, and VNQ (real estate ETF) aren’t exactly screaming V. Liquidity swirling down

American Express, JPM, and VNQ (real estate ETF) aren’t exactly screaming V. Liquidity swirling down the drain starting next week.

In terms of this whole debate about “is the market pricing in a v-shaped recovery?” people need to get more granular, with less focus on index numbers. American Express, JPM, and VNQ (real estate ETF) aren’t exactly screaming V pic.twitter.com/eUp3mwXDjd — Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) May 9, 2020
Longs standing around with a bag full of way over priced stonks assuming rolling stimulus package without exceptions. Next week Fed buying drops off significantly and now no guarantee on next stimulus hand out. You hear that sound? Yes is liquidity swirling down the drain t.co/ktH2xpCwkB — hks55 (@hks55) May 9, 2020
This week's cover Says the opposite the of the 77% that think they will get their job back once the crisis passes.t.co/buGtX2fHle pic.twitter.com/BMjpEQTn1I — Jim Bianco (@biancoresearch) May 9, 2020
You’re not going to get another stimulus with stocks up 31% from the lows. They need to be down 31% for that t.co/21tn0AgMnc — GreekFire23 (@GreekFire23) May 9, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Michael Burry DD on why index funds will collapse

With the market seemingly out of touch with reality , many investors are blindly buying index funds with the expectation @ @ @ @ @ returns with no risk .
In this video , I discuss why Michael Burry believes @ @ @ @ @

With the market seemingly out of touch with reality, many investors are blindly buying index funds with the expectation that they will obtain high returns with no risk. In this video, I discuss why Michael Burry believes index funds will collapse.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--It Gets Rough for US Airlines: Why Buffett Dumped His Airline Stocks Though There Was Blood on the T

It Gets Rough for US Airlines: Why Buffett Dumped His Airline Stocks Though There Was Blood on the Tarmac, Which Should Have Been a Buy Signal

Just can ’ t catch a break : Friday after hours , United disclosed it abandoned its junk-bond offering after investors balked .
Shares fell .
Here ’ s what US airlines are going through : The TSA has been reporting the number of daily checkpoint screenings .
This is the number of people in the US who got on a plane for at least the first leg of a trip .
A connecting flight would not trigger another screening .
This is a rough indication of passenger air traffic .
Between March 1 and May 9 , 2019 , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ million and 2.6 million per day .
This year between March 1 and May 9 , they have collapsed to as low as 90,000 screenings , and though they have ticked up , they remain abysmally low : Airlines reported that some flights have only a handful of passengers , some just one passenger .
On these flights , crew members outnumber passengers .
And this comes despite massive cuts in flight schedules .
For example , United Airlines has cut its original schedule from the beginning of this year by 90 % @ @ @ @ @ @ @ were down 96 % from the same weekday last year .
Friday was the best day so far , with 215,444 screenings , down “ only ” 91.7 % from Friday a year ago .
Saturday , screenings , at 169,580 , were down 91.5 % from the same Saturday last year .
So a tad up from abysmally low levels , but still at abysmally low levels : And this plunge in passenger volume has already had an impact on airline revenues in the first quarter , though the plunge in passenger @ @ @ @ @ @ @ March .
Revenues for the top seven airlines in the US combined fell by 17.5 % in Q1 , largely due to the collapse of the last three weeks of the quarter : In the second quarter , the full brunt of the collapse in passenger traffic will be felt .
TSA screenings so far in the second quarter , from April 1 through May 9 , have plunged by 94.8 % , from 91.1 million screenings last year to 4.8 million this year .
The chart below shows operating revenues by all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ flights , provided by the US Bureau of Transportation Statistics .
The BTS has not yet updated its data for Q1 .
So I estimated Q1 based on the actual year-over-year revenue decline at the top seven US airlines in Q1 of 17.5 % , assuming that this would be the combined percentage decline of revenues at all US passenger airlines combined ( there are dozens ) .
And to get a feel for where Q2 might be , I assumed that passenger numbers will increase somewhat in the remaining part of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ year-over-year revenue decline in Q2 would not be 94.8 % , as the quarter-to-date screenings suggest at the moment , but only 85 % year-over-year .
My estimates for Q1 and Q2 are in red : Note in the chart above the two prior events that caused sharp revenue declines : 9-11 and the Great Recession .
And in each case , it took years to recover : • From the pre-9-11 peak in Q3 2000 of $ 34 billion , it took nearly four years to get back to $ 34 billion @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of 2004 .
• From the pre-Great-Recession peak of $ 50 billion in Q3 2008 , it took nearly three years to get back to $ 50 billion in Q2 2011 .
But those two declines were mere dimples compared to what airlines face today , and it took three and four years to recover .
In other words , the recovery from the lows in Q2 this year could take an amazingly long time and could be terribly rough .
On Friday after hours , United Airlines disclosed in an SEC filing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2.25-billion junk-bond offering that it had announced on May 6 .
It failed to attract sufficient interest from investors at the original terms .
Upon the news , United shares [ UAL ] dropped 5 % within minutes in after-hours trading and then retraced a portion of the loss to end at $ 24.93 .
They ’ re down 72 % year-to-date .
Moody ’ s rates United Ba2 , two notches into junk , and put the airline on review for a downgrade .
Moody ’ s rated the secured notes that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ junk ( my cheat sheet for corporate credit ratings ) .
The collateral for those notes is a pool of 360 older planes .
But investors were not amused by that collateral .
According to Bloomberg , citing sources familiar with the matter , investors were concerned that the planes weren ’ t valuable enough given the risks United faces .
To overcome that lack of interest , United raised the yield to 11 % in pricing discussions .
And it added a “ make-whole ” clause under which it would have to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over face value if it files for bankruptcy .
In the end , under these terms a deal was reached , but United pulled the offering and will try to obtain better terms .
United is already getting a $ 5 billion bailout from the US government in form of payroll assistance under the CARES Act and can get a loan of an additional $ 4.5 billion from the US government .
In terms of the payroll-assistance bailout , United announced in a memo to employee last Monday that it would lay off @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at least 30 % of its white-collar workforce .
The layoffs would take effect October 1 .
In addition , all management employees have to take 20 days of unpaid leave between May 16 and September 30 .
Some will also be assigned a four-day workweek .
Turns out , the $ 5 billion in payroll assistance requires that United would have to keep the workers on the payroll till September 30 .
So OK , on October 1 , bye-bye .
Untied is probably not the only company that will do that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Friday after-hours SEC filing about the abandoned bond offering , as UAL fell 5 % before retracing part of the decline , the shares of Delta [ DAL ] , American [ AAL ] , and Southwest [ LUV ] also fell .
United had already raised over $ 1 billion via a surprise stock offering of 39.25 million shares on April 21 , at $ 26.50 per share , a discount of 4.9 % to the prior day ’ s close .
The offering came with a 30-day option for up to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on Friday , UAL ended at $ 24.93 .
My market-cap weighted index of the seven largest US airlines has been in the same beaten-down trading range since March 18 , despite the blistering rally in the S & P 500 index ( market cap data via YCharts ) : Warren Buffett likely made similar calculations , in addition to whatever else he looked at , when he sold all his airline stocks in mid-crash in March .
My airline index is down 58 % from February and 67 % from the spring @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tarmac – which should have been a clear buy-signal for Buffett , but he didn ’ t buy – he sold the entire stake and washed his hands off the entire industry .
Some think that there will be a V-shape recovery for airlines , and they ’ re baffled that Buffett sold the entire stake in mid-crash , but the airlines themselves don ’ t expect any kind of serious recovery any time soon .
They ’ re struggling with all their might to hang on , and they ’ ll be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ survive this historic collapse of travel patterns – and for them , survival is what this is all about .

Just can’t catch a break: Friday after hours, United disclosed it abandoned its junk-bond offering after investors balked. Shares fell.
Here’s what US airlines are going through: The TSA has been reporting the number of daily checkpoint screenings. This is the number of people in the US who got on a plane for at least the first leg of a trip. A connecting flight would not trigger another screening. This is a rough indication of passenger air traffic.
Between March 1 and May 9, 2019, the TSA checkpoint screenings ranged between 2 million and 2.6 million per day. This year between March 1 and May 9, they have collapsed to as low as 90,000 screenings, and though they have ticked up, they remain abysmally low:
Airlines reported that some flights have only a handful of passengers, some just one passenger. On these flights, crew members outnumber passengers. And this comes despite massive cuts in flight schedules. For example, United Airlines has cut its original schedule from the beginning of this year by 90%.
During the worst days, screenings were down 96% from the same weekday last year. Friday was the best day so far, with 215,444 screenings, down “only” 91.7% from Friday a year ago. Saturday, screenings, at 169,580, were down 91.5% from the same Saturday last year. So a tad up from abysmally low levels, but still at abysmally low levels:
And this plunge in passenger volume has already had an impact on airline revenues in the first quarter, though the plunge in passenger traffic didn’t start until early March. Revenues for the top seven airlines in the US combined fell by 17.5% in Q1, largely due to the collapse of the last three weeks of the quarter:
Revenues by Airline Q1 2020, $ billion
Q1 2019, $ billion
% YOY Delta DAL 8.59 10.47 -18.0% American AAL 8.52 10.58 -19.5% United UAL 7.98 9.59 -16.8% Southwest LUV 4.23 5.15 -17.9% Alaska ALK 1.64 1.88 -12.8% JetBlue JBLU 1.59 1.87 -15.0% Spirit SAVE 0.77 0.86 -9.8% Total 33.32 40.40 -17.5%
In the second quarter, the full brunt of the collapse in passenger traffic will be felt. TSA screenings so far in the second quarter, from April 1 through May 9, have plunged by 94.8%, from 91.1 million screenings last year to 4.8 million this year.
The chart below shows operating revenues by all US airlines, including domestic and international flights, provided by the US Bureau of Transportation Statistics. The BTS has not yet updated its data for Q1. So I estimated Q1 based on the actual year-over-year revenue decline at the top seven US airlines in Q1 of 17.5%, assuming that this would be the combined percentage decline of revenues at all US passenger airlines combined (there are dozens).
And to get a feel for where Q2 might be, I assumed that passenger numbers will increase somewhat in the remaining part of the second quarter, and that the total year-over-year revenue decline in Q2 would not be 94.8%, as the quarter-to-date screenings suggest at the moment, but only 85% year-over-year. My estimates for Q1 and Q2 are in red:
Note in the chart above the two prior events that caused sharp revenue declines: 9-11 and the Great Recession. And in each case, it took years to recover:
From the pre-9-11 peak in Q3 2000 of $34 billion, it took nearly four years to get back to $34 billion, which happened in Q2 and Q3 of 2004.
From the pre-Great-Recession peak of $50 billion in Q3 2008, it took nearly three years to get back to $50 billion in Q2 2011.
But those two declines were mere dimples compared to what airlines face today, and it took three and four years to recover. In other words, the recovery from the lows in Q2 this year could take an amazingly long time and could be terribly rough.
Case in point: United Airlines.
On Friday after hours, United Airlines disclosed in an SEC filing that it had abandoned its private $2.25-billion junk-bond offering that it had announced on May 6. It failed to attract sufficient interest from investors at the original terms.
Upon the news, United shares [UAL] dropped 5% within minutes in after-hours trading and then retraced a portion of the loss to end at $24.93. They’re down 72% year-to-date.
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Moody’s rates United Ba2, two notches into junk, and put the airline on review for a downgrade. Moody’s rated the secured notes that United abandoned Ba1, one notch into junk (my cheat sheet for corporate credit ratings). The collateral for those notes is a pool of 360 older planes.
But investors were not amused by that collateral. According to Bloomberg, citing sources familiar with the matter, investors were concerned that the planes weren’t valuable enough given the risks United faces.
To overcome that lack of interest, United raised the yield to 11% in pricing discussions. And it added a “make-whole” clause under which it would have to repay the bonds at a substantial premium over face value if it files for bankruptcy. In the end, under these terms a deal was reached, but United pulled the offering and will try to obtain better terms.
United is already getting a $5 billion bailout from the US government in form of payroll assistance under the CARES Act and can get a loan of an additional $4.5 billion from the US government.
In terms of the payroll-assistance bailout, United announced in a memo to employee last Monday that it would lay off at least 3,400 management jobs, or at least 30% of its white-collar workforce. The layoffs would take effect October 1. In addition, all management employees have to take 20 days of unpaid leave between May 16 and September 30. Some will also be assigned a four-day workweek.
Turns out, the $5 billion in payroll assistance requires that United would have to keep the workers on the payroll till September 30. So OK, on October 1, bye-bye. Untied is probably not the only company that will do that.
Withing minutes of United’s Friday after-hours SEC filing about the abandoned bond offering, as UAL fell 5% before retracing part of the decline, the shares of Delta [DAL], American [AAL], and Southwest [LUV] also fell.
United had already raised over $1 billion via a surprise stock offering of 39.25 million shares on April 21, at $26.50 per share, a discount of 4.9% to the prior day’s close. The offering came with a 30-day option for up to 3.925 million additional shares. After hours on Friday, UAL ended at $24.93.
My market-cap weighted index of the seven largest US airlines has been in the same beaten-down trading range since March 18, despite the blistering rally in the S&P 500 index (market cap data via YCharts):
Warren Buffett likely made similar calculations, in addition to whatever else he looked at, when he sold all his airline stocks in mid-crash in March. My airline index is down 58% from February and 67% from the spring in 2015. Blood is on the tarmac – which should have been a clear buy-signal for Buffett, but he didn’t buy – he sold the entire stake and washed his hands off the entire industry.
Some think that there will be a V-shape recovery for airlines, and they’re baffled that Buffett sold the entire stake in mid-crash, but the airlines themselves don’t expect any kind of serious recovery any time soon. They’re struggling with all their might to hang on, and they’ll be raising money any way they can to survive this historic collapse of travel patterns – and for them, survival is what this is all about.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Shadow Presidency Dismantled, Panic, Nothing Can Stop The Truth, Nothing

The [ DS ] /MSM event push has nothing to do with the virus , it is now slowly turning @ @ @ @ @ .
Panic is in the air .
The entire shadow government , shadow presidency is @ @ @ @ @ DS ] is in trouble , the truth is now coming out and the people @ @ @ @ @ all together , the truth is reaching the population , this is just the beginning @

The [DS]/MSM event push has nothing to do with the virus, it is now slowly turning into the mail-in election narrative. Panic is in the air. The entire shadow government, shadow presidency is now dismantled. The [DS] is in trouble, the truth is now coming out and the people are starting to put it all together, the truth is reaching the population, this is just the beginning.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--I’m a Small Business Owner (Salon) who might be able to reopen 05/23/20! (Part 1)

Hey there !
I ’ m a Small Business Owner ( Salon ) who might be able to reopen 05/23/20 !
I thought I would use this subreddit to document the next 2 weeks of preparing for our ‘ unofficial reopening ‘ .
I say unofficial because our state Governor has reopened the state in phases , Salons , Bars , Gyms , Spas are part of phase 2 which should happen approximately 2 weeks from phase 1 which started 05/08/20 @ 5pm .
I closed the doors to my salon on 03/16/20 , approximately a week before the official @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I had 2 clients tell me someone in their family who they had visited had been to the doctor and exhibited signs of Covid-19 , 1 client had come back from Spain and had been at the salon the weekend prior , friends who are doctors & nurses asked me to if I could because they are also seeing patients exhibiting symptoms , but have no way to test .
I also let my landlords know that I was doing this , they were on board and agreed to pause rent until I @ @ @ @ @ @ @ time we would work out how I would pay the back rent .
Personally I ’ m hoping to have all back rent paid ( approximately 3 months ) by the end of Summer .
Personally I don ’ t know how I feel about going back to work .
I know it ’ s my business and I have the right to keep my doors closed , but I also have bills to pay and so do my employees .
So I want to be as prepared as possible .
My salon @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Carolina .
Here are the Covid-19 stats as of the time I ’ m writing this for my state : We have received no official guidance from our state licensing board as to what precautionary steps we will need to take to reopen , but a lot of the trade magazines and industry associations have been putting out their own .
What I have done to prepare : • Cost : $ 0 • Beta Testing New Software that will allow us to manage online bookings better • Changed our pricing to hourly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Additional Lighting and various electrical stuffs for Stations that have been moved • 2 ( 64oz ) Bottles of concentrated Barbicide for disinfection of tools & hard surfaces ( 2oz = 32oz when combined with water ) • To Be Purchased : • Tablets for each station for client interaction • Additional Gloves when they become available • Product to be used on clients In my next post I will talk about how I ’ m updating our salon policies and what my marketing plan will look like .
If you have questions @ @ @ @ @ @ @ them 🙂

by goodjobjus
Hey there! I’m a Small Business Owner (Salon) who might be able to reopen 05/23/20!
I thought I would use this subreddit to document the next 2 weeks of preparing for our ‘unofficial reopening‘. I say unofficial because our state Governor has reopened the state in phases, Salons, Bars, Gyms, Spas are part of phase 2 which should happen approximately 2 weeks from phase 1 which started 05/08/20 @ 5pm.
I closed the doors to my salon on 03/16/20, approximately a week before the official stay at home order took place because I had 2 clients tell me someone in their family who they had visited had been to the doctor and exhibited signs of Covid-19, 1 client had come back from Spain and had been at the salon the weekend prior, friends who are doctors & nurses asked me to if I could because they are also seeing patients exhibiting symptoms, but have no way to test.
I also let my landlords know that I was doing this, they were on board and agreed to pause rent until I was able to reopen, at which time we would work out how I would pay the back rent. Personally I’m hoping to have all back rent paid (approximately 3 months) by the end of Summer.
Personally I don’t know how I feel about going back to work. I know it’s my business and I have the right to keep my doors closed, but I also have bills to pay and so do my employees. So I want to be as prepared as possible.
My salon is located in the state of North Carolina.
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Commissioned Employees: 3 (including me)
Future Employees: 2
Salon Chairs: 4
Here are the Covid-19 stats as of the time I’m writing this for my state:
Confirmed Cases: 13,397
Deaths: 507
Main County Confirmed: 95
Main County Deaths: 1
We have received no official guidance from our state licensing board as to what precautionary steps we will need to take to reopen, but a lot of the trade magazines and industry associations have been putting out their own.
Loans/Grants Applied for:
SBA EIDL Rec’d $2000
PPP Rec’d $0
US Chamber of Commerce Grant Rec’d $0
Professional Beauty Association Grant Rec’d $0
What I have done to prepare:
Cost: $0 Moved Stations 6+ feet apart Removed Coffee Bar Area Removed Retail Area Removed Seating/Waiting Area Restructuring office into Color Bar Area Continuing to Hire Weekly Zoom hangouts with current staff and potential hires Beta Testing New Software that will allow us to manage online bookings better Changed our pricing to hourly to ensure our timing
Purchased Additional Lighting and various electrical stuffs for Stations that have been moved Cost: $180 2 (64oz) Bottles of concentrated Barbicide for disinfection of tools & hard surfaces (2oz = 32oz when combined with water) Cost: $40 4 (26oz) Pump Bottles of Hand Sanitizer for Stylists’ Stations Cost: $40
To Be Purchased: Tablets for each station for client interaction Cost: $300-500 Square Card Readers for each station Cost: $120 Client Capes $300 Additional Gloves when they become available $75 Hands-Free Sanitizing Stations $50-100 Additional Tools & Implements $300 Product to be used on clients Color $300 Backbar $300 Disposable Masks $50-200
In my next post I will talk about how I’m updating our salon policies and what my marketing plan will look like.
If you have questions or comments, would love to read them 🙂


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--Simple economics to remember why recession cannot be escaped

So I read things here that I agree and disagree with and I never claim having the absolute truth about the future .
This being said I want to make a simple purely economic point for those who obviously never heard about this word : The Fed can not prop up the market with cash for a long period of recession , no matters it is the one of stocks , oil , pork futures ( to cite this piece of art we saw a few days ago ) or whatever else by injecting money in it .
This is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ financial crisis were caused by either : • an offer shock , where offer falls ( e.g .
oil price is suddenly sky-high ) causing a raise in prices so people having still the same amount of money they buy less , so the activity falls • a demand shock , where -guess what- demand falls ( e.g .
when people anticipate lower income ) causing prices to fall so producing is less profitable , so activity also falls Our corona crisis is both a demand and an offer shock , so the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at the same time , which is extremely rare and grave .
Then , you can do whatever you want , a fall in activity will create a vicious cycle which is the recession cycle : Less activity - > more unemployment - > less income - > fewer purchases - > less activity …etc Notice that we already entered it .
These are extremely basic economics , and this cycle is how a housing bubble popping in the US can cause a systemic collapse 2 years later in Greece , it ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The point is don ’ t think we will be out of this after we beat the ‘ rona , you can not cancel the cycle with cash , it can last only after very long years even without any other bad event happening , so it is not a question of the ‘ rona being beaten fast or not , the problem is very much deeper .
So the US stock market can of course be pumped with cash , but it can not escape the global recession making balance sheets looking @ @ @ @ @ @ @ months , maybe years it falls in every scenario , it ’ s just how recession works and the history of economy since people are trading , you think Trump is the first to artificially pump the market ?
I am not a basic bear and I do hold stocks to surf the wave , but it is a golden retard thing to think the recession can be “ canceled ” in the US , when it ’ s just simple and global chain reaction .
Disclaimer : This information is only for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by Foufou190
So I read things here that I agree and disagree with and I never claim having the absolute truth about the future. This being said I want to make a simple purely economic point for those who obviously never heard about this word:
The Fed cannot prop up the market with cash for a long period of recession, no matters it is the one of stocks, oil, pork futures (to cite this piece of art we saw a few days ago) or whatever else by injecting money in it.
This is simple economy, the last few big financial crisis were caused by either:
an offer shock, where offer falls (e.g. oil price is suddenly sky-high) causing a raise in prices so people having still the same amount of money they buy less, so the activity falls
a demand shock, where -guess what- demand falls (e.g. when people anticipate lower income) causing prices to fall so producing is less profitable, so activity also falls
Our corona crisis is both a demand and an offer shock, so the activity is absolutely dying for both reasons at the same time, which is extremely rare and grave.
Then, you can do whatever you want, a fall in activity will create a vicious cycle which is the recession cycle :
Less activity -> more unemployment -> less income -> fewer purchases -> less activity …etc
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Notice that we already entered it.
These are extremely basic economics, and this cycle is how a housing bubble popping in the US can cause a systemic collapse 2 years later in Greece, it’s just what links everything together.
The point is don’t think we will be out of this after we beat the ‘rona, you cannot cancel the cycle with cash, it can last only after very long years even without any other bad event happening, so it is not a question of the ‘rona being beaten fast or not, the problem is very much deeper.
So the US stock market can of course be pumped with cash, but it cannot escape the global recession making balance sheets looking like balance shit for ever. After months, maybe years it falls in every scenario, it’s just how recession works and the history of economy since people are trading, you think Trump is the first to artificially pump the market ?
I am not a basic bear and I do hold stocks to surf the wave, but it is a golden retard thing to think the recession can be “canceled” in the US, when it’s just simple and global chain reaction.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--R value in Germany rises to 1.15.. Second wave coming. If Germany can’t deal with opening no western

R value in Germany rises to 1.15.. Second wave coming. If Germany can’t deal with opening no western country will do this easily..

Germany ’ s R number rose to about 1.1 , meaning that every infected patient passes the coronavirus to more than one other person .
Meanwhile , protesters across Germany slammed isolation measures .
Follow DW for the latest .
• The virus reproduction rate hit around 1.1 in Germany , but officials warned of “ insecurities ” in predicting a long-term trend • Thousands of people have demonstrated in German cities to protest the restrictions on public life that have been put in place • Former US President Barack Obama has described Donald Trump ’ s handling of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has commemorated Victory Day with tens of thousands of people in close proximity 23:59 We have now closed this article .
For the latest updates , see Coronavirus latest : More than 4 million global cases 21:52 In an escalation of his dispute with California officials , Tesla CEO Elon Musk has threatened to move the company ’ s factory and headquarters out of the state .
Coronavirus restrictions by the Alameda County Health Department have stopped Tesla from reopening its factory in Fremont .
” Frankly , this is the final straw @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” Tesla will now move its HQ and future programs to Texas/Nevada immediately.
” He added that Tesla plans to file a lawsuit against Alameda County .
An order , issued to curb the spread of coronavirus in the San Francisco Bay Area , forced the company to shutter its Fremont factory on March 23 .
The order was later extended until the end of May .
Ever since the release of Tesla ’ s first-quarter earnings on April 29 , Musk has spoken against the restrictions , calling them fascist .
He @ @ @ @ @ @ @ taking away people ’ s “ freedom .
”

via DW
Germany’s R number rose to about 1.1, meaning that every infected patient passes the coronavirus to more than one other person. Meanwhile, protesters across Germany slammed isolation measures. Follow DW for the latest.
The virus reproduction rate hit around 1.1 in Germany, but officials warned of “insecurities” in predicting a long-term trend
Thousands of people have demonstrated in German cities to protest the restrictions on public life that have been put in place
Former US President Barack Obama has described Donald Trump’s handling of the outbreak as “chaotic”
Belarus has commemorated Victory Day with tens of thousands of people in close proximity
Updates in Universal Coordinated Time (UTC/GMT)
23:59 We have now closed this article. For the latest updates, see Coronavirus latest: More than 4 million global cases
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
21:52 In an escalation of his dispute with California officials, Tesla CEO Elon Musk has threatened to move the company’s factory and headquarters out of the state. Coronavirus restrictions by the Alameda County Health Department have stopped Tesla from reopening its factory in Fremont.
”Frankly, this is the final straw,” Musk said on Twitter. ”Tesla will now move its HQ and future programs to Texas/Nevada immediately.” He added that Tesla plans to file a lawsuit against Alameda County.
An order, issued to curb the spread of coronavirus in the San Francisco Bay Area, forced the company to shutter its Fremont factory on March 23. The order was later extended until the end of May. Ever since the release of Tesla’s first-quarter earnings on April 29, Musk has spoken against the restrictions, calling them fascist. He has also asked the governments to stop taking away people’s “freedom.”
Frankly, this is the final straw. Tesla will now move its HQ and future programs to Texas/Nevada immediately. If we even retain Fremont manufacturing activity at all, it will be dependen on how Tesla is treated in the future. Tesla is the last carmaker left in CA. — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 9, 2020


Consumer Discretionary DD

Skip to “ Actual DD ” if you want to short story .
Position at the bottom .
Many moons ago I gave up trying to find a real job .
After 20+ years in the restaurant industry I have come to realize that ( at least in my local eyesight ) that we are in for a big hurt .
I have been a district GM in the past but my current role as GM of a 10 million dollar in annual revenue location in Toronto is leaving me with unease heading into 2021 .
My restaurant and many @ @ @ @ @ @ @ years now .
Profits are tough to come by for most and most costs are already cut .
My management staff is literally just me , two managers , a shift supervisor , and head office .
Head office is mostly a numbers game though .
They distribute payroll , set guidelines , set my ratios ( labour % , food cost % , etc . )
, and they make me pay them to do this .
After we payout head office , my location has a roughly 5-8 % profit margin @ @ @ @ @ @ @ This is awesome .
We have a killer location and great staff .
FYI – We pay head office a fixed percentage every year as they supply us with management staff and consolidate numbers for us .
I am paid by head office , but the staff under me are not .
“ Head office ” does this for dozens of restaurants as it is more efficient to scale up that aspect of the industry .
This is why we pay them .
It is a love/hate relationship .
Anyways , here is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of industry veterans in the area meet once a year at a bar to have a good time and share ideas on how to grow our businesses .
Running a restaurant is a fairly political game with the local customers but we are all trying to make a living so we do work together .
It is more common that you think .
Actual DD – We were supposed to meet in October/November when business started to dry up after summer , but before christmas season .
We held an emergency meeting last @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sitting at our restaurants alone in the dark finishing off the kegs with nothing else to do .
Outlook is positive , but there is a very large hiccup coming that we are unsure what to do with .
The bar industry ( think clubs , divebars , cocktail bars ) is a little more year round .
But patio season for food-focused locations ( think steakhouses , gastropubs , Applebees , etc ) is the 3-5 months of the year where you actually crush your weekly breakeven targets and literally float the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ target is what you need to make in a week , on average , to make money that week as long as you also hit your labour/food & drink targets .
Some places that number is 20k , some it is 300k .
Mine is around 160k .
We budget to lose money in October , November , January , February , March , April , and sometimes May/September depending when summer starts or ends .
December and June/July/August are what takes my location from -40 % a year to +8 % .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ by the way because I have never actually just not opened for summer because I like to feed my kids .
Anyways , once we do open for summer – we are assuming there will be a cap on guests in the building and/or seating every other table and we will only be partially back to normal .
The issue is I need my restaurant to be full from right now to the end of August to be profitable for the year .
There is absolutely no way this will happen .
Myself @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Our lease is extremely high , but we can make it through to 2021 .
This is the problem though – we clear 5-8 % profit after paying out head office .
Most restaurants would kill for 2 % – especially the smaller ones .
I know dozens of small location owners as well as large location GMs who will not make it through 2021 to 2022 .
But it wont be realized until after summer .
Most will scrape by on weak sales through summer .
But trying to come back from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , then half those sales during the time of year that is supposed to make up for your lack of sales just wont happen , unfortunately .
And this is the issue that will arise .
The industry will be in a gridlock in 2021 financially , even if we are back to pre-pandemic levels of business and with no restrictions .
There is a hole that is being dug and to come out of it , we will need to strip costs even further .
I have a little room for this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not .
We already do food/bev costs down to the second decimal and this is common practice for most locations .
That means when Karen thinks her well-done steak is too tough – the comp on that may actually be the whole days profit lost on a slow day in the winter .
100 $ a day can truly be make or break in the slower months .
Side note – takeout means nothing for a sit-down restaurant .
I have listened to so many podcasts and experts share their thoughts about what @ @ @ @ @ @ @ all so far off the mark – especially considering some people actually think we can still turn a profit on just takeout alone .
We can even sell beer with takeout in Ontario .
But , when I am doing 20x my usual takeout orders on a Friday night .
I am still not even coming close to the 40k in sales I need for that day .
Pre-pandemic , takeout might do 150 $ in sales on a Friday night .
Now , it is 2-3k ( this is more than expected @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lease is over 30k a month .
I was already running a skeleton crew beforehand and we shaved down to literally just me , the chef , and one server who just wants the hours so he is deep cleaning the entire restaurant ( money well spent imo ) .
These thoughts and numbers are mine , but they are shared among 30 other restaurant owners and operators and we are the majority of the restaurant/bar scene in Toronto .
This long post barely scratches the surface of the issues that nobody really @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The industry will not die .
But many locations will turnover in 2021 .
Here is the kicker though – for the supply chains associated , this may actually be a positive thing .
The food suppliers would love to have a new basket of people to sell goods too .
People who dont have their menus optimized yet , and over-order to prevent shortages in the short term .
Also to gain favor with the suppliers , they will be willing to spend money .
This is provided there is enough liquid @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the industry to fill those gaps once the turnovers begin to happen .
TLDR ; Long SYY / Long dated puts on DIN , RUTH , QSR ( Dec/Nov 2020 is not far enough , may need to wait ) .
CMG , SBUX , PZZA or whatever other fast/fast-casual places are NOT to be included in this DD .
EDIT : if you have questions about the industry , how it actually works , or what I think the future will be .
Feel free to ask Disclaimer : This information is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by AnimalTom23
Skip to “Actual DD” if you want to short story. Position at the bottom.
Many moons ago I gave up trying to find a real job. After 20+ years in the restaurant industry I have come to realize that (at least in my local eyesight) that we are in for a big hurt. I have been a district GM in the past but my current role as GM of a 10 million dollar in annual revenue location in Toronto is leaving me with unease heading into 2021.
My restaurant and many others have been running skeleton crews for years now. Profits are tough to come by for most and most costs are already cut. My management staff is literally just me, two managers, a shift supervisor, and head office. Head office is mostly a numbers game though. They distribute payroll, set guidelines, set my ratios (labour %, food cost %, etc.), and they make me pay them to do this. After we payout head office, my location has a roughly 5-8% profit margin based on the past 5 years. This is awesome. We have a killer location and great staff.
FYI – We pay head office a fixed percentage every year as they supply us with management staff and consolidate numbers for us. I am paid by head office, but the staff under me are not. “Head office” does this for dozens of restaurants as it is more efficient to scale up that aspect of the industry. This is why we pay them. It is a love/hate relationship.
Anyways, here is the issue. Myself and a bunch of industry veterans in the area meet once a year at a bar to have a good time and share ideas on how to grow our businesses. Running a restaurant is a fairly political game with the local customers but we are all trying to make a living so we do work together. It is more common that you think.
Actual DD – We were supposed to meet in October/November when business started to dry up after summer, but before christmas season. We held an emergency meeting last week as most of us are just sitting at our restaurants alone in the dark finishing off the kegs with nothing else to do. Outlook is positive, but there is a very large hiccup coming that we are unsure what to do with. The bar industry (think clubs, divebars, cocktail bars) is a little more year round. But patio season for food-focused locations (think steakhouses, gastropubs, Applebees, etc) is the 3-5 months of the year where you actually crush your weekly breakeven targets and literally float the rest of the year. A breakeven target is what you need to make in a week, on average, to make money that week as long as you also hit your labour/food&drink targets. Some places that number is 20k, some it is 300k. Mine is around 160k.
We budget to lose money in October, November, January, February, March, April, and sometimes May/September depending when summer starts or ends. December and June/July/August are what takes my location from -40% a year to +8%. That -40% is a rough guess by the way because I have never actually just not opened for summer because I like to feed my kids. Anyways, once we do open for summer – we are assuming there will be a cap on guests in the building and/or seating every other table and we will only be partially back to normal. The issue is I need my restaurant to be full from right now to the end of August to be profitable for the year. There is absolutely no way this will happen.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Myself and my restaurant will be okay. Our lease is extremely high, but we can make it through to 2021. This is the problem though – we clear 5-8% profit after paying out head office. Most restaurants would kill for 2% – especially the smaller ones. I know dozens of small location owners as well as large location GMs who will not make it through 2021 to 2022. But it wont be realized until after summer. Most will scrape by on weak sales through summer. But trying to come back from literally 0 sales for a few months, then half those sales during the time of year that is supposed to make up for your lack of sales just wont happen, unfortunately. And this is the issue that will arise. The industry will be in a gridlock in 2021 financially, even if we are back to pre-pandemic levels of business and with no restrictions. There is a hole that is being dug and to come out of it, we will need to strip costs even further. I have a little room for this fortunately, but the vast majority do not. We already do food/bev costs down to the second decimal and this is common practice for most locations. That means when Karen thinks her well-done steak is too tough – the comp on that may actually be the whole days profit lost on a slow day in the winter. 100$ a day can truly be make or break in the slower months.
Side note – takeout means nothing for a sit-down restaurant. I have listened to so many podcasts and experts share their thoughts about what will happen with restaurants. They are all so far off the mark – especially considering some people actually think we can still turn a profit on just takeout alone. We can even sell beer with takeout in Ontario. But, when I am doing 20x my usual takeout orders on a Friday night. I am still not even coming close to the 40k in sales I need for that day. Pre-pandemic, takeout might do 150$ in sales on a Friday night. Now, it is 2-3k (this is more than expected by the way). But my lease is over 30k a month. I was already running a skeleton crew beforehand and we shaved down to literally just me, the chef, and one server who just wants the hours so he is deep cleaning the entire restaurant (money well spent imo).
These thoughts and numbers are mine, but they are shared among 30 other restaurant owners and operators and we are the majority of the restaurant/bar scene in Toronto. This long post barely scratches the surface of the issues that nobody really knows outside of the restaurant industry. The industry will not die. But many locations will turnover in 2021. Here is the kicker though – for the supply chains associated, this may actually be a positive thing. The food suppliers would love to have a new basket of people to sell goods too. People who dont have their menus optimized yet, and over-order to prevent shortages in the short term. Also to gain favor with the suppliers, they will be willing to spend money. This is provided there is enough liquid capital and people willing to jump into the industry to fill those gaps once the turnovers begin to happen.
TLDR; Long SYY / Long dated puts on DIN,RUTH,QSR (Dec/Nov 2020 is not far enough, may need to wait).
CMG, SBUX, PZZA or whatever other fast/fast-casual places are NOT to be included in this DD.

EDIT: if you have questions about the industry, how it actually works, or what I think the future will be. Feel free to ask
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--THIS is why there are meat shortages now–Full interview with Rancher who exposed globalist control o

THIS is why there are meat shortages now–Full interview with Rancher who exposed globalist control of our meat supply

American Cattle Rancher Shad Sullivan has a virtual sit down with Patrick Bet-David to talk about the future of cattle @ @ @ @ @ USA Beef bit.ly/3foNTZc

American Cattle Rancher Shad Sullivan has a virtual sit down with Patrick Bet-David to talk about the future of cattle and meat industry. Visit USA Beef bit.ly/3foNTZc
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
h/t telling it straight


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--The HAVA Act of 2002, Standards for States Voting

The HAVA Act signed into law by George W Bush set up mandatory minimum standards for all states in the USA .
HAVA creates new mandatory minimum standards for states to follow in several key areas of election administration .
The law provides funding to help states meet these new standards , replace voting systems and improve election administration .
HAVA also established the Election Assistance Commission ( EAC ) to assist the states regarding HAVA compliance and to distribute HAVA funds to the states .
EAC is also charged with creating voting system guidelines and operating the federal government @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
EAC is also responsible for maintaining the National Voter Registration form , conducting research , and administering a national clearinghouse on elections that includes shared practices , information for voters and other resources to improve elections .
HAVA requires that the states implement the following new programs and procedures : List Above .
This looks to me like they are legal set standards for all US States .
On October 29 , 2002 , President Bush signed the “ Help America Vote Act of 2002 , ” ( HAVA ) , Pub @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Stat .
1666 ( 2002 ) into law .
The HAVA is codified at 42 U.S.C .
15301 to 15545. creating a new federal agency to serve as a clearinghouse for election administration information ; providing funds to states to improve election administration and replace outdated voting systems ; and creating minimum standards for states to follow in several key areas of election administration .
The states working against this law are breaking USA laws .
There are also Federal laws that govern state elections .
What Are Federal Election Crimes ?
Federal @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : Campaign finance crimes , such as when candidates accept funds that violate the amounts or donors permitted under the law Civil rights violations , involving voter intimidation , coercion , threats , and other tactics to suppress a person ’ s ability to vote Voter fraud and voter registration fraud , such as when someone illegally casts a vote in the name of a dead person or someone who ’ s moved Many states have strengthened their voter ID requirements to try to stop voter fraud .
Know your rights and the @ @ @

The HAVA Act signed into law by George W Bush set up mandatory minimum standards for all states in the USA.
Provisional Voting
Voting Information
Updated and Upgraded Voting Equipment
Statewide Voter Registration Databases
****Voter Identification Procedures****
Administrative Complaint Procedures
HAVA creates new mandatory minimum standards for states to follow in several key areas of election administration. The law provides funding to help states meet these new standards, replace voting systems and improve election administration. HAVA also established the Election Assistance Commission (EAC) to assist the states regarding HAVA compliance and to distribute HAVA funds to the states. EAC is also charged with creating voting system guidelines and operating the federal government’s first voting system certification program. EAC is also responsible for maintaining the National Voter Registration form, conducting research, and administering a national clearinghouse on elections that includes shared practices, information for voters and other resources to improve elections. HAVA requires that the states implement the following new programs and procedures: List Above.
www.eac.gov/about_the_eac/help_america_vote_act.aspx
This looks to me like they are legal set standards for all US States.
On October 29, 2002, President Bush signed the “Help America Vote Act of 2002,” (HAVA), Pub. L. No. 107-252, 116 Stat. 1666 (2002) into law. The HAVA is codified at 42 U.S.C. 15301 to 15545.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
creating a new federal agency to serve as a clearinghouse for election administration information;
providing funds to states to improve election administration and replace outdated voting systems; and
creating minimum standards for states to follow in several key areas of election administration.
www.justice.gov/crt/help-america-vote-act-2002
The states working against this law are breaking USA laws.
There are also Federal laws that govern state elections.
What Are Federal Election Crimes?
Federal election crimes fall into three broad categories:
Campaign finance crimes, such as when candidates accept funds that violate the amounts or donors permitted under the law
Civil rights violations, involving voter intimidation, coercion, threats, and other tactics to suppress a person’s ability to vote
Voter fraud and voter registration fraud, such as when someone illegally casts a vote in the name of a dead person or someone who’s moved
Many states have strengthened their voter ID requirements to try to stop voter fraud.
www.usa.gov/voting-laws
Know your rights and the laws America.
Don’t let the democrats cheat.
h/t SouthSide


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--CBP seizes thousands of fake IDs headed from China to New York

“ CBP seizes more than 150 pounds of black market bologna CBP seizes 11 counterfeit Super Bowl , World Series rings 177 fake sports rings seized by CBP , worth $ 11.7M if they ’ d been real : officials Federal officers recently intercepted nearly 3,000 fake driver ’ s licenses and more than 3,100 blank card stocks used to make counterfeit licenses in Kentucky , according to US Customs and Border Protection ( CBP ) .
The IDs were heading from China to various locations in New York , the federal agency said , adding that the fake driver @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Express Consignment Operations hub in Louisville , Ky .
The licenses were for several states , including Florida , Michigan , Illinois , Missouri , New Jersey and Ohio .
Authorities in Louisville notified CBP officers in Memphis since the fake identification cards were also shipped to that area , resulting in an additional 527 counterfeit driver ’ s licenses in Tennessee , officials said .
One of the shipments seized was headed to a convicted child rapist in the New York area , according to CBP , which added that investigators suspect @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and fake IDs before engaging in illicit activity .
Homeland Security is investigating .
Thomas Mahn , the Louisville Port director , said fake IDs are frequently bought and sold through “ dark web ” transactions .
“ Some of the major concerns as it relates to fraudulent identity documents is identity theft , worksite enforcement , critical infrastructure protection , fraud linked to immigration-related crimes such as human smuggling and human trafficking , and these documents can be used by those individuals associated with terrorism to minimize scrutiny from travel screening measures @ @ @ @ @ @ @ trying to interfere with US elections on behalf of the dirty democrats ?

“CBP seizes more than 150 pounds of black market bologna
CBP seizes 11 counterfeit Super Bowl, World Series rings
177 fake sports rings seized by CBP, worth $11.7M if they’d been real: officials
Federal officers recently intercepted nearly 3,000 fake driver’s licenses and more than 3,100 blank card stocks used to make counterfeit licenses in Kentucky, according to US Customs and Border Protection (CBP).
The IDs were heading from China to various locations in New York, the federal agency said, adding that the fake driver’s licenses were seized at an Express Consignment Operations hub in Louisville, Ky.
The licenses were for several states, including Florida, Michigan, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey and Ohio.
Authorities in Louisville notified CBP officers in Memphis since the fake identification cards were also shipped to that area, resulting in an additional 527 counterfeit driver’s licenses in Tennessee, officials said.
One of the shipments seized was headed to a convicted child rapist in the New York area, according to CBP, which added that investigators suspect that the individual entices minors with alcohol and fake IDs before engaging in illicit activity. Homeland Security is investigating.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Thomas Mahn, the Louisville Port director, said fake IDs are frequently bought and sold through “dark web” transactions.
“Some of the major concerns as it relates to fraudulent identity documents is identity theft, worksite enforcement, critical infrastructure protection, fraud linked to immigration-related crimes such as human smuggling and human trafficking, and these documents can be used by those individuals associated with terrorism to minimize scrutiny from travel screening measures,” Mahn said.”
Is China trying to interfere with US elections on behalf of the dirty democrats?
nypost.com/2019/11/28/cbp-seizes-thousands-of-fake-ids-headed-from-china-to-new-york/


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--USNavy has 6 carriers underway right now. Truman, Eisenhower, Reagan, Nimitz, Lincoln, and Ford all

has 6 carriers underway right now .
Truman , Eisenhower , Reagan , Nimitz , Lincoln , and Ford all @ @ @ @ @ at sea .
We are a # ForcetobeReckonedWith .

20 mins ago
USNavyCNO
@USNavyCNO
#ICYMI – the
@USNavy
has 6 carriers underway right now. Truman, Eisenhower, Reagan, Nimitz, Lincoln, and Ford all operating where ships belong … at sea. We are a #ForcetobeReckonedWith.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
@USPacificFleet
@USFleetForces
@US5thFleet
@USNavyEurope
h/t Builder


investmentwatchblog--2020-05-10--TENNESSEE: Police Arrest Citizen Who Escaped Forced COVID-19 Detention Camp

A coronavirus patient was arrested Thursday after prosecutors said he jumped a fence and fled the Nashville Fairgrounds , where health officials are using enforceable quarantines in an attempt to control an outbreak at an emergency homeless shelter .
According to an arrest affidavit , a 39-year-old man was taken to the Nashville Fairgrounds on Monday and placed under quarantine by the Metro Nashville Public Health Department because he tested positive for the coronavirus .
Health officials told the man he could not leave until he was cleared , but on Thursday he jumped a fence and headed north on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ He was stopped and arrested by Metro Nashville Parks police by a city cemetery nearly two miles from where he had been quarantined .
Metro Parks has charged the man with a single count of escape from a penal institution , a class A misdemeanor .
The statute that defines this crime makes no mention of it being used to enforce quarantine orders .
When asked about the legal authority to make this arrest , the Metro Health Department cited a different section of law that classifies violating quarantine as a class B @ @ @ @ @ @ @ offense .
Davidson County Sheriff ’ s Office records show the fairgounds suspect was booked into the Metro jail at 5:17 p.m. on Thursday .
As of Friday , he remained jailed in lieu of $ 5,000 bond .

COVID-19 patient arrested after leaving fairgrounds quarantine, court records show
A coronavirus patient was arrested Thursday after prosecutors said he jumped a fence and fled the Nashville Fairgrounds, where health officials are using enforceable quarantines in an attempt to control an outbreak at an emergency homeless shelter.
According to an arrest affidavit, a 39-year-old man was taken to the Nashville Fairgrounds on Monday and placed under quarantine by the Metro Nashville Public Health Department because he tested positive for the coronavirus.
Health officials told the man he could not leave until he was cleared, but on Thursday he jumped a fence and headed north on Nolensville Road, the affidavit states. He was stopped and arrested by Metro Nashville Parks police by a city cemetery nearly two miles from where he had been quarantined.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Metro Parks has charged the man with a single count of escape from a penal institution, a class A misdemeanor. The statute that defines this crime makes no mention of it being used to enforce quarantine orders. When asked about the legal authority to make this arrest, the Metro Health Department cited a different section of law that classifies violating quarantine as a class B misdemeanor, which is a less serious offense.
Davidson County Sheriff’s Office records show the fairgounds suspect was booked into the Metro jail at 5:17 p.m. on Thursday. As of Friday, he remained jailed in lieu of $5,000 bond.
www.tennessean.com/story/news/local/2020/05/08/coronavirus-patient-arrested-after-leaving-nashville-quarantine/3098005001/
h/t CrsCrpr