investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Stunning: 31% of Black Americans now plan to vote for Trump, handing him a LANDSLIDE victory

( Natural News ) In the 2016 Presidential election , Donald Trump received approximately eight percent of the African American vote , according to exit polls .
This was an increase in support from the African American community when compared with the previous 2012 Republican candidate , Mitt Romney .
Now , after delivering for the African American community with criminal justice reform , employment advantages , and opportunity zones , President Trump stands to get quadruple the support from African Americans in the 2020 election , according to the latest Rasmussen polls .
When Donald Trump talks about America @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Americans , no matter the race , heritage or creed .
The latest Rasmussen poll asked , “ If the presidential election was held today , would you vote for Donald Trump or Joe Biden ?
The poll found the national daily black likely voter percent to be : If they get out and vote , this would be a historic black turnout for the Republican Party , as most African Americans have been taught to distrust Republicans .
This Republican Party , however , is a bit unconventional , and offers a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of all races .
Trump could win a landslide victory if the black caucus stands up to the abusive Democrat Party and votes for TRUMP in defiance If the African American community votes by November 3rd , they will easily hand Donald Trump a LANDSLIDE victory , giving the black community a fighting chance to enjoy economic opportunity and to have a voice in their government .
These are exciting times for African Americans , as the current President seeks to make America a prosperous place where there is opportunity for all races @ @ @ @ @ @ @ proposal provides a pathway for African American communities to prosper , even as they are being held down by their high-tax Democratic states and cities .
Once re-elected , the President will also expose the Democrat ’ s dark vision for America , which consists of using the left-wing black lives matter and antifa crusaders to destroy African American communities and their reputation .
President Trump will restore law and order so the black community can rise in a peaceful , prosperous way and be respected with dignity .
Democrat-run cities are lawless @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fascist restrictions that hold the African American community back .
Donald Trump wants to see life go back to normal , with people prospering no matter the color of their skin .
In his historical criminal justice reform , he has liberated many people of color from discriminatory color of law abuses , while commuting countless non-violent sentences so people can have a second chance .
In 2018 , Trump negotiated into law The First Step Act , which helps inmates successfully return to society by expanding access to rehabilitative programs .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ second chance hiring opportunities for former inmates so they can take up rewarding careers and enjoy the dignity of work .
If the black caucus stand ups to their abusers ( the Democrat Party ) and shows up to the polls to cast their vote , then President Trump will be able to continue the fight for the African American community , their rights , their jobs , their freedom and their dignity , while stopping Democrats from destroying their communities and imprisoning them .

by Lance Johnson via Natural News
(Natural News) In the 2016 Presidential election, Donald Trump received approximately eight percent of the African American vote, according to exit polls. This was an increase in support from the African American community when compared with the previous 2012 Republican candidate, Mitt Romney.
Now, after delivering for the African American community with criminal justice reform, employment advantages, and opportunity zones, President Trump stands to get quadruple the support from African Americans in the 2020 election, according to the latest Rasmussen polls. When Donald Trump talks about America first, he is talking about all Americans, no matter the race, heritage or creed.
The latest Rasmussen poll asked, “If the presidential election was held today, would you vote for Donald Trump or Joe Biden? The poll found the national daily black likely voter percent to be:
27 percent for Monday October 26
30 percent for Tuesday October 27
30 percent for Wednesday October 28
31 percent for Thursday October 29.
If they get out and vote, this would be a historic black turnout for the Republican Party, as most African Americans have been taught to distrust Republicans. This Republican Party, however, is a bit unconventional, and offers a renaissance of opportunity and prosperity for people of all races.
Trump could win a landslide victory if the black caucus stands up to the abusive Democrat Party and votes for TRUMP in defiance
If the African American community votes by November 3rd, they will easily hand Donald Trump a LANDSLIDE victory, giving the black community a fighting chance to enjoy economic opportunity and to have a voice in their government. These are exciting times for African Americans, as the current President seeks to make America a prosperous place where there is opportunity for all races. The Republican’s opportunity zone proposal provides a pathway for African American communities to prosper, even as they are being held down by their high-tax Democratic states and cities.
Once re-elected, the President will also expose the Democrat’s dark vision for America, which consists of using the left-wing black lives matter and antifa crusaders to destroy African American communities and their reputation. President Trump will restore law and order so the black community can rise in a peaceful, prosperous way and be respected with dignity.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Democrat-run cities are lawless hell holes, with high taxes and fascist restrictions that hold the African American community back. Donald Trump wants to see life go back to normal, with people prospering no matter the color of their skin. In his historical criminal justice reform, he has liberated many people of color from discriminatory color of law abuses, while commuting countless non-violent sentences so people can have a second chance. In 2018, Trump negotiated into law The First Step Act, which helps inmates successfully return to society by expanding access to rehabilitative programs. The Act goes a step further and provides second chance hiring opportunities for former inmates so they can take up rewarding careers and enjoy the dignity of work.
If the black caucus stand ups to their abusers (the Democrat Party) and shows up to the polls to cast their vote, then President Trump will be able to continue the fight for the African American community, their rights, their jobs, their freedom and their dignity, while stopping Democrats from destroying their communities and imprisoning them.
For more, visit Trump.news.
Sources include:
Twitter.com
RoperCenter.Cornell.edu
WashingtonExaminer.com


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--History Is Clear: Great Depression 2.0

History Is Clear: Great Depression 2.0

Jim Rogers is not only one of the most successful investors of our era , he ’ s also an avid scholar of history .
Seeing that the world is buried under an unprecedented mountain of debt that is requiring more and more central planner intervention to keep from imploding on itself , Jim says history is clear on what happens next A clearing of the debt either via massive default , or destruction of the currency it ’ s denominated in .
He looks into the future and sees a terrible reckoning ahead ; one he predicts will be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lifetime ” — and Jim is 78 years old .
So where should investors look to preserve the purchasing power of their wealth against what ’ s coming ?
Jim highly recommends precious metals and other commodities as an important part of the solution .
As an overall index , commodities are the cheapest they ’ ve ever been vs the general stock market in over half a century .
Like many of the previous guest experts on our program , Jim maintains the near-term environment will be one of the most challenging @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Which is why he ’ s emphatic that now , more than ever , is the time to partner with a financial advisor who understands the risks in play , can craft an appropriate portfolio strategy for you given your needs , and apply sound risk management protection where appropriate .

Jim Rogers interviewed by Adam Taggart on Peak Prosperity
Jim Rogers is not only one of the most successful investors of our era, he’s also an avid scholar of history.
Seeing that the world is buried under an unprecedented mountain of debt that is requiring more and more central planner intervention to keep from imploding on itself, Jim says history is clear on what happens next
A clearing of the debt either via massive default, or destruction of the currency it’s denominated in.
He looks into the future and sees a terrible reckoning ahead; one he predicts will be “the worst economic crisis of my lifetime” — and Jim is 78 years old.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
So where should investors look to preserve the purchasing power of their wealth against what’s coming?
Jim highly recommends precious metals and other commodities as an important part of the solution. As an overall index, commodities are the cheapest they’ve ever been vs the general stock market in over half a century.
Like many of the previous guest experts on our program, Jim maintains the near-term environment will be one of the most challenging times to invest in our lives.
Which is why he’s emphatic that now, more than ever, is the time to partner with a financial advisor who understands the risks in play, can craft an appropriate portfolio strategy for you given your needs, and apply sound risk management protection where appropriate.
FULL SHOW NOTES AND LINKS HERE


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--David Stockman on Why A Fiscal Demise is Certain No Matter Who Wins the Election

Known as the “ Father of Reaganomics , ” David Stockman served as President Ronald Reagan ’ s budget director and was a principal architect of his original effort to Make America Great Again .
In David ’ s newest book Dump Trump : Why Conservatives Should Punt on November 3rd , he asserts that Trump ’ s disastrous lockdown and massive government spending , borrowing , and money printing has left conservatives with no choice but to not re-elect him .
Click here to get your copy now .
International Man : During his time as president , Trump @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Fed to keep interest rates at near-zero and print money at astronomical levels .
Have Trump and the Republicans set a new precedent , in which the Fed will bend to the will of Washington DC ?
David Stockman : A few weeks back , one of the greatest anomalies of financial history quietly passed into the history books .
I ’ m are referring to the fact that the yield on the 10-year US Treasury ( UST ) fell to an all-time low of 0.52 % , prompting Deutsche Bank ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : ……the current nadir in the 10-year yield went back 234 years… The U.S. has been through depressions , deflations , wars , restrictive gold standard regimes , market crashes and many other major events , and never before have we seen yields so low .
There you have the essence of Donald Trump ’ s malefic legacy .
He brow-beat the Fed into abject submission on interest rates , even as he opened the spending and borrowing spigots like never before .
That fraught combo is nothing less than a freak of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and incendiary condition spawned by the willful stupidity of Washington policymakers who should know better , but who , apparently , are enthrall to the crack-pot economics of Donald J. Trump .
This is what passes for fiscal policy in the Imperial City today .
And it also tells you why the self-proclaimed “ King of Debt ” currently in the Oval Office will long be known as the father of America ’ s fiscal demise .
International Man : The government lockdown has created economic destruction on Main Street .
In your @ @ @ @ @ @ @ change in the way this COVID hysteria is being handled depending on whether Trump or Biden wins ?
David Stockman : The Donald ’ s mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic was so colossal and fatal that it alone disqualifies him for a second term .
In launching the quarantines and stay-at-home orders last March and empowering a rogue task force of government doctors , career apparatchiks , and power-seeking swamp creatures to trample on the people ’ s livelihoods and liberties , Donald Trump committed one of the most fatal errors of any @ @ @ @ @ @ @ let off the hook on the grounds that he received bad advice .
On the contrary , an actual conservative—or even Republican—president would have stoutly resisted the overnight lurch into the inherently unconstitutional and destructive regime of economic martial law that enveloped the nation within days .
Moreover , at the time and since then , there were never any medical facts or “ science ” that warranted what amounted to the most vicious assault on the domestic economy ever carried out by the agencies of government .
That is , the Donald @ @ @ @ @ @ @ big job in the Oval Office , and in the hour of decision , he broke the American economy like never before .
Now he owns the breakage .
International Man : Trump has campaigned on the idea that he is responsible for creating “ the greatest economy ever.
” There are tens of millions of unemployed Americans , much business activity is still halted or functioning at a snail ’ s pace , and there is talking of more bailouts .
What ’ s your take on this ?
David Stockman : @ @ @ @ @ @ @ greatest economy ever .
The US was a debt- and speculation-entombed economy when he took the oath of office , and he only made it far worse—even before the coronavirus lockdowns sent it reeling .
But suffice it , here , to note that based on the lingua franca of economics—real GDP growth—the Donald ’ s score for his first 13 quarters in office , and before the COVID-19 lockdown tanked the economy in Q2 2020 , was dead last among every president since 1948 .
Annualized Real GDP Growth Rate Per Presidential @ @ @ @ @ @ @ But the larger point is that Trump ’ s wholehearted embrace of sheer fiscal and monetary madness has not only left the nation spiraling toward the Mother of all Financial Disasters , but he has also finally euthanized what remained of GOP fiscal rectitude .
And without even a semblance of two-party competition on the fundamental matter of financial discipline in a 21st century interest group and PAC-driven Welfare State democracy , there is no apparent political route to restoring sustainable public finances .
To hear the Donald boast , first , he @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the world ; then , he shut it down to save 2.2 million lives ; now , it ’ s rocketing back upward in a powerful “ V , ” and soon America will be greater than ever before .
Needless to say , the Donald is bombastic , innumerate , economically illiterate and capable of picking pepper out of fly shit when it comes to looking for an utterly misleading number .
But since the allegedly powerhouse pre-COVID economy is his strongest claim to a second term , it is imperative @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s delusional narrative be understood .
It makes it clear that the “ Greatest Economy Ever ” slogan is bogus through and through .
Of course , there is one tiny element of truth to it : As measured at Q1 2020 , before Lockdown Nation plunged the US economy into recession during Q2 , real GDP at $ 19.254 trillion was indeed a US record .
Alas , so was the final quarter GDP level of every president since Harry S. Truman .
International Man : It ’ s clear that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reality than what is taking place on Main Street .
Has Trump proven that as long as the stock market is up , it doesn ’ t matter what ’ s really happening on Main Street ?
David Stockman : Clubbing interest rates to the flat line in a $ 20 trillion GDP freighted down with $ 81 trillion of public and private debts does absolutely nothing for Main Street or the real economy .
That ’ s because Peak Debt and rampant speculation have essentially clogged the traditional credit channel of monetary @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it was held historically that increased housing and business investment would ensue .
No longer .
The Fed ’ s cheap credit never really leaves the canyons of Wall Street , where it fulsomely rewards carry-traders and risk asset speculators because zero cost money is always and everywhere the mother ’ s milk of leveraged speculation .
And it also causes corporate C-suites to become maniacally obsessed with goosing their stock options via financial engineering maneuvers such as stock buybacks and M & A deals , which supplant equity and financial resilience with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ business bankruptcies soar to unprecedented levels in the month ahead as the economy reels from the folly of Lockdown Nation , the financial fragility part will become crystal clear .
But it also needs to be recalled that even as the interest rate clubbers at the Fed fostered a massive explosion of business debt after the 2008 financial crisis , it did not translate into any growth in productive investment at all .
During the period between the end of 2007 and the end of 2018 , • Real consumption of fixed business @ @ @ @ @ @ @ $ 2.202 trillion , or by 47.1 % ; • Real investment in new fixed business assets increased from $ 2.031 trillion to $ 2.781 trillion , or by just 36.9 % .
In other words , contrary to Wall Street ballyhoo about “ strong ” business investment , the US economy was essentially eating its own tail as it consumed existing business assets in annual production at a faster pace than it replaced them with new investments .
International Man : If Biden and Harris win the election , will the country @ @ @ @ @ @ @ David Stockman : Should the Dems prevail on November 3 , Sleepy Joe will function as the on-call teleprompter-reading pastor of Woke World , while Kamala cracks a leftish whip as head of the Harris Regency government and the defrocked Clintonistas and progressive-left Jacobins clamber aboard the machinery of state throughout the Imperial City .
Call it the attempted restoration of a ruling class that has virtually gutted American prosperity and democratic function alike during the last 3-4 decades .
Yet it now has the gall to claim that the present fractionated state @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Donald ’ s obnoxiously pugnacious self-aggrandizement and his purported dog whistles to the racist , red-necked , un-woke flotsam and jetsam of Flyover America .
I think not .
The sharp clash between the stentorian politics of the bi-coastal elites and the populist uprising in Flyover America that brought the toxic persona of Donald Trump to the Oval Office is rooted in economics , not racism or the cultural backwardness and benighted sensibilities of America ’ s town and country yokels .
Moreover , these economic roots well pre-dated the Donald ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Trump Tower in June 2015 .
As to the matter of whether the Dems understand this or have a policy to ameliorate the underlying conditions : Fuggetaboutit !
The chance that the Dems will tell the Fed to stop manufacturing windfall gains for the 1 % and 10 % who mostly vote Republican and desist in savaging workers in competitively impacted global markets is somewhere between zero and none .
Indeed , if elected , the Dems may attempt to take away the working class ’ private health insurance , guns , cheap @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and , with the coronavirus loose in the land , their ability to meander in the malls and tie one on in the bars and sports stadiums .
But what they won ’ t sideline is the unelected monetary politburo that is poisoning capitalist prosperity and political comity alike in America today .
What they also will not address , even as they go about destroying still more jobs with the $ 15 minimum wage , punitive taxes on job creators , and economy-wrecking lockdowns and mask-ups , is the elephant in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s most wrong-head creations—welfare , the war on drugs , and public-school monopolies—on black family life , socialization , and economic mobility .
Editor ’ s Note : The truth is , we ’ re on the cusp of a economic crisis that could eclipse anything we ’ ve seen before .
And most people won ’ t be prepared for what ’ s coming .
That ’ s exactly why bestselling author Doug Casey and his team just released a free report with all the details on how to survive an @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the PDF now .

Via International Man
Editor’s Note: David Stockman is the preeminent Washington insider turned iconoclast.
Known as the “Father of Reaganomics,” David Stockman served as President Ronald Reagan’s budget director and was a principal architect of his original effort to Make America Great Again.
In David’s newest book Dump Trump: Why Conservatives Should Punt on November 3rd, he asserts that Trump’s disastrous lockdown and massive government spending, borrowing, and money printing has left conservatives with no choice but to not re-elect him. Click here to get your copy now.
—
International Man: During his time as president, Trump has proven that he can push the Fed to keep interest rates at near-zero and print money at astronomical levels.
Have Trump and the Republicans set a new precedent, in which the Fed will bend to the will of Washington DC?
David Stockman: A few weeks back, one of the greatest anomalies of financial history quietly passed into the history books. I’m are referring to the fact that the yield on the 10-year US Treasury (UST) fell to an all-time low of 0.52%, prompting Deutsche Bank’s chief credit strategist to marvel out loud:
……the current nadir in the 10-year yield went back 234 years… The U.S. has been through depressions, deflations, wars, restrictive gold standard regimes, market crashes and many other major events, and never before have we seen yields so low.
There you have the essence of Donald Trump’s malefic legacy. He brow-beat the Fed into abject submission on interest rates, even as he opened the spending and borrowing spigots like never before.
That fraught combo is nothing less than a freak of financial nature. It is a temporary and incendiary condition spawned by the willful stupidity of Washington policymakers who should know better, but who, apparently, are enthrall to the crack-pot economics of Donald J. Trump.
This is what passes for fiscal policy in the Imperial City today. And it also tells you why the self-proclaimed “King of Debt” currently in the Oval Office will long be known as the father of America’s fiscal demise.
International Man: The government lockdown has created economic destruction on Main Street.
In your perspective, will we be seeing any change in the way this COVID hysteria is being handled depending on whether Trump or Biden wins?
David Stockman: The Donald’s mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic was so colossal and fatal that it alone disqualifies him for a second term.
In launching the quarantines and stay-at-home orders last March and empowering a rogue task force of government doctors, career apparatchiks, and power-seeking swamp creatures to trample on the people’s livelihoods and liberties, Donald Trump committed one of the most fatal errors of any modern president.
He cannot be let off the hook on the grounds that he received bad advice. On the contrary, an actual conservative—or even Republican—president would have stoutly resisted the overnight lurch into the inherently unconstitutional and destructive regime of economic martial law that enveloped the nation within days.
Moreover, at the time and since then, there were never any medical facts or “science” that warranted what amounted to the most vicious assault on the domestic economy ever carried out by the agencies of government. That is, the Donald coveted the power and glory of the big job in the Oval Office, and in the hour of decision, he broke the American economy like never before.
Now he owns the breakage.
International Man: Trump has campaigned on the idea that he is responsible for creating “the greatest economy ever.” There are tens of millions of unemployed Americans, much business activity is still halted or functioning at a snail’s pace, and there is talking of more bailouts.
What’s your take on this?
David Stockman: The Donald has not remotely created the greatest economy ever. The US was a debt- and speculation-entombed economy when he took the oath of office, and he only made it far worse—even before the coronavirus lockdowns sent it reeling.
But suffice it, here, to note that based on the lingua franca of economics—real GDP growth—the Donald’s score for his first 13 quarters in office, and before the COVID-19 lockdown tanked the economy in Q2 2020, was dead last among every president since 1948.
Annualized Real GDP Growth Rate Per Presidential Term, From Highest To Lowest;
Truman: 5.5%; Kennedy-Johnson: 5.2%; Clinton: 3.8%; Reagan: 3.6%; Carter: 3.2%; Nixon-Ford: 2.7%; Eisenhower: 2.5%; Bush the Elder: 2.2%; Bush the Younger: 1.9%; Obama: 1.9%; Trump: 1.8%.
But the larger point is that Trump’s wholehearted embrace of sheer fiscal and monetary madness has not only left the nation spiraling toward the Mother of all Financial Disasters, but he has also finally euthanized what remained of GOP fiscal rectitude. And without even a semblance of two-party competition on the fundamental matter of financial discipline in a 21st century interest group and PAC-driven Welfare State democracy, there is no apparent political route to restoring sustainable public finances.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
To hear the Donald boast, first, he created the greatest economy in the history of the world; then, he shut it down to save 2.2 million lives; now, it’s rocketing back upward in a powerful “V,” and soon America will be greater than ever before.
Well, that’s wrong.
Needless to say, the Donald is bombastic, innumerate, economically illiterate and capable of picking pepper out of fly shit when it comes to looking for an utterly misleading number.
But since the allegedly powerhouse pre-COVID economy is his strongest claim to a second term, it is imperative that the preposterous content of the Donald’s delusional narrative be understood. It makes it clear that the “Greatest Economy Ever” slogan is bogus through and through.
Of course, there is one tiny element of truth to it: As measured at Q1 2020, before Lockdown Nation plunged the US economy into recession during Q2, real GDP at $19.254 trillion was indeed a US record.
Alas, so was the final quarter GDP level of every president since Harry S. Truman.
International Man: It’s clear that Wall Street is demonstrating a completely different reality than what is taking place on Main Street.
Has Trump proven that as long as the stock market is up, it doesn’t matter what’s really happening on Main Street?
David Stockman: Clubbing interest rates to the flat line in a $20 trillion GDP freighted down with $81 trillion of public and private debts does absolutely nothing for Main Street or the real economy. That’s because Peak Debt and rampant speculation have essentially clogged the traditional credit channel of monetary policy transmission to Main Street, whereby it was held historically that increased housing and business investment would ensue.
No longer. The Fed’s cheap credit never really leaves the canyons of Wall Street, where it fulsomely rewards carry-traders and risk asset speculators because zero cost money is always and everywhere the mother’s milk of leveraged speculation. And it also causes corporate C-suites to become maniacally obsessed with goosing their stock options via financial engineering maneuvers such as stock buybacks and M&A deals, which supplant equity and financial resilience with debt and financial fragility.
So when business bankruptcies soar to unprecedented levels in the month ahead as the economy reels from the folly of Lockdown Nation, the financial fragility part will become crystal clear.
But it also needs to be recalled that even as the interest rate clubbers at the Fed fostered a massive explosion of business debt after the 2008 financial crisis, it did not translate into any growth in productive investment at all.
During the period between the end of 2007 and the end of 2018,
Real consumption of fixed business assets rose from $1.497 trillion to $2.202 trillion, or by 47.1%;
Real investment in new fixed business assets increased from $2.031 trillion to $2.781 trillion, or by just 36.9%.
In other words, contrary to Wall Street ballyhoo about “strong” business investment, the US economy was essentially eating its own tail as it consumed existing business assets in annual production at a faster pace than it replaced them with new investments.
International Man: If Biden and Harris win the election, will the country be any better off for it?
David Stockman: Should the Dems prevail on November 3, Sleepy Joe will function as the on-call teleprompter-reading pastor of Woke World, while Kamala cracks a leftish whip as head of the Harris Regency government and the defrocked Clintonistas and progressive-left Jacobins clamber aboard the machinery of state throughout the Imperial City.
Call it the attempted restoration of a ruling class that has virtually gutted American prosperity and democratic function alike during the last 3-4 decades. Yet it now has the gall to claim that the present fractionated state of the union is owing solely to the Donald’s obnoxiously pugnacious self-aggrandizement and his purported dog whistles to the racist, red-necked, un-woke flotsam and jetsam of Flyover America.
I think not. The sharp clash between the stentorian politics of the bi-coastal elites and the populist uprising in Flyover America that brought the toxic persona of Donald Trump to the Oval Office is rooted in economics, not racism or the cultural backwardness and benighted sensibilities of America’s town and country yokels.
Moreover, these economic roots well pre-dated the Donald’s fateful trip down the escalator at Trump Tower in June 2015.
As to the matter of whether the Dems understand this or have a policy to ameliorate the underlying conditions: Fuggetaboutit!
The chance that the Dems will tell the Fed to stop manufacturing windfall gains for the 1% and 10% who mostly vote Republican and desist in savaging workers in competitively impacted global markets is somewhere between zero and none.
Indeed, if elected, the Dems may attempt to take away the working class’ private health insurance, guns, cheap fossil fuels for their homes and cars and, with the coronavirus loose in the land, their ability to meander in the malls and tie one on in the bars and sports stadiums. But what they won’t sideline is the unelected monetary politburo that is poisoning capitalist prosperity and political comity alike in America today.
What they also will not address, even as they go about destroying still more jobs with the $15 minimum wage, punitive taxes on job creators, and economy-wrecking lockdowns and mask-ups, is the elephant in the room—the destructive impact of three of government’s most wrong-head creations—welfare, the war on drugs, and public-school monopolies—on black family life, socialization, and economic mobility.
Editor’s Note: The truth is, we’re on the cusp of a economic crisis that could eclipse anything we’ve seen before. And most people won’t be prepared for what’s coming.
That’s exactly why bestselling author Doug Casey and his team just released a free report with all the details on how to survive an economic collapse. Click here to download the PDF now.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Florida Early Voting Has A BIG Unexpected Result

National polling has shown a majority of Republicans are voting in person on election day , and majority of Democrats @ @ @ @ @ in-person .
As of today , early voting by mail-in does reflect that with 647,735 @ @ @ @ @ !
, the big surprise is And a real shocker is Miami-Dade and Hillsborough ( @ @ @ @ @ this category .
This is very good news for Trump Note : Florida is the @ @ @ @ @ far and no candidate has won the oval office without it in nearly 3 decades @ @ @ @ @ important state in a national election .
Early Voting Data In Florida Reveals Likely Win @ @ @

National polling has shown a majority of Republicans are voting in person on election day, and majority of Democrats voting early with mail-in or in-person.
As of today, early voting by mail-in does reflect that with 647,735 difference for democrats.
BUT!, the big surprise is early voting in-person has a 476,383 difference for Republicans.
Florida State Stats
countyballotfiles.floridados.gov/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats
And a real shocker is Miami-Dade and Hillsborough(Tampa) counties are in this category.
This is very good news for Trump
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Note: Florida is the #1 swing state by far and no candidate has won the oval office without it in nearly 3 decades. It is the most important state in a national election.
Supporting article.
Early Voting Data In Florida Reveals Likely Win For President Trump
en-volve.com/2020/10/30/early-voting-data-in-florida-reveals-likely-win-for-president-trump/
ICYMI: The Biden bus tour canceled the rest of its Texas tour because more Trump supporters showed up than Biden supporters- not harassment. They canceled Abilene, Amarillo, Lubbock, Port Arthur, Houston, Laredo they had 14 stops!!! They got shut out EVERYWHERE!! — Kambree (@KamVTV) October 31, 2020
Trump crowd in Butler PA is jaw-dropping pic.twitter.com/EeGNpqWMFd — Jack Posobiec 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) October 31, 2020
Biden+Obama crowd Pennsylvania
h/t Remedial_Rebel


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Texas Republicans have asked a federal judge to throw out 100,000 ballots in Harris County cast thro

Texas Republicans have asked a federal judge to throw out 100,000 ballots in Harris County cast through curbside voting.

Texas Republicans have asked a federal judge to throw out at least 117,000 ballots cast in Harris County , a heavily Democratic area that has experienced an unprecedented surge in early voting this month .
The brazen effort to undo legally cast ballots in a diverse , populous county is an eleventh-hour attempt to diminish Joe Biden ’ s chances of carrying the swing state on Nov. 3 .
Republicans claim that Harris County ’ s use of drive-thru voting violates the U.S. Constitution , requiring the judge to throw out every ballot cast this way—more than 117,000 as of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ absurd .
But the case landed in front of U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen , one of the most notoriously partisan conservatives in the federal judiciary .
Democrats have good reason to fear that Hanen will order the mass nullification of ballots as early as Nov. 2 , when he has scheduled a hearing .
Because Texas strictly limits mail-in voting , Harris County—which has a population of over 4.7 million people—has sought to make in-person voting safer during the pandemic .
Harris County Clerk Chris Hollins , who runs the county ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ locations for the 2020 general election .
Drivers pull into a large tent , where election officials confirm their identity , then give them privacy to vote .
The process has proved wildly popular .
Harris County raised the idea of drive-thru voting in June , and Texas Secretary of State Ruth Hughs promptly approved it .
The county tested it in July and approved it in August .
Yet Republicans did not contest drive-thru voting in court until Oct. 15 , two days after the start of early voting .
On that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , joined by several GOP operatives , asked the Texas Supreme Court to halt drive-thru voting .
The court , which is entirely Republican , refused , over a single dissent .
Republicans then went back to the Texas Supreme Court , asking it to toss out every ballot cast via drive-thru voting .
The court is currently considering that request , though it seems unlikely to side with the plaintiffs given its previous decision .

Texas Republicans have asked a federal judge to throw out at least 117,000 ballots cast in Harris County, a heavily Democratic area that has experienced an unprecedented surge in early voting this month. The brazen effort to undo legally cast ballots in a diverse, populous county is an eleventh-hour attempt to diminish Joe Biden’s chances of carrying the swing state on Nov. 3. Republicans claim that Harris County’s use of drive-thru voting violates the U.S. Constitution, requiring the judge to throw out every ballot cast this way—more than 117,000 as of Friday. This argument is outrageous and absurd. But the case landed in front of U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen, one of the most notoriously partisan conservatives in the federal judiciary. Democrats have good reason to fear that Hanen will order the mass nullification of ballots as early as Nov. 2, when he has scheduled a hearing.
Because Texas strictly limits mail-in voting, Harris County—which has a population of over 4.7 million people—has sought to make in-person voting safer during the pandemic. Harris County Clerk Chris Hollins, who runs the county’s elections, established 10 drive-thru voting locations for the 2020 general election. Drivers pull into a large tent, where election officials confirm their identity, then give them privacy to vote. The process has proved wildly popular.
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Harris County raised the idea of drive-thru voting in June, and Texas Secretary of State Ruth Hughs promptly approved it. The county tested it in July and approved it in August. Yet Republicans did not contest drive-thru voting in court until Oct. 15, two days after the start of early voting. On that day, the Harris County Republican Party, joined by several GOP operatives, asked the Texas Supreme Court to halt drive-thru voting. The court, which is entirely Republican, refused, over a single dissent. Republicans then went back to the Texas Supreme Court, asking it to toss out every ballot cast via drive-thru voting. The court is currently considering that request, though it seems unlikely to side with the plaintiffs given its previous decision.
A stunning, last-minute effort to nullify Democratic votes in a key swing state. t.co/JDzXFiaK9V — Slate (@Slate) October 31, 2020
AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Stocks and Polls – Different This Time?

Stocks and Polls – Different This Time?

Since the 2000 election , I have done comparisons of presidential poll numbers and the stock market , which have provided useful insights about how the election was going to turn out .
This year , I am not so sure about it working as it has in the past , and for a variety of reasons .
This week ’ s leadoff chart ( and I have a bunch more below ) compares the DJIA to the Rasmussen poll numbers for the election matchup between President Trump and former Vice President Biden .
For most of this year , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and they only recently increased the polling frequency to daily .
One key adjustment I have made in this chart is that the plot of the DJIA is shifted forward by 8 trading days , to show how the changes in the poll numbers tend to match the movements of the DJIA with a lag .
Rasmussen ’ s poll numbers tipped to one point in Mr. Trump ’ s favor back on the release dated Sep. 15 , which was the echo of the stock market running up to its Sep. 2 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ decline in September led to a big shift back toward Mr. Biden , amplified by Mr. Trump ’ s hospitalization due to Covid .
But since the 12-point differential in the Oct. 6 release , the numbers have moved back to a dead heat .
The same 8 trading day lag also works well to explain the movements of the broader poll numbers in the Real Clear Politics ( RCP ) average , although those numbers show a more consistent edge in favor of Mr. Biden .
If the 8 trading day lag @ @ @ @ @ @ @ mean a pretty decisive popular vote victory for Mr. Biden , given how the stock market has sold off recently .
And that is where we run into trouble about making assumptions .
It is not at all clear to me how the actual vote is going to be affected by the recent revelations about Mr. Biden ’ s son Hunter Biden , and the corrupt dealings with foreign entities .
There is also a lot more doubt this year about the validity of any poll result , given the reports about the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ support to pollsters .
Part of the reason for the lag between the stock market and the polling numbers is that it takes time to conduct a poll , then to assemble the results , and finally to publish them .
My belief is that attitudes toward the election vary in real time with attitudes about the stock market , but it just takes us a while to find out what people were thinking .
What past years ’ analyses have shown is that presidential polls have varied quite a bit all the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ along with the variations in the stock market .
That insight may not be as useful this year , because the Covid pandemic has increased mail in voting .
So even though the public ’ s attitudes might vary along with the stock market right up until election day , the variation in those attitudes will not matter for the voters who have already sent in their ballots .
4 years ago , the RCP average showed a 3-point margin of victory for Mrs. Clinton in the final data , which turned out @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of victory in the popular vote ( but as we all remember , not in the electoral college totals ) .
Mr. Trump saw a big late surge , as seen in this comparison : It is rather amazing how the two plots vary together with such amazing similarity .
The market is different , and lots of other conditions surrounding the election this time are much different from 2016 , and yet there is similarity in terms of how the public changed its opinions about the Republican and Democratic candidates .
What @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Mr. Trump ’ s presidential approval numbers have not tracked oil prices like these numbers have under past presidents .
Here is a comparison of an inverted plot of oil prices to presidential approval .
Historically , low oil prices have led the public to say that they like how the president is doing the job .
And high oil prices ( lower postings in this inverted scaling ) have brought low presidential approval .
But it has not worked that way during President Trump ’ s time in office .
One could @ @ @ @ @ @ @ how it has behaved in the past : I have used Gallup Poll numbers for this comparison of presidential approval numbers to oil prices because their numbers go back further in time .
The downside is that they do not sample that very frequently , doing it just every two weeks lately .
Rasmussen samples this daily , and their numbers are consistently higher than Gallup ’ s for Mr. Trump ’ s approval .
You can make of that what you will .
The data which explain Mr. Trump ’ s approval @ @ @ @ @ @ @ consumer sentiment data .
Here is the University of Michigan ’ s Index of Consumer Sentiment : Those data understandably took a big hit with the Covid pandemic and the government imposed lockdowns .
They have been bouncing back since then , although not yet to the pre-pandemic levels , and so have Mr. Trump ’ s approval numbers .
Rasmussen ’ s latest data show 51 % approve and 48 % disapprove .
If those numbers are correct , it is hard to imagine an incumbent president losing .
See also this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Center , from 2016 : “ The Intersection of Stock Market & Political Races ” .

by Tom McClellan
Since the 2000 election, I have done comparisons of presidential poll numbers and the stock market, which have provided useful insights about how the election was going to turn out. This year, I am not so sure about it working as it has in the past, and for a variety of reasons.
This week’s leadoff chart (and I have a bunch more below) compares the DJIA to the Rasmussen poll numbers for the election matchup between President Trump and former Vice President Biden. For most of this year, Rasmussen has done this poll weekly, and they only recently increased the polling frequency to daily. One key adjustment I have made in this chart is that the plot of the DJIA is shifted forward by 8 trading days, to show how the changes in the poll numbers tend to match the movements of the DJIA with a lag.
Rasmussen’s poll numbers tipped to one point in Mr. Trump’s favor back on the release dated Sep. 15, which was the echo of the stock market running up to its Sep. 2 top. The stock market’s decline in September led to a big shift back toward Mr. Biden, amplified by Mr. Trump’s hospitalization due to Covid. But since the 12-point differential in the Oct. 6 release, the numbers have moved back to a dead heat.
The same 8 trading day lag also works well to explain the movements of the broader poll numbers in the Real Clear Politics (RCP) average, although those numbers show a more consistent edge in favor of Mr. Biden.
If the 8 trading day lag continues to work, then that would mean a pretty decisive popular vote victory for Mr. Biden, given how the stock market has sold off recently. And that is where we run into trouble about making assumptions. It is not at all clear to me how the actual vote is going to be affected by the recent revelations about Mr. Biden’s son Hunter Biden, and the corrupt dealings with foreign entities. There is also a lot more doubt this year about the validity of any poll result, given the reports about the reluctance of Trump supporters to reveal that support to pollsters.
Part of the reason for the lag between the stock market and the polling numbers is that it takes time to conduct a poll, then to assemble the results, and finally to publish them. My belief is that attitudes toward the election vary in real time with attitudes about the stock market, but it just takes us a while to find out what people were thinking.
What past years’ analyses have shown is that presidential polls have varied quite a bit all the way up to the election day, along with the variations in the stock market. That insight may not be as useful this year, because the Covid pandemic has increased mail in voting. So even though the public’s attitudes might vary along with the stock market right up until election day, the variation in those attitudes will not matter for the voters who have already sent in their ballots.
4 years ago, the RCP average showed a 3-point margin of victory for Mrs. Clinton in the final data, which turned out to be pretty close to her margin of victory in the popular vote (but as we all remember, not in the electoral college totals). Mr. Trump saw a big late surge, as seen in this comparison:
It is rather amazing how the two plots vary together with such amazing similarity. The market is different, and lots of other conditions surrounding the election this time are much different from 2016, and yet there is similarity in terms of how the public changed its opinions about the Republican and Democratic candidates.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
What is really different this time is that Mr. Trump’s presidential approval numbers have not tracked oil prices like these numbers have under past presidents. Here is a comparison of an inverted plot of oil prices to presidential approval.
Historically, low oil prices have led the public to say that they like how the president is doing the job. And high oil prices (lower postings in this inverted scaling) have brought low presidential approval.
But it has not worked that way during President Trump’s time in office. One could argue that it is working inversely to how it has behaved in the past:
I have used Gallup Poll numbers for this comparison of presidential approval numbers to oil prices because their numbers go back further in time. The downside is that they do not sample that very frequently, doing it just every two weeks lately.
Rasmussen samples this daily, and their numbers are consistently higher than Gallup’s for Mr. Trump’s approval. You can make of that what you will.
The data which explain Mr. Trump’s approval numbers better than oil prices are the consumer sentiment data. Here is the University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment:
Those data understandably took a big hit with the Covid pandemic and the government imposed lockdowns. They have been bouncing back since then, although not yet to the pre-pandemic levels, and so have Mr. Trump’s approval numbers. Rasmussen’s latest data show 51% approve and 48% disapprove. If those numbers are correct, it is hard to imagine an incumbent president losing.
See also this Special Market Reports article in our Learning Center, from 2016: “The Intersection of Stock Market & Political Races”.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Obama Repeatedly Screams Out “JOE BIDEN” as Joe Biden is a No-Show for His Introduction

Joe Biden just missed his introduction in Michigan .
SAD !
pic.twitter.com/6ukx8pZbGu

Joe Biden just missed his introduction in Michigan. SAD! pic.twitter.com/6ukx8pZbGu
— Francis Brennan (@FrancisBrennan) October 31, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Tough boat to be in for all those getting forced.

Flu shot this winter : I 'm not getting one .
No way .
16 % of colleges in the @ @ @ @ @ flu vaccinations for all students and staff who work there .
Tough boat to be @ @ @ @ @ forced .
pic.twitter.com/oXB6g0vdmR

Flu shot this winter: I'm not getting one. No way.
16% of colleges in the US are now requiring mandatory flu vaccinations for all students and staff who work there.
Tough boat to be in for all those getting forced. pic.twitter.com/oXB6g0vdmR
— Gerald Celente (@geraldcelente) November 1, 2020


Latest Ladbrokes odds

Trafalgar apparently had the best record on calling individual swing states in 2016 and nailed Trump ’ s 306 EV @ @ @ @ @ latest state projections pic.twitter.com/GVNYqovSTY

Trafalgar apparently had the best record on calling individual swing states in 2016 and nailed Trump’s 306 EV victory score.. this is their latest state projections pic.twitter.com/GVNYqovSTY
— Igor Schatz (@Copernicus2013) November 1, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Thinking of this over next 2 weeks.

Thinking of this over next 2 weeks.

Thinking of this over next 2 weeks .
pic.twitter.com/M2jPLnun9u On the $ NDX , these tops are all the same @ @

Thinking of this over next 2 weeks. pic.twitter.com/M2jPLnun9u
On the $NDX, these tops are all the same. pic.twitter.com/4Mw25biQG0
— Puff Dragon (@PuffDragon11) November 1, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--3M (NYSE: MMM) – A Dividend King – A quick look at a noteworthy portfolio inclusion.

3M ( way before it was called the Minnesota Mining & Manufacturing ) might not be the most iconic corporation , however it is one of the largest in the US , in fact they are one of the few companies actually in the DOW Jones .
3M has been an incredibly innovative company since its humble beginnings , currently it holds over 118,000 patents .
They are involved extensively in industry , worker safety , US health care , and consumer goods , producing over 60,000 different products , and operating in over 70 countries .
So why own @ @ @ @ @ @ @ come down to your investing preference .
If you prefer dividend growth investing , that is , investing into companies that have continuously increased their dividend payout to more quickly compound your dividend reinvestments , then this will definitely be up your alley .
If you more prefer growth stocks , well MMM is unfortunately well past its years for growth , especially when compared to the tech companies .
So for investors looking to add this dividend stock , what makes MMM a dividend king ?
Well… • It has paid out @ @ @ @ @ @ @ years • It has increased that dividend for 62 consecutive years .
• The growth rate of that dividend has been 10.99 % over the last 5 years alone .
• The dividend payout ratio is a very healthy 72.95 % , • Lastly , the current dividend yield is 3.68 % , setting its current payout to $ 5.88 a year per share .
• Consistent and strong revenue/income and a debt ratio of only 0.46 .
• COVID ofcourse has impacted their income , however their healthcare involvement has buffered the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ongoing increases do ofcourse present a risk , but that is the same for every stock .
• Many firms and analysts have marked 3M as undervalued below the ~ $ 180 mark , citing discounted cash flow and margin/return-driven EV/EBITDA ( Enterprise Value/Earnings Before Interest , Taxes , Depreciation & Amortization ) This was just a quick post to get the brain juices going , so please do your research to supplement the brisk points mentioned above .
This post is probs going to come more down to individual investing philosophy , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ read so they are more than welcome !
Each different type of investor can learn from the other , dividend vs index vs growth or otherwise .
Anyways , have a good day everyone !
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision .

by 036Gooddaysir036
Introduction:
3M (way before it was called the Minnesota Mining & Manufacturing) might not be the most iconic corporation, however it is one of the largest in the US, in fact they are one of the few companies actually in the DOW Jones. 3M has been an incredibly innovative company since its humble beginnings, currently it holds over 118,000 patents. They are involved extensively in industry, worker safety, US health care, and consumer goods, producing over 60,000 different products, and operating in over 70 countries.
So why own the stock?
This is going to come down to your investing preference. If you prefer dividend growth investing, that is, investing into companies that have continuously increased their dividend payout to more quickly compound your dividend reinvestments, then this will definitely be up your alley. If you more prefer growth stocks, well MMM is unfortunately well past its years for growth, especially when compared to the tech companies.
So for investors looking to add this dividend stock, what makes MMM a dividend king? Well…
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It has paid out dividends to its holders for over 100 years
It has increased that dividend for 62 consecutive years.
The growth rate of that dividend has been 10.99% over the last 5 years alone.
The dividend payout ratio is a very healthy 72.95%,
Lastly, the current dividend yield is 3.68%, setting its current payout to $5.88 a year per share.
Consistent and strong revenue/income and a debt ratio of only 0.46. COVID ofcourse has impacted their income, however their healthcare involvement has buffered the loss across their other sectors. The ongoing increases do ofcourse present a risk, but that is the same for every stock.
Many firms and analysts have marked 3M as undervalued below the ~$180 mark, citing discounted cash flow and margin/return-driven EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value/Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization)
Takeaway/Final Thoughts:
This was just a quick post to get the brain juices going, so please do your research to supplement the brisk points mentioned above.
This post is probs going to come more down to individual investing philosophy, but those comment are always interesting to read so they are more than welcome! Each different type of investor can learn from the other, dividend vs index vs growth or otherwise. Anyways, have a good day everyone!
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Central Banks Sell Tiny Amount of Gold for First Time in a Decade

by Jason Burack of Wall St For Main St It ’ s like catnip to Gold Perma bears !
Central @ @ @ @ @ Time in a Decade !
The problem is that it is a very tiny amount @ @ @ @ @ even sold at all !
Commit to tipping us monthly for our hard work creating @ @ @ @ @ content that includes interviews with top experts , analysis and short videos about investing and @ @ @

by Jason Burack of Wall St For Main St
It’s like catnip to Gold Perma bears! Central Banks Sell Gold for First Time in a Decade! The problem is that it is a very tiny amount of gold if it was even sold at all!
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
FULL SHOW NOTES AND LINKS HERE
Commit to tipping us monthly for our hard work creating high level, thought provoking content that includes interviews with top experts, analysis and short videos about investing and the economy www.patreon.com/wallstformainst


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Red Sonia! US 30Y Mortgage Spread To 10Y Treasury Yield Averaged 1.71 Since 1971

Ever curious about how low the 30-year mortgage rate can go ?
Just check out the 10-year Treasury yield .
@ @ @ @ @ mortgage rate over the 10-year Treasury yield since 1971 has averaged 1.7159 .
But since @ @ @ @ @ , the spread has been decreasing and is now 1.9862 .
Unfortunately , looking at @ @ @ @ @ Funds Target rate has been look elsewhere .
Let ’ s see what happens to @ @ @ @ @ availability and M2 Money velocity crash .

by confoundedinterest17
Ever curious about how low the 30-year mortgage rate can go? Just check out the 10-year Treasury yield.
The spread between the 30-year mortgage rate over the 10-year Treasury yield since 1971 has averaged 1.7159.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
But since the Covid event in March, the spread has been decreasing and is now 1.9862.
Unfortunately, looking at SONIA to explain The Fed Funds Target rate has been look elsewhere.
Let’s see what happens to mortgage rates as mortgage credit availability and M2 Money velocity crash.


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--“If you look at the Drug War from a purely economic point of view, the role of the government is to

“If you look at the Drug War from a purely economic point of view, the role of the government is to PROTECT the Drug Cartel.”

I ’ ve been saying this for a long time… ” I see America with half the number of prisons @ @ @ @ @ prisoners , ten thousand fewer homicides a year , inner cities in which there ’ @ @ @ @ @ poor people to live without being afraid for their lives , citizens who might be @ @ @ @ @ not being subject to becoming criminals in order to get their drug , being able @ @ @ @ @ they ’ re sure of the quality .
You know , the same thing happened @ @ @ @ @ is happening now.
” Milton Friedman

by 0ldManFrank
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
I’ve been saying this for a long time…” I see America with half the number of prisons, half the number of prisoners, ten thousand fewer homicides a year, inner cities in which there’s a chance for these poor people to live without being afraid for their lives, citizens who might be respectable who are now addicts not being subject to becoming criminals in order to get their drug, being able to get drugs for which they’re sure of the quality. You know, the same thing happened under prohibition of alcohol as is happening now.” Milton Friedman


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Mega long-term view: if history repeats, the market will go through a lot of turbulence during the n

Mega long-term view : if history repeats , the market will go through a lot of turbulence during the next @ @ @ @ @ manufacturing recovery is disguising a concerning rise in unsold inventories .
Unless inventory build is @ @ @ @ @ , the broker estimates for massive capital expenditure recovery may not happen at all .
@

Mega long-term view: if history repeats, the market will go through a lot of turbulence during the next 5-7 years. pic.twitter.com/7DUwD0F9lb
Global manufacturing recovery is disguising a concerning rise in unsold inventories. Unless inventory build is unwound in the next quarter, the broker estimates for massive capital expenditure recovery may not happen at all. pic.twitter.com/Gn6ed11tJ0
— Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) November 1, 2020


Democrats for Trump!

HISTORIC PRESIDENT !
The Number of Democrats at President Trump ’ s Last Several Rallies Ought to Scare the Hell @ @ @ @ @ !
…20 % to 54 % of attendees at the latest Trump rallies are NOT @

Large numbers of Democrats and Independents attending Trump rallies!
HISTORIC PRESIDENT! The Number of Democrats at President Trump’s Last Several Rallies Ought to Scare the Hell Out of the American Left!
…20% to 54% of attendees at the latest Trump rallies are NOT Republican…
Minnesota — 53.6% NOT Republican
Wisconsin — 52.6% NOT Republican
We are seeing DEMOCRATS and INDEPENDENTS turn out in droves for @realDonaldTrump’s rallies: In Rochester, MN: ✅ 53.6% NOT Republican In Green Bay, WI: ✅ 52.6% NOT Republican These voters are going to make a huge difference on Tuesday! — Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) October 31, 2020
Michigan — 49% NOT Republican
Great to have @realDonaldTrump back in Michigan! ✅ 13,733 signups ✅ 49.0% (!) NOT Republican ✅ 30.5% didn’t vote in 2016 Thank you, Waterford Township! — Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) October 30, 2020
Florida — 19.3% NOT Republican
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Fantastic data out of @realDonaldTrump’s rally in Tampa! ✅ 17,420 signups ✅ 19.3% NOT Republican ✅ 25.2% did not vote in 2016 Thank you, FLORIDA! — Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) October 29, 2020
Arizona — 19.5% NOT Republican
Another huge turnout for @realDonaldTrump! ✅ 17,251 signups for Goodyear rally ✅ 19.5% NOT Republican ✅ 35.7% (!) did not vote in 2016 Thank you to everyone helping keep ARIZONA red in 2020! — Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) October 28, 2020
Arizona, Bullhead — 24.0% NOT Republican
ARIZONA is fired up and ready to re-elect for @realDonaldTrump! ✅ 23,591 signups for Bullhead City rally ✅ 24.0% NOT Republican ✅ 45.3% (!) did not vote in 2016 Thank you to the thousands of supporters who turned out! — Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) October 28, 2020
www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/historic-president-number-democrats-president-trumps-last-6-rallies-scare-american-left/
I'm a registered Democrat and will be voting Republican on the 3rd for the first time.
I vote based on policies not personality. Trump may offend some but if you actually take the time to look at what he's accomplished like I did, you will see for yourself. — Rox PA Chump 🇺🇸 (@Roxy__Smith) October 31, 2020
h/t ElleMira


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--UK – Boris Johnson brings in the Army to help roll out ‘rapid turnaround’ tests for COVID for ‘whole

UK – Boris Johnson brings in the Army to help roll out ‘rapid turnaround’ tests for COVID for ‘whole cities within days’

Boris Johnson will bring in the Army to help roll out ‘ rapid turnaround tests ’ which will see ‘ @ @ @ @ @ tested for Covid within days .
The Prime Minister made the announcement at a Downing @ @ @ @ @ , as he plunged the nation back into a full lockdown until December 2 .
@ @ @ @ @ Mr Johnson ’ s £100billion Operation Moonshot , which would see 10 million people tested @ @ @ @ @ they have symptoms , in a paper submitted to Downing St last month .
Population-wide @ @ @ @ @ slash Covid-19 ’ s reproduction rate in half , the experts said .

NOT SINISTER AT ALL >> "Boris Johnson brings in the Army to help roll out 'rapid turnaround' tests for Covid for 'whole cities' within days" t.co/SCNFhRfD0M — Minitrue⁺ (@banthebbc) October 31, 2020
Boris Johnson will bring in the Army to help roll out ‘rapid turnaround tests’ which will see ‘whole cities’ able to tested for Covid within days.
The Prime Minister made the announcement at a Downing Street press conference this evening, as he plunged the nation back into a full lockdown until December 2.
Government scientific advisers have endorsed Mr Johnson’s £100billion Operation Moonshot, which would see 10 million people tested a day regardless of whether they have symptoms, in a paper submitted to Downing St last month.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Population-wide testing has the ability to slash Covid-19’s reproduction rate in half, the experts said.
More..
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8901017/Boris-Johnson-brings-Army-help-roll-rapid-turnaround-tests-Covid.html


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Why Republicans are Blocking a $2 Trillion Congressional Virus Stimulus Bill (List)

$ 10,000 per person for student loan bailout ( no one paid my student loan ) $ 100,000,000 to Nasa , who knows why $ 20,000,000,000 to the USPS , because why the hell not $ 300,000,000 to the Endowment for the Arts , why ?
$ 300,000,000 for the Endowment for the Humanities , who even knows what this is ?
$ 15,000,000 for Veterans Employment Training , what about the G.I .
bill ?
$ 30,000,000,000 for the Department of Education stabilization fund $ 300,000,000 to Public Broadcasting , you know NPR $ 500,000,000 to Museums and Libraries @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this ?
$ 720,000,000 to Social Security Admin / but get this only 200,000,000 is to help people .
The rest is for admin costs $ 25,000,000 for Cleaning supplies for the Capitol Building , WTF ?
Is it all gold leaf or something ?
$ 7,500,000 to the Smithsonian for additional salaries $ 35,000,000 to the JFK Center for Performing Arts $ 25,000,000 for additional salary for House of Representatives $ 3,000,000,000 upgrade to the IT department at the VA , $ 3 Billion ?
$ 95,000,000 for the Agency of International @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Responsibility to Workers and Families Act $ 25,000,000 to the FAA for administrative costs $ 526,000,000 Grants to Amtrak to remain available if needed through $ 5,000,000 Salaries and Expensive Office of the Inspector General Hidden on page 174 the Secretary has 7 days to allocate the funds & notify Congress What in the Sam Hill does any of this have to do with a virus ?
?
?

by 5lats
$300,000,000 for Migrant and Refugee Assistance
$10,000 per person for student loan bailout (no one paid my student loan)
$100,000,000 to Nasa, who knows why
$20,000,000,000 to the USPS, because why the hell not
$300,000,000 to the Endowment for the Arts, why?
$300,000,000 for the Endowment for the Humanities, who even knows what this is?
$15,000,000 for Veterans Employment Training, what about the G.I. bill?
$435,000,000 for mental health support
$30,000,000,000 for the Department of Education stabilization fund
$200,000,000 to Safe Schools Emergency Response to Violence Program
$300,000,000 to Public Broadcasting, you know NPR
$500,000,000 to Museums and Libraries, how are we supposed to use this?
$720,000,000 to Social Security Admin / but get this only 200,000,000 is to help people. The rest is for admin costs
$25,000,000 for Cleaning supplies for the Capitol Building, WTF? Is it all gold leaf or something?
$7,500,000 to the Smithsonian for additional salaries
$35,000,000 to the JFK Center for Performing Arts
$25,000,000 for additional salary for House of Representatives
$3,000,000,000 upgrade to the IT department at the VA, $3 Billion ?
$315,000,000 for State Department Diplomatic Programs
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
$95,000,000 for the Agency of International Development
$300,000,000 for International Disaster Assistance, international?
$90,000,000 for the Peace Corp
$13,000,000 to Howard University
$9,000,000 Misc. Senate Expenses
$100,000,000 to Essential Air carriers
$40,000,000,000 goes to the Take Responsibility to Workers and Families Act
$1,000,000,000 Airlines Recycle and Save Program
$25,000,000 to the FAA for administrative costs
$492,000,000 to National Railroad Passenger Corporation
$526,000,000 Grants to Amtrak to remain available if needed through
$25,000,000,000 for Transit Infrastructure
$3,000,000 Maritime Administration
$5,000,000 Salaries and Expensive Office of the Inspector General
$2,500,000 Public and Indian Housing
$5,000,000 Community Planning and Development
$2,500,000 Office of Housing
Hidden on page 174 the Secretary has 7 days to allocate the funds & notify Congress
What in the Sam Hill does any of this have to do with a virus???


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Top politicos are saying that something fishy is going on with the Biden campaign. First, there is n

Top politicos are saying that something fishy is going on with the Biden campaign. First, there is no real campaign & $3.5 BILLION ACTBLUE

Top politicos are saying that something fishy is going on with the Biden campaign .
First , there is no real campaign .
No candidate since George Washington has campaigned so little and with so few live supporters .
Joe Biden is no George Washington .
“ How can Biden be a contender when he gets 30 supporters at his rallies and Trump attracts 30,000 ?
Biden attracted 130 cars to hear him in must-win Pennsylvania .
In Miami , Latinos for Trump organized a 30,000 car parade on their own , ” American Greatness reports .
In a rare @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Harris went to Phoenix .
Biden needs Arizona to win .
Zero supporters turned out to greet them , according to a local news report .
Zero .
Video of the eerie empty scene was carried on the local news station only .
The Biden campaign says they did not let the public know about the visit to avoid large crowds .
“ More oddities : The Democrats are not mounting a ground game .
No volunteers knocking on doors .
Very little effort to register new voters , either , ” American @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t pass the sniff test for an honest campaign .
The answer , as usual in politics , is to follow the money .
President Obama never came close to the money supporting Biden ’ s campaign.
” Christian Adams , who works for the Public Interest Legal Foundation , an organization that examines Democratic Party election integrity and funding , is warning something nefarious is going on .
In a phone interview this week , Adams called it a “ tsunami of dark money.
” “ The Democrats have hundreds and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ dollars that never existed before…well in excess of a billion dollars…it is an avalanche of money , ” Adams said .
“ Hundreds of millions are being given to local election officials.
” Adams tracked hundreds of millions of dollars to local election officials in Kenosha , Madison , Milwaukee , Detroit , and Philadelphia .
“ [ Democrats ] are spending hundreds of millions in litigating to break down election rules , ” Adams declared .
“ Where is it coming from ?
New money that has never been there ?
Is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ American philanthropy ?
Suddenly we conjure up a billion dollars that never existed before ?
” ActBlue has raised $ 3.5 billion in the last 10 months .
In contrast , Hillary Clinton , who had all the right connections and had been secretary of state , raised $ 1.2 billion — in total — for her 2016 run .
So , how in the hell could Joe Biden , who is one of the lowest enthusiasm candidates we have ever seen , raise so much money ?
It ’ s not possible @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on .
ActBlue ’ s $ 3.5 billion is in addition to all the money donated to the Biden campaign from the big Democrat donors like George Soros .
This isn ’ t money from Soros or Facebook ’ s Mark Zuckerberg ’ s legally questionable privatization of our election process by spending $ 400 million for unmonitored ballot boxes in Democratic districts only ( an invitation to illegal ballot harvesting ) .

Top politicos are saying that something fishy is going on with the Biden campaign. First, there is no real campaign. No candidate since George Washington has campaigned so little and with so few live supporters. Joe Biden is no George Washington.
“How can Biden be a contender when he gets 30 supporters at his rallies and Trump attracts 30,000? Biden attracted 130 cars to hear him in must-win Pennsylvania. In Miami, Latinos for Trump organized a 30,000 car parade on their own,” American Greatness reports.
In a rare joint appearance, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris went to Phoenix. Biden needs Arizona to win. Zero supporters turned out to greet them, according to a local news report. Zero. Video of the eerie empty scene was carried on the local news station only. The Biden campaign says they did not let the public know about the visit to avoid large crowds.
“More oddities: The Democrats are not mounting a ground game. No volunteers knocking on doors. Very little effort to register new voters, either,” American Greatness adds. “This strategy doesn’t pass the sniff test for an honest campaign. The answer, as usual in politics, is to follow the money. President Obama never came close to the money supporting Biden’s campaign.”
Christian Adams, who works for the Public Interest Legal Foundation, an organization that examines Democratic Party election integrity and funding, is warning something nefarious is going on.
In a phone interview this week, Adams called it a “tsunami of dark money.”
“The Democrats have hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of millions of new dollars that never existed before…well in excess of a billion dollars…it is an avalanche of money,” Adams said. “Hundreds of millions are being given to local election officials.”
Adams tracked hundreds of millions of dollars to local election officials in Kenosha, Madison, Milwaukee, Detroit, and Philadelphia.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
“[Democrats] are spending hundreds of millions in litigating to break down election rules,” Adams declared. “Where is it coming from? New money that has never been there? Is there really that much excess money in American philanthropy? Suddenly we conjure up a billion dollars that never existed before?”
ActBlue has raised $3.5 billion in the last 10 months.
In contrast, Hillary Clinton, who had all the right connections and had been secretary of state, raised $1.2 billion — in total — for her 2016 run. So, how in the hell could Joe Biden, who is one of the lowest enthusiasm candidates we have ever seen, raise so much money?
It’s not possible unless there is something really hinky going on.
ActBlue’s $3.5 billion is in addition to all the money donated to the Biden campaign from the big Democrat donors like George Soros. This isn’t money from Soros or Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg’s legally questionable privatization of our election process by spending $400 million for unmonitored ballot boxes in Democratic districts only (an invitation to illegal ballot harvesting).
madworldnews.com/biden-state-officials-money/
h/t McDonald Trump


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-01--Judicial Watch: Trump should invoke Insurrection Act for Election Day

According to an interview yesterday with Jeanine on Dave Rubin ’ s show , President Trump is prepared to drop the hammer if riots continue after the election , if a clear win happens .
She talks about this at timestamp 23:09 23:36 And if you win , if you are the winner 23:40 and there are the promised riots , 23:43 looting and anarchy , what will you do ?
” 23:44 He said , “ We ’ ll put it down very quickly.
” 23:46 “ What will you do ?
” 23:47 “ We ’ re gon @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 23:49 “ What will you do ?
” 23:51 He said , “ Insurrection.
” 23:53 He ’ s gon na use the Insurrection Act .
23:55 And you know , I knew that at some point 23:59 he had to admit that he was going to use it .
24:01 But I said , “ Why not now ?
” 24:03 And he said , “ It ’ s not ready yet .
24:05 This isn ’ t the time yet.
” Win or Lose , President Trump will be forced to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
There ’ s only one way to stop this communist color revolution being carried out by Deep State and Democrat traitors .
Win or Lose , President Trump will be forced to use the Insurrection Act on Election Day .
Make no mistake about it , President Trump will be ineluctably compelled to invoke the Insurrection Act of 1807 .
In point of fact , the communist Democrat Party has already provided a clear legal and constitution justification to use the Insurrection Act throughout 2020 .
The rioting , looting , burning @ @ @ @ @ @ @ violence and destruction of American cities has proven that Black Lives Matter and AntiFa pose a clear and present danger to the American Republic and the U.S. citizenry .
~~~ CASE CLOSED ~~~ This political analysis could easily end right here .
End of story .
However , there are a few more key data points that are quite significant in view of the Election Day to Inauguration Day window of extremely violent revolutionary riots designed to overthrow the Trump administration .
History of Use of Insurrection Act What the American people have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of George Floyd in Minneapolis is nothing short of an insurrection veiled a race riots .
Isn ’ t this how the New World Order globalist cabal always does it ?
Theirs is an extremely stealthy scheme to collapse the United States of America from within via a cunningly manufactured race war and followed by a deliberately engineered civil war .
As for those few historical events in this nation ’ s history where the Insurrection Act was decisively invoked , below is the short list : read… .
Explainer : Can Trump @ @ @ @ @ @ @ unrest ?
“ Look , it ’ s called insurrection .
We just send them in and we do it very easy , ” Trump told Fox News in September.
” The Council on Foreign Relations offers their answers to the following questions : States have authority over running elections , but what is their power to regulate armed forces if election-related violence breaks out ?
Do unorganized militias have authority to act during the election ?
What power does President Trump have to call out national forces if he determines there is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Can the military defy the president ’ s orders ?
How have other advanced democracies handled the appearance of armed groups in connection with voting or vote counting ?

Yes, because they will intimidate voters at the polls. t.co/CPGgbaHowr — James Woods (@RealJamesWoods) November 1, 2020
According to an interview yesterday with Jeanine on Dave Rubin’s show, President Trump is prepared to drop the hammer if riots continue after the election, if a clear win happens.
She talks about this at timestamp 23:09
23:36
And if you win, if you are the winner
23:40
and there are the promised riots,
23:43
looting and anarchy, what will you do?”
23:44
He said, “We’ll put it down very quickly.”
23:46
“What will you do?”
23:47
“We’re gonna put it down very quickly.”
23:49
“What will you do?”
23:51
He said, “Insurrection.”
23:53
He’s gonna use the Insurrection Act.
23:55
And you know, I knew that at some point
23:59
he had to admit that he was going to use it.
24:01
But I said, “Why not now?”
24:03
And he said, “It’s not ready yet.
24:05
This isn’t the time yet.”
Win or Lose, President Trump will be forced to use the Insurrection Act on Election Day.
There’s only one way to stop this communist color revolution being carried out by Deep State and Democrat traitors.
INSURRECTION ACT
Win or Lose, President Trump will be forced
to use the Insurrection Act on Election Day.
Make no mistake about it, President Trump will be ineluctably compelled to invoke the Insurrection Act of 1807.
In point of fact, the communist Democrat Party has already provided a clear legal and constitution justification to use the Insurrection Act throughout 2020.
The rioting, looting, burning, murdering as well as the relentless violence and destruction of American cities has proven that Black Lives Matter and AntiFa pose a clear and present danger to the American Republic and the U.S. citizenry.
~~~ CASE CLOSED ~~~
This political analysis could easily end right here. End of story.
However, there are a few more key data points that are quite significant in view of the Election Day to Inauguration Day window of extremely violent revolutionary riots designed to overthrow the Trump administration.
History of Use of Insurrection Act
What the American people have witnessed and/or experienced since the staged murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis is nothing short of an insurrection veiled a race riots.
Isn’t this how the New World Order globalist cabal always does it?
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Theirs is an extremely stealthy scheme to collapse the United States of America from within via a cunningly manufactured race war and followed by a deliberately engineered civil war.
As for those few historical events in this nation’s history where the Insurrection Act was decisively invoked, below is the short list:
read….
Explainer: Can Trump call in troops to quell Election Day unrest?
“Look, it’s called insurrection. We just send them in and we do it very easy,” Trump told Fox News in September.”
The Council on Foreign Relations offers their answers to the following questions:
States have authority over running elections, but what is their power to regulate armed forces if election-related violence breaks out?
Do unorganized militias have authority to act during the election?
Do battleground states have open-carry gun laws?
What power does President Trump have to call out national forces if he determines there is an election-related threat to national security?
Can the military defy the president’s orders?
How have other advanced democracies handled the appearance of armed groups in connection with voting or vote counting?
“Where are our militias?”
h/t Anon Braveheart


investmentwatchblog--2020-11-03--Better Call Saul! Pennsylania REIT and CBL & Assoc File For Bankruptcy (Plunging FFOs)

Call me not surprised .
Retail properties have seen plunging FFOs ( Funds From Operations ) from before the Covid crisis , but are now starting to crash and burn .
( Bloomberg ) — America ’ s ailing malls suffered a pair of body blows over the weekend as two major landlords followed their ever-growing list of bankrupt tenants into Chapter 11 protection .
Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust and CBL & Associates Properties Inc. sought protection from creditors Sunday , citing pandemic-induced pressures on their tenants and , in turn , themselves .
Together the two REITs account @ @ @ @ @ @ @ real estate across the U.S. , according to court papers .
The pandemic worsened an already dire situation for brick-and-mortar retailers , with a steady stream of chains falling victim as their customers shifted to online shopping .
J.C. Penney Co. , J .
Crew Group and the owner of Ann Taylor are among the dozens of chains that have sought court protection since Covid-19 lockdowns throttled in-store shopping this year .
That ’ s an even bigger problem for the likes of PREIT and CBL , which own less productive malls than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Macerich Co. , according Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Lindsay Dutch .
“ There ’ s too much retail real estate in the U.S. , ” said Dutch , a REIT equity analyst .
“ Retailers continue to reduce their store footprints , and while brick and mortar is here to stay , the focus is on high-quality locations.
” Of course , retail REITs are getting clobbered .
On line retailers like Amazon have changed the brick and mortar shopping model .
( Amazon in white , Macy ’ s in green , JC @ @ @ @ @ @ @ red . )
Pennsylania REIT saw Funds From Operations hit a peak in 2019 and got further clobbered by Covid .
CBL ’ s FFO has been steadily declining since early 2018 and crashed with Covid .
There was a trading halt for CBL this morning .
And the once might BF Saul ( not Saul Centers ) got clobbered by Covid .
Better call Saul if you are a shareholder after losing over 50 % since March .
Or REITs should call Jerome at The Fed and ask for more stimulus .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Dollar front , you can the declining dollar , rising Bitcoin and stalled gold prices .

by confoundedinterest17
Call me not surprised. Retail properties have seen plunging FFOs (Funds From Operations) from before the Covid crisis, but are now starting to crash and burn.
(Bloomberg) — America’s ailing malls suffered a pair of body blows over the weekend as two major landlords followed their ever-growing list of bankrupt tenants into Chapter 11 protection.
Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust and CBL & Associates Properties Inc. sought protection from creditors Sunday, citing pandemic-induced pressures on their tenants and, in turn, themselves. Together the two REITs account for some 87 million square feet of real estate across the U.S., according to court papers.
The pandemic worsened an already dire situation for brick-and-mortar retailers, with a steady stream of chains falling victim as their customers shifted to online shopping. J.C. Penney Co., J. Crew Group and the owner of Ann Taylor are among the dozens of chains that have sought court protection since Covid-19 lockdowns throttled in-store shopping this year.
That’s an even bigger problem for the likes of PREIT and CBL, which own less productive malls than rivals such as Simon Property Group and Macerich Co., according Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Lindsay Dutch.
“There’s too much retail real estate in the U.S.,” said Dutch, a REIT equity analyst. “Retailers continue to reduce their store footprints, and while brick and mortar is here to stay, the focus is on high-quality locations.”
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Of course, retail REITs are getting clobbered. On line retailers like Amazon have changed the brick and mortar shopping model. (Amazon in white, Macy’s in green, JC Penney in pink, and Sears in red.)
Pennsylania REIT saw Funds From Operations hit a peak in 2019 and got further clobbered by Covid.
CBL’s FFO has been steadily declining since early 2018 and crashed with Covid. There was a trading halt for CBL this morning.
And the once might BF Saul (not Saul Centers) got clobbered by Covid. Better call Saul if you are a shareholder after losing over 50% since March.
Or REITs should call Jerome at The Fed and ask for more stimulus.
On the Bitcoin, gold and US Dollar front, you can the declining dollar, rising Bitcoin and stalled gold prices.