investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--Australia goes full COVID vaccine tard

Australia goes full COVID vaccine tard

Well , here it is .
After the Port Arthur massacre and subsequent gun grab , Australians gave away their @ @ @ @ @ .
Now , COVID is the new Port Arthur .
Want to move about within @ @ @ @ @ , better have your digital vaccination certificate .
My guess is that it will have @ @ @ @ @ some point everyone will be required to carry a device with a tracking app .
@ @ @ @ @ penal colony again .

Well, here it is. After the Port Arthur massacre and subsequent gun grab, Australians gave away their balls to their overreacting overlords.
Now, COVID is the new Port Arthur. Want to move about within or to and from Oz, better have your digital vaccination certificate.
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Here we go. Digital vaccine certificate to travel.🤬🤬🤬🤬 pic.twitter.com/BemmhkigBu — Contact Trace🤔 (@tracewtf) October 18, 2020
My guess is that it will have GPS/cellular tracking activated. At some point everyone will be required to carry a device with a tracking app. Austr is turning into a penal colony again.
h/t DevilDog1175


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--Matt Gaetz: “Charlie Kirk is now locked out of Twitter. This is such bullshit. FCC & FEC need to get

Matt Gaetz: “Charlie Kirk is now locked out of Twitter. This is such bullshit. FCC & FEC need to get off their asses now!”

Charlie Kirk is now locked out of Twitter .
This is such bullshit .
FCC & FEC need to get @ @ @ @ @

Charlie Kirk is now locked out of Twitter.
This is such bullshit.
FCC & FEC need to get off their asses now!
— Matt Gaetz (@mattgaetz) October 18, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--BIG NEWS: Corey Lewandowski Breaks Down Latest Trump Internal Polling and OH, AZ, TX, GA, WI, PA, MI

BIG NEWS: Corey Lewandowski Breaks Down Latest Trump Internal Polling and OH, AZ, TX, GA, WI, PA, MI and Even MN are Looking GREAT for TRUMP

Former Trump Campaign Chairman Corey Lewandowski joined Sean Hannity on Friday night to discuss the latest state of the race @ @ @ @ @ Trump ’ s internal polls and Real Clear Politics are better today than in 2016 @

Former Trump Campaign Chairman Corey Lewandowski joined Sean Hannity on Friday night to discuss the latest state of the race.
According to Lewandowski President Trump’s internal polls and Real Clear Politics are better today than in 2016.
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h/t Jake


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--The media isn’t right wing or left wing. It is establishment. It works with our intelligence agencie

The media isn’t right wing or left wing. It is establishment. It works with our intelligence agencies.

We all know the media went after Trump and never gave nearly any scrutiny to Jeb Bush .
Trump won in spite of the media , not because of it .
Sure , he received coverage and you could say that any publicity is good publicity , but in this case they were calling for his impeachment nearly before he locked up the nomination .
Now recall how Bernie Sanders was treated in 2016 .
Ignored .
It was “ her turn ” .
In 2020 Bernie Sanders almost had the nomination locked up , and then “ the Russians @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Tulsi Gabbard also was defamed as a Russian Agent .
Tulsi .
What the actual .
It seems there was a cold calculation done that Biden could be the one who pulled republicans and moderates who didn ’ t like Trump over to his side .
And now we see all of the establishment republicans jump to endorse Biden .
Now we have an actual story that Joe Biden was getting a cut from Hunter ’ s sweet board positions .
Joe Biden bragged about withholding aid if Ukraine didn ’ t fire @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Why would he care that they were investigating Burisma ?
And now suddenly , Mitt Romney is so interested in having Trump denounce the conspiracy about elite pedophile rings and he says not a word about Bursima .
The fact is there is a uniparty out there and it is controlled by our intelligence agencies .
The FBI , rather than confirm the veracity of the contents of the laptop want to investigate whether Russia was involved .
Same crappy story over and over again .
The establishment is wetting their pants .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ can resume business as usual .
If Trump wins , it could be the end of their constant deflection and manipulation .
No democratic Biden voters I know actually like Biden .
They are just anti-Trump .
The programming has worked for a vast majority , even though most are pissed that Bernie or even Warren did not get the nomination .
This is a game they have played for years and some on the left think that the media is right wing because it isn ’ t as far left as they @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the right see that the establishment is seething with Trump hatred .
What Facebook and Twitter are doing for Biden is stalling .
It is all about stalling .
Even the Biden campaign hasn ’ t denied the allegations , they just try to discredit the source .
Journalists who dare ask Biden any questions are publicly shamed by their overlords .
The media is the establishment .
The establishment wants things to return to how they were under Obama where they got away with all sorts of shenanigans .
All sorts of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ question is , will we let them ?
Disclaimer : This is a guest post and it doesn ’ t necessarily represent the views of IWB .

by Default-Freedom
We all know the media went after Trump and never gave nearly any scrutiny to Jeb Bush. Trump won in spite of the media, not because of it. Sure, he received coverage and you could say that any publicity is good publicity, but in this case they were calling for his impeachment nearly before he locked up the nomination.
Now recall how Bernie Sanders was treated in 2016. Ignored. It was “her turn”. In 2020 Bernie Sanders almost had the nomination locked up, and then “the Russians” were suddenly helping out Bernie.
Tulsi Gabbard also was defamed as a Russian Agent. Tulsi. What the actual.
It seems there was a cold calculation done that Biden could be the one who pulled republicans and moderates who didn’t like Trump over to his side. And now we see all of the establishment republicans jump to endorse Biden.
Now we have an actual story that Joe Biden was getting a cut from Hunter’s sweet board positions. Joe Biden bragged about withholding aid if Ukraine didn’t fire the person investigating Burisma. Why? Why would he care that they were investigating Burisma?
And now suddenly, Mitt Romney is so interested in having Trump denounce the conspiracy about elite pedophile rings and he says not a word about Bursima.
The fact is there is a uniparty out there and it is controlled by our intelligence agencies. The FBI, rather than confirm the veracity of the contents of the laptop want to investigate whether Russia was involved.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Same crappy story over and over again. The establishment is wetting their pants. They want Joe Biden in so they can resume business as usual. If Trump wins, it could be the end of their constant deflection and manipulation.
No democratic Biden voters I know actually like Biden. They are just anti-Trump. The programming has worked for a vast majority, even though most are pissed that Bernie or even Warren did not get the nomination.
This is a game they have played for years and some on the left think that the media is right wing because it isn’t as far left as they want it to be. Most on the right see that the establishment is seething with Trump hatred.
What Facebook and Twitter are doing for Biden is stalling. It is all about stalling. Even the Biden campaign hasn’t denied the allegations, they just try to discredit the source. Journalists who dare ask Biden any questions are publicly shamed by their overlords.
The media is the establishment. The establishment wants things to return to how they were under Obama where they got away with all sorts of shenanigans. All sorts of wars in the middle east.
The question is, will we let them?
Disclaimer: This is a guest post and it doesn’t necessarily represent the views of IWB.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--If any voters in Pennsylvania are reading this: do you really want to elect these people?

If any voters in Pennsylvania are reading this : do you really want to elect these people ?
t.co/EUTuDUItZp

If any voters in Pennsylvania are reading this: do you really want to elect these people? t.co/EUTuDUItZp
— Adrian Vermeule (@Vermeullarmine) October 18, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--CULTURE OF CORRUPTION: Real estate firm with deep ties to de Blasio poised to profit from Soho rezon

CULTURE OF CORRUPTION: Real estate firm with deep ties to de Blasio poised to profit from Soho rezoning.

Mayor Bill de Blasio ’ s Soho rezoning plan may not be popular with area residents — but a real estate company with deep ties to the mayor is sure loving it .
Edison Properties stands to reap a major windfall if the plan is approved .
The company owns property in the area that would be prime locations for new residential towers and retail spaces .
Edison Properties — whose former chairman Jerome Gottesman and retired CEO Steve Nislick were major contributors to de Blasio ’ s political career — controls two parking lots in key parts of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for new residential towers and retail spaces .
Gottesman , who died in 2017 , donated the maximum contribution of $ 4,950 to de Blasio ’ s reelection campaign .
His cousin Nislick , who retired from Edison in 2012 , steered $ 25,000 of company funds to de Blasio ’ s scandal-scarred Campaign for One New York , gave $ 4,950 to his first mayoral campaign , and backed an ad blitz that helped sink the candidacy of his 2013 rival Christine Quinn .
Nislick co-founded New Yorkers for Clean , Livable @ @ @ @ @ @ @ works to ban horse-drawn carriages from city streets .

Mayor Bill de Blasio’s Soho rezoning plan may not be popular with area residents — but a real estate company with deep ties to the mayor is sure loving it.
Edison Properties stands to reap a major windfall if the plan is approved.
The company owns property in the area that would be prime locations for new residential towers and retail spaces.
Edison Properties — whose former chairman Jerome Gottesman and retired CEO Steve Nislick were major contributors to de Blasio’s political career — controls two parking lots in key parts of the redevelopment project that would be prime locations for new residential towers and retail spaces.
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Gottesman, who died in 2017, donated the maximum contribution of $4,950 to de Blasio’s reelection campaign.
His cousin Nislick, who retired from Edison in 2012, steered $25,000 of company funds to de Blasio’s scandal-scarred Campaign for One New York, gave $4,950 to his first mayoral campaign, and backed an ad blitz that helped sink the candidacy of his 2013 rival Christine Quinn.
Nislick co-founded New Yorkers for Clean, Livable and Safe Streets or NYCLASS, which works to ban horse-drawn carriages from city streets.
nypost.com/2020/10/16/real-estate-firm-with-de-blasio-ties-expected-to-profit-from-rezoning/


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--A busy weekend in the South China Sea for the USS Ronald Reagan Carrier Strike Group (CSG)

A busy weekend in the # SouthChinaSea for the # USSRonaldReagan Carrier Strike Group ( CSG ) , conducting flight @ @ @ @ @ from @ MSCSealift # USNSPecos , after only recently operating in the Indian Ocean .
@ @ @ @ @

A busy weekend in the #SouthChinaSea for the #USSRonaldReagan Carrier Strike Group (CSG), conducting flight operations and taking on supplies from @MSCSealift #USNSPecos, after only recently operating in the Indian Ocean. #FreeAndOpenIndoPacific @flynavy pic.twitter.com/vdP0cccmD6
— U.S. Navy (@USNavy) October 18, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--Mannarino: Expect A BIG Week, BE READY!

Mannarino: Expect A BIG Week, BE READY!

Gregory Mannarino started his career working for the securities and trading arm of the now defunct Bear Stearns before the @ @ @ @ @ that working on Wall Street was not like the movies , he moved on to @ @ @ @ @ practiced medicine as a Physician Assistant .
He also served in the United States Naval @ @ @ @ @ having attained the rank of Lieutenant .
He is an active trader of the capital @ @ @ @ @ books pertaining to finance , global economics , and equity trading .
Gregory currently hosts @ @ @ @ @ ” on YouTube .
You can find out more about what he offers at his @ @ @

TradersChoice.net, Released on 10/18/20
Article on China passing export control law: www.yahoo.com/entertainment/china-us-trade-war
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Gregory Mannarino started his career working for the securities and trading arm of the now defunct Bear Stearns before the dot-com bubble. After realizing that working on Wall Street was not like the movies, he moved on to get a medical degree and practiced medicine as a Physician Assistant. He also served in the United States Naval Reserve Medical Service Corps, having attained the rank of Lieutenant. He is an active trader of the capital markets and has published several books pertaining to finance, global economics, and equity trading. Gregory currently hosts a business day “MarketReport” on YouTube. You can find out more about what he offers at his website Traderschoice.net.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--David Morgan: Civilization Won’t Decline – It Will Collapse

As modern civilization ’ s shelf life expires , more scholars have turned their attention to the decline and fall @ @ @ @ @ studies have generated rival explanations of why societies collapse and civilizations die .
Meanwhile , @ @ @ @ @ for post-apocalyptic novels , movies , TV shows , and video games for those who @ @ @ @ @ dark , futuristic disaster and mayhem from the comfort of their cozy couch .
Of @ @ @ @ @ thing will become a much different story .
David Morgan is a world-renown precious metals @ @ @ @ @ creator of TheMorganReport.com , a monthly report that covers economic news , overall financial health @ @ @ @ @ currency problems and the key reasons for investing in precious metals .
A dynamic , @ @ @ @ @ globe , David ’ s educational mission also makes him a prolific author , having @ @ @ @ @ Silver Investing , The Silver Manifesto and , most recently , Second Chance : How @ @ @ @ @ Money from the Coming Gold and Silver Shock .

The Morgan Report, Released on 10/16/20
As modern civilization’s shelf life expires, more scholars have turned their attention to the decline and fall of civilizations past. Their studies have generated rival explanations of why societies collapse and civilizations die. Meanwhile, a lucrative market has emerged for post-apocalyptic novels, movies, TV shows, and video games for those who enjoy the vicarious thrill of dark, futuristic disaster and mayhem from the comfort of their cozy couch. Of course, surviving the real thing will become a much different story.
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David Morgan is a world-renown precious metals aficionado. He is the creator of TheMorganReport.com, a monthly report that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems and the key reasons for investing in precious metals. A dynamic, much-in-demand speaker all over the globe, David’s educational mission also makes him a prolific author, having penned Get the Skinny on Silver Investing, The Silver Manifesto and, most recently, Second Chance: How to Make and Keep Big Money from the Coming Gold and Silver Shock.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--This is what HYPOCRISY looks like

This is what HYPOCRISY looks like

Interestingly , the media usually hypes this type of thing but Twitter is awfully quiet about this one .
Maybe @ @ @ @ @ the narrative that Trump ’ s rallies are # Superspreader events .

Interestingly, the media usually hypes this type of thing but Twitter is awfully quiet about this one.
Maybe because they are simultaneously pushing the narrative that Trump’s rallies are #Superspreader events.
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Meanwhile, worshippers are still forbidden from praying in their houses of worship. But this march is the left’s religion, so predictably, it’s fine. t.co/YnPNF09545 — Erielle Davidson👻 (@politicalelle) October 17, 2020
I think it’s fair to call The Women’s March; The Abortion March. Gives a whole new meaning to the term; “SuperSpreader”. — merkley??? (@merkley) October 17, 2020
h/t BFD


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--Rep. Doug Collins: Time for Wray to do the right thing and RESIGN

Chris Wray is more concerned about protecting the reputation of the FBI than serving the American people .
It ’ @ @ @ @ @ do the right thing and resign .
pic.twitter.com/8eVe9C54Jo

Chris Wray is more concerned about protecting the reputation of the FBI than serving the American people.
It’s time for him to do the right thing and resign. pic.twitter.com/8eVe9C54Jo
— Rep. Doug Collins (@RepDougCollins) October 18, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--Finally An Accurate Poll

Finally An Accurate Poll

This Poll Has A Sample Size Of 251,000 Respondents Two Liberal Bernie Bro ’ s from california on why Trump @ @ @ @

This Poll Has A Sample Size Of 251,000 Respondents
Election day is in 17 days! Bettors say Biden is likely to win. Who will you vote for, and why? — John Stossel (@JohnStossel) October 17, 2020
Two Liberal Bernie Bro’s from california on why Trump will landslide in 2020
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Church Prays for our President!
h/t CrsCrpr


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-19--Rep. Tulsi Gabbard: “This is a recipe for disaster! Airlines & state are packing hundreds of people

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard: “This is a recipe for disaster! Airlines & state are packing hundreds of people together for hours, no social distancing, no fines. YET the law punishes us local people if we are not social distancing. Do it right or don’t do it at all. End the hypocrisy. Lives are at stake.”

Planes are okay now .
Protests .
We won ’ t hear about black lives mattering again for at least @ @ @ @ @ to predict that future .
Need more like Tulsi and less like Nancy .

This is a recipe for disaster! Airlines & state are packing hundreds of people together for hours, no social distancing, no fines. YET the law punishes us local people if we are not social distancing. Do it right or don't do it at all. End the hypocrisy. Lives are at stake. pic.twitter.com/n1Jmc8t2LI — Tulsi Gabbard 🌺 (@TulsiGabbard) October 18, 2020
Planes are okay now. Protests. We won’t hear about black lives mattering again for at least four years if I had to predict that future. Need more like Tulsi and less like Nancy.
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h/t Orangutan


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Here are 3 reasons why very few experts are trusting the national polls that show Biden with a huge

Here are 3 reasons why very few experts are trusting the national polls that show Biden with a huge lead over Trump

With just two weeks to go until Election Day in 2016 , some national polls showed that Hillary Clinton had a double digit lead over Donald Trump , but those polls turned out to be dead wrong .
Will the national polls that show Joe Biden with a huge lead over Trump in 2020 also turn out to be dead wrong ?
A few days ago , Biden campaign manager Jen O ’ Malley Dillon made headlines all over the nation when she told supporters “ we are not ahead by double digits ” and that they should not believe @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” .
Just like so many others , Jen O ’ Malley Dillon fully understands that most of the big national polls simply can not be trusted .
They are creating a perception that we are likely to see a landslide victory by Biden on Election Day , and the mood in this country is likely to shift dramatically when that perception does not become a reality .
So why are most of the major national polls deeply flawed ?
Here are three big reasons… For some reason , most of the polling @ @ @ @ @ @ @ insist on oversampling Democrats time after time .
This is something that the Trump campaign has complained about repeatedly , and yet it just keeps happening .
During a recent appearance on Fox News , Trump ’ s senior campaign advisor Steve Cortes used the phrase “ massive oversampling ” to describe what is happening… Let ’ s take a look at one very specific example of this phenomenon .
According to Zero Hedge , a recent Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll that showed Biden with a huge lead represented an “ egregious @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that have been done on party affiliation show a very even split , and those numbers have not moved very much at all over the last several years .
So by including far more Democrats than Republicans in their surveys , these pollsters are going to come up with skewed results that are unreliable , and unreliable results are not helpful to anyone .
Personally , I believe that this is an even bigger factor than oversampling .
Pretty much everyone agrees that Biden voters are far more eager to talk to pollsters @ @ @ @ @ @ @ makes it very difficult to come up with truly accurate numbers .
In fact , the head pollster for the Trafalgar Group , Robert Cahaly , says that his numbers show that Biden voters are “ five times as likely to talk to a pollster ” as Trump voters are… Just think about it .
If a pollster from CNN or the Washington Post called you , would you be eager to talk to that individual ?
And many Trump supporters are also hesitant to disclose who they are voting for because they @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Every polling organization understands that “ shy Trump voters ” were a major factor in 2016 , and it appears that those voters will once again be a major factor this time around .
Another thing that everyone agrees upon is that Trump supporters are far more enthusiastic about their candidate than Biden supporters are .
If you want to have a good laugh , go on Twitter and compare the boundless enthusiasm that we are seeing at Trump rallies to the absolutely anemic enthusiasm that we are witnessing at Biden rallies @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more enthusiastic supporters ends up winning , because enthusiasm is such an important factor in actually getting people to the polls .
So the truth is that the race is much closer than the mainstream media is leading people to believe , and with two weeks to go until Election Day the race could still go either way .
Once we get to November 3rd , one of the biggest stories will be the fact that so many Biden supporters are voting by mail this year .
In fact , one recent survey @ @ @ @ @ @ @ twice as likely to vote in person on Election Day as Biden voters are… And another survey found that 74 percent of those that “ strongly disapprove ” of President Trump are likely to vote by mail… If these numbers are accurate , then we should expect President Trump to have a strong lead when the first votes are counted on the night of the election .
But Joe Biden will not concede no matter how large the lead looks , and his campaign will be counting on the mail-in ballots to put @ @ @ @ @ @ @ say , this is a recipe for disaster , and the period of uncertainty that this will create will not be good for our nation at all .

by Michael Snyder
With just two weeks to go until Election Day in 2016, some national polls showed that Hillary Clinton had a double digit lead over Donald Trump, but those polls turned out to be dead wrong. Will the national polls that show Joe Biden with a huge lead over Trump in 2020 also turn out to be dead wrong? A few days ago, Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon made headlines all over the nation when she told supporters “we are not ahead by double digits” and that they should not believe the “inflated national public polling numbers”. Just like so many others, Jen O’Malley Dillon fully understands that most of the big national polls simply cannot be trusted. They are creating a perception that we are likely to see a landslide victory by Biden on Election Day, and the mood in this country is likely to shift dramatically when that perception does not become a reality.
So why are most of the major national polls deeply flawed?
Here are three big reasons…
#1 Oversampling
For some reason, most of the polling organizations that the mainstream media relies upon insist on oversampling Democrats time after time. This is something that the Trump campaign has complained about repeatedly, and yet it just keeps happening.
During a recent appearance on Fox News, Trump’s senior campaign advisor Steve Cortes used the phrase “massive oversampling” to describe what is happening…
Speaking on Fox News’s “Bill Hemmer Reports,” Cortes said, “I think polls matter. We pay some attention to them. It’s very critical to look at the inputs into these polls because the inputs often determine the final output numbers. And many of these polls — I haven’t looked at this one yet specifically, but many of these polls have massive oversampling of Democrats.”
Let’s take a look at one very specific example of this phenomenon. According to Zero Hedge, a recent Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll that showed Biden with a huge lead represented an “egregious oversampling of Democrats”…
A new Wall Street Journal / NBC News poll released on Sunday gave former Vice President Joe Biden a 14-point lead over President Trump, suggesting that “the debate – is having a material effect on Mr. Trump’s political standing.” Another factor having a ‘material effect’ is the poll’s egregious oversampling of Democrats – with 45% of those asked identifying as either “Strong Democrat” , “Not very strong Democrat” , “Independent/lean Democrat” – vs. the 36% of those asked identifying as the same degrees of Republican. 13% of those asked are “Strictly Independent.”
Most surveys that have been done on party affiliation show a very even split, and those numbers have not moved very much at all over the last several years.
So by including far more Democrats than Republicans in their surveys, these pollsters are going to come up with skewed results that are unreliable, and unreliable results are not helpful to anyone.
#2 Shy Trump Voters
Personally, I believe that this is an even bigger factor than oversampling. Pretty much everyone agrees that Biden voters are far more eager to talk to pollsters than Trump voters are, and that makes it very difficult to come up with truly accurate numbers.
In fact, the head pollster for the Trafalgar Group, Robert Cahaly, says that his numbers show that Biden voters are “five times as likely to talk to a pollster” as Trump voters are…
Possibly the most startling assertion Cahaly makes is that, by a ratio of as much as five to one, Trump-favoring voters are harder to nail down. The Biden voter is five times as likely to talk to a pollster as the Trump voter. All pollsters are aware of this factor, but Cahaly thinks it has grown in just the last few weeks, when the ratio was more like four to one. Cahaly thinks other pollsters are underestimating this factor.
Just think about it.
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If a pollster from CNN or the Washington Post called you, would you be eager to talk to that individual?
I sure wouldn’t.
And many Trump supporters are also hesitant to disclose who they are voting for because they are suspicious that they might be repercussions. Every polling organization understands that “shy Trump voters” were a major factor in 2016, and it appears that those voters will once again be a major factor this time around.
#3 The Enthusiasm Gap
Another thing that everyone agrees upon is that Trump supporters are far more enthusiastic about their candidate than Biden supporters are.
If you want to have a good laugh, go on Twitter and compare the boundless enthusiasm that we are seeing at Trump rallies to the absolutely anemic enthusiasm that we are witnessing at Biden rallies.
In most elections the candidate with more enthusiastic supporters ends up winning, because enthusiasm is such an important factor in actually getting people to the polls.
So the truth is that the race is much closer than the mainstream media is leading people to believe, and with two weeks to go until Election Day the race could still go either way.
Once we get to November 3rd, one of the biggest stories will be the fact that so many Biden supporters are voting by mail this year. In fact, one recent survey found that Trump voters are more than twice as likely to vote in person on Election Day as Biden voters are…
Trump supporters are more than twice as likely than Biden supporters to say they plan to cast their ballots in the presidential election in person on Election Day (50% vs. 20%). By contrast, far more Biden than Trump supporters say they plan to vote – or already have voted – by absentee or mail-in ballot (51% Biden supporters, compared with 25% of those who back Trump).
And another survey found that 74 percent of those that “strongly disapprove” of President Trump are likely to vote by mail…
Americans who most strongly disapprove of President Trump‘s job performance are also the likeliest to vote by mail this November, according to an Axios survey. The survey, taken between June 8 and Sept. 21, found that 74 percent of those who said they “strongly disapprove” of how Trump has done as president said they will vote by mail rather than in person this year.
If these numbers are accurate, then we should expect President Trump to have a strong lead when the first votes are counted on the night of the election.
But Joe Biden will not concede no matter how large the lead looks, and his campaign will be counting on the mail-in ballots to put him over the top.
Needless to say, this is a recipe for disaster, and the period of uncertainty that this will create will not be good for our nation at all.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--The stock market frenzy leading to a climax in 1929 ended, and the ensuing crash occurred, precisely

The stock market frenzy leading to a climax in 1929 ended, and the ensuing crash occurred, precisely when investors realized that a recession was about to strike an overheated stock market. This is exactly where we stand now.#StockMarket #recessiont.co/4jGnmwKuC6 — GnS Economics (@GnSEconomics) October 15, 2020
🇺🇸 Jobless claims jump, hitting highest level since mid-August Initial claims 898,000 (previous 845,000).
Continuing claims declined by 1.165 million to just over 10 million#US #recessiont.co/RjCY8degez pic.twitter.com/Ju9BEHF94X — GnS Economics (@GnSEconomics) October 15, 2020
Stop measuring the economy by how well the rich are doing. The bottom 50% have LOST a trillion in wealth since the late '80s, and many Americans never recovered from the '08 #recession. We need real #StimulusNow, and investment in American families. pic.twitter.com/uzXuJjfQWG — Liam O'Mara for Congress (@LiamOMaraIV) October 19, 2020
US Investment Grade corporate bonds have fully priced out the possibility of another #recession as the #FederalReserve keeps buying. pic.twitter.com/hrFTmpoMo3 — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) October 19, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--All Quiet On The Wall Street Front? US Bond Volatility Jumps, Stock Volatility Calm, Gold Vol Calm,

All Quiet On The Wall Street Front? US Bond Volatility Jumps, Stock Volatility Calm, Gold Vol Calm, US Dollar Swap Forward Rate Calm

With about two weeks to go until the U.S. election , volatility gauges for stocks and bonds are on different @ @ @ @ @ Index — known as the equity market ’ s “ fear gauge ” — has @ @ @ @ @ in contrast to the ICE BofA MOVE Index , the Treasury market ’ s equivalent @ @ @ @ @ s Global Credit Volatility premium index has soared since June while gold ’ s 3m @ @ @ @ @ The Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge ETF has leveled-out after rising from the @ @ @ @ @ Dollar Swap forward rate has crashed with Covid and has laid flat ever since .

by confoundedinterest17
With about two weeks to go until the U.S. election, volatility gauges for stocks and bonds are on different paths. The Cboe Volatility Index — known as the equity market’s “fear gauge” — has been relatively subdued this month in contrast to the ICE BofA MOVE Index, the Treasury market’s equivalent measure.
JP Morgan’s Global Credit Volatility premium index has soared since June while gold’s 3m implied volatility is calm.
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The Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge ETF has leveled-out after rising from the Covid outbreak.
The US Dollar Swap forward rate has crashed with Covid and has laid flat ever since.
(A vanilla interest rate swap is an agreement between two counterparties to exchange cashflows (fixed vs floating) in the same currency. This agreement is often used by counterparties to change their fixed cashflows to floating or vice versa. The payments are made during the life of the swap in the frequency that is pre-established by the counterparties.)


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--David Erfle Explains Why He’s Selling Some Gold Stocks Now

In this interview , professional mining investor David Erfle , the Junior Miner Junky , provides his current commentary on the junior gold sector and how he is managing his personal mining stock portfolio .
He explains why he recently sold some gold stocks .
And David offers advice to novice gold stock investors just beginning to build a portfolio .
0:00 Introduction 0:50 Why I ’ m selling some gold stocks now 2:42 Removing political bias regarding your gold stock investments 4:54 Tax loss selling a concern ?
7:24 Advice for new mining speculator building an initial portfolio 9:34 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ GDXJ ?
10:25 Integrating top-down and bottom-up approaches 13:43 Applying technical analysis to junior mining stocks David Erfle is a self-taught mining sector investor .
He stumbled upon the mining space in 2003 as he was looking to invest into a growing sector of the market .
After researching the gains made from the 2001 bottom in the tiny gold and silver complex , he became fascinated with this niche market .
So much so that in 2005 he decided to sell his home and invest the entire proceeds from the sale into @ @ @ @ @ @ @ had tripled by September , 2007 , he decided to quit his job as the Telecommunications Equipment Buyer at UCLA and make investing in this sector his full-time job .
David founded the Junior Miner Junky subscription-based newsletter in April , 2017 and writes a weekly column for precious metals news service Kitco.com .

MiningStockEducation.com, Released on 10/19/20
In this interview, professional mining investor David Erfle, the Junior Miner Junky, provides his current commentary on the junior gold sector and how he is managing his personal mining stock portfolio. He explains why he recently sold some gold stocks. And David offers advice to novice gold stock investors just beginning to build a portfolio.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
0:00 Introduction
0:50 Why I’m selling some gold stocks now
2:42 Removing political bias regarding your gold stock investments
4:54 Tax loss selling a concern?
7:24 Advice for new mining speculator building an initial portfolio
9:34 Better for some investors to just by GDXJ?
10:25 Integrating top-down and bottom-up approaches
13:43 Applying technical analysis to junior mining stocks
David Erfle is a self-taught mining sector investor. He stumbled upon the mining space in 2003 as he was looking to invest into a growing sector of the market. After researching the gains made from the 2001 bottom in the tiny gold and silver complex, he became fascinated with this niche market. So much so that in 2005 he decided to sell his home and invest the entire proceeds from the sale into junior mining companies. When his account had tripled by September, 2007, he decided to quit his job as the Telecommunications Equipment Buyer at UCLA and make investing in this sector his full-time job. David founded the Junior Miner Junky subscription-based newsletter in April, 2017 and writes a weekly column for precious metals news service Kitco.com.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Hunter’s biz associate’s emails reveal alleged $200M money laundering scheme from MOSCOW

BREAKING : Hunter Biden associate emails reveal alleged deal to help launder money into US for former Moscow mayors wife @ @ @ @ @ Archer claimed firm received $ 200M .
( OANN )

BREAKING: Hunter Biden associate emails reveal alleged deal to help launder money into US for former Moscow mayors wife to avoid sanctions, Devon Archer claimed firm received $200M. (OANN)
— SV News 🚨 (@SVNewsAlerts) October 19, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Tulsi Gabbard introduces bills to drop charges against Snowden, Assange, reform Espionage Act

If honest journalism is not protected then who will report the corruption ?
?
?
This bill should pass , @ @ @ @ @ you want total control of the news ?
?
?
Rep. Tulsi Gabbard ( D-HI @ @ @ @ @ three new bills on Tuesday , which include two resolutions to drop espionage charges against @ @ @ @ @ WikiLeaks owner Julian Assange , and a third bill proposing reforms to the Espionage Act @ @ @ @ @ lies & illegal actions in our government must be protected , ” Gabbard tweeted .
@ @ @ @ @ Congress : Pass my bipartisan legislation ( HRes1162 , HRes1175 , HR8452 ) calling for @ @ @ @ @ Assange to be dropped & to reform the Espionage Act.
# PassItOn .
”

If honest journalism is not protected then who will report the corruption???
Oh ya that’s right, independent “conspiracy theorist”
Backyard journalism…
This bill should pass, right???
Do you want total control of the news???
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) tweeted her announcement of three new bills on Tuesday, which include two resolutions to drop espionage charges against NSA leaker Edward Snowden and WikiLeaks owner Julian Assange, and a third bill proposing reforms to the Espionage Act.
“Brave whistleblowers exposing lies & illegal actions in our government must be protected,” Gabbard tweeted. “Join me and urge Congress: Pass my bipartisan legislation (HRes1162, HRes1175, HR8452) calling for charges against @snowden & Assange to be dropped & to reform the Espionage Act.#PassItOn.”
Brave whistleblowers exposing lies & illegal actions in our government must be protected. Join me and urge Congress: Pass my bipartisan legislation (HRes1162, HRes1175, HR8452) calling for charges against @snowden & Assange to be dropped & to reform the Espionage Act.#PassItOn pic.twitter.com/x4Oieu1YgH — Tulsi Gabbard 🌺 (@TulsiGabbard) October 6, 2020
Additional commentary…
h/t COVID19


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Hunter Biden’s signed computer repair receipt

There it is .

There it is.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
NEW: @MikeEmanuelFox obtains photo showing an alleged Hunter Biden signature on paperwork for the computer repair shop pic.twitter.com/LMBkiXmCer — Sean Langille (@SeanLangille) October 19, 2020
Cross referencing Hunter Biden's signature on the laptop receipt compared to his paternity suit. they are a match. Your welcome.#HunterBidenEmails #HunterBiden #HuntersLapTop pic.twitter.com/5oiFk6RT77 — All i ask is that you kneel. (@iLckJohnoooooo) October 19, 2020
AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--TACTICAL NUKE INCOMING? President Trump: “They finally caught him, COLD, and he knows it. Laptop is

TACTICAL NUKE INCOMING? President Trump: “They finally caught him, COLD, and he knows it. Laptop is devastating!” (AP, NYT, WSJ)

….There has never been more enthusiasm or spirit , by everyone .
Great fun , and so good for our @ @ @ @ @ states , but not reported .
Biden put the LID on again – raising money @ @ @ @ @ caught him , COLD , and he knows it .
Laptop is devastating !
`` @ @ @ @ @ a scandal coming up that 's going to make him almost an impotent candidate , @ @ @ @ @ staff during the call .
“ We found stuff yesterday we gave it to the @ @ @ @ @ .
t.co/E9G5ijNrmd

….There has never been more enthusiasm or spirit, by everyone. Great fun, and so good for our Country. Already winning many states, but not reported. Biden put the LID on again – raising money with promises. They finally caught him, COLD, and he knows it. Laptop is devastating!
"I think Joe Biden has a scandal coming up that's going to make him almost an impotent candidate," Trump also told his staff during the call.
“We found stuff yesterday we gave it to the press," he said. t.co/E9G5ijNrmd
— Jill Colvin (@colvinj) October 19, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-21--Walmart’s Redesigned Airport-Style Stores Will Track Everyone

The article mentions how Walmart ’ s newly designed stores will inspire customers to use their cellphones to shop .
“ People walk around the store with a phone in their hand looking down and looking up , and we wanted to integrate those things , so when they look at their phone they can look up at [ the same thing ] in the store.
” The video at the top of this story shows just how far corporations are willing to go to justify using the pandemic to ID and track customers .
The video begins by stating… @ @ @ @ @ @ @ by using our “ Walmart Pay ” or “ Scan & Go ” apps .
Claiming that a Walmart app can magically protect customers from getting COVID is disingenuous and obscures the real reason why corporations want customers to use them .
A CNN article does a great job of explaining why Walmart is redesigning their stores .
Besides using “ Walmart Pay ” to direct customers to the exact location of items inside the store , it has the added benefit of tracking customers cell phones .
A Walmart “ Terms of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ little Walmart cares about ‘ protecting yourself and others ’ during COVID-19 .
Once a customer gives a company like Walmart access to their phone ’ s mobile device identifiers or connects through Walmart ’ s Bluetooth beacon , it becomes fairly easy to identify each and every customer .
By combining CCTV surveillance footage and point-of-sale surveillance footage along with a detailed description of what each customer purchased , it would be easy for Walmart to build a real-time database of every customer .
A link to Walmart ’ s “ terms @ @ @ @ @ @ @ apps spells out in CAPS how they are not liable for any misuse ( hacking ) of their apps .
“ UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES AND UNDER NO LEGAL OR EQUITABLE THEORY , WHETHER IN TORT , CONTRACT , STRICT LIABILITY OR OTHERWISE , SHALL WALMART OR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES , EMPLOYEES , DIRECTORS , OFFICERS , AGENTS , VENDORS OR SUPPLIERS BE LIABLE TO YOU OR TO ANY OTHER PERSON FOR ANY INDIRECT , SPECIAL , INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL LOSSES OR DAMAGES OF ANY NATURE ARISING OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH @ @ @ @ @ @ @ THE WALMART APPLICATIONS.
” Walmart goes on to say , that they are not liable for any computer malfunctions that might affect their apps and their customers .
If Walmart knew their apps were comprised , surely they would agree to have their customers backs ’ and reimburse them if their accounts were breached ; right ?
Sadly , the answer is no .
In fact it appears that Walmart is going out of its way to indemnify themselves .
So what are Walmart ’ s apps good for ?
It appears that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , IDing and tracking you as you move about the store , making your purchases .
Using smartphone apps to pay for merchandise does nothing to ‘ protect yourself and others ’ from COVID-19 .
All it does is give corporations and hackers access to more private consumer data .

“Airports were a place that inspired us because, by nature, you don’t spend an awful amount of time in airports, so you don’t know your way around. But you need to get a lot of people somewhere in a timely fashion,” Janey Whiteside, EVP and chief customer officer at Walmart said.
The article mentions how Walmart’s newly designed stores will inspire customers to use their cellphones to shop.
“People walk around the store with a phone in their hand looking down and looking up, and we wanted to integrate those things, so when they look at their phone they can look up at [the same thing] in the store.”
The video at the top of this story shows just how far corporations are willing to go to justify using the pandemic to ID and track customers. The video begins by stating…”Please protect yourself and others” by using our “Walmart Pay” or “Scan & Go” apps.
Claiming that a Walmart app can magically protect customers from getting COVID is disingenuous and obscures the real reason why corporations want customers to use them.
A CNN article does a great job of explaining why Walmart is redesigning their stores.
“In a push to get more people to download its app and use it while shopping, Walmart is encouraging shoppers to download it prior to entering to assist in navigating the store, search for more options online and pay once finished.”
Besides using “Walmart Pay” to direct customers to the exact location of items inside the store, it has the added benefit of tracking customers cell phones.
A Walmart “Terms of Use” link spells out exactly how little Walmart cares about ‘protecting yourself and others’ during COVID-19.
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You authorize your wireless operator (AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, US Cellular, Verizon, or any other branded wireless operator) to disclose to Walmart and its third-party service providers your mobile number, name, address, email, network status, customer type, customer role, billing type, mobile device identifiers (IMSI and IMEI) and other subscriber status and device details, if available, solely to verify your identity and prevent fraud for the duration of the business relationship.
Once a customer gives a company like Walmart access to their phone’s mobile device identifiers or connects through Walmart’s Bluetooth beacon, it becomes fairly easy to identify each and every customer.
By combining CCTV surveillance footage and point-of-sale surveillance footage along with a detailed description of what each customer purchased, it would be easy for Walmart to build a real-time database of every customer.
A link to Walmart’s “terms of use payment” section regarding their apps spells out in CAPS how they are not liable for any misuse (hacking) of their apps.
“UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES AND UNDER NO LEGAL OR EQUITABLE THEORY, WHETHER IN TORT, CONTRACT, STRICT LIABILITY OR OTHERWISE, SHALL WALMART OR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES, EMPLOYEES, DIRECTORS, OFFICERS, AGENTS, VENDORS OR SUPPLIERS BE LIABLE TO YOU OR TO ANY OTHER PERSON FOR ANY INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL LOSSES OR DAMAGES OF ANY NATURE ARISING OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE USE OF OR INABILITY TO USE THE WALMART APPLICATIONS.”
Walmart goes on to say, that they are not liable for any computer malfunctions that might affect their apps and their customers.
“EVEN IF AN AUTHORIZED REPRESENTATIVE OF WALMART HAS BEEN ADVISED OF OR SHOULD HAVE KNOWN OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES.”
If Walmart knew their apps were comprised, surely they would agree to have their customers backs’ and reimburse them if their accounts were breached; right?
Sadly, the answer is no. In fact it appears that Walmart is going out of its way to indemnify themselves.
“The failure of Walmart to act with respect to a breach of this Agreement by you or others does not constitute a waiver and shall not limit Walmart’s rights with respect to such breach or any subsequent breaches.”
So what are Walmart’s apps good for?
It appears that their apps are good for one thing, IDing and tracking you as you move about the store, making your purchases.
Using smartphone apps to pay for merchandise does nothing to ‘protect yourself and others’ from COVID-19. All it does is give corporations and hackers access to more private consumer data.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-21--A Farewell To … Jobs! Economic Effect of Joe Biden’s Tax Plan (Will Reduce GDP By 1.47% And Cause Jo

A Farewell To … Jobs! Economic Effect of Joe Biden’s Tax Plan (Will Reduce GDP By 1.47% And Cause Job Losses of 518K)

Joe Biden ’ s tax proposal is truly scary for American workers .
According to the Tax Foundation General Equilibrium Model , Biden ’ s tax plan would reduce the economy ’ s size by 1.47 percent in the long run .
The plan would shrink the capital stock by just over 2.5 percent and reduce the overall wage rate by a little over 1 percent , leading to about 518,000 fewer full-time equivalent jobs .
The economic effect of Biden ’ s tax proposals can be separated to show the specific impact of each proposal on long-run economic output @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increase in the corporate income tax from 21 percent to 28 percent and the 15 percent minimum book tax on corporations make up a majority of the economic impact of Biden ’ s tax proposals .
Applying the Social Security payroll tax on earnings over $ 400,000 also reduces long-run output by about 0.18 percent .
Taxing capital gains as ordinary income for those earning over $ 1 million , repealing step-up in basis , and limiting itemized deductions to 28 percent of value for higher earners also contribute to lower economic output @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .

by confoundedinterest17
Joe Biden’s tax proposal is truly scary for American workers.
Economic Effect of Joe Biden’s Tax Plan
According to the Tax Foundation General Equilibrium Model, Biden’s tax plan would reduce the economy’s size by 1.47 percent in the long run. The plan would shrink the capital stock by just over 2.5 percent and reduce the overall wage rate by a little over 1 percent, leading to about 518,000 fewer full-time equivalent jobs.
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) -1.47% Capital stock -2.54% Wage rate -1.04% Full-time Equivalent Jobs -517,800 Source: Tax Foundation General Equilibrium Model, January 2020.
The economic effect of Biden’s tax proposals can be separated to show the specific impact of each proposal on long-run economic output (see Table 2).
Provision Long-Run Change in Economic Output Apply a Social Security payroll tax of 12.4% to earnings above $400,000 -0.18% Tax capital gains and dividends at 39.6% on income above $1 million and repeal step-up in basis -0.02% Limit the tax benefit of itemized deductions at 28% of value for those earning over $400,000 -0.09% Raise the corporate income tax to 28% -0.97% 15% corporate minimum book tax -0.21% Total -1.47% Source: Tax Foundation General Equilibrium Model, January 2020.
The increase in the corporate income tax from 21 percent to 28 percent and the 15 percent minimum book tax on corporations make up a majority of the economic impact of Biden’s tax proposals. Applying the Social Security payroll tax on earnings over $400,000 also reduces long-run output by about 0.18 percent. Taxing capital gains as ordinary income for those earning over $1 million, repealing step-up in basis, and limiting itemized deductions to 28 percent of value for higher earners also contribute to lower economic output for a combined reduction of 0.11 percent.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--TSLA registrations down 13% YoY? What exactly is Tesla doing that is worth the 5X rise this year?

Even if registrations were flat , it wouldn ’ t deserve 5X , but it ’ s showing negative growth @ @ @ @ @ seen anything except vapor ware from Tesla and yet it ’ s working .
The @ @ @ @ @ $ 400 which is $ 2000 pre-split .
You would expect a high level of @ @ @ @ @ maybe I ’ m just crazy .
They even cut prices on Model S twice @ @ @ @ @ demand were so great , they would maintain or raise prices .
And the drop @ @ @ @ @ that too many people were returning the vehicles .
Is there anything concrete that is @ @ @ @ @ this ridiculous premium ?

by backward_s
www.reuters.com/article/us-tesla-registrations-idUSKBN275005
Even if registrations were flat, it wouldn’t deserve 5X, but it’s showing negative growth. I haven’t seen anything except vapor ware from Tesla and yet it’s working. The stock is still well over $400 which is $2000 pre-split. You would expect a high level of growth to deserve 5X but maybe I’m just crazy.
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They even cut prices on Model S twice in a week! If demand were so great, they would maintain or raise prices. And the drop in 7-day return policy indicates that too many people were returning the vehicles.
Is there anything concrete that is actually showing why they deserve this ridiculous premium?


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Holiday Spending, Housing, Bank Loans & Value Stocks

We just had a very strong September retail sales report , so it ’ s counterintuitive to think this will be a weak holiday shopping season , but you must consider the changes to the economy since then .
This most important change is the increase in initial jobless claims ; the labor market is getting worse .
The 2nd most important change is that people received a backlog of benefits in September which won ’ t be repeated .
They got a few weeks of benefits at once .
Not only will that not happen again , but also @ @ @ @ @ @ @ $ 300- $ 400 ) in weekly assistance money .
The 3rd change is the spike in COVID-19 cases which is causing economic restrictions in the Midwest .
The 4th is the potential for the pandemic unemployment assistance to end at the end of December .
People don ’ t like being on unemployment benefits because they are unstable .
The computers could stop working ( need to be updated ) or the benefits could be cut .
As of now , the people on pandemic benefits will stop getting money by the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pandemic benefits will be extended , but it makes no sense to spend a lot of money if you ’ re on them .
It ’ s not worth the risk .
The people working in the industries most hurt by COVID-19 will not be getting their jobs back in time for the holiday shopping season .
The only hope is a fiscal stimulus .
Obviously , a $ 1,200 check changes a lot .
For now , we make assumptions without the stimulus .
As you can see from the chart above @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sales growth which is the lowest since 2009 .
Physical store sales will be weak and online growth won ’ t make up for it enough for this to be a great holiday season .
40 % of households making $ 40,000 or less have experienced a loss of a job or income .
It ’ s easy to cut holiday spending .
The middle class and rich have more limited spending options as concerts and travel are limited .
Stay at home items have already been bought .
Another laptop or treadmill @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not to say there won ’ t be even more stay at home themed gifts of course .
Even though money is free flowing for corporations , the banks have tightened lending standards .
That ’ s because speculators and the Fed have eased the burden in the bond market .
It ’ s different for bank lending which is unfortunate for consumers who need money .
Whenever you need money the most , you can ’ t get it .
Whenever you don ’ t need money , it ’ s easy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ where the phrase ‘ it ’ s expensive to be poor ’ comes from .
As you can see in the chart below , lending standards as of the end of July were tighter than the worst of the financial crisis .
It makes sense to not want to lend to people who lost their jobs .
Banks are circling the wagons , trying to limit the amount of loans that are being deferred .
It ’ s a new risk where loans that were thought to be safe became unsafe .
As @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the real problem is for renters , not home owners .
Mortgages were given out to the best borrowers this past cycle because we just came out of the housing bubble burst .
Bubbles aren ’ t repeated right after they happen .
Sure enough , we ’ ve seen the forbearance rate decline as you can see from the chart below .
There have been particularly large declines in the past couple weeks which is impressive because that ’ s around when the labor market started falling backwards .
The housing market @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of a juxtaposition between home buyers and home owners who are in forbearance .
However , we still have the juxtaposition between people who are in desperate need of assistance and upper middle-class people swooping up single family homes .
As you can see from the chart below , the home builder sentiment index hit a record high .
It ’ s even stronger than it was in the housing bubble .
We have some people moving from the city to single family homes , millennials buying their first homes , tight supply @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The average 30 year fixed rate just fell to 2.81 % which is the lowest rate ever .
Imagine how strong the housing bubble would have been if rates weren ’ t in the 6s .
If rates rise , it would create weakness for new homes , but borrowers wouldn ’ t be in trouble because rates are fixed unlike many in the 2008 bubble .
Cyclical stocks and low growth firms are always cheaper than high growth companies with secular trends supporting them .
It ’ s not that value investors @ @ @ @ @ @ @ growth firms .
They think the valuation gap will shrink .
It ’ s not a straightforward concept , but it ’ s easy to see when you look at graphs .
As the chart below shows , the cheapest decile of U.S. stocks is cheaper than the rest of the market by more than ever as measured by three popular metrics .
Digging deeper , emerging market cheap stocks are even more extreme .
Most of these stocks are commodity companies .
This is what happens when rates hit a record low @ @ @ @ @ @ @ banks are on the side of these value stocks as they are trying to boost inflation .
Plus , we have record fiscal stimulus .
The match could be ignited if we get a solution to COVID-19 .
Without that , policy makers are pushing on a string .
Even growth industries like electric cars , rely on commodities ( cobalt , lithium , copper , etc ) .
We aren ’ t in a post-commodity world just because software is more important .
This is poised to be the worst holiday shopping @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fiscal stimulus .
$ 1,200 checks and unemployment benefits change the game .
Those are temporary solutions until a final solution to COVID-19 arrives .
The death rate has fallen , but based on perception and policymakers , it ’ s not enough to be a gamechanger .
Banks aren ’ t lending to consumers as freely .
The good news is mortgages in forbearance are falling .
The housing market is on fire as builders are more confident than ever .
As a rule of thumb , you want to sell stocks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a record high .
Even if the industry stays strong , optimism won ’ t get much higher .
Value stocks are cheaper than ever .
And value stocks in emerging markets are relatively cheaper than American value stocks .

by UPFINA
We just had a very strong September retail sales report, so it’s counterintuitive to think this will be a weak holiday shopping season, but you must consider the changes to the economy since then. This most important change is the increase in initial jobless claims; the labor market is getting worse. The 2nd most important change is that people received a backlog of benefits in September which won’t be repeated. They got a few weeks of benefits at once. Not only will that not happen again, but also some states ran out of extra ($300-$400) in weekly assistance money. The 3rd change is the spike in COVID-19 cases which is causing economic restrictions in the Midwest.
The 4th is the potential for the pandemic unemployment assistance to end at the end of December. People don’t like being on unemployment benefits because they are unstable. The computers could stop working (need to be updated) or the benefits could be cut. As of now, the people on pandemic benefits will stop getting money by the end of the year. We think pandemic benefits will be extended, but it makes no sense to spend a lot of money if you’re on them. It’s not worth the risk.
“This is shaping up to be the roughest [holiday] spending season in more than a decade. .. 40% of households making $40,000 or less have experienced the loss of a job or income, and holiday spending among that cohort will almost certainly be uniformly weak.” @joebrusuelas pic.twitter.com/vnl6aSKcVc — Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) October 19, 2020
The people working in the industries most hurt by COVID-19 will not be getting their jobs back in time for the holiday shopping season. The only hope is a fiscal stimulus. Obviously, a $1,200 check changes a lot. For now, we make assumptions without the stimulus. As you can see from the chart above, estimates are for just 0.5% sales growth which is the lowest since 2009. Physical store sales will be weak and online growth won’t make up for it enough for this to be a great holiday season.
40% of households making $40,000 or less have experienced a loss of a job or income. It’s easy to cut holiday spending. The middle class and rich have more limited spending options as concerts and travel are limited. Stay at home items have already been bought. Another laptop or treadmill would be redundant. That’s not to say there won’t be even more stay at home themed gifts of course.
Consumers Have Less Leeway
Even though money is free flowing for corporations, the banks have tightened lending standards. That’s because speculators and the Fed have eased the burden in the bond market. It’s different for bank lending which is unfortunate for consumers who need money. Whenever you need money the most, you can’t get it. Whenever you don’t need money, it’s easy to get it. That’s where the phrase ‘it’s expensive to be poor’ comes from.
As you can see in the chart below, lending standards as of the end of July were tighter than the worst of the financial crisis. It makes sense to not want to lend to people who lost their jobs. Banks are circling the wagons, trying to limit the amount of loans that are being deferred. It’s a new risk where loans that were thought to be safe became unsafe.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Credit conditions aren't so loose for people who need money most. Despite trillions of dollars of Fed stimulus & near record low benchmark rates, a record proportion of banks reported tightening lending standards on consumer credit card loans as of July 31: Fed data pic.twitter.com/06QYSyX7pM — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) October 19, 2020
Forbearance Loans Fall
As we mentioned in a previous article, the real problem is for renters, not home owners. Mortgages were given out to the best borrowers this past cycle because we just came out of the housing bubble burst. Bubbles aren’t repeated right after they happen. Sure enough, we’ve seen the forbearance rate decline as you can see from the chart below. There have been particularly large declines in the past couple weeks which is impressive because that’s around when the labor market started falling backwards.
MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Declines to 5.92%" t.co/5ngN5SPU9c pic.twitter.com/prnGavnmee — Bill McBride (@calculatedrisk) October 19, 2020
The housing market is on fire. There is less of a juxtaposition between home buyers and home owners who are in forbearance. However, we still have the juxtaposition between people who are in desperate need of assistance and upper middle-class people swooping up single family homes.
As you can see from the chart below, the home builder sentiment index hit a record high. It’s even stronger than it was in the housing bubble.
October NAHB homebuilder sentiment index was the highest since records began in 1985. While mortgage rates are at historical lows this is pretty remarkable given the fact that #unemployment is still relatively high. pic.twitter.com/HGnRfnVoGE — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) October 19, 2020
We have some people moving from the city to single family homes, millennials buying their first homes, tight supply, and very low interest rates. The average 30 year fixed rate just fell to 2.81% which is the lowest rate ever. Imagine how strong the housing bubble would have been if rates weren’t in the 6s. If rates rise, it would create weakness for new homes, but borrowers wouldn’t be in trouble because rates are fixed unlike many in the 2008 bubble.
Cheap Stocks Are Very Cheap
Cyclical stocks and low growth firms are always cheaper than high growth companies with secular trends supporting them. It’s not that value investors think these cyclical weaker companies will overtake growth firms. They think the valuation gap will shrink. It’s not a straightforward concept, but it’s easy to see when you look at graphs. As the chart below shows, the cheapest decile of U.S. stocks is cheaper than the rest of the market by more than ever as measured by three popular metrics.
Probability we look back in tears at an opportunity missed? (Hat tip: @alphaarchitect data.) pic.twitter.com/RuUjvnMCUa — Matt Tracey (@MattTracey13) October 19, 2020
Digging deeper, emerging market cheap stocks are even more extreme. Most of these stocks are commodity companies. This is what happens when rates hit a record low and inflation is very low. Central banks are on the side of these value stocks as they are trying to boost inflation. Plus, we have record fiscal stimulus. The match could be ignited if we get a solution to COVID-19. Without that, policy makers are pushing on a string. Even growth industries like electric cars, rely on commodities (cobalt, lithium, copper, etc). We aren’t in a post-commodity world just because software is more important.
Conclusion
This is poised to be the worst holiday shopping season since 2009 if there is no fiscal stimulus. $1,200 checks and unemployment benefits change the game. Those are temporary solutions until a final solution to COVID-19 arrives. The death rate has fallen, but based on perception and policymakers, it’s not enough to be a gamechanger. Banks aren’t lending to consumers as freely. The good news is mortgages in forbearance are falling. The housing market is on fire as builders are more confident than ever. As a rule of thumb, you want to sell stocks in cyclical industries where confidence is at a record high. Even if the industry stays strong, optimism won’t get much higher. Value stocks are cheaper than ever. And value stocks in emerging markets are relatively cheaper than American value stocks.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--The Real Recession Is Just Starting.

The Real Recession Is Just Starting.

As the pace of large U.S. company bankruptcies stabilizes , escalating tensions between distressed companies , private equity owners and @ @ @ @ @ 11 filings to come .
AMC Warns Bankruptcy Is on the Table as Cash Runs @ @ @ @ @ sell as many as 15 million shares of its stock , but equity in the @ @ @ @ @ if the largest theater chain in the world files for bankruptcy .

As the pace of large U.S. company bankruptcies stabilizes, escalating tensions between distressed companies, private equity owners and creditors signal more bruising Chapter 11 filings to come.
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AMC has agreed to sell as many as 15 million shares of its stock, but equity in the company could soon be worthless if the largest theater chain in the world files for bankruptcy.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--23% of people who lost their jobs during #covid19 were already living in poverty. Millions of jobles

23% of people who lost their jobs during #covid19 were already living in poverty. Millions of jobless americans have nearly exhausted their savings.

23 % of people who lost their jobs during # covid19 were already living in poverty .
Charitable foundation @ @ @ @ @ @ $ 60m to help those in need .
Great discussion with CEO @ iamwesmoore on @ @ @ @ @ , and how we fix it .
pic.twitter.com/XKS0cfWi4m

23% of people who lost their jobs during #covid19 were already living in poverty. Charitable foundation @RobinHoodNYC acted fast – raising $60m to help those in need. Great discussion with CEO @iamwesmoore on poverty, US racial disparity, and how we fix it. pic.twitter.com/XKS0cfWi4m — Julia Chatterley (@jchatterleyCNN) October 20, 2020
Jobless Americans’ used up two-thirds of the saving they accumulated from the $600 unemployment benefit and stimulus checks in August, according to a…
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Strategists at Wall Street mega-bank Goldman Sachs are predicting a wave of mergers and acquisitions that will lead to even more job losses than the economy has already sustained as a result of the pandemic…
So what do we need for a V shape recovery in small business jobs? Because this is looking Halloween scary. #BlueMoon t.co/XUTjSPaO4k pic.twitter.com/sx3SwpT5sL — Samantha LaDuc (@SamanthaLaDuc) October 20, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Not A Typical Manufacturing Recovery

Not A Typical Manufacturing Recovery

The September retail sales report completely destroyed estimates .
Yearly growth excluding food services was 8.2 % which was the highest growth since June 2011 .
The consumer benefited from the $ 300 in federal unemployment benefits .
The benefits started in August , but it took states a few weeks to pay them .
There were situations where people would get a few weeks ’ worth of benefits at once .
That ’ s basically the same as the $ 1,200 stimulus check .
The problem is in a lot of states the federal money ran out , so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Plus , it appears the labor market weakened this month .
Furthermore , the COVID-19 cases spike has been bad in the Midwest this month ( although the trend started in September ) .
September benefited from the delayed start to the school year which increased clothing sales .
Restaurant sales were strong in September , but as the weather gets colder , outdoor dining will fall off .
That ’ s bad for the fall and winter months .
There ’ s a certain amount of conjecture to guessing October ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ enjoy the great September report while we have it .
Headline monthly sales growth was 1.9 % which beat estimates for 0.7 % and last month ’ s 0.6 % .
Furthermore , control group sales growth was 1.5 % which beat estimates for 0.2 % and last month ’ s -0.4 % .
It ’ s surprising how wrong the consensus was because the comp was very easy .
This report was mainly boosted by the motor vehicles and parts category which is the largest expenditure group .
Growth was 3.6 % @ @ @ @ @ @ @ car sales have exploded as people don ’ t want to use public transportation .
Because used sales were so strong , it partially explains the difference between sales in this report and the weak auto manufacturing numbers in the industrial production report which we will get to later .
As you can see in the chart above , sales growth was led by clothing which was up 10.96 % monthly .
It was helped by the late back to school season .
The data is seasonally adjusted , but it doesn ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ never start this late ) .
Even with that large spike , yearly growth was still -12.46 % .
Sporting goods growth was 5.75 % monthly and 14.37 % yearly as people are spending more time outdoors because of COVID-19 .
Since this data is seasonally adjusted the impact is purely demand related ; it accounts for the change in seasons .
Food services and drinking had 2.07 % monthly growth which only got it to -14.45 % yearly growth .
This category has a 12.89 % weighting which means a drop caused @ @ @ @ @ @ @ overall reading .
As you can see from the chart below , personal goods have more than recovered their losses , but services are still behind .
The new COVID-19 economy doesn ’ t reward in-person experiences like concerts and sporting events with fans in attendance .
Online sales growth was just 46 basis points monthly , but it was still 23.81 % yearly .
The gains made are sticking because will still live in a COVID-19 economy ; monthly growth is tough because online spending is already high .
It ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sales at restaurants and bars are down 14.9 % .
We mentioned a few reasons why consumer spending growth might weaken in October .
However , the preliminary sentiment index increased slightly .
It was up from 80.4 to 81.2 .
Our points are still accurate as the current economic conditions index was down from 87.8 to 84.9 .
However , the expectations index was up from 75.6 to 78.8 .
According to Jeoff Hall of Refinitiv , expectations have a greater relationship with spending than current conditions .
That being said , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that the Democrats will win the election .
Both party members think their choice will win which means Democrats are more optimistic about the future of the economy because they think their choice will win .
Republicans are moderately less positive because there is a chance their choice won ’ t win ; however , most think their choice will win ( less than Dems though ) .
Within this report , when asked who would win the election in July to September , 48 % said Biden and 47 % said Trump @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it shifted to 52 % for Biden and 45 % for Trump which reflects the change in the polling .
The September industrial production report was terrible as monthly growth was -0.6 % which fell from 0.4 % and missed estimates for 0.6 % .
This was way different from the regional Fed surveys which were very strong .
Industrial production is 7.1 % off its high as yearly growth actually fell from -7 % to -7.3 % .
That was the 2nd straight decline in yearly growth .
You can see the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ chart below .
The capacity to utilization rate was down from 72 % to 71.5 % which missed estimates for 71.9 % .
Monthly manufacturing growth was -0.3 % which missed estimates for 0.8 % and fell from 1.2 % .
It is down 6.3 % from its peak .
Yearly growth rose slightly from -6 % to -5.7 % .
As you can see from the chart below , a lower percentage of manufacturing sub-sectors are contracting .
Manufacturing was hurt by autos ( & electronics ) as we mentioned earlier .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t help manufacturing new cars , although , it could help parts production .
Mining growth was 1.7 % as it was helped by oil and gas .
The weakest area of the economy found a bottom .
Utilities production was down 5.6 % because of weak air condition demand .
Obviously , that ’ s not a worry as weather changes often .
The September retail sales report was great because of the extra jobless benefits .
It might not be as strong in October because of the COVID-19 spike in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and a weaker labor market , but we did get a boost in consumer expectations this month .
On the other hand , that reading was influenced by the election .
The industrial production report was bad .
This isn ’ t a typical manufacturing recovery even though the regional Fed reports were strong in September .
The ISM manufacturing report was closer than the regional fed reports as the PMI fell slightly and new orders fell sharply .

by UPFINA
The September retail sales report completely destroyed estimates. Yearly growth excluding food services was 8.2% which was the highest growth since June 2011. The consumer benefited from the $300 in federal unemployment benefits. The benefits started in August, but it took states a few weeks to pay them. There were situations where people would get a few weeks’ worth of benefits at once. That’s basically the same as the $1,200 stimulus check.
The problem is in a lot of states the federal money ran out, so there should be a decline in October. Plus, it appears the labor market weakened this month. Furthermore, the COVID-19 cases spike has been bad in the Midwest this month (although the trend started in September). September benefited from the delayed start to the school year which increased clothing sales. Restaurant sales were strong in September, but as the weather gets colder, outdoor dining will fall off. That’s bad for the fall and winter months.
Details Of The Great Report
There’s a certain amount of conjecture to guessing October’s results, so let’s enjoy the great September report while we have it. Headline monthly sales growth was 1.9% which beat estimates for 0.7% and last month’s 0.6%. Furthermore, control group sales growth was 1.5% which beat estimates for 0.2% and last month’s -0.4%. It’s surprising how wrong the consensus was because the comp was very easy.
This report was mainly boosted by the motor vehicles and parts category which is the largest expenditure group. Growth was 3.6% monthly and 10.88% yearly. Used car sales have exploded as people don’t want to use public transportation. Because used sales were so strong, it partially explains the difference between sales in this report and the weak auto manufacturing numbers in the industrial production report which we will get to later.
US #retail sales rose a strong 1.9% with households buying more cars, discounted clothing, and sporting goods while taking advantage of the warmer weather to dine out and do a final road trip as the summer drew to a close. Core sales : +1.4% Retail sales 4.2% above pre-#Covid pic.twitter.com/ez5nGCg0lw — Gregory Daco (@GregDaco) October 16, 2020
As you can see in the chart above, sales growth was led by clothing which was up 10.96% monthly. It was helped by the late back to school season. The data is seasonally adjusted, but it doesn’t account for unusual timing (schools never start this late). Even with that large spike, yearly growth was still -12.46%. Sporting goods growth was 5.75% monthly and 14.37% yearly as people are spending more time outdoors because of COVID-19. Since this data is seasonally adjusted the impact is purely demand related; it accounts for the change in seasons.
Food services and drinking had 2.07% monthly growth which only got it to -14.45% yearly growth. This category has a 12.89% weighting which means a drop caused by colder weather could take down the overall reading. As you can see from the chart below, personal goods have more than recovered their losses, but services are still behind. The new COVID-19 economy doesn’t reward in-person experiences like concerts and sporting events with fans in attendance.
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Retail sales surge in September after an August decline suggesting some seasonal adjustment issues–but overall resilience in retail spending further reinforces the goods over services rebound w/ goods making up for lost time and services stuck in social distancing mud pic.twitter.com/khyJC26jxJ — Julia Coronado (@jc_econ) October 16, 2020
Online sales growth was just 46 basis points monthly, but it was still 23.81% yearly. The gains made are sticking because will still live in a COVID-19 economy; monthly growth is tough because online spending is already high. It’s up 21.6% from February, while sales at restaurants and bars are down 14.9%.
Consumer Expectations Increase
We mentioned a few reasons why consumer spending growth might weaken in October. However, the preliminary sentiment index increased slightly. It was up from 80.4 to 81.2. Our points are still accurate as the current economic conditions index was down from 87.8 to 84.9. However, the expectations index was up from 75.6 to 78.8.
On a scale basis, surveyed consumer expectations are now improving faster than their current conditions. Empirical data suggest consumers tend to spend more due to higher expectations, not current conditions, a good harbinger for personal consumption expenditures in Q4. #UMich pic.twitter.com/Y2oceYgDfO — Jeoff Hall (@JeoffHall) October 16, 2020
According to Jeoff Hall of Refinitiv, expectations have a greater relationship with spending than current conditions. That being said, some optimism is based on the expectation that the Democrats will win the election. Both party members think their choice will win which means Democrats are more optimistic about the future of the economy because they think their choice will win. Republicans are moderately less positive because there is a chance their choice won’t win; however, most think their choice will win (less than Dems though). Within this report, when asked who would win the election in July to September, 48% said Biden and 47% said Trump. In October’s reading, it shifted to 52% for Biden and 45% for Trump which reflects the change in the polling.
Poor Industrial Production Report
The September industrial production report was terrible as monthly growth was -0.6% which fell from 0.4% and missed estimates for 0.6%. This was way different from the regional Fed surveys which were very strong. Industrial production is 7.1% off its high as yearly growth actually fell from -7% to -7.3%. That was the 2nd straight decline in yearly growth. You can see the reversal in the red line in the chart below. The capacity to utilization rate was down from 72% to 71.5% which missed estimates for 71.9%.
US industrial production -0.6% in Sep: 1st drop since Apr: – #manufacturing -0.3% constrained by autos & electronics
– mining +1.7% as #oil & gas extraction found a bottom
– utilities -5.6% on weaker A/C demand IP still 7.1% below pre-#COVID19 & manufacturing 6.3% below. pic.twitter.com/ewTfBY9HQG — Gregory Daco (@GregDaco) October 16, 2020
Monthly manufacturing growth was -0.3% which missed estimates for 0.8% and fell from 1.2%. It is down 6.3% from its peak. Yearly growth rose slightly from -6% to -5.7%. As you can see from the chart below, a lower percentage of manufacturing sub-sectors are contracting. Manufacturing was hurt by autos (& electronics) as we mentioned earlier. The strength in used car sales doesn’t help manufacturing new cars, although, it could help parts production. Mining growth was 1.7% as it was helped by oil and gas. The weakest area of the economy found a bottom. Utilities production was down 5.6% because of weak air condition demand. Obviously, that’s not a worry as weather changes often.
Conclusion
The September retail sales report was great because of the extra jobless benefits. It might not be as strong in October because of the COVID-19 spike in the Midwest, lower unemployment benefits, and a weaker labor market, but we did get a boost in consumer expectations this month. On the other hand, that reading was influenced by the election. The industrial production report was bad. This isn’t a typical manufacturing recovery even though the regional Fed reports were strong in September. The ISM manufacturing report was closer than the regional fed reports as the PMI fell slightly and new orders fell sharply.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--October VIX futures options expire today..November becomes the front month tomorrow …here is a rundo

October VIX futures options expire today..November becomes the front month tomorrow …here is a rundown heading into tomorrow t.co/xbr9Qi6wRI
— 𝕮𝖍𝖎 (@chigrl) October 20, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--American Students Deserve a Better Education

It ’ s a big topic right now , the state of education .
PragerU CEO Marissa Streit tackles some @ @ @ @ @ Sarah Huckabee Sanders .

It’s a big topic right now, the state of education. PragerU CEO Marissa Streit tackles some of the major issues with Sarah Huckabee Sanders.
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investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Moderator for Wikipedia now removing all links from the nypost on all articles vlaiming its “unrelia

Moderator for Wikipedia now removing all links from the nypost on all articles vlaiming its “unreliable”

Wikipedia moderators have been infiltrated by special interest that moved the purpose of the website from its original rules and @ @ @ @ @ that reflected negatively on the subject two sensory anything that might reflect negatively on certain @ @ @ @ @ removing websites that they disagree with .

Wikipedia moderators have been infiltrated by special interest that moved the purpose of the website from its original rules and statements about not removing content that reflected negatively on the subject two sensory anything that might reflect negatively on certain subjects. As well as removing websites that they disagree with.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--LAPD Narcotics detective confronts CIA director over their involvement in the drug trade

Would you like to know more about the CIA ’ s involvement in the drug trade ?
Journalist Gary Webb @ @ @ @ @ CIA involvement in the crack cocaine trade Ron Paul exposes the CIA for their involvement @ @ @ @ @ says drug money was used to save the banks during the 2008 financial crisis

Would you like to know more about the CIA’s involvement in the drug trade?
isgp-studies.com/cia-heroin-and-cocaine-drug-trafficking
Journalist Gary Webb’s bombshell reporting on CIA involvement in the crack cocaine trade
www.lewrockwell.com/2014/11/nathan-kleffman/cia-drug-dealing/
www.democracynow.org/2014/10/6/inside_the_dark_alliance_gary_webb
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Ron Paul exposes the CIA for their involvement in drug dealing
www.rt.com/usa/paul-cia-drug-government-053/
UN official says drug money was used to save the banks during the 2008 financial crisis
www.theguardian.com/global/2009/dec/13/drug-money-banks-saved-un-cfief-claims
h/t FreedomBoners


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Arrest warrants issued for founders of Panama Papers firm: report

Germany has issued international arrest warrants for the two founders of the firm at the centre of the tax haven @ @ @ @ @ Papers data leak , German media reported .
Mossack Fonseca founders Juergen Mossack and Ramon @ @ @ @ @ evasion and associating with criminals , will be arrested if they enter the European Union @ @ @ @ @ reported late Monday .
The two men hold Panamanian passports and are currently in the @ @ @ @ @ have any extradition treaties , the newspaper said .

Germany has issued international arrest warrants for the two founders of the firm at the centre of the tax haven scandal exposed by the Panama Papers data leak, German media reported.
Mossack Fonseca founders Juergen Mossack and Ramon Fonseca, suspected of tax evasion and associating with criminals, will be arrested if they enter the European Union, German newspaper Sueddeutsche Zeitung reported late Monday.
The two men hold Panamanian passports and are currently in the Caribbean archipelago which does not have any extradition treaties, the newspaper said.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--I got sick of seeing the media pretend that everyone hates Trump and love Biden, so I tallied up the

I got sick of seeing the media pretend that everyone hates Trump and love Biden, so I tallied up their social media followers to show which candidate actually has the support of the masses

I ’ m sick of politics but even more than that I ’ m sick of the media colluding to alter the perceptions of the public .
If you listened to media reports , for example , you ’ d think everyone hates Trump and is super enthusiastic about Biden .
You ’ d read claims that Biden “ crushed Trump in the ratings again !
” and on and on .
Regardless of your politics , none of this is true .
It ’ s simply not the case borne out by the actual facts ( look at crowd @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ) .
Here , for example , are the total social media fans and followers of each candidate for president as of today , Oct. 20 , 2020 , on four of the major social media platforms : In other words , Trump has 7.14 times as many fans and followers on just these social channels alone as Biden does .
The number one criticism I get when pointing this out is “ But Trump ’ s followers are probably fake !
” So let ’ s give that argument the benefit of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a full three-quarters of Trump ’ s fans and followers are fake .
That still leaves him with 35.45 million — nearly TWICE as many as Biden .
Don ’ t listen to the media .
There ’ s zero real enthusiasm for Biden .
Trump has a huge base of support that Biden could only dream about .
Biden is being propped up by someone or something , but it ’ s certainly not the masses .

by SAT0725
I’m sick of politics but even more than that I’m sick of the media colluding to alter the perceptions of the public. If you listened to media reports, for example, you’d think everyone hates Trump and is super enthusiastic about Biden. You’d read claims that Biden “crushed Trump in the ratings again!” and on and on. Regardless of your politics, none of this is true. It’s simply not the case borne out by the actual facts (look at crowd sizes at rallies, for one thing).
Here, for example, are the total social media fans and followers of each candidate for president as of today, Oct. 20, 2020, on four of the major social media platforms:
Biden Facebook: 3.23 million fans, Trump Facebook: 30.34 million fans
Biden Instagram: 5.1 million, Trump Instagram: 22.7 million
Biden Twitter: 11.2 million, Trump Twitter: 87.3 million
Biden YouTube: 341,000 subscribers, Trump YouTube: 1.44 million subscribers
Total Biden: 19.87 million, Total Trump: 141.78 million
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In other words, Trump has 7.14 times as many fans and followers on just these social channels alone as Biden does.
The number one criticism I get when pointing this out is “But Trump’s followers are probably fake!” So let’s give that argument the benefit of the doubt. Let’s say a full three-quarters of Trump’s fans and followers are fake. That still leaves him with 35.45 million — nearly TWICE as many as Biden.
Don’t listen to the media. There’s zero real enthusiasm for Biden. Trump has a huge base of support that Biden could only dream about. Biden is being propped up by someone or something, but it’s certainly not the masses.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--NYPD Sees Nearly 90% Rise in Retirements… ‘There Is a Mass Exodus in Law Enforcement, Nationwide.’

The New York City Police Department , the largest law enforcement force in the nation , has seen a nearly 90 % rise in retirements so far in 2020 , the NYPD told Fox News .
Around 2,400 officers filed for retirement as of Oct. 6 , compared to around 1,300 during the same time frame in 2019 , marking an 87 % increase , an NYPD spokesperson told Fox .
Additionally , a total of 372 cops have resigned as of Oct. 6—five more than the same time frame in 2019 , the NYPD told Fox .
“ The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ number of officers filing for retirement , ” the spokesperson said .
“ While the decision to retire is a personal one and can be attributed to a range of factors , it is a troubling trend that we are closely monitoring.
” The head of one of NYPD ’ s most prominent units , Chief of Patrol Fausto Pichardo , retired Tuesday after more than 20 years with the force , according to Fox .
The Police Benevolent Association , the largest law enforcement union in New York , blamed Pichardo ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ playing “ political games ” with the police force in a Wednesday tweet .

NYPD Sees Nearly 90% Rise in Retirements.
The New York City Police Department, the largest law enforcement force in the nation, has seen a nearly 90% rise in retirements so far in 2020, the NYPD told Fox News.
Around 2,400 officers filed for retirement as of Oct. 6, compared to around 1,300 during the same time frame in 2019, marking an 87% increase, an NYPD spokesperson told Fox.
Additionally, a total of 372 cops have resigned as of Oct. 6—five more than the same time frame in 2019, the NYPD told Fox.
“The NYPD has seen a surge in the number of officers filing for retirement,” the spokesperson said. “While the decision to retire is a personal one and can be attributed to a range of factors, it is a troubling trend that we are closely monitoring.”
The head of one of NYPD’s most prominent units, Chief of Patrol Fausto Pichardo, retired Tuesday after more than 20 years with the force, according to Fox.
The Police Benevolent Association, the largest law enforcement union in New York, blamed Pichardo’s decision on “elected officials” playing “political games” with the police force in a Wednesday tweet.


investmentwatchblog--2020-10-20--Joe Biden to Build K Street Back Better with Lobbyists “To undo Trump anti-Lobbying EO first day in

Joe Biden to Build K Street Back Better with Lobbyists “To undo Trump anti-Lobbying EO first day in office”

Yeah vote for more corruption and wall street payoffs you morons Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden is planning to build back the Washington , DC , political class to business as usual as his advisers have started meeting with K Street lobbyists who are eager for President Trump to leave office .
Last month , Biden ’ s campaign revealed that they would allow lobbyists to join the former vice president ’ s transition team should he win on November 3 .
Now , lobbyists are meeting with Biden advisers about potential jobs and relationships with a Biden White House @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Bob Crowe , said he is “ excited ” about a Biden win as he and others look to cash in on the policy initiatives Democrats have laid out .
In recent weeks , some lobbyists have started meeting with Biden advisors , including Rhett Buttle , the campaign ’ s national business advisor , according to people familiar with the discussions .
[ Emphasis added ] These lobbyists have participated in Zoom meetings with questions on how a possible Biden administration plans to work with Congress on many of the campaign @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tax and infrastructure reform , the people noted .
The answers to these questions could give lobbyists insight into how their clients may see a benefit or a downturn in a Biden White House .
[ Emphasis added ] Though Biden ’ s advisors have privately waved off lobbyists asking policy-related questions , they have encouraged them to help Biden through get-out-the-vote efforts and raising money for the Democratic National Committee , they added .
It ’ s notable Biden ’ s advisors have not told lobbyists to give directly to the campaign @ @ @ @ @ @ @ off contributions from those in the influence industry .
[ Emphasis added ] Lobbyists on K Street have reportedly started telling their industry clients that they are anticipating a strong ally in the White House if Biden wins the presidential election .
Lobbyists expect Biden to surround himself with former lobbyists , like his campaign chairman Steve Ricchetti , and those with close ties to lobbyists .

Yeah vote for more corruption and wall street payoffs you morons
Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden is planning to build back the Washington, DC, political class to business as usual as his advisers have started meeting with K Street lobbyists who are eager for President Trump to leave office.
Last month, Biden’s campaign revealed that they would allow lobbyists to join the former vice president’s transition team should he win on November 3. Now, lobbyists are meeting with Biden advisers about potential jobs and relationships with a Biden White House.
One lobbyist who spoke to CNBC, Bob Crowe, said he is “excited” about a Biden win as he and others look to cash in on the policy initiatives Democrats have laid out.
CNBC reports:
In recent weeks, some lobbyists have started meeting with Biden advisors, including Rhett Buttle, the campaign’s national business advisor, according to people familiar with the discussions. [Emphasis added]
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These lobbyists have participated in Zoom meetings with questions on how a possible Biden administration plans to work with Congress on many of the campaign’s policy proposals, such as tax and infrastructure reform, the people noted. The answers to these questions could give lobbyists insight into how their clients may see a benefit or a downturn in a Biden White House. [Emphasis added]
Though Biden’s advisors have privately waved off lobbyists asking policy-related questions, they have encouraged them to help Biden through get-out-the-vote efforts and raising money for the Democratic National Committee, they added. It’s notable Biden’s advisors have not told lobbyists to give directly to the campaign, as the Democratic nominee has sworn off contributions from those in the influence industry. [Emphasis added]
Lobbyists on K Street have reportedly started telling their industry clients that they are anticipating a strong ally in the White House if Biden wins the presidential election. Lobbyists expect Biden to surround himself with former lobbyists, like his campaign chairman Steve Ricchetti, and those with close ties to lobbyists.
www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/10/19/joe-biden-to-build-k-street-back-better-with-lobbyists-excited-for-blue-wave/
h/tJake