investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Joe Biden Will Get Violent – The Real Crash – Triple Lutz Report #478

Joe Biden has entered a new phase of his cognitive impairment , it ’ s gone from disorientation , verbal gaffes and speech impairment to uncontrolled anger , bursts of profanity and a general loss of control .
The next phase will be uncontrollable anger leading to violent outbursts .
Visit any nursing home and you ’ ll find people in a similar state .
There ’ s one very close to my home in FL and regularly there ’ s multiple police cars and ambulances called to quell residents ’ acts of violence .
Joe ’ s well on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s never going to make it to the nominee .
His illness is progressive and soon it will be obvious not only to the world , but the Democrat Party as well .
Coronavirus/Wuhan Virus has apparently run its course in China and it will run it in the US shortly as well .
Spring is coming and pretty soon the so-called civilized world will come to this conclusion .
The rate of confirmed infections in the US isn ’ t doubling daily .
Rather it seems to have topped out at 30 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the map , northern states are being affected far more than those in the south .
It is becoming more likely by the day that the virus will subside when warm weather moves in .
Then we ’ ll see how pointless this entire exercise was .
Central banks are priming the pump and blasting money out into the world .
At some point this is going to lead to a massive rally in stocks and precious metals .
So fear not .
Maybe not stocks but certainly precious metals are building up @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for more .
Click Here to Listen to the Audio

from Financial Survival Network
Joe Biden has entered a new phase of his cognitive impairment, it’s gone from disorientation, verbal gaffes and speech impairment to uncontrolled anger, bursts of profanity and a general loss of control. The next phase will be uncontrollable anger leading to violent outbursts. Visit any nursing home and you’ll find people in a similar state. There’s one very close to my home in FL and regularly there’s multiple police cars and ambulances called to quell residents’ acts of violence. Joe’s well on the path and therefore, he’s never going to make it to the nominee. His illness is progressive and soon it will be obvious not only to the world, but the Democrat Party as well.
Coronavirus/Wuhan Virus has apparently run its course in China and it will run it in the US shortly as well. Spring is coming and pretty soon the so-called civilized world will come to this conclusion. The rate of confirmed infections in the US isn’t doubling daily. Rather it seems to have topped out at 30 percent per day. And looking at the map, northern states are being affected far more than those in the south. It is becoming more likely by the day that the virus will subside when warm weather moves in. Then we’ll see how pointless this entire exercise was.
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Central banks are priming the pump and blasting money out into the world. At some point this is going to lead to a massive rally in stocks and precious metals. So fear not. Maybe not stocks but certainly precious metals are building up for a massive increase. Get ready for more.
Click Here to Listen to the Audio


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--First Covid death in Louisiana– had limited Contact with outside world

First guy to die in Louisiana , family has no idea how he got disease , as he was developmentally @ @ @ @ @ with outside world .
Okay– What are we really dealing with ?
As a resident @ @ @ @ @ with developmental disabilities , 58-year-old Ives Green had limited contact with the outside world , @ @ @ @ @ why he had been feeling unwell , according to his family .
But Green ’ @ @ @ @ @ recently that the medical staff at Touro Infirmary in New Orleans received the U.S. Centers @ @ @ @ @ permission to give him a test for the new coronavirus , which only a few @ @ @ @ @ getting .
It came back positive , and Green on Saturday became the first person @ @ @ @ @ COVID-19 , the respiratory disease caused by the virus , his family said in a @ @ @ @

First guy to die in Louisiana, family has no idea how he got disease, as he was developmentally disabled and had limited contact with outside world.
Okay– What are we really dealing with?
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www.nola.com/news/coronavirus/article_43453e10-6708-11ea-bb84-d7e8951022df.html?utm_medium=notification&utm_source=pushly&utm_campaign=desktop_push
As a resident of a facility serving people with developmental disabilities, 58-year-old Ives Green had limited contact with the outside world, and he did not know why he had been feeling unwell, according to his family. But Green’s condition deteriorated so much recently that the medical staff at Touro Infirmary in New Orleans received the U.S. Centers for Disease Control’s permission to give him a test for the new coronavirus, which only a few people in Louisiana have been getting. It came back positive, and Green on Saturday became the first person in Louisiana to die from COVID-19, the respiratory disease caused by the virus, his family said in a statement released Sunday.
AC


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Physician BioBreakout, Who Has Been Assurring People Coronavirus is a Nothing Burger and Just Hyster

Physician BioBreakout, Who Has Been Assurring People Coronavirus is a Nothing Burger and Just Hysteria, Has Important Update – MUST SEE

So far I ’ ve treated 5 confirmed COVID-19 patients reqiring hospitalization , and currently have 14 suspected cases… and @ @ @ @ @ in 18 years of medical practice I ’ ve never seen anything like this More @ @ @ @ @ Pool

Zero negativity towards @BioBreakout. Indeed we should thank them for serving on the front lines. I just wish we had some way to make this invisible threat feel real before hospitals were overwhelmed. It’s not just the flu, it’s severe viral pneumonia.t.co/pmUuLYCPNp t.co/xn4inqJbov — Balaji S. Srinivasan (@balajis) March 15, 2020
Zero negativity towards @BioBreakout. Indeed we should thank them for serving on the front lines. I just wish we had some way to make this invisible threat feel real before hospitals were overwhelmed. It’s not just the flu, it’s severe viral pneumonia.t.co/pmUuLYCPNp t.co/xn4inqJbov — Balaji S. Srinivasan (@balajis) March 15, 2020
Where is the panic and hysteria about influenza? Already 16,000 deaths and counting in the USA this season!!! Compare to COVID-19… pic.twitter.com/GR1rdWMcWE — BioBreakout 🚀 (@BioBreakout) March 1, 2020
My data come from CDC and JAMA… what is .rentry.co ? STOP! You are talking to a Board certified physician — BioBreakout 🚀 (@BioBreakout) March 1, 2020
***IMPORTANT UPDATE BELOW***
BioBreakout
@BioBreakout
3/14/20
So far I’ve treated 5 confirmed COVID-19 patients reqiring
hospitalization, and currently have 14 suspected cases…
and I can tell you that in 18 years of medical practice
I’ve never seen anything like this
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So far I've treated 5 confirmed COVID-19 patients reqiring hospitalization, and currently have 14 suspected cases… and I can tell you that in 18 years of medical practice I've never seen anything like this — BioBreakout 🚀 (@BioBreakout) March 14, 2020
More on the subject by Tim Pool
h/t dr0id


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Here it is! Fauci says we need to SHUT Nation down for 14 days!

Dr. Antony Fauci , director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases , urged Americans to shut down @ @ @ @ @ spreads .
On MSNBC ’ s “ Meet the Press ” Mr. Fauci endorsed a @ @ @ @ @ to help slow down the virus .
He explained that he has brought it up @ @ @ @ @ is generally open to his ideas .
“ I think Americans should be prepared that @ @ @ @ @ to hunker down significantly more than we as a country are doing , ” he @ @

via washingtontimes
Dr. Antony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, urged Americans to shut down more aggressively as the coronavirus spreads.
On MSNBC’s “Meet the Press” Mr. Fauci endorsed a 14-day “national shutdown” to help slow down the virus. He explained that he has brought it up with the administration, which is generally open to his ideas.
“I think Americans should be prepared that they are going to have to hunker down significantly more than we as a country are doing,” he said.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--High BP meds/Diabetes meds Ibuprofen COVID death increased 4 links

High BP meds ( ACE inhibitors/ARB ’ s ) Diabetes meds ( thiazolidinediones ) and Ibuprofen increase ACE2 which increases @ @ @ @ @ with COVID .
President Trump said yesterday in his speech “ people with hypertension and @ @ @ @ @ at increased risk ” .
They know why these conditions are more at risk .
@ @ @ @ @ ( Lotensin , Lotensin Hct ) , captopril ( Capoten ) , enalapril ( Vasotec @ @ @ @ @ ) , lisinopril ( Prinivil , Zestril ) , moexipril ( Univasc ) perindopril ( @ @ @ @ @ Accupril ) , ramipril ( Altace ) , and trandolapril ( Mavik ) .Pioglitazone ( @ @ @ @ @ ) Disclaimer : This is a guest post and it doesn ’ t represent the @ @ @ @

High BP meds (ACE inhibitors/ARB’s) Diabetes meds (thiazolidinediones) and Ibuprofen increase ACE2 which increases the risk of fatal outcomes with COVID.
www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lanres/PIIS2213-2600(20)30116-8.pdf
www.bmj.com/content/368/bmj.m810/rr-2
www.nature.com/articles/s41569-020-0360-5
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www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8108735/Medicines-high-blood-pressure-diabetes-worsen-coronavirus-symptoms.html
President Trump said yesterday in his speech “people with hypertension and diabetes taking certain medications are at increased risk”. They know why these conditions are more at risk. Medications include Ibuprofen, benazepril (Lotensin, Lotensin Hct),
captopril (Capoten),
enalapril (Vasotec),
fosinopril (Monopril),
lisinopril (Prinivil, Zestril),
moexipril (Univasc)
perindopril (Aceon),
quinapril (Accupril),
ramipril (Altace), and
trandolapril (Mavik).Pioglitazone (Actos)
Rosiglitazone (Avandia)
h/t Notsoanonymous
Disclaimer: This is a guest post and it doesn’t represent the views of IWB.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--VIDEO: Hand Sanitizer Hoarder’s Stash Now in Possession of the U.S. Government? Confiscated? “Donate

VIDEO: Hand Sanitizer Hoarder’s Stash Now in Possession of the U.S. Government? Confiscated? “Donated”?

HAPPENING NOW : Matt did not answer our calls so we went to his storage unit .
The AG ’ @ @ @ @ @ scene facilitating with the donation .
This is the 3rd stop they ’ ve been @ @ @ @ @ the sanitizer .
@ WRCB t.co/SLOaEwJLOj pic.twitter.com/REJPNhiSbS

HAPPENING NOW: Matt did not answer our calls so we went to his storage unit. The AG’s office was on the scene facilitating with the donation. This is the 3rd stop they’ve been to this morning to gather the sanitizer. @WRCB t.co/SLOaEwJLOj pic.twitter.com/REJPNhiSbS — Hunter Hoagland (@HunterHoagland) March 15, 2020
“I just want to make clear that donating the sanitizers does not mean they are off the hook legally. If evidence establishes they engaged in price gouging we will seek appropriate penalties.”- Samantha Fisher, Director of Communications,
Tennessee Attorney General. @WRCB t.co/OWXFpXvSsU — Hunter Hoagland (@HunterHoagland) March 15, 2020
Just going to leave this one here.
Full story at 6. @WRCB t.co/mi8PgPqU0b pic.twitter.com/SSsZaqVban — Hunter Hoagland (@HunterHoagland) March 14, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--We need to brace for longer lockdowns

We need to brace for longer lockdowns

We need to brace for longer lockdowns : “ Americans should be prepared that they are going to have to @ @ @ @ @ we as a country are doing ” says longtime NIAID director Dr Fauci .
He @ @ @ @ @ voices in US govt that I absolutely trust on # COVID19 pic.twitter.com/kIoLH5yjIh

We need to brace for longer lockdowns: “Americans should be prepared that they are going to have to hunker down significantly more than we as a country are doing” says longtime NIAID director Dr Fauci. He is one of the few voices in US govt that I absolutely trust on #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/kIoLH5yjIh
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) March 15, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Between BBB bonds getting downgraded and massive deficits, QE that used to flow back to equities lik

Between BBB bonds getting downgraded and massive deficits, QE that used to flow back to equities likely won’t this time. That plus corp buybacks drying up spells real problems going forward

I was thinking the same thing….between BBB bonds getting downgraded and massive deficits , QE that used to flow back @ @ @ @ @ this time .
That plus corp buybacks drying up spells real problems going forwardt.co/n8QVPrmhFm

I was thinking the same thing….between BBB bonds getting downgraded and massive deficits, QE that used to flow back to equities likely won't this time. That plus corp buybacks drying up spells real problems going forwardt.co/n8QVPrmhFm
— M/I_Investments (@MI_Investments) March 15, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Ray Dalio: “We did not know how to navigate the virus…So, we stayed in our positions and in retrospe

Ray Dalio: “We did not know how to navigate the virus…So, we stayed in our positions and in retrospect we should have cut all risk” – indexers are in good company

Hedge fund legend Ray Dalio talks about the losses his fund has taken .
They had to decide how to @ @ @ @ @ , and just sat on their hands .
No doubt many more mutual and hedge @ @ @ @ @ tough re-allocation decisions right now .
I know folks here are mostly buy-and-never-sell index investors @ @ @ @ @ interesting glimpse into the active investment side of things .
edit : I actually don @ @ @ @ @ funds like his didn ’ t take larger hedging measures against the virus spreading and @ @ @ @ @ there ’ s , say , a 30 % chance of a 30-50 % fall @ @ @ @ @ be remiss for active managers not to hedge against that scenario .
While hindsight is @ @ @ @ @ take action was really an active bet that the virus wouldn ’ t have significant @ @ @ @ @ ’ t see why he or the analyst-managers at his firm made that call .

www.ft.com/content/6addc002-6666-11ea-800d-da70cff6e4d3
Hedge fund legend Ray Dalio talks about the losses his fund has taken. They had to decide how to respond to the coronavirus situation, and just sat on their hands. No doubt many more mutual and hedge funds are having to make tough re-allocation decisions right now. I know folks here are mostly buy-and-never-sell index investors, but this is an interesting glimpse into the active investment side of things.
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edit: I actually don’t understand why active funds like his didn’t take larger hedging measures against the virus spreading and disrupting economies everywhere. If there’s, say, a 30% chance of a 30-50% fall in equities, it would be remiss for active managers not to hedge against that scenario. While hindsight is 20-20, choosing not to take action was really an active bet that the virus wouldn’t have significant impact, and I don’t see why he or the analyst-managers at his firm made that call.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Back to work? Everything under control? It looks more like the second wave of #COVID19 begins in Chi

Seem the closure of the makeshift hospitals was only to move resources to other cities .
Back to work ?
@ @ @ @ @ looks more like the second wave of # COVID19 begins in China .
t.co/aTu1gci6cq

Seem the closure of the makeshift hospitals was only to move resources to other cities. Back to work? Everything under control? It looks more like the second wave of #COVID19 begins in China. t.co/aTu1gci6cq
— Disclose.tv 🚨 (@disclosetv) March 15, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--The death rate in Italy has started to deviate conspicuously from exponential growth. THE LOCKDOWN I

It means lockdowns do flatten the curve and are necessary so that the virus does not overwhelm the health system @ @ @ @ @ .
It means an outcome that is less bad .

The most uplifting news of the day, by Federico Ricci-Tersenghi. The death rate in Italy has started to deviate conspicuously from exponential growth. THE LOCKDOWN IS WORKING!!! We need more then ever the lockdown in Northern Switzerland! pic.twitter.com/I7E6Svtnuv — Adriano Aguzzi (@AguzziTemp) March 15, 2020
It means lockdowns do flatten the curve and are necessary so that the virus does not overwhelm the health system any more than need be.
That’s what it means.
It means an outcome that is less bad.
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Good work, paesanos!
Glad to hear it.
h/t Builder


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Federal Reserve cuts rates to zero and launches massive $700 billion quantitative easing program

The Federal Reserve , saying “ the coronavirus outbreak has harmed communities and disrupted economic activity in many countries , @ @ @ @ @ ” cut interest rates to zero on Sunday and launched a massive $ 700 billion @ @ @ @ @ the economy from the effects of the virus .

The Federal Reserve, saying “the coronavirus outbreak has harmed communities and disrupted economic activity in many countries, including the United States,” cut interest rates to zero on Sunday and launched a massive $700 billion quantitative easing program to shelter the economy from the effects of the virus.


DD : Intel

A little bit of background on Oregon , where the Intel Headquarters is located and 40 % of their overall Fabrication sites are located .
: • Oregon can currently test about 80 people a day .
Basically , we have no idea how many people are sick in the state .
But there has been multiple community spread cases and we have a elderly care facility overrun with the shit .
My guess is Oregon is ~6 days behind Seattle , WA .
• Oregon is sandwiched between Seattle , WA ( north ) and a 3.5 hour drive @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ) a 2 hour flight .
Both of which are heavily infected with Corona Lung AIDS .
• Has their own damn jet that flys back and forth to SFO every day .
• Has a shit ton of people that fly back and forth to Seattle , Washington to meet up with partners ( Microsoft ) every day .
• Before CLA ( Corona Lung AIDS ) Intel was having problems meeting their production goals due to 10nm ramp up issues for their processors .
• Basically , to dumb it down @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ because of Intel .
They were having problems getting the Beep Beep to your Autism machine .
• Intel has 14 Active Fab sites .
Where the Beep beeps are made .
• 6 are in Oregon ( About to hit the ‘ boom ’ for CLA ) • 5 more are spread across the southern USA .
• 1 in Ireland ( shit show of CLA , Connor Mcgreggor ’ s Aunt died for christ ’ s sake ! )
• 1 is in China ( strangely , the safest one @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The place that was last to fall in World War Z Can you read the writing on the wall ?
Fabs need humans to make the beep beep roll out .
Intel is already having problems meeting demand .
And we all know that AMD makes better Beep boops and doesn ’ t have so much exposure to Corona Lung Aids since their production is handled in Taiwan , where they take sickness serious , not like Oregon rednecks .
TL ; DR : Puts on Intel for Mid April all the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ – who the fuck knows ?
But definitely lower then their biggest low – so you autistic punks will probably go way OTM .
What makes this shit even better is that people are thinking Intel is a super safe play because they have good debt ratios and shit .
So the options are still cheap , cause what could possibly hurt them ?
Well , what if something shut down 50 % of their Beep Beep production capapbility ?
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by the_dark_side
A little bit of background on Oregon, where the Intel Headquarters is located and 40% of their overall Fabrication sites are located.:
Oregon can currently test about 80 people a day. Basically, we have no idea how many people are sick in the state. But there has been multiple community spread cases and we have a elderly care facility overrun with the shit. My guess is Oregon is ~6 days behind Seattle, WA.
Oregon is sandwiched between Seattle, WA (north) and a 3.5 hour drive. And SFO, CA (south) a 2 hour flight. Both of which are heavily infected with Corona Lung AIDS.
Oregon case numbers are rising.
Intel and Corona Lung Aids
Headquarters in Oregon
Has their own damn jet that flys back and forth to SFO every day.
Has a shit ton of people that fly back and forth to Seattle, Washington to meet up with partners (Microsoft) every day.
Before CLA (Corona Lung AIDS) Intel was having problems meeting their production goals due to 10nm ramp up issues for their processors. Basically, to dumb it down, your computer goes ‘beep beep’ because of Intel. They were having problems getting the Beep Beep to your Autism machine.
Intel has 14 Active Fab sites. Where the Beep beeps are made. 6 are in Oregon (About to hit the ‘boom’ for CLA) 5 more are spread across the southern USA. 1 in Ireland (shit show of CLA, Connor Mcgreggor’s Aunt died for christ’s sake!) 1 is in China (strangely, the safest one?) 2 are in Israel. The place that was last to fall in World War Z
Can you read the writing on the wall?
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Fabs need humans to make the beep beep roll out. Intel is already having problems meeting demand. And we all know that AMD makes better Beep boops and doesn’t have so much exposure to Corona Lung Aids since their production is handled in Taiwan, where they take sickness serious, not like Oregon rednecks.
TL;DR : Puts on Intel for Mid April all the way through to 2021. Price target – who the fuck knows? But definitely lower then their biggest low – so you autistic punks will probably go way OTM. What makes this shit even better is that people are thinking Intel is a super safe play because they have good debt ratios and shit. So the options are still cheap, cause what could possibly hurt them? Well, what if something shut down 50% of their Beep Beep production capapbility?
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Report about the condition in Germany

Report about the condition in Germany

Just wanted to give a quick report about the conditions in Germany : • Many people didn ’ t expect it to become this big .
A little bit nervousness and fear is spreading .
Beforehands many tried to be cool or make fun of it .
• People are told to stay home and try to keep down the numbers , so that the hospitals wont be overrun .
Currently the health system is doing pretty good , but unsure whether it will stay like this .
Number of cases increase 35 – 50 % per day .
• @ @ @ @ @ @ @ hesitant .
But the number of breathing apparatus are being increased .
• Schools are now closing for 5 weeks as well as Kindergartens and Universities .
Students don ’ t know whether their exams will take place .
People still go to work but many are told to work from home .
Those who can ’ t , don ’ t know what to do with their little kids at home .
• All events with more than 75 people are cancelled as well as weddings .
Night clubs are closed .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ used .
Supermarkets are overrun .
Today police was called in my city because two man fought over toilet paper .
• In bigger cities supermarkets are out of toiletpaper , flour and desinfectant for days .
But now other shortages add to it like spaghetti , oil , vegetables , … • Denmark and Poland are closing the border .
Austria already closed it .
• Edit : Streets are empty as fuck .
Shops are open and try to attract people with discounts .
The situation in other neighboring countries ( @ @ @ @ @ @ @ become much worse than here .

by LaweKurmanc
Just wanted to give a quick report about the conditions in Germany:
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Many people didn’t expect it to become this big. A little bit nervousness and fear is spreading. Beforehands many tried to be cool or make fun of it.
People are told to stay home and try to keep down the numbers, so that the hospitals wont be overrun. Currently the health system is doing pretty good, but unsure whether it will stay like this. Number of cases increase 35 – 50% per day.
The government is acting a little bit hesitant. But the number of breathing apparatus are being increased.
Schools are now closing for 5 weeks as well as Kindergartens and Universities. Students don’t know whether their exams will take place. People still go to work but many are told to work from home. Those who can’t, don’t know what to do with their little kids at home.
All events with more than 75 people are cancelled as well as weddings. Night clubs are closed.
Metro and trains are still much used. Supermarkets are overrun. Today police was called in my city because two man fought over toilet paper.
In bigger cities supermarkets are out of toiletpaper, flour and desinfectant for days. But now other shortages add to it like spaghetti, oil, vegetables, …
Denmark and Poland are closing the border. Austria already closed it.
Edit: Streets are empty as fuck. Shops are open and try to attract people with discounts.
The situation in other neighboring countries (UK, France, Spain) has become much worse than here.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Mental Health in Crisis Times

Mental Health in Crisis Times

Ok boys since I am a GIANT pussy who actually cares about the well being of people regardless if I know them or not Im making this post .
Call me gay or whatever idc .
Obviously an economic recession is very possible and lots of people , including some of you guys , could get laid off from their jobs .
I was young when the 2008 crash happened but I specifically remember the tension in my family as layoffs hit my fathers company .
If you get laid off things won ’ t be fucking easy .
It @ @ @ @ @ @ @ upon no one .
That being said , do not to something idiotic and kill/harm yourself because of this .
You will be able to get a job again and being there for your friends and family is more important and valuable than any amount of money .
If you find yourself in financial troubles in the future , change your lifestyle to accommodate for your loss of income , keep in contact with friends and family , and do not lose sight of the many beautiful things in life that aren ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Don ’ t kill yourself , keep loved ones close , buy puts Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by remember_nocoomer
Ok boys since I am a GIANT pussy who actually cares about the well being of people regardless if I know them or not Im making this post. Call me gay or whatever idc.
Obviously an economic recession is very possible and lots of people, including some of you guys, could get laid off from their jobs. I was young when the 2008 crash happened but I specifically remember the tension in my family as layoffs hit my fathers company.
If you get laid off things won’t be fucking easy. It will be terrible and I wish layoffs upon no one. That being said, do not to something idiotic and kill/harm yourself because of this. You will be able to get a job again and being there for your friends and family is more important and valuable than any amount of money.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
If you find yourself in financial troubles in the future, change your lifestyle to accommodate for your loss of income, keep in contact with friends and family, and do not lose sight of the many beautiful things in life that aren’t money.
TL;DR: Don’t kill yourself, keep loved ones close, buy puts
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--How bad could we be in – an analysis of corporate bonds

If we start to see corporate defaults on credit lines and loans , we are fuk .
So this issue of corporate debt apparently has been known about since , like , forever .
By forever I mean 2017 , but since we are all goldfish , thats a fucking century ago .
So lets talk about it .
So in the IMF ’ s global financial stability report in 2017 , those nerds realized the rise in leverage among companies .
Leverage being debt .
These nerds came up with the warning that : “ one lesson from the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that creates debt servicing problems can lead to financial strains ” With that warning , it then leads to ask , do we have excessive debt ?
Well the answer is holy fucking shit yes .
It ’ s like we gave every large and mid cap company an invitation to Uncle Sams credit card and they are pimping out for those Louis Vuitton shoes .
Yes thats like 3 trillion in Baa debt .
Baa debt being BBB .
almost garbage , more like a red lobster type of garbage .
Puts @ @ @ @ @ @ @ shitting bricks next day .
So what happens when debts get downgraded ?
A fallen angel – wtf is that ?
A fallen angel is a bond that was initially given an investment-grade rating but has since been reduced to junk bond status.So basically its when someone fucks up so bad , the powers that be tell them they cant play in the sandbox anymore – and call them junk .
Well turns out almost 3 trillion in bonds are about to be angels that tripped and fall off the empire state building @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of bonds are considered BBB .
This means 60 % of bonds are one grade from being junk , or fallen angels .
Well how often is shit downgraded ?
Well here ’ s more crayons .
Back in 2018 , a Deustche did not expect this dynamic of bond degrading to be too much of an issue for 2019 , when they had an outlook that the economy is still expected to grow , should there indeed be an economic slowdown/recession in 2020 , then Deutsche warns that “ the sheer volume @ @ @ @ @ @ @ concern as we would expect rating trends to turn much more negative.
” The bank also said : “ the risk of a recession in 2020 ( whether it materializes or not ) will refocus minds on these types of issues as we approach and enter H2 2019 ” So basically they didn ’ t give a fuck because bull gang was chillin in tendies city .
However the IMF recognized in their 2019 report that : “ In a material economic slowdown scenario , half as severe as the global financial crisis @ @ @ @ @ @ @ firms that are unable to cover their interest expenses with their earnings ) could rise to $ 19 trillion—or nearly 40 percent of total corporate debt in major economies—above crisis levels.
” Well ok , thats Corporate debt , fuck the corporations – occupy 2020 right my dudes !
?
Not quite , believe it or not , not only have corporations been swiping the Amex like a drunk cuban at 11 nightclub in Miami on a Saturday night , but insurance companies , governments , startups , and even goddamn Karen and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ swiping that shit .
So not only are corps leveraged up to the moon , everyone is .
General governments , Karen , my god damn dogs got a line of credit for his kibbles .
Well why has everyone started swiping that sweet Amex ?
Another study by the IMF in 2019 points out that : “ Low yields , compressed spreads , abundant financing , and the relatively high cost of equity capital have encouraged a buildup of financial balance sheet leverage as corporations have bought back their equity and raised @ @ @ @ @ @ @ April 2017 GFSR ) .
This means that the share of lower-rated companies in major US , European , and global bond indices has increased .
This trend of worsening credit quality also means that the estimated default risk for high-yield and emerging market bonds has remained elevated ” “ Rapid inflation of asset prices has ensued as large output gaps necessitate an unusually protracted period of low-interest rates .
This asset price growth has been accompanied by gathering strength in credit growth and rising leverage , the combination of which has facilitated @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Such financial expansions have generally been accompanied by less remarkable economic recoveries , leading to only slowly dissipating negative output gaps .
This divergence creates a challenge for monetary and financial policies to support economic recovery while ensuring that medium-term risks do not build.
” So not only has this positive inflationary period of prices led to indebtedness just to “ keep up with the Jones ” , but if we see any deflation of pricings shits gon na get more sticky then my jerk sock .
“ If aggregate demand determines the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ demand by highly indebted households will not always be compensated for by an increase in demand by those that are less indebted , which may lead to a recession ( Eggertsson and Krugman 2012 ; Korinek and Simsek 2016 ) …adverse shocks to highly indebted households , such as a reduction in the value of collateral , trigger borrowing constraints that lead to a deleveraging process that may further reduce the value of collateral .
The presence of nominal rigidities , such as a zero lower bound for nominal interest rates or nominal @ @ @ @ @ @ @ amplifies the consequences of these shocks.5 For instance , adverse shocks to house prices ( or stock prices ) reduce homeowners ’ equity in their housing assets ( or households ’ net wealth , respectively ) .
If sufficiently large , this reduction could trigger large debt defaults and impose further downward pressure on house prices ( or stock prices , respectively ) , leading to a debt deflation spiral ( Fisher 1933 ) , as Figure 2.2.6″ Well , then where should we look to see defaults ?
Energy , my fucking @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is of course fucking bigger then Kai Greene on HGH .
So long story short , watching these energy debts , we should expect to see downgrades in energy along with defaults coming shortly after .
In general though , what leads to defaults in other sectors ?
How do you not pay your debt ?
You can ’ t make the payments .
Why can ’ t companies make payments ?
They make less money .
How do they make less money ?
Beer Virus halts their operations FOR AN ENTIRE QUARTER @ @ @ @ @ @ @ operations for 60 days ) So at the end of the day .
An economic slowdown coming is going to absolutely pimpslap the shit out of debtors because they were loaning out way to much .
Welcome to the shitshow , its just getting started .
Special thanks : Bloomberg Intelligence , Bloomberg Finance LP , DB Market Research , Double Line funds , and Deutsche Bank for helping me by making easy graphs for me to stare at .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by TaxationIsTh3ft
If we start to see corporate defaults on credit lines and loans, we are fuk.
So this issue of corporate debt apparently has been known about since, like, forever. By forever I mean 2017, but since we are all goldfish, thats a fucking century ago.
So lets talk about it.
So in the IMF’s global financial stability report in 2017, those nerds realized the rise in leverage among companies. Leverage being debt. These nerds came up with the warning that:
“one lesson from the global financial crisis is that excessive debt that creates debt servicing problems can lead to financial strains”
With that warning, it then leads to ask, do we have excessive debt? Well the answer is holy fucking shit yes. It’s like we gave every large and mid cap company an invitation to Uncle Sams credit card and they are pimping out for those Louis Vuitton shoes.

Yes thats like 3 trillion in Baa debt. Baa debt being BBB. almost garbage, more like a red lobster type of garbage. Puts out its good, but then your shitting bricks next day.
So what happens when debts get downgraded? A fallen angel – wtf is that? A fallen angel is a bond that was initially given an investment-grade rating but has since been reduced to junk bond status.So basically its when someone fucks up so bad, the powers that be tell them they cant play in the sandbox anymore – and call them junk.
Well turns out almost 3 trillion in bonds are about to be angels that tripped and fall off the empire state building. That is, almost 60% of bonds are considered BBB. This means 60% of bonds are one grade from being junk, or fallen angels.
preview.redd.it/55duf6q7trm41.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7ee8d3f99147cee66703a099070a13bec56147e0
Well how often is shit downgraded? Well here’s more crayons.
preview.redd.it/m3x53yo8trm41.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3cde5a24b74a78485fcf57e7a3cb3db60fb4f11d
Back in 2018, a Deustche did not expect this dynamic of bond degrading to be too much of an issue for 2019, when they had an outlook that the economy is still expected to grow, should there indeed be an economic slowdown/recession in 2020, then Deutsche warns that “the sheer volume of BBBs would become of much greater concern as we would expect rating trends to turn much more negative.” The bank also said: “the risk of a recession in 2020 (whether it materializes or not) will refocus minds on these types of issues as we approach and enter H2 2019”
So basically they didn’t give a fuck because bull gang was chillin in tendies city.
However the IMF recognized in their 2019 report that:
“In a material economic slowdown scenario, half as severe as the global financial crisis, corporate debt-at-risk (debt owed by firms that are unable to cover their interest expenses with their earnings) could rise to $19 trillion—or nearly 40 percent of total corporate debt in major economies—above crisis levels.”
preview.redd.it/jlzos8cbtrm41.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=136b0edf2529a3775e248fae2433260e9b6fee10

preview.redd.it/v9fe25fatrm41.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3f0c2dbbeb764cf381bbd8d7c3b52ec5839ae1d0

Well ok, thats Corporate debt, fuck the corporations – occupy 2020 right my dudes!?
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Bernie 2020 gang gang.
Not quite, believe it or not, not only have corporations been swiping the Amex like a drunk cuban at 11 nightclub in Miami on a Saturday night, but insurance companies, governments, startups, and even goddamn Karen and my wife’s boyfriends kid is swiping that shit.
preview.redd.it/r01mv2xctrm41.png?width=786&format=png&auto=webp&s=4f8f6fe4908a830045f0a3392a224f6e3c58d84d

So not only are corps leveraged up to the moon, everyone is. General governments, Karen, my god damn dogs got a line of credit for his kibbles.
Well why has everyone started swiping that sweet Amex?
Another study by the IMF in 2019 points out that:
“Low yields, compressed spreads, abundant financing, and the relatively high cost of equity capital have encouraged a buildup of financial balance sheet leverage as corporations have bought back their equity and raised debt levels (as discussed in the April 2017 GFSR). This means that the share of lower-rated companies in major US, European, and global bond indices has increased. This trend of worsening credit quality also means that the estimated default risk for high-yield and emerging market bonds has remained elevated”
Additionally,
“Rapid inflation of asset prices has ensued as large output gaps necessitate an unusually protracted period of low-interest rates. This asset price growth has been accompanied by gathering strength in credit growth and rising leverage, the combination of which has facilitated strong financial expansion across several economies. Such financial expansions have generally been accompanied by less remarkable economic recoveries, leading to only slowly dissipating negative output gaps. This divergence creates a challenge for monetary and financial policies to support economic recovery while ensuring that medium-term risks do not build.”
So not only has this positive inflationary period of prices led to indebtedness just to “keep up with the Jones”, but if we see any deflation of pricings shits gonna get more sticky then my jerk sock.
“If aggregate demand determines the level of output, a contraction in demand by highly indebted households will not always be compensated for by an increase in demand by those that are less indebted, which may lead to a recession (Eggertsson and Krugman 2012; Korinek and Simsek 2016)…adverse shocks to highly indebted households, such as a reduction in the value of collateral, trigger borrowing constraints that lead to a deleveraging process that may further reduce the value of collateral. The presence of nominal rigidities, such as a zero lower bound for nominal interest rates or nominal wages that cannot adjust downward, amplifies the consequences of these shocks.5 For instance, adverse shocks to house prices (or stock prices) reduce homeowners’ equity in their housing assets (or households’ net wealth, respectively). If sufficiently large, this reduction could trigger large debt defaults and impose further downward pressure on house prices (or stock prices, respectively), leading to a debt deflation spiral (Fisher 1933), as Figure 2.2.6″
preview.redd.it/k788x03etrm41.png?width=1063&format=png&auto=webp&s=667439ca926d0fb75f11f9c9f2cc539aee05a99c

Well, then where should we look to see defaults? Energy, my fucking industry of course. BBB energy debt is of course fucking bigger then Kai Greene on HGH. So long story short, watching these energy debts, we should expect to see downgrades in energy along with defaults coming shortly after.
preview.redd.it/x7u8pdsftrm41.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=558a4ebcb89871e90040afd31fc3dd3b0d38cfcb

In general though, what leads to defaults in other sectors? How do you not pay your debt? You can’t make the payments. Why can’t companies make payments? They make less money. How do they make less money? Beer Virus halts their operations FOR AN ENTIRE QUARTER! (Go look at Carnival halting operations for 60 days)
So at the end of the day. An economic slowdown coming is going to absolutely pimpslap the shit out of debtors because they were loaning out way to much. Welcome to the shitshow, its just getting started.
Sources:
IMF 2017 and 2019 October Financial stability reports.
Special thanks: Bloomberg Intelligence, Bloomberg Finance LP, DB Market Research, Double Line funds,and Deutsche Bank for helping me by making easy graphs for me to stare at.
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Unemployment Compensation SYSTEM already f*cked

Seasonal construction worker , can confirm .
Currently laid off , waiting to goto work when weather breaks .
This @ @ @ @ @ year , lay off for 1-3 months during winter , then back to work whenever @ @ @ @ @ up for my free govt unemployment every other Sunday ( that ’ s 1st day @ @ @ @ @ every 2 weeks ) .
Unemployment rates were down , so the website and system @ @ @ @ @ few months .
Today , already , its fucked .
I can not sign up @ @ @ @ @ website is freezing up and overloading .
Too many people back on the gravy train @ @ @ @ @ boys , never before seen unemployment rates incoming .
Anyone that has been thru the @ @ @ @ @ about 4 people working to keep THE ENTIRE STATE ’ S UNEMPLOYED PEOPLE ’ S @ @ @ @ @ wait times are usually an hour , it ’ s going to be a f*cken @ @ @ @ @ off .

by WolfOfWeedstocks
Seasonal construction worker, can confirm. Currently laid off, waiting to goto work when weather breaks. This happens to me almost every year, lay off for 1-3 months during winter, then back to work around spring time whenever recession ends.
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I sign up for my free govt unemployment every other Sunday(that’s 1st day you can sign up, every 2 weeks). Unemployment rates were down, so the website and system has been working flawlessly past few months. Today, already, its fucked. I can not sign up for my money. The website is freezing up and overloading. Too many people back on the gravy train. We’re fucked boys, never before seen unemployment rates incoming.
Anyone that has been thru the unemployment system knows their is about 4 people working to keep THE ENTIRE STATE’S UNEMPLOYED PEOPLE’S sh*t straight. Regular phone wait times are usually an hour, it’s going to be a f*cken sh*t show for anyone laid off.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Some DD on oil and the industry

Some DD on oil and the industry

I ’ ve been seeing a lot of people buying calls/LEAPs for oil , USO , service companies , etc .
and saying they ’ re a good buy right now .
There is further pain for the oil business , even if Saudi and Russia hug and play 4-square again tomorrow without any further issues .
I want to help you all with some of my random thoughts and observations .
Note : All of this is excluding the obvious uncertainties ( ie : some crazy ass war starting ) DD justification : 11-year engineer for major oil company @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2014-2019 .
I saw it explode up and I ’ m watching it explode down and hope to grab some tendies this time .
• Oil prices will never , and oil company stock prices may never , return to their previous levels ( not in the immediate future at least ) .
CVX was $ 130 in 2014 and has never past the $ 120 range since ( oil crash in 2015/2016 ) .
XOM was around $ 100 in the same time and since 2016 has been trending downward • That @ @ @ @ @ @ @ when Saudi and Russia make a deal .
Russia is said to need oil at $ 30/bbl for it ’ s budget , but Saudi needs ~ $ 70 ( I read somewhere..maybe Dr. Seuss ) .
Saudi is going to sweat in a few months • The large companies pay a strong dividend .
If someone knows what that is please tell me .
Boomers say it ’ s “ safe ” ?
• CVX is committed to dividend , so much so that previous CEOs have said “ I will not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” .
• I fully expect 2020 to finish below $ 50/bbl , maybe even $ 40/bbl • Forecast demand for oil was already low for 2020 , it ’ s now going to be even lower thanks to nocturnal creature soup Ok now on to the fun stuff , the Permian independents • They have already taken an absolute beating due to Saudi/Russia play fighting • A lot of these companies started paying dividends .
Look at their yields ( APA is 12 % !
! )
if you ’ re trying @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( CXO , XEC , FANG , SM , OXY , PXD ) .
OXY announced they were slashing their dividend from 0.79 to 0.11 , it was probably good that they just took their beating , so now they can recover .
• The companies that started or pay dividends also have good amounts of debt , given that banks were just pouring them money in 2016-2018 .
So if they cut dividends ( which they started/increased to attract shareholders ) , prices will plummet .
• Some will fail or be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ buying APC ?
Damn that seems dumb now ) , so the price could jump • When oil drops , every operator puts the squeeze on service companies .
Rigs , services ( SLB , NOV ) all cut their prices to stay in operation .
Packages and tools are removed because they ’ re not essential ( who cares about some fancy tool when a basic one will do ? )
.
When oil comes back up , most of the time those fancy tools aren ’ t even needed any more @ @ @ @ @ @ @ companies until Q2 .
I wouldn ’ t touch them honestly .
They ’ re going to drop and then get bought by one of the other companies ( likely SLB or HAL ) .
Positions : I had CVX $ 85p 3/20 and sold like the paper handed newbie I am when it was at 90 .
Absolutely kicking myself for that one .
OXY 6/19 $ 15p ( sold right before ole Icahn bought in even more ) and EOG 7/17 $ 27.5p ( I don ’ t expect EOG to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and it ’ s bigly printing ) .
When oil prices stabilize , maybe CVX 2021 $ 80c or XOM 2021 $ 55c TLDR : be careful on oil ; it is not going to rocket back up ; LEAPs on large majors when Saudis lift cuts of maybe 20 % of current price sometime 2021 ( if you ’ re ballsy 2021/2022 XOM $ 70 and CVX $ 90 ) ; there ’ s still a lot of pain for the Permian producers ; service companies are going to be destroyed too @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by LeChatBurglar
I’ve been seeing a lot of people buying calls/LEAPs for oil, USO, service companies, etc. and saying they’re a good buy right now. There is further pain for the oil business, even if Saudi and Russia hug and play 4-square again tomorrow without any further issues. I want to help you all with some of my random thoughts and observations.
Note: All of this is excluding the obvious uncertainties (ie: some crazy ass war starting)
DD justification: 11-year engineer for major oil company. Recently worked in Permian Basin from 2014-2019. I saw it explode up and I’m watching it explode down and hope to grab some tendies this time.

Oil prices will never, and oil company stock prices may never, return to their previous levels (not in the immediate future at least). CVX was $130 in 2014 and has never past the $120 range since (oil crash in 2015/2016). XOM was around $100 in the same time and since 2016 has been trending downward
That said, oil WILL go back up when Saudi and Russia make a deal. Russia is said to need oil at $30/bbl for it’s budget, but Saudi needs ~$70 (I read somewhere..maybe Dr. Seuss). Saudi is going to sweat in a few months
The large companies pay a strong dividend. If someone knows what that is please tell me. Boomers say it’s “safe”?
CVX is committed to dividend, so much so that previous CEOs have said “I will not be the one to cut the dividend”.
I fully expect 2020 to finish below $50/bbl, maybe even $40/bbl
Forecast demand for oil was already low for 2020, it’s now going to be even lower thanks to nocturnal creature soup
Ok now on to the fun stuff, the Permian independents
They have already taken an absolute beating due to Saudi/Russia play fighting
A lot of these companies started paying dividends. Look at their yields (APA is 12%!!) if you’re trying to find one to buy puts on (CXO, XEC, FANG, SM, OXY, PXD). OXY announced they were slashing their dividend from 0.79 to 0.11, it was probably good that they just took their beating, so now they can recover.
if you’re trying to find one to buy puts on (CXO, XEC, FANG, SM, OXY, PXD). OXY announced they were slashing their dividend from 0.79 to 0.11, it was probably good that they just took their beating, so now they can recover. The companies that started or pay dividends also have good amounts of debt, given that banks were just pouring them money in 2016-2018. So if they cut dividends (which they started/increased to attract shareholders), prices will plummet.
Some will fail or be bought by larger companies (remember OXY buying APC? Damn that seems dumb now), so the price could jump
Service Companies
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When oil drops, every operator puts the squeeze on service companies. Rigs, services (SLB, NOV) all cut their prices to stay in operation. Packages and tools are removed because they’re not essential (who cares about some fancy tool when a basic one will do?). When oil comes back up, most of the time those fancy tools aren’t even needed any more.
Puts on all the service companies until Q2. I wouldn’t touch them honestly. They’re going to drop and then get bought by one of the other companies (likely SLB or HAL).
SLB’s yield is 13% lmao that’s getting cut

Positions: I had CVX $85p 3/20 and sold like the paper handed newbie I am when it was at 90. Absolutely kicking myself for that one. OXY 6/19 $15p (sold right before ole Icahn bought in even more) and EOG 7/17 $27.5p (I don’t expect EOG to go that low but it was cheap and it’s bigly printing). When oil prices stabilize, maybe CVX 2021 $80c or XOM 2021 $55c

TLDR: be careful on oil; it is not going to rocket back up; LEAPs on large majors when Saudis lift cuts of maybe 20% of current price sometime 2021 (if you’re ballsy 2021/2022 XOM $70 and CVX $90); there’s still a lot of pain for the Permian producers; service companies are going to be destroyed too (looking at you NOV)
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Here’s what could really sink the global economy: $19 trillion in risky corporate debt

London ( CNN Business ) – Companies have spent the years since the global financial crisis binging on debt .
@ @ @ @ @ pandemic threatens to push the world into recession , the bill could come due — @ @ @ @ @ and feeding a meltdown in financial markets .
Looking to take advantage of low interest @ @ @ @ @ in recent years to issue bonds whose proceeds could be used to grow their businesses @ @ @ @ @ exploded to $ 75 trillion at the end of 2019 , up from $ 48 @ @ @ @ @ 2009 , according to the Institute of International Finance .
As the coronavirus spreads — @ @ @ @ @ oil prices and a collapse in travel , and shutting factories from Italy to China @ @ @ @ @ that companies in the energy , hospitality and auto sectors won ’ t be able @ @ @ @ @ .
That could trigger a spree of ratings downgrades and defaults that would further destabilize @ @ @ @ @ economic shock .

London (CNN Business) – Companies have spent the years since the global financial crisis binging on debt. Now, as the coronavirus pandemic threatens to push the world into recession, the bill could come due — exacerbating damage to the economy and feeding a meltdown in financial markets.
Looking to take advantage of low interest rates, companies have rushed in recent years to issue bonds whose proceeds could be used to grow their businesses. Corporate debt among non-banks exploded to $75 trillion at the end of 2019, up from $48 trillion at the end of 2009, according to the Institute of International Finance.
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As the coronavirus spreads — touching off a plunge in oil prices and a collapse in travel, and shutting factories from Italy to China — there is increasing alarm that companies in the energy, hospitality and auto sectors won’t be able to make their bond payments. That could trigger a spree of ratings downgrades and defaults that would further destabilize financial markets and compound the economic shock.
Continue reading: www.cnn.com/2020/03/14/investing/corporate-debt-coronavirus/index.html


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Here’s what a bunch of you bulls (and America as a whole) don’t realize about Beerflue

All the bulls saying this shit is priced in are under the same misunderstood mindset of the general public right now .
“ We deal with this for a few weeks and then life goes back to normal.
” Buckle the fuck up because I ’ m about to learn you some shit .
The point of social distancing is to slow the spread of the virus so that hospitals don ’ t get overloaded at once , but the current timeline on the plan is one year or more .
I ’ ll say that again for the people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ year of public quarantine .
This isn ’ t Mickey getting a quick dip in profits .
This is the mouse losing 80 % of his revenue sources for the next 12 months .
* ” But America is doing a bad job quarantining so it ’ ll be over sooner than that ” you stupidly sputter over your 3/16 Spy 300 calls .
Yeah , we are .
But that doesn ’ t mean we won ’ t have a quarantine in effect , it just means we ’ re going to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ soon as we start actually testing .
The thing about Beer Flu is you ’ re infectious as soon as you catch it , and young adults often don ’ t show symptoms at all .
This means thousands of Typhoid Marys are wandering the country spreading this shit faster than that 0-symptom virus you made in Plague Inc .
So what happens when we finally start testing and our numbers skyrocket ?
First off , mass panic as tens of thousands of infected people who don ’ t even need treatment flood @ @ @ @ @ @ @ taking attention and resources away from immunocompromised patients that do .
The news plays off this fear and people finally start to realize they should take it seriously as dead grandmas rain from the sky .
We still do social distancing .
But there ’ s far more panic than before , and we all know what the market does during mass panic .
Also , if Tariff man is positive ( which he probably is ) he just infected a bunch of the countries biggest CEOs on live TV .
This shit @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article .
Do you own due diligence .

by TheMentelgen
All the bulls saying this shit is priced in are under the same misunderstood mindset of the general public right now. “We deal with this for a few weeks and then life goes back to normal.”
News flash retard, that’s not the timeline.
Buckle the fuck up because I’m about to learn you some shit.
The point of social distancing is to slow the spread of the virus so that hospitals don’t get overloaded at once, but the current timeline on the plan is one year or more.
I’ll say that again for the people in the back.
That is one year of public quarantine.
This isn’t Mickey getting a quick dip in profits. This is the mouse losing 80% of his revenue sources for the next 12 months.
*”But America is doing a bad job quarantining so it’ll be over sooner than that” you stupidly sputter over your 3/16 Spy 300 calls.
Yeah, we are. But that doesn’t mean we won’t have a quarantine in effect, it just means we’re going to see a MASSIVE spike in cases as soon as we start actually testing.
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The thing about Beer Flu is you’re infectious as soon as you catch it, and young adults often don’t show symptoms at all.
This means thousands of Typhoid Marys are wandering the country spreading this shit faster than that 0-symptom virus you made in Plague Inc.
So what happens when we finally start testing and our numbers skyrocket?
First off, mass panic as tens of thousands of infected people who don’t even need treatment flood hospitals that are already over capacity, taking attention and resources away from immunocompromised patients that do. The news plays off this fear and people finally start to realize they should take it seriously as dead grandmas rain from the sky.
We still do social distancing. But there’s far more panic than before, and we all know what the market does during mass panic.
Also, if Tariff man is positive (which he probably is) he just infected a bunch of the countries biggest CEOs on live TV.
This shit has got a lot farther to fall.
tl;dr – Late April/Early May puts. 🌈🐻gang
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Calls at 3pm on Fridays, sell at close. Free $$$ from short-covering

Disclaimer : This information is only for educational purposes .
Do not make any investment decisions based on the information @ @ @ @ @ you own due diligence .

by ZeroHealth
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--In 08′ we bailed out the banks. in 20′ we are bailing out ENTIRE industries. What is it called when

In 08′ we bailed out the banks. in 20′ we are bailing out ENTIRE industries. What is it called when public funds are used to bail out industries? THE DEATH OF CAPITALISM

In 08 ' we bailed out the banks .
in 20 ' we are bailing out ENTIRE industries .
What @ @ @ @ @ funds are used to bail out industries ?
THE DEATH OF CAPITALISM… GM Deficits are @ @ @ @ @ Will that huge need for debt cause QE to be aimed only at bond mkts @ @ @ @ @ does any new global QE 💰that used to leak into stocks ( Portfolio Balance Channel @ @ @ @ @ in bond mkts + what does that mean for stocks ?
🤔 pic.twitter.com/D7U5GVBBbb

In 08' we bailed out the banks. in 20' we are bailing out ENTIRE industries. What is it called when public funds are used to bail out industries? THE DEATH OF CAPITALISM… GM
Deficits are going to skyrocket globally. Will that huge need for debt cause QE to be aimed only at bond mkts?
In other words, does any new global QE 💰that used to leak into stocks (Portfolio Balance Channel) now need to remain in bond mkts + what does that mean for stocks?🤔 pic.twitter.com/D7U5GVBBbb
— M/I_Investments (@MI_Investments) March 15, 2020


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--JPMorgan officially forecasts a coronavirus-driven recession will rock the US and Europe by July

A new economic-growth estimate from JPMorgan projects that a recession will hit the US and European economies by July .
@ @ @ @ @ of the coronavirus outbreak “ have evolved dramatically in recent weeks.
” JPMorgan economists now @ @ @ @ @ by 2 % in the first quarter and 3 % in the second .
Eurozone @ @ @ @ @ % and 3.3 % over the same periods , the economists added .
The “ @ @ @ @ @ activity through quarantines , event cancellations , and social distancing contributed to the downward revision @ @ @ @ @ financial-market chaos .
“ As we resign ourselves to the inevitability of a large and @ @ @ @ @ ’ economic policy responses are key to preventing an even longer downturn , the economists @ @

markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/coronavirus-fuel-recession-forecast-us-europe-economic-july-market-jpmorgan-2020-3-1028994637
A new economic-growth estimate from JPMorgan projects that a recession will hit the US and European economies by July.
The bank said its views of the coronavirus outbreak “have evolved dramatically in recent weeks.” JPMorgan economists now expect US GDP to shrink by 2% in the first quarter and 3% in the second.
Eurozone GDP could contract by 1.8% and 3.3% over the same periods, the economists added.
The “sudden stop” to economic activity through quarantines, event cancellations, and social distancing contributed to the downward revision, alongside recent weeks of financial-market chaos.
“As we resign ourselves to the inevitability of a large and broad-based shock,” nations’ economic policy responses are key to preventing an even longer downturn, the economists added.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Chart Feast — Important Themes are Beginning to Emerge

Its been another wild week and the fastest ever correction has turned into the fastest ever bear market .
The Fed tried to unleash a liquidity bazooka but market players we ’ re largely uninterested indicating the Fed is not able to alleviate the emerging stresses .
There was some interesting action this week .
Liquidity is becoming a real problem , even in treasuries .
As I showed last week , corporate yield spreads over treasuries continue to increase .
Its not just the level but the rate of increase that ’ s astonishing .
We see the same @ @ @ @ @ @ @ volatility in financial markets , the rate of increase is historic to say the least .
( chart last updated march 12th ) The stock market is very oversold , there ’ s no point proving this with charts .
There ’ s no such thing as maximum fear or oversold .
The market could go either way , crash or rally .
The thing is you can ’ t ignore years of maximum risk on behavior and not expect the reverse .
There is no historical precedent for today ’ s markets @ @ @ @ @ @ @ very overvalued .
It will only reach normal valuations at 1/3 of the peak ( Valuation chart posted before here ) .
Last week I also showed stock market breadth ( green ) .
This continues to deteriorate badly .
Investors are focused on owning large caps within the S & P .
So this isn ’ t a long term bottom .
Many people in the past couple of years have believed bitcoin would be a hedge against collapse .
I looked at this in 2017 and concluded Bitcoin is a risk-on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ This chart shows its correlation with stock market turns has continued .
If bitcoin is not a safehaven then you might imagine gold would be .
However in the heat of panic this week gold sold off sharply as speculators liquidate anything they can .
Large Speculators have been heavily net long gold ( green ) .
They are usually wrong at turns .
The Elliottwave Theorist put out a chart showing a non confirmation between gold and silver similar to what occurred at the all time high in 2011 .
Given how @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in recent months I think its making an important top along with other risk assets .
Unfortunately now is not a great buying opportunity .
So where are the safe havens ?
Surely the one asset that does well in any panic has been a great place to hide ?
Well actually no… In Lets Review the Market Carnage I showed the yield curve and that long term treasuries were overbought .
( 98 % bulls T-bonds ) Well they reversed this week and as a result the yield curve has steepened .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ recession ( should be obvious at this point ) .
Is the long term downtrend in yields over ?
Bond yields have been in a declining trend since the early 80s .
If this trend is over after the frenzied bond mania of recent years then we ’ re entering a new environment where government bonds are not longer a safe haven .
This could be disastrous as Treasuries are the bedrock of the financial system .
Treasury liquidity was problematic this week and the fed in their words moved to “ address @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” .
Cracks in US Treasury market could spell trouble for the system Investors and analysts are warning about deepening cracks in the world ’ s largest government bond market .
Strange patterns have started to emerge , such as drops in the price of US Treasuries — a traditional haven — even while riskier assets such as stocks have been squeezed by fears that the coronavirus outbreak will spark a global recession .
Some are warning that the patterns could lead to the unwinding of one of the market ’ s most @ @ @ @ @ @ @ consequences .
Such fears prompted the US Federal Reserve to announce a sweeping package of measures on Thursday to try to ease conditions , including pumping trillions into the financial system .
Something Weird Is Happening on Wall Street , and Not Just the Stock Sell-Off there were reports from trading desks that many assets that are normally liquid — easy to buy and sell — were freezing up , with securities not trading widely .
This was true of the bonds issued by municipalities and major corporations but , more curiously , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ bedrock of the global financial system….. All this suggests that major financial players are experiencing a cash crunch , and are selling whatever they can as a result .
That would help explain the seeming contradiction of assets that should go up in value in a time of economic peril instead falling in value .
Will the dollar be a safe haven ?
I ’ m not yet sure on this one .
But with a dollar shortage emerging this could be one to keep a track of .
There are some correlations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of years .
Those were that the dollar did well in risk-off periods , times of oil weakness and deflation .
For a long time the dollar did well in risk off periods and had a strong inverse correlation with oil prices .
For the last couple of years this relationship broke down somewhat ( Could that be an early divergence ahead of other markets ? )
so I ’ m not sure if it will reappear but with a dollar funding shortage emerging there ’ s a strong possibility it could .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Here is the markets expectation of inflation ( blue ) and the Dollar ( inverted , green/red ) .
The dollar usually performs well when inflation falls .
If this continues to be the case the Dollar should rally soon .
The Dollar long had a good inverse relationship with oil ( green — USD , black — Oil – inverted ) .
So with safe havens being not so safe where do we go now ?
The demand effects from an economic recession and COVID-19 are going to lead to a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Supply chain disruption can bring industries to a standstill .
The supply chain shortages are just starting to work their way through .
This combined with the deflationary financial environment could lead to the worst nightmare scenario where nothing thrives but cash .

by SpontaneousDisorder
Its been another wild week and the fastest ever correction has turned into the fastest ever bear market. The Fed tried to unleash a liquidity bazooka but market players we’re largely uninterested indicating the Fed is not able to alleviate the emerging stresses. There was some interesting action this week. Liquidity is becoming a real problem, even in treasuries.
As I showed last week, corporate yield spreads over treasuries continue to increase. Its not just the level but the rate of increase that’s astonishing. We see the same whether its stock prices or increases in volatility in financial markets, the rate of increase is historic to say the least. (chart last updated march 12th)
The stock market is very oversold, there’s no point proving this with charts. There’s no such thing as maximum fear or oversold. The market could go either way, crash or rally. The thing is you can’t ignore years of maximum risk on behavior and not expect the reverse. There is no historical precedent for today’s markets.
The US stock market is also very overvalued. It will only reach normal valuations at 1/3 of the peak (Valuation chart posted before here). Last week I also showed stock market breadth (green). This continues to deteriorate badly. Investors are focused on owning large caps within the S&P. So this isn’t a long term bottom.
Many people in the past couple of years have believed bitcoin would be a hedge against collapse. I looked at this in 2017 and concluded Bitcoin is a risk-on asset. Bitcoin crashed this week. This chart shows its correlation with stock market turns has continued.
If bitcoin is not a safehaven then you might imagine gold would be. However in the heat of panic this week gold sold off sharply as speculators liquidate anything they can.
Large Speculators have been heavily net long gold (green). They are usually wrong at turns.
The Elliottwave Theorist put out a chart showing a non confirmation between gold and silver similar to what occurred at the all time high in 2011. Given how much optimism has been directed at gold in recent months I think its making an important top along with other risk assets. Unfortunately now is not a great buying opportunity.
So where are the safe havens? Surely the one asset that does well in any panic has been a great place to hide? Well actually no…
In Lets Review the Market Carnage I showed the yield curve and that long term treasuries were overbought. (98% bulls T-bonds) Well they reversed this week and as a result the yield curve has steepened. This indicates we’re heading for recession (should be obvious at this point).
Is the long term downtrend in yields over? Bond yields have been in a declining trend since the early 80s. If this trend is over after the frenzied bond mania of recent years then we’re entering a new environment where government bonds are not longer a safe haven. This could be disastrous as Treasuries are the bedrock of the financial system.
Treasury liquidity was problematic this week and the fed in their words moved to “ address highly unusual disruptions in Treasury financing markets”.
Cracks in US Treasury market could spell trouble for the system
archive.vn/a2qDY
Investors and analysts are warning about deepening cracks in the world’s largest government bond market.
Strange patterns have started to emerge, such as drops in the price of US Treasuries — a traditional haven — even while riskier assets such as stocks have been squeezed by fears that the coronavirus outbreak will spark a global recession.
Some are warning that the patterns could lead to the unwinding of one of the market’s most popular trading strategies — with potentially serious consequences. Such fears prompted the US Federal Reserve to announce a sweeping package of measures on Thursday to try to ease conditions, including pumping trillions into the financial system.
Something Weird Is Happening on Wall Street, and Not Just the Stock Sell-Off
archive.vn/l0XXq
there were reports from trading desks that many assets that are normally liquid — easy to buy and sell — were freezing up, with securities not trading widely. This was true of the bonds issued by municipalities and major corporations but, more curiously, also of Treasury bonds, normally the bedrock of the global financial system…..
All this suggests that major financial players are experiencing a cash crunch, and are selling whatever they can as a result. That would help explain the seeming contradiction of assets that should go up in value in a time of economic peril instead falling in value.
Will the dollar be a safe haven? I’m not yet sure on this one. But with a dollar shortage emerging this could be one to keep a track of. There are some correlations that held well until the last couple of years. Those were that the dollar did well in risk-off periods, times of oil weakness and deflation.
For a long time the dollar did well in risk off periods and had a strong inverse correlation with oil prices. For the last couple of years this relationship broke down somewhat (Could that be an early divergence ahead of other markets?) so I’m not sure if it will reappear but with a dollar funding shortage emerging there’s a strong possibility it could. These charts could imply a dollar rally.
Here is the markets expectation of inflation (blue) and the Dollar (inverted, green/red). The dollar usually performs well when inflation falls. If this continues to be the case the Dollar should rally soon.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
The Dollar long had a good inverse relationship with oil (green — USD, black — Oil – inverted).
So with safe havens being not so safe where do we go now?
The demand effects from an economic recession and COVID-19 are going to lead to a extreme demand shock in certain sectors. Supply chain disruption can bring industries to a standstill. The supply chain shortages are just starting to work their way through.
This combined with the deflationary financial environment could lead to the worst nightmare scenario where nothing thrives but cash.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--WHAT BIPARTISANSHIP LOOKS LIKE:

WHAT BIPARTISANSHIP LOOKS LIKE:

A broken AOC clock is right twice a day .

A broken AOC clock is right twice a day.
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h/t GR


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Dr. Oz on Coronavirus: “This Has been Around. A Lot of People Had This and Didn’t Realize It. 80% of

Dr. Oz on Coronavirus: “This Has been Around. A Lot of People Had This and Didn’t Realize It. 80% of People Had Very Subtle Symptoms”

Television personality and practicing surgeon , Dr. Oz , joined FOX and Friends Weekend on Sunday for an hour to discuss the ongoing coronavirus pandemic .
During the discussion Dr. Oz told the co-hosts President Trump should not have had the coronavirus test .
“ He didn ’ t fit the criteria .
He didn ’ t show symptoms.
” Dr. Oz also explained that the virus is likely to have been in the US for months .
Dr. Oz : Now that he got tested without any symptoms why wouldn ’ t the average say , “ Hey , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ We don ’ t have enough units .
We can ’ t get people tested who probably should be tested… If I had enough tests I would test every single American right now .
You know why ?
Because it would give us epidemiologic data about what ’ s really happening .
I am positive that I know people who were infected but didn ’ t realize it because it happened before coronavirus is here .
There is someone I know who was actually at a party at the Oscars with the cast @ @ @ @ @ @ @ movie who got fevers , shortness of breath , fatigue .
I have no idea if he had coronavirus or not .
But he thinks he did .
Now you hear these stories and you are like this has been around .
A lot of people had this and didn ’ t realize it .
80 % of people had very subtle symptoms .
They had a fever most of the time but nothing that would catch your eye .
And so we don ’ t actually know how long it ’ s @ @ @ @

Television personality and practicing surgeon, Dr. Oz, joined FOX and Friends Weekend on Sunday for an hour to discuss the ongoing coronavirus pandemic.
During the discussion Dr. Oz told the co-hosts President Trump should not have had the coronavirus test. “He didn’t fit the criteria. He didn’t show symptoms.”
Dr. Oz also explained that the virus is likely to have been in the US for months.
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Dr. Oz: Now that he got tested without any symptoms why wouldn’t the average say, “Hey, just test me too!”… We don’t have enough units. We can’t get people tested who probably should be tested… If I had enough tests I would test every single American right now. You know why? Because it would give us epidemiologic data about what’s really happening. I am positive that I know people who were infected but didn’t realize it because it happened before coronavirus is here. There is someone I know who was actually at a party at the Oscars with the cast members of “Parasite” a Korean movie who got fevers, shortness of breath, fatigue. I have no idea if he had coronavirus or not. But he thinks he did. Now you hear these stories and you are like this has been around. A lot of people had this and didn’t realize it. 80% of people had very subtle symptoms. They had a fever most of the time but nothing that would catch your eye. And so we don’t actually know how long it’s been out there.
www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/dr-oz-on-coronavirus-this-has-been-around-a-lot-of-people-had-this-and-didnt-realize-it-80-of-people-had-very-subtle-symptoms-video/
h/t CrsCrpr


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--If you fear the corona virus more than the economic devastation that Governments and the Media are i

If you fear the corona virus more than the economic devastation that Governments and the Media are imposing on people right now, you’re an idiot. What they are doing is criminal.

What Governments and the Media are doing is criminal behavior .
They are fabricating panic at an unprecedented scale that is completely disproportional to the threat that Coronavirus poses .
Their excuse is that they want to “ save lives ” , but whose lives are they really saving , and how many ?
The economic devastation will last for DECADES even if we stop the madness right now .
What governments and media did so far , basically cancelling everything and stopping everybody from doing anything is destroying the livelihood of not millions , but BILLIONS of people for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ talking about major economic recession at a cost of hundreds of trillions of dollars .
It will take more than one generation to recover from this .
That ’ s if we stop NOW , but they fully intend to drag this for MONTHS .
Business can ’ t make money if everyone is forbidden to leave home , nor if the Government prohibits people from getting together .
No travel , no meetings , no shows , no going to the office , no school , no leaving home ?
That means @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , when financial reports start rolling in .
What do you think the numbers are going to look like for most companies ?
That ’ s right .
Fucking nightmare in the horizon .
First millions of companies will go out of business .
Then people will start losing their jobs .
That is being decided as we speak .
Air travel companies are preparing workforce reductions of the magnitude of 50 % .
That ’ s fifty FUCKING percent , folks .
Air travel and tourism in general are going to be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Live entertainment will suffer too .
Pensions will be disintegrated .
Money will disappear from everyone ’ s pocket .
When that happens , small businesses will start to suffer .
More people go out of business .
More unemployment .
We ’ re talking about unprecedented economic devastation in times of peace .
Is the Coronavirus causing all this ?
Fucking hell , NO .
The virus killed a few thousand people so far , and that ’ s it .
The media is trying to paint this as a medieval @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is the panic and the destruction of value that this nonsense is creating .
The virus is NOT the real threat .
It ’ s the Deep State .
And the Media .
Together , forcing chaos in order to get once again the only thing that they want : more power .
The virus is not the real threat .
They are .
Disclaimer : This is a guest post and it doesn ’ t represent the views of IWB .

by greyabassador
What Governments and the Media are doing is criminal behavior. They are fabricating panic at an unprecedented scale that is completely disproportional to the threat that Coronavirus poses. Their excuse is that they want to “save lives”, but whose lives are they really saving, and how many?
The economic devastation will last for DECADES even if we stop the madness right now. What governments and media did so far, basically cancelling everything and stopping everybody from doing anything is destroying the livelihood of not millions, but BILLIONS of people for the years to come. We are talking about major economic recession at a cost of hundreds of trillions of dollars. It will take more than one generation to recover from this. That’s if we stop NOW, but they fully intend to drag this for MONTHS.
Business can’t make money if everyone is forbidden to leave home, nor if the Government prohibits people from getting together. No travel, no meetings, no shows, no going to the office, no school, no leaving home? That means economic collapse.
Fast forward 3 months, when financial reports start rolling in. What do you think the numbers are going to look like for most companies? That’s right. Fucking nightmare in the horizon.
First millions of companies will go out of business. Then people will start losing their jobs. That is being decided as we speak. Air travel companies are preparing workforce reductions of the magnitude of 50%. That’s fifty FUCKING percent, folks. Air travel and tourism in general are going to be decimated. The oil industry is gone. Live entertainment will suffer too. Pensions will be disintegrated. Money will disappear from everyone’s pocket. When that happens, small businesses will start to suffer. More people go out of business. More unemployment.
We are primarily funded by readers. Please subscribe and donate to support us!
We’re talking about unprecedented economic devastation in times of peace. Is the Coronavirus causing all this? Fucking hell, NO. The virus killed a few thousand people so far, and that’s it. The media is trying to paint this as a medieval plague, but the true medieval plague is the panic and the destruction of value that this nonsense is creating.
The virus is NOT the real threat.
It’s the Deep State. And the Media. Together, forcing chaos in order to get once again the only thing that they want: more power.
The virus is not the real threat. They are.
Disclaimer: This is a guest post and it doesn’t represent the views of IWB.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--While everyone is completely distracted by a virus, the bipartisan EARN IT Act is poised to subvert

While everyone is completely distracted by a virus, the bipartisan EARN IT Act is poised to subvert encryption under the guise of protecting the children

“ Never let a serious crisis go to waste.
” EARN IT is a direct threat to constitutional protections for free speech and expression .
To pass constitutional muster , a law that regulates the content of speech must be as narrowly tailored as possible so as not to chill legitimate , lawful speech .
Rather than being narrowly tailored , EARN IT is absurdly broad : under EARN IT , the Commission would effectively have the power to change and broaden the law however it saw fit , as long as it could claim that its recommendations somehow aided @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Those laws could change and expand unpredictably , especially after changes in the presidential administration .
A bipartisan pair of US senators today introduced long-rumored legislation known as the EARN IT Act .
Meant to combat child sexual exploitation online , the bill threatens to erode established protections against holding tech companies responsible for what people do and say on their platforms .
It also poses the most serious threat in years to strong end-to-end encryption .
As the final text of the bill circulated , the Department of Justice held a press @ @ @ @ @ @ @ online child predation : a set of 11 “ voluntary principles ” that a growing number of tech companies—including Facebook , Google , Microsoft , Roblox , Snap , and Twitter—have pledged to follow .
Though the principles the companies are pledging to adopt don ’ t specifically impact encryption themselves , the event had an explicit anti-encryption message .
The cumulative effect of this morning ’ s announcements could define the geography of the next crypto wars .
Child predators “ communicate using virtually unbreakable encryption , ” US attorney general William @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ The department for one is prioritizing combatting child sexual exploitation and abuse in our prosecution efforts .
And we are also addressing child exploitation in our efforts on retaining lawful access and in analyzing the impact of Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act on incentives for platforms to address these crimes.
” EARN IT focuses specifically on Section 230 , which has historically given tech companies freedom to expand with minimal liability for how people use their platforms .
Under EARN IT , those companies wouldn ’ t automatically have a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to child sexual exploitation .
Instead , companies would have to “ earn ” the protection by showing that they are following recommendations for combatting child sexual exploitation laid out by a 16-person commission .

“Never let a serious crisis go to waste.”
EARN IT is a direct threat to constitutional protections for free speech and expression. To pass constitutional muster, a law that regulates the content of speech must be as narrowly tailored as possible so as not to chill legitimate, lawful speech. Rather than being narrowly tailored, EARN IT is absurdly broad: under EARN IT, the Commission would effectively have the power to change and broaden the law however it saw fit, as long as it could claim that its recommendations somehow aided in the prevention of child exploitation . Those laws could change and expand unpredictably, especially after changes in the presidential administration.
www.eff.org/deeplinks/2020/01/congress-must-stop-graham-blumenthal-anti-security-bill
A bipartisan pair of US senators today introduced long-rumored legislation known as the EARN IT Act. Meant to combat child sexual exploitation online, the bill threatens to erode established protections against holding tech companies responsible for what people do and say on their platforms. It also poses the most serious threat in years to strong end-to-end encryption.
As the final text of the bill circulated, the Department of Justice held a press conference about its own effort to curb online child predation: a set of 11 “voluntary principles” that a growing number of tech companies—including Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Roblox, Snap, and Twitter—have pledged to follow. Though the principles the companies are pledging to adopt don’t specifically impact encryption themselves, the event had an explicit anti-encryption message. The cumulative effect of this morning’s announcements could define the geography of the next crypto wars.
Child predators “communicate using virtually unbreakable encryption,” US attorney general William Barr said during the press conference. “The department for one is prioritizing combatting child sexual exploitation and abuse in our prosecution efforts. And we are also addressing child exploitation in our efforts on retaining lawful access and in analyzing the impact of Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act on incentives for platforms to address these crimes.”
EARN IT focuses specifically on Section 230, which has historically given tech companies freedom to expand with minimal liability for how people use their platforms. Under EARN IT, those companies wouldn’t automatically have a liability exemption for activity and content related to child sexual exploitation. Instead, companies would have to “earn” the protection by showing that they are following recommendations for combatting child sexual exploitation laid out by a 16-person commission.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--“World In Lockdown” Pandemic Spreads

“World In Lockdown” Pandemic Spreads

Spain will be put under a nation-wide lockdown as part of desperate measures to tackle the out break .

CORONAVIRUS World News ! ‘It’s silent outside’: Italy, France , Spain ETC ETC under lockdown
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investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Italy authorities just announced that the death number dropped by 30% from what was yesterday which

Italy authorities just announced that the death number dropped by 30% from what was yesterday which is a good news, mainstream media chose instead to publish the overall total death number in headlines

Yesterday they were showing the daily death number comparing it with the previous day and focusing on the increase and @ @ @ @ @ daily death number .
Based on the trend it should had been 300+ deaths today @ @ @ @ @ .
I think they are accelerating the end of this event to try getting everything @ @ @ @ @ by the start of the summer .
Not so good news for other countries in @ @ @ @ @ are trying the same tactic of closing everything , killing all the markets , keep @ @ @ @ @ they can steal .
They still do this one at the time , I don @ @ @ @ @ enough people to control the outbreak narrative on the entire EU simultaneously .
We will @ @ @ @ @ France ?
That is the big question .

by 0naptoon
Yesterday they were showing the daily death number comparing it with the previous day and focusing on the increase and making predictions of the future daily death number.
Based on the trend it should had been 300+ deaths today yet the deaths are 175.
I think they are accelerating the end of this event to try getting everything back to normal in Italy by the start of the summer.
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Not so good news for other countries in EU where it appears they are trying the same tactic of closing everything, killing all the markets, keep people inside, steal everything they can steal.
They still do this one at the time, I don’t think they have enough people to control the outbreak narrative on the entire EU simultaneously.
Now is Spain turn.
We will see this in Germany and France? That is the big question.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--While the sheep fight over toilet paper and hand sanitizer, the tax payers hand over 1.5 trillion to

While the sheep fight over toilet paper and hand sanitizer, the tax payers hand over 1.5 trillion to wall street.

Instead of putting trillions into the flondering stock market , the U.S could have used that money to exterminate the @ @ @ @ @ and kick start the entire generations economic success .
Our generation would be able to @ @ @ @ @ invest etc much more fluently and the potential for this investment is astronomical .
But @ @ @ @ @ Wall Street again .
Which btw had no effect on the markets decline .
Fed @ @ @ @ @ in Bid to Prevent ‘ Unusual Disruptions ’ in Markets The Federal Reserve said it @ @ @ @ @ short-term loans available on Wall Street and purchase Treasury securities in a coronavirus-related response aimed @ @ @ @ @ from creating a sharper economic contraction .
The Fed ’ s promise to intervene substantially @ @ @ @ @ together with a move that opens the door to a resumption of bond-buying stimulus known @ @ @ @ @ two days of trading in which market functioning appeared to have degraded .

Instead of putting trillions into the flondering stock market, the U.S could have used that money to exterminate the u.s student loan debt crisis and kick start the entire generations economic success. Our generation would be able to buy homes, cars, invest etc much more fluently and the potential for this investment is astronomical. But no… Instead we bail out Wall Street again. Which btw had no effect on the markets decline.
via WSJ
Fed to Inject $1.5 Trillion in Bid to Prevent ‘Unusual Disruptions’ in Markets
The Federal Reserve said it would make vast sums of short-term loans available on Wall Street and purchase Treasury securities in a coronavirus-related response aimed at preventing ominous trading conditions from creating a sharper economic contraction.
The Fed’s promise to intervene substantially in short-term money markets, together with a move that opens the door to a resumption of bond-buying stimulus known as quantitative easing, followed two days of trading in which market functioning appeared to have degraded.


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Hospitals are canceling elective surgeries to make space for a potential flood of coronavirus patien

Hospitals are canceling elective surgeries to make space for a potential flood of coronavirus patients

• Hospitals are prepping for a flood of potential coronavirus cases .
• “ We operate close to the limit on a good day , ” said Tufts Medical Center ’ s CEO Dr. Michael Apkon .
• That means cancelling or delaying elective procedures and clinic visits .
Tufts Medical Center in Massachusetts started calling patients earlier this week to reschedule elective procedures , such as knee and hip replacements and even annual physical exams , so it could prepare for an influx of patients with coronavirus .
“ As we began to see that we were going to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , we started to look at what we could do to slow down the cases with social distancing , ” explained the health system ’ s CEO Michael Apkon by phone .
“ We also saw a reality of limited stock , including personal protective equipment , across the industry , ” he continued .
Another concern for the hospital , according to Dr. Apkon , was making space for more coronavirus patients .
Many of the elective procedures underway could require a patient to remain in the hospital for up to five @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a turn for the worse in that time .
“ We operate close to the limit on a good day , ” he said , referring to the hospital ’ s intensive care unit capacity .

Hospitals are prepping for a flood of potential coronavirus cases.
“We operate close to the limit on a good day,” said Tufts Medical Center’s CEO Dr. Michael Apkon.
That means cancelling or delaying elective procedures and clinic visits.
Tufts Medical Center in Massachusetts started calling patients earlier this week to reschedule elective procedures, such as knee and hip replacements and even annual physical exams, so it could prepare for an influx of patients with coronavirus.
“As we began to see that we were going to face a significant issue with the pandemic, we started to look at what we could do to slow down the cases with social distancing,” explained the health system’s CEO Michael Apkon by phone.
“We also saw a reality of limited stock, including personal protective equipment, across the industry,” he continued. Another concern for the hospital, according to Dr. Apkon, was making space for more coronavirus patients. Many of the elective procedures underway could require a patient to remain in the hospital for up to five days, and the situation could take a turn for the worse in that time.
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“We operate close to the limit on a good day,” he said, referring to the hospital’s intensive care unit capacity.
www.cnbc.com/2020/03/13/hospitals-cancel-elective-surgery-to-make-room-for-coronavirus-influx.html


investmentwatchblog--2020-03-15--Florida governor urges Trump to restrict domestic travel

TALLAHASSEE — Florida Gov .
Ron DeSantis said the White House should consider restricting domestic travel from states that are @ @ @ @ @ coronavirus infections , saying the flow of people has made containment difficult .
He made @ @ @ @ @ state on Saturday announced its fourth death from the disease , a 77-year-old man from @ @ @ @ @ in the state and he wants to restrict travel ?
Nothing to see here folks @ @ @ @

TALLAHASSEE — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said the White House should consider restricting domestic travel from states that are seeing a rapid increase in coronavirus infections, saying the flow of people has made containment difficult.
He made the plea shortly before the state on Saturday announced its fourth death from the disease, a 77-year-old man from Lee County.
Four dead in the state and he wants to restrict travel?
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Nothing to see here folks, move along.
www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2020/03/14/florida-governor-urges-trump-to-restrict-domestic-travel-1267088