climatedepot--2020-06-12--Francis Menton: Reality Is Gradually Catching Up To Green Energy

Read enough of this green stuff and you gradually realize that almost everything you read about supposed solutions to climate change is completely delusional .
If you dutifully read your U.S. mainstream media , you undoubtedly have the impression that “ clean ” and “ green ” energy is rapidly sweeping all before it , and soon will supplant fossil fuels in powering our economy .
After all , many major states , including California and New York , have mandated some form of “ net zero ” carbon emissions by 2050 , or in some cases even earlier .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
And reports are everywhere that investment in “ renewables , ” particularly wind and solar energy , continues to soar .
For example , from Reuters in January we have “ U.S .
clean energy investment hits new record despite Trump administration views.
” In the New York Times on May 13 it ’ s “ In a First , Renewable Energy Is Poised to Eclipse Coal in U.S. ” The final victory of wind and solar over the evil fossil fuels must then be right around the corner .
Actually , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The inherent high cost and unreliability of wind and solar energy mean that they are highly unlikely ever to be more than niche players in the overall energy picture .
Politicians claim progressive virtue by commissioning vast farms of wind turbines and solar panels , at taxpayer or ratepayer expense , without anyone ever figuring out — or even addressing — how these things can run a fully functioning electrical grid without complete fossil fuel backup .
And the electrical grid is the easy part .
How about airplanes ?
How about steel @ @ @ @ @ @ @ someone to demonstrate that this “ net zero ” thing is something more than a ridiculous fantasy , but I can ’ t find it .
To stay grounded in reality , there is no better source than the multiple-times-weekly email from the Global Warming Policy Foundation .
If you do not already receive these emails , you can go here to subscribe .
As is typical , today ’ s email searches out back pages and specialized sources to bring us multiple pieces showing green energy running into its inevitable wall , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
( Full disclosure : I am on the Board of the GWPF ’ s American affiliate . )
We go first to green energy champion Germany , where Bloomberg reports on June 5 that “ Germany ’ s Green Power Finance Is Becoming Unaffordable.
” Excerpt : It seems that to get its wind and solar facilities built , Germany put in place guaranteed payments to producers that would kick in if market prices for power were insufficient .
The guaranteed payments are divvied up and added to consumer electricity bills .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ fossil fuels plummeting , the guaranteed payments are projected to come in at some 26 billion euros — which is around $ 100 per month for every German household , on top of electricity prices that were already about triple the U.S. average .
Of course , Chancellor Merkel is proposing a “ fix , ” which is a government bailout as part of a supposed coronavirus relief package .
That may work for a little while .
Then what ?
Also from Germany , we have a piece from the Financial Times @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Environmentalists on back foot as Germany ’ s newest coal plant opens.
” What ?
?
— Opening a new coal power plant right in the midst of a transition away from fossil fuels ?
?
What happened here is that they are closing all their nuclear plants , and they need something that works all the time , unlike the wind and the solar .
Just in January , Germany enacted legislation to completely phase out coal power generation by 2038 ; and then in May , they went right ahead and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The Financial Times piece quotes Greenpeace activist Lisa Göldner as calling the new plant a “ climate crime.
” Meanwhile , the crew members of a barge bringing coal to the plant are described as “ whooping and whistling in mockery ” at environmental protesters seeking to block the opening of the plant .
The fact is that Germany has nowhere further to go by building more wind and solar facilities .
When the wind blows on a sunny day , they already have more power than they can use , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to Poland ( or even pay the Poles to take it ) .
On a calm night , no matter how much wind and solar they build , it all produces nothing .
Without the coal plant , the lights go out .
Talk about climate virtue all they want , but no one has yet even begun to work on a solution to get past this hurdle .
Which brings me to the most important piece in the GWPF email , from Cambridge Professor Michael Kelly , appearing in something called CapX @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ Until we get a proper roadmap , Net Zero is a goal without a plan.
” Kelly makes the point that seems to me obvious , but that somehow has slipped past the New York Times and all the rest of the MSM , which is that if wind and solar energy are ever going to surpass niche status , there is a gigantic engineering problem to solve .
Somebody has to engineer an electrical system based on the intermittent sources that works 24/7/365 .
But in fact , even as major @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to “ net zero ” energy , nobody has even started the engineering project .
And as soon as you start to consider the question , you quickly realize that the whole endeavor is almost certainly impossible .
As an example , Kelly addresses batteries : Take batteries .
It is estimated that current battery manufacturing capabilities will need to be in the order of 500-700 times bigger than now to support an all-electric global transport system .
The materials needed just to allow the UK to transition to all electric transport involve @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the annual global production of cobalt , 75 % of lithium carbonate , 100 % of neodymium and 50 % of copper .
Scaling by a factor of 50 for the world transport , and you see what is now a showstopper .
The materials demands just for batteries are beyond known reserves .
Would one be prepared to dredge the ocean floor at very large scale for some of the material ?
Should securing the reserves not be a first priority ?
And that ’ s just one of the issues .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Gradually Catching Up To Green Energy appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum ( GWPF ) .


climatedepot--2020-06-12--20 Years On, Jurassic Park Author Michael Crichton is Still Right about Global Warming

Everyone has heard of Jurassic Park .
What is less well known is author Michael Crichton , who passed in 2008 , was also a staunch critic of politicised science , and an articulate and effective global warming skeptic , who was just getting into his stride when he was sadly struck down at age 66 by cancer .
TWENTY YEARS ON , ALIENS STILL CAUSE GLOBAL WARMING Over the years , the Jurassic Park creator observed , science has drifted from its foundation as an objective search for truth toward political power games In 2003 , author and filmmaker @ @ @ @ @ @ @ known for Jurassic Park , made a now-famous speech at Caltech , titled “ Aliens Cause Global Warming.
” The title was humorous but the content was serious .
He was not addressing some strange theory of global warming ; he was warning about the politicization of science .
In 2003 , author and filmmaker Michael Crichton ( 1942–2008 ) , best known for Jurassic Park , made a now-famous speech at Caltech , titled “ Aliens Cause Global Warming.
” The title was humorous but the content was serious .
He was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ warming ; he was warning about the politicization of science .
Crichton ( left , in 2002 , courtesy Jon Chase , Harvard CC 3.0 ) , noted that , over the years , science has drifted away from its foundation as an objective search for truth and given itself over to political power games .
The first time that he witnessed that was with the famous Drake Equation , used to turn SETI speculations about space aliens into a science .
The Drake equation was a series of probabilities multiplied together to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ exist who can communicate with us .
Of course , none of the terms is known or even estimable , and they may not be expressible as probabilities .
However , SETI was given a pass because it suited the scientific zeitgeist of the day .
It probably helped capture public attention for science .
The same thing happened during discussions of the effects of nuclear war .
Paper after paper made nonsense claims about such a war ’ s effects , including nuclear winter .
But no one wanted to intervene , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a defense of nuclear war .
Thus , bad science , even from top-tier journals , was reported as fact by the scientific community .
Crichton noted that some of these papers were actually part of an orchestrated media campaign : The first announcement of nuclear winter appeared in an article by Sagan in the Sunday supplement , Parade .
The very next day , a highly-publicized , high-profile conference on the long-term consequences of nuclear war was held in Washington , chaired by Carl Sagan and Paul Ehrlich , the most famous @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Sagan appeared on the Johnny Carson show 40 times .
Ehrlich was on 25 times .
Following the conference , there were press conferences , meetings with congressmen , and so on .
The formal papers in Science came months later .
MICHAEL CRICHTON , “ ALIENS CAUSE GLOBAL WARMING ” AT CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY , PASADENA , CA ( JANUARY 17 , 2003 ) He summed it all up by saying , “ This is not the way science is done , it is the way products are sold.
” Painful @ @ @ @

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climatedepot--2020-06-12--A Closer Look at CO2 Growth

A Closer Look at CO2 Growth

For a while I have been looking at atmospheric carbon dioxide data from stations around the world .
This post draws together some observations , many of which are pretty much common knowledge- but some of what I ’ ve found is surprising .
So I ’ ll start by listing some of this common and not so common knowledge : - -The often quoted figures for global CO2 levels are not at all global , but are the local readings at Mauna Loa in Hawaii .
-The long term carbon dioxide record shows continuing increase at all stations , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
-Southern Hemisphere CO2 concentration is increasing but more slowly than the Northern Hemisphere .
Their trends are diverging .
-Seasonal peaks in CO2 concentration occur in late winter and spring in both hemispheres .
-There is very great inter-annual variation in the seasonal cycle of CO2 , which can be even more than the average annual increase .
-This inter-annual variation occurs at the same time in both hemispheres , even though the seasonal cycles are 6 months apart .
This implies a global cause , such as the El Nino Southern @ @ @ @ @ @ @ eruptions also have an impact .
There are likely to be other factors .
-Sea surface temperature change precedes CO2 change by 12 to 24 months .
It is difficult to reconcile this with ocean out-gassing as a cause of the inter-annual CO2 changes .
It is nonsense to claim that CO2 change leads to sea surface temperature change .
-ENSO changes occur at about the same time as CO2 changes .
-Because of the “ oscillation ” part of ENSO events , strong events are followed by opposite conditions 16 to 24 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ strong El Nino will lead to strong ocean warming often followed by La Nina conditions and higher CO2 concentration .
-The slowing Southern Hemisphere trend and flattening curve at the South Pole lacks satisfactory explanation .
Geoffrey Sherrington has shown differences existing between NOAA and Scripps daily CO2 data at Mauna Loa , and that uncertainty in daily data must be much greater than the claimed 0.2 part per million .
His article confirmed my decision to use Scripps instead of NOAA data .
In this post I use Scripps monthly data from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ data from the CSIRO station at Cape Grim in Tasmania , to compare observations from different locations .
Figure 1 shows the locations of stations in the Scripps network , and Cape Grim .
Point Barrow is the most northerly part of the USA , and Alert is the most northerly part of Canada .
The often quoted figures for global CO2 levels are not at all global .
They are not the global average , nor are they representative of other locations .
They are in fact the local CO2 concentration from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The trend in CO2 increase is similar to , but not the same as , those in other locations .
Figure 2 shows monthly CO2 concentrations from all of the Scripps stations .
It is clear that all stations show a similar rising trend , and all show seasonal variation of varying degrees .
However , few stations have long term records , and most have periods of missing data .
Figure 3 shows monthly differences from the Mauna Loa record of stations with fairly complete records .
Clearly , there are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ -La Jolla has too many gaps for further analysis .
-There are differences between Cape Grim and South Pole from about 1980 to the early 1990s .
-Southern Hemisphere stations ( American Samoa , Cape Grim , and South Pole ) are diverging from Mauna Loa , and from Barrow Point and Alert .
Figure 5 shows these trends more clearly .
While South Pole and Mauna Loa are strongly diverging , Barrow Point and Mauna Loa are becoming slightly more similar .
In Figure 6 , the divergence of South Pole data @ @ @ @ @ @ @ how much larger the Barrow Point seasonal range is .
More importantly , note how South Pole data begin well within the Mauna Loa range , but 50 years later barely reach the bottom of the Mauna Loa range , as Figures 7 and 8 show .
Why the divergence ?
How can a well-mixed gas show a lower trend at the South Pole ?
Why is it that the South Pole summer draw down has decreased and is now a plateauing ?
Now zooming in to look at seasonal swings in just @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The Barrow Point range from low to high is nearly three times the size of the Mauna Loa range , and the South Pole range is tiny .
The peak concentrations at Barrow Point and Mauna Loa are in late spring , with a sharp drop at Barrow Point to August and a smoother curve at Mauna Loa to lows in autumn ; while at the South Pole the annual curve is better described as a shallow rise in winter followed by a “ peak ” in spring and a long plateau over @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in late summer .
The next three plots show the timing of highs and lows at these three stations for the whole record .
Annual lows are in September or October , and highs are almost always in May .
Lows are always in August , while highs are spread across late winter to late spring , with a plateau from February to May ( and extending twice into June ) .
At the South Pole , seasonal highs are reached in spring or early summer , with lows in late summer and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ June .
While the seasonal cycles appear to be regular , the timing and size of seasonal changes can vary considerably from year to year .
The next plots show detrended data for several locations since 1985 for several locations ( few have good data before 1985 ) .
Detrending allows us to compare inter-annual variation more easily .
We do this for each record by subtracting the trend .
While the seasonal range is different for each location , there is remarkable similarity in timing of changes , for example the late @ @ @ @ @ @ @ how close Cape Grim and South Pole are , although Cape Grim is at 40.68 degrees South , 49 degrees north of the South Pole .
The South Pole data appear to be representative of a large part of the Southern Ocean .
Because the detrended data retain enormous seasonal variations , it is necessary to show the detrended data ( this time from 1979 ) with monthly means subtracted , for Barrow Point in the far north , Mauna Loa in the middle , and South Pole at the extreme south .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ an example , Figure 17 compares detrended data from Barrow Point with monthly means : Subtracting the monthly means shows the residual variation in carbon dioxide for Barrow Point : All three records follow the same pattern , with a large increase from 1979 to the late 1980s , followed by decrease in the 1990s .
There appears to be another steep increase from 2012 to the present .
Notice that Mauna Loa and South Pole values can be from 1 ppm below to 2 ppm above the trend , while at Barrow @ @ @ @ @ @ @ below to 5 ppm above the trend , which is about 2.5 ppm per year .
However , there is still a large amount of variation in the monthly figures .
A centred 13 month rolling mean makes comparison much easier .
Figure 20 : Centred 13 month mean of detrended monthly CO2 with seasonal signal removed The similar pattern followed by stations from north to south , from the Arctic Ocean , across the Pacific , to the Antarctic , far from any industrial or cropping contamination , is immediately obvious .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ behind Mauna Loa and South Pole data by from one to five months .
South Pole can be a few months ahead to a few months behind Mauna Loa , even though South Pole absolute monthly concentration peaks are from four to seven months later .
In Figure 14 of my post on 2nd May , Will Covid-19 Affect Carbon Dioxide Levels ?
I showed that CO2 change lags one year behind sea surface temperatures ( SSTs ) .
The next plot shows the centred 13 month mean of HadSST4 data , scaled @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Figure 21 : Scaled , centred 13 month mean of detrended monthly HadSST4 and CO2 data with seasonal signal removed Now the same data with SSTs lagged 12 months… Figure 22 : Scaled , centred 13 month mean of detrended monthly HadSST4 and CO2 data with seasonal signal removed , HadSST4 lagged 12 months Large change in CO2 concentrations appears closely linked with sea surface temperature a year before- ( or even two years , as between 2002 and 2010 ) .
Sea surface temperatures have a global effect .
Another cause of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Oscillation ( ENSO ) which appears in the swings between El Nino and La Nina conditions .
ENSO has a great effect on weather conditions globally , affecting winds , clouds , rainfall and temperature .
Figure 18 shows how CO2 levels respond to theSouthern Oscillation Index ( SOI ) , which is a good indicator of ENSO conditions .
CO2 increases in La Ninas .
The pattern becomes more intriguing when we plot inverted SOI levels with sea surface temperatures , as in Figure 19 .
Figure 24 : Scaled , centred @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with seasonal signal removed and scaled inverted SOI Inverted SOI data indicate SST data 4 to 6 months later .
( The early 1980s and early 1990s don ’ t match because of the huge volcanic eruptions of El Chichon and Pinatubo . )
In other words , an El Nino will raise ocean temperatures , and a La Nina will lower ocean temperatures , 6 months later .
Because of the oscillating nature of ENSO , El Ninos and La Ninas approximately reflect each other 16 to 24 months later , as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ El Chichon and Pinatubo have a large impact . )
That pattern recurs , with varying lag times , throughout the whole 144 year SOI history .
Which is why SSTs will probably increase to about February of 2021… Figure 27 : Scaled SOI , normal and inverted , and detrended HadSST4 , with South Pole CO2 data The long term carbon dioxide record shows continuing increase at all stations , indicating greater output than sinks can absorb .
CO2 concentrations and trends , while similar , have discernible differences at different locations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ concentrations at Southern Hemisphere stations are increasing , but more slowly than those in the Northern Hemisphere , such that their trends are diverging .
On the long term CO2 rise are seasonal rises and falls , most likely due to seasonal vegetation , crop , and phytoplankton growth and decay .
Peaks in CO2 concentration occur after winter and spring in both hemispheres- February to May at Barrow Point , April and May at Mauna Loa , and September-December at the South Pole .
This is not due however to a six @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the Northern Hemisphere to the Southern , otherwise the South Pole trend would be the same .
It is lower , and becoming more so .
There is great variety in seasonal range of CO2 at different locations , with greatest variation in the Arctic and the least in the Southern Hemisphere .
The amount and timing of these seasonal rises and falls varies from year to year .
These inter-year changes in CO2 concentrations can be as much as or greater than the normal annual increase .
Even though the South @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Ocean , especially in winter when sea ice extends further , and even further from any vegetated land areas , its data appear representative of a great part of the Southern Hemisphere .
Small inter-annual changes in sea surface temperatures have a large impact on these changes in CO2 concentrations at South Pole and Mauna Loa about 12 to 24 months later .
There can be a further delay of up to five months in the effect at Point Barrow .
This is not controversial .
According to the CSIRO , these variations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with the regular El Niño-Southern Oscillation ( ENSO ) phenomenon and with major volcanic eruptions .
These variations in carbon dioxide are small compared to the regular annual cycle , but can make a difference to the observed year-by-year increase in carbon dioxide.
” While sea surface temperature rise precedes CO2 concentration increase , there is no evidence at all of CO2 concentration change preceding sea surface temperature change .
With an apparent approximate 12 – 24 month delay between ocean temperature change and inter-annual CO2 change , changes in ocean out-gassing and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ mechanism .
Changes in land vegetation , forests , crops , and oceanic phytoplankton , moderated by the changing circulation , rainfall , cloud , and temperature patterns of ENSO events , appears to be a more likely mechanism , with the much smaller land area of the Southern Hemisphere accounting for the much smaller changes .
This does not however explain the decreasing amount of summer draw down at the South Pole , and the divergence from Northern Hemisphere data .
Perhaps Southern Ocean phytoplankton are not decreasing as much during winter @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increasing , slowing the CO2 growth trend a little and smoothing the CO2 growth curve .
Who knows ?
I have yet to see a satisfactory- or any- explanation .


climatedepot--2020-06-12--UK Consumers Face £2-3 Billion Annual Bill To Prevent Green Energy Blackouts

John Constable has a new report out on the rapidly rising bill to prevent power blackouts : London , 10 June — The Global Warming Policy Foundation ( GWPF ) is today publishing a collection of papers by energy expert Dr John Constable , documenting the rapid decay of the UK electricity system , with system balancing costs spiralling out of control over the last few weeks .
The cost of balancing the grid over the Bank Holiday weekend amounted to £50m , and National Grid has predicted additional costs of £700m from May to August alone .
It has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reduce the bill , but according to expert observers , these may well prove futile .
GB system balancing costs have been rising sharply over recent decades , as inflexible renewables have taken a leading role in electricity supply , driven by £10 billion a year of subsidies and price-fixing arrangements .
In 2002 system balancing cost £367m , but by 2019 it had risen to just under £1.5bn , a level that was expected to be sustained this year .
However , because wind and solar can ’ t respond to the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Grid now expects the total to be about £2bn , and even that figure is based on the optimistic assumption that costs return to normal after August .
If the lockdown runs on into the autumn , the cost could easily rise by hundreds of millions more , and a prolonged post-Covid recession could mean consumers having to foot this bill for many years to come .
Dr Constable , author of the GWPF study , said : “ Renewables have been undermining the UK electricity system for years , with National Grid @ @ @ @ @ @ @ piles of consumer cash .
The Covid-19 lockdown has caused a balancing cost surge and revealed this green appeasement policy as unsustainable .
The UK ’ s fragile renewables-based system can barely deal with the expected ; a surprise causes a crisis.
” Dr Constable added : “ If demand remains low during the post-Covid recession the multi-billion pound costs of managing and subsidising renewables must be recovered from a much smaller volume of sales .
That is a recipe for rapid and abrupt price rises , the like of which the British @ @ @ @ @ @ @ enough .
In what everyone agrees is a very difficult moment the national interest demands a cost minimisation strategy for electricity , based on gas and nuclear.
” The full paper is here .


climatedepot--2020-06-12--‘Heatwave propaganda’: BBC ‘Astonished’ By Perfectly Usual Arctic Weather

The BBC have been up to their tricks again , this time with their Arctic heatwave propaganda .
In fact @ @ @ @ @ common events in that part of Russia above the Arctic Circle .
Pesha only has @ @ @ @ @ data , but there are plenty of other stations nearby with long , continuous records @ @ @ @ @ co-ordinates are 66N 47E ) The nearest three with more than 80 years data are @ @ @ @ @ same picture , with temperatures over 30C throughout the record : At Indiga which is @ @ @ @ @ instance , the highest temperature on record is 31.3 , set on 26th July 1974 @ @ @ @ @ a bit illogical , high temperatures like these are commonly seen across the Arctic .
@ @ @ @ @ Hellerpoints out , is that during June , the Arctic receives more solar radiation than @ @ @ @ @ .


climatedepot--2020-06-12--The great green reset is at odds with economic and energy reality

From Forbes , by Tilak Doshi H/T to Andrew Gibson As the world emerges from Covid-19 lockdown we are now being told that the economic recovery from the pandemic-panic needs to be “ green.
” Political leaders and mass media editors cite the well-known slogan “ never let a crisis go to waste , ” and claim that massive sums need to be spent on economic recovery plans , and that the spending has to be “ sustainable.
” Prince Charles – a prognosticator of apocalyptic climate change – said at the opening of a virtual World Economic Forum event @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to “ reset the global economy and prioritize sustainable development.
” Using similar language , the founder and chairman of the World Economic Forum Klaus Schwab calls for a “ Great Reset ” of capitalism .
Seeing a silver lining in the pandemic , he advocates “ radical changes ” to “ create a new economic system ” including sustainably green urban infrastructure .
The calls by Prince Charles and Klaus Schwab for remaking capitalism are in lock-step with the stated aims of Christiana Figueres , the former executive secretary of the U.N. @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Leading the UN ’ s climate change juggernaut , she had demanded “ setting ourselves the task of intentionally… chang [ ing ] the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years , since the Industrial Revolution.
” In discussing the EU ’ s trillion-euro plan for economic recovery from the pandemic , European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen promises to put the European Green Deal “ at the centre.
” Her political ally German Chancellor Angela Merkel concurs : “ With the European Green Deal the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ … it is important that recovery programmes always keep an eye on the climate , we must not side-line climate but invest in climate technologies.
” Across the English channel , UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak ’ s £600 billion recovery package to be unveiled next month promises nothing less than a “ green industrial revolution.
” It will create “ green jobs ” and supply “ clean energy , ” consistent with the country ’ s commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions to “ net zero ” by 2050 .
Across the pond @ @ @ @ @ @ @ presidential nominee Joe Biden is “ embracing the Green New Deal ’ s framework , setting a deadline to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 and vowing to create a clean-energy economy with new jobs.
” Mr. Biden ’ s support for Green New Deal rhetoric of his party ’ s left-wing — represented by Elizabeth Warren , Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — promises policy proposals including a carbon tax , $ 1.7 trillion in “ green ” spending , a ban on oil and gas drilling on public lands , and a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ countries are having none of this .
Instead of costly subsidies and infrastructure investments on intermittent and low-density “ renewable ” technologies , they will opt for further investments in an established energy system that has been developed over the past century .
Thus , in a scramble to jumpstart its economy , China approved nearly 10GW of new coal-fired power generation capacity in the first quarter of this year , roughly equal to the capacity approved for all of 2019 .
A recent report from the International Energy Agency found that “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ plants in the first quarter of 2020 ( mainly in China ) were at twice the rate seen in 2019 ” , with a long pipeline of projects under construction .
Wood Mackenzie , a consulting company , estimates that there will be a net increase in global coal-fired power capacity this year , with 22 gigawatts of closures in Europe and the US more than offset by 49 gigawatts of plants opening in Asia .
For the billions of people who have newly emerged from poverty in recent decades and are beginning @ @ @ @ @ @ @ growth and technological progress across Asia , Africa and Latin America — among the greatest achievements in human history – the West ’ s ideological crusade against capitalism and economic growth may seem self-indulgent .
Policy makers in poorer countries are fully aware that their economies can not do without fossil fuels .
Available and affordable energy , deliverable at scale , is the sine qua non of economic development .
Industrialization , urbanization and middle class living standards are not the curse words that they have become for the West ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ still most likely to be delivered by oil , gas and coal which account for 85 % of global primary energy supply .
Many developing countries with large segments of the population living hand-to-mouth have replicated the strict lockdowns of the West , but without the capacity to provide the kind of welfare assistance that developed countries have extended to their citizens .
As one of India ’ s leading industrialists Rajiv Bajaj put it , the country has “ flattened the wrong curve .
It is not the infection curve , it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ post-Covid-19 recovery plans will undoubtedly stick with what ’ s proven to work in the past , and continue to emphasize cheap and plentiful fossil fuels .


climatedepot--2020-06-12--Climate campaigners want to make the shutdown permanent

The world is reopening and economic recovery is gathering steam .
Global warming campaigners don ’ t like this one bit .
They view the COVID-19 shutdown as a model for the future they want .
Echoing former Obama science advisor John Holdren , they want the United States and other modern societies to de-develop and de-industrialize , establish low-consumption life styles that ensure “ more equitable distribution of wealth , ” and tell poor countries how much “ ecologically feasible ” development they will be permitted to pursue .
CFACT ’ s Marc Morano posted extensive coverage to CFACT @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pearl of wisdom from Britain ’ s Prince Charles who told the World Economic Forum : We have a unique but rapidly shrinking window of opportunity to learn lessons and reset ourselves on a more sustainable path… We have a golden opportunity to seize something good from this crisis .
Its unprecedented shockwaves may well make people more receptive to big visions of change .
CFACT has been fully engaged with the UN climate change process since its inception .
Yvo used to run it , until he left to cash in as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ only way that a 2015 agreement can achieve a 2-degree goal , ” de Boer said in 2013 , “ is to shut down the whole global economy.
” Both the terror that prompted the COVID-19 lock down , and the frightening scenarios climate pressure groups launch into an all-too-receptive media , are grounded not in reality , but extreme scenarios in computer models .
They have never approached reality .
As CFACT explained as the virus economic shut down was in its infancy : every dollar you spend , no matter how @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In a free market economy that power is tremendous .
When we withdraw from the marketplace , a reverse multiplier takes hold with a strangling grip .
Freedom is the right of every person on Earth .
Like America ’ s founding father ’ s , we at CFACT hold that truth to be self-evident .
Freedom feeds the world .
Socialism and control starve it .
Whatever challenge we face , it is economic freedom that will provide the means to meet it .


climatedepot--2020-06-12--It’s time to follow Mexico and pull the plug on ‘renewables’

The only things ‘ inevitable ’ about the ‘ transition ’ to wind and solar are rocketing electricity prices and unstable power grids .
Recognizing that industrial wind and solar electricity bring little to no value to electrical grids , Mexico is moving to avoid the higher electrical prices experienced by Germany , Denmark , Great Britain , South Australia , California , Wisconsin , Minnesota , and other governments that have heavily subsidized their supply of intermittent electricity .
Time for California to follow the lead of our Southern neighbor and pull the plug on renewable subsidies .
To @ @ @ @ @ @ @ electricity , Mexico stepped up to the plate and pulled the plug on subsidy dependent intermittent power from wind and solar that has been driving up the cost of electricity for its financially challenged population .
The Mexican government has taken a stand that has sent renewable energy rent seekers into a tailspin .
Does California have the leadership mettle to reverse decades of price increases for electricity ?
Based on what Newsom did in San Francisco , maybe not .
Governor Newsom was the San Francisco Mayor for eight years .
In @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Mayor of San Francisco , becoming the city ’ s youngest mayor in a century .
Newsom was re-elected in 2007 .
In the event our leadership does nothing to curtail continuous increases in the cost of electricity , this California Political Review article America ’ s Havana – Thousands Say Ciao to San Francisco may be a preview of the outlook for the entire state under current leadership .
Hopefully , Newsom could deliver such a message .
I , as a Toastmaster graduate , focus on the number of “ ahs @ @ @ @ @ @ @ starts almost every sentence with an “ ah ” , so much so that it ’ s so distracting that I have stopped listening to his COVID-19 updates and wait for a condensed summary from the news broadcasters .
When you listen to his next pandemic update , focus on all those “ ahs ” and you ’ ll understand !
For decades , California ’ s bizarre laws and regulations and subsides for “ green ” renewables have driven up the cost of electricity for its 40 million residents .
It ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ upward trend that gotten prices for electricity in California are already fifty percent higher than the national average for residents , and double the national average for commercial , and are projected to go even higher .
With the shuttering of Pacific Gas & Electric ’ s Diablo Canyon ’ s Nuclear 2,160 megawatts in 2024 and Los Angeles ’ Mayor Garcetti ’ s desire for the forthcoming closures of three natural gas-powered plants that have been generating continuously uninterruptible electricity .
Our elected officials seem to be oblivious to the fact that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ generating capacity to replace what ’ s going to be lost .
Further , that “ green ” electricity from wind and solar is only intermittent , as neither generates when the wind is not blowing , and when the sun ’ s not shining .
Since California is currently unable to generate sufficient electricity in-state to meet demand , the state is forced by its own policies to import more electricity than any other state , an outcome that is not in the financial interest of any California resident .
Without any @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in-state power generation , California continues to shut down its safely functioning nuclear and natural gas electricity generation plants !
With this path forward , in the event other states can not generate enough electricity to export to California to replace what ’ s being lost by shutting down the last nuclear plant and three natural gas plants in California , it ’ s lights out for California ’ s future .
Who knows how high they will go as the state continues its importing appetite for expensive electricity ?
Never mentioned by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ destruction from the mining of precious minerals to support renewables that leave lands uninhabitable and worthless for plants and trees .
Renewable taxpayer handouts have stripped landscapes worldwide .
Left in the wake of intermittent electricity farms and subsidized biomass-fueled power plants is cynical at best , and mercenary in their ability to destroy nature ’ s ability to alleviate the coronavirus via cleaner air .
During this global pandemic , dependence on China for rare earth minerals , which solar panels and wind turbines are useless without , renewable electricity a costly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ make no sense when the entire world is sick .
Only using Warren Buffet ’ s logic does chaotic wind power bring financial wealth when Mr. Buffett said : “ We get a tax credit if we build a lot of wind farms .
That is the only reasons to build them .
They don ’ t make sense without the tax credit.
” The subsidies for “ green ” electricity has driven up California ’ s cost of electricity to be among the most expensive in America , and with decades of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to California being a complex regulatory state , Joel Kotlin from NewGeogrpahy summarized the future in the state in his article : The Coronavirus means millennials are more screwed than ever .
As America recovers from the COVID-19 shelter-in-place mandates , California can not rid itself from the continuing and state-prescribed high costs of energy that other states are not shackled by , and those elected California officials are doing nothing to effectively and forever resolve the causes of the high energy costs that severely limit the state ’ s economic base and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s time for California to align Mexico ’ s leadership bold move and pull the plug on intermittent renewables as the state needs is continuous uninterruptable electricity that ’ s reliable and affordable , more than ever .


climatedepot--2020-06-12--Don’t be conned by the media/public health bureaucrats claim of spiking COVID cases: ‘Overall hospit

Don’t be conned by the media/public health bureaucrats claim of spiking COVID cases: ‘Overall hospitalizations are rising because people are returning to hospitals for elective surgeries that were postponed’

5/ Now , in some of these states COVID-related hospitalizations have also risen ( though they make up a tiny @ @ @ @ @ .
Scary , right ?
No .
When people go to the hospital for elective @ @ @ @ @ tested for COVID ...


climatedepot--2020-06-13--UN Warns ‘worst food crisis in the last 50 years’ due to lockdowns

The United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that the world is facing an “ impending global food emergency ” that could impact hundreds of millions of people as the coronavirus pandemic threatens already strained supply chains , according to Hong Kong-based Asia Times .
He warned that the recessions that follow the pandemic will put basic nutrition out of reach for millions .
“ Our food systems are failing , and the Covid-19 pandemic is making things worse , ” the UN chief said in a statement accompanying a report by the UN .
“ More than 820 million people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ children under the age of five are stunted – more than one in five children worldwide.
” That ’ s particularly troubling as malnutrition has lifelong consequences .
If the number of children who suffer from malnutrition grows , it is likely to cause increased stunting and provide a future strain on health care systems .
Guterres warned that “ this year , some 49 million extra people may fall into extreme poverty due to the Covid-19 crisis , ” according to Asia Times .
“ Unless immediate action is taken , it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ impending global food emergency that could have long-term impacts on hundreds of millions of children and adults , ” as The Guardian reported .
“ We need to act now to avoid the worst impacts of our efforts to control the pandemic.
” The UN Secretary-General provided a three-point plan for attacking the hunger crisis : focus aid on the worst-stricken areas to avoid immediate disaster , to improve social safety nets so children , pregnant women and breast-feeding mothers along with other at-risk group receive adequate nutrition , and to invest in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ chains for the future , according to Guterres ’ statement .
The latest data in the report , The Impact of COVID-19 on Food Security and Nutrition , found that the food security of 135 million people is at crisis level or worse .
That number could nearly double before the end of the year due to the impacts of COVID-19 .
Increasing unemployment and the loss of income associated with lockdowns are also putting food out of reach for many struggling people , the report found , according to The Guardian .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ the cost for basic foods has begun to rise in some countries .
The report also expects harvests to slow down , since many seasonal laborers are unable to work or travel for work .
Meanwhile , despite the impending crisis , food waste is surging as farmers are finding themselves in the unenviable position of dumping perishable food because of supply chain problems , as The Guardian reported .


climatedepot--2020-06-13--COVID Lockdowns in Africa Have Been Deadlier than the Disease – Police shoot, rape lockdown violator

COVID Lockdowns in Africa Have Been Deadlier than the Disease – Police shoot, rape lockdown violators as dire poverty worsens

A slew of countries including Zimbabwe ( despite being in the middle of a food crisis ) , the Republic of Congo , Uganda , and Botswana have all extended their lockdowns .
The police brutality that has come along with enforced lockdowns has already claimed more lives than COVID-19 .
...
In Kenya , after going into labor during the curfew , one pregnant woman recently died along with her unborn baby because the midwife was too afraid to come to her home , and neighbors were unwilling to risk driving her to the hospital .
These fears weren @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pregnant woman died , a Kenyan motorcycle taxi driver was allegedly beaten to death by police after he broke curfew to take a laboring woman to the hospital ...
Despite many Western media outlets showering the South African government with praise for its supposed “ ruthlessly efficient ” response to the coronavirus , videos have emerged of police firing rubber bullets on crowds , and the government ’ s own police complaints agency is currently investigating an incidence of a man who was beaten to death with a hammer for leaving his home @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , police have shot lockdown breakers , five policemen were arrested in Rwanda on suspicion of beating up local men and raping their wives , and in Kenya , police shot dead a 13-year-old boy for playing on his balcony a few minutes after the beginning of the curfew .
... Lockdowns have resulted in horrific police brutality and further impoverished millions of the world ’ s poorest people .
In late March , most African states copied the approach taken by many countries worldwide and implemented a mass lockdown that saw schools @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and people largely confined to their homes .
In Sub-Saharan Africa—the world ’ s poorest region—these lockdowns have proven more dangerous than the virus itself .
In North America and Europe , the direct impact of enforcing lockdowns has resulted in dozens of petty arrests , some fines , and a dab of overzealous policing .
Yet , in some African states , the police brutality that has come along with enforced lockdowns has already claimed more lives than COVID-19 .
In Uganda , police have shot lockdown breakers , five policemen were @ @ @ @ @ @ @ up local men and raping their wives , and in Kenya , police shot dead a 13-year-old boy for playing on his balcony a few minutes after the beginning of the curfew .
Despite many Western media outlets showering the South African government with praise for its supposed “ ruthlessly efficient ” response to the coronavirus , videos have emerged of police firing rubber bullets on crowds , and the government ’ s own police complaints agency is currently investigating an incidence of a man who was beaten to death with a hammer @ @ @ @ @ @ @ beer .
The number of accounts like these could fill a small book already .
Getting up-to-date information of police brutality in Africa can be difficult , but as of mid-April , the National Human Rights Commission reported that , in Nigeria , at least 18 people have allegedly been killed by police violence during the enforcement of the lockdown .
At the time of their report , only 11 Nigerians had died from COVID-19 .
A similar story can be found in Kenya , when in the first ten days of its @ @ @ @ @ @ @ died from police violence—as many as the number killed by coronavirus .
Tragically , the deaths won ’ t stop there .
Right now , many people are too scared to venture out of their homes to buy life-saving medicines or to seek urgent medical care .
In Kenya , after going into labor during the curfew , one pregnant woman recently died along with her unborn baby because the midwife was too afraid to come to her home , and neighbors were unwilling to risk driving her to the hospital .
These @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as the pregnant women died , a Kenyan motorcycle taxi driver was allegedly beaten to death by police after he broke curfew to take a laboring woman to the hospital .
Beyond the horrific brutality inflicted by law enforcement , even worse is the lockdown ’ s economic effect on millions of the world ’ s poorest people—suddenly unable to earn an income and afford the basic necessities needed to survive .
According to the WorldBank , Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest number of people living in extreme poverty than any other region @ @ @ @ @ @ @ population making less than $ 1.90 per day .
This works out to be almost 400 million people living in extreme poverty , almost 240 million of whom are already undernourished .
In the West , lockdowns are feasible , if economically destructive .
Many people can work from home .
For most Africans , no such luxuries exist .
Over 70 percent of Africans work in the informal sector and make their living as traders , farmers , or self-employed artisans .
The little money they do make is usually spent that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to work plunges millions of the world ’ s most vulnerable people into further poverty .
To make matters worse , several agencies have warned that if African countries fail to keep up their efforts in combating other deadly diseases due to the lockdowns , many more lives could be at risk .
The World Health Organization , for instance has maintained that if states fail to maintain the delivery of insecticide-treated mosquito nets or keep up the supply of antimalarial medicines , approximately 770,000 Africans could die of malaria this year .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ the number of malaria deaths recorded in 2018 .
Whereas some African states , such as South Africa and Ghana , are beginning to slowly lift their lockdown rules , these liberalized measures are the exception .
A slew of countries including Zimbabwe ( despite being in the middle of a food crisis ) , the Republic of Congo , Uganda , and Botswana have all extended their lockdowns .
Only Malawi has rejected the lockdown—its high court blocked the legislation just hours before it was meant to be enacted , out of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ could devastate the poorest people .
Going forward , African governments should remember that any logic behind implementing lockdowns in the West definitely does not apply in Africa .
Differing conditions , such as a worse relationship between citizens and law enforcement , millions living in extreme poverty , and the significant threat from existing deadly diseases , means serious questions should be raised about the wisdom of African governments in merely copying the lockdown methods used in the West .
African states are clearly in a precarious position .
The prevalence of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ low , with just 33,000 cases and almost 1200 deaths as of May 6 .
The peak is likely still several weeks away , and tens of thousands of people could die from COVID-19 .
Despite this horrific prospect , African governments must think carefully about the unintended consequences of extending any lockdowns .
There ’ s far too much at stake to do otherwise .
This article was reprinted with permission from CapX .


climatedepot--2020-06-14--Open Letter to Warmist Prof. Nordhaus lays out the case for climate skepticism

Collister Johnson to Prof. Nordhaus : `` Most importantly , the theory of man-made global warming does not pass the sniff test - the test of common sense .
It simply does not follow common sense to believe that an increase of one human-caused atmospheric CO2 molecule out of ten thousand over eighty years should result in ruination of the planet . ''
... `` Once again - I know .
By questioning this climate orthodoxy , by committing heresy against the church of man-made global warming , people like me are called “ deniers ” - as in “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be clear .
We are not denying anything .
We are affirming what we believe to be the denial of the truth by others .
Nevertheless , for expressing these views , we are shunned and ex-communicated .
The political , academic , and global bureaucratic elites have spoken .
Man-made CO2 is evil .
Drastic measures must be take to banish this malevolent CO2 from reaching the atmosphere . ''
Sterling Professor of Economics and Professor of Forestry and Environmental Studies I read the article recently published in Scientific American , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ E. Metcalf , professor at Tufts University , entitled “ How to Set a Price on Carbon Pollution ” .
The article discussed and praised your economic work and theories regarding the “ Social Cost of Carbon ” .
I was initially hopeful when I read your reference to “ social cost of carbon ” .
I thought it might be referring to “ carbon ” – that is , soot or ash – particulate matter , which is clearly an air pollutant , and harmful to human beings .
I was disappointed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ carbon ” .
It was to carbon dioxide – an odorless , colorless , tasteless gas found in tiny , trace amounts in the atmosphere .
The amounts are so small they only constitute about four molecules out of every ten thousand found in the air .
( Nitrogen and oxygen comprise the remaining 99 % ) .
And of those four molecules , only one – one – can be attributed to the human combustion of fossil fuels .
Professor Metcalf ’ s article then goes on to discuss the theory of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ work in measuring the social cost of its supposed causative culprit , man-made carbon dioxide .
The problem with any argument based on an assumption a priori is that the relevance and veracity of everything that comes after it depends on the truth of the assumption , which , in this case is that carbon dioxide – not carbon – is a pollutant .
It is very clear that from logic , reason , and common sense , that carbon is an air pollutant and potentially harmful to human health .
For all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is not .
Oh , I know .
Many famous , important , and learned people and institutions have opined that if this one CO2 molecule in ten thousand should be increased through human activity by even one more molecule by the year 2200 , the temperature of the Earth ’ s atmosphere will spiral out of control , and humans will be cooked into oblivion .
As noted in Professor Metcalf ’ s article , these luminaries include the EPA , the United Nations , the US Council of Economic Advisors , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ chairs of the Federal Reserve , 27 Nobel Laureates , and many esteemed academics – including you , Professor Nordhaus .
The theory of man-made global warming , however , ignores a number of troublesome and indisputable facts established by many years of scientific research .
First , in the Earth ’ s geologic past , the level of CO2 in the atmosphere has been over ten times what it is now , and because , not in spite , of these CO2 levels , plant and animal life thrived and prospered .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ history – the Vostok ice cores , ocean sediment samples , thousands of Earth cores – all demonstrate that increases in atmospheric CO2 follow , do not precede , increases in temperature of the atmosphere .
The effect can not precede the cause .
Third , the temperature of the Earth ’ s climate – and the content of CO2 in the atmosphere – change naturally .
Yalies should be grateful for this fact , because as little as 14,000 years ago , New Haven and the entire Eastern seaboard down to New @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of ice .
Then for some reason – but having nothing to do with human activity – the Earth warmed very rapidly .
The ice sheet retreated , leaving New Haven high and dry , and Long Island in its wake as a glacial moraine .
Most importantly , the theory of man-made global warming does not pass the sniff test – the test of common sense .
It simply does not follow common sense to believe that an increase of one human-caused atmospheric CO2 molecule out of ten thousand over eighty years @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Once again – I know .
By questioning this climate orthodoxy , by committing heresy against the church of man-made global warming , people like me are called “ deniers ” – as in “ Holacaust deniers ” .
Let ’ s be clear .
We are not denying anything .
We are affirming what we believe to be the denial of the truth by others .
Nevertheless , for expressing these views , we are shunned and ex-communicated .
The political , academic , and global bureaucratic elites have spoken .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ must be take to banish this malevolent CO2 from reaching the atmosphere .
Most notably , this means eliminating the human combustion of fossil fuels .
Electricity produced by the consumption of oil , coal , and , natural gas is an anathema .
This electricity – which more than anything else is responsible and essential for our modern way of life and for modern communication , transportation , and medecine – is all verboten .
I feel that my generation – the Baby Boomers – is uniquely qualified to observe and opine @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of establishment authority , of supreme omniscience which requires adherence to an approved way of thinking .
We are qualified to criticize a manner of thought which the political , academic , and globalist elites , in their supreme conviction , financial and reputational self interest , and noble self righteousness , believe to be the unquestionably appropriate point of view .
My generation knows , all too well , that that way of thinking produced the war in Viet Nam .
And it was wrong .
Only when the abundant costs in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ honor became apparent .
Only when prior unchallengeable assumptions became challenged .
Only when the costs so clearly outweighed the benefits .
Only when it started to feel wrong to many Americans – morally , intellectually , and spiritually .
Only when it just didn ’ t seem to make common sense anymore .
Only then did the tide of public opinion turn , and what was once seen as an endeavor unquestionably in the national interest , turned out to be the product of faulty – even disengenuos – assumptions .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ now at its height .
It will take some time for reason to return .
It will take some time , perhaps even decades , before this conventional wisdom – championed by the best and the brightest , by the Ivy League-educated ruling class – is appreciated as being wrong and , more importantly , the cause of calamitous consequences .
Yes , as far as the man-made global warming debate is concerned , it will take some time before Lux et Veritas prevails .
Who knows how many of the Baby Boomer @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it ?
Johnson has spent the last four decades working in the public and private sectors in Virginia , primarily in the fields of project finance and maritime transportation .
He began his career in public service as Chairman of the Board of the Virginia Port Authority .
He was appointed by President George W. Bush , and confirmed by the Senate , as a member of the Overseas Private Investment Corporation , and most recently , as Administrator of the St. Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation .
In that capacity , he became @ @ @ @ @ @ @ its impact on the Great Lakes .
He currently serves on CFACT ’ s Board of Advisors .
Johnson holds a B.A .
degree from Yale University , and a J.D .
from the University of Virginia .
We Are All Catastrophists Now – Nobel Laureate , William Nordhaus , also invokes the COVID crisis to provide some mojo for a climate plan he laid out in his 2018 Nobel address .
He says , “ The quick spread of COVID-19 is a grim reminder of how global forces respect no boundaries and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ until they threaten to overwhelm countries that refuse to prepare and cooperate.
” Climate Statistics Prof rips climate model claims : Certain Trade War over Uncertain Models — a response to Professor William Nordhaus , – American U .
Climate Statistics Professor Dr. Caleb Rossiter : ‘ As someone who has helped students in math modeling and statistics classes sort through these sorts of hypotheses over the past decade , I can not share Professor Nordhaus ’ certainty on either the causes or the effects of the warming to date and the predicted @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not , in fact , attribute the recorded 1.2 degree Fahrenheit ( or .7 degree Celsius ) rise in temperature since around 1880 entirely to human-based emissions of warming gasses .
( And remember , this is a very rough estimate of the rise , since methods of producing a “ global mean temperature ” have varied widely in global coverage and accuracy over this period . )
’ Related : Politically Left Scientist Dissents – Calls President Obama ‘ delusional ’ on global warming – Rossiter on his conversion to a climate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on the Democratic Party on the left — one is , I am — for having this conclusion of analysis…I would say since 2004 , I ’ ve been very lonely .
I ’ ve been lonely working on the Hill for the Democratic Party.
’ What economist William Nordhaus gets wrong about climate change : ‘ His attempt to rebut the “ global warming skeptics ” is itself filled with misleading arguments ’ – ‘ The actual situation is that the physical climate models have indeed predicted more warming than has actually @ @ @ @ @ @ @ serious doubts on the case for immediate government mitigation efforts ’ Nobel Laureate William Nordhaus demonstrates that pursuing climate mitigation will make a nation worse off – “ Using Nordhaus ’ s model assumptions , if the World as a whole fulfilled the Paris Climate Agreement collectively with optimal policies , then the world would be worse off than if it did nothing .
That is due to most countries pursuing little or no actual climate mitigation policies .
Within this context , pursuing any costly climate mitigation policies will make a country @ @ @ @ @ @ @ political leaders have the best interests of their country at heart , and regardless of whether they regard climate change a problem , the optimal policy strategy is to impose as little costly policy as possible for maximum appearance of being virtuous , whilst doing the upmost to get other countries to pursue costly mitigation policies.
” What the ‘ Skeptics ’ of Climate Catastrophe are Skeptical Of : Nordhaus Reconsidered : Warmist Nordhaus is attacking a straw man ’ – Skeptics ‘ refuse to label CO2 a ‘ pollutant ’ because it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ do not believe it has the claimed catastrophic impact ’ ‘ Why William D. Nordhaus Is Wrong About Global Warming Skeptics Being Wrong… ’ — ‘ Earth ’ s climate continues to not cooperate with their models ’ – ‘ As the Earth ’ s climate continues to not cooperate with their models , the so-called consensus will eventually recognize and acknowledge their fundamental error .
Hopefully we won ’ t have allowed decarbonization zealotry to bankrupt us beforehand ’ Prof. Nordhaus claims to refute the climate skeptics — but he quotes the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ‘ Is Nordhaus credulous , ignorant or simply dishonest ?
’ ‘ Apocalypse Fatigue ’ : Nordhaus & Shellenberger : Public is ‘ not going to be muscled into accepting apocalyptic visions…expert consensus has tended to have a less sterling track record ’


climatedepot--2020-06-15--MIT’s Dr. Lindzen new study rips ‘implausible claim that a change in one variable — CO2 — is predomi

MIT’s Dr. Lindzen new study rips ‘implausible claim that a change in one variable — CO2 — is predominantly responsible for altering global temps’

MIT climate scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen 's new study published in The European Physical Journal : The `` doubled-CO2 effect @ @ @ @ @ the impact that the net cloud effect has .
And yet we are asked to @ @ @ @ @ claim that change in one variable , CO2 , is predominantly responsible for altering global @ @ @ @ @ causal role for CO2 ' can not be claimed ' for the glacial-to-interglacial warming events @ @ @ @ @ than lead the temperature changes in paleoclimate records and the 100 ppm total increase over @ @ @ @ @ about 1 W/m² ” of total radiative impact . ''
`` Climate science didn ’ @ @ @ @ @ prior to the late 1980s .
Scientists were instead sufficiently skeptical about claims of climatically-induced @ @ @ @ @ during the years 1988-1994 , when climate research centered on CO2 and global warming received @ @ @ @ @ in the US alone .
Suddenly there was a great financial incentive to propel alarming @ @ @ @ @


climatedepot--2020-06-15--Gov. Blackface and the Greening of Virginia – Hammers state with goal ‘100% carbon-free sources’

`` After the state elections in November flipped both legislative houses to the Democrats , they set about turning that goal into a mandate , and this spring -- in the midst of the pandemic and Virginia 's lengthy and onerous lockdowns -- Northam signed the Green New Deal-inspired Virginia Clean Economy Act , which did exactly that .
He also approved the Clean Energy and Community Flood Preparedness Act which puts Virginia on the path to joining the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative .
This multi-state compact imposes new regulatory burdens on Virginia 's oil , natural gas , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ cap-and-trade scheme on the 30 largest of them .
As Bonner Cohen , a senior fellow with the National Center for Public Policy Research , told The Daily Signal , “ Virginia could hardly have picked a worse time to join RGGI . ''
`` The federal government during the Bush and Obama administrations might be more significant .
Bureaucrats and defense contractors have to live somewhere , and they vote according to their interests . ''
... You ’ re forgiven for still thinking of Virginia as a conservative state .
If @ @ @ @ @ @ @ leveled our educational system , you ’ ll know that securing the buy-in of steady , aristocratic Virginians like George Washington and Thomas Jefferson helped convince the colonists that the dispute those rowdy New Englanders were having with Britain wasn ’ t just a regional affair .
But as a matter of more recent history , between the elections of Dwight Eisenhower in 1952 and Barrack Obama in 2008 , Virginia was only won by one Democrat in a presidential contest .
This isn ’ t to say that the Old Dominion has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ when Linwood Holton was elected governor in 1970 he was the first Republican to hold that position in a century — but no matter the party power in Richmond , they had to conform to the small ‘ c ’ conservative culture of the state .
In a relatively short time , however , that Virginia has been fundamentally transformed .
After the most recent gubernatorial contest , which saw the election of the fourth Democrat in the last five cycles , journalist Matthew Continetti wrote a piece about his home state entitled @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ In it he paints a picture of modern day Virginia as “ a hub of highly educated professionals , immigrants , and liberals , ” with an exploding population comprised of both the wealthy and educated and the comparatively poor , both key Democratic constituents : Over the last 29 years , Virginia has become wealthier , more diverse , and more crowded .
The population has grown by 42 percent , from 6 million in 1990 to 8.5 million .
Population density has increased by 38 percent , from 156 people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ travel time to work has increased from 24 minutes to 28 minutes .
The median home price ( in 2018 dollars ) has gone from $ 169,000 to $ 256,000 .
Density equals Democrats .
The number of Virginians born overseas has skyrocketed from 5 percent to 12 percent .
The Hispanic population has gone from 3 percent to 10 percent .
The Asian community has grown from 2 percent to 7 percent .
In 1990 , 7 percent of people 5 years and older spoke a language other than English at home @ @ @ @ @ @ @ percent .
If educational attainment is a proxy for class , Virginia has undergone bourgeoisification .
The number of adults with a bachelor ’ s degree or higher has shot up from 25 percent of the state to 38 percent .
As baccalaureates multiplied , they swapped partisan affiliation .
Many of the Yuppies of the ’ 80s , Bobos of the ’ 90s , and Security Moms of the ’ 00s now march in the Resistance .
Which is to say that , in that time , Virginia has been culturally and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ southern states and towards the urban , mid-Atlantic states .
As one might expect , these trends are significantly more pronounced in the DC suburbs of Northern Va. , especially Fairfax and Loudoun Counties .
The populations of these counties have exploded in that time .
Fairfax gets more press , but Continetti points out that the population of Loudoun has more than quadrupled since the early ’ 90s .
Immigration is an important factor , but the expansion of the federal government during the Bush and Obama administrations might be more significant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ live somewhere , and they vote according to their interests .
Transformations like the one Continetti describes have consequences .
In 2017 , Virginians elected Democrat Ralph Northam , a pediatric neurologist , as its governor .
A lot of ink has been spilt on Northam ’ s expanding abortion access in Virginia ( including his controversial comments related to post-birth abortion ) and his war on guns ( as well as the extremely civil protests against his anti-2nd Amendment initiatives , which were nevertheless vilified by the mainstream media ) , as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
And who could forget his racist yearbook photo , which he originally claimed did not depict him until he eventually apologized , though without clarifying whether he ’ s the Klansman or the guy in black face .
Somehow Democrats are always able to survive these things , while Republicans have their careers ended over more ambiguous incidents .
As Politico noted at the time : In a bid to salvage his job , the Democratic governor of Virginia denied he was one of the men dressed up as a Klansman or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ medical school yearbook page — after admitting the night before he was , in fact , in the photo .
In a different yearbook at Virginia Military Institute , Northam was nicknamed “ Coonman.
” Why ?
He wasn ’ t quite sure , he said .
“ My main nickname in high school and in college was ‘ Goose ’ because when my voice was changing , I would change an octave .
There were two individuals , as best as I can recollect , at VMI — they were a year @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ‘ Coonman ’ .
I don ’ t know their motives or intent .
I know who they are .
That was the extent of that .
And it ended up in the yearbook .
And I regret that.
” A less publicized aspect of Northam ’ s agenda has been his environmental extremism .
Last September he signed an executive order setting a goal that the state produce 100 percent of its energy via “ carbon-free ” sources by 2050 , and 30 % within the next 10 years .
After the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ houses to the Democrats , they set about turning that goal into a mandate , and this spring — in the midst of the pandemic and Virginia ’ s lengthy and onerous lockdowns — Northam signed the Green New Deal-inspired Virginia Clean Economy Act , which did exactly that .
He also approved the Clean Energy and Community Flood Preparedness Act which puts Virginia on the path to joining the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative .
This multi-state compact imposes new regulatory burdens on Virginia ’ s oil , natural gas , and coal @ @ @ @ @ @ @ scheme on the 30 largest of them .
As Bonner Cohen , a senior fellow with the National Center for Public Policy Research , told The Daily Signal , “ Virginia could hardly have picked a worse time to join RGGI , ” Everywhere RGGI has gone , higher electricity prices have followed .
In Virginia ’ s case , however , membership will coincide with trying to recover from the self-imposed economic collapse of the statewide lockdown .
At a time when millions have lost their jobs , many of them from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Gov .
Northam and his supporters in the General Assembly are knowingly adding to the burdens of families trying to recover from the COVID-19 lockdown .
It is a direct assault on the disposable incomes of the state ’ s most vulnerable residents by an out-of-touch political elite .
Absurdly , with natural gas abundant , reliable , and cheap , the governor chooses this moment to hitch Virginia ’ s fortunes to taxpayer-subsidized wind and solar power , which are intermittent , unreliable , and expensive .
Tom Pyle , president of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this push will ultimately be harmful to the environment and ignores the fact that the fracking revolution has led to a significant decrease in America ’ s carbon emissions .
Unfortunately these trends seem unlikely to turn around any time soon .
The Virginia Republican party is made up of factions which seem to despise each other more than they hate the Democrats , but it just might be the case that the numbers to change course just aren ’ t there .
Northam ’ s opponent in 2017 was the GOP establishmentarian @ @ @ @ @ @ @ state elections , who attempted to appeal to nationalists by focusing on issues like crime and immigration .
He received only 45 % of the vote .
Perhaps the only solution might be a proposal which started gaining steam during the Second Amendment battles earlier this year — secession .
Specifically secession for those counties in western and southern Virginia disturbed by the direction of their state and interested in joining the more conservatively inclined West Virginia .
And the free state of West Virginia , which itself seceded from the slave state @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to welcome their separated brethren with open arms .
Should that transpire , and the size and relative importance of Virginia decrease on Northam ’ s watch , his face will no longer be black or even green .
It will be red .


climatedepot--2020-06-15--UN: $3.1 Trillion Required by 2030 to Limit Global Warming to 2C

Professor Roger Pielke Jr. explained in 2017 that the 2-degree goal “ is an arbitrary round number that was politically convenient .
So it became a sort of scientific truth .
However , it has little scientific basis but is a hard political reality.
” Book reveals UN ’ s goal of ‘ 2 degree ’ limit of ‘ global warming ’ has no scientific basis – ‘ Pulled out of thin air ’ - Book Excerpt : In 2007 , Jones emailed , “ The 2 deg C limit is talked about by a lot within Europe .
It @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Is it 2 deg C for globe or for Europe ?
Also when is/was the base against which 2 deg C is calculated from ?
I know you don ’ t know the answer , but I don ’ t either !
I think it is plucked out of thin air.
” A recently released UN report , GLOBAL TRENDS IN RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENT 2020 , berates the world for not doing enough to transition to renewables .
It is nothing new to say that clean energy is better for the planet @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from fossil fuels .
Its benefits in avoiding greenhouse gas emissions , delivering cleaner air and bringing energy to marginalized communities are essential to a better future for all .
What is new is that the world has a unique opportunity to accelerate clean development by putting renewable energy at the heart of Covid-19 economic recovery plans .
Governments will inject huge amounts of money into their economies as they look to bounce back from Covid-19 lockdowns , which have saved lives but stopped growth and cost jobs .
This new report , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , shows that putting these dollars into renewables will buy more generation capacity than ever before , and help governments deliver stronger climate action under the Paris Agreement .
This is great progress , but there is room to do much more .
Nations and corporations have made clean energy commitments over the next decade .
Analyzing them in its focus chapter , the report finds commitments for 826GW of new non-hydro renewable power capacity by 2030 , at a likely cost of around $ 1 trillion .
However , these commitments fall @ @ @ @ @ @ @ limit the rise in global temperatures to less than 2 degrees Celsius under the Paris Agreement .
It also falls short of last decade ’ s achievements , which brought around 1,200GW of new capacity for $ 2.7 trillion .
The U.S. edged ahead of Europe in terms of renewables investment last year .
The U.S. invested $ 55.5 billion , up 28 % , helped by a record rush of onshore wind financings to take advantage of tax credits before their expected expiry , while Europe committed $ 54.6 billion , down @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Paris Agreement in 2015 countries agreed to a common goal of limiting the rise in global temperatures this century to “ well below ” 2 degrees Celsius , with an aim of keeping the increase at 1.5 degrees .
Even limiting the increase to 2 degrees would require the gross addition of some 2,836GW of new non-hydro renewable energy capacity by 2030 , according to the base-case scenario in BloombergNEF ’ s New Energy Outlook 2019 .
The latter ’ s projection of the technology mix , based on the evolution of relative @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of 1,646GW of solar , 1,156GW of wind , and 34GW of other non-hydro renewables , at an estimated cost of $ 3.1 trillion over the decade .
This section supports the message of the latest UNEP Emission Gap Report that there is a big gulf between countries ’ current ambitions , even those as expressed in their Nationally Determined Contributions for the Paris Agreement , and what the science tells us needs to be done about global emissions by 2030 .


climatedepot--2020-06-15--‘Absurd’ Attempt to Link ‘Climate Change’ to Cancer Contradicted by Another Medical Study

Apart from the lack of any connection between climate change and extreme weather , the assertion that hurricanes and wildfires result in increased exposure to carcinogens is dubious .
Although hurricanes occasionally cause damage that releases chemicals into the atmosphere , and wildfires generate copious amounts of smoke , these effects are temporary and add very little to the carcinogen load experienced by the average person .
A far greater carcinogen load is experienced continuously by people living in poorer countries who rely on the use of solid fuels , such as coal , wood , charcoal or biomass , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fuels in inefficient stoves results in indoor air pollution that causes respiratory infections in the short term , especially in children , and heart disease or cancer in adults over longer periods of time .
The 2019 Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change , an annual assessment of the health effects of climate change , found that mortality from climate-sensitive diseases such as diarrhea and malaria has fallen as the planet has heated , with the exception of dengue fever .
Although the Countdown didn ’ t examine cancer specifically , it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ still lacking access to clean cooking fuels and technologies is almost three billion , a number that has fallen by only 1 % since 2010 .
What this means is that , regardless of ongoing global warming , those billions are still being exposed to indoor carcinogens and are therefore at greater-than-normal risk of later contracting cancer .
But the cancer will be despite climate change , not because of it – completely contradicting theclaim in the cancer journal that climate change causes cancer .
Because climate change is actually reducing the frequency @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s contention that extreme weather is worsening disruptions to health care access and delivery is also fallacious .
Delays due to weather extremes in cancer diagnosis and treatment initiation , and the interruption of cancer care , are becoming less , not more common .
It makes no more sense to link climate change to cancer than to avow that it causes hair loss or was responsible for the creation of the terrorist group ISIS .


climatedepot--2020-06-15--Collapsology: The Rise Of A New Doomsday Cult & The Return Of The Dark Ages – Growing belief ‘civili

Collapsology: The Rise Of A New Doomsday Cult & The Return Of The Dark Ages – Growing belief ‘civilization is heading towards impending collapse’

The French flock to the philosophy of ‘ collapsology ’ in record numbers .
The movement , based on a book by Jared Diamond , holds that civilization is heading towards impending collapse France ’ s coronavirus epidemic has sparked an explosion of interest in la collapsologie – a Gallic take on the end of the world — with a rising number of converts seeking advice on how to prepare for the impending demise of civilisation as we know it .
The movement , which even France ’ s prime minister Edouard Philippe , has confessed “ gnaws at me @ @ @ @ @ @ @ based on the assumption that climate change , declining resources and the extinction of species is driving the world to its destruction at an alarming rate .
The bulk of its ranks come from left-leaning urbanites with at least one university degree .
Inspired by the American author and academic Jared Diamond ’ s 2005 bestseller Collapse : How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed , “ collapsology ” had already captured the French imagination prior to the pandemic ; some 65 per cent said they believe civilisation could go under in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ poll .
The UK figure was 56 per cent .
But since France went into nationwide confinement , requests to join Facebook groups and training courses have rocketed as collapsologists claim the pandemic is a clear sign that the “ thermo-industrial ” era is in its death throes .
One of its high priests , Yves Cochet , a former French environment minister who gave up city life for rural self-sufficiency in Brittany with a horse and cart for transport , had predicted collapse to commence by 2030 .
“ Well , well @ @ @ @ @ @ @ than we thought , ” he told Le Monde , adding that he had expected the first stage to be a petrol crisis or climate event .
“ Lots of people were in denial ” , said Loïc Steffan , an economist and author of Don ’ t Be Scared of Collapse , whose Facebook page “ The happy collapso ” gained 5,000 new members during confinement to approach 30,000 in total .
Denial is a classic first phase in a process collapsologists call “ metanoia ” , or “ finally believing in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ told France Info .
“ With Covid , the realisation that our societies are fragile brutally is coming to the fore .
A tiny virus is able to bring the world to its knees , the hyper-connectedness of the world poses a problem… mental protection strategies are starting to crumble , ” he claimed .
Covid-19 doesn ’ t herald the total collapse of the state and rule of law but rather a “ dress rehearsal , a sort of stress-test that has allowed us to see what worked or not , ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ want to run for the hills , collapsologists believe in helping each other to improve group resilience .
“ It ’ s the same starting point but not the same response .
The collapsologist wants to save society .
The survivalist is an individualist , ” said Mr Steffan , a self-professed optimist .
A growing number of French urban dwellers are now seeking to settle in the countryside .
Frédérique Porquet will next month leave the Val d ’ Oise near Paris for the country with her husband and daughters in order @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ depend on supermarkets given what happened for a month at the start of the epidemic , because what ’ s for sure , we saw it with our own eyes , it was everyone for themselves ” .
Demand to learn how to become a collapsologist is also rising , according to Rémi Richart , an IT expert who has been living a self-sufficient , low-carbon life with his wife and three children in the rural Cantal for 10 years .
They have a pedal-driven washing machine and solar oven .
Their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on a society “ on the brink ” is already full this summer and the phone doesn ’ t stop ringing .
“ Lots of people are in a hurry , ” he told Le Figaro .


climatedepot--2020-06-16--Lund University academic: ‘To Halt Climate Change, We Need an Ecological Leninism’

Andreas Malm is in the human ecology division at Lund University : `` The whole strategic direction of Lenin after 1914 was to turn World War I into a fatal blow against capitalism .
This is precisely the same strategic orientation we must embrace today — and this is what I mean by ecological Leninism .
We must find a way of turning the environmental crisis into a crisis for fossil capital itself . ''
... '' There was a moment in March 2020 when many of us in the climate justice movement felt a degree of surprise to find @ @ @ @ @ @ @ prepared to basically shut down their entire economies in an effort to contain the pandemic .
This is striking , given that the same states had never contemplated undertaking any kind of intervention in the economy for the sake of the climate crisis . ''
COVID 'is an opportunity '' : `` This is an opportunity in the sense that it has brought about a temporary cessation of many of the most environmentally damaging activities , mass aviation has been suspended , carbon emissions have declined , fossil fuels are remaining in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is a moment where we can say to governments : “ If you were able to intervene to protect us from the virus , you can intervene to protect us from the climate crisis as well , the implications of which are much worse.
” The current juncture therefore provides us with an opportunity to oppose the return to business as usual , to push for the transformation of the global economy and the launch of something like a Green New Deal. ''
... `` State power should definitely be used to prevent @ @ @ @ @ @ @ private jets should be banned outright , as should SUVs and other vehicles that consume completely indefensible amounts of fuel .
This is low-hanging fruit for the climate justice movement , as these sources of emissions are among the least socially necessary . ''
... '' Some forms of consumption will indeed have to be limited or abolished outright — this can not be done through markets or appeals to ethical consumption , but only through state regulation . ''
... '' While it may seem utopian at this stage , it is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ down institutions designed to survey and control populations and repurpose them to attack capital , closing down the sources of global warming and zoonotic transmission .
In the book , for example , I propose that we abolish border agencies and turn them into institutions for cracking down on the wildlife trade . ''


climatedepot--2020-06-16--Delingpole: Australia Invites High School Dropout Greta Thunberg into the Classroom

Australian schools have been teaching children as young as eight that Greta Thunberg should be their role model on climate @ @ @ @ @ teenage school drop out who knows nothing about climate change other than what she has @ @ @ @ @ and propaganda sites , and from movies like Ice Age 2 .
But teachers in @ @ @ @ @ been urging their classes to treat Greta ’ s opinions as gospel .
A lesson @ @ @ @ @ Department website asked students to study a Thunberg speech , examine its techniques , and @ @ @ @ @ change .
According to Australia ’ s Daily Telegraph , there were : The New @ @ @ @ @ now removed the lesson plans from its website and launched an ‘ urgent inquiry ’ @ @ @ @ @ .
However , the NSW Education Department clearly wasn ’ t that concerned about feeding @ @ @ @ @ propaganda , for the lesson plans were up on its website for nine months .
@ @ @ @ @ after concerns were raised by the newspaper


climatedepot--2020-06-16--Climate payment scheme to farmers: GOP senators join Dems in tackling ‘climate change’ via agricultu

Climate payment scheme to farmers: GOP senators join Dems in tackling ‘climate change’ via agriculture – ‘Directs USDA to create a program that would help agriculture sector gain access to revenue from greenhouse gas offset credit markets’

WASHINGTON ( Reuters ) – U.S. senators on Thursday introduced a bipartisan bill that would direct the Agriculture Department to help farmers , ranchers and landowners use carbon dioxide-absorbing practices to generate carbon credits , a rare collaboration on climate change .
The bill is co-sponsored by Republican Senators Mike Braun of Indiana and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina , and Democratic Senators Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island and Debbie Stabenow of Michigan .
The bill would establish USDA-certified protocols for farmers , ranch and forest owners seeking to develop projects that can generate offset credits under existing programs .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ for farmers , ranchers and land owners suffering from the economic impacts of global trade tensions and the coronavirus .
Landowners and farmers can generate credits and earn money for activities ranging from reforestation to sequestering carbon in soil to capturing methane from livestock .
“ As a Main Street Entrepreneur and conservationist , I know firsthand that if we want to address our changing climate then we need to facilitate real solutions that our farmers , environmentalists and industry can all support , ” said Braun .
Voluntary offset programs have been @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2018 , the average price of such credits was $ 3/tonne .
Demand for credits is expected to grow when airlines are required to purchase offsets to comply with the industry ’ s Carbon Offset Reduction Scheme ( CORSIA ) , which will begin in 2021 .


climatedepot--2020-06-17--Climatologist Dr. Patrick J. Michaels on ‘Biased Climate Science’ & The ‘Irreproducibility Crisis’

Many headline scientific findings in recent years have turned out to be false .
They can ’ t be reproduced—and @ @ @ @ @ reproduce a result , it isn ’ t science .
The headlines are just the @ @ @ @ @ A huge amount of ordinary scientific findings published in peer-reviewed journals doesn ’ t replicate @ @ @ @ @ wrong in contemporary scientific procedures .
Science ’ s failure is called the “ Irreproducibility @ @ @ @ @ result of improper use of statistics , arbitrary research techniques , lack of accountability , @ @ @ @ @ scientific culture biased toward producing positive results .
By some estimates , half of recent @ @ @ @ @ .
In this video , Dr. Patrick J. Michaels ( Senior Fellow , Competitive Enterprise @ @ @ @ @ Climate Science.
” This session is from the conference , “ Fixing Science : Practical @ @ @ @ @ , ” co-sponsored by the National Association of Scholars and the Independent Institute , and @ @ @ @ @ , at Independent ’ s conference center in Oakland , CA .


climatedepot--2020-06-17--Data Show Rural American Midwest Cooled Over Past 100 Years – Until NASA Fudged The Data To Show War

Data Show Rural American Midwest Cooled Over Past 100 Years – Until NASA Fudged The Data To Show Warming

Today we post before-and-after mean annual temperature charts for 6 US stations in the midwest region with a low brightness index ( BI ) , meaning low impact from the urban heat island ( UHI ) effect , which arises from widespread asphalt , concrete and infrastucture .
The low BI index tells us that the stations are sited in a rural-type environment .
Five of the six stations have a BI of 0 , while one ( Thibodaux , LA ) has a relatively low BI of 11 .
Shown will be comparisons of NASA GISS Version 4 unadjusted @ @ @ @ @ @ @ each case the unadjusted data showed a cooling or little warming , while the adjusted data all ended up to show warming .
First we plot the station at Plainville , Kansas , which I already posted at Twitter .
Shown is the plot going back over 100 years , before NASA adjustments and after adjustments .
As the 2 plots show , the data from the past were changed by NASA and made cooler .
The new result : a warming trend !
In other words , a cooling climate was fudged @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Next we move to the station of Hobart , Oklahoma .
A slight cooling trend there was transformed by NASA into a warming trend : The third station we look at is Carrizo Springs , Texas : Originally in the V4 unadjusted , the past at Carrizo Springs was warmer than today .
But NASA didn ’ t like that , and so they adjusted the temperatures from earlier in the 20th century downward .
Again a modest cooling trend was changed into warming .
The story is the same at the station @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Missouri , we originally saw no warming over the past 130. years .
But then NASA fiddled with the data and now tell us there ’ s been warming at there as well .
Looking at the temperature charts for the station at El Dorado , Arkansas : Note how warm it was in the 1920s .
But NASA said that this couldn ’ t be right , and so cooled the mean annual temperatures in the early 20th century byalmost a whopping 2 degrees !
Result : ( fake ) warming !
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the station located at Thibodaux , Louisiana – i.e .
the U.S. South : Above we see how the unadjusted V4 data were changed to create more warming .
NASA changed the data several times until they got the warming they want to us believe is taking place .
The original data tell us there has been any real warming over the past century at these 6 stations .


climatedepot--2020-06-17--Sorry, Weather Channel, Mangroves Will NOT Disappear in 30 Years

The Weather Channel published an article on its website Wednesday claiming global warming threatens the extinction of mangrove trees – which rely on warm temperatures to live – within 30 years .
Common sense and scientific evidence reveal that the Weather Channel ’ s alarmist claim is preposterous .
Mangrove trees grow along shorelines in saltwater or brackish water .
They provide many ecological benefits , including filtering water pollution , anchoring shoreline soil , and providing breeding grounds and host environments for many marine species .
Mangroves are very susceptible to frost events and therefore are limited to the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ coastlines that are too warm for them , as they grow throughout the tropics and thrive even along the equator on all three continents that span the equator .
Recent scientific research shows warming temperatures allow mangrove trees to grow larger and more rapidly , and also for mangrove forests to expand their ranges .
A recent study in the peer-reviewed Journal of Ecology reports , “ As freeze events decline with climate change , mangroves expand their range to higher latitudes….
” The Journal of Ecology study also mangroves dramatically increase their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ We found that chronic warming doubled plant height and accelerated the expansion of mangrove into salt marsh vegetation , as indicated by a six-fold greater increase in mangrove cover in warmed plots compared to ambient temperature plots , ” the study found .
The study also found warmer temperatures facilitated elevation gain , with mangroves migrating further inland from the shore , “ driven by increased mangrove root production in warmed plots.
” How , then , does the Weather Channel claim global warming threatens to make mangroves go extinct within 30 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ very dubious alarmist study regarding mangroves and sea-level rise , and then further misrepresented the dubious study to make it appear even more alarmist .
One could call the Weather Channel ’ s ( mis ) representations bad science , but even that would likely be too kind .
In the study cited by the Weather Channel , modelers attempted to discern the pace of mangrove migration 10,000 years ago when global sea level dramatically rose .
The modelers then forecast that mangrove forests can migrate to higher elevations at a speed of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ inches ) of sea-level rise per year .
Anybody who lives near mangroves knows mangrove forests can migrate much faster than that .
Mangrove roots can spring up from the soil several feet from the trunk of the host mangrove tree .
Moreover , mangrove seed pods float on the water and can therefore take root at the same pace with the rising waters and tides .
Accordingly , mangrove forests can easily keep up with rising sea level , and can certainly migrate more than 0.27 inches of sea-level rise per year @ @ @ @ @ @ @ measurements , sea level is currently rising at approximately 3 millimeters ( 0.1 inches ) per year , a pace that has held steady for at least the past 25 years .
That is less than half the pace of what the modelers dubiously predict as the upper pace of mangrove migration .
So , even at an upper migration limit of 0.27 inches per year , the authors of the Weather Channel-cited study acknowledge mangroves are easily keeping up with modest sea-level rise .
However , the authors of the study cited @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sea-level rise will immediately and dramatically skyrocket .
The authors speculate that within 30 years , sea level will rise at nearly triple its current pace – despite no significant increase in the pace of sea-level rise since satellite instruments began measuring sea-level rise late last century .
Accordingly , the notion that sea-level rise will nearly triple between now and 2050 is far-fetched .
Nevertheless , even if dubious rapid and immediate acceleration of sea level occurs , and even in the unlikely event that mangrove systems can not migrate at 0.27 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ would be the year in which mangroves would first start to struggleto keep up with sea-level rise – it would not be the year in which all mangroves all over the world become extinct , as the Weather Channel claims .
Moreover , in the event all those dubious events occurred , people could easily plant mangroves at the slightly higher shoreline .
It is not that difficult a task .
The nature of alarmism is to make predictions too far into the future for doomsayers to be held accountable during their lifetimes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ years from now , which will allow most people alive today to verify whether the mangrove extinction prediction comes true .
The alarmist prediction will certainly not come true , proving who the “ science deniers ” truly are .
The post Sorry , Weather Channel , Mangroves Will NOT Disappear in 30 Years appeared first on Climate Realism .


climatedepot--2020-06-17--Swedish Teenager Greta Tries To Dictate Canadian Politics

Rather , she is the child of Swedish celebrities , an opera singer , and an actor .
Having turned 17 in January , she is a media mirage .
A publicist ’ s creation .
Thunberg is too young to vote in Sweden .
She is too young to vote here , in Canada .
Yet she keeps trying to tell our Prime Minister what to do .
Last September , she was granted a private audience with Justin Trudeau in a Montreal hotel .
Afterward , she told journalists : “ He ’ s , of course , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , via Twitter , Thunberg promoted a newspaper article written by US climate activist Bill McKibben , headlined When it comes to climate hypocrisy , Canada ’ s leaders have reached a new low .
Published in the UK Guardian , that article attacked an oil project amid fears that , nine years and $ 1 billion after it was first proposed , it might finally receive government approval .
Think about that for a minute .
A Swedish teenager .
An American activist .
A UK newspaper .
All ganging up on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ government .
Insisting their own judgment should supersede Canada ’ s system of environmental regulation .
Working in concert to marginalize the voices and views of ordinary Canadians .
( According to a public opinion poll , the project was supported by 49 % of Canadians , and opposed by 40 % . )
Last week , Thunberg signed a letter which argues , in essence , that Canada doesn ’ t deserve a seat on the United Nations Security Council because it hasn ’ t yet killed off all oil and gas @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that industry contributes to government coffers every year and the hundreds of thousands of jobs it provides may mean nothing to a 17-year-old who lives in a foreign country .
But that money is real .
Those jobs are real .
If they disappear , Canadians will suffer .
Two days ago , journalists treated Thunberg ’ s reaction to the arrest of Alberta First Nation Chief Allan Adam as newsworthy .
As if the opinions of a teenager who resides a continent away are remotely relevant .
Youthful idealists see the world @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Grownups recognize that every choice we make involves trade-offs .
There ’ s rarely a perfect solution .
In the real world , we need to pay the rent , put food on the table , and fund the healthcare system .
If we could do all those things entirely with ‘ renewable energy , ’ many of us would be happy to do so .
But that isn ’ t possible right now , despite what 17-year-olds believe .
Canadians have a right to chart our own destiny .
We have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and our own choices .
We deserve leaders who represent our views and our values .
There isn ’ t much point to elections if government policy is determined by Swedish teenagers .


climatedepot--2020-06-17--Zero emission cars to get green number plates in UK – Able to ‘secure cheaper parking’

Is this the thin end of the green wedge , as EV owners get ever more preferential treatment from the @ @ @ @ @ every UK citizen has to pay for ?
– – – Drivers of zero-emission cars @ @ @ @ @ number plates which could make them eligible to by-pass congestion zone charges or secure cheaper @ @ @ @ @ .
Transport Secretary Grant Shapps said they will be available from autumn and would help @ @ @ @ @ greener transport future is within our grasp ’ .
The move is designed to make @ @ @ @ @ appealing as the government looks to meet its target of achieving net zero emissions by @ @ @ @ @ green number plates ‘ could unlock a number of incentives for drivers ’ and increase @ @ @ @ @ the roads .