Fred Singer: 1924-2020 –

I only learned the sad news today : the A1-class atmospheric physicist Fred Singer died in his sleep ( that ’ s how you want to do it ) on April 6th .
He was 95.5 .
I was fortunate to know him closely since 2007 .
See Marc Sheppard ’ s “ My Long Good-Bye to S. Fred Singer ” in the American Thinker .
He was born to a rather stereotypical Jewish family in Vienna : his mother was a homemaker while his father was a jeweler .
During the Anschluss of Austria , he was 14 and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In England , he became a teenage optician .
He emigrated to Ohio , the U.S. , and became a U.S. citizen in 1944 .
But at that moment , he already had his 1943 bachelor degree in electrical engineering .
In 1944 , he also added A.M. from Princeton University .
Think twice about the speed of his academic progress ( that took place on the background of those rather serious political and personal events : he would be surely sent to a gas chamber at the moment of his Princeton @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a few years earlier , compare it with the snowflakes of 2020 who want to get everything for free because they believe that they ’ re a group that is discriminated against and someone has frowned at them ) .
He continued at that famous New Jersey school and got his PhD for cosmic ray showers in 1948 .
You might know some names from his PhD defense committee .
Singer ’ s adviser was John Wheeler and his committee included Niels Bohr and J. Robert Oppenheimer .
Nice .
People are very @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the guy whom you could have defined as an optician or a cosmic ray astrophysicist , began to work for the Armed Forces and did mine warfare… and then designed some of the first U.S. satellites in the 1950s .
He also fathered numerous projects with satellites and balloons to measure the atmosphere , magnetosphere , meteorites etc .
and he was the director of a satellite organization in the 1960s .
Singer was actually the first man who has calculated the correct slowing of atomic clocks loaded on satellites ( maybe in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is both a wonderful advanced homework exercise in the general theory of relativity , i.e .
theoretical physics par excellence ; and essential for the correct operation of the immensely practical GPS satellites .
Singer has also written over 200 scientific articles , you can imagine that .
Singer started to produce some ideas that looked provoking to others already in 1960 , like the artificial Phobos theory that has excited the terrestrial friends of the extraterrestrial aliens .
He became a natural fountain of provoking ideas .
Most prominently , Singer became @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In 1994 ( note that he was clearly an early participant of the climatological polemics ) , he authored the book “ Unstoppable global warming : every 1500 years ” .
That book was updated in 2006 .
In 2009 , he created the NIPCC panel – sadly , the brainwashed population knows more the corrupt and pseudoscientific “ IPCC ” reports than the correct and impartial NIPCC .
Check the NIPCC website with all those 900-page-long reports .
In the original 2009 NIPCC report ( full , 868 pages ) , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the 30-40 official authors .
Surely Fred wanted to lower the average age and add some underrepresented regions , so I have partly played a similar role as African girls play in the IPCC .
We first met in Washington D.C. in February 2007 , during events organized by ( then ) Czech president Václav Klaus who gave his first lectures in the U.S. after this blog sort of promoted his views on the climate .
I chatted with Fred for half an hour while we were in the CATO Institute .
He @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also became very clear that he was very skeptical about other things – such as the claims that the second-hand smoking was harmful ; the regulations of freons were needed to save us from the ozone hole , and more .
I was surprised by some of those opinions but 13 years later , I find it plausible that he was right in all these topics and it was me who was partly brainwashed by pseudoscience , like most of the people .
We also met in Prague in the following years a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ) .
For example , some staff gave a tour through some semi-secret places of the Prague Castle for the two of us .
With Fred Singer , another true scientific achiever who could still preserve his integrity and independence – unlike the spineless opportunists who have been actively promoted for years – has left us .


climatedepot--2020-04-13--A Tribute to Fred Singer By Princeton physicist Will Happer: ‘It is a rare academic who knows even a

A Tribute to Fred Singer By Princeton physicist Will Happer: ‘It is a rare academic who knows even a fraction of what Fred knows about climate science’

Princeton Physicist Dr. Will Happer on Dr. Fred Singer : `` Fred has been an effective gadfly of the scientific establishment of our generation ...
It is a rare academic who knows even a fraction of what Fred knows about climate science , but the groupies have a frenzied certainty that Fred ’ s views on climate are wrong .
All of their friends agree with them . ''
... `` Fred ’ s PhD dissertation was on cosmic rays that bombard our earth from outer space .
And Fred has maintained a lifelong interest in the atmosphere , space @ @ @ @ @ @ @ design the first earth observation satellites , including instruments to measure atmospheric ozone .
In the past few years , he has focused on how the rates of temperature change depend on altitude in the atmosphere , a particularly awkward area for climate models , which predict much more warming in the mid troposphere than is actually observed . ''
A Tribute to Fred Singer By his friend , William Happer 11 April 2020 , Princeton , New Jersey Fred Singer has fought the good fight , he has run the race , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ history will judge him .
As the years pass , I am confident that Fred ’ s positive contributions to his generation will be more and more widely appreciated .
Fred did not have an easy journey through life .
What he achieved was due to his own intelligence and indomitable spirit .
He had no powerful family or patrons .
This never bothered him , perhaps because he made so many friends who admired his pluck .
Although he was subject to more than his share of unjust abuse , Fred did @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of us can forgive and forget the way Fred did .
It seems appropriate to close this brief farewell to Fred with tribute I wrote to honor his 90th birthday .
“ It is an honor for me to write a few words on the occasion of Fred Singer ’ s 90th birthday .
Fred is a fine scientist , a person of great courage , unflagging optimism , and enormous energy .
As an adolescent , Fred Singer escaped Nazi rule of his native Austria .
He first found refuge in England @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the United States of America in the 1940 ’ s , in time to attend graduate school at Princeton University , where he earned a PhD in physics for work on cosmic rays .
His thesis advisor , John Wheeler , was a student of Niels Bohr .
John Wheeler made important contributions to the development of the hydrogen bomb .
Fred ’ s PhD dissertation was on cosmic rays that bombard our earth from outer space .
And Fred has maintained a lifelong interest in the atmosphere , space and space exploration @ @ @ @ @ @ @ earth observation satellites , including instruments to measure atmospheric ozone .
In the past few years , he has focused on how the rates of temperature change depend on altitude in the atmosphere , a particularly awkward area for climate models , which predict much more warming in the mid troposphere than is actually observed .
He has also published interesting papers on the origin of the moons of Earth and Mars .
On the side , Fred has accumulated expert knowledge of an amazing number of topics – “ of shoes and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and kings.
” On one visit to Princeton , Fred introduced me to his old friend , Ephraim Isaac , a distinguished scholar of ancient Semitic languages .
Ephraim was born in Ethiopia and received much of his early education there .
Fred more than held his own in a debate with Ephraim about three-consonant root words of ancient Akkadian , a Semitic language that has been extinct for several millennia .
Scientists and academics like to boast about their cool objectivity , but in fact , independent thought can come at a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pay .
According to Plato , Socrates was the “ gadfly ” of ancient Athens .
Fred has been an effective gadfly of the scientific establishment of our generation .
A few years after getting to know Fred , during my time as Director of the Office of Energy Research at the US Department of Energy , I invited Fred to give a colloquium on global warming at Princeton University .
When the announcement of Fred ’ s colloquium was published , a Nobel-prize-winning physicist colleague walked into my office and upbraided me @ @ @ @ @ @ @ he knew .
This rather diminished my respect for my colleague , who knew almost nothing about the physics of climate , and increased my respect for Fred .
Many academics are frustrated “ philosopher kings , ” embittered because society at large does not give them the reverence they think they deserve .
Perhaps as a response to this , many look inward , associating only with like-minded academics and treating the rest of society with contempt and even hatred .
Group-think is prescribed on various subjects .
Academic groupies deplore Fox @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and are certain that the continued use of fossil fuels will destroy the planet .
It is a rare academic who knows even a fraction of what Fred knows about climate science , but the groupies have a frenzied certainty that Fred ’ s views on climate are wrong .
All of their friends agree with them .
It reminds me of Hans Christian Andersen ’ s story about the Emperor ’ s new clothes : “ Not only were their colors and patterns uncommonly fine , but clothes made of this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ invisible to anyone who was unfit for his office , or who was unusually stupid.
” Like many of the rest of us , Fred has had difficulty seeing the new climate clothes that are sacred dogma for the groupies .
He has been viciously attacked for pointing out the problems with climate dogma .
To his credit he successfully sued one particularly libelous henchman of Al Gore for character defamation .
To quote a proverb in Fred ’ s mother tongue , “ Mehr Feinde , mehr Ehre , ” more enemies @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Fred has informed fellow citizens about developments in climate science with a regular newsletter , “ The Week That Was.
” I still look forward to this newsletter , that include references to new scientific findings related to climate , policy issues related to climate change , and comments by Fred himself and his fellow editor , Ken Haapala .
There are many good newsletters and blogs on climate , but “ The Week That Was , ” is exceptional in its stress on sound science .
What else would you expect from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Bohr ?
Fred ’ s life is summarized very well by an old folksong , sung by brave anti-Nazi Germans : Die Gedanken sind frei , wer kann sie erraten ?
Sie fliehen vorbei , wie naechtliche Shatten .
Kein Mensh kann sie wissen , kein Jaeger ershiessen , Mit Pulver und Blei , die Gendanken sind Frei .
Thoughts are free , who can figure them out ?
They fly past , like the shadows of the night .
No man can know them , no hunter can shoot them With gunpowder @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ”

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climatedepot--2020-04-13--Heartland launches 22 climate science ‘gatebreakers’ – ‘A true wealth of important skeptical materia

Heartland launches 22 climate science ‘gatebreakers’ – ‘A true wealth of important skeptical material’

“ Gatebreaker ” is a word I use to describe a special kind of document that until recently has been few and far between .
It is a one or two page nontechnical refutation of a specific alarmist argument .
It is something a student or citizen can use to confront an alarmist gatekeeper , hence the name gatebreaker .
I wrote about the need for gatebreakers several years ago .
The Heartland Institute has just published a whopping 22 gatebreakers , with more promised .
This is a true wealth of important skeptical material , unlike anything we have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ true .
A gatebreaker is something a skeptical student can send around to the class when the teacher insists on alarmism .
Or something short and simple to send to a journalist in response to an alarmist article , or to a politician making alarmist speeches , or the local blowhard alarmist .
It ’ s power lies in its specificity and its simplicity .
The Heartland website is called “ Climate at a Glance ” ( https : //climateataglance.com ) which makes it sound softer than it really is , sort of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ actually buy .
These are not glances ; they are hard hitting rebuttals .
Heartland calls these short pieces “ summaries ” because each summarizes a strong response to a common alarmist claim or argument .
The summaries are wide ranging because the climate change debate is like that .
There is hard science , but also policy , economics and things in between .
Extreme weather gets a lot of attention .
Here is a partial list to give the flavor of the mix : Here is how Heartland explains it .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ frequently argued climate issues into one- or two-page “ at-a-glance ” summaries .
Bullet-points at the top provide quick , memorable information .
Short summaries of a paragraph or two provide additional depth .
Many summaries include powerful visual graphs .
Embedded links verify the information.
” And the why : “ Climate At A Glance puts frequently argued climate issues into short , concise , summaries that provide the most important , accurate , powerful information .
The summaries are designed to provide a library of solid yet simple rebuttals so that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ laymen can easily refute the exaggerations of the so-called “ climate crisis.
” ” Taken together these summaries make a nice short course on the climate change debate .
In addition to refuting the primary alarmist arguments , Heartland might consider adding summaries of positive skeptical arguments related to key issues that alarmists ignore .
These include issues like the flaws in the climate models , the little ice age , natural variability , scaring children , the impossibility of 100 % renewables , and the incredible benefits of fossil fuels .
Then @ @ @ @ @ @ @ some of these skeptical summaries were specifically geared to the new Next Generation Science Standards .
These are just coming into force for many of America ’ s K-12 students .
Climate change is taught in both middle and high school , with a definite slant toward alarmism .
Students are required to use climate models in middle school .
No doubt these are alarmist models .
Also there is a somewhat different approach , which I have experimented .
This is to teach just that there is a serious scientific debate on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not expected to understand the technical scientific debate .
Rather it is like going to visit a big laboratory , to see that a lot of work is being done .
This approach is useful in settings where digging into the science would be disruptive .
I do this by first briefly explaining both sides of the issue , then show the student a Google Scholar search on that topic in the recent scientific literature .
For example , a search on “ little ice age ” finds over 10,000 articles in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Over 250 have it in their article title .
Clearly there is still a ton of research going on .
My LIA gatebreaker is at http : //ccdedu.blogspot.com/2019/05/are-we-coming-out-of-little-ice-age.html .
But possible additions are not a criticism of the present grand package .
Heartland ’ s new collection of gatebreakers is an awesome resource .
A clear antidote to climate alarmism at the street level .
Spread the word .
Climate at a Glance is a game changer .


climatedepot--2020-04-13--AAA Texas: Gasoline Demand Is At Lowest Level In 52 Years (1968) Due To Coronavirus Pandemic

( CBSDFW.COM ) – As gas prices continue to fall throughout Texas , demand for gasoline has significantly fallen as more people are forced to stay home during the coronavirus pandemic .
AAA Texas reports the national demand for gasoline has hit its lowest point since 1968 and that it is expected to continue decreasing as stay-at-home orders remain in place .
As far as gas prices go , the statewide average is now at $ 1.63 for a gallon of regular unleaded this week , according to AAA .
This is 86 cents less than April 9 of last @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Star state haven ’ t seen gas prices this cheap in four years , ” AAA Texas spokesperson Daniel Armbruster said .
“ Gasoline demand continues to decline as many people adhere to shelter in place orders.
” Some of highest prices in Texas are being seen in Midland at an average of $ 1.88 per gallon of regular unleaded .
Drivers in the Sherman/Denison area are seeing the cheapest at around $ 1.23 per gallon .
Driver in North Texas are seeing varying prices of gas throughout the area .
At one @ @ @ @ @ @ @ $ 1.29 per gallon of regular unleaded was seen .
Premium was also at $ 1.69 .
At one Texaco gas station in Dallas , the price per gallon of regular unleaded was $ 1.49 .


climatedepot--2020-04-13--Marie Claire mag: Meet ‘the Women Fighting to Save the World’ –  ‘As of 2019, the world could no lon

Marie Claire mag: Meet ‘the Women Fighting to Save the World’ –  ‘As of 2019, the world could no longer deny we are in a climate crisis’

As of 2019 , the world could no longer deny we are in a climate crisis .
It was the year we said enough is enough .
Greta Thunberg became the embodiment of our outrage when she said , “ How dare you !
” to world leaders .
I am confident that this year we will turn the corner .
We have the climate solutions , and they come with endless benefits , from safer drinking water to more bike paths to new green jobs .
We have work to do , but I know we can do it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ change isn ’ t about just polar bears , remote locations , or the distant future .
It ’ s about us , our families , our friends , and our health—today .
This is the year we start winning the battle .
These five young people have turned their fears of a warming planet into action and gotten the world ’ s attention in the process .
By Cady Drell Climate Crusader Greta Thunberg isn ’ t powerful in spite of her youth ; the Swedish 17-year-old ’ s message resonates so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
And she ’ s not alone .
Women and girls around the world , plenty of whom haven ’ t graduated high school yet , are fighting right alongside her , asking everyone to do more to stop the growing threat of a changing planet .
Of course , women have been on the front lines of environmental activism for decades : Rachel Carson wrote the groundbreaking 1962 book Silent Spring , which led to federal pesticide regulation ; 2004 Nobel Peace Prize winner Wangari Maathai of Kenya founded Africa ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ planting of millions of trees on the continent .
And then there ’ s Thunberg herself , the founder of Fridays for Future , a series of weekly strikes demanding government action on climate change .
The United Nations estimates that 80 percent of those displaced by climate-change-related disasters are women .
Young women in particular will face growing problems associated with a warming world , as many nations ( including the U.S. ) fail annually to shrink greenhouse-gas emissions .
Voters-to-be are understandably scared about the future , but they ’ re @ @ @ @ @ @ @ styled by Sara Holzman .
This story appeared in the April 2020 issue of Marie Claire .


climatedepot--2020-04-12--Analysis: The Common Roots Of Climate Change And COVID-19 Hysteria – Virus ‘is a replacement strateg

Analysis: The Common Roots Of Climate Change And COVID-19 Hysteria – Virus ‘is a replacement strategy for global warming to induce panic’

`` The destruction of the economy will result in many more deaths and hardships than COVID-19 could ever imagine . ''
`` Thanks to Neil Ferguson and Imperial College , the entire world has panicked over COVID-19 and worse , leaders have implemented all of their policy recommendations lock , stock and barrel .
Ferguson ’ s conclusion that COVID-19 would kill as many as 500,000 people in Britain and over 1.1 million in the United States , set off a tidal wave of panic that has not subsided .
His policy recommendations were just as shocking , namely , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in order to survive . ''
... Patrick Wood Excerpt : `` The whole world has just been punked and then panicked into destroying itself over COVID-19 . ''
... People want to know : just how bad is the COVID-19 virus and is fighting it worth the destruction of the world ’ s economic and financial system while disrupting the lives of hundreds of millions of people ?
The story behind the story will make it clear that things are seldom as they seem .
In short and when seen through the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , the whole world has just been punked and then panicked into destroying itself over COVID-19 .
The culprit ?
A world-class Technocrat in Britain : Dr. Neil Ferguson , PhD is a professor at Imperial College in London that bills itself as a “ global university ” .
It is thoroughly steeped in Sustainable Development and more dedicated to social causes than academic achievement .
In fact , Imperial is very well-known for its alarmist research reports on climate change , carbon reduction , environmental degradation , loss of biodiversity , etc @ @ @ @ @ @ @ meme is that it is a tired , worn-out racehorse that much of the world simply ignores .
Global warming alarmists have tried every trick in the book to stampede the world into Sustainable Development .
They have knowingly falsified climate data , flooded the world with inaccurate academic reports , held world meetings like the Paris Accord in France , threatened and bullied their critics , created a global youth movement to shame leaders into action , etc .
All of these strategies have failed to usher in the UN ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ show little promise of success in the future .
What the Sustainable Development crowd needed was to put their non-performing racehorse “ Global Warming ” out to pasture and find a brand new horse that could finally run and win the race to what the UN calls “ deep transformation ” of the entire global economic system .
The new horse is named “ COVID-19 ” .
Different horse , same jockey , same race , same finish line .
The President of Imperial College is Professor Alice Gast .
She considers the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ new paradigm of the global university ” that promises to be “ a contributor to a better future.
” Gast also notes the three general areas of focus of Imperial are “ epidemics , shortages of natural resources and environmental crises.
” In other words , the environment , natural resources and epidemics are seen as intertwined and inseparable .
The “ global university ” is indeed a new paradigm , and one that radically transforms the traditional role of education into one of social activism .
Success is measured by social impact @ @ @ @ @ @ @ achievement .
Furthermore , the global university is invariably framed as a champion of the United Nations ’ Sustainable Development and Imperial is no exception .
The head of Sustainability at Imperial is Professor Paul Lickiss .
His web page states , “ Sustainability should run through the whole of College thinking and activity at all levels and across all campuses.
” A casual examination of the various departments at Imperial confirm this statement : sustainability , environmentalism and climate change themes are seen everywhere .
Once the release of COVID-19 in Wuhan @ @ @ @ @ @ @ academic researcher Dr. Neil Ferguson went to work developing a computer model to track and forecast its rapid spread .
At the top of his field , Ferguson is a professor of mathematical biology at Imperial College in London , and has had extensive experience in tracking other infectious diseases such as the swine flu in 2009 , Dengue in 2015 and Zika in 2016 .
Ferguson is a British epidemiologist and a professor of mathematical biology at Imperial College .
According to the World Health Organization ( WHO ) , Epidemiology is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of health-related states or events ( including disease ) , and the application of this study to the control of diseases and other health problems .
Various methods can be used to carry out epidemiological investigations : surveillance and descriptive studies can be used to study distribution ; analytical studies are used to study determinants .
With a Master of Arts degree in physics , he received a Doctor of Philosophy degree in theoretical physics .
He has no medical or related degree , but rather chose to apply his education to use @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of infectious diseases .
In other words , Ferguson is a data-driven Technocrat with direct access to policy-makers around the world .
According to the New York Times , Imperial College has advised the government on its response to previous epidemics , including SARS , avian flu and swine flu .
With ties to the World Health Organization and a team of 50 scientists , led by a prominent epidemiologist , Neil Ferguson , Imperial is treated as a sort of gold standard , its mathematical models feeding directly into government policies .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Ferguson began to advise officials in Britain and the United States on the spread of the infection as well as ways to fight it .
Thus , he served as both researcher and policy advisor at the same time .
Ferguson ’ s conclusion that COVID-19 would kill as many as 500,000 people in Britain and over 1.1 million in the United States , set off a tidal wave of panic that has not subsided .
His policy recommendations were just as shocking , namely , that societies must be entirely locked down @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 16 , 2020 , Ferguson finally released his formal report , Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions ( NPIs ) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand .
Here are some quick observations from reading this report : • Well before publishing , he advised policy makers .
His modeling study “ informed policymaking in the UK and other countries in recent weeks ” • Comparable to 1918 Spanish flu : “ it represents the most serious seen in a respiratory virus since the 1918 H1N1 influenza pandemic ” • Applied this and previous model @ @ @ @ @ @ @ apply a previously published microsimulation model to two countries : the UK ( Great Britain specifically ) and the US ” • There are two possible strategies : Mitigation and Suppression • Mitigation : This proposed social distancing , home-isolation of sick , home-quarantine of relatives , “ We find that that optimal mitigation policies ( combining home isolation of suspect cases , home quarantine of those living in the same household as suspect cases , and social distancing of the elderly and others at most risk of severe disease ) might reduce @ @ @ @ @ @ @ by half ” • In spite of reducing deaths by half , “ the resulting mitigated epidemic would still likely result in hundreds of thousands of deaths and health systems ( most notably intensive care units ) being overwhelmed many times over ” • Thus , he argues that Suppression is the only option • Suppression : Additional measures include social distancing of the entire population , home isolation of infected , household quarantine of family members , school and university closures • Long term : Suppression “ will need to be maintained @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 18 months or more ) ” .
These doomsday predictions , based entirely on computer simulations similar to those used in climate studies , were believable enough that national leaders accepted them at face value .
Worse , they also accepted Ferguson ’ s policy recommendations , which were then implemented with precise detail .
Here are some of the more prescient excerpts from the report ’ s conclusion section : Our results demonstrate that it will be necessary to layer multiple interventions , regardless of whether suppression or mitigation is the overarching @ @ @ @ @ @ @ require the layering of more intensive and socially disruptive measures than mitigation .
The choice of interventions ultimately depends on the relative feasibility of their implementation and their likely effectiveness in different social contexts .
( p. 14 ) Overall , our results suggest that population-wide social distancing applied to the population as a whole would have the largest impact ; and in combination with other interventions – notably home isolation of cases and school and university closure – has the potential to suppress transmission below the threshold of R=1 required to rapidly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for effective suppression is therefore population-wide social distancing combined with home isolation of cases and school and university closure .
( p. 14 ) To avoid a rebound in transmission , these policies will need to be maintained until large stocks of vaccine are available to immunise the population – which could be 18 months or more .
( p.15 ) Technology – such as mobile phone apps that track an individual ’ s interactions with other people in society – might allow such a policy to be more effective and scalable if @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
( p. 15 ) Perhaps our most significant conclusion is that mitigation is unlikely to be feasible without emergency surge capacity limits of the UK and US healthcare systems being exceeded many times over .
In the most effective mitigation strategy examined , which leads to a single , relatively short epidemic ( case isolation , household quarantine and social distancing of the elderly ) , the surge limits for both general ward and ICU beds would be exceeded by at least 8-fold under the more optimistic scenario for critical care requirements @ @ @ @ @ @ @ even if all patients were able to be treated , we predict there would still be in the order of 250,000 deaths in GB , and 1.1-1.2 million in the US .
( p. 16 ) The mind of a Technocrat can be clearly seen in this whole package .
All of these draconian measures must be maintained until a vaccine is created , which is at least 18 months .
The use of mobile phone apps to track the world ’ s population could be effective if citizens could be railroaded into @ @ @ @ @ @ @ one word about the destruction of the global economic system that would certainly result from these draconian policy measures .
Climate alarmists who articulated the Green New Deal policies also call for radical measures to transform society and they are likewise silent about the inevitable destructive effects such policies would have on the global economy .
Why do Technocrats not discuss the destruction of Capitalism and Free Enterprise ?
Because that is their exact goal .
When Christiana Figueres was head of Climate Change at the United Nations in 2015 .
She clearly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ most difficult task we have ever given ourselves , which is to intentionally transform the economic development model , for the first time in human history .
This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally , within a defined period of time to change the economic model that has been reigning for at least 150 years , since the industrial revolution .
That will not happen overnight and it will not happen at a single conference on climate change , be it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you choose the number .
It just does not occur like that .
It is a process , because of the depth of the transformation.
” ( emphasis added ) People argue with me that this can not be the goal , that it ’ s just too big to comprehend .
My reply is that if a killer points a gun at you and angrily says he is going to kill you , will you take defensive action or just stand there and let him shoot you ?
Hardly .
Direct threats @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the perpetrator has the means to carry out the threat .
In the heat of the Great Depression during the early 1930s , Technocrats were certain that Capitalism and Free Enterprise would be dead within months .
Their economic replacement system of Technocracy would not and could not work unless the existing economic system was completely failed .
Unfortunately for them , Capitalism recovered and Technocracy withered .
Today , however , the United Nations is clearly articulating the same premise and it is at the ready with its resource-based economic system called @ @ @ @ @ @ @ most clearly articulated example of Sustainable Development is the Green New Deal as recently unveiled by U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ( D-NY ) and Sen. Ed Markey ( D-MA ) .
Thanks to Neil Ferguson and Imperial College , the entire world has panicked over COVID-19 and worse , leaders have implemented all of their policy recommendations lock , stock and barrel .
Meanwhile , the entire global media obediently follows behind , fanning the flames of fear into a raging forest fire .
As a result , the U.S. economy is in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on the verge of total collapse , stocks have entered a full-blown bear market , some U.S. Treasury notes are trading at negative interest rates and unemployment claims soared to 3.3 million last week as businesses shut their doors .
Employment experts forecast that over 40 million Americans will have lost their jobs by the end of April .
In short , the economy has been dealt a mortal wound .
Even if all restrictions were immediately lifted globally , it is highly doubtful that the economy could recover to its former state @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for every week that restricted activity continues .
In the United States , the primary agent of panic has been the highly-esteemed Dr. Anthony Fauci who also has close ties to the World Health Organization .
According to National Review , Fauci hypothesized in late February in the New England Journal of Medicine that the fatality rate of COVID-19 may be “ considerably less than 1 % because many people who are infected experience either no symptoms or very mild symptoms and therefore do not report.
” And yet , the media routinely @ @ @ @ @ @ @ % or higher .
Dr. Fauci himself continues to claim that COVID-19 is 10x as bad as the flu , even though his own estimates of 100K to 200K deaths compares to the CDC ’ s reported deaths during the 2019-2020 flu season of between 24,000 and 62,000 .
If Fauci ’ s 10X figure is accurate , then he should be estimating between 240,000 and 620,000 deaths , which he is not .
His numbers simply do not add up !
We are all rightfully saddened for anyone who loses their life @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to be a lot more sorry for having trusted a Technocrat to tell us how to deal with the pandemic .
The destruction of the economy will result in many more deaths and hardships than COVID-19 could ever imagine .
There is much more to be written on this topic .
The main point of this article is to establish the “ panic of 2020 ” as a Technocrat operation so that Sustainable Development , aka Technocracy , can be quickly moved forward if not completely ushered in .
Furthermore , it is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ induce panic .
As stated above , different horse , same jockey , same race , same finish line .


climatedepot--2020-04-11--Coronavirus seen as ‘test-run’ for climate change: ‘Mass shutdowns we now experience could provide a

Coronavirus seen as ‘test-run’ for climate change: ‘Mass shutdowns we now experience could provide a model for imposing’ a ‘climate emergency’ plan

`` Throughout history , crises – like the Covid-19 pandemic – have been ideal opportunities for expanding centralized control of life , ostensibly for our own good .
We are already seeing the potential rise of a new police state and in some countries , such as France , a rising incidence of informers , conspiracy theories , and even vigilantism. ''
... `` Already some environmentalists view the policies used to battle the virus , and the unprecedented course of actions , as a “ test run ” for what they believe will be necessary to save humanity .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ will play a central role in pushing an autocratic “ solution.
” In their oddly pious way , some environmentalists view the pandemic , like climate change , as a kind of “ comeuppance ” for the evil impact of humans on Earth. ''
... `` Unless carefully controlled and monitored , the response to the current pandemic could end up leaving us with a system more akin to China ’ s authoritarian order , dominated by a narrow class of Mandarins and billionaires. ''
... `` The mass shutdowns we now experience @ @ @ @ @ @ @ could provide a model for imposing harsh actions to curb carbon emissions that activists consider as great or greater threats than the virus itself. ''
...
It ’ s January 21 , 2021 and President Biden ’ s first full day in the White House .
Surrounded by cheering key Democratic Party constituencies and financial backers , the new president proclaims a “ climate emergency ” – something proposed in the primaries by Washington ’ s Governor Jay Inslee and Bernie Sanders – placing essentially the entire economy under Washington ’ s control @ @ @ @ @ @ @ end of all new fracking and coastal energy exploration , ” the new President tells the teleprompter .
“ Our entire economic system will be reshaped to reduce carbon emissions .
The war on climate change is a war we must win.
” Before the Covid-19 pandemic , such an approach might have seemed far-fetched , particularly coming from a supposedly moderate political figure .
But the mass shutdowns we now experience – likely necessary in a pandemic – could provide a model for imposing harsh actions to curb carbon emissions that activists @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the virus itself .
Unlike in the Covid-19 pandemic , the pain will be felt not so much on Main Street shops but more on vast industries such as aerospace , fossil fuel energy , the production of gasoline-powered automobiles and suburban home-building .
This is no science fiction fantasy .
These are industries designated as targets in the Green New Deal and more or less embraced in its broad strokes by virtually all leading national Democrats , including Joe Biden .
When he takes office – or some other more sentient figure @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the new President will inherit a governmental apparatus committed to the expansion of its own power .
It will enjoy the support of Wall Street grandees and high-tech oligarchs seeking both social status and easy profits from an “ energy transition.
” Unless carefully controlled and monitored , the response to the current pandemic could end up leaving us with a system more akin to China ’ s authoritarian order , dominated by a narrow class of Mandarins and billionaires .
Already some environmentalists view the policies used to battle the virus , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as a “ test run ” for what they believe will be necessary to save humanity .
As in the Middle Ages , theology will play a central role in pushing an autocratic “ solution.
” In their oddly pious way , some environmentalists view the pandemic , like climate change , as a kind of “ comeuppance ” for the evil impact of humans on Earth .
Nature is “ sending us a message , ” suggests UN ’ s environment chief , Inger Andersen referring to the virus , a view @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s George Monbiot .
Throughout history , crises – like the Covid-19 pandemic – have been ideal opportunities for expanding centralized control of life , ostensibly for our own good .
We are already seeing the potential rise of a new police state and in some countries , such as France , a rising incidence of informers , conspiracy theories , and even vigilantism .
Propaganda , relentless and clever , is critical for creating any kind of police state .
The green movement and supporters of unlimited authoritarian steps to address @ @ @ @ @ @ @ mainstream media ’ s often hysterical and innumerate reporting to provide political leaders with a rationale for uber-control .
A scientifically-based crisis offers an ideal terroir for the promotion of oligarchy .
The current approach to reducing climate-altering emissions offers enormous opportunities not only for expanded government but also for Wall Street and the large tech firms to profiteer on our energy “ transition.
” This illustrates sociologist Robert Michels ’ “ iron law of oligarchy , ” articulated in the early 20th century , that the more complex the issue , the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Like the pandemic , climate change is an extraordinarily complex issue that has been promoted by consistent exaggeration and predictions of catastrophe .
Alarmed by the threat of imminent doom from a changing climate , some progressive pundits openly favor replacing democracy with a global “ technocracy ” that would preempt popular control and allow experts to implement policies of their own design .
The problem here lies with the notion of an “ expert ” class , which likes to see itself as “ scientific ” and unencumbered by prejudice .
But @ @ @ @ @ @ @ human desire for unbound power and influence .
As the “ experts ” grow in power , as James Burnham noted , they see themselves as responsible not to the public , but to others in their peer group from whom they seek approval and support .
In this and other crises , we need to remind ourselves that enforced orthodoxy among “ experts ” – which we often seek – can prove very dangerous .
After all , we have had so many miscalls from our cognitive betters on everything from “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ policy toward Syria and the Soviet Union .
Facing pressure from the virus ’ s spread , there is already danger of embracing the same kind of centralized groupthink practiced so disastrously in China .
Clearly we should view open praise for China ’ s role in the pandemic with great skepticism .
After all , China has now brought to our shores a pestilence .
For well over a decade , it has provided a breeding ground for respiratory ailments such as MERS , Swine Flu and the 2003 SARS outbreak .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ little desire to break their own dependency on Chinese suppliers for everything from critical military aircraft parts to cellphones and medical equipment .
The Progressivism We Need The current pestilence could accelerate the move to a technologically driven society which boosts the power both of government and high-tech oligarchy .
The shift to on-line work , however welcome , boosts the ability of the already intrusive tech oligarchy , from Facebook to Google and Zoom , to collect unlimited personal data both for the alleged public good and their own profit .
These @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are inexorable and could provide the bases for a permanent autocracy .
As Aldous Huxley warned : “ A thoroughly scientific dictatorship will never be overthrown.
” ( 1 ) To reverse this tendency , government must play a positive and irreplaceable role .
Rather than place the burden on households and small firms and allow quasi-monopolies to dominate life and the economy , the government needs to impose strong control on digital monopolies through such things as anti-trust , no doubt an unforgivable violation of some libertarian tenets .
In terms of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a robust economy and maintain blue-collar jobs , we will need to focus more on practical solutions to climate change , including work-at-home , dispersed work , nuclear power and natural gas and hybrid vehicles .
The goal should be to use America ’ s indigenous energy to the advantage of the production economies of the Midwest , the Great Plains , Texas and the mid-south that are critical to American competitiveness and security and to every American ’ s standard of living .
This could provide a political opening to whichever party @ @ @ @ @ @ @ try to use the crisis to pander to every one of their interest groups , as the Democrats have been doing , or simply use it to feather the Big Money class , as is the GOP want , we need government to focus on providing what was once called “ sewer socialism , ” with a focus on public health and sanitation .
If we are engaged in a kind of war against Covid-19 , discussion of imposing vast new environmental or labor strictures or senators selling stock based on privileged briefing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for the midst of crisis .
This retro 20th century approach to public health differs dramatically from the kind of university and media led intersectional progressivism – dismissive of personal responsibility while dismissive of economic reality on issues like energy – so dominant on the Left .
It instead focuses on practical steps , such as encouraging home-based work , dispersing employment , and disallowing such disease multipliers as homeless encampments , breeding grounds for rats and all sorts of diseases , some distinctly medieval such as typhus and arguably far more dangerous @ @ @ @ @ @ @ approach that is pro-American energy exceptionalism , pro-manufacturing and anti-China ’ s predatory trade practices , even if opposed by Wall Street and Silicon Valley , should be natural to the “ party of the people , ” although many in today ’ s progressive circles would regard all these as heretical .
Making a Better World Out of the Virus For all its horror , the current crisis could provide us with the opportunity to create a society where more people work remotely and live as they prefer , violating urban orthodoxy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ health reason , for ever greater densities and greater use of public transit .
Rather than force us closer together , we could nurture instead a decentralized economic structure that would be naturally protective of families , communities , health and ultimately democracy .
This crisis gives us a chance to make bold choices .
“ A man may be led by fate , ” wrote the great Soviet novelist Vasily Grossman , “ but he can refuse to follow.
” ( 2 ) In the Russia of Grossman ’ s time , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ But in America , and the West in general , our current tragedy could help us towards a society that is both safer and freer .
Joel Kotkin is a Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures at Chapman University in Orange , CA and executive director of the Urban Reform Institute in Houston , TX .
His next book , The Coming of Neo-Feudalism , will be published by Encounter in May .


climatedepot--2020-04-10--Ann Coulter blasts ‘fake environmentalism’ in CFACT livestream

While the coronavirus crisis closed college campuses and pushed classes online , CFACT ’ s Collegians weren ’ t going to let that stop them from making a difference this Spring !
The CFACT chapter at the University of Minnesota , Twin Cities hosted an online livestream discussion with American political pundit and author Ann Coulter last night to get her take on the issues of the day , and to educate their peers in what exercising free speech looks like .
Hundreds of viewers tuned in for the event , hailing from all over the world .
Participants from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Canada , and all over the United States joined CFACT ’ s webcast to hear what Ann Coulter had to say .
Evan Smith , student president of the CFACT club at Minnesota , did a fantastic job moderating the discussion and representing CFACT .
He started Q & A off with an excellent question , asking : “ When it comes to the environmental issues , which have been completely taken over by the radical Left , what about those conservatives like myself who care about the environment but reject the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we as conservatives love the forests and waters and even deserts , ” Coulter answered .
“ Those are real environmental issues .
The Left has distorted the environment to make it only about climate change.
” Coulter hammered the so-called “ green ” agenda throughout her talk .
“ I think liberals use a fake environmentalism to push their radical agenda of societal change through climate policies and the Green New Deal , but of course real environmentalism is a conservative value…Those who explored our lands and came to cherish the things @ @ @ @ @ @ @ addressed the problem of Leftism on America ’ s college campuses , when Evan pitched her a question from the viewers about how to take the nation ’ s institutions of higher education back from liberals .
Coulter explained she thinks the main problem with colleges and universities is guaranteed loans from government , which make schools think they can do whatever they want and get away with it .
If you had more private institutions , and perhaps even the schools themselv es , as the main source of funding , you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ much more favorable to other points of view .
When the government creates a monopoly on something , such as student loans , you ’ ll see competition and innovation go way down .
CFACT ’ s Director of Collegians , Adam Houser , addressed the crowd at the beginning of the event , and explained some of the shameful things the radical greens are doing during the coronavirus crisis .
“ Did you know that some are claiming the coronavirus is somehow Mother Nature ’ s revenge for climate change , mining @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what Pope Francis and even the Democratic Socialists of America are claiming .
It ’ s shameful.
” For those of you who weren ’ t able to tune in live for the great discussion , never fear !
We will have the video recap up on the Collegians website at cfactcampus.org very soon .
To all those who donated to make this event possible , thank you .
We look forward to hosting more great exercises of our First Amendment right !
During these uncertain times , I ’ m prouder than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ who are not letting anything get in the way of their mission to fight for truth .


climatedepot--2020-04-10--Analysis: While NASA Alters/Warms Greece Temperature Data, Cold And Unusual Snow Keep Coming Anyway

So what ’ s going on ?
NASA and other government agencies keep telling us that the globe is warming and ice becoming more rare , yet when look out the window , things often appear to be going the opposite direction .
For example , the Greek Reporter here informed how a “ rare spring snow ” blanketed large parts of northern Greece .
It reported : “ Of course , Northern Greece is used to low temperatures and snow , but even for their standards , such an intense snowfall in April is rare.
” Moreover , the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ how southeast Europe had seen its “ coldest April morning in a decade ” , potentially causing widespread crop damage .
So why are such events happening when they aren ’ t supposed to be ?
Today we look at the NASA data from two stations in Greece : Makedonia and Larissa , shown below : These two stations have data going back to 1892 and 1899 respectively .
As we know NASA has been busy over the last years adjusting and homogenizing data from stations around the world , again and again @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , suddenly got altered – in many cases very substantially .
Greece here is another example .
What follows are side-by-side plots of the two stations : V4 unadjusted and V4 adjusted : The two GHCN V4 unadjusted mean annual temperature data plots of the respective stations clearly show a cooling trend .
So no wonder we are seeing “ rare ” snow and cold in April .
But NASA altered the data for the two Greek stations and named the two new data sets “ V4 adjusted ” .
Clearly the adjustments @ @ @ @ @ @ @ scream about .
The warming didn ’ t occur because the air warmed up , but rather because NASA changed the data .
The warming is a fake .
Though lots of people , media and politicians are listening and believing it , the weather isn ’ t .
Snow and cold continue to make their appearance , Greece and other places are showing .


climatedepot--2020-03-14--PBS’ Amanpour Finds Eco ‘Silver Lining’ In COVID-19 Outbreak: Economic slowdown ‘has caused a reduct

PBS’ Amanpour Finds Eco ‘Silver Lining’ In COVID-19 Outbreak: Economic slowdown ‘has caused a reduction in carbon emissions’

On Monday ’ s Amanpour & Co. , PBS/CNN International host Christiane Amanpour echoed climate alarmists who have suggested that the Coronavirus has been good for the climate by depressing human activity as she suggested there has been a “ silver lining ” for the environment in China .
The show also gave an unchallenged forum to climate alarmist and author Christiana Figueres , an architect of the Paris climate accords , who made dire predictions about how difficult to inhabit the world will be in 2050 if carbon dioxide emissions are not cut in the next decade .
After @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on the Coronavirus outbreak , Amanpour then segued : The PBS host then introduced the pre-recorded interview , conducted by contributor Sheelah Kolhatkar , by noting that Figueres is promoting her book , The Future We Choose .
Kolhatkar was then seen hyperbolically claiming that there is an “ environmental freefall ” and “ crisis ” as she began her interview : SHEELAH KOLHATKAR : So there ’ s a sense right now that we are in something of an environmental freefall — KOLHATKAR : Crisis is a good way of putting it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ seem really dire and urgent , it feels , at least from the outside , that policy decisions , global cooperation , all of that is sort of moving backwards .
What are the odds that we could turn things around in time ?
You ’ re never going to get skepticism on eco-doom from CNN ( who scared Americans in the 1990s with The People Bomb ) or PBS ( who in the same decade ran a ten-hour climate doom-fest called Race to Save the Planet ) .
Back then , we @ @ @ @ @ @ @ time !
After the two discussed the issue of the world allegedly needing to cut emissions by 2030 to prevent dire consequences that would around 2050 , Kolhatkar followed up : “ Could you describe a little bit what that world would look like if we just continued laissez-faire on the path that we ’ re on ?
” FIGUERES : So , in the year 2050 , if we do not do what we have to do by the human race , we will walk out of our homes , and we @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the street without putting a mask on because the air is going to be so polluted that it will be life-threatening .
We will not be able — because of heat — we will not be able to exercise or play outside .
She went on to predict millions of people migrating to seek food and water , and democratic governments being overthrown by unrest .


climatedepot--2020-03-14--LA Times Op-Ed happy to see global economy shut down for benefit of climate: ‘We must embrace a worl

LA Times Op-Ed happy to see global economy shut down for benefit of climate: ‘We must embrace a world that the coronavirus, perversely, is laying out for us’

It ’ s stunning how a pandemic can destabilize seemingly unbreakable social norms and habits .
Flying anywhere anytime , and cheaply , has been considered a divine right in the global order , certainly among citizens in the developed world and now among the newly rich of the global south .
The number of passengers flying skyrocketed from fewer than half a billion in the late 1990s to more than 4.3 billion in 2018 .
Yet here we are , with the coronavirus forcing a massive reduction of global air travel .
Airlines , tour companies , hotels and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a freewheeling and free-spending , footloose population are facing lost profits that will likely amount to the hundreds of billions of dollars .
As it happens , a lot less flying is required if we are to stabilize a non-nightmarish planetary climate for our children , our grandchildren and their children .
The spread of the novel coronavirus comes in the wake of an unvarnished report on how to ameliorate climate change that was commissioned by the United Kingdom and published in November .
Called “ Absolute Zero , ” the report , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the universities of Cambridge , Oxford , Nottingham , Bath and the Imperial College London , advised how Britain could reach its stated target of zero emissions by 2050 .
Among their conclusions : Because at present and for the foreseeable future there is no carbon-neutral alternative for the powering of planes , all air travel in the U.K. will have to decline precipitously by 2030 — 10 years from now — and cease altogether by 2050 .
“ For some period , ” the report says , “ we ’ ll all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ true for Britain , of course , has to be true globally — an end to air travel as we know it if the planet is to keep within the putatively safe carbon budget that holds warming to 1.5 degrees Centigrade .
And one can read that conclusion another way : Present-day rates of carbon-intensive travel and tourism are among the many time bombs that industrial society has set to destroy future generations .
Obviously , flying is bad for the climate .
It produces 2.5 % of CO2 emissions , and the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are worse than other forms of transportation because these greenhouse gases persist at high altitudes .
On top of that , air travel has been increasing between 4 % and 5 % a year , while tourism as a whole , according to research published in Nature Climate Change , already constitutes some 8 % of carbon emissions .
Viewed from the perspective of the coming climate apocalypse , much of our flying is narcissistic , wasteful and unnecessary .
Jet-setting and even mere vacation travel is too often a luxury , a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a blinkered attitude of carbon entitlement .
With the coronavirus , travel bans are in place and travel-heavy events from March Madness to high-end art fairs as well as academic conferences , weddings and funerals are on hold , reduced or canceled .
As the virus peaked in China , once teeming travel and spending hot spots all over Asia “ emptied out , ” reported the New York Times .
In Washington state , site of the biggest outbreak in the U.S. so far , Seattle restaurants have closed for the duration @ @ @ @ @ @ @ city ’ s first two cruise season sailings called off .
The virus quickly forced a decline in flights in China after the outbreak was first reported there .
A New York Times infographic tracked the three-week period from Jan. 23 to Feb. 13 , as the number of daily departures and arrivals for domestic and international flights in and out of China plummeted from 15,072 to 2,004 .
Even before President Trump put Europeans under a U.S. travel ban , the International Air Transport Assn .
was estimating the virus would cost @ @ @ @ @ @ @ billion .
The assorted economic and cultural effects of transportation cutbacks and tourism slowdowns will be real and painful .
But our society , exercising wisdom in the face of big picture realities and the pandemic , now has an enforced opportunity to assess the true costs of flying .
The coronavirus may finally cause us to see air travel for what it is , a fuse burning in the climate bomb .
We have to start thinking now — right now , today , as you read this — about a livable @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and for that future to be realized we must embrace a world that the coronavirus , perversely , is laying out for us .
It is a world of less travel , less consumption , one not pathogen-determined but instead created by our own collective self-restraint , humility and altruism .
If we learn from the coronavirus , generations to come will thank us .
Christopher Ketcham ’ s latest book is “ This Land : How Cowboys , Capitalism , and Corruption Are Ruining the American West .
”


climatedepot--2020-03-14--Professor: Why coronavirus is eclipsing Greta Thunberg on climate – ‘Producing results that are argu

Professor: Why coronavirus is eclipsing Greta Thunberg on climate – ‘Producing results that are arguably more important, immediate and effective’

Developing long-lasting effective solutions to preventing climate change is a very difficult task , akin to Sisyphus ’ eternal struggle to push a boulder uphill in Greek mythology .
The major difficulty is that developing solutions to climate change involves dramatic alterations to the ways in which we live – everything must alter .
This initially will involve minor incremental adaptation , but would rapidly require revolutionary change .
Greta Thunberg ’ s statements and actions are a constant reminder of climate change and the need for rapid mitigation and adaptation .
We can identify the ‘ Thunberg effect ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on the growth in carbon offsetting .
Nevertheless , the Thunberg effect has had an as yet relatively small impact on climate change .
However , last December , a new virus was identified that was impacting on the population of Wuhan province , China .
By 23 January , transportation going into and out of Wuhan had been stopped to reduce its spread .
Since then , the onset of the coronavirus ( or COVID-19 ) has been having an immediate and perhaps short-to medium-term impact on climate change .
We can @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In contrast with the Thunberg effect , it is producing results that are arguably more important , immediate and effective .
The coronavirus outbreak has seen widespread changes in human behaviour , encouraging companies to alter everyday operations by suggesting employees work from home , which is reducing congestion and enhancing air quality .
NASA ’ s Earth Observatory recently released satellite images of China highlight the dramatic reduction in pollution , in particular in nitrogen dioxide ( NO2 ) , that occurred this year .
Nitrogen dioxide is emitted by motor @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
This reduction was initially identified around Wuhan , but rapidly spread across China as millions of people have been quarantined and forced to make dramatic alterations to their everyday routines .
There was a gradual reduction in China ’ s NO2 linked to the 2008 economic recession and another reduction around Beijing associated with the 2008 Olympics .
There is also a well-known reduction in pollutants associated with Chinese New Year as factories and businesses across the country close to celebrate this national festival .
But NASA has noted that this year @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in NO2 has been observed across several countries beyond China .
The coronavirus has highlighted the dangers of complex and highly fragmented value chains , and also the potential dangers associated with international travel .
Internationalisation , including free trade and international tourism , are associated with many benefits .
But they also have many potential issues , including contributing to environmental pollution and the spread of disease .
The key issue to explore will be the long-lasting impacts of the COVID-19 effect on responsible businesses .
Companies will have to develop strategies @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Such strategies will include exploring reshoring and rightshoring and redesigning supply chains to minimise exposure to risk .
Such alterations will have environmental impacts that could contribute to reducing the negative impacts of internationalization that are associated with climate change .
For a period , individuals will alter their behaviours to try to avoid the actual or perceived risks associated with the coronavirus and the emergence of other new viral infections , but it remains to be seen whether these behaviours will trigger a longer term change .
Nevertheless , the COVID-19 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ urgently needs to be a discussion regarding responsible business and the redesign of supply chains to minimise environmental pollutions and the spread of disease .


climatedepot--2020-03-14--‘Worry about environmentalists getting too happy’ about Coronavirus causing emissions to drop – ‘Rea

‘Worry about environmentalists getting too happy’ about Coronavirus causing emissions to drop – ‘Really Not the Way You Want To Decrease Emissions’

'There are climate lessons in the response to the virus . ''
The drop in emissions could end up being just a blip that contributes to other problems , said Samantha Gross , a fellow at the Brookings Institution .
One of those problems is that falling costs of oil and other fossil fuels could discourage investment in energy efficiency and renewable energy , and could encourage people to use more oil and gas .
`` I actually worry about environmentalists getting too happy and worked up about the fact that emissions are going down , because this is really @ @ @ @ @ @ @ emissions , '' she said .
Excerpt : The response to COVID-19 is demonstrating that in the face of a large and imminent threat , it is possible to get people to change their behavior—something climate change activists have been trying to do for decades .
Some of those changes—an increase in telecommuting , for example—have climate benefits that could last beyond the current crisis .
“ The plus side is , if there ’ s a sense of social cooperation that emerges from this in response to a threat , that could @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and leaders to come together , ” said Michael Lazarus , U.S. director at the Stockholm Environment Institute .
And yet , emissions concerns are by necessity secondary to managing an escalating public health crisis whose immediacy is in contrast to the way the public often views the march of climate change .
A Model for Long-Term Change ?
The closest thing to a positive development from the coronavirus crisis may be how governments have mobilized to get people to change their behavior , such as encouraging the use of hand sanitizer and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ many other steps big and small .
This is in contrast to the difficulty that environmental advocates have long had in getting people to make changes to consume fewer resources .
Some of the changes in response to coronavirus could have enduring climate benefits .
One example is how many employers are now encouraging people to work from home , which cuts emissions from driving to work .
As employees and workers get used to this , they are more likely to want to do it more .
“ I ’ d be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ least some instances where this marks a sea change , ” said David Comerford , a behavioral economist at Stirling University in Scotland .
He is especially optimistic that some good will come from what climate advocates are learning about how the public responds to crisis and what messages work in communicating urgency .
But as is also true with climate change , people with low incomes are the most likely to suffer while the affluent have an easier time dealing with the threat , in this case the virus , said Gernot @ @ @ @ @ @ @ York University .
“ It ’ s not going to be me dying , it ’ s going to be the already-poor , already-vulnerable , elderly sick people who will die , ” he said .
Lazarus also sees potential for harm if societies see the virus as “ foreign ” and respond by trying to build social and economic barriers , as opposed to coming together .
Temporary Economic Declines , Long-Term Challenges One of the greatest hazards for climate policy related to the coronavirus is that governments , international organizations and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ time to focus on other thorny problems .
Fatih Birol , executive director of the International Energy Agency , made this point while talking this week about his office ’ s new forecast that the world will see the first full-year decline in oil production in more than a decade , a drop that reflects the decrease in demand as coronavirus keeps people from traveling or even going to work .
“ The impact of the coronavirus on oil markets may be temporary , ” he said on Twitter .
“ But the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ going to go away , especially those heavily dependent on oil and gas revenues.
” In those countries , “ sustained low prices could make it almost impossible to fund essential areas such as education , health care and public sector employment , ” he said .
The IEA report warned that energy companies are likely to struggle to finance projects , which could have a big effect on renewable energy , since solar , wind and other renewable technologies make up an increasing share of such companies ’ plans .
The evidence @ @ @ @ @ @ @ arrival of COVID-19 has cut greenhouse gas emissions—in some cases drastically—is clear .
A report published by Carbon Brief found that emissions in China had dropped by at least 25 percent in February compared to the same period in 2019 .
But that same report also indicated that the long-term reduction of emissions probably would be much less , and depend on how quickly China ’ s economy gets back to normal .
This would be in line with a long history of emissions falling during economic turmoil and then rebounding to a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The drop in emissions could end up being just a blip that contributes to other problems , said Samantha Gross , a fellow at the Brookings Institution .
One of those problems is that falling costs of oil and other fossil fuels could discourage investment in energy efficiency and renewable energy , and could encourage people to use more oil and gas .
“ I actually worry about environmentalists getting too happy and worked up about the fact that emissions are going down , because this is really not the way you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ said .
There isn ’ t much evidence that people are happy about it , but some experts still worry about the message it would send if such a sentiment became common .
“ There are lots of things that might be good for the environment but are bad for humanity , ” said Comerford .
He added that he doesn ’ t want a crisis that happens to cut emissions to be confused with an actual strategy for cutting emissions .
“ There is low hanging fruit in terms of cuts to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ affordably make with really no sacrifice to quality of life , ” he said .


climatedepot--2020-03-14--Coronavirus Is Slowing Climate Change Research In The Arctic

As the coronavirus crisis rages on , the disease has now possibly spread to the Arctic .
An ice-locked Arctic research expedition has been halted due to a team member on the project testing positive for the virus .
The mission , called MOSAiC , which stands for Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate , has been stuck in ice since last October .
While you ’ d think literally being isolated on the rocks might protect you from a pandemic , the rotating group of scientists found that is not so .
The German research vessel @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ice , atmosphere , and marine conditions of this part of the Arctic to further understanding of how the climate crisis is affecting this rapidly changing part of the world .
Of the MOSAiC team , 20 had contact with the affected patient and are now in quarantine .
The project has been delayed while the team waits to find out if the illness has been transmitted to other members .
The original affected researcher had not yet joined the vessel and was working on the airborne section of the project , a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ via scientific aircraft to gather data on the atmosphere surrounding the Polarstern vessel .
To reduce the chances of further pathogen spread , the project has been paused and new researchers set to join the vessel are being tested for the illness before arriving from Svalbard , Norway .
The project is of heightened concern owing to the fact that life on a research ship is especially cozy .
Coronavirus is known to infect a patient for five days before symptoms show , meaning identifying yourself or others as a risk based on @ @ @ @ @ @ @


climatedepot--2020-03-14--NYT: Social Distancing? You Might Be Fighting Climate Change, Too – The ‘benefit of a reduced carbon

NYT: Social Distancing? You Might Be Fighting Climate Change, Too – The ‘benefit of a reduced carbon footprint’

As the nation shifts abruptly into the fight against coronavirus , a question arises : could social isolation help reduce @ @ @ @ @ of greenhouse gases and end up having unexpected consequences for climate change ?
The biggest @ @ @ @ @ by our lifestyles come from three activities , said Kimberly Nicholas , a researcher at @ @ @ @ @ Sustainability Studies in Sweden : “ Any time you can avoid getting on a plane @ @ @ @ @ or eating animal products , that ’ s a substantial climate savings.
” Many people @ @ @ @ @ are already two-thirds of the way there .


climatedepot--2020-03-14--Watch: Morano on TV: Coronavirus hysteria is the future environmentalists want: – The Ezra Levant’s

Watch: Morano on TV: Coronavirus hysteria is the future environmentalists want: – The Ezra Levant’s Show

Marc says that government control in the form of quarantines and rationing is what radical environmentalists envision for the world @ @ @ @ @ place as a safety method to slow the spread of COVID-19 by encouraging people to @ @ @ @ @ travel , this is exactly how today ’ s climate warriors think governments should control @ @ @ @ @ carbon emissions .
Earlier this week , the entire country of Italy was put on @ @ @ @ @ the high number of infections in that country .


climatedepot--2020-03-14--Ross McKitrick: Even ‘Believing the science’ on climate change doesn’t mean any policy goes

There ’ s an assumption out there that if you “ accept ” the science of climate change , you are obliged to support drastic measures to cut greenhouse gas ( GHG ) emissions .
This is not true .
The one does not follow from the other .
Mainstream science and economics do not support much of the current climate policy agenda and certainly not the radical extremes demanded by activist groups .
In a recent peer-reviewed paper , my co-authors and I proved this using one of the economic models governments and academics around the world rely on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ GHG emissions using tools called “ integrated assessment models ” ( IAMs ) , which contain linked climate and economic models .
They run the world forward in time for a few hundred years and estimate the value of damages from a tonne of GHGs emitted today .
Pardon all the acronyms but that ’ s called the “ social cost of carbon , ” or SCC , and it represents an upper bound on what we should pay per tonne to cut emissions .
The higher the SCC , the more aggressive @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Obama years the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ( EPA ) convened an expert group to use the three best-known IAMs to estimate the SCC from now to the middle of this century to guide regulatory rule-making .
Most of their results were in the US $ 20 to US $ 60 per tonne range , depending on the discount rate ( which controls how much weight to put on far-future damages ) .
The benefit of climate policy is to get rid of this future damage .
If the damage is US $ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more than $ 60 per tonne of reduction don ’ t make sense .
You wouldn ’ t spend more than a dollar to save a dollar .
Like all models , IAMs depend on key parameters that are drawn from the scientific literature .
It has long been known that although CO2 is a greenhouse gas , it ’ s also food for plants .
So extra CO2 in the air benefits plant growth .
Yet two of the EPA ’ s three IAMs assumed that boosting the carbon dioxide content of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , which is overly pessimistic .
Only one of the models allows for a small gain in agricultural productivity as CO2 levels rise , based on estimates from the 1990s of the size of the effect .
So that ’ s the one we used .
However , we first updated the IAM to take account of the extensive research since the 1990s looking at effects on global plant growth from rising CO2 levels .
Results from satellite-based surveys and field experiments have shown larger benefits than people predicted in the 1990s , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for the rice crop in Asia .
Also , all the IAMs assume the climate will warm by three degrees Celsius with every CO2 doubling .
This is based on simulations with large climate models , but there have been many recent studies in climate journals estimating lower sensitivity based on observed ground- and satellite-measured temperature changes .
So we incorporated this information into the IAM as well .
Based on these updates alone , we showed that , even using a low discount rate , the social cost of carbon as of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tonne to about 60 cents , and there ’ s a 50/50 chance it ’ s below zero .
It does grow over time but not by much .
By 2050 it ’ s still under $ 3 per tonne and has a 46 per cent chance of being less than zero .
Note that we did not say “ climate change is a hoax so we shouldn ’ t do anything.
” We relied on scientific studies in mainstream journals , combined with one of the Obama-era EPA ’ s own preferred @ @ @ @ @ @ @ climate policies are justified .
The answer is no , at least not for the next few decades .
Our paper was reviewed by three knowledgeable anonymous experts who were surprised by our findings and aggressively challenged them , with one strongly recommending our study be rejected .
We had to rebut their extensive counterarguments in detail .
We were able to defend our calculations and the journal decided in our favour .
If you don ’ t believe the science of climate change , then you obviously won ’ t support carbon @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it ’ s important to note that if you do accept the science , you aren ’ t obliged to support every policy , no matter how costly or inconvenient , that gets put forward .
We should still focus on no-regrets strategies where the benefits outweigh the costs .
Ross McKitrick is a professor of economics at the University of Guelph and a senior fellow at the Fraser Institute .


climatedepot--2020-03-14--Ross McKitrick: It’s never enough with climate activists — even a staggering $10 billion from Jeff B

Ross McKitrick: It’s never enough with climate activists — even a staggering $10 billion from Jeff Bezos

Matthew Lau : Costs of the carbon tax to Canadians are much higher than Ottawa is letting on


climatedepot--2020-03-14--The anniversary of Sen. Inhofe throwing snowball inside U.S. Senate that both sides love to troll

Marc Morano , a former Inhofe communications staffer from his earlier stint atop the Environment panel and climate skeptic who cheers on the mocking of Democrats and climate activists , said the speech was an excellent act of trolling , even if it did n't change minds .
`` He was having fun .
It was a lot of fun , '' said Morano , now an executive at the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow .
`` I do n't think it did anything ; I just thought it was fun , and it was a great visual , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ '' he said .
`` It gave the debate a lot of fun .
It gave them their boogeyman , and he had fun being their boogeyman . ''
“ You know what this is ?
” Sen. Jim Inhofe rhetorically asked Louisiana Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy , who was presiding over the Senate one afternoon five years ago .
“ It ’ s a snowball .
It ’ s just from outside here .
So it ’ s very , very cold out , very unseasonable , ” Inhofe said .
“ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” With that , the Oklahoma Republican lobbed the snowball — to a Senate page , not to Cassidy — and into history .
The Snowball Speech , as it has come to be known , has since lived in infamy , which is notable for the author of “ The Greatest Hoax : How the Global Warming Conspiracy Threatens Your Future.
” The five-year anniversary of the speech was last month , but it still serves Inhofe ’ s opponents as a mocking illustration of the Republican Party ’ s climate change @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s an epic troll against Democrats .
Inhofe and his staff frequently bring up that the snowball and the speech were not meant to disprove climate science by showing that snow still falls .
Instead , they were meant to mock Democrats ’ focus on climate , which then-President Obama had recently told Vox is deadlier than terrorism .
It came at an important moment for climate policy .
EPA was working to make final the Clean Power Plan , Obama ’ s signature climate policy , meant to cut greenhouse gas @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also preparing for the United Nations ’ climate summit in Paris later that year , which resulted in the Paris Agreement .
And federal officials had recently concluded that 2014 was most likely the hottest year on record — a conclusion Inhofe mocked with the snowball .
Marc Morano , a former Inhofe communications staffer from his earlier stint atop the Environment panel and climate skeptic who cheers on the mocking of Democrats and climate activists , said the speech was an excellent act of trolling , even if it didn ’ t @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fun .
It was a lot of fun , ” said Morano , now an executive at the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow .
“ I don ’ t think it did anything ; I just thought it was fun , and it was a great visual , and I think it really helped him , ” he said .
“ It gave the debate a lot of fun .
It gave them their boogeyman , and he had fun being their boogeyman .
”


climatedepot--2020-03-13--Terence Corcoran rips warmists: Good news, say climate activists: We have a coronavirus pandemic!  ‘

Terence Corcoran rips warmists: Good news, say climate activists: We have a coronavirus pandemic!  ‘Think of the benefits!’

Ross McKitrick : ‘ Believing the science ’ on climate change doesn ’ t mean any policy goes


climatedepot--2020-03-13--Coronavirus poses threat to ‘climate action’ — ‘unless governments use green investments’

Fatih Birol , IEA ’ s executive director , has warned the outbreak could spell a slowdown in the world ’ s clean energy transition unless governments use green investments to help support economic growth through the global slowdown .
“ There is nothing to celebrate in a likely decline in emissions driven by economic crisis because in the absence of the right policies and structural measures this decline will not be sustainable , ” he said .
... “ We should not allow today ’ s crisis to compromise the clean energy transition , ” Birol said .
He @ @ @ @ @ @ @ stimulus packages which are being planned to help countries weather the downturn to invest in clean energy technologies .
He added : “ We have an important window of opportunity .
Major economies around the world are preparing stimulus packages .
A well designed stimulus package could offer economic benefits and facilitate a turnover of energy capital which have huge benefits for the clean energy transition.
” The coronavirus health crisis may lead to a slump in global carbon emissions this year but the outbreak poses a threat to long-term climate action by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to the global energy watchdog .
The International Energy Agency ( IEA ) expects the economic fallout of Covid-19 to wipe out the world ’ s oil demand growth for the year ahead , which should cap the fossil fuel emissions that contribute to the climate crisis .
But Fatih Birol , IEA ’ s executive director , has warned the outbreak could spell a slowdown in the world ’ s clean energy transition unless governments use green investments to help support economic growth through the global slowdown .
“ There is nothing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ emissions driven by economic crisis because in the absence of the right policies and structural measures this decline will not be sustainable , ” he said .
The virus has stoked fears of a global economic recession and helped to ignite one of the sharpest oil price collapses in the last 30 years , wiping billions of dollars from the world ’ s largest energy companies .
The economic contagion is likely to stall many infrastructure projects , including the multibillion-dollar investments in clean energy needed to avert a climate catastrophe by the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ahead could mark the first time the world ’ s solar power growth falls since the 1980s , according to a report from Bloomberg New Energy Finance .
The analysts on Thursday slashed forecasts for new solar power projects by 8 % .
It expected sales of electric vehicles to stall too .
“ We should not allow today ’ s crisis to compromise the clean energy transition , ” Birol said .
He said global governments should use the economic stimulus packages which are being planned to help countries weather the downturn @ @ @ @ @ @ @ He added : “ We have an important window of opportunity .
Major economies around the world are preparing stimulus packages .
A well designed stimulus package could offer economic benefits and facilitate a turnover of energy capital which have huge benefits for the clean energy transition.
” The IEA ’ s analysis has shown 70 % of the world ’ s clean energy investments are government-driven , either through direct government finance or in response to policies such as subsidies or taxes .
The watchdog has also found government fossil fuel subsidies @ @ @ @ @ @ @ year .
Birol urged global governments to invest in energy efficiency measures , which might not offer good short-term returns while energy prices are low but would prove a lucrative investment in the longer-term .


climatedepot--2020-03-13--Usual Fear: ‘What Could Warming Mean for Pathogens like Coronavirus?’ ‘Scientists expect to see chan

Usual Fear: ‘What Could Warming Mean for Pathogens like Coronavirus?’ ‘Scientists expect to see changes in…severity of disease outbreaks as global temperatures rise’

President Trump assured the American public that the onset of warmer weather could halt the spread of the coronavirus .
But experts caution there ’ s no evidence to support that idea .
His assertion raises new questions about the role temperatures have on infectious diseases as Earth gets warmer .
The impacts of climate change on the coronavirus are unknown , but research related to other illnesses suggest that the risk of pandemics is growing as rising temperatures ignite animal migrations and other changes .
The COVID-19 virus continues to spread even as the first hints of spring begin @ @ @ @ @ @ @ It ’ s true that in temperate parts of the world , like the United States , Europe and much of Asia , flu season tends to spike in the winter and drop off in the spring .
And some other types of coronaviruses , which have been around longer and been better studied than COVID-19 , have also exhibited seasonal patterns .
But COVID-19 , being a novel disease , still holds more questions than answers .
Scientists aren ’ t sure what kinds of patterns to expect as it spreads or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and climate .
Confirmed reports of the coronavirus have now topped 100,000 cases worldwide , with no signs of slowing down .
More than 3,000 people around the globe have already died , the majority in China .
Even if it does turn out to have some seasonal components in the future , that effect will likely be small this year , experts say .
Since it ’ s a new disease with very little immunity built up in the human population , it will likely continue to spread quickly .
Answering these @ @ @ @ @ @ @ take time .
But in general , links between climate and infectious disease are a growing subject of interest among scientists .
As the Earth continues to warm , many scientists expect to see changes in the timing , geography and intensity of disease outbreaks around the world .
And some experts believe climate change , along with other environmental disturbances , could help facilitate the rise of more brand-new diseases , like COVID-19 .
Figuring out what those changes will look like is difficult — especially for directly transmitted diseases like COVID-19 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to another .
There ’ s a great deal of research about climate and vector-borne diseases — these are illnesses that are transmitted to humans by other animals , such as mosquitoes or ticks .
But it ’ s much harder to research climate impacts on human-to-human disease transmission .
“ We can put mosquitoes in a lab , ” said Rachel Baker , an expert on climate and infectious diseases at the Princeton Environmental Institute .
“ Put mosquitoes in labs , looking at everything from life length and egg-laying properties and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and relating those back to climate drivers.
” Studies suggest that vectors like mosquitoes and ticks may shift their ranges as the climate warms .
This means that certain vector-borne diseases , such as malaria , dengue fever or Lyme disease , may move into new territories in the future .
But with directly transmitted diseases , like influenza or COVID-19 , it ’ s much harder to run experiments .
Some viruses — flu , for example — can be tested in animals like guinea pigs .
But that ’ s not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ animals don ’ t provide a perfect analogy for the way diseases spread in human societies .
Much of what we know about climate and directly transmitted diseases comes from large-scale observations of the way these diseases behave in the world .
In this way , scientists are slowly starting to gain insight into how climate affects some of the most common viral diseases .
But there are more questions than answers .
Take influenza , for instance .
In temperate parts of the world , flu exhibits strong seasonal patterns and tends @ @ @ @ @ @ @ believe the virus survives better in colder , drier conditions .
Human behavior may have something to do with it , as well — people tend to stay indoors more in the winter , meaning they ’ re more likely to be in close quarters with one another and may infect others more easily .
In the warmer tropics , on the other hand , flu season tends to spread out throughout the year , with some spikes during the rainy season .
As a result , some experts suggest that climate change @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to become less intense but more evenly distributed across the seasons , Baker noted .
Researchers have observed similar patterns in RSV , another common , directly transmitted respiratory virus .
But limited studies have suggested climate change could have other effects , as well .
A paper in 2013 found that unusually warm winters tend to be followed by earlier , more severe flu seasons the next year .
The researchers suggest this is because fewer people come down with the flu during warmer winters , leaving their immune systems more vulnerable @ @ @ @ @ @ @ published earlier this year , suggested that rapid swings in the weather may also make flu epidemics worse .
Flu certainly isn ’ t representative of all directly transmitted diseases .
But the research on flu , one of the most common and well-studied viruses in the world , helps demonstrate the challenges of parsing out the influence of climate change .
Much of the research on common diseases , like the flu , is still focused on how climate and weather affect the disease today — which is the first step to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ affect the disease in the future .
The same foundation will be necessary for scientists to make predictions about the future of emerging diseases , like COVID-19 .
“ We really need to have that understanding before we can think about climate change , ” Baker said .
“ There are still a lot of open questions in terms of how is climate important.
” The rapid spread of the coronavirus is sparking challenging conversations about how to prepare for epidemics , especially new or little-known diseases .
Climate change may make these @ @ @ @ @ @ @ thing , climate change may cause diseases that are common in some places to shift into new geographic locations .
That ’ s a particular risk with vector-borne diseases , as mosquitoes and ticks expand their ranges .
In that scenario , the disease itself isn ’ t unknown to the world — but it may be new to many of the places it affects in the future .
“ It seems like what we expect from mosquito-borne diseases with climate change is that they ’ re going to change in their distribution @ @ @ @ @ @ @ used to being under that threat , ” said Christine Johnson , director of the EpiCenter for Disease Dynamics at the University of California , Davis ’ School of Veterinary Medicine .
“ And in some cases , very vulnerable populations that don ’ t have a lot at the ready in terms of mosquito control.
” Scientists are working on ways to improve their projections of where these types of diseases may crop up in the future , so communities can prepare to deal with them .
It ’ s also possible @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of entirely novel diseases , like COVID-19 .
Exactly how is highly uncertain .
But it ’ s worth keeping in mind that most novel diseases originate in wildlife before they spread to humans , said Johnson .
The COVID-19 virus , for instance , is thought to have originated in bats .
As the climate changes , many animal species are likely to change their behavior or migrate to new areas .
It ’ s possible that in some cases , this could increase their likelihood of coming into contact with humans @ @ @ @ @ @ @ only environmental disturbance to keep an eye on .
Other human activities may also increase the likelihood of human-wildlife contact and the risk of emerging diseases .
Deforestation is one major potential factor .
Wildlife markets are another , Johnson added .
That said , the effects of environmental disturbances on novel diseases remain highly uncertain .
“ I think we can say that things are going to change , and that we expect the risk to increase , ” Johnson said .
“ But we can ’ t say with any certainty @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at which time.
” For now , some of the greatest lessons the world is learning from coronavirus may simply be the value of preparing for the unexpected .
And that ’ s a lesson the world is learning from climate change , as well .
“ Something I hear a lot in this field is , we can ’ t predict next year ’ s flu season , so how could we possibly make predictions out to 2100 or 2050 on what the flu season is going to look like with climate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ I think there ’ s a great analogy here with climate science itself .
People make the same case : How do we know what climate change is going to look like in 50 or 100 years when we don ’ t know what next week ’ s snowfall is going to be ?
” The key thing to remember in both cases , she said , is that short-term fluctuations may be hard to predict — but observing long-term patterns over many years can give scientists great confidence in their predictions about @ @ @ @ @ @ @ up these efforts in both climate science and infectious disease research is critical .
“ I think the analogy there is an important one , ” Baker said .
Reprinted from Climatewire with permission from E & E News .
E & E provides daily coverage of essential energy and environmental news at www.eenews.net .
Read more about the coronavirus outbreak here .


climatedepot--2020-03-12--Leading Activist Resigns, Blasts Warmist Group Friday’s For Future: ‘Science Largely Manipulation, F

Leading Activist Resigns, Blasts Warmist Group Friday’s For Future: ‘Science Largely Manipulation, Fraud.’…’Feel Like I’m Leaving A Cult’

Hardcore German left-wing activist Tom Radke – citing selfish leaders , fraudulent science , psychological manipulation and a cult-like atmosphere within the German Greens – has had enough of the Fridays For Future ( FFF ) Germany movement and has announced his resignation .
German left-wing activist , former FFF participant Tom Radke quits movement after experiencing its inner working .
Image cropped from Tom Radke.de .
In a statement published at his site , Tom Radke wrote he wishes “ to concentrate on left-wing patriotic politics : environmental protection , a strong welfare state and peace ” instead of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ corporations ” .
FFF not about the environment Radke writes how he “ found out through very negative practical experiences with Fridays for Future that many people never cared about environmental protection ” and that he “ misjudged the other ‘ climate activists ” .
He wrote : “ Of all activists at FFF Hamburg , only a few were really interested in preserving our environment , clean air and healthy food.
” Radke blasts the FFF leader “ Longhaul Luisa ” Neubauer who he believes was “ obviously in it for a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” while she called on others to save money .
Radke also had the impression that FFF movement leader Greta Thunberg was “ being taken advantage of by her family but that she was “ personally a nice person ” .
He recognized “ the nonsensical and anti-people content of the climate movement ” and that the movement ’ s “ climate science is largely manipulation and fraud ” .
Radke also explains how he came to realize that the FFF activists in fact had very little knowledge about climate science itself and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on pure emotions and blind faith ” and “ also based on fear-mongering ” .
“ The young people are told that they , their families and everyone they love will die if we don ’ t act immediately.
” Radke accuses the German Green Party Using “ a lot of psychological pressure ” to coerce donations from followers despite the fact that “ there are major donors in the background , who are completely unknown to the ordinary members.
” Radke also writes that the FFF movement “ has nothing to to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that “ the CO2-tax serves to squeeze even more out of ordinary people .
He summarizes his departure as follows : “ I feel a little like a person who is leaving the cult .
It is a liberating feeling .
Through my experience I will try to help other students to leave FFF and the climate religion .
”


climatedepot--2020-03-12--Clashing Climate Kiddies: Internal Strife Erupts, FFF Activist Group Organizers Bicker Over Who Gets

Clashing Climate Kiddies: Internal Strife Erupts, FFF Activist Group Organizers Bicker Over Who Gets Spotlight

One highly visible person often seen at Greta Thunberg ’ s side at public Fridays For Future appearances is German 23-year old climate activist Luisa Neubauer of Hamburg .
Climate activist Luisa Neubauer at the center of infighting between FFF organizers .
Image : Andol – own work , CC BY-SA 4.0 The Green Party member was a driving force behind the launch of the Fridays For Future movement in Germany and Europe .
However , it appears other FFF organizers have had enough of Neubauer constantly hogging the spotlight amid signs of growing discord and infighting among FFF organizers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been “ disqualified as permanent speaker ” by FFF organizers and “ will also not speak at the controversial citizens ’ meeting in Berlin in June.
” Moreover , according to MOPO : “ Neubauer already was replaced ” by 17-year-old schoolgirl Helena Marshall at the Siemens Annual Shareholders ’ Meeting on February 5 .
The problem , MOPO writes , is that “ Neubauer is too much in the public eye ” and that she may not be “ suitable as a representative ” because it was reported how she had flown @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Longhaul Luisa ” after having posted images of herself on foreign trips in social media .
Over the last years , climate activist Luisa made it around the world by plane several times , via Austria , Switzerland , Italy , Belgium , the Netherlands , Sweden , Poland , England , Scotland , France , Canada , China , Hong Kong , Nepal , Morocco , Namibia , Tanzania , Indonesia , etc .
Once in a talk show , Luisa was asked what she personally would do to protect the climate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ little as possible ” .
Evidence of open discord among the FFF movement organizers also surfaced in a video showing Greta Thunberg expressing her displeasure at comments made by Neubauer during the World Economic Forum earlier this year .
Strife is undeniable as Greta openly shakes her head as Neubauer speaks .
MOPO reports the “ first trouble ” began “ already at the beginning of spring 2019 ” when co-organizers felt “ the distribution of speeches and appearances was too one-sided.
” Today Greta tweeted she was skipping appearances in the marches @ @ @ @ @ @ @ citing “ family reasons ” .