climatedepot--2020-05-19--‘The real climate science deniers’ are the climate cause deniers who reject natural factors

Fifty years ago , I helped organize Earth Day # 1 programs on my college campus , calling attention to serious pollution problems that afflicted much of the USA .
Over the ensuing decades , laws , regulations , and changed attitudes , practices and technologies reduced most of that pollution , often dramatically .
I didn ’ t buy into the 1970 end-is-nigh , doom-and-gloom , billions-will-die hysteria that Ron Stein and Ron Bailey summarize , including the manmade global cooling crisis .
I don ’ t buy it today , either – certainly not this year ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ global warming crisis , also blamed on emissions of carbon dioxide , the same gas that humans and animals exhale , and plants use to grow .
We ’ re told the crisis is unprecedented , and poses existential threats to humanity and planet .
What nonsense .
But what I find fascinating in all this is the steadfast , often nasty determination of scientists , politicians and interest groups promoting alarmist themes – and profiting immensely from them – to reject and deny any science , history and evidence that undermines their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ before .
The “ highest ever ” temperatures are a mere few tenths or even hundredths of a degree above previous records set many decades ago .
The United States recently enjoyed a record 12-year respite from Category 3-5 hurricanes , ended finally by Harvey and Irma in 2017 .
Violent tornadoes were far fewer during the last 35 years than during the 35 years before that , and the complete absence of violent twisters in 2018 was unprecedented in US history .
Modern day floods and droughts were certainly no worse than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ devastated Anasazi , Mayan and other civilizations .
However , alarmists insist , Earth ’ s climate and weather were stable and unchanging until humans began using coal , oil and natural gas .
We must eradicate fossil fuels now , they say , regardless of what biofuel , battery , wind and solar replacements ( and mining for raw materials to manufacture them ) might have on wildlife , scenery , environmental values or human rights .
Their disconnect from reality is astounding .
Equally fascinating is the notion that melting glaciers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ asserting that everything was just peachy until American , European and Greenland glaciers started melting a few decades ago , threatening us with catastrophic sea level rise .
It amounts to claiming the glacial epochs never happened ; their mile-high ice sheets never blanketed a third of the Northern Hemisphere , multiple times , with warm periods in between ; and seas haven ’ t risen some 400 feet since the Pleistocene ice age , leaving the entrance to Cosquer Cave and its Paleolithic paintings 115 feet beneath the Mediterranean .
It amounts @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Periods never happened , and weren ’ t followed by the Little Ice Age , when priests performed exorcisms , asking God to keep glaciers from inundating villages in the Alps of Europe .
It ’ s as though we couldn ’ t possibly be finding what we are finding today .
In the latest example , government and university researchers recently found numerous Viking-era artifacts along a Norwegian mountain pass that had been heavily traveled for at least 700 years , but then was buried beneath the ice and lost to history @ @ @ @ @ @ @ rough 2,200-foot-long pass to travel between summer and winter lodgings , while long-distance trekkers used it as a trade route .
Within the treasure trove were tunics , mittens , horse shoes and bits , remnants of sleds used to haul food and gear over winter snow , a small shelter , and even the remains of a dog with a collar and leash .
They all came to light because the glacial ice is again receding , as Earth continues its post Little Ice Age warming .
Alarmists insist the warming is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that it is just part of natural climate cycles .
And much more evidence of past warming and cooling periods has also come to light in recent years .
In 1991 , German hikers found the incredible mummified and heavily tattooed remains of “ Oetzi the Ice Man ” sticking out of the ice in the Oetzal Alps near the Italian-Austrian border , at an altitude of some 10,000 feet .
A partial longbow , bearskin hat and other artifacts were found nearby .
He had died about 5,300 years ago from an @ @ @ @ @ @ @ four different people on his clothes and weapons .
He is further evidence of human habitation in these alpine areas during past warm periods .
Tourists and archeological teams have also discovered parts of shoes , leather clothing , fragments of a wooden bowl and numerous other items from 3000 to 4500 BC ( BCE ) that have emerged from the alpine ice .
They are among the oldest objects ever found in the Alps .
A Bronze Age pin , Roman coins and early Medieval artifacts have also been found .
They @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , impassible during cold , more glaciated periods , served as vital trade routes in periodic warmer centuries .
Norwegian ice fields show shrinkage and growth patterns similar to those of the alpine glaciers , says Norwegian glacial scientist Atle Nesje .
The archaeological findings “ seem to fit quite nicely with our glacier reconstructions , ” he adds , which helps us understand past , present and future climate changes .
Years of research by Swiss and other scientists have produced similar findings – sometimes human artifacts , but also plant and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ melted ice .
In one location in the Swiss Alps , University of Berne geology professor Christian Schluechter found pieces of wood 12-24 inches thick and the remains of a moor .
Melting waters had flushed them out from under the glacier .
That means the ice there is hardly “ perpetual , ” he says .
There were multiple periods of warmer weather and less ice .
In fact , carbon-14 dating shows ten “ clearly definable time windows ” over the last 10,000 years – periods when glaciers were limited to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Alps than today .
This means that , for multiple long streches of time , “ the Alps were greener than they are today , ” Schluechter concludes .
Inca children sacrificed 500 years ago in Argentina ’ s Andes have also emerged from melting glaciers .
Off the Florida coast , the Mel and Deo Fisher archeological diving team didn ’ t just find the famous Spanish galleon Nuestra Señora de Atocha , which sank during a ferocious 1622 hurricane , or only the British slave ship Henrietta Marie , which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ after leaving 190 Africans in Jamaica to be sold as slaves .
They also found charred tree branches and pine cones from a forest fire 8,400 years ago , when this ocean area 35 miles from Key West was still well above present day sea levels !
Even an entire forest has been discovered , protruding from the melting Mendenhall Glacier near Juneau , Alaska – an area I visited several years ago .
Roots , stumps and large segments of entire upright spruce or hemlock trees have already been found across several @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a forest that thrived there for as long as 2,350 years , until it was buried by glacial ice around 1,000 years ago .
The chronicle of amazing discoveries yielded by melting glaciers goes on and on .
Their most important lesson is that our current climate is but a snapshot in time , on a vibrant planet where climate change and extreme weather have been “ real ” since time began .
Only a science-denying climate alarmist would refuse to recognize this .
Simply put , there is nothing “ unprecedented ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ This is dangerous stuff – sacrilegious , even .
It pulls the rug from under demands for a post-Coronavirus Green New Deal .
It must be suppressed .
And frightened climate science deniers are doing their best to keep it out of “ mainstream ” and social media .
Realists must do their best to disseminate climate facts .
Of course , it may be that these past climate changes were caused by carbon dioxide and water vapor from wheezing , snorting horses , oxen and humans – laboring at the edge of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and equipment do for us today .
But it ’ s far more likely that the changes were due to a complex and still poorly understood combination of solar and other powerful natural forces .
Climate alarmists may not want to recognize or discuss these natural fluctuations and causes .
But the rest of us should , and this historic evidence must be a central part of that discussion .
Improving our knowledge of what these forces are and how they work together will enable us to better predict , prepare for and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to focus on carbon dioxide and other “ greenhouse gases , ” as the primary or sole cause of climate changes and weather events , will ensure that we never get beyond the politically driven climate and energy battles in which we are now engaged .
Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow ( www.CFACT.org ) and author of Eco-Imperialism : Green power ● Black death and other books and articles on energy , environment , climate and human rights issues .
This article appeared on the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ https : //wattsupwiththat.com/2020/05/18/the-real-climate-science-deniers/


climatedepot--2020-05-19--ClimateFeedback review of PragerU video challenges good news on polar bears

Facebook has labelled a recent short PragerU polar bear video as “ false information ” based on a ClimateFeedback review featuring statements by Andrew Derocher and Ian Stirling published 18 May 2020 .
The video , posted on Facebook 5 May 2020 , is also available here and here .
I was approached yesterday by Nick Coltrain , a reporter for the Des Moines Register and USA Today , asking for a statement about the accuracy of the PragerU video , which cites me as a source for two of their three ‘ inconvenient facts.
’ My comments are below @ @ @ @ @ @ @ going on is a classic conflict that happens all the time in science : it presents no proof that I ’ m wrong or that the PragerU video is ‘ false information ’ .
Climate Feedback is not ‘ factchecking ’ : it is presenting its preferred side of a disputed science issue .
Thanks for the opportunity to respond .
I stand behind the accuracy of the video but wish they had cited my scientific paper , my fully referenced new book , The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened , and/or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2019 , also fully referenced .
[ links provided to Crockford 2017 , 2019 , 2020 ] I will post a full response on my blog but would like to point out the following .
Regarding the challenge of the adjective ‘ thriving ’ used in the video , in the review both Derocher and Stirling referred to Barents and Chukchi Sea polar bears as doing “ OK ” .
I contend this is a gross misrepresentation of the published literature on these bears .
There have been a number of papers published @ @ @ @ @ @ @ condition and reproduction are better now than in the 1980s and a recent paper on the body condition of female Barents Sea bears stated : “ Unexpectedly , body condition of female polar bears from the Barents Sea has increased after 2005 , although sea ice has retreated by ∼50 % since the late 1990s in the area , and the length of the ice-free season has increased by over 20 weeks between 1979 and 2013 .
These changes are also accompanied by winter sea ice retreat that is especially pronounced in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” [ Lippold et al .
2019:988 ] Biologically speaking , since the premise of the assumption that polar bear populations will decline with reduced summer sea ice is that bears will be in poor condition and reproducing poorly , it is logical to assume that bears with good body condition and reproducing well belong to thriving populations , regardless of the fact that the sea ice in their region is much reduced .
In addition , Stirling further stated that “ …a couple [ subpopulations ] are doing OK , such as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ one seems to be increasing ( M ’ Clintock Channel ) .
” It is odd that Stirling fails to mention Kane Basin , shown on the status map provided as also ‘ likely increasing ’ ( as documented in 2016 population survey report ) and yet mentions M ’ Clintock Channel bears seem to be increasing even though the results of a long-awaited population survey , now long overdue , have not yet been made public .
The polar bear data are contradictory : contrary to predictions , several polar bear subpopulations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are indeed thriving despite much reduced summer sea ice .
I have chosen to emphasis that good news , while Stirling and Derocher choose to emphasize the data that seem to fit their predictions .
This is a classic conflict that happens all the time in science but presents no proof that I ’ m wrong or that the PragerU video is inherently ‘ false ’ .
In short , it is indeed true that ‘ Polar bears are thriving even where sea ice is diminishing.
’ See also my 2018 opinion piece @ @ @ @ @ @ @ polar bear video in the Financial Post here .
Climate Feedback reviewed that piece with statements by Steven Amstrup and Andrew Derocher , which I countered here , here , and here .
The review states : “ There is no scientific evidence that the entire polar bear population has been growing , contrary to what this video claims.
” In 2007 the global estimate used by the USGS in their analysis supporting the listing of polar bears as ‘ threatened ’ under the ESA was 24,500 ( Amstrup et al .
2007 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2015 ( without the addition of several subpopulation estimates completed since then ) was 26,000 ( 22,000-31,000 ) ( Regehr et al .
2016 ; Wiig et al .
2015 ) .
Do the math : 24,500 bears in 2007 vs. 26,000 bears in 2015 is an increase of 1,500 bears and indicate that overall population numbers have indeed grown by a small amount .
More recent survey results add further to that total .
I ’ ve pointed out this may well not be statistically significant increase but it is certainly not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ when sea ice declined to present levels ( Crockford 2017 , 2019 , 2020 ) .
In addition to the thriving condition of Barents Sea bears discussed above ( Aars 2018 ; Aars et al .
2017 ; Lippold et al .
2019 ) , Chukchi Sea polar bears are also doing much better than they were in the 1980s despite much reduced summer sea ice .
These results are documented in a number of peer-reviewed papers on the topic ( ACSWG 2018 ; Regehr et al .
2018 ; Rode and Regehr @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , 2014 , 2018 ) .
Ringed and bearded seals are similarly thriving despite less summer ice ( Crawford et al .
2015 ) .
Despite these results , Stirling and colleagues conclude illogically that both Barents Sea and Chukchi Sea polar bear populations are merely “ likely stable ” ( i.e .
“ OK ” ) rather than increasing .
It is biologically implausible that both populations are merely holding their own : the Svalbard portion of the Barents Sea population increased by 42 % between 2004 and 2015 .
However , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” even though the similarly “ statistically insignificant ” 17 % decline in Southern Hudson Bay bears in 2018 was deemed valid and represented a ‘ real ’ decline – such games do not instill confidence that these researchers are presenting unbiased scientific results ( Crockford 2019 , 2020 ) .
Stirling states in the review : “ …a couple [ subpopulations ] are doing OK , such as Foxe Basin and Davis Straight , and one seems to be increasing ( M ’ Clintock Channel ) .
” As I mentioned above @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increasing ’ status of Kane Basin but his mention of M ’ Clintock Channel means we now we know why the report on the latest M ’ Clintock Channel population survey has not yet been released ( see Crockford 2020 ) : it obviously shows the population size has increased .
More games .
I have previously addressed in detail the problems involved in the Southern Beaufort population estimate and those for Western and Southern Hudson Bay which are at odds with the picture presented by ClimateFeedback .
See Crockford 2017 , 2019 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ global polar bear population is currently estimated to be approximately 20,000 – 25,000 bears , distributed among 19 subpopulations.
” This is wrong : it ’ s an out-of-date estimate used in a paper co-authored by reviewer Derocher in 2013 .
The official global population estimate used by the IUCN ( 2015 ) and the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group ( 2018 ) is 22,000-31,000 ( or 26,000 on average ) , see Regehr et al .
2016 and Wiig et al .
2015 .
2 ) Reference 1 in the citation list @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2018 ) ” should be Stirling et al .
( 2012 ) 3 ) Paragraph 3 of the review : “ But as stated in Hunter et al .
( 2015 ) ” should be Hunter et al .
( 2010 ) .
Now 20 years with no trend in ice breakup dates for Western Hudson Bay polar bears [ discusses the Lunn et al .
2016 paper cited in the Climate Feedback review ] Southern Beaufort polar bear ‘ decline ’ and reduced cub survival touted in 2008 was invalid , PBSG @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the Southern Beaufort [ discussed the repeated starvation events that resulted from thick spring ice conditions unique to the Southern Beaufort , which are now falsely blamed on lack of summer ice ] Global polar bear population larger than previous thought – almost 30,000 [ discusses the polar bear subpopulation estimates that were not included in the 2015 IUCN Red List assessment because they had not yet been published ] Even with Inuit lives at stake , polar bear specialists make unsupported claims [ discusses Ian Stirling ’ s oft-repeated claim that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Western Hudson Bay has dropped and that cub survival rates have “ plummetted ” – even though data supporting these claims have not been published – as I pointed out in my 2019 State of the Polar Bear Report ( Crockford 2020 ) ] Chukchi Sea polar bears number almost 3000 according to new survey results update [ reports the 2016 population estimate that replaces the old ‘ guess ’ of 2,000 bears used in the 2015 IUCN Red List assessment ] Polar bear specialists double-down on message of future starving bears [ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ polar bears are starving due to declining summer sea ice ] Global polar bear abundance ‘ best guess ’ estimate is 39,000 ( 26,000-58,000 ) [ discusses polar bear numbers at 2018 and why I think they are too low , see quote below ] .
“ In 2014 , the chairman of the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group ( PBSG ) emailed me to say that their global population size number ‘ has never been an estimate of total abundance in a scientific sense , but simply a qualified guess given to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ book , The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened , I contend that this situation will probably never change , so it ’ s time to stop holding out for a scientifically accurate global estimate and generate a reasonable and credible ‘ best guess ’ .
Recent surveys from several critical polar bear subpopulations have given us the information necessary to do this .
These new numbers make it possible to extrapolate from ‘ known ’ to ‘ unknown ’ subpopulations within so-called ‘ sea ice ecoregions ’ ( defined in 2007 by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Survey , see Amstrup et al .
2007 ) as shown below , to update old estimates and generate new ones for never-studied areas.
” Aars , J .
2018 .
Population changes in polar bears : protected , but quickly losing habitat .
Fram Forum Newsletter 2018 .
Fram Centre , Tromso .
Download pdf here ( 32 mb ) .
Aars , J. , Marques , T.A , Lone , K. , Anderson , M. , Wiig , Ø. , Fløystad , I.M.B.
, Hagen , S.B .
and Buckland , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ distribution of polar bears in the western Barents Sea .
Polar Research 36:1 .
1374125. doi:10.1080/17518369.2017.1374125 AC SWG 2018 .
Chukchi-Alaska polar bear population demographic parameter estimation .
Eric Regehr , Scientific Working Group ( SWG .
Report of the Proceedings of the 10th meeting of the Russian-American Commission on Polar Bears , 27-28 July 2018 ) , pg .
5 .
Published 30 July 2018 .
US Fish and Wildlife Service .
https : //www.fws.gov/alaska/fisheries/mmm/polarbear/bilateral.htm pdf here .
Amstrup , S.C. , Marcot , B.G .
& Douglas , D.C. 2007 .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ at selected times in the 21st century .
US Geological Survey .
Reston , VA. Pdf here Amstrup , S.C. , Marcot , B.G.
, Douglas , D.C. 2008 .
A Bayesian network modeling approach to forecasting the 21st century worldwide status of polar bears .
Pgs .
213-268 in Arctic Sea Ice Decline : Observations , Projections , Mechanisms , and Implications , E.T .
DeWeaver , C.M .
Bitz , and L.B .
Tremblay ( eds. )
.
Geophysical Monograph 180 .
American Geophysical Union , Washington , D.C. http : @ @ @ @ @ @ @ T.C.
, Marcot , B.G.
, Douglas , D.C. , Amstrup , S.C. , Rode , K.D.
, Durner , G.M .
and Bromaghin , J.F .
2015 .
Evaluating and ranking threats to the long-term persistence of polar bears .
USGS Open-File Report 2014–1254 .
Pdf here .
Crawford , J.A.
, Quakenbush , L.T .
& Citta , J.J. 2015 .
A comparison of ringed and bearded seal diet , condition and productivity between historical ( 1975–1984 ) and recent ( 2003–2012 ) periods in the Alaskan Bering and Chukchi seas @ @ @ @ @ @ @ S.J .
2017 .
Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30 % decline in population size of polar bears ( Ursus maritimus ) .
PeerJ Preprints 2 March 2017 .
Doi : 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v3 Open access .
https : //doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v3 Crockford , S.J .
2020 .
State of the Polar Bear Report 2019 .
Global Warming Policy Foundation Report 39 , London .
PDF here .
Crockford , S.J .
2019 .
The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened .
Global Warming Policy Foundation @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ebook formats .
Lippold , A. , Bourgeon , S. , Aars , J. , Andersen , M. , Polder , A. , Lyche , J.L.
, Bytingsvik , J. , Jenssen , B.M.
, Derocher , A.E.
, Welker , J.M .
and Routti , H. 2019.Temporal trends of persistent organic pollutants in Barents Sea polar bears ( Ursus maritimus ) in relation to changes in feeding habits and body condition .
Environmental Science and Technology 53 ( 2 ) :984-995 .
Regehr , E.V.
, Laidre , K.L , Akçakaya , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , T.C.
, Lunn , N.J. , Obbard , M. , Stern , H. , Thiemann , G.W.
, & Wiig , Ø .
2016 .
Conservation status of polar bears ( Ursus maritimus ) in relation to projected sea-ice declines .
Biology Letters 12 : 20160556. http : //rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/12/12/20160556 Rode , K. and Regehr , E.V .
2010 .
Polar bear research in the Chukchi and Bering Seas : A synopsis of 2010 field work .
Unpublished report to the US Fish and Wildlife Service , Department of the Interior , Anchorage @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Douglas , D. , Durner , G. , Derocher , A.E.
, Thiemann , G.W.
, and Budge , S. 2013 .
Variation in the response of an Arctic top predator experiencing habitat loss : feeding and reproductive ecology of two polar bear populations .
Oral presentation by Karyn Rode , 28th Lowell Wakefield Fisheries Symposium , March 26-29 .
Anchorage , AK .
Rode , K.D.
, Regehr , E.V.
, Douglas , D. , Durner , G. , Derocher , A.E.
, Thiemann , G.W.
, and Budge , S. @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an Arctic top predator experiencing habitat loss : feeding and reproductive ecology of two polar bear populations .
Global Change Biology 20 ( 1 ) :76-88. http : //onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12339/abstract Rode , K. D. , R. R. Wilson , D. C. Douglas , V. Muhlenbruch , T.C .
Atwood , E. V. Regehr , E.S .
Richardson , N.W .
Pilfold , A.E .
Derocher , G.M Durner , I. Stirling , S.C. Amstrup , M. S. Martin , A.M. Pagano , and K. Simac .
2018 .
Spring fasting behavior in a marine @ @ @ @ @ @ @ productivity .
Global Change Biologyhttp : //onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13933/full Wiig , Ø. , Amstrup , S. , Atwood , T. , Laidre , K. , Lunn , N. , Obbard , M. , et al .
2015 .
Ursus maritimus .
The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2015 : e.T22823A14871490 .
Available fromhttp : //www.iucnredlist.org/details/22823/0 [ accessed Nov. 28 , 2015 ] .
See the supplement for population figures .

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climatedepot--2020-05-19--Ambitious EU Climate Efforts Could Increase CO2 Emissions In The Rest Of The World, New Study Warns

The more the EU economy succeeds in dialing down greenhouse gas emissions , the more the rest of the world will turn them up – unless a similar level of green ambitions is shared by others .
Up to 61.5 % of the saved EU emissions could end up as increased emissions elsewhere in the world .
The outcome is described in a new policy brief prepared by economists at the University of Copenhagen .
The EU has an ambition of being climate neutral in 2050 .
It is hoped that this can be achieved through a green transition in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , as well as through altered consumer behavior such as food habits and travel demands among the EU population .
However , should the EU implement its most ambitious decarbonization agenda , while the rest of the world continues with the status quo , non-EU nations will end up emitting more greenhouse gases , thereby significantly offsetting the reductions of EU emissions .
This is the conclusion of a new policy brief prepared by economics experts at the University of Copenhagen ’ s Department of Food and Resource Economics .
For every tonne @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , around 61.5 % of that tonne will then be emitted somewhere else in the world .
This carbon leakage , as it is known , will result in a global CO savings of 385 kilos only .
The policy brief is based on the conclusions of a purposely-built economic model .
The model , part of the EU Horizon 2020 project EUCalc , seeks to describe various pathways to decarbonizing the EU economy .
“ Obviously , the EU ’ s own climate footprint will be significantly reduced .
But the EU @ @ @ @ @ @ @ rest of the world through trade relations , which would change as we implement a green transition in our energy sector , industries and ways of life .
Part of the emissions that Europe “ saves ” through an extensive green transition could possibly be ‘ leaked ’ to the rest of the world through , among other things , trade mechanisms , depending on the climate policy of other countries , “ according to economist and brief co-author Professor Wusheng Yu , of the University of Copenhagen ’ s Department of Food @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ambitious 2050 scenario as calculated by the EUCalc model , the EU pulls all of the green levers for production and consumption in various sectors , including the industrial and energy sectors .
In this scenario , a green transformation of CO -intensive industries ( e.g .
concrete , steel and chemicals ) will incur new costs for new green technologies , which in turn , will increase the price of products .
This could impact the competitiveness of EU products on the global market and be advantageous to China and the United @ @ @ @ @ @ @ production of similar , yet cheaper goods .
The prediction is that fewer goods would then be manufactured in Europe , which would lead to an increase in new imports to satisfy consumer and commercial demand .
Similarly , a phase-out of fossil fuels by the EU would lower global demand , thus making them cheaper .
In response , non-EU countries would be likely to import and consume larger quantities of fossil fuels .
Finally , more climate-friendly consumer behaviour in the EU could end up pushing part of the saved CO @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as well .
For example , while a decrease in red meat consumption by Europeans may reduce imported feed grains such as soybean , it may also result in increased imports of food grains and other plant-based foods the latter of which would increase CO emissions in the rest of the world .
So what should the EU do ?
Should Europe simply throw in the towel and drop its high ambitions for a better global climate ?
Certainly not .
But we must make sure not to go it alone .
Professor @ @ @ @ @ @ @ transition in the EU alone can not significantly reduce global CO emissions .
We need to find ways to get others on board .
Otherwise , the impact of our efforts will be largely offset by increased emission elsewhere , making it impossible to meet the Paris Agreement targets in time.
” Therefore , Professor Yu says that it is essential for the EU to formulate green strategies for each sector and every member state , while taking these economic mechanisms into account and carefully evaluating their impact , when it comes to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ strategies .
The post Ambitious EU Climate Efforts Could Increase CO2 Emissions In The Rest Of The World , New Study Warns appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum ( GWPF ) .


climatedepot--2020-05-19--FaceBook Censors Polar Bear Video For Including Factual Info

Facebook has labeled a recent short PragerU polar bear video as “ false information ” based on a ClimateFeedback review featuring statements by Andrew Derocher and Ian Stirling published 18 May 2020 .
The video , posted on Facebook 5 May 2020 , is also available here and here .
I was approached yesterday by Nick Coltrain , a reporter for the Des Moines Register and USA Today , asking for a statement about the accuracy of the PragerU video , which cites me as a source for two of their three ‘ inconvenient facts.
’ My comments are below @ @ @ @ @ @ @ going on is a classic conflict that happens all the time in science : it presents no proof that I ’ m wrong or that the PragerU video is ‘ false information ’ .
Climate Feedback is not ‘ fact-checking ’ : it is presenting its preferred side of a disputed science issue .
Thanks for the opportunity to respond .
I stand behind the accuracy of the video but wish they had cited my scientific paper , my fully referenced new book , The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened , and/or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2019 , also fully referenced .
[ links provided to Crockford 2017 , 2019 , 2020 ] I will post a full response on my blog but would like to point out the following .
Regarding the challenge of the adjective ‘ thriving ’ used in the video , in the review both Derocher and Stirling referred to Barents and Chukchi Sea polar bears as doing “ OK ” .
I contend this is a gross misrepresentation of the published literature on these bears .
There have been a number of papers published @ @ @ @ @ @ @ condition and reproduction are better now than in the 1980s and a recent paper on the body condition of female Barents Sea bears stated : “ Unexpectedly , body condition of female polar bears from the Barents Sea has increased after 2005 , although sea ice has retreated by ∼50 % since the late 1990s in the area , and the length of the ice-free season has increased by over 20 weeks between 1979 and 2013 .
These changes are also accompanied by winter sea ice retreat that is especially pronounced in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” [ Lippold et al .
2019:988 ] Biologically speaking , since the premise of the assumption that polar bear populations will decline with reduced summer sea ice is that bears will be in poor condition and reproducing poorly , it is logical to assume that bears with good body condition and reproducing well belong to thriving populations , regardless of the fact that the sea ice in their region is much reduced .
In addition , Stirling further stated that “ …a couple [ subpopulations ] are doing OK , such as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ one seems to be increasing ( M ’ Clintock Channel ) .
” It is odd that Stirling fails to mention Kane Basin , shown on the status map provided as also ‘ likely increasing ’ ( as documented in 2016 population survey report ) and yet mentions M ’ Clintock Channel bears seem to be increasing even though the results of a long-awaited population survey , now long overdue , have not yet been made public .
The polar bear data are contradictory : contrary to predictions , several polar bear subpopulations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are indeed thriving despite much reduced summer sea ice .
I have chosen to emphasis that good news , while Stirling and Derocher choose to emphasize the data that seem to fit their predictions .
This is a classic conflict that happens all the time in science but presents no proof that I ’ m wrong or that the PragerU video is inherently ‘ false ’ .
In short , it is indeed true that ‘ Polar bears are thriving even where sea ice is diminishing.
’ See also my 2018 opinion piece @ @ @ @ @ @ @ polar bear video in the Financial Post here .
Climate Feedback reviewed that piece with statements by Steven Amstrup and Andrew Derocher , which I countered here , here , and here .
The review states : “ There is no scientific evidence that the entire polar bear population has been growing , contrary to what this video claims.
” In 2007 the global estimate used by the USGS in their analysis supporting the listing of polar bears as ‘ threatened ’ under the ESA was 24,500 ( Amstrup et al .
2007 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2015 ( without the addition of several subpopulation estimates completed since then ) was 26,000 ( 22,000-31,000 ) ( Regehr et al .
2016 ; Wiig et al .
2015 ) .
Do the math : 24,500 bears in 2007 vs. 26,000 bears in 2015 is an increase of 1,500 bears and indicates that overall population numbers have indeed grown by a small amount .
More recent survey results add further to that total .
I ’ ve pointed out this may well not be a statistically significant increase but it is certainly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ occur when sea ice declined to present levels ( Crockford 2017 , 2019 , 2020 ) .
In addition to the thriving condition of Barents Sea bears discussed above ( Aars 2018 ; Aars et al .
2017 ; Lippold et al .
2019 ) , Chukchi Sea polar bears are also doing much better than they were in the 1980s despite much-reduced summer sea ice .
These results are documented in a number of peer-reviewed papers on the topic ( ACSWG 2018 ; Regehr et al .
2018 ; Rode and Regehr @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , 2014 , 2018 ) .
Ringed and bearded seals are similarly thriving despite less summer ice ( Crawford et al .
2015 ) .
Despite these results , Stirling and colleagues conclude illogically that both Barents Sea and Chukchi Sea polar bear populations are merely “ likely stable ” ( i.e .
“ OK ” ) rather than increasing .
It is biologically implausible that both populations are merely holding their own : the Svalbard portion of the Barents Sea population increased by 42 % between 2004 and 2015 .
However , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” even though the similarly “ statistically insignificant ” 17 % decline in Southern Hudson Bay bears in 2018 was deemed valid and represented a ‘ real ’ decline – such games do not instill confidence that these researchers are presenting unbiased scientific results ( Crockford 2019 , 2020 ) .
Stirling states in the review : “ …a couple [ subpopulations ] are doing OK , such as Foxe Basin and Davis Straight , and one seems to be increasing ( M ’ Clintock Channel ) .
” As I mentioned above @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increasing ’ status of Kane Basin but his mention of M ’ Clintock Channel means we now we know why the report on the latest M ’ Clintock Channel population survey has not yet been released ( see Crockford 2020 ) : it obviously shows the population size has increased .
More games .
I have previously addressed in detail the problems involved in the Southern Beaufort population estimate and those for Western and Southern Hudson Bay which are at odds with the picture presented by ClimateFeedback .
See Crockford 2017 , 2019 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ global polar bear population is currently estimated to be approximately 20,000 – 25,000 bears , distributed among 19 subpopulations.
” This is wrong : it ’ s an out-of-date estimate used in a paper co-authored by reviewer Derocher in 2013 .
The official global population estimate used by the IUCN ( 2015 ) and the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group ( 2018 ) is 22,000-31,000 ( or 26,000 on average ) , see Regehr et al .
2016 and Wiig et al .
2015 .
2 ) Reference 1 in the citation list @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2018 ) ” should be Stirling et al .
( 2012 ) 3 ) Paragraph 3 of the review : “ But as stated in Hunter et al .
( 2015 ) ” should be Hunter et al .
( 2010 ) .
Now 20 years with no trend in ice breakup dates for Western Hudson Bay polar bears [ discusses the Lunn et al .
2016 paper cited in the Climate Feedback review ] Southern Beaufort polar bear ‘ decline ’ and reduced cub survival touted in 2008 was invalid , PBSG @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the Southern Beaufort [ discussed the repeated starvation events that resulted from thick spring ice conditions unique to the Southern Beaufort , which are now falsely blamed on lack of summer ice ] Global polar bear population larger than previously thought – almost 30,000 [ discusses the polar bear subpopulation estimates that were not included in the 2015 IUCN Red List assessment because they had not yet been published ] Even with Inuit lives at stake , polar bear specialists make unsupported claims [ discusses Ian Stirling ’ s oft-repeated claim that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Western Hudson Bay has dropped and that cub survival rates have “ plummetted ” – even though data supporting these claims have not been published – as I pointed out in my 2019 State of the Polar Bear Report ( Crockford 2020 ) ] The Chukchi Sea polar bears number almost 3000 according to new survey results update [ reports the 2016 population estimate that replaces the old ‘ guess ’ of 2,000 bears used in the 2015 IUCN Red List assessment ] Polar bear specialists double-down on a message of future starving @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Beaufort Sea polar bears are starving due to declining summer sea ice ] Global polar bear abundance ‘ best guess ’ estimate is 39,000 ( 26,000-58,000 ) [ discusses polar bear numbers in 2018 and why I think they are too low , see quote below ] .
“ In 2014 , the chairman of the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group ( PBSG ) emailed me to say that their global population size number ‘ has never been an estimate of total abundance in a scientific sense , but simply a qualified guess @ @ @ @ @ @ @ my new book , The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened , I contend that this situation will probably never change , so it ’ s time to stop holding out for a scientifically accurate global estimate and generate a reasonable and credible ‘ best guess ’ .
Recent surveys from several critical polar bear subpopulations have given us the information necessary to do this .
These new numbers make it possible to extrapolate from ‘ known ’ to ‘ unknown ’ subpopulations within so-called ‘ sea ice ecoregions ’ ( defined in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ US Geological Survey , see Amstrup et al .
2007 ) as shown below , to update old estimates and generate new ones for never-studied areas.
” Dr. Susan Crockford is a zoologist ( former adjunct professor , University of Victoria ) specializing in Holocene mammals , including polar bears and walruses .
Her new book is called The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened ( Amazon ) .


climatedepot--2020-05-19--The Wuhan Flu Would Have Beat Us Without Fossil Fuels

Number six in Craig Kelly ’ s series 20 reasons why the Wuhan Flu is the final nail in the climate alarmists ’ coffin .
Imagine if you will , that you have a close family member that has come down with the Wuhan Flu , and they are unfortunately one of the small percentages that end up in hospital on a mechanical ventilator .
And the only thing keeping them alive is the constant flow of electrons powering the ventilator , moving breathable air into and out of their lungs .
In these circumstances would you want those electrons @ @ @ @ @ @ @ generated by fossil fuels ( or nuclear power ) or would you be happy to swap for unreliable intermittent sources of generation , solar and wind , hoping that a cloud doesn ’ t come across to block the sun or the wind eases off , putting the flow of electrons in jeopardy ?
Imagine how front line medical staff would go trying to protect themselves from the virus without fossil fuels when personal protection equipment such as surgical masks , goggles , coveralls , and gowns , are all made from polypropylene @ @ @ @ @ @ @ when hospitals around the world are crying out for urgent deliveries of PPE , where would we be without airfreight powered by fossil fuels ?
In a recent study published in the journal Emerging Infectious Diseases , Swiss and German researchers found that alcohol-based hand sanitizers are effective in killing the Wuhan Flu .
Most hand sanitizers come in liquid or gel form and are made from isopropyl alcohol .
And the basic material used in the production of isopropyl alcohol is Propene , which is derived from fossil fuels , typically petroleum @ @ @ @ @ @ @ would we have of developing a vaccine and other medicines to fight the virus without fossil fuels , when they are the foundation for between 80 % to 90 % of the pharmaceuticals we use ?
If we are smart , the Wuhan Flu will help give us a true appreciation of the value of fossil fuels and how vital they are in the medical industry – driving another nail in the alarmists ’ coffin .


climatedepot--2020-05-19--CNN’s Anderson Cooper Erupts At Critics Mocking Greta Thunberg – Calls it ‘phony outrage’

CNN anchor Anderson Cooper lashed out Thursday at those who ridiculed the network ’ s decision to spotlight climate teen Greta Thunberg on a coronavirus town hall , starting with Donald Trump Jr. , accusing them of fomenting “ phony outrage.
” The president ’ s eldest son was among the many who roasted CNN for a promo that showcased former Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius , Dr. Sanjay Gupta , former acting Centers for Disease Control Director Richard Besser , and the 17-year-old Swedish activist .
After airing a prerecorded interview with Ms. Thunberg , who said @ @ @ @ @ @ @ COVID-19 , but isolated herself to be safe , Mr. Cooper ended the show with a three-minute blast in which he mocked the mockers .
“ I just want to take a moment to point out kind of a surreal , absurd drama that played out over the last 24 hours online and amazingly in some reputable news sources , ” Mr. Cooper said .
He focused on the president ’ s son , referring to him as “ DJTJ ” and “ Donny Trump Jr. ” “ Apparently someone with a blue @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and was outraged and claimed that we had booked Greta Thunberg to be an expert on a coronavirus panel with other health experts , ” Mr. Cooper said .
“ And then , of course , Donny Trump Jr. jumped into this.
” Mr. Trump Jr. joined those razzing CNN on Wednesday by tweeting : “ Greta Thunberghaving a remarkable career already in that as a teenager she ’ s now a world-renowned infectious disease specialist and epidemiologist AND a leading scientific voice when it comes to global climate policy .
Just wow @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was “ weird because I thought he was allegedly running whatever remains of the Trump Organization and shouldn ’ t that be a really busy job because it ’ s , you know , allegedly such a great big company ?
” Mr. Cooper pointed out that Ms. Thunberg was not featured on a panel and that CNN had run ads promoting other non-experts on previous coronavirus town halls , including filmmaker Spike Lee and singer Alicia Keys .
“ In case you think this is some sort of cover-up , look at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ re exactly the same , ” Mr. Cooper said .
That said , Ms. Thunberg , who donated recently $ 100,000 to UNICEF for coronavirus-related aid to children , was something of an outlier on the two-hour show that also featured an emergency-room physician , a vaccine tester , a World Health Organization official and MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred .
CNN saved the interview with the international climate celebrity for last .
She talked mainly about her UNICEF work and isolating herself in her Stockholm apartment after experiencing mild symptoms , adding @ @ @ @ @ @ @ At one point , however , Dr. Gupta brought up the rare inflammatory Kawasaki-like syndrome associated with COVID-19 , the disease caused by the new coronavirus , that has afflicted some children , asking , “ What do you think ?
” Ms. Thunberg gamely answered that “ it is sort of a myth that children are not being affected by this virus .
That , of course , is very wrong.
” She also put in a plug for the “ climate crisis , ” saying , “ It feels like the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ people are starting to realize that we are actually depending on science , and we need to listen to science and experts.
” Mr. Cooper said that attacking CNN and Ms. Thunberg was “ low-hanging fruit.
” “ It ’ s easy .
And I know Donny Jr. just wants his dad to love him or notice him in a way that ’ s not mocking him , ” Mr. Cooper said .
“ But I just find it fascinating to watch the phony online outrage machine generate content on Twitter based on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with .
It ’ s kind of surreal to watch it all just kind of play out .
In the words of our dear leader , sad.
” The Media Research Center ’ s Curtis Houck said it was like watching “ a five-year-old child losing his noodle , ” while the National Pulse ’ s Raheem Kassam said it was “ [ a ] mazing to watch @ AndersonCooper have a full-blown tantrum on national television .
”


climatedepot--2020-05-19--We May Be Entering a Deep Solar Minimum as the Sun Goes Unusually Quiet

The sun has entered an unusually quiet period , with the number of sunspots appearing on the surface unusually low .
This level of activity is so low , some scientists have suggested we may be entering a “ deep ” solar minimum , and potentially even a Grand Minimum—the last of which took place in the 17th century and coincided with a mini ice age .
The sun has an 11-year cycle where activity waxes and wanes .
This is caused by the strengthening and weakening of its magnetic field .
The point when activity is highest is known @ @ @ @ @ @ @ characterized by more sunspots appearing on the surface .
The solar minimum is where activity falls , and far fewer sunspots appear .
The last solar maximum peaked in 2014 .
In April last year , scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted the forthcoming solar minimum would be similar to the last cycle .
In a statement , Lisa Upton , Ph.D. , solar physicist with Space Systems Research Corp , said the next solar cycle would be much like the last , with a weak maximum and a “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ she also said there was “ no indication ” we are approaching a solar minimum in line with the last Grand Minimum—known as the Maunder Minimum .
Mathew Owens , Professor of Space Physics at the University of Reading , U.K. , told Newsweek that entering a solar minimum is not unusual , but the level of activity currently taking place is out of the ordinary .
“ The Sun has been ‘ spotless ’ for a large fraction of the last year , which is indeed quieter than is typical , ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ It ’ s still a little early to say where it fits relative to other minima we ’ ve seen .
If it does continue in this fashion , it may well rank up there with the longer minima on record .
But at present it is not unprecedented ; in fact , the very previous solar minimum [ 2009-2010 ] was longer.
” Solar minimums in the sun ’ s normal cycle have little to no effect on Earth ’ s temperature , with energy output from the Sun only dropping by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s surface temperature during the Maunder Minimum was probably about 1 degree Celsius colder than the 19th century ( before human-induced global warming kicked off ) and that period is sometimes called The Little Ice Age .
However it is difficult to ascribe all that cooling to the Sun because it just so happened that there were quite a few big volcanic eruptions during that period and they also have a cooling effect.
” Haigh said in terms of global temperatures , the solar minimum is little to worry about .
If @ @ @ @ @ @ @ current anthropogenic warming .
This effect will dissipate when activity on the sun picks up again , however .
Owens said he expects the sun ’ s quiet period to come to an end in the near future : “ Based on past solar cycles , I ’ d expect activity to pick up very soon , in the coming few months .
But the Sun can always surprise us.
” This article appeared on the Newsweek website at https : //www.newsweek.com/sun-deep-solar-minimum-unusually-quiet-1504795


climatedepot--2020-05-19--New Study: Sea Level Rise Along The North American Coast ‘Not Necessarily Symptomatic Of Anthropogen

New Study: Sea Level Rise Along The North American Coast ‘Not Necessarily Symptomatic Of Anthropogenic Forcing’

Scientists suggest relative sea level changes are well-correlated with natural variability and accelerated sea level rise is a “ recurring feature ” of what has been observed for over 300 years .
Five of six studied regions along the North American Atlantic coast show declining sea level rates ( mm/yr ) in recent decades .
After retreating into the sea until about 1960 , for the last five decades the Atlantic coast of North America has , on net , reversed course , expanding at a rate of about 5 centimeters per year ( Armstrong and Lazarus , 2019 ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of what would be expected given the reports of accelerated sea level rise for this region in recent decades .
The lead author of a new study , Professor Roland Gehrels , has previously found much more rapid rates of sea level rise prior to 1950 than in recent decades in Southern Hemisphere locations , such as along the coasts of Tasmania and New Zealand ( Gehrels et al.
, 2012 ) .
In a new study , Gehrels et al .
( 2020 ) also found rapid rates of sea level rise @ @ @ @ @ @ @ during the 1700s along the Atlantic coast of North America .
He suggests “ those rapid episodes of sea level rise on the north east coast of North America in the 18th Century have a natural cause ” .
Interestingly , of the 6 locations chosen for the study , only 1 ( Connecticut ) indicates sea level rise rates have been steadily accelerating throughout the second half of the 20th century and in recent decades .
The 5 others ( Nova Scotia , Maine , New Jersey , North Carolina , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of sea level change have either not been rising or even rapidly falling .
This would not appear to be consistent with a driving anthropogenic influence in sea level rise trends since the 1950s , or since CO2 emissions have risen dramatically .


climatedepot--2020-05-19--Climate Scientists Getting Company: German Virologists, Physicians “Fear For Their Freedom Of Expres

Climate Scientists Getting Company: German Virologists, Physicians “Fear For Their Freedom Of Expression”

The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed how scientific dissent is not only being suppressed and marginalized in Germany when it comes to climate science , but with virology and public health .
The online German national daily Die Welt here writes , “ Virologists and physicians fear for their freedom of expression in the Corona crisis.
” Climate scientists are getting some company !
Citing the results of a recent survey , to Die Welt reports “ many experts believe that freedom of expression in science is under threat ” and “ virologists have begun to change their attitude towards the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ As the economy reels from the stringent restrictions enacted by authorities across Europe , the discussion about how to respond to the spread of the virus has become bitter .
Public health experts opposing the restrictions and lock downs have found themselves marginalized and attacked by the media , other virologists and most politicians .
Using a survey , “ Researchers at the University Hospital Eppendorf in Hamburg ( UKE ) , the Society for Virology ( GfV ) and the University of Tübingen have tried to determine the mood among experts , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ experts from the fields of virology , immunology , hygiene , internal medicine and intensive care medicine ” were surveyed anonymously .
The results show that “ more than more than 70 percent of the participants support the distance rule of two metres and the prohibition of major events ” but that the other restrictions were “ far more controversial ” .
One third feel freedom in science is “ being threatened ” What ’ s surprising : “ One third even see freedom of expression in science as being threatened ” and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be sensible to restore public and economic life ” .
Also : “ social distancing ” is apparently losing support , according to the survey .
Overall , the findings show that the pandemic skeptics are finally beginning to assert their views to the public .
Unfortunately this is not even close to happening in climate science , where in Germany the ultra-alarmists continue to control the message .
That freedom to express science is under threat , “ is probably what many climate scientists secretly think , ” Die kalte Sonne site @ @ @ @ @ @ @ how moods can change quickly once restrictions start eroding freedom and prosperity .


climatedepot--2020-05-19--Modest Or No Warming Western US Stations Altered By NASA, Now Show Stronger Warming

Today we look at the mean annual temperatures of western USA stations that have a Brightness Index ( BI ) of 0 , meaning they are not subjected to urban heat island impacts .
Many people are claiming that temperatures worldwide are rising due to greenhouse gas emissions from human activities .
First we begin with the station located at the town of Fort Bragg in California .
Using NASA data , we plot the annual temperatures going back to 1935 !
Above we plot the V4 unadjusted versus the V4 adjusted data .
Neither show any warming since 1935 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ turns a cooling trend into one of no cooling .
Recently I tweeted an animation that compares the v4 unadjusted data to the V4 adjusted data for the Beowawe station in the state of Nevada : Note how the Beowawe data of the past was substantially altered ( reduced ) in order to create a warming trend from a previously cooling trend .
Here the warming is man made – but statistically by researchers at NASA .
The story is similar for 4 other stations located in the western US .
At the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was adjusted to created more warming : The same is true for the Seligman , Arizona station : The mean annual temperatures measured by the Cheesman , Colorado station used to show a cooling trend since 1903 , before NASA tampered with the data and changed them into a warming trend : Finally we look at the data from the station for Hachita , New Mexico : Here for Hachita , NASA changed the data so that modest warming was changed to produce greater warming .
Why do the new , adjusted data @ @ @ @ @ @ @ cooler ?
This seems to be Deep State science , and not real science which the public expects to get and is owed .


climatedepot--2020-05-20--Climate activists say Joe Biden is an ’empty vessel’ — & they like it! – AOC set to have huge influe

Climate activists say Joe Biden is an ’empty vessel’ — & they like it! – AOC set to have huge influence on Biden campaign

Climate change skeptic , author and publisher of ClimateDepot.com Marc Morano agrees : “ Given Biden ’ s general detachment and befuddlement on most issues these days , AOC and Sanders will have a huge influence on any Biden administration.
” Morano , who is a producer of the upcoming film Climate Hustle 2 , told American Wire that Ocasio-Cortez brings some heavy baggage to the campaign trail .
“ AOC has pushed for American workers to refuse to go back to work to protest the American economic system , ” Morano said .
Democrats agree with Ocasio-Cortez ; they @ @ @ @ @ @ @ opportunity to change the American way of life permanently .
If that seems far-fetched , consider what Washington state governor Jay Inslee said in a video addressing Sanders followers : “ We should not be intimidated when people say , ‘ Oh you can ’ t use this COVID crisis to peddle a solution to climate change ’ — no we have to recognize the necessity of this moment.
” Morano points out that Ocasio-Cortez also sees the COVID-19 crisis as an open backdoor for environmental extremists : “ But the greatest threat @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with Biden may be to extend and expand government lockdowns to deal with the alleged ‘ climate emergency.
’ ” Last Wednesday presumptive Democrat Party presidential candidate Joe Biden joined forces with his primary rival , socialist Bernie Sanders , to form a “ joint task force ” to promote party unity .
Biden sees this as an opportunity to appeal to the socialist wing of the Democratic Party , and the socialists see Biden as an “ empty vessel ” which they will control .
Political extremists were enthusiastic about some of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the task force , and environmental extremists cheered the news that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ( D-NY ) would co-chair the task force on environmentalism .
“ If personnel is policy , as the old saying goes , then this should be seen as a clear victory for progressives , ” writes Mehdi Hasan in the counter-culture website theIntercept.com .
Hasan is one of many progressives who do not trust Biden .
Hasan says Biden has a history of “ doing the bidding of corporate interests — from big finance to big pharma.
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Ultra-Leftist Noam Chomsky told Hasan that because Biden is an “ empty vessel … a Biden presidency ” will allow the extremist wing of the Democratic Party to “ make a big difference.
” “ Given Biden ’ s general detachment and befuddlement on most issues these days , AOC and Sanders will have a huge influence on any Biden administration.
” Morano , who is a producer of the upcoming film Climate Hustle 2 , told American Wire that Ocasio-Cortez brings some heavy baggage to the campaign trail .
“ AOC @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to go back to work to protest the American economic system , ” Morano said .
Extreme positions on critical issues could actually harm Biden ’ s chances in the general election .
His campaign message promising jobs and economic security would conflict with a key member of his advisory team who is publicly telling people not to go back to work .
Other prominent Democrats agree with Ocasio-Cortez ; they see the COVID-19 economic shutdown as an opportunity to change the American way of life permanently .
If that seems far-fetched , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ said in a video addressing Sanders followers : “ We should not be intimidated when people say , ‘ Oh you can ’ t use this COVID crisis to peddle a solution to climate change ’ — no we have to recognize the necessity of this moment.
” Morano points out that Ocasio-Cortez also sees the COVID-19 crisis as an open backdoor for environmental extremists : “ But the greatest threat to America from AOC ’ s influence with Biden may be to extend and expand government lockdowns to deal with the alleged @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s “ unity task force ” may have eased the pain from wounds of a bloody primary challenge , for now .
But Biden ’ s most difficult task will be to keep progressives on board while he sells the idea to moderate voters that he won ’ t actually be that bad .


climatedepot--2020-05-20--Gallup Poll: Only 2% Of Americans Believe ‘Climate Change’ Is The Most Important Problem Facing The

Gallup Poll: Only 2% Of Americans Believe ‘Climate Change’ Is The Most Important Problem Facing The U.S

Climate Depot Note : `` Climate Change '' dropped from Gallup 's pre coronavirus peak in February of only 5 @ @ @ @ @ % .
`` Climate change '' would be even less than 2 % if Gallup @ @ @ @ @ the terms `` Environment & Pollution '' in their Gallup poll question .
Previous Gallup @ @ @ @ @ 'climate change ' scored the lowest concern amount all ENVIRONMENTAL issues .
See : Flashback @ @ @ @ @ Americans Worry Least About Global Warming – Concern over AGW lowest among all ENVIRONMENTAL issues


climatedepot--2020-05-20--Europe’s Green Deal Could Increase CO2 Emissions In The Rest Of The World, New Study Warns

3 ) Europe ’ s Green Deal Could Increase CO2 Emissions In The Rest Of The World , New Study Warns University of Copenhagen , 18 May 2020 4 ) Germany On Course To Widely Miss EU Emission Targets Clean Energy Wire , 15 May 2020 Germany is on track to widely miss its EU obligations to reduce CO2 emissions , even if the EU does not follow through plans to step up its ambitions in the fight against climate change , according to calculations by think tank Institute for Applied Ecology ( Öko-Institut ) .
In sectors that are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( ETS ) such as buildings , transport and agriculture , Germany is on course to lower emissions by 28 percent by 2030 compared to 2005 with existing legislation , falling short of its effort-sharing target of minus 38 percent .
Germany ’ s effort-sharing emissions were above target for the fourth year in a row in 2019 despite a significant emissions drop .
To reach the EU ’ s 2030 effort-sharing regulation targets , “ considerable emissions reductions are needed in transport and buildings in particular , ” the institute said .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Commuters Shun Public Transport Bloomberg , 13 May 2020 Peak-hour morning traffic in Beijing has surged as commuters shun public transport in favor of their cars amid continued concerns over the spread of coronavirus .
Despite lockdowns being lifted , it is no surprise that people are hesitant to board crowded commuter trains and are instead preferring to drive .
Data for weekday subway passenger numbers on the Beijing network show a recovery to only 52 % of the pre-virus average .
This compares with morning peak-hour road congestion that is now 50 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in Beijing and other Chinese cities provide a bellwether for how people are likely to behave as lockdowns are lifted around the world .
The reluctance of commuters to use public transport may also be compounded by capacity restrictions and social distancing measures on trains and in stations .
Increased car use will provide a lift to gasoline demand that has been badly hit by the lockdowns , but gridlocked cities will create another problem for municipal governments struggling to get their cities back to work .
6 ) Not Even The Global @ @ @ @ @ @ @ To Atmospheric CO2 Levels Roy Spencer , 15 May 2020 Why the current economic slowdown won ’ t show up in the atmospheric CO2 record Summary : Atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide ( CO2 ) continue to increase with no sign of the global economic slowdown in response to the spread of COVID-19 .
This is because the estimated reductions in CO2 emissions ( around -11 % globally during 2020 ) is too small a reduction to be noticed against a background of large natural variability .
The reduction in economic activity would @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 11 % to halt the rise in atmospheric CO2 .
Changes in the atmospheric reservoir of CO2 occur when there is an imbalance between surface sources and sinks of CO2 .
While the global land and ocean areas emit approximately 30 times as much CO2 into the atmosphere as humans produce from burning of fossil fuels , they also absorb about an equal amount of CO2 .
This is the global carbon cycle , driven mostly by biological activity .
There are variations in the natural carbon cycle , such as during El @ @ @ @ @ @ @ atmosphere ) and La Nina ( more CO2 removed from the atmosphere ) .
Greater wildfire activity releases more CO2 , while major volcanic eruptions ( paradoxically ) lead to greater photosynthesis from more diffuse sunlight and extra removal of CO2 from the air .
The most dramatic variations are seasonal , as the land-dominated Northern Hemisphere experiences an annual cycle of vegetation growth ( CO2 removal ) and decay ( CO2 release ) .
The increase in atmospheric CO2 observed since the 1950s is most likely dominated by anthropogenic CO2 emissions , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ needed to explain the observed rise .
As I have shown before , a simple CO2 budget model driven by ( 1 ) estimates of global yearly anthropogenic CO2 emissions , ( 2 ) El Nino and La Nina activity , and ( 3 ) a CO2 removal rate that is proportional to how much “ extra ” CO2 is in the atmosphere compared to a “ preferred baseline ” CO2 level , yields an excellent fit to yearly CO2 observations at Mauna Loa , Hawaii .
But those are yearly measurements , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the recent global economic slowdown is showing up in the monthly Mauna Loa CO2 data .
If we remove the large seasonal variations ( driven by the seasonal growth and decay of Northern Hemisphere vegetation ) , we see no evidence of the economic slowdown through April , 2020 .
Fig .
2 .
Monthly CO2 data since 2015 from Mauna Loa , HI after the average seasonal cycle is statistically removed .
As can be seen in Fig .
2 , there are some pretty large month-to-month jumps and dips around the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ line ) .
These are probably natural variations due to fluctuations in the average seasonal variations in vegetation growth and decay , wildfire activity , and El Nino and La Nina activity ( which are imperfectly removed in the solid blue line in Fig .
2 ) .
Variations in economic activity might also be involved in these fluctuations .
The point is that given the large month-to-month variations in natural CO2 sources and sinks seen in Fig .
2 , it would be difficult to see a downturn in the anthropogenic source @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( say , over 50 % ) and prolonged ( say over a year or longer ) .
Instead , the U.S. Energy Information Administration ( EIA ) estimates that the global economic slowdown this year due to the spread of the novel coronavirus will amount to only about an 11 % reduction in global CO2 emissions .
This is simply too small of a decrease in CO2 emissions to show up against a background of considerable monthly and yearly natural variability in the atmospheric CO2 budget .
3 ) Europe ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The Rest Of The World , New Study Warns University of Copenhagen , 18 May 2020 The more the EU economy succeeds in dialing down greenhouse gas emissions , the more the rest of the world will turn them up – unless a similar level of green ambitions is shared by others .
Up to 61.5 % of the saved EU emissions could end up as increased emissions elsewhere in the world .
The outcome is described in a new policy brief prepared by economists at the University of Copenhagen .
The EU @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in 2050 .
It is hoped that this can be achieved through a green transition in the energy sector and CO2-intensive industries , as well as through altered consumer behavior such as food habits and travel demands among the EU population .
However , should the EU implement its most ambitious decarbonization agenda , while the rest of the world continues with the status quo , non-EU nations will end up emitting more greenhouse gases , thereby significantly offsetting the reductions of EU emissions .
This is the conclusion of a new policy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ University of Copenhagen ’ s Department of Food and Resource Economics .
For every tonne of CO2 emissions avoided in the EU , around 61.5 % of that tonne will then be emitted somewhere else in the world .
This carbon leakage , as it is known , will result in a global CO2 savings of 385 kilos only .
The policy brief is based on the conclusions of a purposely-built economic model .
The model , part of the EU Horizon 2020 project EUCalc , seeks to describe various pathways to decarbonizing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the EU ’ s own climate footprint will be significantly reduced .
But the EU ’ s economy is intertwined with the rest of the world through trade relations , which would change as we implement a green transition in our energy sector , industries and ways of life .
Part of the emissions that Europe “ saves ” through an extensive green transition could possibly be ‘ leaked ’ to the rest of the world through , among other things , trade mechanisms , depending on the climate policy of other countries @ @ @ @ @ @ @ co-author Professor Wusheng Yu , of the University of Copenhagen ’ s Department of Food and Resource Economics .
In the most ambitious 2050 scenario as calculated by the EUCalc model , the EU pulls all of the green levers for production and consumption in various sectors , including the industrial and energy sectors .
In this scenario , a green transformation of CO2-intensive industries ( e.g .
concrete , steel and chemicals ) will incur new costs for new green technologies , which in turn , will increase the price of products @ @ @ @ @ @ @ EU products on the global market and be advantageous to China and the United States , who would be continuing their production of similar , yet cheaper goods .
The prediction is that fewer goods would then be manufactured in Europe , which would lead to an increase in new imports to satisfy consumer and commercial demand .
Similarly , a phase-out of fossil fuels by the EU would lower global demand , thus making them cheaper .
In response , non-EU countries would be likely to import and consume larger quantities of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ consumer behaviour in the EU could end up pushing part of the saved CO2 out into the rest of the world as well .
For example , while a decrease in red meat consumption by Europeans may reduce imported feed grains such as soybean , it may also result in increased imports of food grains and other plant-based foods the latter of which would increase CO2 emissions in the rest of the world .
* Rupert Darwall : The Climate Noose : Business , Net Zero and the IPCC ’ s Anti-capitalism 8 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ A Pandemic Of Lies The Conservative Woman , 18 May 2020 The health establishment was looking away when the coronavirus struck ; it had other priorities .
If you look at the World Health Organisation ’ s list of health threats , number one is climate change .
Pandemics were down in third place , behind ‘ non-communicable diseases ’ such as diabetes and obesity .
Wherever you look , you will find some of the biggest names in the public health establishment declaiming on the risks of climate change to world health @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene declared that we would be seeing ‘ mass migration , emerging infectious diseases such as dengue and a shortage of food ’ .
As the first people fell ill in Wuhan , the WHO announced that in ten years we would be seeing 250,000 additional deaths per year from malnutrition , malaria , diarrhoea and heat stress as a result of global warming .
Epidemiologist Professor Andy Haines told readers of the Telegraph that ‘ climate change is a threat to global and national @ @ @ @ @ @ @ right now ’ .
Haines has made a career out of promoting the idea that global warming is going to bring about a public health disaster .
As part of this effort , he was instrumental in setting up the Lancet Countdown , a coalition of 35 universities and UN agencies that produces a report to keep these ideas in the public eye .
In 2018 it said unequivocally that climate change ‘ the biggest global health threat of the 21st century ’ .
In current circumstances , this claim looks rather foolish @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Countdown suggests that it is actually worse than that .
You can not come away from reading Indur Goklany ’ s The Lancet Countdown on Climate Change : The need for context , published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation , without concluding that the Countdown ’ s authors didn ’ t set out to tell the whole story .
For example , Goklany observes that the Countdown ’ s Executive Summary makes a lot of vague insinuations that climate is causing serious public health problems .
It says there are ‘ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ all major crops ’ and that ‘ trends in climate suitability for disease transmission are particularly concerning ’ .
Apparently ‘ the number of days suitable for Vibrio ( a pathogen responsible for part of the burden of diarrhoeal disease ) has doubled ’ and ‘ families and livelihoods are put at risk from increases in the frequency and severity of extreme weather conditions ’ .
If that weren ’ t bad enough , ‘ 77 per cent of countries experienced an increase in daily population exposure to wildfires ’ .
But when @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Countdown , you uncover a very different story , and one that is unequivocal : climate-related mortality has collapsed , and is now less than half the level it was in 1990 , when the dataset starts .
This is nothing less than a public-health triumph .
The improvement is seen pretty much across the board , but diseases of the gut ( ‘ enteric infections ’ in the jargon ) are a good example .
The data shows that mortality from these conditions has more than halved over the last 30 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Countdown ’ s executive summary is that dark warning about the ‘ number of days suitable for Vibrio ’ noted above .
And what do they mean by ‘ number of days suitable for ’ anyway ?
This is a trick that is employed repeatedly in the report , namely the use of ‘ proxy ’ measures , when perfectly good real measures are available .
So when considering hunger , the Countdown ignores crop yields , preferring to talk about falls in ‘ global yield potential ’ .
In other words @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about what a mathematical model tells us about food availability .
But why would anyone use a mathematical model when there is hard real-world data available ?
Suffice it to say that food is plentiful , yields continue to rise , and hunger is almost a thing of the past outside war zones and egalitarian paradises such as North Korea and Venezuela .
We are not just winning the battle against enteric diseases and hunger .
Another good example is tropical diseases , where mortality has fallen dramatically too .
So once again @ @ @ @ @ @ @ measure , ‘ suitability for disease transmission ’ , as well as adopting a Nelsonian focus on dengue , a relatively rare disease which has worsened .
The executive summary fails to mention malaria at all , despite the fact that it is a much bigger killer than dengue , and despite the fact this is another healthcare war we are winning , with mortality down between 30 per cent and 67 per cent in various regions of sub-Saharan Africa .
It ’ s a sorry tale , and an indication of how @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are available for climate change research are distorting public health research priorities , just as they are in so many fields .
As we look at the destruction wrought by the pandemic , it ’ s hard not to wonder if people in the field should have spent less time poring over dubious unvalidated mathematical models about the spread of malaria and more about whether we had the wherewithal to respond to a major pandemic .


climatedepot--2020-05-20--NY Post: If You Like The Locked-Down US Economy, You’ll Love The Green New Deal

The cost of the left ’ s Green New Deal is so enormous most Americans were probably never able to appreciate its true magnitude .
Now , thanks to the COVID-19 crisis , maybe they can ...
Fact is , Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and other backers are basically calling for exactly the kind of economic shutdown the nation is now experiencing — only on an even larger scale .
While Americans today avoid air travel , for instance , the GND would essentially ban airplanes altogether .
Gasoline cars , too .
And anything else that burns fossil fuel .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ s virus-sparked meat shortages after the GND did away with flatulent cows .
And the tens of millions out of work thanks to the lockdown would be a pittance compared to those unemployed under the AOC plan , which offers “ economic security for all who are unable or unwilling to work , ” a fact sheet unveiled with it said .
The cost of the left ’ s Green New Deal is so enormous most Americans were probably never able to appreciate its true magnitude .
Now , thanks to the COVID-19 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ year , a study co-authored by a former head of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office found the GND ’ s 10-year sticker price could top $ 93 trillion — a figure that sounds like Monopoly money .
But with America on lockdown and the economy shrinking ( first quarter GDP fell nearly 5 percent and might plunge as much as 40 percent in the second ) , Congress has been swooping in with multitrillion-dollar rescues : $ 2.2 trillion in March and maybe another $ 1 trillion in the coming weeks .
Yet @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , which presumed Democratic nominee Joe Biden calls a “ crucial framework ” for fighting climate change , Washington would have to triple those outlays — every year for a decade .
( And the fiscal bloodletting wouldn ’ t end there . )
“ The Green New Deal is clearly very expensive , ” notes the American Action Forum study .
Indeed , “ the breadth of its proposals makes it daunting to assess.
” Plus , its expansion of “ the federal government ’ s role in some of the most @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ likely have a more lasting and damaging impact than its enormous price tag.
” Fact is , Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and other backers are basically calling for exactly the kind of economic shutdown the nation is now experiencing — only on an even larger scale .
While Americans today avoid air travel , for instance , the GND would essentially ban airplanes altogether .
Gasoline cars , too .
And anything else that burns fossil fuel .
Steak lovers would long for today ’ s virus-sparked meat shortages after the GND did @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tens of millions out of work thanks to the lockdown would be a pittance compared to those unemployed under the AOC plan , which offers “ economic security for all who are unable or unwilling to work , ” a fact sheet unveiled with it said .
The loss of freedoms under the GND would also surpass those lost under social distancing , as bureaucrats dictated how you lived , ate , traveled and worked .
Indeed , the sacrifices would have to be greater than now because even with the global economic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fall only 6 percent , while some analysts believe they need to drop close to 8 percent to beat climate change .
Advocates see the emissions dip as a bright side to the pandemic : “ This is what ‘ rapid , far-reaching and unprecedented changes in all aspects of society ’ looks like , ” tweeted noted climate activist Eric Holthaus .
“ We ’ re doing it .
It ’ s possible !
” Actually , it ’ s hard to see any bright side to the outbreak , but it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ under the GND — not one many Americans would care for .


climatedepot--2020-05-20--Finally a Benefit! Coronavirus Lockdowns Threaten ‘Years Of Progress’ On Climate Issues

The coronavirus pandemic threatens to derail any progress made in recent years to deal with the climate change crisis , organizers of the annual gathering of business and political elites in the Swiss ski resort of Davos said Tuesday .
In a survey of industry professionals that reassesses the risks to the global outlook in light of the pandemic , the World Economic Forum said `` years of progress '' on addressing climate change could be undone and that it is important for countries to make sure environmental issues are at the heart of recovery plans .
2 ) Davos @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Of Progress ’ On Climate Issues Associated Press , 19 May 2020 LONDON ( AP ) — The coronavirus pandemic threatens to derail any progress made in recent years to deal with the climate change crisis , organizers of the annual gathering of business and political elites in the Swiss ski resort of Davos said Tuesday .
In a survey of industry professionals that reassesses the risks to the global outlook in light of the pandemic , the World Economic Forum said “ years of progress ” on addressing climate change could be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ countries to make sure environmental issues are at the heart of recovery plans .
The WEF warned that “ omitting sustainability criteria in recovery efforts or returning to an emissions-intensive global economy risks hampering the climate resilient low-carbon transition.
” At the most recent gathering in Davos in January , climate issues dominated the week ’ s discussions and many companies , as well as national governments , insisted that dealing with global warming would be central to their programs over the coming years .
Spurred on by young climate activists , such @ @ @ @ @ @ @ promises were made to meet the commitments made in the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement .
Since then , though , everything has been upended by the coronavirus , which has forced much of the world to impose unprecedented lockdowns of their societies .
The economic damage and the difficulties involved in lifting the restrictions are having a colossal economic impact , with tens of millions of people around the world losing their jobs and many countries facing potentially the deepest recessions since World War II .
The nearly 350 senior risk professionals in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ surveyed for the report fretted most about the economic impact , with 68 % identifying a “ prolonged global recession ” as most likely over the coming 18 months .
A surge in bankruptcies and industry failures also featured highly , as did concern over another COVID-19 outbreak .
The report was produced in partnership with professional services firm Marsh & McLennan and Zurich Insurance Group .


climatedepot--2020-05-20--Lockdown Kills California’s Green New Deal: Gov. Cancels $Billions In Climate Spending

California Gov .
Gavin Newsom ’ s proposed budget cuts include canceling billions of dollars in climate change spending , a blow to environmental advocates who look to the state as a stopgap for the Trump administration ’ s weakening of federal protections .
In January , Newsom proposed a $ 12 billion “ climate budget ” that , over the next five years , would offer incentives for companies to convert to electric vehicles , give low-interest loans to businesses to clean up their practices and spend billions on projects preparing for floods , droughts and wildfires .
But @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the foundation for those programs to balance a budget that will have an estimated $ 54.3 billion deficit .
The economic downturn has been brought by a statewide stay-at-home order to limit the spread of the coronavirus .
The order has closed most businesses for two months , putting more than 4.5 million people out of work and sending state tax collections plummeting .
The proposed cuts come as the state is battling the Trump administration over water quality and auto emissions , among other environmental issues .
“ At a time when @ @ @ @ @ @ @ assault on environmental and public health protection , it ’ s absolutely devastating and horrifying , ” said Kassie Siegel , director of the Climate Law Institute at the Center for Biological Diversity .
The Newsom administration says the cuts represent “ unprecedented times ” that have forced the state to “ make sacrifices that we didn ’ t think six months ago we would have to do.
” The administration chose to protect programs to clean up the air in disadvantaged communities and to provide safe drinking water .
“ All the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Denmark to Japan are all suffering similar economic fates , ” said Jared Blumenfeld , secretary of the California Environmental Protection Agency .
“ What California is doing is prioritizing and making sure , as the governor said , our values come first .
”


climatedepot--2020-05-20--Extinction Rebellion banner: ‘COVID Today, Climate Tomorrow’ – Be Prepared for More Hype from Global

Extinction Rebellion banner: ‘COVID Today, Climate Tomorrow’ – Be Prepared for More Hype from Global Warming Agitators

Here at a demonstration in London this week , Extinction Rebellion ’ s banner says it all .
Over at Refugee Resettlement Watch I keep a close eye on a favorite issue of the Left and that is their prediction that millions of “ climate refugees ” will be surging across the globe looking for new homes where you live .
So every day I look through alerts on the subject .
The number of alerts for stories on the “ climate catastrophe ” topic are expanding exponentially , including ones like this about how climate change is responsible for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pushing gentrification into low income neighborhoods inland .
The theme of course is that the rich are going to hurt the poor ( again ) .
But , I have noticed a new angle from the hard Left ( because they never miss a beat and famously never let a good crisis go to waste ) including now linking the Chinese Virus ‘ crisis ’ to climate change ( yes , making any stretch they can to get their message out ) .
Here at a demonstration in London this week , Extinction @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In Britain , climate activists from Extinction Rebellion staged a protest in London ’ s Trafalgar Square Monday , lining up over 2,000 pairs of children ’ s shoes to draw attention to the ongoing threat of climate catastrophe .
Activists are demanding the government tackle the climate crisis and refuse to bail out extractive industries as part of the coronavirus recovery effort .
A banner reading ” COVID Today , Climate Tomorrow , Act Now ” was unfurled at the protest .
“ One crisis doesn ’ t stop because another @ @ @ @ @ @ @ And , here NY Magazine is linking Corornavirus and Climate too in a lengthier description of a doomsday scenario .
The author predicts a much hotter summer ( I wish it would get here because it is a cold spring where I live ! )
.
However , the full impact of their climate catastrophe prediction won ’ t be felt until 2070 .
So I leave it to you youngsters to report when that day comes .


climatedepot--2020-05-21--Calls to add ‘climate change’ to death certificates – New study demands ‘climate change’ be added as

Calls to add ‘climate change’ to death certificates – New study demands ‘climate change’ be added as ‘pre-existing condition’

`` Climate change is a killer , but we do n't acknowledge it on death certificates , '' co-author Dr Arnagretta Hunter , from the The Australian National University ( ANU ) Medical School , said .
`` There is second component on a death certificate which allows for pre-existing conditions and other factors .
`` If you have an asthma attack and die during heavy smoke exposure from bushfires , the death certificate should include that information .
We can make a diagnosis of disease like coronavirus , but we are less literate in environmental determinants like hot weather @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Climate change is the single greatest health threat that we face globally even after we recover from coronavirus , '' Dr Hunter said .
Professors in academia are touting a new study that is being used to call for “ climate change ” to be added as a cause of death on death certificates .
“ Climate change is a killer , but we don ’ t acknowledge it on death certificates , ” co-author Dr Arnagretta Hunter , from The Australian National University ( ANU ) Medical School , said .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in The Lancet Planetary Health .
Given the focus on COVID-19 infection rates and death tolls , it appears the climate activists in academia may want in on the scary and emotional death toll counts in order to draw attention back to their climate cause .
Hunter explained : “ There is second component on a death certificate which allows for pre-existing conditions and other factors .
“ If you have an asthma attack and die during heavy smoke exposure from bushfires , the death certificate should include that information.
” “ We @ @ @ @ @ @ @ coronavirus , but we are less literate in environmental determinants like hot weather or bushfire smoke.
” … “ Climate change is the single greatest health threat that we face globally even after we recover from coronavirus , ” Dr Hunter said .
The study claims : “ Death certification needs to be modernized , indirect causes should be reported , with all death certification prompting for external factors contributing to death , and these death data must be coupled with large-scale environmental datasets so that impact assessments can be done.
” Statistician @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ They discovered a way to boost fear and keep control !
” Briggs added , “ Daily body counts blasted from the evil media , ‘ Over 100 people died from climate change today , raising questions about … blah blah… ' ” But the climate skeptic blog Tallbloke was not receptive to claims that “ climate change ” should be added to death certificates .
“ Climate alarmists yet again strain credulity to the limit , no doubt hoping to stir up guilt in the populace about energy use , ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Tallbloke blog also ridiculed the study ’ s claims , noting : “ Australia must have a lot of health threats if the ‘ single greatest ’ one accounts for 2 % of the mortality rate.
” Recent scientific research has countered the claims of a climate change and health threat .
Heat-related deaths have been “ substantially underreported ” on Australia ’ s national records , according to experts from The Australian National University ( ANU ) .
Researchers say the amount of deaths attributed to excessive natural heat is at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ death certificates .
Published in The Lancet Planetary Health , figures show over the past 11 years 340 deaths in Australia were recorded as being due to excessive heat but statistical analysis found 36,765 deaths could have been attributed to heat .
“ Climate change is a killer , but we don ’ t acknowledge it on death certificates , ” co-author Dr Arnagretta Hunter , from the ANU Medical School , said .
“ There is second component on a death certificate which allows for pre-existing conditions and other factors .
“ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ die during heavy smoke exposure from bushfires , the death certificate should include that information .
“ We can make a diagnosis of disease like coronavirus , but we are less literate in environmental determinants like hot weather or bushfire smoke.
” The new analysis suggests Australia ’ s national heat-related mortality rate is around two per cent .
“ Climate change is the single greatest health threat that we face globally even after we recover from coronavirus , ” Dr Hunter said .
“ We are successfully tracking deaths from coronavirus , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ systems to acknowledge the relationship between our health and our environment .
“ In Australia heat is the most dominant risk posed from climate change.
” The researchers say death certification needs to be modernised to reflect the impact of large-scale environmental events .
“ We know the summer bushfires were a consequence of extraordinary heat and drought and people who died during the bushfires were not just those fighting fires – many Australians had early deaths due to smoke exposure , ” Dr Hunter said .


climatedepot--2020-05-21--‘The Politics of Fear’: ‘Government growth occurs in sporadic bursts during emergencies, when politi

‘The Politics of Fear’: ‘Government growth occurs in sporadic bursts during emergencies, when politicians enact ‘temporary’ programs & regulations that never get fully abolished’

Besides fearing our own irrationality , we should fear leaders who exploit it during a crisis .
In the political response to the Covid-19 pandemic , everything is proceeding just as economist Robert Higgs has foreseen .
But that doesn ’ t make it any easier for him to watch it .
“ I have an overwhelming feeling that I am reliving a bad experience I ’ ve lived through several times before , only this time it ’ s worse , ” Higgs says .
“ I have no doubt that even if the current situation plays out in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ leave an abundance of legacies for the worse so far as people ’ s freedom is concerned.
” Higgs sees government , as usual , vastly expanding during the crisis , and he ’ s sure that it will not shrink back to its former scale once the crisis is over .
It never does , as he famously documented in his 1987 book , Crisis and Leviathan : Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government , and in later works exploring this “ ratchet effect.
” By surveying the effect of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ crises over the course of a century , Higgs showed that most government growth occurs in sporadic bursts during emergencies , when politicians enact “ temporary ” programs and regulations that never get fully abolished .
New Deal bureaucracies and subsidies persisted long after the Great Depression , for example , and the U.S. military didn ’ t revert to its prewar size after either of the world wars .
Besides charting the growth of government , Higgs identified the fundamental psychological cause .
He recognized the political significance of the negativity effect @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tendency of negative events and emotions to affect us more strongly than positive ones .
In our recent book on this bias , The Power of Bad , social psychologist Roy Baumeister and I drew on Higgs ’ s work to argue that the greatest problem in politics is what we call the Crisis Crisis—the never-ending series of crises , real or imagined , that are hyped by the media and lead to cures too often worse than the disease .
It ’ s a perpetual problem because it ’ s so deeply @ @ @ @ @ @ @ explained in a 2005 essay , “ The Political Economy of Fear.
” “ To tell people not to be afraid is to give them advice that they can not take , ” Higgs wrote .
“ Our evolved physiological makeup disposes us to fear all sorts of actual and potential threats , even those that exist only in our imagination .
The people who have the effrontery to rule us , who call themselves our government , understand this basic fact of human nature .
They exploit it , and they cultivate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s advice : “ It is much safer to be feared than loved ” —a sixteenth-century formulation of the negativity effect .
“ Without popular fear , no government could endure more than twenty-four hours , ” Higgs wrote , explaining how the earliest kingdoms were founded by warriors who augmented their authority with the help of religious leaders .
“ The warrior element of government puts the people in fear for their lives , and the priestly element puts them in fear for their eternal souls .
These two fears compose a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on earth for several millennia.
” Then , in the nineteenth century , came new fears to justify the creation of the welfare state .
As Higgs noted : “ People were told that the government can and should protect them from all sorts of workaday threats to their lives , livelihoods , and overall well-being—threats of destitution , hunger , disability , unemployment , illness , lack of income in old age , germs in the water , toxins in the food , and insults to their race , sex , ancestry @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Nearly everything that the people feared , the government then stood poised to ward off.
” As eager as politicians are to expand the government , in normal times they ’ re able to do so only slowly .
People always fear tax increases , and a proposal to benefit one special interest will typically be opposed by another , creating a political logjam .
But when a new threat like Covid-19 suddenly arises , the logjam is broken , as Higgs described in a 2009 essay , “ The Political Economy of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” Higgs observed , “ alters the fundamental conditions of political life .
Like a river suddenly swollen by the collapse of an upstream dam , the ideological current becomes bloated by the public ’ s fear and apprehension of impending dangers and its heightened uncertainty about future developments .
Bewildered people turn to the government to resolve the situation , demanding that government officials ‘ do something ’ to repair the damage already done and prevent further harm.
” Politicians—aided by media hysteria—seize the opportunity to dispense funds , create new programs @ @ @ @ @ @ @ before the crisis .
The current pandemic , for instance , has given protectionists a new excuse for restricting international trade .
Progressives in Congress have tried to create new protections for workers and immigrants , subsidies for alternative energy , and mandates for diversity programs .
Trillions have been added to the national debt with little debate because criticism becomes taboo during a crisis .
During World War II , the conversation stopper was , “ Don ’ t you know there ’ s a war on ?
” Today it ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for “ war , ” and accompanied by solemn declarations like , “ A human life is priceless.
” The post John Tierney : The Politics of Fearappeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum ( GWPF ) .