climatedepot--2020-09-14--Flashback 1994 New York Times article debunks climate-caused California wildfires

NYT July 19 , 1994 : BEGINNING about 1,100 years ago , what is now California baked in two droughts , the first lasting 220 years and the second 140 years .
Each was much more intense than the mere six-year dry spells that afflict modern California from time to time , new studies of past climates show .
The findings suggest , in fact , that relatively wet periods like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years , and that mega-droughts are likely to recur .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ findings last month in the British journal Nature , says that California , like Tiwanaku , presents “ a classic case of people building themselves beyond the carrying capacity of the land , ” which is determined not by wet times but by dry ones .
“ What we ’ ve done in California is fail to recognize that there are lean times ahead , ” said Dr. Stine , “ and they are a lot leaner than anything we ’ ve come up against ” in the modern era .
California can @ @ @ @ @ @ @ them burn for another 200 years — according to the New York Times .
All you need to know about California drought and wildfires : As there were no SUVs or coal-fired power plants 1,100 years ago , California may want to start thinking now about some serious forest management before nature takes her own devastating course .
The full text of the NYTimes article is below .
BEGINNING about 1,100 years ago , what is now California baked in two droughts , the first lasting 220 years and the second 140 years @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the mere six-year dry spells that afflict modern California from time to time , new studies of past climates show .
The findings suggest , in fact , that relatively wet periods like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years , and that mega-droughts are likely to recur .
The evidence for the big droughts comes from an analysis of the trunks of trees that grew in the dry beds of lakes , swamps and rivers in and adjacent to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the droughts ended and the water levels rose .
Immersion in water has preserved the trunks over the centuries .
Dr. Scott Stine , a paleoclimatologist at California State University at Hayward , used radiocarbon dating techniques to determine the age of the trees ’ outermost annual growth rings , thereby establishing the ends of drought periods .
He then calculated the lengths of the preceding dry spells by counting the rings in each stump .
This method identified droughts lasting from A.D. 892 to A.D. 1112 and from A.D. 1209 to A.D. @ @ @ @ @ @ @ water levels dropped during these periods — as much as 50 feet in some cases — Dr. Stine concluded that the droughts were not only much longer , they were far more severe than either the drought of 1928 to 1934 , California ’ s worst in modern times , or the more recent severe dry spell of 1987 to 1992 .
In medieval times the California droughts coincided roughly with a warmer climate in Europe , which allowed the Vikings to colonize Greenland and vineyards to grow in England , and with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , which caused the collapse of that continent ’ s most advanced pre-Inca empire , the rich and powerful state of Tiwanaku , other recent studies have found .
Dr. Stine , who reported his findings last month in the British journal Nature , says that California , like Tiwanaku , presents “ a classic case of people building themselves beyond the carrying capacity of the land , ” which is determined not by wet times but by dry ones .
“ What we ’ ve done in California is fail to recognize @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” said Dr. Stine , “ and they are a lot leaner than anything we ’ ve come up against ” in the modern era .
How far ahead that reckoning might lie is , of course , uncertain .
But one ominous sign may be that the earth ’ s climate as a whole is now warming up , whether from natural causes or because of heat-trapping atmospheric gases emitted by industrial society .
Any significant global warming would probably cause changes in atmospheric circulation and precipitation patterns , and the new @ @ @ @ @ @ @ medieval time the planetary ocean-atmosphere system operated in a mode unlike that of modern time , ” Dr. Stine wrote in Nature .
This alteration of the system could well have been caused by a natural global warming , he said .
He believes that one long-term effect was to steer storm tracks and rainfall away from California .
If this pattern was indeed brought about by a medieval global warming , he said , a future global warming — whether natural or human-induced — might bring back the decades-long droughts of yore @ @ @ @ @ @ @ combined with similar evidence he turned up in Patagonia , strengthen the case of those who believe that the earth experienced a general warming at the time of the Middle Ages , Dr. F. Alayne Street-Perrott , a paleoclimatologist at Oxford University in England , wrote in a commentary accompanying Dr. Stine ’ s report in Nature .
Other experts maintain that the medieval warming was not global but instead affected only some parts of the world .
“ I ’ m not prepared to believe that the whole world was warmer , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a paleoclimatologist who directs the Laboratory of Tree Ring Research at the University of Arizona in Tucson .
Nor is it possible to say for sure that future global warming would bring back the large-scale droughts of the past .
“ We ’ ve not done the work on the actual mechanisms , ” he said .
But he said that Dr. Stine ’ s findings , coupled with similar conclusions that can be drawn from other tree-ring studies by scientists in his laboratory , are a “ serious cause for concern.
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the epic dry spells of the past did occur , he said , adding that “ what has happened can happen.
” The findings also emphasize the importance of precipitation changes , rather than simply changes in temperature , when weighing the potential impact of future global climate change , Dr. Stine wrote in Nature .
Periods of ‘ Epic Drought ’ The Sierra Nevada , where Dr. Stine conducted his study , is California ’ s most important area for the collection of water .
Runoff from the Sierras provides two-thirds of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ cities and farms .
The study involved trees at four places : Mono Lake , Tenaya Lake , the West Walker River and Osgood Swamp .
Dr. Stine ’ s tree-ring analysis found that live trees had covered dry beds of lakes , streams and swamps for overlapping periods of 50 , 100 , 141 and 220 years and that these “ lowstand ” periods were clustered in two major dry spells separated by a century-long wet period .
“ Epic drought , ” he wrote in Nature , is “ the only @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the stumps.
” In the period separating the two long droughts , Dr. Stine said , the water in Mono Lake rose to a level higher than any in the last 150 years , suggesting that the California climate was even wetter then than it is today .
The last century and a half , Dr. Stine found , has been the third wettest period in the last three millenniums .
But , he said , “ the vast majority of years during the past 3,500 years have been much drier than what @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be normal in California.
” The evidence for the medieval drought periods is especially strong , Dr. Hughes said , because the lake basins are closed , with no natural outlets ; consequently , their water levels are influenced only by inflow and evaporation , making them ideal gauges of drought .
And even though radiocarbon dating is somewhat imprecise , he said , it is good enough “ to show two major phases of tree growth and lowstands ; there ’ s no doubt about that.
” This , he said , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , there have been periods of 100 years or more ” that have been “ markedly drier ” than the 20th century .
The 10th to the 14th centuries , encompassing the prolonged droughts reported by Dr. Stine , saw “ dramatic changes ” in Western Hemisphere civilizations , Dr. Street-Perrott wrote in Nature , and some have been attributed by archeologists to changes in rainfall .
One example is the sudden decline of the Anasazi cliff-dwellers in the American southwest at about the year 1300 .
Another , even more striking , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was a flourishing empire that lasted seven centuries and reached its zenith near the end of the first millennium A.D .
It commanded an area about the size of California , extending from the Andean plateau around Lake Titicaca to the Pacific Coast and covering parts of present-day Bolivia , Chile and Peru .
The empire ’ s economy was based on intensive agriculture carried out on raised fields : acres of end-to-end rectangular platforms created by digging the dirt from areas between them .
The dug-out areas became canals from which silt @ @ @ @ @ @ @ highly productive and environmentally sound system dominated Latin American agriculture for centuries .
Death of a Civilization But several lines of evidence , including analyses of fossilized pollen grains and isotopes of oxygen in lake sediments , make it clear that an extended drought afflicted the region starting between A.D. 950 and A.D. 1000 and continuing , with fluctuations , until 1410 , concluded a study last year by Charles R. Ortloff , a fluid-mechanics specialist at the FMC Corporate Technology Center at Santa Clara , Calif. , and Dr. Alan L. Kolata @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Chicago .
That period mostly overlaps the one in which the California mega-droughts occurred .
The South American drought was of “ horrendous proportions , ” said Dr. Kolata , and it destroyed Tiwanaku ’ s agricultural base .
The empire ’ s cities were abandoned by about 1000 .
Dr. Kolata believes that the raised fields could no longer support the cities , and archeological evidence shows that the fields were abandoned between 1000 and 1100 .
The political state collapsed , the population dispersed and , with agriculture no longer possible @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and llamas .
Tiwanaku ’ s agricultural system had been able to adjust to the less drastic cycles of drought and inundation that were thought to be normal , but “ Tiwanaku agro-engineers were incapable of responding to a drought of unprecedented duration and severity , ” Mr. Ortloff and Dr. Kolata wrote in a 1993 paper in The Journal of Archeological Science .
Like Tiwanaku ’ s engineers , those who draw up California ’ s water-management plans do so on the basis of what are believed to be normal droughts but @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as what has occurred in the past and can occur again , said Dr. Stine .
“ The assumption they ’ ve made for a long time — that California is subject to droughts of a maximum of seven years — could be harmful in the long run , ” he said , because “ they have doled out water on that assumption .
“ This could be destructive if you get hit with a 9th or a 10th or a 15th year of severe drought.
” In gauging the length and frequency @ @ @ @ @ @ @ officials rely on a tree-ring study extending back to about 1560 .
Over that period , the 1928-1934 drought was the longest and worst .
The problem , said Dr. Stine , is that the study period includes not only the wet 19th and 20th centuries , but also the even wetter 16th and 17th centuries .
“ They ’ re using the wettest period of the last 3,000 years to define the duration and severity of the droughts we can expect in the future , ” he said .
Maurice Roos , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of Water Resources , said he had not read Dr. Stine ’ s report in Nature .
But he did acknowledge that a mega-drought of the kind described in the report would probably cause much of the state ’ s lush irrigated cropland to cease producing .
The cities would probably have the money and political power to appropriate enough water to get by , he said , adding , “ There will always be some water ; there is not going to be no water.
” He said he would not expect @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to be deserted .
Modern California has at least one coping weapon that Tiwanaku did not : the ability to turn sea water into fresh water .
The 1987-92 drought did , in fact , prompt Santa Barbara to build a desalinization plant , Mr. Roos said , though he was quick to point out that this solution at present would be “ enormously expensive.
” At the very least , Dr. Stine wrote in Nature , a recurrence of the medieval droughts “ would be highly disruptive environmentally and economically.
” Planning @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are a little cooler , would help , he says .
The planning might include , for example , deciding which crops are to be taken out of production first , what restrictions to place on the pumping of groundwater and how cities are to obtain water .
But in the end , he said , a reprise of the medieval droughts would simply overwhelm California ’ s efforts to cope .
And he said : “ We don ’ t need 200 years of drought to bring us down .
At some @ @ @ @ @ @ @ or the 15th year or the 19th year , the damage is done and it doesn ’ t matter any more .
”


climatedepot--2020-09-11--Green radicals are responsible for red forests: Environmentalists Destroyed California’s Forests: ‘E

Green radicals are responsible for red forests: Environmentalists Destroyed California’s Forests: ‘Environmentalists have gone to the extreme to prevent controlled burns, and as a result we have this catastrophe today’

Millions of acres of California forest have been blackened by wildfires this summer , leading to the usual angry denunciations from the usual quarters about climate change .
But in 1999 , the Associated Press reported that forestry experts had long agreed that “ clearing undergrowth would save trees , ” and that “ years of aggressive firefighting have allowed brush to flourish that would have been cleared away by wildfires.
” But very little was done .
And now fires of unprecedented size are raging across the Western United States .
“ Sen .
Feinstein blames Sierra Club for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ provocative headline on a 2002 story in California ’ s Napa Valley Register .
Feinstein had brokered a congressional consensus on legislation to thin “ overstocked ” forests close to homes and communities , but could not overcome the environmental lobby ’ s disagreement over expediting the permit process to thin forests everywhere else .
Year after year , environmentalists litigated and lobbied to stop efforts to clear the forests through timber harvesting , underbrush removal , and controlled burns .
Meanwhile , natural fires were suppressed and the forests became more and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for the same water , soil , and light a healthier forest would have used , rendering all of the trees and underbrush unhealthy .
It wasn ’ t just excess biomass that accumulated , but dried out and dead biomass .
What happened among California ’ s tall stands of Redwood and Ponderosa Pine also happened in its extensive chaparral .
Fire suppression along with too many environmentalist-inspired bureaucratic barriers to controlled burns and undergrowth removal turned the hillsides and canyons of Southern California into tinderboxes .
In 2009 , after huge @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to evacuate , Los Angeles County Supervisor Mike Antonovich observed : “ The environmentalists have gone to the extreme to prevent controlled burns , and as a result we have this catastrophe today.
” In 2014 , Republican members of Congress tried again to reduce the bureaucracy associated with “ hazardous fuel projects ” that thin out overgrown forests .
True to form , the bill got nowhere thanks to environmental lobbyists who worried it would undermine the 1969 National Environmental Policy Act ( NEPA ) , the law that requires thorough impact @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lands .
In a blistering report published in the California Globe on how environmentalists have destroyed California ’ s forests , investigative journalist Katy Grimes interviewed Representative Tom McClintock , a Republican who represents communities in and around the Sierra Nevada mountains of Northern California .
McClintock has worked for years to reform NEPA and other barriers to responsible forest management .
“ The U.S. Forest Service used to be a profitable federal agency , ” McClintock told Grimes .
But these zealots have not protected the forests .
They have destroyed them @ @ @ @ @ @ @ people , including the experts , bother to point out how overgrown forests reduce the water supply .
But when watersheds are choked with dense underbrush competing for moisture , precipitation and runoff can not replenish groundwater aquifers or fill up reservoirs .
Instead , it ’ s immediately soaked up by the trees and brush .
Without clearing and controlled burns , the overgrown foliage dies anyway .
A new activist organization in California , the “ California Water for Food and People Movement , ” created a Facebook group for people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ environmentalist zealotry .
Comments and posts from long-time residents of the Sierra foothills , where fires have exploded in recent years , yield eyewitness testimony to how environmentalist restrictions on forest management have gone horribly wrong .
Examples : “ With the rainy season just ahead , the aftermath of the Creek Fire will challenge our water systems for years to come .
Erosion will send toxic debris and sediment cascading into streams , rivers , and reservoirs , reducing their capacity to carry and hold water .
Dirty air , dirty water @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on full display right now , brought to us by the environmental posers who will no doubt use this crisis to unleash a barrage of ‘ climate change did it ’ articles.
” “ Many thanks to Sierra Club and other environmental groups .
You shut down logging/brush removal and had a ‘ don ’ t touch ’ approach to our forests .
You shut down access roads and let them get overgrown , so now they can ’ t be used for fire suppression and emergency equipment .
You fought ranchers for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ floors clean .
You made fun of Trump when he said we need to rake the forest .
Trust me these forest rakes and logging would have prevented the devastating fires we see now.
” The economics of responsible forest management , given the immensity of America ’ s western forests , requires profitable timber harvesting to play a role .
But California has no commercial timber operations on state-owned land .
And since 1990 , when the environmentalist assault on California ’ s timber industry began in earnest , its timber industry @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Reviving California ’ s timber industry , so the collective rate of harvest equals the collective rate of growth , would go a long way towards solving the problem of catastrophic fires .
Instead , California ’ s environmentalists only redouble their nonsense arguments .
Expect these fires to justify even more “ climate change ” legislation that does nothing to clear the forests of overgrown tinder , and everything to clear the forests , and the chaparral , of people and towns .
Expect these fires to fuel a new round @ @ @ @ @ @ @ suburban densification , with increased rationing of energy and water .
Expect the “ climate emergency ” to accelerate in synergistic lockstep with the pandemic emergency and the anti-racism emergency .
Expect all three of these emergencies to become issues of public health , thereby eliminating inconvenient constitutional roadblocks to swift action .
Meanwhile , tragically , expect California ’ s politically powerful firefighters ’ union to do little or nothing to support the timber industry or rural inhabitants who don ’ t want to move into urban condos .
As Steve Greenhut @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Orange County Register : No wonder firefighters are overwhelmed during California ’ s wildfire season .
The state can ’ t afford to hire enough of them .
And when these firefighter unions could have been pushing for legislation to clear the forests back in 2019 , where instead did their leftist leadership direct their activist efforts ?
They marched in solidarity with the striking United Teachers of Los Angeles .
The teachers ’ unions have done to California ’ s public schools what environmentalists have done to California ’ s forests .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ the early 21st century is ever written , the verdict will be unequivocal .
Forests that thrived in California for over 20 million years were allowed to become overgrown tinderboxes .
And then , with stupefying ferocity , within the span of a few decades , they burned to the ground .
Many of them never recovered .
This epic tragedy was the direct result of policies put in place by misguided environmentalist zealots , misinformed suckers who sent them money , and the litigators and lobbyists they hired , who laughed all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that have immolated millions of acres of forests in the Golden State were preventable , and for decades , everyone knew what had to be done .

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climatedepot--2020-09-15--Many scientists & peer-reviewed studies support Trump’s claim that ‘It’ll start getting cooler. You

Many scientists & peer-reviewed studies support Trump’s claim that ‘It’ll start getting cooler. You just watch’ – Trump added: ‘I don’t think science knows actually’

Watch the video below of President Donald Trump on September 14 , 2020 President Trump ’ s analysis is supported by decades of climate research and scientists .
President Trump , at a California wildfire briefing on September 14 : “ It ’ ll start getting cooler .
You just watch.
” Wade Crowfoot , California Secretary for Natural Resources : “ I wish science agreed with you.
” President Trump responded : “ Well , I don ’ t think science knows actually.
” President Trump ’ s claim that “ science ” does not “ know ” has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that scientific uncertainty over climate needs to be acknowledged .
Renowned Princeton Physicist Freeman Dyson , who died earlier this year , said , “ I have strong views about climate because I think the majority is badly wrong.
” “ The main thing that is lacking at the moment is humility .
The climate experts have set themselves up as being the guardians of the truth and they think they have the truth and that is a dangerous situation , ” Freeman explained .
( Also see : Princeton Physicist Freeman Dyson @ @ @ @ @ @ @ study CO2 effects in 1970s – Rips current climate science : ‘ If they did not scare the public they wouldn ’ t get support from the government ’ ) President Trump ’ s cooling comments has support in the scientific literature and among many scientists .
A sampling of studies and scientists who back President Trump ’ s climate analysis .
2020 Study : Much Of The Globe May Experience ‘ No Warming ’ For 30 Years – ‘ We may experience a global cooling trend during next 15 or even 30 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ caused droughts – – Global Cooling Led To Widespread Droughts In The 1970s 2019 : Chinese scientists warn of global cooling trick up nature ’ s sleeve – ‘ Impact of the Sun on Earth ’ s climate may be greater than previously thought ’ 2019 : New Study : Modern Warming Was Driven By ‘ Primarily Natural ’ Factors – Global Cooling Has Now Begun 2017 : Seven New ( 2017 ) Papers Forecast Global Cooling , Another Little Ice Age Will Begin Soon Growing number of scientists are predicting global cooling @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ‘ We could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years ’ Danish Solar Scientist Svensmark declares ‘ global warming has stopped and a cooling is beginning…enjoy global warming while it lasts ’ New paper by Russian solar physicist by Habibullo Abdussamatov predicts another Little Ice Age within the next 30 years Climate Scientist Prof. Anastasios Tsonis at the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee , Predicts : ‘ I would assume something like another 15 years of leveling off or cooling ’ Prominent geologist Dr. Don Easterbrook warns ‘ global COOLING is almost @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 30 years or more Many scientists in recent years have noted the recent global cooling and predicted many years to decades to centuries of more global cooling .
Below is a sampling of scientists and studies on global cooling .
UW-Milwaukee Professor ’ s Peer-Reviewed Study Predicts 50 Years of Global Cooling – January 2010 : ‘ A University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee professor is making headlines for his work suggesting the world is entering a period of global cooling .
“ Now we ’ re getting a break , ” Anastasios Tsonis , Distinguished @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in an interview with the MacIver Institute .
Tsonis published a paper last March that found the world goes through periods of warming and cooling that tend to last thirty years .
He says we are now in a period of cooling that could last up to fifty years .
Atmospheric Scientist Tsonis on record cold : ‘ It just isn ’ t true to say this is a blip .
We can expect colder winters for quite a while ’ – Tsonis was flooded with ‘ hate emails ’ after 2009 peer-reviewed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of cooler temperatures ’ — ‘ People were accusing me of wanting to destroy the climate , yet all I ’ m interested in is the truth ’ Russia ’ s Pulkovo Observatory : ‘ We could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years ’ New Study : Russian Astrophysicist from Russian Academy of Science Predicts Global Cooling : ‘ From 2014 we can expect start of deep cooling with a Little Ice Age in 2055′ — Habibullo I. Abdussamatov , Pulkovo Observatory of the Russian Academy of Science , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Applied Physics Research , Vol .
4 , No .
1 February 2012 : Abstract : ‘ We can expect the onset of a deep bicentennial minimum of total solar irradiance ( TSI ) in approximately 2042±11 and the 19th deep minimum of global temperature in the past 7500 years – in 2055±11.
’ Flashback Sept. 2009 : ‘ Sun Sleeps ’ : Danish Solar Scientist Svensmark declares ‘ global warming has stopped and a cooling is beginning…enjoy global warming while it lasts ’ Global Cooling Coming ?
Aussie Scientist David Archibald uses @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fall — ‘ Normal solar cycles are 11 years long , but the current one ( cycle 24 ) is shaping up to be 17 years ( unusually long ) , and using historical data from the US , David predicts a 2.1°C decline over Solar Cycle 24 followed by a further 2.8°C over Solar Cycle 25 .
That adds up to a whopping 4.9°C fall in temperate latitudes over the next 20 years .
We can only hope he ’ s wrong ’ Prominent geologist warns ‘ global COOLING is almost a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ years or more — ‘ There is no single piece of real evidence that points to CO2′ as driving temps – Dr. Don Easterbrook : ‘ We ’ ve had 27 climate changes in the last 400 years : warm , cold , warm , cold .
There have been four in this past century that have nothing to do with CO2 , because CO2 wasn ’ t a factor hundreds of thousands of years ago .
We know that those are not at all related to CO2 .
So why would we @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to CO2 ?
’ Professor Judith Curry of , the chair , School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta , on June 14 , 2013 : “ Attention in the public debate seems to be moving away from the 15-17 year ‘ pause ’ to the cooling since 2002 ( note : I am receiving inquiries about this from journalists ) .
This period since 2002 is scientifically interesting , since it coincides with the ‘ climate shift ’ circa 2001/2002posited by Tsonis and others .
This @ @ @ @ @ @ @ provides a rationale for inferring a slight cooling trend over the next decade or so , rather than a flat trend from the 15 yr ‘ pause ’ .
” AUSTRALIAN SCIENTIST PREDICTS GLOBAL COOLING : “ SUN IS THE MAJOR CONTROL OF CLIMATE ; LOOK FOR COOLING ’ — ‘ Prof .
Cliff Ollier of the School of Earth & Env .
Studies , U , of Western Australia , recently presented a paper in Poznan , Poland , in which he described the sun as the major control of climate , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is a very good correlation of sunspots and climate .
Solar cycles provide a basis for prediction .
Solar Cycle 24 has started and we can expect serious cooling .
Many think that political decisions about climate are based on scientific predictions but what politicians get are projections based on computer models .
The UN ’ s main adviser , the IPCC , uses adjusted data for the input , their models and codes remain secret , and they do not accept responsibility for their projections.
” Download paper here New paper finds @ @ @ @ @ @ @ global cooling of more than 3C — Paper published today in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics – Study finds that ‘ a solar proton event , if it took place in the near future with an intensity similar to that ascribed to the Carrington Event of 1859 , must be expected to have a major impact on atmospheric composition throughout the middle atmosphere , resulting in significant and persistent decrease in total ozone , ’ resulting in a ‘ significant [ global ] cooling of more than 3C ’ Watch : Symptoms Of Global @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 1971 : A severe year of extreme weather during the ‘ global cooling ’ era Why Some Scientists Say Global Warming Is Out and Global Cooling Is In Don ’ t let history be rewritten !
The facts about the 1970s global cooling ‘ consensus ’


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Countries Need to Invest $55 Trillion to Reach Net-Zero Emissions Target – ‘Building renewable power

Countries Need to Invest $55 Trillion to Reach Net-Zero Emissions Target – ‘Building renewable power plants will take up a bulk of the estimated’ cost

( Bloomberg ) — Global economies will need to invest as much as $ 55 trillion through the middle of the century to meet an emissions goal and contain warming of the planet , according to a report by a group of executives from energy-intensive companies including ArcelorMittal SA , BP Plc and Royal Dutch Shell Plc .
Reaching net-zero carbon emissions target by 2050 will require large scale electrification of industries , buildings and transport , as well as the use of hydrogen and biofuels in areas that can ’ t be electrified , according to the Energy Transitions @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more and recycling material will aid the efforts .
Building renewable power plants will take up a bulk of the estimated investment .
China , the world ’ s biggest coal user , “ is not yet on a clear path towards a net-zero economy and new coal investments are continuing despite evidence that renewables are now highly competitive on a new-build basis in most of China ’ s provinces , ” it said .
The nation can become a fully developed , rich economy with net-zero emissions by 2050 by rapidly deploying @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on coal , according to the report .
The country needs to double annual investments in solar and as much as quadruple investments in wind energy , along with accelerating use of clean energy in industries and residential heating .
India , the second biggest coal user , is likely to see consumption of the fuel peak between 2027 and 2030 , before gradually sliding down , Ajay Mathur , a co-chair at Energy Transitions Commission , said in a phone interview .
The nation , which currently produces nearly 65 % of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ without building new coal power plants , as its existing coal fleet is under-utilized and can


climatedepot--2020-09-17--‘Climate Hustle’ sequel reveals big plans of Big Brother – ‘It’s not about controlling the planet’s

‘Climate Hustle’ sequel reveals big plans of Big Brother – ‘It’s not about controlling the planet’s climate — It’s about controlling us’

“ Our first one was exposing the science as the hustle , ” says @ ClimateDepot .
“ This one tells you about the agenda behind it.
” @ ksorbs @ JohnStossel @ Liz_Wheeler @ AFRnet # climate # movies # environment https : //t.co/8rfP1XXehV A new documentary that slams claims about man-made climate change is targeting skeptics who know the facts don ’ t add up .
“ Climate Hustle 2 ” is the sequel to the 2017 film that recounts the history of climate scares , media-driven hype , and how global warming has become a religion of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of Climate Depot was one of the stars of the first film and he will return for the sequel , which will be released online Sept. 24 .
“ Our first one was exposing the science as the hustle , ” he says .
“ This one tells you about the agenda behind it , such as what ’ s behind the Green New deal , what ’ s behind the Paris climate agreement , and what ’ s behind the whole climate agenda.
” What is that agenda ?
It ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ climate , he insists .
After the film , actor Kevin Sorbo will host a Q-and-A panel discussion that will feature journalist John Stossel , scientists , and One America News anchor Liz Wheeler .
“ After the big , live event , it ’ ll be available on DVD and on demand , ” Morano says of the film .


climatedepot--2020-09-17--If you like lockdowns, you’ll love Biden’s empty, green future

If you haven ’ t been paying much attention to presidential candidate Joe Biden ’ s “ if elected ” promises and the contents of his 90-page-plus Democratic Party policy platform jointly drafted and heralded by the Bernie Sanders Socialist camp as the most progressive set of agendas ever , perhaps it ’ s a very good idea to do so now .
Welcome to California green brownouts and blackouts : The Biden-Sanders Unity Task Force on Climate Change co-chaired by self-avowed Socialist Rep. Ocasio-Cortez , D-N.Y. , and former U.S .
Senator and Secretary of State John Kerry stated @ @ @ @ @ @ @ climate change like the emergency that it is and answer the crisis with an ambitious , unprecedented , economy-wide mobilization to decarbonize the economy and build a resilient , stronger foundation for the American people.
” The plan incorporates a commitment to eliminating “ carbon pollution ” from power plants by 2035 , and for zeroing out net greenhouse emissions across the entire country by 2050 .
The agenda also calls for humongous expenditures in renewable energy , including installing 500 million solar panels and manufacturing 60,000 wind turbines .
Among this phantasmagoria @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it takes to “ retrofit ” energy reduction improvements on four million buildings and two million households in five years , and will require that all new American buildings will be “ net-zero ” in carbon emissions by 2030 .
Additionally , the government will replace all 500,000 school buses with zero-emission alternatives within five years .
In addition , all public works projects requiring federal permission or money will have to pass a climate test .
Read this as providing leverage to eliminate or hold ideological activist hostage to all new fossil @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ago , Biden accurately argued that the U.S. represents only a minor and shrinking share of global emissions and therefore can ’ t fix an alleged climate problem with measures designed to grease domestic constituencies .
Nevertheless , the former vice president said during a 2019 CNN Climate Crisis Town Hall that his administration would support stopping all “ oil drilling or gas drilling on federal lands.
” He also claims that his version of the Green New Deal will stimulate the economy by creating lots of new jobs .
Biden ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Sanders climate mafia who hold great policy sway over him , however , have no such compunction about banning fracking and drilling of fossil fuels everywhere .
It requires no imagination whatsoever to predict the results .
As providently forecast by Paul Tice in the Wall Street Journal , if you like current coronavirus lockdowns , you ’ ll love a carbon-free future with dead cities and town centers , empty highways and shopping malls , and abandoned airports and stadiums .
Tice writes , “ Without fossil fuels , Americans would face @ @ @ @ @ @ @ diminished , with higher unemployment and perennial supply chain disruptions since hydrocarbons are used to make and transport most goods.
” A major matter of missing money : Although the Democratic fossil energy-starving , mythical zero-emission replacement costs aren ’ t identified , they will certainly run into many-trillions of dollars .
So where will that green energy-subsidizing green come from ?
I think you can probably already guess .
We should have learned from the 2009 Obama-Biden administration ’ s failed American Recovery and Reinvestment Act , which included more than $ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that extending low-cost loans and investment and production tax credits to solar and wind projects did little to stimulate their weak economy or lagging employment .
Covid pandemic business shutdowns , employment layouts and four government bailout packages have since added nearly $ 3 trillion to the national debt .
Now add to this , growing deficits accruing to losses of businesses and tax revenues to disproportionately Democrat cities that are experiencing the nation ’ s worst riot and crime-plagued economic and social casualties .
Most notable among these are Minneapolis , Manhattan @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Chicago , Los Angeles , San Francisco , Philadelphia , and Washington , D.C. As I elaborated in my Sept. 2 column , Barron ’ s asked Eaton Vance ( a major muni investor ) to prepare a comparative financial creditworthiness ranking of all 50 states based upon financial and economic data taken from the past fiscal year along with a variety of projected COVID-19 influences .
All eight of the top-ranked states had Republican governors .
Farthest at the other end of the rankings are Democratic Illinois at the very bottom , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Growing hordes of businesses and families are fleeing for the suburbs as decades of liberal governance have made many metropolitan centers unaffordable , unlivable , and unable to provide for their citizens ’ basic needs in housing , public safety and education .
As I also discussed in a July 7 column , Democrats under Biden are committed to embrace New Jersey Dem .
Senator Cory Booker ’ s social engineering strategy to end local control of single-family suburban zoning in order to end meaningful choices of how Americans can live .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Development ( HUD ) regulations that the Trump administration abolished , the Biden White House would compel the construction of high-density “ stack and pack ” apartment buildings in residential neighborhoods , and forcibly transform neighborhoods across America so they look and feel the way far left ideologues and technocratic bureaucrats think they should .
Under threat of withholding federal money , HUD ’ s 2015 “ Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing ” ( AFFH ) rule pressured Westchester County , N.Y. which was never found to have discriminated against anyone , to raise @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 11,000 low-income , high-density apartments .
Crime-plagued Minneapolis abolished single-family zoning this year – a few months before it voted to abolish its police force , and Oregon outlawed single-family zoning last year .
For the past three years , the state senator who represents Speaker Nancy Pelosi ’ s San Francisco has led a push to abolish single-family zoning in California .
Little more than a decade ago — before Obama and Biden — who could have possibly imagined that a major sector of American politics would devolve to even contemplate such @ @ @ @ @ @ @ — and are — don ’ t imagine for a moment that Joe ’ s promises can be taken lightly .


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Is ‘Mother Earth’ angry? Joe Bastardi counters Pelosi’s climate hustle

The Level of ( Fill in Your Own Words ) in this Challenges Limits .
“ Mother Earth is angry , ” the San Francisco Democrat said during an appearance Thursday on MSNBC .
“ She ’ s telling us — whether she ’ s telling us with hurricanes on the Gulf Coast , fires in the West , whatever it is … that the climate crisis is real and has an impact.
” I Will Keep this Short .
So hurricanes on the Gulf Coast are Mother Earth throwing a tantrum ?
Well will all due respect , Mother @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Is the near record low hurricane season in the Pacific basin also a sign of anger , or that she is tired ?
Enquiring minds want to know , which a statement like was made above is where I would see it , at a grocery check-out line .
( it was the name of the magazine that would catch my eye .
Of course so did Mad Magazine ) .
So to help the speaker , before she rips this up , lets review how mad mother earth is with hurricanes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ end has had 4 major landfalls .
I will just use 3 decades of the many , with more than twice that It is astounding to hear those comments as they either IGNORE what is a known if one knows it , which is deception , or reveals ignorance to what actually has happened which I suspect is the case .
Yet neither options stops the zealot when the ends justify the means , and if the ends are a political agenda , then this is just another weapon .
While we all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ wildfire season is the worst on record .
( I handled that in another blog ) But for the US nothing matches what was going on in the early part of the 20th century , when 5 times more acreage was being burned than any year in the last 10 !
This combined with the aforementioned hurricane burst in those years , and the unreal heat and dust bowl , far outstrips anything we are seeing around the nation that the speaker is saying is evidence that Mother Earth is angry with us @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
You have seen a lot of blogs from me lately because this is a full-scale volley in the weaponization of weather is underway so I return that with examples for you to see .
Pure and simple .
Back in spring I forecasted there would be a pivot to this as we closed in on the election , and they are coming fast and furious , and are designed to simply grab a headline with no questioning from the willing media .
But if I see something , I say something , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of that .
Las Vegas should open odds on who will say what next , and when .


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Will FB censor a piece on FB censorship? Doubling down on climate change and censorship

Doubling down on climate change and censorship A year ago , we showed in a Washington Examiner op-ed that the mathematical computer models used to promote global warming fears had been , for years , systematically overpredicting the rate of warming in the tropical lower atmosphere , typically by a factor of three .
This touched off a hysterical response , starting with censorship .
Facebook “ fact-checker ” Climate Feedback labeled our opinion piece “ false , ” which blocked its distribution on the social media giant .
Tech mogul Eric Michelman has for over a decade funded efforts @ @ @ @ @ @ @ saying that “ the science is settled.
” In 2015 , he founded and funded Climate Feedback and staffed it with the very climate modelers whose work we criticized in our op-ed .
We and the Washington Examiner appealed to Facebook , providing a detailed basis for our opinion , and Facebook removed the label , which again allowed our piece to be viewed and advertised .
We were referring to the tranche of climate models that formed much of the basis for the most recent U.N. “ Assessment ” of the state @ @ @ @ @ @ @ next one , due out in 2021 , features a new generation of models .
According to Ross McKitrick at the University of Guelph and John Christy at the University of Alabama , all of the new models that were available to review are now overpredicting globally , and they are even warmer than the last batch .
Their article will soon be published in the peer-reviewed journal Earth and Space Science .
The new set of models keeps growing , and the Department of Energy now lists 40 centers worldwide running their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fortune .
If “ the science is settled , ” then why do we need so many models solving the same problem ( and getting different solutions ) ?
Further , a landmark encyclopedia-length study of the climate ’ s “ sensitivity ” to changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide , just published in Reviews of Geophysics , repeatedly notes that these new models aren ’ t reproducing the observed geographic patterns of warming .
For example , they predict substantial warming to be occurring in the Southern Ocean surrounding Antarctica .
It ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ parts of it are cooling .
The lead author , Australian Steven Sherwood , wrote that the warming of that ocean will “ likely [ take ] hundreds of years or more ” to appear and that the models ’ behavior “ may call into question their ability to accurately simulate the long-term pattern of warming.
” Nonetheless , the study raised the lowest expected warming for doubling atmospheric carbon dioxide from the United Nation ’ s current value of 1.5 degrees Celsius to 2.3 degrees .
This change would roughly equal the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2100 , though ascribing the earliest warming , 1910-1945 , to carbon dioxide is debatable because emissions had barely risen by the time it began .
Sherwood also noted discrepancies between the new climate models and the early warming .
It remains to be seen , given the public ’ s new understanding of how incorrect assumptions drove COVID-19 modeling to scary heights , whether the U.N. , in its upcoming report , will accept this raising of the floor .
Consider that many of the new models , about 15 , depending @ @ @ @ @ @ @ warming for this century than their predecessors .
However , when run as historical simulations , all of these hot models predict more , sometimes much more warming to have occurred in recent decades than what has actually been observed .
As the alarmist E & E News has candidly admitted , “ climate models … are the foundation for policies used to craft many carbon regulations.
” It appears that the newest latest-greatest ones not only get the magnitude of observed warming wrong but that they also put it in the wrong @ @ @ @ @ @ @ figure how Facebook ’ s climate squad is going to come down on us for merely opining on the new models and the Sherwood opus .
But bigger names and tons of money have joined the censorship bandwagon .
Now , we have Tom Steyer , Stacey Abrams , the heads of 17 of the biggest green lobby groups , Sen. Elizabeth Warren , and three of her colleagues all calling on Facebook to ban us and our alliance of 55 climate scientists and energy economists .
Newer models that have increased errors @ @ @ @ @ @ @ jettisoning the health and environmental benefits of our fossil-fueled energy or for censoring informed scientific opinion .
Caleb Rossiter , a former professor of statistics and modeling at American University and the University of the Western Cape in South Africa , is the executive director of the CO2 Coalition .
Patrick Michaels , a former president of the American Association of State Climatologists , is a senior fellow at the CO2 Coalition and the Competitive Enterprise Institute .


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Facebook’s new climate monitoring group reveals storms and fires natural

Joe Biden , Gavin Newsom , Nancy Pelosi and a host of politicians and media celebrities have been blaming devastating hurricanes and fires on climate change .
Scientists at places like NASA , NOAA , the U.K. Met Office and the UN IPCC agree that any meaningful weather impacts from global warming are warnings for the future , not driving the present .
Team warming pressured Facebook to push their message on its platform and Mark Zuckerberg relented .
Zuckerberg just launched a new Facebook “ Climate Science Information Center ” that is pushing the climate narrative directly into subscriber @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ve probably already seen the first installment .
It reads , “ did you know that droughts , storms and extreme weather are increasingly likely with a temperature rise above 1.5°C ?
” Just how “ likely ” is a subject for scientific debate , but the fact that the world ’ s scientific organizations charged with keeping temperature records all agree that the Earth has not warmed “ above 1.5°C ” is not .
Thanks , Facebook , for the reveal !
NASA reports that , “ according to an ongoing temperature @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s Goddard Institute for Space Studies ( GISS ) , the average global temperature on Earth has increased by a little more than 1° Celsius ( 2° Fahrenheit ) since 1880.
” 1880 !
Half a century before atmospheric CO2 concentrations had even risen significantly !
That ’ s from NASA ’ s GISS which is led by the other Gavin , Gavin Schmidt , who is a dyed in the wool warmist himself .
Schmidt has pushed GISS so deeply into the warming campaign that a dramatically large group of NASA ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , felt compelled to write NASA and demand America ’ s space agency knock off the propaganda and get back to exploring space .
Read the letter and see who signed it .
It ’ s a “ who ’ s who ” of heroes in space .
As Facebook revealed , the Earth has not warmed enough to be what causes today ’ s hurricane ’ s in the Gulf , or fires in the West .
Biden , Newsom , Pelosi and the rest are scientifically flat out wrong .
For @ @ @ @ @


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Brainwashed kids sing climate rap song: ‘I’m afraid we won’t survive at all’ – ‘We found out the Ear

Brainwashed kids sing climate rap song: ‘I’m afraid we won’t survive at all’ – ‘We found out the Earth was sick’ –  The rain won’t fall’

`` we found out the Earth was sick '' '' polar bears will die '' '' the rain wo n't @ @ @ @ @ afraid we wo n't survive at all '' '' there 's no compromising '' Much @ @ @ @ @ fossil fuel-guzzling truck .
https : //t.co/FFN2HvZh1k


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Walking the walk: Climate hero Alec Baldwin (62) now has SIX kids

It ’ s a party of five for Alec Baldwin and his wife Hilaria Baldwin .
The couple on Wednesday announced the arrival of a baby boy , their fifth child together…Baldwin has a 24-year-old daughter , Ireland Baldwin , from his previous marriage to Kim Basinger .
2017 Lund University Study : Want to save the planet ?
Don ’ t have children !
Study finds bringing new life into the world is the most destructive thing you can do to the environment – Study finds carbon footprints are drastically reduced by not having children Avoiding air travel , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a car also help Impact of having a child is calculated by taking their descendants into account Alec Baldwin : ‘ Climate change denial is a form of mental illness ’ – Baldwin : ‘ I believe the climate change denial is a form of mental illness ’ Alec Baldwin at climate summit in Paris : ‘ Here I am , staying in a fancy hotel , going out to dinner with my friends , hanging out ’ – Baldwin : Donald Trump ’ s climate views are so extreme they might finally @ @ @ @ @ @ @ change accord .
‘ Arctic Justice ’ Animated ‘ Global Warming ’ Kids Film with Alec Baldwin coming soon – Try ‘ to save the arctic ’


climatedepot--2020-09-17--No, the Western Wildfires Weren’t Caused by ‘Record Heat’

In fact last month ’ s heatwave in LA was not unusually severe by historical standards , as the local temperature charts below will demonstrate .
So how come according to the charts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ) this August saw record-breaking temperatures in the Los Angeles region ( known as Division 6 – South Coast Drainage ) ?
It wasn ’ t just warmer back in 1859 .
Even as recently as 1983 , it was significantly hotter at this time of year in downtown Los Angeles – 4.1 degrees F hotter , in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ record ’ temperatures .
Cattle full in flesh perished in the fields and birds dropped lifeless from the trees in the withering blast . ''
`` In…eastern parts of Los Angeles and Santa Barbara counties , the mercury rose in the shade to the startling figure of 133 degrees .
Delingpole : In 1859 , Los Angeles County recorded temperatures of 133 degrees F. ( The ‘ record-breaking temperature claimed by Newsom was a relatively balmy 121 degrees F ) .
According to the 1859 San Francisco Chronicle , cited by Tony Heller @ @ @ @ @ @ @ blame the wildfires on record-breaking temperatures in LA County .
So does Joe Biden ; so too does the LA Times which claims that this ‘ sizzling summer ’ was the ‘ Hottest August on Record ’ in California .
The not-so-subtle implication , of course , is that this is another case of ‘ man-made global warming ’ putting lives , property and the natural landscape at risk .
But this is pure green propaganda which bears no relation to the actual facts .
In 1859 , Los Angeles County recorded temperatures @ @ @ @ @ @ @ record-breaking temperature claimed by Newsom was a relatively balmy 121 degrees F ) .
According to the 1859 San Francisco Chronicle , cited by Tony Heller : In…eastern parts of Los Angeles and Santa Barbara counties , the mercury rose in the shade to the startling figure of 133 degrees .
Cattle full in flesh perished in the fields and birds dropped lifeless from the trees in the withering blast .
It wasn ’ t just warmer back in 1859 .
Even as recently as 1983 , it was significantly hotter at this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ – 4.1 degrees F hotter , in fact , than the recent claimed ‘ record ’ temperatures .
In fact last month ’ s heatwave in LA was not unusually severe by historical standards , as the local temperature charts below will demonstrate .
So how come according to the charts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ) this August saw record-breaking temperatures in the Los Angeles region ( known as Division 6 – South Coast Drainage ) ?
Here – courtesy of Paul Homewood – is NOAA ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reach these figures , given that the weather stations within Division 6 tell a completely different story ?
Paul Homewood smells a rat .
The charts below clearly show that in Division 6 ( where LA County is located ) , this August ’ s heat was nowhere near record-breaking .
Yet at Downtown LA , it was nowhere a record month , and neither was 2012 .
The hottest August was in 1983 , which was 4.1F hotter than this year : Neither was the heatwave last month unusually severe , with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 1983 stands out as much more severe : Maybe other parts of that Division had much hotter weather last month , with LA somehow escaping it ?
But this does not appear to be the case , as San Diego well to the south , also shows exactly the same pattern .
Last month was 3.8F cooler than in 1983 , and again well down the list of hottest months : The South Coast Drainage is a narrow coastal strip , so it is unlikely to have any great climate variation from one @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to see how NOAA can justify their “ record ” claims .
As we have reported before , NOAA has form here .
On several occasions eg – here , here and here – NOAA has been caught red-handed , tampering with raw data in order to suit its alarmist narrative that the world is getting hotter and it ’ s all man ’ s fault .
Donald Trump is right about the wildfires .
In fact , in the U.S. – as with last year ’ s Australian bush fires – the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ t ‘ climate change ’ but poor management , often the result of misguided environmental policy and public objections to the ‘ controlled burns ’ and underbrush clearances so necessary if larger-scale wild fires are to be avoided .
As Mike Shellenberger notes here , wildfires have always been a problem in California .
But don ’ t expect to hear the truth of the matter from Democrats , the left-liberal MSM or the activist scientists at NOAA any time soon .


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Listen: Morano on WMAL on wildfires: Don’t blame them on climate change


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Wash Times cites Depot: ‘Governments cannot legislate the weather’

DING : THE CLIMATE ALARM GOES OFF Though multiple polls reveal that the American public places climate change low on the list of the nation ’ s problems , some people are still obsessed with it .
“ The No .
1 thing we can do is elect a different president who is going to recognize the problem , deal with it forcefully at home , deal with it forcefully overseas .
That ’ s actually the only solution we have to this problem — is honest to God , Joe Biden , ” former presidential hopeful Tom Steyer told @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is committed to tackling the urgent climate crisis and combatting its devastating impacts , beginning Day 1 of his presidency .
Climate is on the ballot this election , ” said Michelle Deatrick , chair of the Democratic National Committee ’ s climate crisis council .
“ Contrary to these claims , governments can not legislate the weather .
Climate activists like Steyer think we need more taxes and regulations to somehow stop bad weather and a changing climate , ” advises Marc Morano , founder of Climate Depot , an online effort @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ President Obama claimed we could vote for better weather in 2012 as well , ” he continues , recalling that Mr. Obama once declared that climate change is a “ threat ” to the future .
“ In this election , you can do something about it , ” Mr. Obama said at the time .
Mr. Morano notes : “ America did vote for Obama .
And we are still dealing with droughts , floods and wildfires .
Go figure .
”


climatedepot--2020-09-17--Analysis: California’s government solely responsible for states forest management and wildfire debac

Analysis: California’s government solely responsible for states forest management and wildfire debacle

The inept government , political and regulatory policies of California have clearly driven the present forest management calamitous conditions with that failure leading to disastrous wildfires throughout the state .
Those government and political leaders that are responsible for this situation that has been decades in the making have tried to conceal their incompetence by making scientifically unsupported propaganda claims that “ climate change ” caused this situation .
These government driven problems are clearly identified in two recent reports – one by Cal Fire and the other by the California Legislative Analysts Office .
The state has established a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , procedures and actions have interfered with , misdirected , wasted and delayed the use of appropriate resources that have led to the present forest management and wildfire catastrophe .
Cal Fire has identified a series of high priority wildfire policy actions that need to be addressed and that reflect decades long policy inaction by the state which have led to the buildup of increasing wildfire risks that are responsible for the severity of recent California wildfires .
These actions are summarized in the report noted above and include the following assessments : @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Governor Gavin Newsom issued Executive Order N-05-19 on January 9 , 2019 .
The Executive Order directs the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection ( CAL FIRE ) , in consultation with other state agencies and departments , to recommend immediate , medium and long-term actions to help prevent destructive wildfires .
With an emphasis on taking necessary actions to protect vulnerable populations , and recognizing a backlog in fuels management work combined with finite resources , the Governor placed an emphasis on pursuing a strategic approach where necessary actions are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ communities as a prescriptive and deliberative endeavor to realize the greatest returns on reducing risk to life and property .
Using locally developed and vetted fire plans prepared by CAL FIRE Units as a starting point , CAL FIRE identified priority fuel reduction projects that can be implemented almost immediately to protect communities vulnerable to wildfire .
It then considered socioeconomic characteristics of the communities that would be protected , including data on poverty levels , residents with disabilities , language barriers , residents over 65 or under five years of age , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ total , CAL FIRE identified 35 priority projects that can be implemented immediately to help reduce public safety risk for over 200 communities .
Project examples include removal of hazardous dead trees , vegetation clearing creation of fuel breaks and community defensible spaces , and creation of ingress and egress corridors .
These projects can be implemented immediately if recommendations in this report are taken to enable the work .
Details on the projects and CAL FIRE ’ s analysis can be found online which will remain updated in the coming months .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ this report as Appendix C. CAL FIRE has also worked with over 40 entities including government and nongovernment stakeholders to identify administrative , regulatory and policy actions that can be taken in the next 12 months to begin systematically addressing community vulnerability and wildfire fuel buildup through rapid deployment of resources .
Implementing several of these recommended actions is necessary to execute the priority fuel reduction projects referenced above .
Other recommendations are intended to put the state on a path toward long-term community protection , wildfire prevention , and forest health .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ significant , are only part of the solution .
Additional efforts around protecting lives and property through home hardening and other measures must be vigorously pursued by government and stakeholders at all levels concurrently with the pursuit of the recommendations in this report .
California must adopt an “ all of the above ” approach to protecting public safety and maintaining the health of our forest ecosystems .
It is important to note that California faces a massive backlog of forest management work .
Millions of acres are in need of treatment , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over the years .
Also , while fuels treatment such as forest thinning and creation of fire breaks can help reduce fire severity , wind-driven wildfire events that destroy lives and property will very likely still occur .
This report ’ s recommendations on priority fuel reduction projects and administrative , regulatory , and policy changes can protect our most vulnerable communities in the short term and place California on a trajectory away from increasingly destructive fires and toward more a moderate and manageable fire regime.
” Governor Newsom had to invoke the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ late March of this year to waive California ’ s onerous and overbearing environmental laws and regulations to allow for these actions to commence in a timely manner .
These most recent actions however represent only very small part of magnitude of the forest management and wildfire problems that must be dealt with by California that will take many years to address .
Another state report completed in 2018 that received little attention by the media documents in much more detail the huge extent of the problems confronting California ’ s forest management @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s Office ( LAO ) conducted a comprehensive review of the state ’ s wildfire and forest management situation and presented their results in a report titled “ Improving California ’ s Forest and Watershed Management ” which identifies the most critical issues facing the state in these areas including assessing the responsible agencies that need to take a multitude of additional actions .
The study clearly identifies the multiple entities that have ownership responsibility for California ’ s forestlands including state , federal , local agencies and private parties having numerous regulatory @ @ @ @ @ @ @ relative to California ’ s forest and the manner in which these agencies share jointly in the responsibilities for addressing actions needed to improve the forest health and watershed management .
The patchwork of Federal , State , local government and private entities which own California ’ s forest is displayed below in Figure 3 from the LAO report .
The federal government through the U.S. Forest Service ( USFS ) , Bureau of Land Management ( BLM ) and National Park Service owns about 19 million acres of the total 33 million @ @ @ @ @ @ @ California representing about 57 % of the forest areas .
Private nonindustrial entities own about one‑quarter ( 8 million acres ) acres of forestland .
These include families , individuals , conservation and natural resource organizations , and Native American tribes .
Industrial owners—primarily timber companies—own 14 percent ( 4.5 million acres ) of forestland .
State and local governments own about a 3 percent ( 1 million acres ) combined .
In total these non-federal entities represent about 43 % of the states forest areas .
Increased fire risks are present throughout @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have been allowed to develop for years .
The report notes that : “ Dense forest stands that are proliferated with small trees and shrubs contain masses of combustible fuel within close proximity , and therefore can facilitate the spread of wildfires .
Moreover , these smaller trees can serve as “ ladder fuels ” that carry wildfire up into the crowns of taller trees that might have otherwise been out of reach , adding to a fire ’ s potential spread and intensity .
As shown in Figure 11 , Cal Fire @ @ @ @ @ @ @ state face a high to extreme threat of wildfires .
Cal Fire estimates the level of threat based on a combination of anticipated likelihood and severity of a fire occurring.
” “ In addition to increasing fire risk , overcrowded forests and the associated competition for resources can also make forests less resilient to withstanding other stressors .
For example , trees in dense stands become more vulnerable to disease—including infestations of pests such as bark beetles—and less able to endure water shortages from drought conditions .
This vulnerability has been on display @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 129 million trees in California ’ s forests died between 2010 and 2017 , including over 62 million dying in 2016 alone .
While this is a relatively small share of the over 4 billion trees in the state , historically , about 1 million of California ’ s trees would die in a typical year .
Moreover , most of the die‑off is occurring in concentrated areas .
For example , the Sierra National Forest has lost nearly 32 million trees , representing an overall mortality rate of between 55 percent and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to the ground they add more dry combustible fuel for fires , as well as pose risks to public safety when they fall onto buildings , roads , and power lines.
” Specifically identified in the report is an extremely important requirement often ignored by those trying to assign or deny responsibility for California ’ s forest management problems on the basis of who owns these lands .
This requirement stipulates that regardless of ownership of the numerous forest properties the following key provisions apply : “ While forest management responsibilities typically align @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fires , water runoff , and wildlife habitats—do not observe those jurisdictional boundaries .
As such , federal and state agencies have developed certain arrangements to collaborate on management activities across California ’ s forests .
For example , federal law has a provision—known as the “ Good Neighbor Authority ” —that allows states to fund and implement forest health projects on federally owned land .
As discussed later , the federal government also funds a number of grant programs to encourage collaborative projects on both federal and nonfederal forestlands .
Additionally , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for collaborative fire suppression efforts across jurisdictions when fires do occur.
” Both the state and federal government exercise extensive government and regulatory control over California forestland activities through numerous organizations as noted in Figure 6 from the report .
Additionally , the state of California has a large number of regulatory agencies whose procedures and processes have significant impacts on the ability of actions to go forward in a timely and effective manner regarding necessary forest management efforts .
These numerous agencies are defined in Figure 7 below .
Also addressed in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the huge backlog of forest lands requiring actions to restore forest health and decrease wildfire risks including 20 million acres on state regulated lands and 9 million acres of federally regulated lands noted as follows : “ The draft Forest Carbon Plan states that 20 million acres of forestland in California face high wildfire threat and may benefit from fuels reduction treatment .
According to the plan , Cal Fire estimates that to address identified forest health and resiliency needs on nonfederal lands , the rate of treatment would need to be increased @ @ @ @ @ @ @ per year to approximately 500,000 acres per year .
The plan does not include associated cost estimates.
” “ Based on its ecological restoration implementation plan , USFS estimates that 9 million acres of national forest system lands in California would benefit from treatment .
The draft Forest Carbon Plan sets a 2020 goal of increasing the pace of treatments on USFS lands from the current average of 250,000 acres to 500,000 acres annually , and on BLM lands from 9,000 acres to between 10,000 and 15,000 acres annually.
” The report provides @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and responsibilities are associated with performing forest management actions as follows : “ Forest management ” is generally defined as the process of planning and implementing practices for the stewardship and use of forests to meet specific environmental , economic , social , and cultural objectives .
Activities forest managers employ include timber harvesting ( typically for commercial purposes ) , vegetation thinning ( clearing out small trees and brush , often through mechanical means or prescribed burns ) , and reforestation ( planting new trees ) .
Figure 5 describes specific activities @ @ @ @ @ @ @ health of forests .
As discussed later , research has shown that these are the types of activities that are most effective at preserving and restoring the natural functions and processes of forests , and thereby maximizing the natural benefits that they can provide .
Efforts to extinguish active wildfires are not generally considered to be forest management activities , as they are more responsive than proactive.
” The very poor forest conditions that exist today are a consequence of decades of inappropriate forest management neglect and are described as follows : “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and policies over the past several decades have ( 1 ) imposed limitations on timber harvesting , ( 2 ) emphasized fire suppression , and ( 3 ) instituted a number of environmental permitting requirements .
These practices and policies have combined to constrain the amount of trees and other growth removed from the forest .
This has significantly increased the density of trees in forests across the state , and particularly the prevalence of smaller trees and brush .
Overall tree density in the state ’ s forested regions increased by30 percent @ @ @ @ @ @ @ These changes have also contributed to changing the relative composition of trees within the forest such that they now have considerably more small trees and comparatively fewer large trees .
Figure 10 illustrates some key differences between healthy and overly dense forests .
The increase in tree density can have a number of concerning implications for California ’ s forests—including increased mortality caused by severe wildfires and disease—as displayed in the figure and discussed below.
” The very important function of timber harvesting on both state and federal regulated forests has been particularly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ LAO report as follows : “ Figure 4 shows the amount of timber harvested in California on both private and public lands over the past 60 years .
While subject to annual variation , total timber harvesting in California has declined by over two‑thirds since the late 1950s .
As shown in the figure , harvest rates have dropped from over 4.8 billion board feet in1988—its recent peak—to about 900 million in 2009 , when it was at its lowest in recent history—a decline of over 80 percent.
” “ These trends are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ including changes in state and federal timber harvesting policies .
For example , several federal laws were passed in the 1970s that shifted the USFS ’ s forest management objectives away from production forestry and more toward conservation and ecosystem management .
Those laws included the National Environmental Policy Act ( NEPA ) —which requires federal agencies to evaluate any actions that could have a significant effect on the environment—and the Endangered Species Act—which prohibits federal agencies from carrying out actions that might adversely affect a species listed as threatened or endangered .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ declines in private harvests , along with other factors .
More recently , the economic recession in the late 2000s sharply reduced demand for new housing construction , thereby also suppressing demand for timber .
Since 2009 , timber harvesting rates have picked up somewhat , but have not returned to earlier levels.
” There are a significant number of state polices and practices which have exacerbated the ability to proceed with needed timber harvests noted as follows : “ We find that one key component of the state ’ s FPR ( @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( Timber Management Plan ) or other timber management plan generally must be prepared any time timber is removed from the forest and sold commercially—may be inhibiting some beneficial forest restoration work .
Restoration and forest management work often involves the removal of trees that could be commercially viable .
When sold , the revenue generated from sales can help offset the cost of restoration activities .
However , selling any forest products commercially usually requires additional documentation , such as a THP .
The FPR were initially created to regulate timber harvesting @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that logging was done in a sustainable manner .
At the time , the Legislature was concerned that forests were being overharvested for commercial purposes .
This led to the requirement that a THP be prepared anytime harvested trees are to be sold .
However , based on our conversations with stakeholders , small landowners and proponents of forest restoration projects are finding that the costs and time associated with preparing one of these plans can be cost prohibitive .
They therefore often forego preparing such plans , meaning they also forego the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ marketable timber .
Foregoing that revenue reduces the total number of projects that can be undertaken with limited resources .
Solutions to address this concern have been attempted—most notably , the implementation of NTMP ( Non-Industrial Timber Management Plan ) and the more recent Working Forest Management Plan program , which have fewer planning requirements for smaller landowners and are valid for a longer time period compared to THPs .
While these strategies reduce regulatory costs for landowners compared to preparing THPs , they still present substantial upfront costs that are problematic for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ state agencies and regulators involved with reviews and approval authority have significantly inhibited needed forest management health activities as identified in the report as follows : “ While the multiple state permits required to carry out many forest health activities ( described in Figure 7 on page 12 ) are intended to protect against undue negative environmental impacts , these requirements are likely inhibiting some of the potential positive environmental effects that improved forest health could yield .
( Our findings and recommendations focus on state regulatory requirements , since federal laws and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ state Legislature ’ s authority to change . )
Project proponents seeking to conduct activities to improve the health of California ’ s forests indicate that in some cases , state regulatory requirements can be excessively duplicative , lengthy , and costly , thereby delaying and limiting the pace and scale of their proposed projects .
In particular , stakeholders suggest that undertaking large‑scale , multiphase treatments across many acres of forest land—referred to as “ landscape‑level ” projects—can be particularly difficult given existing permitting structures .
This is because regulatory agencies often @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a specific project needing an individual set of costly and time‑intensive permits , rather than considering and approving the overall strategy .
Additionally , when entities want to use state funds to conduct a thinning project on federal forestlands , in certain cases they must conduct both the federally required NEPA review and certain components of the state required CEQA review , and undertake multiple public comment and scoping periods .
As we discussed earlier , while certain permit exemptions and streamlined processes do exist—such as specific programmatic EIRs—these only apply for certain @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reviews of needed prescribed fire burn projects delay or encumber the ability to utilize this needed process noted in the report as follows : “ Several Limitations Constrain Use of Prescribed Fire .
There are three main conditions that must be met in order for a prescribed burn to take place under VMP ( Vegetation Management Program ) .
First , all documentation—including a burn plan , CEQA compliance , and air quality permits—must be completed by the landowner and Cal Fire for the project in advance .
Second , Cal Fire firefighters @ @ @ @ @ @ @ area as the project in order to conduct the burn .
Third , weather conditions and other factors—such as wind speed , humidity , temperature , and air quality—must be within specified limits established in the burn plan and air quality permit.
” We found in different situations any of these three conditions can impede the ability of a VMP project to proceed .
In some cases , weather conditions are such that a prescribed burn might affect air quality conditions in a nearby community in violation of the air quality permit .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ crews are not available to conduct prescribed burns because they are engaged in firefighting activities .
We note that in recent years , the Legislature has provided Cal Fire with additional year‑round firefighting staff , which should increase the department ’ s capacity both to combat wildfires and conduct prescribed burns and other proactive forest management activities.
” “ As discussed earlier , biomass that is not utilized is most frequently disposed of by open pile burning .
While this approach is often less expensive than efforts to use biomass , it still @ @ @ @ @ @ @ planning , and funding .
These challenges can also create barriers for undertaking forest thinning projects .
Typically , open pile burns require air quality permits from local air districts , burn permits from local fire agencies , and potentially other permits depending on the location , size , and type of burn .
To reduce smoke , permits restrict the size of burn piles and vegetation that can be burned , the hours available for burns , and the allowable moisture levels in the material .
These restrictions limit the amount of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increase the per‑unit disposal costs .
While the Regulations Working Group of the Tree Mortality Task Force recently issued new guidelines—under the authority of the Governor ’ s tree mortality‑related executive order—for high hazard zone tree removal that relaxed some of those permit requirements , these exceptions only apply in areas of extreme tree mortality .
For example , the guidelines allow more burning to take place under different weather conditions , such as slightly higher wind or temperature conditions.
” State energy and environmental polices have decreased the ability to deal with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ material which is created when needed forest thinning is undertaken .
This result has made it more difficult and expensive to undertake needed forest thinning .
The report summaries this issue as follows : “ Some stakeholders report that costs associated with the limited options for utilizing or disposing of woody biomass can prohibit them from undertaking projects that would improve the health of their forestlands , or limit the amount of acres they are able to thin .
As discussed earlier , woody biomass typically is not useable in traditional lumber mills @ @ @ @ @ @ @ timber harvest or thinning operations may be of an undesirable species , too small in diameter for lumber production , or malformed .
Historically , much of this excess forest product was burned to produce bioenergy .
However , a significant number of bioenergy facilities have closed over the course of the past two decades .
Specifically , in 1991 , there were 54 woody biomass processing facilities across the state , with the capacity to produce around 760 megawatts of electricity .
In contrast , at the end of 2017 there were @ @ @ @ @ @ @ capacity of 525 megawatts .
These closures have occurred as facilities—largely built in the 1980s—fell out of compliance with more modern air and energy standards , and as bioenergy has increasingly had to compete with cheaper energy sources such as wind , solar , and natural gas.
” The state has improperly focused priority on fire fighting instead of fire prevention that is achieved through effective forest management actions as shown in Figure 9 from the report .
This is resulting in the ineffective and costly misallocation of billions of dollars that are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increasing wild fire risks and occurrences .
The federal government changed its priority in 1964 from fire control to fire management as noted in the report : “ The passage of the 1964 Wilderness Act encouraged allowing natural processes to occur , including fire .
Accordingly , USFS has changed its policy from fire control to fire management , allowing fires to play their natural ecological roles as long as they can be contained safely based on weather patterns , terrain , proximity to development , and other factors .
This policy includes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fires .
This shift reflects a growing resurgence in the perspective that moderate fires can have beneficial effects on forestlands , such as clearing out smaller brush and stimulating natural processes like tree seed dispersal and replenishment of soil nutrients.
” California ’ s government and regulatory agency policies , procedures and actions are out of step with the need to address forest management actions in a manner that effectively enhances forest health and decrease wildfire risks and occurrences .
The LAO report issues noted above do not represent all of the problem @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a clear portrayal of the staggering and mind numbing complexity and ineffectiveness of the states governmental and regulatory agencies and policies that have led to the present debacle in California forest management with the result being significantly increased wildfire risks and occurrences with devastating results in California ’ s communities .
Those responsible for this dire situation in the state government and its regulatory agencies along with their media supporters have tried to conceal the state ’ s role in manufacturing this debacle and instead falsely focus attention on scientifically unsupported claims of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for California ’ s problems while Californians continue to suffer .
In addition to the states massive overlay of ineffective and bureaucratic regulatory agencies that have made such a mess of dealing with California ’ s forest management and wildfire prevention needs a new impediment from these agencies has now emerged regarding the critical ability for communities experiencing disastrous wild fires such as occurred in the city of Paradise to be able to proceed with recovery as noted in a recent Sacramento Bee article .
“ Environmental concerns , including fear of harming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Fire crews to back away from cleaning some properties in the Paradise area .
State officials tasked with debris cleanup say they have been directed not to enter an estimated 800 burned Butte County home sites within 100 feet of a waterway .
They ’ ve been told to wait for representatives of several state and federal agencies to reach an agreement on environmental assessment guidelines .
The issue cropped up well into a yearlong , estimated $ 2 billion-plus cleanup operation at about 11,000 properties in Paradise , Concow , and Magalia @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Fire , the most destructive blaze in state history .
The revelation that some stream-side properties are now on hold triggered a strong public rebuke Thursday from two local legislators who said they heard about the issue from angry constituents on the ridge.
” The state ’ s climate alarmist politicians , media and climate activists have attempted to make nebulous and lame excuses that man made “ climate change ” is accountable for the poor forest conditions and increased wildfires but these claims are unsupported by climate data going back more than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ droughts and precipitation in California have long existed and that no definitive change in this very long term climate record has been established as was noted in a Los Angeles Times article from 2014 .
In a more recent Los Angeles Times article the headline speculated that man made climate change impacts maybe associated with the long record of the states drought and precipitation on the basis of “ computer models ” but the articles substance doesn ’ t support the hype reflected in its headline .
In fact the article states that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ yet convinced that the results show a clear human influence on past drought trends.
” “ But scientists have had a tougher time picking out the effects on precipitation , which should increase in some places and decrease in others.
” “ Part of the problem is that the changes driven by humanity ’ s production of greenhouse gases usually get swamped by the tremendous natural variability of the climate system , particularly when studying the history of a specific region.
” “ Other researchers said the study authors ’ method can ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ recorded in the tree ring data occurred because of an increase in greenhouse gases or because of natural causes — which are also included in the model simulations used to create the fingerprint .
For instance , there ’ s evidence that the sun emitted slightly more energy over the first half of the 20th century , which also affected the climate.
” An extensive study published in ScienceDirect addressed the North American drought history going back to year 800 using tree ring data .
The study noted the following regarding the long @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the West : “ Severe drought is the greatest recurring natural disaster to strike North America .
A remarkable network of centuries-long annual tree-ring chronologies has now allowed for the reconstruction of past drought over North America covering the past 1000 or more years in most regions .
These reconstructions reveal the occurrence of past “ megadroughts ” of unprecedented severity and duration , ones that have never been experienced by modern societies in North America .
There is strong archaeological evidence for the destabilizing influence of these past droughts on advanced @ @ @ @ @ @ @ today given the increasing vulnerability of modern water-based systems to relatively short-term droughts.
” “ Recent advances in the reconstruction of past drought over North America and in modeling the causes of droughts there have provided important new insights into one of the most costly recurring natural disasters to strike North America .
A grid of summer PDSI reconstructions has been developed now for most of North America from a remarkable network of long , drought sensitive tree-ring chronologies .
These reconstructions , many of which cover the past 1000 yr , have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ unprecedented megadroughts over the past millennium that clearly exceed any found in the instrumental records since about AD 1850 , including an epoch of significantly elevated aridity that persisted for almost 400 yr over the AD 900–1300 period .
In terms of duration , these past megadroughts dwarf the famous droughts of the 20th century , such as the Dust Bowl drought of the 1930s , the southern Great Plains drought of the 1950s , and the current one in the West that began in 1999 and still lingers on as of this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ natural climate drivers are behind the extensive drought and precipitation cycles over the last more than 1,000 years as noted in the graph provided below indicating that the politically driven claims by climate alarmists that “ climate change ” is driving drought and precipitation outcomes in the West is flawed .
The 1,000 year long tree ring data record provided in the information above demonstrates that California has been subjected to extensive intervals of natural climate change driven cycles of droughts and precipitation events for centuries .
Claims that recent drought and precipitation @ @ @ @ @ @ @ made climate change ” are scientifically flawed and represent nothing but climate alarmist speculation and conjecture .
The Cal Fire and LAO reports present a real world picture identifying that California ’ s government and regulatory agencies are responsible for the present terrible condition of California ’ s forests along with the resulting increased wildfire risks and occurrences .
The excuse that “ climate change ” has caused these problems is nothing but scientifically unsupported propaganda being used in an attempt to conceal that the state government is really responsible for these outcomes @


climatedepot--2020-09-16--Flashback 2016 Study: ‘The false link between forest fires and anthropogenic CO2’

There is no evidence based likelihood that there is a link between forest fires and anthropogenic CO2 .
On the contrary , established knowledge about forest fires leads to the conclusion that expecting to find such a link i preposterous in the present circumstances in which the dominant effect causing fires since approximately 1900 to behave outside of the long term natural cycles is direct human impacts on land use increasing population No special circumstances or regions have been identified where forest fire behaviour can be attributed to CO2 .
The on – alarmism in fire research is traced to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ promoted in the research failed to recognize the systematic errors present in government archival records of fires , and the fact that satellite detection and characterization of fires was virtually impossible without field confirmation until infrared sensors were implemented in Too many scientists in the fire research community ( and beyond ) were overly enthralled by the news and allowed themselves to over interpret data and could af fect modern – era fire behaviour .
The specta cle , recorded in the scientific literature , is worthy of the wildest rush of screaming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ falsely detected As with all such rushes , the waste of resources and the loss of attention for valued activities harm the so ciety and the individual .
The waste and loss in this case are substantive , since research budgets don ’ then used in


climatedepot--2020-09-16--Climate at a Glance Website Provides Truth vs Wildfire Alarmism

The Heartland Institute ’ s Climate at a Glance website provides a powerful rebuttal to the establishment media ’ s attempt to exploit California wildfire victims in the name of climate activism .
As the media ’ s wildfire climate alarmism grows , be sure to get the facts – presented in a concise , compelling manner – at Climate at a Glance : U.S. Wildfires .
Climate at a Glance : U.S. Wildfires documents that wildfires , especially in arid parts of the United States , have always been a natural part of the environment and likely always will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
In fact , wildfires have become less frequent and less severe in recent decades .
According to official U.S. government data , even the worst recent wildfire years burn only 1/5th to 1/4th as much land as typical wildfire years during the early 20th century .
Moreover , drought is the key climate factor for wildfires .
As shown in Climate at a Glance : Drought , the United States in recent decades – as our climate modestly warms – is benefiting from strikingly small amounts of drought .
Yes , some @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will also always occur .
However , objective data show each is becoming less frequent and severe as our climate warms .
If global warming is having any impact on wildfires , it is clearly suppressing rather than aggravating wildfires .


climatedepot--2020-09-16--The Battery Car Delusion: Banning The Sale Of Gas Cars Would Be ‘A Colossal Error’

London , 29 July : A new paper published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation reveals another major flaw in plans to electrify the economy .
According to the author , Professor Gautam Kalghatgi , because most vehicles will still run on fossil fuels in ten years ’ time , banning the sale of new ones would prevent any improvement in the efficiency of most of the vehicle fleet .
“ Even with an improbable hundred-fold increase to 10 million in battery electric vehicle numbers in 2030 , 75 % of cars will still run on petrol and diesel @ @ @ @ @ @ @ But no manufacturer is going to invest in more advanced cars if they are banned from selling them ” .
And Professor Kalghatgi says those advances could bring about significant improvements in efficiency : “ If a battery car delivers a 25 % saving in greenhouse gas emissions on a life cycle basis , the overall reduction for the UK would be less than 4 % by 2030 .
A larger reduction emissions could be delivered with a 5 % improvement in fuel consumption of petrol and diesel vehicles.
” “ Banning the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ simply means abandoning the possibility of future emissions reductions in this sector by freezing the technology of a vast majority of vehicles running U.K. transport for decades to come “ .
Professor Gautam Kalghatgi is a fellow of the Royal Academy of Engineering , the Institute of Mechanical Engineers and the Society of Automotive Engineers .
He is currently a visiting professor at Oxford University , and has held similar professorial appointments at Imperial College , Sheffield University , KTH Stockholm and TU Eindhoven .
He has 39 years of experience in combustion @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ; 31 years with Shell and 8 years with Saudi Aramco .


climatedepot--2020-09-16--Michael Shellenberger: Forests That Survive Megafires Prove Good Management Trumps Climate Change

`` A large , well-managed forest appears to have turned a high-intensity fire into a low-intensity one , proving that how forests are managed outweighs the higher temperatures and longer fire season caused by climate change .
“ It ain ’ t over till it ’ s over but so far it looks as though [ Southern California Edison ( SCE ) electric utility ’ s ] decades of burning and selective cutting in its Shaver Lake forest has paid off , big time , ” tweeted Jared Dahl Aldern , a forest historian , on Saturday .
When the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Lake forestlands it turned into what scientists call a low-intensity “ surface fire , ” which does not threaten the bigger and older trees .
“ The fire comes up to @ SCE land , ” tweeted Aldern , “ drops to the ground , and stays out of the tree crowns.
” Over the last few days , California Governor Gavin Newsom , other politicians , and the news media have pointed to climate change as the single most important cause of historic , high-intensity “ megafires ” ripping through California and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about ideology , ” tweeted Governor Newsom , adding “ What we are experiencing is an existential climate crisis.
” But California ’ s leading forest scientists say that fire suppression and the accumulation of wood fuel , not climate change , are what ’ s made California ’ s fires more intense .
“ Climate dries the [ wood ] fuels out and extends the fire season from 4-6 months to nearly year-round but it ’ s not the cause of the intensity of the fires , ” said US Forest Service @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of that is fire suppression and the existing debt of wood fuel.
” And now a large , well-managed forest appears to have turned a high-intensity fire into a low-intensity one , proving that how forests are managed outweighs the higher temperatures and longer fire season caused by climate change .
“ It ain ’ t over till it ’ s over but so far it looks as though [ Southern California Edison ( SCE ) electric utility ’ s ] decades of burning and selective cutting in its Shaver Lake forest has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tweeted Jared Dahl Aldern , a forest historian , on Saturday .
When the high-intensity Creek Fire arrived at the Shaver Lake forestlands it turned into what scientists call a low-intensity “ surface fire , ” which does not threaten the bigger and older trees .
“ The fire comes up to @ SCE land , ” tweeted Aldern , “ drops to the ground , and stays out of the tree crowns.
” The Shaver Lake forest is not completely out of the woods yet because there are US Forest Service “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Edison ’ s property .
“ I ’ m not worried about the fire on our property because it ’ s like a hot prescribed burn ” said SCE forester Ryan Stewart .
“ But on the forest service lands it ’ s all fuel , and so if the fire gets in there you know it ’ s going to rage.
” But whatever happens to Shaver Lake , says University of California , Berkeley forest scientist Rob York , “ There are lots of cases in the scientific literature of prescribed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ point to several cases of high-intensity fires in the “ crowns , ” or tops , of trees becoming low-intensity fires as they spread from US Forest Service lands to National Park Service lands , which have been using prescribed burning for longer .
In 2013 , after a high-intensity megafire known as the Rim Fire in the Stanislaus Forest reached Yosemite National Park , where prescriptive burning had occurred , it became a surface fire .
Similarly , the high-intensity Rough Fire of 2015 turned into a surface fire after it reached @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been using prescribed burns for decades .
But the evidence for the efficacy of what foresters call “ fuel treatment , ” through selective logging , prescribed burning , or both , can also be found on US Forest Service lands .
In 2014 , areas where there had been selective logging and prescribed burning survived the high-intensity King megafire Eldorado National Forest .
On a map of the fire “ you can see a little green finger that juts out into the sea of red ( 100 % mortality of trees ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is an example of a shaded fuel break doing its job to modify fire behavior.
” Even so , other parts of the Eldorado National Forest that received fuel treatment still burned-up .
The fuel treatment “ really didn ’ t make a big impact because it was so small relative of the size of the fire , ” said York .
“ Mega-fires need mega-treatments.
” York emailed me a photo of forest land where a “ shaded fuel break ” consisted of selectively-thinned forest surrounded on both sides by dense forest @ @ @ @ @ @ @ change fire behavior in the treated area , ” said York , “ but not on either side .
“ One may argue that the fuel break can allow crews to put out a fire , which is true in some cases , ” he added .
“ But inevitably there will be a fire that the fuel break does not contain .
“ And after the fire we would have a strip of green forest , surrounded by blackened/charred forest on either side for miles , ” notes York “ I , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ argue that the landscape on either side of the strip of thinned forest needs to look more like the strip in the middle.
” Similarly , the 2018 Carr fire burned through areas where there had been treatment of wood fuels over the last three decades .
Even so , areas that had prescribed fire within the last five years , particularly the last three years , did better .
Such cases are powerful evidence that selective logging and prescribed burning could allow many forests in California and elsewhere to survive climate change @