committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-25--Santa Claus in a climate computer modeled world

Santa Claus has come to town , including hopefully your town , this Christmas .
With his work done for the year , he and Mrs. Claus , the reindeer and the elves , can relax for a while – but only for a short while .
The lifestyles of Santa and crew at the North Pole may be changing since the climate is changing !
If we believe the extreme climate computer simulations beloved of the incoming Biden administration , Green interest groups , the supplicant media and popular culture on climate change , Santa and crew should feel @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The lives they ’ ve known at the North Pole may never be the same in just a few years when the planet supposedly reaches the climate “ tipping point , ” the polar ice caps melt , the oceans flood , and we pass the “ point of no return.
” As global warming ( aka , climate change ) locks in by 2030 or 2040 ( whatever ) , Santa ’ s wardrobe will be overkill .
Gone will be the furry , heavy red coat and hat with white pom-pom @ @ @ @ @ @ @ no return also will mean Santa ’ s sleigh will become a useless relic ; a museum piece for the Smithsonian as a reminder of a bygone era when North Pole snow was commonplace .
Reindeer , along with “ millions ” of species , may not survive .
An electric-powered , multi-wheeled “ sleigh ” just won ’ t have the same look and feel , but will become mandated , since fossil fuel will be contraband .
Songs like “ White Christmas ” will become head-scratchers , absent archival research or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that Bing Crosby once famously crooned .
Christmas itself may never be the same in our climate changing , overheating world .
Now , if all this seems silly and unserious , it is actually quite modest and sober compared to the absurd rhetoric and computerized predictions about climate change coming from politicians and activists .
People such as Al Gore , Leonardo DiCaprio , Alexandria Ocasio Cortez , Bernie Sanders , Prince Charles , and the next President and Vice President of the United States insist that climate change is an existential @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and humanity writ large can survive a world bereft of snow ; but , the impact of climate change will be worse , they tell us , if the average global temperature increases by a degree or two , decades from now .
If the actions of many politicians to the Covid-19 pandemic tell us anything , “ science and data ” have not informed , much less justified , destroying millions of peoples ’ economic lives .
Yet politicians and media influencers , who sacrifice nothing , have demanded conformity to their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ health ” that have not , and will not , mitigate the coronavirus .
Similarly , science and data show a slightly warming planet since the mid to late 1800s , with the warmest period occurring in the 1930s .
It was warmer still in previous centuries between little ice ages .
Humanity survived , and is increasingly thriving well into the 21st century .
Yet many politicians screech climate alarmism to attain more power and control to spend trillions of tax dollars , order our economic livelihoods , and deny us God-given @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been gross embellishment a generation ago , but not today .
The latest example comes from an obscure U.S. senator named Jeff Merkley from the state Oregon .
Earlier this week , he wrote that Joe Biden , as President , should declare a “ national climate emergency and [ use ] emergency powers to take unilateral executive action ” to deal with the climate “ crisis.
” This would “ send a powerful signal , ” ( as if that were an end itself ) and prevent a “ deluge of storms @ @ @ @ @ @ @ action also somehow would create millions of jobs , slash pollution and safeguard communities , Sen. Merkley assured us .
No worries .
Sen. Merkley ’ s rant provided no scientific evidence for any of his catastrophic assertions , which is typical .
We are suppose to accept reticently this hysteria as gospel , and jettison the Constitution , the legislative branch , and the democratic process they enshrine for an alleged “ climate emergency.
” Scores of climate interest groups have taken this extreme position , which further explains the senator ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a fringe politician or cable news crackpot .
He reflects his fellow Democratic senators whose climate agenda and undemocratic means to impose it have become mainstream thinking in their political circles .
If the governing class and influencers convince enough of us our ’ s or our children ’ s lives are at grave risk from man-made climate change imperiling a four billion-year old planet , and that they can change the weather to save us , then it won ’ t take long before we acquiesce like sheep to their dictates and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ brings us back to Santa Claus .
If his sleigh , wardrobe and much else became impractical from a changing climate , he would adapt .
Humanity has done so in response to the vicissitudes of climate through the millennia , and will continue the same , made especially easier with ongoing technological advances .
In the meantime , coastal communities will not be flooded , and polar ice will continue to accumulate and recede when seasons change , as they have always done .
So , Merry Christmas to all , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @

Santa Claus has come to town, including hopefully your town, this Christmas. With his work done for the year, he and Mrs. Claus, the reindeer and the elves, can relax for a while – but only for a short while. The lifestyles of Santa and crew at the North Pole may be changing since the climate is changing!
If we believe the extreme climate computer simulations beloved by the incoming Biden administration, Green interest groups, the supplicant media and popular culture, Santa and crew should feel anxious with the rest of us. The lives they’ve known at the North Pole may never be the same in just a few years when the planet supposedly reaches the climate “tipping point,” the polar ice caps melt, the oceans flood, and we pass the “point of no return.”
As global warming (aka, climate change) locks in by 2030 or 2040 (whatever), Santa’s wardrobe will be overkill. Gone will be the furry, heavy red coat and hat with white pom-pom.
Climate change passed the point of no return also will mean Santa’s sleigh will become a useless relic; a museum piece for the Smithsonian as a reminder of a bygone era when North Pole snow was commonplace. Reindeer, along with “millions” of species, may not survive. An electric-powered, multi-wheeled “sleigh” just won’t have the same look and feel, but will become mandated, since fossil fuel will be contraband.
Songs like “White Christmas” will become head-scratchers, absent archival research or sufficient Google algorithms to discern the meaning that Bing Crosby once famously crooned.
Christmas itself may never be the same in our climate changing, overheating world.
Now, if all this seems silly and unserious, it is actually quite modest and sober compared to the absurd rhetoric and computerized predictions about climate change coming from politicians and activists.
People such as Al Gore, Leonardo DiCaprio, Alexandria Ocasio Cortez, Bernie Sanders, Prince Charles, and the next President and Vice President of the United States insist that climate change is an existential threat to human life. Santa Claus and humanity writ large can survive a world bereft of snow; but, the impact of climate change will be worse, they tell us, if the average global temperature increases by a degree or two, decades from now.
If the actions of many politicians to the Covid-19 pandemic tell us anything, “science and data” have not informed, much less justified, destroying millions of peoples’ economic lives. Yet politicians and media influencers, who sacrifice nothing, have demanded conformity to their capricious, tyrannical lockdowns for “public health” that have not, and will not, mitigate the coronavirus.
Similarly, science and data show a slightly warming planet since the mid to late 1800s, with the warmest period occurring in the 1930s. It was warmer still in previous centuries between little ice ages. Humanity survived, and is increasingly thriving well into the 21st century.
Yet many politicians screech climate alarmism to attain more power and control to spend trillions of tax dollars, order our economic livelihoods, and deny us God-given rights and freedoms. This would have been gross embellishment a generation ago, but not today.
The latest example comes from an obscure U.S. senator named Jeff Merkley from the state Oregon. Earlier this week, he wrote that Joe Biden, as President, should declare a “national climate emergency and [use] emergency powers to take unilateral executive action” to deal with the climate “crisis.” This would “send a powerful signal,” (as if that were an end itself) and prevent a “deluge of storms and extreme weather events.” Such dictatorial action also somehow would create millions of jobs, slash pollution and safeguard communities, Sen. Merkley assured us. No worries.
Sen. Merkley’s rant provided no scientific evidence for any of his catastrophic assertions, which is typical. We are suppose to accept reticently this hysteria as gospel, and jettison the Constitution, the legislative branch, and the democratic process they enshrine for an alleged “climate emergency.” Scores of climate interest groups have taken this extreme position, which further explains the senator’s pandering.
Sen. Merkley is not a fringe politician or cable news crackpot. He reflects his fellow Democratic senators whose climate agenda and undemocratic means to impose it have become mainstream thinking in their political circles.
If the governing class and influencers convince enough of us that our lives or our children’s are at grave risk from man-made climate change imperiling a four billion-year old planet, and that they can change the weather to save us, then it won’t take long before we acquiesce like sheep to their dictates and forfeit our freedoms and livelihoods.
Which brings us back to Santa Claus. If his sleigh, wardrobe and much else became impractical from a changing climate, he would adapt. Humanity has done so in response to the vicissitudes of climate through the millennia, and will continue the same, made especially easier with ongoing technological advances.
In the meantime, evidence shows coastal communities will not be flooded, and polar ice will continue to accumulate and recede when seasons change, as they have always done.
So, Merry Christmas to all, and many more white Christmases to come.


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-25--The most remote island in the world is now an ocean sanctuary

The small island territory of Tristan da Cunha has declared that 90 % of its territorial waters will be labeled as a marine protected area , or MPA .
Tristan da Cunha , a territory of the United Kingdom , is a seven-day boat trip from South Africa , making it incredibly isolated .
In fact , it is the most remote inhabited island in the world .
The nearest mainland , South Africa , is 1,750 miles away .
Only 250 people are reported to reside there .
The size of the MPA will be about 270,271 square miles @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the fourth largest marine protected area in the world .
Some species native to the island are sevengill sharks , millions of seabirds which include the yellow-nosed albatross , as well as whales , seals , and several species of penguins .
“ The new wildlife refuge will be a ‘ no-take ’ zone , banning bottom-trawling fishing , deep-sea mining and other harmful and extractive harvesting from its waters , National Geographic reported… “ Critically , these protections will bolster the small Tristan Rock Lobster commercial fishery outside the sanctuary , which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ source of income , AP News reported .
This luxury crayfish is sold to the U.S. , Europe , Japan and China.
” The designation is a part of the United Kingdom ’ s “ Blue Belt Programme , ” which is funding marine protection initiatives in UK territories .
So far , the program has protected 1 % of the world ’ s oceans , according to Prime Minister Boris Johnson .
Many officials and environmental activists want the rest of the world to follow suit .
The United Nations even has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Earth ’ s oceans “ protected ” by 2030 .
While this may be a no-brainer decision for the people of Tristan da Cunha , where it not only protects wildlife but also bolsters their native industry , it may be a tough sell for the rest of the world .
As nations come to grips with the severe economic hardships the coronavirus shutdowns have wreaked , governments will not have an easy time cutting off mining , fishing , and other industries that may operate in some of the areas the UN @ @ @ @ @ @ @ To read the article in EcoWatch , click here .

The small island territory of Tristan da Cunha has declared that 90% of its territorial waters will be labeled as a marine protected area, or MPA.
Tristan da Cunha, a territory of the United Kingdom, is a seven-day boat trip from South Africa, making it incredibly isolated. In fact, it is the most remote inhabited island in the world. The nearest mainland, South Africa, is 1,750 miles away. Only 250 people are reported to reside there.
The size of the MPA will be about 270,271 square miles of ocean, and it will be the fourth largest marine protected area in the world. Some species native to the island are sevengill sharks, millions of seabirds which include the yellow-nosed albatross, as well as whales, seals, and several species of penguins.
EcoWatch reports:
“The new wildlife refuge will be a ‘no-take’ zone, banning bottom-trawling fishing, deep-sea mining and other harmful and extractive harvesting from its waters, National Geographic reported…
“Critically, these protections will bolster the small Tristan Rock Lobster commercial fishery outside the sanctuary, which is the territory’s most important source of income, AP News reported. This luxury crayfish is sold to the U.S., Europe, Japan and China.”
The designation is a part of the United Kingdom’s “Blue Belt Programme,” which is funding marine protection initiatives in UK territories. So far, the program has protected 1% of the world’s oceans, according to Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
Many officials and environmental activists want the rest of the world to follow suit. The United Nations even has a goal to declare 30% of Earth’s oceans “protected” by 2030.
While this may be a no-brainer decision for the people of Tristan da Cunha, where it not only protects wildlife but also bolsters their native industry, it may be a tough sell for the rest of the world.
As nations come to grips with the severe economic hardships the coronavirus shutdowns have wreaked, governments will not have an easy time cutting off mining, fishing, and other industries that may operate in some of the areas the UN wants to declare as off limits.
To read the article in EcoWatch, click here.


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-26--GOP Senate must red light Biden’s radical Green appointees

President-elect Joe Biden has announced plans to front-load his Cabinet appointments with radical climate activists empowered to wield vast regulatory influence over every major sector of American economic and social life .
Should Republicans hold a Senate majority following the Georgia Jan. 5 runoffs , they will be able to block highly controversial nominees and draconian legislative proposals .
If , on the other hand , Democrats gain two Senate seats with Vice President Kamala Harris tie-breaker votes … well , let ’ s not even dare to contemplate what dastardly disasters then await .
The slate of nominees thus @ @ @ @ @ @ @ administration is all about going green in a very big and bad way through climate-alarm-premised regulatory overreach .
Here ’ s what we ’ re potentially in for .
Former Secretary of State John Kerry who co-chaired the Biden- [ Bernie ] Sanders “ Unity Task Force on Combatting the Climate Crisis and Pursuing Environmental Justice ” will be appointed to a newly created cabinet position as international diplomacy “ climate envoy.
” Kerry supports the lunatic fossil energy crushing Green New Deal , and he is committed to having the U.S. immediately @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Obama EPA administrator Gina McCarthy would be appointed as Biden ’ s Cabinet-level “ climate czar , ” a position that has been empty for nearly a decade since a Republican-led House of Representatives defunded the position .
McCarthy will be responsible for coordinating climate actions across multiple agencies and Congress , ranging from the National Economic Council to the Department of Health and Human Services .
McCarthy , who is currently president and CEO of the Natural Resources Defense Council ( NRDC ) , once told EPA employees to “ Keep your @ @ @ @ @ @ @ out the Trump administration which had dismantled her legacy as Obama ’ s second EPA chief .
The Obama administration ’ s Clean Power Plan under McCarthy ’ s lead would have had to install the equivalent electricity of 270,00 wind turbines ( three times the total global installed capacity ) , or 750 gigawatts of solar power ( 125 times the installed capacity worldwide . )
All prospective clean air benefits were premised upon highly theoretical and dubious reduced asthma and premature death benefit calculations .
After being stalled in the courts @ @ @ @ @ @ @ impractical and unrealistic .
Little surprise then why Al Gore told the New York Times that McCarthy is “ uniquely suited for the job.
” Biden has announced plans to nominate Michael Regan , a North Carolina environmental regulator , to head the EPA .
Regan , the second Black EPA chief after Lisa Jackson , Obama ’ s first-term administrator , had previously spent nearly a decade at the EPA before taking on regional jobs at the Environmental Defense Fund and in his home state .
Regan ’ s new position will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s ambitious climate change plans , which call for eliminating carbon dioxide emissions from the power grid by 2035 and putting the country on a path toward net-zero emissions by 2050 .
His office will re-impose regulations eliminated by the Trump EPA , extending expansive reaches into energy , farming , manufacturing and transportation sectors .
Former South Bend , Indiana mayor and Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg has been nominated to be Biden ’ s transportation secretary .
Buttigieg ’ s primary campaign site said by 2035 he would “ require zero @ @ @ @ @ @ @ current technology , zero emissions means electric powered .
Not explained is how to recharge all those added plug-ins at night when the sun is hidden , and the wind isn ’ t blowing .
Former Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm , Joe Biden ’ s selection for Energy secretary , will be charged with responsibility to make good on his election promise to help build 550,000 electric vehicle charging stations as part of his $ 2 trillion plan to “ fight climate change ” which has been occurring since the time our planet @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Gov .
Granholm signed into law a package that would require more electricity to come from renewable sources and curtail competition among power companies , according to a local report at the time .
After her second term as governor ended in 2011 , she joined the Dow Chemical board and later quit to host “ The War Room ” on former vice president Al Gore ’ s Current TV .
Rep. Deb Haaland , D-N.M. , is being tapped as the Biden administration ’ s interior secretary .
Haaland , an @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in New Mexico , will be the first Native American cabinet secretary if confirmed .
She has received support from climate-change groups and others in the progressive wing of the Democratic Party .
Former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen , now Biden ’ s nominee to head the Treasury Department , has promised to make fighting climate change a priority issue at the center of U.S. economic policy and has already endorsed a tax on carbon dioxide emissions .
Climate activists are appealing for Yellen to go even further if confirmed , seizing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ powerful people in finance to wield fiscal policy in the campaign against global warming .
Some have outlined plans for how Yellen could trigger tighter regulation of oil and gas company finances under the Dodd-Frank Act — even going so far as to require them to sell off fossil fuel assets .
Jamie Henn , director of the non-profit advocacy group Fossil Free Media , said , “ Yellen will have the power to help move trillions of dollars out of fossil fuels and trillions more into renewables.
” Henn added , “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ New Deal than nearly any other cabinet position.
” Environmental lawyer Brenda Mallory , whom Biden has nominated to chair his White House Council on Environmental Quality , will work with Kerry , McCarthy and his top economic advisor Brian Deese to coordinate his domestic climate group .
Mallory has worked for several years at EPA , and currently serves as director of regulatory policy at the Southern Environmental Law Center , an advocacy and litigation group .
Even with a Senate majority to push back on these die-hard anti-fossil energy opponents — @ @ @ @ @ @ @ expect Team Biden to enact the Democratic Party ’ s radical dark green agendas through departmental regulatory edicts .
Don McGahn , Trump ’ s first White House counsel , warns that Team Biden will struggle to replicate the Obama regulatory machine “ because much of what they will do will be well beyond any statutory or constitutional authority.
” Nevertheless , even regulatory actions that are legally and procedurally sound can severely damage the economy , disrupt reliable electrical power delivery through dependence upon intermittent wind and solar sources , and reverse @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from foreign providers .
This leaves Republicans with two co-dependent imperatives .
The first : Hold the Senate majority in the Jan 5 Georgia election runoffs .
Second : That prevailing GOP Senate majority must red light confirmations of radical green Biden appointments before they turn our nation ’ s lights off altogether .

President-elect Joe Biden has announced plans to front-load his Cabinet appointments with radical climate activists empowered to wield vast regulatory influence over every major sector of American economic and social life.
Should Republicans hold a Senate majority following the Georgia Jan. 5 runoffs, they will be able to block highly controversial nominees and draconian legislative proposals. If, on the other hand, Democrats gain two Senate seats with Vice President Kamala Harris tie-breaker votes … well, let’s not even dare to contemplate what dastardly disasters then await.
The slate of nominees thus far leaves no doubt that the Biden administration is all about going green in a very big and bad way through climate-alarm-premised regulatory overreach.
Here’s what we’re potentially in for.
Former Secretary of State John Kerry who co-chaired the Biden-[Bernie]Sanders “Unity Task Force on Combatting the Climate Crisis and Pursuing Environmental Justice” will be appointed to a newly created cabinet position as international diplomacy “climate envoy.” Kerry supports the lunatic fossil energy crushing Green New Deal, and he is committed to having the U.S. immediately rejoin the Paris Climate Agreement.
Former Obama EPA administrator Gina McCarthy would be appointed as Biden’s Cabinet-level “climate czar,” a position that has been empty for nearly a decade since a Republican-led House of Representatives defunded the position. McCarthy will be responsible for coordinating climate actions across multiple agencies and Congress, ranging from the National Economic Council to the Department of Health and Human Services.
McCarthy, who is currently president and CEO of the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC), once told EPA employees to “Keep your asses in your seats” and wait out the Trump administration which had dismantled her legacy as Obama’s second EPA chief.
The Obama administration’s Clean Power Plan under McCarthy’s lead would have had to install the equivalent electricity of 270,00 wind turbines (three times the total global installed capacity), or 750 gigawatts of solar power (125 times the installed capacity worldwide.)
All prospective clean air benefits were premised upon highly theoretical and dubious reduced asthma and premature death benefit calculations. After being stalled in the courts, the Trump EPA repealed it as impractical and unrealistic.
Little surprise then why Al Gore told the New York Times that McCarthy is “uniquely suited for the job.”
Biden has announced plans to nominate Michael Regan, a North Carolina environmental regulator, to head the EPA. Regan, the second Black EPA chief after Lisa Jackson, Obama’s first-term administrator, had previously spent nearly a decade at the EPA before taking on regional jobs at the Environmental Defense Fund and in his home state.
Regan’s new position will put him in charge of Biden’s ambitious climate change plans, which call for eliminating carbon dioxide emissions from the power grid by 2035 and putting the country on a path toward net-zero emissions by 2050. His office will re-impose regulations eliminated by the Trump EPA, extending expansive reaches into energy, farming, manufacturing and transportation sectors.
Former South Bend, Indiana mayor and Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg has been nominated to be Biden’s transportation secretary. Buttigieg’s primary campaign site said by 2035 he would “require zero emissions for all new vehicles.”
Considering current technology, zero emissions means electric powered. Not explained is how to recharge all those added plug-ins at night when the sun is hidden, and the wind isn’t blowing.
Former Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm, Joe Biden’s selection for Energy secretary, will be charged with responsibility to make good on his election promise to help build 550,000 electric vehicle charging stations as part of his $2 trillion plan to “fight climate change” which has been occurring since the time our planet first had an atmosphere.
In 2008, Gov. Granholm signed into law a package that would require more electricity to come from renewable sources and curtail competition among power companies, according to a local report at the time. After her second term as governor ended in 2011, she joined the Dow Chemical board and later quit to host “The War Room” on former vice president Al Gore’s Current TV.
Rep. Deb Haaland, D-N.M., is being tapped as the Biden administration’s interior secretary.
Haaland, an enrolled citizen of the Pueblo of Laguna in New Mexico, will be the first Native American cabinet secretary if confirmed. She has received support from climate-change groups and others in the progressive wing of the Democratic Party.
Former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, now Biden’s nominee to head the Treasury Department, has promised to make fighting climate change a priority issue at the center of U.S. economic policy and has already endorsed a tax on carbon dioxide emissions.
Climate activists are appealing for Yellen to go even further if confirmed, seizing her role as one of the most powerful people in finance to wield fiscal policy in the campaign against global warming. Some have outlined plans for how Yellen could trigger tighter regulation of oil and gas company finances under the Dodd-Frank Act — even going so far as to require them to sell off fossil fuel assets.
Jamie Henn, director of the non-profit advocacy group Fossil Free Media, said, “Yellen will have the power to help move trillions of dollars out of fossil fuels and trillions more into renewables.” Henn added, “She could do more for the Green New Deal than nearly any other cabinet position.”
Environmental lawyer Brenda Mallory, whom Biden has nominated to chair his White House Council on Environmental Quality, will work with Kerry, McCarthy and his top economic advisor Brian Deese to coordinate his domestic climate group. Mallory has worked for several years at EPA, and currently serves as director of regulatory policy at the Southern Environmental Law Center, an advocacy and litigation group.
Even with a Senate majority to push back on these die-hard anti-fossil energy opponents — including several Obama retreads — we can expect Team Biden to enact the Democratic Party’s radical dark green agendas through departmental regulatory edicts.
Don McGahn, Trump’s first White House counsel, warns that Team Biden will struggle to replicate the Obama regulatory machine “because much of what they will do will be well beyond any statutory or constitutional authority.”
Nevertheless, even regulatory actions that are legally and procedurally sound can severely damage the economy, disrupt reliable electrical power delivery through dependence upon intermittent wind and solar sources, and reverse Trump administration progress in achieving energy independence from foreign providers.
This leaves Republicans with two co-dependent imperatives. The first: Hold the Senate majority in the Jan 5 Georgia election runoffs.
Second: That prevailing GOP Senate majority must red light confirmations of radical green Biden appointments before they turn our nation’s lights off altogether.


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-26--A Visit From ‘Saint Joe’

A Visit From ‘Saint Joe’

‘ Twas the week before Christmas , when all through the news , There were reports of record cold , so many were confused .
Told global warming is why we should care , And that the point of no return would soon be here .
The children were bombarded with tales of dread , While visions of climate disasters were stuck in each little head .
And mamma in her Prius , and I on my bike , To save the planet , got rid of the cars that we like .
When suddenly in the data there arose @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not warming , what could be the matter ?
The warming stopped , as quick as a flash , Leaving proponents in sack-cloth , bathing in ash .
For far too common was new-fallen snow , More than forecasted , temperatures 0 or below .
And , what to my wondering eye there appears , But an uptick in sea ice , and even more polar bears .
With a little old driver , called the PDO , I knew in a moment it had to be so .
Howling like beagles fearing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ many a name !
“ Now , Denier !
now , madman !
now neanderthal , you ’ re lying !
You ’ re an idiot !
you ’ re stupid , know nothing , we ’ re frying !
To the top of the chart !
breaking through the temperature wall !
The warmings out of control , it ’ s frying us all !
“ As dry leaves that before the wild hurricane fly , This is the worst drought ever , global warming is why .
So up to the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a gravy train of grants , and politics too .
Make economies pay , we need no proof , Just keep saying temperatures are going through the roof .
With the media complicit , my head was turning around , To see the global temperature level off and then come down .
The warming had stopped , in their mouth was their foot , Exposing the scam , and making off with the loot .
Readjusting temperatures , from many years back , Peddling disinformation to the media pack .
At conferences they @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the deceit grew in a way , that made it quite scary !
For the tide it had turned , there was cold that would show , You can ’ t say it ’ s warmer , if there ’ s too much snow .
The cold that was showing led to chattering of teeth , As the cycle came full circle , not unlike a wreath .
The face of global warming had become a subject smelly , Their position as “ solid , ” as a bowlful of jelly !
Hockey @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increase , I laughed when I heard their excuses not cease .
Events we all knew were something ahead , Were twisted into worst ever , something to dread .
How dare mother nature destroy AGW ’ s life ’ s work , These deniers are as nasty as a Miley Cyrus Twerk .
But the data is there and everyone knows , The temperatures leveled off while CO2 rose !
So when in the wire , you hear the cold wind whistle , The AGW agenda is ready for dismissal .
So @ @ @ @ @ @ @ out of sight , “ Happy Christmas to all , and to all a good-night !
”

(With apologies to Clement Clark Moore.)
‘Twas the week before Christmas, when all through the news,
There were reports of record cold, so many were confused.
Told global warming is why we should care,
And that the point of no return would soon be here.
The children were bombarded with tales of dread,
While visions of climate disasters were stuck in each little head.
And mamma in her Prius, and I on my bike,
To save the planet, got rid of the cars that we like.
When suddenly in the data there arose such a clatter,
The earth was not warming, what could be the matter?
The warming stopped, as quick as a flash,
Leaving proponents in sack-cloth, bathing in ash.
For far too common was new-fallen snow,
More than forecasted, temperatures 0 or below.
And, what to my wondering eye there appears,
But an uptick in sea ice, and even more polar bears.
With a little old driver, called the PDO,
I knew in a moment it had to be so.
Howling like beagles fearing the shame,
AGW pushers called skeptics many a name!
“Now, Denier! now, madman! now neanderthal, you’re lying!
You’re an idiot! you’re stupid, know nothing, we’re frying!
To the top of the chart! breaking through the temperature wall!
The warmings out of control, it’s frying us all!“
As dry leaves that before the wild hurricane fly,
This is the worst drought ever, global warming is why.
So up to the IPCC the climate pushers flew,
With a gravy train of grants, and politics too.
Make economies pay, we need no proof,
Just keep saying temperatures are going through the roof.
With the media complicit, my head was turning around,
To see the global temperature level off and then come down.
The warming had stopped, in their mouth was their foot,
Exposing the scam, and making off with the loot.
Readjusting temperatures, from many years back,
Peddling disinformation to the media pack.
At conferences they would drink and make merry!
While the deceit grew in a way, that made it quite scary!
For the tide it had turned, there was cold that would show,
You can’t say it’s warmer, if there’s too much snow.
The cold that was showing led to chattering of teeth,
As the cycle came full circle, not unlike a wreath.
The face of global warming had become a subject smelly,
Their position as “solid,” as a bowlful of jelly!
Hockey sticks broken, sea ice on the increase,
I laughed when I heard their excuses not cease.
Events we all knew were something ahead,
Were twisted into worst ever, something to dread.
How dare mother nature destroy AGW’s life’s work,
These deniers are as nasty as a Miley Cyrus Twerk.
But the data is there and everyone knows,
The temperatures leveled off while CO2 rose!
So when in the wire, you hear the cold wind whistle,
The AGW agenda is ready for dismissal.
So let me exclaim, as this fades out of sight,
“Happy Christmas to all, and to all a good-night!”
This poem originally appeared at Patriot Post


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-27--Indonesia’s clean energy program sparks deforestation worries

Kermit the Frog once famously quipped “ It ’ s not easy being green.
” The nation of Indonesia is no doubt finding this is true — especially as it attempts to transition away from fossil fuels toward so-called green energy .
As reported in the publication Mongabay , Indonesia is currently embarking on an aggressive program to phase out its use of diesel for an alternative made from palm oil .
This new biodiesel fuel , the government claims , is cleaner and will help its nation meet its greenhouse reduction goals .
The problem is , naturally , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and potential harm of endangered species .
To achieve its goal of going green , the government is rolling out its program in stages .
Initially it intends to use only a modest amount of the biodiesel in all its blends , but over time it will seek to progressively employ higher concentrations of palm oil-derived biodiesel into its conventional diesel .
The program is currently at what is called the “ B30 stage , ” which means the diesel sold at the pump contains a 30 % blend of palm oil-derived biodiesel @ @ @ @ @ @ @ they hope to achieve a B50 ( 50:50 ) blend .
But to do that , the total planted area of oil palms will have to be at least 22.7 million hectares ( 56 million acres ) – a feat which means the nation will have to chew up and chop down a lot of forested cover .
Arkian Suryadarma , a forest campaigner at Greenpeace Indonesia , said it ’ s highly likely the biodiesel program will lead to deforestation .
“ The biodiesel program needs lands for new oil palm plantations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” he said .
“ The biodiesel program is clearly not a solution for the country ’ s fiscal state and will worsen the implementation of Indonesia ’ s climate commitment because it is oriented toward deforestation and new land clearing in forest areas .
That ’ s why it ’ s very wrong if biodiesel is categorized as a renewable energy.
” The Greens maintain Indonesia would be better served to rely on solar and wind energy to power its industry and transportation need .
This alternative , the Indonesian government realizes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ solar energy have failed to meaningfully meet the energy needs of rich developed nations – let alone poorer developing ones .
To read the story in its entirety in Mongabay , click here .

Kermit the Frog once famously quipped “It’s not easy being green.” The nation of Indonesia is no doubt finding this is true — especially as it attempts to transition away from fossil fuels toward so-called green energy.
As reported in the publication Mongabay, Indonesia is currently embarking on an aggressive program to phase out its use of diesel for an alternative made from palm oil. This new biodiesel fuel, the government claims, is cleaner and will help its nation meet its greenhouse reduction goals. The problem is, naturally, it will also lead to massive deforestation and potential harm of endangered species.
To achieve its goal of going green, the government is rolling out its program in stages. Initially it intends to use only a modest amount of the biodiesel in all its blends, but over time it will seek to progressively employ higher concentrations of palm oil-derived biodiesel into its conventional diesel.
The program is currently at what is called the “B30 stage,” which means the diesel sold at the pump contains a 30% blend of palm oil-derived biodiesel. Ultimately by 2025, however, they hope to achieve a B50 (50:50) blend. But to do that, the total planted area of oil palms will have to be at least 22.7 million hectares (56 million acres) – a feat which means the nation will have to chew up and chop down a lot of forested cover.
As reported in Mongabay:
Arkian Suryadarma, a forest campaigner at Greenpeace Indonesia, said it’s highly likely the biodiesel program will lead to deforestation.
“The biodiesel program needs lands for new oil palm plantations which could lead to massive deforestation,” he said. “The biodiesel program is clearly not a solution for the country’s fiscal state and will worsen the implementation of Indonesia’s climate commitment because it is oriented toward deforestation and new land clearing in forest areas. That’s why it’s very wrong if biodiesel is categorized as a renewable energy.”
The Greens maintain Indonesia would be better served to rely on solar and wind energy to power its industry and transportation need. This alternative, the Indonesian government realizes, is completely unrealistic as wind and solar energy have failed to meaningfully meet the energy needs of rich developed nations – let alone poorer developing ones.
To read the story in its entirety in Mongabay, click here.


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-28--Wind and solar are losing ground to gas

Wind and solar are losing ground to gas

The subsidies that never die — for wind and solar power — are back .
With Christmas coming on the Lame Duck Congress elected to throw untold additional billions at renewables .
What is amusing is that gas-fired power generation , a fossil fuel with no subsidy , is still growing faster than wind and solar .
Far from taking over , wind and solar are actually losing ground to fossil fuels in the American power capacity mix .
The last year we have comprehensive construction data for is 2018 , from the U.S. Energy Information Administration .
This was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was a bit of a race on to build renewables before the subsidies stopped , which they were then scheduled to do .
( Unfortunately , due to the Lame Ducks this is no longer true . )
First we will look at the basic numbers , followed by some interesting factors .
We are talking about what is called electric power generating capacity , which is measured in megawatts or MW for short .
This is the ability to generate a million watts of juice .
A large power plant may run @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in 2018 we built about 19,000 MW of gas fired generators , 9,000 MW of wind powered and 7,000 MW of utility scale solar .
( So-called “ behind the meter ” typically tiny solar is not included . )
So right away we built more gas , at 19,000 MW than the 16,000 MW of renewables .
Thus wind and solar ’ s fraction of America ’ s generating capacity actually went down , not up .
Renewables lost ground .
But this is just the tip of the difference .
These @ @ @ @ @ @ @ produce under ideal conditions , which is called “ nameplate capacity ” .
For solar these ideal conditions are basically a clear sky , with the sun overhead and no snow or dirt , etc.
, on the collector .
For wind they are typically a sustained air flow exceeding 30 miles per hour or so .
Note that these crucial conditions do not occur all that often .
This is why wind and solar are called “ intermittent ” , because they frequently produce far less power than their nameplate capacity ; @ @ @ @ @ @ @ In contrast , gas fired power runs most of the time , although it does need a certain amount of downtime for maintenance .
The difference between actual power generation and nameplate is called the “ capacity factor ” or CF for the generator .
The typical capacity factors for different generating technologies are pretty well known , although they can vary from machine to machine .
To be generous to renewables , let ’ s say that solar has a CF of 15 % and wind 40 % .
( The standard @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has 80 % .
Applying these factors to our construction numbers gives the following actual generating capacities : So our new gas capacity is around 15,200 MW while new renewables are just 4,650 MW , which is 31 % or less than a third as much actual generating capacity .
Put another way , America increased its fossil fuel generating capacity by three times as much as it did for renewables .
Clearly renewables are falling behind fossil fuels , and by a lot .
Nor is 2018 unique .
Looking at the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ every case the actual generating capacity ( including CF ) added for gas fired generation has exceeded that for wind plus solar .
Renewables never gain ground over fossil fueled power , they always lose it .
Then there are grid scale battery systems , which are supposed to someday provide our juice when the intermittent renewables do not do so .
Total capacity added in 2018 was around 200 MW , or basically nothing .
Same for the prior years .
At this point batteries are just a specialized tiny contrivance used @ @ @ @ @ @ @ need has arisen because of the unpredictably erratic nature of wind and solar generation .
As actual power supply systems , batteries do not yet exist , and may never exist because they are very expensive .
America is not moving toward wind and solar for power generation ; we are actually moving away from renewables .
You would never know this listening to the press and the politicians .

The subsidies that never die — for wind and solar power — are back. With Christmas coming on the Lame Duck Congress elected to throw untold additional billions at renewables.
What is amusing is that gas-fired power generation, a fossil fuel with no subsidy, is still growing faster than wind and solar. Far from taking over, wind and solar are actually losing ground to fossil fuels in the American power capacity mix.
The last year we have comprehensive construction data for is 2018, from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. This was a good year to use because there was a bit of a race on to build renewables before the subsidies stopped, which they were then scheduled to do. (Unfortunately, due to the Lame Ducks this is no longer true.)
First we will look at the basic numbers, followed by some interesting factors. We are talking about what is called electric power generating capacity, which is measured in megawatts or MW for short. This is the ability to generate a million watts of juice. A large power plant may run around 600 MW.
For starters, in 2018 we built about 19,000 MW of gas fired generators, 9,000 MW of wind powered and 7,000 MW of utility scale solar. (So-called “behind the meter” typically tiny solar is not included.)
So right away we built more gas, at 19,000 MW than the 16,000 MW of renewables. Thus wind and solar’s fraction of America’s generating capacity actually went down, not up. Renewables lost ground.
But this is just the tip of the difference. These numbers are just what the generators can produce under ideal conditions, which is called “nameplate capacity”.
For solar these ideal conditions are basically a clear sky, with the sun overhead and no snow or dirt, etc., on the collector. For wind they are typically a sustained air flow exceeding 30 miles per hour or so. Note that these crucial conditions do not occur all that often.
This is why wind and solar are called “intermittent”, because they frequently produce far less power than their nameplate capacity; often they produce none at all. In contrast, gas fired power runs most of the time, although it does need a certain amount of downtime for maintenance.
The difference between actual power generation and nameplate is called the “capacity factor” or CF for the generator. The typical capacity factors for different generating technologies are pretty well known, although they can vary from machine to machine.
To be generous to renewables, let’s say that solar has a CF of 15% and wind 40%. (The standard numbers are lower.) Gas easily has 80%. Applying these factors to our construction numbers gives the following actual generating capacities:
Gas: 19,000 x 0.8 = 15,200 MW
Wind: 9,000 x 0.4 = 3,600 MW
Solar: 7,000 x 0.15 = 1,050 MW
So our new gas capacity is around 15,200 MW while new renewables are just 4,650 MW, which is 31% or less than a third as much actual generating capacity.
Put another way, America increased its fossil fuel generating capacity by three times as much as it did for renewables. Clearly renewables are falling behind fossil fuels, and by a lot.
Nor is 2018 unique. Looking at the six years 2013 thru 2018, in every case the actual generating capacity (including CF) added for gas fired generation has exceeded that for wind plus solar. Renewables never gain ground over fossil fueled power, they always lose it.
Then there are grid scale battery systems, which are supposed to someday provide our juice when the intermittent renewables do not do so. Total capacity added in 2018 was around 200 MW, or basically nothing. Same for the prior years.
At this point batteries are just a specialized tiny contrivance used to maintain grid stability. Ironically this need has arisen because of the unpredictably erratic nature of wind and solar generation. As actual power supply systems, batteries do not yet exist, and may never exist because they are very expensive.
America is not moving toward wind and solar for power generation; we are actually moving away from renewables. You would never know this listening to the press and the politicians.


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-29--ATF Withdraws Guidance on AR Pistol Braces, DESCEND Act Awaits Trump’s Signature, Your Reviews

“ Upon further consultation with the Department of Justice and the Office of the Deputy Attorney General , ATF is withdrawing , pending further Department of Justice review , the notice and request for comments entitled “ Objective Factors for Classifying Weapons with ‘ Stabilizing Braces ’ , ” that was published on December 18 , 2020 .
85 FR 82516 .
As explained in the notice , the proposed guidance was not a regulation .
The notice informed and invited comment from the industry and public on a proposed guidance prior to issuing a final guidance document .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ any law , regulation , or other legally binding requirement.
” — Marvin G. Richardson , ATF Associate Deputy Director In Episode 130 of District of Conservation , Gabriella gives the skinny on the latest news transpiring from in and around Washington .
She discussed ATF withdrawing guidance on a proposal to ban 3-4 million AR-15 pistol braces , which would have been the largest gun confiscation effort in US history had it proceeded ; the status of the DESCEND Act and how it ’ ll bolster red snapper numbers in the Gulf @ @ @ @ @

“Upon further consultation with the Department of Justice and the Office of the Deputy Attorney General, ATF is withdrawing, pending further Department of Justice review, the notice and request for comments entitled “Objective Factors for Classifying Weapons with ‘Stabilizing Braces’,” that was published on December 18, 2020. 85 FR 82516. As explained in the notice, the proposed guidance was not a regulation. The notice informed and invited comment from the industry and public on a proposed guidance prior to issuing a final guidance document. The withdrawal of the guidance does not change any law, regulation, or other legally binding requirement.” — Marvin G. Richardson, ATF Associate Deputy Director
In Episode 130 of District of Conservation, Gabriella gives the skinny on the latest news transpiring from in and around Washington. She discussed ATF withdrawing guidance on a proposal to ban 3-4 million AR-15 pistol braces, which would have been the largest gun confiscation effort in US history had it proceeded; the status of the DESCEND Act and how it’ll bolster red snapper numbers in the Gulf; and your reviews.
SHOW NOTES
ATF Withdrawal Letter
Pistol Brace Backgrounder + Stephen’s Tweet
Gun Industry Response to ATF News
Sen Cassidy’s Press Release on DESCEND Act Passage & CSP News Alert


What is heat?

This is a bit difficult to grasp .
Heat is the random motion of atoms , molecules , and other subatomic particles in a system .
A system maybe a glass of water or a cloud or the planet Earth and everything else in the universe .
Temperature is how we measure the energy of this motion .
We measure it in degrees Fahrenheit , Celsius , Kelvin , or electrically with millivolts or spectral wavelengths and even in more exotic ways .
So , if we put more energy into a system , say , like heating a pot @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the atoms in the water increases , as does the energy of the molecules colliding at higher speeds .
Faster speeds mean more collisions and more powerful collisions .
Similarly , the same thing is happening with the water container and the stove rack it sits on , and all connected things start heating as well ( Fig .
1 ) .
Conversely , if we chill the same pot , the motions of those same atoms and molecules slow down , and the temperature goes down .
If we chill the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ water to almost absolute zero ( -273 degrees C ) , nearly all that motion stops , and weird things start to happen , like super electrical conductivity and bizarre quantum stuff we can set aside .
Currently , we do not know how to chill something to absolute zero .
For now , let ’ s focus on heat as it relates to weather and climate .
Now comes the question , how does heat move ?
How do we get heat from one thing to another ?
Like from the sun @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to the pot as pictured in Fig .
2 ?
There are three ways heat moves from hot to cold .
They are convection , conduction , and radiation .
In addition , you should know that heat never moves to a hotter body from a less hot body .
– Convection is what you experience when holding your hands over a bonfire , where the hotter air near the flame rises to the cooler air and warms your cold hands .
– Conduction is like warming your hands by wrapping them around @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Radiation happens when I put my hands beside the bonfire , and the infrared portion of the light waves travels from the flame to my hands by electromagnetic waves .
Sometimes we get one or more of these methods working at the same time .
Now let ’ s take a look at the water in the pot and see what happens when we put water at 20 degrees C on a burner and turn on the heat .
We look at the thermometer , and the red line starts going up .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ it go ?
You might expect it will go to its boiling point at 100 degrees C. We are then surprised as we keep watching it and see that when it gets to about 90 degrees C , it stops .
What happened ?
The heat from the warmer pot and water moves to the other cooler things in the room because nature does not like any temperature imbalance .
So , when we start the flame , it starts to heat the water , but it also starts heating everything around it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the flame to the water .
Some of the heat goes to the pot , some of the heat from the flame , pot , and water goes to the air , you , the walls , etc .
Moreover , if we turn on a fan and blow the warm air away from the container , it will accelerate this heat transfer to the surrounding stuff .
Perhaps with the fan on , the water temperature in the container can only get to 70 degrees C. But we can get it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more if we turn up the flame .
Do you recognize now all the variables in nature ’ s efforts to balance heat on the Earth itself ?
We can also flip this heat/motion thing on its head .
For example , in Fig .
3 , we see that if you take a big hammer and smash it on an anvil hard , then put your hand on the anvil or the hammer , you will feel it has turned hot .
Or if you smash it with a little hammer , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
So , we can change heat ( thermal energy ) to kinetic energy ( energy of motion ) and back the other way .
This is called a “ reversible reaction.
“ Now comes the fun part .
Energy will always move in one direction and never the other way around ( high to low , hot to cold , fast to slow ) .
We use this phenomenon in thousands of different ways every day without even knowing it .
Engineers and scientists call this the “ second law of thermodynamics.
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ on top of a hot pan , the pan ’ s heat moves to the ice cube by one or more of the three means described above until the temperature difference is eliminated .
Similarly , in this case , the heat from the pan warms up the ice cube until it melts and keeps heating it until the water turns to steam and vaporizes .
With all the water gone , the stove continues to heat all the other stuff in the kitchen until a new higher temperature equilibrium is reached .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ a fundamental concept , as it explains many things .
It describes how the sun warms the air , sea , and land during the day and why and how it cools at night .
It also helps to explain how the oceans store heat and how that heat is redistributed around the planet in a vain effort to eliminate all heat and energy differences .
Another thing it explains is how that heat is distributed around the globe in a futile attempt to reduce all heat and energy differences .
How about @ @ @ @ @ @ @ considerable scientific debate on how much or how significant this heat is .
In a July 19 , 2011 article in Physics World , a group of scientists estimated this internal heat to be approximately 50 percent of the total heat that is radiated from the Earth into outer space .
Others consider that figure to be only a few percent .
The debate will likely continue for a long time because it appears impossible to measure , or even to estimate .
Also , what remains a significant unknown is how much @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the radioactive decay of Uranium and Thorium versus how much is from the primordial energy left from Earth ’ s formation .
Eons ago , kinetic energy from the asteroids and meteors smashing to the Earth ( remember the hammer hitting the anvil ? )
imparted a lot of energy into the Earth ’ s core .
We know that this internal heat ( nuclear plus residual ) accounts for the molten core that generates the Earth ’ s magnetic field and protects us from some of the sun ’ s solar cosmic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s also the same energy that moves the tectonic plates around the planet and occasionally results in volcanic eruptions , earthquakes , and tsunamis .
It is also the source of the geothermal power used in countries like Greenland and Iceland to make electricity and entertains us as we watch “ Old Faithful ” periodically explode at Yellowstone National Park .
For climate change purposes , we can ’ t control this internal heat , which we can ’ t even measure .
Therefore , we ’ ll treat it as a constant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ data becomes available .
Other sources can be natural like a forest fire or human-made sources such as factories and automobiles .
Human-made heat comes in two varieties .
The first is the direct sources , like the chemical discharge of combustion at power plants , or cars , trucks , and waste heat from electrical power plants .
Then there is indirect “ heating ” by the retention and storing of heat by the greenhouse effect .
Note that CO2 does not provide any heat by itself , but it does help @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it from escaping to outer space too quickly .
At our visual level , you can see heat as a simple subject .
At the Atomic-level it is very complicated .
For nature , it is the reason for everything that occurs in our weather and climate .
For more information on the subject , we recommend our book A Hitchhikers Journey Through Climate Change .

Brace yourself.
This is a bit difficult to grasp. Heat is the random motion of atoms, molecules, and other subatomic particles in a system. A system maybe a glass of water or a cloud or the planet Earth and everything else in the universe. Temperature is how we measure the energy of this motion. We measure it in degrees Fahrenheit, Celsius, Kelvin, or electrically with millivolts or spectral wavelengths and even in more exotic ways. So, if we put more energy into a system, say, like heating a pot of water, the motion and speed of the atoms in the water increases, as does the energy of the molecules colliding at higher speeds. Faster speeds mean more collisions and more powerful collisions. Similarly, the same thing is happening with the water container and the stove rack it sits on, and all connected things start heating as well (Fig. 1).
Conversely, if we chill the same pot, the motions of those same atoms and molecules slow down, and the temperature goes down. If we chill the system, say, a beaker of water to almost absolute zero (-273 degrees C), nearly all that motion stops, and weird things start to happen, like super electrical conductivity and bizarre quantum stuff we can set aside. Currently, we do not know how to chill something to absolute zero. For now, let’s focus on heat as it relates to weather and climate.
Now comes the question, how does heat move? How do we get heat from one thing to another? Like from the sun to the Earth or from the flame to the pot as pictured in Fig. 2?
There are three ways heat moves from hot to cold. They are convection, conduction, and radiation. In addition, you should know that heat never moves to a hotter body from a less hot body.
– Convection is what you experience when holding your hands over a bonfire, where the hotter air near the flame rises to the cooler air and warms your cold hands.
– Conduction is like warming your hands by wrapping them around a hot cup of coffee.
– Radiation happens when I put my hands beside the bonfire, and the infrared portion of the light waves travels from the flame to my hands by electromagnetic waves. Sometimes we get one or more of these methods working at the same time.
Now let’s take a look at the water in the pot and see what happens when we put water at 20 degrees C on a burner and turn on the heat. We look at the thermometer, and the red line starts going up. The question is, how high will it go? You might expect it will go to its boiling point at 100 degrees C. We are then surprised as we keep watching it and see that when it gets to about 90 degrees C, it stops. What happened? The heat from the warmer pot and water moves to the other cooler things in the room because nature does not like any temperature imbalance.
So, when we start the flame, it starts to heat the water, but it also starts heating everything around it. Not all of the heat goes from the flame to the water. Some of the heat goes to the pot, some of the heat from the flame, pot, and water goes to the air, you, the walls, etc. Moreover, if we turn on a fan and blow the warm air away from the container, it will accelerate this heat transfer to the surrounding stuff. Perhaps with the fan on, the water temperature in the container can only get to 70 degrees C. But we can get it back up to 90 degrees C or more if we turn up the flame. Do you recognize now all the variables in nature’s efforts to balance heat on the Earth itself?
We can also flip this heat/motion thing on its head. For example, in Fig. 3, we see that if you take a big hammer and smash it on an anvil hard, then put your hand on the anvil or the hammer, you will feel it has turned hot. Or if you smash it with a little hammer, then it only heats up a bit. So, we can change heat (thermal energy) to kinetic energy (energy of motion) and back the other way. This is called a “reversible reaction.“
Now comes the fun part. Energy will always move in one direction and never the other way around (high to low, hot to cold, fast to slow). We use this phenomenon in thousands of different ways every day without even knowing it. Engineers and scientists call this the “second law of thermodynamics.” If I put an ice cube on top of a hot pan, the pan’s heat moves to the ice cube by one or more of the three means described above until the temperature difference is eliminated. Similarly, in this case, the heat from the pan warms up the ice cube until it melts and keeps heating it until the water turns to steam and vaporizes. With all the water gone, the stove continues to heat all the other stuff in the kitchen until a new higher temperature equilibrium is reached.
In weather and climate, this is a fundamental concept, as it explains many things. It describes how the sun warms the air, sea, and land during the day and why and how it cools at night. It also helps to explain how the oceans store heat and how that heat is redistributed around the planet in a vain effort to eliminate all heat and energy differences. Another thing it explains is how that heat is distributed around the globe in a futile attempt to reduce all heat and energy differences.
SOURCES OF HEAT
How about the Earth itself? There is a considerable scientific debate on how much or how significant this heat is. In a July 19, 2011 article in Physics World, a group of scientists estimated this internal heat to be approximately 50 percent of the total heat that is radiated from the Earth into outer space. Others consider that figure to be only a few percent. The debate will likely continue for a long time because it appears impossible to measure, or even to estimate. Also, what remains a significant unknown is how much of this core heat is generated by the radioactive decay of Uranium and Thorium versus how much is from the primordial energy left from Earth’s formation.
Eons ago, kinetic energy from the asteroids and meteors smashing to the Earth (remember the hammer hitting the anvil?) imparted a lot of energy into the Earth’s core. We know that this internal heat (nuclear plus residual) accounts for the molten core that generates the Earth’s magnetic field and protects us from some of the sun’s solar cosmic rays and solar winds. It’s also the same energy that moves the tectonic plates around the planet and occasionally results in volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, and tsunamis. It is also the source of the geothermal power used in countries like Greenland and Iceland to make electricity and entertains us as we watch “Old Faithful” periodically explode at Yellowstone National Park. For climate change purposes, we can’t control this internal heat, which we can’t even measure. Therefore, we’ll treat it as a constant and “ignore it” until better data becomes available. Other sources can be natural
like a forest fire or human-made sources such as factories and automobiles.
Human-made heat comes in two varieties. The first is the direct sources, like the chemical discharge of combustion at power plants, or cars, trucks, and waste heat from electrical power plants. Then there is indirect “heating” by the retention and storing of heat by the greenhouse effect. Note that CO2 does not provide any heat by itself, but it does help the Earth retain some heat by preventing it from escaping to outer space too quickly.
At our visual level, you can see heat as a simple subject. At the Atomic-level it is very complicated. For nature, it is the reason for everything that occurs in our weather and climate.
For more information on the subject, we recommend our book A Hitchhikers Journey Through Climate Change.


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-29--Women Hunters, Anglers Dominated District of Conservation This Year

In Episode 131 of District of Conservation , Gabriella reveals the five most listened-to episodes of 2020 and previews what @ @ @ @ @ show in 2021 .
3 ) Biden vs. Trump : Who ’ s Better for @ @

In Episode 131 of District of Conservation, Gabriella reveals the five most listened-to episodes of 2020 and previews what listeners can expect on the show in 2021.
Listen on Apple Podcasts:
Top Five Episodes of 2020
1) Katie Pavlich, Townhall.com Editor & Fox News Contributor
2) South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem
3) Biden vs. Trump: Who’s Better for Conservation?
4) Samantha Pedder, Council to Advance Hunting and Shoot Sports
5) Jenny Anderson, Girl of 10k Lakes Blogger
—
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/district-of-conservation/support
Photo Credit: YouTube.com/c/GabriellaHoffman


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-30--Green buildings are a Grinch that will steal more than just Christmas

With the incoming Biden administration eager to unleash a regulatory reign of terror throughout the land , people should be prepared for their all-knowing betters in Washington to make more of their decisions for them , whether its in energy , healthcare , and what they do with their disposal income ( assuming they have some ) .
But it won ’ t just be bureaucrats in Washington or in state capitals who will be throwing their weight around .
Enlightened elements in the private sector have big plans for us , too , and what they ’ re cooking @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also line their pockets .
The American Institute of Architects ( AIA ) was founded in New York City in 1857 by a group of 13 architects to promote “ the scientific and practical perfection of its members ” and “ elevate the standing of the profession.
” For most of its existence , the AIA did just that , and its members and the public at large benefitted from the association ’ s high standards of professionalism .
But times have changed and so has the AIA .
Today , the AIA @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s handsome Octagonal House , built in 1800 .
With the Washington address , however , comes participation in Washington ’ s reindeer games , and the AIA has become more political and less professional over time .
For years , the AIA has challenged its members ( there are over 95,000 of them ) to design buildings to combat – you guessed it – climate change , setting a goal to hit “ net zero ” edifices by 2030 .
About 40 % of annual greenhouse-gas emissions in the U.S. come from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ constructing buildings , according to the AIA .
Having jumped aboard the climate-change bandwagon , the AIA is finding the going a little rough .
Last year , the Wall Street Journal reports , only 27 of the 19,000 building design firms owned by AIA members met their annual emissions targets .
That was an improvement over 2018 , when 16 lived up to their pledge .
And the year before that , only 9 firms hit their mark .
Not What the Client Wants “ The architecture profession tends to give what @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vast majority of clients aren ’ t asking ” for green structures , Mike Fowler , a senior associate at Mithun Inc. , a Seattle architecture firm , told the Journal ( Dec. 26-27 ) .
Green buildings typically cost 2 to 3 % more to construct , and the payback in terms of energy efficiency usually doesn ’ t come for seven years .
This has kept investors away .
Not pleased with the pace of change , the AIA has moved into political advocacy and , since 2018 , has urged @ @ @ @ @ @ @ including compelling new construction to have solar panels and other green paraphernalia .
By rewriting building codes to suit a certain political agenda , some suppliers of building materials will be favored over others .
This opens the door to cronyism on a grand scale and will further entrench a culture of government-sanctioned corruption already prevalent in many urban areas .
None of this will have the slightest effect on the climate , but it will enable the AIA to virtue signal while benefiting purveyors of approved green technologies and materials .
Look @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of Housing and Urban Development and Department of Transportation to issue a torrent of regulations in the name of saving the planet from the alleged scourge of manmade climate change .
In the AIA , they will have a willing partner to do at the local level what the feds can ’ t from Washington .

With the incoming Biden administration eager to unleash a regulatory reign of terror throughout the land, people should be prepared for their all-knowing betters in Washington to make more of their decisions for them, whether its in energy, healthcare, and what they do with their disposal income (assuming they have some).
But it won’t just be bureaucrats in Washington or in state capitals who will be throwing their weight around. Enlightened elements in the private sector have big plans for us, too, and what they’re cooking up will – surprise, surprise – also line their pockets.
The American Institute of Architects (AIA) was founded in New York City in 1857 by a group of 13 architects to promote “the scientific and practical perfection of its members” and “elevate the standing of the profession.” For most of its existence, the AIA did just that, and its members and the public at large benefitted from the association’s high standards of professionalism. But times have changed and so has the AIA.
Today, the AIA’s headquarters are in Washington’s handsome Octagonal House, built in 1800. With the Washington address, however, comes participation in Washington’s reindeer games, and the AIA has become more political and less professional over time.
For years, the AIA has challenged its members (there are over 95,000 of them) to design buildings to combat – you guessed it – climate change, setting a goal to hit “net zero” edifices by 2030. About 40% of annual greenhouse-gas emissions in the U.S. come from heating, cooling, lighting, and constructing buildings, according to the AIA.
Having jumped aboard the climate-change bandwagon, the AIA is finding the going a little rough. Last year, the Wall Street Journal reports, only 27 of the 19,000 building design firms owned by AIA members met their annual emissions targets. That was an improvement over 2018, when 16 lived up to their pledge. And the year before that, only 9 firms hit their mark.
Not What the Client Wants
“The architecture profession tends to give what the client asks for, and the vast majority of clients aren’t asking” for green structures, Mike Fowler, a senior associate at Mithun Inc., a Seattle architecture firm, told the Journal (Dec. 26-27). Green buildings typically cost 2 to 3% more to construct, and the payback in terms of energy efficiency usually doesn’t come for seven years. This has kept investors away.
Not pleased with the pace of change, the AIA has moved into political advocacy and, since 2018, has urged cities to adopt stricter building codes, including compelling new construction to have solar panels and other green paraphernalia. By rewriting building codes to suit a certain political agenda, some suppliers of building materials will be favored over others. This opens the door to cronyism on a grand scale and will further entrench a culture of government-sanctioned corruption already prevalent in many urban areas. None of this will have the slightest effect on the climate, but it will enable the AIA to virtue signal while benefiting purveyors of approved green technologies and materials.
Look for the Biden administration’s Department of Housing and Urban Development and Department of Transportation to issue a torrent of regulations in the name of saving the planet from the alleged scourge of manmade climate change. In the AIA, they will have a willing partner to do at the local level what the feds can’t from Washington.


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-12-31--2020 was an excellent year for Americans in space

2020 was the first year Americans returned to space on American rockets since the space shuttle .
2021 promises to @ @ @ @ @ space !

2020 was the first year Americans returned to space on American rockets since the space shuttle.
2021 promises to be an ambitious year in space!


committeeconstructivetomorrowcfactorg--2020-03-30--Extra warm U.S. winter had natures thumbprint on it

I want you to read this article : Two points 1 ) I will make the case for why such winters like this happen 2 ) I will point out that nowhere in this article did the massive natural physical drivers that far outweigh the effect of co2 , which is only .041 % of the atmosphere , of which man is only responsible for 25 % and the US only 15 % of that total .
I am not going to waste time attacking here , except to say this kind of one-sided journalism and the fact that nowhere @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to show you , should raise questions of any objective person Basically the rules of the game are if its warm like this winter , its climate change if it is cold , its climate change , It is typical of everyone gets a trophy in that any answer even if opposite , means you get credt Water vapor is by far the most important greenhouse gas when it comes to the planetary weather and climate , Meteorologist look at “ saturation mixing ratios ” which show a correlation of water vapor to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the air mass , the more the introduction of water vapor will lead higher temperatures , there is no place like the arctic to prove this is the case , The cyclically warmed oceans have put more water vapor ( and co2 ) into the air , When super Ninos go off the immense amounts spread out lead to a step up of the temperature , Now look at the table below .
Notice how small the correlated increase of WV is between -40 and -30 ( less than .1gram/kg ) The introduction @ @ @ @ @ @ @ cause lower pressure , more turbulent mixing all of which act to increase temperatures where its very cold ( in the high levels of the atmosphere also , which is why the “ trapping hot spot theory of warming in the upper levels over the tropics has gone the opposite way , ITS DRYING OUT NOT GETTING MORE MOIST ) While its true this creates a distortion in the global temperature pattern this is inherent in the system anyway , Notice at higher temperatures it takes much more water vapor to correlate to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the very cold time of the year which skews the overall temp up , , Missing from this are the actual arctic temps which are still frigid but not as low as they were in the winters 30 years ago .
Still , no one is going to survive an arctic winter unless as prepared as they would have been 30 years ago , BUT THERE IS NO SUMMER WARMING meaning the amount of water vapor from the cyclically warmed oceans has little effect where it is warmer , much more when @ @ @ @ @ @ @ such correlation chart exists for co2 and temps should make one understand the minute effect it has on temperature anyway and then when factoring in mans % and the US ’ s the amount , is minuscule compared to the big forcing , The warming is in the very cold time of the year which skews the overall temp up , , Missing from this are the actual arctic temps which are still frigid but not as low as they were in the winters 30 years ago .
Still , no one is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as prepared as they would have been 30 years ago , BUT THERE IS NO SUMMER WARMING meaning the amount of water vapor from the cyclically warmed oceans has little effect where it is warmer , much more when its cold .
The fact that no such correlation chart exists for co2 and temps should make one understand the minute effect it has on temperature anyway and then when factoring in mans % and the US ’ s the amount , is minuscule compared to the big forcing , Now watch this .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ than normal winter ( 1-3 below average with wide swings back and forth ) over the heartland .
The reason was based on SST models that revealed the classic warm ring in the Pacific from east of the dateline , northeast to off the west coast of the US then back up into the NE Pacific .
such a pattern favors a western Canadian ridge , and when the area just east of the dateline is warm and off south America is not as warm , cold flows into the center of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Models are tricky things as was discussed in my last blog , But SST forecasts are usually better because the ocean is so slow to change So put heartland cold into the pattern , and have warm water in the Gulf and off the east coast , you have the formula for a wild winter , worse in the middle and end than at the start .
So we blend them and use them and have done quite well in past years , not this winter for look at what happened such a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and when the area just east of the dateline is warm and off south America is not as warm , cold flows into the center of the nation and tries to spread out , Models are tricky things as was discussed in my last blog , But SST forecasts are usually better because the ocean is so slow to change So put heartland cold into the pattern , and have warm water in the Gulf and off the east coast , you have the formula for a wild winter , worse in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
So we blend them and use them and have done quite well in past years , not this winter for look at what happened That warm water in area 1 favors enhanced thunderstorms and the release of heat in the upper levels in a way that changes the pattern in the Pacific , If we look at the Madden Julian Oscillation , we see that favors a phase 6 Notice where the heavy precipitation is in the winter in phase 6 Look at this winter almost right on top of it But @ @ @ @ @ @ @ take the last 4 very warm winters 98-99 , 2001-2002 , 2011-2012 , 2019-2020 almost exactly that , The phase 6 look feeds heat into the ridge NNE of it , This , in turn , tightens the upper air jet due to increased gradients Sinking air southeast of the main jet feeds the ridge , rising air northeast of the main jet helps intensify the trough , Once the feedback starts with the SST not as warm on the west coast it means what trough there is tries to go into the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ That in turn also allows the ridge to feed back in the southeast and the pattern repeats itself until such time the seasonal change or other large scale events can change it .
Now look at that up there and compare and contrast that to the “ snowmageddon ” winter where heavy snow amounts were being blamed on “ climate change ” almost exactly that , The phase 6 look feeds heat into the ridge NNE of it , This , in turn , tightens the upper air jet due to increased gradients @ @ @ @ @ @ @ feeds the ridge , rising air northeast of the main jet helps intensify the trough , Once the feedback starts with the SST not as warm on the west coast it means what trough there is tries to go into the west , not the great lakes , That in turn also allows the ridge to feed back in the southeast and the pattern repeats itself until such time the seasonal change or other large scale events can change it .
Now look at that up there and compare and contrast that to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ snow amounts were being blamed on “ climate change ” These are big natural cyclical events , You never hear or see about this stuff when articles like this come out .
Yet we can see them .
Are they amplified with warmer oceans .
I believe so , Is co2 responsible ?
( again remember the numbers , man responsible for 25 % of the .041 % of the co2 in the atmosphere the US only 15 % of that , with the bands that co2 absorbs radiation in from the warmer @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Will Happer has been trying to tell anyone that would listen ) IS not actually looking at the major natural forcing inherent in the tropical oceans and the Sea Surface temperatures and responses , worth the look and the examination in looking that the cause ?
These are big natural cyclical events , You never hear or see about this stuff when articles like this come out .
Yet we can see them .
Are they amplified with warmer oceans .
I believe so , Is co2 responsible ?
( again remember the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the .041 % of the co2 in the atmosphere the US only 15 % of that , with the bands that co2 absorbs radiation in from the warmer earth already saturated as per what Dr Will Happer has been trying to tell anyone that would listen ) IS not actually looking at the major natural forcing inherent in the tropical oceans and the Sea Surface temperatures and responses , worth the look and the examination in looking that the cause ?
I always say have to give people the why before the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lesson is SST models can not be trusted all the time Agan they are usually better .
( BTW they are forecasting a La Nina next winter , which should lead to a reduction in overall global temperatures but not back to where they were before the SUPER Nino and a whole new set of problems with that forecast .
But I have to question the messenger when the entire message is not given , In this case , even the novice can link this together and see that this winter had NATURES @ @ @ @ @ @ @ very least there is plenty of reason to believe that this winter , like the other ones shown , is simply nature doing what nature does , No matter what co2 does , get the same pattern and the same thing will happen , How does the increase since the 2009-2010 winter of 15ppm of co2 lead to the opposite effect , yet both are a sign of climate change , When any answer will do , its no answer at all .

Water vapor is by far the most important greenhouse gas when it comes to the planetary weather and climate. Meteorologist look at “saturation mixing ratios” which show a correlation of water vapor to temperature. Basically the colder and drier the air mass, the more the introduction of water vapor will lead higher temperatures, there is no place like the arctic to prove this is the case. The cyclically warmed oceans have put more water vapor (and CO2) into the air. When Super El Niño’s go off, the immense amounts dispersed lead to a step up of the temperature. The colder regions leading the way as will be opined on below.
Basically the rules of the game are, if its warm like this winter, its climate change, if it is cold, its climate change. It is typical of everyone gets a trophy in that any answer even if opposite, means you get credit.
I am not going to waste time attacking here, except to say this kind of one-sided journalism and the fact that nowhere did anyone show what I am about to reveal to you, should raise questions of any objective person.
2) I will point out that nowhere in this article did the massive natural physical drivers that far outweigh the effect of CO2, which is only .041% of the atmosphere. Pointedly, of which man is only responsible for 25% and the US only 15% of that total.
Now look at the table below. Notice how small the correlated increase of WV is between -40 and -30 ( less than .1gram/kg). The introduction of those slight amounts create clouds, cause lower pressure and more turbulent mixing. All of which act to increase temperatures where its very cold. (Also in the high levels of the atmosphere, which is why the “trapping hot spot theory of warming in the upper levels over the tropics has gone the opposite way. ITS DRYING OUT NOT GETTING MORE MOIST). While its true this creates a distortion in the global temperature pattern, this is inherent in the system anyway. Notice at higher temperatures it takes much more water vapor to correlate to the temperature increase.
So look at the warming in the arctic: So look at the warming in the arctic:
The warming is in the very cold time of the year which skews the overall temp upward. Missing from this are the actual arctic temps which will still be frigid but not as low as they were in the winters 30 years ago. Still, no one is going to survive an arctic winter unless as prepared as they would have been 30 years ago. BUT THERE IS NO SUMMER WARMING meaning the amount of water vapor from the cyclically warmed oceans has little effect where it is warmer, much more when it’s cold. The fact that no such correlation chart exists for CO2 and temps should make one understand the minute effect it has on temperature anyway. Then when factoring in mans % and the US, the amount is minuscule compared to the big forcing. The warming is in the very cold time of the year which skews the overall temp upward. Missing from this are the actual arctic temps which will still be frigid but not as low as they were in the winters 30 years ago. Still, no one is going to survive an arctic winter unless as prepared as they would have been 30 years ago. BUT THERE IS NO SUMMER WARMING meaning the amount of water vapor from the cyclically warmed oceans has little effect where it is warmer, much more when it’s cold. The fact that no such correlation chart exists for CO2 and temps should make one understand the minute effect it has on temperature anyway. Then when factoring in mans % and the US, the amount is minuscule compared to the big forcing.
Now watch this. I had a forecast for a colder than normal winter (1-3 below average with wide swings back and forth) over the heartland. The reason was based on SST models that revealed the classic warm ring in the Pacific from east of the dateline, northeast to off the west coast of the US then back up into the NE Pacific.
Such a pattern favors a western Canadian ridge, and when the area just east of the dateline is warm and off south America is not as warm, cold flows into the center of the nation and tries to spread out. Models are tricky things as was discussed in my last blog. But SST forecasts are usually better because the ocean is so slow to change. So put heartland cold into the pattern, and have warm water in the Gulf and off the east coast, you have the formula for a wild winter, worse in the middle and end than at the start. So we blend them and use them and have done quite well in past years, not this winter for look at what happened: Such a pattern favors a western Canadian ridge, and when the area just east of the dateline is warm and off south America is not as warm, cold flows into the center of the nation and tries to spread out. Models are tricky things as was discussed in my last blog. But SST forecasts are usually better because the ocean is so slow to change. So put heartland cold into the pattern, and have warm water in the Gulf and off the east coast, you have the formula for a wild winter, worse in the middle and end than at the start. So we blend them and use them and have done quite well in past years, not this winter for look at what happened:
1) The warm water was near and west of the dateline. This is huge as I will explain later. 2) The water was cooler near and off the west coast than further west. 3) Warm water off the east coast, which we knew, but with no cold attacking, it was free to overtake the pattern at will. 1) The warm water was near and west of the dateline. This is huge as I will explain later. 2) The water was cooler near and off the west coast than further west. 3) Warm water off the east coast, which we knew, but with no cold attacking, it was free to overtake the pattern at will.
That warm water in area 1 favors enhanced thunderstorms and the release of heat in the upper levels in a way that changes the pattern in the Pacific. If we look at the Madden Julian Oscillation, we see that favors a phase 6. Notice where the heavy precipitation is in the winter in phase 6
Look at this winter almost right on top of it.
What does a mean phase 6 give us for the US temperature-wise? What does a mean phase 6 give us for the US temperature-wise?
Guess what happened this winter, what phase 6 gives us. Now if this is CO2, why doesn’t it simply occur every winter? Because its not, its large scale natural forcing. Minute increases in CO2 are not going to push around the oceans, whose cycles are decades and in some cases even longer in the making. Guess what happened this winter, what phase 6 gives us. Now if this is CO2, why doesn’t it simply occur every winter? Because its not, its large scale natural forcing. Minute increases in CO2 are not going to push around the oceans, whose cycles are decades and in some cases even longer in the making.
But wait there is more. If we take the last 4 very warm winters 98-99, 2001-2002, 2011-2012, 2019-2020 ..
..and looked at the upper air pattern, we notice a powerfully positive arctic oscillation (for the sake of ease, severe cold over the pole), ..and looked at the upper air pattern, we notice a powerfully positive arctic oscillation (for the sake of ease, severe cold over the pole),
we see a positive eastern Pacific oscillation. Cold in Alaska, ridging north of Hawaii. This in turn forces ridging over the eastern US which is then fed by very warm water as it prevents cold intrusions, the ridging over Europe where it was quite warm and in much of Russia. What did we see this year? we see a positive eastern Pacific oscillation. Cold in Alaska, ridging north of Hawaii. This in turn forces ridging over the eastern US which is then fed by very warm water as it prevents cold intrusions, the ridging over Europe where it was quite warm and in much of Russia. What did we see this year?
Almost exactly that. The phase 6 look feeds heat into the ridge NNE of it. This, in turn, tightens the upper air jet due to increased gradients. Sinking air southeast of the main jet feeds the ridge, rising air northeast of the main jet helps intensify the trough. Once the feedback starts, with the SST not as warm on the west coast, it means what trough there is, tries to go into the west, not the Great Lakes. That in turn also allows the ridge to feed back in the southeast and the pattern repeats itself until such time the seasonal change or other large scale events can change it. Now look up there to compare and contrast that to the “snowmageddon” winter where heavy snow amounts were being blamed on “climate change”. Almost exactly that. The phase 6 look feeds heat into the ridge NNE of it. This, in turn, tightens the upper air jet due to increased gradients. Sinking air southeast of the main jet feeds the ridge, rising air northeast of the main jet helps intensify the trough. Once the feedback starts, with the SST not as warm on the west coast, it means what trough there is, tries to go into the west, not the Great Lakes. That in turn also allows the ridge to feed back in the southeast and the pattern repeats itself until such time the seasonal change or other large scale events can change it. Now look up there to compare and contrast that to the “snowmageddon” winter where heavy snow amounts were being blamed on “climate change”.
Think back to that winter. After the big December, snowstorm winter disappeared till the last 10 days of January then February went wild. Notice where that oscillation was in February 2010 (green) mainly in phase 8 certainly not in 6 (it was for a little while in January and it was mild). Think back to that winter. After the big December, snowstorm winter disappeared till the last 10 days of January then February went wild. Notice where that oscillation was in February 2010 (green) mainly in phase 8 certainly not in 6 (it was for a little while in January and it was mild).
Now notice where the center of the heavy precip was in Feb 2010.. Now notice where the center of the heavy precip was in Feb 2010..
..to the east not west of the dateline. That had to do with the SST centering of the warmth just east of the dateline. Warmer than what it is off South America and SST’s off the west coast warmer than what they are further west. The cold water off the east coast was a factor. ..to the east not west of the dateline. That had to do with the SST centering of the warmth just east of the dateline. Warmer than what it is off South America and SST’s off the west coast warmer than what they are further west. The cold water off the east coast was a factor.
These are big natural cyclical events. You never hear or see about this stuff when articles like this come out. Yet we can see them. Are they amplified with warmer oceans? I believe so. Is CO2 responsible? (Again, remember the numbers, man responsible for 25% of the .041% of the CO2 in the atmosphere the US only 15%, with the bands that CO2 absorbs radiation in from the warmer earth already saturated as per what Dr Will Happer has been trying to tell anyone that would listen) IS not actually looking at the major natural forcing, inherent in the tropical oceans, the Sea Surface temperatures and responses, worth the look and the examination in looking , the cause? These are big natural cyclical events. You never hear or see about this stuff when articles like this come out. Yet we can see them. Are they amplified with warmer oceans? I believe so. Is CO2 responsible? (Again, remember the numbers, man responsible for 25% of the .041% of the CO2 in the atmosphere the US only 15%, with the bands that CO2 absorbs radiation in from the warmer earth already saturated as per what Dr Will Happer has been trying to tell anyone that would listen) IS not actually looking at the major natural forcing, inherent in the tropical oceans, the Sea Surface temperatures and responses, worth the look and the examination in looking , the cause?
I always have to say, give people the why before the what, and in this case the great lesson is SST models can not be trusted all the time. Again, they are usually better. (BTW they are forecasting a La Niña next winter, which should lead to a reduction in overall global temperatures but not back to where they were before the SUPER El Niño and a whole new set of problems with that forecast.) But I have to question the messenger when the entire message is not given. In this case, even the novice can link this together and see that this winter had NATURES THUMBPRINT ALL OVER IT. At the very least there is plenty of reason to believe that this winter, like the other ones shown, is simply nature doing what nature does. No matter what CO2 does, get the same pattern and the same thing will happen. How does the increase since the 2009-2010 winter of 15ppm of CO2 lead to the opposite effect? Yet both are a sign of climate change. When any answer will do, its no answer at all.