naturalnews--2020-03-06--Coronavirus projection model death counts from March 6th through April 4th: How we get from 13 to 58

( Natural News ) Yesterday we released Revision 1 of our Pandemic Projection Model that shows 2.1 million coronavirus deaths in America by July 4th if nothing is done to stop the spread .
For those who don ’ t usually think in terms of exponential progressions , the numbers seem impossible .
But in fact , we ’ re already tracking very closely in terms of reality vs. the projected numbers .
Here , I ’ m publishing the expected coronavirus aggregate death count that we expect to see from March 6th ( today ) through April 4th , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 580 aggregate deaths in the USA .
The number of deaths being reported today for America is 15 , meaning the real world numbers are already one day ahead of the projection model ( which only predicts 13 deaths as of today ) .
Track these numbers each day to see where we are on the exponential growth curve How do we get to 580 deaths ?
As the projection shows below , each day is tied to a projected aggregate death count .
For example by March 15th , the model currently @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
( That ’ s not 54 new deaths on March 15th , but 54 total deaths all the way up to March 15th . )
By March 20th , that number is expected to be 104 deaths .
If the real numbers that we observe each day turn out to be lower than these projected numbers , it means the model is too pessimistic and we will re-calibrate the model based on incoming real-world data .
However , if the real numbers turn out to be higher than what ’ s projected @ @ @ @ @ @ @ than 2.16 million Americans would be expected to die by July 4th unless something is done to radically halt travel and social interaction .
In other words , the numbers you see below lead directly to 2.16 million deaths by July 4th unless something is done to stop the spread : That ’ s how we get to 580 deaths by April 4th , according to the current projections .
We hope to see far fewer deaths during these days , indicating aggressive steps are being taken to achieve social isolation and distancing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ declare a national emergency in either March or April .
Extreme restrictions on travel will be put into place beginning in April and accelerating through May .
Those efforts may substantially halt the exponential growth curve of this virus .
When that happens , we will add a new “ suppression ” factor to the projection model and recalculate the months of June , July and August .
The more aggressive the shutting down of society , the higher the suppression factor becomes .
Ultimately , the only way to halt the spread @ @ @ @ @ @ @ R0 value below 1.0 .
Once that is achieved , the virus fades out within a matter of a few months .
But achieving R0 of 1.0 seems almost impossible , which is why China couldn ’ t contain it and no country on the planet has been able to stop its transmission .
That ’ s how we got to over 6,500 infections in South Korea , of course .
Or 4,700+ infections in Iran .
The U.S. is currently on track to see 2.1 million deaths by July 4th unless something @ @ @ @ @ @ @ United States is on the same exponential growth curve as South Korea , Italy and Iran .
We ’ re just a few weeks behind them on the same curve .
Again , most people don ’ t understand that this virus is an “ exponential track ” that seems very small at first but rapidly explodes into an uncontrolled , sustained epidemic that spreads beyond containment .
That ’ s why U.S. governors and even the President are still getting bad information from advisors… because most bureaucrats can ’ t do math @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to prevent millions of infections in America , resulting in tens of thousands of deaths .
Those end results are very likely already “ baked in ” and can not be avoided .
It all depends on how quickly government officials shut down society and force the American population into strict isolation protocols .
Only then will a “ suppression factor ” begin to slow the explosive , exponential growth curve .
It ’ s pure mathematics at this point .
And you can ’ t argue with math , just like you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .

Coronavirus projection model death counts from March 6th through April 4th: How we get from 13 to 580 aggregate deaths in America
Yesterday we released Revision 1 of our Pandemic Projection Model that showsby July 4th if nothing is done to stop the spread.
For those who don't usually think in terms of exponential progressions, the numbers seem impossible. But in fact, we're already tracking very closely in terms of reality vs. the projected numbers.
Here, I'm publishing the expected coronavirus aggregate death count that we expect to see from March 6th (today) through April 4th, at which point the model currently projects 580 aggregate deaths in the USA.
The number of deaths being reported today for America is 15, meaning the real world numbers are already one day ahead of the projection model (which only predicts 13 deaths as of today).
Track these numbers each day to see where we are on the exponential growth curve
How do we get to 580 deaths? As the projection shows below, each day is tied to a projected aggregate death count. For example by March 15th, the model currently predicts 54 total deaths in the USA. (That's not 54 new deaths on March 15th, but 54 total deaths all the way up to March 15th.)
By March 20th, that number is expected to be 104 deaths.
If the real numbers that we observe each day turn out to be lower than these projected numbers, it means the model is too pessimistic and we will re-calibrate the model based on incoming real-world data. However, if the real numbers turn out to be higher than what's projected here, it would indicate that more than 2.16 million Americans would be expected to die by July 4th unless something is done to radically halt travel and social interaction.
In other words, the numbers you see below lead directly to 2.16 million deaths by July 4th unless something is done to stop the spread:
March 1: 3 aggregate deaths
March 2: 5
March 3: 6
March 4: 8
March 5: 10
March 6: 13 aggregate deaths
March 7: 15
March 8: 18
March 9: 22
March 10: 26
March 11: 30
March 12: 35
March 13: 40
March 14: 47
March 15: 54
March 16: 62
March 17: 71
March 18: 81
March 19: 92
March 20: 104
March 21: 118
March 22: 134
March 23: 151
March 24: 170
March 25: 191
March 26: 215
March 27: 241
March 28: 270
March 29: 303
March 30: 338
March 31: 378
April 1: 421
April 2: 469
April 3: 521
April 4: 580 aggregate deaths
That's how we get to 580 deaths by April 4th, according to the current projections.
We hope to see far fewer deaths during these days, indicating aggressive steps are being taken to achieve social isolation and distancing. Most likely, President Trump will declare a national emergency in either March or April. Extreme restrictions on travel will be put into place beginning in April and accelerating through May.
Those efforts may substantially halt the exponential growth curve of this virus. When that happens, we will add a new "suppression" factor to the projection model and recalculate the months of June, July and August.
The more aggressive the shutting down of society, the higher the suppression factor becomes. Ultimately, the only way to halt the spread of the virus is to get the R0 value below 1.0. Once that is achieved, the virus fades out within a matter of a few months. But achieving R0 of 1.0 seems almost impossible, which is why China couldn't contain it and no country on the planet has been able to stop its transmission.
That's how we got to over 6,500 infections in South Korea, of course. Or 4,700+ infections in Iran.
The U.S. is currently on track to see 2.1 million deaths by July 4th unless something is done to stop the spread
The United States is on the same exponential growth curve as South Korea, Italy and Iran. We're just a few weeks behind them on the same curve.
Again, most people don't understand that this virus is an "exponential track" that seems very small at first but rapidly explodes into an uncontrolled, sustained epidemic that spreads beyond containment. That's why U.S. governors and even the President are still getting bad information from advisors... because most bureaucrats can't do math.
It may already be too late to prevent millions of infections in America, resulting in tens of thousands of deaths. Those end results are very likely already "baked in" and cannot be avoided. It all depends on how quickly government officials shut down society and force the American population into strict isolation protocols. Only then will a "suppression factor" begin to slow the explosive, exponential growth curve.
It's pure mathematics at this point. And you can't argue with math, just like you can't negotiate with the virus.
Stay informed. Read Pandemic.news and watch videos on Brighteon.com.


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Big Pharma supply lines are collapsing, so if you want to survive you need to start turning to natur

( Natural News ) Perhaps you ’ ve noticed that the Trump administration is still telling the American people that all is well , and not to worry or really do anything in response to the Wuhan coronavirus ( CoVid-19 ) crisis other than to just wait for spring when the president believes that the novel disease will somehow vanish on its own .
But is this really the wisest approach to an ever-evolving situation with global economic and public health ramifications ?
In this age of economic interdependence and just-in-time supply chains , our answer to that question is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that it would be patently foolish to just sit around and hope for the best , especially as big-box stores in certain areas of the country are already experiencing panic buying and associated supply shortages .
Dr. James Lyons-Weiler , PhD , recently published a report on his website highlighting some little-known facts about the Wuhan coronavirus ( CoVid-19 ) of which you may not be aware .
Included in this report is a roundup of some known nutritional and supplemental remedies that could help you and your family stay safe from this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Hutton , MD , N-acetyl cysteine , selenium , spirulina , and high-dose glucosamine are all supplements of natural origin that have been scientifically shown to provide protection against RNA viruses like influenza and coronavirus .
In a paper entitled , “ Nutraceuticals have potential for boosting the type 1 interferon response to RNA viruses including influenza and coronavirus , ” researchers from the Catalytic Longevity Foundation and the Mid America Heart Institute at St. Luke ’ s Hospital found that these and other herb extractions such as elderberry possess symptomatically beneficial properties @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of infections such as coronavirus , which is definitely worth considering .
Listen below as Mike Adams , the Health Ranger , discusses other ways to defeat a coronavirus infection : If you ’ re deficient in selenium and other micronutrients , your chances of developing a severe Wuhan coronavirus ( CoVid-19 ) infection are significantly higher Believe it or not , selenium and other micronutrient deficiencies are directly linked to increased severity of coronavirus infections , which is why another paper entitled , “ Micronutrient Selenium Deficiency Influences Evolution of Some Viral @ @ @ @ @ @ @ people up their stores in order to boost their natural immune protection .
Another highly protective compound against coronaviruses is glycyrrhizin , one of the primary active components of licorice , which was found in yet another study to be toxic , and thus clinically effective , against SARS-associated coronavirus .
Since the Wuhan coronavirus ( CoVid-19 ) could be considered a cousin of SARS , it would only be logical to conclude that glycyrrhizin may be an effective natural remedy .
For those with an aversion to natural compounds , there are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ phosphate that other associated studies have determined to be effective against both MERS ( Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome ) and SARS ( severe acute respiratory syndrome ) .
Lyons-Weiler also suggests staying away from other people whenever it ’ s feasible to do so .
While avoiding people entirely is next to impossible , especially if you live in an urban or semi-urban environment that necessitates going out to buy groceries and other necessities on a regular basis , you can take basic steps such as not sharing food containers or utensils and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ even partially effective treatments are really the only tools we have to shut down the spread of this coronavirus , ” he writes .
“ Some of the best disinfectants are likely Oxivir TB and Lysol Disinfecting , both of which are claimed to kill the virus on a surface after two minutes.
” Be sure to check out the all-new Pandemic.news for more related news about the Wuhan coronavirus ( CoVid-19 ) .

Big Pharma supply lines are collapsing, so if you want to survive you need to start turning to natural medicine
Perhaps you've noticed that the Trump administration is still telling the American people that all is well, and not to worry or really doin response to the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) crisis other than to just wait for spring when the president believes that the novel disease will somehow vanish on its own. But is this really the wisest approach to an ever-evolving situation with global economic and public health ramifications?
In this age of economic interdependence and just-in-time supply chains, our answer to that question is a resounding no. Dare we say that it would be patently foolish to just sit around and hope for the best, especially as big-box stores in certain areas of the country are already experiencing panic buying and associated supply shortages.
Dr. James Lyons-Weiler, PhD, recently published a report on his website highlighting some little-known facts about the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) of which you may not be aware. Included in this report is a roundup of some known nutritional and supplemental remedies that could help you and your family stay safe from this growing pandemic.
According to Dr. Theron Hutton, MD, N-acetyl cysteine, selenium, spirulina, and high-dose glucosamine are all supplements of natural origin that have been scientifically shown to provide protection against RNA viruses like influenza and coronavirus.
In a paper entitled, "Nutraceuticals have potential for boosting the type 1 interferon response to RNA viruses including influenza and coronavirus," researchers from the Catalytic Longevity Foundation and the Mid America Heart Institute at St. Luke's Hospital found that these and other herb extractions such as elderberry possess symptomatically beneficial properties that can help to mediate the impact of infections such as coronavirus, which is definitely worth considering.
Listen below as Mike Adams, the Health Ranger, discusses other ways to defeat a coronavirus infection:
If you're deficient in selenium and other micronutrients, your chances of developing a severe Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) infection are significantly higher
Believe it or not, selenium and other micronutrient deficiencies are directly linked to increased severity of coronavirus infections, which is why another paper entitled, "Micronutrient Selenium Deficiency Influences Evolution of Some Viral Infectious Diseases" makes the suggestion that people up their stores in order to boost their natural immune protection.
Another highly protective compound against coronaviruses is glycyrrhizin, one of the primary active components of licorice, which was found in yet another study to be toxic, and thus clinically effective, against SARS-associated coronavirus. Since the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) could be considered a cousin of SARS, it would only be logical to conclude that glycyrrhizin may be an effective natural remedy.
For those with an aversion to natural compounds, there are also antiviral drugs like disulfiram and chloroquine phosphate that other associated studies have determined to be effective against both MERS (Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome) and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome).
Lyons-Weiler also suggests staying away from other people whenever it's feasible to do so. While avoiding people entirely is next to impossible, especially if you live in an urban or semi-urban environment that necessitates going out to buy groceries and other necessities on a regular basis, you can take basic steps such as not sharing food containers or utensils and avoiding medical facilities.
"Quarantine and even partially effective treatments are really the only tools we have to shut down the spread of this coronavirus," he writes. "Some of the best disinfectants are likely Oxivir TB and Lysol Disinfecting, both of which are claimed to kill the virus on a surface after two minutes."
Be sure to check out the all-new Pandemic.news for more related news about the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19).
Sources for this article include:
NaturalNews.com
JamesLyonsWeiler.com
ScienceDirect.com
Springer.com
TheLancet.com


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Philippines and Singapore look into COCONUT OIL molecules as potential cures for the coronavirus

( Natural News ) Coconut oil has been widely marketed as a superfood that provides a range of health benefits – from improving heart health to boosting brain function .
Now , researchers from Singapore and the Philippines are exploring its potential use as a treatment for the coronavirus disease ( COVID-19 ) .
The World Health Organization ( WHO ) has declared a global emergency over COVID-19 , with thousands of confirmed cases .
Originating in Wuhan , China , the deadly disease has continued to spread across several countries , including South Korea , Japan and the Philippines @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Ateneo de Manila University in the Philippines , recently raised the possibility of using coconut oil as a natural and safe antiviral agent against the new coronavirus strain ( SARS-CoV-2 ) .
“ Several researchers have been designing drugs to specifically target protease enzymes in coronavirus , but testing for these drugs is many months away , ” said Dayrit and co-author Mary Newport of Spring Hill Neonatology , Inc. in their paper .
“ What if there is a treatment candidate against the coronavirus that might already be available and whose safety @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Newport ’ s paper proposed three mechanisms to explain why lauric acid ( C12 ) and monolaurin , its derivative , harbor potent antiviral properties .
They claim that previous research has shown that both lauric acid and monolaurin contribute to the disintegration of the virus membrane , inhibit the maturation of the virus , and prevent the binding of the viral proteins to the host cell membrane .
The researchers noted that coconut oil and its derivatives are safe and effective antiviral compounds that can be used on both humans and animals @ @ @ @ @ @ @ antiviral and antibacterial protection these compounds provide to animals , they are often used as veterinary feed supplements for chickens , swine and dogs .
Monolaurin , in particular , has been shown to be effective at protecting chickens against the avian influenza virus .
The paper recommends that clinical studies should be conducted to compare the effects of coconut oil derivatives on patients infected with COVID-19 .
“ Given the considerable scientific evidence for the antiviral activity of coconut oil , lauric acid and its derivatives and their general safety , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ COVID-19 ] , we urge that clinical studies be conducted among patients who have been infected with [ COVID-19 ] , ” the paper read .
“ This treatment is affordable and virtually risk-free , and the potential benefits are enormous.
” ( Related : Coronavirus infections EXPLODE in South Korea as spread accelerates across Iran , Lebanon and Israel . )
In light of the Ateneo proposal , Philippine Cabinet Secretary Karlo Nograles announced that the National University of Singapore has agreed to test samples of virgin coconut oil ( VCO ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ viral strain .
“ … a leading proponent – an academician in one of our top universities – is spearheading this initiative and the National University of Singapore has accepted to test VCO against COVID-19 , ” Nograles said in a press briefing on Monday , February 24 .
“ We are now preparing sending [ sic ] samples of VCO for testing within the week.
” However , Nograles said that the Philippine Department of Health ( DOH ) is leading a government-wide effort to monitor , identify and contain all potential @ @ @ @ @ @ @ hopes that they maintain success in preventing the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus locally .
In response to Nograles ’ statements , DOH Secretary Francisco Duque III claims that they are also looking into the beneficial effects of VCO .
However , while they have heard of reputable studies regarding the efficacy of VCO , they will not use it to treat COVID-19 infections in the Philippines until the WHO confirms its antiviral effects .
Get the latest news and updates on COVID-19 at Pandemic.news .

Philippines and Singapore look into COCONUT OIL molecules as potential cures for the coronavirus
Coconut oil has been widely marketed as a superfood that provides a range of health benefits – from improving heart health to boosting brain function. Now, researchers from Singapore and the Philippines are exploring its potential use as a treatment for the coronavirus disease (COVID-19)
The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared a global emergency over COVID-19, with thousands of confirmed cases. Originating in Wuhan, China, the deadly disease has continued to spread across several countries, including South Korea, Japan and the Philippines.
Fabian Dayrit, professor emeritus from Ateneo de Manila University in the Philippines, recently raised the possibility of using coconut oil as a natural and safe antiviral agent against the new coronavirus strain (SARS-CoV-2).
“Several researchers have been designing drugs to specifically target protease enzymes in coronavirus, but testing for these drugs is many months away,” said Dayrit and co-author Mary Newport of Spring Hill Neonatology, Inc. in their paper. “What if there is a treatment candidate against the coronavirus that might already be available and whose safety is already established?”
Dayrit and Newport's paper proposed three mechanisms to explain why lauric acid (C12) and monolaurin, its derivative, harbor potent antiviral properties. They claim that previous research has shown that both lauric acid and monolaurin contribute to the disintegration of the virus membrane, inhibit the maturation of the virus, and prevent the binding of the viral proteins to the host cell membrane.
The researchers noted that coconut oil and its derivatives are safe and effective antiviral compounds that can be used on both humans and animals. In fact, because of the antiviral and antibacterial protection these compounds provide to animals, they are often used as veterinary feed supplements for chickens, swine and dogs. Monolaurin, in particular, has been shown to be effective at protecting chickens against the avian influenza virus.
The paper recommends that clinical studies should be conducted to compare the effects of coconut oil derivatives on patients infected with COVID-19.
“Given the considerable scientific evidence for the antiviral activity of coconut oil, lauric acid and its derivatives and their general safety, and the absence of a cure for [COVID-19], we urge that clinical studies be conducted among patients who have been infected with [COVID-19],” the paper read.
“This treatment is affordable and virtually risk-free, and the potential benefits are enormous.” (Related: Coronavirus infections EXPLODE in South Korea as spread accelerates across Iran, Lebanon and Israel.)
A joint operation
In light of the Ateneo proposal, Philippine Cabinet Secretary Karlo Nograles announced that the National University of Singapore has agreed to test samples of virgin coconut oil (VCO) to determine its efficacy against the SARS-CoV-2 viral strain.
“… a leading proponent – an academician in one of our top universities – is spearheading this initiative and the National University of Singapore has accepted to test VCO against COVID-19,” Nograles said in a press briefing on Monday, February 24. “We are now preparing sending [sic] samples of VCO for testing within the week.”
However, Nograles said that the Philippine Department of Health (DOH) is leading a government-wide effort to monitor, identify and contain all potential COVID-19 cases in the Philippines and he hopes that they maintain success in preventing the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus locally.
In response to Nograles' statements, DOH Secretary Francisco Duque III claims that they are also looking into the beneficial effects of VCO. However, while they have heard of reputable studies regarding the efficacy of VCO, they will not use it to treat COVID-19 infections in the Philippines until the WHO confirms its antiviral effects.
Get the latest news and updates on COVID-19 at Pandemic.news.
Sources include:
HealthImpactNews.com
Ateneo.edu
News.MB.com.ph


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Billionaire investor Ray Dalio warns of “worst-case scenario” with Coronavirus that could wipe out s

( Natural News ) Billionaire investor , hedge fund manager and founder of one of Bridgewater Associates said in an online post this week that the Wuhan coronavirus ( COVID-19 ) has the potential to become a once-in-a-lifetime pandemic .
Worse , he noted , though admitting he ’ s no virus expert , he believes that if the outbreak becomes a global pandemic and ordinary people with 401 ( k ) s and other retirement vehicles aren ’ t adequately protected , a major market ‘ correction ’ caused by the virus could wipe people out .
Writing on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ he doesn ’ t bet big on things about which he has little knowledge .
Also , he shuns making really large single bets , preferring to “ seek how to neutralize myself against big unknowns [ rather ] than how to bet on them.
” That ’ s true of the coronavirus , he continued .
But that said , he understands there is “ no getting around ” having to assess the situation and what ’ s going on in the world , what it all means as it relates to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , importantly , “ how we should deal with it.
” After discussing the issue with “ some of the world ’ s best experts , ” Dalio said as he sees it , there are three things going on that are very different but nonetheless “ related.
” — The economic impact of reactions to the virus ’ spread , — The action of the market in relation to those two factors .
They all will be affected by highly emotional reactions .
Individually and together they lend themselves to a giant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ off chance that it will trigger the downturn that I have been worried would happen with both the big wealth/political gap and the end of the big debt cycle ( when debts are high and central banks are impotent in trying to stimulate ) .
The virus will most likely come and go , perhaps creating a huge emotion-driven “ whipsaw ” effect .
It is possible , he says , that the virus will have a big impact globally , leading to many illnesses and deaths , but how all of that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the overall impact on markets .
Consequences of the virus will vary depending on geographic location — and the impact on markets .
The spread of the virus will depend on whether a country has capable leaders who act decisively and quickly , a decent healthcare infrastructure , a population that does what they are told in relation to stopping the spread of the virus , and a bureaucracy capable of enforcing policies and administering action plans .
( Related : WHO calling for URGENT production of medical supplies , says current stocks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it ’ s very likely that the virus ’ impact will cause deep disruptions in markets , though Dalio said it will be a “ decline followed by a rebound , which will probably not leave a big sustained economic impact.
” That said , he adds he has been “ told that we should expect much more serious problems ahead ” as more virus testing begins over the next couple of weeks — a process that will produce many more infected people .
“ While I don ’ t think this will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Dalio writes , “ I can ’ t say for sure that it won ’ t ” due to past historical events preceding dramatic fiscal decline and collapse .
Major conditions that have existed before major collapses include “ a large wealth/political gap ” in which populists on the Left and Right do battle , as well as large national debts and “ rising powers challenging the existing world powers , ” Dalio wrote .
“ It seems to me that this is one of those once in 100 years catastrophic events that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and those who don ’ t take insurance to protect themselves against it because they treat it as the exposed bet that they can take because it virtually never happens , ” Dalio wrote .
“ Imagine the worst-case scenario and protect yourself against it , ” he added .

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio warns of “worst-case scenario” with Coronavirus that could wipe out savings and destroy markets
Billionaire investor, hedge fund manager and founder of one of Bridgewater Associates said in an online post this week that the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) has the potential to become a once-in-a-lifetime pandemic.
Worse, he noted, though admitting he’s no virus expert, he believes that if the outbreak becomes a global pandemic and ordinary people with 401(k)s and other retirement vehicles aren’t adequately protected, a major market ‘correction’ caused by the virus could wipe people out.
Writing on LinkedIn, Dalio noted that historically, he doesn’t bet big on things about which he has little knowledge. Also, he shuns making really large single bets, preferring to “seek how to neutralize myself against big unknowns [rather] than how to bet on them.”
That’s true of the coronavirus, he continued. But that said, he understands there is “no getting around” having to assess the situation and what’s going on in the world, what it all means as it relates to the virus’ continued spread, and, importantly, “how we should deal with it.”
After discussing the issue with “some of the world’s best experts,” Dalio said as he sees it, there are three things going on that are very different but nonetheless “related.”
They are:
— The coronavirus,
— The economic impact of reactions to the virus’ spread,
— The action of the market in relation to those two factors.
He adds:
They all will be affected by highly emotional reactions. Individually and together they lend themselves to a giant whipsaw with big mispricings, with the off chance that it will trigger the downturn that I have been worried would happen with both the big wealth/political gap and the end of the big debt cycle (when debts are high and central banks are impotent in trying to stimulate).
The virus will most likely come and go, perhaps creating a huge emotion-driven “whipsaw” effect. It is possible, he says, that the virus will have a big impact globally, leading to many illnesses and deaths, but how all of that is handled will be key to determining the overall impact on markets. Consequences of the virus will vary depending on geographic location — and the impact on markets.
‘I can’t say for sure’
The spread of the virus will depend on whether a country has capable leaders who act decisively and quickly, a decent healthcare infrastructure, a population that does what they are told in relation to stopping the spread of the virus, and a bureaucracy capable of enforcing policies and administering action plans. (Related: WHO calling for URGENT production of medical supplies, says current stocks ”rapidly depleting.”)
Economically, it’s very likely that the virus’ impact will cause deep disruptions in markets, though Dalio said it will be a “decline followed by a rebound, which will probably not leave a big sustained economic impact.”
That said, he adds he has been “told that we should expect much more serious problems ahead” as more virus testing begins over the next couple of weeks — a process that will produce many more infected people.
“While I don’t think this will have a longer-term economic impact,” Dalio writes, “I can’t say for sure that it won’t” due to past historical events preceding dramatic fiscal decline and collapse.
Major conditions that have existed before major collapses include “a large wealth/political gap” in which populists on the Left and Right do battle, as well as large national debts and “rising powers challenging the existing world powers,” Dalio wrote.
“It seems to me that this is one of those once in 100 years catastrophic events that annihilates those who provide insurance against it and those who don’t take insurance to protect themselves against it because they treat it as the exposed bet that they can take because it virtually never happens,” Dalio wrote.
“Imagine the worst-case scenario and protect yourself against it,” he added.
Sources include:
LinkedIn.com
NaturalNews.com
TheNationalSentinel.com


naturalnews--2020-03-06--World Bank commits $12 billion in aid for countries hit by coronavirus, but experts are bracing for

( Natural News ) The World Bank on Tuesday has committed $ 12 billion in aid to help countries with the health and economic impacts of the global coronavirus ( COVID-19 ) outbreak .
The emergency aid package will include low-cost loans , grants and technical assistance , and is designed to provide a fast and reliable response for developing countries , especially those that are most risk from the coronavirus spread .
In a statement , the World Bank said that the poorest and most at-risk countries will be prioritized in distributing the aid .
“ Through this new @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Group will help developing countries strengthen health systems , including better access to health services to safeguard people from the epidemic , strengthen disease surveillance , bolster public health interventions , and work with the private sector to reduce the impact on economies , ” the organization added .
“ This financing is designed to help member countries take effective action to respond to and , where possible , lessen the tragic impacts posed by the COVID-19.
” Most of the $ 12 billion aid package will either come from previously available funds @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s International Finance Corporation , a global development institution under the World Bank that works with the private sector to create markets in developing countries .
The World Bank has identified the countries that are most vulnerable to the coronavirus outbreak , including Sri Lanka , Vietnam and the Philippines , given their weak health systems , limited financial resources and close economic ties with China .
As of Thursday , the World Health Organization reports over 95,000 cases of the coronavirus ( COVID-19 ) worldwide , of which more than 80,000 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reported their first cases of COVID-19 infections in the past 24 hours , including Bosnia and Herzegovina , Gibraltar , Hungary , Slovenia and the occupied Palestinian territory .
China has reported a decline in new infections and deaths in recent weeks , mainly due to draconian lockdowns placed in Hubei province , the epicenter of the global outbreak , and other key cities .
Currently , the number of new daily infections overseas exceed new cases in the country .
On the other hand , South Korea remains to be the worst-hit @ @ @ @ @ @ @ infections on Thursday .
“ The point is to move fast ; speed is needed to save lives , ” said World Bank President David Malpass , in a conference with reporters .
“ There are scenarios where much more resources may be required .
We ’ ll adapt our approach and resources as needed.
” Earlier this week , the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by 0.5 percent in a rare emergency move to protect the economy from the impact of the coronavirus – its biggest cut since the 2008 global financial @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Fed ’ s announcement , but ultimately sank .
On Thursday , both the S & P 500 and Nasdaq closed in the red at -3.39 and -3.10 percent , respectively .
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also warned that the current outbreak can halve global economic growth this year .
In an economic update released on Monday , the group lowered its central growth forecast from 2.9 to 2.4 percent , but noted that a drawn-out coronavirus outbreak – in particular , throughout the Asia-Pacific region , Europe and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ further to 1.5 percent this year .
It noted , however , that the global economy can still recover to 3.3 percent growth – provided new cases continue to decline in China and other outbreaks are mild and contained .
( Related : Global shippers now losing a billion dollars a month as pandemic-induced slump hits the world ’ s product transport infrastructure . )
“ The main message from this downside scenario is that it would put many countries into a recession , which is why we are urging measures to be @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as possible , ” said OECD chief economist Laurence Boone .
In China , officials are mulling a cut to its economic targets , as economists have already dented its target six-percent growth this year .
Bloomberg Economics has tempered its expected GDP growth for the first quarter of 2020 to 4.5 percent , while JPMorgan has slashed its first-quarter expectations to 4.9 percent .
The latter noted that the tourism , transportation , offline retail and entertainment industries will be affected by the downturn .
This week , factories across the country @ @ @ @ @ @ @ since the Lunar New Year .

World Bank commits $12 billion in aid for countries hit by coronavirus, but experts are bracing for a global recession
The World Bank on Tuesday has committed $12 billion in aid to help countries with the health and economic impacts of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. The emergency aid package will include low-cost loans, grants and technical assistance, and is designed to provide a fast and reliable response for developing countries , especially those that are most risk from the coronavirus spread. In a statement, the World Bank said that the poorest and most at-risk countries will be prioritized in distributing the aid.
“Through this new fast track package, the World Bank Group will help developing countries strengthen health systems, including better access to health services to safeguard people from the epidemic, strengthen disease surveillance, bolster public health interventions, and work with the private sector to reduce the impact on economies,” the organization added. “This financing is designed to help member countries take effective action to respond to and, where possible, lessen the tragic impacts posed by the COVID-19.”
Most of the $12 billion aid package will either come from previously available funds, or will come from the bank's International Finance Corporation, a global development institution under the World Bank that works with the private sector to create markets in developing countries.
The World Bank has identified the countries that are most vulnerable to the coronavirus outbreak, including Sri Lanka, Vietnam and the Philippines, given their weak health systems, limited financial resources and close economic ties with China.
As of Thursday, the World Health Organization reports over 95,000 cases of the coronavirus (COVID-19) worldwide, of which more than 80,000 are in China. Five countries have reported their first cases of COVID-19 infections in the past 24 hours, including Bosnia and Herzegovina, Gibraltar, Hungary, Slovenia and the occupied Palestinian territory.
China has reported a decline in new infections and deaths in recent weeks, mainly due to draconian lockdowns placed in Hubei province, the epicenter of the global outbreak, and other key cities. Currently, the number of new daily infections overseas exceed new cases in the country. On the other hand, South Korea remains to be the worst-hit country outside China, adding 760 new infections on Thursday.
“The point is to move fast; speed is needed to save lives,” said World Bank President David Malpass, in a conference with reporters. “There are scenarios where much more resources may be required. We'll adapt our approach and resources as needed.”
Global recession looming
Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by 0.5 percent in a rare emergency move to protect the economy from the impact of the coronavirus – its biggest cut since the 2008 global financial crisis. Stock prices temporarily rallied after the Fed's announcement, but ultimately sank. On Thursday, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed in the red at -3.39 and -3.10 percent, respectively.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also warned that the current outbreak can halve global economic growth this year. In an economic update released on Monday, the group lowered its central growth forecast from 2.9 to 2.4 percent, but noted that a drawn-out coronavirus outbreak – in particular, throughout the Asia-Pacific region, Europe and North America – could sink it even further to 1.5 percent this year. It noted, however, that the global economy can still recover to 3.3 percent growth – provided new cases continue to decline in China and other outbreaks are mild and contained. (Related: Global shippers now losing a billion dollars a month as pandemic-induced slump hits the world’s product transport infrastructure.)
“The main message from this downside scenario is that it would put many countries into a recession, which is why we are urging measures to be taken in the affected areas as quickly as possible,” said OECD chief economist Laurence Boone.
In China, officials are mulling a cut to its economic targets, as economists have already dented its target six-percent growth this year. Bloomberg Economics has tempered its expected GDP growth for the first quarter of 2020 to 4.5 percent, while JPMorgan has slashed its first-quarter expectations to 4.9 percent. The latter noted that the tourism, transportation, offline retail and entertainment industries will be affected by the downturn. This week, factories across the country have started to open after being idled since the Lunar New Year.
Sources include:
TheEpochTimes.com
NYTimes.com 1
WHO.int [PDF]
NewsHub.co.nz
NYTimes.com 2
Markets.BusinessInsider.com
Courant.com


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Seattle nursing home now seen as possible epicenter of US coronavirus outbreak

( Natural News ) A nursing home located in a Seattle suburb is now at the center of an investigation after four of its residents died from the dreaded coronavirus .
In a report by the U.S. Sun , six people — including the four from the nursing home — have already died in Washington state from the new disease .
Families of the patients have described the situation surrounding the nursing home — identified as Life Care Center of Kirkland — as “ sort of like a movie about an epidemic in a little town , and they don @ @ @ @ @ @ @ situation.
” The family members , speaking to CBS News , expressed their concern that while their loved ones are currently being isolated in their rooms and their temperatures monitored daily , those who are showing symptoms will not be tested or hospitalized until they become critically ill. Carmen Gray , whose mother Susan Haley is under quarantine at the nursing home , said that she had asked to get her mother tested for the virus but that the center told her that her mother “ did not meet the criteria at this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ held hostage in a petri dish , ” she said .
As of this writing , more than 50 individuals , including 27 residents and 25 workers , have fallen ill at the center .
It is still not sure if they are infected with the COVID-19 coronavirus .
The deaths are all counted as part of at least 18 coronavirus cases that have been reported in the Washington area .
According to researchers , the virus may have been circulating undetected for weeks .
Washington is one of the states with the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ At least four cases were confirmed in Snohomish County , including one death , while 14 cases were confirmed in King County , with five deaths .
Dow Constantine , King County executive , said the county will purchase a local motel and convert it into a quarantine area , adding that the authorities are expecting the new facility to be done by the end of the week .
King County Public Health Officer Jeff Duchin , meanwhile , said that while they expect the number of cases to increase in the coming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a “ very fluid , fast-moving situation , ” as they will “ aggressively respond ” to the outbreak .
Tom Frieden , a former director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ( CDC ) , said authorities must take steps to ensure the safety and health of Americans who are currently living in nursing homes and similar facilities .
“ One thing that is clear is that nursing homes and hospitals are potentially at greater risk , and we are really going to have to think hard about what can @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Frieden said .
Life Care , in a statement posted on its website , says they have not been provided testing kits , and that they are currently relying on local hospitals , as well as the local and state health departments and the CDC to confirm potential coronavirus cases .
As a way to address the spread of the coronavirus , local officials have recommended residents of Seattle and surrounding communities who are aged 60 and above — as well as those who have underlying health conditions — to remain in their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ recommended that community groups cancel events that would bring together more than 10 people , as they could possibly further spread the coronavirus .
U.S .
Surgeon General Jerome Adams has since called for caution but not panic over the spread of the coronavirus , urging the public to take precautions such as washing hands and limited physical contact .
( Related : WHO calling for URGENT production of medical supplies , says current stocks ” rapidly depleting.
” ) As of press time , the CDC pegs the total number of coronavirus @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with total deaths pegged at nine .

Seattle nursing home now seen as possible epicenter of US coronavirus outbreak
A nursing home located in a Seattle suburb is now at the center of an investigation after four of its residents died from the dreaded coronavirus . In a report by the U.S. Sun, six people -- including the four from the nursing home -- have already died in Washington state from the new disease.
Families of the patients have described the situation surrounding the nursing home -- identified as Life Care Center of Kirkland -- as “sort of like a movie about an epidemic in a little town, and they don’t know how to handle the situation.”
The family members, speaking to CBS News, expressed their concern that while their loved ones are currently being isolated in their rooms and their temperatures monitored daily, those who are showing symptoms will not be tested or hospitalized until they become critically ill. Carmen Gray, whose mother Susan Haley is under quarantine at the nursing home, said that she had asked to get her mother tested for the virus but that the center told her that her mother “did not meet the criteria at this time.”
“They’re being held hostage in a petri dish,” she said.
As of this writing, more than 50 individuals, including 27 residents and 25 workers, have fallen ill at the center. It is still not sure if they are infected with the COVID-19 coronavirus.
The deaths are all counted as part of at least 18 coronavirus cases that have been reported in the Washington area. According to researchers, the virus may have been circulating undetected for weeks.
Washington is one of the states with the most cases of the COVID-19 coronavirus: At least four cases were confirmed in Snohomish County, including one death, while 14 cases were confirmed in King County, with five deaths.
Dow Constantine, King County executive, said the county will purchase a local motel and convert it into a quarantine area, adding that the authorities are expecting the new facility to be done by the end of the week.
King County Public Health Officer Jeff Duchin, meanwhile, said that while they expect the number of cases to increase in the coming days and weeks, it will be a “very fluid, fast-moving situation,” as they will “aggressively respond” to the outbreak.
Tom Frieden, a former director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said authorities must take steps to ensure the safety and health of Americans who are currently living in nursing homes and similar facilities.
“One thing that is clear is that nursing homes and hospitals are potentially at greater risk, and we are really going to have to think hard about what can be done to protect them,” Frieden said.
Life Care, in a statement posted on its website, says they have not been provided testing kits, and that they are currently relying on local hospitals, as well as the local and state health departments and the CDC to confirm potential coronavirus cases.
As a way to address the spread of the coronavirus, local officials have recommended residents of Seattle and surrounding communities who are aged 60 and above -- as well as those who have underlying health conditions -- to remain in their homes. In addition, authorities have recommended that community groups cancel events that would bring together more than 10 people, as they could possibly further spread the coronavirus.
U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams has since called for caution but not panic over the spread of the coronavirus, urging the public to take precautions such as washing hands and limited physical contact. (Related: WHO calling for URGENT production of medical supplies, says current stocks” rapidly depleting.”)
As of press time, the CDC pegs the total number of coronavirus cases in the U.S. at 80, with total deaths pegged at nine.
Sources include:
The-Sun.com
CBSNews.com
LCCA.com
NYTimes.com
CDC.gov


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Kirkland, Washington residents still reeling from coronavirus – stores running out of stock, firefig

( Natural News ) As coronavirus ( COVID-19 ) sweeps across America , residents of all 50 states cope with the spread of the disease in their own ways .
In Kirkland , Washington , parents try to protect their children by keeping them at home instead of letting them play outside .
Over two dozen firefighters are still in quarantine in the city .
Life in Kirkland has changed a lot since coronavirus spread across the once-thriving city .
These days , people refrain from shaking hands , and restaurants are almost always empty .
The suburb , which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ located just east of Seattle , which was once famous for its breath-taking lakefront views , is now the epicenter of coronavirus .
Out of the 11 recorded U.S. deaths from coronavirus , eight were residents of Life Care Center ( LCC ) , a local nursing home in the city .
LCC associates are struggling to care for others who may have been infected at the nursing home .
Reports reveal that another death has occurred at a Kirkland hospital .
On Thursday , March 5 , Seema Verma , head of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Services , said that the agency would be deploying inspectors to LCC .
Experts from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ( CDC ) were also sent to the nursing home to determine how coronavirus spread and whether LCC adhered to guidelines for preventing infections .
In April 2019 , the state fined LCC $ 67,000 due to infection-control deficiencies after two flu outbreaks that affected 17 patients and staff .
Verma added that an unannounced follow-up inspection in June of the same year confirmed that LCC took action to address the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ or fatalistic ” Hamid Dabbaghian , a 48-year-old cashier at Whole Foods in the city , expressed regret at not being able to show affection to his kids .
Dabbaghian , who recently moved to Kirkland from Iran , is afraid that he might catch coronavirus and that he might then accidentally infect his children .
He noted that as someone who has recently moved to America , he ’ s very concerned about what might happen to his family if he does get infected .
Other Kirkland residents are either “ nonchalant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to those who lost their lives due to coronavirus , they don ’ t see the point of letting the disease put their own lives to a halt .
Doug Evanson , a 57-year-old Uber driver , doesn ’ t think he needs to stock up on drinking water when his home has a tap .
Evanson frequently drives healthcare workers at LCC .
Kirkland , an upscale suburb on the east shore of Lake Washington , offers visitors beautiful sunset views over the water .
Downtown Kirkland is also home to art @ @ @ @ @ @ @ League baseball field .
On February 29 , Saturday , residents found out that a man in his 50s died from coronavirus the day before at Kirkland ’ s EvergreenHealth Medical Center .
The patient also had underlying health conditions .
Last week , the country thought this was the first U.S. death from the coronavirus outbreak .
However , officials soon announced that two infected residents of LCC succumbed to the disease two days earlier .
Panic spread as national news crews honed in on the nursing home for updates .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ LCC to transport critically ill patients to the hospital .
Stores in Kirkland then quickly ran out of canned goods , disinfectants , water , toilet paper and other supplies while residents scrambled to stock up for a possible quarantine .
( Related : Would you pay $ 400 for hand sanitizer ?
Amazon should stop price gouging amidst coronavirus panic-buying , urges US lawmaker . )
Stock up before it ’ s too late Silas Kropp , a 43-year-old who lives near LCC , fears the city ’ s current situation .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ for updates on the nursing home and the condition of its staff and residents .
Residents with loved ones at LCC are worried since the facility isn ’ t answering their inquiries .
On March 4 , Wednesday , six LCC residents and a woman who works at the nursing home were hospitalized in Kirkland .
Officials reported that some of the patients were in critical condition .
This Monday , the city announced that two police officers and 27 firefighters , which is a quarter of Kirkland ’ s Fire Department , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the two dozen firefighters were exposed to patients from LCC .
Officials advised residents to stay calm .
To prevent the spread of coronavirus , it is crucial to stay at home when sick , avoid contact with sick people and wash hands frequently .
On March 3 , Tuesday , America ’ s death toll increased to nine , with eight of the patients being residents from Kirkland .
Katya Difani , an herbalist and the owner of Herban Wellness , a downtown store selling natural remedies , reports that her sales @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Difani noted that more residents are purchasing immunity boosters and natural sanitizing spray .
She added that customers tell her they aren ’ t panic buying .
Rather , they ’ re preparing before SHTF .
Don ’ t waste time worrying about what your non-prepper neighbors might say .
Now ’ s the time to put your prepping skills and survival stockpile to good use .

Kirkland, Washington residents still reeling from coronavirus – stores running out of stock, firefighters remain quarantined
As coronavirus (COVID-19) sweeps across America, residents of all 50 states cope with the spread of the disease in their own ways. In Kirkland, Washington, parents try to protect their children by keeping them at home instead of letting them play outside. Over two dozen firefighters are still in quarantine in the city.
Life in Kirkland has changed a lot since coronavirus spread across the once-thriving city. These days, people refrain from shaking hands, and restaurants are almost always empty. The suburb, which has a population of 90,000 and is located just east of Seattle, which was once famous for its breath-taking lakefront views, is now the epicenter of coronavirus.
Out of the 11 recorded U.S. deaths from coronavirus, eight were residents of Life Care Center (LCC), a local nursing home in the city. LCC associates are struggling to care for others who may have been infected at the nursing home. Reports reveal that another death has occurred at a Kirkland hospital.
On Thursday, March 5, Seema Verma, head of the federal Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said that the agency would be deploying inspectors to LCC. Experts from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) were also sent to the nursing home to determine how coronavirus spread and whether LCC adhered to guidelines for preventing infections.
In April 2019, the state fined LCC $67,000 due to infection-control deficiencies after two flu outbreaks that affected 17 patients and staff. Verma added that an unannounced follow-up inspection in June of the same year confirmed that LCC took action to address the issue.
Residents are either "nonchalant or fatalistic"
Hamid Dabbaghian, a 48-year-old cashier at Whole Foods in the city, expressed regret at not being able to show affection to his kids. Dabbaghian, who recently moved to Kirkland from Iran, is afraid that he might catch coronavirus and that he might then accidentally infect his children. He noted that as someone who has recently moved to America, he's very concerned about what might happen to his family if he does get infected.
Other Kirkland residents are either "nonchalant or fatalistic." While they are sympathetic to those who lost their lives due to coronavirus, they don't see the point of letting the disease put their own lives to a halt. Doug Evanson, a 57-year-old Uber driver, doesn't think he needs to stock up on drinking water when his home has a tap. Evanson frequently drives healthcare workers at LCC.
Kirkland, an upscale suburb on the east shore of Lake Washington, offers visitors beautiful sunset views over the water. Downtown Kirkland is also home to art galleries, a marina and a Little League baseball field. On February 29, Saturday, residents found out that a man in his 50s died from coronavirus the day before at Kirkland's EvergreenHealth Medical Center. The patient also had underlying health conditions.
Last week, the country thought this was the first U.S. death from the coronavirus outbreak. However, officials soon announced that two infected residents of LCC succumbed to the disease two days earlier. Panic spread as national news crews honed in on the nursing home for updates. The now quarantined firefighters were previously called to LCC to transport critically ill patients to the hospital.
Stores in Kirkland then quickly ran out of canned goods, disinfectants, water, toilet paper and other supplies while residents scrambled to stock up for a possible quarantine. (Related: Would you pay $400 for hand sanitizer? Amazon should stop price gouging amidst coronavirus panic-buying, urges US lawmaker.)
Stock up before it's too late
Silas Kropp, a 43-year-old who lives near LCC, fears the city's current situation. Television reporters are on stand-by at LCC for updates on the nursing home and the condition of its staff and residents.
Residents with loved ones at LCC are worried since the facility isn't answering their inquiries.
On March 4, Wednesday, six LCC residents and a woman who works at the nursing home were hospitalized in Kirkland. Officials reported that some of the patients were in critical condition. This Monday, the city announced that two police officers and 27 firefighters, which is a quarter of Kirkland's Fire Department, were quarantined.
The police officers and the two dozen firefighters were exposed to patients from LCC. Officials advised residents to stay calm. To prevent the spread of coronavirus, it is crucial to stay at home when sick, avoid contact with sick people and wash hands frequently.
On March 3, Tuesday, America's death toll increased to nine, with eight of the patients being residents from Kirkland. Katya Difani, an herbalist and the owner of Herban Wellness, a downtown store selling natural remedies, reports that her sales increased by 70 percent since Saturday. Difani noted that more residents are purchasing immunity boosters and natural sanitizing spray. She added that customers tell her they aren't panic buying. Rather, they're preparing before SHTF.
Don't waste time worrying about what your non-prepper neighbors might say. Now's the time to put your prepping skills and survival stockpile to good use.
Sources include:
LATimes.com
PBS.org


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Massive economic disruptions ahead as businesses in Washington state brace for upswing in coronaviru

( Natural News ) With 51 confirmed coronavirus cases and 10 deaths , King County has been the center of the outbreak in Washington state .
Now , county officials are suggesting its over two million residents to work from home in an attempt to reduce the number of infections .
“ Workplaces should enact measures that allow people who can work from home to do so , ” said King County officials in a statement Wednesday night .
“ Taking these measures can help reduce the number of workers who come into contact with COVID-19 and help minimize absenteeism @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the recommendation , officials are also encouraging people at higher risk of severe illness to stay away from large groups of people and to stay at home .
Included in the list of people at higher risk of severe illness are those who have underlying health conditions ( including heart disease , lung disease or diabetes ) , have weakened immune systems , who are pregnant and who over the age of 60 .
Meanwhile , they ’ re also recommending that people avoid visits to hospitals , long term care facilities , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t come as a surprise as most of the confirmed cases have come from the Life Care Center nursing home in Kirkland .
With people being asked to work from home , some are fearing massive economic disruption at a similar scale to that which is happening in China .
Since the Chinese government ’ s lockdown of industrial cities like Wuhan , the country ’ s industrial output has gone down drastically .
( Related : COVID-19 outbreak hits drug factories , pharmaceutical shortage now inevitable . )
The downturn in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a knock-on effect that ’ s affecting businesses around the globe .
An overwhelming number of companies rely on Chinese factories to provide the products that they sell — products that are no longer reaching company warehouses , let alone store shelves , due to the quarantine .
The spread of the virus is primarily a massive supply shock to the Chinese economy .
Production across the country is severely affected by closed factories , ” stated Stefan Legge , an economist and trade expert at the University of St. Gallen in Switzerland @ @ @ @ @ @ @ powerhouse as China , King County is Washington state ’ s most populous county that also includes the cities of Seattle and Redmond .
The latter houses the headquarters of Microsoft .
Meanwhile , tech giants Amazon , Google and Facebook all have offices in Seattle .
Most of these companies , however , have already either allowed or outright ordered their employees in the county to work from home .
Being in the information technology and software sector , these companies are probably the least affected by having employees working from home @ @ @ @ @ @ @ bigger threat to the economy may lie not in King County , but in neighboring Snohomish County .
The latter has already seen 18 confirmed cases of COVID-19 , making it second only to King County in terms of confirmed cases .
Snohomish County is also home to Boeing ’ s Paine Field assembly plant in the city of Everett .
The Paine Field assembly plant is the largest building in the world by volume and builds some of the world ’ s largest passenger planes , including the 747 , 777 and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s largest employer , with over 30,000 people working in the factory .
Should the factory be forced to shut down , even temporarily , these 30,000 people would be out of work .
A shut down would also be another blow to Boeing .
The aerospace giant is currently embroiled in a scandal after two of its new 737 MAX airliners crashed within five months of each other , causing the fleet to be grounded .
The crashes and their ongoing investigation has been estimated to have cost Boeing at least @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 737 MAX orders , legal costs , production line suspensions .
The problems with the 737 MAX are already expected to have negative consequences not only on Boeing but on the U.S. aviation industry as a whole .
A forced shut down of Boeing ’ s Paine Field plant could have even direr implications for an already battered industry .

Massive economic disruptions ahead as businesses in Washington state brace for upswing in coronavirus infections
With 51 confirmed coronavirus cases and 10 deaths, King County has been the center of the outbreak in Washington state. Now, county officials are suggesting its over two million residents to work from home in an attempt to reduce the number of infections.
“Workplaces should enact measures that allow people who can work from home to do so,” said King County officials in a statement Wednesday night. “Taking these measures can help reduce the number of workers who come into contact with COVID-19 and help minimize absenteeism due to illness.”
In addition to the recommendation, officials are also encouraging people at higher risk of severe illness to stay away from large groups of people and to stay at home. Included in the list of people at higher risk of severe illness are those who have underlying health conditions (including heart disease, lung disease or diabetes), have weakened immune systems, who are pregnant and who over the age of 60. Meanwhile, they’re also recommending that people avoid visits to hospitals, long term care facilities, and nursing homes. The latter shouldn’t come as a surprise as most of the confirmed cases have come from the Life Care Center nursing home in Kirkland.
Work from home raises fears of economic disruption
With people being asked to work from home, some are fearing massive economic disruption at a similar scale to that which is happening in China. Since the Chinese government’s lockdown of industrial cities like Wuhan, the country’s industrial output has gone down drastically. (Related: COVID-19 outbreak hits drug factories, pharmaceutical shortage now inevitable.)
The downturn in China’s industrial output has produced a knock-on effect that’s affecting businesses around the globe. An overwhelming number of companies rely on Chinese factories to provide the products that they sell -- products that are no longer reaching company warehouses, let alone store shelves, due to the quarantine.
The spread of the virus is primarily a massive supply shock to the Chinese economy. Production across the country is severely affected by closed factories,” stated Stefan Legge, an economist and trade expert at the University of St. Gallen in Switzerland.
While not as large an economic powerhouse as China, King County is Washington state’s most populous county that also includes the cities of Seattle and Redmond. The latter houses the headquarters of Microsoft. Meanwhile, tech giants Amazon, Google and Facebook all have offices in Seattle.
Most of these companies, however, have already either allowed or outright ordered their employees in the county to work from home. Being in the information technology and software sector, these companies are probably the least affected by having employees working from home.
Dangers the next county over
A bigger threat to the economy may lie not in King County, but in neighboring Snohomish County. The latter has already seen 18 confirmed cases of COVID-19, making it second only to King County in terms of confirmed cases. Snohomish County is also home to Boeing’s Paine Field assembly plant in the city of Everett.
The Paine Field assembly plant is the largest building in the world by volume and builds some of the world’s largest passenger planes, including the 747, 777 and 787. It also serves as Everett’s largest employer, with over 30,000 people working in the factory. Should the factory be forced to shut down, even temporarily, these 30,000 people would be out of work.
A shut down would also be another blow to Boeing. The aerospace giant is currently embroiled in a scandal after two of its new 737 MAX airliners crashed within five months of each other, causing the fleet to be grounded. The crashes and their ongoing investigation has been estimated to have cost Boeing at least $18.4 billion in 2019 from canceled 737 MAX orders, legal costs, production line suspensions.
The problems with the 737 MAX are already expected to have negative consequences not only on Boeing but on the U.S. aviation industry as a whole. A forced shut down of Boeing’s Paine Field plant could have even direr implications for an already battered industry.
Sources include:
TheEpochTimes.com
NBCNews.com
Nasdaq.com


naturalnews--2020-03-06--UK government launches campaign to stop coronavirus spread, urges everyone to wash their hands

( Natural News ) The U.K. government is urging people to wash their hands as often as necessary and to avoid touching their faces with unclean hands .
The advice comes as part of the second phase of a massive public awareness campaign , which aims to minimize the spread of the coronavirus .
Health officials say that the virus may be picked up just by touching contaminated objects .
People infected with the virus can leave it on hard metal or plastic surfaces , such as doorknobs or handrails in public places , if they sneeze or cough onto @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The coronavirus is believed to remain contagious on a hard surface for up to 72 hours .
Professor Chris Whitty , U.K. ’ s chief medical adviser , said that people who touch contaminated surfaces are at risk of infection if they then touch their faces without washing .
“ The virus can enter the body through the eyes , nose and mouth , but not through the skin , ” he explained , in a meeting with Parliament ’ s Health and Social Care Committee on Wednesday .
To stop further spreading @ @ @ @ @ @ @ together with the National Health Service ( NHS ) and Public Health England ( PHE ) , are urging people to wash their hands for 20 seconds at a time using hot water and soap .
Crucial moments when hand hygiene is paramount include after arriving home or at work ; after blowing your nose , coughing or sneezing ; and before handling any food .
According to Professor Linfa Wang , a virologist and director of the Emerging Infectious Diseases Program at Duke-NUS Medical School in Singapore , coronavirus transmission through the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ than through the air , as people are all wearing masks but are not doing anything to protect their hands .
He stressed the importance of hand hygiene for public health in the face of the coronavirus crisis .
Here ’ s a guide posted on the NHS website on how to wash your hands thoroughly to protect yourself from the coronavirus and other illnesses .
Besides frequent hand washing , people are also advised to cough or sneeze into tissues to prevent transmission of the virus through droplets .
Covering the mouth @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as the virus can be coughed into the air by an infected person and inhaled by others .
Used tissues should be disposed of immediately in the trash .
“ We all have a role to play in stopping this disease and that ’ s what this expanded campaign is all about – making sure the public knows exactly what they should be doing to keep themselves and others safe .
Washing hands regularly is the single most important thing that an individual can do , ” said U.K. Health and Social Care @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on the U.K. government ’ s website .
The number of confirmed cases in the U.K. has now reached 115 as of yesterday , according to a report by BBC News .
( Related : UK now on the verge of a coronavirus epidemic , warn health experts . )
In response to the growing number of coronavirus cases worldwide , the World Health Organization ( WHO ) has posted its recommendations for the public on its website .
Among many things , the agency advises regular hand washing and not touching the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ possible transfer of the virus .
The WHO also emphasizes the importance of practicing respiratory hygiene and seeking medical care early .
People who feel unwell are advised to stay home or seek medical attention if they show common symptoms of coronavirus infection , such as fever , cough and difficulty breathing .
As a preventive measure , the WHO recommends maintaining social distancing , especially in public places .
Putting a good three feet between yourself and another person can help you avoid infection through small liquid droplets he or she might @ @ @ @ @ @ @ agency also encourages active participation in the fight against the coronavirus by staying aware of the latest information from national and local public health authorities , and by following the advice of health care providers .

UK government launches campaign to stop coronavirus spread, urges everyone to wash their hands
The U.K. government is urging people to wash their hands as often as necessary and to avoid touching their faces with unclean hands. The advice comes as part of the second phase of a massive public awareness campaign , which aims to minimize the spread of the coronavirus.
Health officials say that the virus may be picked up just by touching contaminated objects. People infected with the virus can leave it on hard metal or plastic surfaces, such as doorknobs or handrails in public places, if they sneeze or cough onto their hands and neglect washing them. The coronavirus is believed to remain contagious on a hard surface for up to 72 hours.
Proper hygiene to prevent the coronavirus outbreak
Professor Chris Whitty, U.K.'s chief medical adviser, said that people who touch contaminated surfaces are at risk of infection if they then touch their faces without washing.
“The virus can enter the body through the eyes, nose and mouth, but not through the skin,” he explained, in a meeting with Parliament's Health and Social Care Committee on Wednesday.
To stop further spreading of the coronavirus, local authorities, together with the National Health Service (NHS) and Public Health England (PHE), are urging people to wash their hands for 20 seconds at a time using hot water and soap. Crucial moments when hand hygiene is paramount include after arriving home or at work; after blowing your nose, coughing or sneezing; and before handling any food.
According to Professor Linfa Wang, a virologist and director of the Emerging Infectious Diseases Program at Duke-NUS Medical School in Singapore, coronavirus transmission through the hands is likely to be more common than through the air, as people are all wearing masks but are not doing anything to protect their hands. He stressed the importance of hand hygiene for public health in the face of the coronavirus crisis.
Here's a guide posted on the NHS website on how to wash your hands thoroughly to protect yourself from the coronavirus and other illnesses.
Besides frequent hand washing, people are also advised to cough or sneeze into tissues to prevent transmission of the virus through droplets. Covering the mouth is important, says health officials, as the virus can be coughed into the air by an infected person and inhaled by others. Used tissues should be disposed of immediately in the trash.
“We all have a role to play in stopping this disease and that’s what this expanded campaign is all about – making sure the public knows exactly what they should be doing to keep themselves and others safe. Washing hands regularly is the single most important thing that an individual can do,” said U.K. Health and Social Care Secretary Matt Hancock in a statement posted on the U.K. government's website.
The number of confirmed cases in the U.K. has now reached 115 as of yesterday, according to a report by BBC News. (Related: UK now on the verge of a coronavirus epidemic, warn health experts.)
Protective measures against the coronavirus
In response to the growing number of coronavirus cases worldwide, the World Health Organization (WHO) has posted its recommendations for the public on its website.
Among many things, the agency advises regular hand washing and not touching the eyes, nose and mouth to avoid possible transfer of the virus. The WHO also emphasizes the importance of practicing respiratory hygiene and seeking medical care early. People who feel unwell are advised to stay home or seek medical attention if they show common symptoms of coronavirus infection, such as fever, cough and difficulty breathing.
As a preventive measure, the WHO recommends maintaining social distancing, especially in public places. Putting a good three feet between yourself and another person can help you avoid infection through small liquid droplets he or she might spray when coughing or sneezing. The agency also encourages active participation in the fight against the coronavirus by staying aware of the latest information from national and local public health authorities, and by following the advice of health care providers.
Sources include:
Brighteon.com 1
Brighteon.com 2
DailyMail.co.uk
Gov.uk
NHS.uk
WHO.int


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Israel bars entry to 5 European countries amid coronavirus outbreak, cancels joint operations with U

( Natural News ) Israel has imposed tightened travel restrictions on five European countries on Wednesday due to coronavirus fears , effectively barring entry to nearly all non-residents arriving from the affected countries .
Further , the Jewish state also ordered all residents and citizens returning from Austria , France , Germany , Spain and Switzerland to go into a 14-day home quarantine as soon as they enter Israeli territory .
Prior to this , similar measures have already been imposed for those traveling from China , Thailand , Hong Kong , Singapore and Macau , according to a report @ @ @ @ @ @ @ OSAC ) .
“ We are at the peak of a global epidemic , ” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said during his announcement of the latest travel bans .
“ We are in a better situation than other countries because , since the beginning , I have given instructions to the maximum possible , not the minimum level of precaution .
And we have taken strict , very strict measures , to slow the spread of the virus.
” According to the guidelines provided by the country ’ s health ministry , foreigners @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will be barred from entering Israeli territory unless they provide proof that they have a place to stay in for quarantine .
The interior ministry also released a statement saying that tourists flocking into Israel from the affected countries will not be able to enter the Jewish state “ from Friday at 8:00 am ( 0600 GMT ) .
” In addition , international conventions and gatherings of more than 5,000 people have been prohibited .
At the time of writing , Israel only has 15 confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about 7,000 citizens have opted to self-quarantine themselves in their own homes .
Even during the height of the country ’ s election period on Monday , many people under quarantine proceeded to vote at special polling stations staffed by officials in protective gear .
( Related : It may already be too late for travel restrictions in America , as the coronavirus has already spread to so many cities , it ’ s unable to be contained . )
In a separate statement , Reuters reported that the Israeli military said it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Cobra joint exercise with more than 600 troops of the U.S. European Command ( EUCOM ) , with most of the troops arriving from Germany and the United States .
The cancellation was done in accordance with the directives given by the Health Ministry and was done in coordination with the commander of EUCOM .
“ U.S .
European Command , in close coordination with the Israeli Defense Force ( IDF ) , has canceled the remaining portion of Exercise Juniper Cobra 20 , ” said EUCOM in a statement .
“ The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Ministry of Health guidelines on COVID-19 , and a precautionary measure to ensure the health and safety of all participants.
” The two-week drill , which began on on Tuesday , was set to end on March 13 .
The exercise involved around 2,500 EUCOM soldiers collaborating with 1,000 Israeli soldiers , according to the Israel Defense Forces on Twitter .
Similarly , The U.S. and South Korean militaries canceled an upcoming annual exercise on Thursday as the Asian country is caught in the largest outbreak of coronavirus reported outside of China .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ around 28,500 troops in South Korea to protect the country against a potential attack from the nuclear-armed North .
Many of these troops are based directly south of the capital Seoul at Camp Humphreys , one of America ’ s biggest overseas military facilities .
Combined Forces Command claims that the decision was made as soon as Seoul declared a “ severe ” alert level over the virus and added that the operation was postponed until further notice .
The Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced on Thursday that there are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the largest surges of infection in the world ’ s 12th largest economy .
As of writing , the World Health Organization ( WHO ) reports that over 95,000 people worldwide are afflicted with the novel coronavirus and emphasized the importance of implementing a comprehensive approach to mitigating the spread of the virus .
Learn more about this ongoing outbreak at Pandemic.news .

Israel bars entry to 5 European countries amid coronavirus outbreak, cancels joint operations with US military
Israel has imposed tightened travel restrictions on five European countries on Wednesday due to coronavirus fears, effectively barring entry to nearly all non-residents arriving from the affected countries. Further, the Jewish state also ordered all residents and citizens returning from Austria, France, Germany, Spain and Switzerland to go into a 14-day home quarantine as soon as they enter Israeli territory.
Prior to this, similar measures have already been imposed for those traveling from China, Thailand, Hong Kong, Singapore and Macau, according to a report by the Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC).
“We are at the peak of a global epidemic,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said during his announcement of the latest travel bans. “We are in a better situation than other countries because, since the beginning, I have given instructions to the maximum possible, not the minimum level of precaution. And we have taken strict, very strict measures, to slow the spread of the virus.”
According to the guidelines provided by the country’s health ministry, foreigners coming in from the aforementioned European countries will be barred from entering Israeli territory unless they provide proof that they have a place to stay in for quarantine. The interior ministry also released a statement saying that tourists flocking into Israel from the affected countries will not be able to enter the Jewish state “from Friday at 8:00 am (0600 GMT).” In addition, international conventions and gatherings of more than 5,000 people have been prohibited.
At the time of writing, Israel only has 15 confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus with zero casualties so far. However, about 7,000 citizens have opted to self-quarantine themselves in their own homes. Even during the height of the country’s election period on Monday, many people under quarantine proceeded to vote at special polling stations staffed by officials in protective gear. (Related: It may already be too late for travel restrictions in America, as the coronavirus has already spread to so many cities, it’s unable to be contained.)
Safety precautions
In a separate statement, Reuters reported that the Israeli military said it was scrapping the remainder of its Juniper Cobra joint exercise with more than 600 troops of the U.S. European Command (EUCOM), with most of the troops arriving from Germany and the United States. The cancellation was done in accordance with the directives given by the Health Ministry and was done in coordination with the commander of EUCOM.
“U.S. European Command, in close coordination with the Israeli Defense Force (IDF), has canceled the remaining portion of Exercise Juniper Cobra 20,” said EUCOM in a statement. “The decision is in alignment with recent Israeli Ministry of Health guidelines on COVID-19, and a precautionary measure to ensure the health and safety of all participants.”
The two-week drill, which began on on Tuesday, was set to end on March 13. The exercise involved around 2,500 EUCOM soldiers collaborating with 1,000 Israeli soldiers, according to the Israel Defense Forces on Twitter.
https://twitter.com/IDF/status/1234829466532241408
Similarly, The U.S. and South Korean militaries canceled an upcoming annual exercise on Thursday as the Asian country is caught in the largest outbreak of coronavirus reported outside of China. The Defense Post reports that there are around 28,500 troops in South Korea to protect the country against a potential attack from the nuclear-armed North. Many of these troops are based directly south of the capital Seoul at Camp Humphreys, one of America’s biggest overseas military facilities.
Combined Forces Command claims that the decision was made as soon as Seoul declared a “severe” alert level over the virus and added that the operation was postponed until further notice. The Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced on Thursday that there are more than 500 new infections, one of the largest surges of infection in the world’s 12th largest economy.
As of writing, the World Health Organization (WHO) reports that over 95,000 people worldwide are afflicted with the novel coronavirus and emphasized the importance of implementing a comprehensive approach to mitigating the spread of the virus.
Learn more about this ongoing outbreak at Pandemic.news.
Sources include:
News.Yahoo.com
OSAC.gov
NBCNews.com
UK.Reuters.com
EUCOM.mil
TheDefensePost.com
WHO.int [PDF]


naturalnews--2020-03-06--Two new deaths in Florida raise USA death count to 17 as coronavirus spreads across 27 states... now

Two new deaths in Florida raise USA death count to 17 as coronavirus spreads across 27 states... now 330 infected in the USA

( Natural News ) On the same day that the number of confirmed coronavirus infections in the USA has reached 330 — yes , that ’ s over three hundred infections in the USA — the State of Florida , which declared a state of emergency , now reports two new deaths from the coronavirus .
This brings the number of deaths in the United States to 17 .
The virus has now spread to 27 states .
Someone please tell President Trump because he so far seems oblivious to any of these facts .
Two residents have died of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s department of health said late Friday , marking 17 in the country .
The Florida Department of Health announced three new cases , two in Broward County and one in Lee County .
Officials said the person in Lee County died .
A second person died from a previously announced case in Santa Rosa County .
The two deaths in Florida are the first on the U.S. ’ s East Coast .
The other 15 deaths were in Washington ( 14 ) and California ( one ) .
Our in-house model only @ @ @ @ @ @ @ now it ’ s 17… and rising The “ Adams Model ” of coronavirus projections had only predicted 13 deaths by March 6th as necessary to put the USA on track for 2.16 million deaths by July 4th if no efforts are made to shut down transportation and social gatherings .
The accelerated deaths from the real world — now 17 deaths — means the “ Adams Model ” is likely too conservative and may need to be adjusted if deaths accelerate in the days ahead .
Here ’ s a small sample @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Adams Model that puts the USA on track to 2.16 million deaths by July 4th : You can see a more detailed list of projected deaths at this link .
The mathematical projection model shows that if no travel restrictions are put in place and the virus is allowed to spread without limits : – There would be 580 cumulative deaths by April 4th .
– There would be 10,432 cumulative deaths by May 4th .
– There would be 153,000 cumulative deaths by June 4th .
– There would be 2.16 million @ @ @ @ @ @ @ numbers will hopefully not become reality since government officials will be forced to shut down society to stop the spread , resulting in a strong “ suppression ” factor that will drastically lower these projections .
The cost of doing that , however , is the shutting down of society ( and all the chaos and financial implosions that go with it ) .
Almost nobody in America has any idea what ’ s about to happen… because they can ’ t do exponential math This exponential growth is not understood by anyone @ @ @ @ @ @ @ still lying to themselves and claiming the whole coronavirus pandemic will just “ blow over ” or that it ’ s , “ no worse than the flu.
” After spreading for the next 4-6 weeks , coronavirus cases will absolutely explode in America .
Nobody is ready for that .
People are delusional and the government is full of incompetent , dishonest , scientifically illiterate fools who keep telling Americans to avoid preparing .
It ’ s almost like America is now on a national suicide mission , and anyone who wants @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a “ hoarder.
” This will not end well .
Mark my words .
I ’ m writing this on March 6th and I can see with incredible clarity exactly where things are headed in America .
By June , if nothing is done to shut down transportation in America , there will be millions infected .
And by July , there will be millions dead .
It will be the end of the Trump administration and possibly even the end of America as we know it .
Anyone stupid enough to believe @ @ @ @ @ @ @ quite literally wind up dead , making 2020 the “ national IQ test ” to sort out the obediently stupid from the independently informed .
Read Pandemic.news if you want to live .

Two new deaths in Florida raise USA death count to 17 as coronavirus spreads across 27 states… now 330 infected in the USA
On the same day that the number of confirmed coronavirus infections in the USA has reached-- yes, that's over three hundred infections in the USA -- the State of Florida, which declared a state of emergency, now reports two new deaths from the coronavirus.
This brings the number of deaths in the United States to 17. The virus has now spread to 27 states.
Someone please tell President Trump because he so far seems oblivious to any of these facts.
As reported via ABC News:
Two residents have died of coronavirus in Florida, the state's department of health said late Friday, marking 17 in the country.
The Florida Department of Health announced three new cases, two in Broward County and one in Lee County. Officials said the person in Lee County died.
A second person died from a previously announced case in Santa Rosa County.
The two deaths in Florida are the first on the U.S.'s East Coast. The other 15 deaths were in Washington (14) and California (one).
Our in-house model only predicted 13 deaths by today, but now it's 17... and rising
The "Adams Model" of coronavirus projections had only predicted 13 deaths by March 6th as necessary to put the USA on track for 2.16 million deaths by July 4th if no efforts are made to shut down transportation and social gatherings. The accelerated deaths from the real world -- now 17 deaths -- means the "Adams Model" is likely too conservative and may need to be adjusted if deaths accelerate in the days ahead.
Here's a small sample of the projected death count from the Adams Model that puts the USA on track to 2.16 million deaths by July 4th:
March 6: 13 aggregate deaths
March 7: 15
March 8: 18
March 9: 22
March 10: 26
March 11: 30
March 12: 35
March 13: 40
March 14: 47
March 15: 54
March 16: 62
March 17: 71
March 18: 81
March 19: 92
March 20: 104 aggregate deaths
You can see a more detailed list of projected deaths at this link.
The mathematical projection model shows that if no travel restrictions are put in place and the virus is allowed to spread without limits:
- There would be 580 cumulative deaths by April 4th.
- There would be 10,432 cumulative deaths by May 4th.
- There would be 153,000 cumulative deaths by June 4th.
- There would be 2.16 million cumulative deaths by July 4th.
These numbers will hopefully not become reality since government officials will be forced to shut down society to stop the spread, resulting in a strong "suppression" factor that will drastically lower these projections.
The cost of doing that, however, is the shutting down of society (and all the chaos and financial implosions that go with it).
Almost nobody in America has any idea what's about to happen... because they can't do exponential math
This exponential growth is not understood by anyone, it seems, as people are still lying to themselves and claiming the whole coronavirus pandemic will just "blow over" or that it's, "no worse than the flu."
After spreading for the next 4-6 weeks, coronavirus cases will absolutely explode in America. Nobody is ready for that. People are delusional and the government is full of incompetent, dishonest, scientifically illiterate fools who keep telling Americans to avoid preparing.
It's almost like America is now on a national suicide mission, and anyone who wants to survive is mercilessly mocked and called a "hoarder."
This will not end well. Mark my words. I'm writing this on March 6th and I can see with incredible clarity exactly where things are headed in America. By June, if nothing is done to shut down transportation in America, there will be millions infected. And by July, there will be millions dead. It will be the end of the Trump administration and possibly even the end of America as we know it.
Anyone stupid enough to believe the government or the lying CDC may quite literally wind up dead, making 2020 the "national IQ test" to sort out the obediently stupid from the independently informed.
Read Pandemic.news if you want to live.