notrickszone--2020-11-17--Pie In The Sky…Germany’s Green Energy Scheme Will Fail From “Astronomical Cost”, Says Energy Expert

The German transformation to green energies will fail due to wind power Not going to work , says German energy expert Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt The goals of the German transition to green energies are simple in terms of energy policy : 1. phase-out nuclear energy by 2022 , 2. phase-out coal by 2035 , 3. phase-out oil and gas in parallel and completely by 2050 .
The energy needed for electricity , heat , mobility and industrial processes in climate-neutral Germany will then have to be supplied by wind and solar energy and a few percent by hydropower and biomass @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the plans of the German government , which are supported by all major social players .
Today , wind and photovoltaics supply slightly less than 30 % of the 600 terawatt hours of electricity ( 1 terawatt hour Twh is 1 billion kilowatt hours Kwh ) .
Today 126 Twh is supplied by wind energy and 46 Twh by photovoltaics .
For 600 TWh , the same mix would need 439 Twh of wind and 161 Twh of solar .
For the sake of simplicity , let us assume that this amount of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ wind turbines , namely 5 megawatt turbines positioned 1000 m apart .
With an annual efficiency of 25 % , a turbine produces an average of 5 MW x 0.25 x 8760 ( hours ) = 10,950 Mwh = 0.01095 Twh .
For 439 Twh we would need 40,000 such turbines .
To accomplish this , an area of 200 km x 200 km ( 40,000 sq km ) would be required .
But we still would not reach the goal .
Wind energy is produced when the wind blows , and not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ With a power supply in Germany based solely on volatile sources , 36 % of the electricity generated annually can be consumed directly ( source : Dr. Ahlborn ) .
The rest is surplus electricity that has to be stored .
For economic reasons , storage in hydrogen alone is the best option here .
For this purpose , a gigantic number of electrolysis plants would have to be installed .
However , it is completely uneconomical to dimension the capacity according to the extreme peaks of strong wind events .
Therefore , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has to be regulated .
This now leaves 52 % of the electricity generated that can be stored in hydrogen .
Electrolysis of hydrogen , storage/methanization and conversion back into electricity leaves only 15.6 % of the 52 % .
The entire conversion chain generates a loss of 2/3 of the electricity used .
36 % plus 15.6 % result in about 50 % of the generated wind power being usable .
Thus , we need twice as many turbines .
The area for the 80,000 wind turbines becomes 80,000 km² , which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ x 283 km ( 80,089 sq .
km ) .
Now add the demand from transport and heating… But we remain very far from the finish line .
Up to now we have only covered the electricity demand with 2 x 439 Twh , but without supplying the demand from transport and heating .
Also with demand from transport ( today 600 Twh ) and heat ( today 1200 Twh ) we have storage and conversion losses when the necessary electricity is generated by wind and solar .
Here we only consider wind @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the annual efficiency of 10 % full load hours is significantly lower and the land consumption is many times higher .
This makes our calculation extremely conservative .
Assuming that the transport sector can actually be powered by battery vehicles , which is justifiably doubtful , converting cargo transport , maritime transport or air cargo transport over to electricity is already adventurous .
Instead , synthetic fuels would have to be used .
And here as well the electricity calculation is devastating .
As Dr. Detlef Ahlborn was able to show , the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of kerosene per day ( before Corona ) , which comes out 4.3 million tons annually .
4.3 million tons of kerosene correspond to an energy value of 47 Twh .
If one wanted to synthesize kerosene from electricity with the help of hydrogen ( assumed efficiency 50 % ) , 100 Twh of electricity would be needed .
Just for the Frankfurt airport alone , this comes out to being as much as the German wind energy industry currently produces ( 126 Twh ) .
Next we conservatively assume that all passenger @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and that only a quarter of the amount of the 600 Twh of energy consumed today ( since electric cars are more efficient by this factor ) is needed .
However , we also want to drive a car when there is no wind , and as explained above , most of this electricity has to be put through the chain of hydrogen , storage , and re-electrification , thus doubling the input electricity to 300 Twh .
We further assume that the current demand of 1200 Twh for heating can be reduced @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pump ) so that here too , due to the necessary intermediate storage of wind power via hydrogen , the necessary doubling of wind energy leads to 600 Twh .
If synthetic gas from wind power , hydrogen , is used directly , the yield is even worse because the efficiency of the heat pump is not applicable .
Transport and heat therefore in the best case lead to a wind power demand of 900 Twh .
This results in an area requirement of another 80,000 km² , thus we are up to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ turbines ( approx .
half the area of Germany ) .
But we still haven ’ t reached the ultimate target because the most difficult part is still unsolved .
Emissions from the steel , chemical and cement industries ( 10 % of CO2 emissions ) require 600 Twh , according to industry estimates ( www.in4climate.nrw ) .
This is easy to understand if one remembers the above example of Frankfurt Airport .
And plastics , pharmaceuticals , insulating materials , paints , varnishes , adhesives , detergents and cleaning agents may then @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The replacement of industrial CO2 emissions thus leads to a further 55,000 km² area for wind turbines , so now we are up to 215,000 km² – much more than half of Germany ’ s total area .
2/3 of Germany would end up plastered with wind turbines Two thirds of Germany would now be outfitted with 200-meter tall rotating wind turbines at a distance of 1000m , no matter if there is a city , a river or a highway , a forest , a lake or a nature reserve .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Germany ?
If you wish to know which effects wind power plants in large numbers have on the extinction of birds of prey , bats , the decline of insects already today , then read it in our book Unerwuenschte Wahrheiten ( Unwanted Truths ) .
There you ’ ll find the hidden fact that wind farms lead to a considerable warming in their area of influence of about 0.5 ° Celsius because the rotating blades compensate for the strong temperature gradient at night and shovel warmer air back to the ground .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the windparks has dried up considerably .
But politicians refuse to discuss the environmental incompatibility of a massive expansion of wind power plants .
Recently the German Bundestag decided that the so-called legal , suspensive effect of objection and action for rescission is no longer applicable to lawsuits against turbines taller than 50 meters .
In this way , Germany can be now turned into a single giant wind park without all the annoying objection .
It is almost superfluous to point out that we are talking about astronomical costs .
Electrolysis @ @ @ @ @ @ @ free of charge .
From today ’ s point of view , one has to expect a tenfold higher electricity price .
Any person can imagine the consequences for jobs and prosperity .

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By Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt, Die kalte Sonne
Not going to work, says German energy expert Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
(German text translated/edited/subheadings by P. Gosselin)
The goals of the German transition to green energies are simple in terms of energy policy:
1. phase-out nuclear energy by 2022,
2. phase-out coal by 2035,
3. phase-out oil and gas in parallel and completely by 2050.
The energy needed for electricity, heat, mobility and industrial processes in climate-neutral Germany will then have to be supplied by wind and solar energy and a few percent by hydropower and biomass. This is at least according to the plans of the German government, which are supported by all major social players.
Is this realistic?
Today, wind and photovoltaics supply slightly less than 30% of the 600 terawatt hours of electricity (1 terawatt hour Twh is 1 billion kilowatt hours Kwh). Today 126 Twh is supplied by wind energy and 46 Twh by photovoltaics. For 600 TWh, the same mix would need 439 Twh of wind and 161 Twh of solar. For the sake of simplicity, let us assume that this amount of electricity should be generated by the largest wind turbines, namely 5 megawatt turbines positioned 1000 m apart. With an annual efficiency of 25%, a turbine produces an average of 5 MW x 0.25 x 8760 (hours) = 10,950 Mwh = 0.01095 Twh. For 439 Twh we would need 40,000 such turbines. To accomplish this, an area of 200 km x 200 km (40,000 sq km) would be required.
Too much unneeded surplus power
But we still would not reach the goal. Wind energy is produced when the wind blows, and not necessarily when the consumer needs it. With a power supply in Germany based solely on volatile sources, 36% of the electricity generated annually can be consumed directly (source: Dr. Ahlborn). The rest is surplus electricity that has to be stored. For economic reasons, storage in hydrogen alone is the best option here. For this purpose, a gigantic number of electrolysis plants would have to be installed.
Huge area required for electricity from wind turbines
However, it is completely uneconomical to dimension the capacity according to the extreme peaks of strong wind events. Therefore, about 12% of the wind energy has to be regulated. This now leaves 52% of the electricity generated that can be stored in hydrogen. Electrolysis of hydrogen, storage/methanization and conversion back into electricity leaves only 15.6% of the 52%. The entire conversion chain generates a loss of 2/3 of the electricity used. 36% plus 15.6% result in about 50% of the generated wind power being usable. Thus, we need twice as many turbines. The area for the 80,000 wind turbines becomes 80,000 km², which corresponds to an area of 283 km x 283 km (80,089 sq. km).
Now add the demand from transport and heating…
But we remain very far from the finish line. Up to now we have only covered the electricity demand with 2 x 439 Twh, but without supplying the demand from transport and heating. Also with demand from transport (today 600 Twh) and heat (today 1200 Twh) we have storage and conversion losses when the necessary electricity is generated by wind and solar. Here we only consider wind for this, because with photovoltaics, the annual efficiency of 10% full load hours is significantly lower and the land consumption is many times higher. This makes our calculation extremely conservative.
Devastating lack of efficiency
Assuming that the transport sector can actually be powered by battery vehicles, which is justifiably doubtful, converting cargo transport, maritime transport or air cargo transport over to electricity is already adventurous. Instead, synthetic fuels would have to be used.
And here as well the electricity calculation is devastating. As Dr. Detlef Ahlborn was able to show, the Frankfurt airport alone consumes 14.7 million liters of kerosene per day (before Corona), which comes out 4.3 million tons annually. 4.3 million tons of kerosene correspond to an energy value of 47 Twh. If one wanted to synthesize kerosene from electricity with the help of hydrogen (assumed efficiency 50%), 100 Twh of electricity would be needed. Just for the Frankfurt airport alone, this comes out to being as much as the German wind energy industry currently produces (126 Twh).
Minimum 900 Twh for heating and transport
Next we conservatively assume that all passenger transport also can be powered with electricity and that only a quarter of the amount of the 600 Twh of energy consumed today (since electric cars are more efficient by this factor) is needed. However, we also want to drive a car when there is no wind, and as explained above, most of this electricity has to be put through the chain of hydrogen, storage, and re-electrification, thus doubling the input electricity to 300 Twh.
We further assume that the current demand of 1200 Twh for heating can be reduced to a quarter through electrification (heat pump) so that here too, due to the necessary intermediate storage of wind power via hydrogen, the necessary doubling of wind energy leads to 600 Twh. If synthetic gas from wind power, hydrogen, is used directly, the yield is even worse because the efficiency of the heat pump is not applicable. Transport and heat therefore in the best case lead to a wind power demand of 900 Twh. This results in an area requirement of another 80,000 km², thus we are up to 160,000 km² of area needed by wind turbines (approx. half the area of Germany).
Another 600 Twh for heavy industry
But we still haven’t reached the ultimate target because the most difficult part is still unsolved. Emissions from the steel, chemical and cement industries (10% of CO2 emissions) require 600 Twh, according to industry estimates (www.in4climate.nrw). This is easy to understand if one remembers the above example of Frankfurt Airport. And plastics, pharmaceuticals, insulating materials, paints, varnishes, adhesives, detergents and cleaning agents may then only be produced using CO2 plus hydrogen. The replacement of industrial CO2 emissions thus leads to a further 55,000 km² area for wind turbines, so now we are up to 215,000 km² – much more than half of Germany’s total area.
2/3 of Germany would end up plastered with wind turbines
Two thirds of Germany would now be outfitted with 200-meter tall rotating wind turbines at a distance of 1000m, no matter if there is a city, a river or a highway, a forest, a lake or a nature reserve.
Can we and policymakers imagine such a Germany?
Environmental catastrophe, obstinate policymakers
If you wish to know which effects wind power plants in large numbers have on the extinction of birds of prey, bats, the decline of insects already today, then read it in our book Unerwuenschte Wahrheiten (Unwanted Truths). There you’ll find the hidden fact that wind farms lead to a considerable warming in their area of influence of about 0.5 ° Celsius because the rotating blades compensate for the strong temperature gradient at night and shovel warmer air back to the ground. Numerous studies have shown that the soil in the windparks has dried up considerably.
10-fold higher electricity prices
But politicians refuse to discuss the environmental incompatibility of a massive expansion of wind power plants. Recently the German Bundestag decided that the so-called legal, suspensive effect of objection and action for rescission is no longer applicable to lawsuits against turbines taller than 50 meters. In this way, Germany can be now turned into a single giant wind park without all the annoying objection.
It is almost superfluous to point out that we are talking about astronomical costs. Electrolysis and power-to-gas plants cannot be operated free of charge.
From today’s point of view, one has to expect a tenfold higher electricity price. Any person can imagine the consequences for jobs and prosperity.
Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
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notrickszone--2020-11-18--Current Decade Globally Warmer Than Previous Decade – Due To Powerful Natural Oceanic Cycles, Not CO

Current Decade Globally Warmer Than Previous Decade – Due To Powerful Natural Oceanic Cycles, Not CO2

Early in 2011 , NTZ readers and I entered a climate bet with Rob Honeycutt and climate warming dogmatist Dana Nuccitelli .
The bet , which I dubbed the Honeycutt Climate Bet for Charity , was whether globally the 2011-2020 decade would be warmer or cooler than the previous 2001-2010 decade .
Myself and and a number of NTZ followers that bet the 2011-2020 decade would see no warming , or even cooling .
Conversely Messieurs Honeycutt and Nuccitelli claimed global warming would continue , due to manmade greenhouse gas emissions , of course .
To decide the winner of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the RSS and UAH datasets would be used .
Now we are at the end of 2020 , and the data suffices to declare a winner .
The following chart is the latest UAH from Dr. Roy Spencer : As we can see , before 2016 the global mean temperature had been cooling since 1998 , thus establishing what came to be known as “ the hiatus ” .
The early half of the 2011-2020 decade had been running a bit cooler than the previous decade .
But then came the monster 2015/16 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at the equatorial Pacific and it saved the warmists from losing the bet : That ENSO event was the strongest in memory , and thus drove global surface temperatures to a new level .
As we can see from the UAH chart above , the overall current decade indeed did become warmer than the previous 2011-2020 decade .
I haven ’ t crunched the numbers , but I think no one will dispute it .
Congratulations to the warmists on winning the bet , all thanks to the natural factors that coolists keep @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , the bet winners will boast and insist it ’ s all due to human activity .
But it isn ’ t .
Such a claim is Dominion-voting-machine science .
The one deciding factor was the powerful mid-decade El Nino event , which is natural and has little to do with people burning fossil fuels .
Personally the results do not change my skeptic view of CO2 ’ s role in climate at all .
In fact the results only reinforce my view because it ’ s crystal clear that the 2016- 2020 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , a natural factor , and not CO2 .
Those participating in the bet of course must honor their bets and pay the pledged amounts to a charity helping needy children .
I myself will be paying to SOS Kinderdorf e.V.
, a Germany-based charity set up to aid needy kids , 200 euros ( ca .
230 USD ) .
I ’ ll be posting proof of payment in the days ahead , as soon as the bank statement comes in ) .
I ’ ll also be sending an e-mail to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to pay up .
Hopefully they are all still with us .
I don ’ t ever lose my climate bets .
But as you can see , there ’ s always a first time .

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Early in 2011, NTZ readers and I entered a climate bet with Rob Honeycutt and climate warming dogmatist Dana Nuccitelli. The bet, which I dubbed the Honeycutt Climate Bet for Charity, was whether globally the 2011-2020 decade would be warmer or cooler than the previous 2001-2010 decade.
Myself and and a number of NTZ followers that bet the 2011-2020 decade would see no warming, or even cooling. Conversely Messieurs Honeycutt and Nuccitelli claimed global warming would continue, due to manmade greenhouse gas emissions, of course. To decide the winner of the bet, it was agreed that the RSS and UAH datasets would be used.
Now we are at the end of 2020, and the data suffices to declare a winner. The following chart is the latest UAH from Dr. Roy Spencer:
Chart: Dr. Roy Spencer.
As we can see, before 2016 the global mean temperature had been cooling since 1998, thus establishing what came to be known as “the hiatus”. The early half of the 2011-2020 decade had been running a bit cooler than the previous decade.
But then came the monster 2015/16 El Nino, a natural event occurring at the equatorial Pacific and it saved the warmists from losing the bet:
That ENSO event was the strongest in memory, and thus drove global surface temperatures to a new level. As we can see from the UAH chart above, the overall current decade indeed did become warmer than the previous 2001-2010 decade. I haven’t crunched the numbers, but I think no one will dispute it.
Congratulations to the warmists on winning the bet, all thanks to the natural factors that coolists keep arguing in favor of.
Of course, the bet winners will boast and insist it’s all due to human activity. But it isn’t. Such a claim is Dominion-voting-machine science. The one deciding factor was the powerful mid-decade El Nino event, which is natural and has little to do with people burning fossil fuels.
Personally the results do not change my skeptic view of CO2’s role in climate at all. In fact the results only reinforce my view because it’s crystal clear that the 2016- 2020 warming was due to the El Nino, a natural factor, and not CO2.
200 euros for SOS Kinderdorf e.V.
Those participating in the bet of course must honor their bets and pay the pledged amounts to a charity helping needy children. I myself will be paying to SOS Kinderdorf e.V., a Germany-based charity set up to aid needy kids, 200 euros (ca. 230 USD). I’ll be posting proof of payment in the days ahead, as soon as the bank statement comes in).
I’ll also be sending an e-mail to the other bet participants and asking them to pay up. Hopefully they are all still with us.
I don’t ever lose my climate bets. But as you can see, there’s always a first time.
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notrickszone--2020-11-19--New Controlled Study Finds Wearing NO Mask In Public Prevents COVID Infection As Often As Wearing On

New Controlled Study Finds Wearing NO Mask In Public Prevents COVID Infection As Often As Wearing One Does

The first-ever randomized controlled trial ( 4,862 participants ) for mask-use effectiveness in the COVID-19 era reveals that people who wear face masks properly in public are infected only 0.1 of a percentage point less often ( 2.0 % vs. 2.1 % ) than those who do not wear masks in public .
In 2018 the United States ’ Center for Disease Control ( CDC ) cited a study that said wearing a cloth mask is only effective 1 % of the time in preventing viral transmission .
This is because facemasks do not tightly seal to the face and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the air from bypassing the filter.
” In the spring of 2020 , just as COVID-19 was surging throughout the world , the CDC reviewed 10 randomized controlled trials of mask effectiveness in preventing influenza-like viral infections .
In each instance they found “ no significant reduction in influenza transmission with the use of face masks ” and the “ overall reduction in ILI or laboratory-confirmed influenza cases was not significant ” and “ none of the household studies reported a significant reduction in…influenza virus infections in the face mask group.
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , the first comprehensive randomized controlled trial study ( Bundgaard et al.
, 2020 ) assessing mask effectiveness during the COVID-19 pandemic was made available online .
The study was conducted in Denmark , a country where health authorities did not recommended universal mask use during the study period ( April and May , 2020 ) .
There were 4,862 participants who completed the study in either the control group ( no masks ) or mask-wearing group .
Only about half ( 46 % ) of the mask-wearing group admitted they wore their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( i.e.
, always fully covering the nose and mouth ) .
When comparing the proper mask-wearing group to the no-masks control group , the authors found no statistically significant difference in the rates of COVID-19 infection : 2.0 % of those who wore masks properly in public were infected with the virus compared to a 2.1 % infection rate for those who did not wear masks in public .
So out of 1,000 participants , 1 more person ( 20 vs. 21 ) wearing a mask ( properly ) avoided infection when @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t wear a mask at all .
Perhaps this now-affirmed lack of effectiveness is the reason why there is no less of a surge in new COVID-19 cases after mask mandates are put into place across the world .

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The first-ever randomized controlled trial (4,862 participants) for mask-use effectiveness in the COVID-19 era reveals that people who wear face masks properly in public are infected only 0.1 of a percentage point less often (2.0% vs. 2.1%) than those who do not wear masks in public.
In 2018 the United States’ Center for Disease Control (CDC) cited a study that said wearing a cloth mask is only effective 1% of the time in preventing viral transmission. This is because facemasks do not tightly seal to the face and thus they “cannot prevent particles in the air from bypassing the filter.”
Image Source: CDC
In the spring of 2020, just as COVID-19 was surging throughout the world, the CDC reviewed 10 randomized controlled trials of mask effectiveness in preventing influenza-like viral infections. In each instance they found “no significant reduction in influenza transmission with the use of face masks” and the “overall reduction in ILI or laboratory-confirmed influenza cases was not significant” and “none of the household studies reported a significant reduction in…influenza virus infections in the face mask group.”
Image Source: CDC
On the 18th of November, 2020, the first comprehensive randomized controlled trial study (Bundgaard et al., 2020) assessing mask effectiveness during the COVID-19 pandemic was made available online.
The study was conducted in Denmark, a country where health authorities did not recommended universal mask use during the study period (April and May, 2020). There were 4,862 participants who completed the study in either the control group (no masks) or mask-wearing group. Only about half (46%) of the mask-wearing group admitted they wore their masks in the way they were instructed (i.e., always fully covering the nose and mouth).
When comparing the proper mask-wearing group to the no-masks control group, the authors found no statistically significant difference in the rates of COVID-19 infection: 2.0% of those who wore masks properly in public were infected with the virus compared to a 2.1% infection rate for those who did not wear masks in public.
So out of 1,000 participants, 1 more person (20 vs. 21) wearing a mask (properly) avoided infection when directly compared to 1,000 participants who didn’t wear a mask at all.
Perhaps this now-affirmed lack of effectiveness is the reason why there is no less of a surge in new COVID-19 cases after mask mandates are put into place across the world.
Image Source: worldometer


notrickszone--2020-11-20--“Sinking” Maldives Clear Forests, Pave Beaches, To Construct Four New Airports For Future Tourism!

Despite all the money-generating gloomy predictions of sinking islands , we reported in 2013 on how the Maldives was planning to build 30 new luxury hotels for future tourists .
The resort island of Landaa Giraavaru ( Baa atoll ) , photo by : Frédéric Ducarme – CC BY-SA 4.0 .
We recall how in 2012 , the former President of the Maldives Islands , Mohamed , Nasheed said : “ If carbon emissions continue at the rate they are climbing today , my country will be underwater in seven years.
” Well , today the islands have not gone @ @ @ @ @ @ @ never before .
And to help with the job of ferrying the 1.7 million ( 2019 ) tourists to and from the resort islands , the Maldives have recently opened 4 new airports , according to German site Aero here !
No , the airports are not designed to evacuate tourists because sea levels are “ rapidly rising ” , as climate alarmists claim .
The airports are a long-term investment aimed at drawing in even more tourists and they are based on the projection that they ’ ll still be very much @ @ @ @ @ @ @ years from now .
Obviously the catastrophic climate warnings are not being heeded .
Most likely these warnings are not really serious at all .
The Maldives comprise 1200 islands , which were made accessible through a total of ten airports .
However , they are not enough to handle the expected traffic .
So four new domestic airports would open this year alone , announced Transportation and Aviation Minister Aishath Nahula , The new airports will feature 2200 meter runways , thus allowing commercial passenger jets to takeoff and land .
According @ @ @ @ @ @ @ news site , some 52 million dollars was financed by Abu Dhabi to cover the construction costs .
Environmentalists expressed anger at the project because “ forests had to be cut down and beaches concreted over ” .

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Despite all the money-generating gloomy predictions of sinking islands, we reported in 2013 on how the Maldives was planning to build 30 new luxury hotels for future tourists.
The resort island of Landaa Giraavaru (Baa atoll), photo by: Frédéric Ducarme – CC BY-SA 4.0.
Underwater in 7 years?
We recall how in 2012, the former President of the Maldives Islands, Mohamed, Nasheed said: “If carbon emissions continue at the rate they are climbing today, my country will be underwater in seven years.”
4 new airports!
Well, today the islands have not gone underwater and remains popular with tourists like never before. And to help with the job of ferrying the 1.7 million (2019) tourists to and from the resort islands, the Maldives have recently opened 4 new airports, according to German site Aero here!
Long-term investment defies alarmist claims
No, the airports are not designed to evacuate tourists because sea levels are “rapidly rising”, as climate alarmists claim. The airports are a long-term investment aimed at drawing in even more tourists and they are based on the projection that they’ll still be very much in unhindered operation in 30 or 50 years from now. Obviously the catastrophic climate warnings are not being heeded. Most likely these warnings are not really serious at all.
The Maldives comprise 1200 islands, which were made accessible through a total of ten airports. However, they are not enough to handle the expected traffic. So four new domestic airports would open this year alone, announced Transportation and Aviation Minister Aishath Nahula,
Deforestation, paved beaches
The new airports will feature 2200 meter runways, thus allowing commercial passenger jets to takeoff and land. According to Aero, citing the Arabian Business news site, some 52 million dollars was financed by Abu Dhabi to cover the construction costs.
Environmentalists expressed anger at the project because “forests had to be cut down and beaches concreted over”.
Hat-tip: Die kalte Sonne


notrickszone--2020-11-21--1.35 Million Tonnes of “Hazardous Material”, Germany Admits No Plan To Recycle Used Wind Turbine Bla

1.35 Million Tonnes of “Hazardous Material”, Germany Admits No Plan To Recycle Used Wind Turbine Blades

Germany began installing wind turbines in earnest some 20 years ago .
Now that their lifetime has been exceeded , many are being ripped down .
But there ’ s a big problem about what to do with the leftover carbon and glass-fibre reinforced blades .
A recent report on ZDF German public television explains that currently there ’ s no plan in place on what to do with the turbine blades , which weigh up to 15 tonnes each .
There ’ s no way to recycle them to use as raw material for new blades .
Currently the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ chips mixed in with concrete .
“ You need too much energy and power to shred them , ” says Hans-Dieter Wilcken , the operator of a German recycling company .
Burning them is also not an option .
The problem with chopping them up is that dangerous carbon fibre particles are produced and pose a threat to human health .
Used wind turbine blades have been designated hazardous waste and no one knows how to deal with them .
Currently 30,000 wind turbines are in operation across Germany and many will have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ years .
That volume alone means over a million tonnes of hazardous waste ( 30,000 turbines x 3 blades/turbine x 15 tonnes/blade = 1.35 million tonnes ) .
By 2100 , with wind turbine use expected to rise , millions of tonnes of non-recyclable hazardous waste will be left for future generations to deal with – that ’ s in Germany alone .
In the USA , Casper Wyoming is currently serving as a landfill for used blades , Bloomberg here reports : ‘ The wind turbine blade will be there , ultimately @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , chief operating officer for the North American unit of Paris-based Veolia Environnement SA , which is searching for better ways to deal with the massive waste .
‘ Most landfills are considered a dry tomb.
’ ‘ The last thing we want to do is create even more environmental challenges.
’ On top of the hazardous wind turbine blade waste , there ’ s also the problem of the massive steel reinforced turbine foundations , which are simply being swept under a layer of dirt as well .
These too will forever @ @ @ @ @ @ @ water .
Future generations will wonder how dumb their ancestors must have been to opt for a form of energy that blighted the landscape , destroyed ecosystems over vast areas , killed avian wildlife , was an unreliable and expensive energy source , made nearby residents sick and left millions and millions of tonnes of waste behind .
Never mind ll the solar panel waste that is about to added to that .

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Germany began installing wind turbines in earnest some 20 years ago. Now that their lifetime has been exceeded, many are being ripped down. But there’s a big problem about what to do with the leftover carbon and glass-fibre reinforced blades.
A recent report on ZDF German public television explains that currently there’s no plan in place on what to do with the turbine blades, which weigh up to 15 tonnes each.
There’s no way to recycle them to use as raw material for new blades. Currently the old blades are being shredded and the chips mixed in with concrete. “You need too much energy and power to shred them,” says Hans-Dieter Wilcken, the operator of a German recycling company.
Burning them is also not an option.
Hazardous waste
The problem with chopping them up is that dangerous carbon fibre particles are produced and pose a threat to human health. Used wind turbine blades have been designated hazardous waste and no one knows how to deal with them.
Currently 30,000 wind turbines are in operation across Germany and many will have to be dismantled over the next 20 years. That volume alone means over a million tonnes of hazardous waste (30,000 turbines x 3 blades/turbine x 15 tonnes/blade = 1.35 million tonnes).
By 2100, with wind turbine use expected to rise, millions of tonnes of non-recyclable hazardous waste will be left for future generations to deal with – that’s in Germany alone.
Bloomberg: Massive waste “forever”
In the USA, Casper Wyoming is currently serving as a landfill for used blades, Bloomberg here reports:
‘The wind turbine blade will be there, ultimately, forever,’ said Bob Cappadona, chief operating officer for the North American unit of Paris-based Veolia Environnement SA, which is searching for better ways to deal with the massive waste. ‘Most landfills are considered a dry tomb.’ ‘The last thing we want to do is create even more environmental challenges.’
On top of the hazardous wind turbine blade waste, there’s also the problem of the massive steel reinforced turbine foundations, which are simply being swept under a layer of dirt as well. These too will forever have an impact on ground and ground water.
Legacy of waste, breathtaking stupidity
Future generations will wonder how dumb their ancestors must have been to opt for a form of energy that blighted the landscape, destroyed ecosystems over vast areas, killed avian wildlife, was an unreliable and expensive energy source, made nearby residents sick and left millions and millions of tonnes of waste behind.
Never mind ll the solar panel waste that is about to added to that.
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notrickszone--2020-11-22--Past Climate More Complex Than Previously Thought, Says Germany’s Alfred Wegener Institute

Atmospheric CO2 just doesn ’ t change on a whim and cause global temperature to follow along in response .
Press release from The Alfred Wegener Institute ( AWI ) : During the last 2.6 million years of Earth ’ s climate has altered between glacial and interglacial states .
As such , there have been times in which the transition between the two climate states appeared with either regular or irregular periodicity .
AWI researcher Peter Köhler has now discovered that the irregular appearance of interglacials has been more frequent than previously thought .
In order to understand human @ @ @ @ @ @ @ our current climate , we have to look back a long way , since there has always been climate change – albeit over vastly different timescales than the anthropogenic climate change , which is mainly due to the use of fossil fuels over the past 200 years .
Without humans , for millions of years , climate altered between glacial and interglacial states over periods of many thousands of years , mainly because of the Earth ’ s tilt which changes by a few degrees with a periodicity of 41,000 years .
This @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the sun ’ s rays strike Earth – and as such the energy that reaches the planet , especially at high latitudes in summer .
However , there is strong evidence that during the course of the last 2.6 million years , interglacials have repeatedly been ‘ skipped ’ .
The Northern Hemisphere – particularly North America – remained frozen for long periods , despite the angle of the axial tilt changing to such an extent that more solar energy once again reached Earth during the summer , which should have melted the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s tilt can ’ t be the sole reason for Earth ’ s climate to alter between glacial and interglacial states .

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Atmospheric CO2 just doesn’t change on a whim and cause global temperature to follow along in response.
Press release from The Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI):
During the last 2.6 million years of Earth’s climate has altered between glacial and interglacial states. As such, there have been times in which the transition between the two climate states appeared with either regular or irregular periodicity. AWI researcher Peter Köhler has now discovered that the irregular appearance of interglacials has been more frequent than previously thought.
In order to understand human beings’ role in the development of our current climate, we have to look back a long way, since there has always been climate change – albeit over vastly different timescales than the anthropogenic climate change, which is mainly due to the use of fossil fuels over the past 200 years. Without humans, for millions of years, climate altered between glacial and interglacial states over periods of many thousands of years, mainly because of the Earth’s tilt which changes by a few degrees with a periodicity of 41,000 years. This in turn changes the angle at which the sun’s rays strike Earth – and as such the energy that reaches the planet, especially at high latitudes in summer. However, there is strong evidence that during the course of the last 2.6 million years, interglacials have repeatedly been ‘skipped’. The Northern Hemisphere – particularly North America – remained frozen for long periods, despite the angle of the axial tilt changing to such an extent that more solar energy once again reached Earth during the summer, which should have melted the inland ice masses. This means Earth’s tilt can’t be the sole reason for Earth’s climate to alter between glacial and interglacial states.
Aerial view of the Beyond EPICA camp (Photo: Beyond EPICA, AWI) In order to solve the puzzle, climate researchers are investigating more closely at what points in Earth’s history irregularities occurred. Together with colleagues at Utrecht University, physicist Peter Köhler from the Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI) has now made a significant contribution towards providing a clearer picture of the sequence of glacial and interglacial periods over the last 2.6 million years. Until now, experts thought that, especially over the past 1.0 million years, glacial and interglacial periods deviated from their 41,000- year cycle, and that interglacial periods were skipped, as a result of which some glacial periods lasted for 80,0000 or even 120,000 years. “For the period between 2.6 and 1.0 million years ago, it was assumed that the rhythm was 41,000 years,” says Peter Köhler. But as his study, which has now been published in the scientific journal Nature Communications, shows, there were also repeated irregularities during the period between 2.6 and 1.0 million years ago.
Köhler’s study is particularly interesting because he re-evaluated a well-known dataset that researchers have been using for several years – the LR04 climate dataset – yet arrived at completely different conclusions. This dataset consists of a global evaluation of core samples from deep-sea sediments that are millions of years old, and includes measurements from the ancient shells of microscopic, single-celled marine organisms – foraminifera – that were deposited on the ocean floor. Foraminifera incorporate oxygen from the seawater into their calcium shells. But over millennia, the level of specific oxygen isotopes – oxygen atoms that have differing numbers of neutrons and therefore different masses – varies in seawater. 18O reveals what the world was like in the past The LR04 dataset contains measurements of the ratio of the heavy oxygen isotope 18O to the lighter 16O. The ratio of 18O/16O stored in the foraminifera’s shells depends on the water temperature. But there is also another effect that leads to relatively large amounts of 18O being found in the foraminifera’s shells in glacial periods: when, during the course of a glacial period, there is heavy snowfall on land, which leads to the formation of thick ice sheets, the sea level falls – in the period studied, by as much as 120 m. Since 18O is heavier than 16O, water molecules containing this heavy isotope evaporate less readily than molecules containing the lighter isotope. As such, comparatively more 18O remains in the ocean and the 18O content of the foraminifera shells increases. “If you take the LR04 dataset at face value, it means you blur two effects – the influence of ocean temperature and that of land ice, or rather that of sea level change,” says Peter Köhler. “This makes statements regarding the alternation of the glacial periods uncertain.” And there is an additional factor: climate researchers mainly determine the sequence of glacial periods on the basis of glaciation in the Northern Hemisphere. But using 18O values doesn’t allow us to say whether prehistoric glaciation chiefly occurred in the Northern Hemisphere or in Antarctica.
Computer model separates the influencing parameters In an attempt to solve this problem, Köhler and his team evaluated the LR04 dataset in a completely different way. The data was fed into a computer model that simulates the growth and melting of the large continental ice sheets. What sets it apart: the model is capable of separating the influence of temperature and that of sea level change on the 18O concentration. Furthermore, it can accurately analyse where and when snow falls and the ice increases – more in the Northern Hemisphere or in Antarctica. “Mathematicians call this separation a deconvolution,” Köhler explains, “which our model is capable of delivering.” The results show that the sequence of glacials and interglacials was irregular even in the period 2.6 to 1.0 million years ago – a finding that could be crucial in the coming years. As part of the ongoing major EU project ‘BE-OIC (Beyond EPICA Oldest Ice Core)’, researchers are drilling deeper than ever before into the Antarctic ice. With the oldest ice core recovered to date, ‘EPICA’, they have ‘only’ travelled back roughly 800,000 years into the past. The ancient ice provides, among other things, information on how much carbon dioxide Earth’s atmosphere contained at that time. With ‘Beyond EPICA’ they will delve circa 1.5 million years into the past. By combining the carbon dioxide measurements with Köhler’s analyses, valuable insights can be gained into the relation between these two factors – the fluctuations in the sequence of glacials and the carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere. And this can help us understand the fundamental relationship between greenhouse gases and climate changes in Earth’s glacial history.
Original publication
The study has now been released in Nature Communications: Köhler, P., van de Wal, R.S.W., Interglacials of the Quaternary defined by northern hemispheric land ice distribution outside of Greenland. Nat Commun 11, 5124 (2020). DOI:10.1038/s41467-020-18897-5


notrickszone--2020-11-23--Thanks To A Generous Reader!

Thanks To A Generous Reader!

I ’ d like to thank one of the readers among us who just made a very generous donation to @ @ @ @ @ big help and highly encouraging !
We appreciate very much the generosity !
Thank you @ @ @ @

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I’d like to thank one of the readers among us who just made a generous donation to NoTricksZone. It’s big help and highly encouraging!
We appreciate very much the generosity! Thank you! Thank you!


notrickszone--2020-11-23--New Study Finds CO2 Reached 1980s-2000s Levels About 4,000 Years Ago In Japan

CO2 reached 1980s ( 352 ppm , average ) to 2000s ( 380 ppm , max ) levels 2500-5500 years @ @ @ @ @ records .
Scientists ( Wang et al.
, 2020 ) have determined stomatal evidence can @ @ @ @ @ of 50-100 ppm within a century or less .
Measurements from a forest near Mt @ @ @ @ @ reveal minimum to maximum CO2 values ranged between 288 ppm ( minimum ) to 383 @ @ @ @ @ 3,903 to 3,795 cal .
yr BP .
The region ’ s sea surface temperatures @ @ @ @ @ ) than today ( 22°C ) from about 4,000 to 5,500 years ago .
Other @ @ @ @ @ fluctuates far more rapidly in stomatal records than in the records divined from bubbles in @ @ @ @ @ , CO2 rose from about 260 to 380 ppm during the century between 1850 and @ @ @ @ @ , 2005 ) and declined by 77 ppm in < 200 years ( Mcelwain et @ @ @ @ @ the Younger Dryas abrupt cooling event per evidence from stomata .

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CO2 reached 1980s (352 ppm, average) to 2000s (380 ppm, max) levels 2500-5500 years ago in Japan per stomata records.
Scientists (Wang et al., 2020) have determined stomatal evidence can uncover large short-term CO2 fluxes of 50-100 ppm within a century or less.
Measurements from a forest near Mt. Kurikoma, Japan, reveal minimum to maximum CO2 values ranged between 288 ppm (minimum) to 383 ppm (maximum) between 3,903 to 3,795 cal. yr BP. The region’s sea surface temperatures were 1-2°C warmer (23-24°C) than today (22°C) from about 4,000 to 5,500 years ago.
Other reconstructions have also determined CO2 fluctuates far more rapidly in stomatal records than in the records divined from bubbles in old ice. For example, CO2 rose from about 260 to 380 ppm during the century between 1850 and 1950 (Kouwenberg et al, 2005) and declined by 77 ppm in <200 years (Mcelwain et al., 2002) during the Younger Dryas abrupt cooling event per evidence from stomata.


notrickszone--2020-11-25--ARD German Public Broadcasting Volunteers Are 92% Socialist, Communist Or Green. One-Sided Reporting

Germany ’ s massive public broadcasting media has a budget of €6.9 billion and 22,612 employees .
The budget comes primarily from a licence fee which every household , company and public institution are required by law to pay .
For an ordinary household the fee is currently €17.50 per month .
But over the years , criticism of unbalanced reporting has become increasingly loud .
Many citizens would be happy to do away with the mandatory fees , citing onesidedness in ARD reporting .
================================================== According to Wikipedia , Germany ’ s public broadcasting has a variety of tasks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the state are supposed to be a fundamental principle by the publicly funded broadcasters .
According to an article in Meedia .
Volunteers were asked about their political preferences and the pendulum swung strongly in the direction of green and red .
Even the flagship daily FAZ did an article on the topic .
Volunteers at ARD and Deutschland Radio were asked about their political preferences .
According to the study , 57.1 percent of the volunteers said they would vote for the Greens , 23.4 percent for Die Linke ( former communists @ @ @ @ @ @ @ SPD Socialists .
The center-right CDU/CSU would get only 3 % of the votes among ARD volunteers.
” Of course it would be wrong to conclude that mostly greens and communists would be covering stories if these volunteers were ever to come into the normal operation of the stations at some point .
Normally journalists are supposed to be critical and independent despite their party preferences .
However , this is rarely the case .
The topic of climate and energy is certainly one of them .
The rare reports on , for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ transition to renewable energies , are more the exception rather than the rule .
Will such exceptions become even rarer in the future ?
It looks more as if the homogenization of reporting on the topic of climate is making great strides .

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Germany’s massive public broadcasting media has a budget of €6.9 billion and 22,612 employees. The budget comes primarily from a licence fee which every household, company and public institution are required by law to pay. For an ordinary household the fee is currently €17.50 per month.
ARD logo since 2019. Public domain image
But over the years, criticism of unbalanced reporting has become increasingly loud. Many citizens would be happy to do away with the mandatory fees, citing onesidedness in ARD reporting.
==================================================
Volunteers at ARD vote 92% Socialist, Communist or Green
By Die kalte Sonne
(Text translated, edited by P. Gosselin)
According to Wikipedia, Germany’s public broadcasting has a variety of tasks:
In addition to a basic service mandate and a legally defined program mandate, one of the other essential tasks of public service broadcasting is therefore to maintain political and economic independence.”
Thus, independence and distance from the state are supposed to be a fundamental principle by the publicly funded broadcasters. According to an article in Meedia. Volunteers were asked about their political preferences and the pendulum swung strongly in the direction of green and red. Even the flagship daily FAZ did an article on the topic.
Volunteers at ARD and Deutschland Radio were asked about their political preferences. According to the study, 57.1 percent of the volunteers said they would vote for the Greens, 23.4 percent for Die Linke (former communists) and about 11 percent for the SPD Socialists. The center-right CDU/CSU would get only 3% of the votes among ARD volunteers.”
Of course it would be wrong to conclude that mostly greens and communists would be covering stories if these volunteers were ever to come into the normal operation of the stations at some point. Normally journalists are supposed to be critical and independent despite their party preferences.
However, this is rarely the case. The topic of climate and energy is certainly one of them. The rare reports on, for example, the negative consequences of the transition to renewable energies, are more the exception rather than the rule. Will such exceptions become even rarer in the future? It looks more as if the homogenization of reporting on the topic of climate is making great strides.
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notrickszone--2020-11-24--October Mean Temperatures In Canada, France Not Warming…Unusual Cold, Snow Strike N. Hemisphere

Unusual harsh winter conditions have struck the northern hemisphere this October as record snow cover has been observed .
More on this below .
But first looking at the untampered data from the Japan Meteorological Agency ( JMA ) for stations with complete data going back to 1998 for Canada and 2001 for France , we see there has not been any significant warming for the month of October .
First we examine 9 stations in Canada : Some stations have warmed modestly , while the others have cooled .
Overall , there hasn ’ t been much October warming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ decades .
In France , whose climate is heavily impacted by the Atlantic , we plot the JMA October data since 2001 for 14 stations across the country .
Nine of 14 stations have seen cooling or no warming for October since 2001 .
So here the data show that the opposite of what was projected is really happening , and that natural factors , likely Atlantic patterns , are at play .
Meanwhile Twitter account Electroverse here reports on a variety of unusually harsh early winter events taking place .
For example @ @ @ @ @ @ @ October in 58 Years , India ’ s capital city of Delhi has continued toppling low temperature records into November.
” Also Pakistan is getting pounded by heavy snows and the northern hemisphere currently has seen well above normal snow cover , reports Electroverse : In fact , German Snowfan here reports how October has set a new record for northern hemisphere snow cover since data recording this magnitude began more than 50 years ago , according to the data from the University of Rutgers : The Northeast US also saw record low @ @ @ @ @ @ @ stream drove Arctic air far south .
“ The mercury held as much as 16°C below the season average in some parts , particularly in New York State , Vermont , Massachusetts , and Connecticut , ” reported Electroverse .
“ Long Island , New York wound-up setting a new record low.
” Western USA and Canada have also been hard hit by early , severe winter conditions .
“ After a barrage of early-season storms , the snowpack across the Western United States is now well above average for mid-November , wrote @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , totals are hitting as much as 786 % of normal .
The story is similar across Washington State .
While in Idaho and Montana , and elsewhere , the current Snow Water Equivalent ( SWE ) is comfortably above the 1981-2010 median .
Finally , note the 1500 % in Texas ( the key only goes > = 150 % ! )
.
”

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Unusually harsh winter conditions have struck the northern hemisphere this October as record snow cover has been observed. More on this below.
No more October warming?
But first looking at the untampered data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) for stations with complete data going back to 1998 for Canada and 2001 for France, we see there has not been any significant warming for the month of October.
First we examine 9 stations in Canada:
Data source: JMA.
Some stations have warmed modestly, while the others have cooled. Overall, there hasn’t been much October warming at these stations over the past two decades.
In France, whose climate is heavily impacted by the Atlantic, we plot the JMA October data since 2001 for 14 stations across the country.
Data source: JMA.
Nine of 14 stations have seen cooling or no warming for October since 2001. So here the data show that the opposite of what was projected is really happening, and that natural factors, likely Atlantic patterns, are at play.
Dehli sees coldest October in 58 years
Meanwhile Twitter account Electroverse here reports on a variety of unusually harsh early winter events taking place. For example: “Following on from its coldest October in 58 Years, India’s capital city of Delhi has continued toppling low temperature records into November.”
Also Pakistan is getting pounded by heavy snows and the northern hemisphere currently has seen well above normal snow cover, reports Electroverse:
IN PICTURES: PAKISTAN MOUNTAINS BURIED UNDER “TONNES” OF EARLY SEASON SNOW The Northern Hemisphere's total snow mass, aided by central Asia's record snowfall, is now sitting above the 1982-2012 average by 400 gigatons (as of Nov 21). #GSMhttps://t.co/8NQx1OvHv6 — Electroverse (@Electroversenet) November 23, 2020
Record October snow cover
In fact, German Snowfan here reports how October has set a new record for northern hemisphere snow cover since data recording this magnitude began more than 50 years ago, according to the data from the University of Rutgers:
Source: University of Rutgers.
Northeast deep freeze
The Northeast US also saw record low temperatures last week, as the jet stream drove Arctic air far south.
“The mercury held as much as 16°C below the season average in some parts, particularly in New York State, Vermont, Massachusetts, and Connecticut,” reported Electroverse. “Long Island, New York wound-up setting a new record low.”
Western USA and Canada have also been hard hit by early, severe winter conditions.
“After a barrage of early-season storms, the snowpack across the Western United States is now well above average for mid-November, wrote Electroverse.
Snowfall 1500% over normal
“In parts of Oregon, totals are hitting as much as 786% of normal. The story is similar across Washington State. While in Idaho and Montana, and elsewhere, the current Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) is comfortably above the 1981-2010 median. Finally, note the 1500% in Texas (the key only goes >= 150%!).”
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notrickszone--2020-11-26--Physicists: A CO2 Rise To 800 ppm Causes ‘Hypothetical’ 10°C Upper Atmosphere Cooling, 1.4°C Surface

Physicists: A CO2 Rise To 800 ppm Causes ‘Hypothetical’ 10°C Upper Atmosphere Cooling, 1.4°C Surface Warming

A new analysis by Drs .
Wijngaarden and Happer ( 2020 ) suggests the “ self-interference ” saturation of all greenhouse gases in the current atmosphere substantially reduces their climate forcing power .
At the current concentrations , the forcing power for greenhouse gases like CO2 ( ~400 ppm ) and CH4 ( 1.8 ppm ) are already saturated .
Therefore , even doubling the current greenhouse gas concentrations may only increase their forcings “ by a few percent ” in the parts of the atmosphere where there are no clouds .
When clouds are present , the influence of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ While the “ consensus ” model view is that doubling CO2 from 280 ppm to 560 ppm results in a surface forcing of 3.7 W/m² , Wijngaarden and Happer find doubling CO2 concentrations from 400 to 800 ppm increases climate forcing by 3 W/m² .
This warms the surface by 1.4 K as it “ hypothetically ” cools the upper atmosphere by 10 K. Equilibrium climate sensitivity ( when positive feedback with water vapor is included ) is identified as 2.2 K , which is only a 10 % different than multiple other @ @

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A new analysis by Drs. Wijngaarden and Happer (2020) suggests the “self-interference” saturation of all greenhouse gases in the current atmosphere substantially reduces their climate forcing power.
At the current concentrations, the forcing power for greenhouse gases like CO2 (~400 ppm) and CH4 (1.8 ppm) are already saturated. Therefore, even doubling the current greenhouse gas concentrations may only increase their forcings “by a few percent” in the parts of the atmosphere where there are no clouds. When clouds are present, the influence of greenhouse gases is even further minimized.
While the “consensus” model view is that doubling CO2 from 280 ppm to 560 ppm results in a surface forcing of 3.7 W/m², Wijngaarden and Happer find doubling CO2 concentrations from 400 to 800 ppm increases climate forcing by 3 W/m². This warms the surface by 1.4 K as it “hypothetically” cools the upper atmosphere by 10 K.
Equilibrium climate sensitivity (when positive feedback with water vapor is included) is identified as 2.2 K, which is within 10% of multiple other analyses.


notrickszone--2020-11-27--Climate Alarmist Dana Ready To Bet Again On Global Warming. I’m In.

Not surprisingly , climate alarmist and Guardian contributor Dana Nuccitelli reported in to brag about winning the recent bet .
@ @ @ @ @ mustered the courage to express his willingness to bet again : Okay Dana , I @ @ @ @ @ and will bet 100 USD , applying the same conditions of the previous bet .
@ @ @ @ @ will be same or cooler than the 2011-2020 decade .
If you ’ re right @ @ @ @ @ have to concede man is causing a significant part of the surface warming – depending @ @ @ @ @ and the conclusions reached by objective scientists .

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Not surprisingly, climate alarmist and Guardian contributor Dana Nuccitelli reported in to brag about winning the recent bet.
Then one day later he mustered the courage to express his willingness to bet again:
Okay Dana, I’m in against you and will bet 100 USD, applying the same conditions of the previous bet. I say the 2021-2030 decade will be same or cooler than the 2011-2020 decade.
If you’re right again, then I might have to concede man is causing a significant part of the surface warming – depending on what the data suggest and the conclusions reached by objective scientists.
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notrickszone--2020-11-28--UNRELIABLE, MOST EXPENSIVE: Green Energies Make Germany’s Electricity Prices Highest In Europe!

Why do so few countries in Europe follow Germany in green electricity ?
The answer could lie in electricity prices : Eurostat lists these for the first half of 2020 .
Of all countries , Germany , Denmark and the United Kingdom are the wind energy countries that are very far ahead in terms of consumer prices .
Hat-tip Die kalte Sonne .
Not only has electricity gotten expensive in these countries , but the supply is highly unreliable .
Germany ’ s massive 110 GW of installed sun and wind energy capacity produced next to nothing over a period @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not even coming close to meeting the country ’ s demand : Or during the dead of winter , when power is in big demand , see below for a period two weeks : Fortunately there were fossil and nuclear power plants available to keep the power grid from collapsing .
But there ’ s a problem : It ’ s very uneconomical to operate these conventional plants only part-time .
The added costs end up being borne by the consumer .
And due to the high electricity rates , every year tens @ @ @ @ @ @ @ power cut off due to unpaid electricity bills , read here and here .

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Why do so few countries in Europe follow Germany in green electricity? The answer could lie in electricity prices:
Eurostat lists these for the first half of 2020. Of all countries, Germany, Denmark and the United Kingdom are the wind energy countries that are very far ahead in terms of consumer prices. Hat-tip Die kalte Sonne.
Wind, sun absent extended periods
Not only has electricity gotten expensive in these countries, but the supply is highly unreliable. Germany’s massive 110 GW of installed sun and wind energy capacity produced next to nothing over a period of five days earlier this month, not even coming close to meeting the country’s demand:
Or during the dead of winter, when power is in big demand, see below for a period two weeks:
Charts: Agora Energiewende
300,000 households lose power
Fortunately there were fossil and nuclear power plants available to keep the power grid from collapsing. But there’s a problem: It’s very uneconomical to operate these conventional plants only part-time. The added costs end up being borne by the consumer.
And due to the high electricity rates, every year tens of thousands of German households see their power cut off due to unpaid electricity bills, read here and here.
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notrickszone--2020-11-30--Another New Study Determines Sea Surface Temperatures Were 1-5°C Warmer Than Now During The Last ICE

Another New Study Determines Sea Surface Temperatures Were 1-5°C Warmer Than Now During The Last ICE AGE

Scientists report they must “ exclude atmospheric pCO2 as a direct driver of SST variations ” after finding the Atlantic Ocean ’ s surface was multiple degrees warmer than today from 90 to 20 thousand years ago , or when CO2 concentrations hovered below 200 ppm .
Another new study ( Hou et al.
, 2020 ) casts even more doubt on the contention that CO2 concentrations are a driver of ocean temperature changes .
Sea surface temperatures ranged between 1 and 5°C warmer than today throughout the last glacial period in the western tropical Atlantic .
“ Our results @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the SST record , prompting us to exclude atmospheric pCO2 as a direct driver of SST variations in the southern WTA [ western tropical Atlantic ] .
” A Southern Ocean site was analyzed in another 2020 study ( Ghadi et al. )
.
Sea surface temperatures averaged 1-2°C during glacials and 4°C during interglacials .
Today , with a 410 ppm CO2 concentration , this location has again plummeted to glacial/ice age levels ( 2°C ) .
The North Atlantic record shows this warmer-during-glacial-periods phenomenon extends to the Northern Hemisphere .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ than the modern conditions ” from 30 to 10 thousand years ago and the Bonaire Basin was 4-6°C warmer than modern from about 20 to 12 thousand years ago ( Reißig et al.
, 2019 ) .
The warmer-during-glacials phenomenon even extends to the terrestrial landscape .
For example , lake temperatures in southern California were 4 to 5°C warmer than today ( 22 to 23°C versus 18°C ) between 30 and 25 thousand years ago ( Feakins et al.
, 2019 ) .
Abrupt temperature swings of 10°C occurred in a matter @ @ @ @ @ @ @ latitudes there was greater warmth during the last glacial period than today .
The Russian Altai mountains were “ about 3°C warmer than today ” 43,000 years ago and up to 5.9°C warmer than now 31,000 years ago ( Ganyushkin et al.
, 2018 ) .
The North Slope , Alaska ( Arctic ) temperatures were “ higher here than they are today ” 20,000 years ago , when wild horses ate grass year-round in this region .
As recently as 9 to 8 thousand years ago , the North Slope was still @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” ( Kuzmina et al.
, 2019 ) .
There are many more reconstructions appearing in the scientific literature showing modern temperatures are several degrees colder than they were during the last glacial .
None of these paleoclimate records support the claim that CO2 concentrations are the “ control knob ” for Earth ’ s climate .

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Scientists report they must “exclude atmospheric pCO2 as a direct driver of SST variations” after finding the Atlantic Ocean’s surface was multiple degrees warmer than today from 90 to 20 thousand years ago, or when CO2 concentrations hovered below 200 ppm.
Another new study (Hou et al., 2020) casts even more doubt on the contention that CO2 concentrations are a driver of ocean temperature changes. Sea surface temperatures ranged between 1 and 5°C warmer than today throughout the last glacial period in the western tropical Atlantic.
“Our results indicate a lack of pronounced glacial-interglacial variability in the SST record, prompting us to exclude atmospheric pCO2 as a direct driver of SST variations in the southern WTA [western tropical Atlantic].”
A Southern Ocean site was analyzed in another 2020 study (Ghadi et al.). Sea surface temperatures averaged 1-2°C during glacials and 4°C during interglacials. Today, with a 410 ppm CO2 concentration, this location has again plummeted to glacial/ice age levels (2°C).
The North Atlantic record shows this warmer-during-glacial-periods phenomenon extends to the Northern Hemisphere. The Tobago Basin was “2.5°C warmer than the modern conditions” from 30 to 10 thousand years ago and the Bonaire Basin was 4-6°C warmer than modern from about 20 to 12 thousand years ago (Reißig et al., 2019).
The warmer-during-glacials phenomenon even extends to the terrestrial landscape. For example, lake temperatures in southern California were 4 to 5°C warmer than today (22 to 23°C versus 18°C) between 30 and 25 thousand years ago (Feakins et al., 2019). Abrupt temperature swings of 10°C occurred in a matter of centuries.
Even in the high latitudes there was greater warmth during the last glacial period than today. The Russian Altai mountains were “about 3°C warmer than today” 43,000 years ago and up to 5.9°C warmer than now 31,000 years ago (Ganyushkin et al., 2018).
The North Slope, Alaska (Arctic) temperatures were “higher here than they are today” 20,000 years ago, when wild horses ate grass year-round in this region. As recently as 9 to 8 thousand years ago, the North Slope was still “2 to 3°C warmer than today” (Kuzmina et al., 2019).
There are many more reconstructions appearing in the scientific literature showing modern temperatures are several degrees colder than they were during the last glacial. None of these paleoclimate records support the claim that CO2 concentrations are the “control knob” for Earth’s climate.
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notrickszone--2020-12-01--Germany’s Enviro-Dystopia: Wind Parks Devastating Rural Regions At Catastrophic Proportions

Here ’ s a preview of what to expect from the Green New Deal Germany ’ s vision of a clean , environmentally friendly energy supply system , all to be discreetly nestled in an idyllic landscape , is in reality morphing into an environmental dystopia of catastrophic proportions .
German wind energy protest group Vernunftkraft.de posted a Youtube video showing how out of control wind energy has gotten in some regions of Germany .
The above video shows , for example the Uckermark region , around Prenzlau .
The Youtube text under the video : “ Around Prenzlau alone @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are about 300 wind turbines .
In the entire Uckermark region there are almost 800 wind turbines ( 2020 ) , and the trend is rising.
” No avian wildlife can survive this .
What ’ s left ?
An entire region whose landscape is totally blighted by noisy industrial towers and is inhospitable to most life .
Gone are the tranquility and idyllic beauty the area once enjoyed .
The problem is that this region is poor , rural and so stands no chance against big wind project developers and the crony @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over any reservations or resistance local that residents may try to muster .
Like the old communists , this is another example of what happens when planning and decision-making are left to incompetent and corrupt central-planning policymakers teamed up with greedy crony capitalists out to make a quick buck .
A few win big , while the masses lose everything .
In 30 years much of it will remain in ruins , a monument to one of the greatest industrial scams of all time .

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Here’s a preview of what to expect from the Green New Deal
Germany’s vision of a clean, environmentally friendly energy supply system, all to be discreetly nestled in an idyllic landscape, is in reality morphing into an environmental dystopia of catastrophic proportions.
Image: Vernunftkraft.de
German wind energy protest group Vernunftkraft.de posted a Youtube video showing how out of control wind energy has gotten in some regions of Germany.
The above video shows, for example the Uckermark region, around Prenzlau.
The Youtube text under the video: “Around Prenzlau alone (up to 15 km) there are about 300 wind turbines. In the entire Uckermark region there are almost 800 wind turbines (2020), and the trend is rising.”
No avian wildlife can survive this.
Rural citizens get steamrolled by Big Wind
What’s left? An entire region whose landscape is totally blighted by noisy industrial towers and is inhospitable to most life. Gone are the tranquility and idyllic beauty the area once enjoyed. The problem is that this region is poor, rural and so stands no chance against big wind project developers and the crony pols behind them, who just steamroll over any reservations or resistance local that residents may try to muster.
Like the old communists, this is another example of what happens when planning and decision-making are left to incompetent and corrupt central-planning policymakers teamed up with greedy crony capitalists out to make a quick buck. A few win big, while the masses lose everything.
In 30 years much of it will remain in ruins, a monument to one of the greatest industrial scams of all time.
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notrickszone--2020-12-02--German Drives e-Motorhome 7500 Km To The Top Of Europe And Back – But Had To Charge 95 Times!

The online German economento.de here reports how last August German e-mobility enthusiast Frank Eusterholz drove a 136-hp modified e-camper from Hanover to the northernmost point in Europe .
Eusterholz , a tech geek , believes he is probably the first person to have made the journey to the North Cape with an electrically powered motor home .
But it wasn ’ t all smooth going , he described .
You can ’ t be in a hurry .
7 days for 3333 km to the top It took him seven days to travel the 3333 km distance to the top @ @ @ @ @ @ @ retrofitted from a combustion engine to electric drive with a rated range of 173 kilometers with one charge , but the range was “ no problem at all ” on the complete 7500 kilometer round-trip route , said Eusterholz .
Overall the vacationing Eusterholz “ did not find the total of 95 charging stops along the entire route to be strenuous , ” reports economento.de .
“ You slow down , drive more consciously and at the end of the day you arrive at your destination even more rested.
” The time required @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 80 percent of its capacity is 45 minutes with rapid chargers .
“ A charging stop was made approximately every 90 kilometers , ” reports Motorzeitung.de .
“ In the end Eusterholz had charged the electric transporter 95 times , with an average charging time of one and a half hours.
” The 7500-km trip took 18 days in total .
‘ For safety reasons , I have always included 40 kilometers of emergency reserve.
’ Consequently , the charge-ups were between 30 and 90 kilometers : ‘ Exactly 95 times during the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , usually five to seven times a day , and the batteries became very hot.
’ Accordingly , the charging time became longer and longer : ‘ After the third charging process , the waiting time doubled , then you charge up for two hours to drive one .
And even that usually only at a speed of 50 or 60 km/h.
” Further north , the charging stations became sparse and charging became a challenge .
North of Alta fast-chargers are non-existent .
“ On the last few hundred kilometers there are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you can only charge very slowly , ” reports economento.de .
“ The charging process takes about five times as long as on a fast charger with DC technology.
” Eusterholz recalls how the Trollstigen in Norway was the most fun part of the trip and involved climbing 12 per cent grade with a total of 11 hairpin curves .
After having reached the hilltop with a remaining range of 50 kilometers , he then made the descent and ended up again with 90 kilometers charge thanks to energy recovery during braking and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the trip again without hesitation and that e-mobility is ideally suited for motorhomes because people have the time to travel at a leisurely pace .
Although Eusterholz ’ s adventure may have been fascinating , it shows that cargo transport using e-cargo trucks are a long way off .

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7500-km trip by e-vehicle
The online German economento.de here reports how last August German e-mobility enthusiast Frank Eusterholz drove a 136-hp modified e-camper from Hanover to the northernmost point in Europe.
Eusterholz, a tech geek, believes he is probably the first person to have made the journey to the North Cape with an electrically powered motor home. But it wasn’t all smooth going, he described. You can’t be in a hurry.
7 days for 3333 km to the top
It took him seven days to travel the 3333 km distance to the top of Europe.
The e-vehicle had been retrofitted from a combustion engine to electric drive with a rated range of 173 kilometers with one charge, but the range was “no problem at all” on the complete 7500 kilometer round-trip route, said Eusterholz.
Average charging time: 90 mins
Overall the vacationing Eusterholz “did not find the total of 95 charging stops along the entire route to be strenuous,” reports economento.de. “You slow down, drive more consciously and at the end of the day you arrive at your destination even more rested.”
The time required to bring the lithium-ion battery up to 80 percent of its capacity is 45 minutes with rapid chargers.
“A charging stop was made approximately every 90 kilometers,” reports Motorzeitung.de. “In the end Eusterholz had charged the electric transporter 95 times, with an average charging time of one and a half hours.” The 7500-km trip took 18 days in total.
2 hours charging for driving 1 hour
MSM here reported:
‘For safety reasons, I have always included 40 kilometers of emergency reserve.’ Consequently, the charge-ups were between 30 and 90 kilometers: ‘Exactly 95 times during the tour I stood at a charging station, usually five to seven times a day, and the batteries became very hot.’ Accordingly, the charging time became longer and longer: ‘After the third charging process, the waiting time doubled, then you charge up for two hours to drive one. And even that usually only at a speed of 50 or 60 km/h.”
Slow charging up north
Further north, the charging stations became sparse and charging became a challenge. North of Alta fast-chargers are non-existent. “On the last few hundred kilometers there are only a few AC charging points and you can only charge very slowly,” reports economento.de. “The charging process takes about five times as long as on a fast charger with DC technology.”
Uphill
Eusterholz recalls how the Trollstigen in Norway was the most fun part of the trip and involved climbing 12 per cent grade with a total of 11 hairpin curves. After having reached the hilltop with a remaining range of 50 kilometers, he then made the descent and ended up again with 90 kilometers charge thanks to energy recovery during braking and deceleration.
Eusterholz insists he would make the trip again without hesitation and that e-mobility is ideally suited for motorhomes because people have the time to travel at a leisurely pace.
Although Eusterholz’s adventure may have been fascinating, it shows that cargo transport using e-cargo trucks are a long way off.
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notrickszone--2020-12-03--A New Experiment Finds Just A 1.3°C Temperature Differential For Contained Air With 0.05% Versus 100

A New Experiment Finds Just A 1.3°C Temperature Differential For Contained Air With 0.05% Versus 100% CO2

A new balloon experiment ( inadvertently ) demonstrates just how weak and inconsequential CO2 ’ s warming effect is .
Levendis et al .
( 2020 ) tried using an experiment with air-filled ( 99 % nitrogen and oxygen ) versus CO2-filled ( 100 % CO2 ) balloons to demonstrate a consequential warming effect for CO2 .
But their study may have demonstrated the opposite .
In the experiment a heat source was applied and then removed ( shut off ) to 3 different-sized balloons with 100 % ( 1,000,000 ppm ) CO2 in them .
They compared the rate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the cooling rate for a balloon filled with regular room air that has ~790,000 ppm nitrogen ( N2 ) , ~210,000 ppm oxygen ( O2 ) , ~9,000 ppm Argon ( Ar ) , and ~500 ppm CO2 .
The results revealed the temperature inside the 1,000,000 ppm CO2 balloons cooled just ~1.3°C ( 0.5 to 2.0°C ) more slowly after 6½ minutes than the balloon with ambient air with ~500 ppm CO2 .
Put another way , raising CO2 concentrations from 500 ppm to 1,000,000 ppm only leads to a warming ( @ @ @ @ @ @ @ She or he suggested what ’ s being observed in Air-vs.-CO2 experiments like these is the comparison of convective heat transport for lighter N2 and O2 molecules relative to heavier CO2 molecules .
In other words , this is a molecular density experiment and doesn ’ t represent the “ actual physics of the greenhouse effect.
” Reviewer # 2 even suggests “ finessing ” the paper with a disclaimer that says this is “ not how CO2 warms the Earth ” as she or he wonders aloud “ what ’ s the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Reviewer # 2 is correct .
These lab experiments claiming to show CO2 ’ s special role in the greenhouse effect only demonstrate denser molecules like CO2 ( 44 u ) slow heat loss better than ( 29 u ) lighter ( N2 and O2 , air ) molecules , just as a heavier coat slows cooling better than a lighter coat .
In fact , Argon ( Ar ) has a much larger representation in the atmosphere ( ~9,000 ppm , or 0.9 % ) than CO2 does , but it is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a role in the greenhouse effect .
Yet as Wagoner et al .
( 2010 ) point out , Ar can be shown to reduce cooling ( or “ cause ” warming ) at an identical rate and magnitude as CO2 molecules do in experiments like these because both Ar and CO2 have similar molecular densities ( 40 vs. 44 u ) whereas N2 and O2 ( 29 u ) do not .
Wagoner and colleagues clearly affirm their support for the anthropogenic global warming ( AGW ) position in their paper , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of CO2 ’ s special and significant greenhouse effect role “ is difficult to demonstrate convincingly.
” This is because the magnitude of the CO2 ’ s radiative effect is already “ more than an order of magnitude smaller ” than observed in experiments like these that merely affirm the larger convective cooling reduction for denser vs. lighter molecules .
A real-world demonstration of CO2 ’ s “ specialness ” as a greenhouse gas has yet to be observed .

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A new balloon experiment (inadvertently) demonstrates just how weak and inconsequential CO2’s warming effect is.
Levendis et al. (2020) tried using an experiment with air-filled (99% nitrogen and oxygen) versus CO2-filled (100% CO2) balloons to demonstrate a consequential warming effect for CO2. But their study may have demonstrated the opposite.
In the experiment a heat source was applied and then removed (shut off) to 3 different-sized balloons with 100% (1,000,000 ppm) CO2 in them. They compared the rate of cooling for these CO2-filled balloons to the cooling rate for a balloon filled with regular room air that has ~790,000 ppm nitrogen (N2), ~210,000 ppm oxygen (O2), ~9,000 ppm Argon (Ar), and ~500 ppm CO2.
The results revealed the temperature inside the 1,000,000 ppm CO2 balloons cooled just ~1.3°C (0.5 to 2.0°C) more slowly after 6½ minutes than the balloon with ambient air with ~500 ppm CO2. Put another way, raising CO2 concentrations from 500 ppm to 1,000,000 ppm only leads to a warming (reduced cooling) effect of 1.3°C.
Reviewer #2 sympathetically urged rejection of the paper for publication in its initial form and continued to criticize it after edits were made to the manuscript. Perhaps recognizing it would not be helpful to the cause to publish an experiment exposing just how minuscule a warming effect CO2 has,sympathetically urged rejection of the paper for publication in its initial form and continued to criticize it after edits were made to the manuscript.
.
She or he suggested what’s being observed in Air-vs.-CO2 experiments like these is the comparison of convective heat transport for lighter N2 and O2 molecules relative to heavier CO2 molecules. In other words, this is a molecular density experiment and doesn’t represent the “actual physics of the greenhouse effect.” Reviewer #2 even suggests “finessing” the paper with a disclaimer that says this is “not how CO2 warms the Earth” as she or he wonders aloud “what’s the point of publishing the paper”.
Reviewer #2 is correct. These lab experiments claiming to show CO2’s special role in the greenhouse effect only demonstrate denser molecules like CO2 (44 u) slow heat loss better than (29 u) lighter (N2 and O2, air) molecules, just as a heavier coat slows cooling better than a lighter coat.
In fact, Argon (Ar) has a much larger representation in the atmosphere (~9,000 ppm, or 0.9%) than CO2 does, but it is not considered a greenhouse gas that plays a role in the greenhouse effect. Yet as Wagoner et al. (2010) point out, Ar can be shown to reduce cooling (or “cause” warming) at an identical rate and magnitude as CO2 molecules do in experiments like these because both Ar and CO2 have similar molecular densities (40 vs. 44 u) whereas N2 and O2 (29 u) do not.
Wagoner and colleagues clearly affirm their support for the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) position in their paper, but they lamentably admit that a demonstration of CO2’s special and significant greenhouse effect role “is difficult to demonstrate convincingly.” This is because the magnitude of the CO2’s radiative effect is already “more than an order of magnitude smaller” than observed in experiments like these that merely affirm the larger convective cooling reduction for denser vs. lighter molecules.
A real-world demonstration of CO2’s “specialness” as a greenhouse gas has yet to be observed.
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notrickszone--2020-12-04--CO2 Has To Be Suppressing Tropical Storms, If CO2 Is A Formation Factor Like NASA Scientists Suggest

If CO2 is a factor in cyclone formation , like some scientists suggest , then the data tell us the life-giving gas is more a brake than an accelerator .
There ’ s been lots of media hype about more tropical storms , which experts suggest are in part due to man-made Co2-induced global warming .
Cut the CO2 , and the storms will tame down , they suggest .
But is this true or is it fake news and disinformation ?
Looking at typhoon data tells us the alarmist claims are in fact mostly fake .
The following chart @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ) data , shows the number of typhoons formed in the month of November since 1951 : The November trend is down .
Alarmists , however , may want to start the data at 2009 .
Next , looking at the January through November period , the number typhoons formed has also been trending downward : Note the peak in the 1960s , a period when CO2 was well below the “ safe ” level of 350 ppm .
Clearly CO2 is not driving up storm activity , like the typhoon-buffoon scientists want @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is a link , then the opposite would have to be true !
Next we look at the number of typhoons making landfall in Japan : So far this year , not one typhoon has made landfall in Japan .
ZERO !
This is a rather unusual development , though not unprecedented .
Also typhoons are not making landfall more often than before .
The frequency of landfall in Japan is right in line with earlier times .
If anything , the trend has been modestly downward over the past 70 years !
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ it ’ s a good one !
If we look further at the statistics for global tropical storm activity from expert Dr. Ryan Maue here , we here as well see no significant trend in major hurricanes since 1992 .
Looking at total global tropical storms , Dr. Maue ’ s data show no trend in 50 years !
The next time someone claims tropical cyclones have gotten worse and more frequent , you might want to tell them to look at the data and to stop parroting the alarmist nonsense spread by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Again in summary , if CO2 is having an affect on tropical storms , then the data says it can only be one of slight suppression .
That ’ s good news .
Claiming the opposite is just ballot-stuffing-quality science by fraudsters .
Thanks to Kirye for the charts using JMA data .

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If CO2 is a factor in cyclone formation, like some scientists suggest, then the data tell us the life-giving gas is more a brake than an accelerator.
There’s been lots of media hype about more tropical storms, which experts suggest are in part due to man-made Co2-induced global warming.
Cut the CO2, and the storms will tame down, they suggest. But is this true or is it fake news and disinformation?
Typhoons trending DOWN
Looking at typhoon data tells us the alarmist claims are in fact mostly fake. The following chart, using Japan Metorological Agency (JMA) data, shows the number of typhoons formed in the month of November since 1951:
Data source: JMA.
The November trend is down. Alarmists, however, may want to start the data at 2009.
Next, looking at the January through November period, the number typhoons formed has also been trending downward:
Data: JMA.
Note the peak in the 1960s, a period when CO2 was well below the “safe” level of 350 ppm. Clearly CO2 is not driving up storm activity, like the typhoon-buffoon scientists want the public to believe. If there is a link, then the opposite would have to be true!
Zero Japan landfall typhoons this year!
Next we look at the number of typhoons making landfall in Japan:
Data source: JMA.
So far this year, not one typhoon has made landfall in Japan. ZERO! This is a rather unusual development, though not unprecedented.
Ballot-stuffing science
Also typhoons are not making landfall more often than before. The frequency of landfall in Japan is right in line with earlier times. If anything, the trend has been modestly downward over the past 70 years. If CO2 is a factor, then it’s a good one!
Hurricane frequency falling
If we look further at the statistics for global tropical storm activity from expert Dr. Ryan Maue here, we here as well see no significant trend in major hurricanes since 1992.
Image: Dr. Ryan Maue
Looking at total global tropical storms, Dr. Maue’s data show no trend in 50 years!
The next time someone claims tropical cyclones have gotten worse and more frequent, you might want to tell them to look at the data and to stop parroting the alarmist nonsense spread by the media and climate science charlatans.
Again in summary, if CO2 is having an affect on tropical storms, then the data says it can only be one of slight suppression. That’s good news. Claiming the opposite is just ballot-stuffing-quality science by fraudsters.
JMA charts by Kirye
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notrickszone--2020-12-05--In Geological Terms, Today’s Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations Are Still Uncomfortably Low

Today , thanks in large part to mankind , concentrations have risen to over 400 ppm , yet historically this remains at the very low end of the scale compared to the thousands of ppm seen naturally earlier in history .
Today , definitely a safer level would be near 1000 ppm .
Studies unanimously show plant growth at these higher levels is far enhanced .
Already today we see clear evidence the planet is greening Zhu et al .
( 2016 ) , in part due to the fertilizations taking place through human emissions : Figure 1 : Trends @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Note the units are in hundredths ( 10-2 ) of meters per square meter .
An increase of 25 ( Purple , right end of scale ) is actually an annual change of .025 square meters per year .
Note that the largest greenings are in fact over the South American , African , and Australasian tropical rainforests .
German science magazine Wissenschaft reported not long ago : “ Vegetation on earth has been expanding for decades , satellite data show.
” Some alarmists claim drought is spreading , but Wissenschaft magazine @ @ @ @ @ @ @ case : according to a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , satellite observations show a greening of vegetation over the past three decades in parts of Asia , Europe , South America , Central North America and Southeast Australia.
” “ Although there are regions that would become browner , the bottom line is that there is a larger area on our planet that is greened than browned , ” the German science magazine notes .
For the welcome trend , scientists attribute the surprising development on “ a mixture @ @ @ @ @ @ @ increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration , which plants thrive on and humans have been mislead into believing is a “ pollutant ” .
Also watch the following short video :

Today, thanks in large part to mankind, concentrations have risen to over 400 ppm, yet historically this remains at the very low end of the scale compared to the thousands of ppm seen naturally earlier in history.
Greening planet
Today, definitely a safer level would be near 1000 ppm. Studies unanimously show plant growth at these higher levels is far enhanced. Already today we see clear evidence the planet is greening Zhu et al. (2016), in part due to the fertilizations taking place through human emissions:
Figure 1: Trends in Leaf Area Index around the planet. Note the units are in hundredths (10-2) of meters per square meter. An increase of 25 (Purple, right end of scale) is actually an annual change of .025 square meters per year. Note that the largest greenings are in fact over the South American, African, and Australasian tropical rainforests.
Greening across the world
German science magazine Wissenschaft reported not long ago: “Vegetation on earth has been expanding for decades, satellite data show.”
Some alarmists claim drought is spreading, but Wissenschaft magazine reports: “The opposite is the case: according to a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, satellite observations show a greening of vegetation over the past three decades in parts of Asia, Europe, South America, Central North America and Southeast Australia.”
“Although there are regions that would become browner, the bottom line is that there is a larger area on our planet that is greened than browned,” the German science magazine notes.
Thanks to CO2 fertilization
For the welcome trend, scientists attribute the surprising development on “a mixture of factors”, foremost the recent increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration, which plants thrive on and humans have been mislead into believing is a “pollutant”.
Also watch the following short video: