notrickszone--2020-03-29--Sweden Glacier Melt Far More Rapid In Mid 20th Century Than Today. Arctic Sea Ice Now Stabilizing

A recent paper published in the Swedish journal Geografiska Annaler : Series A , Physical Geography authored by Holmlund and Holmlund , found that the strongest melts of the Storglaciären in Sweden occurred between the 1930s and 1960s .
The glacier mass then even increased from the early 1970s to the mid 1990s .
According to the authors , geodetic volume estimates of Storglaciären in Sweden suggest a 28 % loss in total ice mass between 1910 and 2015 , but the greatest part of the melt occurred in the mid 20th century – a time when CO2 levels were @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The authors used terrestrial photographs of Tarfala valley , where Storglaciären is situated , from 1910 to allow an accurate reconstruction of the glacier ’ s surface , past volume and mass .
They found say that the likely start of a melting trend is supported by imagery from 1922 , which shows almost no snow was present on top of Storglaciären , and other glaciers showed tendencies of retreat .
76 % of the mass loss seen from 1910 to 2015 occurred between 1920 and 1970 , i.e .
in less @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , they estimate .
The mass change of Storglaciären stabilized and even contained periods of increases in mass after 1970 , their analysis shows .
It appears Arctic ice melt has slowed down over the recent decades , and has not accelerated like global warming alarmists like to claim .
Over the past 10 years , Arctic sea ice minimum has not fallen in over a decade :

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A recent paper published in the Swedish journal Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography authored by Holmlund and Holmlund, found that the strongest melts of the Storglaciären in Sweden occurred between the 1930s and 1960s.
The glacier mass then even increased from the early 1970s to the mid 1990s.
According to the authors, geodetic volume estimates of Storglaciären in Sweden suggest a 28% loss in total ice mass between 1910 and 2015, but the greatest part of the melt occurred in the mid 20th century – a time when CO2 levels were deemed to be at a safe level.
The authors used terrestrial photographs of Tarfala valley, where Storglaciären is situated, from 1910 to allow an accurate reconstruction of the glacier’s surface, past volume and mass. They found say that the likely start of a melting trend is supported by imagery from 1922, which shows almost no snow was present on top of Storglaciären, and other glaciers showed tendencies of retreat.
76% of the mass loss seen from 1910 to 2015 occurred between 1920 and 1970, i.e. in less than half of that 105 year period, they estimate.
The mass change of Storglaciären stabilized and even contained periods of increases in mass after 1970, their analysis shows.
Arctic sea ice stable over the past 10 years
It appears Arctic ice melt has slowed down over the recent decades, and has not accelerated like global warming alarmists like to claim.
Over the past 10 years, Arctic sea ice minimum has not fallen in over a decade:
http://www.data.jma.go.jp/txt
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notrickszone--2020-03-28--Missing Warming: Data Show Northwest China Has Seen No Significant Temperature Changes Since 1997!

China has a widespread network of temperature stations used by NASA .
Today we plot the NASA mean annual V4 @ @ @ @ @ for 18 stations situated in the northwest China Shinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region , shown in @ @ @ @ @ dots ) : The plotted NASA data appear as follows : The data show that @ @ @ @ @ this very rural region show zero warming or cooling !
This defies the claims that @ @ @ @ @ unprecedented .
The reality is that nothing unusual is happening .
That China is not @ @ @ @ @ that is not really new .
Recently there was a study featuring a 333-year temperature @ @ @ @ @ of China .
No warming there as well in well over 300 years .
Moreover @ @ @ @ @ that Northeastern China was 7-10°C warmer 9000 years ago – and 1.7°C warmer in the @ @ @ @ @ et al , 2019 :

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By Kirye
and Pierre Gosselin
China has a widespread network of temperature stations used by NASA.
Today we plot the NASA mean annual V4 unadjusted temperature data since 1997 for 18 stations situated in the northwest China Shinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, shown in the map below (blue dots):
The plotted NASA data appear as follows:
No significant trends
The data show that 10 of 18 stations in this very rural region show zero warming or cooling! This defies the claims that climate change is global and unprecedented. The reality is that nothing unusual is happening.
333-year temperature reconstruction: warmer 250 years ago
That China is not warming is of course something that is not really new. Recently there was a study featuring a 333-year temperature reconstruction in the western mountains of China.
No warming there as well in well over 300 years.
7-10°C warmer 9000 years ago
Moreover, two recent papers show that Northeastern China was 7-10°C warmer 9000 years ago – and 1.7°C warmer in the 1800s! For example Liu et al, 2019:
Have a nice weekend everyone!
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notrickszone--2020-03-27--Vital Electricity: Just A 12% Drop In Power Consumption Leads To Painful Economic Downturn

A 12 % drop in German electricity consumption is the difference between economic pain and prosperity .
If you want to see a good example of how vital electricity and energy are to an economy , look no further than Germany .
Since the country has imposed strict restrictions on people gathering , large parts of industry have been harshly impacted .
The existence of millions of German people is now threatened .
Non-essential retailers , events and venues have been ordered closed .
The halted demand has led to a braking of the economy .
With the country already @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the new restrictions will now drive the country deep into recession territory .
This will also be the case with many countries around the world as they scramble to contain the COVID-19 virus spread .
Not surprisingly , the economic drop has been reflected by Germany ’ s electricity consumption since March 1 : German electricity consumption drops in the wake of economic restrictions .
Source : Agora .
The data show that under normal conditions , peak German electricity consumption hovers near 72 GW on a given workday But since the German @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , peak power consumption has fallen some 12 % , to 64 GW .
While environmentalists like preach the need to save on energy , it just goes to show that a 10 % drop is enough to break an economy and cause mass hardship for millions of people .
Without reliable , affordable energy , a healthy economy and high standard of living is simply not possible .
Activists pushing for a “ green economy ” should look seriously at the implications of what they are calling for .
In order for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ needs to consume energy in order to work and produce more goods and services .
The last thing it should do is consume less .
Less energy means less work , which means lower living standards .
A green , unstable energy economy will not deliver prosperity , but rather will only bring hardship and pain .

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A 12% drop in German electricity consumption is the difference between economic pain and prosperity.
If you want to see a good example of how vital electricity and energy are to an economy, look no further than Germany. Since the country has imposed strict restrictions on people gathering, large parts of industry have been harshly impacted. The existence of millions of German people is now threatened.
Non-essential retailers, events and venues have been ordered closed. The halted demand has led to a braking of the economy. With the country already teetering on recession, economists agree that the new restrictions will now drive the country deep into recession territory. This will also be the case with many countries around the world as they scramble to contain the COVID-19 virus spread.
Not surprisingly, the economic drop has been reflected by Germany’s electricity consumption since March 1:
German electricity consumption drops in the wake of economic restrictions. Source: Agora.
12% drop in electricity consumption
The data show that under normal conditions, peak German electricity consumption hovers near 72 GW on a given workday But since the German government announced the tough restrictions last Sunday, peak power consumption has fallen some 12%, to 64 GW.
While environmentalists like preach the need to save on energy, it just goes to show that a 10% drop is enough to break an economy and cause mass hardship for millions of people. Without reliable, affordable energy, a healthy economy and high standard of living is simply not possible. Activists pushing for a “green economy” should look seriously at the implications of what they are calling for.
In order for a country to become prosperous, it needs to consume energy in order to work and produce more goods and services. The last thing it should do is consume less. Less energy means less work, which means lower living standards. A green, unstable energy economy will not deliver prosperity, but rather will only bring hardship and pain.
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notrickszone--2020-03-31--‘Extinction Rebellion’ (XR) Followers Want Humans To Go Extinct…”Humans Are The Disease!”

If there is still anyone out there with doubts over XR ’ s radical human-hating , cult-like agenda in their @ @ @ @ @ capitalism and evil CO2 emitters , here is evidence from members of the now Twitter-suspended @ @ @ @ @ : So humans going extinct is a good thing , and they hope the Corona @ @ @ @ @ – enough so as to wipe out the entire human species .
This spite went @ @ @ @ @ the main XR organization had to issue the following denunciation – a day later – @ @ @ @ @ too intense :

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This account is not managed by Extinction Rebellion UK or Extinction Rebellion East Midlands, and these messages are in no way a representation of the principles and values held by the movement and so are not the movement. We are investigating this now. — Extinction Rebellion (@ExtinctionR) March 25, 2020
Though they claim to have nothing to do with these radical views, it goes to show what kind of lunatics and hatred indeed do gravitate towards the XR, FFF, Antifa, etc. movements and their marches. How about putting these groups under observation?
XR can claim to distance themselves from these outrageous statements all they want, but these hate genes are embedded in the DNA of their movement. Two Twitter readers noted:
It's always been like that. #00 pic.twitter.com/u0dr9vwYHZ — Marek M. Möhling (@schubert_albert) March 26, 2020
German hip-hop group glad people are dying
Not long ago at a concert, German hip-hop group KIZ told its wildly cheering audience that the Corona virus was good because: “The truth is only old white guys die from it!”
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notrickszone--2020-04-01--Climate Crisis RIP: People Will Be In No Mood To Stay In Panic Mode After COVID-19 Scare Ends

COVID-19 has not only been a nightmare for the public worldwide , but especially for “ climate crisis ” alarmists who have seen their agenda disappear from the media radar .
And it ’ s going to stay off the radar for quite some time .
People can take only so much panic and restriction .
Once the COVID-19 crisis subsides , and it will in a few months , the global citizenry will be in absolutely no mood to keep on panicking .
They ’ ll want to go back to the prosperity they previously enjoyed .
“ Enough @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ll be saying .
There are several reasons the climate crisis isn ’ t going to come back soon .
First off , it ’ s human nature to address only dangers that are truly present .
Though many believe there ’ s a climate crisis , it ’ s one that is perceived to be years , even decades , off into the future .
So there ’ s no sense of real urgency like the immediate sort we ’ ve been seeing with COVID-19 .
So what if sea level rises @ @ @ @ @ @ @ move in 30 years – long before it ever gets here !
People will be sick and tired of panic Secondly , by the time COVID-19 passes , citizens will be sick and tired of panicking , and they aren ’ t going to be in the mood for a continued high level panic over something far , far less urgent .
They ’ ll have had enough of lock downs and sacrificing and aren ’ t going to be very open to sacrificing for the weather .
Too many people aren ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ science ” A third reason is that the climate crisis is still highly uncertain and increasingly hotly disputed .
Much of the science behind it is flimsy .
While it has been crystal clear that COVID-19 is urgent , especially for the elderly , the climate crisis is fraught with huge uncertainties and flaky science .
Too many people just aren ’ t buying it .
They ’ re going to take the let ’ s-wait-and-see attitude before flying off the handle again .
The media aren ’ t going to keep up @ @ @

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COVID-19 has not only been a nightmare for the public worldwide, but especially for “climate crisis” alarmists who have seen their agenda disappear from the media radar. And it’s going to stay off the radar for quite some time. People can take only so much panic and restriction.
Once the COVID-19 crisis subsides, and it will in a few months, the global citizenry will be in absolutely no mood to keep on panicking. They’ll want to go back to the prosperity they previously enjoyed.
“Enough sacrifice and restrictions,” they’ll be saying.
Far lower urgency
There are several reasons the climate crisis isn’t going to come back soon.
First off, it’s human nature to address only dangers that are truly present. Though many believe there’s a climate crisis, it’s one that is perceived to be years, even decades, off into the future. So there’s no sense of real urgency like the immediate sort we’ve been seeing with COVID-19. So what if sea level rises 2 feet by 2100. I can move in 30 years – long before it ever gets here!
People will be sick and tired of panic
Secondly, by the time COVID-19 passes, citizens will be sick and tired of panicking, and they aren’t going to be in the mood for a continued high level panic over something far, far less urgent. They’ll have had enough of lock downs and sacrificing and aren’t going to be very open to sacrificing for the weather.
Too many people aren’t buying the flaky climate crisis “science”
A third reason is that the climate crisis is still highly uncertain and increasingly hotly disputed. Much of the science behind it is flimsy. While it has been crystal clear that COVID-19 is urgent, especially for the elderly, the climate crisis is fraught with huge uncertainties and flaky science. Too many people just aren’t buying it. They’re going to take the let’s-wait-and-see attitude before flying off the handle again.
The media aren’t going to keep up the high panic
Fourthly, the media can’t devote the same attention to the “climate crisis” that they did to COVID-19 simply because people would just tune them out, and rightly so. Enough is enough. People will want to get back to normalcy. Who in their right mind would want to spend the rest of his life in a state of panic like the alarmists propose? Why would people — already fatigued by the COVID-19 panic — worry about a climate doomsday when summer is finally there? And despite all the hype surrounding Greta and Fridays for Future, a recent study by the organization Media Matters, revealed that there was only 238 minutes of climate crisis coverage by major US networks in 2019! So after COVID-19 subsides, the networks aren’t going to keep crying doomsday. They know they’ll be tuned out totally if they do. The climate crisis had gotten little attention Chart: Media Matters Gotten so old Moreover the climate warnings have been going on more than 30 years now and people had been tuning them out already, and for good reason. Life on the planet by most measures is far better today. All the dire predictions made in the 1990s and 2000s never came to pass. Political suicide Finally politicians will be very wary about calling for more pain to combat a distant, dubious threat. Doing so after going through the pain of COVID-19 would be tantamount to political suicide. Dictatorship as the last hope for the climate crisis? “As heretical as it may sound, there are valid questions to be raised about whether a democratic system with regular elections is suited to dealing with an issue that requires short-term sacrifice for long-term benefits,” wrote Joe Wiggins, a researcher in fund management. Good luck with that. Donate - choose an amount
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notrickszone--2020-04-02--Perspective: 575,000 People Died From 2009 H1N1 Pandemic…500,000 People Die From The Seasonal Flu Ea

Perspective: 575,000 People Died From 2009 H1N1 Pandemic…500,000 People Die From The Seasonal Flu Each Year

During the winter of 2016- ’ 17 nearly 25,000 Italian citizens died from the seasonal flu .
No one blinked .
In well over 3 months since its purported inception , the COVID-19 virus is claimed to be responsible for less than 50,000 deaths globally ( as of the 1st of April ) .
Every year , about 500,000 people from across the world die from the five-month-long seasonal flu .
During the last pandemic , the swine flu ( H1N1 ) killed up to 575,000 people .
This was interestingly classified as “ fairly mild ” for total pandemic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
A recent study ( Rosano et al.
, 2019 ) indicates that 68,000 Italians died from the flu during the 2013- ’ 14 to 2016- ’ 17 flu seasons .
Specifically , there were 24,981 flu deaths in 2016- ’ 17 and 20,259 seasonal flu fatalities occurred in 2014- ’ 15 .
These high death rates from the flu epidemic didn ’ t receive global attention .
Italy currently ( 1 April , 2020 ) has surpassed 13,100 deaths attributed to COVID-19 infections .
But it is highly likely the COVID-19 virus @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , not weeks .
According to two Stanford medical professors , an entire Italian town of 3,300 was tested for the virus on the 6th of March ( 2020 ) .
2.7 % tests came back positive , which was 130 times greater an infection rate than the infection rate confirmed by that date .
What this means is the infection rate is perhaps two orders of magnitude more extensive than we know .
Accurate calculation of death rates can only be inferred from dividing the deaths by the total number of infected @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Consequently , the death rate from infection could be far lower than we currently imagine…on par with , or even lower than , the seasonal flu .

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During the winter of 2016-’17 nearly 25,000 Italian citizens died from the seasonal flu. No one blinked.
In well over 3 months since its purported inception, the COVID-19 virus is claimed to be responsible for less than 50,000 deaths globally (as of the 1st of April).
Every year, about 500,000 people from across the world die from the five-month-long seasonal flu.
During the last pandemic, the swine flu (H1N1) killed up to 575,000 people.
This was interestingly classified as “fairly mild” for total pandemic deaths in 2012 (ABC NEWS).
Image Source: ABC NEWS
A closer look at Italy
A recent study (Rosano et al., 2019) indicates that 68,000 Italians died from the flu during the 2013-’14 to 2016-’17 flu seasons.
Specifically, there were 24,981 flu deaths in 2016-’17 and 20,259 seasonal flu fatalities occurred in 2014-’15.
These high death rates from the flu epidemic didn’t receive global attention.
Italy currently (1 April, 2020) has surpassed 13,100 deaths attributed to COVID-19 infections.
But it is highly likely the COVID-19 virus has been circulating throughout Italy for months, not weeks.
According to two Stanford medical professors, an entire Italian town of 3,300 was tested for the virus on the 6th of March (2020). 2.7% tests came back positive, which was 130 times greater an infection rate than the infection rate confirmed by that date.
Image Source: the Blaze
What this means is the infection rate is perhaps two orders of magnitude more extensive than we know.
Accurate calculation of death rates can only be inferred from dividing the deaths by the total number of infected cases – not just the confirmed ones.
Consequently, the death rate from infection could be far lower than we currently imagine…on par with, or even lower than, the seasonal flu.


notrickszone--2020-04-03--Is Greenland Warming, Melting? Hell No! NASA Data Show No Warming In Nearly 100 Years!

Recently I tweeted that according to NASA GHCN V3 data , three of 4 stations in Iceland saw no warming from 1922 – 2018 : But then NASA adjusted the V3 data and called it GHCN V4 “ unadjusted ” .
The chart shown above in my tweet toggles between the prior V3 chart and the “ unadjusted ” V4 .
See the difference ?
Note how the lack of warming has been removed and now the V4 data show modest warming .
The missing heat was found – in the statistics !
So in a sense , global warming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ through statistical fudging and not human activity .
Today we also take a look at Greenland .
The map that follows shows the location of the stations we ’ ve been looking at : Looking at Greenland V4 mean annual temperatures at the Nuuk and Tasiilaq stations , we see the following plots : Here even NASA ’ s V4 data still show no warming .
In fact we saw pronounced cooling from the 1960s to the early 1990s .
Since 2002 , Greenland temps have stabilized .
In fact a 2017 paper @ @ @ @ @ @ @ trend “ in accordance with a North Atlantic-wide cooling ” : So no wonder Greenland ’ s glaciers have stopped appearing in alarmist headlines .
After the brief 1990-2010 period of melting , Greenland ’ s ice sheet mass losses have significantly decelerated since 2013 – a reversal from the rapid retreat from the 1990s to 2012 driven by cloud forcing and the NAO ( Ruan et al.
, 2019 ) .
The 47 largest Greenland glaciers also experienced a “ relatively stable ” period of rather insignificant retreat from 2013 to 2018 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Only 21 of the 47 Greenland glaciers retreated in 2018 , 12 advanced , and the other 14 showed no trends in either direction ( Polar Portal , 2019 ) .
Greenland ’ s largest glacier , Jakobshavn , earned headlines in 2019 for its surprising and non-predicted rapid thickening in recent years .
In short , absolutely zero alarm up in Greenland – unless your concern is cooling .

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By Kirye
and Pierre Gosselin
Recently I tweeted that according to NASA GHCN V3 data, three of 4 stations in Iceland saw no warming from 1922 – 2018:
In Iceland, 3 of 4 stations have been a cooling or there has been no warming trend from 1922 to 2018, according to GHCN V3 Unadjusted data.
GHCN V4 Unadjusted data shows how NASA changed the temperature data during the same period.#地球温暖化? #温暖化？ #気候変動 #ClimateChange pic.twitter.com/XjCe4KCqjg — キリエ (@KiryeNet) April 1, 2020
But then NASA adjusted the V3 data and called it GHCN V4 “unadjusted”. The chart shown above in my tweet toggles between the prior V3 chart and the “unadjusted” V4. See the difference?
Note how the lack of warming has been removed and now the V4 data show modest warming. The missing heat was found – in the statistics! So in a sense, global warming has been “man-made” – done through statistical fudging and not human activity.
Greenland
Today we also take a look at Greenland. The map that follows shows the location of the stations we’ve been looking at:
Looking at Greenland V4 mean annual temperatures at the Nuuk and Tasiilaq stations, we see the following plots:
Here even NASA’s V4 data still show no warming. In fact we saw pronounced cooling from the 1960s to the early 1990s. Since 2002, Greenland temps have stabilized.
Recent findings confirm cooling
In fact a 2017 paper by Kabashi et al shows a downward trend “in accordance with a North Atlantic-wide cooling”:
Greenland’s glaciers stable So no wonder Greenland’s glaciers have stopped appearing in alarmist headlines. After the brief 1990-2010 period of melting, Greenland’s ice sheet mass losses have significantly decelerated since 2013 – a reversal from the rapid retreat from the 1990s to 2012 driven by cloud forcing and the NAO (Ruan et al., 2019). The 47 largest Greenland glaciers also experienced a “relatively stable” period of rather insignificant retreat from 2013 to 2018 (Andersen et al., 2019). Only 21 of the 47 Greenland glaciers retreated in 2018, 12 advanced, and the other 14 showed no trends in either direction (Polar Portal, 2019). Greenland’s largest glacier, Jakobshavn, earned headlines in 2019 for its surprising and non-predicted rapid thickening in recent years.
Image Source: BBC, 2019
In short, absolutely zero alarm up in Greenland – unless your concern is cooling.
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