notrickszone--2020-10-05--New Study Finds Robust Statistical Probability Temperature Drives CO2 Changes, Upending ‘Scientific

New Study Finds Robust Statistical Probability Temperature Drives CO2 Changes, Upending ‘Scientific Perception’

Prompted by the observation that dramatic COVID-related reductions in 2020 human CO emissions had zero impact on the Earth ’ s CO concentration , two scientists conduct extensive statistical probability analyses to conclude temperature changes lead CO changes , not the other way around .
The nearly global acceptance of economically-devastating lockdowns as a mitigating response to the COVID-19 pandemic has inspired many to question the assumption humans drive changes in CO2 concentration .
As Drs .
Koutsoyiannis and Kundzewicz point out in their iconoclastic new study , “ despite unprecedented decrease in carbon emission , there was an increase @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a pattern similar to previous years.
” Utilizing the obvious condition that causes precede effects , or that effects do not lead causes , the authors first point out that the paleoclimate record shows CO changes follow temperature changes by about 1000 years .
Then they examine the sequential relationship between global temperature and atmospheric CO concentration during 1980–2019 .
While they find the causality direction for CO2 leading temperature ( T ) changes does exist , the results of their study clearly “ support the hypothesis that the dominant direction is T @ @ @ @ @ @ @ T. In fact , the statistical probability is so robust “ the p-values in the direction T → [ CO ] are always smaller than in direction [ CO ] → T by about 4 to 5 orders of magnitude , thus clearly supporting T → [ CO ] as dominant direction.
” Temperature is shown to lead CO changes by about 6 months to a year .
Drs .
Koutsoyiannis and Kundzewicz acknowledge the perspective “ CO → T prevails in public , as well as in scientific , perception.
” So @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has natural ground ( soil ) CO emissions reaching 114 to 119 gigatons of carbon ( GtC ) per year , whereas ground ( fossil fuel ) emissions from anthropogenic sources only amount to 8 or 9 GtC per year .
Consequently , the “ change in carbon fluxes due to natural processes is likely to exceed the change due to anthropogenic CO emissions ” as the “ the intensity of biochemical process increases with temperature [ and ] leads to increasing natural CO emission.
” This study is not without precedent .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ for 1980-2012 ( Humlum et al.
, 2013 ) indicated “ changes in atmospheric CO are not tracking changes in human emissions ” and “ changes in global atmospheric CO are lagging 9.5-10 months behind changes in global air surface temperature.
” Atmospheric physicist Dr. Murry Salby authored a textbook highlighting the dependence of CO2 emissions on temperature .
He insisted that “ a significant portion ” of the recent increase in CO “ derives from a gradual increase in surface temperature ” ( pg .
253 ) .
But there is also @ @ @ @ @ @ @ currently accepted paleoclimate and straight-line ( Mauna Loa ) CO progressions , as they imply CO molecules do not respond to temperature like they are observed to do so chemically .
He concludes : “ The two proxies of previous climate are incompatible .
They can not both be correct.
” A critical analysis of the paleoclimate CO record ( Jaworowski et al.
, 1992 ) suggests the assumption we can accurately determine the entire Earth ’ s CO concentration by examining ancient polar ice bubbles – 36 to 100 % of which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s air – is “ shown to be invalid.
” In Holocene-era ice cores , CO reaches 2500 ppm , 2900 ppm , even 7400 ppm per measurements taken in the 1960s , 1970s , and 1980s .
These values were selectively rejected by those seeking to reach “ consensus ” that modern CO concentration values are unprecedented .
To further illustrate the currently accepted paleoclimate CO records are likely to be invalid , consider the fact that modern CO concentrations beneath snowpack in forests and meadows range from 600 to 1800 ppm @ @ @ @ @ @ @ much as 200 ppm within a period of just 4 days ( Massman and Frank , 2006 ) .
If this kind of flux can be observed for modern conditions , assessing the CO concentration beneath snowpack that is thousands of years old is little more than fanciful speculation .

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Prompted by the observation that dramatic COVID-related reductions in 2020 human CO 2 emissions had zero impact on the Earth’s CO 2 concentration, two scientists conduct extensive statistical probability analyses to conclude temperature changes lead CO 2 changes, not the other way around.
The nearly global acceptance of economically-devastating lockdowns as a mitigating response to the COVID-19 pandemic has inspired many to question the assumption humans drive changes in CO2 concentration.
As Drs. Koutsoyiannis and Kundzewicz point out in their iconoclastic new study, “despite unprecedented decrease in carbon emission, there was an increase in atmospheric CO 2 concentration, which followed a pattern similar to previous years.”
Utilizing the obvious condition that causes precede effects, or that effects do not lead causes, the authors first point out that the paleoclimate record shows CO 2 changes follow temperature changes by about 1000 years. Then they examine the sequential relationship between global temperature and atmospheric CO 2 concentration during 1980–2019.
While they find the causality direction for CO2 leading temperature (T) changes does exist, the results of their study clearly “support the hypothesis that the dominant direction is T → CO 2 ,” not CO 2 → T.
In fact, the statistical probability is so robust “the p-values in the direction T → [CO 2 ] are always smaller than in direction [CO 2 ] → T by about 4 to 5 orders of magnitude, thus clearly supporting T → [CO 2 ] as dominant direction.” Temperature is shown to lead CO 2 changes by about 6 months to a year.
Drs. Koutsoyiannis and Kundzewicz acknowledge the perspective “CO 2 → T prevails in public, as well as in scientific, perception.” So they point out that an IPCC analysis has natural ground (soil) CO 2 emissions reaching 114 to 119 gigatons of carbon (GtC) per year, whereas ground (fossil fuel) emissions from anthropogenic sources only amount to 8 or 9 GtC per year. Consequently, the “change in carbon fluxes due to natural processes is likely to exceed the change due to anthropogenic CO 2 emissions” as the “the intensity of biochemical process increases with temperature [and] leads to increasing natural CO 2 emission.”
This study is not without precedent. Another analysis of the temperature-CO 2 phase relation for 1980-2012 (Humlum et al., 2013) indicated “changes in atmospheric CO 2 are not tracking changes in human emissions” and “changes in global atmospheric CO 2 are lagging 9.5-10 months behind changes in global air surface temperature.”
Atmospheric physicist Dr. Murry Salby authored a textbook highlighting the dependence of CO2 emissions on temperature. He insisted that “a significant portion” of the recent increase in CO 2 “derives from a gradual increase in surface temperature” (pg. 253).
But there is also a “major inconsistency” in the currently accepted paleoclimate and straight-line (Mauna Loa) CO 2 progressions, as they imply CO 2 molecules do not respond to temperature like they are observed to do so chemically.
He concludes: “The two proxies of previous climate are incompatible. They cannot both be correct.”
A critical analysis of the paleoclimate CO 2 record (Jaworowski et al., 1992) suggests the assumption we can accurately determine the entire Earth’s CO 2 concentration by examining ancient polar ice bubbles – 36 to 100% of which are contaminated by exposure to today’s air – is “shown to be invalid.”
In Holocene-era ice cores, CO 2 reaches 2500 ppm, 2900 ppm, even 7400 ppm per measurements taken in the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s. These values were selectively rejected by those seeking to reach “consensus” that modern CO 2 concentration values are unprecedented.
To further illustrate the currently accepted paleoclimate CO 2 records are likely to be invalid, consider the fact that modern CO 2 concentrations beneath snowpack in forests and meadows range from 600 to 1800 ppm and these concentrations can fluctuate by as much as 200 ppm within a period of just 4 days (Massman and Frank, 2006).
If this kind of flux can be observed for modern conditions, assessing the CO 2 concentration beneath snowpack that is thousands of years old is little more than fanciful speculation.
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notrickszone--2020-10-06--German Electricity Prices Soar, Now Most Expensive In Europe …Taxes, Green Surcharges Make Up 53.6%

German Electricity Prices Soar, Now Most Expensive In Europe …Taxes, Green Surcharges Make Up 53.6% Of Price!

Thanks to the Energiewende ( transition to green energies ) , which is tantamount to a vegan energy diet , Germany ’ s electricity prices have soared 27 % over the past decade to become the most expensive in Europe , if not the world , according to the STROM-REPORT .
Taxes , surcharges and a catalogue of other fees make up 53.6 % of Germany ’ s electricity price , only Denmark has a higher share at 67.8 % .
Only five European countries have seen electricity prices drop over the last 10 years .
No country has seen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and Great Britain , where the price has risen a whopping 55 % and 46 % respectively over the past 10 years .
What ’ s behind the high electricity prices ?
According to the STROM-REPORT : “ The biggest intra-European differences are caused by taxes and duties .
The EU average is 36.6 % .
But the values vary from country to country and are highest in Denmark with 63.7 % .
In Germany , where the government-induced price components also account for more than half [ 52.3 % ] of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ enables the expansion of renewable energies , is included at 21.5 % .
”

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Thanks to the Energiewende (transition to green energies), which is tantamount to a vegan energy diet, Germany’s electricity prices have soared 27% over the past decade to become the most expensive in Europe, if not the world, according to the STROM-REPORT.
Source: Infografik “Strompreise in Europa 2020”, STROM-REPORT.de, Creative Commons License CC-BY-ND
Taxes, surcharges and a catalogue of other fees make up 53.6% of Germany’s electricity price, only Denmark has a higher share at 67.8%. Only five European countries have seen electricity prices drop over the last 10 years.
Soaring prices in Latvia and Great Britain
No country has seen electricity rates rise more than in Latvia and Great Britain, where the price has risen a whopping 55% and 46% respectively over the past 10 years.
What’s behind the high electricity prices? According to the STROM-REPORT: “The biggest intra-European differences are caused by taxes and duties. The EU average is 36.6%. But the values vary from country to country and are highest in Denmark with 63.7%. In Germany, where the government-induced price components also account for more than half [52.3%] of the price, the EEG levy, which enables the expansion of renewable energies, is included at 21.5%.”
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notrickszone--2020-10-07--German Prof: Climate Science Politicized, Exaggerated, Filled With “Fantasy”, “Fairy Tales”…”Paris A

German Prof: Climate Science Politicized, Exaggerated, Filled With “Fantasy”, “Fairy Tales”…”Paris Accord Already Dead”!

German professor , co-founder of modern environmental movement , says climate science is exaggerated , filled with fairy tales and believes the Paris Accord is “ already dead ” .
In an interview with publicist Roland Tichy , Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt – one of the founders of Germany ’ s modern environmental movement – said we have in fact three generations time to revamp the world ’ s energy supply system to one that is cleaner and sustainable .
He rejects the Fridays For Future claim that there are only 12 years left .
In the interview , moderator Tichy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , a time when it was “ 3°C warmer than today ” , and Vahrenholt responded saying he expects civilization to continue for another seven thousand years .
There was no tipping point back then , why would there be one today ?
“ Warmth and moisture have always been good for mankind , ” said Vahrenholt .
“ Cold has been man ’ s worst enemy.
” The German professor also said that the claimed catastrophe “ is not taking place ” and that policymakers are trying to use “ panic and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” Much of the warming measured since 1850 is the result of natural warming taking place due to the end of the Little Ice Age , he explained .
Later the German professor of chemistry calls the belief that wind and sun are able replace fossil fuels “ fantasizing ” and that Germany , with its 2.3 % share of global CO2 emissions , can rescue the global climate “ a fairy tale ” .
Meanwhile , the warming of the last 150 years is in large part caused by natural cycles .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ was more active than at any time over the past 2000 years.
” Economically , Vahrenholt believes that a frenzied rush to renewables will lead to “ horrible ” economic consequences from European industrialization .
On the topic of a scientific consensus , the German professor says this is a claim made by the IPCC , which run by the UN with an agenda behind it .
Vahrenholt also believes electric cars powered by batteries is not a feasible technology , and that other experts quietly call it “ a crackpot idea ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for fear of losing research funding .
The vast majority of funding comes from the German government .
The professor of chemistry , co-author of a recent bestseller , also describes Germany as a country in denial when it comes to the broader global debate taking place on climate science , and declared the Paris Accord as being “ already dead ” .
“ The Accord is already dead .
Putin says it ’ s nonsense .
[ … ] The Americans are out .
The Chinese don ’ t have to do @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on a handful of European countries .
The European Commission in massively on it .
And I predict that they will reach the targets only if they destroy the European industries , ” said Vahrenholt .
He characterizes Europe ’ s recent push for even stricter emissions reduction targets to madness akin to Soviet central planning that is doomed to fail spectacularly .

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German professor, co-founder of modern environmental movement, says climate science is exaggerated, filled with fairy tales and believes the Paris Accord is “already dead”.
In an interview with publicist Roland Tichy, Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt – one of the founders of Germany’s modern environmental movement – said we have in fact three generations time to revamp the world’s energy supply system to one that is cleaner and sustainable.
He rejects the Fridays For Future claim that there are only 12 years left.
Climate catastrophe not taking place
In the interview, moderator Tichy reminded that civilization began 7000 years ago, a time when it was “3°C warmer than today”, and Vahrenholt responded saying he expects civilization to continue for another seven thousand years. There was no tipping point back then, why would there be one today? “Warmth and moisture have always been good for mankind,” said Vahrenholt. “Cold has been man’s worst enemy.”
Plenty of time to move rationally
The German professor also said that the claimed catastrophe “is not taking place” and that policymakers are trying to use “panic and fear to get the people to act.” Much of the warming measured since 1850 is the result of natural warming taking place due to the end of the Little Ice Age, he explained.
Germany’s green fantasy
Later the German professor of chemistry calls the belief that wind and sun are able replace fossil fuels “fantasizing” and that Germany, with its 2.3% share of global CO2 emissions, can rescue the global climate “a fairy tale”.
Meanwhile, the warming of the last 150 years is in large part caused by natural cycles. “In the 20th century the sun was more active than at any time over the past 2000 years.”
Economically, Vahrenholt believes that a frenzied rush to renewables will lead to “horrible” economic consequences from European industrialization.
On the topic of a scientific consensus, the German professor says this is a claim made by the IPCC, which run by the UN with an agenda behind it.
Electric cars a “crackpot idea”
Vahrenholt also believes electric cars powered by batteries is not a feasible technology, and that other experts quietly call it “a crackpot idea”, and don’t speak up for fear of losing research funding. The vast majority of funding comes from the German government.
“Paris Accord already dead”
The professor of chemistry, co-author of a recent bestseller, also describes Germany as a country in denial when it comes to the broader global debate taking place on climate science, and declared the Paris Accord as being “already dead”.
“The Accord is already dead. Putin says it’s nonsense. […] The Americans are out. The Chinese don’t have to do anything. It’s all concentrated on a handful of European countries. The European Commission in massively on it. And I predict that they will reach the targets only if they destroy the European industries,” said Vahrenholt.
He characterizes Europe’s recent push for even stricter emissions reduction targets to madness akin to Soviet central planning that is doomed to fail spectacularly.
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notrickszone--2020-10-08--Scientists Assert Relative Sea Levels Were 32 Meters Higher Than Today In South Greenland 13,800 Yea

Scientists Assert Relative Sea Levels Were 32 Meters Higher Than Today In South Greenland 13,800 Years Ago

Prior to the transition from the last ice age to the current interglacial climate , when CO2 levels still lingered @ @ @ @ @ relative sea levels in southern Greenland were “ at least ∼32 m above present.
” @ @ @ @ @ a series of major changes since the last glacial maximum , when global sea levels @ @ @ @ @ ’ s .
Sea levels rose at rates of up to 60 or 70 millmeters @ @ @ @ @ 7 meters per century , Tanabe , 2020 ) from about 12,000 to 8,000 years @ @ @ @ @ globe experienced sea level high stands of 2 or 3 meters above present between about @ @ @ @ @ ( King et al.
, 2020 , Lopes et al.
, 2020 , Martins et @ @ @ @ @ But a new study ( Steffen et al.
, 2020 ) proposes relative sea levels @ @ @ @ @ above today ’ s levels in Nanotalik ( southern Greenland ) during the latter stages @ @ @ @ @ ( 13,800 years ago ) .

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Prior to the transition from the last ice age to the current interglacial climate, when CO2 levels still lingered below 250 ppm, the relative sea levels in southern Greenland were “at least ∼32 m above present.”
Relative sea levels have undergone a series of major changes since the last glacial maximum, when global sea levels were 120 meters below today’s.
Sea levels rose at rates of up to 60 or 70 millmeters per year (6 to 7 meters per century, Tanabe, 2020) from about 12,000 to 8,000 years ago. Most of the globe experienced sea level high stands of 2 or 3 meters above present between about 7,000 to 5,000 years ago (King et al., 2020, Lopes et al., 2020, Martins et al., 2020).
But a new study (Steffen et al., 2020) proposes relative sea levels instead peaked at 32 meters above today’s levels in Nanotalik (southern Greenland) during the latter stages of the last ice age (13,800 years ago).
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notrickszone--2020-10-09--The “Warmest September Ever” Is A Myth… Cooler Times Likely Ahead As NASA Foresees Strong La Nina…

Our friend “ SnowFan ” here looks at the claims that September 2020 was the warmest ever recorded .
It turns out that other measurement advanced satellites don ’ t agree .
According to the much ballyhooed data , temperatures in Europe in September this year were on average 0.2 degrees Celsius higher than in the previous record September 2018 .
The service providing the data is part of the European earth observation program Copernicus .
But the satellite data from the UAH and RSS both agree that this is not really the case !
Above the global satellite data @ @ @ @ @ @ @ RSS ( right ) in the tables clearly clearly show the monthly deviations from the WMO mean 1981-2010 ( UAH ) and from the climate mean 1979-1998 ( RSS ) : September 2020 was not the warmest since satellite measurements began in 1979 .
At UAH , September 2019 was slightly warmer while at RSS even September 2017 was warmer .
Strong La Nina may be in the works Overall the globe ’ s surface continues to cool since the peak of the 2015/16 El Nino , and that cooling will very likely @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Weather Service projections are correct .
Both Agencies see a significant La Nina in the pipeline for 2021 .
The current ENSO forecasts of NASA ( left ) and NOAA ( right ) from October 6 , 2020 , predict an unusually strong La Niña in the equatorial Pacific with temperature deviations down to -3°C and with unusually long duration until the NH summer of 2021 .
Such a strong event would certainly lead remarkable surface cooling .
Source : BOM ENSO models with additions .

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Our friend “SnowFan” here looks at the claims that September 2020 was the warmest ever recorded. It turns out that other measurement advanced satellites don’t agree.
According to the much ballyhooed data, temperatures in Europe in September this year were on average 0.2 degrees Celsius higher than in the previous record September 2018. The service providing the data is part of the European earth observation program Copernicus.
But the satellite data from the UAH and RSS both agree that this is not really the case!
Above the global satellite data from UAH (left) and from RSS (right) in the tables clearly clearly show the monthly deviations from the WMO mean 1981-2010 (UAH) and from the climate mean 1979-1998 (RSS): September 2020 was not the warmest since satellite measurements began in 1979. At UAH, September 2019 was slightly warmer while at RSS even September 2017 was warmer.
Strong La Nina may be in the works
Overall the globe’s surface continues to cool since the peak of the 2015/16 El Nino, and that cooling will very likely continue if NASA and the US National Weather Service projections are correct. Both Agencies see a significant La Nina in the pipeline for 2021.
The current ENSO forecasts of NASA (left) and NOAA (right) from October 6, 2020, predict an unusually strong La Niña in the equatorial Pacific with temperature deviations down to -3°C and with unusually long duration until the NH summer of 2021.
Such a strong event would certainly lead remarkable surface cooling. Source: BOM ENSO models with additions.
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notrickszone--2020-10-10--Faking Crises Never Been More Beneficial In Terms Of Government Power: Germany Now Enacts CO2 Tax

The “ Corona pandemic ” , despite the ever falling death rate , gave governments cover to enact draconian regulation and lockdowns , thus allowing their even wildest power wet dreams to turn into reality .
Just a year ago much of what we are seeing today was considered unimaginable .
Yet , here we are .
Never before have modern “ democratic ” governments enacted such extreme lockdown and government intrusion measures like those we have seen in the current “ Corona crisis ” .
And like real junkies , they need more .
There are other government crackdown @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the “ climate crisis ” – the Big Kahuna when it comes to government regulation , takeover and control .
It ’ s not for nothing they ’ ve frittered away hundreds of billions propping up this fake crisis .
Germany is already seizing the opportunity , having pledged to ban internal combustion engines soon , modify human eating habits and restricting a host of other amenities we once took for granted .
Soon these amenities will be redefined as privileges , and they will be easily available only to the wealthy and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ heat .
The German media , e.g .
NTV public broadcasting , have reported that the Bundestag has just decided on a higher CO2 tax beginning already next year , January 1st .
“ It is intended to make fossil fuels less attractive .
This means that fuel , heating oil and gas , among other things , will cost more , ” reports German public broadcaster NTV .
“ The CO2 price will be 25 euro per ton from the new year on .
The levy acts like a tax and is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2025.
” That also means higher gasoline and diesel fuel prices , which will make transportation more expensive .
Already German electricity is the most expensive in Europe .
But not to worry : Industries with particularly high energy requirements that are also in global competition will be relieved of the costs .
And of course , the rich and elitists will also keep their cushy red carpet lives – so that they can continue effectively doing their important work – while the rest of us are forced to move out into the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ ll be lower income workers and households left struggling with the higher prices for everything .
Even heat will become a luxury .
And so continues the cycle of political demise And once governments get total control and surveillance over citizens across the world , they ’ ll try to tell us all just how much better things have become as a result , like the old communists used to do with their state controlled media .
Of course , life in reality will become much worse , but we ’ ll @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t .
We all know what follows next : Revolution .

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Germany’s Bundestag moves to enact a higher CO2 tax
The “Corona pandemic”, despite the ever falling death rate, has given governments cover to enact draconian regulation and lockdowns, thus allowing their even wildest power wet dreams to turn into reality.
Just a year ago much of what we are seeing today was considered unimaginable. Yet, here we are.
Never before have modern “democratic” governments enacted such extreme lockdown and government intrusion measures like those we have seen in the current “Corona crisis”. And like real junkies, they need more.
There are other government crackdown opportunities left out there, among them the “climate crisis” – the Big Kahuna when it comes to government regulation, takeover and control. It’s not for nothing they’ve frittered away hundreds of billions propping up this fake crisis.
Germany is already seizing the opportunity, having pledged to ban internal combustion engines soon, modify human eating habits and restricting a host of other amenities we once took for granted. Soon these amenities will be redefined as privileges, and they will be easily available only to the wealthy and elite.
The latest is energy and heat.
Higher CO2 tax decided
The German media, e.g. NTV public broadcasting, have reported that the Bundestag has just decided on a higher CO2 tax beginning already next year, January 1st.
“It is intended to make fossil fuels less attractive. This means that fuel, heating oil and gas, among other things, will cost more,” reports German public broadcaster NTV. “The CO2 price will be 25 euro per ton from the new year on. The levy acts like a tax and is to climb gradually to 55 euros by 2025.”
That also means higher gasoline and diesel fuel prices, which will make transportation more expensive.
Already German electricity is the most expensive in Europe.
But not to worry: Industries with particularly high energy requirements that are also in global competition will be relieved of the costs. And of course, the rich and elitists will also keep their cushy red carpet lives – so that they can continue effectively doing their important work – while the rest of us are forced to move out into the cold mud.
In the end it’ll be lower income workers and households left struggling with the higher prices for everything. Even heat will become a luxury.
And so continues the cycle of political demise
And once governments get total control and surveillance over citizens across the world, they’ll try to tell us all just how much better things have become as a result, like the old communists used to do with their state controlled media. Of course, life in reality will become much worse, but we’ll be asked to pretend that it isn’t.
We all know what follows next: Revolution.
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notrickszone--2020-10-12--Unheralded Global Ocean 2000-Year Temperature Reconstruction Reveals Embarrassingly Small Modern Cha

Unheralded Global Ocean 2000-Year Temperature Reconstruction Reveals Embarrassingly Small Modern Changes

It didn ’ t receive much a attention in 2015 , but a comprehensive Nature journal study of 0-2000 A.D. global sea surface temperatures shows 1 ) climate changes occurred more than twice as fast during the Little Ice Age ( LIA ) than since 1800 , 2 ) the entire first millennium was > 1 standard deviation ( s.d .
unit ) warmer than today , and 3 ) 1800-2000 ocean changes amounted to just 0.08 of a s.d .
unit per century .
There are several reasons to question the presentation of data in McGregor et al.
, @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sea surface temperatures .
The myriad authors decided not to clearly depict actual temperature changes in their reconstruction , preferring instead to “ reimagine ” temperatures as standard deviation units .
The graphical presentation of “ standardized SST [ sea surface temperature ] s.d .
units ” abruptly and curiously stops in 1900 .
This unexplained truncation was used despite mentioning in the body of the paper that the 1900-2000 period had a “ statistically significant ” warming trend of ( just ) 0.08 s.d .
units/century – half of the century-scale changes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 0.18 s.d .
units/century , respectively ) .
Perhaps the insignificance of the post-1900 uptick wasn ’ t considered helpful to the AGW ( anthropogenic global warming ) narrative .
The graphs depicting no remarkable modern global ocean temperature changes ( shown below ) , such as the ones with flatline trends from the 1860s to 2000 , are buried in the supplemental information for the paper , making the data and graphs less accessible .
One would think that the lack of any remarkable or anomalous global temperature changes occurring during modern @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Finally , this study shows the Roman Warm Period and Medieval Warm Period were globally warmer than today at the ocean surface ( with some location and timing differences ) .
It also affirms the LIA was “ globally coherent.
” The authors even identify the mechanism for “ robust ” LIA cooling : “ high frequency explosive volcanism ” with centennial-scale impacts .
At least the latter point made its way into the paper ’ s abstract…rather than hidden or buried .
Image Source : and for the paper

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It didn’t receive much a attention in 2015, but a comprehensive Nature journal study of 0-2000 A.D. global sea surface temperatures shows 1) climate changes occurred more than twice as fast during the Little Ice Age (LIA) than since 1800, 2) the entire first millennium was >1 standard deviation (s.d. unit) warmer than today, and 3) 1800-2000 ocean changes amounted to just 0.08 of a s.d. unit per century.
Adapted Image Source: McGregor et al., 2015
There are several reasons to question the presentation of data in McGregor et al., 2015. – a global-scale reconstruction of sea surface temperatures.
The myriad authors decided not to clearly depict actual temperature changes in their reconstruction, preferring instead to “reimagine” temperatures as standard deviation units.
The graphical presentation of “standardized SST [sea surface temperature] s.d. units” abruptly and curiously stops in 1900. This unexplained truncation was used despite mentioning in the body of the paper that the 1900-2000 period had a “statistically significant” warming trend of (just) 0.08 s.d. units/century – half of the century-scale changes during 1200-1400 and 1400-1600 (0.17 and 0.18 s.d. units/century, respectively). Perhaps the insignificance of the post-1900 uptick wasn’t considered helpful to the AGW (anthropogenic global warming) narrative.
The graphs depicting no remarkable modern global ocean temperature changes (shown below), such as the ones with flatline trends from the 1860s to 2000, are buried in the supplemental information for the paper, making the data and graphs less accessible. One would think that the lack of any remarkable or anomalous global temperature changes occurring during modern times would deserve some scientific attention.
Finally, this study shows the Roman Warm Period and Medieval Warm Period were globally warmer than today at the ocean surface (with some location and timing differences). It also affirms the LIA was “globally coherent.” The authors even identify the mechanism for “robust” LIA cooling: “high frequency explosive volcanism” with centennial-scale impacts.
At least the latter point made its way into the paper’s abstract…rather than hidden or buried.


notrickszone--2020-10-11--German Wind Energy Woes Intensify, “A Farce”… Construction Licenses Plummet 70 Percent In 3 Years

Wind energy investment plummeted in the third quarter of this year in Germany , reports the online IWR here .
“ The nine-month figures now available make it clearer that this trend will continue in 2020 , ” writes the IWR .
Installation of wind energy in Germany peaked in 2017 ( see bar chart here ) , but has since fallen sharply after the German federal government enacted new rules and regulations against their construction .
According to Clean Energy Wire here , An analysis by energy industry lobby group BDEW found that the falling number of permits issued @ @ @ @ @ @ @ factor behind the decline , with issued licenses dropping by 70 percent over three years .
About 11 GW , roughly 2,000 turbines , were stuck in bureaucratic procedures as of mid-2019.
” In the third quarter of 2020 , only 85 turbines with a total capacity of 293 MW were installed .
Germany has approximately 30,000 turbines operating .
In the first nine months of 2020 , only a total of 306 new wind turbines ( 1,104 MW ) were added .
The IWR forecasts 1200 MW of new onshore wind energy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ year 2020 .
In 2019 the figure was slightly lower at 1,078 MW .
The slight increase , the IWR reports “ is not sufficient to compensate for the decline in offshore wind energy.
” “ Overall , it is thereforeexpected that the total increase in new wind power capacity in the current year will again be significantly weaker than in the already weak previous year 2019.
” Green energy lobbyist Volker Quaschning at Twitter sees Germany ’ s green energy expansion as being “ totaled ” and the country ’ s promises @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ”

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Wind energy investment plummeted in the third quarter of this year in Germany, reports the online IWR here.
“The nine-month figures now available make it clearer that this trend will continue in 2020,” writes the IWR.
Issued construction licenses drop 70 percent in 3 years
Installation of wind energy in Germany peaked in 2017 (see bar chart here), but has since fallen sharply after the German federal government enacted new rules and regulations against their construction.
According to Clean Energy Wire here,
An analysis by energy industry lobby group BDEW found that the falling number of permits issued for onshore wind turbines was the main factor behind the decline, with issued licenses dropping by 70 percent over three years. About 11 GW, roughly 2,000 turbines, were stuck in bureaucratic procedures as of mid-2019.”
In the third quarter of 2020, only 85 turbines with a total capacity of 293 MW were installed. Germany has approximately 30,000 turbines operating.
In the first nine months of 2020, only a total of 306 new wind turbines (1,104 MW) were added.
The IWR forecasts 1200 MW of new onshore wind energy capacity to be added for the full year 2020. In 2019 the figure was slightly lower at 1,078 MW. The slight increase, the IWR reports “is not sufficient to compensate for the decline in offshore wind energy.”
“Overall, it is thereforeexpected that the total increase in new wind power capacity in the current year will again be significantly weaker than in the already weak previous year 2019.”
Green energy expansion “being totaled”, a “farce”
Green energy lobbyist Volker Quaschning at Twitter sees Germany’s green energy expansion as being “totaled” and the country’s promises of climate protection as “a farce”
Totalschaden mit Ansage: Ausbau der #Windkraft bricht noch weiter ein. So werden alle deutschen #Klimaschutz-Versprechen zur Farce. Lieber @peteraltmaier, @BMWi_Bund: Wann sorgen Sie endlich dafür, dass wenigstens Ihre Ausbauziele eingehalten werden? https://t.co/5JhhFYoUml — Volker Quaschning (@VQuaschning) October 6, 2020
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notrickszone--2020-10-13--Protesters be Damned…German Bill Aims To Elevate Unstable Green Energies To Status Of “National Secu

Protesters be Damned…German Bill Aims To Elevate Unstable Green Energies To Status Of “National Security”!

Since everyone is preoccupied with Corona , hardly anyone notices what is being decided to continue destroying Germany : The German government now wants to make the use of renewable energies a question of national security .
“ The use of renewable energies for electricity generation is in the public interest and serves public security , ” says the draft of the new German Renewable Energy Sources Act , on which the newspaper “ Welt am Sonntag ” reported .
From the point of view of experts , the decision is of enormous significance .
It concerns a energy-political turning @ @ @ @ @ @ @ law at the law firm of Luther , Gernot , Engel , reports Die Welt am Sonntag .
In the controversy over the building of wind parks , for example , the reference to “ public security ” may fundamentally impact court rulings .
In court proceedings in connection with the expansion of bioenergy , wind and solar power , the reference to “ public safety ” could restrict the impact rulings by judges , business representatives fear , according to the “ Welt am Sonntag ” .
The new norm threatens to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The federal government confirmed to Die Welt am Sonntag that the new state consecrations for eco-energy should make it easier to enforce building applications .
“ The regulation stipulates an overriding public interest in electricity generation from renewable energies as well as a public security interest , ” the Federal Ministry of Economics announced in response to an inquiry by the newspaper .
The specification is important for discretionary and public interest rulings by authorities and institutions .
If this law passes , and it will pass because there is no real @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the path is cleared for Germany .
Then wind turbines will be forced to be built directly next to residential areas , and ownership rights will be undermined .
That is the revolution from above .
That is energy fascism .
Resistance must be stirred up here – and it fatally reminds us of the power grabbing in these times of Corona !
The massively green electricity damaged Wattenrat East Friesian comments on this new underhanded approach as follows : The renewable energy industry is insatiable , ideologically consolidated and closely linked to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , if it concerns the preservation of its ecclesiastical income , which is paid by all current customers through the EEG green energy feed in act to the tune of double-digit billions annually .
Now the use of renewable energies is even supposed to “ serve public safety ” , says the draft of the new Renewable Energy Sources Act .
This would make wind farm sites easier to implement .
This is incredibly brazen and wrong because the renewable energies ( wind and sun ) only work depending on the weather .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ of supply due to the erratic feed-in through grid instability unstable power grids , are therefore a public safety risk .
”

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By Jouwatch
(Translated/edited by P. Gosselin)
Since everyone is preoccupied with Corona, hardly anyone notices what is being decided to continue destroying Germany:
The German government now wants to make the use of renewable energies a question of national security. “The use of renewable energies for electricity generation is in the public interest and serves public security,” says the draft of the new German Renewable Energy Sources Act, on which the newspaper “Welt am Sonntag” reported.
From the point of view of experts, the decision is of enormous significance.
It concerns a energy-political turning point, say legal experts of energy law at the law firm of Luther, Gernot, Engel, reports Die Welt am Sonntag.
In the controversy over the building of wind parks, for example, the reference to “public security” may fundamentally impact court rulings. In court proceedings in connection with the expansion of bioenergy, wind and solar power, the reference to “public safety” could restrict the impact rulings by judges, business representatives fear, according to the “Welt am Sonntag”.
The new norm threatens to become a basis for far-reaching state intervention.
The federal government confirmed to Die Welt am Sonntag that the new state consecrations for eco-energy should make it easier to enforce building applications. “The regulation stipulates an overriding public interest in electricity generation from renewable energies as well as a public security interest,” the Federal Ministry of Economics announced in response to an inquiry by the newspaper.
The specification is important for discretionary and public interest rulings by authorities and institutions.
Latest government power-grab
If this law passes, and it will pass because there is no real opposition apart from the AfD party, the path is cleared for Germany. Then wind turbines will be forced to be built directly next to residential areas, and ownership rights will be undermined.
That is the revolution from above. That is energy fascism. Resistance must be stirred up here – and it fatally reminds us of the power grabbing in these times of Corona!
The massively green electricity damaged Wattenrat East Friesian comments on this new underhanded approach as follows:
The renewable energy industry is insatiable, ideologically consolidated and closely linked to politics – and above all very inventive,
if it concerns the preservation of its ecclesiastical income, which is paid by all current customers through the EEG green energy feed in act to the tune of double-digit billions annually. Now the use of renewable energies is even supposed to “serve public safety”, says the draft of the new Renewable Energy Sources Act. This would make wind farm sites easier to implement. This is incredibly brazen and wrong because the renewable energies (wind and sun) only work depending on the weather. Especially wind power plants endanger the security of supply due to the erratic feed-in through grid instability unstable power grids, are therefore a public safety risk.”
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notrickszone--2020-10-14--Protest Stunt By Nine German Tree-Hugger “Idiots” Lead To Huge Highway Traffic Jam, One “Horror Cras

Protest Stunt By Nine German Tree-Hugger “Idiots” Lead To Huge Highway Traffic Jam, One “Horror Crash”

The whole publicity stunt was probably supposed to go something like as follows : To protest against forest clearance to make way for a new stretch of autobahn , a group of 9 masked German tree-huggers would rappel from a speedway overpass and hang a banner demanding that the planned deforestation be stopped .
And for their courageous activism , they ’ d surely make the regional news – maybe even the national news – and draw needed attention to man ’ s ruthless destruction of nature .
Of course they ’ d be adored by the public as environmental @ @ @ @ @ @ @ hold press conferences – and be surrounded by TV cameras and mikes .
Except for the national attention , things didn ’ t quite work out that way for the group of German radical environmentalist tree-huggers after tragedy struck .
According German daily Bild here , they ended up causing an 8-kilometer traffic jam and one “ horror accident ” as a 29-year old driver suffered serious injuries and had to be airlifted to a trauma center .
One German national daily labelled the activists as environmental idiots .
According to Bild , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ A3 autobahn near Idstein as two of them “ rappelled off an overpass ” and hung a banner across it .
Their publicity stunt caused the fast moving traffic to jam to a sudden halt , causing an 8-kilomter traffic jam .
The 29-year old driver mentioned above failed to noticed the end of the traffic jam in time and crashed into the rear of a truck .
“ A 29-year-old drove into the end of the traffic jam and his Skoda crashed into the back of a truck – the man was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
“ Horror crash because of this idiot , ” was the headline in Bild ’ s hard copy print edition this morning , with an arrow pointing at a young female activist hanging from the overpass .
Another Bild photo showed authorities dragging off one of the protesters .
The online Bild here also reports that one protester is still being detained by the police .
But : “ Six have been released.
” “ A protest that endangers human life has no legitimacy , ” said Home Secretary of Hesse , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ his fellow citizen has to be punished severely .
”

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From environmental heroes – to national shame
The whole publicity stunt was probably supposed to go something like as follows: To protest against forest clearance to make way for a new stretch of autobahn, a group of 9 masked German tree-huggers would rappel from a speedway overpass and hang a banner demanding that the planned deforestation be stopped. And for their courageous activism, they’d surely make the regional news – maybe even the national news – and draw needed attention to man’s ruthless destruction of nature. Of course they’d be adored by the public as environmental heroes. They’d maybe even hold press conferences – and be surrounded by TV cameras and mikes.
Except for the national attention, things didn’t quite work out that way for the group of German radical environmentalist tree-huggers after tragedy struck.
According German daily Bild here, they ended up causing an 8-kilometer traffic jam and one “horror accident” as a 29-year old driver suffered serious injuries and had to be airlifted to a trauma center.
One German national daily labelled the activists as environmental idiots.
Image cropped from Bild online here:
According to Bild, the “anti-autobahn activists” blocked the A3 autobahn near Idstein as two of them “rappelled off an overpass” and hung a banner across it. Their publicity stunt caused the fast moving traffic to jam to a sudden halt, causing an 8-kilomter traffic jam. The 29-year old driver mentioned above failed to noticed the end of the traffic jam in time and crashed into the rear of a truck.
“A 29-year-old drove into the end of the traffic jam and his Skoda crashed into the back of a truck – the man was seriously injured,” online Bild reports.
“Horror crash because of this idiot,” was the headline in Bild’s hard copy print edition this morning, with an arrow pointing at a young female activist hanging from the overpass. Another Bild photo showed authorities dragging off one of the protesters.
The online Bild here also reports that one protester is still being detained by the police. But: “Six have been released.”
“A protest that endangers human life has no legitimacy,” said Home Secretary of Hesse, Peter Beuth. “Anyone who endangers his fellow citizen has to be punished severely.”
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notrickszone--2020-10-15--New Study: East Antarctica Was Up To 6°C Warmer Than Today During The Medieval Warm Period

As recently as 2000 to 1000 years ago , spanning the Roman to Medieval Warm Periods , East Antarctica was 5-6°C warmer than it is today .
The consequent ice melt resulted in > 60 meters higher water levels in East Antarctica ’ s lakes .
East Antarctica has been rapidly cooling in recent decades , with magnitudes reaching -0.7°C to -2.0°C per decade since the mid-1980s ( Obryk et al.
, 2020 ) .
A new study ( Myers et al.
, 2020 ) reports that until about 15,000 years ago and throughout the Last Glacial Maximum , East @ @ @ @ @ @ @ today .
Antarctica then abruptly warmed 15°C within centuries .
From 12,000 to 6,000 years before present , East Antarctica was about 5°C warmer than it is today .
And then as recently as 2,000 to 1,000 years ago , East Antarctica was so warm ( ~6°C warmer than present ) that its lakes were filled with 60 to 80 meters more meltwater than exists in lake basins today .
“ Resistivity data suggests that active permafrost formation has been ongoing since the onset of lake drainage , and that as recently as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ levels were over 60 m higher than present .
This coincides with a warmer than modern paleoclimate throughout the Holocene inferred by the nearby Taylor Dome ice core record .
… Stable isotope records from Taylor Dome ( located roughly 100 km west of the MDVs ) indicate mean annual air temperatures ca .
4-9 °C lower than modern during the LGM ( Steig et al.
, 2000 ) .
” “ Between 12,000–6,000 yr BP , Taylor Dome ice core record indicates that regional temperatures were up to 5 °C warmer than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ( Steig et al.
, 2000 ) .
” “ Permafrost age calculations indicate late Holocene lake level high-stands ( up to ~81 masl , 63 m higher than modern Lake Fryxell ) roughly 1.5 to 1 ka BP that would have filled both Lake Fryxell and Lake Hoare basins ( Fig .
3b ) .
… Taylor Dome ice core records show a highly variable Holocene , with short lived peaks up to + 6 °C above modern temperatures between 1-2 ka BP ( Steig et al.
, 2000 ) .
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and after the LGM when an ice dam blocked the mouth of TV , allowing for lake levels to increase by over 280 m compared to modern level .
Taylor Dome ice core records indicate an abrupt warming of > 15 °C from 15 – 12 ka BP , ( Steig et al.
, 2000 ) , which may have coincided with the maximum lake level of GLW.
” “ Short lived changes in temperature such as a 6 °C increase in the late Holocene could have resulted in anywhere between 60 to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ subsequent drawdown.
” This substantial regional warmth can also be verified by the 1,000-year-old elephant seal remains that document a time when Antarctica was sea ice free 2,400 kilometers south of where sea ice free conditions occur today ( Koch et al.
, 2019 ) .
Elephant seals require sea ice free conditions to breed , and the same locations where they used to breed during the Medieval Warm Period are today buried in sea ice .

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As recently as 2000 to 1000 years ago, spanning the Roman to Medieval Warm Periods, East Antarctica was 5-6°C warmer than it is today. The consequent ice melt resulted in >60 meters higher water levels in East Antarctica’s lakes.
East Antarctica has been rapidly cooling in recent decades, with magnitudes reaching -0.7°C to -2.0°C per decade since the mid-1980s (Obryk et al., 2020).
A new study (Myers et al., 2020) reports that until about 15,000 years ago and throughout the Last Glacial Maximum, East Antarctica was 4-9°C colder than it is today.
Antarctica then abruptly warmed 15°C within centuries. From 12,000 to 6,000 years before present, East Antarctica was about 5°C warmer than it is today.
And then as recently as 2,000 to 1,000 years ago, East Antarctica was so warm (~6°C warmer than present) that its lakes were filled with 60 to 80 meters more meltwater than exists in lake basins today.
“Resistivity data suggests that active permafrost formation has been ongoing since the onset of lake drainage, and that as recently as 1,000 – 1,500 yr BP, lake levels were over 60 m higher than present. This coincides with a warmer than modern paleoclimate throughout the Holocene inferred by the nearby Taylor Dome ice core record. … Stable isotope records from Taylor Dome (located roughly 100 km west of the MDVs) indicate mean annual air temperatures ca. 4-9 °C lower than modern during the LGM (Steig et al., 2000).”
“Between 12,000–6,000 yr BP, Taylor Dome ice core record indicates that regional temperatures were up to 5 °C warmer than modern conditions (Fig. 2) (Steig et al., 2000).”
“Permafrost age calculations indicate late Holocene lake level high-stands (up to ~81 masl, 63 m higher than modern Lake Fryxell) roughly 1.5 to 1 ka BP that would have filled both Lake Fryxell and Lake Hoare basins (Fig. 3b). … Taylor Dome ice core records show a highly variable Holocene, with short lived peaks up to + 6 °C above modern temperatures between 1-2 ka BP (Steig et al., 2000).”
“Lake levels were higher potentially during and after the LGM when an ice dam blocked the mouth of TV, allowing for lake levels to increase by over 280 m compared to modern level. Taylor Dome ice core records indicate an abrupt warming of >15 °C from 15 – 12 ka BP, (Steig et al., 2000), which may have coincided with the maximum lake level of GLW.”
“Short lived changes in temperature such as a 6 °C increase in the late Holocene could have resulted in anywhere between 60 to 80 m of lake level rise and subsequent drawdown.”
This substantial regional warmth can also be verified by the 1,000-year-old elephant seal remains that document a time when Antarctica was sea ice free 2,400 kilometers south of where sea ice free conditions occur today (Koch et al., 2019). Elephant seals require sea ice free conditions to breed, and the same locations where they used to breed during the Medieval Warm Period are today buried in sea ice.
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notrickszone--2020-10-16--Low Solar Activity Points To Colder Than Normal 2020/21 European Winter

SnowFan here reports on the latest winter forecasts for the 2020/21 Europe winter .
History and statistics show Europe could be in for a frosty winter .
Currently a significant La Nina is shaping up , and history shows that these events in the Pacific have an impact on Europe ’ s winters : The NOAA reanalysis above shows the temperature deviations ( left ) and for precipitation ( right ) from the WMO average 1981-2010 during the six La Niña years of winter in Europe .
Large parts of Europe have average temperatures and precipitation is distributed differently , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the WMO average .
Is a 2020/21 winter in Germany under La Niña conditions shaping up to have average temperatures and slightly less humidity ?
A more important factor determining winter in Europe may be solar activity .
Data from the German DWD national weather service since 1954 show a remarkable higher frequency of cold winters in times of low solar activity , such as we are now in the midst of .
The following chart shows the December-January-February cold temperature anomalies occurring in the times of low solar activity ( circled ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ activity in December 2019 , statistically it leads us to expect a crisp winter 2020/21 – not only in Germany .
Source : DWD time series with supplements .
It could look like the chart below because the NOAA reanalysis shows the high statistical probability of cold winters in Europe during the weakest solar cycles after 1948 .
What follows is a chart showing the temperature anomalies for the winters occurring at times of low solar activity : The winters in Europe since 1948 with the weakest solar activity so far have all @ @ @ @ @ @ @ climate average .
The solar activity cycle ending in December 2019 was one of the weakest cycles ever since observations began .
Source : NOAA reanalysis and long-term weather .
But with the different statistical approaches , one thing already seems to be clear : The winter 2020/21 will probably not be particularly mild in Europe… Last message : IRI continues to expect a rather supercooled winter 2020/21 in Central Europe with slightly more precipitation than average .
Like in September 2020 , the IRI October forecast of Columbia University in New York @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with slightly increased precipitation over Central Europe .
Source : IRI Seasonal Forecast Warming trends are disappearing over many parts of Europe , Fore example , according to the Japan Meteorological Agency ( JMA ) , the 12 stations for which it has data going back to 1995 show little warming for the month of September since 1995 .
In fact , 6 of the 12 stations show a cooling trend .
Thanks to SnowFan for this report .

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SnowFan here reports on the latest winter forecasts for the 2020/21 Europe winter. History and statistics show Europe could be in for a frosty winter.
Currently a significant La Nina is shaping up, and history shows that these events in the Pacific have an impact on Europe’s winters:
The NOAA reanalysis above shows the temperature deviations (left) and for precipitation (right) from the WMO average 1981-2010 during the six La Niña years of winter in Europe. Large parts of Europe have average temperatures and precipitation is distributed differently, with Germany being slightly drier overall than the WMO average. Is a 2020/21 winter in Germany under La Niña conditions shaping up to have average temperatures and slightly less humidity?
Strong winter-solar correlation
A more important factor determining winter in Europe may be solar activity. Data from the German DWD national weather service since 1954 show a remarkable higher frequency of cold winters in times of low solar activity, such as we are now in the midst of.
The following chart shows the December-January-February cold temperature anomalies occurring in the times of low solar activity (circled):
After the current minimum of solar activity in December 2019, statistically it leads us to expect a crisp winter 2020/21 – not only in Germany. Source: DWD time series with supplements.
It could look like the chart below because the NOAA reanalysis shows the high statistical probability of cold winters in Europe during the weakest solar cycles after 1948. What follows is a chart showing the temperature anomalies for the winters occurring at times of low solar activity:
The winters in Europe since 1948 with the weakest solar activity so far have all been significantly colder than the 1981-2010 WMO climate average. The solar activity cycle ending in December 2019 was one of the weakest cycles ever since observations began. Source: NOAA reanalysis and long-term weather.
But with the different statistical approaches, one thing already seems to be clear: The winter 2020/21 will probably not be particularly mild in Europe…
Also IRI expects cool 2020/21 winter
Last message: IRI continues to expect a rather supercooled winter 2020/21 in Central Europe with slightly more precipitation than average.
Like in September 2020, the IRI October forecast of Columbia University in New York also predicts a slightly cooler winter 2020/21 with slightly increased precipitation over Central Europe. Source: IRI Seasonal Forecast
Thanks to SnowFan for this report.
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notrickszone--2020-10-17--Sweden September Mean Temperature Shows Little Warming Since 1995. And: West On Path To Societal Sui

Sweden September Mean Temperature Shows Little Warming Since 1995. And: West On Path To Societal Suicide?

September mean temperature in Sweden has not been warming like alarmists said it certainly would .
Looking at data from the Japan Meteorological Agency ( JMA ) for the 6 stations with data going back 25 years , we see that 3 of 6 stations have seen cooling September mean temperature over the past 25 years : Europe on the path to societal/energy suicide ?
On another note FORBES reported on Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt , the leading German climate science skeptic who I had reported on recently .
Here ’ s an excerpt : Let us move on to our @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the other side of the “ climate emergency ” aisle .
Professor Fritz Vahrenholt is a giant among environmental circles in Germany .
( The country is well known as the world ’ s leading champion for all things environmental and for pushing Europe to “ net zero emissions by 2050 ” . )
Prof. Vahrenholt holds a doctorate in chemistry and started his professional career at the Federal Environmental Agency in Berlin ( responsible for the chemical industry ) before joining the Hessian Ministry of the Environment .
From 1984 until @ @ @ @ @ @ @ environment , from 1991 till 1997 as minister for energy and environment in the state of Hamburg .
One day before the publication of the Boston Review article on October 5th , Prof Vahrenholt stated baldly in a German TV interview that climate science was “ politicized ” , “ exaggerated ” , and filled with “ fantasy ” and “ fairy tales ” .
He pronounced that “ The [ Paris ] Accord is already dead .
Putin says it ’ s nonsense .
[ … ] The Americans are out .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ do anything .
It ’ s all concentrated on a handful of European countries .
The European Commission in massively on it .
And I predict that they will reach the targets only if they destroy the European industries.
” He lambasted Germany as a country “ in denial when it comes to the broader global debate taking place on climate science ” .
He went on to characterize Europe ’ s recent push for even stricter emissions reduction targets to madness akin to Soviet central planning that is doomed to fail spectacularly @ @

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By Kirye
September mean temperature in Sweden has not been warming like alarmists said it certainly would.
Looking at data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) for the 6 stations with data going back 22 years, we see that 3 of 6 stations have seen cooling September mean temperature over the past 22 years:
Data: JMA.
Europe on the path to societal/energy suicide?
On another note FORBES reported on Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt, the leading German climate science skeptic who I had reported on recently. Here’s an excerpt:
Let us move on to our second piece of evidence, this time from the other side of the “climate emergency” aisle. Professor Fritz Vahrenholt is a giant among environmental circles in Germany. (The country is well known as the world’s leading champion for all things environmental and for pushing Europe to “net zero emissions by 2050”.) Prof. Vahrenholt holds a doctorate in chemistry and started his professional career at the Federal Environmental Agency in Berlin (responsible for the chemical industry) before joining the Hessian Ministry of the Environment. From 1984 until 1990 he served as state secretary for environment, from 1991 till 1997 as minister for energy and environment in the state of Hamburg. One day before the publication of the Boston Review article on October 5th, Prof Vahrenholt stated baldly in a German TV interview that climate science was “politicized”, “exaggerated”, and filled with “fantasy” and “fairy tales”. He pronounced that “The [Paris] Accord is already dead. Putin says it’s nonsense. […] The Americans are out. The Chinese don’t have to do anything. It’s all concentrated on a handful of European countries. The European Commission in massively on it. And I predict that they will reach the targets only if they destroy the European industries.” He lambasted Germany as a country “in denial when it comes to the broader global debate taking place on climate science”. He went on to characterize Europe’s recent push for even stricter emissions reduction targets to madness akin to Soviet central planning that is doomed to fail spectacularly.”
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notrickszone--2020-10-17--Sweden September Mean Temperature Shows Little Warming Since 1998. And: West On Path To Societal Sui

Sweden September Mean Temperature Shows Little Warming Since 1998. And: West On Path To Societal Suicide?

September mean temperature in Sweden has not been warming like alarmists said it certainly would .
Looking at data from the Japan Meteorological Agency ( JMA ) for the 6 stations with data going back 22 years , we see that 3 of 6 stations have seen cooling September mean temperature over the past 22 years : Europe on the path to societal/energy suicide ?
On another note FORBES reported on Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt , the leading German climate science skeptic who I had reported on recently .
Here ’ s an excerpt : Let us move on to our @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the other side of the “ climate emergency ” aisle .
Professor Fritz Vahrenholt is a giant among environmental circles in Germany .
( The country is well known as the world ’ s leading champion for all things environmental and for pushing Europe to “ net zero emissions by 2050 ” . )
Prof. Vahrenholt holds a doctorate in chemistry and started his professional career at the Federal Environmental Agency in Berlin ( responsible for the chemical industry ) before joining the Hessian Ministry of the Environment .
From 1984 until @ @ @ @ @ @ @ environment , from 1991 till 1997 as minister for energy and environment in the state of Hamburg .
One day before the publication of the Boston Review article on October 5th , Prof Vahrenholt stated baldly in a German TV interview that climate science was “ politicized ” , “ exaggerated ” , and filled with “ fantasy ” and “ fairy tales ” .
He pronounced that “ The [ Paris ] Accord is already dead .
Putin says it ’ s nonsense .
[ … ] The Americans are out .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ do anything .
It ’ s all concentrated on a handful of European countries .
The European Commission in massively on it .
And I predict that they will reach the targets only if they destroy the European industries.
” He lambasted Germany as a country “ in denial when it comes to the broader global debate taking place on climate science ” .
He went on to characterize Europe ’ s recent push for even stricter emissions reduction targets to madness akin to Soviet central planning that is doomed to fail spectacularly @ @


notrickszone--2020-10-18--Norway Glaciers Show Surprisingly Small Retreat During 2020…”Nigardsbreen Glacier Actually Grew”

As the globe has warmed since the end of the Little Ice Age , alarms concerning retreating glaciers have been sounded worldwide .
The reason for the warming remains hotly disputed : alarmists blame it on manmade CO2 while skeptics say natural factors are just as much at play , if not more so .
Very little retreat in Norway this past summer Yesterday Norwegian NRK here reported “ several of the largest glaciers have almost not shrunk ” during this past summer .
“ This year , several places in the country have almost not shrunk , ” according @ @ @ @ @ @ @ experts have been monitoring the Nigardsbreen glacier , an arm of Jostedalsbreen located in Vestland county .
The summer of 2020 has seen the sixth slowest result in about half a century .
“ If we get more such summers to come , then the glacier front will grow forward again , ” says Even Loe in Statkraft .
“ The glacier is named after the farm Nigard , which was crushed by the glacier in 1748 .
At that time the front of the glacier stopped about 4.5 km further ahead than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ NRK .
Experts attribute this past summer ’ s stagnation to “ a good winter with a lot of snow.
” Glaciologist Hallgeir Elvehøywhich said the glacier retreated 4 meters , “ something that is very small compared to previous ones.
” “ The trend is largely the same elsewhere in the country , ” he says .
Although many glaciers have decreased relatively little this year , the Norwegian experts still remain pessimistic about their future , should warming continue as the models project .
“ But in all the gloom , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ light , should the rainfall continue.
” “ There is nothing in the way that the climate system can give us several years with so much snow , and then it will have an effect .
”

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As the globe has warmed since the end of the Little Ice Age, alarms concerning retreating glaciers have been sounded worldwide. The reason for the warming remains hotly disputed: alarmists blame it on manmade CO2 while skeptics say natural factors are just as much at play, if not more so.
Image: Norwegian glace, for illustration purpose. Source: NASA/John Sonntag, public domain.
Very little retreat in Norway this past summer
Yesterday Norwegian NRK here reported “several of the largest glaciers have almost not shrunk” during this past summer.
“This year, several places in the country have almost not shrunk,” according to the Norwegian NVE.
Since 1962 experts have been monitoring the Nigardsbreen glacier, an arm of Jostedalsbreen located in Vestland county. The summer of 2020 has seen the sixth slowest result in about half a century. “If we get more such summers to come, then the glacier front will grow forward again,” says Even Loe in Statkraft.
“The glacier is named after the farm Nigard, which was crushed by the glacier in 1748. At that time the front of the glacier stopped about 4.5 km further ahead than it is today,” reports the NRK.
Experts attribute this past summer’s stagnation to “a good winter with a lot of snow.”
“The Nigardsbreen glacier has actually grown bigger.”
Glaciologist Hallgeir Elvehøywhich said the glacier retreated 4 meters, “something that is very small compared to previous ones.”
“The trend is largely the same elsewhere in the country,” he says.
Although many glaciers have decreased relatively little this year, the Norwegian experts still remain pessimistic about their future, should warming continue as the models project. “But in all the gloom, there is also a small glimmer of light, should the rainfall continue.”
“There is nothing in the way that the climate system can give us several years with so much snow, and then it will have an effect.”
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notrickszone--2020-10-19--Is Mauna Loa Really The Best Location To Measure ‘Global’ CO2 Levels?

Highly anomalous terrain ( an active volcano ) , 40 years of cooling temperatures , and a CO2 record that dramatically contrasts with fluctuating values from forests and meadows reaching 600-900 ppm all beg the question : Is Mauna Loa ’ s CO2 record globally representative ?
Mauna Loa is the Earth ’ s largest land volcano .
It has erupted over 3 dozen times since 1843 , making this terrestrial landscape extremely unusual relative to the rest of the globe ’ s terrain .
( Forests , in contrast , cover over 30 % of the Earth ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been thought to be the world ’ s best location to monitor global CO2 levels since 1958 .
While Mauna Loa CO2 levels show a rise of 338 ppm to 415 ppm since 1980 , Mauna Loa temperatures ( HCN ) show a cooling trend during this same time period .
The only warming period in the last 65 years occurred between about 1975 and 1985 .
As mentioned above , forests are orders of magnitude more terrestrially representative than the highly anomalous site of the Earth ’ s largest volcano .
In @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from around 300 ppm in the warmth of the afternoon ( ~3 p.m. ) to over 600 ppm before sunrise ( ~4 a.m. ) , when it is cooler ( Fennici , 1986 , Hamacher et al.
, 1994 ) .
This massive fluctuation occurs daily and CO2 values average out to be far higher than the Mauna Loa record suggests .
In open fields , or meadows , air CO2 can vary between 266 ppm and 1,430 ppm .
The average variance is from 280 ppm to 980 ppm 2 meters above @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2005 ) .
Interestingly , just as in forests , temperature drops of 4 to 5°C are associated with rising levels of CO2 .
Modern CO2 concentrations beneath snowpack and ice range from 600 to 1800 ppm .
These concentrations can fluctuate by as much as 200 ppm within a period of just 4 days ( Massman and Frank , 2006 ) .
If this kind of rapid and wide-ranging variability can be observed for modern conditions , our capacity to accurately assess the “ global ” CO2 concentration for ice and snow @ @ @ @ @ @ @ more suspect .
Within caves , CO2 levels can reach as high as 30,000 ppm .
Even in the open air < 1 meter from the entrance to a cave , CO2 levels can reach 11,500 ppm ( Cowan et al.
, 2013 ) .
CO2 levels vary by 10s of 1000s of ppm from one cave to the next in the same geographical region .
Cave entrances should probably be considered no less terrestrially unusual than the site of the world largest active volcano .
And certainly forests and meadows are far @ @ @ @ @ @ @ terrestrial landscape than the Mauna Loa site .
And yet it has been decided , via consensus , that the rarified air above a Hawaiian island in the middle of the Pacific correctly monitors the CO2 levels for the entire globe .

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Highly anomalous terrain (an active volcano), 40 years of cooling temperatures, and a CO2 record that dramatically contrasts with fluctuating values from forests and meadows reaching 600-900 ppm all beg the question: Is Mauna Loa’s CO2 record globally representative?
Mauna Loa is the Earth’s largest land volcano. It has erupted over 3 dozen times since 1843, making this terrestrial landscape extremely unusual relative to the rest of the globe’s terrain. (Forests, in contrast, cover over 30% of the Earth’s land surface.)
Mauna Loa has been thought to be the world’s best location to monitor global CO2 levels since 1958.
While Mauna Loa CO2 levels show a rise of 338 ppm to 415 ppm since 1980, Mauna Loa temperatures (HCN) show a cooling trend during this same time period. The only warming period in the last 65 years occurred between about 1975 and 1985.
Image Source: oz4caster
Forest CO2 fluctuations
As mentioned above, forests are orders of magnitude more terrestrially representative than the highly anomalous site of the Earth’s largest volcano.
In forests or tree-covered areas, CO2 rises from around 300 ppm in the warmth of the afternoon (~3 p.m.) to over 600 ppm before sunrise (~4 a.m.), when it is cooler (Fennici, 1986, Hamacher et al., 1994). This massive fluctuation occurs daily and CO2 values average out to be far higher than the Mauna Loa record suggests.
Meadow CO2 fluctuations
In open fields, or meadows, air CO2 can vary between 266 ppm and 1,430 ppm. The average variance is from 280 ppm to 980 ppm 2 meters above the soil (Szaran et al., 2005).
Interestingly, just as in forests, temperature drops of 4 to 5°C are associated with rising levels of CO2.
CO2 beneath snow and ice
Modern CO2 concentrations beneath snowpack and ice range from 600 to 1800 ppm. These concentrations can fluctuate by as much as 200 ppm within a period of just 4 days (Massman and Frank, 2006).
If this kind of rapid and wide-ranging variability can be observed for modern conditions, our capacity to accurately assess the “global” CO2 concentration for ice and snow thousands of years old becomes all the more suspect.
CO2 near cave entrances
Within caves, CO2 levels can reach as high as 30,000 ppm. Even in the open air <1 meter from the entrance to a cave, CO2 levels can reach 11,500 ppm (Cowan et al., 2013).
CO2 levels vary by 10s of 1000s of ppm from one cave to the next in the same geographical region.
Mauna Loa CO2 is globally representative?
Cave entrances should probably be considered no less terrestrially unusual than the site of the world largest active volcano. And certainly forests and meadows are far more representative of the Earth’s terrestrial landscape than the Mauna Loa site.
And yet it has been decided, via consensus, that the rarified air above a Hawaiian island in the middle of the Pacific correctly monitors the CO2 levels for the entire globe.
Why?
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notrickszone--2020-10-20--Environmental Rape Of Africa: Hamburg Power Plants Aim To Deforest Namibia For Power Plant Fuel!

Environmental rape in the name of climate protection .
To meet its CO2 reductions targets , Hamburg plans to deforest Africa in order to substitute coal with wood at its power plants !
Nambia ’ s bushwood may end up being burned in place of coal at Hamburg ’ s power plants – all in the European city ’ s plan to go green !
Photo : Scott A. Christy ( Heyheyuwb , CC-BY-2.5 ; Released under the GNU Free Documentation License ; CC-BY-SA-3.0-MIGRATED , Wikimedia Commons .
German environmental protection group ROBIN WOOD here recently issued a press release @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Germany to cancel its plan to replace coal with imported bushwood from Namibia at its power plants , such as the Tiefstack cogeneration plant .
In May , 2020 , a “ Memorandum of Understanding ” became known , according to which the Hamburg environmental authority ( BUKEA ) and Wärme Hamburg GmbH are examining a project of this kind .
ROBIN WOOD is firmly opposed to this project of a “ Transcontinental Biomass Partnership Namibia – Hamburg ” , which is being promoted by the German Association for International Cooperation ( GIZ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the buyback of the energy networks , which was won in 2013 , the Hamburg Senate was obliged to pursue the goal of a “ socially just , climate-friendly and democratically controlled energy supply from renewable energies , ” says the ROBIN WOOD press release .
“ The intended burning of bushwood from Namibia clearly contradicts this goal.
” Voters apparently were not well informed what meeting the climate-friendly ” goals really entailed when they voted .
Because of the long transport distances and especially because of changes in land use in Namibia @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not be climate-compatible .
The German environmental group also claims “ the main beneficiaries would be corporations in the global North , which would be able to sell machines and transport vehicles and supply themselves with raw materials.
” ROBIN WOOD also accuses the green-socialist Hamburg Senate of avoiding an open-ended debate about the project and criticizes the lack of transparency and democratic control .
“ We are calling for a climate-friendly , 100 percent renewable energy supply that does not require the neo-colonial import of resources from the global south , ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ consultant .
“ Namibia is itself in an energy crisis and is importing up to 60 percent dirty coal power from neighboring countries to cover its local energy needs .
Instead of exporting biomass , Namibia should use it to produce electricity in its own country .
Sustainable methods for bush clearance must be applied .
Bushes are an important carbon sink .
They must therefore only be harvested in a targeted manner , which can not be guaranteed if very large quantities of wood are exported , ” says Bertchen Kohrs , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ The Hamburg Senate , in its response to a written petition , gave the impression that the NGOs whichoppose bushwood imports would have a similar number of supporters .
This is wrong , ” said Gilbert Siegler of the Hamburg Energy Table .
“ We invite other organizations to join the signatories in opposing the implementation of a ‘ Biomass Partnership with Namibia ’ .
This pretense of climate protection must be prevented.
” The signatories of the petition call on the Hamburg environmental authority to stop pursuing this project and to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that is in line with the binding goals of the referendum .

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Environmental rape in the name of climate protection.
To meet its CO2 reductions targets, Hamburg plans to deforest Africa in order to substitute coal with wood at its power plants!
Nambia’s bushwood may end up being burned in place of coal at Hamburg’s power plants – all in the European city’s plan to go green! Photo: Scott A. Christy (Heyheyuwb, CC-BY-2.5; Released under the GNU Free Documentation License; CC-BY-SA-3.0-MIGRATED, Wikimedia Commons.
Substituting coal with wood from Africa
German environmental protection group ROBIN WOOD here recently issued a press release calling on the city of Hamburg, Germany to cancel its plan to replace coal with imported bushwood from Namibia at its power plants, such as the Tiefstack cogeneration plant.
In May, 2020, a “Memorandum of Understanding” became known, according to which the Hamburg environmental authority (BUKEA) and Wärme Hamburg GmbH are examining a project of this kind.
ROBIN WOOD is firmly opposed to this project of a “Transcontinental Biomass Partnership Namibia – Hamburg”, which is being promoted by the German Association for International Cooperation (GIZ).
“Obliged” to pursue “socially just, climate-friendly” renewable energies
“With the referendum on the buyback of the energy networks, which was won in 2013, the Hamburg Senate was obliged to pursue the goal of a “socially just, climate-friendly and democratically controlled energy supply from renewable energies,” says the ROBIN WOOD press release. “The intended burning of bushwood from Namibia clearly contradicts this goal.”
Voters apparently were not well informed what meeting the climate-friendly” goals really entailed when they voted.
Namibia land use – to benefit crony euro-corporations
Because of the long transport distances and especially because of changes in land use in Namibia, this form of energy supply would not be climate-compatible. The German environmental group also claims “the main beneficiaries would be corporations in the global North, which would be able to sell machines and transport vehicles and supply themselves with raw materials.”
No transparency
ROBIN WOOD also accuses the green-socialist Hamburg Senate of avoiding an open-ended debate about the project and criticizes the lack of transparency and democratic control.
“We are calling for a climate-friendly, 100 percent renewable energy supply that does not require the neo-colonial import of resources from the global south,” says Ronja Heise, ROBIN WOOD energy consultant.
Namibia already lacking energy
“Namibia is itself in an energy crisis and is importing up to 60 percent dirty coal power from neighboring countries to cover its local energy needs. Instead of exporting biomass, Namibia should use it to produce electricity in its own country. Sustainable methods for bush clearance must be applied. Bushes are an important carbon sink. They must therefore only be harvested in a targeted manner, which cannot be guaranteed if very large quantities of wood are exported,” says Bertchen Kohrs, Director of the organization Earthlife Namibia.
Green-socialist Senate claims support for project
“The Hamburg Senate, in its response to a written petition, gave the impression that the NGOs whichoppose bushwood imports would have a similar number of supporters. This is wrong,” said Gilbert Siegler of the Hamburg Energy Table. “We invite other organizations to join the signatories in opposing the implementation of a ‘Biomass Partnership with Namibia’. This pretense of climate protection must be prevented.”
The signatories of the petition call on the Hamburg environmental authority to stop pursuing this project and to work towards an energy supply for Hamburg that is in line with the binding goals of the referendum.
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notrickszone--2020-10-21--Environment Of Terror – 75% Would Not Publicly Post Mahomed Caricatures With Their Name, Address

Last week the beheading of a French school teacher by an Islamic terrorist in broad daylight shocked the world .
Barbaric attacks on free speech and the exchange of ideas are taking place in Europe .
Similar acts have occurred in other western countries in recent years .
The grisly death of the French teacher sends a clear message : Western citizens can not feel safe expressing their views , not even at home – on their very own soil .
Our governments have failed .
At Twitter I started an unofficial small survey , below , to get an @ @ @ @ @ @ @ harbor when it comes to expressing controversial views .
According to Google Analytics , the vast majority of the readers at this site reside in Europe and North America .
The results , though not representative , are somewhat shocking .
75 % say they would not post the Mahomed caricatures together with their name and address because they fear retaliation .
This , in their home countries .
The terrorists have won the first battle in Europe This tells us the terrorists are indeed winning and that our governments are failing to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ when it comes to expressing views on controversial topics that need to be openly discussed .
Though the French police are clamping down hard on the radicals behind the heinous crime , citizens will remain convinced that free speech on particular topics is no longer safe and that the governments are unable to protect us .
Western citizens now believe that radical elements exist among us and that our governments have failed to keep them out and unable to do anything about until after tragedy happens .
Radicalism has been allowed to stream @ @ @ @ @ @ @ terrorizing us .
It ’ s here and it ’ s not going to go away .
Our governments have absolutely no concept on how to uproot it .
Now 75 % are afraid to speak up publicly .
How sad .
Freedom of expression and open discussion has already lost the first battle .

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Last week the beheading of a French school teacher by an Islamic terrorist in broad daylight shocked the world. Barbaric attacks on free speech and the exchange of ideas are taking place in Europe. Similar acts have occurred in other western countries in recent years.
The grisly death of the French teacher sends a clear message: Western citizens cannot feel safe expressing their views, not even at home – on their very own soil. Our governments have failed.
At Twitter I started an unofficial small survey, below, to get an idea of the extent of fear people harbor when it comes to expressing controversial views. According to Google Analytics, the vast majority of the readers at this site reside in Europe and North America.
The results, though not representative, are somewhat shocking. 75% say they would not post the Mahomed caricatures together with their name and address because they fear retaliation. This, in their home countries.
Would you post the Mahomed caricatures with your name and address? — Pierre L. Gosselin (@NoTricksZone) October 20, 2020
The terrorists have won the first battle in Europe
This tells us the terrorists are indeed winning and that our governments are failing to provide us with a sense of security when it comes to expressing views on controversial topics that need to be openly discussed.
Though the French police are clamping down hard on the radicals behind the heinous crime, citizens will remain convinced that free speech on particular topics is no longer safe and that the governments are unable to protect us.
Western citizens now believe that radical elements exist among us and that our governments have failed to keep them out and unable to do anything about until after tragedy happens. Radicalism has been allowed to stream through our borders and now it here terrorizing us. It’s here and it’s not going to go away. Our governments have absolutely no concept on how to uproot it. Now 75% are afraid to speak up publicly. How sad.
Freedom of expression and open discussion has already lost the first battle.
Additional reading (in German): www.spiegel.de
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notrickszone--2020-10-22--New Study Finds A Robust Link Between European Temperatures And Solar Activity Via AMO/NAO Modulatio

New Study Finds A Robust Link Between European Temperatures And Solar Activity Via AMO/NAO Modulation

European winter temperature variability is “ dominated ” by the North Atlantic Oscillation ( NAO ) , which is , @ @ @ @ @ solar activity .
Even proponents of anthropogenic global warming ( AGW ) agree natural processes @ @ @ @ @ ENSO , solar forcing , volcanism ) drive temperature variability .
But they insist the @ @ @ @ @ .
So if we don ’ t have a regional upward trend , is the @ @ @ @ @ Lüdecke et al.
, 2020 find temperatures across Europe have been oscillating , not rising @ @ @ @ @ the last century .
The timings of the temperature undulations correspond quite closely to natural @ @ @ @ @ and AMO ) .
The authors detail a non-linear and indirect solar activity impact on @ @ @ @ @ ultimately to the European climate .

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European winter temperature variability is “dominated” by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which is, in turn, modulated by solar activity.
Even proponents of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) agree natural processes (AMO, NAO, ENSO, solar forcing, volcanism) drive temperature variability. But they insist the rising temperature trend is human-caused.
So if we don’t have a regional upward trend, is the non-warming natural or anthropogenic?
Lüdecke et al., 2020 find temperatures across Europe have been oscillating, not rising in linear fashion, for the last century. The timings of the temperature undulations correspond quite closely to natural ocean cycles (the NAO and AMO). The authors detail a non-linear and indirect solar activity impact on these ocean cycles, and ultimately to the European climate.
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notrickszone--2020-10-23--Greta Melts Down In Reaction To EU Parliament Vote In Favor Of CAP. “We Won’t Forget”!

Teen activist Greta Thunberg is having another temper tantrum right now , and suggests in a tweet there will be @ @ @ @ @ a reaction to today ’ s European Parliament failure to vote down Common Agricultural Policy @ @ @ @ @ watered down changes that include making money available for landscapes that benefit biodiversity , environmental @ @ @ @ @ direct payments for eco-schemes .
The EU Parliaments voted for its plan by a vast @ @ @ @ @ with 51 abstaining .
The WWF EU tweeted that the CAP deal has “ no @ @ @ @ @ EU Parliament ’ s decision to approve the CAP signifies climate protection is not as @ @ @ @ @ often makes it out to be .
Greta and her cult followers are fuming .

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Teen activist Greta Thunberg is having another temper tantrum right now, and suggests in a tweet there will be retaliation!
Today the EU failed to #VoteThisCAPdown and basically made their insufficient so-called climate and environmental targets impossible to reach.
And no-one even knew it happened.
Thanks to all lobbyists, news editors and MEPs who made this happen. We won’t forget…#WithdrawTheCAP — Greta Thunberg (@GretaThunberg) October 23, 2020
Her indignation is a reaction to today’s European Parliament failure to vote down Common Agricultural Policy’s (CAP) watered down changes that include making money available for landscapes that benefit biodiversity, environmental and climate-related measures and direct direct payments for eco-schemes.
The EU Parliaments voted for its plan by a vast margin 425 – 212, with 51 abstaining.
The WWF EU tweeted that the CAP deal has “no environmental credibility”:
Despite calls from citizens, farmers, scientists & NGOs, the European Parliament shut their eyes to the climate & biodiversity crises & gave a rubber stamp to their #FutureOfCAP deal with almost no environmental credibility.
But how did the groups vote? See👇 #VoteThisCAPdown pic.twitter.com/BZLZnyOtY4 — WWF EU (@WWFEU) October 23, 2020
WeMove Europe tweeted:
In doing so, they pressed the self-destruct button 🔴 on the #greendeal #ClimateAction #nature AND the fight against #inequality in Europe🇪🇺 This was never about farmer 👩🌾🧑🌾🆚🌍 climate.
It's about agribusiness interests 🆚 people and planet.#VoteThisCAPdown @laura_sullivan pic.twitter.com/KshUnJBJW0 — WeMove Europe (@wemoveEU) October 23, 2020
The EU Parliament’s decision to approve the CAP signifies climate protection is not as serious an issue as it often makes it out to be. Greta and her cult followers are fuming.
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notrickszone--2020-10-24--Great Britain September Mean Temperatures Cooling. Also: Models Suggest Harsh, Long Winter Ahead

Compiled data show Great Britain early fall has been cooling over the past quarter century and models showing a harsh Europe 2020/21 winter in the works .
Compiling September data for Great Britain recorded by 14 stations for which the Japan meteorological Agency ( JMA ) has sufficient data , we plot the trends as follows : 11 of 14 stations show September mean temperatures have been cooling or no trend for 25 years .
This suggests that fall is approaching earlier instead of later , thus co0ntradicting alarmist claims of warming .
The cause of the cooling can not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ driven by natural factors , such as oceanic cycles ( Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ) and solar activity .
Meanwhile , the latest CFSv2 forecast for the coming winter suggests frigid conditions for Europe .
Hat-tip : SnowFan .
The experimental numerical NOAA model CFSv2 sees a cold and long winter in large parts of Europe .
The temperatures in about 1500m ( 850hPa ) will be mostly and partly strongly below the WMO mean 1981-2010 , especially from January 2021 until May 2021 .
If these of course still very uncertain repeated cold @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a historically cold and especially long winter .

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Compiled data show Great Britain early fall has been cooling over the past quarter century and models showing a harsh Europe 2020/21 winter in the works.
Compiling September data for Great Britain recorded by 14 stations for which the Japan meteorological Agency (JMA) has sufficient data, we plot the trends as follows:
Data: JMA
11 of 14 stations show September mean temperatures have been cooling or no trend for 25 years. This suggests that fall is approaching earlier instead of later, thus co0ntradicting alarmist claims of warming.
The cause of the cooling cannot be linked to CO2 and is likely driven by natural factors, such as oceanic cycles (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) and solar activity.
Source: NCAR UCAR
Frigid European winter in the works?
Meanwhile, the latest CFSv2 forecast for the coming winter suggests frigid conditions for Europe. Hat-tip: SnowFan.
Source: Meteociel CFSv2 forecasts winter 2020/21 Europe
The experimental numerical NOAA model CFSv2 sees a cold and long winter in large parts of Europe. The temperatures in about 1500m (850hPa) will be mostly and partly strongly below the WMO mean 1981-2010, especially from January 2021 until May 2021. If these of course still very uncertain repeated cold forecasts come true, it could become a historically cold and especially long winter.
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notrickszone--2020-10-25--Greta, Green Movement, Let Mask Slip. Tweet Exposes Their True Face: Tyranny With No Choices

Greta Thunberg , the “ sad and angry ” Swedish teen climate activist , put up a survey at Twitter pertaining to Europe ’ s Common Agricultural policy ( CAP ) .
It unwittingly exposes how she and her movement really think : What is the only right thing for the EU to do ?
# WithdrawTheCAP @ TimmermansEU @ vonderleyen @ EP_President @ jwojc @ CharlesMichel @ EUCouncil @ EU_Commission @ Europarl_EN Like a true tyrant , only one choice is provided and tolerated : her own .
That ’ s the fundamental characteristic of the green climate movement @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we tell you .
We understand the world , and you ’ re too stupid to do so .
So we ’ ll make the choices for you.
” Here are other surveys one could expect from Greta : What is the only right way for people to travel ?
A .
By foot B .
By bicycle C. All of the above What is the only right thing for people to eat ?
A .
Only plant-based foods B .
No animal products at all C. All of the above Who should @ @ @ @ @ @ @ A. Joe Biden B .
Not Trump C. One of the above What is the only right tax rate ?
A ) Government takes all B .
Workers should keep nothing C. All the above These are the “ choices ” you see under tyrannies .
NO CHOICE .
It ’ s the only way they get the result they want because they lack the arguments to convince a majority that their extreme ideas and experimentation proposals are practical .

Greta Thunberg, the “sad and angry” Swedish teen climate activist, put up a survey at Twitter pertaining to Europe’s Common Agricultural policy (CAP). It unwittingly exposes how she and her movement really think:
What is the only right thing for the EU to do? #WithdrawTheCAP @TimmermansEU @vonderleyen @EP_President @jwojc @CharlesMichel @EUCouncil @EU_Commission @Europarl_EN
Like a true tyrant, only one choice is provided and tolerated: her own.
That’s the fundamental characteristic of the green climate movement: “Shut up and do as we tell you. We understand the world, and you’re too stupid to do so. So we’ll make the choices for you.”
Here are other surveys one could expect from Greta:
What is the only right way for people to travel?
A. By foot
B. By bicycle
C. All of the above
What is the only right thing for people to eat?
A. Only plant-based foods
B. No animal products at all
C. All of the above
Who should be elected president of the USA?
A. Joe Biden
B. Not Trump
C. One of the above
What is the only right tax rate?
A) Government takes all
B. Workers should keep nothing
C. All the above
These are the “choices” you see under tyrannies. NO CHOICE. It’s the only way they get the result they want because they lack the arguments to convince a majority that their extreme ideas and experimentation proposals are practical.