theconservativetreehouse--2020-03-21--PA Turnpike Authority Reopens Closed Service Stations To Support Truckers…

Math is math .
It doesn ’ t take a rocket scientist to do the math , understand the logistics of the current extreme demand , recognize that fixed assets are limited , and realize if you shut down essential services for truckers the total supply-chain will suffer .
On March 17th Pennsylvania officially shuttered all Turnpike service plazas in response to coronavirus concerns .
However , the decision was ridiculously short-sighted as long-haul and regional Truckers depend on fuel stations , bathrooms and restaurants along the route .
Thankfully PA officials realized their error and reopened the service stations @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are missing , is the pressure on the supply-chain will not soon end .
The restaurant sector ( ‘ food away from home ’ ) appears to be operating at far less than half capacity ( perhaps as low as 25 % ) due to coronavirus restrictions .
As long as those food consumers remain shifted into the retail supply chain ( food at home ) , there are going to be long-term shortages due to capacity constraints and distribution limits .
To gain an idea of the scale of the challenge here @ @ @ @ @ @ @ There are approximately 50,000 retail outlets for grocery sales nationwide with about 250 large scale distribution centers ( warehouses ) regionally placed .
If you take an average across all grocers , a conservative estimate for one product category , hot dogs , each retail store would need roughly 20 cases for a resupply ( all brands ) .
That ’ s one million cases of hot dogs across all retail outlets .
[ 50,000 stores at 20 cases each ] However , the distribution centers would also need 1 million cases , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 3 days later .
Additionally , within 7 days ( from the original delivery date ) another 1 million cases would have to arrive from the manufacturer ( s ) to resupply the distribution centers .
That ’ s a total production demand for ‘ hot dogs ‘ of 3 million cases per week across all brands .
240 to 360 individual packages selling ( twice weekly ) at the store level across all grocery outlets ; throughout the country .
3 million cases of hot dogs equals 600 semi tractor-trailers with 5,000 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ supply chain .
[ 200 trailers per stage : retail ( day 1 ) , distribution ( day 2.5/3.0 ) , manufacturing ( day 7 ) ] That ’ s 600 tractor trailer loads , for one product category , nationwide .
[ Easter is April 12th , Memorial day May 25th ] That ’ s a very conservative supply chain demand on one product category .
Now , take the same baselines and consider the logistics of 100 cases of paper goods at the current level of need ( retail all outlets @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and manufacturing : 100 cases needed per retail outlet ( 50,000 ) equals a 5 million case fill on day one .
An additional five million cases on day 3 ( from distribution ) , and an additional five million within seven days from manufacturing .
That ’ s 15 million cases needed .
LOGISTICS : At 800 cases per trailer , 15 million cases of paper goods means 6,250 semi-trailers ( retail ) , 6,250 trailers all distribution within three days , and 6,250 semi-trailers from manufacturing to distribution within seven @ @ @ @ @ @ @ loads of paper goods ( towels and toilet tissue ) within one week ; nationwide .
♦ It is impossible for the current manufacturing supply chain ( all outlets ) to start from a ZERO baseline in stores and generate 3,000,000 cases of hot dogs , delivered by 600 tractor trailers , in a week .
♦ It is impossible for the current manufacturing supply chain ( all outlets ) to start from ZERO baseline in all stores and generate 15,000,000 cases of paper goods , delivered by 18,750 tractor trailers , in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also seems impossible for the current retail supply chain ( all outlets ) to start from ZERO and generate 12,000,000 cases of cereal ( all brands ) , delivered by 6,000 tractor trailers in a week .
( 80 cases per store , equals 2,000 trailers/2k per – total supply chain ) • SOUP – It seems impossible for the current retail supply chain ( all outlets ) to start from ZERO and generate 6,000,000 cases of soup ( all brands ) , delivered by 2,400 tractor trailers in two weeks 14 days @ @ @ @ @ @ @ equals 800 trailers – total supply chain ) [ Note for distribution of non perishable “ pasta ” and “ rice ” the sector mirrors soup . ]
Bottom Line – There are going to be long term retail supermarket shortages until restaurants re-open .
Yes , the total food supply chain is ok , but the retail sector of the supply chain is grossly overwhelmed .
Math is math and too few are doing it .
Because it ’ s a proprietary sector with lots of competition and few ways for a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ landscape , individual executives are not being forthcoming about the potential for the scale of disruptions .
Easter is April 12th and Memorial Day is May 25th .
Most consumers are not aware food consumption in the U.S. is now a 50/50 proposition .
Approximately 50 % of all food was consumed “ outside the home ” ( or food away from home ) , and 50 % of all food consumed was food “ inside the home ” ( grocery shoppers ) .
Food ‘ outside the home ’ includes : restaurants @ @ @ @ @ @ @ cafeterias , university lunchrooms , manufacturing cafeterias , hotels , food trucks , park and amusement food sellers and many more .
Many of those venues are not thought about when people evaluate the overall U.S. food delivery system ; however , this network was approximately 50 percent of all food consumption on a daily basis .
The ‘ food away from home ‘ sector has its own supply chain .
Very few restaurants and venues ( cited above ) purchase food products from retail grocery outlets .
As a result of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from home ’ sector has been reduced by half of daily food delivery operations , possibly more .
However , people still need to eat .
That means retail food outlets , grocers , are seeing sales increases of 25 to 50 percent , depending on the area .
This , along with some panic shopping , is the reason why supermarkets are overwhelmed and their supply chain is out of stock on many items .
There is enough food capacity in the overall food supply chain , and no-one should worry about @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ability to feed itself .
However , the total food supply chain is based on two segments : food at home and food away from home .
The seismic shift toward ‘ food at home ‘ is what has caused the shortages , and that supply chain is not likely to recover full service of products again until the ‘ food away from home ’ sector gets back to normal .
No need to panic , but there will be long-term shortages .
At the top of the food supply there is ample @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of customers to the retail grocery sector causing the shortages .
Large chain-stores were impacted first and worst as their proprietary supply chain , and their automated replenishment systems , are more vulnerable to such wide-scale disruption .
Their resupply is based on eight week averages ; all of the technology that builds the technological framework of that resupply-chain is useless now .
However , smaller regional markets , less than 25 stores or mom-and-pops , are/were impacted less due to their use of wholesalers for distribution and a faster response time .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ will now enter a period where they are in competition for resupply with the large retail outlets… .
so we are entering the phase were smaller stores , and independents , are going to have more trouble getting product .
The fresh-meat , poultry and produce sections are the first disrupted ( short term ) but least disrupted long-term ( recovering now ) .
The reason is simple , the raw material isn ’ t needed in the restaurant supply chain ; those products are right now in the process of being shifted @ @ @ @ @ @ @ eventually into the retail food supply chain to end up in your local supermarket refrigerated store cases .
With the increased diversion , increased production and increased distribution , inside of two weeks we should see fresh meats , chicken , pork etc .
( protein sector ) return to normal in your area supermarket .
Produce is both nationally and locally sourced , so that supply chain was never as much at risk of disruption ; it is , quite simply , just overwhelmed on the distribution side .
With the restaurant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ recover quickly as soon as supply chain diversion and distribution increases .
Less than a week and the produce section in your local supermarket should be solid .
However , the frozen foods , frozen pizzas , frozen meals ready to eat ( RTE ) and specifically processed lunchmeats and cheeses will continue to suffer from supply chain issues .
The reasons are not complex .
Processed food has a production capacity .
Think about Oscar Meyer , Tyson , Hormel , etc .
they can only process a maximum amount within their @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , so China controls that company ] To the extent that extra shoppers means extra consumers wiping out frozen foods , lunch-meats , bacon and cheeses , the manufacturing side of the retail food system will be limited by their capacity .
That sector is not going to change and long-term supply chain issues will continue .
However , on the good news side , we should be able to buy lunch meats at the in-store deli counters because that bulk delivery processing sector will have more production capacity .
So if you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ similar ) , and the it ’ s not available pre-packaged in the traditional case , try looking for it in the deli section .
It will be more expensive , but such is life with coronavirus .
In addition to the shortages in frozen foods , processed lunch-meat and dairy items , the non-perishable goods will also have wide-spread outages .
Again , this is a store issue ( phase-1 ) , distribution capacity issue ( phase-2 ) , and will now become an upstream production capacity issue in phase-3 .
Bread @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , pasta , flour , sugar , bottled water , etc .
are selling beyond the capacity of the traditional supply chain to keep up with demand .
Traditional emergency food recovery and distribution models ( think hurricanes ) are designed for short-term disruptions to the restaurant sector that provides 50 % of food outside the home ; and , as a result , short-term increases to at home food needs .
Those emergency and recovery models have contingency plans for short-term regional bursts of specific non perishable products into specific areas .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ current supply chain disruption is a severe reduction in the availability of ‘ food outside the home ‘ for a sustained period .
Losing the entire sector is very unusual , unprecedented , unforeseen in scale ; and there is no national contingency plan for a nationwide demand on all retail supermarket food products simultaneously .
Once these warehouse fulfillment centers run out , every retail outlet in the country is pulling from the same upstream supplier network .
Again , there ’ s no need to panic , the total food supply @ @ @ @ @ @ @ need to adjust our shopping habits and get a little creative .
WATCH :

Math is math. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to do the math, understand the logistics of the current extreme demand, recognize that fixed assets are limited, and realize if you shut down essential services for truckers the total supply-chain will suffer.
On March 17th Pennsylvania officially shuttered all Turnpike service plazas in response to coronavirus concerns. However, the decision was ridiculously short-sighted as long-haul and regional Truckers depend on fuel stations, bathrooms and restaurants along the route. Thankfully PA officials realized their error and reopened the service stations yesterday.
PA Authority – The Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission has agreed to reopen all of service plazas that they shuttered earlier this week for Coronavirus. All 17 closed service plazas are set to reopen at 7 a.m. on Friday, March 20, according to a news release from the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission.
Restroom facilities will be available to drivers 24 hours per day starting at 7 a.m. on Friday. Porta-potties will remain in place for use at the service plaza locations for another week. The service plazas will be offering limited food options for take-out only from 8 a.m. until 6 p.m. Friday. After Friday, food will be served from 7 a.m. until 6 p.m. except at North Midway and Valley Forge locations which will offer food 24/7. Fuel and convenience stores will be available 24 hours a day. (link)
The aspect that most models are missing, is the pressure on the supply-chain will not soon end. The restaurant sector (‘food away from home’) appears to be operating at far less than half capacity (perhaps as low as 25%) due to coronavirus restrictions. As long as those food consumers remain shifted into the retail supply chain (food at home), there are going to be long-term shortages due to capacity constraints and distribution limits.
Processing/Manufacturing – – – Distribution – – – Retail Stores
To gain an idea of the scale of the challenge here’s some big picture analytics. There are approximately 50,000 retail outlets for grocery sales nationwide with about 250 large scale distribution centers (warehouses) regionally placed.
If you take an average across all grocers, a conservative estimate for one product category, hot dogs, each retail store would need roughly 20 cases for a resupply (all brands). That’s one million cases of hot dogs across all retail outlets. [50,000 stores at 20 cases each]
However, the distribution centers would also need 1 million cases, for a replenishment average of 2.5 to 3 days later. Additionally, within 7 days (from the original delivery date) another 1 million cases would have to arrive from the manufacturer(s) to resupply the distribution centers.
That’s a total production demand for ‘hot dogs‘ of 3 million cases per week across all brands. 240 to 360 individual packages selling (twice weekly) at the store level across all grocery outlets; throughout the country.
3 million cases of hot dogs equals 600 semi tractor-trailers with 5,000 cases each, nationwide in the logistical supply chain. [200 trailers per stage: retail (day 1), distribution (day 2.5/3.0), manufacturing (day 7)] That’s 600 tractor trailer loads, for one product category, nationwide. [Easter is April 12th, Memorial day May 25th]
That’s a very conservative supply chain demand on one product category.
That’s just hot dogs.
Now, take the same baselines and consider the logistics of 100 cases of paper goods at the current level of need (retail all outlets), resupply (all distribution), and manufacturing:
100 cases needed per retail outlet (50,000) equals a 5 million case fill on day one. An additional five million cases on day 3 (from distribution), and an additional five million within seven days from manufacturing. That’s 15 million cases needed.
LOGISTICS: At 800 cases per trailer, 15 million cases of paper goods means 6,250 semi-trailers (retail), 6,250 trailers all distribution within three days, and 6,250 semi-trailers from manufacturing to distribution within seven days. A total of 18,750 trailer loads of paper goods (towels and toilet tissue) within one week; nationwide.
♦ It is impossible for the current manufacturing supply chain (all outlets) to start from a ZERO baseline in stores and generate 3,000,000 cases of hot dogs, delivered by 600 tractor trailers, in a week.
♦ It is impossible for the current manufacturing supply chain (all outlets) to start from ZERO baseline in all stores and generate 15,000,000 cases of paper goods, delivered by 18,750 tractor trailers, in a week.
• CEREAL – It also seems impossible for the current retail supply chain (all outlets) to start from ZERO and generate 12,000,000 cases of cereal (all brands), delivered by 6,000 tractor trailers in a week. (80 cases per store, equals 2,000 trailers/2k per – total supply chain)
• SOUP – It seems impossible for the current retail supply chain (all outlets) to start from ZERO and generate 6,000,000 cases of soup (all brands), delivered by 2,400 tractor trailers in two weeks 14 days. (40 cases per store, equals 800 trailers – total supply chain)
[Note for distribution of non perishable “pasta” and “rice” the sector mirrors soup.]
Bottom Line – There are going to be long term retail supermarket shortages until restaurants re-open. Yes, the total food supply chain is ok, but the retail sector of the supply chain is grossly overwhelmed. Math is math and too few are doing it.
Because it’s a proprietary sector with lots of competition and few ways for a big picture overview of the total supply-chain landscape, individual executives are not being forthcoming about the potential for the scale of disruptions.
Easter is April 12th and Memorial Day is May 25th.
Most consumers are not aware food consumption in the U.S. is now a 50/50 proposition. Approximately 50% of all food was consumed “outside the home” (or food away from home), and 50% of all food consumed was food “inside the home” (grocery shoppers).
Food ‘outside the home’ includes: restaurants, fast-food locales, schools, corporate cafeterias, university lunchrooms, manufacturing cafeterias, hotels, food trucks, park and amusement food sellers and many more. Many of those venues are not thought about when people evaluate the overall U.S. food delivery system; however, this network was approximately 50 percent of all food consumption on a daily basis.
The ‘food away from home‘ sector has its own supply chain. Very few restaurants and venues (cited above) purchase food products from retail grocery outlets. As a result of the coronavirus mitigation effort the ‘food away from home’ sector has been reduced by half of daily food delivery operations, possibly more. However, people still need to eat.
That means retail food outlets, grocers, are seeing sales increases of 25 to 50 percent, depending on the area. This, along with some panic shopping, is the reason why supermarkets are overwhelmed and their supply chain is out of stock on many items.
There is enough food capacity in the overall food supply chain, and no-one should worry about the U.S. ever running out of the ability to feed itself. However, the total food supply chain is based on two segments: food at home and food away from home.
The seismic shift toward ‘food at home‘ is what has caused the shortages, and that supply chain is not likely to recover full service of products again until the ‘food away from home’ sector gets back to normal. No need to panic, but there will be long-term shortages.
At the top of the food supply there is ample product and capacity. Its the diversion of customers to the retail grocery sector causing the shortages.
Large chain-stores were impacted first and worst as their proprietary supply chain, and their automated replenishment systems, are more vulnerable to such wide-scale disruption. Their resupply is based on eight week averages; all of the technology that builds the technological framework of that resupply-chain is useless now. However, smaller regional markets, less than 25 stores or mom-and-pops, are/were impacted less due to their use of wholesalers for distribution and a faster response time.
However, in this phase-3 those wholesalers will now enter a period where they are in competition for resupply with the large retail outlets…. so we are entering the phase were smaller stores, and independents, are going to have more trouble getting product.
The fresh-meat, poultry and produce sections are the first disrupted (short term) but least disrupted long-term (recovering now). The reason is simple, the raw material isn’t needed in the restaurant supply chain; those products are right now in the process of being shifted to manufacturing, protein processing, and eventually into the retail food supply chain to end up in your local supermarket refrigerated store cases.
With the increased diversion, increased production and increased distribution, inside of two weeks we should see fresh meats, chicken, pork etc. (protein sector) return to normal in your area supermarket.
Produce is both nationally and locally sourced, so that supply chain was never as much at risk of disruption; it is, quite simply, just overwhelmed on the distribution side. With the restaurant sector demand reduced the produce operations will recover quickly as soon as supply chain diversion and distribution increases. Less than a week and the produce section in your local supermarket should be solid.
However, the frozen foods, frozen pizzas, frozen meals ready to eat (RTE) and specifically processed lunchmeats and cheeses will continue to suffer from supply chain issues. The reasons are not complex. Processed food has a production capacity. Think about Oscar Meyer, Tyson, Hormel, etc. they can only process a maximum amount within their manufacturing facilities. [China owns Smithfield, so China controls that company]
To the extent that extra shoppers means extra consumers wiping out frozen foods, lunch-meats, bacon and cheeses, the manufacturing side of the retail food system will be limited by their capacity. That sector is not going to change and long-term supply chain issues will continue. However, on the good news side, we should be able to buy lunch meats at the in-store deli counters because that bulk delivery processing sector will have more production capacity.
So if you’re looking for bologna (or similar), and the it’s not available pre-packaged in the traditional case, try looking for it in the deli section. It will be more expensive, but such is life with coronavirus.
In addition to the shortages in frozen foods, processed lunch-meat and dairy items, the non-perishable goods will also have wide-spread outages. Again, this is a store issue (phase-1), distribution capacity issue (phase-2), and will now become an upstream production capacity issue in phase-3.
Bread, canned goods, rice, cereals, pasta, flour, sugar, bottled water, etc. are selling beyond the capacity of the traditional supply chain to keep up with demand.
Traditional emergency food recovery and distribution models (think hurricanes) are designed for short-term disruptions to the restaurant sector that provides 50% of food outside the home; and, as a result, short-term increases to at home food needs. Those emergency and recovery models have contingency plans for short-term regional bursts of specific non perishable products into specific areas. This ain’t that.
The current supply chain disruption is a severe reduction in the availability of ‘food outside the home‘ for a sustained period. Losing the entire sector is very unusual, unprecedented, unforeseen in scale; and there is no national contingency plan for a nationwide demand on all retail supermarket food products simultaneously.
Once these warehouse fulfillment centers run out, every retail outlet in the country is pulling from the same upstream supplier network. Again, there’s no need to panic, the total food supply is not short, we all just need to adjust our shopping habits and get a little creative. WATCH:


theconservativetreehouse--2020-03-21--Kenny Rogers – RIP

Kenny Rogers – RIP

Well known and very proud American country music singer Kenny Rogers has died at age 81 .
His family made the following announcement : March 21 , 2020 – The Rogers family is sad to announce that Kenny Rogers passed away last night at 10:25PM at the age of 81 .
Rogers passed away peacefully at home from natural causes under the care of hospice and surrounded by his family .
In a career that spanned more than six decades , Kenny Rogers left an indelible mark on the history of American music .
His songs have endeared music lovers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the world .
Chart-topping hits like “ The Gambler , ” “ Lady , ” “ Islands In The Stream , ” “ Lucille , ” “ She Believes In Me , ” and “ Through the Years ” are just a handful of Kenny Rogers ’ songs that have inspired generations of artists and fans alike .
Rogers , with twenty-four number-one hits , was a Country Music Hall of Fame member , six-time CMA Awards winner , three-time GRAMMY® Award winner , recipient of the CMA Willie Nelson Lifetime Achievement Award @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Lifetime Award honoree in 2015 and has been voted the “ Favorite Singer of All Time ” in a joint poll by readers of both USA Today and People .
The family is planning a small private service at this time out of concern for the national COVID-19 emergency .
They look forward to celebrating Kenny ’ s life publicly with his friends and fans at a later date .
( link )

Well known and very proud American country music singer Kenny Rogers has died at age 81. His family made the following announcement:
March 21, 2020 – The Rogers family is sad to announce that Kenny Rogers passed away last night at 10:25PM at the age of 81. Rogers passed away peacefully at home from natural causes under the care of hospice and surrounded by his family.
In a career that spanned more than six decades, Kenny Rogers left an indelible mark on the history of American music. His songs have endeared music lovers and touched the lives of millions around the world. Chart-topping hits like “The Gambler,” “Lady,” “Islands In The Stream,” “Lucille,” “She Believes In Me,” and “Through the Years” are just a handful of Kenny Rogers’ songs that have inspired generations of artists and fans alike.
Rogers, with twenty-four number-one hits, was a Country Music Hall of Fame member, six-time CMA Awards winner, three-time GRAMMY® Award winner, recipient of the CMA Willie Nelson Lifetime Achievement Award in 2013, CMT Artist of a Lifetime Award honoree in 2015 and has been voted the “Favorite Singer of All Time” in a joint poll by readers of both USA Today and People.
The family is planning a small private service at this time out of concern for the national COVID-19 emergency. They look forward to celebrating Kenny’s life publicly with his friends and fans at a later date. (link)


theconservativetreehouse--2020-03-22--The Chosen One Rises…

The Chosen One Rises…

The ‘ good cop bad cop ’ routine with deBlasio just seemed a little too scripted… Then the framework of a usefully constructed contrast narrative started to become clear… Then , as if on cue , all national broadcasts started being interrupted for maximum exposure ; again a little odd .
A deep , very deep , connection to Bloomberg reappeared as a little flashing light in the corner of the picture… Then the Murdoch ’ s started to shape the landscape ; curiosity piqued… Followed by positioning that seems a little too centrally located in the political sphere.. Then @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Well , Bannon doesn ’ t exactly have a good track record of judgement… I digress .
But it really wasn ’ t until the CIA started publishing their endorsement that things possibly started making sense .
WATCH : Are they positioning NY Governor Andrew Cuomo to exit the DNC convention as the consensus nominee ; the chosen one ?
It would take the construct , at least the optics of , a reluctantly drafted candidate to pull it off .
Then again , what is all this – if not that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ admire any opposition strategy so Machiavellian as to create an outcome where President Donald Trump would voluntarily dismantle the U.S. economy after being painted into a corner by some of the most effective narrative engineering ever witnessed .
Add a large dose of “ six ways to Sunday ” with a heaping pile of Clintonian revenge , and one could almost bring themselves to a place where all this starts to come together .

The ‘good cop bad cop’ routine with deBlasio just seemed a little too scripted… Then the framework of a usefully constructed contrast narrative started to become clear… Then, as if on cue, all national broadcasts started being interrupted for maximum exposure; again a little odd.
A deep, very deep, connection to Bloomberg reappeared as a little flashing light in the corner of the picture… Then the Murdoch’s started to shape the landscape; curiosity piqued… Followed by positioning that seems a little too centrally located in the political sphere.. Then Hannity and Bannon started singing his praises. Well, Bannon doesn’t exactly have a good track record of judgement… I digress. But it really wasn’t until the CIA started publishing their endorsement that things possibly started making sense. WATCH:
.
Are they positioning NY Governor Andrew Cuomo to exit the DNC convention as the consensus nominee; the chosen one? It would take the construct, at least the optics of, a reluctantly drafted candidate to pull it off. Then again, what is all this – if not that.
Think that’s crazy?…. Let’s keep watching.
After all, we have to admire any opposition strategy so Machiavellian as to create an outcome where President Donald Trump would voluntarily dismantle the U.S. economy after being painted into a corner by some of the most effective narrative engineering ever witnessed.
Add a large dose of “six ways to Sunday” with a heaping pile of Clintonian revenge, and one could almost bring themselves to a place where all this starts to come together.
Nah,… that’s crazy talk.
Right?
UPDATE: Today
.


theconservativetreehouse--2020-03-22--The Fourth Sunday of Lent

The Fourth Sunday of Lent

As Jesus passed by he saw a man blind from birth .
His disciples asked him , “ Rabbi , who sinned , this man or his parents , that he was born blind ?
” Jesus answered , “ Neither he nor his parents sinned ; it is so that the works of God might be made visible through him .
We have to do the works of the one who sent me while it is day .
Night is coming when no one can work .
While I am in the world , I am the light of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this , he spat on the ground and made clay with the saliva , and smeared the clay on his eyes , and said to him , “ Go wash in the Pool of Siloam ” —which means Sent— .
So he went and washed , and came back able to see .
His neighbors and those who had seen him earlier as a beggar said , “ Isn ’ t this the one who used to sit and beg ?
” Some said , “ It is , “ but others said @ @ @ @ @ @ @ like him.
” He said , “ I am.
” So they said to him , “ How were your eyes opened ?
” He replied , “ The man called Jesus made clay and anointed my eyes and told me , ‘ Go to Siloam and wash. ’ So I went there and washed and was able to see.
” And they said to him , “ Where is he ?
” They brought the one who was once blind to the Pharisees .
Now Jesus had made clay and opened his @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Pharisees also asked him how he was able to see .
He said to them , “ He put clay on my eyes , and I washed , and now I can see.
” So some of the Pharisees said , “ This man is not from God , because he does not keep the sabbath.
” But others said , “ How can a sinful man do such signs ?
” And there was a division among them .
So they said to the blind man again , “ What do @ @ @ @ @ @ @ since he opened your eyes ?
” He said , “ He is a prophet.
” Now the Jews did not believe that he had been blind and gained his sight until they summoned the parents of the one who had gained his sight .
They asked them , “ Is this your son , who you say was born blind ?
How does he now see ?
” His parents answered and said , “ We know that this is our son and that he was born blind .
We do not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ do we know who opened his eyes .
Ask him , he is of age ; he can speak for himself.
” His parents said this because they were afraid of the Jews , for the Jews had already agreed that if anyone acknowledged him as the Christ , he would be expelled from the synagogue .
For this reason his parents said , “ He is of age ; question him.
” So a second time they called the man who had been blind and said to him , “ Give God @ @ @ @ @ @ @ man is a sinner.
” He replied , “ If he is a sinner , I do not know .
One thing I do know is that I was blind and now I see.
” So they said to him , “ What did he do to you ?
How did he open your eyes ?
” He answered them , “ I told you already and you did not listen .
Why do you want to hear it again ?
Do you want to become his disciples , too ?
” They @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are that man ’ s disciple ; we are disciples of Moses !
We know that God spoke to Moses , but we do not know where this one is from.
” The man answered and said to them , “ This is what is so amazing , that you do not know where he is from , yet he opened my eyes .
We know that God does not listen to sinners , but if one is devout and does his will , he listens to him .
It is unheard of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a person born blind .
If this man were not from God , he would not be able to do anything.
” They answered and said to him , “ You were born totally in sin , and are you trying to teach us ?
” Then they threw him out .
When Jesus heard that they had thrown him out , he found him and said , “ Do you believe in the Son of Man ?
” He answered and said , “ Who is he , sir , that I @ @ @ @ @ @ @ said to him , “ You have seen him , the one speaking with you is he.
” He said , “ I do believe , Lord , ” and he worshiped him .
Then Jesus said , “ I came into this world for judgment , so that those who do not see might see , and those who do see might become blind.
” Some of the Pharisees who were with him heard this and said to him , “ Surely we are not also blind , are we ?
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you were blind , you would have no sin ; but now you are saying , ‘ We see , ’ so your sin remains .

As Jesus passed by he saw a man blind from birth.
His disciples asked him,
“Rabbi, who sinned, this man or his parents,
that he was born blind?”
Jesus answered,
“Neither he nor his parents sinned;
it is so that the works of God might be made visible through him.
We have to do the works of the one who sent me while it is day.
Night is coming when no one can work.
While I am in the world, I am the light of the world.”
When he had said this, he spat on the ground
and made clay with the saliva,
and smeared the clay on his eyes,
and said to him,
“Go wash in the Pool of Siloam” —which means Sent—.
So he went and washed, and came back able to see.
His neighbors and those who had seen him earlier as a beggar said,
“Isn’t this the one who used to sit and beg?”
Some said, “It is, “
but others said, “No, he just looks like him.”
He said, “I am.”
So they said to him, “How were your eyes opened?”
He replied,
“The man called Jesus made clay and anointed my eyes
and told me, ‘Go to Siloam and wash.’
So I went there and washed and was able to see.”
And they said to him, “Where is he?”
He said, “I don’t know.”
They brought the one who was once blind to the Pharisees.
Now Jesus had made clay and opened his eyes on a sabbath.
So then the Pharisees also asked him how he was able to see.
He said to them,
“He put clay on my eyes, and I washed, and now I can see.”
So some of the Pharisees said,
“This man is not from God,
because he does not keep the sabbath.”
But others said,
“How can a sinful man do such signs?”
And there was a division among them.
So they said to the blind man again,
“What do you have to say about him,
since he opened your eyes?”
He said, “He is a prophet.”
Now the Jews did not believe
that he had been blind and gained his sight
until they summoned the parents of the one who had gained his sight.
They asked them,
“Is this your son, who you say was born blind?
How does he now see?”
His parents answered and said,
“We know that this is our son and that he was born blind.
We do not know how he sees now,
nor do we know who opened his eyes.
Ask him, he is of age;
he can speak for himself.”
His parents said this because they were afraid
of the Jews, for the Jews had already agreed
that if anyone acknowledged him as the Christ,
he would be expelled from the synagogue.
For this reason his parents said,
“He is of age; question him.”
So a second time they called the man who had been blind
and said to him, “Give God the praise!
We know that this man is a sinner.”
He replied,
“If he is a sinner, I do not know.
One thing I do know is that I was blind and now I see.”
So they said to him,
“What did he do to you?
How did he open your eyes?”
He answered them,
“I told you already and you did not listen.
Why do you want to hear it again?
Do you want to become his disciples, too?”
They ridiculed him and said,
“You are that man’s disciple;
we are disciples of Moses!
We know that God spoke to Moses,
but we do not know where this one is from.”
The man answered and said to them,
“This is what is so amazing,
that you do not know where he is from, yet he opened my eyes.
We know that God does not listen to sinners,
but if one is devout and does his will, he listens to him.
It is unheard of that anyone ever opened the eyes of a person born blind.
If this man were not from God,
he would not be able to do anything.”
They answered and said to him,
“You were born totally in sin,
and are you trying to teach us?”
Then they threw him out.
When Jesus heard that they had thrown him out,
he found him and said, “Do you believe in the Son of Man?”
He answered and said,
“Who is he, sir, that I may believe in him?”
Jesus said to him,
“You have seen him,
the one speaking with you is he.”
He said,
“I do believe, Lord,” and he worshiped him.
Then Jesus said,
“I came into this world for judgment,
so that those who do not see might see,
and those who do see might become blind.”
Some of the Pharisees who were with him heard this
and said to him, “Surely we are not also blind, are we?”
Jesus said to them,
“If you were blind, you would have no sin;
but now you are saying, ‘We see,’ so your sin remains.


theconservativetreehouse--2020-03-22--March 22nd – 2020 Presidential Politics – Trump Administration Day #1158

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In an effort to keep the Daily Open Thread a little more open topic we are going to start a new daily thread for “Presidential Politics”. Please use this thread to post anything relating to the Donald Trump Administration and Presidency.
This thread will refresh daily and appear above the Open Discussion Thread.
President Trump Twitter @POTUS / Vice President Pence Twitter @VP
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theconservativetreehouse--2020-03-22--Sunday March 22nd – Open Thread

Sunday March 22nd – Open Thread

Our Father , who art in heaven , hallowed be thy Name .
Thy kingdom come .
THY WILL BE @ @ @ @ @ it is in heaven .
Give us this day our daily bread .
And forgive @ @ @ @ @ we forgive those who trespass against us .
And lead us not into temptation , @ @ @ @ @ .
For Thine is the kingdom and the power and the glory , forever and @ @ @ @

Our Father, who art in heaven, hallowed be thy Name. Thy kingdom come. THY WILL BE DONE, on earth as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread. And forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who trespass against us. And lead us not into temptation, but DELIVER US FROM EVIL.
For Thine is the kingdom and the power and the glory, forever and ever. Amen †


theconservativetreehouse--2020-03-22--Bill Barr Goes Rogue – DOJ Asks Congress to Expand Legal Authorities to Circumvent Pesky Civil Liber

Bill Barr Goes Rogue – DOJ Asks Congress to Expand Legal Authorities to Circumvent Pesky Civil Liberties…

The Deep State is playing COVID-19 perfectly .
With the intention to create/instill extra fears amid center-right Americans ; and timed to emphasize the center-left narrative of authoritarian Trump ; U.S. Attorney General Bill Barr steps in to execute his role .
U.S. AG Bill Barr asks legislators to empower him with more legal authority to take actions within the justice department amid the crisis known as the 2020 Coronavirus pandemic .
( Via Politico ) The Justice Department has quietly asked Congress for the ability to ask chief judges to detain people indefinitely without trial during emergencies — part @ @ @ @ @ @ @ comes as the coronavirus spreads through the United States .
Documents reviewed by POLITICO detail the department ’ s requests to lawmakers on a host of topics , including the statute of limitations , asylum and the way court hearings are conducted .
[ … ] The DOJ requests — which are unlikely to make it through a Democratic-led House — span several stages of the legal process , from initial arrest to how cases are processed and investigated .
In one of the documents , the department proposed that Congress grant the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ judge of any district court to pause court proceedings “ whenever the district court is fully or partially closed by virtue of any natural disaster , civil disobedience , or other emergency situation.
” ( read more ) Perfectly timed to ignite a week before AG Barr goes before the House Judiciary Committee for testimony March 31st .
Strong execution game by the deep state .
Democrats will position themselves a pearl-clutching civil libertarians , and AG Barr will respond by framing the Trump administration as authoritarian .
Everyone has a role to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of COVID-19 as a snowball rolling downhill gathering speed… The state is operating to protect itself , by any means necessary .

The Deep State is playing COVID-19 perfectly. With the intention to create/instill extra fears amid center-right Americans; and timed to emphasize the center-left narrative of authoritarian Trump; U.S. Attorney General Bill Barr steps in to execute his role.
U.S. AG Bill Barr asks legislators to empower him with more legal authority to take actions within the justice department amid the crisis known as the 2020 Coronavirus pandemic.
(Via Politico) The Justice Department has quietly asked Congress for the ability to ask chief judges to detain people indefinitely without trial during emergencies — part of a push for new powers that comes as the coronavirus spreads through the United States. Documents reviewed by POLITICO detail the department’s requests to lawmakers on a host of topics, including the statute of limitations, asylum and the way court hearings are conducted.
[…] The DOJ requests — which are unlikely to make it through a Democratic-led House — span several stages of the legal process, from initial arrest to how cases are processed and investigated. In one of the documents, the department proposed that Congress grant the attorney general power to ask the chief judge of any district court to pause court proceedings “whenever the district court is fully or partially closed by virtue of any natural disaster, civil disobedience, or other emergency situation.” (read more)
Perfectly timed to ignite a week before AG Barr goes before the House Judiciary Committee for testimony March 31st. Strong execution game by the deep state.
Democrats will position themselves a pearl-clutching civil libertarians, and AG Barr will respond by framing the Trump administration as authoritarian. Everyone has a role to play in the political framework and purposing of COVID-19 as a snowball rolling downhill gathering speed…
The state is operating to protect itself, by any means necessary.