vdare--2020-11-22--The Pandemic Is Likely To Speed the Adoption of Automation—Which Makes Immigration Obsolete

Automation is coming on strong in the economy and will take millions of jobs in the next few years because as soon as a machine becomes cheaper for an individual task than a human , the worker will be gone .
In addition , business owners like how robots work 24/7 and don ’ t require lunch , sleep or paychecks .
Just an occasional squirt of oil will suffice to keep the machines performing .
More recently , the Wuhan pandemic has speeded up the process of businesses adopting smart machines , since robots also don ’ t get @ @ @ @ @ @ @ their annoying germs .
CNBC held a discussion among tech experts last month about smart machines in the Plague Year : How coronavirus could usher in a new age of automation : There ’ s not a lot that can be done to deal with the job-killing Age of Automation we face , but it would make sense to end immigration , because most of the jobs that immigrants do can be done more cheaply by smart machines .
In short , Here ’ s a transcript of the discussion I cleaned up @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is coming for your job — at least that ’ s the fear among many workers — from burger-flipping bots to car-building robots , not to mention high-powered software taking on more and more administrative tasks .
It seems like hundreds of skills are rapidly becoming obsolete in the US economy .
A McKinsey study found that AI and deep learning could add as much as $ 3.5 trillion to $ 5.8 trillion in annual value to companies .
ANDREW YANG : Eighty percent or more of the jobs that make $ 20 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ potentially subject to automation .
NARRATOR : The economic shock of the pandemic hasn ’ t helped ; human workers are vulnerable to diseases that robots aren ’ t , making it much easier and now cheaper to have a robot on staff that doesn ’ t require healthcare .
MARCUS CASEY : Businesses are kind of looking and seeing that humans can get sick from covid , but machines can ’ t .
MICHAEL HICKS : If you can eliminate the healthcare costs , the labor and wage tag that comes along @ @ @ @ @ @ @ — that ’ s a big competitive advantage .
NARRATOR : To put the increase in robotics in perspective : the U.S. had .49 robots per thousand workers in 1995 which rose to 1.79 robots per thousand workers in 2017 , but automation isn ’ t just a robotics revolution .
The rise in information technology and artificial intelligence or AI has also become an enabler of automation .
AI can help navigate difficult challenges that previously only a human operator could handle .
Of course , if you ’ ve encountered automated @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you personally experienced that automation still has a long way to go .
DARON ACEMOGLU : There ’ s nothing wrong with automation as long as it is part of a portfolio of technological changes , but its specific effects are not super good for labor .
NARRATOR : But the pace of technological change is accelerating , and the covid-19 pandemic could have acted as the accelerant .
The Urban Institute estimates more than 8 million low-income jobs have been lost during the pandemic .
ROBERT LITAN : One of the reasons @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is that when people get laid off they have a harder time finding a new job , and that ’ s been especially true in the last twenty years .
NARRATOR : High-skilled jobs such as finance managers , payroll managers and accounting roles face a 56 percent chance of being automated in the future .
And according to Consulting.ca , up to 30 percent of oil and gas jobs could be lost to automation by 2040 .
One major problem in the US for workers is that workers are a tax burden @ @ @ @ @ @ @ subsidized .
ACEMOGLU : US tax code has been very automation friendly : the United States has always taxed capital more lightly than labor .
LITAN : I think the government is going to have to be more aggressive going forward than just simply relying on a growing economy .
NARRATOR : Automation was progressing before the pandemic hit , but the sudden financial pressure that businesses in the US encountered created the perfect storm to turn to automation .
In previous recessions , enterprises looking to streamline their business practices turned to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ simply sped up what was already a long desired change .
LITAN : The conventional wisdom about the pandemic is that it has greatly accelerated all kinds of trends — AI , artificial intelligence , robotics and things like that — the movement toward those is certainly going to be accelerated post-pandemic for a simple reason : robots don ’ t get sick .
NARRATOR : In food service industries , industrial machines that helped with food packaging preparation or even serving have helped to ease the burden on human employees who are @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to vaccinate their supply chains to make them more efficient .
Automation of processes helps to eliminate the need for more administrative staff and a less human-labor-reliant warehouse system means that when a co-worker calls in sick , half the office isn ’ t quarantined .
CASEY : Among those who are actually employed in some of these low-wage occupations in the future they ’ ll be downward pressure on their wages , right , because they ’ ll be competing with machines , and so I think there will be some competition @ @ @ @ @ @ @ re not able to retrain people for new things , then the historical pattern has been that the people that benefit the most from automation are people that have IT skills .
In the post-pandemic world , if you don ’ t have some IT skills you ’ re at greater risk of being disrupted and having your wages fall relative to other people .
NARRATOR : Both the Trump administration and the Biden campaign have proposals to advance job gains for workers that have become affected at least in part by automation @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are true about automation and self-driving trucks , these folks aren ’ t stupid : they listen , they understand and they ’ re scared to death .
LITAN : The Biden campaign has proposed making community college free and also providing money for apprenticeships .
The Trump administration has advocated more money for apprenticeships and so forth , but I think as a society the need to help people transition to new jobs is going to be much greater in the post-pandemic world than the one that existed just six months ago @ @ @ @ @ @ @ post-pandemic world is a vaccine for covid-19 .
Recent vaccine candidates have continued forward in clinical trials , and there is hope that if the US can field a vaccine quick enough , the economic recovery could slow down some automation trends that have spiked due to the outbreak .
LITAN : But I don ’ t think enough thought has been given to how to get enough people — and I think it may take as many as 80 percent — enough people in the population to take the vaccine , so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ get our economy back to normal .
And then these trends that we ’ re talking about — the AI trends and automation — they ’ ll kick in later , but we need to get back to normal before we even get to the so-called longer term trends .
NARRATOR : The clock can ’ t be turned back on technological advancement .
AI research is steadily increasing and US investment ranged between 15 billion to 23 billion in 2016 alone .
HICKS : In the long run you know , better @ @ @ @ @ @ @ leads to higher wages for everybody .
So there ’ s really no doubt in the long run automation , the story of it for the past 300 years , has been a happy one .
In the short run for workers who are displaced , we generally don ’ t see wages recover , certainly not quickly .
We see more effects transmitted to their families as well —more problems finishing school or behavioral issues .
NARRATOR : According to a Deloitte study , 50 percent of all jobs are potentially open @ @ @ @ @ @ @ according to McKinsey , 400 million workers could be replaced by automation by 2030 which is about 15 percent of the global workforce .
Automation isn ’ t all doom and gloom ; some are hopeful that if automation takes over lower skilled tasks , it could open up opportunities for fewer work hours and more free time that could be focused on creative pursuits that could actually result in even more economic growth .
CASEY : There ’ s certainly ways that the government can kind of step in and actually support @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lost their jobs — right , you know they can form public-private partnerships , support people going back to school or investing in more specialized skill sets within industries , help them move across industries from areas that have been hit hard by the pandemic to sort of more emerging areas .
So that ’ s one set of policies .
The other set of policies is to actually provide incentives for firms to actually do a lot of this work themselves .
HICKS : Well in general , automation is important because @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and it allows us to do more at lower costs .
And so in general on average , it ’ s going to be a great boom to us .
The challenge I think is during the transition , both for individual workers and the communities in which they live you could see some disruption from this , particularly I think among lower income or less well trained workers who have fewer skills to transition in an automated environment .
NARRATOR : One proposal to help offset job loss from automation is the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
YANG : The freedom dividend makes the case to our fellow Americans that we all have intrinsic value as people , as citizens , as human beings .
NARRATOR : Some UBI plans include a roughly $ 1000 monthly payment to every adult in the country with no strings attached .
Detractors have argued that UBI would cause a drop in economic activity because it would disincentivize work .
Other arguments contend that it is not feasible financially for the US government to dole out large sums of money to such an @ @ @ @ @ @ @ We ’ ve done sort of a temporary UBI in the course of this pandemic , you know we sent out the $ 1200 check , or as we talk now , Congress is debating whether to send out another one .
I don ’ t think that ’ s permanently sustainable from a fiscal point of view .
NARRATOR : Finland recently ran a UBI study and concluded that it did not create a disincentive for citizens to work .
The study compared 2,000 people on UBI versus 173,000 on unemployment benefits @ @ @ @ @ @ @ were on UBI reported feeling better mentally about their well-being compared to those on unemployment benefits .
Researchers also noticed that those on UBI saw a higher increase in employment but remained unsure on the causes behind that trend .
LITAN : I think handing out money to everyone regardless of their circumstances is simply going to cost too much , especially in the in the light of all the additional debt that we ’ ve taken on .
CASEY : And we might get a better bang for our buck than just @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to people who haven ’ t lost their jobs because there ’ s also a you know externality effects associated with that .
Right , most people I think want to work , they want to build human capital and that ’ s building our productive base going into the future .
So it has a short-term static issue like during the pandemic .
Yeah , I ’ m fine with that — having a short run sort of universal basic income because people can ’ t work because of the pandemic makes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ yet , I mean I don ’ t think the evidence is quite in that this is a very viable long-term strategy relative to some of the other ways that we could invest that money .
ACEMOGLU : I think it ’ s too late to reverse job losses from automation in the same way that it ’ s too late to reverse the job losses that happened from say import competition from low-wage firms from China , but we can be forward looking and have a better strategy for dealing with the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ workers appear generally less able to pivot into new careers that require learning new skills .
HICKS : The challenge that we see isn ’ t a 23-year-old learning new technology ; it ’ s a 43 or 53-year-old .
NARRATOR : Part of the problem could be the way our educational system is designed .
HICKS : I think a bigger challenge one that ’ s going to be more long-term though is to address educational issues early on so the the ability to transition tasks for adult workers is really a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ arts , so if you focus on those sorts of skills to make sure that the children don ’ t go into their high school years unprepared , I think you ’ re really creating a class of workers that are better able to adjust to new technology .
NARRATOR : Up to 14 percent of the global workforce may be forced to change careers by 2030 because of automation .
LITAN : I ’ m an advocate of lifetime training accounts so that people could borrow and then pay back based on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ certificates or certificates to qualify them for new jobs and so forth .
NARRATOR : And 66 percent of respondents to a McKinsey survey of executives said that addressing skills gaps among workers was a top ten priority due to technological change .
MARCUS : Right now our tax code sort of supports the investments in capital right and not labor , and so if we could you know put some policies on the books that actually provide firms the incentive to actually invest in labor rather than capital that might actually help @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the American worker is far from written .
As automation grows , political solutions could be used to stem the economic pain of a workforce facing an uncertain future .
HICKS : I think the focus was wrong , I mean the focus of the fear of automation should really be a focus on the educational deficits of a portion of our workforce .
So we shouldn ’ t be afraid of automation .
It ’ s going to come whether or not we like it we should embrace it the real @ @ @ @ @ @ @ automation it ’ s not to be worried about it it ’ s to be worried about making sure that all of the citizens of the country , all of our workforce , every family has the skills to maneuver effectively in a world that ’ s more automated or sees more productivity growth which affects labor demand .
LITAN : Both Trump and Obama administrations relied heavily on just having a growing economy absorbing new workers and eventually the tighter the labor market became wages started to go up because employers were @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t think that there were a lot of super special efforts to accelerate the transition .
I think both administrations rely heavily on just a growing economy in general .
I don ’ t think that ’ s enough especially in the post-pandemic world .
We ’ re going to need much more affirmative , more active government assistance to get people into new jobs .
ACEMOGLU : There is a notion that has developed over the last several decades that technology is an inevitable path that we ’ re just following @ @ @ @ @ @ @ try is futile , and I think that ’ s deeply mistaken and misleading .
Technology is what we make it to be .
We have a technological problem platform and a knowledge accumulation and we can use these for creating different types of technology automation is just one of them automating everything and making machines produce everything and sidelining humans is just one very peculiar path we don ’ t have to follow that path that doesn ’ t mean turning our back on ai doesn ’ t mean turning our back @ @ @ @ @ @ @ looking forward we have to take ownership of the path of technology .

Automation is coming on strong in the economy and will take millions of jobs in the next few years because as soon as a machine becomes cheaper for an individual task than a human, the worker will be gone. In addition, business owners like how robots work 24/7 and don’t require lunch, sleep or paychecks. Just an occasional squirt of oil will suffice to keep the machines performing.
More recently, the Wuhan pandemic has speeded up the process of businesses adopting smart machines, since robots also don’t get sick—so convenient rather than undependable humans with their annoying germs.
CNBC held a discussion among tech experts last month about smart machines in the Plague Year: How coronavirus could usher in a new age of automation:
There’s not a lot that can be done to deal with the job-killing Age of Automation we face, but it would make sense to end immigration, because most of the jobs that immigrants do can be done more cheaply by smart machines. In short,
Here’s a transcript of the discussion I cleaned up for easy reference:
NARRATOR: Automation is coming for your job — at least that’s the fear among many workers — from burger-flipping bots to car-building robots, not to mention high-powered software taking on more and more administrative tasks. It seems like hundreds of skills are rapidly becoming obsolete in the US economy. A McKinsey study found that AI and deep learning could add as much as $3.5 trillion to $5.8 trillion in annual value to companies.
ANDREW YANG: Eighty percent or more of the jobs that make $20 an hour or less are at least potentially subject to automation.
NARRATOR: The economic shock of the pandemic hasn’t helped; human workers are vulnerable to diseases that robots aren’t, making it much easier and now cheaper to have a robot on staff that doesn’t require healthcare.
MARCUS CASEY: Businesses are kind of looking and seeing that humans can get sick from covid, but machines can’t.
MICHAEL HICKS: If you can eliminate the healthcare costs, the labor and wage tag that comes along with those folks and particularly in services — that’s a big competitive advantage.
NARRATOR: To put the increase in robotics in perspective: the U.S. had .49 robots per thousand workers in 1995 which rose to 1.79 robots per thousand workers in 2017, but automation isn’t just a robotics revolution. The rise in information technology and artificial intelligence or AI has also become an enabler of automation. AI can help navigate difficult challenges that previously only a human operator could handle. Of course, if you’ve encountered automated phone systems, it’s likely you personally experienced that automation still has a long way to go.
DARON ACEMOGLU: There’s nothing wrong with automation as long as it is part of a portfolio of technological changes, but its specific effects are not super good for labor.
NARRATOR: But the pace of technological change is accelerating, and the covid-19 pandemic could have acted as the accelerant. The Urban Institute estimates more than 8 million low-income jobs have been lost during the pandemic.
ROBERT LITAN: One of the reasons we have friction in our labor force is that when people get laid off they have a harder time finding a new job, and that’s been especially true in the last twenty years.
NARRATOR: High-skilled jobs such as finance managers, payroll managers and accounting roles face a 56 percent chance of being automated in the future. And according to Consulting.ca, up to 30 percent of oil and gas jobs could be lost to automation by 2040. One major problem in the US for workers is that workers are a tax burden for employers, whereas machines are actually subsidized.
ACEMOGLU: US tax code has been very automation friendly: the United States has always taxed capital more lightly than labor.
LITAN: I think the government is going to have to be more aggressive going forward than just simply relying on a growing economy.
NARRATOR: Automation was progressing before the pandemic hit, but the sudden financial pressure that businesses in the US encountered created the perfect storm to turn to automation. In previous recessions, enterprises looking to streamline their business practices turned to automation and in some cases the recession simply sped up what was already a long desired change.
LITAN: The conventional wisdom about the pandemic is that it has greatly accelerated all kinds of trends — AI, artificial intelligence, robotics and things like that — the movement toward those is certainly going to be accelerated post-pandemic for a simple reason: robots don’t get sick.
NARRATOR: In food service industries, industrial machines that helped with food packaging preparation or even serving have helped to ease the burden on human employees who are susceptible to disease. Companies are looking to vaccinate their supply chains to make them more efficient. Automation of processes helps to eliminate the need for more administrative staff and a less human-labor-reliant warehouse system means that when a co-worker calls in sick, half the office isn’t quarantined.
CASEY: Among those who are actually employed in some of these low-wage occupations in the future they’ll be downward pressure on their wages, right, because they’ll be competing with machines, and so I think there will be some competition there.
LITAN: If we’re not able to retrain people for new things, then the historical pattern has been that the people that benefit the most from automation are people that have IT skills. In the post-pandemic world, if you don’t have some IT skills you’re at greater risk of being disrupted and having your wages fall relative to other people.
NARRATOR: Both the Trump administration and the Biden campaign have proposals to advance job gains for workers that have become affected at least in part by automation.
JOE BIDEN: Whether your predictions are true about automation and self-driving trucks, these folks aren’t stupid: they listen, they understand and they’re scared to death.
LITAN: The Biden campaign has proposed making community college free and also providing money for apprenticeships. The Trump administration has advocated more money for apprenticeships and so forth, but I think as a society the need to help people transition to new jobs is going to be much greater in the post-pandemic world than the one that existed just six months ago.
NARRATOR: The key to a post-pandemic world is a vaccine for covid-19. Recent vaccine candidates have continued forward in clinical trials, and there is hope that if the US can field a vaccine quick enough, the economic recovery could slow down some automation trends that have spiked due to the outbreak.
LITAN: But I don’t think enough thought has been given to how to get enough people — and I think it may take as many as 80 percent — enough people in the population to take the vaccine, so that we can get herd immunity and get our economy back to normal. And then these trends that we’re talking about — the AI trends and automation — they’ll kick in later, but we need to get back to normal before we even get to the so-called longer term trends.
NARRATOR: The clock can’t be turned back on technological advancement. AI research is steadily increasing and US investment ranged between 15 billion to 23 billion in 2016 alone.
HICKS: In the long run you know, better productivity leads to more economic growth, leads to higher wages for everybody. So there’s really no doubt in the long run automation, the story of it for the past 300 years, has been a happy one. In the short run for workers who are displaced, we generally don’t see wages recover, certainly not quickly. We see more effects transmitted to their families as well —more problems finishing school or behavioral issues.
NARRATOR: According to a Deloitte study, 50 percent of all jobs are potentially open to automation in the coming decades and according to McKinsey, 400 million workers could be replaced by automation by 2030 which is about 15 percent of the global workforce. Automation isn’t all doom and gloom; some are hopeful that if automation takes over lower skilled tasks, it could open up opportunities for fewer work hours and more free time that could be focused on creative pursuits that could actually result in even more economic growth.
CASEY: There’s certainly ways that the government can kind of step in and actually support the reskilling of workers who’ve lost their jobs — right, you know they can form public-private partnerships, support people going back to school or investing in more specialized skill sets within industries, help them move across industries from areas that have been hit hard by the pandemic to sort of more emerging areas. So that’s one set of policies. The other set of policies is to actually provide incentives for firms to actually do a lot of this work themselves.
HICKS: Well in general, automation is important because it brings higher productivity to workers, and it allows us to do more at lower costs. And so in general on average, it’s going to be a great boom to us. The challenge I think is during the transition, both for individual workers and the communities in which they live you could see some disruption from this, particularly I think among lower income or less well trained workers who have fewer skills to transition in an automated environment.
NARRATOR: One proposal to help offset job loss from automation is the concept of universal basic income or UBI.
YANG: The freedom dividend makes the case to our fellow Americans that we all have intrinsic value as people, as citizens, as human beings.
NARRATOR: Some UBI plans include a roughly $1000 monthly payment to every adult in the country with no strings attached. Detractors have argued that UBI would cause a drop in economic activity because it would disincentivize work. Other arguments contend that it is not feasible financially for the US government to dole out large sums of money to such an extreme number of citizens.
LITAN: We’ve done sort of a temporary UBI in the course of this pandemic, you know we sent out the $1200 check, or as we talk now, Congress is debating whether to send out another one. I don’t think that’s permanently sustainable from a fiscal point of view.
NARRATOR: Finland recently ran a UBI study and concluded that it did not create a disincentive for citizens to work. The study compared 2,000 people on UBI versus 173,000 on unemployment benefits over a two-year period. People who were on UBI reported feeling better mentally about their well-being compared to those on unemployment benefits. Researchers also noticed that those on UBI saw a higher increase in employment but remained unsure on the causes behind that trend.
LITAN: I think handing out money to everyone regardless of their circumstances is simply going to cost too much, especially in the in the light of all the additional debt that we’ve taken on.
CASEY: And we might get a better bang for our buck than just you know giving out checks every month to people who haven’t lost their jobs because there’s also a you know externality effects associated with that. Right, most people I think want to work, they want to build human capital and that’s building our productive base going into the future. So it has a short-term static issue like during the pandemic. Yeah, I’m fine with that — having a short run sort of universal basic income because people can’t work because of the pandemic makes sense. I’m not sure yet, I mean I don’t think the evidence is quite in that this is a very viable long-term strategy relative to some of the other ways that we could invest that money.
ACEMOGLU: I think it’s too late to reverse job losses from automation in the same way that it’s too late to reverse the job losses that happened from say import competition from low-wage firms from China, but we can be forward looking and have a better strategy for dealing with the continuation of this.
NARRATOR: Older workers appear generally less able to pivot into new careers that require learning new skills.
HICKS: The challenge that we see isn’t a 23-year-old learning new technology; it’s a 43 or 53-year-old.
NARRATOR: Part of the problem could be the way our educational system is designed.
HICKS: I think a bigger challenge one that’s going to be more long-term though is to address educational issues early on so the the ability to transition tasks for adult workers is really a matter of middle school math and language arts, so if you focus on those sorts of skills to make sure that the children don’t go into their high school years unprepared, I think you’re really creating a class of workers that are better able to adjust to new technology.
NARRATOR: Up to 14 percent of the global workforce may be forced to change careers by 2030 because of automation.
LITAN: I’m an advocate of lifetime training accounts so that people could borrow and then pay back based on their income in order to get training certificates or certificates to qualify them for new jobs and so forth.
NARRATOR: And 66 percent of respondents to a McKinsey survey of executives said that addressing skills gaps among workers was a top ten priority due to technological change.
MARCUS: Right now our tax code sort of supports the investments in capital right and not labor, and so if we could you know put some policies on the books that actually provide firms the incentive to actually invest in labor rather than capital that might actually help as well.
NARRATOR: The future of the American worker is far from written. As automation grows, political solutions could be used to stem the economic pain of a workforce facing an uncertain future.
HICKS: I think the focus was wrong, I mean the focus of the fear of automation should really be a focus on the educational deficits of a portion of our workforce. So we shouldn’t be afraid of automation. It’s going to come whether or not we like it we should embrace it the real public policy challenge is not to stop automation it’s not to be worried about it it’s to be worried about making sure that all of the citizens of the country, all of our workforce, every family has the skills to maneuver effectively in a world that’s more automated or sees more productivity growth which affects labor demand.
LITAN: Both Trump and Obama administrations relied heavily on just having a growing economy absorbing new workers and eventually the tighter the labor market became wages started to go up because employers were bidding for them, and I don’t think that there were a lot of super special efforts to accelerate the transition. I think both administrations rely heavily on just a growing economy in general. I don’t think that’s enough especially in the post-pandemic world. We’re going to need much more affirmative, more active government assistance to get people into new jobs.
ACEMOGLU: There is a notion that has developed over the last several decades that technology is an inevitable path that we’re just following that path, and anything else we try is futile, and I think that’s deeply mistaken and misleading. Technology is what we make it to be. We have a technological problem platform and a knowledge accumulation and we can use these for creating different types of technology automation is just one of them automating everything and making machines produce everything and sidelining humans is just one very peculiar path we don’t have to follow that path that doesn’t mean turning our back on ai doesn’t mean turning our back on digital technologies but it means that looking forward we have to take ownership of the path of technology.


vdare--2020-11-23--The "Biden Rush" Has Begun. Brace For The Great Replacement

The “ Biden Rush ” has already begun .
October ’ s tally of illegal alien apprehensions at our southwest border was 69,237 , up 20 percent from September ’ s nearly 58,000 , and up a mind-boggling 305 percent from April .
That ’ s not surprising : in the age of the cell-phone , potential infiltrators are acutely aware of the U.S. political climate [ Biden win bolsters asylum seekers ' hopes of policy shift By Laura Gottesdiener , Jose Luis Gonzalez , Reuters , November 7 , 2020 ] .
But perhaps more surprising : October 1 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ government ’ s Fiscal Year 2020 , so we now know that an appalling total of some 2 million apprehensions occurred in President Donald J. Trump ’ s first term ( 303,916 2017 , 396,579 FY 2018 , 851,508 FY 2019 , 400,651 FY 20.20 ) despite his heroic struggle against the Deep State ( and do-nothing Congressional Republicans ) .
Actual infiltration is assumed to be some multiple of apprehensions .
So what would happen under a Biden Administration—which absolutely , positively wants to Elect A New People ?
Since fiscal 2012 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have apprehended 4 million infiltrators .
To put that number in perspective , that ’ s twice the population of Houston , Texas—and , remember , that ’ s just the ones who were caught .
Illegal infiltration under Trump has been through several stages .
( See chart ) .
• The Trump Effect—Illegals really were terrified of him !
• The Asylum Crisis—as a combination of judicial sabotage , Congressional inaction , and Treason Lobby ingenuity found a new way around the Border Patrol ’ s rules of engagement ; • @ @ @ @ @ @ @ crisis , the president ordered a temporary immigration moratorium , immediate deportation , and a clamp-down on asylum pleas , about 90 percent of which are very tearful but very bogus tales of woe [ Migrant Protection Protocols , DHS.Gov , January 24 , 2019 ] , and a variety of other administrative actions .
Immigration authorities deported 10,000 illegals in 19 days , a major victory .
And the economy stalled , removing a major pull factor .
• The Biden Rush—maybe it ’ s unfair to blame this rebound on Biden @ @ @ @ @ @ @ only early June But the Main Stream Media triumphalism was already dominant .
And when is the Left ever fair ?
Other factors : the rebounding economy ; and what appears to have been a bureaucratic decision to start accepting , rather than rebuffing , infiltrators with symptoms of COVID-19 ( or any other disease ) .
Amazingly , If infiltrators claimed to have contracted the Asiatic pathogen or any other disease , border agents began to rush them to the doctor .
Last year ’ s illegal-alien medical bill surpassed $ 300 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ $ 1 billion since 2016 .
That account sets the table for another year-end report about the Health Service Corps of Immigration and Customs Enforcement , which has coughed up more $ 1.3 billion to care for illegals since fiscal 2016 [ U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Health Service Corps , 2020 ] .
You probably didn ’ t know ICE had a Health Service Corps to provide free health care for illegal aliens .
Well , now you do .
In fiscal 2020 , taxpayers donated $ 315.1 million for these services @ @ @ @ @ @ @ t count the cost of medical care and sick leave for the agents who catch not only the Chinese Virus but also other diseases [ Border Patrol agents fall prey to illnesses plaguing migrant holding centers , by Anna Giaritelli , Washington Examiner , June 16 , 2019 ] .
So many illegal Africans were crossing the border in 2019 that agents faced contracting Ebola virus disease .
And this has seriously distorted Americans ’ perception of the WuFlu problem .
As Tod Bensman has reported : [ In Texas ] , where @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the lifting of economic lock-downs , the number of Covid-19 hospitalizations in trauma service areas along the Mexican border more than doubled to 886 of the state ’ s 3,711 hospitalizations in just the past week , according to state health data .
It ’ s unclear how many more were transported to facilities in the Texas interior to free up beds along the border as the apparent influx from Mexico continues .
In Arizona , where the Covid spike is also widely attributed to re-openings , positive new infections have skyrocketed over @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to 12,032 of the state ’ s 54,586 cases reported this week .
The border cities of Yuma and Nogales have become the state ’ s reddest hotspots , with positive Covid tests in Santa Cruz County tripling to 31 percent of tests since May ( 1,482 this week ) .
In Yuma County , positive Covid cases have tripled from 1,289 to 4,591 just since June 1 .
Pima County was reporting 5,587 this week compared to 187 on June 1 .
[ Mounting Evidence Points to Covid Refugees from Mexico as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ by Todd Bensman , CIS.org , June 24 , 2020 ] .
Naturally , the hate-Trump MSM entirely avoided explaining just who all these new Covid patients were .
Bensman talked to Border Patrol agents .
The “ surge , ” he learned , wasn ’ t from re-opening bars and restaurants “ too soon.
” Agents told him the virus carriers are “ sick non-Mexican foreign nationals who had illegally entered along the Texas border , ” meaning Central Americans .
Border agents were supposed to deport them immediately , but by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ late June , that wasn ’ t happening .
Instead , the illegals landed in hospitals , but not before infecting agents .
“ Agents are getting exposed and testing positive , ” one told him .
Trump ’ s Executive Actions have achieved significant immigration victories .
But without legislation , they can be reversed when and if Biden takes office .
Remember what Biden promised during his second debate with Trump , and what he advertises at his website [ The Plan for Securing Our Values as a Nation of Immigrants @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” is in the works .
That means Amnesty .
Even if Biden ’ s plan fails in a GOP-controlled-Senate—no certainty now that Lindsey Grahamnesty is back to his old self—illegals headed for the border at this moment know Biden won ’ t deport them .
He ’ s clear on that .
Or should we say she ?
We all know who will run the show while the non compos mentis president plays Mah Jongg under an afghan by the master bedroom fireplace with Dr. Jill .
That would be Kamala Harris @ @ @ @ @ @ @ compared ICE to the Ku Klux Klan .
Don ’ t think the illegals don ’ t know they have an agent of influence in subversive Harris , who celebrates India ’ s independence Day and calls its population “ our people.
” Apart from a patriot resolve we ’ ve never yet seen in the GOP/ GAP , the Biden-Harris regime will carpet-bomb the Historic American Nation with millions of instant Democrats from the Third World , and will finish the Great Replacement the Kennedys and Rep. Emanuel Celler began with the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you ’ re a part of the Historic American Nation , and unless something changes , you ’ ll soon be an outcast in your own country .
A.W .
Morgan [ Email him ] is fully recovered from prolonged contact with the Beltway Right .
He now lives in America .

The “Biden Rush” has already begun. October’s tally of illegal alien apprehensions at our southwest border was 69,237, up 20 percent from September’s nearly 58,000, and up a mind-boggling 305 percent from April.
Can't render, error
That’s not surprising: in the age of the cell-phone, potential infiltrators are acutely aware of the U.S. political climate [Biden win bolsters asylum seekers' hopes of policy shift , by Laura Gottesdiener, Jose Luis Gonzalez, Reuters, November 7, 2020].
"By Saturday morning, shouts of joy began to ring out in the camp where hundreds of asylum seekers have been stuck just across the river from Brownsville, Texas, under President Trump's hardline immigration policies." https://t.co/yphpCZupMW — Anna Mehler Paperny (@amp6) November 8, 2020
But perhaps more surprising: October 1 was also the end of the Federal government’s Fiscal Year 2020, so we now know that an appalling total of some 2 million apprehensions occurred in President Donald J. Trump’s first term (303,916 2017, 396,579 FY 2018, 851,508 FY 2019, 400,651 FY 20.20) despite his heroic struggle against the Deep State (and do-nothing Congressional Republicans). Actual infiltration is assumed to be some multiple of apprehensions. So what would happen under a Biden Administration—which absolutely, positively wants to Elect A New People?
Since fiscal 2012, the data show, border agents have apprehended 4 million infiltrators. To put that number in perspective, that’s twice the population of Houston, Texas—and, remember, that’s just the ones who were caught.
Illegal infiltration under Trump has been through several stages. (See chart).
Other factors: the rebounding economy; and what appears to have been a bureaucratic decision to start accepting, rather than rebuffing, infiltrators with symptoms of COVID-19 (or any other disease).
Amazingly, If infiltrators claimed to have contracted the Asiatic pathogen or any other disease, border agents began to rush them to the doctor. Last year’s illegal-alien medical bill surpassed $300 million. It’s more than $1 billion since 2016.
That account sets the table for another year-end report about the Health Service Corps of Immigration and Customs Enforcement, which has coughed up more $1.3 billion to care for illegals since fiscal 2016 [U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Health Service Corps, 2020].
You probably didn’t know ICE had a Health Service Corps to provide free health care for illegal aliens. Well, now you do.
In fiscal 2020, taxpayers donated $315.1 million for these services:
3,048 emergency room visits
15,571 dental visits
19,637 urgent care visits
123,936 sick calls
69,985 mental health visits
270,222 prescriptions
52,278 physicals
And that dollar figure doesn’t count the cost of medical care and sick leave for the agents who catch not only the Chinese Virus but also other diseases [Border Patrol agents fall prey to illnesses plaguing migrant holding centers, by Anna Giaritelli, Washington Examiner, June 16, 2019].
So many illegal Africans were crossing the border in 2019 that agents faced contracting Ebola virus disease.
And this has seriously distorted Americans’ perception of the WuFlu problem. As Tod Bensman has reported:
[In Texas], where a spike is almost universally attributed to the lifting of economic lock-downs, the number of Covid-19 hospitalizations in trauma service areas along the Mexican border more than doubled to 886 of the state’s 3,711 hospitalizations in just the past week, according to state health data. It’s unclear how many more were transported to facilities in the Texas interior to free up beds along the border as the apparent influx from Mexico continues. In Arizona, where the Covid spike is also widely attributed to re-openings, positive new infections have skyrocketed over the past month along the border, to 12,032 of the state’s 54,586 cases reported this week. The border cities of Yuma and Nogales have become the state’s reddest hotspots, with positive Covid tests in Santa Cruz County tripling to 31 percent of tests since May (1,482 this week). In Yuma County, positive Covid cases have tripled from 1,289 to 4,591 just since June 1. Pima County was reporting 5,587 this week compared to 187 on June 1. [Mounting Evidence Points to Covid Refugees from Mexico as a Major Factor in Border-State Spikes, by Todd Bensman, CIS.org, June 24, 2020].
Naturally, the hate-Trump MSM entirely avoided explaining just who all these new Covid patients were.
Bensman talked to Border Patrol agents. The “surge,” he learned, wasn’t from re-opening bars and restaurants “too soon.” Agents told him the virus carriers are “sick non-Mexican foreign nationals who had illegally entered along the Texas border,” meaning Central Americans.
Border agents were supposed to deport them immediately, but by the time Bensman wrote his piece in late June, that wasn’t happening. Instead, the illegals landed in hospitals, but not before infecting agents. “Agents are getting exposed and testing positive,” one told him.
Trump’s Executive Actions have achieved significant immigration victories. But without legislation, they can be reversed when and if Biden takes office.
Remember what Biden promised during his second debate with Trump, and what he advertises at his website [The Plan for Securing Our Values as a Nation of Immigrants].
A “path to citizenship” is in the works. That means Amnesty.
Said Biden:
Within a 100 days, I’m going to send to the United States Congress a pathway to citizenship for over 11 million undocumented people. And all of those so-called dreamers, those DACA kids, they’re going to be immediately certified again to be able to stay in this country and put on a path to citizenship. … Many of them are model citizens. Over 20,000 of them are first responders out there taking care of people during this crisis. We owe them. We owe them.
Even if Biden’s plan fails in a GOP-controlled Senate—no certainty now that Lindsey Grahamnesty is back to his old self—illegals headed for the border at this moment know Biden won’t deport them. He’s clear on that.
Or should we say she? We all know who will run the show while the non compos mentis president plays Mah Jongg under an afghan by the master bedroom fireplace with Dr. Jill. That would be Kamala Harris, the ungrateful child of immigrants who compared ICE to the Ku Klux Klan.
Don’t think the illegals don’t know they have an agent of influence in subversive Harris, who celebrates India’s independence Day and calls its population “our people.”
Apart from a patriot resolve we’ve never yet seen in the GOP/GAP, the Biden-Harris regime will carpet-bomb the Historic American Nation with millions of instant Democrats from the Third World, and will finish the Great Replacement the Kennedys and Rep. Emanuel Celler began with the 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act.
Brace yourself.
If you’re a part of the Historic American Nation, and unless something changes, you’ll soon be an outcast in your own country.
A.W. Morgan [Email him] is fully recovered from prolonged contact with the Beltway Right. He now lives in America.


vdare--2020-11-23--The VDARE.com Year—End Appeal Kicks Off #GivingTuesday Dec 1

Twenty years of vigorous defense of the Historic American Nation and just beginning 20 years ago , when VDARE.com Editor Peter Brimelow launched this site , he named it after Virginia Dare , the first English child born in the New World , in 1587 .
Peter recognized that Virginia Dare ’ s story , once a fixture of every American ’ s grade school education , had fallen out of fashion , edged out by the multicultural agenda .
Today , another story from America ’ s heritage that VDARE.com is determined to keep in fashion is particularly relevant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the Mayflower Compact—signed November 21 , 1620 .
The Mayflower Pilgrims ’ suffering and sacrifice are critical elements of their story , but it is their dissent in the face of powerful persecution , their survival against the odds– indeed the fact that they flourished and did so with orderly , voluntary self-government– that inspires patriotic Americans today .
The Pilgrims had enormous impact on the world .
Among their estimated 35 million descendants are a dozen Presidents including both Adamses , both Roosevelts and both Bushes , along with many other @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Marilyn Monroe , Amelia Earhart , Astronaut Alan Shepard , Warren Buffett and Winston Churchill .
The Mayflower Compact , signed before they got off the ship at Plymouth Rock , was the first exercise in voluntary self-government from and by the consent of the governed , in the English-speaking world , not to mention the New World , and it inspired the Framers of the Constitution .
In 1802 , President John Quincy Adams said that it was “ the only instance in human history of that positive , original , social @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an experiment .
Rather , it was a group of Englishmen doing things in the ways that had become ingrained in their culture over a thousand years of development ( even before Magna Carta ) .
The United States of America is not an experiment .
Rather , the Constitution which formed the nation was an expression of the same culture that shaped the Mayflower Compact and the government that grew from it .
Without the Mayflower Pilgrims and their courage to dissent it is fair to say , the Historic American Nation @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , 400 years later , we Americans must again choose self-government , as shaped by that same heritage .
We must rediscover what it means to choose America First policies domestically and abroad .
We must choose again , as the Pilgrims did , to join together not just to survive , but also to flourish and grow in the context of the nation and culture that have provided freedom and plenty on a historically unimaginable scale to those who have embraced it , and provided it generously to millions more around the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ promote and support that American cultural reawakening .
It is only website dedicated solely to patriotic immigration reform and the National Question .
VDARE.com is the voice of the Historic American Nation .
We publish multiple posts a day covering US immigration policy and a broad spectrum of related Politically Incorrect topics .
VDARE.com has also striven to bring patriots together in conferences to discuss the urgent ideas of our time and to develop personal bonds .
However , Cancel Culture in the form of Antifa harassment caused ten hotels in a row @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with us and refuse our business after planning had already begun .
To defy the Cancelers ( dare we call them Haters ? )
and to free and amplify patriotic voices in America , VDARE took the bold step of purchasing our own venue .
In Spring of 2020 , Berkeley Springs Castle in Berkeley Springs , West Virginia became a new center for the defense of the Historic American Nation .
Renovations are underway .
By summer of 2021 VDARE will throw the gates open and welcome our many readers and supporters @ @ @ @ @ @ @ conferences in our own , un-cancelable , secure and private space .
The Berkeley Springs Castle is now the cornerstone of an enduring institution dedicated to the defense and advancement of America—not an “ idea ” or “ experiment , ” but a nation resting on our inherited culture , our people and our home .
One of the great political challenges of our time is the vacuum where America First institutions and leaders should be .
President Trump accomplished many positive things on immigration during these past few years , but few @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , there is no enduring legislated check on mass immigration .
Escalating unofficial but effective censorship via “ cancel culture ” and digital “ de-platforming ” strangles grassroots communications and blights patriotic efforts .
In this new regime of political terror , outspoken patriots know they expose their reputations and livelihoods to smear campaigns and mob action .
VDARE.com freely accepts that risk and more .
We take the fight back to those who would destroy America .
We are led by individuals with real names and faces .
We move forward in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ great risks for righteous dissent .
We defend and advance the cause of our home our culture and our people—no matter what the costs .
For 20 years , VDARE has stood strong for patriotic immigration reform , and the Historic American Nation .
We are only getting started .
From the December 1st until the end of the year , VDARE.com will run our most important annual fundraiser .
Our goal is $ 200,000 .
Here ’ s a glimpse of what you can expect in the coming weeks : Join Peter @ @ @ @ @ @ @ take your questions and toast to the season during this annual event , streamed live here on VDARE.com .
As a special unveiling , since the pandemic has prevented our plans to gather and celebrate in person , we will also be giving a walking tour of the castle itself !
• 1620 Society : In honor of the 400th Anniversary of the Mayflower Compact , we are proud to announce the newly formed 1620 Society .
VDARE.com ’ s work can only be accomplished with the support of generous donors who share @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and I hope you consider joining in .
Stay tuned for exciting membership details to be announced soon .
• Mayflower testimonials : Throughout the month of December we will feature letters from our readers who are inspired by America ’ s Mayflower forebears—whether as descendants or as people who have embraced traditional American culture and made it their own .
If you have a message you ’ d like to share about what the Pilgrims mean to you , please send it to rose @ vdare.com .
• Matching funds : @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and other times during the fundraising drive , you ’ ll see that generous supporters have come forward with matching pledges to multiply the value of your gift .
I hope you ’ ll help us meet these goals as they arise !
• Book Specials : Stay tuned for Black Friday sales and raffle prizes for donors looking for that special book to round out the collection !
• VDARE20 Finale : Christmas Eve will close out our year-long celebration of VDARE.com ’ s 20th Join us as we delve into the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ some of our wonderful friends—including some that may surprise you !
This has been a year of overwhelming obstacles—from the pandemic to the election , from violence in the street and destruction in our cities to censorship in the media , political persecution becomes more and more common .
Yet despite the challenges , VDARE.com has remained constant .
Our writers and staff have worked harder than ever to inform the fight America American .
Our movement grows as patriotic immigration reformers all over the country discover our message .
At the Berkeley @ @ @ @ @ @ @ safe space to bring the best people together , incubate the best ideas and develop the strategies that preserve America as the founders intended , “ for ourselves and our posterity.
” Despite what the leftists want you to believe , the Historic American Nation did not start with African slaves , or Ellis Island immigrants .
The Historic American Nation started with Virginia Dare , and later Jamestown and then the Pilgrims .
And it hasn ’ t stopped yet .
At VDARE.com , we ’ ll continue to defend it—with your @ @ @ @ @ @ @ December 1st—and thank you so much for your support !

Twenty years of vigorous defense of the Historic American Nation and just beginning
20 years ago, when VDARE.com Editor Peter Brimelow launched this site, he named it after Virginia Dare, the first English child born in the New World, in 1587.
Peter recognized that Virginia Dare’s story, once a fixture of every American’s grade school education, had fallen out of fashion, edged out by the multicultural agenda.
Today, another story from America’s heritage that VDARE.com is determined to keep in fashion is particularly relevant: This year marked the 400th Anniversary of the Mayflower Compact—signed November 21, 1620.
The Mayflower Pilgrims’ suffering and sacrifice are critical elements of their story, but it is their dissent in the face of powerful persecution, their survival against the odds– indeed the fact that they flourished and did so with orderly, voluntary self-government—that inspires patriotic Americans today.
The Pilgrims had enormous impact on the world. Among their estimated 35 million descendants are a dozen Presidents including both Adamses, both Roosevelts and both Bushes, along with many other notables as diverse as Humphrey Bogart, Marilyn Monroe, Amelia Earhart, Astronaut Alan Shepard, Warren Buffett and Winston Churchill.
The Mayflower Compact, signed before they got off the ship at Plymouth Rock, was the first exercise in voluntary self-government from and by the consent of the governed, in the English-speaking world, not to mention the New World, and it inspired the Framers of the Constitution. In 1802, President John Quincy Adams said that it was “the only instance in human history of that positive, original, social compact.”
The Mayflower Compact was not an experiment. Rather, it was a group of Englishmen doing things in the ways that had become ingrained in their culture over a thousand years of development (even before Magna Carta). The United States of America is not an experiment. Rather, the Constitution which formed the nation was an expression of the same culture that shaped the Mayflower Compact and the government that grew from it.
Without the Mayflower Pilgrims and their courage to dissent it is fair to say, the Historic American Nation would be unrecognizable—perhaps even non-existent.
Now, 400 years later, we Americans must again choose self-government, as shaped by that same heritage. We must rediscover what it means to choose America First policies domestically and abroad. We must choose again, as the Pilgrims did, to join together not just to survive, but also to flourish and grow in the context of the nation and culture that have provided freedom and plenty on a historically unimaginable scale to those who have embraced it, and provided it generously to millions more around the world.
VDARE.com exists to guide, promote and support that American cultural reawakening. It is only website dedicated solely to patriotic immigration reform and the National Question. VDARE.com is the voice of the Historic American Nation. We publish multiple posts a day covering US immigration policy and a broad spectrum of related Politically Incorrect topics.
VDARE.com has also striven to bring patriots together in conferences to discuss the urgent ideas of our time and to develop personal bonds. However, Cancel Culture in the form of Antifa harassment caused ten hotels in a row over a three-year period to terminate contracts with us and refuse our business after planning had already begun.
To defy the Cancelers (dare we call them Haters?) and to free and amplify patriotic voices in America, VDARE took the bold step of purchasing our own venue. In Spring of 2020, Berkeley Springs Castle in Berkeley Springs, West Virginia became a new center for the defense of the Historic American Nation. Renovations are underway. By summer of 2021 VDARE will throw the gates open and welcome our many readers and supporters to parties, dinners, meeting and conferences in our own, un-cancelable, secure and private space.
The Berkeley Springs Castle is now the cornerstone of an enduring institution dedicated to the defense and advancement of America—not an “idea” or “experiment,” but a nation resting on our inherited culture, our people and our home.
One of the great political challenges of our time is the vacuum where America First institutions and leaders should be. President Trump accomplished many positive things on immigration during these past few years, but few of them are permanent. Above all, there is no enduring legislated check on mass immigration. Escalating unofficial but effective censorship via “cancel culture” and digital “de-platforming” strangles grassroots communications and blights patriotic efforts. In this new regime of political terror, outspoken patriots know they expose their reputations and livelihoods to smear campaigns and mob action.
VDARE.com freely accepts that risk and more. We take the fight back to those who would destroy America. We are led by individuals with real names and faces. We move forward in the spirit of the Pilgrims who took great risks for righteous dissent. We defend and advance the cause of our home our culture and our people—no matter what the costs. For 20 years, VDARE has stood strong for patriotic immigration reform, and the Historic American Nation. We are only getting started.
From the December 1st until the end of the year, VDARE.com will run our most important annual fundraiser. Our goal is $200,000.
Here’s a glimpse of what you can expect in the coming weeks:
December 1: Giving Tuesday Livestream from the Berkeley Springs Castle: Join Peter Brimelow and John Derbyshire fireside as they take your questions and toast to the season during this annual event, streamed live here on VDARE.com. As a special unveiling, since the pandemic has prevented our plans to gather and celebrate in person, we will also be giving a walking tour of the castle itself!
Join Peter Brimelow and John Derbyshire fireside as they take your questions and toast to the season during this annual event, streamed live here on VDARE.com. As a special unveiling, since the pandemic has prevented our plans to gather and celebrate in person, we will also be giving a walking tour of the castle itself! 1620 Society : In honor of the 400th Anniversary of the Mayflower Compact, we are proud to announce the newly formed 1620 Society. VDARE.com’s work can only be accomplished with the support of generous donors who share our commitment to the Historic American Nation, and I hope you consider joining in. Stay tuned for exciting membership details to be announced soon.
: In honor of the 400th Anniversary of the Mayflower Compact, we are proud to announce the newly formed 1620 Society. VDARE.com’s work can only be accomplished with the support of generous donors who share our commitment to the Historic American Nation, and I hope you consider joining in. Stay tuned for exciting membership details to be announced soon. Mayflower testimonials : Throughout the month of December we will feature letters from our readers who are inspired by America’s Mayflower forebears—whether as descendants or as people who have embraced traditional American culture and made it their own. If you have a message you’d like to share about what the Pilgrims mean to you, please send it to rose@vdare.com.
: Throughout the month of December we will feature letters from our readers who are inspired by America’s Mayflower forebears—whether as descendants or as people who have embraced traditional American culture and made it their own. If you have a message you’d like to share about what the Pilgrims mean to you, please send it to rose@vdare.com. Matching funds : On Giving Tuesday (Dec 1) and other times during the fundraising drive, you’ll see that generous supporters have come forward with matching pledges to multiply the value of your gift. I hope you’ll help us meet these goals as they arise!
: On Giving Tuesday (Dec 1) and other times during the fundraising drive, you’ll see that generous supporters have come forward with matching pledges to multiply the value of your gift. I hope you’ll help us meet these goals as they arise! Book Specials : Stay tuned for Black Friday sales and raffle prizes for donors looking for that special book to round out the collection!
: Stay tuned for Black Friday sales and raffle prizes for donors looking for that special book to round out the collection! VDARE20 Finale: Christmas Eve will close out our year-long celebration of VDARE.com’s 20th Join us as we delve into the archives a final time and hear from some of our wonderful friends—including some that may surprise you!
This has been a year of overwhelming obstacles—from the pandemic to the election, from violence in the street and destruction in our cities to censorship in the media, political persecution becomes more and more common.
Yet despite the challenges, VDARE.com has remained constant. Our writers and staff have worked harder than ever to inform the fight America American.
Our movement grows as patriotic immigration reformers all over the country discover our message. At the Berkeley Springs Castle, we now have a safe space to bring the best people together, incubate the best ideas and develop the strategies that preserve America as the founders intended, “for ourselves and our posterity.”
Despite what the leftists want you to believe, the Historic American Nation did not start with African slaves, or Ellis Island immigrants. The Historic American Nation started with Virginia Dare, and later Jamestown and then the Pilgrims.
And it hasn’t stopped yet. At VDARE.com, we’ll continue to defend it—with your help.
See you at the castle December 1st—and thank you so much for your support!
Lydia Brimelow
VDARE.com Publisher


vdare--2020-11-23--Patrick J. Buchanan: What Trump Will Leave In Biden's Foreign Policy Inbox?

Dismissing President Donald Trump 's claim that the 2020 election remains undecided , Joe Biden has begun to name his national security team .
Right now , it looks Democratic establishment all the way .
Antony Blinken , a longtime foreign policy aide , is Biden 's choice for secretary of state .
Jake Sullivan , one of Hillary Clinton 's closest aides , is said to be his choice for national security adviser .
Biden 's urgency in naming his foreign policy team is understandable .
For if his election is confirmed by the Electoral College , then he @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a lineup of foreign policy crises .
First is Afghanistan .
While a Beltway battle has erupted over the wisdom of Trump 's decision to cut in half , to 2,500 , the number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan by Jan. 15 , no one denies the risk this entails for the besieged pro-American government in Kabul .
Ex-Ambassador to Afghanistan and Pakistan Ryan Crocker summed it up Friday before the House Armed Services Committee : `` The worst thing we can do is what we are doing .
... Basically telling the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Let 's dress this up as best we can . '
'' America `` is waving the white flag '' of surrender , said Crocker .
Saturday , a barrage of rockets slammed into the Green Zone of Kabul where many embassies are located , killing eight and wounding two dozen .
The Islamic State claimed responsibility .
As President Biden is not going to send fresh regiments of U.S. troops back to Afghanistan , he could , in his first year , face a collapse of the Kabul regime and a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ expelled from power 19 years ago for hosting the al-Qaida terrorists who perpetrated 9/11 .
Biden could , in his first days in office , preside over the first U.S. defeat in a major war since Vietnam .
A second situation confronting the new president is China .
For the China of 2021 is not the China with which Barack Obama and Biden had to deal .
The China of today revels in its Communist ideology .
It openly crushes democratic dissent in Hong Kong and defends `` reeducation camps '' for Muslim @ @ @ @ @ @ @ naval forces and missile threats to assert and to defend its claims to the Paracel and Spratly Islands in the South China Sea , to Taiwan , and to the Senkaku Islands that Japan controls and claims .
U.S. planes and ships flying close to Chinese territorial claims are intercepted and treated as hostile .
This is not a China that is going to back down before American power .
If the U.S. imposes sanctions on Beijing , then Beijing will reciprocate with sanctions on the U.S. And if the U.S. decides to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be surprised if China reciprocates in kind .
President Biden , it is said , will find a way to rejoin the Iran nuclear deal from which Trump rudely exited .
And how will this sit with Israel ?
Sunday , at a memorial service for Founding Father David Ben-Gurion , Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu sent a message , clearly for Biden : `` We must stick to an uncompromising policy to ensure that Iran does not develop nuclear weapons .
...
There must be no return to the previous nuclear agreement .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ now-regular Israeli attacks on Iran and Iranian-backed militias in Syria , Iraq and Lebanon ?
What would Biden do if Iran responded with attacks on Israel ?
This is not an academic question .
Sunday , the Israelis launched new attacks on Iranian-backed militia in Syria , and Trump has said that if an Iranian hand is found behind an attack that kills an American , then the U.S. will retaliate against Iran .
While his foreign policy advisers argued successfully against a Trump proposal for a preemptive strike on Iran 's nuclear @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on Iranian-backed militia in Syria could produce retaliation , and a sudden larger and wider war .
Worst-case scenario : Iran responds to an Israeli attack ; Americans are killed ; Trump retaliates ; and Biden inherits a war with Iran he must fight or seek to end .
Then , there are the human rights backsliders that are U.S. partners and allies—Turkey , Egypt , Saudi Arabia .
How does Biden deal with the party 's progressives who demand he sanction such partner-nations—without risking the loss of these countries ' cooperation on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with regard to Afghanistan is also true of Syria and Iraq .
How do we extract our military from these endless conflicts without losing any leverage we have , and with it losing our influence over the composition and character of the regime and its direction ?
`` America First '' has an answer to these questions : If there are no vital U.S. interests imperiled , keep U.S. troops out .
And ashcan the utopian nonsense of trying to plant democracy in the sandy soil of a Middle East that has shown @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The interventionalists got us into the sandbox .
Let 's see if they can get us out .
Patrick J. Buchanan needs no introduction to VDARE.COM readers ; his books State of Emergency : The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America , and Suicide of a Superpower : Will America Survive to 2025 ?
are available from Amazon.com .
Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “ The Greatest Comeback : How Richard Nixon Rose From Defeat to Create the New Majority .
His latest book , published May , 2018 , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Wars : The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever.
” See Peter Brimelow ’ s review : “ Wheel And Fight ” —Pat Buchanan ’ s Nixon Book Provides Road Map For Trump .

Dismissing President Donald Trump's claim that the 2020 election remains undecided, Joe Biden has begun to name his national security team.
Right now, it looks Democratic establishment all the way.
Antony Blinken, a longtime foreign policy aide, is Biden's choice for secretary of state. Jake Sullivan, one of Hillary Clinton's closest aides, is said to be his choice for national security adviser.
Biden's urgency in naming his foreign policy team is understandable.
For if his election is confirmed by the Electoral College, then he will find himself on Jan. 20 with a lineup of foreign policy crises.
First is Afghanistan. While a Beltway battle has erupted over the wisdom of Trump's decision to cut in half, to 2,500, the number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan by Jan. 15, no one denies the risk this entails for the besieged pro-American government in Kabul.
Ex-Ambassador to Afghanistan and Pakistan Ryan Crocker summed it up Friday before the House Armed Services Committee: "The worst thing we can do is what we are doing. ... Basically telling the Taliban, 'You win. We lose. Let's dress this up as best we can.'"
America "is waving the white flag" of surrender, said Crocker.
Saturday, a barrage of rockets slammed into the Green Zone of Kabul where many embassies are located, killing eight and wounding two dozen. The Islamic State claimed responsibility.
As President Biden is not going to send fresh regiments of U.S. troops back to Afghanistan, he could, in his first year, face a collapse of the Kabul regime and a triumph of the Taliban, whom we expelled from power 19 years ago for hosting the al-Qaida terrorists who perpetrated 9/11.
Biden could, in his first days in office, preside over the first U.S. defeat in a major war since Vietnam.
A second situation confronting the new president is China. For the China of 2021 is not the China with which Barack Obama and Biden had to deal. The China of today revels in its Communist ideology.
It openly crushes democratic dissent in Hong Kong and defends "reeducation camps" for Muslim Uighurs in Xinjiang, uses air and naval forces and missile threats to assert and to defend its claims to the Paracel and Spratly Islands in the South China Sea, to Taiwan, and to the Senkaku Islands that Japan controls and claims.
U.S. planes and ships flying close to Chinese territorial claims are intercepted and treated as hostile.
This is not a China that is going to back down before American power. If the U.S. imposes sanctions on Beijing, then Beijing will reciprocate with sanctions on the U.S. And if the U.S. decides to use force, the U.S. should not be surprised if China reciprocates in kind.
President Biden, it is said, will find a way to rejoin the Iran nuclear deal from which Trump rudely exited.
And how will this sit with Israel?
Sunday, at a memorial service for Founding Father David Ben-Gurion, Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu sent a message, clearly for Biden: "We must stick to an uncompromising policy to ensure that Iran does not develop nuclear weapons. ... There must be no return to the previous nuclear agreement."
How will Biden deal with the now-regular Israeli attacks on Iran and Iranian-backed militias in Syria, Iraq and Lebanon? What would Biden do if Iran responded with attacks on Israel?
This is not an academic question. Sunday, the Israelis launched new attacks on Iranian-backed militia in Syria, and Trump has said that if an Iranian hand is found behind an attack that kills an American, then the U.S. will retaliate against Iran.
While his foreign policy advisers argued successfully against a Trump proposal for a preemptive strike on Iran's nuclear enrichment plant at Natanz, Israeli strikes on Iranian-backed militia in Syria could produce retaliation, and a sudden larger and wider war.
Worst-case scenario: Iran responds to an Israeli attack; Americans are killed; Trump retaliates; and Biden inherits a war with Iran he must fight or seek to end.
Then, there are the human rights backsliders that are U.S. partners and allies—Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia. How does Biden deal with the party's progressives who demand he sanction such partner-nations—without risking the loss of these countries' cooperation on our policy agenda?
And the question with regard to Afghanistan is also true of Syria and Iraq. How do we extract our military from these endless conflicts without losing any leverage we have, and with it losing our influence over the composition and character of the regime and its direction?
"America First" has an answer to these questions:
If there are no vital U.S. interests imperiled, keep U.S. troops out. And ashcan the utopian nonsense of trying to plant democracy in the sandy soil of a Middle East that has shown itself unreceptive to that particular crop.
The interventionalists got us into the sandbox. Let's see if they can get us out.
COPYRIGHT 2020 CREATORS.COM
Patrick J. Buchanan needs no introduction to VDARE.COM readers; his books State of Emergency: The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America, and Suicide of a Superpower: Will America Survive to 2025? are available from Amazon.com. Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “The Greatest Comeback: How Richard Nixon Rose From Defeat to Create the New Majority.
His latest book, published May, 2018, is “Nixon’s White House Wars: The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever.”
See Peter Brimelow’s review: “Wheel And Fight”—Pat Buchanan’s Nixon Book Provides Road Map For Trump.


vdare--2020-11-23--Border Patrol Arrests Four Sex Criminals In 48 Hours

Earlier : Ann Coulter : Who 's Doing The Raping ?
Immigrants—But Do n't Ask 'LAW & ORDER SVU ' !
For as long as Donald Trump is in the White house , the men who guard our borders can still do their jobs .
Here are some reports from the field .
Lucas Morales-Perez , a Guatemalan .
.
.
[ who had been ] was arrested by the Woodburn Police Department in 2017 for sexual assault .
In 2018 , the Marion County Circuit Court convicted Morales-Perez of three counts of 3rd Degree Rape and sentenced him to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
[ A ] gents .
.
.
encountered a citizen of El Salvador [ and illegal immigrant ] .
.
.
Records checks revealed that the 40 year old man , identified as Mario Salvador Mendoza-Rodriguez , was convicted of Lewd or Lascivious Act with a Child under 14 Years of Age in 2013 .
Mendoza-Rodriguez was sentenced to 72 months imprisonment .
Border Patrol agents received information from an off-duty warden with the Maine Warden Service regarding two suspicious subjects near a remote forested area .
.
.
.
Records checks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Crime Information Center confirmed the 21-year-old man as a convicted violent sex offender and fugitive from Virginia , with an extraditable warrant for failing to register as a sex offender .
The woman had an active alert out of Virginia as a missing and endangered person .
U.S. Border Patrol agents assigned to the El Centro Sector arrested an illegal alien .
.
.
.
Records checks revealed that the man , a 41-year-old illegal alien from Mexico , has an active warrant for “ Lewdness with a Child Under 14 ” and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 14 ” out of Nye County , Nevada .
Additionally , the man was ordered removed from the United States by an immigration judge on March 18 , 2004 .

Earlier: Ann Coulter: Who's Doing The Raping? Immigrants—But Don't Ask 'LAW & ORDER SVU'!
For as long as Donald Trump is in the White house, the men who guard our borders can still do their jobs. Here are some reports from the field.
Wednesday in Texas, Customs and Border Patrol arrested:
Lucas Morales-Perez, a Guatemalan . . . [who had been] was arrested by the Woodburn Police Department in 2017 for sexual assault. In 2018, the Marion County Circuit Court convicted Morales-Perez of three counts of 3rd Degree Rape and sentenced him to 120 days confinement and 60 months probation.
Thursday in Texas:
[A]gents . . . encountered a citizen of El Salvador [and illegal immigrant] . . . Records checks revealed that the 40 year old man, identified as Mario Salvador Mendoza-Rodriguez, was convicted of Lewd or Lascivious Act with a Child under 14 Years of Age in 2013. Mendoza-Rodriguez was sentenced to 72 months imprisonment.
Thursday in Maine:
Border Patrol agents received information from an off-duty warden with the Maine Warden Service regarding two suspicious subjects near a remote forested area . . . . Records checks through law enforcement databases and the National Crime Information Center confirmed the 21-year-old man as a convicted violent sex offender and fugitive from Virginia, with an extraditable warrant for failing to register as a sex offender. The woman had an active alert out of Virginia as a missing and endangered person.
Thursday in California:
U.S. Border Patrol agents assigned to the El Centro Sector arrested an illegal alien . . . . Records checks revealed that the man, a 41-year-old illegal alien from Mexico, has an active warrant for “Lewdness with a Child Under 14” and “Sexual Assault with a Child Under 14” out of Nye County, Nevada. Additionally, the man was ordered removed from the United States by an immigration judge on March 18, 2004.
[Comment at AmRen.com]


vdare--2020-11-23--Her Name Is Kayla Chapman: Remembering A White Female Convenience Store Employee Murdered By Black C

Her Name Is Kayla Chapman: Remembering A White Female Convenience Store Employee Murdered By Black Career Criminal In 2019 Washington

Were America a nation truly infested with white privilege/white supremacy/institutional racism/systemic racism/implicit bias/redlining/sundown towns/legacy of Jim Crow , we ’ d never have heard the end of what happened to Kayla Chapman on January 22 , 2019 .
Kayla , a 30-year-old white female , was working as a cashier at a convenience store , when she was shot to death by a black career criminal .
Williams appeared in court on Thursday .
The judge read the criminal complaint in the courtroom , which said a scar on Williams ’ hand and witnesses identified him as the suspect .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the homicide , as alleged in the court document .
He said Williamshad a gun out when he walked into the market at 4:10 a.m .
The paperwork said Williams tried to fire the gun early in the robbery , but it didn ’ t work .
After Chapman handed over cash and cigarettes , Williams , who had fixed the gun , allegedly shot her once in the neck .
A stolen car used by Williams during the crime was found in Vancouver by Clark County Sheriff ’ s deputies and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Williams stole the car from a woman he knows .
When she saw the connection to the murder , she called police .
Kelso police continue to search for at least two other people who were in the suspect ’ s vehicle .
Anyone with information about the two other suspects is asked to call Kelso police at 360-423-1270 .
The victim , Kayla Chapman , called 911 around 4 a.m. Tuesday after she was shot while working at Holt ’ s Quick Check at 400 North Pacific Avenue , Kelso Police Captain @ @ @ @ @ @ @ her injuries .
“ Given her wounds , it was remarkable that she was able to call 911 , ” Kirk said .
The Cowlitz County Coroner ’ s Office completed an autopsy Wednesday and said Chapman was shot in the neck and chest and her cause of death was homicide .
Chapman was a graduate of Kalama High School in 2007 and lived in the Kelso area ever since , according to police .
Jessica Rodriquez lives near the market and said she visited with Chapman regularly .
“ She was like @ @ @ @ @ @ @ If you need someone to talk to or advice or even somebody just to cry … she ’ d always be there , ” Rodriquez said .
Williams has an extensive criminal history .
He ’ s made 14 court appearances as a juvenile offender since 2011 , mostly for theft and robbery , but also for assaulting a law-enforcement officer in 2017 .
HIs first reported court appearance was for third-degree theft in September 2011 , when he was 11 years old .
In 2014 , Williams and a 19-year-old man were @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Vancouver , according to The Columbian .
Williams was 14 at the time .
During the robbery , Williams held a knife to a customer ’ s throat and forced him into a store cooler .
Yes , she was murdered by a black career criminal , whose first criminal act was when he was only 11-years-old .
But this story barely made the news in the state of Washington , let alone the entire nation .
Because the USA is not a nation fueled by white privilege/white supremacy/institutional racism/systemic racism/implicit bias/redlining/sundown towns/legacy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ exact opposite .
We are a nation dominated by white guilt and by people afraid to point out the reality of interracial crime , knowing such an act would be a betrayal of our devotion to the principles of Black-Run America ( BRA ) .
Almost two years after her murder , we finally find out happened to the black career criminal who murdered her .
A Cowlitz County jury has convicted a Vancouver man of robbing and fatally shooting convenience store cashier Kayla Chapman in 2019 .
After a week-and-a-half trial , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ before finding D ’ Anthony Williams guilty Thursday on all but one charge , The Daily News reported .
The 20-year-old was found guilty of first-degree premeditated murder with a firearm , first-degree murder in the course of another crime , first-degree robbery with a firearm , first-degree unlawful possession of a firearm and possession of methamphetamine .
The jury found Williams not guilty of second-degree taking a vehicle without permission .
Williams was accused of robbing 30-year-old Chapman at gunpoint at Holt ’ s Quik Chek Market in Kelso before fatally shooting @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 22 , 2019 .
Police believe Williams and two companions came to Kelso for a drug deal that was unsuccessful , then looked for a store to rob , according to court documents .
The trial concluded Thursday , with Deputy Prosecuting Attorney Eric Bentson saying how the “ overabundance ” of evidence — including Facebook messages , video surveillance , DNA samples and cellphone mapping — linked Williams to the crime .
Defense attorney Joshua Baldwin said the question wasn ’ t if the crime was committed , but who did it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ witnesses identifying Williams from the video or placing him at the crime scene , Bentson said .
The investigation of the killing led to a shootout in Portland on Interstate 205 and I-84 as Vancouver police chased a suspect from Washington into Oregon .
Her name is Kayla Chapman .
She was a white female murdered by a black career criminal over what amounts to a pack a cigarettes and less than a hundred dollars in cash… white privilege indeed .

Were America a nation truly infested with white privilege/white supremacy/institutional racism/systemic racism/implicit bias/redlining/sundown towns/legacy of Jim Crow, we’d never have heard the end of what happened to Kayla Chapman on January 22, 2019.
Kayla, a 30-year-old white female, was working as a cashier at a convenience store, when she was shot to death by a black career criminal.
Police arrest suspect in murder of Kelso store clerk, KGW.com, January 24, 2019
Williams appeared in court on Thursday. The judge read the criminal complaint in the courtroom, which said a scar on Williams’ hand and witnesses identified him as the suspect. The judge also read the chilling details of the homicide, as alleged in the court document. He said Williams had a gun out when he walked into the market at 4:10 a.m. The paperwork said Williams tried to fire the gun early in the robbery, but it didn’t work. After Chapman handed over cash and cigarettes, Williams, who had fixed the gun, allegedly shot her once in the neck. A stolen car used by Williams during the crime was found in Vancouver by Clark County Sheriff’s deputies and Vancouver police officers. Court documents said Williams stole the car from a woman he knows. When she saw the connection to the murder, she called police. Kelso police continue to search for at least two other people who were in the suspect’s vehicle. Anyone with information about the two other suspects is asked to call Kelso police at 360-423-1270. The victim, Kayla Chapman, called 911 around 4 a.m. Tuesday after she was shot while working at Holt’s Quick Check at 400 North Pacific Avenue, Kelso Police Captain Darr Kirk said. She died from her injuries. “Given her wounds, it was remarkable that she was able to call 911,” Kirk said. The Cowlitz County Coroner’s Office completed an autopsy Wednesday and said Chapman was shot in the neck and chest and her cause of death was homicide. Chapman was a graduate of Kalama High School in 2007 and lived in the Kelso area ever since, according to police. Jessica Rodriquez lives near the market and said she visited with Chapman regularly. “She was like the town’s best friend. If you need someone to talk to or advice or even somebody just to cry … she’d always be there,” Rodriquez said. Williams has an extensive criminal history. He’s made 14 court appearances as a juvenile offender since 2011, mostly for theft and robbery, but also for assaulting a law-enforcement officer in 2017. HIs first reported court appearance was for third-degree theft in September 2011, when he was 11 years old. In 2014, Williams and a 19-year-old man were arrested for robbing a gas station in Vancouver, according to The Columbian. Williams was 14 at the time. During the robbery, Williams held a knife to a customer’s throat and forced him into a store cooler.
Yes, she was murdered by a black career criminal, whose first criminal act was when he was only 11-years-old.
But this story barely made the news in the state of Washington, let alone the entire nation.
Why?
Because the USA is not a nation fueled by white privilege/white supremacy/institutional racism/systemic racism/implicit bias/redlining/sundown towns/legacy of Jim Crow, but by the exact opposite. We are a nation dominated by white guilt and by people afraid to point out the reality of interracial crime, knowing such an act would be a betrayal of our devotion to the principles of Black-Run America (BRA).
Almost two years after her murder, we finally find out happened to the black career criminal who murdered her.
Convenience store robber found guilty of murder in 2019 killing of clerk Kayla Chapman in Kelso, Oregon Live, November 14, 2020
A Cowlitz County jury has convicted a Vancouver man of robbing and fatally shooting convenience store cashier Kayla Chapman in 2019. After a week-and-a-half trial, jurors deliberated for less than three hours before finding D’Anthony Williams guilty Thursday on all but one charge, The Daily News reported. The 20-year-old was found guilty of first-degree premeditated murder with a firearm, first-degree murder in the course of another crime, first-degree robbery with a firearm, first-degree unlawful possession of a firearm and possession of methamphetamine. The jury found Williams not guilty of second-degree taking a vehicle without permission. Williams was accused of robbing 30-year-old Chapman at gunpoint at Holt’s Quik Chek Market in Kelso before fatally shooting her in the early hours of Jan. 22, 2019. Police believe Williams and two companions came to Kelso for a drug deal that was unsuccessful, then looked for a store to rob, according to court documents. The trial concluded Thursday, with Deputy Prosecuting Attorney Eric Bentson saying how the “overabundance” of evidence — including Facebook messages, video surveillance, DNA samples and cellphone mapping — linked Williams to the crime. Defense attorney Joshua Baldwin said the question wasn’t if the crime was committed, but who did it. The scientific evidence corroborates testimony from witnesses identifying Williams from the video or placing him at the crime scene, Bentson said. The investigation of the killing led to a shootout in Portland on Interstate 205 and I-84 as Vancouver police chased a suspect from Washington into Oregon.
Her name is Kayla Chapman. She was a white female murdered by a black career criminal over what amounts to a pack of cigarettes and less than a hundred dollars in cash… white privilege indeed.


vdare--2020-11-23--Media's Demand For Racial Reckoning Not Working Out So Hot In NYC Subways

Earlier : Maybe We Need More Mass Incarceration ?
From the New York Times : Three riders were assaulted in the system over three days , as reports of felony assaults , burglaries and homicides continue to climb .
It was 2 p.m. on Tuesday , on what would have normally been a busy weekday as the Thanksgiving holiday neared .
Alex Weisman , a stage and television actor , stepped off a train at a subway station on the Upper West Side of Manhattan and was punched twice in the face by a man who fled .
The assault @ @ @ @ @ @ @ two places and tore one of his retinas .
“ There was nothing else I could have done to protect myself , ” Mr. Weisman , 33 , said on Friday .
“ I am shaken by this.
” The day after Mr. Weisman was attacked , a man was shoved onto the tracks at the Bryant Park station after arguing with another man whom the police believe was a panhandler .
On Thursday , a woman was pushed off the platform at the Union Square station by an emotionally disturbed man who @ @ @ @ @ @ @ between the tracks and avoided serious injuries as a train passed over her .
I would imagine that no single type of crime is more damaging to the question of whether people are going to move back to New York City than incidents of being shoved onto the subway tracks .
That ’ s pretty much the worst New York terror .
My impression is that when a story makes the newspapers about some random assault , such as the crazy man who punched actor Rick Moranis , the assailant has usually been @ @ @ @ @ @ @ For example , remember the Free Hugs Guy , Jermaine Himmelstein , who was arrested in 2016 for punching a woman on video in Times Square ?
Well , that was only the tip of the iceberg : he ’ d punched lots of pretty white women before when they didn ’ t want a Free Hug , including a young lady I know .
But charges after the Times Square assault were dropped on grounds he was mentally unfit to stand trial .
So then in 2017 , Himmelstein was arrested again @ @ @ @ @ @ @ point is that it appears that a sizable fraction of unprovoked ( and non-larcenous ) attacks on pedestrians in New York City are carried out by a small number of repeat offenders .
Lock them up and you can put a dent into numbers .
But I also suspect that crazy men tend to be susceptible to the general climate of opinion .
When respectable media is declaring a Racial Reckoning against whites , is it all that surprising that lunatics tend to take this message into their own hands ?

Earlier: Maybe We Need More Mass Incarceration?
From the New York Times:
‘I Am Shaken’: Spate of Violent Subway Attacks Unnerves Riders Three riders were assaulted in the system over three days, as reports of felony assaults, burglaries and homicides continue to climb. By Christina Goldbaum
Nov. 20, 2020 It was 2 p.m. on Tuesday, on what would have normally been a busy weekday as the Thanksgiving holiday neared. Alex Weisman, a stage and television actor, stepped off a train at a subway station on the Upper West Side of Manhattan and was punched twice in the face by a man who fled. The assault broke Mr. Weisman’s skull in two places and tore one of his retinas.
“There was nothing else I could have done to protect myself,” Mr. Weisman, 33, said on Friday. “I am shaken by this.” The day after Mr. Weisman was attacked, a man was shoved onto the tracks at the Bryant Park station after arguing with another man whom the police believe was a panhandler. On Thursday, a woman was pushed off the platform at the Union Square station by an emotionally disturbed man who appeared to be homeless. She lay between the tracks and avoided serious injuries as a train passed over her.
I would imagine that no single type of crime is more damaging to the question of whether people are going to move back to New York City than incidents of being shoved onto the subway tracks. That’s pretty much the worst New York terror.
The trio of violent attacks on the subway is part of a worrying trend: After overall crime on the system dropped significantly during the citywide lockdown this spring, violent crimes, like assaults, started to surge.
My impression is that when a story makes the newspapers about some random assault, such as the crazy man who punched actor Rick Moranis, the assailant has usually been arrested quite a few times before.
For example, remember the Free Hugs Guy, Jermaine Himmelstein, who was arrested in 2016 for punching a woman on video in Times Square? Well, that was only the tip of the iceberg: he’d punched lots of pretty white women before when they didn’t want a Free Hug, including a young lady I know. But charges after the Times Square assault were dropped on grounds he was mentally unfit to stand trial. So then in 2017, Himmelstein was arrested again for harassing a tourist woman.
My point is that it appears that a sizable fraction of unprovoked (and non-larcenous) attacks on pedestrians in New York City are carried out by a small number of repeat offenders. Lock them up and you can put a dent into numbers.
But I also suspect that crazy men tend to be susceptible to the general climate of opinion. When respectable media is declaring a Racial Reckoning against whites, is it all that surprising that lunatics tend to take this message into their own hands?
[Comment at Unz.com]


vdare--2020-11-23--Oxford-AstraZeneca Vaccine Less Effective Than the Two MRNA Vaccines

Two different dosing regimens demonstrated efficacy with one showing a better profile No hospitalisations or severe cases of COVID-19 in participants treated with AZD1222 Positive high-level results from an interim analysis of clinical trials of AZD1222 in the UK and Brazil showed the vaccine was highly effective in preventing COVID-19 , the primary endpoint , and no hospitalisations or severe cases of the disease were reported in participants receiving the vaccine .
There were a total of 131 COVID-19 cases in the interim analysis .
131 is a pretty sizable number of cases , but one reason they got that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ effective in the treatment arm than the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines .
One dosing regimen ( n=2,741 ) showed vaccine efficacy of 90 % when AZD1222 was given as a half dose , followed by a full dose at least one month apart , and another dosing regimen ( n=8,895 ) showed 62 % efficacy when given as two full doses at least one month apart .
Is there a good reason to think the 1.5 dose regimen is more effective than the 2.0 dose regimen ?
Or is it just the smaller @ @ @ @ @ @ @ would have been exciting , upbeat news .
But the Messenger RNA vaccines came out in the 94-95 % efficacy range .
On the other hand , they are trickier to keep cold enough , so this one might have some use in regions without good electricity .

From AstraZeneca’s press release:
This announcement contains inside information
Not anymore.
23 November 2020 07:00 GMT Two different dosing regimens demonstrated efficacy with one showing a better profile No hospitalisations or severe cases of COVID-19 in participants treated with AZD1222 Positive high-level results from an interim analysis of clinical trials of AZD1222 in the UK and Brazil showed the vaccine was highly effective in preventing COVID-19, the primary endpoint, and no hospitalisations or severe cases of the disease were reported in participants receiving the vaccine. There were a total of 131 COVID-19 cases in the interim analysis.
131 is a pretty sizable number of cases, but one reason they got that high is because it’s less effective in the treatment arm than the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines.
One dosing regimen (n=2,741) showed vaccine efficacy of 90% when AZD1222 was given as a half dose, followed by a full dose at least one month apart, and another dosing regimen (n=8,895) showed 62% efficacy when given as two full doses at least one month apart.
Is there a good reason to think the 1.5 dose regimen is more effective than the 2.0 dose regimen? Or is it just the smaller sample size?
The combined analysis from both dosing regimens (n=11,636) resulted in an average efficacy of 70%. All results were statistically significant (p<=0.0001).
Three weeks ago this would have been exciting, upbeat news. But the Messenger RNA vaccines came out in the 94-95% efficacy range. On the other hand, they are trickier to keep cold enough, so this one might have some use in regions without good electricity.
The vaccine can be stored, transported and handled at normal refrigerated conditions (2-8 degrees Celsius/ 36-46 degrees Fahrenheit) for at least six months and administered within existing healthcare settings.
[Comment at Unz.com]