vdare--2020-11-07--October 2020: A Month In The Death Of White America

See also : A Guide To What A Biden/ Black Party Victory Will Mean For America Joe Biden says he has a mandate to fight “ systemic racism ” [ Joe Biden Says He 's Going to Win With a Mandate for Action on Racism , Climate and COVID , by Jeffery Martin , Newsweek , November 6 , 2020 ] This might not be what he has in mind , but here ’ s a helpful list of the black-on-white murders—the central reality of race relations in America—that were reported just this last month .
They lived more than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ something in common .
I say `` lived '' because Brandon is no longer with us .
He was gunned down while walking in a residential neighborhood in Mesa , Arizona .
Bradley was also gunned down , while walking near his home in Jacksonville , Florida but managed to survive after absorbing multiple rounds .
They were also separated by age .
Brandon was 38 years old .
Bradley is 14 years old .
[ 4 arrested in connection to deadly armed robbery in Mesa , by Laura Lollman , October 27 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as white males .
Both were shot without provocation by blacks while walking in their own neighborhoods .
Brandon was accosted after four individuals spotted him as they were driving through his neighborhood .
One of the suspects , a young black male , emerged from the vehicle to confront Brandon .
When Brandon resisted a robbery attempt , the suspect allegedly assaulted him .
When Brandon ran , the suspect opened fire .
Brandon tried to hide from his pursuers behind a hedge of shrubs at a nearby home .
It was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Security cameras at the home captured the incident .
Four arrests were made : 18-year-olds Jaquan Bailey and Stephon Mitchell , 37-year-old Ashley Herrell and 38-year-old Vincent Culbreath .
No word on what prompted 22-year-old Aminah Jackson to allegedly open fire on Bradley .
The teen was walking home from nearby Robert E. Lee High School on October 26 , 2020 .
He was wearing his ROTC uniform at the time of the shooting .
The woman who was arrested is described as being homeless .
[ Police : Teenager in serious condition @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 26 , 2020 ] Bradley and Brandon are just two of 43 white victims of violent black crimes that we found reported by local media in October .
Others : Lisa , Elizabeth , and Black were white women who were allegedly murdered by black males .
Arrests were made in each case in October 2020 although the deaths occurred years ago .
Authorities credit advanced DNA technology for solving these cold cases .
Lisa , above , was 22-year-old when she was found strangled to death in Green Bay WI on August @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , 34 years later is Lou Archie Griffin , 65 , below .
Griffin denies killing Lisa , but thinks that maybe , just maybe , he may have had sex with her .
What else could he say ?
Authorities linked him to the crime by DNA .
[ DNA links Racine man to 1986 Green Bay homicide , by Ben Krumholz , FOX 11 News , October 29th 2020 ] .
Elizabeth Ann Powell Wilson was raped , strangled , and beaten to death in 1976 .
Her body and vehicle @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
65-year-old Charles Ugvine Coleman has just been arrested for the crime .
He would have been 21 years old when Wilson died .
[ Man , 65 , is arrested for 1976 rape and murder of South Carolina woman after he 's arrested on firearms charge and DNA links him to cold case , by Trevor Boyer , Dailymail.com , October 27 , 2020 ] Sherry Black , then 64 , was fatally stabbed and beaten November 30 , 2010 in Salt Lake City , Utah .
Investigators just arrested Adam Durborow @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 29 , is arrested for decade-old cold case murder of woman , 64 , beaten and stabbed to death in her Utah bookstore after his Armani belt left at scene provides vital DNA evidence , by Marlene Lenthang , Dailymail.com , October 11 , 2020 ] What we learn from these tragedies is that black-on-white violent crime transcends geography and time .
It defies gender and age .
So it has been for generations .
The 49-year-old wife and mother was confronted by a gunman intent on robbing the convenience store .
“ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was complying , ” said Charles County Sheriff 's Office spokesperson Diane Richardson .
The incident occurred on October 1 , 2020 .
Gregory DeShawn Collins , Jr. , 22 , is a suspect .
[ Police : Suspect wanted in the fatal shooting of 7-Eleven clerk in Waldorf caught in Georgia , by Jonathan Franklin , WUSA9 , October 19 , 2020 ] • of a four-year-old boy was fatally shot in Clayton County GA .
The dead woman was reportedly in an intimate relationship with the ( black ) shooter .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ check on the `` loud noise '' inside the house , Karl Anthony Jordan , 26 , allegedly shot both the child and grandmother `` from behind . ''
They were hospitalized but survived [ Police : Quadruple shooting suspect captured , mother dies from gunshot wound , By Aungelique Proctor , and Emilie Ikeda , FOX 5 , September 24 , 2020 ] .
• 22 , was killed with a single shot during a home invasion in Alamance County NC .
Arrested is Dazmin Monique Crisp , 18 `` She 's @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and felony breaking and entering .
She 's being held without bond at the Alamance County Detention Center '' [ One arrested in Mebane mobile home park homicide , by Rachel Berry Times-News , October 1 , 2020 ] .
Reports say the 57-year-old was killed after an apparent break-in at the apartment .
He shared the home with his 77-year-old mother .
He had considered moving to another residence , citing the decline of his neighborhood [ VIDEO : West End Murder Victim Identified , by James Cullum , ALXNow , October @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a young black man , Tavon Lanier .
• age 39 , was fatally shot during an apparent carjacking .
The victim was returning to his Mercedes after walking his girlfriend to her door in the Miami FL area .
He was encountered by teens Gershon Woods and Nathaniel Williams , both black and both 16-years-old .
The teens both fired at Vega , police say , [ Teens Charged as Adults in Slaying of South Florida Bartender in Miramar , NBCMiami , October 2 , 2020 ] .
Reports say the victim @ @ @ @ @ @ @ when he allegedly shot her in the chest .
Her 6-week-old daughter was nearby .
Rayquan Taylor `` was charged with manslaughter , two counts of felony firearm and death by weapon aimed with intent but without malice '' [ 17-year-old boyfriend charged with manslaughter after Roseville High School senior fatally shot , by Kayla Clarke , ClickOnDetroit.com , October 2 , 2020 ] .
• age 17 , was fatally beaten with a baseball bat in Newark , Delaware .
The victim left home to buy ice cream and a birthday card @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in a wooded area behind a nearby elementary school .
Arrested is the victim ’ s former ( black ) boyfriend , 19-year-old Noah M. Sharp .
[ Court docs : Ex-boyfriend confessed to killing Newark Charter student with a baseball bat , by Josh Shannon , NewarkPost , Oct 7 , 2020 ] .
• 29 , was fatally shot on her way home from church in Liberty County , TX .
She reportedly did not know the suspect .
Arrested is 24-year-old Henry Davis .
The victim had earlier participated in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ found by a passing motorist about one-half mile from her parent ’ s home [ Suspect in woman 's murder in Liberty Co. found in Louisiana , October 6 , 2020 ] .
Stein was nearly 22 years old and Rounsville was 16 .
The couple were shot while sitting in a pickup truck and later died in separate hospitals .
Police arrested 19-year-old Afrenee Wilson for the murders [ Vigil held to remember a young couple shot in a pickup truck , October 9 , 2020 ] .
Brown ’ s lifeless @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a morning walk .
The victim was in town for a wedding .
He was allegedly approached by two black males intent on robbing him .
In addition to his belongings , they also took his life .
Arrested and charged with murder and armed robbery were 20-year-olds Zachery Williams , a student at the University of South Carolina , and Xavier Glover [ U of SC student wanted for deadly shooting on Senate St. turns himself in , October 7 , 2020 ] • age 23 , was fatally shot at a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ It appears that the suspect , 18-year-old Kintie Mitchell Jr. , showed up at the event uninvited .
When asked to leave , `` an altercation '' ensued and Meola was shot The victim was a fifth-year marketing student and former high school football player [ Ohio State student shot , killed near campus ; 18-year-old suspect charged , October 11 , 2020 ] .
Arrested and charged with first-degree murder is Michael D. Marshall , 56 .
The shooting apparently occurred after the suspect accused the victim of stealing a marijuana plant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ was shot but survived [ Update : Man sought in north Tulsa double-shooting , homicide arrested in Hominy , October 8 , 2020 ] .
• None April Robinson , 37 , was shot to death allegedly by her estranged ( black ) boyfriend in Providence Village TX .
Arrested is Cory Washington , 39 , below , who reportedly called 911 after the shooting .
The victim 's 18-year-old son , Donavan Fielder , was also fatally shot [ Aubrey police : Estranged boyfriend arrested in shooting deaths of woman , her @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Arrested is Dequante Jabree Terry , 24 .
Two others were shot , but survived .
[ Man charged in shooting that left 1 dead , 2 injured at Vance County home ] 25-year-old Sedrick Hawkins was arrested this month .
`` Manno was severely beaten at his landscaping business on September 16 , 2019 and died from his injuries a month later ” [ Suspect arrested in 2019 beating death of Cleveland landscaper October 19 , 2020 ] .
• None Jennifer Brelsford , age 40 , was murdered by her @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lifeless body was found during a welfare check by police .
“ Corey Ramos , 30 , was captured at a border crossing in Vermont by U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers and Royal Canadian Mounted Police ” [ Estranged boyfriend of slain Bridgeport woman caught at US-Canada border , will be charged with murder , police say , October 19 , 2020 ] .
• None Amanda Rush , 30 , was fatally shot during an attempted robbery while working at a White Castle restaurant in Columbus , Ohio .
Arrested is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a nearby gas station restroom .
He 's been charged with murder Suspect charged with murder after White Castle manager killed in West Columbus shooting , October 23 , 2020 ] .
• None Ryan Frazier , 30 , and Joshua Carroll , 42 , were fatally shot execution-style in Elberta AL .
The men had travelled from their homes in Washington State to work installing fiberoptic cable after Hurricane Laura slammed into Louisiana .
Arrested is Antwon Smith , 36 , who was charged with capital murder .
The crimes occurred in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ October 13 , 2020 [ Elberta double homicide suspect charged with capital murder , denied bond , MYNBC15.com , October 13 , 2020 ] .
• Kenneth Mason , 52 , was found shot to death north of Greenville MS. Mason was apparently a carjacking victim .
[ Man who co-founded non-profit to prevent child sex abuse is shot to death in Mississippi , October 26 , 2020 ] .
Three individuals found in Mason 's vehicle after the shooting were taken for questioning .
`` Donnell Corbin , 18 , Devonte Jones @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , 21 , were each charged with capital murder ” [ Former Waverly Inn maître d ’ shot dead in Mississippi carjacking , October 29 , 2020 ] .
Mason was a long-time maître d ’ at Manhattan ’ s Waverly Inn , but returned to his home state of Mississippi after the coronavirus began .
Authorities believe Hannah was killed because she had witnessed a burglary .
Isabelle Hauptman ( a white female ) 19 , Jamal Golatt , 21 , and Kenney Ivory , 24 , are being held in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Hannah 's death [ $ 1 million bond set for suspects arrested in Jonesboro woman ’ s murder , KAIT8.com , October 26 , 2020 ] .
• None Charly Lewis , 32 , was fatally shot in Denver , Colorado after reportedly witnessing a murder .
Arrested this month is Steven Young , 45 , who has been charged with first-degree murder .
The shooting apparently occurred on June 7 , 2020 .
The victim had reportedly witnessed a murder in Aurora on June 1 , 2020 [ Woman killed in Denver @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , by Janet Oravetz , 9News.com October 28 , 2020 ] Kenn Gividen [ Email him/Tweet him ] is a retired direct marketer .
He lives in Indiana with his wife .
Kenn is the father of two grown children , four grandchildren , and two grand dogs .
He publishes dailykenn.com and abatehate.com .
In 2004 he was the Libertarian Party 's candidate for governor of Indiana .
In 2002 he published The Prayer of Hannah , which sold about 24,000 copies .
Kenn is an alumnus of Liberty University .

See also: A Guide To What A Biden/ Black Party Victory Will Mean For America
Joe Biden says he has a mandate to fight “systemic racism” [Joe Biden Says He's Going to Win With a Mandate for Action on Racism, Climate and COVID, by Jeffery Martin, Newsweek, November 6, 2020] This might not be what he has in mind, but here’s a helpful list of the black-on-white murders—the central reality of race relations in America—that were reported just this last month.
Brandon Van and Bradley Cowart
They lived more than 2,000 miles apart Still, they shared something in common.
I say "lived" because Brandon is no longer with us. He was gunned down while walking in a residential neighborhood in Mesa, Arizona. Bradley was also gunned down, while walking near his home in Jacksonville, Florida but managed to survive after absorbing multiple rounds.
They were also separated by age. Brandon was 38 years old. Bradley is 14 years old. [ 4 arrested in connection to deadly armed robbery in Mesa, by Laura Lollman, October 27, 2020]
Both victims are described as white males. Both were shot without provocation by blacks while walking in their own neighborhoods.
Brandon was accosted after four individuals spotted him as they were driving through his neighborhood. One of the suspects, a young black male, emerged from the vehicle to confront Brandon. When Brandon resisted a robbery attempt, the suspect allegedly assaulted him. When Brandon ran, the suspect opened fire. Brandon tried to hide from his pursuers behind a hedge of shrubs at a nearby home. It was there that he was fatally shot. Security cameras at the home captured the incident.
Four arrests were made: 18-year-olds Jaquan Bailey and Stephon Mitchell, 37-year-old Ashley Herrell and 38-year-old Vincent Culbreath.
No word on what prompted 22-year-old Aminah Jackson to allegedly open fire on Bradley. The teen was walking home from nearby Robert E. Lee High School on October 26, 2020. He was wearing his ROTC uniform at the time of the shooting. The woman who was arrested is described as being homeless. [Police: Teenager in serious condition after shooting in Riverside, news4jax.com October 26, 2020]
Bradley and Brandon are just two of 43 white victims of violent black crimes that we found reported by local media in October. Others:
Lisa Holstead, Elizabeth Wilson, Sherry Black.
Lisa, Elizabeth, and Black were white women who were allegedly murdered by black males. Arrests were made in each case in October 2020 although the deaths occurred years ago. Authorities credit advanced DNA technology for solving these cold cases.
Lisa, above, was 22-year-old when she was found strangled to death in Green Bay WI on August 12, 1986. Arrested this month, 34 years later is Lou Archie Griffin, 65, below. Griffin denies killing Lisa, but thinks that maybe, just maybe, he may have had sex with her.
What else could he say? Authorities linked him to the crime by DNA. [DNA links Racine man to 1986 Green Bay homicide, by Ben Krumholz, FOX 11 News, October 29th 2020].
Elizabeth Ann Powell Wilson was raped, strangled, and beaten to death in 1976. Her body and vehicle were found in Blair, South Carolina. 65-year-old Charles Ugvine Coleman has just been arrested for the crime. He would have been 21 years old when Wilson died. [Man, 65, is arrested for 1976 rape and murder of South Carolina woman after he's arrested on firearms charge and DNA links him to cold case, by Trevor Boyer, Dailymail.com, October 27, 2020]
Sherry Black, then 64, was fatally stabbed and beaten November 30, 2010 in Salt Lake City, Utah. Investigators just arrested Adam Durborow, now 29. [Man, 29, is arrested for decade-old cold case murder of woman, 64, beaten and stabbed to death in her Utah bookstore after his Armani belt left at scene provides vital DNA evidence, by Marlene Lenthang, Dailymail.com, October 11, 2020]
What we learn from these tragedies is that black-on-white violent crime transcends geography and time. It defies gender and age. So it has been for generations.
Other black-on-white homicides reported in October:
Lynn Marie Maher, fatally shot while working a late shift at a Waldorf MD 7-Eleven.
The 49-year-old wife and mother was confronted by a gunman intent on robbing the convenience store. “[I]t looked like she was complying,” said Charles County Sheriff's Office spokesperson Diane Richardson. The incident occurred on October 1, 2020. Gregory DeShawn Collins, Jr., 22, is a suspect. [Police: Suspect wanted in the fatal shooting of 7-Eleven clerk in Waldorf caught in Georgia, by Jonathan Franklin, WUSA9, October 19, 2020]
The unnamed mother of a four-year-old boy was fatally shot in Clayton County GA.
The dead woman was reportedly in an intimate relationship with the (black) shooter. When the four-year-old's grandmother went to check on the "loud noise" inside the house, Karl Anthony Jordan, 26, allegedly shot both the child and grandmother "from behind." They were hospitalized but survived[Police: Quadruple shooting suspect captured, mother dies from gunshot wound, By Aungelique Proctor, and Emilie Ikeda, FOX 5, September 24, 2020].
Ryan Tate Hogan, 22, was killed with a single shot during a home invasion in Alamance County NC.
Arrested is Dazmin Monique Crisp, 18 "She's being charged with felony first degree murder and felony breaking and entering. She's being held without bond at the Alamance County Detention Center" [One arrested in Mebane mobile home park homicide, by Rachel Berry Times-News, October 1, 2020].
John Harding Pope was fatally shot in Alexandria VA.
Reports say the 57-year-old was killed after an apparent break-in at the apartment. He shared the home with his 77-year-old mother. He had considered moving to another residence, citing the decline of his neighborhood [VIDEO: West End Murder Victim Identified, by James Cullum, ALXNow, October 7, 2020]. Arrested was a young black man, Tavon Lanier.
Nelson Vega, age 39, was fatally shot during an apparent carjacking.
The victim was returning to his Mercedes after walking his girlfriend to her door in the Miami FL area. He was encountered by teens Gershon Woods and Nathaniel Williams, both black and both 16-years-old. The teens both fired at Vega, police say, [ Teens Charged as Adults in Slaying of South Florida Bartender in Miramar , NBCMiami, October 2, 2020].
Kira Seymour, 17, was fatally shot in Eastpointe, Michigan.
Reports say the victim was visiting her (black) boyfriend when he allegedly shot her in the chest. Her 6-week-old daughter was nearby.
Rayquan Taylor "was charged with manslaughter, two counts of felony firearm and death by weapon aimed with intent but without malice" [17-year-old boyfriend charged with manslaughter after Roseville High School senior fatally shot, by Kayla Clarke, ClickOnDetroit.com, October 2, 2020].
Madison Sparrow, age 17, was fatally beaten with a baseball bat in Newark, Delaware.
The victim left home to buy ice cream and a birthday card for her sister.
She was found in a wooded area behind a nearby elementary school. Arrested is the victim’s former (black) boyfriend, 19-year-old Noah M. Sharp. [Court docs: Ex-boyfriend confessed to killing Newark Charter student with a baseball bat , by Josh Shannon, NewarkPost, Oct 7, 2020].
Markie McGinnis, 29, was fatally shot on her way home from church in Liberty County, TX.
She reportedly did not know the suspect. Arrested is 24-year-old Henry Davis. The victim had earlier participated in leading a worship service. She was found by a passing motorist about one-half mile from her parent’s home [Suspect in woman's murder in Liberty Co. found in Louisiana, October 6, 2020].
Kyle Stein and his girlfriend, Sydnie Rounsville, were fatally shot in St. Augustine, FL.
Stein was nearly 22 years old and Rounsville was 16. The couple were shot while sitting in a pickup truck and later died in separate hospitals. Police arrested 19-year-old Afrenee Wilson for the murders [Vigil held to remember a young couple shot in a pickup truck, October 9, 2020].
Wesley Colin Brown, age 26, was fatally shot in Columbia, SC.
Brown’s lifeless body was found by a couple taking a morning walk. The victim was in town for a wedding. He was allegedly approached by two black males intent on robbing him. In addition to his belongings, they also took his life. Arrested and charged with murder and armed robbery were 20-year-olds Zachery Williams, a student at the University of South Carolina, and Xavier Glover [U of SC student wanted for deadly shooting on Senate St. turns himself in, October 7, 2020]
Chase Joseph Meola, age 23, was fatally shot at a house party in Columbus, Ohio.
It appears that the suspect, 18-year-old Kintie Mitchell Jr., showed up at the event uninvited. When asked to leave, "an altercation" ensued and Meola was shot The victim was a fifth-year marketing student and former high school football player [Ohio State student shot, killed near campus; 18-year-old suspect charged, October 11, 2020].
Tully Clark, age 44, was fatally shot in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Arrested and charged with first-degree murder is Michael D. Marshall, 56. The shooting apparently occurred after the suspect accused the victim of stealing a marijuana plant from his yard. A second victim was shot but survived [ Update: Man sought in north Tulsa double-shooting, homicide arrested in Hominy, October 8, 2020].
April Robinson, 37, was shot to death allegedly by her estranged (black) boyfriend in Providence Village TX.
Arrested is Cory Washington, 39, below, who reportedly called 911 after the shooting.
The victim's 18-year-old son, Donavan Fielder, was also fatally shot [Aubrey police: Estranged boyfriend arrested in shooting deaths of woman, her son, October 15, 2020].
Willard Dement Jr, age 38, was fatally shot in Henderson NC.
Arrested is Dequante Jabree Terry, 24. Two others were shot, but survived. [Man charged in shooting that left 1 dead, 2 injured at Vance County home]
Larry Manno, age 74, was fatally beaten in 2019.
25-year-old Sedrick Hawkins was arrested this month. "Manno was severely beaten at his landscaping business on September 16, 2019 and died from his injuries a month later” [ Suspect arrested in 2019 beating death of Cleveland landscaper October 19, 2020].
Jennifer Brelsford, age 40, was murdered by her black ex-boyfriend in Bridgeport CT.
Brelsford's lifeless body was found during a welfare check by police. “Corey Ramos, 30, was captured at a border crossing in Vermont by U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers and Royal Canadian Mounted Police” [Estranged boyfriend of slain Bridgeport woman caught at US-Canada border, will be charged with murder, police say, October 19, 2020].
Amanda Rush, 30, was fatally shot during an attempted robbery while working at a White Castle restaurant in Columbus, Ohio. Arrested is 29-year-old Mark Reynolds who barricaded himself in a nearby gas station restroom. He's been charged with murder [ Suspect charged with murder after White Castle manager killed in West Columbus shooting, October 23, 2020].
Ryan Frazier, 30, and Joshua Carroll, 42, were fatally shot execution-style in Elberta AL.
The men had travelled from their homes in Washington State to work installing fiberoptic cable after Hurricane Laura slammed into Louisiana. Arrested is Antwon Smith, 36, who was charged with capital murder. The crimes occurred in September, 2020 and were reported on October 13, 2020 [Elberta double homicide suspect charged with capital murder, denied bond, MYNBC15.com,October 13, 2020].
Kenneth Mason, 52, was found shot to death north of Greenville MS.
Mason was apparently a carjacking victim. [Man who co-founded non-profit to prevent child sex abuse is shot to death in Mississippi, October 26, 2020]. Three individuals found in Mason's vehicle after the shooting were taken for questioning. "Donnell Corbin, 18, Devonte Jones, 20, and Fredrick Pearson Jr., 21, were each charged with capital murder” [ Former Waverly Inn maître d’ shot dead in Mississippi carjacking , October 29, 2020]. Mason was a long-time maître d’ at Manhattan’s Waverly Inn, but returned to his home state of Mississippi after the coronavirus began.
Allie Hannah, age 22, was fatally shot in Jonesboro, Arkansas.
Authorities believe Hannah was killed because she had witnessed a burglary. Isabelle Hauptman (a white female) 19, Jamal Golatt, 21, and Kenney Ivory, 24, are being held in the Craighead County Detention Center in connection with Hannah's death [$1 million bond set for suspects arrested in Jonesboro woman’s murder, KAIT8.com, October 26, 2020].
Charly Lewis, 32, was fatally shot in Denver, Colorado after reportedly witnessing a murder.
Arrested this month is Steven Young, 45, who has been charged with first-degree murder.
The shooting apparently occurred on June 7, 2020. The victim had reportedly witnessed a murder in Aurora on June 1, 2020 [Woman killed in Denver alley witnessed a homicide, police say, by Janet Oravetz, 9News.com October 28, 2020]
Kenn Gividen [Email him/Tweet him] is a retired direct marketer. He lives in Indiana with his wife. Kenn is the father of two grown children, four grandchildren, and two grand dogs. He publishes dailykenn.com and abatehate.com. In 2004 he was the Libertarian Party's candidate for governor of Indiana. In 2002 he published The Prayer of Hannah, which sold about 24,000 copies. Kenn is an alumnus of Liberty University.


vdare--2020-11-07--Biden Vs. BLM Fight: The Coalition of the Margins Celebrates in Madison

It was a sunny Saturday in liberal Madison , Wisconsin , with a high of 71 F , and joyous @ @ @ @ @ : The solidarity of the Democrats ’ Coalition of the Fringes can never break down @ @ @ @ @ hated Emmanuel Trumpenstein is President .
Wait , check that , I ’ m getting @ @ @ @

It was a sunny Saturday in liberal Madison, Wisconsin, with a high of 71 F, and joyous crowds took to the streets:
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The solidarity of the Democrats’ Coalition of the Fringes can never break down, so long as the hated Emmanuel Trumpenstein is President.
Wait, check that, I’m getting an update ….
[Comment at Unz.com]


vdare--2020-11-07--NYT: Vote Fraud Would Require Many Politicos Working Together Like a Machine: a 'Political Machine,'

NYT: Vote Fraud Would Require Many Politicos Working Together Like a Machine: a 'Political Machine,' if You Can Imagine Such a Concept

The New York Times Opinion section explains that vote fraud is practically impossible because it would require a large number of people working together to win elections with machine-like coordination : a “ political machine ” if you can imagine such a thing .
But , of course , political machines don ’ t exist .
Republicans Claim Voter Fraud .
How Would That Work ?
Stealing a presidential election requires an unrealistic level of planning , coordination and good luck .
By John Mark Hansen Mr. Hansen is a political scientist at the University of Chicago .
Fraud on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , or even to tip one state , would require planning , coordination , good luck and a high tolerance for risk .
The chances of pulling it off are extremely slim .
Such a nefarious plot would require the foresight , many weeks or even months in advance , to know to focus the effort on Pennsylvania .
The plotters might hedge their bets by targeting multiple states , but that just makes the effort more expensive , risky and difficult .
A conspiracy to fix the 2020 election in Pennsylvania would @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of votes .
In 2016 , almost 6.2 million Pennsylvanians cast ballots for the presidency .
Donald Trump won by 44,292 votes , 0.7 percent of the total .
Suppose the conspirators somehow knew this year that Pennsylvania would be tied but for their efforts .
For the sake of argument , let ’ s say they decided to marshal 62,000 fraudulent votes , roughly 1 percent of the 2016 total and twice the 0.5 percent margin that sets off an automatic recount .
( Even that seems to cut things a little @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be to order up 62,000 illegal ballots ?
The chance that 62,000 Biden supporters in Pennsylvania would spontaneously vote with a second , illegal ballot , either in person or by mail , is effectively zero .
It ’ s hard to believe any voters would expose themselves to the risk of felony prosecution , fines and imprisonment , with no knowledge of whether anybody else was doing so too , in order to bring the Democrats one vote closer to victory in Pennsylvania .
A fraud of the necessary size would have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ mastermind would recruit a thousand accomplices , each of whom would generate 62 illegal ballots .
All thousand of them would have to risk their reputation , resources and freedom to beat Donald Trump in Pennsylvania .
They would have to be able to keep their work secret then and for all time — and trust their thousand co-conspirators to do the same .
The work of the thousand fraud wranglers would itself require a lot of ingenuity and a big dollop of luck .
They might each try to persuade 62 people @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it would be a hard sell .
The recruits wouldn ’ t want to vote both in person and by mail , given how easy it is for election authorities to detect it .
And unless they happen to be registered in two jurisdictions , they can ’ t vote in more than one — and they risk prosecution if they do .
The conspirators would also have to gamble that none of the 62 ( or more ) people they contact is a secret Trump supporter or a Biden supporter with a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ might each impersonate 62 legal voters This U. of Chicago professor should have run his op-ed past a Chicago oldtimer .
Dan Webb , the United States Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois in 1981-1985 , estimated that both the 1982 Illinois gubernatorial election and the 1987 Chicago Democratic mayoral primary ( Harold Washington vs. Jane Byrne ) saw perhaps 100,000 fraudulent votes in each .
I ’ m not sure if I believe that 100k figure : that would have been almost 3 % of the 3.6 million votes cast statewide @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 1.1 million votes counted in the 1987 Chicago Democratic primary .
On the other hand , 1987 was an important election , with many Chicagoans seeing it as a question of whether Chicago would follow Detroit into permanent black rule .
On the other other hand , the 1982 gubernatorial election was just two normal white guys , Big Jim Thompson for the GOP vs. Adlai Stevenson III for the Dems .
Yet there was still massive vote fraud by Cook County Democrats , with the Democrats closing a 10 point gap in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , the DuPage County Republicans suddenly discovered about 5000 net votes for the GOP that had somehow been overlooked in all the excitement .
About 5 dozen party operatives were convicted of 1982 vote fraud .
Here ’ s the grand jury ’ s report : The 1982 Illinois governor election is striking because it falsifies some realistic-sounding theories minimizing the significance of vote fraud , such as : • “ Well , sure , it makes sense to cheat in a low turnout election like a primary or a school board special @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a giant statewide election with 3 or 4 million ballots being cast.
” • “ Well , sure , it makes sense to cheat in a contest that will determine whether your city will become the New Detroit or not , or whether Literal Hitler will be stopped before he launches a New Holocaust , but nobody would cheat a lot when the opponent is just a conventional Republican.
” • “ Well , sure , it makes sense to cheat when the race is very , very close , but nobody would @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ahead in the polls and it would be really obvious you are trying to steal the election.
” Now I ’ m certain it ’ s true that in the 38 years since this 1982 scandal , Reforms Have Been Made ( although they didn ’ t see to do much good in 1987 ) .
But The Establishment should at least reassure us that , “ Well , sure , back in the bad old days the Rust Belt Democratic machines used to engage in vote fraud on a massive scale at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ possibly happen anymore because of reasons .
Therefore , your bringing up the giant Chicago scandals of the 1980s is almost as irrelevant to 2020 as , say , somebody bringing up Emmett Till from 1955 , if you can imagine anyone doing such a thing.
” After all , the saintliest man of all time , Barack Obama , was a Chicago politician .
Indeed , he moved to Chicago in 1985 with the intent of someday becoming mayor of Chicago , so if that ’ s not proof of how honest @ @ @ @ @ @ @ don ’ t know what is .
Seriously , my guess is that it will ultimately turn out that Biden will win by enough votes in enough states that the overall election result will have been honest .
But , c ’ mon , don ’ t yank our chain about how it ’ s crazy to worry that Democrats might cheat .
They ’ ve done it before , over and over .

The New York Times Opinion section explains that vote fraud is practically impossible because it would require a large number of people working together to win elections with machine-like coordination: a “political machine” if you can imagine such a thing.
But, of course, political machines don’t exist.
Republicans Claim Voter Fraud. How Would That Work? Stealing a presidential election requires an unrealistic level of planning, coordination and good luck. By John Mark Hansen
Mr. Hansen is a political scientist at the University of Chicago. Nov. 4, 2020 Fraud on a scale to affect a presidential election, or even to tip one state, would require planning, coordination, good luck and a high tolerance for risk. The chances of pulling it off are extremely slim. Such a nefarious plot would require the foresight, many weeks or even months in advance, to know to focus the effort on Pennsylvania. The plotters might hedge their bets by targeting multiple states, but that just makes the effort more expensive, risky and difficult. A conspiracy to fix the 2020 election in Pennsylvania would also need to muster tens of thousands of votes. In 2016, almost 6.2 million Pennsylvanians cast ballots for the presidency. Donald Trump won by 44,292 votes, 0.7 percent of the total. Suppose the conspirators somehow knew this year that Pennsylvania would be tied but for their efforts. For the sake of argument, let’s say they decided to marshal 62,000 fraudulent votes, roughly 1 percent of the 2016 total and twice the 0.5 percent margin that sets off an automatic recount. (Even that seems to cut things a little close.) How hard could it be to order up 62,000 illegal ballots? The chance that 62,000 Biden supporters in Pennsylvania would spontaneously vote with a second, illegal ballot, either in person or by mail, is effectively zero. It’s hard to believe any voters would expose themselves to the risk of felony prosecution, fines and imprisonment, with no knowledge of whether anybody else was doing so too, in order to bring the Democrats one vote closer to victory in Pennsylvania. A fraud of the necessary size would have to be organized. And how might that work? Maybe a fraud mastermind would recruit a thousand accomplices, each of whom would generate 62 illegal ballots. All thousand of them would have to risk their reputation, resources and freedom to beat Donald Trump in Pennsylvania. They would have to be able to keep their work secret then and for all time — and trust their thousand co-conspirators to do the same. The work of the thousand fraud wranglers would itself require a lot of ingenuity and a big dollop of luck. They might each try to persuade 62 people to vote a second time, but it would be a hard sell. The recruits wouldn’t want to vote both in person and by mail, given how easy it is for election authorities to detect it. And unless they happen to be registered in two jurisdictions, they can’t vote in more than one — and they risk prosecution if they do. The conspirators would also have to gamble that none of the 62 (or more) people they contact is a secret Trump supporter or a Biden supporter with a healthy conscience. Alternatively, the conspirators might each impersonate 62 legal voters
This U. of Chicago professor should have run his op-ed past a Chicago oldtimer.
Dan Webb, the United States Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois in 1981-1985, estimated that both the 1982 Illinois gubernatorial election and the 1987 Chicago Democratic mayoral primary (Harold Washington vs. Jane Byrne) saw perhaps 100,000 fraudulent votes in each.
I’m not sure if I believe that 100k figure: that would have been almost 3% of the 3.6 million votes cast statewide in 1982 and 9% of the 1.1 million votes counted in the 1987 Chicago Democratic primary.
On the other hand, 1987 was an important election, with many Chicagoans seeing it as a question of whether Chicago would follow Detroit into permanent black rule.
On the other other hand, the 1982 gubernatorial election was just two normal white guys, Big Jim Thompson for the GOP vs. Adlai Stevenson III for the Dems. Yet there was still massive vote fraud by Cook County Democrats, with the Democrats closing a 10 point gap in the polls until after days of counting, the DuPage County Republicans suddenly discovered about 5000 net votes for the GOP that had somehow been overlooked in all the excitement.
About 5 dozen party operatives were convicted of 1982 vote fraud. Here’s the grand jury’s report:
The 1982 Illinois governor election is striking because it falsifies some realistic-sounding theories minimizing the significance of vote fraud, such as:
“Well, sure, it makes sense to cheat in a low turnout election like a primary or a school board special election, but nobody would cheat in a giant statewide election with 3 or 4 million ballots being cast.”
“Well, sure, it makes sense to cheat in a contest that will determine whether your city will become the New Detroit or not, or whether Literal Hitler will be stopped before he launches a New Holocaust, but nobody would cheat a lot when the opponent is just a conventional Republican.”
“Well, sure, it makes sense to cheat when the race is very, very close, but nobody would cheat when the Republican is a mile ahead in the polls and it would be really obvious you are trying to steal the election.”
Now I’m certain it’s true that in the 38 years since this 1982 scandal, Reforms Have Been Made (although they didn’t see to do much good in 1987). But The Establishment should at least reassure us that, “Well, sure, back in the bad old days the Rust Belt Democratic machines used to engage in vote fraud on a massive scale at times, but that couldn’t possibly happen anymore because of reasons. Therefore, your bringing up the giant Chicago scandals of the 1980s is almost as irrelevant to 2020 as, say, somebody bringing up Emmett Till from 1955, if you can imagine anyone doing such a thing.”
After all, the saintliest man of all time, Barack Obama, was a Chicago politician. Indeed, he moved to Chicago in 1985 with the intent of someday becoming mayor of Chicago, so if that’s not proof of how honest 1980s elections in Chicago were, I don’t know what is.
Seriously, my guess is that it will ultimately turn out that Biden will win by enough votes in enough states that the overall election result will have been honest.
But, c’mon, don’t yank our chain about how it’s crazy to worry that Democrats might cheat. They’ve done it before, over and over.
[Comment at Unz.com]


vdare--2020-11-07--With "Remarkable Synchonricity" Press Calls Race For Biden, Just In Time To Step On Trump's Election

With "Remarkable Synchonricity" Press Calls Race For Biden, Just In Time To Step On Trump's Election Fraud Presser

My iPhone is lighting up with alerts saying Pennsylvania ( home of corruption and voter fraud ) has gone for @ @ @ @ @ he 's President , and Kamala has achieved a historic `` First Woman '' VP @ @ @ @ @ was ever a time to use expressions like `` declared falsely '' or `` without @ @ @ @ @ , the things the MSM says about Trump 's true statements -- it 's now @ @ @ @ @ : This of course has no legal standing , and the recounts and challenges will @ @ @ @ @ but it was probably timed to step on Trump ’ s election fraud presser .
@ @ @ @ @ re distracting from : What happened to “ count all the votes ?
”

My iPhone is lighting up with alerts saying Pennsylvania (home of corruption and voter fraud) has gone for Biden, and that means he's President, and Kamala has achieved a historic "First Woman" VP of color. If there was ever a time to use expressions like "declared falsely" or "without evidence"--you know, the things the MSM says about Trump's true statements--it's now.
Instapundit is on it:
WITH REMARKABLE SYNCHONRICITY, big media organizations, including Fox, call race for Biden. This of course has no legal standing, and the recounts and challenges will continue unless Trump concedes, but it was probably timed to step on Trump’s election fraud presser. Related: UPDATE: Yep. This is what they’re distracting from: What happened to “count all the votes?”
See also
Trump Rejects Outcome as Democrats Celebrate Biden’s Triumph, By Jordan Fabian, Bloomberg, November 7, 2020


vdare--2020-11-07--The Art of the [Democrat] Steal: What's Happening in the 2020 Election?

Are the Democrats Trying to Steal the 2020 Election in Black-Run Cities like Philadelphia , Milwaukee , Atlanta and Detroit ?
This upcoming June , it will be six years since Donald Trump came down the escalator at Trump Tower and announced his historic run for the White House .
On November 5 , 2020 , with an increasingly blatant attempt to steal his electoral victory underway in numerous states across America , it ’ s time we realize his courage has to be contagious .
He has thrown down the gauntlet , calling out fraud in Detroit and Philadelphia @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and Milwaukee ) , all heavily black municipalities controlled by Democrats , and noting voting fraud is happening , threatening the legitimacy of our democracy and elections .
Republicans must unite around Trump now , or else hang separately .
—Jack Dalton Trump As Braveheart : `` If You Count the Legal Votes I Win . ''
To be a good American in 2020 , you are supposed to believe that Putin stole the 2016 election and that it is inconceivable that Democratic insiders in Philadelphia or Atlanta might put a thumb @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Biden , even after four years of editorializing that Trump must be driven by office By Any Means Necessary .
What the GOP ’ s Surprisingly Good Congressional Results Mean For Immigration Patriotism Trump As Braveheart : `` If You Count the Legal Votes I Win . ''
Voter Fraud In Pennsylvania : Forget About It , Jake .
It 's Phillytown .
Do Third World Countries Take As Long To Count Votes As The US ?
Spread the word !
Encourage you friends to sign up for our e-bulletin and other important @ @ @ @ @

Are the Democrats Trying to Steal the 2020 Election in Black-Run Cities like Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Atlanta and Detroit?
This upcoming June, it will be six years since Donald Trump came down the escalator at Trump Tower and announced his historic run for the White House. On November 5, 2020, with an increasingly blatant attempt to steal his electoral victory underway in numerous states across America, it’s time we realize his courage has to be contagious.
He has thrown down the gauntlet, calling out fraud in Detroit and Philadelphia (should have included Charlotte, Atlanta, and Milwaukee), all heavily black municipalities controlled by Democrats, and noting voting fraud is happening, threatening the legitimacy of our democracy and elections.
Republicans must unite around Trump now, or else hang separately.
—Jack Dalton
Trump As Braveheart: "If You Count the Legal Votes I Win."
To be a good American in 2020, you are supposed to believe that Putin stole the 2016 election and that it is inconceivable that Democratic insiders in Philadelphia or Atlanta might put a thumb on the scale in favor of Joe Biden, even after four years of editorializing that Trump must be driven by office By Any Means Necessary.
—Steve Sailer
Democrats: "By Any Means Necessary
What the GOP’s Surprisingly Good Congressional Results Mean For Immigration Patriotism
Trump As Braveheart: "If You Count the Legal Votes I Win."
Voter Fraud In Pennsylvania: Forget About It, Jake. It's Phillytown.
Do Third World Countries Take As Long To Count Votes As The US?
Michelle Malkin: Who's Funding Shady Ballot Harvesting Schemes?
Spread the word! Encourage you friends to sign up for our e-bulletin and other important updates here. And...
Click here to support VDARE.com!


vdare--2020-11-07--Radio Derb Transcript Up Early: Election Results, The Counting Mess, And "The People Who Matter", Et

Radio Derb Transcript Up Early: Election Results, The Counting Mess, And "The People Who Matter", Etc.

The Radio Derb transcript is up for November 6 .
Go here to read or listen .
04m20s Counting the @ @ @ @ @ than usual . )
08m21s Bring on the math geeks !
( Do vote counts @ @ @ @ @ ) 12m09s The people who matter .
( It 's gentry progressives all the way @ @ @ @ @ to fix the vote-counting mess .
( If you want to . )
26m57s The @ @ @ @ @ but not serious . )
35m53s Celebrity murder of the week .
( Death of @ @ @ @ @

NOTE: We usually wait until Wednesday to post the transcript, but as a public service, we're posting it now.
The Radio Derb transcript is up for November 6. Go here to read or listen.
00m53s Election results. (Probabilities and possibilities.)
04m20s Counting the votes. (More approximate than usual.)
08m21s Bring on the math geeks! (Do vote counts follow Benford's Law?)
12m09s The people who matter. (It's gentry progressives all the way down.)
21m56s How to fix the vote-counting mess. (If you want to.)
26m57s The Viennese spirit. (Desperate but not serious.)
32m19s Sean Connery, RIP. (The Boomers' Bond.)
33m32s Bond movie No. 27. (With a black female 007.)
35m53s Celebrity murder of the week. (Death of the Sausage Tsar.)
37m22s Signoff. (With bells.)


vdare--2020-11-08--NATIONAL DATA: October Jobs—Trump’s Immigration Triumph Continues. Farewell To That Too?

See also A Long Farewell To Donald Trump , Immigration Patriot .
And Thanks .
To the surprise of some observers , Donald Trump didn ’ t bring up immigration much in the election campaign .
Which was really inexplicable because , although he ’ s passed no legislation , the area has emerged as a quiet Trump triumph , as the October jobs data just confirmed .
The U.S. created 638,000 payroll jobs in October , and the unemployment rate fell to 6.9 % , the lowest level of the pandemic .
( The overall job gain would have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 147,000 temporary census positions ) .
This was a far better than economists had projected .
But the really BIG news , was the “ other ” employment survey , of Households rather than businesses .
It reported a whopping 2.243 million jobs added last month .
• Immigrants ( legal and illegal , the federal government does not distinguish ) gained 381,000 jobs , up 1.56 % from September .
• VDARE.com ’ s immigrant employment index , set at 100.0 in January 2009 , rose to 114.4 from 112.6 in September @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The native-born American employment index rose to 103.7 from 102.2 in September , in a gain of 1.51 % % .
At 103.7 , the October index indicates that 3.7 % more native-born American workers held jobs last month than in January 2009 , Obama ’ s first year in office .
This means that American worker displacement rose , but imperceptibly .
The New VDARE American Worker Displacement Index ( NVDAWDI ) , our name for the ratio of immigrant to native-born American employment growth indexes since Jan. 2009 , rose to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Overall , not since May 2016 has VDARE.com ’ s Displacement Index been this low in normal—i.e.
, non-pandemic—times .
Displacement is , of course , a relative term .
It measures immigrant job growth relative to that of American native-born workers .
Thanks , in part , to Trump ’ s ( relatively ) hard line on immigration , expressed basically via administrative measures , the Trump years saw a labor market where native-born Americans first held the line and then , in the COVID contraction , lost relatively fewer jobs @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what Trump supporters had in mind in November 2016 .
But it ’ s certainly something .
As far as employment levels are concerned , both groups are doing poorly right now because of the pandemic : From the start of the Trump Administration ( January 2017 ) through October 2020 , native-born Americans lost 1.050 million jobs , a 0.832 % decline , while immigrants lost 1.225 million , a 4.7 % reduction .
But the percentage job losses suffered by native-born American workers during Trump ’ s tenure are significantly less @ @ @ @ @ @ @ if native-born voters were to evaluate the Trump economy solely on how they ’ re doing relative to immigrants , it would be a positive judgment .
Similarly , if voters had focused solely on the direction of the economy in October , things look quite good .
That 661,000 payroll survey job gain represents stronger job growth than in all but a handful of months in the modern record .
Outside of this summer ’ s remarkable rebound ( 4.8 million jobs added in June alone ) , you have to go @ @ @ @ @ @ @ find months of comparable improvement [ Strong Job Growth , a Terrible Job Market : The Bizarre 2020 Economy , by Neil Irwin , NY Times , October 2 , 2020 ] Another way of measuring displacement : the immigrant share of total employment .
Our analysis of the October report shows the immigrant share of total employment rose slightly , to 16.53 % , down from 16.52 % in September .
After some gyrations , it had been falling steadily before the pandemic started .
In February 2020 immigrants held 17.53 % @ @ @ @ @ @ @ decline in immigrant employment share represents a transfer of about 1.4 million jobs from immigrants to native-born workers .
More good news for immigration patriots : October saw another decline in the foreign-born working-age population , year over year .
It fell by 435,000 from last October—the 14th straight month of year-over-year decline , the most dramatic contraction for many years .
The exit of adult immigrants slowed last month—shown on our chart as an uptick in the red line—but it ’ s still solidly in negative territory .
In September , this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ month of last year .
For comparison , the average monthly decline in immigrant workers in recent months is more than double what we saw in the 2008 Great Recession .
Back then , immigrants were leaving at the rate of 300,000 to 400,000 a month , year-over-year .
And the current decline far exceeds the “ Trump Effect ” seen in the early months of the administration , when illegals apparently self-deported out of fear .
This decline was underway well before the pandemic hit .
It has to be counted as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” as we labelled it on our featured charts .
By further flushing out immigrants , COVID-19 seems to have accentuated an America-First trend already underway for some time .
But the expanding economy may be about to suck immigrants back in—illegal immigration is already rising on the southern border .
That ’ s why unemployed Americans needed protecting by the institutionalization of President Trump ’ s administrative immigration moratorium .
But that presumably won ’ t happen in a Biden Administration .
America First legislators need to be on the alert .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ workers have fared vis-à-vis immigrants is published in Table A-7 of the monthly BLS Report : • The native-born American working-age population rose by 1.515 million , a gain of 0.70 % ; the corresponding immigrant population fell by 435,000—a 1.03 % decline .
This October was the 14th consecutive month in which the working age immigrant population declined , year-over-year .
• Both native-born and immigrants suffered large job losses , year-over-year ; native-born lost 6.2 million positions , a 4.7 % decline , while foreign-born workers were hit harder , losing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ loss .
Both groups did relatively better in October than in September , i.e.
, their percentage job losses ( from the same month last year ) were lower .
• The immigrant labor force ( working or looking for work ) fell by 1.148 million , or 4.09 % ; the native-born labor force fell by 2.38 million , a 1.74 % drop .
• Unemployment rates for native-born Americans rose 82.9 % year-over-year , from 3.5 % last October to 6.4 % in October 2020 ; over that period the immigrant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 2.6 % to 7.6 % .
• 8.6 million native-born and 2.1 million immigrants were unemployed in October , but since October of last year the number of unemployed immigrants rose by 184.6 % , while the number of native-born jobless rose by “ only ” 78.9 % .
• Labor force Participation Rates declined for both immigrants and native-born Americans , with the immigrant LPR falling by 2.0 percentage points , or by 3.0 % , and the native-born American rate down by 1.6 percentage points , or 2.6 % .
Immigrant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ over the past 12 months .
Last October the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers was below that of native-born , 2.6 % versus 3.5 % .
This October the positions were reversed , with native-born unemployment at 6.4 % and the immigrant rate at 7.6 % .
Similarly , the 12-month move in Labor Force Participation rates , which rise or fall as confidence that jobs are available rise and falls , bodes well for native-born workers .
While the immigrant LPR in October 2020 is still above that of native-born , the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Trump had a great opportunity : He could have locked in the recovery ’ s benefits for the American worker—and stemmed recent immigration ’ s damage to the GOP—if he had acted on his instincts and campaigned on extending his temporary immigration moratorium .
But Trump missed the chance to make this point .
Now Biden may throw everything away .
Edwin S. Rubenstein ( email him ) is President of ESR Research Economic Consultants

edwin@esrresearch.com (Edwin S. Rubenstein)

See also A Long Farewell To Donald Trump, Immigration Patriot. And Thanks.
To the surprise of some observers, Donald Trump didn’t bring up immigration much in the election campaign. Which was really inexplicable because, although he’s passed no legislation, the area has emerged as a quiet Trump triumph, as the October jobs data just confirmed.
The U.S. created 638,000 payroll jobs in October, and the unemployment rate fell to 6.9%, the lowest level of the pandemic. (The overall job gain would have been even larger without the loss of 147,000 temporary census positions.)
This was far better than economists had projected.
But the really BIG news was the “other” employment survey, of Households rather than businesses. It reported a whopping 2.243 million jobs added last month.
In October:
Total employment rose by 2.243 million, a 1.52% gain from September.
Immigrants (legal and illegal, the federal government does not distinguish) gained 381,000 jobs, up 1.56% from September.
Native-born Americans gained 1.862 million jobs, up 1.51% from September.
VDARE.com’s immigrant employment index, set at 100.0 in January 2009, rose to 114.4 from 112.6 in September, a 1.56% gain.
The native-born American employment index rose to 103.7 from 102.2 in September, in a gain of 1.51%. At 103.7, the October index indicates that 3.7% more native-born American workers held jobs last month than in January 2009, Obama’s first year in office.
This means that American worker displacement rose, but imperceptibly. The New VDARE American Worker Displacement Index (NVDAWDI), our name for the ratio of immigrant to native-born American employment growth indexes since Jan. 2009, rose to 110.3 in October from 110.2 in September.
Overall, not since May 2016 has VDARE.com’s Displacement Index been this low in normal—i.e., non-pandemic—times.
Can't render, error
Displacement is, of course, a relative term. It measures immigrant job growth relative to that of American native-born workers. Thanks, in part, to Trump’s (relatively) hard line on immigration, expressed basically via administrative measures, the Trump years saw a labor market where native-born Americans first held the line and then, in the COVID contraction, lost relatively fewer jobs than immigrants.
This is not quite what Trump supporters had in mind in November 2016. But it’s certainly something.
As far as employment levels are concerned, both groups are doing poorly right now because of the pandemic: from the start of the Trump Administration (January 2017) through October 2020, native-born Americans lost 1.050 million jobs, a 0.832% decline, while immigrants lost 1.225 million, a 4.7% reduction.
But the percentage job losses suffered by native-born American workers during Trump’s tenure are significantly less than those endured by immigrants. So if native-born voters were to evaluate the Trump economy solely on how they’re doing relative to immigrants, it would be a positive judgment.
Similarly, if voters had focused solely on the direction of the economy in October, things look quite good. That 661,000 payroll survey job gain represents stronger job growth than in all but a handful of months in the modern record. Outside of this summer’s remarkable rebound (4.8 million jobs added in June alone), you have to go back to the 1940s and 1950s to find months of comparable improvement [Strong Job Growth, a Terrible Job Market: The Bizarre 2020 Economy, by Neil Irwin, NY Times, October 2, 2020]
Another way of measuring displacement: the immigrant share of total employment.
Can't render, error
Our analysis of the October report shows the immigrant share of total employment rose slightly, to 16.53%, down from 16.52% in September. After some gyrations, it had been falling steadily before the pandemic started. In February 2020 immigrants held 17.53% of all jobs.
Each 1% decline in immigrant employment share represents a transfer of about 1.4 million jobs from immigrants to native-born workers.
More good news for immigration patriots: October saw another decline in the foreign-born working-age population, year over year. It fell by 435,000 from last October—the 14th straight month of year-over-year decline, the most dramatic contraction for many years.
Can't render, error
The exit of adult immigrants slowed last month—shown on our chart as an uptick in the red line—but it’s still solidly in negative territory. In September, this population fell by 875,000 from the same month of last year.
For comparison, the average monthly decline in immigrant workers in recent months is more than double what we saw in the 2008 Great Recession. Back then, immigrants were leaving at the rate of 300,000 to 400,000 a month, year-over-year. And the current decline far exceeds the “Trump Effect” seen in the early months of the administration, when illegals apparently self-deported out of fear.
This decline was underway well before the pandemic hit. It has to be counted as a significant Trump achievement—a “Trump Triumph” as we labelled it on our featured charts.
By further flushing out immigrants, COVID-19 seems to have accentuated an America-First trend already underway for some time. But the expanding economy may be about to suck immigrants back in—illegal immigration is already rising on the southern border. That’s why unemployed Americans needed protecting by the institutionalization of President Trump’s administrative immigration moratorium.
But that presumably won’t happen in a Biden Administration. America First legislators need to be on the alert.
A more detailed picture of how American workers have fared vis-à-vis immigrants is published in Table A-7 of the monthly BLS Report:
Employment Status by Nativity, Oct.2019-Oct.2020 (numbers in 1000s; not seasonally adjusted) Oct-19 Oct-20 Change % Change Foreign born, 16 years and older Civilian population 42,326 41,891 -435 -1.03% Civilian labor force 28,067 26,919 -1,148 -4.09% Participation rate (%) 66.3 64.3 -2.0 -3.02% Employed 27,346 24,865 -2,481 -9.07% Employment/population (%) 64.6 59.4 -5.2 -8.05% Unemployed 722 2,055 1,333 184.63% Unemployment rate (%) 2.6 7.6 5.0 192.31% Not in labor force 14,258 14,971 713 5.00% Native born, 16 years and older Civilian population 217,519 219,034 1,515 0.70% Civilian labor force 136,509 134,134 -2,375 -1.74% Participation rate (%) 62.8 61.2 -1.6 -2.55% Employed 131,721 125,569 -6,152 -4.67% Employment/population (%) 60.6 57.3 -3.3 -5.45% Unemployed 4,788 8,565 3,777 78.88% Unemployment rate (%) 3.5 6.4 2.9 82.86% Not in labor force 81,010 84,901 3,891 4.80% Source: BLS, The Employment Situation—October 2020. Table A-7, November 6, 2020. PDF
From October 2019 to October 2020:
The native-born American working-age population rose by 1.515 million, a gain of 0.70%; the corresponding immigrant population fell by 435,000—a 1.03% decline. This October was the 14th consecutive month in which the working age immigrant population declined, year-over-year.
Both native-born and immigrants suffered large job losses, year-over-year; native-born lost 6.2 million positions, a 4.7% decline, while foreign-born workers were hit harder, losing 2.5 million jobs, a 9.1% loss. Both groups did relatively better in October than in September, i.e., their percentage job losses (from the same month last year) were lower.
The immigrant labor force (working or looking for work) fell by 1.148 million, or 4.09%; the native-born labor force fell by 2.38 million, a 1.74% drop. Advantage native-born Americans.
Unemployment rates for native-born Americans rose 82.9% year-over-year, from 3.5% last October to 6.4% in October 2020; over that period the immigrant unemployment rate rose 192.3%, from 2.6% to 7.6%. Advantage native-born Americans .
8.6 million native-born and 2.1 million immigrants were unemployed in October, but since October of last year the number of unemployed immigrants rose by 184.6%, while the number of native-born jobless rose by “only” 78.9%. Advantage native-born Americans .
Labor force Participation Rates declined for both immigrants and native-born Americans, with the immigrant LPR falling by 2.0 percentage points, or by 3.0%, and the native-born American rate down by 1.6 percentage points, or 2.6%. Advantage Native-born Americans.
Immigrant workers have lost ground relative to native-born over the past 12 months. Last October the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers was below that of native-born, 2.6% versus 3.5%. This October the positions were reversed, with native-born unemployment at 6.4% and the immigrant rate at 7.6%.
Similarly, the 12-month move in Labor Force Participation rates, which rise or fall as confidence that jobs are available rise and falls, bodes well for native-born workers. While the immigrant LPR in October 2020 is still above that of native-born, the gap narrowed over the last year.
Trump had a great opportunity: He could have locked in the recovery’s benefits for the American worker—and stemmed recent immigration’s damage to the GOP—if he had acted on his instincts and campaigned on extending his temporary immigration moratorium.
But Trump missed the chance to make this point. Now Biden may throw everything away.
Edwin S. Rubenstein (email him) is President of ESR Research Economic Consultants


vdare--2020-11-08--We're Saved! Biden's COVID Science Team Will Have Intersectional Pokemon Points Galore

From the New Haven Register : NEW HAVEN — A professor with the Yale School of Medicine will serve as a co-chair of President-elect Joe Biden ’ s task force on the coronavirus , according to a report from CNN .
Marcella Nunez-Smith , associate professor of internal medicine , public health and management and founding director of the Equity Research and Innovation Center , will be among three co-chairs of the group , two sources reportedly told CNN .
Former Surgeon General Vivek Murthy and former Food and Drug Administration Commissioner David Kessler will also helm the group , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on the Yale School of Medicine website , Nunez-Smith ’ s “ research focuses on promoting health and health care equity for structurally marginalized populations with an emphasis on supporting health care workforce diversity and development , developing patient reported measurements of health care quality , and identifying regional strategies to reduce the global burden of non-communicable diseases.
” Originally from the U.S. Virgin Islands , Nunez-Smith attended Jefferson Medical College , where she was inducted into the Alpha Omega Alpha Medical Honor Society , according to her biography .
She earned a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and psychology at Swarthmore College , according to her biography .

From the New Haven Register:
Report: Yale professor to co-chair Biden’s COVID task force
By Ben Lambert Updated 3:15 pm EST, Saturday, November 7, 2020
NEW HAVEN — A professor with the Yale School of Medicine will serve as a co-chair of President-elect Joe Biden’s task force on the coronavirus, according to a report from CNN.
Marcella Nunez-Smith, associate professor of internal medicine, public health and management and founding director of the Equity Research and Innovation Center, will be among three co-chairs of the group, two sources reportedly told CNN.
Former Surgeon General Vivek Murthy and former Food and Drug Administration Commissioner David Kessler will also helm the group, CNN reported.
According to her biography on the Yale School of Medicine website, Nunez-Smith’s “research focuses on promoting health and health care equity for structurally marginalized populations with an emphasis on supporting health care workforce diversity and development, developing patient reported measurements of health care quality, and identifying regional strategies to reduce the global burden of non-communicable diseases.”
Originally from the U.S. Virgin Islands, Nunez-Smith attended Jefferson Medical College, where she was inducted into the Alpha Omega Alpha Medical Honor Society, according to her biography. She earned a bachelor’s degree in Biological Anthropology and psychology at Swarthmore College, according to her biography.


vdare--2020-11-08--Ibram X. Kendi: The Term 'legal Vote' Is As Racist As 'illegal Alien'

Prof. Dr. Ibram X. Kendi is basically 30 years of iSteve parodies of what the logic of Establishment Thought will @ @ @ @ @ life and funded with $ 10 million of Jack Dorsey ’ s Twitter Bux .
@ @ @ @ @ money in his racket is bad .
Consider this new help wanted ad at Archives @ @

The term “legal vote” is as fictionally fraught and functionally racist as the terms “illegal alien” and “race neutral” and “welfare queen” and “handouts” and “super predator” and “crackbaby” and “personal responsibility” and “post racial.” — Ibram X. Kendi (@ibramxk) November 7, 2020
Prof. Dr. Ibram X. Kendi is basically 30 years of iSteve parodies of what the logic of Establishment Thought will eventually lead to come to life and funded with $10 million of Jack Dorsey’s Twitter Bux.
Prof. Dr. Ibram X. Kendi is rapidly becoming the dominant intellectual of our age, the purveyor of the new conventional wisdom. But what should we call his ideology? — Steve Sailer (@Steve_Sailer) November 8, 2020
But nobody can say the money in his racket is bad. Consider this new help wanted ad at Archives Gig:
Cambridge, MA: Associate University Librarian for Antiracism, Harvard University Job Opening Title: Associate University Librarian for Antiracism NOVEMBER 6, 2020 BY MEREDITH LOWE Employer Name: Harvard Library Job Location: Cambridge, MA Application Deadline: December 13, 2020. Salary Range: $ 133,300-$ 240,300 Link to job posting: https://sjobs.brassring.com/TGnewUI/Search/home/HomeWithPreLoad?PageType=JobDetails&partnerid=25240&siteid=5341&Areq=52852BR#jobDetails=1544392_5341 Years of experience required: 10+
[Comment at Unz.com]


vdare--2020-11-07--Mexican President AMLO Won't Congratulate Biden Until Legal Issues Have Been Resolved

There 's a rush by world leaders to congratulate Joe Biden and Kamala Harris , who have been declared the @ @ @ @ @ of Fox News .
But one world leader who is n't jumping on the bandwagon @ @ @ @ @ Lopez Obrador ( AMLO ) .
As I 've pointed out before , as Mexican @ @ @ @ @ very careful in not criticizing Trump and that 's still true .
In a press @ @ @ @ @ the Mexican president stated that

There's a rush by world leaders to congratulate Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, who have been declared the winners by the election authorities of Fox News. But one world leader who isn't jumping on the bandwagon is Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO).
As I've pointed out before, as Mexican President, AMLO has been very careful in not criticizing Trump and that's still true.
In a press conference on November 7, the Mexican president stated that
"Concerning the U.S. elections, we are going to wait until all the legal matters have been resolved. We don't want to be imprudent, we don't want to act lightly and we want to be respectful of the self-determination of the peoples and respectful of the rights of the other. Therefore, we want to wait until the U.S. election has been legally resolved. Let me make clear to you that we have a good relationship with both candidates. President Trump has been very respectful to us and we have achieved very good agreements. And we appreciate the fact that he has not been a meddler and has respected us." [Versión estenográfica. Conferencia de prensa encabezada por el presidente Andrés Manuel López Obrador ("Stenographic Version of Press Conferenced Presided Over by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador"), Mexican Presidential Website, November 7th, 2020]


vdare--2020-11-09--Yes Virginia (Dare), There WERE Shy Trump Voters. And Polls On BLM Etc. Are Even Worse

See also : Yes , Virginia ( Dare ) , `` Social Desirability Bias '' IS Skewing Immigration Polls—And Trump's The “ Shy Trump Voter ” theory—that Trump voters consistently understated their support for the president in public opinion polls—was hotly disputed by polling experts like Nate Silver at Fivethirtyeight.com .
[ There Just Isn ’ t Good Evidence That ‘ Shy ’ Trump Voters Exist , by Galen Druke and Nate Silver , FiveThirtyEight , October 30 , 2020 ; Trump Supporters Aren ’ t ‘ Shy , ’ But Polls Could Still Be Missing Some Of Them , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 30 , 2020 ] .
But they were wrong .
And other polls , notably those that purport to show widespread support for immigration and Black Lives Matter , are probably even more inaccurate .
The twin causes of this phenomenon , known in the industry as Social Desirability Bias , are well-documented : • First , the growing hegemony of Political Correctness that has swept over our media , corporations , academia , and other elite institutions as part of the larger Great Awokening .
Earlier this year , the Cato Institute @ @ @ @ @ @ @ documented the extent of the fear that has swept over the American public .
According to the study , 62 percent of Americans say they have political views that they are afraid to share because others might find them offensive .
Nearly a third ( 32 percent ) worry that their views could affect their employment and career opportunities , including potentially costing them their jobs .
These fears are concentrated primarily on the Right and in the political center .
College-educated Republicans are particularly fearful that their views , if known , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Poll : 62 % of Americans Say They Have Political Views They ’ re Afraid to Share , July 22 , 2020 ] • Second , distrust in elite institutions , including the Main Stream Media is further fueling fear and distrust especially on the Right .
According to the pollster Frank Luntz ( and confirmed by my own polling ) , this has produced profound levels of distrust in polling in general .
Growing numbers of conservatives now say they will not take such polls .
Many openly admit that they will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is all of this having on poll results ?
We do not yet have a reliable estimate , but it looks like Social Desirability Bias reduced support for Trump in this year ’ s polls by an average of about 5 percent .
This estimate comes from comparing the final election polling averages ( which favored Biden by 8.4 percent according to Nate Silver ) to the final election results , where Trump is trailing in the popular vote by about 3 percent ( this number may rise in the days ahead ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about five percent .
Further evidence can be found by digging into the two specific ways that Social Desirability Bias is affecting the polls .
The first of these , outright lying , has been well documented by both the Pew Research Center and Morning Consult , a polling firm .
Both organizations estimate that lying to pollsters ( usually by falsely claiming to be undecided ) has produced a net change of about 2 percent .
The second contributor—poll avoidance—has been shown to reduce reported support for Trump by another 3-4 percent @ @ @ @ @ @ @ why dramatic bounces in the polls are n't always what they seem , by Douglas Rivers , YouGov.com , November 1 , 2016 ] Some organizations , like Pew [ The RBS poll comports well with data from the full voter file about the partisanship of registered voters , October 9 , 2018 ] and analysts at the New York Times [ Are the Polls Missing Republican Voters ?
By Nate Cohn , July 29 , 2020 ] discount these effects by claiming that there are no overall differences between Democrats and Republicans @ @ @ @ @ @ @ speak to pollsters .
But these analyses miss an important point : the truly meaningful differences are not found between the parties .
Instead , they are found among independents .
Trump-leaning independents , especially pure independents who do not favor one party over the other , are the group that it is most responsible for Social Desirability-related polling error .
While Republicans ( and even some Democrats ) are shy too , they are both so reliably partisan that replacing a shy partisan who is unwilling to talk to pollsters with another @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the poll results very much .
In each case , over 90 percent of Republicans and Democrats—both shy and non-shy -- reliably support their own party .
Independents , on the other hand , are very different .
Shy Independents who refuse to answer polls are far more likely to lean Right , while non-shy independents—i.e.
, those more willing to answer polls—reliably lean to the Left .
The differences in their respective willingness to speak to pollsters produces polling results that consistently show independents leaning far more to the Left than they @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that the Presidential election is over , it might be tempting to think that none of this matters anymore .
That is unlikely for two reasons .
• First , given the changing demography of the country and the continued rise of Political Correctness on the Left , it seems unlikely that the racialized nature of our politics will change very much in the coming years .
If so , we can expect “ shy ” voters to continue to play an outsized role in future elections , regardless of whether Trump himself @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , elections are not the only way that social desirability bias is affecting our politics .
Polling across a wide range of socially sensitive issues—ranging from immigration to Affirmative Action to support for the Black Lives Matter movement—are substantially affected by these same dynamics , but even more so .
As I documented in a previous article , academic research has shown that opinion polls on racially sensitive topics ( like immigration ) typically underestimate white support for the more conservative position by about 20-25 percent—an amount that dwarfs the five percent error @ @ @ @ @ @ @ presidential polls .
The reason ?
The widespread dissembling found on these issues is not limited to a handful of centrist independents .
It is instead found all across the political spectrum—including whites on the political Left .
For example , they are not as uncritical of immigration as they profess .
Of course , whites are also not the only ones lying to pollsters .
When they are allowed to answer such questions anonymously , Asians are far less supportive of Affirmative Action than they claim to be when they are asked @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also far less supportive of immigration than they claim to be if they are allowed to answer anonymously .
Latinos are far less supportive of Black Lives Matter .
Oh , what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive !
The 2020 election may be over , but its effects may linger with us for the foreseeable future .
If our national politics continue to pit an increasingly Woke Left against a more racially-aware Right , our politics over the coming decade may prove to be just as complicated @ @ @ @ @ @ @ [ Email him ] is a political analyst in Washington , DC .

dermy.mcderm@protonmail.com (Patrick McDermott )

See also: Yes, Virginia (Dare), "Social Desirability Bias" IS Skewing Immigration Polls—And Trump's
The “Shy Trump Voter” theory—that Trump voters consistently understated their support for the president in public opinion polls—was hotly disputed by polling experts like Nate Silver at Fivethirtyeight.com. [There Just Isn’t Good Evidence That ‘Shy’ Trump Voters Exist, by Galen Druke and Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, October 30, 2020; Trump Supporters Aren’t ‘Shy,’ But Polls Could Still Be Missing Some Of Them, by Geoffrey Skelley, FiveThirtyEight, September 30, 2020]. But they were wrong. And other polls, notably those that purport to show widespread support for immigration and Black Lives Matter, are probably even more inaccurate.
The twin causes of this phenomenon, known in the industry as Social Desirability Bias, are well-documented:
First, the growing hegemony of Political Correctness that has swept over our media, corporations, academia, and other elite institutions as part of the larger Great Awokening.
Earlier this year, the Cato Institute sponsored a survey of American attitudes that documented the extent of the fear that has swept over the American public. According to the study, 62 percent of Americans say they have political views that they are afraid to share because others might find them offensive. Nearly a third (32 percent) worry that their views could affect their employment and career opportunities, including potentially costing them their jobs.
These fears are concentrated primarily on the Right and in the political center. College-educated Republicans are particularly fearful that their views, if known, would harm them at work.
[Poll: 62% of Americans Say They Have Political Views They’re Afraid to Share, July 22, 2020]
Second, distrust in elite institutions, including the Main Stream Media, is further fueling fear and distrust especially on the Right.
[Americans Remain Distrustful of Mass Media, by Megan Brenan, Gallup, September 30, 2020].
According to the pollster Frank Luntz (and confirmed by my own polling), this has produced profound levels of distrust in polling in general. Growing numbers of conservatives now say they will not take such polls. Many openly admit that they will lie if they do.
What impact is all of this having on poll results? We do not yet have a reliable estimate, but it looks like Social Desirability Bias reduced support for Trump in this year’s polls by an average of about 5 percent. This estimate comes from comparing the final election polling averages (which favored Biden by 8.4 percent according to Nate Silver) to the final election results, where Trump is trailing in the popular vote by about 3 percent (this number may rise in the days ahead). This produces a net difference of about five percent.
Further evidence can be found by digging into the two specific ways that Social Desirability Bias is affecting the polls.
The first of these, outright lying, has been well documented by both the Pew Research Center and Morning Consult, a polling firm. Both organizations estimate that lying to pollsters (usually by falsely claiming to be undecided) has produced a net change of about 2 percent.
The second contributor—poll avoidance—has been shown to reduce reported support for Trump by another 3-4 percent [Beware the phantom swings: why dramatic bounces in the polls aren't always what they seem, by Douglas Rivers, YouGov.com, November 1, 2016].
Some organizations, like Pew [The RBS poll comports well with data from the full voter file about the partisanship of registered voters,October 9, 2018] and analysts at the New York Times [Are the Polls Missing Republican Voters? by Nate Cohn, July 29, 2020] discount these effects by claiming that there are no overall differences between Democrats and Republicans when it comes to their willingness to speak to pollsters.
But these analyses miss an important point: the truly meaningful differences are not found between the parties. Instead, they are found among independents.
Trump-leaning independents, especially pure independents who do not favor one party over the other, are the group that it is most responsible for Social Desirability-related polling error. While Republicans (and even some Democrats) are shy too, they are both so reliably partisan that replacing a shy partisan who is unwilling to talk to pollsters with another non-shy partisan who is does not change the poll results very much. In each case, over 90 percent of Republicans and Democrats—both shy and non-shy—reliably support their own party.
Independents, on the other hand, are very different. Shy Independents who refuse to answer polls are far more likely to lean Right, while non-shy independents—i.e., those more willing to answer polls—reliably lean to the Left. The differences in their respective willingness to speak to pollsters produces polling results that consistently show independents leaning far more to the Left than they really do.
Of course, now that the Presidential election is over, it might be tempting to think that none of this matters anymore. That is unlikely for two reasons.
First, given the changing demography of the country and the continued rise of Political Correctness on the Left, it seems unlikely that the racialized nature of our politics will change very much in the coming years.
If so, we can expect “shy” voters to continue to play an outsized role in future elections, regardless of whether Trump himself is on the ballot.
Second, elections are not the only way that social desirability bias is affecting our politics. Polling across a wide range of socially sensitive issues—ranging from immigration to Affirmative Action to support for the Black Lives Matter movement—is substantially affected by these same dynamics, but even more so.
As I documented in a previous article, academic research has shown that opinion polls on racially sensitive topics (like immigration) typically underestimate white support for the more conservative position by about 20-25 percent—an amount that dwarfs the five percent error rate found in this year’s presidential polls.
The reason? The widespread dissembling found on these issues is not limited to a handful of centrist independents. It is instead found all across the political spectrum—including whites on the political Left. For example, they are not as uncritical of immigration as they profess.
Of course, whites are also not the only ones lying to pollsters. When they are allowed to answer such questions anonymously, Asians are far less supportive of Affirmative Action than they claim to be when they are asked the question directly. Black voters are also far less supportive of immigration than they claim to be if they are allowed to answer anonymously. Latinos are far less supportive of Black Lives Matter.
Oh, what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive!
The 2020 election may be over, but its effects may linger with us for the foreseeable future. If our national politics continue to pit an increasingly Woke Left against a more racially aware Right, our politics over the coming decade may prove to be just as complicated as they are divisive.
Patrick McDermott [Email him] is a political analyst in Washington, DC.


vdare--2020-11-09--Patrick J. Buchanan: Will The State Of Georgia Halt The Radicals' Revolution?

That counsel about human conflict comes from Winston Churchill .
And President Donald Trump , given all he has endured for five years from those piously pleading now for a `` time of healing , '' can not be faulted for his defiant resolve to unearth any and all high crimes or misdemeanors committed in the counting of ballots in the election of Tuesday last .
Trump owes his people this , and he owes the establishment nothing .
Yet , in making this his priority , Trump should be mindful of several realities .
From what we have seen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ decision in the battleground states of Wisconsin , Michigan , Pennsylvania , Nevada , Arizona or Georgia will be overturned does not appear high .
Indeed , it seems a certainty that not enough electoral votes could be flipped from Biden to Trump to overturn Joe Biden 's electoral vote victory .
And Trump should realize that in alleging fraud , he is creating an imperative upon himself and his team to provide the evidence to prove it .
In politics as in poker , there comes a time when you have to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Are the cards there ?
Trump should also be aware that his reputation , the causes he has served , and the future of both , will be influenced by how he conducts himself in what appears to be an inevitable defeat .
Richard Nixon , in the 1960 election against JFK , declined to challenge the returns from Illinois , which he lost by 9,000 votes , though journalists then and historians have contended that the state was almost surely stolen in Cook County .
Nixon chose not to challenge the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that , even had he done so successfully , after a brutal battle like the Bush-Gore contest in Florida , and even had Illinois been shifted into his column , he would have been short of the 270 electoral votes needed to win .
Nixon would have had to contest and flip Texas as well .
Also , while Trump and his campaign are devoting time and resources to the ballot count in battleground states , a last crucial battle is shaping up in Georgia , where the stakes are second only to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ victory last week , Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer , exulted , `` Now we take Georgia , and then we change the world . ''
Schumer was referring to the two Senate races that will be decided Jan. 5 , both runoffs where none of the four candidates got the Georgia-required 50.0 % of the vote on Nov. 3 .
Republican Sen. David Perdue won 49.7 % , just short of the 50.0 % that would have ensured GOP control of the Senate through 2022 .
Perdue faces a runoff against 33-year-old @ @ @ @ @ @ @ between Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler , who is seeking to fill out the full term of Johnny Isakson who stepped down from the Senate in 2019 for health reasons .
She is opposed by African American pastor Raphael Warnock .
What is involved in these runoff elections ?
If Rossoff and Warnock both win , Democrats take control of the Senate .
Schumer will be the new majority leader , displacing Mitch McConnell .
And all tie votes will be decided by the new Senate President and Vice President Kamala Harris , who @ @ @ @ @ @ @ by her voting record , the most radical member of the entire body .
What would this mean ?
On Jan. 20 , 10 weeks from today , Democrats would control the House with Speaker Nancy Pelosi in the chair , the Senate with Schumer as majority leader , and the White House with newly inaugurated Joe Biden in the Oval Office .
The sole residual power Republicans would retain is the filibuster , the right of extended debate , the capacity to block the radical proposals of the new Democratic majority dominant @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Before the `` Green New Deal , '' `` Medicare for All '' and the Biden-Bernie tax hikes could be passed , before a trillion-dollar bailout of blue states like Illinois could be enacted , before the Supreme Court could be packed , the Senate filibuster would have to be eliminated .
But , if it were , we would be transported back to the days of 1965 , when LBJ , with veto-proof majorities in both houses , rammed through his Great Society , the failure of which is manifest today @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , New York—and in our staggering national debt .
Are Democrats ready for so radical a step ?
Indeed , they are .
Even Barack Obama is calling for killing the filibuster as a `` Jim Crow relic . ''
Republicans who think that Democrats would not abolish the filibuster to advance their agenda are deluding themselves .
Yet , all that is needed to block this rising radical revolution is for the GOP to win one of the two Georgia Senate seats at issue Jan. 5 .
If the Democrats lose either @ @ @ @ @ @ @ just end up devouring its children .
Patrick J. Buchanan needs no introduction to VDARE.COM readers ; his books State of Emergency : The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America , and Suicide of a Superpower : Will America Survive to 2025 ?
are available from Amazon.com .
Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “ The Greatest Comeback : How Richard Nixon Rose From Defeat to Create the New Majority .
His latest book , published May , 2018 , is “ Nixon ’ s White House Wars : The Battles @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Divided America Forever.
” See Peter Brimelow ’ s review : “ Wheel And Fight ” —Pat Buchanan ’ s Nixon Book Provides Road Map For Trump .

Earlier, by Patrick J. Buchanan: Trumpism Lives On!
"In victory, magnanimity... in defeat, defiance."
That counsel about human conflict comes from Winston Churchill.
And President Donald Trump, given all he has endured for five years from those piously pleading now for a "time of healing," cannot be faulted for his defiant resolve to unearth any and all high crimes or misdemeanors committed in the counting of ballots in the election of Tuesday last.
Trump owes his people this, and he owes the establishment nothing.
Yet, in making this his priority, Trump should be mindful of several realities. From what we have seen so far, the prospect that the decision in the battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona or Georgia will be overturned does not appear high.
Indeed, it seems a certainty that not enough electoral votes could be flipped from Biden to Trump to overturn Joe Biden's electoral vote victory.
And Trump should realize that in alleging fraud, he is creating an imperative upon himself and his team to provide the evidence to prove it.
In politics as in poker, there comes a time when you have to show your cards or fold your hand. Are the cards there?
Trump should also be aware that his reputation, the causes he has served, and the future of both, will be influenced by how he conducts himself in what appears to be an inevitable defeat.
Richard Nixon, in the 1960 election against JFK, declined to challenge the returns from Illinois, which he lost by 9,000 votes, though journalists then and historians have contended that the state was almost surely stolen in Cook County.
Nixon chose not to challenge the Illinois count.
Among the reasons was that, even had he done so successfully, after a brutal battle like the Bush-Gore contest in Florida, and even had Illinois been shifted into his column, he would have been short of the 270 electoral votes needed to win.
Nixon would have had to contest and flip Texas as well.
Also, while Trump and his campaign are devoting time and resources to the ballot count in battleground states, a last crucial battle is shaping up in Georgia, where the stakes are second only to the presidency.
Minutes after Biden declared victory last week, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, exulted, "Now we take Georgia, and then we change the world."
Schumer was referring to the two Senate races that will be decided Jan. 5, both runoffs where none of the four candidates got the Georgia-required 50.0% of the vote on Nov. 3.
Republican Sen. David Perdue won 49.7%, just short of the 50.0% that would have ensured GOP control of the Senate through 2022. Perdue faces a runoff against 33-year-old Jon Ossoff.
The other race is between Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler, who is seeking to fill out the full term of Johnny Isakson who stepped down from the Senate in 2019 for health reasons. She is opposed by African American pastor Raphael Warnock.
What is involved in these runoff elections?
If Ossoff and Warnock both win, Democrats take control of the Senate. Schumer will be the new majority leader, displacing Mitch McConnell. And all tie votes will be decided by the new Senate President and Vice President Kamala Harris, who, as of 2020, was, by her voting record, the most radical member of the entire body.
What would this mean?
On Jan. 20, 10 weeks from today, Democrats would control the House with Speaker Nancy Pelosi in the chair, the Senate with Schumer as majority leader, and the White House with newly inaugurated Joe Biden in the Oval Office.
The sole residual power Republicans would retain is the filibuster, the right of extended debate, the capacity to block the radical proposals of the new Democratic majority dominant in D.C. by talking them to death.
Before the "Green New Deal," "Medicare for All" and the Biden-Bernie tax hikes could be passed, before a trillion-dollar bailout of blue states like Illinois could be enacted, before the Supreme Court could be packed, the Senate filibuster would have to be eliminated.
But, if it were, we would be transported back to the days of 1965, when LBJ, with veto-proof majorities in both houses, rammed through his Great Society, the failure of which is manifest today in Detroit, St. Louis, Philadelphia, New York—and in our staggering national debt.
Are Democrats ready for so radical a step? Indeed, they are. Even Barack Obama is calling for killing the filibuster as a "Jim Crow relic."
Republicans who think that Democrats would not abolish the filibuster to advance their agenda are deluding themselves.
Yet, all that is needed to block this rising radical revolution is for the GOP to win one of the two Georgia Senate seats at issue Jan. 5.
If the Democrats lose either Georgia race, the Bernie-BLM-antifa-AOC revolution may just end up devouring its children.
COPYRIGHT 2020 CREATORS.COM
Patrick J. Buchanan needs no introduction to VDARE.COM readers; his books State of Emergency: The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America, and Suicide of a Superpower: Will America Survive to 2025? are available from Amazon.com. Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “The Greatest Comeback: How Richard Nixon Rose From Defeat to Create the New Majority.
His latest book, published May, 2018, is “Nixon’s White House Wars: The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever.”
See Peter Brimelow’s review: “Wheel And Fight”—Pat Buchanan’s Nixon Book Provides Road Map For Trump.


vdare--2020-11-09--A New York Legal Professional Says It's Now Open Season On White "Racists"—Despite Biden's Apparent

A New York Legal Professional Says It's Now Open Season On White "Racists"—Despite Biden's Apparent "Win"

Re : Steve Sailer 's Biden Vs. BLM Fight : The Coalition of the Margins Celebrates in Madison From : @ @ @ @ @ Email him ] This YouTube clip is headed `` A vicious fight breaks out at @ @ @ @ @ Madison , Wisc . ''
Translation : a black person attacks a white person ( @ @ @ @ @ black man mercilessly hammers a smaller white women by surprise ) .
Did everyone think @ @ @ @ @ this , and lying about it , if Biden won ?
It 's open season @ @ @ @ @ , and it 's only going to get worse .
See earlier letters from the @ @ @

Re: Steve Sailer's Biden Vs. BLM Fight: The Coalition of the Margins Celebrates in Madison
From: An Anonymous Legal Professional [Email him]
This YouTube clip is headed "A vicious fight breaks out at a Biden celebration rally in Madison, Wisc."
Also Tweeted by Andy Ngo:
A vicious fight breaks out at a Biden celebration rally in Madison, Wisc. attended by BLM. Video by @RebsBrannon: pic.twitter.com/J4DN3QMGQe — Andy Ngô 🏳🌈 (@MrAndyNgo) November 7, 2020
Translation: a black person attacks a white person (in this case, a black man mercilessly hammers a smaller white women by surprise).
Did everyone think they would stop behaving like this, and lying about it, if Biden won? It's open season on white "racists," and it's only going to get worse.
See earlier letters from the same reader.