iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-11-30--How to Stop the Paris Climate Accord

How to Stop the Paris Climate Accord

Joe Biden has promised to rejoin the Paris Climate Accord on day one , but President Trump could stop it from having any binding legal power .
President Obama signed on to the international agreement by executive action in 2015 , which meant Mr. Trump could withdraw from it the same way , as he did in 2017 .
As per the terms of the accord , that withdrawal became effective on Nov. 4 , 2020 .
Mr. Obama ’ s pledge to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions at least 26 % by 2025 wasn ’ t legally binding .
Only Senate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it so—and the upper chamber would have rejected the treaty handily if Mr. Obama had submitted it .
Yet if Mr. Biden brought the U.S. back into the accord , it ’ s possible it will take on the weight of law .
Although there is nothing about the agreement ’ s terms or the manner in which the U.S. entered it that make it legally binding on the U.S. , some green group may find a friendly federal court to produce that result .
Example : Mr. Trump rescinded Mr. Obama ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ immigration program , yet it remains in place .
Although DACA was both created and reversed by executive action , the Supreme Court blocked its rescission in June on grounds that the Trump administration ’ s decision was “ arbitrary and capricious ” under the Administrative Procedures Act .
The court ’ s rationale was procedural ; the justices didn ’ t deny that the president can reverse a predecessor ’ s executive action .
But creative lawyers and judges can find ways of blocking a new president from changing policies , with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ prevent the Paris Climate Accord from taking on such undue power , Mr. Trump should submit it to the Senate , and Majority Leader Mitch McConnell should schedule a quick vote .
It would certainly be rejected—ratification requires a two-thirds vote—and it is unlikely any court could subsequently resurrect a legislatively tossed treaty .
Without the help of judges , Mr. Biden would need a winning ratification vote to make the accord binding , which he likely couldn ’ t get no matter how well Democrats do in Georgia ’ s January runoffs @ @ @ @ @ @ @ McConnell could also call a ratification vote after Mr. Biden ’ s inauguration , even if Mr. Trump does nothing .
This would similarly elevate the treaty ’ s status and make it difficult for Mr. Biden to bind his successors to his executive actions .
Mr. Milloy publishes JunkScience.com , served on the Trump Environmental Protection Agency transition team and is the author of “ Scare Pollution : Why and How to Fix the EPA .
”

My op-ed in today’s Wall Street Journal (Web | PDF).
Joe Biden has promised to rejoin the Paris Climate Accord on day one, but President Trump could stop it from having any binding legal power.
President Obama signed on to the international agreement by executive action in 2015, which meant Mr. Trump could withdraw from it the same way, as he did in 2017. As per the terms of the accord, that withdrawal became effective on Nov. 4, 2020. Mr. Obama’s pledge to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions at least 26% by 2025 wasn’t legally binding. Only Senate consent to its ratification could have made it so—and the upper chamber would have rejected the treaty handily if Mr. Obama had submitted it.
Yet if Mr. Biden brought the U.S. back into the accord, it’s possible it will take on the weight of law. Although there is nothing about the agreement’s terms or the manner in which the U.S. entered it that make it legally binding on the U.S., some green group may find a friendly federal court to produce that result.
Example: Mr. Trump rescinded Mr. Obama’s 2012 Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals immigration program, yet it remains in place. Although DACA was both created and reversed by executive action, the Supreme Court blocked its rescission in June on grounds that the Trump administration’s decision was “arbitrary and capricious” under the Administrative Procedures Act. The court’s rationale was procedural; the justices didn’t deny that the president can reverse a predecessor’s executive action. But creative lawyers and judges can find ways of blocking a new president from changing policies, with Congress never having a say.
To prevent the Paris Climate Accord from taking on such undue power, Mr. Trump should submit it to the Senate, and Majority Leader Mitch McConnell should schedule a quick vote. It would certainly be rejected—ratification requires a two-thirds vote—and it is unlikely any court could subsequently resurrect a legislatively tossed treaty. Without the help of judges, Mr. Biden would need a winning ratification vote to make the accord binding, which he likely couldn’t get no matter how well Democrats do in Georgia’s January runoffs and the 2022 midterm elections.
Mr. McConnell could also call a ratification vote after Mr. Biden’s inauguration, even if Mr. Trump does nothing. This would similarly elevate the treaty’s status and make it difficult for Mr. Biden to bind his successors to his executive actions.
Mr. Milloy publishes JunkScience.com, served on the Trump Environmental Protection Agency transition team and is the author of “Scare Pollution: Why and How to Fix the EPA.”


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-11-30--B.C. Glaciers More Than a Third Bigger Than Thought – Video

Thirty-eight percent bigger than originally believed , but still ( supposedly ) , “ it won ’ t save them from climate change.
” __________ Extensive radar surveys on five glaciers in the Columbia River Basin have found the ice is 38 per cent thicker than originally believed , according to a new study from the University of Northern British Columbia .
Lead author Ben Pelto and his colleagues skied cross country on the glaciers over 113 miles ( 182 km ) , pulling a sled-mounted ice-penetrating radar system to collect thousands of measurements .
“ I was surprised that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , ” said Pelto .
“ There are about 17,000 glaciers in B.C .
and until now we only had ice measurements from a handful of them.
” • Did you realize that there are 17,000 glaciers in British Columbia alone ?
• Did you realize that previous estimates of those melting glaciers were based on modeling ?
• Did you realize that until now we had actual measurements on “ only a handful ” of those 17,000 glaciers ?
• Did you realize that computer modeling could be this far off from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ should base all of our global warming projections on computer modeling ?
The study , entitled “ Bias-corrected estimates of glacier thickness in the Columbia River Basin , Canada , ” was published in The Journal of Glaciology , and can be seen here : https : //www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-glaciology/article/biascorrected-estimates-of-glacier-thickness-in-the-columbia-river-basin-canada/E8DCB7FAF1A5DF21CC529ADA6844B1B4 Thanks to Terry Schneider for these links The post B.C .
Glaciers More Than a Third Bigger Than Thought – Video appeared first on Ice Age Now .

Thirty-eight percent bigger than originally believed, but still (supposedly), “it won’t save them from climate change.”
__________
Extensive radar surveys on five glaciers in the Columbia River Basin have found the ice is 38 per cent thicker than originally believed, according to a new study from the University of Northern British Columbia.
Lead author Ben Pelto and his colleagues skied cross country on the glaciers over 113 miles (182 km), pulling a sled-mounted ice-penetrating radar system to collect thousands of measurements.
“I was surprised that the models were off by that much,” said Pelto. “There are about 17,000 glaciers in B.C. and until now we only had ice measurements from a handful of them.”
Did you realize that there are 17,000 glaciers in British Columbia alone?
Did you realize that previous estimates of those melting glaciers were based on modeling?
Did you realize that until now we had actual measurements on “only a handful” of those 17,000 glaciers?
Did you realize that computer modeling could be this far off from reality?
Do you think we should base all of our global warming projections on computer modeling?
https://edmontonjournal.com/news/local-news/b-c-glaciers-38-per-cent-thicker-than-expected-surprising-study-finds/wcm/5a62596d-8305-4830-ae98-4f25208200ed
The study, entitled “Bias-corrected estimates of glacier thickness in the Columbia River Basin, Canada,” was published in The Journal of Glaciology, and can be seen here:
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-glaciology/article/biascorrected-estimates-of-glacier-thickness-in-the-columbia-river-basin-canada/E8DCB7FAF1A5DF21CC529ADA6844B1B4
Thanks to Terry Schneider for these links
The post B.C. Glaciers More Than a Third Bigger Than Thought – Video appeared first on Ice Age Now.
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November 30, 2020 at 04:16PM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-11-30--Climategate: Another Anniversary (never forget ….)

[ Editor Note : It was during the Thanksgiving weekend 11 years ago that the Climategate ’ s unsettling oeuvre was first being disseminated and analyzed .
This post summarizes some remembrances from that period . ]
Climategate lives in infamy .
Then , and now , it is a case study of agendas driving science rather than science driving agendas .
Eleven years ago , climate alarmists and friends ( including Dessler above ) went into damage control .
But with such an evidentiary record of scientific malpractice , books solidified the record such as : • Hiding the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Affair , by A. W. Montford ( 2012 ) • Climategate : The Crutape Letters , by Steven Mosher and Thomas Fuller ( 2010 ) • A Disgrace to the Profession , by Mark Steyn ( 2015 ) Perhaps the most revealing book was by a fair broker of mainstream climate science , Fred Pierce , The Climate Files ( 2010 ) .
Pierce fairly identified Michael Mann as the worst of the bad actors–and Steve McIntyre as the data liberator .
Regarding Michael Mann ( p. 90 ) : Here are some @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for the record .
“ Of course , if you believe the mainstream media , Climategate was little more than a fake news story concocted by a small cabal of wicked deniers in order to discredit the noble cause of climate science .
This is a lie and a particularly dangerous lie at that.
” “ Climategate was the scandal that exposed this truth to the world .
And that ’ s why the increasingly powerful alarmist Establishment has long fought so hard to play down its significance .
The alarmists — helped @ @ @ @ @ @ @ trying to do to the scandal what Harvey Keitel ’ s Winston ‘ The Wolf ’ Wolfe character did in Pulp Fiction : clean up the bodies , pretend nothing untoward ever happened.
” “ My own involvement in Climategate was actually quite modest .
At least , the heavy lifting was done by people much more diligent and scientifically minded than me , such as Steve McIntyre , Willis Eschenbach , Joanna Nova , Anthony Watts , Lucia Liljegren , Andrew Montford , Ross McKitrick , Fred Pearce , Roger Tallbloke , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Id , Jean S , Steven Mosher , and many others.
” “ What Climategate revealed , however , is that the climate change ‘ experts ’ we ’ re supposed to trust just aren ’ t trustworthy .
They lie , they cheat , they ’ re motivated more by grant-troughing and dodgy political activism than they are by — lol — the disinterested quest for knowledge .
That was the real shocker at the time of Climategate : that the people on whose ‘ expert ’ wisdom trillions of dollars worth @ @ @ @ @ @ @ being spent on sundry green boondoggles are in fact a lousy bunch of fraudulent second-raters unfit to run a cookie bake sale , let alone a scam involving upwards of one percent of the global economy.
” “ In November 2009 I was in Brussels at a climate skeptic conference being put on by Hans Lobohm .
I remember the first message I got… .
“ You need to look at this !
“ .
Then reading the emails , wide-eyed , and realizing I [ decided ] … under no circumstances would @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it until I was back on U.S. soil .
Then , after clearing customs at Dulles two days later , I sat down in the airport , and wrote the story , breaking the news on the 19th.
” “ Luckily , James Delingpole picked up the story for his column , and its entry into the British newspaper The Telegraph started the chain reaction that made the story grow , becoming the ‘ worst scientific scandal of our generation ‘ .
” “ But while proponents of ‘ the cause ’ ( @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in a recent op-ed for Newsweek ) pat themselves on the back comforting each other with ‘ there ’ s nothing to see here ’ , there are reasons to rejoice about Climategate ten years later.
” “ Climategate brought chaos to Copenhagen aka COP15 – critically wounding the prospects of cap-and-trade legislation in the process .
It helped the world dodge the climate mania bullet for 5 years , until the Paris accord in 2015.
” Donald Trump became aware of the Climategate story , years before he became President , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has mentioned it ) that it affected his opinion… .
And as we know , as President , he fulfilled his campaign promises and pulled the USA out of the Paris Climate Accord , and gutted the draconian EPA .
“ For [ the above ] , I am proud to have had a part , along with the Heartland Institute , whose advice and support gave Trump even more ammunition to pull off the withdrawal from the Paris accord.
” “ There was no exoneration [ of Climategate ] by any objective @ @ @ @ @ @ @ McKitrick lays all this out in his article Understanding the Climategate Inquiries.
” “ The scientists involved in the email exchanges manipulated evidence in IPCC and WMO reports with the effect of misleading readers , including policymakers .
The divergence problem was concealed by deleting data to ‘ hide the decline.
’ The panels that examined the issue in detail , namely Muir Russell ’ s panel , concurred that the graph was ‘ misleading.
’ The ridiculous attempt by the Penn State Inquiry to defend an instance of deleting data and splicing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ problem only discredits their claims to have investigated the issue.
” “ The scientists privately expressed greater doubts or uncertainties about the science in their own professional writings and in their interactions with one another than they allowed to be stated in reports of the IPCC or WMO that were intended for policymakers .
Rather than criticise the scientists for this , the inquiries ( particularly the House of Commons and Oxburgh inquiries ) took the astonishing view that as long as scientists expressed doubts and uncertainties in their academic papers and among @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to conceal those uncertainties in documents prepared for policy makers.
” “ … academics reading the emails could see quite clearly the tribalism at work , and in comparison to other fields , climatology comes off looking juvenile , corrupt and in the grip of a handful of self-appointed gatekeepers and bullies.
” “ Given the huge stakes and the serious structural issues surrounding the assessment of climate science and policy that had emerged from Climategate , these concerns of the climate scientists seem small-minded and naïve , not to mention counter-productive – @ @ @ @ @ @ @ made the situation even worse.
” “ At the time of Climategate , public advocacy by climate scientists of climate policy was generally frowned upon , and only a few senior , well-established scientists dared to do this ( e.g .
Jim Hansen ) .
At this point , climate scientist/activists are very large in number , and such activism seems to be a ticket to professional success.
” “ … Climategate lives on in numerous lawsuits that Michael Mann has filed related to criticisms of his behavior related to the hockeystick .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ since they were filed about 8 years ago ( although Mann did lose his lawsuit against Tim Ball ) .
With these lawsuits , there is no denying that the impacts of Climategate are still playing out.
” Some of the involved scientists , such as Michael Mann , as well as a five-part series of blogs at DESMOG have felt it necessary to relive the controversy .
None dare do the most simple thing : provide the quotations .
( I provided a dirty dozen here that speak for themselves . )
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ history .
( It is still not known who hacked the emails ; just that they were hacked . )
And Michael Mann was at the center of it , inspiring one professional climatologist to humorously opine that Mann “ belongs in the state pen , not Penn State .
”

Reposted from MasterResource
By Robert Bradley Jr. — November 27, 2020
[Editor Note: It was during the Thanksgiving weekend 11 years ago that the Climategate’s unsettling oeuvre was first being disseminated and analyzed. This post summarizes some remembrances from that period.]
“The conflict between the two ideas about how science should be conducted–a closed system dominated by gatekeepers, or a more chaotic but less hierarchical open system–is the dominant story of the [Climategate] emails over more than a decade.” – Fred Pierce, The Climate Files (2010), p. 13.
“There is no doubt that these emails are embarrassing and a public-relations disaster for science.” – Andrew Dessler, “Climate E-Mails Cloud the Debate,” December 10, 2009.
Climategate lives in infamy. Then, and now, it is a case study of agendas driving science rather than science driving agendas.
Eleven years ago, climate alarmists and friends (including Dessler above) went into damage control. But with such an evidentiary record of scientific malpractice, books solidified the record such as:
The Hockey Stick Illusion, by A. W. Montford (2010)
Hiding the Decline: A History of the Climategate Affair, by A. W. Montford (2012)
Climategate: The Crutape Letters, by Steven Mosher and Thomas Fuller (2010)
Climategate, by Brian Sussmanh (2010)
A Disgrace to the Profession, by Mark Steyn (2015)
Perhaps the most revealing book was by a fair broker of mainstream climate science, Fred Pierce, The Climate Files (2010). Pierce fairly identified Michael Mann as the worst of the bad actors–and Steve McIntyre as the data liberator. Regarding Michael Mann (p. 90):
Mann has always been a tasty target. His voluble style has made enemies and exasperated his friends. “The goddam guy is a slick talker and super-confident. He won’t listen to anyone else,” one of climate science’s most senior figures … told me. “I don’t trust people like that. A lot of data sets he uses are shitty, you know. They are just not up to what he is trying to do….”
And in contrast, Steve McIntyre (pp. 13–14):
Climategate would not have happened without … Steve McIntyre. Whether you see him as a hero or a villain, his data wars with Mann, Jones, Briffa, and Santer helped create the siege mentality among the scientists, and set them on a path of opposition to freedom of information. By drawing in scores of data liberationists from both inside and outside the science community, he certainly inspired whoever stole and released the emails.
Here are some remembrances of the good guys and gals for the record.
James Delingpole
“Of course, if you believe the mainstream media, Climategate was little more than a fake news story concocted by a small cabal of wicked deniers in order to discredit the noble cause of climate science. This is a lie and a particularly dangerous lie at that.”
“Climategate was the scandal that exposed this truth to the world. And that’s why the increasingly powerful alarmist Establishment has long fought so hard to play down its significance. The alarmists — helped by a lazily complicit media — are trying to do to the scandal what Harvey Keitel’s Winston ‘The Wolf’ Wolfe character did in Pulp Fiction: clean up the bodies, pretend nothing untoward ever happened.”
“My own involvement in Climategate was actually quite modest. At least, the heavy lifting was done by people much more diligent and scientifically minded than me, such as Steve McIntyre, Willis Eschenbach, Joanna Nova, Anthony Watts, Lucia Liljegren, Andrew Montford, Ross McKitrick, Fred Pearce, Roger Tallbloke, Christopher Booker, David Rose, Jeff Id, Jean S, Steven Mosher, and many others.”
“What Climategate revealed, however, is that the climate change ‘experts’ we’re supposed to trust just aren’t trustworthy. They lie, they cheat, they’re motivated more by grant-troughing and dodgy political activism than they are by — lol — the disinterested quest for knowledge. That was the real shocker at the time of Climategate: that the people on whose ‘expert’ wisdom trillions of dollars worth of your money and my money are being spent on sundry green boondoggles are in fact a lousy bunch of fraudulent second-raters unfit to run a cookie bake sale, let alone a scam involving upwards of one percent of the global economy.”
Anthony Watts
“In November 2009 I was in Brussels at a climate skeptic conference being put on by Hans Lobohm. I remember the first message I got…. “You need to look at this!“. Then reading the emails, wide-eyed, and realizing I [decided] … under no circumstances would we write anything about it or release it until I was back on U.S. soil. Then, after clearing customs at Dulles two days later, I sat down in the airport, and wrote the story, breaking the news on the 19th.”
“Luckily, James Delingpole picked up the story for his column, and its entry into the British newspaper The Telegraph started the chain reaction that made the story grow, becoming the ‘worst scientific scandal of our generation‘.”
“But while proponents of ‘the cause’ (most notably the execrable Michael E. Mann in a recent op-ed for Newsweek) pat themselves on the back comforting each other with ‘there’s nothing to see here’, there are reasons to rejoice about Climategate ten years later.”
“Climategate brought chaos to Copenhagen aka COP15 – critically wounding the prospects of cap-and-trade legislation in the process. It helped the world dodge the climate mania bullet for 5 years, until the Paris accord in 2015.”
Donald Trump became aware of the Climategate story, years before he became President, and I have to think (since he has mentioned it) that it affected his opinion…. And as we know, as President, he fulfilled his campaign promises and pulled the USA out of the Paris Climate Accord, and gutted the draconian EPA.
“For [the above], I am proud to have had a part, along with the Heartland Institute, whose advice and support gave Trump even more ammunition to pull off the withdrawal from the Paris accord.”
Judith Curry
“There was no exoneration [of Climategate] by any objective analysis of the various inquiries. Ross McKitrick lays all this out in his article Understanding the Climategate Inquiries.”
“The scientists involved in the email exchanges manipulated evidence in IPCC and WMO reports with the effect of misleading readers, including policymakers. The divergence problem was concealed by deleting data to ‘hide the decline.’ The panels that examined the issue in detail, namely Muir Russell’s panel, concurred that the graph was ‘misleading.’ The ridiculous attempt by the Penn State Inquiry to defend an instance of deleting data and splicing in other data to conceal a divergence problem only discredits their claims to have investigated the issue.”
“The scientists privately expressed greater doubts or uncertainties about the science in their own professional writings and in their interactions with one another than they allowed to be stated in reports of the IPCC or WMO that were intended for policymakers. Rather than criticise the scientists for this, the inquiries (particularly the House of Commons and Oxburgh inquiries) took the astonishing view that as long as scientists expressed doubts and uncertainties in their academic papers and among themselves, it was acceptable for them to conceal those uncertainties in documents prepared for policy makers.”
“… academics reading the emails could see quite clearly the tribalism at work, and in comparison to other fields, climatology comes off looking juvenile, corrupt and in the grip of a handful of self-appointed gatekeepers and bullies.”
“Given the huge stakes and the serious structural issues surrounding the assessment of climate science and policy that had emerged from Climategate, these concerns of the climate scientists seem small-minded and naïve, not to mention counter-productive – ‘circling the wagons’ even tighter made the situation even worse.”
“At the time of Climategate, public advocacy by climate scientists of climate policy was generally frowned upon, and only a few senior, well-established scientists dared to do this (e.g. Jim Hansen). At this point, climate scientist/activists are very large in number, and such activism seems to be a ticket to professional success.”
“… Climategate lives on in numerous lawsuits that Michael Mann has filed related to criticisms of his behavior related to the hockeystick. Most of these lawsuits continue to languish since they were filed about 8 years ago (although Mann did lose his lawsuit against Tim Ball). With these lawsuits, there is no denying that the impacts of Climategate are still playing out.”
Update: The New “Denialists”
Some of the involved scientists, such as Michael Mann, as well as a five-part series of blogs at DESMOG have felt it necessary to relive the controversy. None dare do the most simple thing: provide the quotations. (I provided a dirty dozen here that speak for themselves.)
Mann states:
While the fossil fuel industry had for decades sought to forestall regulation of carbon emissions, Climategate illustrated the depths of dishonesty to which denialists were willing to sink in their efforts to sabotage action on climate. It was a tacit admission on their part that they no longer had a legitimate case to make. And so citing “Climategate” as a reason for inaction has become a simple “tell” in the climate discourse. Those who do it are acting in bad faith. They are not honest actors expressing true belief. They are dissemblers intentionally misrepresenting the science and the scientists to score political points on behalf of the fossil fuel interests whose bidding they are doing.
Such an interpretation is wishful versus actual history. (It is still not known who hacked the emails; just that they were hacked.) And Michael Mann was at the center of it, inspiring one professional climatologist to humorously opine that Mann “belongs in the state pen, not Penn State.”
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iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-11-30--An attempted coup d’etat? – Videos

An attempted coup d’etat? – Videos

U.S. Special Forces involved in an operation , including a gun battle , to secure servers that contain crucial information to prove voter fraud in the 2020 election .
Coup d ’ etat : French : literally “ blow of state ” ; an ousting , overthrow , takeover , or removal of an existing government from power , usually through violent means .
“ The Trump team has made considerable progress against the forces associating themselves with rogue elements of the C > I > A > which are apparently at the heart of the anti-Trump coup d ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ were receiving the information from Dominio servers on election night.
” Lt. Gen. McInerney : There Were Casualties in Special Forces Raid to Get Servers From CIA Facility Lt. General Thomas McInerney Reports US Special Forces Attacked CIA Server Farm In Germany In Server Seizure Operation , 5 Soldiers Killed , Servers Secured Retired Air Force Lt. General Thomas McInerney , who served an illustrious career in top military positions and is a friend of Lt. General Mike Flynn , said during a bombshell interview that U.S. Special Forces were , in fact @ @ @ @ @ @ @ servers that contains crucial information to prove the reality of voter fraud in the 2020 election .
According to Trump Recount Committee member Brian Trascher during a November 18 interview on Newsmax , servers in Germany belonging to Dominion have already been seized and are now being analyzed for evidence .
“ Now that we have seized the servers for Dominion that were over in Germany , we ’ re starting to get some raw data off of that , ” Trascher said .
“ I want everybody to listen to me .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ out are going to shake the globalists to their very core.
” He warned that once it became clear to the Deep State and the Left that Trump would secure another term , terror mobs would be unleashed in American cities to terrorize and destroy .
This is in line with claims by Sidney Powell , who previously served as attorney for Flynn and is currently involved in filing Dominion-related election lawsuits ( although she is not working with the Trump campaign in an official capacity ) .
During the same WVW interview @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Trump : There is no doubt in my mind that he won this election .
Hands down .
In a landslide , probably somewhere between 350-400 electoral college votes .
Over the last two decades , and probably longer , we have seen a complete shift in how fast communist China , in their long term plan , decided to move up their plans to become the sole global superpower on the planet .
I believe that at the end of the day we ’ re going to find out that he won @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ll be inaugurated come this January Thanks to Timothy Minnich for these links The post An attempted coup d ’ etat ?
– Videos appeared first on Ice Age Now .

U.S. Special Forces involved in an operation, including a gun battle, to secure servers that contain crucial information to prove voter fraud in the 2020 election.
Coup d’etat: French: literally “blow of state”; an ousting, overthrow, takeover, or removal of an existing government from power, usually through violent means.
A Gun Battle Over the Servers??
“The Trump team has made considerable progress against the forces associating themselves with rogue elements of the C>I>A> which are apparently at the heart of the anti-Trump coup d’etat.
“Apparently C.I.A. servers were receiving the information from Dominio servers on election night.”
(To avoid the ad, begin watching at about 0:53 )
Lt. Gen. McInerney: There Were Casualties in Special Forces Raid to Get Servers From CIA Facility
Lt. General Thomas McInerney Reports US Special Forces Attacked CIA Server Farm In Germany In Server Seizure Operation, 5 Soldiers Killed, Servers Secured
Retired Air Force Lt. General Thomas McInerney, who served an illustrious career in top military positions and is a friend of Lt. General Mike Flynn, said during a bombshell interview that U.S. Special Forces were, in fact, involved in an operation to secure servers that contains crucial information to prove the reality of voter fraud in the 2020 election.
According to Trump Recount Committee member Brian Trascher during a November 18 interview on Newsmax, servers in Germany belonging to Dominion have already been seized and are now being analyzed for evidence. “Now that we have seized the servers for Dominion that were over in Germany, we’re starting to get some raw data off of that,” Trascher said. “I want everybody to listen to me. The things that are going to come out are going to shake the globalists to their very core.” He warned that once it became clear to the Deep State and the Left that Trump would secure another term, terror mobs would be unleashed in American cities to terrorize and destroy.
This is in line with claims by Sidney Powell, who previously served as attorney for Flynn and is currently involved in filing Dominion-related election lawsuits (although she is not working with the Trump campaign in an official capacity).
During the same WVW interview as McInerney, Flynn said of President Trump:
There is no doubt in my mind that he won this election. Hands down. In a landslide, probably somewhere between 350-400 electoral college votes. Over the last two decades, and probably longer, we have seen a complete shift in how fast communist China, in their long term plan, decided to move up their plans to become the sole global superpower on the planet.
I believe that at the end of the day we’re going to find out that he won by a massive landslide and he’ll be inaugurated come this January
See more:
https://thenewamerican.com/lt-gen-mcinerney-there-were-casualties-in-special-forces-raid-to-get-servers-from-cia-facility/
Thanks to Timothy Minnich for these links
The post An attempted coup d’etat? – Videos appeared first on Ice Age Now.
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November 30, 2020 at 02:08PM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-11-30--Thus far, the medical dictatorship plan has been working magnificently

“ It is a way to destroy America without firing one single shot.
” – Benito Lorez Thus far , the medical dictatorship plan has been working magnificently The REAL powers that be ( not POTUS who is simply a pretty face with no real power ) have long tried to figure out a way to put America under their total control .
Now they ’ ve figured out that there is no better way than a “ medical dictatorship ” and thus far that plan has been working magnificently .
Just look at all of the sheep wearing masks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ dictatorship is not going to end any time soon I assure you .
It is a way to destroy America without firing one single shot .
Fear is an AMAZING weapon !
As for we who continue to resist we will be eliminated at some point I am sure .
So be it !
I ’ m tired of this hell hole they are creating anyway .
And for all of you obeying sheeple out there don ’ t make the mistake of thinking they care about you .
THEY DON ’ T @ @ @ @ @ @ @ eating and consumer machine !
Good luck in your future because you are going to need it .
Covid has a growing list of symptoms that is nothing short of amazing .
In fact , it could pass for an intelligent alien lifeform .
But it is not .
This is all about YOUR compliance .
Giving up YOUR freedom .
Have you heard the latest preposterous claim ” Covid makes your teeth fall out , no blood , no swelling , they just pop out .
LOL seriously ?
The “ symptoms @ @ @ @ @ @ @ day and yet most do not even question any of them because they believe M.D .
behind any name means “ GOD ” .
Bull !
Fact is most of them are QUACKS !
I USED to have high hopes that Americans would be heroes , stand up , and fight back but no longer .
We just don ’ t have the guts nor the courage to do that .
Oh yes , SOME still do but they are very few .
Most will just lay down and take it no matter @ @ @ @ @ @ @ truly , Covid has reached that point…INSANITY not to mention sheer ignorance .
Oh and for you who are looking for a savior…..save yourself !
YOU are the Saviors !
Darkness and evil covers our land .
The smell of death grows daily .
Fear engulfs us more and more with each passing day .
Now is the time for heroes but , alas , they are nowhere to be found .
What sad , sad times we live in…..stay tuned .
The post Thus far , the medical dictatorship plan has been @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Now .

“It is a way to destroy America without firing one single shot.”
– Benito Lorez
__________
Thus far, the medical dictatorship plan has been working magnificently
Benito Lorez
The REAL powers that be (not POTUS who is simply a pretty face with no real power) have long tried to figure out a way to put America under their total control. Now they’ve figured out that there is no better way than a “medical dictatorship” and thus far that plan has been working magnificently. Just look at all of the sheep wearing masks in their cars alone! This medical dictatorship is not going to end any time soon I assure you. It is a way to destroy America without firing one single shot. Fear is an AMAZING weapon!
As for we who continue to resist we will be eliminated at some point I am sure. So be it! I’m tired of this hell hole they are creating anyway. And for all of you obeying sheeple out there don’t make the mistake of thinking they care about you. THEY DON’T! You are nothing more than an eating and consumer machine! Good luck in your future because you are going to need it.
Covid has a growing list of symptoms that is nothing short of amazing. In fact, it could pass for an intelligent alien lifeform. But it is not. This is all about YOUR compliance. Giving up YOUR freedom. Have you heard the latest preposterous claim” Covid makes your teeth fall out, no blood, no swelling, they just pop out. LOL seriously? The “symptoms” get more ridiculous with each passing day and yet most do not even question any of them because they believe M.D. behind any name means “GOD”. Bull! Fact is most of them are QUACKS!
I USED to have high hopes that Americans would be heroes, stand up, and fight back but no longer. We just don’t have the guts nor the courage to do that. Oh yes, SOME still do but they are very few. Most will just lay down and take it no matter how insane it is. And, truly, Covid has reached that point…INSANITY not to mention sheer ignorance. Oh and for you who are looking for a savior…..save yourself! YOU are the Saviors!
Darkness and evil covers our land. The smell of death grows daily. Fear engulfs us more and more with each passing day. Now is the time for heroes but, alas, they are nowhere to be found. What sad, sad times we live in…..stay tuned.
The post Thus far, the medical dictatorship plan has been working magnificently appeared first on Ice Age Now.
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November 30, 2020 at 02:08PM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-11-30--Cyberwarfare: Two 3-Star Generals call it “treason” and explain The Kraken is a Military Intelligenc

Cyberwarfare: Two 3-Star Generals call it “treason” and explain The Kraken is a Military Intelligence Unit

Both Michael Flynn and Thomas McInerney spoke on WVW with Brannon Howse They make remarkable claims .
These are both three star Lieutenant Generals , effectively endorsing each other and Trump and suggesting CIA involvement , foreign interference , and talking of crack US soldiers seizing servers in Germany that were controlled by the CIA .
The implications are that there are sections of US intelligence on opposite sides of the battle .
This might explain why , at one point , Sidney Powell said she wasn ’ t sure if the good guys or the bad guys had the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ guys apparently got the servers in the end , but possibly at the highest price , and we wait to find out what , if anything , was on them ) .
Not many in the US would know more about intelligence operations than Michael Flynn — the 18th Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency ( DIA ) under Obama and the National Security Adviser under Trump .
Thomas G. McInerney is a retired United States Air Force Lieutenant General who flew in 407 combat missions during the Vietnam War .
He was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the US Air Force .
“ We ’ ve never seen treason of this magnitude ever in [ … ]

Both Michael Flynn and Thomas McInerney spoke on WVW with Brannon Howse
They make remarkable claims. These are both three star Lieutenant Generals, effectively endorsing each other and Trump and suggesting CIA involvement, foreign interference, and talking of crack US soldiers seizing servers in Germany that were controlled by the CIA.
The implications are that there are sections of US intelligence on opposite sides of the battle. This might explain why, at one point, Sidney Powell said she wasn’t sure if the good guys or the bad guys had the servers in Germany. (The good guys apparently got the servers in the end, but possibly at the highest price, and we wait to find out what, if anything, was on them).
Not many in the US would know more about intelligence operations than Michael Flynn — the 18th Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) under Obama and the National Security Adviser under Trump. Thomas G. McInerney is a retired United States Air Force Lieutenant General who flew in 407 combat missions during the Vietnam War. He was also Assistant Vice Chief of Staff of the US Air Force.
“We’ve never seen treason of this magnitude ever in […]
Rating: 10.0/10 (1 vote cast)
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November 30, 2020 at 01:26PM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-11-30--UPHEAVAL – my new ice tsunami novel – is now available!

My new short novel is out !
UPHEAVAL is a future disaster thriller about an ice tsunami that devastates Nova Scotia on the Canadian east coast in 2026 .
And yes , there are polar bears .
It ’ s a follow-up to my 2015 novel EATEN but with a completely different focus !
Description : Eighty-six year old Duff Gillies didn ’ t want to die without telling the story of what he ’ d witnessed during the great sea ice tsunami that devastated Cape Breton Island , Nova Scotia back in 2026 .
That was the winter he @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Walker on as his student aboard the Ice Queen and the year polar bears invaded the Gulf of St. Lawrence for the first time .
After an unsettling polar bear encounter out on the ice , Duff thought he ’ d seen everything but then three ice-covered waves turned his quiet maritime existence upside down .
Called on to help a good friend rescue his brother , he and Izzy witnessed first-hand the devastating toll the tsunami had taken .
But Duff had an experience no one else did and it came to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the greatest tsunami disaster ever to hit a North American shore is a story you won ’ t want to miss .
It ’ s a short novel that will leave you astonished at the destructive power a tsunami can muster when it teams up with thick sea ice cover .
Don ’ t forget to leave a review on Amazon .
Even a sentence or two is extremely useful in the early days of book sales .
Also a perfect gift – or to stockpile for holiday reading .
PS .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ science books if you are looking for Christmas gift ideas !
The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened is also available in paperback and ebook formats and Polar Bear Facts & Myths ( suitable for school-aged children ) is available in five languages ( English , French , German , Dutch , Norwegian ) .

My new short novel is out! UPHEAVAL is a future disaster thriller about an ice tsunami that devastates Nova Scotia on the Canadian east coast in 2026. And yes, there are polar bears. It’s a follow-up to my 2015 novel EATEN but with a completely different focus!
Description: Eighty-six year old Duff Gillies didn’t want to die without telling the story of what he’d witnessed during the great sea ice tsunami that devastated Cape Breton Island, Nova Scotia back in 2026. That was the winter he’d agreed to take young Izzy Walker on as his student aboard the Ice Queen and the year polar bears invaded the Gulf of St. Lawrence for the first time. After an unsettling polar bear encounter out on the ice, Duff thought he’d seen everything but then three ice-covered waves turned his quiet maritime existence upside down. Called on to help a good friend rescue his brother, he and Izzy witnessed first-hand the devastating toll the tsunami had taken. But Duff had an experience no one else did and it came to haunt him. This fictional first-person account of the greatest tsunami disaster ever to hit a North American shore is a story you won’t want to miss. It’s a short novel that will leave you astonished at the destructive power a tsunami can muster when it teams up with thick sea ice cover.
Don’t forget to leave a review on Amazon. Even a sentence or two is extremely useful in the early days of book sales. Also a perfect gift – or to stockpile for holiday reading.
PS. Don’t forget my polar bear science books if you are looking for Christmas gift ideas! The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened is also available in paperback and ebook formats and Polar Bear Facts & Myths (suitable for school-aged children) is available in five languages (English, French, German, Dutch, Norwegian).
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November 30, 2020 at 01:07PM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--Sustainable Newspeak by 2050

Sustainable Newspeak by 2050

There are no dictionaries of sustainability ’ s Newspeak .
Its mavens rely less on new words than on perverting or reversing the meaning of old ones .
George Orwell pointed out that one of the first casualties of socialism is language .
The damage is not collateral , it is deliberate—designed to numb minds and render critical thought difficult or impossible .
The instrument of this dumbing down in Nineteen Eighty-Four was Newspeak , the official language of the English Socialist Party ( Ingsoc ) .
Newspeak was a sort of Totalitarian Esperanto that sought gradually to diminish the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , contracting , and manufacturing words .
New words had a “ political implication ” and “ were intended to impose a desirable mental attitude upon the person using them.
” The meaning of words was often reversed , as was most starkly emphasized in the key slogans of Ingsoc : Nineteen Eighty-Four was written in 1949 .
Its nightmarish fictional world is now 36 years in the past , so one might reasonably conclude that Orwell was far too pessimistic , but his great book was less a prediction than a warning @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the totalitarian mentality .
Meanwhile , there is another significant date in Nineteen Eighty-Four .
The book ’ s Appendix on the principles of Newspeak stressed that the corruption of language was a multi-generational project whose fruition would not come until well into the present century .
Ingsoc ’ s objective was to render independent thought impossible by “ about 2050.
” Intriguingly , that is the same year that the world allegedly has to become “ carbon neutral , ” or “ Net Zero , ” to avoid climate Armaggedon .
Twenty @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the UN ’ s “ Global Governance ” agenda , which seeks nothing less than to oversee and regulate every aspect of life on the basis of a suite of alarmist projections .
The main existential threat is claimed to be catastrophic man-made climate change .
“ Climate governance ” has thus emerged as the “ fourth pillar , ” of the UN ’ s mandate , joining Peace & Security , Development , and Human Rights .
So far—as with the other three pillars—the UN ’ s climate efforts have been spectacularly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ Conferences of the Parties , ” or COPs , which have promoted a morass of uncoordinated national policies that have had zero impact on the climate .
COP 21 in Paris in 2015 , for instance , was meant to hatch a successor to the failed Kyoto Agreement .
But all it produced was a raft of hypocritical , voluntary , fingers-crossed “ Nationally Determined Contributions.
” The failure of Paris , and of temperatures to rise in line with flawed models , led to a doubling down of “ ambitions.
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Paris was for the countries of the world to hold temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius above levels before the Industrial Revolution ( The Original Climate Sin ) .
Staying below that level , UN policy wonks rapidly calculated , would require the world to become carbon neutral , or Net-Zero , by 2050 .
In a video lecture to Chinese students earlier this year , UN Secretary-General António Guterres claimed that there was “ No excuse ” not to meet the Net-Zero emission target by 2050 .
“ The time for small steps @ @ @ @ @ @ @ “ What is needed now is transformational change.
” For “ transformational ” read “ revolutionary ; ” change that would involve the destruction of Western industrial society and freedom .
In fact , there is no climate “ crisis ” or “ emergency.
” However , as Orwell noted , the language of fear and panic is one of the main instruments of political control .
Today , just as in Nineteen Eighty-Four , the classical liberal concepts of liberty and equality ( of opportunity ) are under relentless attack , as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Liberty and equality were classified in Newspeak as “ Crimethink.
” Objectivity and rationalism were “ Oldthink.
” A doomed Newspeak lexicographer named Syme tells the book ’ s equally doomed hero , Winston Smith , that even the party slogans will eventually become incomprehensible : “ How could you have a slogan like ‘ freedom is slavery ’ when the concept of freedom has been abolished ?
” Orwell was hardly the first observer to point to the political dangers of linguistic manipulation , which go back to discussions of sophistry @ @ @ @ @ @ @ philosopher Friedrich Hayek pointed in particular to the left ’ s use of “ social.
” He dubbed it a “ weasel word ” that not merely sucked meaning from words to which it was attached but often reversed meaning .
Thus , by classical liberal standards , social democracy is undemocratic , social justice is unjust , and a social market economy is anti-market .
We have a prime current example in the phrase “ social license to operate , ” which in fact means a potential veto on corporate activities by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , the stormtroopers of the Global Governance agenda .
Private corporations were once socialism ’ s enemies ; now they have been co-opted as its partners , agents of “ Global Salvationism.
” Nobel economist Milton Freidman pointed to the subversive , open-ended nature of “ Corporate Social Responsibility , ” where “ responsibility ” represents another weasel word .
CSR ’ s purpose is to force corporate executives to abandon their responsibility to their shareholders in favour of an endless list of “ stakeholder ” demands .
Friedman has been regularly and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ever since .
The most recent example was a collection of overwhelmingly condemnatory essays in the New York Times to commemorate the 50th anniversary of the publication of Friedman ’ s essay on CSR .
Typically , it grossly misrepresented Friedman and wrote off his alleged bottom line as “ Greed is Good.
” The shackles of CSR have now been tightened by the concept of ESG ( Environmental , Social , and corporate Governance ) .
ESG is , like the neologisms of Newspeak , “ intended to impose a desirable mental @ @ @ @ @ @ @ seem intellectually and morally defenceless in the face of NGO campaigns of lies and intimidation .
Business schools certainly don ’ t appear to equip them to counter such assaults .
The post Sustainable Newspeak by 2050 appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum ( GWPF ) .

There are no dictionaries of sustainability’s Newspeak. Its mavens rely less on new words than on perverting or reversing the meaning of old ones.
George Orwell pointed out that one of the first casualties of socialism is language. The damage is not collateral, it is deliberate—designed to numb minds and render critical thought difficult or impossible. The instrument of this dumbing down in Nineteen Eighty-Four was Newspeak, the official language of the English Socialist Party (Ingsoc). Newspeak was a sort of Totalitarian Esperanto that sought gradually to diminish the range of what was thinkable by eliminating, contracting, and manufacturing words. New words had a “political implication” and “were intended to impose a desirable mental attitude upon the person using them.” The meaning of words was often reversed, as was most starkly emphasized in the key slogans of Ingsoc:
WAR IS PEACE FREEDOM IS SLAVERY IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH
Nineteen Eighty-Four was written in 1949. Its nightmarish fictional world is now 36 years in the past, so one might reasonably conclude that Orwell was far too pessimistic, but his great book was less a prediction than a warning, and above all an analysis of the totalitarian mentality. Meanwhile, there is another significant date in Nineteen Eighty-Four. The book’s Appendix on the principles of Newspeak stressed that the corruption of language was a multi-generational project whose fruition would not come until well into the present century. Ingsoc’s objective was to render independent thought impossible by “about 2050.”
Intriguingly, that is the same year that the world allegedly has to become “carbon neutral,” or “Net Zero,” to avoid climate Armaggedon.
Weasel Words
Twenty Fifty has become a key date for the UN’s “Global Governance” agenda, which seeks nothing less than to oversee and regulate every aspect of life on the basis of a suite of alarmist projections. The main existential threat is claimed to be catastrophic man-made climate change. “Climate governance” has thus emerged as the “fourth pillar,” of the UN’s mandate, joining Peace & Security, Development, and Human Rights.
So far—as with the other three pillars—the UN’s climate efforts have been spectacularly unsuccessful. It has held 25 enormous “Conferences of the Parties,” or COPs, which have promoted a morass of uncoordinated national policies that have had zero impact on the climate.
COP 21 in Paris in 2015, for instance, was meant to hatch a successor to the failed Kyoto Agreement. But all it produced was a raft of hypocritical, voluntary, fingers-crossed “Nationally Determined Contributions.” The failure of Paris, and of temperatures to rise in line with flawed models, led to a doubling down of “ambitions.” One new commitment that seeped out of Paris was for the countries of the world to hold temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius above levels before the Industrial Revolution (The Original Climate Sin). Staying below that level, UN policy wonks rapidly calculated, would require the world to become carbon neutral, or Net-Zero, by 2050.
In a video lecture to Chinese students earlier this year, UN Secretary-General António Guterres claimed that there was “No excuse” not to meet the Net-Zero emission target by 2050. “The time for small steps has passed,” he said. “What is needed now is transformational change.” For “transformational” read “revolutionary;” change that would involve the destruction of Western industrial society and freedom.
In fact, there is no climate “crisis” or “emergency.” However, as Orwell noted, the language of fear and panic is one of the main instruments of political control.
Today, just as in Nineteen Eighty-Four, the classical liberal concepts of liberty and equality(of opportunity) are under relentless attack, as are the values of reason and objectivity. Liberty and equality were classified in Newspeak as “Crimethink.” Objectivity and rationalism were “Oldthink.” A doomed Newspeak lexicographer named Syme tells the book’s equally doomed hero, Winston Smith, that even the party slogans will eventually become incomprehensible: “How could you have a slogan like ‘freedom is slavery’ when the concept of freedom has been abolished?”
Orwell was hardly the first observer to point to the political dangers of linguistic manipulation, which go back to discussions of sophistry in Plato. The great economist and philosopher Friedrich Hayek pointed in particular to the left’s use of “social.” He dubbed it a “weasel word” that not merely sucked meaning from words to which it was attached but often reversed meaning. Thus, by classical liberal standards, social democracy is undemocratic, social justice is unjust, and a social market economy is anti-market. We have a prime current example in the phrase “social license to operate,” which in fact means a potential veto on corporate activities by radical environmental non-governmental organizations (ENGOs), the stormtroopers of the Global Governance agenda. Private corporations were once socialism’s enemies; now they have been co-opted as its partners, agents of “Global Salvationism.” Nobel economist Milton Freidman pointed to the subversive, open-ended nature of “Corporate Social Responsibility,” where “responsibility” represents another weasel word. CSR’s purpose is to force corporate executives to abandon their responsibility to their shareholders in favour of an endless list of “stakeholder” demands.
Like the word “social,” “sustainable” tends to vitiate or reverse the meaning of words to which it is attached. Thus “sustainable” development is development retarded by top-down control.
Friedman has been regularly and ritually subjected to the Two Minutes Hate ever since. The most recent example was a collection of overwhelmingly condemnatory essays in the New York Times to commemorate the 50th anniversary of the publication of Friedman’s essay on CSR. Typically, it grossly misrepresented Friedman and wrote off his alleged bottom line as “Greed is Good.”
The shackles of CSR have now been tightened by the concept of ESG (Environmental, Social, and corporate Governance). ESG is, like the neologisms of Newspeak, “intended to impose a desirable mental attitude” on executives, who often seem intellectually and morally defenceless in the face of NGO campaigns of lies and intimidation. Business schools certainly don’t appear to equip them to counter such assaults.
The post Sustainable Newspeak by 2050 appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF).
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December 1, 2020 at 06:17AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--The new Dust Bowl that even the BBC blames on green climate policies

In his novel The Grapes of Wrath , John Steinbeck wrote about the US Dust Bowl of the 1930s and how families were driven off the land .
It scored him a Pulitzer and was cited by the Nobel committee in awarding him the 1962 prize for literature .
In the wake of the Great Depression , the Midwestern United States suffered the hottest and driest weather on record and crops failed .
Cattle had been allowed to graze freely across the plains , even in the dry months , eating what little cover there was , leaving the soil @ @ @ @ @ @ @ an area of 50million acres , wind blew the topsoil into intense dust storms sometimes called ‘ haboobs ’ .
The haboobsare returning .
Last month NASA filmed one from space : a moving mountain of sand 200 miles wide and swirling up to a mile high .
It covered roads and buildings , silted dams and damaged crops .
According to the BBC Radio 4 programme , Inside Science , the cause is man-made .
‘ The irony is that , in much of the Mid-West , expansion of maize production has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to offset global warming , ’ presenter Roland Pease told listeners .
‘ And as other researchers have noted , this has meant grasslands with year-round cover have been ploughed up to make way for seasonal crops : echoes of what happened when tractors first arrived on the Great Plains.
’ As in the 1930s , the affected area covers North and South Dakota , Kansas , Nebraska , Iowa , western Minnesota and part of Colorado .
At the University of Utah , Andy Lambert wrote a thesis on atmospheric dust .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ particles in the atmosphere become a risk is set by the US Environmental Agency and has rarely been exceeded in the past .
‘ Now they are being exceeded once or twice every few years across many of the Great Plains states , ’ he said .
In another paper , Lambert said the expansion of crops in arid areas lay at the heart of the problem .
Winds lifting the sand also strip away the nutrients for vegetation growth that help to stabilise the soils .
‘ This is the same thing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 1933 , Congressman Edward Taylor introduced the Bill that still bears his name , licensing the use of pastures and , in marginal areas , limiting cattle to feed lots .
Eventually the dust settled , the grass came back , nature was allowed to restore a balance that had worked for millennia and haboobs became a thing of history .
But the rush for biofuels in an effort to combat climate change has once again ripped away the protective layer .
NASA has also logged an increase in sandstorms across Africa .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ people lack electricity , firewood is used for cooking and to heat homes and the loss of trees has seen a rapid spread of desert .
Along the edge of the Sahara , winds of up to 60mph move the dunes in such volume that they strip paint from cars and buildings .
Forbes magazine warned that sand from the Sahara was moving fast and high enough to reach the US .
On its website , NASA blames the problem on ‘ cutting of trees and overgrazing ’ , adding that ‘ without @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , wind erosion scours away the topsoil ’ .
According to the World Wide Fund for Nature ( WWF ) , up to half a billion acres in Africa could be earmarked for projects similar to those in the United States .
The African savanna , like the prairies , sustains a complex ecosystem that if disturbed could lead to similar problems .
Large areas of Zimbabwe , Mozambique , Kenya and Tanzania have never been farmed intensively , with locals grazing cattle and growing market crops on a scale compatible with the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Foundation in London , director Benny Peiser said he was ‘ pleasantly surprised at the accuracy and balance ’ of the BBC report .
‘ The BBC almost habitually exaggerate the influence of climate change in their coverage , ’ he said .
‘ For once they looked at the main cause behind an event.
’ The post The new Dust Bowl that even the BBC blames on green climate policies appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum ( GWPF ) .

In his novel The Grapes of Wrath, John Steinbeck wrote about the US Dust Bowl of the 1930s and how families were driven off the land. It scored him a Pulitzer and was cited by the Nobel committee in awarding him the 1962 prize for literature.
In the wake of the Great Depression, the Midwestern United States suffered the hottest and driest weather on record and crops failed. Cattle had been allowed to graze freely across the plains, even in the dry months, eating what little cover there was, leaving the soil exposed.
As a result, across an area of 50million acres, wind blew the topsoil into intense dust storms sometimes called ‘haboobs’.
The haboobsare returning. Last month NASA filmed one from space: a moving mountain of sand 200 miles wide and swirling up to a mile high. It covered roads and buildings, silted dams and damaged crops.
According to the BBC Radio 4 programme, Inside Science, the cause is man-made.
‘The irony is that, in much of the Mid-West, expansion of maize production has been encouraged by bio-fuel incentives, intended to offset global warming,’ presenter Roland Pease told listeners. ‘And as other researchers have noted, this has meant grasslands with year-round cover have been ploughed up to make way for seasonal crops: echoes of what happened when tractors first arrived on the Great Plains.’
As in the 1930s, the affected area covers North and South Dakota, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, western Minnesota and part of Colorado.
At the University of Utah, Andy Lambert wrote a thesis on atmospheric dust. He says the level at which large particles in the atmosphere become a risk is set by the US Environmental Agency and has rarely been exceeded in the past. ‘Now they are being exceeded once or twice every few years across many of the Great Plains states,’ he said.
In another paper, Lambert said the expansion of crops in arid areas lay at the heart of the problem. Winds lifting the sand also strip away the nutrients for vegetation growth that help to stabilise the soils. ‘This is the same thing we saw in the 1930s.’
In 1933, Congressman Edward Taylor introduced the Bill that still bears his name, licensing the use of pastures and, in marginal areas, limiting cattle to feed lots.
Eventually the dust settled, the grass came back, nature was allowed to restore a balance that had worked for millennia and haboobs became a thing of history. But the rush for biofuels in an effort to combat climate change has once again ripped away the protective layer.
NASA has also logged an increase in sandstorms across Africa. On a continent where an estimated 600million people lack electricity, firewood is used for cooking and to heat homes and the loss of trees has seen a rapid spread of desert. Along the edge of the Sahara, winds of up to 60mph move the dunes in such volume that they strip paint from cars and buildings. Forbes magazine warned that sand from the Sahara was moving fast and high enough to reach the US.
On its website, NASA blames the problem on ‘cutting of trees and overgrazing’, adding that ‘without vegetation to anchor the soil in place, wind erosion scours away the topsoil’.
According to the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF), up to half a billion acres in Africa could be earmarked for projects similar to those in the United States. The African savanna, like the prairies, sustains a complex ecosystem that if disturbed could lead to similar problems. Large areas of Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Kenya and Tanzania have never been farmed intensively, with locals grazing cattle and growing market crops on a scale compatible with the land.
At the Global Warming Policy Foundation in London, director Benny Peiser said he was ‘pleasantly surprised at the accuracy and balance’ of the BBC report.
‘The BBC almost habitually exaggerate the influence of climate change in their coverage,’ he said. ‘For once they looked at the main cause behind an event.’
The post The new Dust Bowl that even the BBC blames on green climate policies appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF).
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December 1, 2020 at 05:49AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--WHERE DOES THE BBC GET ITS CLIMATE “FACTS”?

This Article refers to a source called the Climate Action Tracker which claims to be ble to link pledges made @ @ @ @ @ CO2 emissions with the actual changes in temperature of the atmosphere over the next century @ @ @ @ @ the linked aticle to show the correlation .
Laughably they claim that the new pledges @ @ @ @ @ lower temperatures by an amazing 0.1 degrees Celcius .
They don ’ t show how @ @ @ @ @ they give the cost of achieving it ( put at a staggering $ 1,750,000,000,000 ( @ @ @ @ @ I wonder if the Americans will think it is such a good deal when they @ @ @ @ @ reality ?

This Article refers to a source called the Climate Action Tracker which claims to be ble to link pledges made by governments to cut their CO2 emissions with the actual changes in temperature of the atmosphere over the next century. They produce graphs in the linked aticle to show the correlation. Laughably they claim that the new pledges by president-elect Biden will actaully lower temperatures by an amazing 0.1 degrees Celcius. They don’t show how this is calcuated nor do they give the cost of achieving it (put at a staggering $1,750,000,000,000 (that’s trillion) I wonder if the Americans will think it is such a good deal when they finally wake up to the reality?
via climate science
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December 1, 2020 at 05:49AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--Britain’s First Electric Forecourt (Paid For By Taxpayers)

Britain ’ s first electric forecourt will open next Monday as part of the £1bn rollout of a nationwide network .
The site in Braintree , Essex , is the first of 100 electric charging stations that will be opened over the next five years .
The landmark opening was delayed from November as a result of the second Covid-19 lockdown .
The station boasts 24 charging points that recharge electric cars within half an hour .
A further six `` superchargers '' have been dedicated for Tesla owners .
There is a Costa Coffee , WHSmith and Post Office @ @ @ @ @ @ @ startup Gridserve .
Earlier this month Boris Johnson confirmed that a ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars would be brought forward to 2030 .
The Gridserve forecourt is powered by solar energy and battery storage projects to minimise carbon emissions in generating the electricity .
Toddington Harper , Gridserve chief executive , said the forecourt based on a 2.5 acre site , `` will be the most advanced charging facility in the UK , and possibly the world '' .
`` Drivers will be able to turn up and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ each vehicle can support , using 100pc renewable energy , and with the best possible charging experience , '' he added .
The forecourt was funded by a taxpayer grant of almost £5m .
Plans revealed in August came with the backing of former Conservative Party chairman James Cleverly , MP for Braintree .
So , a £5m bung from taxpayers just for 24 chargers , a maximum of 48 cars per hour .
In comparison , a similar sized petrol station would expect an hourly throughput of maybe 500 cars .
Even @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will be charged from home , 100 of these electric stations will barely scratch the surface .
Gridserve boast that drivers can pop in for a cup of coffee while they are charging .
They don ’ t say , however , what they are supposed to do while waiting for a free bay .
Braintree district has a population of 150,000 , so there could be maybe 75,000 cars there .
If 30,000 of these need public charging twice a week , you would need 150 of these electric forecourts ( assuming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ £5m a go , that ’ s £750m for one small town , equivalent to £5000 for every man , woman and child living there .
Gridserve also claim that it is powered by solar and battery storage .
This is not true however .
According to their own website : GRIDSERVE recently acquired the UK ’ s first subsidy-free solar farm – the Clayhill Solar Farm in Bedfordshire – to guarantee that all of the energy used at the Braintree Electric Forecourt® comes from net zero-carbon solar power .
In other words @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the National Grid for power , at times when Clayhill is not providing enough , which will happen more often than not .
via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood
h/t Patsy Lacey
Britain’s first electric forecourt will open next Monday as part of the £1bn rollout of a nationwide network.
The site in Braintree, Essex, is the first of 100 electric charging stations that will be opened over the next five years.
The landmark opening was delayed from November as a result of the second Covid-19 lockdown.
The station boasts 24 charging points that recharge electric cars within half an hour. A further six "superchargers" have been dedicated for Tesla owners.
There is a Costa Coffee, WHSmith and Post Office also on the site, run by startup Gridserve.
Earlier this month Boris Johnson confirmed that a ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars would be brought forward to 2030.
The Gridserve forecourt is powered by solar energy and battery storage projects to minimise carbon emissions in generating the electricity.
Toddington Harper, Gridserve chief executive, said the forecourt based on a 2.5 acre site, "will be the most advanced charging facility in the UK, and possibly the world".
"Drivers will be able to turn up and charge their vehicle at the fastest rate each vehicle can support, using 100pc renewable energy, and with the best possible charging experience," he added.
The forecourt was funded by a taxpayer grant of almost £5m. Plans revealed in August came with the backing of former Conservative Party chairman James Cleverly, MP for Braintree.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2020/11/30/britains-first-electric-forecourt-charged-ready/
So, a £5m bung from taxpayers just for 24 chargers, a maximum of 48 cars per hour.
In comparison, a similar sized petrol station would expect an hourly throughput of maybe 500 cars. Even allowing for the fact that many EVs will be charged from home, 100 of these electric stations will barely scratch the surface.
Gridserve boast that drivers can pop in for a cup of coffee while they are charging. They don’t say, however, what they are supposed to do while waiting for a free bay.
Braintree district has a population of 150,000, so there could be maybe 75,000 cars there. If 30,000 of these need public charging twice a week, you would need 150 of these electric forecourts (assuming 8-hour per day operation). At £5m a go, that’s £750m for one small town, equivalent to £5000 for every man, woman and child living there.
Gridserve also claim that it is powered by solar and battery storage. This is not true however. According to their own website:
GRIDSERVE recently acquired the UK’s first subsidy-free solar farm – the Clayhill Solar Farm in Bedfordshire – to guarantee that all of the energy used at the Braintree Electric Forecourt® comes from net zero-carbon solar power.
https://www.gridserve.com/post/gridserve-unveils-major-partnerships-as-electric-forecourt-nears-completion
In other words, Braintree will be totally reliant on the National Grid for power, at times when Clayhill is not providing enough, which will happen more often than not.
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December 1, 2020 at 05:05AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--Climate Emergency! Save the Great British Bakeoff

According to Grist , the iconic “ Great British Bakeoff ” outdoor cooking competition is about to succumb to global warming , because anthropogenic CO2 is causing Britain to experience bouts of warm Summer weather in July .
Try to remember the fanciest spread of desserts you ’ ve ever seen .
Now picture what would happen if it sat outside in the summer heat for a couple of hours .
Mousse would morph into ooze , tiered cakes would start to slip and slide , and delicate chocolate decorations would melt into unrecognizable blobs .
The truth is , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it — just watch The Great British Baking Show on Netflix , where creating elaborate baked goods in oppressive heat has become the main drama .
The show , whose season finale appears on Friday for U.S. viewers , has always been filmed outdoors under an iconic white tent around England .
But in 2020 , a year from hell , the famously temperate British summer became too warm for the finicky process of baking .
Heat is now the show ’ s central villain .
“ It ’ s like Satan ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Adlington , one of this year ’ s bakers , joked in an episode filmed in July .
Following another sweat-inducing day in the tent , Paul Hollywood — the steely-eyed judge famous for his bread expertise — told his fellow co-hosts that he had to “ peel his jeans off ” at the end of the day .
They winced and laughed uncomfortably .
The most notable example of this was 1980s Week , an episode filmed this July that featured quiches , finger doughnuts , and ice cream cakes .
( @ @ @ @ @ @ @ when humanity almost solved climate change , but didn ’ t — the average global temperature was nearly 1 degree C [ 1.8 degrees F ] cooler than it is today . )
The doughnut challenge , filmed on the United Kingdom ’ s third hottest day on record , required contestants to deep-fry in near-100 degree F temperatures .
Contestant Marc Elliott held up his candy thermometer at one point , and it registered 35.8 degrees C. “ This is torture , ” Adlington said .
“ Whose idea was this ?
@

Guest essay by Eric Worrall
According to Grist, the iconic “Great British Bakeoff” outdoor cooking competition is about to succumb to global warming, because anthropogenic CO2 is causing Britain to experience bouts of warm Summer weather in July.
Another victim of global warming: ‘The Great British Baking Show’
By Kate Yoder on Nov 25, 2020
Try to remember the fanciest spread of desserts you’ve ever seen. Now picture what would happen if it sat outside in the summer heat for a couple of hours. Mousse would morph into ooze, tiered cakes would start to slip and slide, and delicate chocolate decorations would melt into unrecognizable blobs.
The truth is, you don’t have to imagine it — just watch The Great British Baking Show on Netflix, where creating elaborate baked goods in oppressive heat has become the main drama. The show, whose season finale appears on Friday for U.S. viewers, has always been filmed outdoors under an iconic white tent around England. But in 2020, a year from hell, the famously temperate British summer became too warm for the finicky process of baking. Heat is now the show’s central villain.
“It’s like Satan’s kitchen in here,” Laura Adlington, one of this year’s bakers, joked in an episode filmed in July. Following another sweat-inducing day in the tent, Paul Hollywood — the steely-eyed judge famous for his bread expertise — told his fellow co-hosts that he had to “peel his jeans off” at the end of the day. They winced and laughed uncomfortably.
…
The most notable example of this was 1980s Week, an episode filmed this July that featured quiches, finger doughnuts, and ice cream cakes. (In the real 1980s — the decade when humanity almost solved climate change, but didn’t — the average global temperature was nearly 1 degree C [1.8 degrees F] cooler than it is today.) The doughnut challenge, filmed on the United Kingdom’s third hottest day on record, required contestants to deep-fry in near-100 degree F temperatures. Contestant Marc Elliott held up his candy thermometer at one point, and it registered 35.8 degrees C. “This is torture,” Adlington said. “Whose idea was this?”
…


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--CCGTs On Death Row

CCGTs On Death Row

Timera have a fairly technical piece on the viability of CCGT plants in the UK : UK CCGT asset owners have had a tough few years , with the impact of falling wholesale margins compounded by low capacity prices .
However CCGT value drivers have started to turn around in 2020 , with a recovery in forward clean spark spreads and a sharp rise in capacity prices .
There is a growing queue of UK CCGTs flagged for sale in 2021 .
At the front of the queue are the Calon assets ( Severn , Sutton Bridge & Baglan Bay @ @ @ @ @ @ @ B , but several other plants are likely to follow .
Some of these CCGTs are key flexibility providers and have at least 10-15 years of remaining economic lifetime .
Others are on death row .
Diamonds or dogs , there is a notable absence of interested buyers .
That suggests CCGTs may sell at record low prices and a small fraction of new build cost .
But are low prices enough to build a high return contrarian investment case ?
In this article , we examine the outlook for the UK ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , at the right price , UK CCGTs can deliver significant value .
The article covers the problems we are all familiar with – competition from subsidised renewables , intermittent operation , rising carbon prices and the inevitable decline in market share .
However , as Timera also point out , we will still need significant volumes of gas generation well into the 2030s : Despite the barriers to new build CCGTs , gas generation will be needed well into the 2030s , providing significant volumes of energy and flexibility to the UK @ @ @ @ @ @ @ provide increasing balancing flexibility across the 2020s , but CCGTs will dominate the UK ’ s response to more sustained periods of low renewable output and higher winter demand .
But this is the key section : The other key factor is acquisition price .
This is illustrated e.g .
by Centrica ’ s successful purchase of cheap CCGTs during the post Enron fallout in the early 2000s .
Over the past 5 years , UK CCGTs have been transacting in a 100 to 200 £/kW price range , with more recent transactions @ @ @ @ @ @ @ range .
Rising decarbonisation risks and declining interest in CCGT sales processes , may see the next wave of CCGT transactions fall into the £50-100/kW range .
This compares to CCGT new build costs in the 450-550 £/kW range .
Asset prices at these levels open up significant value opportunities .
It is possible to build sensible base case scenarios with payback periods as short as 3 years .
Beyond that an investor owns substantial optionality and value upside .
Just absorb that .
The economic case of CCGT operation is so poor @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the asset sale market .
In contrast , new builds cost £450-550/KW .
Quite clearly there is little prospect of any investor financing a new plant , unless the returns from the Capacity Market auction are much greater than present .
Yet , as Timera also point out , many existing CCGTs are already on death row , and are unlikely to survive into the 2030s .
None of this has anything to do with the efficiency of CCGTs .
It is a situation entirely created by public policy , which has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ well established energy market .
via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood
Timera have a fairly technical piece on the viability of CCGT plants in the UK:
UK CCGT asset owners have had a tough few years, with the impact of falling wholesale margins compounded by low capacity prices. However CCGT value drivers have started to turn around in 2020, with a recovery in forward clean spark spreads and a sharp rise in capacity prices.
There is a growing queue of UK CCGTs flagged for sale in 2021. At the front of the queue are the Calon assets (Severn, Sutton Bridge & Baglan Bay) and EDF’s West Burton B, but several other plants are likely to follow. Some of these CCGTs are key flexibility providers and have at least 10-15 years of remaining economic lifetime. Others are on death row.
Diamonds or dogs, there is a notable absence of interested buyers. That suggests CCGTs may sell at record low prices and a small fraction of new build cost. But are low prices enough to build a high return contrarian investment case?
In this article, we examine the outlook for the UK’s existing CCGT fleet and outline why, at the right price, UK CCGTs can deliver significant value.
Full story here.
The article covers the problems we are all familiar with – competition from subsidised renewables, intermittent operation, rising carbon prices and the inevitable decline in market share.
However, as Timera also point out, we will still need significant volumes of gas generation well into the 2030s:
Despite the barriers to new build CCGTs, gas generation will be needed well into the 2030s, providing significant volumes of energy and flexibility to the UK grid. Storage and peaking assets will provide increasing balancing flexibility across the 2020s, but CCGTs will dominate the UK’s response to more sustained periods of low renewable output and higher winter demand.
But this is the key section:
The other key factor is acquisition price. This is illustrated e.g. by Centrica’s successful purchase of cheap CCGTs during the post Enron fallout in the early 2000s.
Over the past 5 years, UK CCGTs have been transacting in a 100 to 200 £/kW price range, with more recent transactions occurring towards the bottom end of the range. Rising decarbonisation risks and declining interest in CCGT sales processes, may see the next wave of CCGT transactions fall into the £50-100/kW range. This compares to CCGT new build costs in the 450-550 £/kW range.
Asset prices at these levels open up significant value opportunities. It is possible to build sensible base case scenarios with payback periods as short as 3 years. Beyond that an investor owns substantial optionality and value upside.
Just absorb that. The economic case of CCGT operation is so poor that existing plants are only worth £50-100/KW in the asset sale market.
In contrast, new builds cost £450-550/KW. Quite clearly there is little prospect of any investor financing a new plant, unless the returns from the Capacity Market auction are much greater than present.
Yet, as Timera also point out, many existing CCGTs are already on death row, and are unlikely to survive into the 2030s.
None of this has anything to do with the efficiency of CCGTs. It is a situation entirely created by public policy, which has interfered with the normal operation of a well established energy market.
via NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
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December 1, 2020 at 04:15AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--No evidence for dramatic loss of Great Barrier Reef corals

“ We were expecting to see widespread mortality , and we just didn ’ t see it … which is a really amazing thing.
” A 2020 study of the Great Barrier Reef that set alarm bells ringing in the mainstream media is based on faulty evidence , according to Australian scientist and leading coral reef authority , Professor Peter Ridd .
The study claims that between 1995 and 2017 the reef lost half its corals , especially small baby colonies , because of global warming – but Ridd says the claims are false .
The breathtakingly beautiful Great Barrier @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the seven natural wonders of the world , is the planet ’ s largest living structure .
Visible from outer space and 2,300 km ( 1,400 miles ) long , the reef hugs the northeastern coast of Australia .
A healthy portion of the reef is shown in the image below .
But corals are susceptible to overheating and undergo bleaching when the water gets too hot , losing their vibrant colors .
During the prolonged El Niño of 2016-17 , higher temperatures caused mass bleaching that damaged portions of the northern @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Reef .
Ridd ’ s fellow reef scientists contended at the time that as much as 30 % to 95 % of the reef ’ s corals died .
However , Ridd disagreed , estimating that only 8 % of the Great Barrier Reef suffered ; much of the southern end of the reef wasn ’ t affected at all .
Likewise , Ridd finds no evidence for the 50 % loss of corals since 1995 claimed in the recent study .
He says the most reliable data on coral extent comes from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Science ) , who have been measuring over 100 reefs every year since 1986 .
As the following figure illustrates , AIMS data shows that coral cover fluctuates dramatically with time but there is approximately the same amount of Great Barrier Reef coral today as in 1995 .
Adds Ridd : There was a huge reduction in coral cover in 2011 which was caused by two major cyclones that halved coral cover .
Cyclones have always been the major cause of temporary coral loss on the Reef .
It can be seen that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ % in the years since 1986 , when AIMS measurements began .
But a 2019 research paper reported that the first reef expedition back in 1928-29 discovered very similar coverage : on a reef island known as Low Isles , the coral cover ranged from 8 % to 42 % in different parts of the island .
So essentially no coral has disappeared over a period of 90 years that encompasses both warming and cooling periods .
The paper ’ s authors did find that the coral colonies on Low Isles were 30 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and that coral “ richness ” had declined .
Apart from its faulty conclusion about coral loss , the 2020 study also found smaller colony sizes throughout the reef , even though the relative abundance of large colonies was unchanged .
Nevertheless , the most recent AIMS report records small gains in the cover of hard corals in the central and southern Great Barrier Reef , following another mass bleaching event in late 2019 .
Hard corals are the primary reef-building corals ; soft corals don ’ t form reefs .
Even @ @ @ @ @ @ @ comes from a just-reported survey of coral reefs on the opposite side of the country – the Rowley Shoals , a chain of three coral atolls 300 km ( 190 miles ) off the coast of northwest Western Australia .
Following an extensive marine heat wave in December 2019 , an April 2020 survey found that up to 60 % of the Rowley Shoals corals had become a pallid white ( left image below ) .
Yet a follow-up survey just six months later revealed that much of the bleached coral had already @ @ @ @ @ @ @ perhaps only 10 % of the reef had been killed .
Tom Holmes , the marine monitoring coordinator at Western Australia ’ s DBCA ( Department of Biodiversity , Conservation and Attractions ) , said “ We were expecting to see widespread mortality , and we just didn ’ t see it … which is a really amazing thing.
” Holmes explained that , while high ocean temperatures cause coral to bleach , what is less well known is that bleached corals don ’ t die immediately .
Bleaching is initially just a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ stress continues for a long time , it does lead to mortality .
The post No evidence for dramatic loss of Great Barrier Reef corals appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum ( GWPF ) .

“We were expecting to see widespread mortality, and we just didn’t see it … which is a really amazing thing.”
Credit: David Child, Evening Standard
A 2020 study of the Great Barrier Reef that set alarm bells ringing in the mainstream media is based on faulty evidence, according to Australian scientist and leading coral reef authority, Professor Peter Ridd. The study claims that between 1995 and 2017 the reef lost half its corals, especially small baby colonies, because of global warming – but Ridd says the claims are false.
The breathtakingly beautiful Great Barrier Reef, labeled by CNN as one of the seven natural wonders of the world, is the planet’s largest living structure. Visible from outer space and 2,300 km (1,400 miles) long, the reef hugs the northeastern coast of Australia. A healthy portion of the reef is shown in the image below.
But corals are susceptible to overheating and undergo bleaching when the water gets too hot, losing their vibrant colors. During the prolonged El Niño of 2016-17, higher temperatures caused mass bleaching that damaged portions of the northern and central regions of the Great Barrier Reef. Ridd’s fellow reef scientists contended at the time that as much as 30% to 95% of the reef’s corals died. However, Ridd disagreed, estimating that only 8% of the Great Barrier Reef suffered; much of the southern end of the reef wasn’t affected at all.
Likewise, Ridd finds no evidence for the 50% loss of corals since 1995 claimed in the recent study. He says the most reliable data on coral extent comes from AIMS (the Australian Institute of Marine Science), who have been measuring over 100 reefs every year since 1986. As the following figure illustrates, AIMS data shows that coral cover fluctuates dramatically with time but there is approximately the same amount of Great Barrier Reef coral today as in 1995. Adds Ridd:
There was a huge reduction in coral cover in 2011 which was caused by two major cyclones that halved coral cover. Cyclones have always been the major cause of temporary coral loss on the Reef.
It can be seen that the coral cover averages only about 20% in the years since 1986, when AIMS measurements began. But a 2019 research paper reported that the first reef expedition back in 1928-29 discovered very similar coverage: on a reef island known as Low Isles, the coral cover ranged from 8% to 42% in different parts of the island. So essentially no coral has disappeared over a period of 90 years that encompasses both warming and cooling periods.
The paper’s authors did find that the coral colonies on Low Isles were 30% smaller in 2019 than in 1928-29, and that coral “richness” had declined. Apart from its faulty conclusion about coral loss, the 2020 study also found smaller colony sizes throughout the reef, even though the relative abundance of large colonies was unchanged.
Nevertheless, the most recent AIMS report records small gains in the cover of hard corals in the central and southern Great Barrier Reef, following another mass bleaching event in late 2019. Hard corals are the primary reef-building corals; soft corals don’t form reefs.
Even more encouraging news for coral reef health comes from a just-reported survey of coral reefs on the opposite side of the country – the Rowley Shoals, a chain of three coral atolls 300 km (190 miles) off the coast of northwest Western Australia. Following an extensive marine heat wave in December 2019, an April 2020 survey found that up to 60% of the Rowley Shoals corals had become a pallid white (left image below). Yet a follow-up survey just six months later revealed that much of the bleached coral had already recovered (right image) and that perhaps only 10% of the reef had been killed.
Credit: Western Australia DBCA
Tom Holmes, the marine monitoring coordinator at Western Australia’s DBCA (Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions), said “We were expecting to see widespread mortality, and we just didn’t see it … which is a really amazing thing.” Holmes explained that, while high ocean temperatures cause coral to bleach, what is less well known is that bleached corals don’t die immediately. Bleaching is initially just a sign of stress, but if the stress continues for a long time, it does lead to mortality.
The post No evidence for dramatic loss of Great Barrier Reef corals appeared first on The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF).
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December 1, 2020 at 03:20AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-12-01--Who do you Trust? (Michael Mann and Climategate)

When reputable scientists have different views of the same subject–such as climate sensitivity to anthropogenic forcing–the players need to be assessed .
Who is less emotional and less bombastic ?
What is the track record of the players ?
And in an unsettled , still young area such as climate science , who expresses humility in the face of unknowns .
This leads to the central character of the Climategate scandal , revisited at MasterResource last week , Michael Mann , who has remained as unapologetic and strident as ever in the last decade .
Uber-political , everything Biden and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to the climate cause and Progressive worldview .
Mann the scientist is more a political activist these days .
Here is one of his recent tweets : So what does Fred Pierce have to say about Michael Mann in The Climate Files : The Battle for the Truth About Global Warming ( 2010 ) ?
Quotations follow : Mann has always been a tasty target .
His voluble style has made enemies and exasperated his friends.
” “ The goddam guy is a slick talker and super-confident .
He won ’ t listen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ climate science ’ s most senior figures , Wally Broecker … told me .
“ I don ’ t trust people like that .
A lot of data sets he uses are shitty , you know .
They are just not up to what he is trying to do… .
If anyone deserves to get hit , it is goddam Mann.
” ( p. 90 ) And other observations by Pierce : And in the man who first drew the hockey stick , a young paleoclimatologist called Mike Mann , [ the skeptics @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and sometimes vulnerable foe .
( p. 41 ) Mann had sent an angry review of the article to the journal [ Science ] … Some of his friends thought it was over the top .
( p. 49 ) In April 1999 , Ray Bradley , Mann ’ s coauthor on the hockey stick papers , broke ranks in an email .
“ I would like to disassociate myself from Mike Mann ’ s view … .
I find this [ his ] notion quite absurd.
” “ You [ Mann ] @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in CRU .
I [ Phil Jones ] am somewhat at a loss to understand why… .
We have disagreements but … we have never resorted to slanging one another off to a journal ( as in this case ) .
” ( pp .
49–50 ) “ The last thing you want to do is help [ the skeptics ] by feeding the fire .
Best thing is to ignore them completely.
” [ Michael Mann ] ( p. 68 ) Among the most pugilistic was Mike Mann , purveyor of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ensured that , for good or ill , the battles over the hockey stick would become a central figure of the climate wars….
” ( p. 89 ) “ Some accuse [ Mann ] of conducting a campaign of belligerence against scandal .
“ The hockey stick thing was exacerbated by Michael Mann ’ s behavior , ” Judy Curry [ stated ] .
( p. 91 ) “ The important thing is to deny that [ the McIntyre publication ] this has any intellectual credibility whatsoever.
” ( Mann to colleagues ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reveal that Mann was skating on very thin ice .
There was growing private unease even among climate scientists who would defend him publicly .
( p. 97 ) “ Mike [ Mann ] is too deep into this to be helpful.
” – Tom Wigley to Phil Jones ) ( p. 96 ) Certainly , Mann ’ s emails were vitriolic in the extreme… “ I would NOT RESPOND to this guy [ McIntyre ] .
As you know , only bad things can come out of that .
The last thing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is funded by the same people as Singer , Michaels , etc.
” ( p. 96 ) “ Let us not over-egg the pudding… Do not let Susan [ Solomon ] or Mike [ Mann ] push you ( us ) beyond where we know is right.
” -Jonathan Overpeck to Keith Briffa ( p. 99 ) “ What are we to make of all this ?
Mann a decade ago was a young man in a hurry , a fiery character who made enemies and could sometimes intimidate his friends .
He @ @ @ @ @ @ @ His ability to dominate a swathe of scientific debate almost by the force of his personality is troubling.
” ( p. 101 ) [ Mann ] has sometimes lacked friends or colleagues able to rin in either his impetuosity or his temper .
Conflicts that could and should have been resolved instead festered and , in some cases , burst with the publication of the emails .
( pp .
101–102 )

“One of the lessons of Climategate is that scientists are all too human…. The next few chapters … expose how some climate scientists bent the rules of scientific engagement in ways that blurred the distinction between doing good science and preserving their own reputations.” – Fred Pierce, The Climate Files, p. 79.
When reputable scientists have different views of the same subject–such as climate sensitivity to anthropogenic forcing–the players need to be assessed. Who is less emotional and less bombastic? What is the track record of the players? And in an unsettled, still young area such as climate science, who expresses humility in the face of unknowns.
This leads to the central character of the Climategate scandal, revisited at MasterResource last week, Michael Mann, who has remained as unapologetic and strident as ever in the last decade. Uber-political, everything Biden and social justice and COVID are inextricably linked to the climate cause and Progressive worldview.
Mann the scientist is more a political activist these days. Here is one of his recent tweets:
In case you were wondering just how important those two Georgia runoff races actually are. Contribute here: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dscc-warnock-ossoff-runoff-nov2020
So what does Fred Pierce have to say about Michael Mann in The Climate Files: The Battle for the Truth About Global Warming (2010)? Quotations follow:
Mann has always been a tasty target. His voluble style has made enemies and exasperated his friends.” “The goddam guy is a slick talker and super-confident. He won’t listen to anyone else,” one of climate science’s most senior figures, Wally Broecker … told me. “I don’t trust people like that. A lot of data sets he uses are shitty, you know. They are just not up to what he is trying to do…. If anyone deserves to get hit, it is goddam Mann.” (p. 90)
And other observations by Pierce: