iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-04-04--One Of The US’s Largest Natural Gas Companies Goes Bankrupt. Here’s Why Russia Is Partially To Blame

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks in the press briefing room with members of the White House Coronavirus Task Force April 2 , 2020 in Washington , DC .
( Win McNamee/Getty Images ) U.S. drillers could default on $ 32 billion of debt throughout 2020 if the virus and Russia continue walloping the industry .
The default rate is projected to come in at 17 % , according to credit-ratings firm Fitch Ratings .
Fitch forecasted a 7 % default rate before the virus pandemic .
Meanwhile , oil prices rallied Thursday after President Donald Trump hinted that his Russian @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Prince Mohammed bin Salman told him they might reduce crude production .
Trump said in a tweet that day that he “ spoke to my friend MBS ( Crown Prince ) , who spoke with President Putin of Russia , & I expect & hope that they will be cutting back approximately 10 Million Barrels.
” Oil prices pitched upward shortly thereafter .
The Dow Jones industrial average jumped more than 500 points after Trump ’ s remarks .
The president ’ s bold talk provides a reprieve to a beleaguered oil industry @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fall roughly 60 % over the past month .
Natural gas production was on the incline for more than a decade before this most recent hiccup .
The Energy Information Administration ( EIA ) projected in 2010 that the U.S. would be producing about six million barrels of oil a day by 2019 , not the 12 million barrels of oil a day it actually produced .
The EIA made other forecasts that year that did not ultimately come to fruition .
The EIA projected oil prices would hover around $ 100 a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a barrel , where oil prices are pegged .
The agency was also apparently unable to see into the future and observe how hydraulic fracturing would affect gas production over the past decade .

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks in the press briefing room with members of the White House Coronavirus Task Force April 2, 2020 in Washington, DC. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)
U.S. drillers could default on $32 billion of debt throughout 2020 if the virus and Russia continue walloping the industry. The default rate is projected to come in at 17%, according to credit-ratings firm Fitch Ratings. Fitch forecasted a 7% default rate before the virus pandemic.
Meanwhile, oil prices rallied Thursday after President Donald Trump hinted that his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman told him they might reduce crude production.
Trump said in a tweet that day that he “spoke to my friend MBS (Crown Prince), who spoke with President Putin of Russia, & I expect & hope that they will be cutting back approximately 10 Million Barrels.”
Oil prices pitched upward shortly thereafter. The Dow Jones industrial average jumped more than 500 points after Trump’s remarks. The president’s bold talk provides a reprieve to a beleaguered oil industry, which saw the price of oil fall roughly 60% over the past month.
Natural gas production was on the incline for more than a decade before this most recent hiccup.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) projected in 2010 that the U.S. would be producing about six million barrels of oil a day by 2019, not the 12 million barrels of oil a day it actually produced. The EIA made other forecasts that year that did not ultimately come to fruition.
The EIA projected oil prices would hover around $100 a barrel in 2019 instead of $60 a barrel, where oil prices are pegged. The agency was also apparently unable to see into the future and observe how hydraulic fracturing would affect gas production over the past decade.


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-04-04--Power Point(Less): Routine Total Output Collapses Mean Wind Power’s Worse Than Useless

Weather-dependent wind power has no inherent commercial value , simply because it can ’ t be delivered as and when @ @ @ @ @ The only “ value ” is the massive and endless subsidies that it attracts .
@ @ @ @ @ output for the month of March , from every wind turbine connected to Australia ’ @ @ @ @ @ a total notional [ … ]

Weather-dependent wind power has no inherent commercial value, simply because it can’t be delivered as and when it’s needed. The only “value” is the massive and endless subsidies that it attracts. The graph above depicts the output for the month of March, from every wind turbine connected to Australia’s Eastern Grid, with a total notional […]
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April 4, 2020 at 01:31AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-04-04--PREDICTIONS OF INCREASED DROUGHT AND FLOOD ARE WRONG SAYS NEW PAPER

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , for each degree of global warming , the amount of water vapour in the air should increase by about 6-7 % .
As with so many things the IPCC talks about , this small change is supposed to lead to calamity .
That ’ s because increasing water vapour is supposed to lead to “ intensification of the hydrological cycle ” , in other words floods and droughts .
Demetris Koutsoyiannis , a hydrologist at the National Technical University of Athens , has taken it upon himself to undertake a major @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what evidence there is for this actually happening in practice .
His findings , currently up for open peer review at the journal , make for uncomfortable reading for the IPCC and its fellow-travellers on the bandwagon of doom .
It seems , for example , that although relative humidity is supposed to stay constant under global warming , it is actually falling .
Dew points are supposed to be increasing , but mostly they are not ; in particular there appears to be little or no change in equatorial regions , where @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the oceans takes place .
If we ’ re not seeing change there , then increased flooding is off the agenda .
And Koutsoyiannis finds that the amount of water vapour in the air is increasing at roughly one third of the IPCC ’ s predicted rate .
If the rate of water vapour increase really is so low , then by the time we hit the ( in ) famous two-degree target for global warming , we ’ ll still only have experienced a 4 % increase , which as Koutsoyiannis @ @ @ @ @ @ @ variability of hydrological cycles .
Where are the deluges and floods going to come from ?
It doesn ’ t end there either .
There are lots of other ways in which intensification of the hydrological cycle might show up .
You can measure the amount of water vapour in columns of the atmosphere .
That should be increasing with global warming too , right ?
Koutsoyiannis finds no trend .
Average rainfall across the planet should increase too – the IPCC says by 1-3 % per degree of global warming .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s within the “ noise ” of normal variability anyway ; no surprise then that Koutsoyiannis sees no meaningful trends in the data .
The limited data on evaporation are telling the same story ( or lack of one ) too .
What about extremes of rainfall ?
Koutsoyannis reviews a variety of measures : changes in daily maxima , days with rainfall over a threshold and so on , he looks on land and he looks at sea .
And he draws a blank everywhere .
As well as being an @ @ @ @ @ @ @ deep interest in the scientific knowledge and practice of the ancient world , and this has coloured his view of the climate scare .
As he says in his conclusions , the small changes that are exciting climate scientists today would not even have been discussed by ancient engineers , who would have seen them as just noise in the ever-changing patterns of hydrological cycles .
Similarly , he points out that such small changes are of no interest to those making practical decisions about flood protection and water storage .
And he @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the climatologists ’ predictions so clearly , it isn ’ t time that hydrologists shifted their attention away from prophecies of doom , and back onto making a real contribution to people ’ s lives .
You can see his point .

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, for each degree of global warming, the amount of water vapour in the air should increase by about 6-7%. As with so many things the IPCC talks about, this small change is supposed to lead to calamity. That’s because increasing water vapour is supposed to lead to “intensification of the hydrological cycle”, in other words floods and droughts.
Demetris Koutsoyiannis, a hydrologist at the National Technical University of Athens, has taken it upon himself to undertake a major review of the scientific data to see what evidence there is for this actually happening in practice. His findings, currently up for open peer review at the journal
, make for uncomfortable reading for the IPCC and its fellow-travellers on the bandwagon of doom.
It seems, for example, that although relative humidity is supposed to stay constant under global warming, it is actually falling. Dew points are supposed to be increasing, but mostly they are not; in particular there appears to be little or no change in equatorial regions, where the largest share of evaporation of water from the oceans takes place. If we’re not seeing change there, then increased flooding is off the agenda.
And Koutsoyiannis finds that the amount of water vapour in the air is increasing at roughly one third of the IPCC’s predicted rate. If the rate of water vapour increase really is so low, then by the time we hit the (in)famous two-degree target for global warming, we’ll still only have experienced a 4% increase, which as Koutsoyiannis points out is negligible given the normal variability of hydrological cycles. Where are the deluges and floods going to come from?
It doesn’t end there either. There are lots of other ways in which intensification of the hydrological cycle might show up. You can measure the amount of water vapour in columns of the atmosphere. That should be increasing with global warming too, right? Koutsoyiannis finds no trend. Average rainfall across the planet should increase too – the IPCC says by 1-3% per degree of global warming. The problem with this claim is that it’s within the “noise” of normal variability anyway; no surprise then that Koutsoyiannis sees no meaningful trends in the data. The limited data on evaporation are telling the same story (or lack of one) too.
What about extremes of rainfall? Koutsoyannis reviews a variety of measures: changes in daily maxima, days with rainfall over a threshold and so on, he looks on land and he looks at sea. And he draws a blank everywhere.
As well as being an eminent scientist, Koutosoyiannis also has a deep interest in the scientific knowledge and practice of the ancient world, and this has coloured his view of the climate scare. As he says in his conclusions, the small changes that are exciting climate scientists today would not even have been discussed by ancient engineers, who would have seen them as just noise in the ever-changing patterns of hydrological cycles.
Similarly, he points out that such small changes are of no interest to those making practical decisions about flood protection and water storage. And he wonders whether, with the data refuting the climatologists’ predictions so clearly, it isn’t time that hydrologists shifted their attention away from prophecies of doom, and back onto making a real contribution to people’s lives.
You can see his point.


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-04-04--Make Your Own Mask: DIY No-sew 2 minute and high quality sewn HEPA options

Ignore the mixed , junk messaging , if the WHO tells you not to wear a mask , that ’ s President Xi speaking .
It ’ s a reason to wear one .
We should all be wearing masks in public .
It may be the cheapest way to reduce the R0 , and get us out of coronavirus-jail fast .
Countries which wear masks have lower transmission .
Taiwan , Japan , Hong Kong , South Korea .
It protects other people from those who don ’ t even have symptoms who are shedding virus .
It protects @ @ @ @ @ @ @ breathing in droplets of virus that float in the air .
Viruses are tiny , but studies show that masks work , even a thin surgical mask prevented nearly 3 out 4 parents from catching influenza from their infected children .
The N95 style are better but any mask is better than nothing .
There are no guarantees — the virus can sneak in the side , and still enter through your eyes ( wear glasses to reduce at least to stop you touching your eyes ) .
Goggles are better .
Take @ @ @ @ @ @ @ front is contaminated .
Don ’ t touch the front , hold it by the straps , and take off the bottom strap first .
Let the mask fall forward .
Be [ … ]

Ignore the mixed, junk messaging, if the WHO tells you not to wear a mask, that’s President Xi speaking. It’s a reason to wear one. We should all be wearing masks in public. It may be the cheapest way to reduce the R0, and get us out of coronavirus-jail fast.
Countries which wear masks have lower transmission. Taiwan, Japan, Hong Kong, South Korea. It protects other people from those who don’t even have symptoms who are shedding virus. It protects you: It reduces your chance of breathing in droplets of virus that float in the air. Viruses are tiny, but studies show that masks work, even a thin surgical mask prevented nearly 3 out 4 parents from catching influenza from their infected children. The N95 style are better but any mask is better than nothing. There are no guarantees — the virus can sneak in the side, and still enter through your eyes (wear glasses to reduce at least to stop you touching your eyes). Goggles are better. Take it off very carefully. Assume the front is contaminated. Don’t touch the front, hold it by the straps, and take off the bottom strap first. Let the mask fall forward. Be […]
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April 4, 2020 at 01:13AM


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-04-04--Declining Spring Snowcover Update

Declining Spring Snowcover Update

Experts say that snow cover is declining , particularly in spring , and it is due to global warming .
@ @ @ @ @ case , they have no clue what they are talking about .

Experts say that snow cover is declining, particularly in spring, and it is due to global warming. As is almost always the case, they have no clue what they are talking about.
fmi_swe_tracker.jpg (800×600)
NH Fall
NH Winter


iowaclimatescienceeducation--2020-04-04--Former UN Climate Action Leader on Covid-19: “Moments of crisis are always moments of opportunity”

More evidence greens are only thinking of themselves , and the opportunity the Chinese Coronavirus lockdown presents for a permanent power grab .
Our approach to covid-19 can also help tackle climate change We can ’ t lose sight of the climate emergency when dealing with the covid-19 pandemic , say Christiana Figueres and Tom Rivett-CarnacHEALTH | COMMENT 1 April 2020 WE HAVE known for some time that 2020 was going to be a milestone year for the climate change crisis , requiring a radical reversal of the current trajectory in global greenhouse gas emissions .
But what we didn @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also face a global health crisis this year .
The decisions we make now to tackle this imminent threat will affect us for generations to come , including our ability to halt global warming .
There is no established link between covid-19 and climate change .
However , the way we are altering the planet will make the spread of some diseases more likely .
With covid-19 , governments are now agreeing economic stimulus packages to help people and corporations survive the likely recession .
It is no exaggeration to say that the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ world for generations .
Moments of crisis are always moments of opportunity .
Many crucial decisions will be made over the next few months .
As options are considered , we should ask ourselves what is the most effective way to overcome the immediate threat and how to dovetail those decisions into the making of a future where we not only survive , but actually thrive together with nature .

Guest essay by Eric Worrall
More evidence greens are only thinking of themselves, and the opportunity the Chinese Coronavirus lockdown presents for a permanent power grab.
Our approach to covid-19 can also help tackle climate change
We can’t lose sight of the climate emergency when dealing with the covid-19 pandemic, say Christiana Figueres and Tom Rivett-CarnacHEALTH | COMMENT 1 April 2020
By Christiana Figueres and Tom Rivett-Carnac
WE HAVE known for some time that 2020 was going to be a milestone year for the climate change crisis, requiring a radical reversal of the current trajectory in global greenhouse gas emissions. But what we didn’t know was that we would also face a global health crisis this year. The decisions we make now to tackle this imminent threat will affect us for generations to come, including our ability to halt global warming.
There is no established link between covid-19 and climate change. However, the way we are altering the planet will make the spread of some diseases more likely.
…
With covid-19, governments are now agreeing economic stimulus packages to help people and corporations survive the likely recession. It is no exaggeration to say that the decisions they are taking will shape the world for generations.
…
Moments of crisis are always moments of opportunity. Many crucial decisions will be made over the next few months. As options are considered, we should ask ourselves what is the most effective way to overcome the immediate threat and how to dovetail those decisions into the making of a future where we not only survive, but actually thrive together with nature.