principiascientificinternational--2020-09-04--Template Covid19 Complaint Letter for Politicians, Journalists, etc

An Irish doctor and friends put together this template generic letter for anyone to send to the ‘ powers that be ‘ to register dissatisfaction over the scam pandemic .
It has the backing of countless doctors in Ireland and worldwide , as well as a huge number of technical professionals .
Most feel too threatened by the current bizarre environment to put their names in print – so I am leaving the names off this generic copy .
Please add/amend/delete as you see fit before printing and posting : I am writing to you as I feel a patriotic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the science and data around this Covid19 issue .
The current approach that our government and advisory panels are driving , is increasingly inexplicable when considering the science and the data .
It is becoming obvious that we need to foster more open discussion on the big picture here .
Is there a good technical reason to continue with the current level of , quite frankly , destructive interventions ?
Firstly , I would like to bring to your attention some basics in this matter ( section A ) , and then back @ @ @ @ @ @ @ referenced science ( section B ) .
The essence of this document is now agreed with by a very large ( and rapidly growing ) community around the world .
Countless medical and technical professionals are at this stage , aghast at what is happening .
As the Epidemic morphed into a Pandemic as determined by the WHO , data from China , Italy , SE Asia , and other European countries gave us a clearer picture of how this particular virus was behaving .
This data informed us regarding important aspects of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ most likely to succumb to the virus , ICU admission rates , death rates , seasonality , predisposing factors and much more .
The Global response to the pandemic , apart from some notable exceptions , was to as quickly as possible lock down our communities and our economies and flatten the curve , thus buying time to allow us deal with the sick and to continue the race for vaccines and therapies .
This was an understandable and intuitive reaction and to some extent has been a success .
We ’ ve @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of our citizens have lost their lives , and my condolences to all their families and friends .
That said , it is important to note that approximately 95 % of the deceased were never admitted to ICU to attempt to save them .
This is almost certainly because they were so aged or suffering from other serious conditions , that it would have been unethical to attempt to save them with intensive interventions .
This , along with the fact that median age for the deceased was 83 , must be kept @ @ @ @ @ @ @ At this point it is important to state a few indisputable facts that have emerged before and during this pandemic : • SARS-CoV-2 is a Coronavirus that shares many structural and behavioural properties with many other coronaviruses that affect human beings .
This Coronavirus was referred to as novel .
This is somewhat of a misnomer .
• Face Masks at the height of the Pandemic were considered unimportant , we were regularly informed of this from experts through our media .
• Covid 19 ( the condition produced by Coronavirus ) is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and immunocompromised ( as mentioned above , median age of death is 83yrs ) , it does not affect certain other groups like children and pregnant women in a way that Influenza , another seasonal killer , does .
• A significant number of people succumb to Influenza virus each year , this can vary in its severity and impact ; for example , the 2018 flu season was particularly severe in the UK , causing approximately 20,000 excess deaths in the month of January alone .
The 2019 flu season was comparatively @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a pathogen such as SARS-CoV-2 to heavily impact the susceptible in our population – a large group who would have ordinarily experienced higher mortality during the preceding Flu season .
• The death rate has been similar throughout the World ( approx .
500 ( +/- ) deaths per million ) .
This , and I can not emphasise this enough , is overwhelmingly independent of lockdown measures .
• The reaction of most Governments has been largely based on the predictive models of Imperial College London .
Experts in Ireland primarily used @ @ @ @ @ @ @ mindboggling – one prominent Irish expert claimed that 42,000 deaths would have occurred , “ one in every household in Ireland ” , suggesting that the lockdown measures we implemented had saved 40,000 lives – and that the sacrifices of the Irish people were hence vindicated .
The reality we now know was destined to be less than 1,800 .
We experienced a similar impact as Sweden did ( they with no lockdown , no masks ) .
Overwhelmingly it was limited to the aged / co-morbid , with care homes contributing to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ following facts are also indisputable : • Sweden , who were vilified for their approach , has had a very similar death rate to other countries .
Sweden enacted a light touch response to SARS-CoV-2 ( smart social distancing , smaller crowds , emphasis on hand hygiene ) , while largely leaving their economy , including schools , open .
According to the now heavily questioned Imperial College London model , Sweden should have had 11-17 times the number of deaths that it actually had .
This has been backed up by studies @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Lancet .
Hard lockdown has little impact on the death rates when compared to social distancing , hand washing , masks if symptomatic etc .
This is a hugely important point .
Sweden ’ s science-based policy has allowed them to emerge from the pandemic with many sectors of its economy and public health intact .
It is close to achieving Herd Immunity , and all of this was possible without any lockdown .
• Like most countries in Europe Sweden has little or no deaths or ICU admissions from Covid 19 in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the measures imposed by the vast majority of European countries • Sweden is not on its own in following this course .
There are some contrasting examples of hard lockdown v light touch response in the US and in South America .
Peru imposed a hard lockdown while its neighbour Brazil was attacked in the media for their softer approach .
Again , we see similar death rates from both .
i.e .
the military-enforced lockdown in Peru not showing any significant benefit over Brazil ’ s lack of any significant lockdown .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ invoke some fundamental mathematics and science .
Professor Michael Levitt , Nobel prize winner for Chemistry in 2013 and many other experts in epidemiology , have been deciphering the data provided by the viral spread .
Professor Levitt has been interviewed a number of times over the last few months ( notably on Irish television ) .
He concluded that the curves produced by death rates were not exponential as per the Imperial College London models , and rather followed what is referred to a Gompertz phenomenon i.e .
steep sharp rise followed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ long slow tail .
This occurs as the virus “ burns out ” ( the susceptible population pass , and ultimately a herd immunity develops ) .
This has been the way countries have played out time after time .
Notably , this behaviour mirrors influenza epidemic behaviour almost perfectly – this reality should have been the key focus since March .
Please see example curves below .
Remember , this is the actual data – not modelling .
There are endless references showing the seasonal Gompertz distribution of influenza epidemics – just @ @ @ @ @ @ @ exact match with SARS-CoV-2 behaviour .
This has been known for a century or more : Note also that one of the world ’ s top professors in epidemiology / evidence-based medicine ( Stanford Prof John Ioannidis ) called this out back in March 2020 – he was horrified at what the world was embarking upon , based on dreadfully poor evidence : MOST IMPORTANTLY , the impact of Covid 19 in Europe is not nearly what people perceive .
As pointed out by Professor Levitt repeatedly , the excess mortality from Covid @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the excess mortality observed during the 2018 influenza season .
The European mortality data can be pulled by anyone who cares to do so , and it tells a clear story of reality : Note 1 : The SARS-CoV-2 “ season ” was very short and sharp in its impacts , which is not surprising considering the very soft influenza seasons directly preceding SARS-CoV-2 in Europe .
Note 2 : The impact seen could be challenged by claiming that “ lockdown measures made it lower than it might have been.
” This would @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are now multiple published analyses showing that lockdown achieved little or nothing –a sample set collated here : https : //www.dropbox.com/home/LOCKDOWN % 20NO % 20GOOD % 20- % 20STUDIES Another key point is that this virus should never have been compared to the 1918 Spanish Flu .
Below data from Sweden shows the difference in scale , in terms of impact per million people : Note also how the actual Covid19 impact in Sweden is barely discernible from that of influenzas in many months during previous years .
Note also that the so-called @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Flu is widely accepted to have been a different virus from the one which caused the first ( Spring ) wave .
An entirely different demographic was impacted during the second wave .
Most likely it was resurgence of a tough influenza strain from the 1870 ’ s – hence the older people in the population were spared , while the younger ones with no immunity were hit the hardest .
• The virus is indeed new , as all previous new viruses were “ new ” .
However , it ( unsurprisingly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ coronaviruses in this family • It is now clear through many publications over past months that our immune systems recognize these priorly present protein structures when exposed to Sars-CoV-2 leading to a very large extent of immunity in our population from the get-go • This explains the fact that the virus has not come within a mile of the mortality projections of ICL etc .
– as in the population it very rapidly “ stumbles upon the myriad people who are essentially immune/protected already ” – this is “ cross-immunity ” from prior @ @ @ @ @ @ @ population • He is emphatic that once the virus has passed through its natural cycle , then a population has de facto herd immunity protection – even though only maybe ~10 % of people will show positive in an antibody test .
• He explains that that is why the mortality and ICU loading has collapsed across most/all of Europe – it is clearly the passing of the susceptible , the development of de facto herd immunity , and also some seasonal mechanisms .
But in any case , this is over in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ susceptible people will be seasonally affected .
Final key point – contact tracing of symptomatic Covid patients through their direct family members whom they share houses with – shows 70 % or more never exhibit infection or symptoms .
This illustrates Professor Stadler ’ s point i.e .
the majority of people are ALREADY de facto immune , from cross-immunity to prior coronaviruses etc .
Experts in Ireland and around the World were at best sitting on the fence re the use of masks throughout the pandemic , as the empirical evidence backing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ very little benefit in viral transmission mitigation .
In any case , given the reality described by the experts above , there is no possible scientific justification for mandating masks at the END of an epidemic .
If anything , we run the risk that we will impede safe development of further herd immunity dynamics in our population .
This mandate , if anything , could put the most at-risk at even greater risk next winter ; an ironic outcome not considered by our “ experts ” .
The following May 2020 publication @ @ @ @ @ @ @ randomized control trials in mask use and viral transmission .
It concluded that masks were near-useless as a mitigation measure .
However , there are many more publications over the past 30 years which are aligned in concordance with this conclusion .
Note that the WHO themselves have been careful to note that they are NOT instructing governments to implement mandatory masks .
Thus , the implementation of mandatory masking has clearly become a politically-driven endeavour : The seasonal nature of this virus needs to be debated and properly explained .
It appears @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on the work of Dr. Edward Hope-Simpson and fits very neatly with his work .
Studying the impact of seasonal viruses over 50 years , Hope-Simpson illustrated that the shape of the curves depends heavily on what region of the World is involved .
Still debated , the drivers of viral triggering include latitude , UV flux , human immune system cycles , humidity etc .
In any case , this helps to explain the shape of the mortality/impact curves depending on these variables – showing why the virus has spread in certain @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Temperate region ) versus Florida ( North tropical ) and why rising cases now in places like Melbourne and New Zealand are expected .
This rise in cases in New Zealand should come as no surprise .
Note just one example below with patterns from Hope-Simpson ’ s book and also some sample countries .
Europe locked down in March same as Peru .
Brazil however did not lock down – but the Covid curves simply follow the seasonal pattern regardless .
In other words , seasonal/regional vectors dominate – similarly in Northern @ @ @ @ @ @ @ download Hope-Simpson ’ s book here – he spent > 50 years researching viral transmission , after setting up the UK ’ s first influenza transmission research centre – in 1933 : https : //www.dropbox.com/s/4yda40j4hf9nbad/11th % 20The % 20Transmission % 20of % 20Influenza % 20BOOK.pdf ?
dl=0 There is so much data emerging on this seasonal reality .
But for brevity I ’ ll just include a picture of the striking seasonal/regional patterns being seen in the USA .
Please note that all graphs are “ deaths per million people ” , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ so that you can clearly see the dramatic difference in mortality impacts between regions ) : Hopefully it is clear in this section that there is an enormous seasonal/regional effect in viral triggering , independent of lockdown or restrictions severity .
Again , this powerful effect dramatically changes both the severity of the impact , and the timing/pattern of the impact .
When any virulent pathogen is spreading in a society and has significant impact potential , then smart measures should always be used to protect the at risk and reduce impact on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ washing , face coverings ( but of course self-isolation is best ) if you have symptoms , avoiding large crowds if you feel at risk , etc .
These are very sensible approaches to such a threat .
They should be used during any epidemic or Flu season and will have a notable impact .
Similarly , more attention being paid to the movement of staff and visitors into and between care home could be reviewed and will serve to remind all countries on how to prevent the widespread mortality we have seen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 18th of August as we are bombarded by the rising cases and threat of more lockdowns , I now stand with many of my colleagues and friends in frank disbelief .
I regularly encounter people throughout the day who display fear , frustration , anger and anxiety about what is happening and our response to it .
The following points now become important : • Ireland flattened the curve many months ago , the burden on the health service avoided , mission accomplished ?
No , now we are told not to flatten @ @ @ @ @ @ @ much the same way New Zealand has .
A “ zero Covid ” policy is the only way forward we are told .
There are many flaws with this , but I ’ ll start with the low hanging fruit .
Comparing New Zealand to Ireland is like comparing a village to a city .
New Zealand is a 3hr flight from the nearest large landmass , the continent of Australia with its 25M population .
Ireland by comparison is within a 3hr flight from 300M people , its capital city Dublin one @ @ @ @ @ @ @ financial centres on the continent .
Even if “ zero Covid ” was possible , and it is not , it would only be a matter of days before we saw cases again .
In order to achieve “ zero Covid ” we would have to board up every house , every business , stop most medical procedures ( possible including closure of A & E departments ) and deploy all members of the Gardai and army to enforce such a policy .
• The impact as determined by all-cause mortality and ICU @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what you would expect for this time of year .
This is despite rising cases in many regions ( often driven by excessive testing ) .
So , it begs the question , why the alarmist response ?
As any country scales up PCR testing , we will naturally see a rise in cases .
This is to be expected ( see above ) due to immunity , cross reactivity and previous viral shedding .
What we do not have is a corresponding impact in terms of ICU admission or mortality .
This @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the population having an adequate T-Cell immune response , a concept that helps us understand why some people in families become infected and others do not .
Cases are on the rise , yet significant impact is not .
What we have is what can be described as a “ Casedemic ” ( i.e .
a rise in cases with little or no serious impact ) .
• Mass-testing with PCR-type kits has become a major problem in itself , happening as it is after the epidemic itself has passed .
The PCR @ @ @ @ @ @ @ viable virus .
Rather it looks for one or two “ viral fragments ” associated with the Sars-CoV-2 virus .
Most concerning is the fact that the PCR test picks up all the people who had the infection in the past , and are now completely fine ; the problem is that viral fragments remain in one ’ s system weeks or even months after the virus itself has been banished .
Another issue is that the PCR test can suffer from approximately 0.5 % “ false positives ” .
Roughly speaking , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ find 10 “ cases ” – many of these can be false positives .
It is simply not fit for purpose after an epidemic ( i.e .
real impacts on sickness and mortality ) – has passed .
The following plots should illustrate this serious problem very clearly : Above plots : the striking shift from impactful epidemic , to non-impactful endemic presence in the population .
• Another crucial point to note is that an increase in the presence of Sars-CoV-2 in humans as we head into the winter , should not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for influenza through the year , we see this too ( see graph below ) .
The key question is “ do we see an epidemic-type level of impact on sickness and death ?
” As was obvious in the last section , the answer is “ no ” .
The reality is that the epidemic has passed now for this season , via : • the passing of the most susceptible people , sadly • the development of herd immunity broadly in the population ( NOT as determined by antibody testing , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ changes to human immunity and virus activity Above plot : Sars-CoV-2 behaving very like seasonal influenza ( x-axis shifted to overlay graphs ) • The ever-looming threat of a second lockdown now confronts the Irish people – our society faces more fear , paranoia , anger , depression , suicide , and mental health disorders .
If the Irish people have to endure this for the foreseeable future , they at least deserve to hear the other side of this debate ; that there may be an alternative to rolling lockdowns that will @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of schools , businesses destroyed , jobs lost , travel restricted , domestic violence , isolation and depression increased , mental health disorders in children on the rise and operations postponed or cancelled .
It is important to remember , it is the poor and working class who will suffer the worst impacts from this .
We are a long way from solving our health system and our housing crisis .
Globally , this lockdown will drive millions into poverty .
• The mandating of face masks based on little to no evidence @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as provided by our experts at the peak of this pandemic was that they were useless , now they are essential .
So essential in fact , that not only are they mandatory , this is enshrined in law and punishable by custodial sentence .
One could do a fair bit of damage to person or property in Ireland and not incur a 6-month custodial sentence .
Masks may or may not have a benefit , and it is not unreasonable to invite people to wear these during an epidemic or pandemic when @ @ @ @ @ @ @ mortality – but enforcing face coverings and threatening prison on those that do not comply is the most un-Irish thing I have ever experienced .
All public health advice should be evidence based and voluntarily followed .
• An analogy : let ’ s say we have reduced injuries and mortality from car crashes down to tiny numbers , a huge success – the curve flattened beyond every expectation .
But then we start obsessing on the thousands of bangs , scrapes , broken wing mirrors etc .
– and make these “ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , paranoid focus .
We know that the PCR test finds dead viral fragments from an old infection – so to complete our analogy , we would be recording scratches today that actually occurred weeks or months ago .
Thus , our fixation with these “ Car Impact Cases ” would cause us to stop all driving in Ireland , thus eliminating all accidents – but not achieving the any notable benefit in what is important .
Namely of course – actual deaths and serious injuries .
Hopefully this helps to illustrate just @ @ @ @ @ @ @ original ( reasonable ) intentions of March 2020 – where we all agreed to protect the hospitals and flatten the curve .
But have people actually stopped to think about how extreme and irrational we have now become ?
• If we are to embark on a multi-year journey of economic depression , ruining young people ’ s hopes and dreams of buying homes , expanding or opening businesses , travelling or even enjoying a normal college experience , at least let it be built on sound empirical evidence .
Let ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not shouted at , that the one-dimensional view of NPHET be challenged by other experts , that the vaccine search continue and that no vaccine is distributed without the most rigorous of safety checks and that it is never made compulsory .
Consent through education is the only way forward .
There is a way to avoid the economic Tsunami that awaits us .
It resides in a better understanding of the above , a more consensual way to arrive at desired outcomes , a focus on nursing homes going forward during any @ @ @ @ @ @ @ opening of schools , of restaurants , of pubs , of nightclubs , of avoiding the environmental carnage of disposable masks , gloves , signs , plastic shields .
We have co-existed with pathogens since our inception .
Every so often a dreaded killer comes a long that wipes out millions .
Our experience of Covid 19 should serve as a shot across the bow as to how unprepared we were for such an event .
We will prevail against it ; the susceptible can get a vaccine to limit impacts should it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ winter .
It is time to think about a brighter future and with the correct science-based thinking and brave political will , it can be realised .
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Template Covid19 Complaint Letter for Politicians, Journalists, etc
Written by Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI PMP
An Irish doctor and friends put together this template generic letter for anyone to send to the ‘powers that be‘ to register dissatisfaction over the scam pandemic.
It has the backing of countless doctors in Ireland and worldwide, as well as a huge number of technical professionals. Most feel too threatened by the current bizarre environment to put their names in print – so I am leaving the names off this generic copy.
Please add/amend/delete as you see fit before printing and posting:
Dear Sir/Madam
I am writing to you as I feel a patriotic duty to bring some focus back to the science and data around this Covid19 issue. The current approach that our government and advisory panels are driving, is increasingly inexplicable when considering the science and the data. It is becoming obvious that we need to foster more open discussion on the big picture here. Is there a good technical reason to continue with the current level of, quite frankly, destructive interventions?
Firstly, I would like to bring to your attention some basics in this matter (section A), and then back up the discussion with more detailed and referenced science (section B). The essence of this document is now agreed with by a very large (and rapidly growing) community around the world. Countless medical and technical professionals are at this stage, aghast at what is happening.
SECTION A – The Basics:
As the Epidemic morphed into a Pandemic as determined by the WHO, data from China, Italy, SE Asia, and other European countries gave us a clearer picture of how this particular virus was behaving. This data informed us regarding important aspects of Sars-CoV-2 including transmission, immunity, people most likely to succumb to the virus, ICU admission rates, death rates, seasonality, predisposing factors and much more.
The Global response to the pandemic, apart from some notable exceptions, was to as quickly as possible lock down our communities and our economies and flatten the curve, thus buying time to allow us deal with the sick and to continue the race for vaccines and therapies. This was an understandable and intuitive reaction and to some extent has been a success.
We’ve had ~27,000 cases, and sadly 1774 of our citizens have lost their lives, and my condolences to all their families and friends. That said, it is important to note that approximately 95% of the deceased were never admitted to ICU to attempt to save them. This is almost certainly because they were so aged or suffering from other serious conditions, that it would have been unethical to attempt to save them with intensive interventions. This, along with the fact that median age for the deceased was 83, must be kept clearly in mind when considering impacts.
At this point it is important to state a few indisputable facts that have emerged before and during this pandemic:
SARS-CoV-2 is a Coronavirus that shares many structural and behavioural properties with many other coronaviruses that affect human beings. This Coronavirus was referred to as novel. This is somewhat of a misnomer.
Face Masks at the height of the Pandemic were considered unimportant, we were regularly informed of this from experts through our media.
Covid 19 (the condition produced by Coronavirus) is a condition that predominantly affects the elderly and immunocompromised (as mentioned above, median age of death is 83yrs), it does not affect certain other groups like children and pregnant women in a way that Influenza, another seasonal killer, does.
A significant number of people succumb to Influenza virus each year, this can vary in its severity and impact; for example, the 2018 flu season was particularly severe in the UK, causing approximately 20,000 excess deaths in the month of January alone. The 2019 flu season was comparatively lighter, thus paving the way for a pathogen such as SARS-CoV-2 to heavily impact the susceptible in our population – a large group who would have ordinarily experienced higher mortality during the preceding Flu season.
The death rate has been similar throughout the World (approx. 500 (+/-) deaths per million). This, and I cannot emphasise this enough, is overwhelmingly independent of lockdown measures.
The reaction of most Governments has been largely based on the predictive models of Imperial College London. Experts in Ireland primarily used this model and the predictions made were mindboggling – one prominent Irish expert claimed that 42,000 deaths would have occurred, “one in every household in Ireland”, suggesting that the lockdown measures we implemented had saved 40,000 lives – and that the sacrifices of the Irish people were hence vindicated. The reality we now know was destined to be less than 1,800. We experienced a similar impact as Sweden did (they with no lockdown, no masks). Overwhelmingly it was limited to the aged / co-morbid, with care homes contributing to the majority of the deaths.
The following facts are also indisputable:
Sweden, who were vilified for their approach, has had a very similar death rate to other countries. Sweden enacted a light touch response to SARS-CoV-2 (smart social distancing, smaller crowds, emphasis on hand hygiene), while largely leaving their economy, including schools, open. According to the now heavily questioned Imperial College London model, Sweden should have had 11-17 times the number of deaths that it actually had. This has been backed up by studies and peer reviewed publications such as The Lancet. Hard lockdown has little impact on the death rates when compared to social distancing, hand washing, masks if symptomatic etc. This is a hugely important point. Sweden’s science-based policy has allowed them to emerge from the pandemic with many sectors of its economy and public health intact. It is close to achieving Herd Immunity, and all of this was possible without any lockdown.
Like most countries in Europe Sweden has little or no deaths or ICU admissions from Covid 19 in recent weeks, without requiring any of the measures imposed by the vast majority of European countries
Sweden is not on its own in following this course. There are some contrasting examples of hard lockdown v light touch response in the US and in South America. Peru imposed a hard lockdown while its neighbour Brazil was attacked in the media for their softer approach. Again, we see similar death rates from both. i.e. the military-enforced lockdown in Peru not showing any significant benefit over Brazil’s lack of any significant lockdown.
Sweden “modelling” versus actual reality is illustrated below:
Ref: https://swprs.org/covid19-lethality-how-not-to-do-it/
SECTION B – The Details:
B1: EPIDEMIOLOGICAL REALITIES
2013 Nobel Laureate, Stanford Professor Michael Levitt
At this point it is important to invoke some fundamental mathematics and science.
Professor Michael Levitt, Nobel prize winner for Chemistry in 2013 and many other experts in epidemiology, have been deciphering the data provided by the viral spread. Professor Levitt has been interviewed a number of times over the last few months (notably on Irish television). He concluded that the curves produced by death rates were not exponential as per the Imperial College London models, and rather followed what is referred to a Gompertz phenomenon i.e. steep sharp rise followed by a flattening, followed by a long slow tail. This occurs as the virus “burns out” (the susceptible population pass, and ultimately a herd immunity develops). This has been the way countries have played out time after time. Notably, this behaviour mirrors influenza epidemic behaviour almost perfectly – this reality should have been the key focus since March. Please see example curves below. Remember, this is the actual data – not modelling.
There are endless references showing the seasonal Gompertz distribution of influenza epidemics – just one sample below – note the almost exact match with SARS-CoV-2 behaviour. This has been known for a century or more:
Note also that one of the world’s top professors in epidemiology / evidence-based medicine (Stanford Prof John Ioannidis) called this out back in March 2020 – he was horrified at what the world was embarking upon, based on dreadfully poor evidence:
MOST IMPORTANTLY, the impact of Covid 19 in Europe is not nearly what people perceive. As pointed out by Professor Levitt repeatedly, the excess mortality from Covid 19 is not very much greater than the excess mortality observed during the 2018 influenza season. The European mortality data can be pulled by anyone who cares to do so, and it tells a clear story of reality:
Ref: https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps
Note 1: The SARS-CoV-2 “season” was very short and sharp in its impacts, which is not surprising considering the very soft influenza seasons directly preceding SARS-CoV-2 in Europe.
Note 2: The impact seen could be challenged by claiming that “lockdown measures made it lower than it might have been.” This would be a misleading claim, as there are now multiple published analyses showing that lockdown achieved little or nothing –a sample set collated here: https://www.dropbox.com/home/LOCKDOWN%20NO%20GOOD%20-%20STUDIES
Another key point is that this virus should never have been compared to the 1918 Spanish Flu. Below data from Sweden shows the difference in scale, in terms of impact per million people:
Note also how the actual Covid19 impact in Sweden is barely discernible from that of influenzas in many months during previous years. Note also that the so-called “second wave” of 1918 Spanish Flu is widely accepted to have been a different virus from the one which caused the first (Spring) wave. An entirely different demographic was impacted during the second wave. Most likely it was resurgence of a tough influenza strain from the 1870’s – hence the older people in the population were spared, while the younger ones with no immunity were hit the hardest.
B2: IMMUNOLOGY REALITIES:
Points from Emeritus Professor of Immunology, Beda Stadler (Switzerland)
The virus is indeed new, as all previous new viruses were “new”. However, it (unsurprisingly) shares many structural properties with prior coronaviruses in this family
It is now clear through many publications over past months that our immune systems recognize these priorly present protein structures when exposed to Sars-CoV-2 leading to a very large extent of immunity in our population from the get-go
This explains the fact that the virus has not come within a mile of the mortality projections of ICL etc. – as in the population it very rapidly “stumbles upon the myriad people who are essentially immune/protected already” – this is “cross-immunity” from prior coronaviruses, and is widespread in the population
He is emphatic that once the virus has passed through its natural cycle, then a population has de facto herd immunity protection – even though only maybe ~10% of people will show positive in an antibody test.
He explains that that is why the mortality and ICU loading has collapsed across most/all of Europe – it is clearly the passing of the susceptible, the development of de facto herd immunity, and also some seasonal mechanisms. But in any case, this is over in Europe until next winter, where more susceptible people will be seasonally affected.
Final key point – contact tracing of symptomatic Covid patients through their direct family members whom they share houses with – shows 70% or more never exhibit infection or symptoms. This illustrates Professor Stadler’s point i.e. the majority of people are ALREADY de facto immune, from cross-immunity to prior coronaviruses etc.
Ref: https://medium.com/@vernunftundrichtigkeit/coronavirus-why-everyone-was-wrong-fce6db5ba809
Discussion with Professor Stadler: https://youtu.be/GBRcK-od50Q
B3: MANDATORY MASK REALITIES
Experts in Ireland and around the World were at best sitting on the fence re the use of masks throughout the pandemic, as the empirical evidence backing up their use if anything pointed to very little benefit in viral transmission mitigation. In any case, given the reality described by the experts above, there is no possible scientific justification for mandating masks at the END of an epidemic. If anything, we run the risk that we will impede safe development of further herd immunity dynamics in our population. This mandate, if anything, could put the most at-risk at even greater risk next winter; an ironic outcome not considered by our “experts”.
The following May 2020 publication alone took the time to compile 14 randomized control trials in mask use and viral transmission. It concluded that masks were near-useless as a mitigation measure. However, there are many more publications over the past 30 years which are aligned in concordance with this conclusion. Note that the WHO themselves have been careful to note that they are NOT instructing governments to implement mandatory masks. Thus, the implementation of mandatory masking has clearly become a politically-driven endeavour:
Ref: https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/5/19-0994_article
B4: SEASONALITY / REGIONALITY REALITIES
The seasonal nature of this virus needs to be debated and properly explained. It appears to follow a seasonal pattern as based on the work of Dr. Edward Hope-Simpson and fits very neatly with his work. Studying the impact of seasonal viruses over 50 years, Hope-Simpson illustrated that the shape of the curves depends heavily on what region of the World is involved.
Still debated, the drivers of viral triggering include latitude, UV flux, human immune system cycles, humidity etc. In any case, this helps to explain the shape of the mortality/impact curves depending on these variables – showing why the virus has spread in certain US states like New York (North Temperate region) versus Florida (North tropical) and why rising cases now in places like Melbourne and New Zealand are expected. This rise in cases in New Zealand should come as no surprise.
Note just one example below with patterns from Hope-Simpson’s book and also some sample countries. Europe locked down in March same as Peru. Brazil however did not lock down – but the Covid curves simply follow the seasonal pattern regardless. In other words, seasonal/regional vectors dominate – similarly in Northern versus Southern USA regions:
You can download Hope-Simpson’s book here – he spent >50 years researching viral transmission, after setting up the UK’s first influenza transmission research centre – in 1933: https://www.dropbox.com/s/4yda40j4hf9nbad/11th%20The%20Transmission%20of%20Influenza%20BOOK.pdf?dl=0
There is so much data emerging on this seasonal reality. But for brevity I’ll just include a picture of the striking seasonal/regional patterns being seen in the USA. Please note that all graphs are “deaths per million people”, and that the Y-axis scale is identical – so that you can clearly see the dramatic difference in mortality impacts between regions):
Source: Johns Hopkins data, http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/
Hopefully it is clear in this section that there is an enormous seasonal/regional effect in viral triggering, independent of lockdown or restrictions severity. Again, this powerful effect dramatically changes both the severity of the impact, and the timing/pattern of the impact.
B5: PROPORTIONATE MEASURES – OR IRRATIONAL HYSTERIA?
When any virulent pathogen is spreading in a society and has significant impact potential, then smart measures should always be used to protect the at risk and reduce impact on our services. These measures including hand washing, face coverings (but of course self-isolation is best) if you have symptoms, avoiding large crowds if you feel at risk, etc. These are very sensible approaches to such a threat. They should be used during any epidemic or Flu season and will have a notable impact. Similarly, more attention being paid to the movement of staff and visitors into and between care home could be reviewed and will serve to remind all countries on how to prevent the widespread mortality we have seen in these settings.
Today, the 18th of August as we are bombarded by the rising cases and threat of more lockdowns, I now stand with many of my colleagues and friends in frank disbelief. I regularly encounter people throughout the day who display fear, frustration, anger and anxiety about what is happening and our response to it.
The following points now become important:
Ireland flattened the curve many months ago, the burden on the health service avoided, mission accomplished? No, now we are told not to flatten the curve but to eliminate the virus much the same way New Zealand has. A “zero Covid” policy is the only way forward we are told. There are many flaws with this, but I’ll start with the low hanging fruit. Comparing New Zealand to Ireland is like comparing a village to a city. New Zealand is a 3hr flight from the nearest large landmass, the continent of Australia with its 25M population. Ireland by comparison is within a 3hr flight from 300M people, its capital city Dublin one of the most heavily used airports and financial centres on the continent. Even if “zero Covid” was possible, and it is not, it would only be a matter of days before we saw cases again. In order to achieve “zero Covid” we would have to board up every house, every business, stop most medical procedures (possible including closure of A&E departments) and deploy all members of the Gardai and army to enforce such a policy.
The impact as determined by all-cause mortality and ICU admissions is similar across Europe, essentially what you would expect for this time of year. This is despite rising cases in many regions (often driven by excessive testing). So, it begs the question, why the alarmist response? As any country scales up PCR testing, we will naturally see a rise in cases. This is to be expected (see above) due to immunity, cross reactivity and previous viral shedding. What we do not have is a corresponding impact in terms of ICU admission or mortality. This is largely due to a majority of the population having an adequate T-Cell immune response, a concept that helps us understand why some people in families become infected and others do not. Cases are on the rise, yet significant impact is not. What we have is what can be described as a “Casedemic” (i.e. a rise in cases with little or no serious impact).
Mass-testing with PCR-type kits has become a major problem in itself, happening as it is after the epidemic itself has passed. The PCR test does NOT test for live, viable virus. Rather it looks for one or two “viral fragments” associated with the Sars-CoV-2 virus. Most concerning is the fact that the PCR test picks up all the people who had the infection in the past, and are now completely fine; the problem is that viral fragments remain in one’s system weeks or even months after the virus itself has been banished. Another issue is that the PCR test can suffer from approximately 0.5% “false positives”. Roughly speaking, if you test a thousand people and find 10 “cases” – many of these can be false positives. It is simply not fit for purpose after an epidemic (i.e. real impacts on sickness and mortality) – has passed. The following plots should illustrate this serious problem very clearly:
Above plots: the striking shift from impactful epidemic, to non-impactful endemic presence in the population.
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Another crucial point to note is that an increase in the presence of Sars-CoV-2 in humans as we head into the winter, should not be a surprise. When we test for influenza through the year, we see this too (see graph below). The key question is “do we see an epidemic-type level of impact on sickness and death?” As was obvious in the last section, the answer is “no”. The reality is that the epidemic has passed now for this season, via: the passing of the most susceptible people, sadly the development of herd immunity broadly in the population (NOT as determined by antibody testing, which undercounts hugely) Some seasonal changes to human immunity and virus activity Other miscellaneous factors
Above plot: Sars-CoV-2 behaving very like seasonal influenza (x-axis shifted to overlay graphs)
Refs for plots above:
The ever-looming threat of a second lockdown now confronts the Irish people – our society faces more fear, paranoia, anger, depression, suicide, and mental health disorders. If the Irish people have to endure this for the foreseeable future, they at least deserve to hear the other side of this debate; that there may be an alternative to rolling lockdowns that will lead to missed cancer diagnoses, closure of schools, businesses destroyed, jobs lost, travel restricted, domestic violence, isolation and depression increased, mental health disorders in children on the rise and operations postponed or cancelled. It is important to remember, it is the poor and working class who will suffer the worst impacts from this. We are a long way from solving our health system and our housing crisis. Globally, this lockdown will drive millions into poverty.
The mandating of face masks based on little to no evidence is Orwellian at best. The evidence as provided by our experts at the peak of this pandemic was that they were useless, now they are essential. So essential in fact, that not only are they mandatory, this is enshrined in law and punishable by custodial sentence. One could do a fair bit of damage to person or property in Ireland and not incur a 6-month custodial sentence.
Masks may or may not have a benefit, and it is not unreasonable to invite people to wear these during an epidemic or pandemic when rising infections translate to significant morbidity and mortality – but enforcing face coverings and threatening prison on those that do not comply is the most un-Irish thing I have ever experienced. All public health advice should be evidence based and voluntarily followed.
An analogy: let’s say we have reduced injuries and mortality from car crashes down to tiny numbers, a huge success – the curve flattened beyond every expectation. But then we start obsessing on the thousands of bangs, scrapes, broken wing mirrors etc. – and make these “Car Impact Cases” into the new, paranoid focus. We know that the PCR test finds dead viral fragments from an old infection – so to complete our analogy, we would be recording scratches today that actually occurred weeks or months ago. Thus, our fixation with these “Car Impact Cases” would cause us to stop all driving in Ireland, thus eliminating all accidents – but not achieving the any notable benefit in what is important. Namely of course – actual deaths and serious injuries. Hopefully this helps to illustrate just how far we have deviated from the original (reasonable) intentions of March 2020 – where we all agreed to protect the hospitals and flatten the curve. But have people actually stopped to think about how extreme and irrational we have now become?
If we are to embark on a multi-year journey of economic depression, ruining young people’s hopes and dreams of buying homes, expanding or opening businesses, travelling or even enjoying a normal college experience, at least let it be built on sound empirical evidence. Let’s allow Nobel Laureates to be heard and not shouted at, that the one-dimensional view of NPHET be challenged by other experts, that the vaccine search continue and that no vaccine is distributed without the most rigorous of safety checks and that it is never made compulsory. Consent through education is the only way forward.
There is a way to avoid the economic Tsunami that awaits us. It resides in a better understanding of the above, a more consensual way to arrive at desired outcomes, a focus on nursing homes going forward during any epidemic or severe Flu season, the opening of schools, of restaurants, of pubs, of nightclubs, of avoiding the environmental carnage of disposable masks, gloves ,signs, plastic shields. We have co-existed with pathogens since our inception. Every so often a dreaded killer comes a long that wipes out millions. Our experience of Covid 19 should serve as a shot across the bow as to how unprepared we were for such an event. We will prevail against it; the susceptible can get a vaccine to limit impacts should it rear its ugly head again in the winter. It is time to think about a brighter future and with the correct science-based thinking and brave political will, it can be realised.
LETTER in MS Word format (editable for personalization): Coronavirus Mismanagement Letter Draft – Unsigned
LETTER in PDF format: Coronavirus Mismanagement Letter Draft – Unsigned
SHORT SIMPLE VERSION EDITORIAL LETTER WORD: COVID Letter Short Editorial Draft
SHORT SIMPLE VERSION EDITORIAL LETTER PDF: COVID Letter Short Editorial Draft
LETTER in MS Word format UK – tweaked for UK use: Coronavirus-Mismanagement-Letter-Draft-Unsigned – UK Edition
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principiascientificinternational--2020-09-04--The Failed Experiment of Covid Lockdowns

Six months into the Covid-19 pandemic , the U.S. has now carried out two large-scale experiments in public health—first , in March and April , the lockdown of the economy to arrest the spread of the virus , and second , since mid-April , the reopening of the economy .
The results are in .
Counterintuitive though it may be , statistical analysis shows that locking down the economy didn ’ t contain the disease ’ s spread and reopening it didn ’ t unleash a second wave of infections .
Considering that lockdowns are economically costly and create well-documented @ @ @ @ @ @ @ them appears to have been a large policy error .
At the beginning , when little was known , officials acted in ways they thought prudent .
But now evidence proves that lockdowns were an expensive treatment with serious side effects and no benefit to society .
TrendMacro , my analytics firm , tallied the cumulative number of reported cases of Covid-19 in each state and the District of Columbia as a percentage of population , based on data from state and local health departments aggregated by the Covid Tracking Project .
We @ @ @ @ @ @ @ intensity of the lockdown in each jurisdiction .
That is measured not by the mandates put in place by government officials , but rather by observing what people in each jurisdiction actually did , along with their baseline behavior before the lockdowns .
This is captured in highly detailed anonymized cellphone tracking data provided by Google and others and tabulated by the University of Maryland ’ s Transportation Institute into a “ Social Distancing Index.
” Measuring from the start of the year to each state ’ s point of maximum lockdown—which range @ @ @ @ @ @ @ out that lockdowns correlated with a greater spread of the virus .
States with longer , stricter lockdowns also had larger Covid outbreaks .
The five places with the harshest lockdowns—the District of Columbia , New York , Michigan , New Jersey and Massachusetts—had the heaviest caseloads .
It could be that strict lockdowns were imposed as a response to already severe outbreaks .
But the surprising negative correlation , while statistically weak , persists even when excluding states with the heaviest caseloads .
And it makes no difference if the analysis includes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ density , age , ethnicity , prevalence of nursing homes , general health or temperature .
The only factor that seems to make a demonstrable difference is the intensity of mass-transit use .
We ran the experiment a second time to observe the effects on caseloads of the reopening that began in mid-April .
We used the same methodology , but started from each state ’ s peak of lockdown and extended to July 31 .
Confirming the first experiment , there was a tendency ( though fairly weak ) for states that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lightest caseloads .
The states that had the big summer flare-ups in the so-called “ Sunbelt second wave ” —Arizona , California , Florida and Texas—are by no means the most opened up , politicized headlines notwithstanding .
The lesson is not that lockdowns made the spread of Covid-19 worse—although the raw evidence might suggest that—but that lockdowns probably didn ’ t help , and opening up didn ’ t hurt .
This defies common sense .
In theory , the spread of an infectious disease ought to be controllable by quarantine .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ are aware of no researcher who understands why not .
Those findings have now been enhanced by sophisticated measures of actual social distancing , and data from the reopening phase .
There are experimental controls that all this research lacks .
There are no observable instances in which there were either total lockdowns or no lockdowns at all .
But there ’ s no escaping the evidence that , at minimum , heavy lockdowns were no more effective than light ones , and that opening up a lot was no more harmful than @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s the science that would justify the heavy lockdowns many public-health officials are still demanding ?

Written by Donald L. Luskin WSJ
Six months into the Covid-19 pandemic, the U.S. has now carried out two large-scale experiments in public health—first, in March and April, the lockdown of the economy to arrest the spread of the virus, and second, since mid-April, the reopening of the economy. The results are in.
Counterintuitive though it may be, statistical analysis shows that locking down the economy didn’t contain the disease’s spread and reopening it didn’t unleash a second wave of infections.
Considering that lockdowns are economically costly and create well-documented long-term public-health consequences beyond Covid, imposing them appears to have been a large policy error. At the beginning, when little was known, officials acted in ways they thought prudent.
But now evidence proves that lockdowns were an expensive treatment with serious side effects and no benefit to society.
TrendMacro, my analytics firm, tallied the cumulative number of reported cases of Covid-19 in each state and the District of Columbia as a percentage of population, based on data from state and local health departments aggregated by the Covid Tracking Project.
We then compared that with the timing and intensity of the lockdown in each jurisdiction. That is measured not by the mandates put in place by government officials, but rather by observing what people in each jurisdiction actually did, along with their baseline behavior before the lockdowns. This is captured in highly detailed anonymized cellphone tracking data provided by Google and others and tabulated by the University of Maryland’s Transportation Institute into a “Social Distancing Index.”
Measuring from the start of the year to each state’s point of maximum lockdown—which range from April 5 to April 18—it turns out that lockdowns correlated with a greater spread of the virus. States with longer, stricter lockdowns also had larger Covid outbreaks. The five places with the harshest lockdowns—the District of Columbia, New York, Michigan, New Jersey and Massachusetts—had the heaviest caseloads.
It could be that strict lockdowns were imposed as a response to already severe outbreaks. But the surprising negative correlation, while statistically weak, persists even when excluding states with the heaviest caseloads. And it makes no difference if the analysis includes other potential explanatory factors such as population density, age, ethnicity, prevalence of nursing homes, general health or temperature. The only factor that seems to make a demonstrable difference is the intensity of mass-transit use.
We ran the experiment a second time to observe the effects on caseloads of the reopening that began in mid-April. We used the same methodology, but started from each state’s peak of lockdown and extended to July 31. Confirming the first experiment, there was a tendency (though fairly weak) for states that opened up the most to have the lightest caseloads.
The states that had the big summer flare-ups in the so-called “Sunbelt second wave”—Arizona, California, Florida and Texas—are by no means the most opened up, politicized headlines notwithstanding.
The lesson is not that lockdowns made the spread of Covid-19 worse—although the raw evidence might suggest that—but that lockdowns probably didn’t help, and opening up didn’t hurt. This defies common sense. In theory, the spread of an infectious disease ought to be controllable by quarantine. Evidently not in practice, though we are aware of no researcher who understands why not.
We’re not the only researchers to have discovered this statistical relationship. We first published a version of these findings in April, around the same time similar findings appeared in these pages. In July, a publication of the Lancet published research that found similar results looking across countries rather than U.S. states.
“A longer time prior to implementation of any lockdown was associated with a lower number of detected cases,” the study concludes.
Those findings have now been enhanced by sophisticated measures of actual social distancing, and data from the reopening phase.
There are experimental controls that all this research lacks. There are no observable instances in which there were either total lockdowns or no lockdowns at all. But there’s no escaping the evidence that, at minimum, heavy lockdowns were no more effective than light ones, and that opening up a lot was no more harmful than opening up a little.
So where’s the science that would justify the heavy lockdowns many public-health officials are still demanding?
Read more at www.wsj.com
***


principiascientificinternational--2020-09-05--UN Admits Bill Gates-Funded Vaccine Causing Polio In Africa

This really should be one of the biggest scandals in public health , but it ’ s given little attention – mainly because of the high-profile nature of the people and organisations involved .
The United Nations has been forced to admit that a major international vaccine initiative is actually causing the outbreak of the very disease it was supposed to wipe-out .
While international organisations like the World Health Organization ( WHO ) will regular boast about supposedly ‘ eradicating polio ’ with vaccines , the opposite seems to be the case .
Their decades-long campaign to eradicate polio @ @ @ @ @ @ @ people living in poor countries .
Now it seems that health officials are beginning to admit that their plan to stop ‘ wild ’ polio is backfiring , as scores children are being paralyzed a deadly strain of the pathogen derived from a live vaccine – causing a virulent of polio to spread .
Health officials administers polio vaccine to children at refugee camp in Maiduguri , Nigeria , Aug. 28 , 2016 ( AP Photo/Sunday Alamba ) This latest pharma-induced pandemic has broken out in the African countries of Chad and Sudan @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : a vaccine-derived polio virus type 2 .
Officials now fear this new dangerous strain could soon ‘ jump continents , ’ causing further deadly outbreaks around the world .
Shocking as it sounds , this Big Pharma debacle is not new .
After spending some $ 16 billion over 30 years to eradicate polio , international health bodies have ‘ accidentally ’ reintroduced the disease to in Pakistan , Afghanistan , and also Iran , as the central Asia region was hit by a virulent strain of polio spawned by the corporate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in 2019 , the government of Ethiopia ordered the destruction of 57,000 vials of type 2 oral polio vaccine ( mOPV2 ) following a similar outbreak of vaccine-induced polio .
It ’ s important to note that the oral polio vaccine being pushed on to the African population by the Global Polio Eradication Initiative ( GPEI ) , a consortium which is supported and funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation .
All of this should be a cause for concern , especially with western governments and transnational pharmaceutical giant all rushing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vaccine for the global population .
Currently , the first experimental COVID-19 vaccine is being tested on the African population through GAVI Vaccine Alliance , another organization funded by the Gates Foundation .
A large round of human trials will take place in South Africa , locally managed by the University of the Witwatersrand in Johannesburg—yet another Gates-funded institution .
This latest revelation from Africa should prompt media and health advocates to ask hard questions about the efficacy and safety of the much-hyped COVID ‘ miracle ’ vaccine .
The World Health Organization @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is linked to an ongoing vaccine-sparked epidemic in Chad – a week after the U.N. health agency declared the African continent free of the wild polio virus .
In a statement this week , WHO said two children in Sudan — one from South Darfur state and the other from Gedarif state , close to the border with Ethiopia and Eritrea — were paralyzed in March and April .
Both had been recently vaccinated against polio .
WHO said initial outbreak investigations show the cases are linked to an ongoing vaccine-derived outbreak in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and is now spreading in Chad and Cameroon .
“ There is local circulation in Sudan and continued sharing of transmission with Chad , ” the U.N. agency said , adding that genetic sequencing confirmed numerous introductions of the virus into Sudan from Chad .
WHO said it had found 11 additional vaccine-derived polio cases in Sudan and that the virus had also been identified in environmental samples .
There are typically many more unreported cases for every confirmed polio patient .
The highly infectious disease can spread quickly in contaminated water and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ In rare instances , the live polio virus in the oral vaccine can mutate into a form capable of sparking new outbreaks .
Last week , WHO and partners declared that the African continent was free of the wild polio virus , calling it “ an incredible and emotional day.
” On Monday , WHO warned that the risk of further spread of the vaccine-derived polio across central Africa and the Horn of Africa was “ high , ” noting the large-scale population movements in the region .
More than a dozen African @ @ @ @ @ @ @ caused by the virus , including Angola , Congo , Nigeria and Zambia .
Amid the coronavirus pandemic , many of the large-scale vaccination campaigns needed to stamp out polio have been disrupted.. PRINCIPIA SCIENTIFIC INTERNATIONAL , legally registered in the UK as a company incorporated for charitable purposes .
Head Office : 27 Old Gloucester Street , London WC1N 3AX .
Please DONATE TODAY To Help Our Non-Profit Mission To Defend The Scientific Method .

UN Admits Bill Gates-Funded Vaccine Causing Polio In Africa
Written by Maria Cheng
This really should be one of the biggest scandals in public health, but it’s given little attention – mainly because of the high-profile nature of the people and organisations involved.
The United Nations has been forced to admit that a major international vaccine initiative is actually causing the outbreak of the very disease it was supposed to wipe-out.
While international organisations like the World Health Organization (WHO) will regular boast about supposedly ‘eradicating polio’ with vaccines, the opposite seems to be the case. Their decades-long campaign to eradicate polio is now killing scores of innocent young people living in poor countries.
Now it seems that health officials are beginning to admit that their plan to stop ‘wild’ polio is backfiring, as scores children are being paralyzed a deadly strain of the pathogen derived from a live vaccine – causing a virulent of polio to spread.
Health officials administers polio vaccine to children at refugee camp in Maiduguri, Nigeria, Aug. 28, 2016 (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
This latest pharma-induced pandemic has broken out in the African countries of Chad and Sudan, and the culprit has been identified: a vaccine-derived polio virus type 2. Officials now fear this new dangerous strain could soon ‘jump continents,’ causing further deadly outbreaks around the world.
Shocking as it sounds, this Big Pharma debacle is not new. After spending some $16 billion over 30 years to eradicate polio, international health bodies have ‘accidentally’ reintroduced the disease to in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and also Iran, as the central Asia region was hit by a virulent strain of polio spawned by the corporate pharmaceutical vaccine distributed there. Also, in 2019, the government of Ethiopia ordered the destruction of 57,000 vials of type 2 oral polio vaccine (mOPV2) following a similar outbreak of vaccine-induced polio.
It’s important to note that the oral polio vaccine being pushed on to the African population by the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI), a consortium which is supported and funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
All of this should be a cause for concern, especially with western governments and transnational pharmaceutical giant all rushing to roll-out their new Gates-funded experimental coronavirus vaccine for the global population.
Currently, the first experimental COVID-19 vaccine is being tested on the African population through GAVI Vaccine Alliance, another organization funded by the Gates Foundation. A large round of human trials will take place in South Africa, locally managed by the University of the Witwatersrand in Johannesburg—yet another Gates-funded institution.
This latest revelation from Africa should prompt media and health advocates to ask hard questions about the efficacy and safety of the much-hyped COVID ‘miracle’ vaccine.
AP News reports…
The World Health Organization says a new polio outbreak in Sudan is linked to an ongoing vaccine-sparked epidemic in Chad – a week after the U.N. health agency declared the African continent free of the wild polio virus. In a statement this week, WHO said two children in Sudan — one from South Darfur state and the other from Gedarif state, close to the border with Ethiopia and Eritrea — were paralyzed in March and April. Both had been recently vaccinated against polio. WHO said initial outbreak investigations show the cases are linked to an ongoing vaccine-derived outbreak in Chad that was first detected last year and is now spreading in Chad and Cameroon. “There is local circulation in Sudan and continued sharing of transmission with Chad,” the U.N. agency said, adding that genetic sequencing confirmed numerous introductions of the virus into Sudan from Chad. WHO said it had found 11 additional vaccine-derived polio cases in Sudan and that the virus had also been identified in environmental samples. There are typically many more unreported cases for every confirmed polio patient. The highly infectious disease can spread quickly in contaminated water and most often strikes children under 5. In rare instances, the live polio virus in the oral vaccine can mutate into a form capable of sparking new outbreaks. Last week, WHO and partners declared that the African continent was free of the wild polio virus, calling it “an incredible and emotional day.” On Monday, WHO warned that the risk of further spread of the vaccine-derived polio across central Africa and the Horn of Africa was “high,” noting the large-scale population movements in the region. More than a dozen African countries are currently battling outbreaks of polio caused by the virus, including Angola, Congo, Nigeria and Zambia. Amid the coronavirus pandemic, many of the large-scale vaccination campaigns needed to stamp out polio have been disrupted.. Read more here..
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principiascientificinternational--2020-09-05--Lancet Concedes Russian COVID19 Vaccine Works, Shows Promise

Medical Journal The Lancet confirms that the Russian COVID19 vaccine shows real promise as tests prove it works in creating antibodies and has no side-effects .
Results from two early-phase non-randomised vaccine trials in a total of 76 people indicate that two formulations of a two-part vaccine have a good safety profile with no serious adverse events detected over 42 days .
The findings , published in the Lancet , also found the candidates induced an antibody response in all participants within 21 days .
Secondary outcomes from the trial suggest the vaccines also produce a T-cell response within 28 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ two small phase 1/2 trials lasting 42 days .
One looked at a frozen formulation of the vaccine , and another involving a lyophilised ( freeze-dried ) formulation .
It is envisaged that the frozen formulation will be for large-scale use , using existing global supply chains for vaccines .
The freeze-dried formulation was developed for hard-to-reach regions as it is more stable and can be stored at 2-8C , the researchers say .
The two-part vaccine includes two adenovirus vectors which have been modified to express the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein .
These @ @ @ @ @ @ @ versions of adenoviruses which are a group of viruses that typically infect membranes of the eyes , respiratory tract , urinary tract , intestines and nervous system , and include the common cold .
Lead author Dr Denis Logunov , of the N F Gamaleya National Research Centre for Epidemiology and Microbiology in Russia , said : “ When adenovirus vaccines enter people ’ s cells , they deliver the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein genetic code , which causes cells to produce the spike protein .
The trials took place in two hospitals in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ meaning participants knew they were receiving the vaccine and were not assigned by chance to different treatment groups .
The trials involved healthy adults aged 18-60 , who self-isolated as soon as they were registered for the trial and remained in hospital for the first 28 days of the trial .
The frozen vaccine ( Gam-Covid-Vac – known as Sputnik V ) was trialled in the Burdenko Hospital in Moscow , and involved both civilian and military volunteers .
The freeze-dried vaccine ( Gam-Covid-Vac-Lyo ) trial took place at Sechenov University in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ civilians .
In phase 1 of each trial , participants received one component of the two-part vaccine on day zero .
In phase 2 , which started no earlier than five days after the phase 1 trial , participants received the full two-part vaccine – they were given a prime vaccination with the rAd26-S component on day 0 , followed by a booster vaccination with rAd5-S component on day 21 .
There were 20 participants each in the frozen and freeze-dried vaccine groups .
In order to compare post-vaccination immunity with natural immunity @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 4,817 people who had recovered from mild or moderate Covid-19 .
According to the study , both vaccine formulations were safe over the 42-day study period and well tolerated .
The most common adverse reactions were mild and included pain at the injection site , high temperature and headache .
All participants in the phase 2 trials ( 40 participants ) produced antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein .
Neutralising antibody responses also occurred in all 40 participants in the phase 2 trials by day 42 .
The authors say that despite there @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vectors , the antibody response to the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein was not affected .
They suggest this means using different adenovirus vectors is an effective approach to elicit a robust immune response and to overcome the immune reaction to the first viral vector , but note that more research is needed to confirm this .
The researchers note a number of limitations to their study , including that it had a short follow-up , it was a small study , some parts of the phase 1 trials included only male volunteers , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
They further note that despite planning to recruit healthy volunteers aged 18–60 , in general , their study included fairly young volunteers , on average in their 20s and 30s .
Professor Alexander Gintsburg , also of the N F Gamaleya National Research Centre for Epidemiology and Microbiology in Russia , said : “ Pre-clinical and clinical studies have been done , which has made it possible to provisionally approve the vaccine under the current Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of April 3 2020 no 441 .
The phase @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to include 40,000 volunteers from different age and risk groups .
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Lancet Concedes Russian COVID19 Vaccine Works, Shows Promise
Written by Neil Shaw
Medical Journal The Lancet confirms that the Russian COVID19 vaccine shows real promise as tests prove it works in creating antibodies and has no side-effects.
Results from two early-phase non-randomised vaccine trials in a total of 76 people indicate that two formulations of a two-part vaccine have a good safety profile with no serious adverse events detected over 42 days.
The findings, published in the Lancet, also found the candidates induced an antibody response in all participants within 21 days. Secondary outcomes from the trial suggest the vaccines also produce a T-cell response within 28 days.
The paper reports findings from two small phase 1/2 trials lasting 42 days. One looked at a frozen formulation of the vaccine, and another involving a lyophilised (freeze-dried) formulation. It is envisaged that the frozen formulation will be for large-scale use, using existing global supply chains for vaccines.
The freeze-dried formulation was developed for hard-to-reach regions as it is more stable and can be stored at 2-8C, the researchers say. The two-part vaccine includes two adenovirus vectors which have been modified to express the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein.
These types of vaccines are based on weakened versions of adenoviruses which are a group of viruses that typically infect membranes of the eyes, respiratory tract, urinary tract, intestines and nervous system, and include the common cold.
Lead author Dr Denis Logunov, of the N F Gamaleya National Research Centre for Epidemiology and Microbiology in Russia, said: “When adenovirus vaccines enter people’s cells, they deliver the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein genetic code, which causes cells to produce the spike protein.
“This helps teach the immune system to recognise and attack the SARS-CoV-2 virus. To form a powerful immune response against SARS-CoV-2, it is important that a booster vaccination is provided.”
The trials took place in two hospitals in Russia and were open-label and non-randomised – meaning participants knew they were receiving the vaccine and were not assigned by chance to different treatment groups.
The trials involved healthy adults aged 18-60, who self-isolated as soon as they were registered for the trial and remained in hospital for the first 28 days of the trial. The frozen vaccine (Gam-Covid-Vac – known as Sputnik V) was trialled in the Burdenko Hospital in Moscow, and involved both civilian and military volunteers.
The freeze-dried vaccine (Gam-Covid-Vac-Lyo) trial took place at Sechenov University in the Russian capital, and all volunteers were civilians.
In phase 1 of each trial, participants received one component of the two-part vaccine on day zero. In phase 2, which started no earlier than five days after the phase 1 trial, participants received the full two-part vaccine – they were given a prime vaccination with the rAd26-S component on day 0, followed by a booster vaccination with rAd5-S component on day 21.
There were 20 participants each in the frozen and freeze-dried vaccine groups. In order to compare post-vaccination immunity with natural immunity, the authors obtained convalescent plasma from 4,817 people who had recovered from mild or moderate Covid-19.
According to the study, both vaccine formulations were safe over the 42-day study period and well tolerated.
The most common adverse reactions were mild and included pain at the injection site, high temperature and headache.
All participants in the phase 2 trials (40 participants) produced antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. Neutralising antibody responses also occurred in all 40 participants in the phase 2 trials by day 42.
The authors say that despite there being neutralising antibody responses against the adenovirus vectors, the antibody response to the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein was not affected.
They suggest this means using different adenovirus vectors is an effective approach to elicit a robust immune response and to overcome the immune reaction to the first viral vector, but note that more research is needed to confirm this.
The researchers note a number of limitations to their study, including that it had a short follow-up, it was a small study, some parts of the phase 1 trials included only male volunteers, and there was no placebo or control vaccine.
They further note that despite planning to recruit healthy volunteers aged 18–60, in general, their study included fairly young volunteers, on average in their 20s and 30s.
Professor Alexander Gintsburg, also of the N F Gamaleya National Research Centre for Epidemiology and Microbiology in Russia, said: “Pre-clinical and clinical studies have been done, which has made it possible to provisionally approve the vaccine under the current Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of April 3 2020 no 441.
“This provisional licensure requires a large-scale study, allows vaccination in a consented general population in the context of a phase 3 trial, allows the vaccine to be brought into use in a population under strict pharmacovigilance (drug safety measures), and to provide vaccination of risk groups.”
The phase 3 clinical trial of the vaccine plans to include 40,000 volunteers from different age and risk groups.
Read more at www.hulldailymail.co.uk
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principiascientificinternational--2020-09-07--Despite Climate Alarm Authorities Reporting Record Crop Yields

The International Grains Council ( IGC ) is reporting that global corn , wheat , and rice production is on pace to set new records this year , destroying an incessant parade of media claims that global warming is devastating crop production .
Here at Climate Realism , we have documented and debunked many of the ridiculous media claims that climate change is decimating crop production ( see here , here , here , here , here , here , and here , just in the past month , for example ) .
Global crop production , as well as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s nations , sets new records virtually every year as our planet modestly warms .
Now , the IGC reports – unsurprisingly – that the same is happening in 2020 .
The online agriculture news service , World-Grain.com published a story , “ IGC projects record output for corn , wheat , and soybeans , ” highlighting the findings of the International Grains Council ( IGC ) , that it expects the harvest of key cereal crops , corn , rice , soybeans , and wheat , which are the core staple @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , to set records in 2020 .
IGC ’ s August 27 Grain Market Review , projects total global grains production will reach 2.230 billion tons during the 2020-2021 marketing year , representing a 50 million ton increase from its July forecast and a nine percent higher yield than the 2.181 billion tons produced in the previous marketing year .
Climate at a Glance : Crop Yields summarizes the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization ( FAO ) data documenting the fact that U.S. crop yields and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ every year as global climate modestly warms .
Thanks in large part to longer growing seasons , fewer frost events , more precipitation , and the fertilization effect of atmospheric carbon dioxide , farmers are producing more food on less land , allowing them to feed a growing global population .
Indeed , almost every important U.S. crop has set record yields per acre during the past three years , with most of the top 10 years in yields-per-acre occurring during the past decade .
The FAO ’ s database shows what ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also true for most countries and most crops around the world , as increasing levels of carbon dioxide help crop production to boom .
When it comes to climate change and crops , the “ debate ” is between provably false media lies vs. objective data showing times have never been better .
PRINCIPIA SCIENTIFIC INTERNATIONAL , legally registered in the UK as a company incorporated for charitable purposes .
Head Office : 27 Old Gloucester Street , London WC1N 3AX .
Please DONATE TODAY To Help Our Non-Profit Mission To Defend The @ @ @

Despite Climate Alarm Authorities Reporting Record Crop Yields
Written by H Sterling Burnett
The International Grains Council (IGC) is reporting that global corn, wheat, and rice production is on pace to set new records this year, destroying an incessant parade of media claims that global warming is devastating crop production.
Here at Climate Realism, we have documented and debunked many of the ridiculous media claims that climate change is decimating crop production (see here, here, here, here, here, here, and here, just in the past month, for example).
Global crop production, as well as crop production in most of the world’s nations, sets new records virtually every year as our planet modestly warms. Now, the IGC reports – unsurprisingly – that the same is happening in 2020.
The online agriculture news service, World-Grain.com published a story, “IGC projects record output for corn, wheat, and soybeans,” highlighting the findings of the International Grains Council (IGC), that it expects the harvest of key cereal crops, corn, rice, soybeans, and wheat, which are the core staple crops for many peoples around the world, to set records in 2020.
IGC’s August 27 Grain Market Review, projects total global grains production will reach 2.230 billion tons during the 2020-2021 marketing year, representing a 50 million ton increase from its July forecast and a nine percent higher yield than the 2.181 billion tons produced in the previous marketing year.
Climate at a Glance: Crop Yields summarizes the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) data documenting the fact that U.S. crop yields and global crop yields are setting records nearly every year as global climate modestly warms.
Thanks in large part to longer growing seasons, fewer frost events, more precipitation, and the fertilization effect of atmospheric carbon dioxide, farmers are producing more food on less land, allowing them to feed a growing global population.
Indeed, almost every important U.S. crop has set record yields per acre during the past three years, with most of the top 10 years in yields-per-acre occurring during the past decade.
The FAO’s database shows what’s true of the United States is also true for most countries and most crops around the world, as increasing levels of carbon dioxide help crop production to boom.
When it comes to climate change and crops, the “debate” is between provably false media lies vs. objective data showing times have never been better.
Read more at Climate Realism
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principiascientificinternational--2020-09-07--Exposing The Covid19 virus ‘false positive trap’

There has been much debate recently about the effectiveness or not of the PCR testing for the Covid virus , and much criticism of the methods employed in testing in the UK .
A few days ago , the retired former government scientist I am acquainted with wrote a piece about it , and I reproduce it in its entirety here .
He produced the chart below of the results of testing in the UK up to August 20th .
This ‘ test and trace ’ data is released a week in arrears .
The dotted line represents an upper @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this being estimated at 2 – 4 cases per 100 people tested by the Centre for Evidence Based Medicine at Oxford University .
Pillar 1 is testing of those with a clinical need ( sick folk and frontline workers ) .
Pillar 2 is testing of the wider population who have reason to require a test ( not feeling well , self-isolating , contact with a case ) .
Falling below the false positive rate means we are looking at garbage .
If SARS-COV-2 vanished overnight the PCR test would still churn out @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the false positive trap meaning the UK will be perpetually caught in a numbers game that has no clinical meaning .
In the middle of a perpetual lockdown .
Later the same day , he commented further : “ By relying on the wholly inappropriate PCR test and ignoring genuine expert advice , the government will have created a perpetual medical tyranny .
This coming winter will produce the usual seasonal ‘ flu that will no doubt trigger thousands of positive PCR tests , thus giving them their ‘ second wave ’ and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for another two years .
Until the medical establishment speak out en-masse and people rebel with conviction we are not going to get out of this.
” I hate the term ‘ conspiracy theorist ’ , but I and many others have been saying for some time none of this is about protecting people from a virus which looks like being no worse than a bad flu season , and everything to do with taking the opportunity to enact legislation aimed at population control and regulation , to advance the globalists Agenda 2030 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is .
The government and the mainstream media should be emphasizing how low the number of deaths has fallen , and that the increasing cases are mainly due to increased testing , but no , they are doing the exact opposite , continuing to ramp up the fearmongering , and making it seem , like Carol McGiffin said on Talk Radio a few days ago , that if someone touches them they will drop dead .
With the current focus on the number of cases rather than the rapidly dwindling number of deaths @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is intended to continue for years rather than months , just as the ‘ conspiracy theorists ’ predicted , and will probably become permanent ; the ‘ new normal ’ of increased restrictions , increased regulation and increased loss of civil liberties from which we will never escape .
About the author : Andy Rowlands is a British Principia Scientific International researcher , writer and editor who co-edited the new climate science book , ‘ The Sky Dragon Slayers : Victory Lap ‘ PRINCIPIA SCIENTIFIC INTERNATIONAL , legally registered in the UK as @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Head Office : 27 Old Gloucester Street , London WC1N 3AX .
Please DONATE TODAY To Help Our Non-Profit Mission To Defend The Scientific Method .

Exposing The Covid19 virus ‘false positive trap’
Written by Andy Rowlands
There has been much debate recently about the effectiveness or not of the PCR testing for the Covid virus, and much criticism of the methods employed in testing in the UK.
A few days ago, the retired former government scientist I am acquainted with wrote a piece about it, and I reproduce it in its entirety here.
He produced the chart below of the results of testing in the UK up to August 20th. This ‘test and trace’ data is released a week in arrears. The dotted line represents an upper value for the false positive rate, this being estimated at 2 – 4 cases per 100 people tested by the Centre for Evidence Based Medicine at Oxford University.
He says:
Pillar 1 is testing of those with a clinical need (sick folk and frontline workers). Pillar 2 is testing of the wider population who have reason to require a test (not feeling well, self-isolating, contact with a case). Falling below the false positive rate means we are looking at garbage. If SARS-COV-2 vanished overnight the PCR test would still churn out positive results. The CEBM call it the false positive trap meaning the UK will be perpetually caught in a numbers game that has no clinical meaning.
He continued:
“Despite it being the single most important graph we can produce, no government data authority has bothered to produce it and no journalist or news channel has bothered to chase epidemiologists to produce one for them. It means we are in the middle of a perpetual lockdown” (Emphasis added)
In the middle of a perpetual lockdown.
Later the same day, he commented further:
“By relying on the wholly inappropriate PCR test and ignoring genuine expert advice, the government will have created a perpetual medical tyranny. This coming winter will produce the usual seasonal ‘flu that will no doubt trigger thousands of positive PCR tests, thus giving them their ‘second wave’ and an excuse to extend their emergency powers for another two years. Until the medical establishment speak out en-masse and people rebel with conviction we are not going to get out of this.”
I hate the term ‘conspiracy theorist’, but I and many others have been saying for some time none of this is about protecting people from a virus which looks like being no worse than a bad flu season, and everything to do with taking the opportunity to enact legislation aimed at population control and regulation, to advance the globalists Agenda 2030 or whatever the latest name for it is.
The government and the mainstream media should be emphasizing how low the number of deaths has fallen, and that the increasing cases are mainly due to increased testing, but no, they are doing the exact opposite, continuing to ramp up the fearmongering, and making it seem, like Carol McGiffin said on Talk Radio a few days ago, that if someone touches them they will drop dead.
With the current focus on the number of cases rather than the rapidly dwindling number of deaths, this rather suggests the current situation is intended to continue for years rather than months, just as the ‘conspiracy theorists’ predicted, and will probably become permanent; the ‘new normal’ of increased restrictions, increased regulation and increased loss of civil liberties from which we will never escape.
About the author: Andy Rowlands is a British Principia Scientific International researcher, writer and editor who co-edited the new climate science book, ‘The Sky Dragon Slayers: Victory Lap‘
PRINCIPIA SCIENTIFIC INTERNATIONAL, legally registered in the UK as a company incorporated for charitable purposes. Head Office: 27 Old Gloucester Street, London WC1N 3AX.
Please DONATE TODAY To Help Our Non-Profit Mission To Defend The Scientific Method.
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