palmerreport--2020-08-17--Prominent Republican Congressman to endorse Joe Biden tomorrow

John Kasich , the former Republican Governor of Ohio , is speaking in support of Joe Biden at this week ’ s Democratic National Convention .
It ’ s rare enough for a former Republican office holder to cross party lines like this .
Now it turns out a current Republican office holder is about to do the same .
Kasich revealed on CNN this evening that a prominent Republican member of Congress is going to endorse Joe Biden tomorrow .
No hints were given as to this person ’ s identity , and there are different ways to interpret @ @ @ @ @ @ @ matter , while “ member of Congress ” usually refers to the House in this context , it can also potentially refer to the Senate .
This revelation has set the internet ablaze with speculation .
A lot of people are pointing to far-right Congressman Justin Amash , who voted to impeach Donald Trump .
But Amash quit the Republican Party last year , so he ’ s not technically a Republican member of Congress anymore .
Some people are suggesting it could be Adam Kinzinger , Francis Rooney , or Will Hurd @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ; Rooney and Hurd are about to retire .
Of course it ’ s debatable as to whether any of them are “ prominent.
” Some are asking if it ’ s Republican Senator Mitt Romney , who voted to convict Trump , and is certainly prominent .
We ’ ll find out soon enough .
Whoever it is , we ’ ll gladly take all the help we can get in this election , regardless of our opinion of the Republican member of Congress in question .
This is going to be @ @ @ @

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Update, 10:30pm: John Kasich has now clarified that he’s referring to a former Republican Congressman, not one who’s still in Congress. We still don’t know the person’s identity. Original story follows below.
John Kasich revealed on CNN this evening that a prominent Republican member of Congress is going to endorse Joe Biden tomorrow. No hints were given as to this person’s identity, and there are different ways to interpret the word “prominent.” For that matter, while “member of Congress” usually refers to the House in this context, it can also potentially refer to the Senate.
This revelation has set the internet ablaze with speculation. A lot of people are pointing to far-right Congressman Justin Amash, who voted to impeach Donald Trump. But Amash quit the Republican Party last year, so he’s not technically a Republican member of Congress anymore [Update, 9:54pm: Amash says it’s not him]. Some people are suggesting it could be Adam Kinzinger, Francis Rooney, or Will Hurd, who have all been Trump critics; Rooney and Hurd are about to retire. Of course it’s debatable as to whether any of them are “prominent.” Some are asking if it’s Republican Senator Mitt Romney, who voted to convict Trump, and is certainly prominent.
We’ll find out soon enough. Whoever it is, we’ll gladly take all the help we can get in this election, regardless of our opinion of the Republican member of Congress in question. This is going to be an interesting week.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-16--The dirt about Donald Trump in Michael Cohen’s book is even uglier than we thought

Michael Cohen has already publicly stated that his upcoming tell-all book “ Disloyal ” includes stories about Donald Trump ’ s golden showers in a Vegas strip club , Cohen helping Trump commit financial crimes , and Trump cheating in the 2016 election .
So is it possible that the book contains even uglier dirt that Cohen hasn ’ t teased yet ?
Apparently so .
Another former Trump political underling , Anthony Scaramucci , appeared on MSNBC today to discuss Michael Cohen ’ s book .
Scaramucci said this : “ I think people are going to be shocked @ @ @ @ @ @ @ shocked at the amoral behavior.
” When host Garrett Haake asked aloud if there ’ s anything else about Trump ’ s character that we don ’ t already know at this point , Scaramucci added , “ Oh no , there is .
Just wait and see.
” As Scaramucci cautioned , it ’ s difficult to predict the precise impact that Michael Cohen ’ s book will have on the election , because there are so many things going right now .
As Palmer Report likes to point out , this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a single wave of a magic wand by anyone on either side .
That said , there is strong reason to believe that Scaramucci is correct about Michael Cohen ’ s book containing revelations about Donald Trump that will shock the public .
While Cohen did dutifully testify about Trump before Congress , that had a narrow and specific scope .
Cohen also reportedly gave significant testimony to New York prosecutors .
So there ’ s good reason to believe that Cohen has plenty more dark secrets about Trump that he ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Cohen just tweeted “ Thank you Scaramucci .
Few know as much about the contents of Disloyal as you do.
” You can preorder his book here .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Michael Cohen has already publicly stated that his upcoming tell-all book “Disloyal” includes stories about Donald Trump’s golden showers in a Vegas strip club, Cohen helping Trump commit financial crimes, and Trump cheating in the 2016 election. So is it possible that the book contains even uglier dirt that Cohen hasn’t teased yet? Apparently so.
Another former Trump political underling, Anthony Scaramucci, appeared on MSNBC today to discuss Michael Cohen’s book. Scaramucci said this: “I think people are going to be shocked at the level of criminality, and shocked at the amoral behavior.” When host Garrett Haake asked aloud if there’s anything else about Trump’s character that we don’t already know at this point, Scaramucci added, “Oh no, there is. Just wait and see.”
As Scaramucci cautioned, it’s difficult to predict the precise impact that Michael Cohen’s book will have on the election, because there are so many things going right now. As Palmer Report likes to point out, this election won’t be decided by a single wave of a magic wand by anyone on either side.
That said, there is strong reason to believe that Scaramucci is correct about Michael Cohen’s book containing revelations about Donald Trump that will shock the public. While Cohen did dutifully testify about Trump before Congress, that had a narrow and specific scope. Cohen also reportedly gave significant testimony to New York prosecutors. So there’s good reason to believe that Cohen has plenty more dark secrets about Trump that he’s now going to reveal. In fact Cohen just tweeted “Thank you Scaramucci. Few know as much about the contents of Disloyal as you do.” You can preorder his book here.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-16--Donald Trump’s legal troubles in New York just got even uglier for him

We already know that the New York state criminal investigation is not limited to hush money paid out by Donald Trump or his associates , and the investigation has been described as having lasted for years and being “ complex.
” This past Friday , the Manhattan district attorney ’ s office told Donald Trump that he “ was not entitled to learn more about the scope of its criminal investigation into his business dealings , ” and thus rejected Trump ’ s attempt to block a subpoena for his returns .
As we ’ ve mentioned here before , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ month that “ The office suggested in a court filing that it was investigating the president and his company for possible bank and insurance fraud , a much broader investigation than prosecutors had acknowledged in the past.
” All this should worry Trump ’ s businesses .
Trump too .
It seems like his clandestine world might finally be exposed .
We know that Trump panicked in early July and had Attorney General Bill Barr remove a top federal prosecutor in Manhattan .
It seems like Trump , or at least his handlers @ @ @ @ @ @ @ hot on his trail .
It ’ s worth mentioning that this investigation is taking place at the nerve center of Trump ’ s business empire — Manhattan .
The number of people on that island who have worked with and know about Trump and his goings on is surely large .
For investigators , having all those people in one place is a boon .
What ’ s more is that I do not believe that the Manhattan DA would be doing this without the intent to eventually bring charges .
It @ @ @ @ @ @ @ taxing undertaking to investigate Trump , uncover his improprieties , and then have everything crumble to dust because they can ’ t bring charges to a sitting president .
No .
The Manhattan DA is doing this for results .
I won ’ t claim that we should place faith in the Manhattan DA the way we did the Mueller investigation , but at the very least we can say that this investigation is likely to have some serious substance .
Let ’ s just hope Trump loses the election in November so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ long to see him get slapped with criminal charges .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
We already know that the New York state criminal investigation is not limited to hush money paid out by Donald Trump or his associates, and the investigation has been described as having lasted for years and being “complex.” This past Friday, the Manhattan district attorney’s office told Donald Trump that he “was not entitled to learn more about the scope of its criminal investigation into his business dealings,” and thus rejected Trump’s attempt to block a subpoena for his returns.
As we’ve mentioned here before, the New York Times reported earlier this month that “The office suggested in a court filing that it was investigating the president and his company for possible bank and insurance fraud, a much broader investigation than prosecutors had acknowledged in the past.” All this should worry Trump’s businesses. Trump too.
It seems like his clandestine world might finally be exposed. We know that Trump panicked in early July and had Attorney General Bill Barr remove a top federal prosecutor in Manhattan. It seems like Trump, or at least his handlers, were aware of the prosecutors being hot on his trail.
It’s worth mentioning that this investigation is taking place at the nerve center of Trump’s business empire — Manhattan. The number of people on that island who have worked with and know about Trump and his goings on is surely large. For investigators, having all those people in one place is a boon.
What’s more is that I do not believe that the Manhattan DA would be doing this without the intent to eventually bring charges. It would be an extraordinarily time-consuming and emotionally taxing undertaking to investigate Trump, uncover his improprieties, and then have everything crumble to dust because they can’t bring charges to a sitting president. No. The Manhattan DA is doing this for results.
I won’t claim that we should place faith in the Manhattan DA the way we did the Mueller investigation, but at the very least we can say that this investigation is likely to have some serious substance. Let’s just hope Trump loses the election in November so we don’t have to wait long to see him get slapped with criminal charges.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-16--Donald Trump loses the upper hand in Post Office battle

Donald Trump ’ s Post Office gambit was always a short term play .
He was never going to be able to drag it out through the election .
He even acknowledged as much in multiple press conferences this week , when he admitted that he had merely taken the Post Office hostage so he could trade it back to Congress in exchange for other concessions .
But now it turns out his Post Office gambit is falling apart more quickly than even we thought it would .
Trump ’ s gambit was essentially over when Mitt Romney publicly sided @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of being a one-mn show , Trump allies Marco Rubio and Kevin McCarthy ended up also siding with the Post Office .
The gambit was totally over when Trump ’ s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy agreed to testify to the House next month , a sign that he was worried about the legal troubles he was going to face , and that he was looking to start playing defense instead of offense .
But now things have accelerated .
The news yesterday was that the House scheduled DeJoy ’ s testimony for mid-September @ @ @ @ @ @ @ willing to show up .
DeJoy could drag this out into a months-long court battle if he wanted to , so it ’ s not as if the House can just wave a magic wand and force him to show up on a certain day .
But while magic wands don ’ t exist in politics , leverage does .
Sensing that Trump has lost the upper hand , the House is now demanding that DeJoy show up and testify next week .
To be clear , this means the House now thinks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that he ’ s likely willing to show up next week .
This is ostensibly due to a combination of things .
DeJoy can see that everyone from the Post Office Inspector General to the New Jersey Attorney General is now investigating him , and Trump can ’ t pardon state charges .
Further , Trump ’ s own Republican allies are publicly signaling to him that this game is getting too dangerous , and that it ’ s time to get whatever they can get in exchange for caving on the Post @ @ @ @ @ @ @ pushback against Donald Trump ’ s Post Office stunt is continuing to hand leverage to the House Democrats on the matter .
It ’ s now clear we ’ re going to win the Post Office battle if we keep fighting .
It ’ s worth keeping in mind that if you ’ re running around telling people that Trump has killed the Post Office and rigged the election , you ’ re actually telling people not to bother voting against him .
Let ’ s not make the strategic mistake of handing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Office loss .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Donald Trump’s Post Office gambit was always a short term play. He was never going to be able to drag it out through the election. He even acknowledged as much in multiple press conferences this week, when he admitted that he had merely taken the Post Office hostage so he could trade it back to Congress in exchange for other concessions. But now it turns out his Post Office gambit is falling apart more quickly than even we thought it would.
Trump’s gambit was essentially over when Mitt Romney publicly sided with the Post Office, and instead of being a one-mn show, Trump allies Marco Rubio and Kevin McCarthy ended up also siding with the Post Office. The gambit was totally over when Trump’s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy agreed to testify to the House next month, a sign that he was worried about the legal troubles he was going to face, and that he was looking to start playing defense instead of offense. But now things have accelerated.
The news yesterday was that the House scheduled DeJoy’s testimony for mid-September because it was the earliest he was willing to show up. DeJoy could drag this out into a months-long court battle if he wanted to, so it’s not as if the House can just wave a magic wand and force him to show up on a certain day. But while magic wands don’t exist in politics, leverage does. Sensing that Trump has lost the upper hand, the House is now demanding that DeJoy show up and testify next week.
To be clear, this means the House now thinks DeJoy is sufficiently backed into a corner that he’s likely willing to show up next week. This is ostensibly due to a combination of things. DeJoy can see that everyone from the Post Office Inspector General to the New Jersey Attorney General is now investigating him, and Trump can’t pardon state charges. Further, Trump’s own Republican allies are publicly signaling to him that this game is getting too dangerous, and that it’s time to get whatever they can get in exchange for caving on the Post Office.
The massive public protest and pushback against Donald Trump’s Post Office stunt is continuing to hand leverage to the House Democrats on the matter. It’s now clear we’re going to win the Post Office battle if we keep fighting. It’s worth keeping in mind that if you’re running around telling people that Trump has killed the Post Office and rigged the election, you’re actually telling people not to bother voting against him. Let’s not make the strategic mistake of handing Trump a victory out of his Post Office loss.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-16--The real reason Steve Bannon has suddenly resurfaced

Steve Bannon has mostly remained out of public view after he got run out of Donald Trump ’ s White House , only popping up here and there on occasion .
Yet now today he ’ s suddenly hitting the Fox News circuit and offering a full throated defense of Trump ’ s reelection bid .
So what ’ s going on ?
Given the timing , this one isn ’ t particularly difficult to parse .
Earlier this week the Los Angeles Times and Washington Post reported that the Republican-controlled Senate Intelligence Committee sent a bipartisan letter to the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ other Trump associates of having lied under oath during their testimony .
This is usually a fairly straightforward felony to prove to a jury , meaning that if Trump loses the election , Bannon is on track to go to prison .
Now that Steve Bannon has learned he ’ s on track for federal prison , he ’ s suddenly hopping on Fox News and making sure Donald Trump sees him offering a full-throated endorsement of Trump ’ s campaign .
Bannon is clearly trying to convince Trump to pardon him on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s tweets about Bannon over the past couple years suggest that Trump ’ s view of Bannon is decidedly mixed .
It ’ s not clear if Bannon can get a pardon out of Trump or not – but it ’ s clear that he ’ s now vying for one .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Steve Bannon has mostly remained out of public view after he got run out of Donald Trump’s White House, only popping up here and there on occasion. Yet now today he’s suddenly hitting the Fox News circuit and offering a full throated defense of Trump’s reelection bid. So what’s going on?
Given the timing, this one isn’t particularly difficult to parse. Earlier this week the Los Angeles Times and Washington Post reported that the Republican-controlled Senate Intelligence Committee sent a bipartisan letter to the DOJ, accusing Steve Bannon and multiple other Trump associates of having lied under oath during their testimony. This is usually a fairly straightforward felony to prove to a jury, meaning that if Trump loses the election, Bannon is on track to go to prison.
Now that Steve Bannon has learned he’s on track for federal prison, he’s suddenly hopping on Fox News and making sure Donald Trump sees him offering a full-throated endorsement of Trump’s campaign. Bannon is clearly trying to convince Trump to pardon him on his way out the door. Trump’s tweets about Bannon over the past couple years suggest that Trump’s view of Bannon is decidedly mixed. It’s not clear if Bannon can get a pardon out of Trump or not – but it’s clear that he’s now vying for one.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-16--Yes, it really is this bad

Yes, it really is this bad

Donald Trump continues to stand out as the most corrupt president in our nation ’ s history , Barr none .
“ Law and Order ” are empty words from this administration , one that has attempted to destroy various institutions , including the EPA and most recently , the United States Postal Service .
But not only is it corrupt , it is led by a man who has no appreciation for actual expertise for various issues .
In the most recent stupidest damn thing ever said by a president , when interviewed this week by Hugh Hewitt , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ turn to if he had a military situation .
Did he refer to his Joint Chief of Staffs or Secretary of Defense , or a true general ?
No , he turned to a football coach , namely , Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots .
Trump stated : “ If I ever had a military battle I ’ d call up Belichick and say , ‘ What do you think , what do you think ?
Give me a couple of ideas.
’ He ’ d be as good as any @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of the interview they turned to the topic of Chicago , and the responses and interactions with Hewitt were just as stupid , with Hewitt trying to ascribe to Trump something that Trump has no inkling about , Federalism .
The interaction in part was : HH : Chicago is getting out of hand… .
DJT : We can solve that problem in one hour , just like we did in Minneapolis .
They were ripping the place apart , and I was calling them and saying you ’ d better get the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ They could have done that a week earlier , and you wouldn ’ t have had a city that was ripped apart .
HH : But you respect the governor ’ s power .
DJT : And the only reason Seattle settled was they knew I was going in the next day .
HH : You ’ re a federalist .
DJT : And my guys were going in the next day .
That ’ s the only reason that happened .
HH : You believe in federalism .
This is total gibberish @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what he ’ s even trying to say .
Yet he wants us to believe that Joe Biden is “ sleepy ” or “ slow .
”

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Donald Trump continues to stand out as the most corrupt president in our nation’s history, Barr none. “Law and Order” are empty words from this administration, one that has attempted to destroy various institutions, including the EPA and most recently, the United States Postal Service.
But not only is it corrupt, it is led by a man who has no appreciation for actual expertise for various issues. In the most recent stupidest damn thing ever said by a president, when interviewed this week by Hugh Hewitt, he was asked about who he might turn to if he had a military situation. Did he refer to his Joint Chief of Staffs or Secretary of Defense, or a true general?
No, he turned to a football coach, namely, Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots. Trump stated: “If I ever had a military battle I’d call up Belichick and say, ‘What do you think, what do you think? Give me a couple of ideas.’ He’d be as good as any general out there.”
St the end of the interview they turned to the topic of Chicago, and the responses and interactions with Hewitt were just as stupid, with Hewitt trying to ascribe to Trump something that Trump has no inkling about, Federalism. The interaction in part was:
HH: Chicago is getting out of hand….
DJT: We can solve that problem in one hour, just like we did in Minneapolis. They were ripping the place apart, and I was calling them and saying you’d better get the Guard out.…The whole thing was over. They could have done that a week earlier, and you wouldn’t have had a city that was ripped apart. HH: But you respect the governor’s power. DJT: And the only reason Seattle settled was they knew I was going in the next day.
HH: You’re a federalist. DJT: And my guys were going in the next day. That’s the only reason that happened.
HH: You believe in federalism.
This is total gibberish. Donald Trump has absolutely no idea what he’s even trying to say. Yet he wants us to believe that Joe Biden is “sleepy” or “slow.”
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-16--The battle over Donald Trump’s DNA is only one of his problems this week

While we ’ re in the neighborhood , a man who claims he ’ s innocent of rape has a chance to score a huge victory to prove his innocence in a court of law .
All he needs for exoneration is to provide the court with a sample of his own DNA .
His lawyers are fighting tooth and nail to delay his giving said DNA sample — at least until after November .
The man , of course , is Donald Trump .
While we ’ re in the neighborhood , a man who promised to stop taking @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in cages is still , two years later , taking children from their parents and throwing them in cages .
Now there ’ s a new twist .
Those children are also confined in crowded conditions during a deadly pandemic .
The man , of course , is Donald Trump .
While we ’ re in the neighborhood , a man who dismissed the notion that Vladimir Putin is paying Taliban terrorists to murder American soldiers in Afghanistan as a hoax had , as it turns out , been given credible intelligence proving @ @ @ @ @ @ @ man is too busy to think about it right now because he ’ s dealing night and day with a problem that hasn ’ t happened yet and almost certainly never will : nationwide election fraud .
The man insists the potential nationwide election fraud stems from the fact that there ’ s an important difference between absentee ballots and mail-in voting .
There isn ’ t .
That man , of course , is Donald Trump .
While we ’ re in the neighborhood , the man who claimed he was supposed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the Yankees game Saturday night in New York but canceled because of his “ strong focus on the China Virus [ sic ] , including scheduled meetings on Vaccines , our economy and much else , ” spent most of Saturday playing golf .
He attended no meetings on vaccines , the economy or anything else of critical importance .
He did make a lot of hateful tweets .
That man , of course , is Donald Trump .
So when that man went to visit his critically ill brother Robert in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , “ I hope he ’ s okay , he has a tough time .
He ’ s having a tough time.
” Then he added , “ I have a wonderful brother .
We ’ ve had a great relationship for a long time .
From day one .
Long time .
And he ’ s in the hospital right now .
Hopefully , he ’ ll be all right , but he ’ s having a hard time , ” do we have any reason at all to believe his sincerity @ @ @ @ @ @ @ course , is Donald Trump .
The foregoing narrative about how Donald Trump had a “ great relationship for a long time .
From day one , ” was contradicted by Mary L. Trump ’ s new book , “ Too Much and Never Enough.
” In it she said that from the time they were small Donald cruelly tormented his younger brother Robert every chance he got .
He did it mercilessly and without any regard for their mother ’ s attempts to intervene .
Indeed , as a child Donald Trump @ @ @ @ @ @ @ her authority was so complete that there was no effective difference between how he misbehaved when she wasn ’ t around and how he misbehaved when she was .
In any event , Robert Trump died Saturday night .
From these ignominious roots grew the monster who rapes women , betrays his nation ’ s soldiers to a murderous dictator , cages children , invents falsehood to subvert the democratic process and has told over 20,000 lies .
Meanwhile , since I last wrote to you , another thousand Americans have died from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ This is a monster who is , believe it or not , actually fighting to look his best between now and November in order to trick us into keeping him in power .
Try to imagine how he will behave if he wins and he has no more elections to worry about .
Perhaps there won ’ t be that much difference .
Perhaps , in the end , he has just as much contempt for you and me as he did for his mother .
There are a million reasons why Donald @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the United States , this has been another of them .
And , as ever , ladies and gentlemen , brothers and sisters , comrades and friends , stay safe .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
While we’re in the neighborhood, a man who claims he’s innocent of rape has a chance to score a huge victory to prove his innocence in a court of law. All he needs for exoneration is to provide the court with a sample of his own DNA. His lawyers are fighting tooth and nail to delay his giving said DNA sample — at least until after November. The man, of course, is Donald Trump.
While we’re in the neighborhood, a man who promised to stop taking children from their parents and throwing them in cages is still, two years later, taking children from their parents and throwing them in cages. Now there’s a new twist. Those children are also confined in crowded conditions during a deadly pandemic. The man, of course, is Donald Trump.
While we’re in the neighborhood, a man who dismissed the notion that Vladimir Putin is paying Taliban terrorists to murder American soldiers in Afghanistan as a hoax had, as it turns out, been given credible intelligence proving it’s true. But the man is too busy to think about it right now because he’s dealing night and day with a problem that hasn’t happened yet and almost certainly never will: nationwide election fraud. The man insists the potential nationwide election fraud stems from the fact that there’s an important difference between absentee ballots and mail-in voting. There isn’t. That man, of course, is Donald Trump.
While we’re in the neighborhood, the man who claimed he was supposed to throw out the first pitch at the Yankees game Saturday night in New York but canceled because of his “strong focus on the China Virus [sic], including scheduled meetings on Vaccines, our economy and much else,” spent most of Saturday playing golf. He attended no meetings on vaccines, the economy or anything else of critical importance. He did make a lot of hateful tweets. That man, of course, is Donald Trump.
So when that man went to visit his critically ill brother Robert in the hospital on Friday, and he said, “I hope he’s okay, he has a tough time. He’s having a tough time.” Then he added, “I have a wonderful brother. We’ve had a great relationship for a long time. From day one. Long time. And he’s in the hospital right now. Hopefully, he’ll be all right, but he’s having a hard time,” do we have any reason at all to believe his sincerity? Again, that man, of course, is Donald Trump.
The foregoing narrative about how Donald Trump had a “great relationship for a long time. From day one,” was contradicted by Mary L. Trump’s new book, “Too Much and Never Enough.” In it she said that from the time they were small Donald cruelly tormented his younger brother Robert every chance he got. He did it mercilessly and without any regard for their mother’s attempts to intervene. Indeed, as a child Donald Trump’s contempt for his mother and her authority was so complete that there was no effective difference between how he misbehaved when she wasn’t around and how he misbehaved when she was. In any event, Robert Trump died Saturday night.
From these ignominious roots grew the monster who rapes women, betrays his nation’s soldiers to a murderous dictator, cages children, invents falsehood to subvert the democratic process and has told over 20,000 lies. Meanwhile, since I last wrote to you, another thousand Americans have died from a pandemic he has virtually ignored.
This is a monster who is, believe it or not, actually fighting to look his best between now and November in order to trick us into keeping him in power. Try to imagine how he will behave if he wins and he has no more elections to worry about. Perhaps there won’t be that much difference. Perhaps, in the end, he has just as much contempt for you and me as he did for his mother.
There are a million reasons why Donald Trump is unfit to be president of the United States, this has been another of them. And, as ever, ladies and gentlemen, brothers and sisters, comrades and friends, stay safe.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-16--This is beyond the pale

This is beyond the pale

Yesterday Donald Trump ’ s brother Robert Trump died .
Although Donald briefly visited Robert in the hospital at one point , Donald ended up going golfing yesterday while his brother passed away .
And yet Trump supporters somehow expect us to feel sympathy for Donald .
Donald Trump is a man who has murdered 160,000 Americans and counting over the past few months .
He ’ s literally in the midst of a mass negligent homicide streak .
Trump is also continuing to criminally conspire with America ’ s foreign enemies , while trying to rig his own election @ @ @ @ @ @ @ sympathy for this guy because he lost a brother he never cared about to begin with ?
Where was the sympathy from Trump supporters when Elizabeth Warren ’ s brother and Maxine Waters ’ sister recently died from coronavirus ?
Donald Trump just keeps attacking them both in racist fashion .
Come to think of it , what did Robert Trump even die from ?
Seventy-two year olds don ’ t die without a reason .
Did he have coronavirus too ?
Is the Trump family covering it up , as part of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a hoax ?
We may never know .
This is all beyond the pale .
You can feel however you want about Robert Trump , based on the particulars of his life .
But Donald Trump deserves absolutely no sympathy in a situation like this .
None .
Especially when he decided to spend the last day of his brother ’ s life golfing .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Yesterday Donald Trump’s brother Robert Trump died. Although Donald briefly visited Robert in the hospital at one point, Donald ended up going golfing yesterday while his brother passed away. And yet Trump supporters somehow expect us to feel sympathy for Donald.
Donald Trump is a man who has murdered 160,000 Americans and counting over the past few months. He’s literally in the midst of a mass negligent homicide streak. Trump is also continuing to criminally conspire with America’s foreign enemies, while trying to rig his own election. We’re supposed to feel sympathy for this guy because he lost a brother he never cared about to begin with?
Where was the sympathy from Trump supporters when Elizabeth Warren’s brother and Maxine Waters’ sister recently died from coronavirus? Donald Trump just keeps attacking them both in racist fashion. Come to think of it, what did Robert Trump even die from? Seventy-two year olds don’t die without a reason. Did he have coronavirus too? Is the Trump family covering it up, as part of their insistence that the entire pandemic is a hoax? We may never know.
This is all beyond the pale. You can feel however you want about Robert Trump, based on the particulars of his life. But Donald Trump deserves absolutely no sympathy in a situation like this. None. Especially when he decided to spend the last day of his brother’s life golfing.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Here’s thing about this John Boehner – Jeff Flake – Joe Biden storyline

On Sunday night John Kasich announced that a “ prominent ” Republican member of Congress was set to endorse Joe Biden on Monday .
This set off all kinds of speculation across social media about who it might be .
Kasich then clarified that it was a former member of Congress , setting off a second round of speculation .
To be clear , no one has any idea who the person is .
But so many observers on Twitter guessed that it might be John Boehner or Jeff Flake , their names both started trending on Sunday night .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ debate about whether we even want the likes of Kasich , Boehner , and Flake endorsing Biden .
After all , they all suck .
I ’ ll make it easy for you : of course we want their endorsement .
Yes , they suck – but that ’ s not relevant .
They can get us some moderate votes .
Maybe a lot , maybe just a few , we have no way of knowing .
But there ’ s no scenario where this somehow costs us votes .
So of course @ @ @ @ @ @ @ important of an election to be puritans about it .
This is about winning .
It ’ s not as if Joe Biden is caving to the likes of Boehner or Kasich on policy by accepting their endorsements .
In reality , any Republicans who endorse Biden will be the ones caving on policy , because they ’ ll be choosing to accept the Democratic Party ’ s political positions just to get Donald Trump out of office .
So if you ’ re thinking about pitching a fit because you don ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ behind Biden , please find something more constructive to be outraged about .
Again , this is about winning .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
On Sunday night John Kasich announced that a “prominent” Republican member of Congress was set to endorse Joe Biden on Monday. This set off all kinds of speculation across social media about who it might be. Kasich then clarified that it was a former member of Congress, setting off a second round of speculation.
To be clear, no one has any idea who the person is. But so many observers on Twitter guessed that it might be John Boehner or Jeff Flake, their names both started trending on Sunday night. This in turn set off a widespread debate about whether we even want the likes of Kasich, Boehner, and Flake endorsing Biden. After all, they all suck.
I’ll make it easy for you: of course we want their endorsement. Yes, they suck – but that’s not relevant. They can get us some moderate votes. Maybe a lot, maybe just a few, we have no way of knowing. But there’s no scenario where this somehow costs us votes. So of course we want it. This is too important of an election to be puritans about it. This is about winning.
It’s not as if Joe Biden is caving to the likes of Boehner or Kasich on policy by accepting their endorsements. In reality, any Republicans who endorse Biden will be the ones caving on policy, because they’ll be choosing to accept the Democratic Party’s political positions just to get Donald Trump out of office. So if you’re thinking about pitching a fit because you don’t like the Republicans who are getting behind Biden, please find something more constructive to be outraged about. Again, this is about winning.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Donald Trump’s last gasp

Donald Trump’s last gasp

Just how badly is Donald Trump ’ s post office gambit going for him ?
Even his allies like Kevin McCarthy and Marco Rubio are admitting that it ’ s time to re-fund the post office , because they don ’ t want to get stuck taking the heat for post office closures .
With Trump ’ s Postmaster General having agreed to testify before the House , and the House now demanding that he testify within a week , time is running very short on Trump ’ s post office stunt .
He ’ ll soon cave on post @ @ @ @ @ @ @ some kind of unrelated concessions back from the House .
Yet now , even with the post office gambit quick unraveling and near its end , people on social media are suddenly noticing red locks on blue post office mailboxes in various cities .
In a general sense , the red locks are nothing new .
The post office has been strategically using them for years to stop attempted vandalism .
It ’ s not immediately clear if the spike in red locks being reported on social media represent an actual spike in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it ’ s just a matter of people noticing the locks more now that the post office has been scandalized .
But if the Trump regime is now placing a bunch of extra locks on mailboxes , it ’ s merely one last attempt at scaring you into believing he ’ s killed the post office and magically rigged the election , so you ’ ll give up and stop fighting .
In reality , he ’ s lost the post office fight and he ’ s about to cave .
Keep fighting @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
This isn ’ t “ optimism.
” It ’ s just an observation of the facts at hand .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Just how badly is Donald Trump’s post office gambit going for him? Even his allies like Kevin McCarthy and Marco Rubio are admitting that it’s time to re-fund the post office, because they don’t want to get stuck taking the heat for post office closures.
With Trump’s Postmaster General having agreed to testify before the House, and the House now demanding that he testify within a week, time is running very short on Trump’s post office stunt. He’ll soon cave on post office funding, and try to get some kind of unrelated concessions back from the House. Yet now, even with the post office gambit quick unraveling and near its end, people on social media are suddenly noticing red locks on blue post office mailboxes in various cities.
In a general sense, the red locks are nothing new. The post office has been strategically using them for years to stop attempted vandalism. It’s not immediately clear if the spike in red locks being reported on social media represent an actual spike in red locks being implemented, or if it’s just a matter of people noticing the locks more now that the post office has been scandalized.
But if the Trump regime is now placing a bunch of extra locks on mailboxes, it’s merely one last attempt at scaring you into believing he’s killed the post office and magically rigged the election, so you’ll give up and stop fighting. In reality, he’s lost the post office fight and he’s about to cave. Keep fighting and we’ll win this one. This isn’t “optimism.” It’s just an observation of the facts at hand.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Donald Trump’s game of chicken is about to blow up in his face

Donald Trump is putting more effort into undermining democracy in the United States than he has trying to mitigate the domestic COVID-19 pandemic .
But Trump ’ s recent and vociferous opposition to Democratic lawmakers ’ request for a $ 25bn aid package for the United States Postal Service is more just evil — it ’ s self-sabotage .
The gist of Trump ’ s mastermind plan here is to overwhelm an underfunded USPS to functionally disenfranchise voters .
Those most affected by this would likely be people who heavily rely on the USPS due to their limited mobility , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ who are in substantially rural parts of the country .
Have you noticed the self-sabotage part yet ?
Trump does well with older voters ( who tend to have limited mobility ) and rural voters .
Assuming these voters are the ones whose votes stand at greatest risk of being left uncounted , Trump doesn ’ t appear to be doing himself any favors .
By contrast , younger voters tend to oppose Trump and tend to , at least anecdotally , seem more apt to go outside and brave the risks of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ seem to be particularly energized to boot Trump from office .
Assuming the inertia doesn ’ t wane by November , Trump should be concerned about his job security .
I concede that my assessment here is limited in scope and goes by reckoning rather than any strong data , but it ’ s worth more than a brief thought — especially for Trump .
Nothing I ’ ve said should diminish the concerns we have for Trump ’ s blatant attempts to stifle democracy , nor should the considerations I ’ ve @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the fight for expanded voting accessibility , however it begs asking : can Trump realistically continue his opposition to the Democrats ’ USPS spending bill ?
I think the answer is no .
I think he ’ s going to back down .
Demographic considerations aside , if we just look at the scope of potential functional disenfranchisement of voters due to the USPS ’ s logistical limitations , it seems more than likely that states — governors , representatives , and senators in particular — would demand compromise .
This goes for @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about it : elected officials rely on voter data to tailor their campaigns as well as possible to win .
If they can ’ t rely on these data , they ’ re going into the election flying at least somewhat blind .
These officials won ’ t stand for that , even Republicans .
They won ’ t take the risk of self-sacrifice with a grain of salt .
Let ’ s see how far Trump is willing to take this game of chicken .
My guess is not very far , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ go all the way to November , he ’ s mistaken to think it would be clear a windfall for him .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Donald Trump is putting more effort into undermining democracy in the United States than he has trying to mitigate the domestic COVID-19 pandemic. But Trump’s recent and vociferous opposition to Democratic lawmakers’ request for a $25bn aid package for the United States Postal Service is more just evil — it’s self-sabotage.
The gist of Trump’s mastermind plan here is to overwhelm an underfunded USPS to functionally disenfranchise voters. Those most affected by this would likely be people who heavily rely on the USPS due to their limited mobility, those who are itinerate, and those who are in substantially rural parts of the country. Have you noticed the self-sabotage part yet? Trump does well with older voters (who tend to have limited mobility) and rural voters. Assuming these voters are the ones whose votes stand at greatest risk of being left uncounted, Trump doesn’t appear to be doing himself any favors.
By contrast, younger voters tend to oppose Trump and tend to, at least anecdotally, seem more apt to go outside and brave the risks of the pandemic. Younger voters at least seem to be particularly energized to boot Trump from office. Assuming the inertia doesn’t wane by November, Trump should be concerned about his job security.
I concede that my assessment here is limited in scope and goes by reckoning rather than any strong data, but it’s worth more than a brief thought — especially for Trump. Nothing I’ve said should diminish the concerns we have for Trump’s blatant attempts to stifle democracy, nor should the considerations I’ve raised be used as justification to abandon the fight for expanded voting accessibility, however it begs asking: can Trump realistically continue his opposition to the Democrats’ USPS spending bill? I think the answer is no. I think he’s going to back down.
Demographic considerations aside, if we just look at the scope of potential functional disenfranchisement of voters due to the USPS’s logistical limitations, it seems more than likely that states — governors, representatives, and senators in particular — would demand compromise. This goes for leadership from both political parties. Think about it: elected officials rely on voter data to tailor their campaigns as well as possible to win. If they can’t rely on these data, they’re going into the election flying at least somewhat blind. These officials won’t stand for that, even Republicans. They won’t take the risk of self-sacrifice with a grain of salt.
Let’s see how far Trump is willing to take this game of chicken. My guess is not very far, but if he let’s this go all the way to November, he’s mistaken to think it would be clear a windfall for him.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Ben Carson and the MyPillow guy have cooked up a phony new coronavirus cure – and Donald Trump is bu

Ben Carson and the MyPillow guy have cooked up a phony new coronavirus cure – and Donald Trump is buying it

Ben Carson has a history of hawking phony miracle cures for cancer .
MyPillow founder Mike Lindell has a history of hawking a plain old pillow that he claims is some kind of miracle pillow .
So perhaps we shouldn ’ t be surprised that they ’ ve teamed up to hawk a phony coronavirus miracle cure , which they ’ re now pitching to Donald Trump .
In an article that feels straight out of the Onion , but is instead coming from very real news outlet Axios , it turns out Ben Carson and the MyPillow guy really @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a cure for coronavirus , despite no evidence whatsoever that it can do any such thing .
It turns out they ’ ve basically got Trump on board with it .
But some folks in the Trump regime are so alarmed by it , they ’ re leaking the story to the media in the hope of stopping the whole thing before it can get off the ground .
Two things stand out here .
First , this means that Mike Lindell isn ’ t just a guy who sells crappy overpriced pillows @ @ @ @ @ @ @ close to Donald Trump .
Instead , Lindell is the kind of dangerous con artist who ’ s using his relationship with Donald Trump to try to con Americans into buying into a fake cure for a deadly pandemic , which means Lindell is extremely dangerous .
Second , Donald Trump clearly had so little interest in Ben Carson ’ s past as a medical doctor , he put him in charge of HUD instead making him Surgeon General .
But now Carson is having no problem getting Trump to buy into his @ @ @ @ @ @ @ latest sign that Trump ’ s mind has deteriorated to the point that everyone around him – even the half braindead Carson – is able to steer Trump in whatever direction they want .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Ben Carson has a history of hawking phony miracle cures for cancer. MyPillow founder Mike Lindell has a history of hawking a plain old pillow that he claims is some kind of miracle pillow. So perhaps we shouldn’t be surprised that they’ve teamed up to hawk a phony coronavirus miracle cure, which they’re now pitching to Donald Trump.
In an article that feels straight out of the Onion, but is instead coming from very real news outlet Axios, it turns out Ben Carson and the MyPillow guy really are pushing an oleander dietary supplement as a cure for coronavirus, despite no evidence whatsoever that it can do any such thing. It turns out they’ve basically got Trump on board with it. But some folks in the Trump regime are so alarmed by it, they’re leaking the story to the media in the hope of stopping the whole thing before it can get off the ground.
Two things stand out here. First, this means that Mike Lindell isn’t just a guy who sells crappy overpriced pillows on cable news and stands way too close to Donald Trump. Instead, Lindell is the kind of dangerous con artist who’s using his relationship with Donald Trump to try to con Americans into buying into a fake cure for a deadly pandemic, which means Lindell is extremely dangerous.
Second, Donald Trump clearly had so little interest in Ben Carson’s past as a medical doctor, he put him in charge of HUD instead making him Surgeon General. But now Carson is having no problem getting Trump to buy into his medical quackery. It’s the latest sign that Trump’s mind has deteriorated to the point that everyone around him – even the half braindead Carson – is able to steer Trump in whatever direction they want.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Everyone piles on after Melania Trump snubs Donald Trump in front of the cameras

Donald Trump ’ s poll numbers are bad .
His approval rating his low .
His niece thinks he ’ @ @ @ @ @ office .
Now it turns out Trump ’ s own wife is apparently no longer @ @ @ @ @ him , if new footage of Donald and Melania Trump together today is any indication @ @ @ @ @ video of Donald and Melania walking down an airplane ramp today , with Donald repeatedly @ @ @ @ @ , and Melania having absolutely none of it : Of course there are far larger @ @ @ @ @ Melania Trump ’ s latest behavior .
But it does serve as a reminder that @ @ @ @ @ Donald Trump across the board right now , to the point where even his wife @ @ @ @ @ to play along .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Donald Trump’s poll numbers are bad. His approval rating his low. His niece thinks he’s deranged and unfit for office. Now it turns out Trump’s own wife is apparently no longer interested in pretending she likes him, if new footage of Donald and Melania Trump together today is any indication.
Check out this surreal video of Donald and Melania walking down an airplane ramp today, with Donald repeatedly trying to hold her hand, and Melania having absolutely none of it:
How unpopular is Donald Trump? Even Melania has stopped pretending she gives a damn about him: pic.twitter.com/FAqTODDoeb — Palmer Report (@PalmerReport) August 17, 2020
Of course there are far larger problems to worry about than Melania Trump’s latest behavior. But it does serve as a reminder that things are going wrong for Donald Trump across the board right now, to the point where even his wife is for whatever reason unwilling to play along.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Former Republican Congressman to endorse Joe Biden tomorrow [UPDATED]

Update , 10:30pm : John Kasich has now clarified that he ’ s referring to a former Republican Congressman , not one who ’ s still in Congress .
We still don ’ t know the person ’ s identity .
Original story follows below .
John Kasich revealed on CNN this evening that a prominent Republican member of Congress is going to endorse Joe Biden tomorrow .
No hints were given as to this person ’ s identity , and there are different ways to interpret the word “ prominent.
” For that matter , while “ member of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in this context , it can also potentially refer to the Senate .
This revelation has set the internet ablaze with speculation .
A lot of people are pointing to far-right Congressman Justin Amash , who voted to impeach Donald Trump .
But Amash quit the Republican Party last year , so he ’ s not technically a Republican member of Congress anymore [ Update , 9:54pm : Amash says it ’ s not him ] .
Some people are suggesting it could be Adam Kinzinger , Francis Rooney , or Will Hurd @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ; Rooney and Hurd are about to retire .
Of course it ’ s debatable as to whether any of them are “ prominent.
” Some are asking if it ’ s Republican Senator Mitt Romney , who voted to convict Trump , and is certainly prominent .
We ’ ll find out soon enough .
Whoever it is , we ’ ll gladly take all the help we can get in this election , regardless of our opinion of the Republican member of Congress in question .
This is going to be @ @ @ @


palmerreport--2020-08-18--The opening night of the Democratic National Convention is a reminder of what we can be

The 2020 Democratic National Convention kicked off tonight , and while it ’ s taking place virtually , the power behind the message and the moment is very real .
The opening of the convention , complete with a parade of faces that looked like America , was enough to evoke a feeling of patriotism that ’ s been frankly hard to come by in Donald Trump ’ s anti-American era .
The speakers thus far have included everyone from far-left progressives , to former Trump voters , all of whom are now uniting in support of Joe Biden .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ breadth of Biden ’ s support , Bernie Sanders and John Kasich are both speaking in support of him tonight – and Sanders and Kasich rarely agree on much of anything .
This Democratic National Convention is a reminder of what we ’ re capable of .
We can still be America .
We can still come together .
We can still feel patriotism .
We can still have something to feel proud about .
We haven ’ t even gotten to the biggest-name speakers yet , and this already feels like how @ @ @ @

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
The 2020 Democratic National Convention kicked off tonight, and while it’s taking place virtually, the power behind the message and the moment is very real. The opening of the convention, complete with a parade of faces that looked like America, was enough to evoke a feeling of patriotism that’s been frankly hard to come by in Donald Trump’s anti-American era.
The speakers thus far have included everyone from far-left progressives, to former Trump voters, all of whom are now uniting in support of Joe Biden. To give you an idea of the breadth of Biden’s support, Bernie Sanders and John Kasich are both speaking in support of him tonight – and Sanders and Kasich rarely agree on much of anything.
This Democratic National Convention is a reminder of what we’re capable of. We can still be America. We can still come together. We can still feel patriotism. We can still have something to feel proud about. We haven’t even gotten to the biggest-name speakers yet, and this already feels like how things should feel.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-18--Rachel Maddow and Michael Cohen are cooking up something together

How much interest is there in Michael Cohen ’ s new book ?
It ’ s already a # 1 bestseller in multiple categories on Amazon , and # 4 overall , without Cohen having done anything more than releasing the book ’ s foreword .
But every book launch comes with a media blitz , and it looks like Cohen is swinging for the fences .
Michael Cohen just tweeted this : “ Many have asked for me to appear on @ maddow .
I am in talks right now with her staff .
One topic for sure…my upcoming @ @ @ @ @ @ @ couple reasons .
Rachel Maddow is a smart , savvy , and tough interviewer , to the point that a lot of people are afraid to go on her show .
Cohen knows that Maddow will ask him challenging questions about his criminal history with Trump .
This means that Michael Cohen is prepared to talk about everything , or else he ’ d be sticking with softer interviewers .
In turn this suggests that Cohen ’ s book reveals every ugly thing that ever went on between him and Donald Trump .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ back in prison just to try to stop this book launch .
You can preorder the book here .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
How much interest is there in Michael Cohen’s new book? It’s already a #1 bestseller in multiple categories on Amazon, and #4 overall, without Cohen having done anything more than releasing the book’s foreword. But every book launch comes with a media blitz, and it looks like Cohen is swinging for the fences.
Michael Cohen just tweeted this: “Many have asked for me to appear on @maddow. I am in talks right now with her staff. One topic for sure…my upcoming book.” This is notable for a couple reasons. Rachel Maddow is a smart, savvy, and tough interviewer, to the point that a lot of people are afraid to go on her show. Cohen knows that Maddow will ask him challenging questions about his criminal history with Trump.
This means that Michael Cohen is prepared to talk about everything, or else he’d be sticking with softer interviewers. In turn this suggests that Cohen’s book reveals every ugly thing that ever went on between him and Donald Trump. No wonder Trump tried to throw Cohen back in prison just to try to stop this book launch. You can preorder the book here.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Joe Biden just nailed it in a way Donald Trump never could

Unless you are silly enough to subscribe to the idea that the five stages of grief are golf , golf , golf , golf and hate-tweeting , I suspect , like me , you think that whatever tears are being shed by Donald Trump and his claque of knuckle-dragging acolytes over the death of Trump ’ s brother Robert Trump , they are entirely crocodile ones .
The last time Trump had a chance to mourn the death of a sibling was 1981 , and that time instead of playing golf he characteristically went to a movie .
So there @ @ @ @ @ @ @ your suffering for the worldwide pandemic .
No movies for Trump .
But I ’ m not running for political office — or anything else — and I can afford to be cynical .
Joe Biden must cut a less skeptical figure and , as they say , give the man the benefit of the doubt .
Biden therefore tweeted the following , not just for Trump , but also for you and for me , reminding us that part of being president means being presidential , it means being the larger man @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Biden was correct to tweet : Anything less would have been a dereliction of the ideal we need to see in our next president , one of wisdom , kindness , generosity and a forgiving willingness to rise above the political fray .
( I am told by the British newspaper The Independent that Trump responded to the Vice President ’ s largess with a retweet ridiculing Biden ’ s stutter .
I am unable to find that retweet , but would not be surprised if it were true . )
As you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 1972 , Biden ’ s wife Neilia and their one-year-old daughter Naomi were killed in an automobile accident while Christmas shopping .
Biden is familiar with tragedy and is a mature , functioning adult human being .
He can draw on the wells of common human tragedy , like the loss of his wife and infant daughter , and find empathy for others .
That is a quality of human emotional wholeness that we who are healthy and compassionate share .
That is a quality that is essential to being president of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ any nation .
Donald Trump shares none of these qualities .
Trump is not a fully integrated human being .
He is severely broken .
He is so handicapped by his lack of empathy as to render him entirely unfit to continue to serve as president of the United States .
I am not here in my usual capacity , to pass savage judgment on Donald Trump .
Today ( and perhaps today only ) I come neither to praise nor bury Donald Trump , but to dispassionately pass judgment on the incontrovertible @ @ @ @ @ @ @ serve as president — for whatever reason .
I know Trump ’ s father , Fred , was an unregenerate monster .
I know Trump ’ s mother was too weak to be anything other than Fred ’ s codependent .
It makes no difference to me whether Trump is what he is through choice or through no fault of his own .
The presidency is not a halfway house for broken spirits .
We need a wholly integrated woman or a wholly integrated man at the helm .
The United States government @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Trump ’ s security blanket , and will entirely perish should it continue .
Joe Biden ’ s compassion and ability to govern the country are proven beyond doubt .
He has an aplomb , a maturity , a capacity for leadership that is obvious .
It can not be faked , he is the authentic thing .
Trump ’ s assault on the post office and his false narrative of mail-in voter fraud is an obvious attempt to disenfranchise those of us who would vote him out of office .
We must @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for Joe Biden on November 3rd .
I know this hyperbole has been used before but this time it ’ s true : America can not survive another four years under this president .
Let ’ s not just get him out , let ’ s do so in a single voice too loud and too massive to be questioned .
And , as ever , ladies and gentlemen , brothers and sisters , comrades and friends , stay safe .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Unless you are silly enough to subscribe to the idea that the five stages of grief are golf, golf, golf, golf and hate-tweeting, I suspect, like me, you think that whatever tears are being shed by Donald Trump and his claque of knuckle-dragging acolytes over the death of Trump’s brother Robert Trump, they are entirely crocodile ones. The last time Trump had a chance to mourn the death of a sibling was 1981, and that time instead of playing golf he characteristically went to a movie. So there, you aren’t alone in your suffering for the worldwide pandemic. No movies for Trump.
But I’m not running for political office — or anything else — and I can afford to be cynical. Joe Biden must cut a less skeptical figure and, as they say, give the man the benefit of the doubt. Biden therefore tweeted the following, not just for Trump, but also for you and for me, reminding us that part of being president means being presidential, it means being the larger man, the less petty man. Joe Biden was correct to tweet:
“Mr. President, Jill and I are sad to learn of your younger brother Robert’s passing. I know the tremendous pain of losing a loved one — and I know how important family is in moments like these. I hope you know that our prayers are with you all.”
Anything less would have been a dereliction of the ideal we need to see in our next president, one of wisdom, kindness, generosity and a forgiving willingness to rise above the political fray. (I am told by the British newspaper The Independent that Trump responded to the Vice President’s largess with a retweet ridiculing Biden’s stutter. I am unable to find that retweet, but would not be surprised if it were true.)
As you may be aware, in December of 1972, Biden’s wife Neilia and their one-year-old daughter Naomi were killed in an automobile accident while Christmas shopping. Biden is familiar with tragedy and is a mature, functioning adult human being. He can draw on the wells of common human tragedy, like the loss of his wife and infant daughter, and find empathy for others. That is a quality of human emotional wholeness that we who are healthy and compassionate share. That is a quality that is essential to being president of the United States — or the leader of any nation.
Donald Trump shares none of these qualities. Trump is not a fully integrated human being. He is severely broken. He is so handicapped by his lack of empathy as to render him entirely unfit to continue to serve as president of the United States.
I am not here in my usual capacity, to pass savage judgment on Donald Trump. Today (and perhaps today only) I come neither to praise nor bury Donald Trump, but to dispassionately pass judgment on the incontrovertible fact of his unfitness to continue to serve as president — for whatever reason. I know Trump’s father, Fred, was an unregenerate monster. I know Trump’s mother was too weak to be anything other than Fred’s codependent. It makes no difference to me whether Trump is what he is through choice or through no fault of his own. The presidency is not a halfway house for broken spirits. We need a wholly integrated woman or a wholly integrated man at the helm. The United States government was not constituted to serve as Donald Trump’s security blanket, and will entirely perish should it continue.
Joe Biden’s compassion and ability to govern the country are proven beyond doubt. He has an aplomb, a maturity, a capacity for leadership that is obvious. It cannot be faked, he is the authentic thing. Trump’s assault on the post office and his false narrative of mail-in voter fraud is an obvious attempt to disenfranchise those of us who would vote him out of office.
We must unite in a single voice and vote for Joe Biden on November 3rd. I know this hyperbole has been used before but this time it’s true: America cannot survive another four years under this president. Let’s not just get him out, let’s do so in a single voice too loud and too massive to be questioned. And, as ever, ladies and gentlemen, brothers and sisters, comrades and friends, stay safe.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Palmer Report editorial note: Thank you for your support!

The past four years have been a difficult and challenging time in our nation ’ s history .
We ’ ve all done the best we can to push back against Donald Trump ’ s villainy and hold this country together .
Now we have less than three months to go until the election , and we ’ re in prime position to take back our country once and for all .
It ’ s time for us all to focus more than ever .
I want to personally thank everyone who has contributed to Palmer Report this month .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ overall website design and find ways to bring you even more great content .
If you ’ re struggling during these challenging financial times , then please keep your money for yourself and your needs .
But if you ’ re able to invest in Palmer Report ’ s editorial efforts , thank you for doing so : Contribute $ 5 now to help support Palmer Report ’ s editorial takedown of Donald Trump : Contribute $ 25 now to help support Palmer Report ’ s editorial takedown of Donald Trump : Contribute @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Report ’ s editorial takedown of Donald Trump : Thanks again , Bill Palmer and the team at Palmer Report

The past four years have been a difficult and challenging time in our nation’s history. We’ve all done the best we can to push back against Donald Trump’s villainy and hold this country together. Now we have less than three months to go until the election, and we’re in prime position to take back our country once and for all. It’s time for us all to focus more than ever.
I want to personally thank everyone who has contributed to Palmer Report this month. We’re looking to improve our overall website design and find ways to bring you even more great content. If you’re struggling during these challenging financial times, then please keep your money for yourself and your needs. But if you’re able to invest in Palmer Report’s editorial efforts, thank you for doing so:
Contribute $5 now to help support Palmer Report’s editorial takedown of Donald Trump:
Contribute $25 now to help support Palmer Report’s editorial takedown of Donald Trump:
Contribute $75 now to help support Palmer Report’s editorial takedown of Donald Trump:
Thanks again,
Bill Palmer and the team at Palmer Report


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Colonel Vindman heaps praise on Joe Biden

During his impeachment testimony , Lieutenant Colonel Alexander Vindman made a few things clear .
First , he ’ s @ @ @ @ @ he ’ s not a partisan political guy .
Third , he thinks Donald Trump @ @ @ @ @ that Vindman has retired from the military , he ’ s become active on Twitter @ @ @ @ @ posted a new ad in support of Joe Biden , Colonel Vindman retweeted it and @ @ @ @ @ on Biden : Vindman previously tweeted this about the election :

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
During his impeachment testimony, Lieutenant Colonel Alexander Vindman made a few things clear. First, he’s a patriot. Second, he’s not a partisan political guy. Third, he thinks Donald Trump is a criminal. Now that Vindman has retired from the military, he’s become active on Twitter.
After the Lincoln Project posted a new ad in support of Joe Biden, Colonel Vindman retweeted it and heaped praise of his own on Biden:
The Lincoln Project provides a beautiful endorsement of a leader who leads with love and compassion. What a contrast with four years of divisivion and hate! #hererightmatters https://t.co/1Sgs0Uqvvy — Alexander S. Vindman ❎ (@AVindman) August 17, 2020
Vindman previously tweeted this about the election:
It’s easier to steal a close election. Vote like our democracy depends on it. Issue a crushing mandate against hate. #vote — Alexander S. Vindman ❎ (@AVindman) August 11, 2020
.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Donald Trump just blew it in his Post Office battle

From the start , Donald Trump has been handling his Post Office gambit in rather stupid fashion .
For instance , he admitted in two separate press briefings that he ’ s planning to trade the Post Office back to Congress in exchange for concessions – an admission that he knows he can ’ t simply hold the Post Office hostage all the way to election day .
Now that Trump ’ s own Postmaster General Louis DeJoy has totally caved by agreeing to testify to the House next week instead of trying to drag the hearing date out in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ little leverage to work with .
As he tends to do when he ’ s losing a battle , Trump is resorting to whining about the Post Office more hysterically than ever .
In the process , he totally blew it .
Trump posted this tweet today : “ The U.S. Post Office ( System ) has been failing for many decades .
We simply want to MAKE THE POST OFFICE GREAT AGAIN , while at the same time saving billions of dollars a year for American Taxpayers .
Dems don ’ t @ @ @ @ @ @ @ If you ’ re wondering , @ USPostOffice911 is a fairly obscure Twitter account that ’ s dedicated to shining a light on Donald Trump ’ s Post Office sabotage .
But because Donald Trump mentioned @ USPostOffice911 in a tweet , the account has suddenly gained thousands of new followers today , thus amplifying the account ’ s message .
Trump frequently makes the mistake of giving his adversaries a larger voice , and he just did it again – at a time when the last thing he needs is for the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ away from him .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
From the start, Donald Trump has been handling his Post Office gambit in rather stupid fashion. For instance, he admitted in two separate press briefings that he’s planning to trade the Post Office back to Congress in exchange for concessions – an admission that he knows he can’t simply hold the Post Office hostage all the way to election day.
Now that Trump’s own Postmaster General Louis DeJoy has totally caved by agreeing to testify to the House next week instead of trying to drag the hearing date out in a court battle, Trump has precious little leverage to work with. As he tends to do when he’s losing a battle, Trump is resorting to whining about the Post Office more hysterically than ever. In the process, he totally blew it.
Trump posted this tweet today: “The U.S. Post Office (System) has been failing for many decades. We simply want to MAKE THE POST OFFICE GREAT AGAIN, while at the same time saving billions of dollars a year for American Taxpayers. Dems don’t have a clue! @USPostOffice911”
If you’re wondering, @USPostOffice911 is a fairly obscure Twitter account that’s dedicated to shining a light on Donald Trump’s Post Office sabotage. But because Donald Trump mentioned @USPostOffice911 in a tweet, the account has suddenly gained thousands of new followers today, thus amplifying the account’s message. Trump frequently makes the mistake of giving his adversaries a larger voice, and he just did it again – at a time when the last thing he needs is for the Post Office battle to tip even further away from him.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Katie Porter just decimated Donald Trump’s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy

Over the weekend , Donald Trump ’ s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy caved and agreed to testify to the House @ @ @ @ @ The House then seized on this by demanding that DeJoy testify next week .
DeJoy @ @ @ @ @ to this demand , meaning he ’ s now playing defense instead of offense .
@ @ @ @ @ questioners on the House Oversight Committee is Congresswoman Katie Porter .
Despite still being in @ @ @ @ @ ’ s one of the smartest and savviest Democrats in the House .
She ’ @ @ @ @ @ of Trump ’ s stooges when they ’ ve shown up to testify before her @ @ @ @ @ broke that Louis DeJoy will be testifying in front of her committee in just seven @ @ @ @ @ this in response : “ I hope the Postmaster General comes prepared .
I know @ @ @ @ @ got roughly fifty thousand likes in the first hour she posted it , in a @ @ @ @ @ everyone is looking forward to seeing her take DeJoy down .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Over the weekend, Donald Trump’s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy caved and agreed to testify to the House Oversight Committee in mid-September. The House then seized on this by demanding that DeJoy testify next week. DeJoy then further caved by agreeing to this demand, meaning he’s now playing defense instead of offense.
One of the very sharpest questioners on the House Oversight Committee is Congresswoman Katie Porter. Despite still being in her first term, she’s one of the smartest and savviest Democrats in the House. She’s routinely made mincemeat out of Trump’s stooges when they’ve shown up to testify before her committee.
When the news broke that Louis DeJoy will be testifying in front of her committee in just seven days, Katie Porter tweeted this in response: “I hope the Postmaster General comes prepared. I know I will.” Her tweet got roughly fifty thousand likes in the first hour she posted it, in a reminder of just how much everyone is looking forward to seeing her take DeJoy down.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Donald Trump’s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy just caved

Over the weekend , Palmer Report documented several ways in which Donald Trump and his people had begun caving on their Post Office gambit .
Trump flat out admitted during a press briefing that he was planning to trade the Post Office back to the House in exchange for concessions .
Trump ’ s allies like McCarthy and Rubio publicly sided with the Post Office .
But the most important development was that Donald Trump ’ s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy agreed over the weekend to testify before the House in mid-September .
This meant he was going to have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of protecting himself , making it harder for him to play offense .
The House then seized on DeJoy ’ s display of weakness , by demanding that he testify next week instead .
Now Politico says DeJoy has indeed agreed to testify next Monday .
As always , no one in politics ever has a magic wand .
But now that DeJoy has agreed to testify on the timetable demanded by the House , it means the House has won this battle .
DeJoy is clearly more interested in covering his own @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to help Trump by dragging out a court battle over his testimony .
Of course DeJoy is facing investigation by the Post Office Inspector General and the New Jersey Attorney General , the latter of whom can put him in prison , so DeJoy has a lot of backside-covering to worry about right now .
One consistent pattern in politics is that once someone starts incrementally caving , they usually have to keep caving .
Louis DeJoy agreed to testify a month from now , which led to him ultimately having to cave @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Donald Trump ’ s negotiating position with the House , meaning he ’ ll likely try to cut a Post Office deal soon , before his negotiating leverage slips away further .
It ’ s been clear for three days that the Post Office battle was trending in our favor , and now we ’ re seeing that more clearly .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Over the weekend, Palmer Report documented several ways in which Donald Trump and his people had begun caving on their Post Office gambit. Trump flat out admitted during a press briefing that he was planning to trade the Post Office back to the House in exchange for concessions. Trump’s allies like McCarthy and Rubio publicly sided with the Post Office.
But the most important development was that Donald Trump’s Postmaster General Louis DeJoy agreed over the weekend to testify before the House in mid-September. This meant he was going to have to start playing defense in the name of protecting himself, making it harder for him to play offense. The House then seized on DeJoy’s display of weakness, by demanding that he testify next week instead. Now Politico says DeJoy has indeed agreed to testify next Monday.
As always, no one in politics ever has a magic wand. But now that DeJoy has agreed to testify on the timetable demanded by the House, it means the House has won this battle. DeJoy is clearly more interested in covering his own backside, than he is in trying to help Trump by dragging out a court battle over his testimony. Of course DeJoy is facing investigation by the Post Office Inspector General and the New Jersey Attorney General, the latter of whom can put him in prison, so DeJoy has a lot of backside-covering to worry about right now.
One consistent pattern in politics is that once someone starts incrementally caving, they usually have to keep caving. Louis DeJoy agreed to testify a month from now, which led to him ultimately having to cave and testify next week. This weakens Donald Trump’s negotiating position with the House, meaning he’ll likely try to cut a Post Office deal soon, before his negotiating leverage slips away further. It’s been clear for three days that the Post Office battle was trending in our favor, and now we’re seeing that more clearly.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Here’s the thing about that infamous new CNN poll

Depending on which news outlet or pundits you ’ re listening to today , you ’ re either thrilled to learn that Joe Biden now has a twelve point lead in the new Washington Post poll , or disheartened to learn that Joe Biden now has a four point lead in the new CNN poll .
Of course once you get away from punditry and back into the real world , you shouldn ’ t be looking at either poll individually .
Ask any polling analyst , or any statistician in general , or even anyone with a math degree @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that the only valid way to look at the polls is to look at the average of the polls .
Several polls have been released over the past week , and if you average them all together , you see that Biden currently has a roughly eight point lead .
When you take these two new polls , Biden+12 and Biden+4 , and you plug them into the average , it turns out Biden still has about an eight point lead .
This CNN in particular has some severe problems .
In May @ @ @ @ @ @ @ it had Biden+14 .
Now it has Biden+4 .
If you ’ ve been following the election , you know that there have been no real-world news events that could have caused Biden to jump nine points or drop ten points .
It ’ s fairly clear that when CNN saw its original Biden+5 poll was way below the polling averages , it concluded its methodology must have been off , and ended up overcompensating .
Then after CNN realized the Biden+14 poll was way above the averages , it shifted its methodology @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
This means the CNN poll is invalid .
There ’ s no conspiracy here ; sometimes statistical sampling just goes awry .
Fortunately , when you average the polls together , it compensates for any bad apples .
In fact the polling averages tend to be pretty consistent from one week to the next , and pretty accurate when you look back at the final results .
The averages are pretty boring .
The way the media sees it , that ’ s the problem with the averages : they ’ re @ @ @ @ @ @ @ tuned in for a race that keeps not changing .
Accordingly , some news outlets are promoting the Washington Post ’ a Biden+12 poll today as if it were the only new poll , because they ’ ve calculated that the best way to keep you tuned in this week is to give you a feel-good story about Biden soaring .
A lot of other news outlets are promoting CNN ’ s Biden+4 poll today as if it were the only new poll , because they ’ ve calculated that you ’ re @ @ @ @ @ @ @ week if you ’ re scared into doing so .
Unfortunately , this kind of misleading reporting leads a lot of people to conclude that the polls can ’ t be trusted and should be ignored .
But there is a lot to be learned from the polls , if you look at them in a valid way .
Ignoring the polls entirely is as much of a mistake as believing the TV pundits when they present one poll out of context at a time .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Depending on which news outlet or pundits you’re listening to today, you’re either thrilled to learn that Joe Biden now has a twelve point lead in the new Washington Post poll, or disheartened to learn that Joe Biden now has a four point lead in the new CNN poll. Of course once you get away from punditry and back into the real world, you shouldn’t be looking at either poll individually.
Ask any polling analyst, or any statistician in general, or even anyone with a math degree, and they’ll tell you that the only valid way to look at the polls is to look at the average of the polls. Several polls have been released over the past week, and if you average them all together, you see that Biden currently has a roughly eight point lead. When you take these two new polls, Biden+12 and Biden+4, and you plug them into the average, it turns out Biden still has about an eight point lead.
This CNN in particular has some severe problems. In May, it had Biden+5. In June it had Biden+14. Now it has Biden+4. If you’ve been following the election, you know that there have been no real-world news events that could have caused Biden to jump nine points or drop ten points. It’s fairly clear that when CNN saw its original Biden+5 poll was way below the polling averages, it concluded its methodology must have been off, and ended up overcompensating. Then after CNN realized the Biden+14 poll was way above the averages, it shifted its methodology again, overcompensating in the other direction. This means the CNN poll is invalid. There’s no conspiracy here; sometimes statistical sampling just goes awry.
Fortunately, when you average the polls together, it compensates for any bad apples. In fact the polling averages tend to be pretty consistent from one week to the next, and pretty accurate when you look back at the final results. The averages are pretty boring. The way the media sees it, that’s the problem with the averages: they’re bad for ratings. No one stays tuned in for a race that keeps not changing.
Accordingly, some news outlets are promoting the Washington Post’a Biden+12 poll today as if it were the only new poll, because they’ve calculated that the best way to keep you tuned in this week is to give you a feel-good story about Biden soaring. A lot of other news outlets are promoting CNN’s Biden+4 poll today as if it were the only new poll, because they’ve calculated that you’re more likely to stay tuned in this week if you’re scared into doing so.
Unfortunately, this kind of misleading reporting leads a lot of people to conclude that the polls can’t be trusted and should be ignored. But there is a lot to be learned from the polls, if you look at them in a valid way. Ignoring the polls entirely is as much of a mistake as believing the TV pundits when they present one poll out of context at a time.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-08-17--Donald Trump is out of ideas, out of gas, and he’s got nowhere to go

Poor “ president ” Trump .
He is completely out of ideas ( not that he ever had any ) for how to win back the White House in 2020 .
Ordinarily , a sane person would be fighting for his life , putting on display all the positive things he has done during his presidency , but Trump has two problems : he ’ s not sane , and he has done absolutely nothing positive .
Instead , Trump decided to resort to what he knows — lie , denigrate , play the race card , and cheat .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ not impossible to vote by mail by crippling USPS will fail .
Ironically , Trump and Melania have requested their vote-by-mail ballots according to CNN .
CNN also reported that Trump believes Florida ’ s system is “ secure.
” Why would their system be any more secure than any other state ?
Because he calls it home ?
Trump ’ s supporters can ignore Trump ’ s hypocrisy , but the rest of us are not stupid .
Showing time and again that he will do anything to win , Trump ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ than just mail-in voting .
Washington Post reported that those who are most impacted by Trump ’ s latest assault on our democracy are veterans , senior citizens , and those who live in rural areas , groups most likely to vote Republican .
In Trump ’ s twisted mind , however , he is somehow hurting Democrats .
As we say in the south , “ bless his heart.
” He is still dumb as a box of rocks .
His attempts to use the birther nonsense against Kamala Harris fell flat @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , Kamala Harris is boosting Joe Biden ’ s campaign .
Politico reported that a few days after Biden ’ s choice of Harris , Biden ’ s fundraising increased , and for the first time , we witnessed a hometown crowd .
Fox News reported that in the 48 hours following Biden ’ s announcement , his campaign raked in $ 48 million in donations .
The amount has been confirmed by the campaign , and they further revealed that 150,000 donors are new to the campaign .
Apparently , it is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ does not matter .
Biden said that the “ excitement is palpable , ” and that excitement is being seen in various ways .
According to Politico , West Indian voters in Florida are excited , creating a White House menu including Caribbean delicacies and Caribbean radio flooding the Biden campaign with calls .
The excitement is running through the Jamaican-American community and those in south Florida who claim roots in Haiti , the Bahamas , Trinidad and Tobago , and Guyana , all of which make up the “ Black West Indian @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and which will now make an impact on the 2020 election .
The census estimates that this community includes more than 2.5 million and specifically “ hundred of thousands ” of Florida voters , which is a battleground state .
One of Biden ’ s top advisers , Karen Andre , is of Haitian-American descent , and she believes the choice of Harris “ is going to energize us .
It ’ s the pick that ’ s getting us motivated.
” With new voters who previously showed no interest in the election @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we may well see new leadership in 2021 .
Let us keep the excitement going and make this dream a reality .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
-----
-----
Poor “president” Trump. He is completely out of ideas (not that he ever had any) for how to win back the White House in 2020. Ordinarily, a sane person would be fighting for his life, putting on display all the positive things he has done during his presidency, but Trump has two problems: he’s not sane, and he has done absolutely nothing positive.
Instead, Trump decided to resort to what he knows — lie, denigrate, play the race card, and cheat. His attempts to make it difficult if not impossible to vote by mail by crippling USPS will fail. Ironically, Trump and Melania have requested their vote-by-mail ballots according to CNN. CNN also reported that Trump believes Florida’s system is “secure.” Why would their system be any more secure than any other state? Because he calls it home? Trump’s supporters can ignore Trump’s hypocrisy, but the rest of us are not stupid.
Showing time and again that he will do anything to win, Trump’s effort to cripple USPS impacts more than just mail-in voting. Washington Post reported that those who are most impacted by Trump’s latest assault on our democracy are veterans, senior citizens, and those who live in rural areas, groups most likely to vote Republican. In Trump’s twisted mind, however, he is somehow hurting Democrats. As we say in the south, “bless his heart.” He is still dumb as a box of rocks. His attempts to use the birther nonsense against Kamala Harris fell flat, and to Trump’s chagrin, Kamala Harris is boosting Joe Biden’s campaign.
Politico reported that a few days after Biden’s choice of Harris, Biden’s fundraising increased, and for the first time, we witnessed a hometown crowd. Fox News reported that in the 48 hours following Biden’s announcement, his campaign raked in $48 million in donations. The amount has been confirmed by the campaign, and they further revealed that 150,000 donors are new to the campaign. Apparently, it is not always accurate that the VP candidate does not matter. Biden said that the “excitement is palpable,” and that excitement is being seen in various ways.
According to Politico, West Indian voters in Florida are excited, creating a White House menu including Caribbean delicacies and Caribbean radio flooding the Biden campaign with calls. The excitement is running through the Jamaican-American community and those in south Florida who claim roots in Haiti, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, and Guyana, all of which make up the “Black West Indian diaspora,” which was earlier ignored and which will now make an impact on the 2020 election. The census estimates that this community includes more than 2.5 million and specifically “hundred of thousands” of Florida voters, which is a battleground state. One of Biden’s top advisers, Karen Andre, is of Haitian-American descent, and she believes the choice of Harris “is going to energize us. It’s the pick that’s getting us motivated.”
With new voters who previously showed no interest in the election and Trump’s continued failures, we may well see new leadership in 2021. Let us keep the excitement going and make this dream a reality.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.