palmerreport--2020-03-07--Donald Trump dive bombs completely off the deep end

Donald Trump has tried to downplay the coronavirus .
He also has bragged about the stock market and how great things are with the economy .
This week , he held a town hall with Fox News , and he said several of the dumbest things , and also dangerous things .
For instance he made it very clear that he was “ cutting ” Social Security and Medicare .
He also spoke about the coronavirus and how it could be good for the economy .
Trump was asked if he thought the coronavirus crisis would impact the United States @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that the Dow was heading toward , and was set to hit 30,000 , a number nobody ever thought possible .
In reality the stock market has plummeted to below 26,000 over the past two weeks .
Trump also stated : “ A lot of people are staying here .
They ’ re going to be doing their business here .
They ’ re going to be traveling here .
They ’ ll be going to resorts here .
And , you know , we have a great place … we ’ re @ @ @ @ @ @ @ After all of that stupidity , Trump on Friday reported with respect to coronavirus , “ We closed it down … we stopped it.
” Initially , Trump was staying away from the CDC .
According to a White House statement : “ The CDC has been proactive and prepared since the very beginning and the president does not want to interfere with the CDC ’ s mission to protect the health and welfare of their people and the agency.
” Then he changed his mind and visited the CDC and while having @ @ @ @ @ @ @ him , praised Fox News for its reporting .
He then said that the Americans on stuck on a cruise ship would not be allowed to disembark because it was “ not our fault ” and he did not want the number of infected Americans to double .
This is not only cruel , it doesn ’ t even make sense .

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Donald Trump has tried to downplay the coronavirus. He also has bragged about the stock market and how great things are with the economy. This week, he held a town hall with Fox News, and he said several of the dumbest things, and also dangerous things. For instance he made it very clear that he was “cutting” Social Security and Medicare.
He also spoke about the coronavirus and how it could be good for the economy. Trump was asked if he thought the coronavirus crisis would impact the United States economy and his re-election. Trump stated that the Dow was heading toward, and was set to hit 30,000, a number nobody ever thought possible. In reality the stock market has plummeted to below 26,000 over the past two weeks.
Trump also stated: “A lot of people are staying here. They’re going to be doing their business here. They’re going to be traveling here. They’ll be going to resorts here. And, you know, we have a great place … we’re going to have Americans staying home.” After all of that stupidity, Trump on Friday reported with respect to coronavirus, “We closed it down … we stopped it.”
Initially, Trump was staying away from the CDC. According to a White House statement: “The CDC has been proactive and prepared since the very beginning and the president does not want to interfere with the CDC’s mission to protect the health and welfare of their people and the agency.”
Then he changed his mind and visited the CDC and while having his two top medical experts next to him, praised Fox News for its reporting. He then said that the Americans on stuck on a cruise ship would not be allowed to disembark because it was “not our fault” and he did not want the number of infected Americans to double. This is not only cruel, it doesn’t even make sense.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--What’s really going on with Joe Biden’s big mystery endorsement

Last night the news came across the wire that Joe Biden skipped a major campaign fundraising event and called in by phone , because he was pulling together a major endorsement that ’ s on the verge of being announced .
This set off a firestorm of speculation about who this mystery endorser might be .
There doesn ’ t appear to be any inside information leaking out about this impending endorsement .
But there are a numer of logical clues here .
First , let ’ s rule out some people .
President Obama is highly unlikely to endorse @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a contest .
And we just heard Elizabeth Warren say a couple days ago that she ’ s not ready to endorse anyone yet .
It ’ s also unlikely that this endorsement is coming from someone who was always going to end up getting behind Joe Biden over Bernie Sanders .
If this was some long-planned thing , Biden wouldn ’ t be suddenly skipping out on a major fundraiser to try to pull the particulars of the endorsement together .
There are also questions about why Joe Biden would be trying @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a Friday night so that he can announce it as soon as possible .
What ’ s the rush ?
This is still going to be a fairly long primary race .
This suggests that perhaps the endorsement is specifically related to the states that are set to vote this upcoming Tuesday .
The most prominent and highly contested are Michigan , Missouri , and Washington State .
Has Biden managed to land a major last minute endorsement from an influential politician or public figure in one of those states ?
The bottom @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be big enough , surprising enough , and urgent enough to have Joe Biden scrambling around on a Friday night to make it happen .
But it ’ s also probably not going to be quite as big of a name as your imagination is running wild with .
We ’ ll see .

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Last night the news came across the wire that Joe Biden skipped a major campaign fundraising event and called in by phone, because he was pulling together a major endorsement that’s on the verge of being announced. This set off a firestorm of speculation about who this mystery endorser might be.
There doesn’t appear to be any inside information leaking out about this impending endorsement. But there are a numer of logical clues here. First, let’s rule out some people. President Obama is highly unlikely to endorse anyone while the primary race is still a contest. And we just heard Elizabeth Warren say a couple days ago that she’s not ready to endorse anyone yet.
It’s also unlikely that this endorsement is coming from someone who was always going to end up getting behind Joe Biden over Bernie Sanders. If this was some long-planned thing, Biden wouldn’t be suddenly skipping out on a major fundraiser to try to pull the particulars of the endorsement together.
There are also questions about why Joe Biden would be trying to suddenly pull together an endorsement on a Friday night so that he can announce it as soon as possible. What’s the rush? This is still going to be a fairly long primary race. This suggests that perhaps the endorsement is specifically related to the states that are set to vote this upcoming Tuesday. The most prominent and highly contested are Michigan, Missouri, and Washington State. Has Biden managed to land a major last minute endorsement from an influential politician or public figure in one of those states?
The bottom line is that this endorsement appears to be big enough, surprising enough, and urgent enough to have Joe Biden scrambling around on a Friday night to make it happen. But it’s also probably not going to be quite as big of a name as your imagination is running wild with. We’ll see.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--Donald Trump’s ouster of Mick Mulvaney is even more bizarre than we thought

The President of the United States , who hadn ’ t had a White House Chief of Staff in fourteen @ @ @ @ @ Acting White House Chief of Staff via tweet , and announced he was shipping him @ @ @ @ @ but didn ’ t even bother to explain why he ’ s doing it .
@ @ @ @ @ whether or not the departing Acting White House Chief of Staff , who was also @ @ @ @ @ of Management and Budget for the entire time he was the Acting White House Chief @ @ @ @ @ the Director of the Office of Management and Budget .
It ’ s possible the @ @ @ @ @ by no one .
It ’ s also possible the President will announce tomorrow that @ @ @ @ @ OMB is Carrot Top , or Jack the Ripper .
At this point nothing would @ @ @

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The President of the United States, who hadn’t had a White House Chief of Staff in fourteen months, just fired his Acting White House Chief of Staff via tweet, and announced he was shipping him off to Northern Ireland, but didn’t even bother to explain why he’s doing it.
He didn’t specify whether or not the departing Acting White House Chief of Staff, who was also the Director of the Office of Management and Budget for the entire time he was the Acting White House Chief of Staff, is still the Director of the Office of Management and Budget. It’s possible the OMB is now being run by no one. It’s also possible the President will announce tomorrow that the new Director of the OMB is Carrot Top, or Jack the Ripper. At this point nothing would be shocking.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--Let’s talk about Donald Trump’s health

Let’s talk about Donald Trump’s health

Joe Biden has been randomly misspeaking his entire life .
It ’ s not a sign of anything whatsoever .
@ @ @ @ @ .
Donald Trump is in such obvious and alarming cognitive decline , he hasn ’ @ @ @ @ @ sentence in a year .
Maybe the media should cover that .
Donald Trump was @ @ @ @ @ a few months ago , his administration tried to cover up the reason why , @ @ @ @ @ s been like something out of Night of the Living Dead .
Now that ’ @ @ @

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Joe Biden has been randomly misspeaking his entire life. It’s not a sign of anything whatsoever. It’s not news. Donald Trump is in such obvious and alarming cognitive decline, he hasn’t put together a compete sentence in a year. Maybe the media should cover that.
Donald Trump was mysteriously taken to the hospital a few months ago, his administration tried to cover up the reason why, and ever since he’s been like something out of Night of the Living Dead. Now that’s news.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--Joe Biden is now surging in another surprise state

Joe Biden ’ s good week just keeps getting better for him .
Earlier this week a new poll from the Detroit News said that Biden had surged to a six point lead in Michigan , which was a fifteen point swing in just a two week period .
This was the kind of number that prompted Bernie Sanders to give up on Mississippi , cancel his one event there , and head to Michigan for additional campaigning .
Now another state is in play .
When Palmer Report brought you the news of Biden ’ s surge in Michigan @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we pointed out that Washington State also votes on the same day .
Polling from three weeks ago had Sanders ahead in the state by six points .
But sure enough , a new KING-TV poll now has Biden ahead of Sanders by one point .
This is a seven point surge , in a state that everyone was expecting Biden to lose .
Being ahead by one point in a poll doesn ’ t mean that Biden is going to win the state .
Sanders could easily still win Washington .
But @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is surging on all fronts , and it means that Sanders now has to play defense in just about every state going forward .
As it stands , Joe Biden appears to be on track this upcoming Tuesday to achieve a major blowout win in Mississippi , and narrower wins in Michigan and Missouri .
If Biden can pull off the upset win in Washington as well , he ’ ll win all four of the larger states that vote on Tuesday .
Even if Biden fails in Washington , he should come @ @ @ @ @ @ @ haul – assuming his supporters continue actually showing up and voting for him .

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Joe Biden’s good week just keeps getting better for him. Earlier this week a new poll from the Detroit News said that Biden had surged to a six point lead in Michigan, which was a fifteen point swing in just a two week period. This was the kind of number that prompted Bernie Sanders to give up on Mississippi, cancel his one event there, and head to Michigan for additional campaigning. Now another state is in play.
When Palmer Report brought you the news of Biden’s surge in Michigan, which votes this upcoming Tuesday, we pointed out that Washington State also votes on the same day. Polling from three weeks ago had Sanders ahead in the state by six points. But sure enough, a new KING-TV poll now has Biden ahead of Sanders by one point.
This is a seven point surge, in a state that everyone was expecting Biden to lose. Being ahead by one point in a poll doesn’t mean that Biden is going to win the state. Sanders could easily still win Washington. But this is the latest evidence that Biden is surging on all fronts, and it means that Sanders now has to play defense in just about every state going forward.
As it stands, Joe Biden appears to be on track this upcoming Tuesday to achieve a major blowout win in Mississippi, and narrower wins in Michigan and Missouri. If Biden can pull off the upset win in Washington as well, he’ll win all four of the larger states that vote on Tuesday. Even if Biden fails in Washington, he should come out of Tuesday with the largest delegate haul – assuming his supporters continue actually showing up and voting for him.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--The real reason Donald Trump is shipping Mick Mulvaney out of the country

Donald Trump didn ’ t just remove Mick Mulvaney from the Acting White House Chief of Staff position today .
He announced that he ’ s appointing Mulvaney as the “ United States Special Envoy for Northern Ireland.
” This has raised a lot of eyebrows , to say the least .
So what ’ s really going on ?
Based on what Trump has leaked about Mulvaney over the past few months , it ’ s been clear that Trump wanted to move on from him .
In fact when you look at the timing of Mark Meadows ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ t going to seek House reelection , it ’ s been clear that Trump was simply waiting for the impeachment trial to be in the rear view mirror before dumping Mulvaney .
But why Northern Ireland ?
Let ’ s be clear .
Mulvaney isn ’ t being shipped overseas as some kind of punishment .
Mulvaney wouldn ’ t have to accept such an assignment , and could instead resign .
The fact that he ’ s being appointed to such an oddly specific position suggests that Mulvaney was told he could @ @ @ @ @ @ @ as it wasn ’ t in the White House , and he asked to be sent on what ( in Trump ’ s dysfunctional diplomatic corps ) will essentially be an all expenses paid long-term vacation to Northern Ireland .
Donald Trump still has to worry that if he angers Mick Mulvaney too much , he could see Mulvaney run to the House and testify about the Ukraine scandal .
Impeachment is over for now , but the House can start it back up again any time it wants .
It appears that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ he crafted this new position specifically to Mulvaney ’ s liking .
By the way , this is all such a dysfunctional mess , no one is even sure if this means Mulvaney is still the head of the OMB .

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Donald Trump didn’t just remove Mick Mulvaney from the Acting White House Chief of Staff position today. He announced that he’s appointing Mulvaney as the “United States Special Envoy for Northern Ireland.” This has raised a lot of eyebrows, to say the least. So what’s really going on?
Based on what Trump has leaked about Mulvaney over the past few months, it’s been clear that Trump wanted to move on from him. In fact when you look at the timing of Mark Meadows’ December 19th announcement that he wasn’t going to seek House reelection, it’s been clear that Trump was simply waiting for the impeachment trial to be in the rear view mirror before dumping Mulvaney. But why Northern Ireland?
Let’s be clear. Mulvaney isn’t being shipped overseas as some kind of punishment. Mulvaney wouldn’t have to accept such an assignment, and could instead resign. The fact that he’s being appointed to such an oddly specific position suggests that Mulvaney was told he could have any position he wanted so long as it wasn’t in the White House, and he asked to be sent on what (in Trump’s dysfunctional diplomatic corps) will essentially be an all expenses paid long-term vacation to Northern Ireland.
Donald Trump still has to worry that if he angers Mick Mulvaney too much, he could see Mulvaney run to the House and testify about the Ukraine scandal. Impeachment is over for now, but the House can start it back up again any time it wants. It appears that when Trump decided to fire Mulvaney, he crafted this new position specifically to Mulvaney’s liking. By the way, this is all such a dysfunctional mess, no one is even sure if this means Mulvaney is still the head of the OMB.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--Donald Trump is completely falling to pieces in real time

Donald Trump is the kind of psychologically fragile person who becomes President of the United States and still acts like an insecure loser .
Over the past three years he ’ s created a lot of trouble for himself with his endless scandals and antics , but he hasn ’ t really had to face an external crisis that would require competent governing on his part – until now .
To give you an idea of how unprepared Donald Trump is to deal with the worsening coronavirus crisis , and the economy that ’ s tanking along with it , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at his unraveling behavior today .
He spoke to the TV cameras and semi-incoherently appeared to claim that he ’ s a medical expert because his uncle was at MIT .
Then Trump said he ’ s leaving the Grand Princess cruise ship at sea , because he thinks that ’ ll mean that the Americans on board who are infected with coronavirus won ’ t count toward the coronavirus patient total in the United States .
People are dying , and he ’ s worried about how people perceive numbers .
Donald @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a “ snake ” and appeared to assert that he won ’ t work with Inslee on the coronavirus outbreak in the state .
Trump didn ’ t give a reason , but our guess is that Trump doesn ’ t like what Inslee said about him while he was a democratic primary candidate for president .
Trump is falling apart by the minute – and the GOP Senate is complicit for refusing to remove him .

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Donald Trump is the kind of psychologically fragile person who becomes President of the United States and still acts like an insecure loser. Over the past three years he’s created a lot of trouble for himself with his endless scandals and antics, but he hasn’t really had to face an external crisis that would require competent governing on his part – until now.
To give you an idea of how unprepared Donald Trump is to deal with the worsening coronavirus crisis, and the economy that’s tanking along with it, all you have to do is look at his unraveling behavior today. He spoke to the TV cameras and semi-incoherently appeared to claim that he’s a medical expert because his uncle was at MIT.
Then Trump said he’s leaving the Grand Princess cruise ship at sea, because he thinks that’ll mean that the Americans on board who are infected with coronavirus won’t count toward the coronavirus patient total in the United States. People are dying, and he’s worried about how people perceive numbers.
Donald Trump also called Washington Governor Jay Inslee a “snake” and appeared to assert that he won’t work with Inslee on the coronavirus outbreak in the state. Trump didn’t give a reason, but our guess is that Trump doesn’t like what Inslee said about him while he was a democratic primary candidate for president. Trump is falling apart by the minute – and the GOP Senate is complicit for refusing to remove him.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--The real reason Donald Trump just fired Mick Mulvaney and replaced him with Mark Meadows

Donald Trump ’ s White House Chief of Staff has been a lame duck from the start .
He never did lose the word “ Acting ” from his title , even though he had the job for several months .
Once he publicly confessed to Trump ’ s guilt in the Ukraine extortion scandal , it was seemingly all over for him .
Still , it ’ s notable that Trump has finally ousted him this evening .
For starters , the timing of this – a Friday night news dump – makes clear that Trump isn ’ t @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s hoping it ’ ll all be forgotten by the time the next crisis or scandal arrives on Monday .
That ’ s not shocking , considering the mere mention of Mulvaney in this weekend ’ s upcoming headlines will serve as a reminder to the American public that Trump is guilty and deserved to be impeached .
Trump has announced that GOP Congressman Mark Meadows is his new White House Chief of Staff .
This isn ’ t shocking either , considering how much of an effort Meadows has made at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Meadows announced in late December that he wasn ’ t going to seek reelection .
In light of today ’ s news , it appears that Trump had already tapped Meadows for Chief of Staff back then , and that he was merely waiting for the right time to dump Mulvaney .
What ’ s less clear is why Donald Trump considers this the right time .
If Trump were merely waiting for impeachment to be over before sending Mulvaney packing , he could have done it a month ago .
In any @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Chief of Staff role at a time when the coronavirus crisis is worsening , the economy is tanking , and Trump is even further off the deep end than ever .
So… congratulations Mark Meadows ?

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Donald Trump’s White House Chief of Staff has been a lame duck from the start. He never did lose the word “Acting” from his title, even though he had the job for several months. Once he publicly confessed to Trump’s guilt in the Ukraine extortion scandal, it was seemingly all over for him. Still, it’s notable that Trump has finally ousted him this evening.
For starters, the timing of this – a Friday night news dump – makes clear that Trump isn’t looking to make headlines here. He’s hoping it’ll all be forgotten by the time the next crisis or scandal arrives on Monday. That’s not shocking, considering the mere mention of Mulvaney in this weekend’s upcoming headlines will serve as a reminder to the American public that Trump is guilty and deserved to be impeached.
Trump has announced that GOP Congressman Mark Meadows is his new White House Chief of Staff. This isn’t shocking either, considering how much of an effort Meadows has made at covering for Trump’s crimes. Meadows announced in late December that he wasn’t going to seek reelection. In light of today’s news, it appears that Trump had already tapped Meadows for Chief of Staff back then, and that he was merely waiting for the right time to dump Mulvaney.
What’s less clear is why Donald Trump considers this the right time. If Trump were merely waiting for impeachment to be over before sending Mulvaney packing, he could have done it a month ago. In any case, Meadows is stepping into the Chief of Staff role at a time when the coronavirus crisis is worsening, the economy is tanking, and Trump is even further off the deep end than ever. So… congratulations Mark Meadows?
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--The first new poll with Elizabeth Warren out of the race just told us a lot about Joe Biden vs Berni

The first new poll with Elizabeth Warren out of the race just told us a lot about Joe Biden vs Bernie Sanders

When Elizabeth Warren dropped out of the race this week , she didn ’ t endorse anyone .
At the time , Palmer Report pointed out that because Warren ’ s base is a mixture of people who like her for being far-left , and people who like her for being competent and savvy , her support was likely to be split between the two remaining candidates in some kind of fashion .
Now we have the initial numbers .
The tricky part is that so many things are happening in the Democratic primary race right now that are having @ @ @ @ @ @ @ instance , today ’ s new Morning Consult poll is the first nationwide primary poll without Warren listed as a candidate , but the last time it was conducted three days ago , both Warren and Mike Bloomberg were listed as candidates .
The numbers have shifted radically .
With Warren and Bloomberg out of the race , Joe Biden is now at 54 % while Bernie Sanders is at 38 % .
This gives Biden a commanding sixteen point lead .
Warren and Bloomberg had 33 points of support between them in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ So where did those voters go ?
Biden gained 18 points , while Sanders gained 10 .
Because two people dropped out at once , it ’ s a little tricky to parse who went to whom .
But based on what we know of these candidates , it ’ s fair to presume that these numbers mean most of Bloomberg ’ s supporters shifted to Biden , while Warren ’ s supporters were indeed split between Biden and Sanders .
The bottom line is that the departure of these two candidates has @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of his nationwide lead in this new poll .
Notably , just six percent of voters in this poll say they ’ re still undecided .
So for Sanders to close the gap , he ’ d have to do more than just win over the remaining undecideds .
He ’ d have to convince a number of current Biden supporters to switch to him .
As always , this is just one poll , and I ’ ve found that polling averages tend to be far more accurate .
But during this @ @ @ @ @ @ @ at the moment we only have one new poll which reflects Warren no longer being in the race .
We ’ ll want to see more data in the coming days .
But this poll strongly suggests that Warren ’ s exit hasn ’ t helped either of the remaining candidates .

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When Elizabeth Warren dropped out of the race this week, she didn’t endorse anyone. At the time, Palmer Report pointed out that because Warren’s base is a mixture of people who like her for being far-left, and people who like her for being competent and savvy, her support was likely to be split between the two remaining candidates in some kind of fashion. Now we have the initial numbers.
The tricky part is that so many things are happening in the Democratic primary race right now that are having an impact on the polls. For instance, today’s new Morning Consult poll is the first nationwide primary poll without Warren listed as a candidate, but the last time it was conducted three days ago, both Warren and Mike Bloomberg were listed as candidates. The numbers have shifted radically.
With Warren and Bloomberg out of the race, Joe Biden is now at 54% while Bernie Sanders is at 38%. This gives Biden a commanding sixteen point lead. Warren and Bloomberg had 33 points of support between them in this poll when they dropped out. So where did those voters go? Biden gained 18 points, while Sanders gained 10. Because two people dropped out at once, it’s a little tricky to parse who went to whom. But based on what we know of these candidates, it’s fair to presume that these numbers mean most of Bloomberg’s supporters shifted to Biden, while Warren’s supporters were indeed split between Biden and Sanders.
The bottom line is that the departure of these two candidates has allowed Joe Biden to double the size of his nationwide lead in this new poll. Notably, just six percent of voters in this poll say they’re still undecided. So for Sanders to close the gap, he’d have to do more than just win over the remaining undecideds. He’d have to convince a number of current Biden supporters to switch to him.
As always, this is just one poll, and I’ve found that polling averages tend to be far more accurate. But during this fast moving point in the race, at the moment we only have one new poll which reflects Warren no longer being in the race. We’ll want to see more data in the coming days. But this poll strongly suggests that Warren’s exit hasn’t helped either of the remaining candidates.
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palmerreport--2020-03-08--Joe Biden vs Bernie Sanders: what the heck is going on with the Missouri democratic primary?

This upcoming Tuesday , several states will cast their votes in the Democratic 2020 primary race .
Joe Biden has surged into the lead in Michigan , and has surged into a statistical tie in Washington State .
Biden is also expected to win Mississippi in a major blowout .
But then we get to Missouri , and things are looking… odd .
Two new polls have been released in Missouri .
One , from Emerson , has Joe Biden up by four points over Bernie Sanders .
The other poll , from Missouri Scout , has Biden up by @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s this much of a variation between polls , there ’ s usually some specific identifiable reason .
But these two polls have both eliminated all the candidates who recently dropped out .
They were conducted and released in the exact same timeframe .
And at least one of them is very wrong .
This isn ’ t necessarily surprising , though .
It ’ s been my observation that for whatever reason , the less media coverage a state primary race gets , the less accurate the polls in that state @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also the reality that four major candidates have dropped out of the race in the past six days , and pollsters now have the tricky job of finding a representative sample even as people are rapidly changing their minds .
Interestingly , Joe Biden is holding a major rally today in Kansas City , Missouri .
So he ’ s clearly looking to win the state , or perhaps run up the score .
Campaigns tend to have internal polling that ’ s far more detailed and accurate than public-facing polls .
We @ @ @ @ @ @ @ state on Tuesday .

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This upcoming Tuesday, several states will cast their votes in the Democratic 2020 primary race. Joe Biden has surged into the lead in Michigan, and has surged into a statistical tie in Washington State. Biden is also expected to win Mississippi in a major blowout. But then we get to Missouri, and things are looking… odd.
Two new polls have been released in Missouri. One, from Emerson, has Joe Biden up by four points over Bernie Sanders. The other poll, from Missouri Scout, has Biden up by twenty-two points over Sanders. When there’s this much of a variation between polls, there’s usually some specific identifiable reason. But these two polls have both eliminated all the candidates who recently dropped out. They were conducted and released in the exact same timeframe. And at least one of them is very wrong.
This isn’t necessarily surprising, though. It’s been my observation that for whatever reason, the less media coverage a state primary race gets, the less accurate the polls in that state end up being. There’s also the reality that four major candidates have dropped out of the race in the past six days, and pollsters now have the tricky job of finding a representative sample even as people are rapidly changing their minds.
Interestingly, Joe Biden is holding a major rally today in Kansas City, Missouri. So he’s clearly looking to win the state, or perhaps run up the score. Campaigns tend to have internal polling that’s far more detailed and accurate than public-facing polls. We’ll see what happens in the state on Tuesday.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--Donald Trump couldn’t care less

Donald Trump couldn’t care less

Objective truth , like a virus , has the annoying habit of inconveniencing people of every political persuasion equally .
It is a measure of strength of character how quickly an individual recognizes an objective truth , even if it doesn ’ t square with their political bias .
It is an admirable quality to have and should be cultivated diligently by everyone .
It is an objective truth , for example , that Rod Blagojevich is a criminal .
It ’ s encouraging that not a single Democratic friend I know ever doubted this , despite Blagojevich being a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that he tried to sell Barack Obama ’ s senate seat for personal gain when he was the nefarious governor of Illinois .
Had Blagojevich been a Republican , I would hope most Republicans would have reached the same conclusion about him as well .
I doubt that as many would , however , particularly these days .
And yet , it ’ s peculiar to the insanity of the times that , because Donald Trump has commuted his prison sentence , many Republicans now see Blagojevich as the political prisoner he so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ his being a Democrat .
It ’ s a terrifying reality that Donald Trump can cause “ up ” to magically become “ down ” for many Republicans today .
It is particularly mystifying because Donald Trump is a bumbling , inarticulate fool .
But Republicans are willing to follow Trump , lemming-like , off any cliff .
If Trump says the Russians are the good guys then , by golly , the Russians are the good guys , no matter what they used to think about the Soviet Union , no matter @ @ @ @ @ @ @ other direction .
It is political alchemy at its most deadly dangerous , and that danger has finally come home to roost .
Many people will die , possibly even millions , because Donald Trump says coronavirus isn ’ t so bad .
Many people will die because Donald Trump dislikes the objective truth that the mortality rate of coronavirus is 1.7 times higher than the 1918 Spanish flu , and he disputes this statistical fact entirely without evidence .
Many people will die because Donald Trump says they can continue to go @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Many people will die because Donald Trump claims he has “ fixed ” the “ problems ” introduced by the Obama administration ’ s “ decision on testing [ that ] turned out to be very detrimental , ” when in fact Trump has defunded most of Obama ’ s CDC pandemic team that would have been crucial in helping to contain the current outbreak .
And it won ’ t just be Republicans who will die , either , because , like objective truth , a virus is no respecter of persons @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have to die ?
Because everything , and I do mean everything , is all about Donald Trump .
You see , the coronavirus is bad for him .
It ’ s like an unflattering poll .
It ’ s bad for the stock market .
Therefore it must be contradicted , even if it means the death of you , your family , and everyone you know and love .
None of that matters to a malignant narcissistic wacko like Donald Trump .
His ego is more important than the life of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ your wife , or your grandfather , or your sister .
And Republicans are playing along .
Trump recently referred to the Washington State governor Jay Inslee as a snake .
Because Trump doesn ’ t like Inslee , he will probably punish Washington by withholding vital federal aid .
The state of Washington has been particularly hard hit by coronovirus where 14 people have died there already because of it .
A Kirkland resident and personal friend and frequent Palmer Report commenter , navy veteran Rick Raymond , reports that a fellow @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and gone into quarantine .
It is unknown yet if he has coronavirus .
Coronavirus is deadly serious .
But the good news is individual public safety is really up to the diligence of the individual .
The virus is not airborne .
Even if you can not get your hands on antiseptic spray , diligent and frequent hand washing will serve as well .
Avoid direct contact with others .
Fist bump or elbow or foot touch in lieu of shaking hands .
Avoid touching your face after touching public surfaces until @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Learn the necessary protocols to keep safe and turn those protocols into habit .
By so doing you will protect yourself and the people around you .
And don ’ t listen to Donald Trump .
He couldn ’ t care less if you live or die .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Objective truth, like a virus, has the annoying habit of inconveniencing people of every political persuasion equally. It is a measure of strength of character how quickly an individual recognizes an objective truth, even if it doesn’t square with their political bias. It is an admirable quality to have and should be cultivated diligently by everyone.
It is an objective truth, for example, that Rod Blagojevich is a criminal. It’s encouraging that not a single Democratic friend I know ever doubted this, despite Blagojevich being a Democrat. It is an objective truth that he tried to sell Barack Obama’s senate seat for personal gain when he was the nefarious governor of Illinois. Had Blagojevich been a Republican, I would hope most Republicans would have reached the same conclusion about him as well. I doubt that as many would, however, particularly these days.
And yet, it’s peculiar to the insanity of the times that, because Donald Trump has commuted his prison sentence, many Republicans now see Blagojevich as the political prisoner he so disingenuously proclaims himself to be, despite his being a Democrat. It’s a terrifying reality that Donald Trump can cause “up” to magically become “down” for many Republicans today. It is particularly mystifying because Donald Trump is a bumbling, inarticulate fool.
But Republicans are willing to follow Trump, lemming-like, off any cliff. If Trump says the Russians are the good guys then, by golly, the Russians are the good guys, no matter what they used to think about the Soviet Union, no matter how unequivocally objective truth points in the other direction. It is political alchemy at its most deadly dangerous, and that danger has finally come home to roost.
Many people will die, possibly even millions, because Donald Trump says coronavirus isn’t so bad. Many people will die because Donald Trump dislikes the objective truth that the mortality rate of coronavirus is 1.7 times higher than the 1918 Spanish flu, and he disputes this statistical fact entirely without evidence. Many people will die because Donald Trump says they can continue to go to work if they contract coronavirus. Many people will die because Donald Trump claims he has “fixed” the “problems” introduced by the Obama administration’s “decision on testing [that] turned out to be very detrimental,” when in fact Trump has defunded most of Obama’s CDC pandemic team that would have been crucial in helping to contain the current outbreak. And it won’t just be Republicans who will die, either, because, like objective truth, a virus is no respecter of persons.
So why do so many people have to die? Because everything, and I do mean everything, is all about Donald Trump. You see, the coronavirus is bad for him. It’s like an unflattering poll. It’s bad for the stock market. Therefore it must be contradicted, even if it means the death of you, your family, and everyone you know and love. None of that matters to a malignant narcissistic wacko like Donald Trump. His ego is more important than the life of your child, or the life of your wife, or your grandfather, or your sister. And Republicans are playing along.
Trump recently referred to the Washington State governor Jay Inslee as a snake. Because Trump doesn’t like Inslee, he will probably punish Washington by withholding vital federal aid. The state of Washington has been particularly hard hit by coronovirus where 14 people have died there already because of it. A Kirkland resident and personal friend and frequent Palmer Report commenter, navy veteran Rick Raymond, reports that a fellow veteran he knows has recently taken sick and gone into quarantine. It is unknown yet if he has coronavirus.
Coronavirus is deadly serious. But the good news is individual public safety is really up to the diligence of the individual. The virus is not airborne. Even if you cannot get your hands on antiseptic spray, diligent and frequent hand washing will serve as well. Avoid direct contact with others. Fist bump or elbow or foot touch in lieu of shaking hands. Avoid touching your face after touching public surfaces until you have washed your hands thoroughly. Learn the necessary protocols to keep safe and turn those protocols into habit. By so doing you will protect yourself and the people around you. And don’t listen to Donald Trump. He couldn’t care less if you live or die.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-07--Bernie Sanders gets desperate

Bernie Sanders gets desperate

With Joe Biden ’ s nationwide momentum continuing to expand , and poll numbers in key upcoming swing states now shifting heavily in Biden ’ s favor , Bernie Sanders is running out of time – literally .
He had to cancel an event in Mississippi , where he wasn ’ t going to do well anyway , essentially forfeiting the state so he could travel to Michigan and try to prevent a surging Biden from picking off the state .
This kind of triage makes sense , for a candidate whose path to victory is narrowing by the day @ @ @ @ @ @ @ screwy .
Bernie Sanders has decided that his key to victory is a last minute Fox News town hall event on the night before voting takes place .
Wait , what ?
Sanders , with his far left policies , won ’ t win over a single supporter by doing an event with Fox News , whose viewers are all either center right or far right .
So what ’ s he doing ?
He ’ s trying to take advantage of Michigan ’ s open primary format , which allows registered independents @ @ @ @ @ @ @ democratic primary race .
Sanders is putting himself in front of Michigan ’ s Trump supporters on Monday night in the hope that they ’ ll be motivated to go vote for him as a spoiler , in order to slow down Joe Biden ’ s momentum .
This is precisely how Sanders won Michigan four years ago .
Now he ’ s trying to make it happen again .
The thing is , though , Trump fans tried this in South Carolina , and Biden still won .

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With Joe Biden’s nationwide momentum continuing to expand, and poll numbers in key upcoming swing states now shifting heavily in Biden’s favor, Bernie Sanders is running out of time – literally. He had to cancel an event in Mississippi, where he wasn’t going to do well anyway, essentially forfeiting the state so he could travel to Michigan and try to prevent a surging Biden from picking off the state.
This kind of triage makes sense, for a candidate whose path to victory is narrowing by the day. Here’s where it gets screwy. Bernie Sanders has decided that his key to victory is a last minute Fox News town hall event on the night before voting takes place. Wait, what?
Sanders, with his far left policies, won’t win over a single supporter by doing an event with Fox News, whose viewers are all either center right or far right. So what’s he doing? He’s trying to take advantage of Michigan’s open primary format, which allows registered independents and registered republicans to vote in the democratic primary race.
Sanders is putting himself in front of Michigan’s Trump supporters on Monday night in the hope that they’ll be motivated to go vote for him as a spoiler, in order to slow down Joe Biden’s momentum. This is precisely how Sanders won Michigan four years ago. Now he’s trying to make it happen again. The thing is, though, Trump fans tried this in South Carolina, and Biden still won.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--Joe Biden has a plan

Joe Biden has a plan

As the primary has effectively narrowed down to just two candidates , it ’ s become all too common to say that either one of them is as bad as Donald Trump in common internet arguments .
That ’ s of course not true – more now than ever – and actually more of a right-wing talking point .
The only difference is that when conservatives say this , it means they have no other way to justify voting Republican .
People are arguing falsely that Joe Biden is looking to cut social security and medicare , which is not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ what Trump plans to do if re-elected .
In fact , the Biden campaign recently rolled out an ambitious plan that will not only expand on the Affordable Care Act , but also take on the American opioid epidemic in a way more detailed than any proposal released by a presidential candidate this cycle .
Biden ’ s plan commits $ 125 billion to fighting the epidemic , funding treatment , prevention and recovery programs , which would be paid for with increased taxes on pharmaceutical companies .
The program would also take @ @ @ @ @ @ @ medications and reforming the criminal justice system to stop locking up people over drug use .
Measures would also be taken to slow drugs being brought in from China and Mexico and importantly , hold drug companies responsible for cases of addiction .
It ’ s not only elaborately thought out , it ’ s also good politics , since much of the Democratic Party could run on this for their platform to draw out voters – and potentially a number of undecided voters who supported Donald Trump just four years ago .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ primary season and in the general election , is the surest way to make this happen .

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As the primary has effectively narrowed down to just two candidates, it’s become all too common to say that either one of them is as bad as Donald Trump in common internet arguments. That’s of course not true – more now than ever – and actually more of a right-wing talking point. The only difference is that when conservatives say this, it means they have no other way to justify voting Republican.
People are arguing falsely that Joe Biden is looking to cut social security and medicare, which is not only wrong, it’s exactly what Trump plans to do if re-elected. In fact, the Biden campaign recently rolled out an ambitious plan that will not only expand on the Affordable Care Act, but also take on the American opioid epidemic in a way more detailed than any proposal released by a presidential candidate this cycle.
Biden’s plan commits $125 billion to fighting the epidemic, funding treatment, prevention and recovery programs, which would be paid for with increased taxes on pharmaceutical companies. The program would also take steps to prevent doctors from overprescribing pain medications and reforming the criminal justice system to stop locking up people over drug use. Measures would also be taken to slow drugs being brought in from China and Mexico and importantly, hold drug companies responsible for cases of addiction.
It’s not only elaborately thought out, it’s also good politics, since much of the Democratic Party could run on this for their platform to draw out voters – and potentially a number of undecided voters who supported Donald Trump just four years ago. Voting blue down the ticket – in primary season and in the general election, is the surest way to make this happen.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--What does Jim Jordan think he’s doing?

What does Jim Jordan think he’s doing?

The allegations against Republican Congressman Jim Jordan keep getting even uglier .
This time , six former OSU students are accusing Jordan of having known about the sexual abuse on the wrestling team and having tried to cover it up .
It ’ s shocking that he hasn ’ t resigned from Congress by now and gone home .
The longer he insists on remaining in the public view , the likelier it is that the next administration might bring federal criminal charges against him .
It ’ s tricky to get criminal charges to stick against someone who wasn @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and merely allowed the criminal behavior to continue by covering it up .
Until today , I wouldn ’ t have thought charges could stick against Jordan – but this is getting UGLY for him .
I do wonder if Jordan is sticking around because he ’ s hoping Trump will pardon him on his way out the door .
But in such case , Jordan ’ s career would be over anyway .
Even a House Republican wouldn ’ t survive accepting a pardon for something that hideous .
Maybe Jordan is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ you can find Jim Jordan ’ s Democratic opponent Shannon Freshour right here :

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The allegations against Republican Congressman Jim Jordan keep getting even uglier. This time, six former OSU students are accusing Jordan of having known about the sexual abuse on the wrestling team and having tried to cover it up. It’s shocking that he hasn’t resigned from Congress by now and gone home. The longer he insists on remaining in the public view, the likelier it is that the next administration might bring federal criminal charges against him.
It’s tricky to get criminal charges to stick against someone who wasn’t participating in the crime, and merely allowed the criminal behavior to continue by covering it up. Until today, I wouldn’t have thought charges could stick against Jordan – but this is getting UGLY for him.
I do wonder if Jordan is sticking around because he’s hoping Trump will pardon him on his way out the door. But in such case, Jordan’s career would be over anyway. Even a House Republican wouldn’t survive accepting a pardon for something that hideous. Maybe Jordan is just dumb.
In any case, you can find Jim Jordan’s Democratic opponent Shannon Freshour right here:
.
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palmerreport--2020-03-07--Bill Barr has a real problem

Bill Barr has a real problem

For the second time this week , a federal judge has accused Attorney General Bill Barr of having committed a criminal act by suppressing the Mueller report and then intentionally misrepresenting what it said .
Obviously the Department of Justice can ’ t bring criminal charges against Barr while Donald Trump is still president .
But Barr has a real problem here .
These judges just provided clear legal groundwork for bringing a felony obstruction of justice case against Bill Barr in the future .
If Joe Biden wins the 2020 election and becomes President , his most logical Attorney @ @ @ @ @ @ @ such as Kamala Harris , Amy Klobuchar or Adam Schiff .
Any of them will bring criminal charges against Barr and try to put him in prison .
It ’ s hard to imagine Bill Barr staying out of prison unless Donald Trump pardons him on his way out the door .
No wonder Barr has been working so hard to try to trick Trump into believing that he ’ s making progress in the imaginary criminal case against Andrew McCabe , and the imaginary exoneration of Michael Flynn .
Even if Trump @ @ @ @ @ @ @ door to legal challenges about pardoning a co-conspirator , which could result in the pardon being struck down .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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For the second time this week, a federal judge has accused Attorney General Bill Barr of having committed a criminal act by suppressing the Mueller report and then intentionally misrepresenting what it said. Obviously the Department of Justice can’t bring criminal charges against Barr while Donald Trump is still president. But Barr has a real problem here.
These judges just provided clear legal groundwork for bringing a felony obstruction of justice case against Bill Barr in the future. If Joe Biden wins the 2020 election and becomes President, his most logical Attorney General is someone with prosecutorial experience, such as Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar or Adam Schiff. Any of them will bring criminal charges against Barr and try to put him in prison.
It’s hard to imagine Bill Barr staying out of prison unless Donald Trump pardons him on his way out the door. No wonder Barr has been working so hard to try to trick Trump into believing that he’s making progress in the imaginary criminal case against Andrew McCabe, and the imaginary exoneration of Michael Flynn.
Even if Trump does pardon Barr, it opens the door to legal challenges about pardoning a co-conspirator, which could result in the pardon being struck down.
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palmerreport--2020-03-08--Stunner: Joe Biden pulls ahead in a state that no one thought he’d win

As the week has gone on , just about every new poll has shown Joe Biden surging , whether it ’ s nationally , or in individual states .
He ’ s expanding his lead in places like Florida .
He ’ s pulling ahead in states like Michigan , where he wasn ’ t necessarily expected to win .
And now we have a potential stunner on our hands in another state .
A week ago you wouldn ’ t be able to find one pundit , including me , who expected Joe Biden to win the Washington State @ @ @ @ @ @ @ new poll from local KING-TV showed Biden having climbed into the lead in the state by one point .
Okay , what if this was just an outlier ?
But now we have a second poll , this time from Data for Progress , which shows Biden ahead by three points in Washington .
Of course these two polls are both within their own stated margin of error .
But with Biden being ahead in both of them , we ’ re comfortable saying that he ’ s slightly pulled ahead in Washington @ @ @ @ @ @ @ polls include Elizabeth Warren , who is polling in the five to ten percent range , but who has since dropped out .
However , from what we ’ ve seen in other polling data thus far , Warren ’ s supporters appear to be splitting somewhat evenly between Biden and Sanders .
The bottom line is that this upcoming Tuesday is looking better for Joe Biden by the day .
He now appears set for a huge blowout win in Mississippi , to the point that Sanders has ceased campaigning in the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ say Biden is up by either four points or twenty-two points , take your pick .
The latest polling in Michigan has Biden up by six .
A few smaller states also vote on Tuesday , but with no polling data available from them .

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As the week has gone on, just about every new poll has shown Joe Biden surging, whether it’s nationally, or in individual states. He’s expanding his lead in places like Florida. He’s pulling ahead in states like Michigan, where he wasn’t necessarily expected to win. And now we have a potential stunner on our hands in another state.
A week ago you wouldn’t be able to find one pundit, including me, who expected Joe Biden to win the Washington State primary race. But on Friday a new poll from local KING-TV showed Biden having climbed into the lead in the state by one point. Okay, what if this was just an outlier? But now we have a second poll, this time from Data for Progress, which shows Biden ahead by three points in Washington.
Of course these two polls are both within their own stated margin of error. But with Biden being ahead in both of them, we’re comfortable saying that he’s slightly pulled ahead in Washington. The caveat is that both these polls include Elizabeth Warren, who is polling in the five to ten percent range, but who has since dropped out. However, from what we’ve seen in other polling data thus far, Warren’s supporters appear to be splitting somewhat evenly between Biden and Sanders.
The bottom line is that this upcoming Tuesday is looking better for Joe Biden by the day. He now appears set for a huge blowout win in Mississippi, to the point that Sanders has ceased campaigning in the state. New polls in Missouri confusingly say Biden is up by either four points or twenty-two points, take your pick. The latest polling in Michigan has Biden up by six. A few smaller states also vote on Tuesday, but with no polling data available from them.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-08--What if Donald Trump really does have the coronavirus?

Last night the Washington Post reported that Donald Trump shook hands with Matt Schlapp on the final day of the CPAC conference , and that at some point during the conference , Schlapp had interacted with an attendee who has since tested positive for coronavirus .
This has raised all kinds of questions .
Not the least of which is , now what ?
To be clear , Schlapp has definitely been exposed to the virus , and Trump has potentially exposed to the virus , but it doesn ’ t mean that either one of them has it .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ and for the sake of the common good , we hope that ’ s already happening .
But what if Trump does have the coronavirus ?
Then what do we do ?
For starters , if he does have the coronavirus , he ’ s now on day eight since he was infected .
Experts say the symptoms can take five to fourteen days to show up .
So if Trump has it , he ’ ll be sick soon , if he isn ’ t already .
What then ?
Will he @ @ @ @ @ @ @ stubbornly try to make public appearances while pretending he ’ s not ill ?
If he were heading into a coma , would be be willing to temporarily invoke the 25th Amendment ?
It would be disconcerting for enough a mentally competent President to become this physically ill. We ’ re talking about a psychotic lunatic here .
Of course if Donald Trump doesn ’ t have the coronavirus , then based on what the experts are saying , he should be in the clear within a week .
But Trump an elderly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ has a consistent habit of relying on doctors who tell him what he wants to hear instead of what he needs to hear .
He precisely matches the description of someone who is the most vulnerable to worst effects of this virus .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Last night the Washington Post reported that Donald Trump shook hands with Matt Schlapp on the final day of the CPAC conference, and that at some point during the conference, Schlapp had interacted with an attendee who has since tested positive for coronavirus. This has raised all kinds of questions. Not the least of which is, now what?
To be clear, Schlapp has definitely been exposed to the virus, and Trump has potentially exposed to the virus, but it doesn’t mean that either one of them has it. They both need to be tested, and for the sake of the common good, we hope that’s already happening. But what if Trump does have the coronavirus? Then what do we do?
For starters, if he does have the coronavirus, he’s now on day eight since he was infected. Experts say the symptoms can take five to fourteen days to show up. So if Trump has it, he’ll be sick soon, if he isn’t already. What then? Will he disappear from public view? Will he stubbornly try to make public appearances while pretending he’s not ill? If he were heading into a coma, would be be willing to temporarily invoke the 25th Amendment? It would be disconcerting for enough a mentally competent President to become this physically ill. We’re talking about a psychotic lunatic here.
Of course if Donald Trump doesn’t have the coronavirus, then based on what the experts are saying, he should be in the clear within a week. But Trump an elderly man in visibly poor health, who has a consistent habit of relying on doctors who tell him what he wants to hear instead of what he needs to hear. He precisely matches the description of someone who is the most vulnerable to worst effects of this virus.
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palmerreport--2020-03-08--Donald Trump has a whole new Mike Pence problem

On Friday , Donald Trump told the television cameras that he didn ’ t want to let a coronavirus-infected cruise ship come to port – even though it had American citizens on it – because doing so would increase the total number of people in the U.S. infected with the disease .
Because Trump was focused on appearances , and not any valid medical reasoning , he was widely slammed for it .
The storyline got ugly enough that Mike Pence ( or someone in Pence ’ s camp ) leaked to Politico on Saturday evening that Pence had given @ @ @ @ @ @ @ docked , and that Donald Trump had overridden him .
This wasn ’ t shocking .
Trump was playing with these people ’ s lives for no good reason , and if any of them ended up dying , the people around Trump would want to make sure that the blame landed solely on Trump ’ s head , and not on their own .
Just hours after the Trump-Pence leak happened , the AP announced that the cruise ship will indeed be coming ashore at the Port of Oakland sometime late on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Trump caved , after he realized how much pushback he was going to get on this .
But how much harm did he cause to the passengers ’ safety by letting them twist in the wind for an extra day and a half ?

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On Friday, Donald Trump told the television cameras that he didn’t want to let a coronavirus-infected cruise ship come to port – even though it had American citizens on it – because doing so would increase the total number of people in the U.S. infected with the disease. Because Trump was focused on appearances, and not any valid medical reasoning, he was widely slammed for it.
The storyline got ugly enough that Mike Pence (or someone in Pence’s camp) leaked to Politico on Saturday evening that Pence had given orders for the cruise ship to be docked, and that Donald Trump had overridden him. This wasn’t shocking. Trump was playing with these people’s lives for no good reason, and if any of them ended up dying, the people around Trump would want to make sure that the blame landed solely on Trump’s head, and not on their own.
Just hours after the Trump-Pence leak happened, the AP announced that the cruise ship will indeed be coming ashore at the Port of Oakland sometime late on Saturday night. In other words, Trump caved, after he realized how much pushback he was going to get on this. But how much harm did he cause to the passengers’ safety by letting them twist in the wind for an extra day and a half?
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palmerreport--2020-03-08--The still-being-counted California primary results are shifting heavily in Joe Biden’s favor

The prevailing media narrative going into Super Tuesday was that Bernie Sanders was going to win California in a huge blowout , and probably win Texas as well , thus giving him the largest delegate haul of the day .
As we all know by now , that didn ’ t happen .
Biden won Texas , and the majority of the smaller states , easily putting him in the overall delegate lead .
Here ’ s the kicker .
California has a unique primary system which simply requires mail-in votes to get their vote postmarked by election day .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ few days for all of the votes to even arrive , let alone be counted .
By the time Tuesday night was over , it was mathematically clear that Sanders would win California .
But because delegates are awarded proportionately , the final margin of victory in the state was going to matter greatly .
As of the official updated voting tally right now , posted by Google , Sanders is now only 7.3 points ahead of Biden in California .
This is remarkable .
Going into Tuesday , most pundits were debating @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the state to meet the minimum threshold and get anydelegates .
As the tally currently stands , Sanders has only gained thirty-six more delegates than Biden in California – standing in sharp contrast to the narrative that Sanders could win all four hundred California delegates .
The votes are still being counted , and based on the California primary ’ s recent track record , it could take a long time to get a final margin of victory and final delegate count out of the state .
But it ’ s clear @ @ @ @ @ @ @ California , which came after Biden won South Carolina and gained the endorsements of Buttigieg and Klobuchar , are trending in Biden ’ s favor .
There still appears to be no path for Biden to win the state – but the final margin could end up being even smaller than the current seven points .
So much for a blowout .

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The prevailing media narrative going into Super Tuesday was that Bernie Sanders was going to win California in a huge blowout, and probably win Texas as well, thus giving him the largest delegate haul of the day. As we all know by now, that didn’t happen. Biden won Texas, and the majority of the smaller states, easily putting him in the overall delegate lead. Here’s the kicker.
California has a unique primary system which simply requires mail-in votes to get their vote postmarked by election day. That means it can take an additional few days for all of the votes to even arrive, let alone be counted. By the time Tuesday night was over, it was mathematically clear that Sanders would win California. But because delegates are awarded proportionately, the final margin of victory in the state was going to matter greatly.
As of the official updated voting tally right now, posted by Google, Sanders is now only 7.3 points ahead of Biden in California. This is remarkable. Going into Tuesday, most pundits were debating whether Biden would even get enough votes in the state to meet the minimum threshold and get anydelegates. As the tally currently stands, Sanders has only gained thirty-six more delegates than Biden in California – standing in sharp contrast to the narrative that Sanders could win all four hundred California delegates.
The votes are still being counted, and based on the California primary’s recent track record, it could take a long time to get a final margin of victory and final delegate count out of the state. But it’s clear that the last minute mail-in votes in California, which came after Biden won South Carolina and gained the endorsements of Buttigieg and Klobuchar, are trending in Biden’s favor. There still appears to be no path for Biden to win the state – but the final margin could end up being even smaller than the current seven points. So much for a blowout.
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palmerreport--2020-03-08--Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders should be ashamed of themselves over this stunt

Donald Trump has decided this week that it ’ s really important for us all to pay attention to the fact that Joe Biden sometimes misspeaks in weird ways .
Surrogates for the Bernie Sanders campaign are now suddenly pushing the exact same narrative .
Funny how convenient the timing is here .
They ’ re all trying to imply that there ’ s something wrong with Joe Biden ’ s physical , mental , or cognitive fitness .
That ’ s ironic considering Donald Trump was mysteriously taken to the hospital a few months ago , and that he @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in his public appearances since that time .
It ’ s also ironic considering Bernie Sanders recently had a heart attack .
Throw in the fact that Trump ’ s White House went out of its way to make up nonsensical excuses in the name of covering up Trump ’ s actual medical emergency , and the fact that Sanders ’ campaign is refusing to release his medical records and is asking us to merely take the word of his doctor that he ’ s magically fine , and the whole thing gets @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this age – or any age – are running for President of the United States , the public has a right to know what ’ s going on with their health .
But Joe Biden is clearly in the best health of the three by far , and Biden has been the most transparent about his health thus far .
No wonder the Trump and Sanders camps are trying to spin it the other way .

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Donald Trump has decided this week that it’s really important for us all to pay attention to the fact that Joe Biden sometimes misspeaks in weird ways. Surrogates for the Bernie Sanders campaign are now suddenly pushing the exact same narrative. Funny how convenient the timing is here.
They’re all trying to imply that there’s something wrong with Joe Biden’s physical, mental, or cognitive fitness. That’s ironic considering Donald Trump was mysteriously taken to the hospital a few months ago, and that he’s come across like a zombie in his public appearances since that time. It’s also ironic considering Bernie Sanders recently had a heart attack.
Throw in the fact that Trump’s White House went out of its way to make up nonsensical excuses in the name of covering up Trump’s actual medical emergency, and the fact that Sanders’ campaign is refusing to release his medical records and is asking us to merely take the word of his doctor that he’s magically fine, and the whole thing gets even more delicious.
When people of this age – or any age – are running for President of the United States, the public has a right to know what’s going on with their health. But Joe Biden is clearly in the best health of the three by far, and Biden has been the most transparent about his health thus far. No wonder the Trump and Sanders camps are trying to spin it the other way.
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palmerreport--2020-03-08--There goes the crowd

There goes the crowd

South by Southwest has been canceled due to the coronavirus spread .
The NBA is reportedly discussing the possibility of playing games with no fans in attendance .
This raises the question of whether there could end up being a point at which the 2020 presidential candidates could or should stop holding political rallies .
If we do end up reaching the point where large public gatherings become frowned upon in general , there are two ways this could impact the election .
Candidates generally hold political rallies so their most enthusiastic fans will attend and become fired up , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ then go out into the real world and try to win over other people for that candidate .
Of course there ’ s a lot of hit and miss with this .
The candidates who have historically held the largest presidential campaign rallies – Eugene Debs in 1912 , Wendell Wilkie in 1940 , Bernie Sanders in 2016 , Donald Trump in 2016 – have generally ended up getting several million fewer votes than their opponents who drew smaller crowds .
That ’ s because the candidates who draw massive crowds tend to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ t understand how politics works , and these people don ’ t do any actual followup work after attending .
It ’ s the candidate who draws the moderate but politically savvy crowd who generally ends up getting the most votes .
That said , what would a presidential race look like with no one showing up to rallies ?
There would certainly be reduced turnout , but it ’ s difficult to say by how much .
In general , lower turnout tends to be good for the Republicans , but @ @ @ @ @ @ @ In an election where turnout is reduced across the board due to a crisis , one could expect that the more-motivated side would prevail .
And has there ever been any broader motivation in modern American politics than ousting Donald Trump ?
There ’ s also the reality that while a reasonable Democratic nominee like Joe Biden would probably start pulling back on campaign rallies if medical experts asked him to , the ever narcissistic and delusional Donald Trump would probably keep holding rallies – and his braindead supporters would probably keep showing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that Trump has potentially been exposed to the virus .
Of course this could backfire on Trump due to the negative publicity involved .
And this is morbid but worth considering : Trump would be spreading the virus among his supporters heading into election day , leaving many of them possibly too unwell to vote .
The bottom line is that , as with so many other aspects of society , we don ’ t yet know what kind of an impact the coronavirus will or won ’ t have on the 2020 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is keep working hard to drive turnout , and to educate voters on the importance of voting wisely .
It ’ s the only way we were going to win anyway .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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South by Southwest has been canceled due to the coronavirus spread. The NBA is reportedly discussing the possibility of playing games with no fans in attendance. This raises the question of whether there could end up being a point at which the 2020 presidential candidates could or should stop holding political rallies.
If we do end up reaching the point where large public gatherings become frowned upon in general, there are two ways this could impact the election. Candidates generally hold political rallies so their most enthusiastic fans will attend and become fired up, in the hope that they’ll then go out into the real world and try to win over other people for that candidate.
Of course there’s a lot of hit and miss with this. The candidates who have historically held the largest presidential campaign rallies – Eugene Debs in 1912, Wendell Wilkie in 1940, Bernie Sanders in 2016, Donald Trump in 2016 – have generally ended up getting several million fewer votes than their opponents who drew smaller crowds. That’s because the candidates who draw massive crowds tend to attract the kind of people who don’t understand how politics works, and these people don’t do any actual followup work after attending. It’s the candidate who draws the moderate but politically savvy crowd who generally ends up getting the most votes.
That said, what would a presidential race look like with no one showing up to rallies? There would certainly be reduced turnout, but it’s difficult to say by how much. In general, lower turnout tends to be good for the Republicans, but that’s due to apathy. In an election where turnout is reduced across the board due to a crisis, one could expect that the more-motivated side would prevail. And has there ever been any broader motivation in modern American politics than ousting Donald Trump?
There’s also the reality that while a reasonable Democratic nominee like Joe Biden would probably start pulling back on campaign rallies if medical experts asked him to, the ever narcissistic and delusional Donald Trump would probably keep holding rallies – and his braindead supporters would probably keep showing up – even though we learned today that Trump has potentially been exposed to the virus. Of course this could backfire on Trump due to the negative publicity involved. And this is morbid but worth considering: Trump would be spreading the virus among his supporters heading into election day, leaving many of them possibly too unwell to vote.
The bottom line is that, as with so many other aspects of society, we don’t yet know what kind of an impact the coronavirus will or won’t have on the 2020 election process. All we can do is keep working hard to drive turnout, and to educate voters on the importance of voting wisely. It’s the only way we were going to win anyway.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-08--Joe Biden just served up the perfect response

Earlier today the hashtag # WhereIsJoe began trending on Twitter , in an apparent attempt at pushing the narrative that @ @ @ @ @ .
This was odd , considering he was holding a rally at the time , @ @ @ @ @ on television and online .
At the time , Palmer Report pointed out that this @ @ @ @ @ of Russian bots , trying to push disinformation .
After all , we know how @ @ @ @ @ Joe Biden will end up being the nominee , because Biden will likely beat Putin @ @ @ @ @ Joe Biden just served up the perfect response to the ludicrous hashtag :

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Earlier today the hashtag #WhereIsJoe began trending on Twitter, in an apparent attempt at pushing the narrative that Joe Biden has somehow disappeared. This was odd, considering he was holding a rally at the time, which was being widely publicized on television and online.
At the time, Palmer Report pointed out that this hashtag was seemingly the handiwork of Russian bots, trying to push disinformation. After all, we know how afraid Vladimir Putin is that Joe Biden will end up being the nominee, because Biden will likely beat Putin’s puppet Trump.
Joe Biden just served up the perfect response to the ludicrous hashtag:
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Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-08--Donald Trump has been stunned into silence after potentially being exposed to coronavirus

Not counting the retweets and generic process tweets that are obviously the work of his handlers , Donald Trump hasn ’ t tweeted anything in twenty-six hours .
And if you believe that his polite tweet announcing the departure of Mick Mulvaney was also done by his handlers , he hasn ’ t tweeted in more than thirty-six hours .
Why does this matter ?
This evening the Washington Post broke the news that Donald Trump shook hands with Matt Schlapp on the final day of CPAC , and that at some point during the event Schlapp interacted with someone @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
This doesn ’ t mean Trump and Schlapp have coronavirus .
But it sure is notable that Trump has suddenly gone silent .
Schlapp surely gave Trump a heads up about the situation once he learned of it , which would have been before the publication of the WaPo piece .
So Trump has known for X number of hours that he was potentially exposed to the virus – and his response has been to go silent .
Yes , Donald Trump is holding an event at Mar-a-Lago tonight , so it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not incapacitated in a hospital somewhere .
But this merely means risking exposing other people .
If Trump was exposed , it happened seven days ago .
Experts say that it can take anywhere from five to fourteen days for symptoms to show up .
It ’ s worth keeping in mind that he ’ s an elderly man in visibly poor health – precisely the demographic that ’ s expected to fare the worst with this virus .
Update : four minutes after we posted this article , Trump finally tweeted something @ @ @ @

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Not counting the retweets and generic process tweets that are obviously the work of his handlers, Donald Trump hasn’t tweeted anything in twenty-six hours. And if you believe that his polite tweet announcing the departure of Mick Mulvaney was also done by his handlers, he hasn’t tweeted in more than thirty-six hours. Why does this matter?
This evening the Washington Post broke the news that Donald Trump shook hands with Matt Schlapp on the final day of CPAC, and that at some point during the event Schlapp interacted with someone who has since tested positive for coronavirus. This doesn’t mean Trump and Schlapp have coronavirus. But it sure is notable that Trump has suddenly gone silent.
Schlapp surely gave Trump a heads up about the situation once he learned of it, which would have been before the publication of the WaPo piece. So Trump has known for X number of hours that he was potentially exposed to the virus – and his response has been to go silent.
Yes, Donald Trump is holding an event at Mar-a-Lago tonight, so it’s clear that he’s not incapacitated in a hospital somewhere. But this merely means risking exposing other people. If Trump was exposed, it happened seven days ago. Experts say that it can take anywhere from five to fourteen days for symptoms to show up. It’s worth keeping in mind that he’s an elderly man in visibly poor health – precisely the demographic that’s expected to fare the worst with this virus. Update: four minutes after we posted this article, Trump finally tweeted something. Go figure.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-08--Donald Trump’s stooge Mike Pompeo just went completely off the rails

After Elizabeth Warren dropped out of the race this week , Donald Trump predictably made a number of untrue and @ @ @ @ @ Trump engaged in his usual racial slurs , while also insisting that Warren is someone @ @ @ @ @ is accusing other people of being unlikeable ?
Has he seen his own approval rating @ @ @ @ @ s stooge Mike Pompeo has taken things even further in an ugly direction .
Pompeo @ @ @ @ @ in the Ukraine extortion scandal yet is still inexplicably Secretary of State , posted this @ @ @ @ @ clear , Mike Pompeo is mocking Elizabeth Warren ’ t recent lament that she pinky @ @ @ @ @ little girls that they would get to see a woman president .
Not only is @ @ @ @ @ ’ s mocking a bunch of little girls .
This guy is sick .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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After Elizabeth Warren dropped out of the race this week, Donald Trump predictably made a number of untrue and offensive remarks about her. Trump engaged in his usual racial slurs, while also insisting that Warren is someone an unlikeable person. Trump is accusing other people of being unlikeable? Has he seen his own approval rating?
But now Trump’s stooge Mike Pompeo has taken things even further in an ugly direction. Pompeo, who is knee deep in the Ukraine extortion scandal yet is still inexplicably Secretary of State, posted this tweet today:
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[embedhttps://twitter.com/mikepompeo/status/1236364060926623745[/embed]
To be clear, Mike Pompeo is mocking Elizabeth Warren’t recent lament that she pinky swore with a number of little girls that they would get to see a woman president. Not only is Pompeo mocking Warren, he’s mocking a bunch of little girls. This guy is sick.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-08--Come on Bernie Sanders, you said you weren’t going to pull this crap this time

Earlier this week Bernie Sanders fell behind Joe Biden by about a million popular votes , and the polls in upcoming states suggest that he ’ ll have an extremely difficult time catching Biden .
Faced with this new reality , Sanders publicly announced this week he had no desire to engage in personal attacks against Biden .
What Sanders didn ’ t tell us was that he was planning to sit back and remain silent while sending his campaign surrogates out there to engage in personal attacks against Joe Biden .
Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib has engaged in ugly attacks @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , drawing sharp rebuke from observers , but no public response from Sanders .
Now Cornel West has taken the stage at a Sanders campaign event and compared Biden to Milli Vanilli .
No , really : It ’ s true that Bernie Sanders can ’ t control what his official campaign surrogates say .
But when they say things that are inappropriate , or incompatible with his campaign ’ s message , he can stop using them as surrogates .
We ’ ve seen no evidence that Sanders has any intention of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are smearing Biden .
In other words , Sanders was lying .
He ’ s engaging in personal attacks on Biden ; they ’ re just not coming out of his own mouth .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Earlier this week Bernie Sanders fell behind Joe Biden by about a million popular votes, and the polls in upcoming states suggest that he’ll have an extremely difficult time catching Biden. Faced with this new reality, Sanders publicly announced this week he had no desire to engage in personal attacks against Biden.
What Sanders didn’t tell us was that he was planning to sit back and remain silent while sending his campaign surrogates out there to engage in personal attacks against Joe Biden. Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib has engaged in ugly attacks on Biden’s character on Twitter, drawing sharp rebuke from observers, but no public response from Sanders. Now Cornel West has taken the stage at a Sanders campaign event and compared Biden to Milli Vanilli. No, really:
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At a @BernieSanders event in Flint, @CornelWest just compared @JoeBiden to Milli Vanilli, saying he was a “neo-liberal centrist” “lip-syncing” progressive ideas because it was an election cycle. pic.twitter.com/IyGjnsNqEx — Adam Kelsey (@adamkelsey) March 8, 2020
It’s true that Bernie Sanders can’t control what his official campaign surrogates say. But when they say things that are inappropriate, or incompatible with his campaign’s message, he can stop using them as surrogates. We’ve seen no evidence that Sanders has any intention of reining in or dumping his surrogates who are smearing Biden. In other words, Sanders was lying. He’s engaging in personal attacks on Biden; they’re just not coming out of his own mouth.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-08--Donald Trump may have infected the entire White House with coronavirus

Here ’ s what we know .
About a week ago , someone – who has since tested positive for coronavirus – attended CPAC and interacted with Matt Schlapp at some point during the event .
On the last day of the event , Schlapp shook hands with Donald Trump , according to WaPo .
This means Schlapp has definitely been exposed to it , and Trump has potentially been exposed to it .
Being exposed to coronavirus doesn ’ t necessarily mean you ’ ve caught it .
But Schlapp and Trump will both have to be tested , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Moreover , if Trump has had the coronavirus for the past week , then he ’ s since spread it to the White House .
Every White House employee he ’ s shaken hands with , coughed near , or touched the same surface as , is now potentially infected and must also be tested .
Many of these employees are non-political , such as the janitors , and they bear no responsibility for Trump ’ s hideous political agenda .
They ’ re just doing their jobs .
This is particularly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is infected , you can ’ t blame him for unknowingly having spread it to others for the past week .
Nor can you blame Schlapp for having potentially spread it to Trump .
But you can blame Trump for his awful , incompetent , dishonest , and deadly handling of the coronavirus crisis .
If Trump hadn ’ t cut the CDC budget to begin with , and if he hadn ’ t spent so much time trying to cover up the coronavirus threat instead of tackling it , he might not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , worried that he has coronavirus .
Considering he ’ s elderly and he ’ s in visibly poor health , he ’ s in more danger from this virus than the average person would be .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Here’s what we know. About a week ago, someone – who has since tested positive for coronavirus – attended CPAC and interacted with Matt Schlapp at some point during the event. On the last day of the event, Schlapp shook hands with Donald Trump, according to WaPo. This means Schlapp has definitely been exposed to it, and Trump has potentially been exposed to it.
Being exposed to coronavirus doesn’t necessarily mean you’ve caught it. But Schlapp and Trump will both have to be tested, and will have to watch for symptoms. Moreover, if Trump has had the coronavirus for the past week, then he’s since spread it to the White House. Every White House employee he’s shaken hands with, coughed near, or touched the same surface as, is now potentially infected and must also be tested. Many of these employees are non-political, such as the janitors, and they bear no responsibility for Trump’s hideous political agenda. They’re just doing their jobs. This is particularly unfair to them.
If Donald Trump is infected, you can’t blame him for unknowingly having spread it to others for the past week. Nor can you blame Schlapp for having potentially spread it to Trump. But you can blame Trump for his awful, incompetent, dishonest, and deadly handling of the coronavirus crisis.
If Trump hadn’t cut the CDC budget to begin with, and if he hadn’t spent so much time trying to cover up the coronavirus threat instead of tackling it, he might not have to be sitting there right now, worried that he has coronavirus. Considering he’s elderly and he’s in visibly poor health, he’s in more danger from this virus than the average person would be.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.