palmerreport--2020-11-03--Things are looking good so far

Things are looking good so far

Right now we ’ re in an information vacuum , as we wait for the first vote tallies to come in , and we ’ re forced to rely on anecdotal evidence to try to figure out which way things might be leaning .
While anecdotal evidence always comes with caveats , thus far it ’ s looking good for Joe Biden .
Multiple major news outlets are reporting that turnout in Philadelphia , Pennsylvania is through the roof .
Just as importantly , turnout is also through the roof in suburban Montgomery County , another Democratic stronghold .
Meanwhile @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from MSNBC that the Trump campaign is seeing some of its would-be voters giving up and going home instead of standing in line , even as the Trump campaign has struck a pessimistic tone today and seemingly tried to lower expectations about the results across the board .
We still don ’ t know much , but what we do know thus far is looking good .
But we still need to run up the score just to be safe .
If you haven ’ t voted yet , go get in line @ @ @ @ @ @ @ line , stay there ; they have to let you vote if you ’ re already in line by the time the polls close .

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Right now we’re in an information vacuum, as we wait for the first vote tallies to come in, and we’re forced to rely on anecdotal evidence to try to figure out which way things might be leaning. While anecdotal evidence always comes with caveats, thus far it’s looking good for Joe Biden.
Multiple major news outlets are reporting that turnout in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania is through the roof. Just as importantly, turnout is also through the roof in suburban Montgomery County, another Democratic stronghold.
Meanwhile we’ve got a surreal report from MSNBC that the Trump campaign is seeing some of its would-be voters giving up and going home instead of standing in line, even as the Trump campaign has struck a pessimistic tone today and seemingly tried to lower expectations about the results across the board.
We still don’t know much, but what we do know thus far is looking good. But we still need to run up the score just to be safe. If you haven’t voted yet, go get in line. If you’re currently in line, stay there; they have to let you vote if you’re already in line by the time the polls close.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Donald Trump knows he’s lost

Donald Trump knows he’s lost

Donald Trump knows he has lost , and he , his campaign team , and his family are putting their worst behavior on display for all the world to see .
They have even turned against Trump ’ s former favorite news channel , Fox .
According to the Guardian , Trump ’ s supporters gathered outside a vote-counting center and began chanting “ Fox News Sucks !
” They are up in arms because Fox News called Arizona for Joe Biden .
Trump ’ s team was so riled up that they called Fox , demanding they “ overturn @ @ @ @ @ @ @ times reported that it was Jared Kushner who tried to push Rupert Murdoch while Vanity Fair said “ president ” Trump himself called Murdoch .
How embarrassing , but Trump ’ s son took that embarrassment to new heights .
HuffPost reported that Eric Trump posted a fake video of someone allegedly burning 80 ballots that had been cast for his father .
Eric posted the video on Twitter and was promptly rebuked .
The City of Virginia Beach responded : “ Those were sample ballots.
” They further said that the city @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a link to their news site .
Not letting it go at that , the city showed a screenshot from the video which clearly showed that there were no bar codes on the ballots .
It is shameful that such ignorance permeated the White House for four years .
Now , we have something to look forward to : Trump will soon be gone , and he can take his dumb sons — and his boot-licking fake AG — with him .
The New York Times reported that the DOJ announced to federal @ @ @ @ @ @ @ federal officers to ballot-counting locations to “ investigate voter fraud.
” The only fraud involved in the 2020 election was Donald Trump ’ s declaration that he won .
His campaign has filed lawsuits , and the Times defined the DOJ action as “ intimidating local election officials ” and interfering in vote tallying simply because Trump wants them to stop counting votes .
This is so ludicrous that we already know the outcome of this election , as Trump reeks of desperation .
The Massachusetts Attorney General , Maura Healey , said @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , as only state officials have authority over these locations .
It is very ironic that the man who pushed down the handling of the pandemic—a job he should have done—to states now wants to interfere in the states ’ rights to handle elections .
Just as he has always done , he is talking out of both side of his mouth .
Mostly , Trump is embarrassing himself .
Two German newspapers — one left-leaning and the other right — had similar headlines that Trump thinks he is an emperor who is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ country strong on democracy .
Unfortunately , his embarrassing behavior is a blight on us as a country .
This will be his last time doing so .
We all know his motivation : The moment he walks out of the White House , he will be charged criminally .
It is coming , Trump , and there is no one more deserving than you .

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Donald Trump knows he has lost, and he, his campaign team, and his family are putting their worst behavior on display for all the world to see. They have even turned against Trump’s former favorite news channel, Fox. According to the Guardian, Trump’s supporters gathered outside a vote-counting center and began chanting “Fox News Sucks!” They are up in arms because Fox News called Arizona for Joe Biden.
Trump’s team was so riled up that they called Fox, demanding they “overturn” their prediction. The New York times reported that it was Jared Kushner who tried to push Rupert Murdoch while Vanity Fair said “president” Trump himself called Murdoch. How embarrassing, but Trump’s son took that embarrassment to new heights.
HuffPost reported that Eric Trump posted a fake video of someone allegedly burning 80 ballots that had been cast for his father. Eric posted the video on Twitter and was promptly rebuked. The City of Virginia Beach responded: “Those were sample ballots.” They further said that the city had already addressed the issue and included a link to their news site. Not letting it go at that, the city showed a screenshot from the video which clearly showed that there were no bar codes on the ballots. It is shameful that such ignorance permeated the White House for four years. Now, we have something to look forward to: Trump will soon be gone, and he can take his dumb sons — and his boot-licking fake AG — with him.
The New York Times reported that the DOJ announced to federal prosecutors that they would be sending armed federal officers to ballot-counting locations to “investigate voter fraud.” The only fraud involved in the 2020 election was Donald Trump’s declaration that he won. His campaign has filed lawsuits, and the Times defined the DOJ action as “intimidating local election officials” and interfering in vote tallying simply because Trump wants them to stop counting votes.
This is so ludicrous that we already know the outcome of this election, as Trump reeks of desperation. The Massachusetts Attorney General, Maura Healey, said that she will resist such an intrusion, as only state officials have authority over these locations. It is very ironic that the man who pushed down the handling of the pandemic—a job he should have done—to states now wants to interfere in the states’ rights to handle elections. Just as he has always done, he is talking out of both side of his mouth.
Mostly, Trump is embarrassing himself. Two German newspapers — one left-leaning and the other right — had similar headlines that Trump thinks he is an emperor who is trying to force autocratic rule on a country strong on democracy. Unfortunately, his embarrassing behavior is a blight on us as a country. This will be his last time doing so. We all know his motivation: The moment he walks out of the White House, he will be charged criminally. It is coming, Trump, and there is no one more deserving than you.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Pennsylvania and Georgia just trended further in Joe Biden’s direction

The votes seem to be coming in quickly now .
Over the past hour and a half Joe Biden has @ @ @ @ @ down in Pennsylvania , to 58,000 down , to 53,000 down , to 50,000 down @ @ @ @ @ The state is clearly trending in Biden ’ s direction , and we now expect @ @ @ @ @ a fairly sizable margin .
Biden has gone from 3,600 votes down in Georgia to @ @ @ @ @ .
The final result in Georgia should be much closer than Pennsylvania , but we @ @ @ @ @ in Georgia .
Donald Trump keeps chipping away at Joe Biden ’ s lead in @ @ @ @ @ s not entirely clear if he ’ ll have enough to take the state back @ @ @ @ @ is declared the winner in Pennsylvania , then he ’ ll win the election even @ @ @ @ @ win Arizona , Georgia , or Nevada .

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The votes seem to be coming in quickly now. Over the past hour and a half Joe Biden has gone from being 64,000 votes down in Pennsylvania, to 58,000 down, to 53,000 down, to 50,000 down to now 48,000 down. The state is clearly trending in Biden’s direction, and we now expect him to win it by a fairly sizable margin.
Biden has gone from 3,600 votes down in Georgia to now just 2,500 votes down. The final result in Georgia should be much closer than Pennsylvania, but we think Biden has the edge in Georgia.
Donald Trump keeps chipping away at Joe Biden’s lead in Arizona, and it’s not entirely clear if he’ll have enough to take the state back. But if Joe Biden is declared the winner in Pennsylvania, then he’ll win the election even if he doesn’t win Arizona, Georgia, or Nevada.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Pennsylvania on the verge for Joe Biden

Pennsylvania on the verge for Joe Biden

Barely an hour ago , Joe Biden was down by 64,000 votes in Pennsylvania .
In the past several minutes @ @ @ @ @ , and then further dropped to 53,000 .
It ’ s all seemingly starting to @ @ @ @ @ numbers are coming in at random intervals , so it ’ s not a given @ @ @ @ @ come in .
But here ’ s the important part : each time another batch @ @ @ @ @ s a pro-Biden ratio that exceeds the ratio Biden needs to hit in order to @ @ @ @ @ rate it ’ s very likely Biden will win Pennsylvania – and the odds seem @ @ @ @ @ the news outlets will call it for him tonight as opposed to tomorrow .
Pennsylvania @ @ @ @ @ 270 electoral votes all by itself , without the need for any of the other @ @ @ @ @ and when the major media outlets call Pennsylvania for Biden , they ’ ll be @ @ @ @ @ the 2020 election .
Start your engines .

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Barely an hour ago, Joe Biden was down by 64,000 votes in Pennsylvania. In the past several minutes that number dropped to 58,000, and then further dropped to 53,000. It’s all seemingly starting to happen quickly now.
These numbers are coming in at random intervals, so it’s not a given when the next batch will come in. But here’s the important part: each time another batch comes in, it’s a pro-Biden ratio that exceeds the ratio Biden needs to hit in order to pull ahead. At this rate it’s very likely Biden will win Pennsylvania – and the odds seem to be going up that the news outlets will call it for him tonight as opposed to tomorrow.
Pennsylvania will put Joe Biden past 270 electoral votes all by itself, without the need for any of the other remaining states. So if and when the major media outlets call Pennsylvania for Biden, they’ll be declaring him the winner of the 2020 election. Start your engines.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--No wonder Donald Trump is freaking out

No wonder Donald Trump is freaking out

After two days of hiding , Donald Trump abruptly held a press conference this evening that will be remembered as @ @ @ @ @ defeating disasters in political history .
MSNBC and NBC News both cut him off entirely @ @ @ @ @ he was lying .
Most news outlets , including the normally Trump-friendly Fox News and @ @ @ @ @ criticizing him for it .
Trump has certainly weakened his own position .
So why @ @ @ @ @ recklessly stupid , after having spent two days restraining himself ?
Because it ’ s @ @ @ @ @ , and he knows it .
He ’ s within 3,500 votes of losing Georgia @ @ @ @ @ a mathematical pace to likely lose Pennsylvania by six figures .
Both states could be @ @ @ @ @ night is over .
No wonder Donald Trump is freaking out .
He ’ s @ @ @ @ @ declared the loser of the election .
And unlike other one-term presidents , if Trump @ @ @ @ @ to end up in prison .

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After two days of hiding, Donald Trump abruptly held a press conference this evening that will be remembered as one of the most self defeating disasters in political history. MSNBC and NBC News both cut him off entirely, citing the fact that he was lying. Most news outlets, including the normally Trump-friendly Fox News and New York Post, are criticizing him for it. Trump has certainly weakened his own position.
So why did Trump do something so recklessly stupid, after having spent two days restraining himself? Because it’s now basically over for him, and he knows it. He’s within 3,500 votes of losing Georgia. He’s on a mathematical pace to likely lose Pennsylvania by six figures. Both states could be called for Biden before the night is over.
No wonder Donald Trump is freaking out. He’s now hours away from being declared the loser of the election. And unlike other one-term presidents, if Trump loses he’s going to end up in prison.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Even Rupert Murdoch’s New York Post is turning against Donald Trump tonight

Just weeks ago the New York Post , a tabloid newspaper owned by Fox News boss Rupert Murdoch , published @ @ @ @ @ Joe Biden and Hunter Biden .
It was clear that the Post was entirely in @ @ @ @ @ .
But now that ’ s taken a sharp turn tonight .
The New York @ @ @ @ @ with this headline : “ Downcast Trump makes baseless election fraud claims in White House @ @ @ @ @ right , even the Post has now turned against him .
This suggests that Murdoch @ @ @ @ @ go ahead to turn against Trump , on the expectation that Trump is going to @ @ @ @ @ wait to see how soon Murdoch ’ s other property , Fox News , ends @ @ @ @ @ Biden .
Tick tock .

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Just weeks ago the New York Post, a tabloid newspaper owned by Fox News boss Rupert Murdoch, published a ridiculously false story involving Joe Biden and Hunter Biden. It was clear that the Post was entirely in Donald Trump’s pocket. But now that’s taken a sharp turn tonight.
The New York Post just ran an article with this headline: “Downcast Trump makes baseless election fraud claims in White House address.” That’s right, even the Post has now turned against him. This suggests that Murdoch has given his newspaper the go ahead to turn against Trump, on the expectation that Trump is going to lose anyway.
Now we wait to see how soon Murdoch’s other property, Fox News, ends up calling Pennsylvania for Joe Biden. Tick tock.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Democrats are now officially back in contention for control of the Senate

Yesterday Palmer Report pointed out that if Republican Senator David Perdue dropped below 50 % in the Georgia Senate race , it would go to a runoff .
With the other Georgia Senate race already set for a runoff , this would put two seats in play – and if the Democrats won them both , they would take control of the Senate .
Now Decision Desk has officially projected that both races are headed to a runoff .
This sets up a historic election battle in Georgia between now and January .
Democrat Jon Ossoff will face Perdue in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will face Republican Kelly Loeffler in a runoff .
Ossoff and Warnock have already teamed up and both have the backing of Stacey Abrams .
This is crucial because Abrams is the one who has spent the past two years working to clean up her home state of Georgia .
As a result of her work , Joe Biden appears to be on track to narrowly win Georgia , and now both Senate seats are viable for Democrats .
If the Democrats win both Senate races , the Senate will be 50-50 .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ would have the tiebreaker vote .
Because of this , the Democrats would have formal Senate control , and they would get to pick the Senate Majority Leader .
Mitch McConnell would be relegated to minority status .

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Yesterday Palmer Report pointed out that if Republican Senator David Perdue dropped below 50% in the Georgia Senate race, it would go to a runoff. With the other Georgia Senate race already set for a runoff, this would put two seats in play – and if the Democrats won them both, they would take control of the Senate.
Now Decision Desk has officially projected that both races are headed to a runoff. This sets up a historic election battle in Georgia between now and January. Democrat Jon Ossoff will face Perdue in a runoff, while Democrat Raphael Warnock will face Republican Kelly Loeffler in a runoff.
Ossoff and Warnock have already teamed up and both have the backing of Stacey Abrams. This is crucial because Abrams is the one who has spent the past two years working to clean up her home state of Georgia. As a result of her work, Joe Biden appears to be on track to narrowly win Georgia, and now both Senate seats are viable for Democrats.
If the Democrats win both Senate races, the Senate will be 50-50. In such case Vice President Kamala Harris would have the tiebreaker vote. Because of this, the Democrats would have formal Senate control, and they would get to pick the Senate Majority Leader. Mitch McConnell would be relegated to minority status.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Joe Biden closing fast in Georgia, state now neck and neck

Earlier this evening Joe Biden closed within 9,000 votes in Georgia , with plenty more Biden-friendly votes still to be @ @ @ @ @ results were updated again , and now Biden is just 3,600 votes behind .
While @ @ @ @ @ to end up being close one way or the other , it ’ s now @ @ @ @ @ more likely to win Georgia than lose it .
We ’ ll have to wait @ @ @ @ @ to call it , but we think Georgia may indeed go blue .
Meanwhile Joe @ @ @ @ @ votes in Pennsylvania .
This is crucial because we fully expect Biden to win Pennsylvania @ @ @ @ @ by a far larger margin than Georgia .
If the major networks call Biden for @ @ @ @ @ will be the winner of the election – whether he wins any of the other @ @ @ @ @

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Earlier this evening Joe Biden closed within 9,000 votes in Georgia, with plenty more Biden-friendly votes still to be counted. Just now the results were updated again, and now Biden is just 3,600 votes behind.
While we’ve expected Georgia to end up being close one way or the other, it’s now looking like Joe Biden is more likely to win Georgia than lose it. We’ll have to wait for a major news outlet to call it, but we think Georgia may indeed go blue.
Meanwhile Joe Biden is now within 64,000 votes in Pennsylvania. This is crucial because we fully expect Biden to win Pennsylvania, and to win it by a far larger margin than Georgia. If the major networks call Biden for Pennsylvania tonight, then Biden will be the winner of the election – whether he wins any of the other remaining states or not.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Donald Trump sounds mostly defeated and half dead during pathetic press conference

After two days of hiding from the public , Donald Trump stepped to the podium this evening and falsely declared @ @ @ @ @ the election based on “ legal votes , ” whatever that ’ s supposed to @ @ @ @ @ off immediately and still hasn ’ t gone back to him .
But we ’ @ @ @ @ @ now it ’ s just getting pathetic .
Donald Trump is trying to put on @ @ @ @ @ sounds mostly defeated and half dead .
He ’ s confusedly reading a speech from @ @ @ @ @ front of him , and he ’ s rarely even looking up from it .
@ @ @ @ @ attacked Philadelphia , appeared to claim that he once went to school at the “ @ @ @ @ @ shared some conspiracy theory involving binoculars .
He ’ s completely unhinged ; if you @ @ @ @ @ on a sidewalk , you ’ d cross the street to get away from him @ @ @ @ @ sounds defeated and sad .
This is pathetic .

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After two days of hiding from the public, Donald Trump stepped to the podium this evening and falsely declared that he’s winning the election based on “legal votes,” whatever that’s supposed to mean. MSNBC cut him off immediately and still hasn’t gone back to him. But we’re still watching, and now it’s just getting pathetic.
Donald Trump is trying to put on some bravado, but he sounds mostly defeated and half dead. He’s confusedly reading a speech from a piece of paper in front of him, and he’s rarely even looking up from it.
At various points Trump has attacked Philadelphia, appeared to claim that he once went to school at the “corrupt Democrats,” and shared some conspiracy theory involving binoculars. He’s completely unhinged; if you encountered someone ranting like this on a sidewalk, you’d cross the street to get away from him. But mainly Trump just sounds defeated and sad. This is pathetic.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--MSNBC immediately cuts off Donald Trump’s completely unhinged press conference

Donald Trump stepped to the White House briefing room podium just now and immediately announced that he ’ s won @ @ @ @ @ legal votes ” are counted .
Even as Trump then went on to brag about @ @ @ @ @ supposedly won , MSNBC immediately cut him off and began interviewing the Arizona Secretary of @ @ @ @ @ re still watching Trump ’ s press conference on CNN .
He sounds mostly defeated @ @ @ @ @ ’ ll let you know if he ends up saying anything of any consequence .
@ @ @ @ @ that at this point , Trump ’ s conspiratorial whining is irrelevant enough that some @ @ @ @ @ ’ t even feel compelled to give him a platform .

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Donald Trump stepped to the White House briefing room podium just now and immediately announced that he’s won the election if only “legal votes” are counted. Even as Trump then went on to brag about the states he’s supposedly won, MSNBC immediately cut him off and began interviewing the Arizona Secretary of State instead.
We’re still watching Trump’s press conference on CNN. He sounds mostly defeated and half dead. We’ll let you know if he ends up saying anything of any consequence. But what stands out is that at this point, Trump’s conspiratorial whining is irrelevant enough that some major cable news networks don’t even feel compelled to give him a platform.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Steve Bannon probably just got his bail revoked

With Donald Trump on the verge of losing reelection , it ’ s easy to forget that his former henchman @ @ @ @ @ on bail on felony charges and awaiting criminal trial .
Based on what ’ s @ @ @ @ @ Bannon ’ s bail is getting revoked .
In an incredibly unhinged new interview , @ @ @ @ @ he wants Dr. Fauci and FBI Director Christopher Wray to be beheaded : This is @ @ @ @ @ Bannon just called for the murder of two federal officials , in what would be @ @ @ @ @ .
It ’ s even worse for Bannon when you consider that Director Wray is @ @ @ @ @ the criminal case that ’ s pending against Bannon .
It ’ s easy to @ @ @ @ @ is making violent threats in an attempt at avoiding prosecution , similar to threatening the @ @ @ @ @ a juror .
It ’ s easily grounds for the judge in Bannon ’ s @ @ @ @ @ We ’ ll see what happens .

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With Donald Trump on the verge of losing reelection, it’s easy to forget that his former henchman Steve Bannon is currently out on bail on felony charges and awaiting criminal trial. Based on what’s just transpired, we suspect Bannon’s bail is getting revoked.
In an incredibly unhinged new interview, Steve Bannon just said that he wants Dr. Fauci and FBI Director Christopher Wray to be beheaded:
WHAT THE HOLY F*CK?! Steve Bannon calls for the ***beheading*** of Dr Fauci and FBI Director Wray as a warning to federal workers. This video is real. Captured by @peltzmadeline. pic.twitter.com/fgVdfLT0hQ — Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 5, 2020
This is a big deal, because Bannon just called for the murder of two federal officials, in what would be an act of domestic terrorism. It’s even worse for Bannon when you consider that Director Wray is one of the leaders of the criminal case that’s pending against Bannon. It’s easy to make the argument that Bannon is making violent threats in an attempt at avoiding prosecution, similar to threatening the safety of a judge or a juror. It’s easily grounds for the judge in Bannon’s case revoking his bail. We’ll see what happens.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Donald Trump is about the hold the most insane press conference of his life

Joe Biden is now within 78,000 votes in Pennsylvania and closing fast .
The remaining math suggests that Biden will end up winning the state easily .
We suspect that once Biden pulls ahead in Pennsylvania , the major networks may call the state for him – which would make Biden the winner of the election .
Donald Trump has spent the past two days in hiding , letting his idiot son Eric do his bidding for him .
But Trump has a fairly consistent pattern of waiting to take action until it ’ s too late to matter anyway @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is suddenly holding an emergency press conference at the White House , scheduled for 6:30pm eastern time .
Nice try .
Whatever Trump says or does during this press conference , it ’ s not going to change the outcome of the election at all .
He ’ ll likely spout conspiracy theories , declare himself the winner , and lay out imaginary strategies for magically winning the election – but it won ’ t matter .
All that Trump can do is hurt himself during this press conference if his behavior is @ @ @

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Joe Biden is now within 78,000 votes in Pennsylvania and closing fast. The remaining math suggests that Biden will end up winning the state easily. We suspect that once Biden pulls ahead in Pennsylvania, the major networks may call the state for him – which would make Biden the winner of the election.
Donald Trump has spent the past two days in hiding, letting his idiot son Eric do his bidding for him. But Trump has a fairly consistent pattern of waiting to take action until it’s too late to matter anyway, and sure enough, now Trump is suddenly holding an emergency press conference at the White House, scheduled for 6:30pm eastern time. Nice try.
Whatever Trump says or does during this press conference, it’s not going to change the outcome of the election at all. He’ll likely spout conspiracy theories, declare himself the winner, and lay out imaginary strategies for magically winning the election – but it won’t matter. All that Trump can do is hurt himself during this press conference if his behavior is particularly unhinged.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Get your popcorn: Donald Trump Jr is holding a press conference

Over the past two days Donald Trump has remained out of public view and only posted a few ill-fated tweets @ @ @ @ @ election process .
Instead he ’ s been having Eric Trump do his bidding , @ @ @ @ @ , because , well , he ’ s Eric Trump .
If you ’ ve @ @ @ @ @ Jr has been during this process , he ’ s been filling his Twitter page @ @ @ @ @ theories , we ’ ve been left to wonder if perhaps he was wearing an @ @ @ @ @ any case , now Donald Trump Jr has announced that he ’ ll be holding @ @ @ @ @ Collins and a few other Trump lackeys in Atlanta at 6pm eastern time today .
@ @ @ @ @ we ’ re now just thirty minutes from watching Trump Junior have a complete meltdown @ @ @ @ @ .
Get your popcorn ready .

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Over the past two days Donald Trump has remained out of public view and only posted a few ill-fated tweets, largely sitting out the election process. Instead he’s been having Eric Trump do his bidding, which strikes us as strange, because, well, he’s Eric Trump.
If you’ve been wondering where Donald Trump Jr has been during this process, he’s been filling his Twitter page with so many wild conspiracy theories, we’ve been left to wonder if perhaps he was wearing an actual tinfoil hat.
In any case, now Donald Trump Jr has announced that he’ll be holding a press conference with Doug Collins and a few other Trump lackeys in Atlanta at 6pm eastern time today. That’s right, we’re now just thirty minutes from watching Trump Junior have a complete meltdown in front of the cameras. Get your popcorn ready.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Joe Biden pulls even closer to winning Pennsylvania

Since yesterday it ’ s been fairly clear to us here at Palmer Report that Joe Biden would end up @ @ @ @ @ question was how quickly he would close the gap , and thus how quickly the @ @ @ @ @ Biden ’ s favor .
When today began , Biden was behind in Pennsylvania by @ @ @ @ @ votes .
But that number has continued to drop throughout the day , as mail-in @ @ @ @ @ the state .
As of now , Biden is within 90,000 votes in Pennsylvania .
@ @ @ @ @ , and this is all without the big chunk in Philadelphia having come in yet @ @ @ @ @ odds seem pretty decent that the major news outlets could call Pennsylvania for Joe Biden @ @ @ @ @ .
This would put Biden over 270 electoral votes , meaning they ’ d be @ @ @ @ @ the presidential election .
Buckle up for a potentially big night .

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Since yesterday it’s been fairly clear to us here at Palmer Report that Joe Biden would end up winning Pennsylvania. The only question was how quickly he would close the gap, and thus how quickly the state would be called in Biden’s favor.
When today began, Biden was behind in Pennsylvania by more than half a million votes. But that number has continued to drop throughout the day, as mail-in votes have been counted around the state. As of now, Biden is within 90,000 votes in Pennsylvania. The number keeps closing fast, and this is all without the big chunk in Philadelphia having come in yet.
At this rate the odds seem pretty decent that the major news outlets could call Pennsylvania for Joe Biden by the end of tonight. This would put Biden over 270 electoral votes, meaning they’d be declaring him the winner of the presidential election. Buckle up for a potentially big night.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Donald Trump is afraid the election will be called for Joe Biden tonight

All eyes are on Pennsylvania right now , because it alone would give Joe Biden enough electoral votes to be declared the winner of the election .
One oddity of this election is that Fox News and the Associated Press called Arizona a long time ago , even as CNN and MSNBC haven ’ t , suggesting that Fox and the AP might be more inclined to call Pennsylvania sooner as well .
It turns out we ’ re not the only ones who have been wondering about this scenario .
Jonathan Swan of Axios is now reporting that Donald @ @ @ @ @ @ @ anxious right now ” about the possibility that Fox News could call Pennsylvania for Biden tonight .
Our hunch is that the major news networks will all look at calling Pennsylvania for Joe Biden as soon as he takes the lead in the counting ; once he takes the lead in the state , there ’ s no chance he ’ ll give it up .
It ’ s notable that Donald Trump seems to be obsessed in particular with the prospect of Fox News calling the election .
Perhaps in his mind @ @ @ @ @ @ @ vote counting conspiracy theories and refuse to declare Biden the winner .
But as Palmer Report explained coming into all of this , Fox likely doesn ’ t want that kind of egg on its face .

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All eyes are on Pennsylvania right now, because it alone would give Joe Biden enough electoral votes to be declared the winner of the election. One oddity of this election is that Fox News and the Associated Press called Arizona a long time ago, even as CNN and MSNBC haven’t, suggesting that Fox and the AP might be more inclined to call Pennsylvania sooner as well.
It turns out we’re not the only ones who have been wondering about this scenario. Jonathan Swan of Axios is now reporting that Donald Trump and his people are “very anxious right now” about the possibility that Fox News could call Pennsylvania for Biden tonight.
Our hunch is that the major news networks will all look at calling Pennsylvania for Joe Biden as soon as he takes the lead in the counting; once he takes the lead in the state, there’s no chance he’ll give it up.
It’s notable that Donald Trump seems to be obsessed in particular with the prospect of Fox News calling the election. Perhaps in his mind he expected Fox to run with his vote counting conspiracy theories and refuse to declare Biden the winner. But as Palmer Report explained coming into all of this, Fox likely doesn’t want that kind of egg on its face.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Eric Trump totally freaks out as Donald Trump’s allies hang him out to dry

For reasons known only to him , Donald Trump has largely gone quiet these past two days , and instead @ @ @ @ @ Trump of all people run point when it comes to his election messaging .
Let @ @ @ @ @ keeps getting worse for the Trump family .
Here ’ s what Eric Trump tweeted @ @ @ @ @ is the GOP ?
!
Our voters will never forget… ” Let ’ s parse @ @ @ @ @ seen relatively few Republican leaders offer any public credence to Donald Trump ’ s false @ @ @ @ @ vote counting conspiracy theories .
Now Eric Trump is lashing out at those GOP voices @ @ @ @ @ quiet while Donald Trump has circled the drain over the past few days , and @ @ @ @ @ the GOP down with him .
This raises questions as to why Donald Trump weakly @ @ @ @ @ there making these kinds of threats , even as he hides inside a barricaded White @ @ @ @ @ s very clear that Eric Trump now expects his father to lose .

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For reasons known only to him, Donald Trump has largely gone quiet these past two days, and instead he’s letting Eric Trump of all people run point when it comes to his election messaging. Let’s just say it keeps getting worse for the Trump family.
Here’s what Eric Trump tweeted just now: “Where is the GOP?! Our voters will never forget…” Let’s parse this. We’ve seen relatively few Republican leaders offer any public credence to Donald Trump’s false declaration of victory and phony vote counting conspiracy theories.
Now Eric Trump is lashing out at those GOP voices who have opted to keep quiet while Donald Trump has circled the drain over the past few days, and Eric is threatening to take the GOP down with him.
This raises questions as to why Donald Trump weakly has his idiot son out there making these kinds of threats, even as he hides inside a barricaded White House. But it’s very clear that Eric Trump now expects his father to lose.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Pennsylvania is closing fast for Joe Biden

When the day started , Joe Biden was behind by about six hundred thousand votes in Pennsylvania .
But we @ @ @ @ @ day went on , more of the mail-in ballots would be counted , and that @ @ @ @ @ gap .
As of a few minutes ago , Joe Biden is now just 98,000 @ @ @ @ @ Pennsylvania .
There are far more than enough votes still to be counted to make @ @ @ @ @ , importantly , the mail-in ballots have been coming in at a far more Biden-friendly @ @ @ @ @ order to close the gap .
The remaining math suggests that Joe Biden could end @ @ @ @ @ votes or more .
At this point it seems more of a question of when @ @ @ @ @ the news outlets call Pennsylvania for Biden and name him the winner of the presidential @ @ @ @ @ hinting that the announcement could come before the day is over .

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When the day started, Joe Biden was behind by about six hundred thousand votes in Pennsylvania. But we all knew that as the day went on, more of the mail-in ballots would be counted, and that Biden would significantly close the gap.
As of a few minutes ago, Joe Biden is now just 98,000 votes behind Donald Trump in Pennsylvania. There are far more than enough votes still to be counted to make up the difference. And, importantly, the mail-in ballots have been coming in at a far more Biden-friendly ratio than he needs in order to close the gap.
The remaining math suggests that Joe Biden could end up winning Pennsylvania by 100,000 votes or more. At this point it seems more of a question of when, and not if, the news outlets call Pennsylvania for Biden and name him the winner of the presidential election. CNN has been hinting that the announcement could come before the day is over.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--The real reason Donald Trump’s Secretary of Defense Mark Esper is preparing to resign

Donald Trump ’ s Secretary of Defense Mark Esper has prepared his letter of resignation , according to NBC News .
This isn ’ t really news in and of itself ; cabinet members traditionally write letters of resignation at the end of a president ’ s first term , so the president can decide which ones to accept .
What ’ s newsworthy is that this news is leaking right now .
To be clear , something like this does not leak by happenstance .
It ’ s not as if Esper ’ s letter of resignation flew off @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on a reporter ’ s desk .
There are two only possibilities here .
The first is that Mark Esper leaked this himself , because he believes that Donald Trump is about to lose , and he ’ s trying to get it on the record ( at the last minute ) that he ’ s had enough of Trump ’ s crap .
The second possibility is that Donald Trump himself has leaked this .
It ’ s been widely reported that Trump has been looking to get rid of Mark Esper @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s perhaps just hours from being named the loser of the election , he could be leaking this about Esper just to take out his frustrations about losing .
Either way , we ’ ve now reached the “ Secretary of Defense Mark Esper just leaked that he ’ s written his letter of resignation ” stage of Donald Trump ’ s election loss .

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Donald Trump’s Secretary of Defense Mark Esper has prepared his letter of resignation, according to NBC News. This isn’t really news in and of itself; cabinet members traditionally write letters of resignation at the end of a president’s first term, so the president can decide which ones to accept. What’s newsworthy is that this news is leaking right now.
To be clear, something like this does not leak by happenstance. It’s not as if Esper’s letter of resignation flew off his desk and just happened to land on a reporter’s desk. There are two only possibilities here.
The first is that Mark Esper leaked this himself, because he believes that Donald Trump is about to lose, and he’s trying to get it on the record (at the last minute) that he’s had enough of Trump’s crap.
The second possibility is that Donald Trump himself has leaked this. It’s been widely reported that Trump has been looking to get rid of Mark Esper. Now that Trump sees he’s perhaps just hours from being named the loser of the election, he could be leaking this about Esper just to take out his frustrations about losing.
Either way, we’ve now reached the “Secretary of Defense Mark Esper just leaked that he’s written his letter of resignation” stage of Donald Trump’s election loss.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--CNN hints at potentially declaring the election winner today

The remaining math says that Joe Biden is almost definitely going to win Pennsylvania .
Now the Pennsylvania Secretary of State has announced that the vote counting in the state could be largely done today .
This is a big deal , because if and when the major news outlets call Pennsylvania for Joe Biden , it ’ ll put him over 270 regardless of any other states , and they ’ ll be declaring him the next President of the United States .
CNN in particular is now hinting at this possibility .
In the past hour alone , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that the winner of the election could be named by the end of the day .
They know we ’ re all tired and fatigued , and I can ’ t imagine CNN would hype this scenario unless it ’ s something that ’ s realistic .
So when exactly will they call the election ?
That ’ s up to each news outlet .
I think the math basically proves Joe Biden is going to win Pennsylvania , but the news outlets have to consider the impact on the nation of making @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to guess , I suspect the news outlets will wait until Biden takes the lead in Pennsylvania and then call it .
Once Biden pulls ahead in the state , he ’ s obviously going to stay there .
So we ’ ll see .

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The remaining math says that Joe Biden is almost definitely going to win Pennsylvania. Now the Pennsylvania Secretary of State has announced that the vote counting in the state could be largely done today.
This is a big deal, because if and when the major news outlets call Pennsylvania for Joe Biden, it’ll put him over 270 regardless of any other states, and they’ll be declaring him the next President of the United States.
CNN in particular is now hinting at this possibility. In the past hour alone, two of its on-air personalities have suggested that the winner of the election could be named by the end of the day. They know we’re all tired and fatigued, and I can’t imagine CNN would hype this scenario unless it’s something that’s realistic.
So when exactly will they call the election? That’s up to each news outlet. I think the math basically proves Joe Biden is going to win Pennsylvania, but the news outlets have to consider the impact on the nation of making such a call.
If I had to guess, I suspect the news outlets will wait until Biden takes the lead in Pennsylvania and then call it. Once Biden pulls ahead in the state, he’s obviously going to stay there. So we’ll see.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Donald Trump gets desperate

Donald Trump gets desperate

Donald Trump ’ s court challenges are failing .
No surprise .
Never had a chance .
Now Trump is going to move on to even more desperate ideas that have even less chance of working .
He ’ ll leak these doomsday strategies , in the hope that the media will start trying to scare us into staying tuned in by hyping them .
But remember : there are no magic wands .
“ But Trump will magically have the state legislatures… ” Nope .
“ But Trump will magically have the electors… ” Nope .
“ But the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ still no magic wands .
This isn ’ t going to be a particularly close race .
Biden will win Michigan and Pennsylvania by six figures , Wisconsin by five figures .
That ’ s 270 electoral votes right there .
No magic wand will circumvent a victory that wide .
As I said before the vote counting started , Trump ’ s only chance of successful shenanigans would be if the deciding state came down to something like a few hundred votes , which was the case in 2000 .
But that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ case in this election .

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Donald Trump’s court challenges are failing. No surprise. Never had a chance. Now Trump is going to move on to even more desperate ideas that have even less chance of working. He’ll leak these doomsday strategies, in the hope that the media will start trying to scare us into staying tuned in by hyping them. But remember: there are no magic wands.
“But Trump will magically have the state legislatures…” Nope. “But Trump will magically have the electors…” Nope. “But the Supreme Court…” Nope. There are still no magic wands.
This isn’t going to be a particularly close race. Biden will win Michigan and Pennsylvania by six figures, Wisconsin by five figures. That’s 270 electoral votes right there. No magic wand will circumvent a victory that wide.
As I said before the vote counting started, Trump’s only chance of successful shenanigans would be if the deciding state came down to something like a few hundred votes, which was the case in 2000. But that’s not going to be the case in this election.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Pennsylvania math points toward Joe Biden

Joe Biden is now within 109,000 votes in Pennsylvania , and CNN now believes there are still about 370,000 outstanding @ @ @ @ @ the percentage of votes that Biden needs to win is in the mid-sixties .
Biden @ @ @ @ @ higher percentage than that thus far , meaning he ’ s on track to win @ @ @ @ @ Cohn of the New York Times tweeted this : “ For Trump to win Pennsylvania @ @ @ @ @ would have to be very , very wrong about how many mail ballots aren ’ @ @ @ @ @ results tally.
” In other words the math in Pennsylvania points to Joe Biden .
@ @ @ @ @ in counting the mail-in votes in Allegheny County , there ’ s a decent chance @ @ @ @ @ call Pennsylvania for Biden at some point today .
Stay tuned .

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Joe Biden is now within 109,000 votes in Pennsylvania, and CNN now believes there are still about 370,000 outstanding mail-in votes. That means the percentage of votes that Biden needs to win is in the mid-sixties. Biden has been getting a far higher percentage than that thus far, meaning he’s on track to win Pennsylvania fairly easily.
Nate Cohn of the New York Times tweeted this: “For Trump to win Pennsylvania, the Secretary of State would have to be very, very wrong about how many mail ballots aren’t included in the current results tally.”
In other words the math in Pennsylvania points to Joe Biden. Even with the one-day delay in counting the mail-in votes in Allegheny County, there’s a decent chance the major news outlets will call Pennsylvania for Biden at some point today. Stay tuned.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Nevada looking great for Joe Biden

Nevada looking great for Joe Biden

We keep watching Joe Biden close the gap in Pennsylvania and Georgia , even as Arizona continues to be slow @ @ @ @ @ finally starting to post results , and let ’ s just say that they look @ @ @ @ @ Ralston of the Nevada Independent is widely respected when it comes to examining and predicting @ @ @ @ @ the latest batch of data came in , Ralston tweeted this : “ Biden is @ @ @ @ @ in NV .
Dems are going to win these mail ballots coming in from Election @ @ @ @ @ .
And they should win them decisively .
That leaves 60K provisionals , which have @ @ @ @ @ see no path left for Trump here.
” In other words , Joe Biden is @ @ @ @ @ .
Meanwhile Biden is now within 114,000 votes in Pennsylvania , where we expect Biden @ @ @ @ @ margin .
Biden is within 14,000 votes in Georgia , which should end up being @ @ @

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We keep watching Joe Biden close the gap in Pennsylvania and Georgia, even as Arizona continues to be slow going. But Nevada is finally starting to post results, and let’s just say that they look great for Biden.
Jon Ralston of the Nevada Independent is widely respected when it comes to examining and predicting elections in Nevada. After the latest batch of data came in, Ralston tweeted this: “Biden is up by 11.4K right now in NV. Dems are going to win these mail ballots coming in from Election Day and yesterday — 63K. And they should win them decisively. That leaves 60K provisionals, which have been evenly split. I see no path left for Trump here.”
In other words, Joe Biden is very likely to win Nevada. Meanwhile Biden is now within 114,000 votes in Pennsylvania, where we expect Biden to win by a sizable margin. Biden is within 14,000 votes in Georgia, which should end up being razor thin.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Twitter cracks down on Donald Trump

Twitter cracks down on Donald Trump

Twitter promised us that if Donald Trump started trying to falsely declare victory or spread lies about the state of @ @ @ @ @ crack down on him .
Sure enough , that ’ s happening – and at @ @ @ @ @ getting embarrassing for him .
Twitter has plastered over several of Trump ’ s false @ @ @ @ @ days , such as the ones where he ’ s falsely claimed victory or made @ @ @ @ @ ballot counting .
Twitter has been doing a surprisingly good job of this , which @ @ @ @ @ been tweeting less than usual ; half his tweets are getting cracked down on anyway @ @ @ @ @ Donald Trump tweeted “ STOP THE FRAUD !
” In response , Twitter covered it @ @ @ @ @ label that said “ Some or all of the content shared in this Tweet is @ @ @ @ @ about an election or other civic process.
” It looks like Twitter stopped the fraud @ @ @ @

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Twitter promised us that if Donald Trump started trying to falsely declare victory or spread lies about the state of the election, it would crack down on him. Sure enough, that’s happening – and at this point it’s getting embarrassing for him.
Twitter has plastered over several of Trump’s false tweets over the past two days, such as the ones where he’s falsely claimed victory or made up phony conspiracy theories about ballot counting. Twitter has been doing a surprisingly good job of this, which might explain why Trump has been tweeting less than usual; half his tweets are getting cracked down on anyway.
The kicker came when Donald Trump tweeted “STOP THE FRAUD!” In response, Twitter covered it up with with a warning label that said “Some or all of the content shared in this Tweet is disputed and might be misleading about an election or other civic process.” It looks like Twitter stopped the fraud known as Trump.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Joe Biden’s lead just increased in Nevada

We ’ ve been seemingly waiting forever to get the last of the votes out of Nevada , where Joe @ @ @ @ @ lead , but not by enough to call the state for him .
Now we @ @ @ @ @ votes out of Nevada , and they ’ re good for Biden .
Joe Biden @ @ @ @ @ lead in Nevada had now grown to 12,000 votes as of a few minutes ago @ @ @ @ @ the Biden-friendly Clark County .
But the point is that he clearly did very well @ @ @ @ @ It doesn ’ t look like any major media outlets are ready to call Nevada @ @ @ @ @ but it appears he ’ ll likely win there .
Keep in mind that if @ @ @ @ @ in Pennsylvania , he doesn ’ t need Nevada , Arizona , or Georgia to @ @ @ @

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We’ve been seemingly waiting forever to get the last of the votes out of Nevada, where Joe Biden has been in the lead, but not by enough to call the state for him. Now we’re getting some additional votes out of Nevada, and they’re good for Biden.
Joe Biden’s longstanding 8,000 vote lead in Nevada had now grown to 12,000 votes as of a few minutes ago. Those votes came from the Biden-friendly Clark County. But the point is that he clearly did very well with those remaining votes.
It doesn’t look like any major media outlets are ready to call Nevada for Joe Biden yet, but it appears he’ll likely win there. Keep in mind that if Biden is declared the winner in Pennsylvania, he doesn’t need Nevada, Arizona, or Georgia to get to 270.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Pennsylvania and Georgia are SO CLOSE to flipping for Joe Biden

The mail-in ballots keep being counted in the remaining uncalled states , and Joe Biden keeps closing the gap in @ @ @ @ @ latest round of updates puts them tantalizingly close to flipping .
Joe Biden is now @ @ @ @ @ in Pennsylvania , with a ton of Biden-friendly votes remaining to be counted .
The @ @ @ @ @ media that it expects to win Pennsylvania by a significant margin once it ’ s @ @ @ @ @ We suspect the media might call Pennsylvania for Biden once he pulls ahead .
Biden @ @ @ @ @ 15,000 votes in Georgia , with relatively few votes remaining .
Georgia will be close @ @ @ @ @ if Biden wins Pennsylvania , he doesn ’ t need Georgia , Nevada , or @ @ @ @ @ .
The minute Biden is named the winner in Pennsylvania , he ’ s the @ @ @

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The mail-in ballots keep being counted in the remaining uncalled states, and Joe Biden keeps closing the gap in Pennsylvania and Georgia. The latest round of updates puts them tantalizingly close to flipping.
Joe Biden is now behind by just 116,000 votes in Pennsylvania, with a ton of Biden-friendly votes remaining to be counted. The Biden campaign is telling the media that it expects to win Pennsylvania by a significant margin once it’s all said and done. We suspect the media might call Pennsylvania for Biden once he pulls ahead.
Biden is now behind by just 15,000 votes in Georgia, with relatively few votes remaining. Georgia will be close. Keep in mind that if Biden wins Pennsylvania, he doesn’t need Georgia, Nevada, or Arizona to get to 270. The minute Biden is named the winner in Pennsylvania, he’s the election winner.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Joe Biden now expects to win Pennsylvania by a “sizable margin”

Our math here at Palmer Report suggests that Joe Biden is very likely to win Pennsylvania .
Various experts agree @ @ @ @ @ some of them have predicted that Pennsylvania won ’ t even be razor thin by @ @ @ @ @ finished .
Now the Joe Biden campaign is telling CNN that it expects to win @ @ @ @ @ margin.
” It ’ s not clear what that means in terms of precise numbers @ @ @ @ @ going to take that as a sign that Biden expects to win the state by @ @ @ @ @ .
Meanwhile Donald Trump keeps posting frantic tweets insisting that the remaining votes will not @ @ @ @ @ keeps plastering over his tweets with warning labels about how they ’ re misleading .

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Our math here at Palmer Report suggests that Joe Biden is very likely to win Pennsylvania. Various experts agree with our assessment, and some of them have predicted that Pennsylvania won’t even be razor thin by the time it’s finished.
Now the Joe Biden campaign is telling CNN that it expects to win Pennsylvania by a “sizable margin.” It’s not clear what that means in terms of precise numbers, but we’re going to take that as a sign that Biden expects to win the state by something outside of recount range.
Meanwhile Donald Trump keeps posting frantic tweets insisting that the remaining votes will not be counted, but Twitter keeps plastering over his tweets with warning labels about how they’re misleading.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Eric Trump melts down as it all goes wrong for Donald Trump

With Donald Trump now reduced to posting all-caps tweets that Twitter keeps plastering over with warning labels , and Donald Trump Jr lost in such a haze of conspiracy theories that he might actually be wearing a tinfoil hat at this point , Eric Trump has somehow inherited the job of delivering the Trump 2020 campaign ’ s message .
As you ’ d might expect , it isn ’ t going particularly well .
Yesterday Eric Trump held a press conference and sounded confused , conspiratorial , and scared .
Today , Eric has found himself posting this tweet @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ FBI & @ TheJusticeDept ?
# StopTheSteal ” It ’ s not clear why Eric Trump felt compelled to censor the word “ hell ” in his tweet.
” Or maybe he censored the word “ heck ” – we never have been able to understand how his pea brain operates .
In any case , the upshot is that Eric Trump is melting down about the unwillingness of the FBI and DOJ to try to forcibly get involved in the vote counting process , when realistically that ’ s not something @ @ @ @ @ @ @

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With Donald Trump now reduced to posting all-caps tweets that Twitter keeps plastering over with warning labels, and Donald Trump Jr lost in such a haze of conspiracy theories that he might actually be wearing a tinfoil hat at this point, Eric Trump has somehow inherited the job of delivering the Trump 2020 campaign’s message.
As you’d might expect, it isn’t going particularly well. Yesterday Eric Trump held a press conference and sounded confused, conspiratorial, and scared. Today, Eric has found himself posting this tweet: “Where is he** is the @FBI & @TheJusticeDept? #StopTheSteal”
It’s not clear why Eric Trump felt compelled to censor the word “hell” in his tweet.” Or maybe he censored the word “heck” – we never have been able to understand how his pea brain operates.
In any case, the upshot is that Eric Trump is melting down about the unwillingness of the FBI and DOJ to try to forcibly get involved in the vote counting process, when realistically that’s not something that was ever going to happen.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--The waiting is the hardest part

The waiting is the hardest part

Right now we ’ re waiting for updated vote counts that could reveal the winner in Pennsylvania , Georgia , Nevada , and – if you ’ re siding with the news outlets that haven ’ t called it yet – Arizona .
We think Joe Biden has the edge in all four states , to varying degrees , but we ’ ll have to wait for the numbers .
In the meantime : – On election night in 2018 , I remember thinking we ’ d never compete in Georgia again , due to the governor ’ s antics @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Stacey Abrams has done , Georgia is back in play .
Not sure if we ’ ll win there or not , but huge credit to Stacey for fixing her state .
– I don ’ t want to be overly presumptive , but I don ’ t think Kanye West is going to win .
– We are now 0.03 % away from a runoff in Georgia between Perdue and Ossoff .
Right now our shot at winning the Senate majority literally comes down to 0.03 % of the vote in one @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Donald Trump tweeted “ ANY VOTE THAT CAME IN AFTER ELECTION DAY WILL NOT BE COUNTED ” and Twitter immediately plastered over it with a warning label about it being misleading .
Guess it ’ s Trump ’ s tweet that won ’ t be counted .

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Right now we’re waiting for updated vote counts that could reveal the winner in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and – if you’re siding with the news outlets that haven’t called it yet – Arizona. We think Joe Biden has the edge in all four states, to varying degrees, but we’ll have to wait for the numbers. In the meantime:
– On election night in 2018, I remember thinking we’d never compete in Georgia again, due to the governor’s antics. But thanks to the work that Stacey Abrams has done, Georgia is back in play. Not sure if we’ll win there or not, but huge credit to Stacey for fixing her state.
– I don’t want to be overly presumptive, but I don’t think Kanye West is going to win.
– We are now 0.03% away from a runoff in Georgia between Perdue and Ossoff. Right now our shot at winning the Senate majority literally comes down to 0.03% of the vote in one state. Every vote counts.
– Donald Trump tweeted “ANY VOTE THAT CAME IN AFTER ELECTION DAY WILL NOT BE COUNTED” and Twitter immediately plastered over it with a warning label about it being misleading. Guess it’s Trump’s tweet that won’t be counted.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Donald Trump howls in agony as it all goes wrong for him

After a full day of not appearing in public , and half a day of not even bothering to tweet anything , Donald Trump is now trying to make up for it by going totally overboard with his posturing .
An hour ago Trump tweeted “ STOP THE COUNT !
” This merely elicited eye rolling among observers , because if the vote counting were stopped nationwide right now , Joe Biden would actually win the Electoral College , thanks to Arizona and Nevada .
Now Trump has posted this particularly surreal tweet : “ ANY VOTE THAT CAME IN @ @ @ @ @ @ @ !
” To be clear , this is nothing more than a delusional fantasy on Trump ’ s part .
There is nothing that is going to magically cause millions of votes not to be counted .
At this point Donald Trump is just howling in agony as the election continues to trend against him .
We expect major news outlets will call Pennsylvania for Joe Biden by the end of the day , which will give him 273 electoral votes and make him the winner .
Trump seems to know the writing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 10:22am : Twitter has now plastered over Trump ’ s tweet with a warning label about it being misleading .

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After a full day of not appearing in public, and half a day of not even bothering to tweet anything, Donald Trump is now trying to make up for it by going totally overboard with his posturing.
An hour ago Trump tweeted “STOP THE COUNT!” This merely elicited eye rolling among observers, because if the vote counting were stopped nationwide right now, Joe Biden would actually win the Electoral College, thanks to Arizona and Nevada.
Now Trump has posted this particularly surreal tweet: “ANY VOTE THAT CAME IN AFTER ELECTION DAY WILL NOT BE COUNTED!” To be clear, this is nothing more than a delusional fantasy on Trump’s part. There is nothing that is going to magically cause millions of votes not to be counted.
At this point Donald Trump is just howling in agony as the election continues to trend against him. We expect major news outlets will call Pennsylvania for Joe Biden by the end of the day, which will give him 273 electoral votes and make him the winner. Trump seems to know the writing is on the wall. Update, 10:22am: Twitter has now plastered over Trump’s tweet with a warning label about it being misleading.
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palmerreport--2020-11-05--Donald Trump goes bonkers

Donald Trump goes bonkers

Earlier this morning we mused that Donald Trump had gone awfully quiet ; it had been thirty hours since he ’ d been seen or heard in public , and thirteen hours since he ’ d even tweeted anything .
Now Trump has posted one bonkers all-caps tweet , which makes clear just how desperate and confused he is about how everything is collapsing for him .
Trump simply tweeted this : “ STOP THE COUNT !
” He appears to be talking about Pennsylvania and Georgia , where Joe Biden continues to close the gap as the mail-in ballots @ @ @ @ @ @ @ counting ceased right now across the nation , Biden would win Arizona and Nevada , thus putting him over the top .
In other words , Donald Trump just demanded something that would cause him to lose the election if it happened .
Like we said , bonkers .
But this tends to happen when things are falling apart for someone .
Trump needs the counting to stop in two states in order to survive them , but he needs it to continue in two other states in order to have any chance @ @ @ @ @ @ @ t even know what he ’ s asking for at this point .
He ’ s not just groveling , he ’ s groveling incoherently .

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Earlier this morning we mused that Donald Trump had gone awfully quiet; it had been thirty hours since he’d been seen or heard in public, and thirteen hours since he’d even tweeted anything. Now Trump has posted one bonkers all-caps tweet, which makes clear just how desperate and confused he is about how everything is collapsing for him.
Trump simply tweeted this: “STOP THE COUNT!” He appears to be talking about Pennsylvania and Georgia, where Joe Biden continues to close the gap as the mail-in ballots are finally counted. But if all counting ceased right now across the nation, Biden would win Arizona and Nevada, thus putting him over the top.
In other words, Donald Trump just demanded something that would cause him to lose the election if it happened. Like we said, bonkers. But this tends to happen when things are falling apart for someone. Trump needs the counting to stop in two states in order to survive them, but he needs it to continue in two other states in order to have any chance at all, so he doesn’t even know what he’s asking for at this point. He’s not just groveling, he’s groveling incoherently.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Joe Biden has TAKEN THE LEAD in Georgia

Joe Biden has TAKEN THE LEAD in Georgia

To give you an idea of what a journey Georgia has been in this election , at one point on @ @ @ @ @ Times election needle said that Donald Trump had an 84 % chance of winning the @ @ @ @ @ days have dragged on and mail-in ballots have finally been counted , we ’ ve @ @ @ @ @ back in Georgia , setting up a nail biter .
Now Joe Biden has finally @ @ @ @ @ in Georgia by 914 votes .
There is every mathematical reason to expect Biden to @ @ @ @ @ win the state .
But based on how close it could end up being , @ @ @ @ @ to wait until more straggler votes come in before calling the state .
In any @ @ @ @ @ s victory in Georgia merely gives him 269 electoral college votes .
He needs 270 @ @ @ @ @ So even if Georgia is called for him , he ’ ll need to win @ @ @ @

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To give you an idea of what a journey Georgia has been in this election, at one point on Tuesday night the New York Times election needle said that Donald Trump had an 84% chance of winning the state. But as the days have dragged on and mail-in ballots have finally been counted, we’ve seen Biden claw his way back in Georgia, setting up a nail biter.
Now Joe Biden has finally pulled ahead of Donald Trump in Georgia by 914 votes. There is every mathematical reason to expect Biden to remain in the lead and win the state. But based on how close it could end up being, major news outlets could decide to wait until more straggler votes come in before calling the state.
In any case, Joe Biden’s victory in Georgia merely gives him 269 electoral college votes. He needs 270 to win the presidency. So even if Georgia is called for him, he’ll need to win one additional state.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--The end of Donald Trump

The end of Donald Trump

– Donald Trump illegally shut down the Post Office just to block people from being able to vote against him @ @ @ @ @ still going to lose by seven million votes .
He got blown out .
This @ @ @ @ @ Trump and Trumpism .
Any pundit claiming otherwise is full of it .
– We @ @ @ @ @ from the first woman Vice President .
– Joe Biden ’ s acceptance speech is @ @ @ @ @ come with me if you want to live.
” – If you ’ re hating @ @ @ @ @ night to hear that Donald Trump has lost , imagine how much Donald Trump is @ @ @ @ @ all night to hear that he ’ s lost .
– I told you all @ @ @ @ @ s evil plan for stealing the election was faulty and stupid and inept and wasn @ @ @ @ @ .
The evidence always overwhelmingly pointed to this outcome .
It wasn ’ t optimism @ @ @ @ @ was simply the most likely outcome .

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– Donald Trump illegally shut down the Post Office just to block people from being able to vote against him, and he’s still going to lose by seven million votes. He got blown out. This was a historic rejection of Trump and Trumpism. Any pundit claiming otherwise is full of it.
– We’re now hours away from the first woman Vice President.
– Joe Biden’s acceptance speech is just going to be “come with me if you want to live.”
– If you’re hating having to wait up all night to hear that Donald Trump has lost, imagine how much Donald Trump is hating having to wait up all night to hear that he’s lost.
– I told you all along that Donald Trump’s evil plan for stealing the election was faulty and stupid and inept and wasn’t going to work. The evidence always overwhelmingly pointed to this outcome. It wasn’t optimism on my part; it was simply the most likely outcome.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Here’s what we’re looking at tonight

Here’s what we’re looking at tonight

It ’ s 3:30 in the morning on the east coast .
If you ’ re still awake , it ’ s either because you ’ re involved in the vote counting and reporting , or you ’ re sitting at home and rooting for Donald Trump to lose , or you ’ re Donald Trump and you ’ re ranting on Twitter about why you ’ re losing .
But seriously , what exactly are we staying up for ?
There are two things in play .
One is that Joe Biden is now just 665 votes away from @ @ @ @ @ @ @ could pull ahead at any moment .
While this would only get Biden to 269 electoral votes and not enough to clinch the presidency , it ’ s nonetheless a historic sign of progress in Georgia .
The other thing we ’ re waiting up for is that Joe Biden has now closed to within 18,000 votes in Pennsylvania .
The remaining math says that Biden will end up easily winning Pennsylvania .
It ’ s just a matter of when the numbers come in and put him ahead in the state .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ call Pennsylvania for Biden , which would mean they ’ d be calling the presidency for Biden .
So right now we ’ re looking at the possibility of Joe Biden winning the presidency before sunrise , if Pennsylvania is called .
Various on-air pundits have hinted that new numbers could come in from Philadelphia in the 4:00am hour .
So we ’ ll keep waiting up .

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It’s 3:30 in the morning on the east coast. If you’re still awake, it’s either because you’re involved in the vote counting and reporting, or you’re sitting at home and rooting for Donald Trump to lose, or you’re Donald Trump and you’re ranting on Twitter about why you’re losing. But seriously, what exactly are we staying up for?
There are two things in play. One is that Joe Biden is now just 665 votes away from pulling ahead in Georgia, and he could pull ahead at any moment. While this would only get Biden to 269 electoral votes and not enough to clinch the presidency, it’s nonetheless a historic sign of progress in Georgia.
The other thing we’re waiting up for is that Joe Biden has now closed to within 18,000 votes in Pennsylvania. The remaining math says that Biden will end up easily winning Pennsylvania. It’s just a matter of when the numbers come in and put him ahead in the state. At that point the news outlets could call Pennsylvania for Biden, which would mean they’d be calling the presidency for Biden.
So right now we’re looking at the possibility of Joe Biden winning the presidency before sunrise, if Pennsylvania is called. Various on-air pundits have hinted that new numbers could come in from Philadelphia in the 4:00am hour. So we’ll keep waiting up.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Secret Service shift tonight potentially points to imminent Joe Biden victory

It ’ s a waiting game tonight .
Joe Biden has closed within 22,000 votes in Pennsylvania , and it ’ s now a matter of when and not if the media will call the state for him .
When that happens , Biden will be over 270 electoral votes and will be declared the winner of the election .
It ’ s just a matter of time .
Not everyone is still waiting .
The Washington Post is reporting that as of half an hour ago , the Secret Service is “ sending reinforcements ” to Joe Biden ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ could be declared the winner of the election .
Lawrence O ’ Donnell reacted to the news by tweeting this : “ Secret Service sends in more agents when they know there is a winner .
They never did this for John Kerry or Mitt Romney .
The agents added to Biden ’ s security detail are the ones who will walk him into the Oval Office.
” He ’ s correct .
This isn ’ t the kind of thing the Secret Service does – particularly while short handed during a pandemic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Biden could win .
The agency has pretty clearly concluded that Biden will be named the winner within hours .
Meanwhile MSNBC is hinting that it could all go down at around 4:00am eastern time .

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It’s a waiting game tonight. Joe Biden has closed within 22,000 votes in Pennsylvania, and it’s now a matter of when and not if the media will call the state for him. When that happens, Biden will be over 270 electoral votes and will be declared the winner of the election. It’s just a matter of time. Not everyone is still waiting.
The Washington Post is reporting that as of half an hour ago, the Secret Service is “sending reinforcements” to Joe Biden’s house under the expectation that he could be declared the winner of the election.
Lawrence O’Donnell reacted to the news by tweeting this: “Secret Service sends in more agents when they know there is a winner. They never did this for John Kerry or Mitt Romney. The agents added to Biden’s security detail are the ones who will walk him into the Oval Office.”
He’s correct. This isn’t the kind of thing the Secret Service does – particularly while short handed during a pandemic – on a mere whim that Joe Biden could win. The agency has pretty clearly concluded that Biden will be named the winner within hours. Meanwhile MSNBC is hinting that it could all go down at around 4:00am eastern time.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--Looks like the election might get called tonight after all?

Earlier we brought you the story of how MSNBC ’ s Steve Kornacki headed home at midnight , then five @ @ @ @ @ the numbers and decided to stick around indefinitely .
It led us to wonder if @ @ @ @ @ Joe Biden to pull ahead overnight , and might also be expecting MSNBC to call @ @ @ @ @ presidency – for Biden overnight .
Now Katy Tur has tweeted this : “ I @ @ @ @ @ you plan on doing between 4 and 5am but I plan on delivering what could @ @ @ @ @ of PA on @ msnbc with @ AymanM .
Sleep when you ’ re dead @ @ @ @ @ this point MNSBC is flat out telling us to stay up all night , and @ @ @ @ @ they ’ d do this unless they ’ re expecting to give us a payoff @

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Earlier we brought you the story of how MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki headed home at midnight, then five minutes later saw something in the numbers and decided to stick around indefinitely. It led us to wonder if Kornacki might now be expecting Joe Biden to pull ahead overnight, and might also be expecting MSNBC to call Pennsylvania – and thus the presidency – for Biden overnight.
Now Katy Tur has tweeted this: “I don’t know what you plan on doing between 4 and 5am but I plan on delivering what could be game changing numbers out of PA on @msnbc with @AymanM. Sleep when you’re dead and join us.”
At this point MNSBC is flat out telling us to stay up all night, and we don’t think they’d do this unless they’re expecting to give us a payoff.
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palmerreport--2020-11-06--As Donald Trump circles the drain, Vladimir Putin suddenly floats the notion of retiring

All along , Palmer Report has expected Donald Trump to lose the 2020 election .
Accordingly , we ’ ve expected President Biden to place harsh sanctions on Russia for its ongoing attempts at election interference , and that those sanctions would significantly weaken Putin ’ s power structure within the Russian oligarchy .
But in a twist we weren ’ t expecting – at least not this soon – Putin is now floating the notion that he might retire from the Russian presidency next year , citing “ health issues.
” Here ’ s the kicker : this story @ @ @ @ @ @ @ being amplified by the New York Post , a pair of Rupert Murdoch owned publications where you ’ d expect Putin to plant a story like this .
Notably , Putin is also floating the idea of changing Russian law on his way out the door that would make him immune from future prosecution – which suggests that he ’ s afraid some future Russian president might try to prosecute him for his Ukraine-related crimes or financial crimes , in an attempt at getting Russia back into the good graces of the world @ @ @ @ @ @ @ mean that Putin is indeed planning to retire .
But the timing can ’ t be ignored .
We ’ re now just hours away from Donald Trump being named the loser of the election , and now Putin is immediately telling the world that he might retire soon .
Putin seems to be laying the groundwork for a soft exit , in case President Biden squeezes him severely enough that he ends up needing it .
These are interesting times .

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All along, Palmer Report has expected Donald Trump to lose the 2020 election. Accordingly, we’ve expected President Biden to place harsh sanctions on Russia for its ongoing attempts at election interference, and that those sanctions would significantly weaken Putin’s power structure within the Russian oligarchy.
But in a twist we weren’t expecting – at least not this soon – Putin is now floating the notion that he might retire from the Russian presidency next year, citing “health issues.” Here’s the kicker: this story is coming from The Sun, and being amplified by the New York Post, a pair of Rupert Murdoch owned publications where you’d expect Putin to plant a story like this.
Notably, Putin is also floating the idea of changing Russian law on his way out the door that would make him immune from future prosecution – which suggests that he’s afraid some future Russian president might try to prosecute him for his Ukraine-related crimes or financial crimes, in an attempt at getting Russia back into the good graces of the world community.
This doesn’t necessarily mean that Putin is indeed planning to retire. But the timing can’t be ignored. We’re now just hours away from Donald Trump being named the loser of the election, and now Putin is immediately telling the world that he might retire soon. Putin seems to be laying the groundwork for a soft exit, in case President Biden squeezes him severely enough that he ends up needing it. These are interesting times.
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Plot twist?

Earlier this evening , MSNBC predicted that Joe Biden could take the lead in Pennsylvania at perhaps 4:00am eastern time , depending on a number of variables .
This raised the question of whether MSNBC and other major news outlets would then call Pennsylvania for Biden – and thus declare him the winner of the election – in the middle of the night .
Then at midnight , it was announced that Steve Kornacki had gone home for the night , and his understudy Ali Velshi was seen at the big board .
But then at around 12:05am , Kornacki @ @ @ @ @ @ @ back on the air , stating that some more results from Philadelphia might come in within a couple hours .
Here ’ s the thing .
Something changed Kornacki ’ s mind and prompted him to stay .
It ’ s difficult to imagine that he would decide to put in a double shift unless he saw something in the numbers that made him conclude that Biden will indeed go ahead within the next couple hours , and that MSNBC could indeed end up calling the election for Biden in the middle of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to be there for it .
I don ’ t want to get your hopes up too much about the prospect of the election being called for Joe Biden tonight .
But in general , thoroughly exhausted employees don ’ t clock out , hand things off to someone else , only to decide five minutes later that they want to pull a double shift , without a good reason for wanting to be there .
I don ’ t know what this means , but it ’ s probably not nothing .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ Ali Velshi just sent me this : “ That ’ s one theory .
The other is that I ’ m just not as good at it as he is .
”

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Earlier this evening, MSNBC predicted that Joe Biden could take the lead in Pennsylvania at perhaps 4:00am eastern time, depending on a number of variables. This raised the question of whether MSNBC and other major news outlets would then call Pennsylvania for Biden – and thus declare him the winner of the election – in the middle of the night.
Then at midnight, it was announced that Steve Kornacki had gone home for the night, and his understudy Ali Velshi was seen at the big board. But then at around 12:05am, Kornacki changed his mind and decided to come back on the air, stating that some more results from Philadelphia might come in within a couple hours.
Here’s the thing. Something changed Kornacki’s mind and prompted him to stay. It’s difficult to imagine that he would decide to put in a double shift unless he saw something in the numbers that made him conclude that Biden will indeed go ahead within the next couple hours, and that MSNBC could indeed end up calling the election for Biden in the middle of the night, and that he wanted to be there for it.
I don’t want to get your hopes up too much about the prospect of the election being called for Joe Biden tonight. But in general, thoroughly exhausted employees don’t clock out, hand things off to someone else, only to decide five minutes later that they want to pull a double shift, without a good reason for wanting to be there. I don’t know what this means, but it’s probably not nothing. In response to my Kornacki theory, Ali Velshi just sent me this: “That’s one theory. The other is that I’m just not as good at it as he is.”
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.