palmerreport--2020-03-03--Joe Biden just confirmed Beto O’Rourke will be a part of his administration

Earlier today Joe Biden told a Houston CBS affiliate that if he becomes President , he ’ s planning to ask Pete Buttigieg to play a role in his administration .
Biden didn ’ t expand on what position ( s ) he was specifically talking about .
But tonight Biden was more specific when he confirmed during his rally that Beto O ’ Rourke will also play a role in his administration .
During the televised rally tonight , Joe Biden said this to Beto O ’ Rourke : “ You ’ re going to take care of the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ re going to be the one who leads this effort.
” This isn ’ t surprising , considering Beto spent the latter part of his own 2020 presidential campaign focusing heavily on gun violence .
There are various cabinet positions that have potential oversight in the gun violence crisis , for instance Health and Human Services .
Biden could also simply appoint O ’ Rourke as a gun violence czar , allowing him to focus solely on the one issue , without the burden of having to oversee an entire agency .
The @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lining up a team of all-stars for his administration .
He ’ s going to make Beto and Mayor Pete part of his administration .
Amy Klobuchar may not be inclined to leave her powerful Senate seat to become a cabinet member , but Biden will probably make the offer anyway .
Biden is clearly looking to put together a unity ticket to defeat Donald Trump and bring the nation together .

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Earlier today Joe Biden told a Houston CBS affiliate that if he becomes President, he’s planning to ask Pete Buttigieg to play a role in his administration. Biden didn’t expand on what position(s) he was specifically talking about. But tonight Biden was more specific when he confirmed during his rally that Beto O’Rourke will also play a role in his administration.
During the televised rally tonight, Joe Biden said this to Beto O’Rourke: “You’re going to take care of the gun problem with me, you’re going to be the one who leads this effort.” This isn’t surprising, considering Beto spent the latter part of his own 2020 presidential campaign focusing heavily on gun violence.
There are various cabinet positions that have potential oversight in the gun violence crisis, for instance Health and Human Services. Biden could also simply appoint O’Rourke as a gun violence czar, allowing him to focus solely on the one issue, without the burden of having to oversee an entire agency.
The upshot is that Joe Biden is clearly lining up a team of all-stars for his administration. He’s going to make Beto and Mayor Pete part of his administration. Amy Klobuchar may not be inclined to leave her powerful Senate seat to become a cabinet member, but Biden will probably make the offer anyway. Biden is clearly looking to put together a unity ticket to defeat Donald Trump and bring the nation together.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--Joe Biden has something up his sleeve

Joe Biden has something up his sleeve

As I was watching one prominent Democrat after another line up behind Joe Biden this evening , I couldn ’ t help but be impressed at how quickly the mainstream left has coalesced behind him .
And he clearly has even more prominent endorsements coming that we don ’ t know about yet , because momentum begets momentum .
But something stood out tonight that was far bigger than the endorsements .
When Amy Klobuchar took the stage tonight , Joe Biden made a point of saying that Klobuchar beat him during the debates .
When Pete Buttigieg took the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ reminded him of his beloved late son Beau .
When Beto O ’ Rourke took the stage , Biden lavished him with praise for his work on gun control .
These are the rising all-stars of the left , and Joe Biden knows it .
He ’ s not trying to outshine them .
He ’ s trying to promote them .
He ’ s not up there trying to paint himself as the be-all and end-all of everything .
He ’ s clearly going to use all of these people on his @ @ @ @ @ @ @ by strong people .
Sure , Joe Biden can be arrogant when it ’ s necessary , such as when he destroyed Paul Ryan in the 2012 vice presidential debate .
But at his core , Biden is a humble man .
He ’ s not trying to make it all about himself .
He ’ s not trying to be a cult of personality .
It ’ s a welcome contrast to the current political landscape .
Joe Biden is the unifying figure we need right now – and that ’ s @ @ @ @ @ @ @

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As I was watching one prominent Democrat after another line up behind Joe Biden this evening, I couldn’t help but be impressed at how quickly the mainstream left has coalesced behind him. And he clearly has even more prominent endorsements coming that we don’t know about yet, because momentum begets momentum. But something stood out tonight that was far bigger than the endorsements.
When Amy Klobuchar took the stage tonight, Joe Biden made a point of saying that Klobuchar beat him during the debates. When Pete Buttigieg took the stage tonight, Biden said that Pete reminded him of his beloved late son Beau. When Beto O’Rourke took the stage, Biden lavished him with praise for his work on gun control.
These are the rising all-stars of the left, and Joe Biden knows it. He’s not trying to outshine them. He’s trying to promote them. He’s not up there trying to paint himself as the be-all and end-all of everything. He’s clearly going to use all of these people on his team. He wants to be surrounded by strong people.
Sure, Joe Biden can be arrogant when it’s necessary, such as when he destroyed Paul Ryan in the 2012 vice presidential debate. But at his core, Biden is a humble man. He’s not trying to make it all about himself. He’s not trying to be a cult of personality. It’s a welcome contrast to the current political landscape. Joe Biden is the unifying figure we need right now – and that’s what he has up his sleeve.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--What’s going on with Donald Trump’s health now?

Back in November , Donald Trump was unexpectedly taken to Walter Reed Medical Center .
Whatever was wrong with his health , his handlers were so eager to cover it up , they floated the ludicrous claim that he had simply decided to go get portions of his annual physical done three months early .
No reasonable person believed this explanation , of course .
Since that time , Trump has appeared to be in worse physical , mental , and cognitive health than ever .
Now things have taken an even stranger turn .
Donald Trump was supposed to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in February .
But February just ended , and best anyone can tell , Trump never did get it done .
This evening , CNN ’ s Jim Acosta posted this surreal tweet : “ Trump told reporters at departure to NC that he ’ ll be undergoing physical sometime over the next 90 days.
” Wait a minute , what ?
This means that Trump is now delaying the rest of his annual physical .
So he ’ s gone from being so eager to get it done that he did parts @ @ @ @ @ @ @ now wanting to do the rest of it three months late ?
Can you even call it an “ annual ” physical if you don ’ t complete it until fifteen months after your last full physical ?
This helps confirm two things that we pretty much already knew .
First , Donald Trump probably didn ’ t have any of his “ annual physical ” done when he was mysteriously taken to the hospital three months ago .
Second , there ’ s obviously something very wrong with Trump ’ s health @ @ @ @ @ @ @ s afraid to even let a military doctor look at him .

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Back in November, Donald Trump was unexpectedly taken to Walter Reed Medical Center. Whatever was wrong with his health, his handlers were so eager to cover it up, they floated the ludicrous claim that he had simply decided to go get portions of his annual physical done three months early. No reasonable person believed this explanation, of course. Since that time, Trump has appeared to be in worse physical, mental, and cognitive health than ever. Now things have taken an even stranger turn.
Donald Trump was supposed to have the rest of his annual physical in February. But February just ended, and best anyone can tell, Trump never did get it done. This evening, CNN’s Jim Acosta posted this surreal tweet: “Trump told reporters at departure to NC that he’ll be undergoing physical sometime over the next 90 days.”
Wait a minute, what? This means that Trump is now delaying the rest of his annual physical. So he’s gone from being so eager to get it done that he did parts of it three months early, to now wanting to do the rest of it three months late? Can you even call it an “annual” physical if you don’t complete it until fifteen months after your last full physical?
This helps confirm two things that we pretty much already knew. First, Donald Trump probably didn’t have any of his “annual physical” done when he was mysteriously taken to the hospital three months ago. Second, there’s obviously something very wrong with Trump’s health, to the point that he’s afraid to even let a military doctor look at him.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--Joe Biden will hold a rally in Oakland tomorrow morning… hmm, wonder why.

This evening we ’ re seeing everyone from Amy Klobuchar , to Pete Buttigieg , to Beto O ’ Rourke endorse Joe Biden at his Texas rally .
It ’ s not difficult to parse why Biden is holding a rally there tonight .
Texas votes tomorrow , and Biden is a few points down in the state , but he ’ s surging and has a chance to win .
Tomorrow morning , Biden is heading to Oakland .
Here ’ s where things get interesting .
California also votes tomorrow , so it ’ s no surprise Biden @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
He ’ s highly unlikely to win the state , but with a strong second place showing , he can pick off a large number of delegates .
What ’ s intriguing is that he ’ s chosen Oakland for his Tuesday morning rally .
African-American voters in South Carolina showed an overwhelming preference for Biden , so he ’ s surely looking to replicate that in California .
But Oakland is far from the only California city with a large African-American population .
One thing to keep in mind is that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ campaign in Oakland , and drew a massive crowd in the process .
With every other mainstream Democrat now lining up to endorse Joe Biden , the question is what Kamala will do .
If she shows up at Biden ’ s rally in the morning and endorses him , that could really help drive turnout for him in California .
It ’ s worth keeping an eye on .
If Kamala is going to be there , they ’ ll likely leak it tonight , so her supporters know to show up @

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This evening we’re seeing everyone from Amy Klobuchar, to Pete Buttigieg, to Beto O’Rourke endorse Joe Biden at his Texas rally. It’s not difficult to parse why Biden is holding a rally there tonight. Texas votes tomorrow, and Biden is a few points down in the state, but he’s surging and has a chance to win. Tomorrow morning, Biden is heading to Oakland. Here’s where things get interesting.
California also votes tomorrow, so it’s no surprise Biden is holding a rally in the state. He’s highly unlikely to win the state, but with a strong second place showing, he can pick off a large number of delegates. What’s intriguing is that he’s chosen Oakland for his Tuesday morning rally. African-American voters in South Carolina showed an overwhelming preference for Biden, so he’s surely looking to replicate that in California. But Oakland is far from the only California city with a large African-American population.
One thing to keep in mind is that Kamala Harris kicked off her own presidential campaign in Oakland, and drew a massive crowd in the process. With every other mainstream Democrat now lining up to endorse Joe Biden, the question is what Kamala will do. If she shows up at Biden’s rally in the morning and endorses him, that could really help drive turnout for him in California. It’s worth keeping an eye on. If Kamala is going to be there, they’ll likely leak it tonight, so her supporters know to show up.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--Joe Biden mania is fully underway tonight

Well that all came together quickly , didn ’ t it ?
In South Carolina , the first real opportunity for black voters to have a voice in this race , Joe Biden thoroughly dominated – and all of his opponents did exceedingly poorly .
This prompted Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar to quickly drop out .
Now they ’ re both at Biden ’ s rally tonight so they can endorse him – and they ’ re not the only big names there .
Now that most of the field has exited the race , there are only four @ @ @ @ @ @ @ centrist who ’ s not even a real Democrat ; Bernie Sanders , an erratic extremist who would surely find a way to lose to Trump ; Elizabeth Warren , a highly impressive candidate who appears to have very little chance at the nomination thanks to Sanders ’ presence in the race ; and Joe Biden , a broadly popular and unifying figure .
So it ’ s not surprising to see mainstream Democrats and liberals coming out of the woodwork in support of Joe Biden , now that he ’ s the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ real shot .
Klobuchar and Buttigieg are being joined by former candidate Beto O ’ Rourke tonight at Biden ’ s rally , who has been out of the race for a long time , and has clearly been waiting for the field to shake out before deciding on his endorsement .
Online , we ’ re also seeing support strongly coalesce behind Joe Biden .
Influential actress and activist Alyssa Milano , who up to now has been very diplomatic about the primary race , endorsed Biden today .
Rosie O ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Warren , announced on Twitter today that she ’ s switching her vote to Biden because she believes it ’ s the best shot at stopping Trump .

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Well that all came together quickly, didn’t it? In South Carolina, the first real opportunity for black voters to have a voice in this race, Joe Biden thoroughly dominated – and all of his opponents did exceedingly poorly. This prompted Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar to quickly drop out. Now they’re both at Biden’s rally tonight so they can endorse him – and they’re not the only big names there.
Now that most of the field has exited the race, there are only four people left: Mike Bloomberg, a centrist who’s not even a real Democrat; Bernie Sanders, an erratic extremist who would surely find a way to lose to Trump; Elizabeth Warren, a highly impressive candidate who appears to have very little chance at the nomination thanks to Sanders’ presence in the race; and Joe Biden, a broadly popular and unifying figure.
So it’s not surprising to see mainstream Democrats and liberals coming out of the woodwork in support of Joe Biden, now that he’s the only desirable candidate who still has a real shot. Klobuchar and Buttigieg are being joined by former candidate Beto O’Rourke tonight at Biden’s rally, who has been out of the race for a long time, and has clearly been waiting for the field to shake out before deciding on his endorsement.
Online, we’re also seeing support strongly coalesce behind Joe Biden. Influential actress and activist Alyssa Milano, who up to now has been very diplomatic about the primary race, endorsed Biden today. Rosie O’Donnell, a vocal supporter of Elizabeth Warren, announced on Twitter today that she’s switching her vote to Biden because she believes it’s the best shot at stopping Trump.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--Chris Matthews just retired from Hardball. Here’s who should take his place on MSNBC.

Chris Matthews opened his longtime MSNBC show Hardball tonight by abruptly announcing his immediate retirement .
Just how abrupt was it ?
He didn ’ t even finish the episode , disappearing after the first commercial break , and leaving a stunned Steve Kornacki to finish out the hour .
So who ’ s going to replace Matthews ?
At this point it ’ s difficult to predict what MSNBC might do .
Last week the network took Jason Johnson off the air because he was too mean to the Bernie campaign .
Now Chris Matthews , who made controversial @ @ @ @ @ @ @ also suddenly gone .
The network is clearly afraid of retaliation from Bernie fans .
But that doesn ’ t mean they ’ re going to hire a Bernie fan to take over Hardball .
In any case , here ’ s what MSNBC should do with his time slot .
Nicolle Wallace is far too good at what she does to be mired in the 4pm weekday time slot , when most people are still at their day jobs instead of watching television .
Her ratings are strong for her time slot @ @ @ @ @ @ @ face .
MSNBC should move her to the 7pm slot .
Then it should consider giving Shep Smith , who stood up to Sean Hannity and then quit Fox News , the 4pm slot .
Steve Kornacki is an excellent statistical analyst and we learn a lot from his segments , but he doesn ’ t strike us as a full-time host .
There ’ s speculation that Brian Williams could move up to 7pm .
But while he ’ s done well in the 11pm time slot , which is supposed to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ is that most people watch him because Lawrence O ’ Donnell has finished and they ’ re not ready to go to bed yet .
Give the Hardball slot to Nicolle Wallace .
She ’ s earned it and she ’ ll do well in it .

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Chris Matthews opened his longtime MSNBC show Hardball tonight by abruptly announcing his immediate retirement. Just how abrupt was it? He didn’t even finish the episode, disappearing after the first commercial break, and leaving a stunned Steve Kornacki to finish out the hour. So who’s going to replace Matthews?
At this point it’s difficult to predict what MSNBC might do. Last week the network took Jason Johnson off the air because he was too mean to the Bernie campaign. Now Chris Matthews, who made controversial comments about Bernie last week, is also suddenly gone. The network is clearly afraid of retaliation from Bernie fans. But that doesn’t mean they’re going to hire a Bernie fan to take over Hardball. In any case, here’s what MSNBC should do with his time slot.
Nicolle Wallace is far too good at what she does to be mired in the 4pm weekday time slot, when most people are still at their day jobs instead of watching television. Her ratings are strong for her time slot, and she’s familiar trusted face. MSNBC should move her to the 7pm slot. Then it should consider giving Shep Smith, who stood up to Sean Hannity and then quit Fox News, the 4pm slot.
Steve Kornacki is an excellent statistical analyst and we learn a lot from his segments, but he doesn’t strike us as a full-time host. There’s speculation that Brian Williams could move up to 7pm. But while he’s done well in the 11pm time slot, which is supposed to be a ratings graveyard, the reality is that most people watch him because Lawrence O’Donnell has finished and they’re not ready to go to bed yet. Give the Hardball slot to Nicolle Wallace. She’s earned it and she’ll do well in it.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--Donald Trump’s day just keeps getting worse for him

The stock market bounced back today , regaining about one-fourth of what it lost last week .
So now the Dow Jones is only down twelve percent over the past six days .
This is what counts for good news for Donald Trump at this point .
Six people in the United States have now tragically died of the coronavirus , a number that ’ s likely to accelerate .
On the political side , things are getting uglier for Donald Trump by the hour .
Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg are both attending Joe Biden ’ s rally tonight @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , thus sharply increasing the odds that Biden ends up being the nominee .
Trump is so afraid of running against Biden , he got himself impeached while trying to knock Biden out of the race .
Not surprisingly , Trump is whining rather loudly on Twitter right now , insisting that Amy , Pete , and Biden are somehow staging a “ coup ” against Bernie Sanders , the one guy Trump really wanted to run against , because Trump knows Sanders is the one guy he can beat .
But it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ going to get his way .

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The stock market bounced back today, regaining about one-fourth of what it lost last week. So now the Dow Jones is only down twelve percent over the past six days. This is what counts for good news for Donald Trump at this point. Six people in the United States have now tragically died of the coronavirus, a number that’s likely to accelerate.
On the political side, things are getting uglier for Donald Trump by the hour. Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg are both attending Joe Biden’s rally tonight in order to endorse him for president, thus sharply increasing the odds that Biden ends up being the nominee.
Trump is so afraid of running against Biden, he got himself impeached while trying to knock Biden out of the race. Not surprisingly, Trump is whining rather loudly on Twitter right now, insisting that Amy, Pete, and Biden are somehow staging a “coup” against Bernie Sanders, the one guy Trump really wanted to run against, because Trump knows Sanders is the one guy he can beat. But it doesn’t look like Trump is going to get his way.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--Joe Biden just surged into the lead in the national polls

We ’ ve been waiting to see the impact that Joe Biden ’ s massive blowout win in South Carolina , and the decision by Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg to drop out of the race and endorse Biden , would end up having on the overall primary race .
Now we ’ re finally seeing national numbers , and it ’ s clear that a major shift is afoot .
There are two new national polls out today which show that Joe Biden has surged into first place nationwide .
The two new polls are Morning Consult , which @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and the Hill , which has Biden up by five points .
I always preach that we should rely on a broad polling average , not just one poll at a time .
But all previous national polls included Pete and Amy as choices , so they must now be thrown out , leaving us just these two new polls to work with for now – and they have Biden in first place by an average of 6.5 points nationwide .
Here ’ s the breakdown : Pete , Amy , and Tom @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Based on these two new polls , Biden picked up about 12 of those points .
Bloomberg picked up about four of those points .
Sanders and Warren got none .
Notably , while these polls were conducted after the news broke that Pete and Amy were dropping out , they appear to have been at least partly conducted before Pete and Amy endorsed Biden last night – so the Biden bump could end up being even larger .
Sanders will still likely get the majority of today ’ s Super Tuesday @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Most pundits will say this makes him the “ frontrunner.
” But at this point in the race , the current delegate count doesn ’ t take into account the demographic leanings of upcoming states .
For instance , Biden is likely to win Florida , Georgia , Mississippi , and other upcoming states in huge blowouts , similar to South Carolina .
As of this moment , FiveThirtyEight is predicting that by the time all fifty states have voted , Joe Biden will get about 350 more delegates than Bernie Sanders .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ are actual delegates who are assigned based on the popular vote in these states .
Interestingly , this model points to no one getting a full majority of delegates , meaning we ’ d head to a brokered convention .
But if Biden goes into the convention with the most delegates and the most actual popular votes , he ’ ll almost surely emerge with the nomination .
The bottom line is that Joe Biden is now the frontrunner , by 6.5 points .
So long as he remains in first place in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ frontrunner .
For Bernie Sanders to become the frontrunner again , he would need to pull ahead in the national polling averages .
If Biden supporters want to make sure Biden remains the frontrunner , they ’ ll have to keep working to get out the vote in upcoming states .

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We’ve been waiting to see the impact that Joe Biden’s massive blowout win in South Carolina, and the decision by Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg to drop out of the race and endorse Biden, would end up having on the overall primary race. Now we’re finally seeing national numbers, and it’s clear that a major shift is afoot.
There are two new national polls out today which show that Joe Biden has surged into first place nationwide. The two new polls are Morning Consult, which has Biden up by eight points, and the Hill, which has Biden up by five points. I always preach that we should rely on a broad polling average, not just one poll at a time. But all previous national polls included Pete and Amy as choices, so they must now be thrown out, leaving us just these two new polls to work with for now – and they have Biden in first place by an average of 6.5 points nationwide.
Here’s the breakdown: Pete, Amy, and Tom Steyer had 16 points among them nationwide. Based on these two new polls, Biden picked up about 12 of those points. Bloomberg picked up about four of those points. Sanders and Warren got none. Notably, while these polls were conducted after the news broke that Pete and Amy were dropping out, they appear to have been at least partly conducted before Pete and Amy endorsed Biden last night – so the Biden bump could end up being even larger.
Sanders will still likely get the majority of today’s Super Tuesday delegates, based on California alone. Most pundits will say this makes him the “frontrunner.” But at this point in the race, the current delegate count doesn’t take into account the demographic leanings of upcoming states. For instance, Biden is likely to win Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, and other upcoming states in huge blowouts, similar to South Carolina.
As of this moment, FiveThirtyEight is predicting that by the time all fifty states have voted, Joe Biden will get about 350 more delegates than Bernie Sanders. These aren’t superdelegates; these are actual delegates who are assigned based on the popular vote in these states. Interestingly, this model points to no one getting a full majority of delegates, meaning we’d head to a brokered convention. But if Biden goes into the convention with the most delegates and the most actual popular votes, he’ll almost surely emerge with the nomination.
The bottom line is that Joe Biden is now the frontrunner, by 6.5 points. So long as he remains in first place in the national polls, he remains the frontrunner. For Bernie Sanders to become the frontrunner again, he would need to pull ahead in the national polling averages. If Biden supporters want to make sure Biden remains the frontrunner, they’ll have to keep working to get out the vote in upcoming states.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--GOP Senators panic as Donald Trump destroys their 2020 prospects

Donald Trump is either pretending that the coronavirus is a hoax and his rallies are perfectly safe to attend ( something that should reveal what he really thinks of his supporters ) , or that the coronavirus isn ’ t a serious emergency that he had to put his vice president in charge of .
But there are at least a few Republicans who think his appalling management of a pandemic is a terrible and dangerous idea , at least in the face of their own odds of being re-elected .
While Republicans like Thom Tillis of North Carolina and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ about repealing Obamacare , which would cut $ 1 billion from funding specifically set aside for public health and responding to outbreaks , now they ’ re saying the Center for Disease Control isn ’ t funded well enough .
McSally is even asking for reimbursement for cities from the CDC .
They want to be able to say when election season comes that they were able to help while the crisis broke out – regardless of whatever dangerous and stupid antics Donald Trump was up to at the time .
The problem @ @ @ @ @ @ @ up being not as serious as people fear – and what we ’ re not prepared for – then this could still reflect poorly on Donald Trump – as it should .
As managing the coronavirus pandemic becomes a bipartisan issue , the more difficult it will be for Donald Trump to keep his border wall promise .
As for the Republicans that have decided the CDC is something that shouldn ’ t be gutted , their Democratic opponents are now able to use their support of gutting the CDC in the first @ @ @ @ @ @

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Donald Trump is either pretending that the coronavirus is a hoax and his rallies are perfectly safe to attend (something that should reveal what he really thinks of his supporters), or that the coronavirus isn’t a serious emergency that he had to put his vice president in charge of. But there are at least a few Republicans who think his appalling management of a pandemic is a terrible and dangerous idea, at least in the face of their own odds of being re-elected.
While Republicans like Thom Tillis of North Carolina and Martha McSally of Arizona were once adamant about repealing Obamacare, which would cut $1 billion from funding specifically set aside for public health and responding to outbreaks, now they’re saying the Center for Disease Control isn’t funded well enough. McSally is even asking for reimbursement for cities from the CDC. They want to be able to say when election season comes that they were able to help while the crisis broke out – regardless of whatever dangerous and stupid antics Donald Trump was up to at the time.
The problem is that even if the coronavirus ends up being not as serious as people fear – and what we’re not prepared for – then this could still reflect poorly on Donald Trump – as it should. As managing the coronavirus pandemic becomes a bipartisan issue, the more difficult it will be for Donald Trump to keep his border wall promise. As for the Republicans that have decided the CDC is something that shouldn’t be gutted, their Democratic opponents are now able to use their support of gutting the CDC in the first place in their campaign literature.
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palmerreport--2020-03-03--Four key ways to expand the new Joe Biden coalition

We ’ ve arguably seen more movement in the Democratic presidential primary race in the past few days than we saw in the previous several months .
Things are shifting rapidly .
There ’ s now a coalition forming around Joe Biden , which includes several of his most popular former rivals .
If you ’ re part of this coalition , and if you want it to succeed , the key is to expand it .
Here ’ s how : 1 ) Unite with fans of Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar .
Remind them that Pete and Amy @ @ @ @ @ @ @ coalition , and that they should honor Pete ’ s and Amy ’ s wishes .
Point out that Pete and Amy will both be offered key roles in a Biden administration .
Keep in mind that fans of Pete and Amy are probably shellshocked right now at this rapid turn of events , so go easy on them .
2 ) The poll numbers show that when the media started pretending Joe Biden was in trouble earlier this year , a large chunk of his supporters shifted to Mike Bloomberg .
Biden @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Now that everyone can see Biden isn ’ t actually in trouble , seek them out and try to steer them back to their original choice Biden .
Explain to them that Biden is an actual Democrat with a far better track record on the issues than Bloomberg .
Also remind them that Bloomberg ’ s candidacy probably isn ’ t going anywhere .
3 ) Talk with Elizabeth Warren supporters .
You won ’ t get anywhere by telling them that they have to ditch Warren for Biden right now .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ have right to continue supporting her , even though her mathematical odds of being the nominee are now dropping by the day .
Present it to them as a hypothetical : if Warren does end up dropping out at any point , would they rather have Biden or Bernie ?
Biden has a long and proven track record of successfully moving the country to the left .
Bernie may be on the far-left , but he has long track record of not being able to accomplish anything of substance for the left at @ @ @ @ @ @ @ up dropping out , they ’ ll be more inclined to join the Biden coalition .
4 ) Sanders is very likely to win a majority of the Super Tuesday delegates .
Don ’ t let anyone in the Biden coalition get discouraged by this .
While the media will spend the next two weeks pretending Sanders is the presumptive nominee , the reality is that the demographics in the upcoming states after Super Tuesday start to shift in Biden ’ s favor ( Florida , Georgia , etc ) .
There ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Beto and others are lining up behind Biden : they know how to do election math , and they know Joe Biden can win the nomination and the general election .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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We’ve arguably seen more movement in the Democratic presidential primary race in the past few days than we saw in the previous several months. Things are shifting rapidly. There’s now a coalition forming around Joe Biden, which includes several of his most popular former rivals. If you’re part of this coalition, and if you want it to succeed, the key is to expand it. Here’s how:
1) Unite with fans of Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar. Remind them that Pete and Amy have asked them to join the Biden coalition, and that they should honor Pete’s and Amy’s wishes. Point out that Pete and Amy will both be offered key roles in a Biden administration. Keep in mind that fans of Pete and Amy are probably shellshocked right now at this rapid turn of events, so go easy on them.
2) The poll numbers show that when the media started pretending Joe Biden was in trouble earlier this year, a large chunk of his supporters shifted to Mike Bloomberg. Biden was their first choice to begin with. Now that everyone can see Biden isn’t actually in trouble, seek them out and try to steer them back to their original choice Biden. Explain to them that Biden is an actual Democrat with a far better track record on the issues than Bloomberg. Also remind them that Bloomberg’s candidacy probably isn’t going anywhere.
3) Talk with Elizabeth Warren supporters. You won’t get anywhere by telling them that they have to ditch Warren for Biden right now. Warren is a strong candidate and they have right to continue supporting her, even though her mathematical odds of being the nominee are now dropping by the day. Present it to them as a hypothetical: if Warren does end up dropping out at any point, would they rather have Biden or Bernie? Biden has a long and proven track record of successfully moving the country to the left. Bernie may be on the far-left, but he has long track record of not being able to accomplish anything of substance for the left at all. Then if Warren does end up dropping out, they’ll be more inclined to join the Biden coalition.
4) Sanders is very likely to win a majority of the Super Tuesday delegates. Don’t let anyone in the Biden coalition get discouraged by this. While the media will spend the next two weeks pretending Sanders is the presumptive nominee, the reality is that the demographics in the upcoming states after Super Tuesday start to shift in Biden’s favor (Florida, Georgia, etc). There’s a reason Amy, Pete, Beto and others are lining up behind Biden: they know how to do election math, and they know Joe Biden can win the nomination and the general election.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-03--Ignore what Donald Trump says about the coronavirus, and do what these experts are saying instead

The Trump administration has failed in its duty of care to its citizens .
The coronavirus peril is serious , and we deserve to be told the truth .
Fortunately there are sane experts on the ground who can tell us how bad it is and what we can do about it .
Dr. Matt McCarthy is one such expert .
He is the author of “ Superbugs : the race to stop an epidemic , ” and an assistant professor of medicine at Weill Cornell and a staff physician at New York-Presbyterian Hospital .
In a recent interview on @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ” Dr McCarthy said , “ Before I came here this morning , I was in the emergency room seeing patients , I still do not have a rapid diagnostic test available to me.
” Why is that significant ?
“ I ’ m here to tell you , right now , at one of the busiest hospitals in the country , I don ’ t have it at my fingertips , ” he said .
“ I still have to make my case , plead to test people .
This is not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ 88 cases in the United States .
There are going to be hundreds by the middle of the week .
There ’ s going to be thousands by next week .
And this is a testing issue.
” Why aren ’ t test kits available ?
The Centers for Disease Control ( CDC ) sent test kits out early in the outbreak to public health labs around the country , but those kits were potentially contaminated .
Since local clinicians can ’ t depend on the test kits , some have had to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to run the tests , delaying the process of diagnosis and treatment .
“ They ’ re testing 10,000 [ people ] a day in some countries , and we can ’ t get this off the ground , ” Dr. McCarthy said .
“ I ’ m a practitioner on the firing line , and I don ’ t have the tools to properly care for patients today.
” In other words , Donald Trump ’ s boast that , “ My administration has taken the most aggressive action in modern history @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the coronavirus , ” is a direct lie .
His administration has failed .
In fact , right now Trump ’ s administration is the problem , because people believe him when he says there ’ s nothing to worry about .
As far as Trump ’ s pledge that a vaccine would soon be synthesized , the truth of the matter is it will take between 12 and 18 months to produce , if one can be manufactured at all .
While waiting for the Trump-denuded CDC to start shipping much-needed @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the average citizen can do .
The following protocols come from James Robb , MD .
Dr. Robb was a professor of pathology at the University of California San Diego , and was one of the first molecular virologists in the world to work on coronaviruses in the 1970s .
Here is his advice : 1 ) NO HANDSHAKING !
Use a fist bump , slight bow , elbow bump , etc .
2 ) Use ONLY your knuckle to touch light switches .
elevator buttons , etc..
Lift the gasoline dispenser with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ glove .
3 ) Open doors with your closed fist or hip – do not grasp the handle with your hand , unless there is no other way to open the door .
Especially important on bathroom and post office/commercial doors .
4 ) Use disinfectant wipes at the stores when they are available , including wiping the handle and child seat in grocery carts .
5 ) Wash your hands with soap for 10-20 seconds and/or use a greater than 60 % alcohol-based hand sanitizer whenever you return home from ANY activity @ @ @ @ @ @ @ been .
6 ) Keep a bottle of sanitizer available at each of your home ’ s entrances .
AND in your car for use after getting gas or touching other contaminated objects when you can ’ t immediately wash your hands .
7 ) If possible , cough or sneeze into a disposable tissue and discard .
Use your elbow only if you have to .
The clothing on your elbow will contain infectious virus that can be passed on for up to a week or more !
What I have stocked @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the US : 1 ) Latex or nitrile latex disposable gloves for use when going shopping , using the gasoline pump , and all other outside activity when you come in contact with contaminated areas .
Note : This virus is spread in large droplets by coughing and sneezing .
This means that the air will not infect you !
BUT all the surfaces where these droplets land are infectious for about a week on average – everything that is associated with infected people will be contaminated and potentially infectious .
The virus @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be infected unless your unprotected face is directly coughed or sneezed upon .
This virus only has cell receptors for lung cells ( it only infects your lungs ) The only way for the virus to infect you is through your nose or mouth via your hands or an infected cough or sneeze onto or into your nose or mouth .
2 ) Stock up now with disposable surgical masks and use them to prevent you from touching your nose and/or mouth ( We touch our nose/mouth 90X/day without knowing it ! )
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ virus can infect you – it is lung-specific .
The mask will not prevent the virus in a direct sneeze from getting into your nose or mouth – it is only to keep you from touching your nose or mouth .
3 ) Stock up now with hand sanitizers and latex/nitrile gloves ( get the appropriate sizes for your family ) .
The hand sanitizers must be alcohol-based and greater than 60 % alcohol to be effective .
4 ) Stock up now with zinc lozenges .
These lozenges have been proven to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ most other viruses ) from multiplying in your throat and nasopharynx .
Use as directed several times each day when you begin to feel ANY “ cold-like ” symptoms beginning .
It is best to lie down and let the lozenge dissolve in the back of your throat and nasopharynx .
Cold-Eeze lozenges is one brand available , but there are other brands available .
Dr Robb concludes , “ I , as many others do , hope that this pandemic will be reasonably contained , BUT I personally do not think it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this snake-associated virus before and have no internal defense against it .
Tremendous worldwide efforts are being made to understand the molecular and clinical virology of this virus .
Unbelievable molecular knowledge about the genomics , structure , and virulence of this virus has already been achieved .
BUT , there will be NO drugs or vaccines available this year to protect us or limit the infection within us .
Only symptomatic support is available.
” In other words , personal prevention is our first front line of defense .
Treatment is the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ for a vaccine that may never come .
But believing Donald Trump , that this menace will soon “ magically disappear , ” could be hazardous to your health .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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The Trump administration has failed in its duty of care to its citizens. The coronavirus peril is serious, and we deserve to be told the truth. Fortunately there are sane experts on the ground who can tell us how bad it is and what we can do about it.
Dr. Matt McCarthy is one such expert. He is the author of “Superbugs: the race to stop an epidemic,” and an assistant professor of medicine at Weill Cornell and a staff physician at New York-Presbyterian Hospital. In a recent interview on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” Dr McCarthy said, “Before I came here this morning, I was in the emergency room seeing patients, I still do not have a rapid diagnostic test available to me.”
Why is that significant? “I’m here to tell you, right now, at one of the busiest hospitals in the country, I don’t have it at my fingertips,” he said. “I still have to make my case, plead to test people. This is not good. We know that there are 88 cases in the United States. There are going to be hundreds by the middle of the week. There’s going to be thousands by next week. And this is a testing issue.”
Why aren’t test kits available? The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) sent test kits out early in the outbreak to public health labs around the country, but those kits were potentially contaminated. Since local clinicians can’t depend on the test kits, some have had to ship samples to laboratories with the ability to run the tests, delaying the process of diagnosis and treatment.
“They’re testing 10,000 [people] a day in some countries, and we can’t get this off the ground,” Dr. McCarthy said. “I’m a practitioner on the firing line, and I don’t have the tools to properly care for patients today.”
In other words, Donald Trump’s boast that, “My administration has taken the most aggressive action in modern history to control our borders and protect Americans from the coronavirus,” is a direct lie. His administration has failed. In fact, right now Trump’s administration is the problem, because people believe him when he says there’s nothing to worry about.
As far as Trump’s pledge that a vaccine would soon be synthesized, the truth of the matter is it will take between 12 and 18 months to produce, if one can be manufactured at all.
While waiting for the Trump-denuded CDC to start shipping much-needed testing kits, there is much that the average citizen can do. The following protocols come from James Robb, MD. Dr. Robb was a professor of pathology at the University of California San Diego, and was one of the first molecular virologists in the world to work on coronaviruses in the 1970s. Here is his advice:
1) NO HANDSHAKING! Use a fist bump, slight bow, elbow bump, etc.
2) Use ONLY your knuckle to touch light switches. elevator buttons, etc.. Lift the gasoline dispenser with a paper towel or use a disposable glove.
3) Open doors with your closed fist or hip – do not grasp the handle with your hand, unless there is no other way to open the door. Especially important on bathroom and post office/commercial doors.
4) Use disinfectant wipes at the stores when they are available, including wiping the handle and child seat in grocery carts.
5) Wash your hands with soap for 10-20 seconds and/or use a greater than 60% alcohol-based hand sanitizer whenever you return home from ANY activity that involves locations where other people have been.
6) Keep a bottle of sanitizer available at each of your home’s entrances. AND in your car for use after getting gas or touching other contaminated objects when you can’t immediately wash your hands.
7) If possible, cough or sneeze into a disposable tissue and discard. Use your elbow only if you have to. The clothing on your elbow will contain infectious virus that can be passed on for up to a week or more! What I have stocked in preparation for the pandemic spread to the US: 1) Latex or nitrile latex disposable gloves for use when going shopping, using the gasoline pump, and all other outside activity when you come in contact with contaminated areas. Note: This virus is spread in large droplets by coughing and sneezing. This means that the air will not infect you! BUT all the surfaces where these droplets land are infectious for about a week on average – everything that is associated with infected people will be contaminated and potentially infectious. The virus is on surfaces and you will not be infected unless your unprotected face is directly coughed or sneezed upon. This virus only has cell receptors for lung cells (it only infects your lungs) The only way for the virus to infect you is through your nose or mouth via your hands or an infected cough or sneeze onto or into your nose or mouth. 2) Stock up now with disposable surgical masks and use them to prevent you from touching your nose and/or mouth (We touch our nose/mouth 90X/day without knowing it!). This is the only way this virus can infect you – it is lung-specific. The mask will not prevent the virus in a direct sneeze from getting into your nose or mouth – it is only to keep you from touching your nose or mouth.
3) Stock up now with hand sanitizers and latex/nitrile gloves (get the appropriate sizes for your family). The hand sanitizers must be alcohol-based and greater than 60% alcohol to be effective.
4) Stock up now with zinc lozenges. These lozenges have been proven to be effective in blocking coronavirus (and most other viruses) from multiplying in your throat and nasopharynx. Use as directed several times each day when you begin to feel ANY “cold-like” symptoms beginning. It is best to lie down and let the lozenge dissolve in the back of your throat and nasopharynx. Cold-Eeze lozenges is one brand available, but there are other brands available.
Dr Robb concludes, “I, as many others do, hope that this pandemic will be reasonably contained, BUT I personally do not think it will be. Humans have never seen this snake-associated virus before and have no internal defense against it. Tremendous worldwide efforts are being made to understand the molecular and clinical virology of this virus. Unbelievable molecular knowledge about the genomics, structure, and virulence of this virus has already been achieved. BUT, there will be NO drugs or vaccines available this year to protect us or limit the infection within us. Only symptomatic support is available.”
In other words, personal prevention is our first front line of defense. Treatment is the second. We will have to wait for a vaccine that may never come. But believing Donald Trump, that this menace will soon “magically disappear,” could be hazardous to your health.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-03--Super Tuesday preview: what to really expect from today’s results

Nothing makes it harder to predict the results of an election than when major news is playing out the day beforehand .
Yet here we are on Super Tuesday , poll numbers having been shifting notably in the seventy-two hours since South Carolina , and two of the major candidates having abruptly dropped out last night and endorsed another .
Today ’ s results will be chaotic and confusing , and a whole lot of pundits will come away from it with the wrong understanding of where the race is headed .
But let ’ s try to parse things @ @ @ @ @ @ @ attention will be on California .
I ’ ll save you some time : based on the polls , Bernie Sanders will finish in first place in the state , with somewhere around one-third of the popular vote .
Joe Biden is in second place and he ’ s surging this week , so the question is whether he can pull off a close second in California , which would give him a large minority of the delegates .
Warren and Bloomberg are each teetering at around 15 % in the polls , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ in the state .
Best case for Biden is that Warren and Bloomberg pick off a large number of delegates that would have gone to Sanders .
Best case for Sanders is that he and Biden are the only two who pick up delegates , and that Sanders gets the significant majority of them .
Texas should perhaps be getting the most attention today .
There ’ s a reason Joe Biden had his historic rally there last night .
The polling averages have Biden just four points behind Sanders in the state @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s turnaround started in South Carolina .
If Biden can pull off a win in Texas , it ’ ll be huge for him , on a day when Sanders is going to win California .
Warren will finish in either first place or a close second place in Massachusetts , splitting delegates with Sanders .
Since they ’ ll each get about half of the delegates , it won ’ t mathematically matter much who wins .
But if Warren wins her home state , she could use it as an @ @ @ @ @ @ @ continuing to fundraise going forward .
Minnesota is an odd one .
The only two recent polls both showed Amy Klobuchar in the lead by six points over Sanders – but then she dropped out last night .
She could have helped Biden by remaining in the race for a few more days and making sure she beats Sanders in the state .
Early voting is a major factor in Minnesota , so perhaps Klobuchar felt she could drop out last night and still win the state .
You can expect Biden to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ comes to North Carolina , Virginia , Alabama , Tennessee , Oklahoma , and Missouri .
One key thing to watch here is how Mike Bloomberg does .
National polls have suggested that most of Bloomberg ’ s support has come at Biden ’ s expense , largely because the media falsely painted Biden as being “ in trouble ” and it became a self fulfilling prophecy .
But now that everyone knows Biden isn ’ t in trouble , how many voters will shift from Bloomberg back to Biden ?
Today is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the ballot anywhere , and thus our first taste of whether his poll numbers have been accurate .
The bottom line is this : Sanders will very likely win the largest number of overall delegates today , and it likely won ’ t be close .
Regardless of the margin , you can expect the media to start running with the narrative that Sanders is the presumptive nominee , because doing so is good for ratings .
But the reality is that after Super Tuesday , the demographics of the race start to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ He ’ ll win states like Florida , Georgia , and Mississippi in double digit blowouts – particularly with Buttigieg and Klobuchar out of the way .
As of yesterday afternoon , FiveThirtyEight ’ s calculations had Joe Biden as the most likely candidate to win the largest number of delegates in the overall primary race .
There ’ s a reason for that : not all state demographics are created the same .
Even if Sanders wins big today , it won ’ t mean he ’ s on track for the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ up today will steadily dwindle over the next several weeks , as we get into more states that are going to play out like South Carolina did .
And in any case , with no one on a path to come even close to 50 % of the delegates , we ’ re still likely headed to a brokered convention .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Nothing makes it harder to predict the results of an election than when major news is playing out the day beforehand. Yet here we are on Super Tuesday, poll numbers having been shifting notably in the seventy-two hours since South Carolina, and two of the major candidates having abruptly dropped out last night and endorsed another. Today’s results will be chaotic and confusing, and a whole lot of pundits will come away from it with the wrong understanding of where the race is headed. But let’s try to parse things.
Most of the media’s attention will be on California. I’ll save you some time: based on the polls, Bernie Sanders will finish in first place in the state, with somewhere around one-third of the popular vote. Joe Biden is in second place and he’s surging this week, so the question is whether he can pull off a close second in California, which would give him a large minority of the delegates. Warren and Bloomberg are each teetering at around 15% in the polls, which is the minimum threshold for delegates in the state. Best case for Biden is that Warren and Bloomberg pick off a large number of delegates that would have gone to Sanders. Best case for Sanders is that he and Biden are the only two who pick up delegates, and that Sanders gets the significant majority of them.
Texas should perhaps be getting the most attention today. There’s a reason Joe Biden had his historic rally there last night. The polling averages have Biden just four points behind Sanders in the state, and that’s before Biden’s turnaround started in South Carolina. If Biden can pull off a win in Texas, it’ll be huge for him, on a day when Sanders is going to win California.
Warren will finish in either first place or a close second place in Massachusetts, splitting delegates with Sanders. Since they’ll each get about half of the delegates, it won’t mathematically matter much who wins. But if Warren wins her home state, she could use it as an argument for remaining in the race and continuing to fundraise going forward.
Minnesota is an odd one. The only two recent polls both showed Amy Klobuchar in the lead by six points over Sanders – but then she dropped out last night. She could have helped Biden by remaining in the race for a few more days and making sure she beats Sanders in the state. Early voting is a major factor in Minnesota, so perhaps Klobuchar felt she could drop out last night and still win the state.
You can expect Biden to win the majority of states when it comes to North Carolina, Virginia, Alabama, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Missouri. One key thing to watch here is how Mike Bloomberg does. National polls have suggested that most of Bloomberg’s support has come at Biden’s expense, largely because the media falsely painted Biden as being “in trouble” and it became a self fulfilling prophecy. But now that everyone knows Biden isn’t in trouble, how many voters will shift from Bloomberg back to Biden? Today is also the first time Bloomberg is on the ballot anywhere, and thus our first taste of whether his poll numbers have been accurate.
The bottom line is this: Sanders will very likely win the largest number of overall delegates today, and it likely won’t be close. Regardless of the margin, you can expect the media to start running with the narrative that Sanders is the presumptive nominee, because doing so is good for ratings. But the reality is that after Super Tuesday, the demographics of the race start to shift in Biden’s favor. He’ll win states like Florida, Georgia, and Mississippi in double digit blowouts – particularly with Buttigieg and Klobuchar out of the way.
As of yesterday afternoon, FiveThirtyEight’s calculations had Joe Biden as the most likely candidate to win the largest number of delegates in the overall primary race. There’s a reason for that: not all state demographics are created the same. Even if Sanders wins big today, it won’t mean he’s on track for the nomination. The lead that Sanders builds up today will steadily dwindle over the next several weeks, as we get into more states that are going to play out like South Carolina did. And in any case, with no one on a path to come even close to 50% of the delegates, we’re still likely headed to a brokered convention.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-03--Wow is Donald Trump ever stupid

Wow is Donald Trump ever stupid

Donald Trump , ever the narcissistic sociopath , won ’ t shed a single tear for a single victim of the coronavirus .
But because the crisis is threatening his already-weak reelection odds , he ’ s being forced to go through the motions .
Yesterday he held a televised meeting about the coronavirus , which he and his handlers seemed to think would make him look like a solid leader .
Instead , Trump used the meeting as an opportunity to come across as being even more ignorant and stupid than usual .
At one point he admitted that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ from the flu .
Then he asked if the flu vaccine would help protect people from the coronavirus .
There are plenty of people out there who have as little understanding of viruses as Trump does .
The difference is that he ’ s been President of the United States for three years , and he still hasn ’ t learned any of this .
We keep joking that Trump is going to try to solve the coronavirus by building a wall around it – but based on what he ’ s saying @ @ @ @ @ @ @ he won ’ t suggest building a wall around it .
The CDC , which Trump is in charge of , says on its website that more than a hundred thousand Americans have died from complications from the flu since Trump took office .
But until yesterday , Trump didn ’ t even know such a thing was possible .
Yes , Donald Trump often dumbs things down in the name of pandering to his most braindead and brainwashed supporters , who think ignorance is a virtue , and who crave the simplistic @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this doesn ’ t feel like one of those times .
Trump is fighting for what little is left of his presidency as the nation starts to fear dropping dead , and for once , he has to sound like he ’ s at least semi-competent .
And yet this was the best he could come up with .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Donald Trump, ever the narcissistic sociopath, won’t shed a single tear for a single victim of the coronavirus. But because the crisis is threatening his already-weak reelection odds, he’s being forced to go through the motions. Yesterday he held a televised meeting about the coronavirus, which he and his handlers seemed to think would make him look like a solid leader.
Instead, Trump used the meeting as an opportunity to come across as being even more ignorant and stupid than usual. At one point he admitted that he had no idea anyone ever dies from the flu. Then he asked if the flu vaccine would help protect people from the coronavirus. There are plenty of people out there who have as little understanding of viruses as Trump does. The difference is that he’s been President of the United States for three years, and he still hasn’t learned any of this.
We keep joking that Trump is going to try to solve the coronavirus by building a wall around it – but based on what he’s saying, we can’t be sure he won’t suggest building a wall around it. The CDC, which Trump is in charge of, says on its website that more than a hundred thousand Americans have died from complications from the flu since Trump took office. But until yesterday, Trump didn’t even know such a thing was possible.
Yes, Donald Trump often dumbs things down in the name of pandering to his most braindead and brainwashed supporters, who think ignorance is a virtue, and who crave the simplistic magical solutions he serves up. But this doesn’t feel like one of those times. Trump is fighting for what little is left of his presidency as the nation starts to fear dropping dead, and for once, he has to sound like he’s at least semi-competent. And yet this was the best he could come up with.
Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support our 2024 efforts by donating now or sign up for our free mailing list.


palmerreport--2020-03-03--None of this is a surprise

None of this is a surprise

Apparently there are folks out there who were surprised by what they saw happen yesterday in the Democratic primary race .
The thing is , everything that happened yesterday was predictable , because it was all based on most likely outcomes .
In fact , for anyone to have been caught off guard yesterday , they ’ d need to have been fed a remarkable amount of faulty political analysis .
For starters , Joe Biden was always going to win South Carolina .
He was ahead in the polling averages in the state the entire time .
MSNBC spent @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to create a false picture that Sanders had a chance in the state , by only reporting on Biden ’ s worst poll numbers in the state , and then going even further by pretending that Biden ’ s lead in those polls was a statistical tie .
All you had to do was turn off your television and look at the polling averages to see that Biden would win .
Jim Clyburn ’ s endorsement did cause Biden to win by a much larger number than the polls were predicting , but @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Come to think of it , it was always likely that Clyburn was going to endorse Biden , and it was always likely Clyburn ’ s endorsement was going to help Biden run up the score .
Moreover , it was always likely that Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar were going to perform very poorly in South Carolina .
There ’ s never been a primary race where black democrats in the south suddenly decided to change their vote based on what rural white voters in Iowa or New Hampshire decided to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and Amy had in South Carolina was if their horrible poll numbers in the state had been wildly off all along , which was unlikely .
Once Amy and Pete washed out in South Carolina , it meant they weren ’ t going to do well with diverse voters anywhere , which meant they no longer had any shot at the nomination .
Considering this only really left Biden and Sanders in the race , and the disdain that Amy and Pete have both shown toward Sanders ’ false promises , it was @ @ @ @ @ @ @ once they dropped out .
For that matter , once it was down to Biden or Sanders , other mainstream Democrats like Beto O ’ Rourke were likely to quickly come out of the woodwork to rally around Biden as well .
So what exactly about yesterday was supposed to have been a surprise ?
Everything that happened was based on most likely outcomes .
None of it was based on unlikely outcomes .
Sure , there were minor variables in play , such as precisely when Pete and Amy would drop out @ @ @ @ @ @ @ hadn ’ t happened yesterday , they ’ d have likely happened by the end of the week .
If anyone was truly shocked that Joe Biden is now in the driver ’ s seat and mainstream Democrats are rallying behind him , it ’ s only because they ’ ve been listening to some remarkably bad political analysis all along .

Important note: Palmer Report has led the way in political analysis. Now we're gearing up to cover the 2024 election, up and down the ballot. Help support Palmer Report's 2024 efforts by donating now.
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Apparently there are folks out there who were surprised by what they saw happen yesterday in the Democratic primary race. The thing is, everything that happened yesterday was predictable, because it was all based on most likely outcomes. In fact, for anyone to have been caught off guard yesterday, they’d need to have been fed a remarkable amount of faulty political analysis.
For starters, Joe Biden was always going to win South Carolina. He was ahead in the polling averages in the state the entire time. MSNBC spent last week bending over backward to try to create a false picture that Sanders had a chance in the state, by only reporting on Biden’s worst poll numbers in the state, and then going even further by pretending that Biden’s lead in those polls was a statistical tie. All you had to do was turn off your television and look at the polling averages to see that Biden would win.
Jim Clyburn’s endorsement did cause Biden to win by a much larger number than the polls were predicting, but Biden would have won the state anyway. Come to think of it, it was always likely that Clyburn was going to endorse Biden, and it was always likely Clyburn’s endorsement was going to help Biden run up the score.
Moreover, it was always likely that Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar were going to perform very poorly in South Carolina. There’s never been a primary race where black democrats in the south suddenly decided to change their vote based on what rural white voters in Iowa or New Hampshire decided to do. The only hope that Pete and Amy had in South Carolina was if their horrible poll numbers in the state had been wildly off all along, which was unlikely.
Once Amy and Pete washed out in South Carolina, it meant they weren’t going to do well with diverse voters anywhere, which meant they no longer had any shot at the nomination. Considering this only really left Biden and Sanders in the race, and the disdain that Amy and Pete have both shown toward Sanders’ false promises, it was always likely that they would support Biden once they dropped out. For that matter, once it was down to Biden or Sanders, other mainstream Democrats like Beto O’Rourke were likely to quickly come out of the woodwork to rally around Biden as well.
So what exactly about yesterday was supposed to have been a surprise? Everything that happened was based on most likely outcomes. None of it was based on unlikely outcomes. Sure, there were minor variables in play, such as precisely when Pete and Amy would drop out. But if yesterday’s events hadn’t happened yesterday, they’d have likely happened by the end of the week. If anyone was truly shocked that Joe Biden is now in the driver’s seat and mainstream Democrats are rallying behind him, it’s only because they’ve been listening to some remarkably bad political analysis all along.
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palmerreport--2020-03-04--The real reason Elizabeth Warren is toast

Elizabeth Warren ’ s candidacy for president died on the vine on Super Tuesday , after she failed to win a single state , and failed to pick up more than a smattering of delegates .
It ’ s up to her if or when she wants to drop out , but it ’ s clear that she now has absolutely no mathematical path to getting more than 50 % of the delegates .
So what went wrong ?
Far-left progressives tend to vote for whichever Democratic candidate espouses the leftmost ideas , regardless of whether that candidate would ever @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the left once in office .
Mainstream liberals tend to vote for whichever Democratic candidate comes off as the most savvy , because that ’ s the person who could actually get the most done as far as moving the country to the left .
Elizabeth Warren is the rare candidate who is both far-left and politically savvy , so she should have been the favorite .
She appealed to both groups .
If she ’ d been the nominee , she could have united the party .
But to win the nomination @ @ @ @ @ @ @ score a good number of votes from the progressives , and a good number of votes from the mainstream liberals .
Right out of the gate , most of the progressives lined up behind Sanders .
This was mystifying to the rest of us , because Warren is just as far to the left , and she ’ s five times smarter and savvier than Sanders will ever be .
But again , competence isn ’ t a factor for far-left voters , and they ’ d already spent four years being told @ @ @ @ @ @ @ cool ones for supporting Sanders , so they largely ignored Warren and stuck with dead-end Sanders .
Mainstream liberals would have been just fine with Warren being the nominee .
Yes , she ’ s further to the left than most Democratic voters .
But they could see that she was smart and savvy and realistic , so it ’ s not as if they had to worry that she was going to accidentally drive the nation off a cliff while trying to drive it to the far left .
The thing is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ want a candidate who can actually win .
Once they saw that the progressives were foolishly rejecting Warren , and that she wasn ’ t going to have a path to the nomination , they decided not to get behind her either .
Coming into Super Tuesday , Elizabeth Warren ’ s only path to the nomination was if no one got anywhere close to 50 % of the delegates and we ended up with a brokered convention .
If Biden and Sanders each entered with something like 35 % of the delegates @ @ @ @ @ @ @ % , then there might have been a slight chance that the progressives and the mainstream liberals would compromise by getting behind the one candidate they could both live with .
But with the field now thinning by the day , Mike Bloomberg turning out to be a non-factor in the delegate count , and the increasing odds that Biden and Sanders will grab perhaps 85-90 % of the delegates between them , it ’ s difficult to imagine Warren going into a brokered convention with 10 % of the delegates in her @ @ @ @ @ @ @ We ’ ll see if she drops out soon or not .
But the progressives tanked her candidacy , because they weren ’ t willing to pick the one progressive candidate that the mainstream liberals would have been willing to rally behind .

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Elizabeth Warren’s candidacy for president died on the vine on Super Tuesday, after she failed to win a single state, and failed to pick up more than a smattering of delegates. It’s up to her if or when she wants to drop out, but it’s clear that she now has absolutely no mathematical path to getting more than 50% of the delegates. So what went wrong?
Far-left progressives tend to vote for whichever Democratic candidate espouses the leftmost ideas, regardless of whether that candidate would ever be able to get anything done for the left once in office. Mainstream liberals tend to vote for whichever Democratic candidate comes off as the most savvy, because that’s the person who could actually get the most done as far as moving the country to the left. Elizabeth Warren is the rare candidate who is both far-left and politically savvy, so she should have been the favorite. She appealed to both groups. If she’d been the nominee, she could have united the party.
But to win the nomination, Warren was going to have to score a good number of votes from the progressives, and a good number of votes from the mainstream liberals. Right out of the gate, most of the progressives lined up behind Sanders. This was mystifying to the rest of us, because Warren is just as far to the left, and she’s five times smarter and savvier than Sanders will ever be. But again, competence isn’t a factor for far-left voters, and they’d already spent four years being told by the media that they were the cool ones for supporting Sanders, so they largely ignored Warren and stuck with dead-end Sanders.
Mainstream liberals would have been just fine with Warren being the nominee. Yes, she’s further to the left than most Democratic voters. But they could see that she was smart and savvy and realistic, so it’s not as if they had to worry that she was going to accidentally drive the nation off a cliff while trying to drive it to the far left. The thing is, mainstream liberals are realists, who want a candidate who can actually win. Once they saw that the progressives were foolishly rejecting Warren, and that she wasn’t going to have a path to the nomination, they decided not to get behind her either.
Coming into Super Tuesday, Elizabeth Warren’s only path to the nomination was if no one got anywhere close to 50% of the delegates and we ended up with a brokered convention. If Biden and Sanders each entered with something like 35% of the delegates, and Warren had something like 20%, then there might have been a slight chance that the progressives and the mainstream liberals would compromise by getting behind the one candidate they could both live with.
But with the field now thinning by the day, Mike Bloomberg turning out to be a non-factor in the delegate count, and the increasing odds that Biden and Sanders will grab perhaps 85-90% of the delegates between them, it’s difficult to imagine Warren going into a brokered convention with 10% of the delegates in her pocket and pulling off the nomination. We’ll see if she drops out soon or not. But the progressives tanked her candidacy, because they weren’t willing to pick the one progressive candidate that the mainstream liberals would have been willing to rally behind.
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palmerreport--2020-03-04--Joe Biden just got the cherry on top of his Super Tuesday haul

Joe Biden ’ s Super Tuesday was largely going to be determined by how much he could run up the score in states like Virginia and North Carolina , in order to absorb whatever delegates losses he might end up suffering in California .
Sure enough , Biden was able to run up the score by a large margin .
Then he started winning some smaller states that no one was expecting .
Now he ’ s gotten the cherry on top .
Earlier this evening , Palmer Report explained that mathematically speaking , it wouldn ’ t much matter @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to be decided by just a few percentage points , which meant that Biden and Sanders were each going to get roughly half of the state ’ s delegates , with the winner getting just a little more than half .
But from a perception standpoint , even if Biden ended up winning the largest number of Super Tuesday delegates overall , the media would start trying to push Bernie mania by pointing to his wins in the two largest states of the day , California and Texas .
The thing is , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ News and ABC News have called Texas for Joe Biden .
This isn ’ t shocking .
He was only behind in the polls in Texas when the week began , and his momentum ended up being enough to put him over the top .
So now Biden gets the cherry on top of his Super Tuesday delegate haul : the media will be talking about how Sanders is in trouble for losing Texas .
By the way , Sanders will win California , but as of right now he ’ s in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ digits .
So much for the notion that Sanders was going to sweep California .

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Joe Biden’s Super Tuesday was largely going to be determined by how much he could run up the score in states like Virginia and North Carolina, in order to absorb whatever delegates losses he might end up suffering in California. Sure enough, Biden was able to run up the score by a large margin. Then he started winning some smaller states that no one was expecting. Now he’s gotten the cherry on top.
Earlier this evening, Palmer Report explained that mathematically speaking, it wouldn’t much matter who won Texas. It was going to be decided by just a few percentage points, which meant that Biden and Sanders were each going to get roughly half of the state’s delegates, with the winner getting just a little more than half.
But from a perception standpoint, even if Biden ended up winning the largest number of Super Tuesday delegates overall, the media would start trying to push Bernie mania by pointing to his wins in the two largest states of the day, California and Texas. The thing is, as of several minutes ago, NBC News and ABC News have called Texas for Joe Biden.
This isn’t shocking. He was only behind in the polls in Texas when the week began, and his momentum ended up being enough to put him over the top. So now Biden gets the cherry on top of his Super Tuesday delegate haul: the media will be talking about how Sanders is in trouble for losing Texas. By the way, Sanders will win California, but as of right now he’s in danger of only winning it by single digits. So much for the notion that Sanders was going to sweep California.
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palmerreport--2020-03-04--Joe Biden just destroyed Donald Trump

Joe Biden just destroyed Donald Trump

Joe Biden is having an incredibly good Super Tuesday thus far .
He ’ s winning states like Minnesota and Massachusetts , which no one thought he ’ d win .
He ’ s running up the score so much in states like Virginia , he ’ ll come out of tonight with roughly half the delegates or more .
Of course some other candidates are having a pretty bad night – and Donald Trump seems gleeful about it .
After Elizabeth Warren failed to pick up any significant number of delegates in the early states this evening , Donald @ @ @ @ @ @ @ : “ Elizabeth “ Pocahontas ” Warren , other than Mini Mike , was the loser of the night .
She didn ’ t even come close to winning her home state of Massachusetts .
Well , now she can just sit back with her husband and have a nice cold beer !
” Joe Biden then jumped in to defend Elizabeth Warren , telling off Donald Trump in the process : “ You lost tonight , Donald Trump .
Democrats around the country are fired up .
We are decent , brave @ @ @ @ @ @ @ better than you .
Come November , we are going to beat you.
” Joe Biden is campaigning on the premise that he can unite mainstream Americans after all the divisive damage that Trump has done .
Trump taunting Elizabeth Warren , and Biden telling off Trump for it , is precisely more of what we need in this country right now .

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Joe Biden is having an incredibly good Super Tuesday thus far. He’s winning states like Minnesota and Massachusetts, which no one thought he’d win. He’s running up the score so much in states like Virginia, he’ll come out of tonight with roughly half the delegates or more. Of course some other candidates are having a pretty bad night – and Donald Trump seems gleeful about it.
After Elizabeth Warren failed to pick up any significant number of delegates in the early states this evening, Donald Trump posted this idiotic and racist tweet: “Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren, other than Mini Mike, was the loser of the night. She didn’t even come close to winning her home state of Massachusetts. Well, now she can just sit back with her husband and have a nice cold beer!”
Joe Biden then jumped in to defend Elizabeth Warren, telling off Donald Trump in the process: “You lost tonight, Donald Trump. Democrats around the country are fired up. We are decent, brave, and resilient people. We are better than you. Come November, we are going to beat you.”
Joe Biden is campaigning on the premise that he can unite mainstream Americans after all the divisive damage that Trump has done. Trump taunting Elizabeth Warren, and Biden telling off Trump for it, is precisely more of what we need in this country right now.
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palmerreport--2020-03-04--Joe Biden has done the impossible tonight

This morning Palmer Report explained why nothing that ’ s transpired over the past few days was much of a surprise .
Joe Biden was always going to win South Carolina .
He was always going to get a Super Tuesday surge out of it .
Pete and Amy were always going to bomb there , realize their campaigns were over , and get behind Biden .
But what we ’ re seeing tonight is definitely a surprise .
Joe Biden just won Minnesota , a state where he was down twenty points a few days ago .
Yes , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Klobuchar dropping out and endorsing him .
But still , this is a massive shift in an incredibly short amount of time .
Endorsements or not , voters are flocking to Biden in what seems like frankly impossible proportions .
Joe Biden also just won Massachusetts , where he wasn ’ t even supposed to get a single delegate .
The only question in Massachusetts was supposed to be whether Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren won , and Biden beat them both .
Biden also won Oklahoma , which Sanders won four years @ @ @ @ @ @ @ win Virginia , but he won it by thirty points .
Yes , Texas is going to be a close call , and yes , Sanders will likely win California .
But Joe Biden will come out of tonight with about half the Super Tuesday delegates or more – something that should have been impossible .
Considering Biden is on track to win upcoming states like Florida and Georgia in blowouts , he ’ s in the driver ’ s seat now .
We ’ ve known for weeks that Biden would surge @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not on this massive of a scale .

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This morning Palmer Report explained why nothing that’s transpired over the past few days was much of a surprise. Joe Biden was always going to win South Carolina. He was always going to get a Super Tuesday surge out of it. Pete and Amy were always going to bomb there, realize their campaigns were over, and get behind Biden. But what we’re seeing tonight is definitely a surprise.
Joe Biden just won Minnesota, a state where he was down twenty points a few days ago. Yes, he benefited from Minnesota’s Amy Klobuchar dropping out and endorsing him. But still, this is a massive shift in an incredibly short amount of time. Endorsements or not, voters are flocking to Biden in what seems like frankly impossible proportions.
Joe Biden also just won Massachusetts, where he wasn’t even supposed to get a single delegate. The only question in Massachusetts was supposed to be whether Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren won, and Biden beat them both. Biden also won Oklahoma, which Sanders won four years ago. We all knew Biden would win Virginia, but he won it by thirty points.
Yes, Texas is going to be a close call, and yes, Sanders will likely win California. But Joe Biden will come out of tonight with about half the Super Tuesday delegates or more – something that should have been impossible. Considering Biden is on track to win upcoming states like Florida and Georgia in blowouts, he’s in the driver’s seat now. We’ve known for weeks that Biden would surge coming out of South Carolina, but not on this massive of a scale.
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palmerreport--2020-03-04--Mike Bloomberg is finished

Mike Bloomberg is finished

When Mike Bloomberg entered the race , it was a time when the media was insisting that Joe Biden ’ s campaign was dead on arrival .
We all presumed that Bloomberg was trying to stop a divisive extremist like Bernie Sanders from winning the nomination , considering Sanders would likely find a way to lose to Donald Trump .
But that ’ s all changed now .
Joe Biden won big in South Carolina , prompting most mainstream Democratic voters to align behind him .
It looks like he ’ s going to come out of Super Tuesday with @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a big win for him , considering we ’ re now heading into states like Florida and Georgia where he ’ s likely to dominate .
At this point , the biggest hindrance to Biden locking up the nomination before the convention is Mike Bloomberg ’ s continued presence in the race .
Bloomberg was never going to win the nomination outright .
He was always looking to keep everyone under 50 % of the delegates and force a brokered convention , where he would try to wrest the nomination away from Sanders @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s results so far tonight , he ’ s doing horribly .
He spent big in North Carolina , but he didn ’ t even reach the minimum threshold for delegates .
He ’ s going to come out of this with almost no delegates .
With Joe Biden clearly heading into the convention with a huge delegate haul , and Mike Bloomberg heading into the convention with very few delegates , there is no way the convention will hand Bloomberg the nomination .
It ’ s over for Bloomberg .
All @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the race is preventing Biden from getting over 50 % , meaning we ’ ll have to go through the strife of a brokered convention before Biden becomes the nominee .
If Bloomberg ’ s initial goal was to make sure Sanders didn ’ t get the nomination , all he ’ s doing at this point is making it harder for Joe Biden to win the nomination outright .
In such case , it ’ s time for Bloomberg to drop out and endorse Biden .
Biden ’ s broad popularity , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ television ads , would go a long toward getting Trump out of office in November .

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When Mike Bloomberg entered the race, it was a time when the media was insisting that Joe Biden’s campaign was dead on arrival. We all presumed that Bloomberg was trying to stop a divisive extremist like Bernie Sanders from winning the nomination, considering Sanders would likely find a way to lose to Donald Trump. But that’s all changed now.
Joe Biden won big in South Carolina, prompting most mainstream Democratic voters to align behind him. It looks like he’s going to come out of Super Tuesday with roughly half the delegates, which is a big win for him, considering we’re now heading into states like Florida and Georgia where he’s likely to dominate. At this point, the biggest hindrance to Biden locking up the nomination before the convention is Mike Bloomberg’s continued presence in the race.
Bloomberg was never going to win the nomination outright. He was always looking to keep everyone under 50% of the delegates and force a brokered convention, where he would try to wrest the nomination away from Sanders. But if you look at Bloomberg’s results so far tonight, he’s doing horribly. He spent big in North Carolina, but he didn’t even reach the minimum threshold for delegates. He’s going to come out of this with almost no delegates.
With Joe Biden clearly heading into the convention with a huge delegate haul, and Mike Bloomberg heading into the convention with very few delegates, there is no way the convention will hand Bloomberg the nomination. It’s over for Bloomberg. All he’s doing by remaining in the race is preventing Biden from getting over 50%, meaning we’ll have to go through the strife of a brokered convention before Biden becomes the nominee.
If Bloomberg’s initial goal was to make sure Sanders didn’t get the nomination, all he’s doing at this point is making it harder for Joe Biden to win the nomination outright. In such case, it’s time for Bloomberg to drop out and endorse Biden. Biden’s broad popularity, combined with Bloomberg running pro-Biden and anti-Trump television ads, would go a long toward getting Trump out of office in November.
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palmerreport--2020-03-04--Super Tuesday just changed everything for Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders

We still have a long way to go tonight with Super Tuesday results .
The majority of the states haven ’ t even been called yet .
But among the states that have posted results , the trends are clear – and eyebrow raising .
It ’ s already clear that no matter how the particulars of the rest of the night play out , this entire race has just been upended .
Bernie Sanders is likely to win California , where he ’ ll pick up a majority of the huge delegate haul .
The only question is how @ @ @ @ @ @ @ being .
Texas will be a close race , meaning that no matter who wins , Sanders and Joe Biden will win a roughly equal number of delegates there .
The real news is what ’ s going on everywhere else outside those two states .
No one is surprised that Biden has won North Carolina , Virginia , Tennessee , Arkansas , and Alabama .
What does jump off the page is that Biden is winning these states by huge margins , when some of them were supposed to have been close @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Biden , which is stunning , because he was in a distant third place in the state just a few day ago .
The partial results show Biden having a chance to win Massachusetts and Maine , two states where no one was expecting him to be particularly competitive .
Joe Biden is running up the score right now .
Again , while the media will pay a lot of attention to who wins Texas , the close result and proportional delegate allocation there mean that the outcome won ’ t impact the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ still has a chance to wipe out Biden ’ s big lead by dominating in California , and a chance to come out of Super Tuesday with the most delegates overall .
But the worst case scenario for Joe Biden is that he comes out of Super Tuesday roughly tied for the delegate lead ( or slightly behind ) , with the race then shifting to states like Florida and Georgia , where he ’ s likely to win big .
The best case scenario for Biden is that he takes the overall @ @ @ @ @ @ @ – including me – saw coming .

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We still have a long way to go tonight with Super Tuesday results. The majority of the states haven’t even been called yet. But among the states that have posted results, the trends are clear – and eyebrow raising. It’s already clear that no matter how the particulars of the rest of the night play out, this entire race has just been upended.
Bernie Sanders is likely to win California, where he’ll pick up a majority of the huge delegate haul. The only question is how large or small that majority ends up being. Texas will be a close race, meaning that no matter who wins, Sanders and Joe Biden will win a roughly equal number of delegates there. The real news is what’s going on everywhere else outside those two states.
No one is surprised that Biden has won North Carolina, Virginia, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Alabama. What does jump off the page is that Biden is winning these states by huge margins, when some of them were supposed to have been close. The AP just called Minnesota for Biden, which is stunning, because he was in a distant third place in the state just a few day ago. The partial results show Biden having a chance to win Massachusetts and Maine, two states where no one was expecting him to be particularly competitive.
Joe Biden is running up the score right now. Again, while the media will pay a lot of attention to who wins Texas, the close result and proportional delegate allocation there mean that the outcome won’t impact the math much either way. Bernie Sanders still has a chance to wipe out Biden’s big lead by dominating in California, and a chance to come out of Super Tuesday with the most delegates overall.
But the worst case scenario for Joe Biden is that he comes out of Super Tuesday roughly tied for the delegate lead (or slightly behind), with the race then shifting to states like Florida and Georgia, where he’s likely to win big. The best case scenario for Biden is that he takes the overall delegate lead tonight, which no one – including me – saw coming.
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