shoebat--2020-08-03--The Government Of Russia Is Now Building A New Version Of The Hagia Sophia In Syria As A Way To Defy

The Government Of Russia Is Now Building A New Version Of The Hagia Sophia In Syria As A Way To Defy Turkey

As an expression of defiance towards Turkey , Russia is building a new version of the Hagia Sophia right in Syria , as we read in a report from GCR : Russia has agreed to help the Syrian government build a replica of Istanbul ’ s Hagia Sophia and use it as an Orthodox cathedral .
The move comes after Recep Erdogan ’ s controversial decision to turn the Emperor Justinian ’ s Byzantine wonder into a mosque .
It was built in 537 as a Christian church , but Ottomans converted it into a mosque after their conquest of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of Kamal Atatürk turned it into a museum in 1935 .
Russia will help to fund a scaled down version in the western Syrian province of Hama , with site preparation work to begin in August .
The decision is being interpreted as a Russian rebuke to Erdogan .
Vitaly Milonov , a Russian legislator , told RIA Novosti news agency : “ Syria , unlike Turkey , is a country that clearly shows the possibility of peaceful and positive interfaith dialogue .
President Bashar al-Assad would never transfer a cathedral from one @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the cathedral is a few kilometres south of a Turkish military base .
According to Lebanese newspaper Al-Modon , the project was the idea of Nabeul Al-Abdullah , the leader of a pro-regime militia , who donated the land for the project .
The making of Hagia Sophia into an official mosque , again , is a sign of Turkey ’ s aspirations to return to her glory days , when the Church that so symbolized the glory of Christendom , was taken by Islamic hands .
With the rise of Turkey comes @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s biggest enemy .
The tension between Turkey and Russia is not at just the governmental level , but at the ecclesiastical level as well .
There is a rivalry between Russia and Constantinople over who is going to be the head of the Orthodox Church .
This is a rivalry that has been going on for decades .
In order to have a better understanding of this , its essential to know how Russia sees herself within the Orthodox world .
The Russian Orthodox Church sees Moscow as the “ third @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Russian church believes that Moscow has been the third Rome since 1453 when the Ottomans invades Constantinople .
We find this belief held in Russia going as far back as 1491 .
For example , Metropolitan of Moscow , Zosima , in a foreword to his 1492 Presentation of the Paschalion , praises Ivan III as : “ the new Tsar Constantine of the new city of Constantine — Moscow.
” In the 16th century the monk , Philotheus , wrote to the king as such : They see the Vatican and Constantinople @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , and Moscow as the third and perpetual Rome .
It is of no surprise , then , to see that for a long time Moscow and Constantinople have been in a continuous war over influence and authority .
A clear demonstration of this rivalry was what happened last year when the Constantinople Patriarchate announced that the Ukrainians would be allowed to have an Orthodox Church independent of the Moscow Patriarchate , after which the Russian Orthodox Church did a schism from Constantinople in 2018 .
For four centuries the Ukrainian church had @ @ @ @ @ @ @ under Patriarch Bartholomew of Constantinople — it was allowed to sever from the Russians .
As we read in the New York Times : The Ukrainians enthusiastically accepted the permission given to them by Constantinople , because it was truly a political decision that gave them a sense of national empowerment and liberation from Russian influence .
The nationalism of the Ukrainians ’ was made evident when the Ukrainian parliament — not too long after the Ukrainian church broke away from Moscow — voted in favor of the government to force the Russian @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to be under the title of “ Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine.
” The vote was done with nationalist declarations of “ Glory to Ukraine !
” by parliamentarians .
What was not widely reported was how the forming of an independent Ukrainian church was not something that simply came from Bartholomew ’ s own accord , but was the result of massive pressure on the Constantinople Patriarchate from the Turks who pressured the Orthodox Church at the request of the Americans as part of a negotiation to end the sanctions that the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to a report from Modern Diplomacy : “ One of Washington ’ s main conditions for lifting the sanctions is Brunson ’ s release .
However , there is another one – the autocephaly [ independence ] for the Ukrainian Orthodox Church ( UOC ) , the author states .
In April , Kyiv , which strives to break away from the Russian Orthodox Church and create an independent Ukrainian Church , addressed the Ecumenical Patriarchate with an appeal to grant the autocephaly .
According to Patriarch Bartholomew , who delivered a speech @ @ @ @ @ @ @ still-ongoing official process is to yield the results shortly .
The previous week , in an interview to BBC Ukraine , the leader of Crimean Tatars and a member of the Ukrainian Parliament Mustafa Dzhemilev said that President Erdogan had confirmed his support in the process of granting autocephaly to the Ukrainian Church .
“ I told him that today Moscow is like a Mecca for the Orthodox but after the UOC becomes independent Istanbul will take the place of Moscow , ” Dzhemilev noticed .
According to him , when he and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ July 12 , the Turkish leader assured that he would do “ everything possible ” for the Ukrainian autocephaly and said that he understood the importance of this issue for the Crimean Tatars.
” In other words , Erdogan was acting as pope over Bartholomew himself , taking control of the church to exasperate tensions with the Russians .
What we were seeing at that time was an intense rivalry between Istanbul and Moscow through the competition between two Orthodox Patriarchates .
It was a manifestation of the clear deterioration of the relationship @ @ @ @ @ @ @ truly seen in the previous year , October of 2018 , when the Moscow Patriarchate did a literal schism from Constantinople .
Russia decided to break communion with Constantinople after the latter announced that it was going to give independence ( autocephaly ) to the Ukrainians , allow the Ukrainian church to ordain the Metropolitan of Kiev ( instead of Moscow , which is how it was for centuries ) , and to lift the excommunications of two Ukrainian churches which were operating independent of Moscow and considered schismatics by the Moscow Patriarchates @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the 15th of October , 2018 , the Holy Synod of the Russian Orthodox Church banned all members of the Moscow Patriarchate from partaking in communion , baptism , and marriage in any churches under the authority of the Ecumenical Patriarchate in Constantinople .
The Russian Orthodox Church threatened to break off from any Orthodox church that recognized the Ukrainian church .
In October of 2019 , the Greek Orthodox Church ’ s Archbishop Leronymos II of Athens , wrote a letter declaring his recognition of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church .
In November @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not say the name of the primate of the Church of Greece in the liturgy , thus removing him from the diptych .
In December of that year , the Russians severed ties with the Orthodox Church of Alexandria , Egypt , after it also recognized the Ukrainian Orthodox Church .
And who caused all of this schism ?
Erdogan and his American backers .
The anger over an independent Ukrainian church is understandable given the past history of Ukraine as the spiritual head of all Russia .
In January of 2019 , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ not on the periphery of our church .
We call Kiev ‘ the mother of all Russian cities.
’ For us Kiev is what Jerusalem is for many .
Russian Orthodoxy began there , so under no circumstances can we abandon this historical and spiritual relationship .
The whole unity of our Local Church is based on these spiritual ties.
” When Russia lost control over Ukraine after the fall of the Soviet Union , the Russian Orthodox Church began to promote the idea of Russkiy mir ( “ Russian world ” ) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ descended from the Kievan Rus .
As one Orthodox site explains : So , the Russian struggle to control the Ukrainian church is about fulfilling an ideological goal of Russian unity and also to maintain Russian hegemony .
The Turks and Americans , through the Constantinople Patriarchate , split the Ukrainian church from the Moscow Patriarchate , thus fragmenting the unity of the Russian Orthodox Church and accelerating tensions between Russians and Ukrainians .
What has been occurring between Russia and Istanbul in the struggle over the Ukrainian church has occurred similarly before @ @ @ @ @ @ @ Russian Orthodox Church wanted to maintain control over the Estonian Apostolic Orthodox Church ( EAOC ) , which was under the authority of the Constantinople Patriarchate .
In 1940 the Soviet Union annexed Estonia and after1944 the EAOC went into exile to Sweden .
In 1945 , the Russian Orthodox Church abolished the autonomy of the EAOC which recounted : “ [ t ] he autonomy of the Orthodox Church of Estonia , accorded in 1923 by the Oecumenical Patriarch Meletios , was abolished in March 9 , 1945 by force , unilaterally @ @ @ @ @ @ @ informing the Oecumenical Patriarch about it nor waiting for his consentment ” .
In 1991 the EAOC gained independence from the Russian church with the approval of Patriarch Bartholomew who installed for Estonia an Archbishop in 1996 .
In response to this , Patriarch Alexy II of Moscow severed all ties with Bartholomew .
On February 24th 1996 , Bartholomew wrote a letter to Alexy condemning Russia ’ s schism and also reminded Alexy of the power goals of Russia through the institution of its church : The Americans understood — and still @ @ @ @ @ @ @ are ) definite tensions between Moscow and Constantinople .
A 2004 cable from the US Consul General in Istanbul details the tensions between the two Patriarchates : In May of 1996 , Moscow and Constantinople resolved the issue and ended the schism .
Notwithstanding this , the schism was a reflection of the conflict between Moscow and Constantinople .
The tensions never ended ; for the two patriarchates are now in another schism the cause of which was influenced by American and Turkish agitation .
If the creation of an independent Ukrainian church @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of Turkey and the US , it makes one wonder what is behind the curtains of Turkey making the Hagia Sophia into a mosque again .
Regardless , what we do know is that Turkey ’ s recent action is to the benefit of Russia .
It further weakens the Constantinople Patriarchate ’ s position since the icon of Orthodoxy — the Hagia Sofia — is now an official mosque , and strengthens the position of the Moscow Patriarchate .
On paper , the Constantinople Patriarchate is the head of the Orthodox Church @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the vibrancy of Orthodoxy is in Russia .
When Christians were being slaughtered by ISIS in Syria and Iraq , it was Russia — not Istanbul — that the Christian world was turning to for help and hope .
The Russian Orthodox Church ( unlike the Constantinople Patriarchate ) has an entire military apparatus alongside her , with entire armies of soldiers who go to the Orthodox Church for Communion and hope ; thus , the zeal of the Orthodox Church is alive in Russia .
With the Hagia Sophia made into a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to Russia as the savior of the Hagia Sophia .
Russia will use this to her advantage to gather the Orthodox world under her influence .
When looking at the Hagia Sophia situation , we can see it under the same light of the Ukrainian church being allowed to sever from the Moscow Patriarchate under the pressures of Turkey ( and Russia , as a response , breaking from Constantinople ) : it is part of a struggle for power and influence between Russia and Turkey .

By Theodore Shoebat
As an expression of defiance towards Turkey, Russia is building a new version of the Hagia Sophia right in Syria, as we read in a report from GCR:
Russia has agreed to help the Syrian government build a replica of Istanbul’s Hagia Sophia and use it as an Orthodox cathedral. The move comes after Recep Erdogan’s controversial decision to turn the Emperor Justinian’s Byzantine wonder into a mosque. It was built in 537 as a Christian church, but Ottomans converted it into a mosque after their conquest of Constantinople in 1453. The secular republic of Kamal Atatürk turned it into a museum in 1935. Russia will help to fund a scaled down version in the western Syrian province of Hama, with site preparation work to begin in August. The decision is being interpreted as a Russian rebuke to Erdogan. Vitaly Milonov, a Russian legislator, told RIA Novosti news agency: “Syria, unlike Turkey, is a country that clearly shows the possibility of peaceful and positive interfaith dialogue. President Bashar al-Assad would never transfer a cathedral from one denomination to another.” The site of the cathedral is a few kilometres south of a Turkish military base. According to Lebanese newspaper Al-Modon, the project was the idea of Nabeul Al-Abdullah, the leader of a pro-regime militia, who donated the land for the project.
The making of Hagia Sophia into an official mosque, again, is a sign of Turkey’s aspirations to return to her glory days, when the Church that so symbolized the glory of Christendom, was taken by Islamic hands. With the rise of Turkey comes also the rise of Russia, Istanbul’s biggest enemy. The tension between Turkey and Russia is not at just the governmental level, but at the ecclesiastical level as well.
There is a rivalry between Russia and Constantinople over who is going to be the head of the Orthodox Church. This is a rivalry that has been going on for decades. In order to have a better understanding of this, its essential to know how Russia sees herself within the Orthodox world. The Russian Orthodox Church sees Moscow as the “third Rome”. In fact, the Russian church believes that Moscow has been the third Rome since 1453 when the Ottomans invades Constantinople. We find this belief held in Russia going as far back as 1491. For example, Metropolitan of Moscow, Zosima, in a foreword to his 1492 Presentation of the Paschalion, praises Ivan III as: “the new Tsar Constantine of the new city of Constantine — Moscow.” In the 16th century the monk, Philotheus, wrote to the king as such:
“So know, pious king, that all the Christian kingdoms came to an end and came together in a single kingdom of yours, two Romes have fallen, the third stands, and there will be no fourth.”
They see the Vatican and Constantinople as the two Romes that have fallen, and Moscow as the third and perpetual Rome. It is of no surprise, then, to see that for a long time Moscow and Constantinople have been in a continuous war over influence and authority. A clear demonstration of this rivalry was what happened last year when the Constantinople Patriarchate announced that the Ukrainians would be allowed to have an Orthodox Church independent of the Moscow Patriarchate, after which the Russian Orthodox Church did a schism from Constantinople in 2018. For four centuries the Ukrainian church had been under Moscow, but then — under Patriarch Bartholomew of Constantinople — it was allowed to sever from the Russians. As we read in the New York Times:
“The spiritual leader of Eastern Orthodox Christians worldwide recognized the independence of the Orthodox Church of Ukraine in a four-hour ceremony in Istanbul on Sunday, formalizing a split with the Russian church to which it had been tied for more than four centuries. Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew I, the spiritual leader, handed a Tomos of Autocephaly containing a decree of independence to the newly appointed Metropolitan Epiphanius of Ukraine, cleaving millions of Ukrainians from the Russian Orthodox Church.”
The Ukrainians enthusiastically accepted the permission given to them by Constantinople, because it was truly a political decision that gave them a sense of national empowerment and liberation from Russian influence. The nationalism of the Ukrainians’ was made evident when the Ukrainian parliament — not too long after the Ukrainian church broke away from Moscow — voted in favor of the government to force the Russian Orthodox parishes that are located in Ukraine to be under the title of “Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine.” The vote was done with nationalist declarations of “Glory to Ukraine!” by parliamentarians. What was not widely reported was how the forming of an independent Ukrainian church was not something that simply came from Bartholomew’s own accord, but was the result of massive pressure on the Constantinople Patriarchate from the Turks who pressured the Orthodox Church at the request of the Americans as part of a negotiation to end the sanctions that the US was imposing on Ankara. According to a report from Modern Diplomacy:
“One of Washington’s main conditions for lifting the sanctions is Brunson’s release. However, there is another one – the autocephaly [independence] for the Ukrainian Orthodox Church (UOC), the author states. In April, Kyiv, which strives to break away from the Russian Orthodox Church and create an independent Ukrainian Church, addressed the Ecumenical Patriarchate with an appeal to grant the autocephaly. According to Patriarch Bartholomew, who delivered a speech after the recent Sunday service, the still-ongoing official process is to yield the results shortly. The previous week, in an interview to BBC Ukraine, the leader of Crimean Tatars and a member of the Ukrainian Parliament Mustafa Dzhemilev said that President Erdogan had confirmed his support in the process of granting autocephaly to the Ukrainian Church. “I told him that today Moscow is like a Mecca for the Orthodox but after the UOC becomes independent Istanbul will take the place of Moscow,” Dzhemilev noticed. According to him, when he and Ukrainian president Poroshenko met with Erdogan on July 12, the Turkish leader assured that he would do “everything possible” for the Ukrainian autocephaly and said that he understood the importance of this issue for the Crimean Tatars.”
In other words, Erdogan was acting as pope over Bartholomew himself, taking control of the church to exasperate tensions with the Russians. What we were seeing at that time was an intense rivalry between Istanbul and Moscow through the competition between two Orthodox Patriarchates. It was a manifestation of the clear deterioration of the relationship between Moscow and Constantinople, which was truly seen in the previous year, October of 2018, when the Moscow Patriarchate did a literal schism from Constantinople. Russia decided to break communion with Constantinople after the latter announced that it was going to give independence (autocephaly) to the Ukrainians, allow the Ukrainian church to ordain the Metropolitan of Kiev (instead of Moscow, which is how it was for centuries), and to lift the excommunications of two Ukrainian churches which were operating independent of Moscow and considered schismatics by the Moscow Patriarchates.
When Russia made its decision in the 15th of October, 2018, the Holy Synod of the Russian Orthodox Church banned all members of the Moscow Patriarchate from partaking in communion, baptism, and marriage in any churches under the authority of the Ecumenical Patriarchate in Constantinople. The Russian Orthodox Church threatened to break off from any Orthodox church that recognized the Ukrainian church. In October of 2019, the Greek Orthodox Church’s Archbishop Leronymos II of Athens, wrote a letter declaring his recognition of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church. In November 2019, Patriarch Kirill of Moscow did not say the name of the primate of the Church of Greece in the liturgy, thus removing him from the diptych. In December of that year, the Russians severed ties with the Orthodox Church of Alexandria, Egypt, after it also recognized the Ukrainian Orthodox Church.
And who caused all of this schism? Erdogan and his American backers.
The anger over an independent Ukrainian church is understandable given the past history of Ukraine as the spiritual head of all Russia. In January of 2019, Patriarch Kirill explained: “Ukraine is not on the periphery of our church. We call Kiev ‘the mother of all Russian cities.’ For us Kiev is what Jerusalem is for many. Russian Orthodoxy began there, so under no circumstances can we abandon this historical and spiritual relationship. The whole unity of our Local Church is based on these spiritual ties.” When Russia lost control over Ukraine after the fall of the Soviet Union, the Russian Orthodox Church began to promote the idea of Russkiy mir (“Russian world”), or the unity of all peoples descended from the Kievan Rus. As one Orthodox site explains:
“In addressing the ongoing political and ecclesiastical conflict in Ukraine, many have rightly brought up the Russkiy Mir (“Russian world”) ideology promoted by many in the leadership of the Russian Orthodox Church. This ideology, concocted as a reaction to the loss of Russian control over Ukraine and Belarus after the fall of the Soviet Union, seeks to assert a spiritual and cultural unity of the peoples descended from the Kievan Rus, presumably under Russian leadership.”
So, the Russian struggle to control the Ukrainian church is about fulfilling an ideological goal of Russian unity and also to maintain Russian hegemony. The Turks and Americans, through the Constantinople Patriarchate, split the Ukrainian church from the Moscow Patriarchate, thus fragmenting the unity of the Russian Orthodox Church and accelerating tensions between Russians and Ukrainians. What has been occurring between Russia and Istanbul in the struggle over the Ukrainian church has occurred similarly before, only except with Estonia.
The Russian Orthodox Church wanted to maintain control over the Estonian Apostolic Orthodox Church (EAOC), which was under the authority of the Constantinople Patriarchate. In 1940 the Soviet Union annexed Estonia and after1944 the EAOC went into exile to Sweden. In 1945, the Russian Orthodox Church abolished the autonomy of the EAOC which recounted: “[t]he autonomy of the Orthodox Church of Estonia, accorded in 1923 by the Oecumenical Patriarch Meletios, was abolished in March 9, 1945 by force, unilaterally without respecting the canonical order and without informing the Oecumenical Patriarch about it nor waiting for his consentment”.
In 1991 the EAOC gained independence from the Russian church with the approval of Patriarch Bartholomew who installed for Estonia an Archbishop in 1996. In response to this, Patriarch Alexy II of Moscow severed all ties with Bartholomew. On February 24th 1996, Bartholomew wrote a letter to Alexy condemning Russia’s schism and also reminded Alexy of the power goals of Russia through the institution of its church:
“the Patriarchate of Russia during those years trespassed in countries under the spiritual jurisdiction of the Ecumenical Patriarchate, namely, Estonia, Hungary and elsewhere, always by the power of the Soviet army. The Church of Russia did not at the time seek the opinion of the Ecumenical Patriarchate, nor was any respect shown it. The annexation of the Orthodox Church of Estonia into the Most Holy Church of Russia happened arbitrarily and uncanonically. And it is certain that events which are uncanonical at one particular time are never blessed, never seen as efficacious, and never would they set a precedence.”
The Americans understood — and still understand — that there were (and are) definite tensions between Moscow and Constantinople. A 2004 cable from the US Consul General in Istanbul details the tensions between the two Patriarchates:
“Even assuming that the Patriarch can secure the viability of its Istanbul seat, however, Bartholomew faces another major challenge from Moscow-based Russian Patriarch Alexy II for ecclesiastical authority in the wider Orthodox world. Styling itself as the “Third Rome,” Moscow claims that it assumed authority within the Orthodox community beginning in the 15th century with the fall of Constantinople, the Byzantine Empire, and much of the Orthodox Balkans to the Ottoman Muslims and the subsequent elevation of Metropolitan Job of Moscow to the rank of Patriarch. Although temporarily suspended by the Soviet regime’s oppression of the Russian Orthodox Church for much of the 20th century, the Moscow church’s efforts to extend its influence beyond its geographic jurisdiction have continued unabated. With abundant sources of income among its vibrant community of over 100 million faithful, three seminaries in which to train new generations of clergy, and open political support from the Russian government, Alexy is well-placed to challenge Bartholomew on a number of fronts.”
In May of 1996, Moscow and Constantinople resolved the issue and ended the schism. Notwithstanding this, the schism was a reflection of the conflict between Moscow and Constantinople. The tensions never ended; for the two patriarchates are now in another schism the cause of which was influenced by American and Turkish agitation. If the creation of an independent Ukrainian church was done by Bartholomew at the pressure of Turkey and the US, it makes one wonder what is behind the curtains of Turkey making the Hagia Sophia into a mosque again.
Regardless, what we do know is that Turkey’s recent action is to the benefit of Russia. It further weakens the Constantinople Patriarchate’s position since the icon of Orthodoxy — the Hagia Sofia — is now an official mosque, and strengthens the position of the Moscow Patriarchate. On paper, the Constantinople Patriarchate is the head of the Orthodox Church; but in practice, all of the vibrancy of Orthodoxy is in Russia. When Christians were being slaughtered by ISIS in Syria and Iraq, it was Russia — not Istanbul — that the Christian world was turning to for help and hope. The Russian Orthodox Church (unlike the Constantinople Patriarchate) has an entire military apparatus alongside her, with entire armies of soldiers who go to the Orthodox Church for Communion and hope; thus, the zeal of the Orthodox Church is alive in Russia. With the Hagia Sophia made into a mosque, the Orthodox world will turn to Russia as the savior of the Hagia Sophia. Russia will use this to her advantage to gather the Orthodox world under her influence.
When looking at the Hagia Sophia situation, we can see it under the same light of the Ukrainian church being allowed to sever from the Moscow Patriarchate under the pressures of Turkey (and Russia, as a response, breaking from Constantinople): it is part of a struggle for power and influence between Russia and Turkey.
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shoebat--2020-08-03--Germany Approved Millions In Weapons To Be Sent To Turkey To Help The Turkish Government Invade Syri

Germany Approved Millions In Weapons To Be Sent To Turkey To Help The Turkish Government Invade Syria

Remember when it was being reported of how there were all these tensions between Germany and Turkey over the Turkish invasion of northern Syria ?
Well it has now been revealed that Germany approved of millions in arms to be sent to the Turkish military , as we read in a report from the Daily Sabah : < blockquote Germany approved millions of euros worth of arms deliveries to Turkey after its cross-border counterterrorism operations into Syria , according to the response to a parliamentary query fielded by Sevim Dağdelen of Die Linke ( The Left ) party .
In @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the start of the operation on Oct. 9 , 2019 , through July 22 , 2020 , the government gave the green light for deliveries worth 25.9 million euros ( $ 30.4 million . )
But there were no weapons of war among those exports , according to the response provided by the economics ministry which DPA has seen .
Turkish troops entered northern Syria to combat the YPG terrorists , the Syrian offshoot of the PKK terrorist group .
The German government then imposed a partial arms export ban , which only @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that can be used in Syria .
In 2018 , arms sales to Turkey – a NATO ally – totaled 242.8 million euros , making up for almost a third of Germany ’ s defense industry business .
This made Turkey by far the No .
1 importer of German weapons .
I remember last year writing on how the supposed tensions between Germany and Turkey was a show .
I wrote in November of 2019 : The perception of German-Turkish tensions I believe is created to make people think that the Germans @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
When Turkey was doing its offense in Afrin in 2018 , the Turks were using German Leopard tanks .
In January of 2018 , it was confirmed that Germany had been supplying Turkey with Leopard 2A4 tanks for its offensive against Afrin .
The public outcry over this was so loud that Germany announced that it would suspend a request by Turkey for German arms manufacturer Rheinmetall to upgrade the tanks to make them less vulnerable to explosives .
But this was all a show , since Germany did not cease its @ @ @ @ @ @ @ we even be surprised by this ?
Germany and the Turks have been allies since German unification in 1871 .
Such a long history is not going to change any time soon .
Germany ’ s new Defense Minister , Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer , wants to put thousands of German troops in Syria as a way to help stabilize the region .
According to a report from Kurdistan24 , Germany wants to deploy 2,500 troops , including scouts , special operations forces , and armored vehicles .
She wants this force of German troops @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and Turkey .
In an interview that she did with DW , Karrenbaur said : “ My recommendation is that we establish an internationally controlled security zone in cooperation with Turkey and Russia .
This security zone would seek to resume the fight against terror and against ISIS , which has currently come to a standstill.
” Now , Karrenbaur is stating that one of the goals of Germany is to make sure that Turkey does not remain permanently entrenched in Syria .
But , she also affirms that the move can not @ @ @ @ @ @ @ seeing to it that Turkey ’ s own interests are respected in talks on Syria : “ We have to see to it that on the one hand , Turkey does not remain in northern Syria .
We see the invasion as a violation of international law .
So the current situation must not be extended .
And , on the other hand , that the territory of Syria remains intact as stated in the resolution passed by the United Nations , and that the constitutional process currently getting underway is continued .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ European initiative , one we should discuss bilaterally with Turkey and Russia .
… In my view it is essential that we include Turkey in the discussions , because Turkey undeniably has its own security interests.
” In this , Karrenbaur appears to be duplicitous .
For one , she says that Turkey can not remain forever in Syria nor take more territory .
She then says that Turkey ’ s own interest must be factored in .
Turkey ’ s interests , ultimately , is to control the Middle East .
So @ @ @ @ @ @ @ on preventing an expanding Turkey if Turkey ’ s interests are going to be seen as something of importance ?
Turkey is not in Syria to be limited to only one part of a region , but to completely supplant the Syrian state .
Remember what Erdogan said : “ We entered [ Syria ] to end the rule of the tyrant al-Assad who terrorizes with state terror .
[ We didn ’ t enter ] for any other reason ” .
Turkey ’ s invasion of Syria is being done to completely @ @ @ @ @ @ @ words , its a takeover .
Turkey ’ s interest is domination .
So if Germany is going to respect Turkey ’ s interests , then Germany is going to have to back further Turkish expansionism .
By this , Germany is supporting the revival of Turkish power , which means the revival of the Ottoman Empire .
If Turkey continues to push further into Syria , expect more Syrian migrants moving out for Europe , which means more ethno-nationalism in Europe .
Germany ’ s policies is actually helping the ultranationalist cause @ @ @ @ @ @ @ this is what Germany wants .
Donate now to help support the work of this site .
When you donate , you are not donating to just any commentary group , but one that is endlessly observing the news , reading between the lines and separating hysteria and perception from reality .
In shoebat.com , we are working every day , tirelessly investigating global trends and providing data and analysis to tell you what lies for the future .

By Theodore Shoebat
Remember when it was being reported of how there were all these tensions between Germany and Turkey over the Turkish invasion of northern Syria? Well it has now been revealed that Germany approved of millions in arms to be sent to the Turkish military, as we read in a report from the Daily Sabah:


shoebat--2020-08-03--Former Clinton Campaign Spokesman To Biden: ‘Don’t Debate Trump’

The 2020 presidential race seems to have the level of excitement of a geriatric checkers tournament , but according to a former Clinton campaign spokesman and reported by way of Fox News , he advised that Biden should not debate President Trump , and the answer is simple .
It is because while Trump has no real arguments , he will be able to easily talk around the confused and very likely mentally-declining Joe Biden into making him look more foolish than what he has already been able to do on his own .
Joe Lockhart , the former White @ @ @ @ @ @ @ last week urging Joe Biden to skip debating President Trump prior to the November election .
“ Whatever you do , don ’ t debate Trump , ” he wrote on CNN .
“ Trump has made more than 20,000 misleading or false statements according to the Washington Post .
It ’ s a fool ’ s errand to enter the ring with someone who can ’ t follow the rules or the truth .
Biden will undoubtedly take heat from Republicans and the media for skipping the debates .
But it ’ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ debate someone incapable of telling the truth is an impossible contest to win.
” Trump supporters have poked fun at the former vice president for conducting many of his interviews from home .
Trump ’ s defenders have also speculated about Biden ’ s overall health , and Biden ’ s refusal to debate could provide more cannon fodder .
Trump supporters have also said Democrats and their allies in mainstream media remember how effective Trump was in getting his message across to voters during live press conferences in 2016 , and they @ @ @ @ @ @ @ that kind of platform again .
Lockhart pointed out that many polls are unfavorable for Trump and “ every quantitative signal and historical precedent points to a surefire loss for the President in November.
” ( source ) In spite of what many say , the overall trend is still in favor of Trump , but simply because Biden is such an absolutely miserable choice for a candidate .
If Trump does win though , be prepared for a Democrat 2024 victory a-la the Obama victory of 2008 with an energetic candidate that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ ’ s all a part of the American political soap opera , where no matter what the party in power is , the story is always the same with just an occasional change in the actors and their roles .
Donate now to help support the work of this site .
When you donate , you are not donating to just any commentary group , but one that is endlessly observing the news , reading between the lines and separating hysteria and perception from reality .
In shoebat.com , we are working every @ @ @ @ @ @ @ providing data and analysis to tell you what lies for the future .
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The 2020 presidential race seems to have the level of excitement of a geriatric checkers tournament, but according to a former Clinton campaign spokesman and reported by way of Fox News, he advised that Biden should not debate President Trump, and the answer is simple. It is because while Trump has no real arguments, he will be able to easily talk around the confused and very likely mentally-declining Joe Biden into making him look more foolish than what he has already been able to do on his own.
Joe Lockhart, the former White House press secretary, penned an op-ed last week urging Joe Biden to skip debating President Trump prior to the November election. “Whatever you do, don’t debate Trump,” he wrote on CNN. “Trump has made more than 20,000 misleading or false statements according to the Washington Post. It’s a fool’s errand to enter the ring with someone who can’t follow the rules or the truth. Biden will undoubtedly take heat from Republicans and the media for skipping the debates. But it’s worth the risk as trying to debate someone incapable of telling the truth is an impossible contest to win.” Trump supporters have poked fun at the former vice president for conducting many of his interviews from home. Trump’s defenders have also speculated about Biden’s overall health, and Biden’s refusal to debate could provide more cannon fodder. Trump supporters have also said Democrats and their allies in mainstream media remember how effective Trump was in getting his message across to voters during live press conferences in 2016, and they do not want to give the president that kind of platform again. Lockhart pointed out that many polls are unfavorable for Trump and “every quantitative signal and historical precedent points to a surefire loss for the President in November.” (source)
In spite of what many say, the overall trend is still in favor of Trump, but simply because Biden is such an absolutely miserable choice for a candidate.
If Trump does win though, be prepared for a Democrat 2024 victory a-la the Obama victory of 2008 with an energetic candidate that will charge the Democrat base. It’s all a part of the American political soap opera, where no matter what the party in power is, the story is always the same with just an occasional change in the actors and their roles.
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shoebat--2020-08-03--Federal Reserve: US Needs Another Lockdown To “Save” The Economy

According to a story from The Hill , Federal Reserve officials are now saying the US needs another lockdown in order to “ save ” the economy .
The government should again impose strict coronavirus-related lockdowns for a month or longer across the U.S. in order to boost the economy , a top Federal Reserve official said Sunday .
Neel Kashkari , president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank , said the nation needs to control the spread of the virus , which is increasing across much of the country , to get back on a path to economic health @ @ @ @ @ @ @ way we ’ re really going to have a real robust economic recovery .
Otherwise , we ’ re going to have flare-ups , lockdowns and a very halting recovery with many more job losses and many more bankruptcies for an extended period of time unfortunately , ” Kashkari said on CBS ’ s “ Face the Nation.
” To do so , he suggested strict shutdowns , which is contrary to what President Trump and many of his allies have been pushing in recent months as measures to aid the economy .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ lock down really hard , I know I hate to even suggest it , people will be frustrated by it , but if we were to lock down hard for a month or six weeks , we could get the case count down so that our testing and our contact tracing was actually enough to control it the way that it ’ s happening in the Northeast right now , ” Kashkari said .
“ They had a rocky start , but they ’ re doing a pretty good job right now.
” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the country with flare-ups and local lockdowns for the “ the next year or two , ” causing more businesses to fail , without such measures .
“ We ’ re going to see many , many more business bankruptcies , small businesses , big businesses , and that ’ s going to take a lot of time to recover from to rebuild those businesses and then to bring workers back in and re-engage them in the workforce .
That ’ s going to be a much slower recovery for all of us @ @ @ @ @ @ @ said that Congress can afford large sums for coronavirus relief efforts , though Republican lawmakers are looking to lessen the amount of supplemental aid for unemployed Americans as part of the next relief bill .
“ Right now , the U.S. can fund itself at very , very low rates .
Congress should use this opportunity to support the American people and the American economy .
I ’ m not worried about it , ” he said .
“ If we get the economy growing , we will be able to pay off @ @ @ @ @ @ @ does not see evidence to support claims made by Republicans and Trump administration officials that the $ 600 federal increase to unemployment benefits is discouraging Americans from getting back to work .
“ There ’ s just so many fewer jobs than there are workers available , ” he said .
“ At some point , it ’ ll be an issue .
When we get the unemployment rate eventually back down to 5 percent , and we want to get it back down to 4 percent or 3 1/2 , where it @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to work becomes material .
But right now , it ’ s simply not a factor in the macro-economy that we have in the U.S. because we have so many millions of Americans out of work.
” ( source )

According to a story from The Hill, Federal Reserve officials are now saying the US needs another lockdown in order to “save” the economy.
The government should again impose strict coronavirus-related lockdowns for a month or longer across the U.S. in order to boost the economy, a top Federal Reserve official said Sunday. Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, said the nation needs to control the spread of the virus, which is increasing across much of the country, to get back on a path to economic health. “That’s the only way we’re really going to have a real robust economic recovery. Otherwise, we’re going to have flare-ups, lockdowns and a very halting recovery with many more job losses and many more bankruptcies for an extended period of time unfortunately,” Kashkari said on CBS’s “Face the Nation.” To do so, he suggested strict shutdowns, which is contrary to what President Trump and many of his allies have been pushing in recent months as measures to aid the economy. “I mean if we were to lock down really hard, I know I hate to even suggest it, people will be frustrated by it, but if we were to lock down hard for a month or six weeks, we could get the case count down so that our testing and our contact tracing was actually enough to control it the way that it’s happening in the Northeast right now,” Kashkari said. “They had a rocky start, but they’re doing a pretty good job right now.” He warned the virus will spread throughout the country with flare-ups and local lockdowns for the “the next year or two,” causing more businesses to fail, without such measures. “We’re going to see many, many more business bankruptcies, small businesses, big businesses, and that’s going to take a lot of time to recover from to rebuild those businesses and then to bring workers back in and re-engage them in the workforce. That’s going to be a much slower recovery for all of us,” Kashkari said. He also said that Congress can afford large sums for coronavirus relief efforts, though Republican lawmakers are looking to lessen the amount of supplemental aid for unemployed Americans as part of the next relief bill. “Right now, the U.S. can fund itself at very, very low rates. Congress should use this opportunity to support the American people and the American economy. I’m not worried about it,” he said. “If we get the economy growing, we will be able to pay off the debt.” Kashkari also said he does not see evidence to support claims made by Republicans and Trump administration officials that the $600 federal increase to unemployment benefits is discouraging Americans from getting back to work. “There’s just so many fewer jobs than there are workers available,” he said. “At some point, it’ll be an issue. When we get the unemployment rate eventually back down to 5 percent, and we want to get it back down to 4 percent or 3 1/2, where it was before, yes, that disincentive to work becomes material. But right now, it’s simply not a factor in the macro-economy that we have in the U.S. because we have so many millions of Americans out of work.” (source)
There is no saving the US economy.
As I have mentioned many times before, the problems with the US economy are directly tied to the debt issues. In short, the US is having the problems because she borrowed too much and spent it all and has no way to pay it back without destroying the value of the dollar and plunging the world into a major economic crisis.
There are only two solutions right now- a decades long global depression by way of deflation, or printing the currency to hyperinflation, and historically speaking, governments almost unilaterally do the latter for political reasons. Given how Trump printed 40% of the 2019 US budget with the recent Families First Coronoavirus Response Act, and how he is about to do the same with a second stimulus check, the answer is clear that the government is likely going to elect the latter instead of the former.
The only thing a second lockdown will do is to provide a cheap veneer of a political excuse for doing the latter. The economic death cycle is overdue and was going to happen anyways. This is an attempt at a justification for the public so political parties can play the act of blaming each other while taking no responsibility as the country burns.
Nobody is going to help you. You have to help yourself, and the best way to do this is by getting ready now. Work extra, save what one can, make the appropriate provisions now, and prepare for then next five-to-ten years of having a major economic storm with a lot of serious difficulties. All storms pass, but the issue is making sure that one can pull through it.
Now is not the time to listen to political talk, but to get to work while one still is able to do so.
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shoebat--2020-08-03--France And Germany Want To Produce More Of Their Own Weapons, “Rely” Less On The US

We have been warning you at Shoebat.com that Europe- specifically Germany -is going to go back to war .
We have said to watch for remilitarization efforts and reductions in purchasing from the US as a part of this .
Now according the German newspaper Weil am Sonntag by way of RT , France and Germany are moving to “ rely less ” on weapons purchases from the US and they begin to produce more of their own weapons .
France and Germany want to cut their technological dependence on the US – a NATO ally – and rely more @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to manufacturing military equipment , according to German newspaper Welt am Sonntag .
Military producers in Germany and France are reportedly attempting to phase out US technologies in helicopter construction , making a new assault rifle for the German Armed Forces ( Bundeswehr ) , as well as a new fighter jet developed under the Future Combat Air System ( FCAS ) program , led by the two nations ’ planemakers .
The protection of sensitive data is one of the reasons behind the push to gain more independence from the US in @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
Moreover , the companies are concerned that Washington maintains control over any equipment using its technology under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations ( ITAR ) , and can therefore block arms exports .
“ Without ITAR and other US regulatory systems , Europe gets more freedom in who to supply with military products , ” said Florent Chauvancy , sales director of the Helicopter Engines Department of French manufacturer Safran , as cited by the publication .
According to the report , Safran wants to partner with German manufacturer ZF Friedrichshafen @ @ @ @ @ @ @ be installed in a large military drone .
However , it is currently unclear whether the European military ’ s bid to completely avoid US technology is a realistic one .
The news comes shortly after the US announced the withdrawal of roughly 12,000 US troops from Germany , as US President Donald Trump repeatedly accused Europe – and Berlin in particular – of failing to pay its share of NATO ’ s defense costs .
At the same time , the president said he doesn ’ t want to “ protect ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ of dollars ” for imports of energy from Russia .
( source ) This is a very bad sign of what we have warned about , and this comes not long after Trump pulled more US troops out of Germany .
We have said before , and will say again , there is going to be a Third World War .
We are seeing a scramble for Africa right now as well as the rise of nationalism , resource fighting , political divisions , and racial tensions alongside a failing global economy .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
The 2020s are going to be a decade of remilitarization , and by the end of the 2020 and early 2030s , there is a strong chance there will be war .
Watch Germany closely- she has a very long history of war , and the worst wars the world has ever seen ( World War II , World War I , and the Thirty Years War ) all began in Germany , and this should be a lesson , for as the Germanic lands quake , the Earth itself prepares to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ again .
Be ready for this- don ’ t get caught unprepared .
Donate now to help support the work of this site .
When you donate , you are not donating to just any commentary group , but one that is endlessly observing the news , reading between the lines and separating hysteria and perception from reality .
In shoebat.com , we are working every day , tirelessly investigating global trends and providing data and analysis to tell you what lies for the future .
CLICK HERE TO FOLLOW OUR NEW SHOEBAT @ @

We have been warning you at Shoebat.com that Europe- specifically Germany -is going to go back to war. We have said to watch for remilitarization efforts and reductions in purchasing from the US as a part of this. Now according the German newspaper Weil am Sonntag by way of RT, France and Germany are moving to “rely less” on weapons purchases from the US and they begin to produce more of their own weapons.
France and Germany want to cut their technological dependence on the US – a NATO ally – and rely more on their own products when it comes to manufacturing military equipment, according to German newspaper Welt am Sonntag. Military producers in Germany and France are reportedly attempting to phase out US technologies in helicopter construction, making a new assault rifle for the German Armed Forces (Bundeswehr), as well as a new fighter jet developed under the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) program, led by the two nations’ planemakers. The protection of sensitive data is one of the reasons behind the push to gain more independence from the US in military production, the German outlet reported. Moreover, the companies are concerned that Washington maintains control over any equipment using its technology under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR), and can therefore block arms exports. “Without ITAR and other US regulatory systems, Europe gets more freedom in who to supply with military products,” said Florent Chauvancy, sales director of the Helicopter Engines Department of French manufacturer Safran, as cited by the publication. According to the report, Safran wants to partner with German manufacturer ZF Friedrichshafen to develop a new drive which could be installed in a large military drone. However, it is currently unclear whether the European military’s bid to completely avoid US technology is a realistic one. The news comes shortly after the US announced the withdrawal of roughly 12,000 US troops from Germany, as US President Donald Trump repeatedly accused Europe – and Berlin in particular – of failing to pay its share of NATO’s defense costs. At the same time, the president said he doesn’t want to “protect” Germany, as it pays “billions of dollars” for imports of energy from Russia. (source)
This is a very bad sign of what we have warned about, and this comes not long after Trump pulled more US troops out of Germany.
We have said before, and will say again, there is going to be a Third World War. We are seeing a scramble for Africa right now as well as the rise of nationalism, resource fighting, political divisions, and racial tensions alongside a failing global economy. These are all major signs of war.
The 2020s are going to be a decade of remilitarization, and by the end of the 2020 and early 2030s, there is a strong chance there will be war.
Watch Germany closely- she has a very long history of war, and the worst wars the world has ever seen (World War II, World War I, and the Thirty Years War) all began in Germany, and this should be a lesson, for as the Germanic lands quake, the Earth itself prepares to be shaken to her core once more again.
Be ready for this- don’t get caught unprepared.
.
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shoebat--2020-08-04--My Bizarre And Disturbing Experience In The Catholic Church

Some of my disturbing experiences in the Catholic Church :

Pakistani Government Signs Law That Would Put People In Prison For Life For "Blaspheming" Muhammad The government of Pakistan just signed a law that could...


shoebat--2020-08-04--Tens Of Millions Of People May Be Evicted In The Coming Months

Being homeless is an awful thing .
Forget the obvious things such as danger , crazy people , rain , drug addicts , drunks , rapists , and just the worst men and women that one could ever meet , the kind of people that would stab a man for a few dollars because he wants a snack pack of pre-made donuts in a plastic wrapper from the local corner store and values human life less than that .
This is not to say that all homeless people are like this , for there are many who are not , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , this is what one will experience on a regular basis , and eventually see such things as not abnormal , but must another day at the “ grind ” of life and work .
What I am talking about is not the above .
I am talking about the obvious question of “ where do I go from here ?
” Homelessness has that effect- it strips a man of his “ rooting ” and like a plant thrown out from a pot , can lead a man to perish or whither @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a very short time .
Even if one has an apartment in a bad neighborhood filled with bugs and bad tenants , a bad pot is often better than no pot because it is a place that one can tie oneself to and live in .
Even people who live out of vans full-time have their automobiles organized so they are essentially apartments with wheels , thus tying them to the vehicles as opposed to nothing .
It is this difference that psychologically as well as mentally and for the purposes of daily @ @ @ @ @ @ @ people that enable them to function as “ normal people ” by way of providing the means for organization .
Without a place , one might as well live in a suitcase , and that always tends to disorder unless there is an environment around into which one can place himself to organize his things , such as a hotel room , which is an attempt at “ rooting ” even if it is for just a time .
I have been warning because of COVID-19 and based one the economic models that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ fiscal reports , the Federal Reserve bank , HUD , employment reports , and forecasts from major banks that the current economic crisis is going to be long-term and will lead to a housing crisis because being unable to pay their bills , people will lose their homes and become homeless .
One may remember tales of the “ wandering men ” in the 1930s who went from town-to-town .
homeless and looking for work but only to find nothing , and yet that is what may happen again if current economic forecasts @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , …according to The Aspen Institute , as moratoriums enacted because of the coronavirus expire and courts reopen .
Around 30 state moratoriums have expired since May , according to The Eviction Lab at Princeton University .
On top of that , some tenants were already encountering illegal evictions even with the moratoriums .
Now , tenants are crowding courtrooms — or appearing virtually — to detail how the pandemic has upended their lives .
Some are low-income families who have endured evictions before , but there are also plenty of wealthier families @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and now being forced to navigate overcrowded and sometimes dangerous shelter systems amid the pandemic .
Experts predict the problem will only get worse in the coming weeks , with 30 million unemployed and uncertainty whether Congress will extend the extra $ 600 in weekly unemployment benefits that expired Friday .
The federal eviction moratorium that protects more than 12 million renters living in federally subsidized apartments or units with federally backed mortgages expired July 25 .
If it ’ s not extended , landlords can initiate eviction proceedings in 30 days .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ a mess , ” said Bill Faith , executive director of Coalition on Homelessness and Housing in Ohio , referring to the Census Bureau Household Pulse Survey , which found last week that more than 23 % of Ohioans questioned said they weren ’ t able to make last month ’ s rent or mortgage payment or had little or no confidence they could pay next month ’ s .
( source ) Ask yourself , what is going to be done to solve this ?
The problem is simple- home prices , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ .
They aren ’ t going to be lowered , because they can not be lest the owners of said properties are unable to pay their bills , and in turn find themselves homeless like the rest of the people they rent/loan to .
There is no happy ending to this .
Right now , we can see that the answer which the government has been attempting to apply is to print more money .
But how long can this go on for if there is no work to be had and the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ say that laws or regulations are not needed -that are helping to keep prices high are not taken away , let alone the threat of constant litigation ?
The future is going to be foreclosures , evictions , and for a not just millions , but tens of millions , homelessness to the level of going physically onto the streets and sleeping in a tend or other makeshift shelter .
As I stated above , the effect of this is incredibly demoralizing , is physically destructive , puts a man into grave physical @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to the stability of any society .
It is also generational too , since if one person seriously falls , it is very difficult to ever recover without a lot of work , and it is likely this person ’ s children will be in poverty and even grandchildren or possibly great and great-great grandchildren too .
What we are witnessing is the collapse of the political system by way of economics .
If the people can ’ t root themselves , the society can not stay politically rooted , and such is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the soil that is a breeding ground for a revolution .
Donate now to help support the work of this site .
When you donate , you are not donating to just any commentary group , but one that is endlessly observing the news , reading between the lines and separating hysteria and perception from reality .
In shoebat.com , we are working every day , tirelessly investigating global trends and providing data and analysis to tell you what lies for the future .
CLICK HERE TO FOLLOW OUR NEW SHOEBAT FACEBOOK PAGE

Being homeless is an awful thing. Forget the obvious things such as danger, crazy people, rain, drug addicts, drunks, rapists, and just the worst men and women that one could ever meet, the kind of people that would stab a man for a few dollars because he wants a snack pack of pre-made donuts in a plastic wrapper from the local corner store and values human life less than that. This is not to say that all homeless people are like this, for there are many who are not, but if one works with the homeless, this is what one will experience on a regular basis, and eventually see such things as not abnormal, but must another day at the “grind” of life and work.
What I am talking about is not the above. I am talking about the obvious question of “where do I go from here?” Homelessness has that effect- it strips a man of his “rooting” and like a plant thrown out from a pot, can lead a man to perish or whither away into nothing in a matter of a very short time. Even if one has an apartment in a bad neighborhood filled with bugs and bad tenants, a bad pot is often better than no pot because it is a place that one can tie oneself to and live in. Even people who live out of vans full-time have their automobiles organized so they are essentially apartments with wheels, thus tying them to the vehicles as opposed to nothing. It is this difference that psychologically as well as mentally and for the purposes of daily life, physically gives the connections to people that enable them to function as “normal people” by way of providing the means for organization. Without a place, one might as well live in a suitcase, and that always tends to disorder unless there is an environment around into which one can place himself to organize his things, such as a hotel room, which is an attempt at “rooting” even if it is for just a time.
I have been warning because of COVID-19 and based one the economic models that have been coming out from the government fiscal reports, the Federal Reserve bank, HUD, employment reports, and forecasts from major banks that the current economic crisis is going to be long-term and will lead to a housing crisis because being unable to pay their bills, people will lose their homes and become homeless. One may remember tales of the “wandering men” in the 1930s who went from town-to-town. homeless and looking for work but only to find nothing, and yet that is what may happen again if current economic forecasts come true. As the AP reports,
…according to The Aspen Institute, as moratoriums enacted because of the coronavirus expire and courts reopen. Around 30 state moratoriums have expired since May, according to The Eviction Lab at Princeton University. On top of that, some tenants were already encountering illegal evictions even with the moratoriums. Now, tenants are crowding courtrooms — or appearing virtually — to detail how the pandemic has upended their lives. Some are low-income families who have endured evictions before, but there are also plenty of wealthier families facing homelessness for the first time — and now being forced to navigate overcrowded and sometimes dangerous shelter systems amid the pandemic. Experts predict the problem will only get worse in the coming weeks, with 30 million unemployed and uncertainty whether Congress will extend the extra $600 in weekly unemployment benefits that expired Friday. The federal eviction moratorium that protects more than 12 million renters living in federally subsidized apartments or units with federally backed mortgages expired July 25. If it’s not extended, landlords can initiate eviction proceedings in 30 days. “It’s going to be a mess,” said Bill Faith, executive director of Coalition on Homelessness and Housing in Ohio, referring to the Census Bureau Household Pulse Survey, which found last week that more than 23% of Ohioans questioned said they weren’t able to make last month’s rent or mortgage payment or had little or no confidence they could pay next month’s. (source)
Ask yourself, what is going to be done to solve this?
The problem is simple- home prices, rents, etc. are too expensive. They aren’t going to be lowered, because they cannot be lest the owners of said properties are unable to pay their bills, and in turn find themselves homeless like the rest of the people they rent/loan to.
There is no happy ending to this. Right now, we can see that the answer which the government has been attempting to apply is to print more money. But how long can this go on for if there is no work to be had and the laws and regulations that exist- not to say that laws or regulations are not needed -that are helping to keep prices high are not taken away, let alone the threat of constant litigation?
The future is going to be foreclosures, evictions, and for a not just millions, but tens of millions, homelessness to the level of going physically onto the streets and sleeping in a tend or other makeshift shelter.
As I stated above, the effect of this is incredibly demoralizing, is physically destructive, puts a man into grave physical danger, and is an active threat to the stability of any society. It is also generational too, since if one person seriously falls, it is very difficult to ever recover without a lot of work, and it is likely this person’s children will be in poverty and even grandchildren or possibly great and great-great grandchildren too.
What we are witnessing is the collapse of the political system by way of economics. If the people can’t root themselves, the society cannot stay politically rooted, and such is not the soil of stability, but the soil that is a breeding ground for a revolution.
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shoebat--2020-08-04--Comedian John Cleese Declares that Comedy Is No Longer Funny

Since the 1960s , the British comedy troupe Monty Python has made millions- probably billions -of people laugh as the arguable geniuses of comedy , with their silly antics , weird costumes , avant-garde style , and very British mannerisms stormed the world of entertainment making movies and films that for a twentieth century context set a standard of humor for the English-speaking work .
While some members have passed away and the others are very old , they still continue to laugh at themselves and society as millions more laugh along with them to their criticisms and witticisms .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ for laughs .
Contrary to popular view , comedy is a serious thing , and the creators of Monty Python have made many serious comments about the nature of comedy , society , and their philosophies on life and how men should relate to each other .
The most outspoken member of the troupe , actor John Cleese ( also of the cult TV series fame Fawlty Towers ) has made many comments that have attracted public attention , including several years ago when commenting on the rise of nationalism , he said @ @ @ @ @ @ @ London from his youngest years , the migration and changes to that city have made it so that London “ no longer feels English ” , and that it is something he does not like , and makes him concerned for the future of the UK .
Cleese may be humorous and the “ stick-in-the-mud ” character in his acting , but when he speaks , he does so sincerely , and while he is an agnostic and generally a “ liberal ” type as it concerns politics , he is no fool @ @ @ @ @ @ @ him , his words seems to be said with much care and thought .
Thus it is of interest that recently , the Daily Beast reported how Cleese spoke about the future of comedy , saying that he was concerned about “ woke ” culture and how it is destroying comedy , adding that comedy today in a “ woke ” context is not poking fun at human frailties , which he says the Python troupe intended to do , but rather is a way of mocking people ’ s vulnerabilities as a @ @ @ @ @ @ @ funny .
“ It ’ s changed so completely , because , for example , we were never allowed to say ‘ fuck.
’ I mean , that was absolutely unacceptable .
Now nobody turns a head .
That ’ s a huge difference .
But you could make jokes .
There ’ s plenty of people who are PC now who have absolutely zero sense of humor .
I would love to debate , in a friendly way , a couple of ‘ woke ’ people in front of an audience .
@ @ @ @ @ @ @ would say is , please tell me a good ‘ woke ’ joke .
What they don ’ t understand is that there ’ s two types of teasing .
There ’ s really nasty teasing , which is horrible , and we shouldn ’ t do it , full stop .
But the other type of teasing is affectionate .
You can tease people hugely affectionately and it ’ s a bonding mechanism .
All humor is critical .
You can not get laughs out of perfect human beings .
If you @ @ @ @ @ @ @ screen who is perfect , intelligent and kind and flexible and a good person , there ’ s nothing funny about that .
So we only laugh at people ’ s frailties , but that ’ s not cruel .
You can laugh at people ’ s frailties in very funny and generous ways.
” ( source ) The Jewish American comedian Jerry Seinfeld has also expressed similar comments in years past .
Like Cleese , Seinfeld may be known for his archetypal characters that he plays , but he is a serious @ @ @ @ @ @ @ with him a lot of genuine insights .
Entertainment weekly talked about this , when in 2015 Seinfeld said that he does not do college campuses any more because students are so “ PC ” they can not laugh at themselves or others , they all become offended , and their actions ruin the show .
Now it is true that comedy is political , going back to ancient times , as Ted discussed .
Often times , comedy serves as a reflection of what a society gauges to be “ acceptable ” @ @ @ @ @ @ @ used to push boundaries .
Hence this is the reason why comedy traditionally attracts many revolutionary types , or those with unorthodox views , since the humor becomes an avenue for them to advance their ideas .
It is also why humor tends to be censored highly in very centrally controlled societies , since the humor is a direct threat to those in power as it can be weaponized against their rule .
Likewise , the change in the nature of comedy can also indicate the direction a society is going .
For @ @ @ @ @ @ @ or certain demographics can eventually lead to violence against said mentioned demographics for any number of reasons , but it was the comedy that caused it to happen .
Take Cleese ’ s commentary at face value and think about it .
What Cleese is seeing , but without saying it from a political view is a revolution in progress , and with that , a trend to look for will be different forms of “ comedy ” that emerge targeting new groups because they are considered to be “ undesirable ” , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ causing them harm .
One can already begin to see this in some of the newer comedy shows , as well as with what is considered “ inappropriate ” for comedy .
Watch this trend , because as the comedians move the audiences to laugh , so may also turn the wheels of politics and social acceptability for many years to come .
Donate now to help support the work of this site .
When you donate , you are not donating to just any commentary group , but one that is endlessly @ @ @ @ @ @ @ lines and separating hysteria and perception from reality .
In shoebat.com , we are working every day , tirelessly investigating global trends and providing data and analysis to tell you what lies for the future .
CLICK HERE TO FOLLOW OUR NEW SHOEBAT FACEBOOK PAGE

Since the 1960s, the British comedy troupe Monty Python has made millions- probably billions -of people laugh as the arguable geniuses of comedy, with their silly antics, weird costumes, avant-garde style, and very British mannerisms stormed the world of entertainment making movies and films that for a twentieth century context set a standard of humor for the English-speaking work. While some members have passed away and the others are very old, they still continue to laugh at themselves and society as millions more laugh along with them to their criticisms and witticisms.
But not everything they say they mean for laughs. Contrary to popular view, comedy is a serious thing, and the creators of Monty Python have made many serious comments about the nature of comedy, society, and their philosophies on life and how men should relate to each other. The most outspoken member of the troupe, actor John Cleese (also of the cult TV series fame Fawlty Towers) has made many comments that have attracted public attention, including several years ago when commenting on the rise of nationalism, he said that based on his experiences living in London from his youngest years, the migration and changes to that city have made it so that London “no longer feels English”, and that it is something he does not like, and makes him concerned for the future of the UK.
Cleese may be humorous and the “stick-in-the-mud” character in his acting, but when he speaks, he does so sincerely, and while he is an agnostic and generally a “liberal” type as it concerns politics, he is no fool, for while one may disagree with him, his words seems to be said with much care and thought. Thus it is of interest that recently, the Daily Beast reported how Cleese spoke about the future of comedy, saying that he was concerned about “woke” culture and how it is destroying comedy, adding that comedy today in a “woke” context is not poking fun at human frailties, which he says the Python troupe intended to do, but rather is a way of mocking people’s vulnerabilities as a way of hurting them that is not funny.
“It’s changed so completely, because, for example, we were never allowed to say ‘fuck.’ I mean, that was absolutely unacceptable. Now nobody turns a head. That’s a huge difference. But you could make jokes. There’s plenty of people who are PC now who have absolutely zero sense of humor. I would love to debate, in a friendly way, a couple of ‘woke’ people in front of an audience. And I think the first thing I would say is, please tell me a good ‘woke’ joke. What they don’t understand is that there’s two types of teasing. There’s really nasty teasing, which is horrible, and we shouldn’t do it, full stop. But the other type of teasing is affectionate. You can tease people hugely affectionately and it’s a bonding mechanism. All humor is critical. You cannot get laughs out of perfect human beings. If you’ve got someone up on the screen who is perfect, intelligent and kind and flexible and a good person, there’s nothing funny about that. So we only laugh at people’s frailties, but that’s not cruel. You can laugh at people’s frailties in very funny and generous ways.” (source)
The Jewish American comedian Jerry Seinfeld has also expressed similar comments in years past. Like Cleese, Seinfeld may be known for his archetypal characters that he plays, but he is a serious person with, even if one disagrees with him a lot of genuine insights. Entertainment weekly talked about this, when in 2015 Seinfeld said that he does not do college campuses any more because students are so “PC” they cannot laugh at themselves or others, they all become offended, and their actions ruin the show.
“I hear that all the time,” Seinfeld said on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. “I don’t play colleges, but I hear a lot of people tell me, ‘Don’t go near colleges. They’re so PC.’” Seinfeld says teens and college-aged kids don’t understand what it means to throw around certain politically-correct terms. “They just want to use these words: ‘That’s racist;’ ‘That’s sexist;’ ‘That’s prejudice,’” he said. “They don’t know what the hell they’re talking about.”(source)
Now it is true that comedy is political, going back to ancient times, as Ted discussed. Often times, comedy serves as a reflection of what a society gauges to be “acceptable” or not, and it can be used to push boundaries. Hence this is the reason why comedy traditionally attracts many revolutionary types, or those with unorthodox views, since the humor becomes an avenue for them to advance their ideas. It is also why humor tends to be censored highly in very centrally controlled societies, since the humor is a direct threat to those in power as it can be weaponized against their rule.
Likewise, the change in the nature of comedy can also indicate the direction a society is going. For example, laughing at certain groups, or certain demographics can eventually lead to violence against said mentioned demographics for any number of reasons, but it was the comedy that caused it to happen.
Take Cleese’s commentary at face value and think about it. What Cleese is seeing, but without saying it from a political view is a revolution in progress, and with that, a trend to look for will be different forms of “comedy” that emerge targeting new groups because they are considered to be “undesirable”, and ultimately with the intention of likely causing them harm.
One can already begin to see this in some of the newer comedy shows, as well as with what is considered “inappropriate” for comedy. Watch this trend, because as the comedians move the audiences to laugh, so may also turn the wheels of politics and social acceptability for many years to come.
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shoebat--2020-08-05--Will The 2020 Census Be Accurate?

Will The 2020 Census Be Accurate?

Since the year 1790 , the US government designates that a census be taken of her population every decade .
The Census , which is administered by the Department of Commerce ( formerly under the Department of the Interior ) is an all-inclusive look at the country , and while it has changed forms over the years , it is basically about knowing who-lives-where so that resources can be distributed , and while some can argue if this is for good or for ill , the fact is that all people are legally required to complete it , and the @ @ @ @ @ @ @ said Census is filled out .
But what happens if the Census takes place in the middle of a crisis , such as COVID-19 ?
Naturally it has to get done , but it also can cause any kind of disruptions , and disruptions to the Census naturally could have political consequences .
AP News reports on this , saying that there are concerns about the accuracy of the 2020 Census because of the virus .
The Census Bureau said late Monday that the door-knocking and ability for households to respond either online @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the questionnaire will stop at the end of September instead of the end of October so that it can meet an end-of-the-year deadline to turn in numbers used for redrawing congressional districts .
Census experts and civil rights activists worry the sped-up count could hurt its thoroughness and produce inaccurate data that will have lasting effects through the next decade since it determines how $ 1.5 trillion in federal spending is distributed and how many congressional districts each state gets .
“ This move will rush the enumeration process , result in inadequate @ @ @ @ @ @ @ communities of color who are historically undercounted , ” U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney , chairwoman of the House Committee on Oversight and Reform , wrote Census Bureau director Steven Dillingham in a letter on Tuesday .
In the letter , Maloney , a Democrat from New York , requested interviews before her committee with eight Census Bureau officials , including two recent additions to the bureau ’ s leadership whose appointments by the Trump administration have been sharply criticized as politically driven .
But Dillingham said the agency aimed to have the same @ @ @ @ @ @ @ The bureau will hold extra training sessions and will reward door-knockers who work the maximum hours possible .
“ We will improve the speed of our count without sacrificing completeness , ” Dillingham said .
As of Sunday , 37 % of U.S. households hadn ’ t yet responded to the census questionnaire .
Some of the 500,000 door knockers hired by the Census Bureau have started visiting those households , but they weren ’ t expected to go out in force until next week .
( source ) Since we are dealing @ @ @ @ @ @ @ US is notorious for “ enforcement ” of all types , good or bad , this is going to get done .
But how will this affect political races in the upcoming 2020 election ?
I noted there could be a lot of “ funny business ” that takes place , and we have already seen some of that with local races and mail-in ballots , as well as talk coming from the White House about mail-in ballots and possibly a second wave of COVID-19 that may disrupt normal election procedures , and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ put a crisis to waste ” , the potential for exploitation in the current elections is arguably one of the highest it has ever been in American history .
Another interesting thing to come from the Census is the data itself .
As I have pointed out repeatedly , the US is undergoing a fundamental transformation as regards to its demographics .
What is considered “ minority ” is statistically becoming a majority among all groups- a “ majority of a series of minorities ” if one would consider it that -and that @ @ @ @ @ @ @ may also change .
Since communities are formed not by animals , trees , or machines but by the people who inhabit them , a change to the demographic constitution of any given people , no matter who they are or where they are , can result in a change of living philosophy , political allegiances , or even the influence of government in an area if a group regardless of ethnicity , gender , age , or even the a larger concentration of people into the same area .
This can have @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the current election , than for the future , and most definitely when it pertains to policy making and the nature of what is considered to be acceptable laws .
The Census is a reflection of the changes that are taking place in her , for there is never a better measure of oneself than to look at that which makes up oneself , just as the saying goes that a man is what he eats .
Will this Census be considered “ accurate ” ?
What changes will it show ?
How @ @ @ @ @ @ @ takes at least six to nine months before serious date from any of the varied and truly diverse Census publications begin to come out because one is dealing with compiling detailed information from about 350 million people .
All Census data , while boring it may seem on the surface to read , is actually a truck full of intimate knowledge to anybody wanting to understand the US .
It will be interesting to see the changes , the discussion of accuracy , how COVID-19 affects the taking of the current Census , @ @ @ @ @ @ @ or perhaps , not say about the future direction of the country , and for the immediate future , it will be interesting to see if perhaps an “ accident ” or as the phrase is often used , a “ mistake that was made ” resulting in unexpected political consequences for the 2020 election cycle , both on a national as well as statewide/local level .
Donate now to help support the work of this site .
When you donate , you are not donating to just any commentary group , but @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , reading between the lines and separating hysteria and perception from reality .
In shoebat.com , we are working every day , tirelessly investigating global trends and providing data and analysis to tell you what lies for the future .
CLICK HERE TO FOLLOW OUR NEW SHOEBAT FACEBOOK PAGE

Since the year 1790, the US government designates that a census be taken of her population every decade. The Census, which is administered by the Department of Commerce (formerly under the Department of the Interior) is an all-inclusive look at the country, and while it has changed forms over the years, it is basically about knowing who-lives-where so that resources can be distributed, and while some can argue if this is for good or for ill, the fact is that all people are legally required to complete it, and the Census is very aggressive in seeing that said Census is filled out.
But what happens if the Census takes place in the middle of a crisis, such as COVID-19? Naturally it has to get done, but it also can cause any kind of disruptions, and disruptions to the Census naturally could have political consequences. AP News reports on this, saying that there are concerns about the accuracy of the 2020 Census because of the virus.
The Census Bureau said late Monday that the door-knocking and ability for households to respond either online, by phone or by mail to the questionnaire will stop at the end of September instead of the end of October so that it can meet an end-of-the-year deadline to turn in numbers used for redrawing congressional districts. Census experts and civil rights activists worry the sped-up count could hurt its thoroughness and produce inaccurate data that will have lasting effects through the next decade since it determines how $1.5 trillion in federal spending is distributed and how many congressional districts each state gets. “This move will rush the enumeration process, result in inadequate follow-up, and undercount immigrant communities and communities of color who are historically undercounted,” U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney, chairwoman of the House Committee on Oversight and Reform, wrote Census Bureau director Steven Dillingham in a letter on Tuesday. In the letter, Maloney, a Democrat from New York, requested interviews before her committee with eight Census Bureau officials, including two recent additions to the bureau’s leadership whose appointments by the Trump administration have been sharply criticized as politically driven. But Dillingham said the agency aimed to have the same level of responses as past censuses. The bureau will hold extra training sessions and will reward door-knockers who work the maximum hours possible. “We will improve the speed of our count without sacrificing completeness,” Dillingham said. As of Sunday, 37% of U.S. households hadn’t yet responded to the census questionnaire. Some of the 500,000 door knockers hired by the Census Bureau have started visiting those households, but they weren’t expected to go out in force until next week. (source)
Since we are dealing with the government here, and the US is notorious for “enforcement” of all types, good or bad, this is going to get done. But how will this affect political races in the upcoming 2020 election? I noted there could be a lot of “funny business” that takes place, and we have already seen some of that with local races and mail-in ballots, as well as talk coming from the White House about mail-in ballots and possibly a second wave of COVID-19 that may disrupt normal election procedures, and as the saying goes, “never put a crisis to waste”, the potential for exploitation in the current elections is arguably one of the highest it has ever been in American history.
Another interesting thing to come from the Census is the data itself. As I have pointed out repeatedly, the US is undergoing a fundamental transformation as regards to its demographics. What is considered “minority” is statistically becoming a majority among all groups- a “majority of a series of minorities” if one would consider it that -and that the distribution of resources to said groups may also change. Since communities are formed not by animals, trees, or machines but by the people who inhabit them, a change to the demographic constitution of any given people, no matter who they are or where they are, can result in a change of living philosophy, political allegiances, or even the influence of government in an area if a group regardless of ethnicity, gender, age, or even the a larger concentration of people into the same area. This can have serious political consequences, if not for the current election, than for the future, and most definitely when it pertains to policy making and the nature of what is considered to be acceptable laws.
The Census is a reflection of the changes that are taking place in her, for there is never a better measure of oneself than to look at that which makes up oneself, just as the saying goes that a man is what he eats.
Will this Census be considered “accurate”? What changes will it show? How will it influence society?
It usually takes at least six to nine months before serious date from any of the varied and truly diverse Census publications begin to come out because one is dealing with compiling detailed information from about 350 million people. All Census data, while boring it may seem on the surface to read, is actually a truck full of intimate knowledge to anybody wanting to understand the US. It will be interesting to see the changes, the discussion of accuracy, how COVID-19 affects the taking of the current Census, and what the Census data will say or perhaps, not say about the future direction of the country, and for the immediate future, it will be interesting to see if perhaps an “accident” or as the phrase is often used, a “mistake that was made” resulting in unexpected political consequences for the 2020 election cycle, both on a national as well as statewide/local level.
print


shoebat--2020-08-05--Prices Of Precious Metals Rise Significantly

With the world financial markets in chaos and people seeking safe havens for investment , people are pursuing a variety of avenues for preserving their wealth amid unstable circumstances .
One of these traditional venues is precious metals , which MarketWatch reports has seen a nearly 25 % rise in the last week due to effects of COVID-19 and the economic impact it his having on world markets.
< I want to make very clear that I do NOT give financial advice .
I just observe trends and make comments upon what I see and try to offer an intelligent @ @ @ @ @ @ @ will go .
It is good to see prices for metals rising .
However , right now , I do not believe it is a good idea to buy more unless one already has been purchasing for a long time and has the assets to do so .
I say this because while prices are increasing , there is a strong chance that the price may drop by as much as 25 % for both metals , and the reasoning behind this is because based on the current circumstances , the rising prices @ @ @ @ @ @ @ dollar .
Now this does not mean I am saying that the dollar is going to “ get better ” .
This is absolutely not the case , as the fundamentals that I have written about are as consistent today as they have been in previous years , and as I have mentioned , are actively getting worse because of the money printing .
What I see taking place in the “ dead cat bounce ” scenario , but in reverse .
Basically , one will see increases in the price of real @ @ @ @ @ @ @ to stabilize their funds in the middle of financial chaos .
However , the government has shown that she is going to use all tools possible to prolong the likely inevitable hyperinflation that will happen because of continual money printing , which will only stop once the currency is worthless and a new one has to be issued .
However , during this process , there will be periods where the dollar will appear and in some cases , have real “ gains ” that give a casual observer the appearance that things @ @ @ @ @ @ @ a decline in the price of metals , including a small sell-off , that will further drop the price .
This is why I describe it as a “ dead cat bounce ” but in reverse , for as the dead cat is small increases in economic gain even as overall productivity is on the terminal decline , and while this is happening with true economic data , there will be small “ decreases ” in the value of metals and other tangible commodities even as the overall trend is for them to @ @ @ @ @ @ @ have noted before that investments into all things , while guided by measurable realities ( not all of which are known publicly ) , the human response to these realities is not at all based on reason most of the time , but emotions , impulses , and the biggest feeling of all , fear as per the “ fight or flight response ” .
When this is applied to the stock market , as there is a lot of potential value that could be permanently lost , it triggers this impulse so @ @ @ @ @ @ @ and tend to “ run with the herd ” because of a fear of losing money when thinking is the very thing that they need to do before anything else .
Hence is the reason I caution about a possible drop in the prices of precious metals .
It does not speak anything to their current real value or future value , but rather to the manipulation of the economic system we see taking place that is constructed to “ blow bubbles ” in certain markets ( inflate values ) for profit and @ @ @ @ @ @ @ right time- that is , unless the bubble blown is too big , and when it “ pops ” it has the unintended effect of “ popping ” other bubbles that can completely destabilize the equilibrium of a system .
Right now the Federal Reserve bank has been trying to prevent a deflation- the natural “ popping ” of a bubble ( the decline in value of an inflated or overvalued asset ) -by printing money , when instead of preventing this deflation , it is causing a loss in the faith of @ @ @ @ @ @ @ , most of these problems can be covered up , but at some point they will be forcibly exposed , and when they do , it will lead to the loss of faith in the currency itself as noted before that will wipe out the savings of many in the US and around the world .
Right now , it is ideal for those interested in finance to watch the world commodity markets , but not to overreact .
If either metal was to drop by about 25 % - so around or @ @ @ @ @ @ @ around or less than $ 20 an ounce for silver , it would probably be a decent time to purchase .
But for now , let the bubble be blown and pop and react accordingly , for there is likely going to be a little more time before real instability occurs that destroys the markets save for those already invested into real commodities .
Donate now to help support the work of this site .
When you donate , you are not donating to just any commentary group , but one that is @ @ @ @ @ @ @ the lines and separating hysteria and perception from reality .
In shoebat.com , we are working every day , tirelessly investigating global trends and providing data and analysis to tell you what lies for the future .
CLICK HERE TO FOLLOW OUR NEW SHOEBAT FACEBOOK PAGE

With the world financial markets in chaos and people seeking safe havens for investment, people are pursuing a variety of avenues for preserving their wealth amid unstable circumstances. One of these traditional venues is precious metals, which MarketWatch reports has seen a nearly 25% rise in the last week due to effects of COVID-19 and the economic impact it his having on world markets.<
Gold prices rallied to a fresh intraday record late-morning Tuesday, propelled by continued appetite for precious metals amid the COVID-19 pandemic. December gold GCZ20, 1.55% was up $27.50, or 1.3%, at $2,013.60 an ounce, at last check. Meanwhile, silver prices for September delivery SIU20, 3.00%, the most-active contract, were also buoyant, up 4.7% at $25.56 an ounce. The Tuesday jump for gold and silver–a steady climb for both commodities in recent weeks–comes amid a persistent concern about the economic implications of the pandemic that has created uncertainty about the landscape for global markets and economies, with governments and central banks forced to roll out a raft of fiscal and monetary stimulus to limit the damage to business activity. (source)
I want to make very clear that I do NOT give financial advice. I just observe trends and make comments upon what I see and try to offer an intelligent perspective on said trends and where they will go.
It is good to see prices for metals rising. However, right now, I do not believe it is a good idea to buy more unless one already has been purchasing for a long time and has the assets to do so. I say this because while prices are increasing, there is a strong chance that the price may drop by as much as 25% for both metals, and the reasoning behind this is because based on the current circumstances, the rising prices is attributed to instability in the US dollar.
Now this does not mean I am saying that the dollar is going to “get better”. This is absolutely not the case, as the fundamentals that I have written about are as consistent today as they have been in previous years, and as I have mentioned, are actively getting worse because of the money printing. What I see taking place in the “dead cat bounce” scenario, but in reverse.
Basically, one will see increases in the price of real commodities as a means of investors seeking to stabilize their funds in the middle of financial chaos. However, the government has shown that she is going to use all tools possible to prolong the likely inevitable hyperinflation that will happen because of continual money printing, which will only stop once the currency is worthless and a new one has to be issued. However, during this process, there will be periods where the dollar will appear and in some cases, have real “gains” that give a casual observer the appearance that things are improving, and which will cause a decline in the price of metals, including a small sell-off, that will further drop the price.
This is why I describe it as a “dead cat bounce” but in reverse, for as the dead cat is small increases in economic gain even as overall productivity is on the terminal decline, and while this is happening with true economic data, there will be small “decreases” in the value of metals and other tangible commodities even as the overall trend is for them to increase in value.
Likewise, I have noted before that investments into all things, while guided by measurable realities (not all of which are known publicly), the human response to these realities is not at all based on reason most of the time, but emotions, impulses, and the biggest feeling of all, fear as per the “fight or flight response”. When this is applied to the stock market, as there is a lot of potential value that could be permanently lost, it triggers this impulse so that men tend to react without thinking and tend to “run with the herd” because of a fear of losing money when thinking is the very thing that they need to do before anything else.
Hence is the reason I caution about a possible drop in the prices of precious metals. It does not speak anything to their current real value or future value, but rather to the manipulation of the economic system we see taking place that is constructed to “blow bubbles” in certain markets (inflate values) for profit and then “pop” them at the right time- that is, unless the bubble blown is too big, and when it “pops” it has the unintended effect of “popping” other bubbles that can completely destabilize the equilibrium of a system.
Right now the Federal Reserve bank has been trying to prevent a deflation- the natural “popping” of a bubble (the decline in value of an inflated or overvalued asset) -by printing money, when instead of preventing this deflation, it is causing a loss in the faith of the currency. As with all things, most of these problems can be covered up, but at some point they will be forcibly exposed, and when they do, it will lead to the loss of faith in the currency itself as noted before that will wipe out the savings of many in the US and around the world.
Right now, it is ideal for those interested in finance to watch the world commodity markets, but not to overreact. If either metal was to drop by about 25%- so around or less than $1500 for gold and around or less than $20 an ounce for silver, it would probably be a decent time to purchase. But for now, let the bubble be blown and pop and react accordingly, for there is likely going to be a little more time before real instability occurs that destroys the markets save for those already invested into real commodities.
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